通胀降温！美国4月核心CPI同比降至3.6%，环比增速6个月来首次下降_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

通胀降温！美国4月核心CPI同比降至3.6%，环比增速6个月来首次下降

华尔街见闻2024-05-15

互换市场上调对美联储年内降息速度的预期。交易员认为，到9月美联储会议，降息25个基点的概率超过80%。尽管住房成本继续上涨，但新车、二手车等商品价格加速下滑，服务成本增长显著放缓，推动美国核心CPI同环比双双下滑，美联储开启年内降息大门又一次打开。5月15日周三，美国劳工统计局公布的数据显示，美国4月CPI同比增长3.4%，持平预期，较前值3.5%小幅下降；4月CPI环比增长0.3%，低于预期和...

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The core CPI in the United States fell to 3.6% year-on-year in April, and the month-on-month growth rate fell for the first time in six months","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61ba5063a664446ec94a8a1e44a0532c","symbols_score_info":{"159982":1,"513600":0.6,"601138":1,"GME":1,"BIDU":1,"NIYmain":1,"NKmain":1,"DWT":0.6,"AMC":1,"BA":1,"DUG":0.6,"QMmain":1,"USO":1,"BZmain":0.6,"JMImain":1,"SCO":1,"UCO":1,"TSLL":1,"DDG":0.6,"HHImain":0.6,"HSImain":1,"MCHmain":0.6,"MHImain":1,"JNImain":1,"IEA":1,"HGmain":1,"HSI":1,"CLmain":1,"02833":0.6},"content_text":"互换市场上调对美联储年内降息速度的预期。交易员认为，到9月美联储会议，降息25个基点的概率超过80%。尽管住房成本继续上涨，但新车、二手车等商品价格加速下滑，服务成本增长显著放缓，推动美国核心CPI同环比双双下滑，美联储开启年内降息大门又一次打开。5月15日周三，美国劳工统计局公布的数据显示，美国4月CPI同比增长3.4%，持平预期，较前值3.5%小幅下降；4月CPI环比增长0.3%，低于预期和前值0.4%。剔除食品和能源成本后，美国3月核心CPI同比增长3.6%，持平预期3.6%，低于前值3.8%，为2021年4月以来的最低涨幅；4月核心CPI环比增速从3月份的0.4%下降至0.3%，为6个月来首次下降，持平预期0.3%。数据公布后，美联储降息预期升温，美股三大股指期货短线走高，日元兑美元上涨1.1%，现货黄金跳涨。与此同时，互换市场上调对美联储年内降息速度的预期。交易员认为，到9月美联储会议，降息25个基点的概率超过80%。“市场此番反应的原因是，我们没有得到惊喜，”摩根资产管理首席全球策略师David Kelly在接受媒体采访时表示，“总体而言，（通胀）形势正在趋缓。”值得注意的是，尽管这些数据表明通胀正在恢复下降趋势，但美联储希望看到更多更确切的数据。美联储主席杰鲍威尔周二表示，央行将“需要保持耐心，让限制性政策发挥作用”，一些官员预计今年可能根本不会降息。能源、住房成本继续上涨，新车和二手车价格加速下滑，超级通胀上升分部门看，能源价格和住房成本上涨仍是通胀下行的最大阻力，新车和二手车价格加速下滑，推动通胀放缓：能源指数本月上涨1.1%持平前值，汽油指数上涨2.8%，燃油指数下降1.3%，电力指数上涨0.9%。住房成本是服务业中最大的类别，连续第三个月上涨0.4%，交通服务继前月上涨1.5%之后，4月继续上涨0.9%；新车指数环比下降0.4%，二手车和卡车指数环比下降1.4%，降幅较上月进一步扩大。服装指数上涨1.2%，医疗护理商品和服务均上涨0.4%。值得注意的额是，住房成本虽然环比上升，但同比继续放缓。而且，服务成本对通胀上行的贡献正在减少。在3个月和6个月的年化基础上，能源成本正在加速增长。所谓的超级通胀继续上升——不包括住房成本的核心CPI服务指数环比上涨0.5%，同比上涨5.05%，为2023年4月以来最高纪录。其中，教育成本和交通成本占据主导地位。与此同时，商品价格正以2004年4月以来最快的速度下降，而服务价格同比增速则停留在5.3%左右。另值得注意的是，自拜登总统任期开始以来，美国CPI一直处于上升趋势，与前任特朗普让任期相比，通胀压力大幅加剧。具体看，自“拜登经济学”(Bidenomics)实施以来，美国总体通胀上涨超过19.5%。特朗普任期内，物价累计上涨了8%左右。拜登任期内，通胀年均涨幅达到5.5% ，是特朗普任期内1.9%年均涨幅的三倍多。","kind":"live","is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":true,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComments":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"isCrawlerRequest":true}