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2021-03-11

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Treasury yield trend suggests no relief from higher rates, backs up inflation jitters

Even though the benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield touched a one-week low on Wednesday, economic

Treasury yield trend suggests no relief from higher rates, backs up inflation jitters

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It’s cyclical,” the Economic Cycle Research Institute co-founder told CNBC’s “Trading Nation” on Wednesday. “The underlying trend regardless of the narratives is going to remain to the upside.”\nAchuthan uses a chart of the10-year yieldto back up his bullish inflation call. It shows yields over the past five years and includes when he made inflation cycle upturn and downturn forecasts.\n“Six months ago we had an upturn call in the inflation cycle which joined with the earlier business cycle recovery call,” said Achuthan, whose time horizon looks out several months.\nOn “Trading Nation” in October, Achuthan warned inflation was making a “pervasive and persistent” comeback. At that time, the 10-year yield was still firmly below 1%. But Achuthan had detected a material change in the future inflation gauge.\nHis latest forecast suggests there’s no relief in sight. 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