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2021-06-22

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Asia needs to keep Covid under control before the Fed hikes rates, says economist

Asian countries have to tame the current waves of the coronavirus outbreak in order to get their eco

Asia needs to keep Covid under control before the Fed hikes rates, says economist

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Raising interest rates could help countries prevent too much capital from leaving their economies, but increasing rates too quickly heightens the risk of an economic slowdown.\n\"Asian countries have to get Covid under control so that once the Federal Reserve does begin raising interest rates, the economies here are in good stead and can manage the transition as well,\" Steve Cochrane, chief Asia-Pacific economist at Moody's Analytics, told CNBC's \"Squawk Box Asia.\"\nCochrane predicted that the U.S. central bank might raise interest rates by 25 basis points once every quarter starting 2023. The so-called dot plot of individual Fed member expectations pointed to two hikes that year.\n\n Asian countries have to get Covid under control so that once the Federal Reserve does begin raising interest rates, the economies here are in good stead and can manage the transition as well.Steve CochraneCHIEF APAC ECONOMIST, MOODY'S ANALYTICS\n\nMany economies in Asia including Japan, Taiwan and Malaysia have in recent months seen a renewed surge in Covid cases — which forced authorities to impose stricter social-distancing measures. The fresh waves of infections come asvaccination progress in the region lags that of the U.S. and Europe.\nThe World Bank said in a reportthis month that economic output in two-thirds of East Asia and Pacific countries will remain below pre-pandemic levels until 2022. Factors that dampen potential economic growth in those countries include extended Covid outbreaks and a collapse in global tourism, said the bank.\nCochrane pointed out that Covid outbreaks across the region are \"staunching\" domestic demand and keeping inflation moderate.\nThe economist said several Asian countries including China, South Korea and Singapore are ramping up Covid vaccinations. \"That's looking good but that has to continue going forward,\" he said.\nBut other countries including Thailand, Indonesia and the Philippines have not effectively controlled the outbreak and don't have strong vaccination programs yet, added Cochrane.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":434,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":6,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}