机会来了？富国银行称未来6到18个月至关重要_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

机会来了？富国银行称未来6到18个月至关重要

智通财经网2023-12-21

据富国银行投资研究所，投资者应该抓住2023年底股票和债券强劲反弹的机会，并在接下来的6到18个月内进行操作。道琼斯工业平均指数在12月下半月已经创下了几个历史新高，标普500指数几乎回到了创纪录的水平，而10年期美国国债收益率也从10月份的16年高点的5%下降了超过100个基点，至3.88%。富国银行投资研究所的高级全球市场策略师Scott Wren在周三的一份客户报告中表示，“这些显著的价格...

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Wells Fargo says the next six to 18 months are crucial","themeId":"","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda99d66361d45675ecb3bd23e87afa6","symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":1.1,".SPX":1.1,".DJI":0.6},"content_text":"据富国银行投资研究所，投资者应该抓住2023年底股票和债券强劲反弹的机会，并在接下来的6到18个月内进行操作。道琼斯工业平均指数在12月下半月已经创下了几个历史新高，标普500指数几乎回到了创纪录的水平，而10年期美国国债收益率也从10月份的16年高点的5%下降了超过100个基点，至3.88%。富国银行投资研究所的高级全球市场策略师Scott Wren在周三的一份客户报告中表示，“这些显著的价格变动发生在市场参与者似乎对强劲的盈利增长、低通胀和美联储在2024年的激进降息持乐观态度的背景下”。Wren及其团队对标普500指数盈利增长的预期保持怀疑态度，他们不认为美联储会像联邦基金期货所暗示的那样大幅降息。Wren认为，与其追逐标普500指数，不如寻找其他增值投资机会。他认为，投资者应该减少在标普500指数信息技术、可支配消费品和通信部门的投资，这些部门在2023年表现出色，投资者可以将资金转向其他股市板块，包括医疗保健、工业和材料。Wren还指出，如果有多余的资金，短期固定收益产品看起来是“暂时存放资金的好地方，以便将来重新投资于股票”。特别是如果经济和盈利增长放缓，就像他的团队所预期的那样，这可能会刺激股票的购买机会。美联储主席鲍威尔上周表示，他不想犯将利率维持在过高水平太长时间的错误，同时保持中央银行的政策利率处于22年来的最高点。随后，几名美联储工作人员表示，明年降息的事并非板上钉钉。费城联储主希拉克在周三表示，中央银行不打算很快降息，因为抑制通胀的任务尚未完成。虽然Wren及其团队也看好长期固定收益，但他预计2024年收益率将会升高，美联储的降息幅度将小于交易者的预期。他们对2024年底10年期国债收益率的目标中值预测约为5%。Wren表示：“我们更愿意保持耐心。”","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComments":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}