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2021-11-09

Nasdaq 100’s Sizzling Run to Record Flashes Warning

(Bloomberg) -- The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index is showing serious signs of overheating, an indicatio

Nasdaq 100’s Sizzling Run to Record Flashes Warning

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That’s seen by traders as a contrarian signal that a decline is imminent, because buying has gotten excessive. Four of the last five times the indicator hit such a level, the Nasdaq 100 shed 12% or more to the ensuing low.</p>\n<p>The latest leg of the rally has been fueled by a string of solid earnings from technology companies and the Federal Reserve’s dovish messaging on rate hikes, helping the index beat the S&amp;P 500 by more than three percentage points since the reporting season began in mid-October. But the outperformance can’t go on forever.</p>\n<p>“It would be better if this index took a breather,” said Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak &amp; Co. “It would actually help the tech sector rally further into the end of the year.”</p>\n<p>In an early sign that the Nasdaq 100 may be running out of steam, the index fell Monday for the first time in 11 sessions, snapping the longest winning streak since December 2020. It had finished last week at a record high.</p>\n<p>However, it’s not a given that the benchmark is headed for a double-digit decline, because it can stay at overbought levels for a long period, as in early 2020.</p>\n<p>What’s more, Citigroup Inc. strategists say the positioning on Nasdaq future contracts appeared more balanced after a chunk of bearish calls were unwound last week. “However, pockets of risk remain,” strategists led by Chris Montagu wrote in a note.</p>\n<p>There’s plenty of news that can help turn sentiment against the tech sector broadly: China’s regulatory crackdown is ongoing, and there are growing signs that companies that benefited from pandemic lockdowns now are suffering as economies reopen.</p>\n<p>Monday’s rally in Chinese after-school tutoring stocks, spurred by a report that Beijing will issue new licenses, didn’t last long, signaling that investors expect China’s regulatory efforts have further to run.</p>\n<p>PayPal Holdings Inc.’s weak 2022 outlook added to concerns about slowing e-commerce sales, pushing its shares 3.8% lower in premarket trading. Among other pandemic winners, home workout equipment maker Peloton Interactive Inc. is the worst performer in the Nasdaq 100 this year with a drop of 66% and Zoom Video Communications Inc. is down 23%.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, e-commerce behemoth Amazon has risen just 7% in 2021, underperforming the Nasdaq 100’s 27% surge.</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nasdaq 100’s Sizzling Run to Record Flashes Warning</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNasdaq 100’s Sizzling Run to Record Flashes Warning\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-09 20:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nasdaq-100-sizzling-run-record-111636464.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index is showing serious signs of overheating, an indication that a selloff might be right around the corner.\nAfter surging 10% in the past month, the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nasdaq-100-sizzling-run-record-111636464.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nasdaq-100-sizzling-run-record-111636464.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170173504","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index is showing serious signs of overheating, an indication that a selloff might be right around the corner.\nAfter surging 10% in the past month, the benchmark -- home of the likes of Apple Inc., Amazon.com Inc. and Microsoft Corp. -- has seen its relative strength indicator, a 0-100 gauge of bullish and bearish price momentum, soar to 78, well into overbought territory. That’s seen by traders as a contrarian signal that a decline is imminent, because buying has gotten excessive. Four of the last five times the indicator hit such a level, the Nasdaq 100 shed 12% or more to the ensuing low.\nThe latest leg of the rally has been fueled by a string of solid earnings from technology companies and the Federal Reserve’s dovish messaging on rate hikes, helping the index beat the S&P 500 by more than three percentage points since the reporting season began in mid-October. But the outperformance can’t go on forever.\n“It would be better if this index took a breather,” said Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak & Co. “It would actually help the tech sector rally further into the end of the year.”\nIn an early sign that the Nasdaq 100 may be running out of steam, the index fell Monday for the first time in 11 sessions, snapping the longest winning streak since December 2020. It had finished last week at a record high.\nHowever, it’s not a given that the benchmark is headed for a double-digit decline, because it can stay at overbought levels for a long period, as in early 2020.\nWhat’s more, Citigroup Inc. strategists say the positioning on Nasdaq future contracts appeared more balanced after a chunk of bearish calls were unwound last week. “However, pockets of risk remain,” strategists led by Chris Montagu wrote in a note.\nThere’s plenty of news that can help turn sentiment against the tech sector broadly: China’s regulatory crackdown is ongoing, and there are growing signs that companies that benefited from pandemic lockdowns now are suffering as economies reopen.\nMonday’s rally in Chinese after-school tutoring stocks, spurred by a report that Beijing will issue new licenses, didn’t last long, signaling that investors expect China’s regulatory efforts have further to run.\nPayPal Holdings Inc.’s weak 2022 outlook added to concerns about slowing e-commerce sales, pushing its shares 3.8% lower in premarket trading. Among other pandemic winners, home workout equipment maker Peloton Interactive Inc. is the worst performer in the Nasdaq 100 this year with a drop of 66% and Zoom Video Communications Inc. is down 23%.\nMeanwhile, e-commerce behemoth Amazon has risen just 7% in 2021, underperforming the Nasdaq 100’s 27% surge.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":779,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}