Years of abundance followed by years of famine. Boom and bust. Ebb and flow. Patterns and principles. Don't follow the advice of moonboys. When they say "grab the dippppppp!!", we need to be cautious because it is not time... yet. A bloodbath needs to be seen first with enough pain. 


I'm already seeing folks online buying on margin, to the tune of 7 figures hoping to double down. I can assure you, the bounce that they are looking for ain't there. And if the margin call comes, they will lose their homes and even their pants. Those who were once flaunting their lifestyles with all the free money floating around, who strutted their stuff and made it seem they had the sense of the market will feel the sting of the receding liquidity. Not that it has become huge already since tapering just started, but the market always front runs the Fed's move. 


The arbiter of liquidity is the Fed. Not China. Not Japan. No one central bank can do what the Fed does simply because the USD is the reserve currency of the world. Once Nixon removed the gold standard from the system, it was the game that set the US as the judge of the flow of liquidity. 


The axiom "Don't fight the Fed" was coined because if you go through historical precedence, you will see that each time a taper or an indication of it comes about, either a tantrum comes in, or a deep enough correction for the Fed to call for a reversal in decision because enough pain has come in. 


Now, 25% of all US dollars were "printed" in the last 20 months now. What do you think is going to happen now that market prices are propped up by artificiality and a wall of leverage? 


Have moved major positions to cash for good profits, prepared short positions, and moving pieces in place to milk the downcycle.


Not investment advice. DYOR. Don't be like the guy in the pic.

免责声明:上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点,不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

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  • qingg123
    ·2021-12-11
    sell stocks whose liquidity has been pushed up by funds released by the Federal Reserve in recent years, such as Tesla. Also, bitcoin can no longer be held.
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    • BleuNovember
      not really. retail can also take a part and profit regardless of markets. I firmly believe that financial knowledge should be free and not sold by folks. they make more $ selling than investing
      2021-12-11
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  • waipoin
    ·2021-12-11
    I just want to know if the Federal Reserve announces a rate hike, should I buy some bank stocks? Can you give me some advice?
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    • BleuNovember
      u can attempt to front run the Fed's announcement by doing so if you like the banks. an interest rate hike gives additional income (free money) To banks
      2021-12-11
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  • RosalindElinor
    ·2021-12-11
    Since it is said to raise interest rates, the stock market is bound to fall. What preparations should we retail investors make?
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    • BleuNovember
      you build a cash hoard. the full crash will happen soon but not yet. as the deflation happens faster with a faster taper and interest rate hike coming, the entire market will enter correction
      2021-12-11
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  • falleno
    ·2021-12-11
    If the stock market crashes, what stocks should be bought in the bear market?
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    • BleuNovember
      I will stick high growth conviction stocks. no difference. also the ones that are oversold
      2021-12-11
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  • keepcalm
    ·2021-12-11
    I really feel scared. Will there be a stock market crash?
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    • BleuNovember
      yes, historical precedence shows that with Fed pulling the punch bowl out, markets will correct. don't be fearful, just build your cash hoard first. I will update as we go along on when to enter again
      2021-12-11
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  • RubyPulitzer
    ·2021-12-11
    Will the Fed's liquidity reduction really kill the bull market in the United States?
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    • BleuNovember
      bull and bear markets are generally understood as to whether stock prices go up or down. but this is not how the markets are to be seen. liquidity from the Fed establishes an artificial tone.
      2021-12-11
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  • RonaldNixon
    ·2021-12-11
    Retail investors are lambs waiting to be slaughtered. Thanks for reminding me.
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    • BleuNovember
      not necessarily. it's about positioning yourself.
      2021-12-11
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  • RodBeard
    ·2021-12-11
    The American bull market, which was born by releasing liquidity, has blown up a huge bubble. This bubble may burst at any time with the rise of interest rate.
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  • waipoin
    ·2021-12-11
    why do I feel that whether it is a bull market or a bear market, retail investors are the most hurt?
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  • Cecilia2828
    ·2021-12-11
    lol the picture is funny [LOL]
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