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2021-06-20

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The global bull market will run through 2021 with only small pullbacks, Ned Davis Research predicts

Global equities will rally through the remainder of 2021, as the economic recovery strengthens, acco

The global bull market will run through 2021 with only small pullbacks, Ned Davis Research predicts

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That’s likely to persist, though they’re watching for signs of excessive optimism that could lead to complacency and leave global equities “vulnerable to disappointment.”\nThis year, earnings reports have been beating expectations at a rising rate, but that momentum could begin to slow. Even so, the firm expects setbacks in the single digits, rather than a double-digit bear market.\nThe firm projects global growth of 6.1%, with the services sector most likely to lead the recovery, and that near-term price surges will be temporary.\nThe Covid pandemic is still the greatest risk to its economic outlook, made greater by people hesitant to get the vaccine, the slow rollout in emerging economies, and the potential to remove monetary and fiscal stimulus too early, Ned Davis Research said. Earlier this week, the Federal Reserve announced it’s keeping interest rates unchanged, raised its 2021 inflation expectation to 3.4% and signaled it would keep its monthly asset-buying program in place.\nNed Davis Research has been bearish on the dollar all year and expects the currency’s ongoing weakness to continue in inverse correlation with gold.\n“As it remains unlikely that the nominal and real interest rate differentials will increase the chances of a dollar recovery in the second half, the ongoing dollar weakness should remain consistent with the uptrend in gold,” analysts said in the report.\nU.S. yields are lower but continue to be attractive on a nominal basis after accounting for hedging costs.\nThe firm continues to favor credit and said even though outperformance has stalled recently, breadth and momentum are still positive. Credit conditions are favorable and should support high-yield bonds through the second half, analysts noted.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":296,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}

The global bull market will run through 2021 with only small pullbacks, Ned Davis Research predicts

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