外媒头条 | 鲍威尔承认大幅加息或使美国陷入衰退_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

外媒头条 | 鲍威尔承认大幅加息或使美国陷入衰退

环球市场播报2022-06-23

全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、鲍威尔：经济衰退的可能性肯定存在软着陆挑战很大2、通货膨胀成为民主党的巨大负担拜登敦促国会暂停汽油税以缓解压力3、分析人士：美国经济将迎来硬着陆一年半内必然衰退4、抵押贷款利率飙升冲击房产需求摩根大通逾千名房贷员工遭裁员或调岗5、“新兴市场教父”：比特币是股市底部的领先指标6、大摩将特斯拉股票目标价由1300美元下调至1200美元鲍威尔：...

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黑皮东东
·2022-06-23
美国衰退了中国能独善其身吗？小编粉！
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心灵gg
·2022-06-23
66
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焦璐
·2022-06-23
学习
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飞天小姑
·2022-06-23
666
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Guyuns
·2022-06-23
该加还是加
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一年半内必然衰退如果你对美国经济软着陆仍抱有憧憬，还是趁早死心吧。未来12-18个月内经济不可避免的会发生衰退。在最新一轮经济预测中，美联储官员描绘了一个温和的图景：即使为了遏制通胀而大幅升息，但经济仍将保持温和增长，失业率只会略有上升。虽然随着时间的推移美联储的这种预测似乎变得越来越合理，但我认为有几个因素可以证明经济将会硬着陆。就像跌落悬崖的土狼一样，美国经济现在还有充足的增长势头，但其支撑力正在迅速消失。下落的过程不会是一个愉快的经历。抵押贷款利率飙升冲击房产需求 摩根大通逾千名房贷员工遭裁员或调岗随着抵押贷款利率迅速攀升导致原本火热的房产市场需求降温，摩根大通本周裁减数百名房贷部门员工，另将数百人进行重新安置。根据知情人士透露，总计受影响的员工将超过1000人，大约一半迁至了这家美国最大银行的其他部门。因此事涉及人事安排，知情人士要求匿名。“我们本周的人员安排决定是因为抵押贷款市场出现周期性变化所致，”摩根大通的一位发言人周三在一份声明中指出。“我们得以主动地将许多受影响的员工调往公司内的新岗位，且正在帮助其余受影响员工在公司内外寻找新的就业机会。”随着美国房地产市场的降温，例如Compass Inc．和Redfin Corp．等企业也在裁员。Compass上周在监管公告中称，将裁员大约10%，相当于450人左右；Redfin计划裁员大约6%，约为470人。“新兴市场教父”：比特币是股市底部的领先指标“新兴市场教父”麦朴思（Mark Mobius）周三表示，比特币是股市底部的领先指标。麦朴思表示，“加密货币是衡量投资者情绪的指标，比特币下跌，第二天道琼斯指数下跌。这就是现在的模式。这表明比特币是一个领先指标。”麦朴思称，只有当机构投资者和散户真正“认输”并因亏损而停止向市场投入更多资金时，市场情绪才会触底。“那就是开始买入股票的时候了。”对全球经济衰退风险的担忧已经抹去了比特币数十亿美元的市值，该加密货币从峰值下跌了约70%，目前交易价格接近20000美元。这一暴跌恰逢备受关注的MSCI全球股票指数跌入熊市，投资者担心大多数国家利率上升以及供应链中断的影响。他还称，只要比特币投资者“仍在谈论逢低买入，就意味着有希望的感觉。这也意味着我们还没有达到熊市的底部。”大摩将特斯拉股票目标价由1300美元下调至1200美元摩根士丹利分析师Adam Jonas周三将特斯拉股票目标价由1300美元下调至1200美元，仍维持“增持”评级。Jonas还将该公司二季度的交付量预测下调至27万辆，此前预期为31.6万辆，并将全年交付目标从142.5万辆下调至139万辆。此外，二季度的汽车毛利率预期从之前的25.8%下调至24.6%，就全年而言，该指标预计将达到26.5%，略低于此前预期的26.8%。Jonas表示，目标由1300美元下调到1200美元几乎完全是由于加权平均资本成本（WACC）从之前的8.5%增加到9%所致。尽管下调了目标价，Jonas 1200美元目标价仍然远远高于最近几个月特斯拉的走势水平。因此，他建议，如果特斯拉二季度的业绩比预期的要差，并导致进一步的抛售，那么这将提供一个有吸引力的“逢低买入”机会。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":683992580,"gmtCreate":1655947313646,"gmtModify":1704863631073,"author":{"id":"4096729230922880","authorId":"4096729230922880","authorIdStr":"4096729230922880","name":"黑皮东东","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dac9331f51f2ff89e3d7af0afb0e31ee","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"美国衰退了中国能独善其身吗？小编粉！","listText":"美国衰退了中国能独善其身吗？小编粉！","text":"美国衰退了中国能独善其身吗？小编粉！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/683992580","repostId":2245324562,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":683904457,"gmtCreate":1655942885560,"gmtModify":1704863617570,"author":{"id":"3583668911828878","authorId":"3583668911828878","authorIdStr":"3583668911828878","name":"心灵gg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32b3fa0744509cf45f2e0b088a521e5b","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"66","listText":"66","text":"66","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/683904457","repostId":2245324562,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":683904039,"gmtCreate":1655942410025,"gmtModify":1704863616196,"author":{"id":"3576867244286719","authorId":"3576867244286719","authorIdStr":"3576867244286719","name":"焦璐","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fc43531e1dfdcd9b1f4ef19f7b2a130","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"学习","listText":"学习","text":"学习","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/683904039","repostId":2245324562,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":683905428,"gmtCreate":1655941867769,"gmtModify":1704863615852,"author":{"id":"3551142157043379","authorId":"3551142157043379","authorIdStr":"3551142157043379","name":"飞天小姑","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/996255df5f8d8c44648bb010687cc817","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b073a07f77dbe6b3bec6b12311fde6bd","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"666","listText":"666","text":"666","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/683905428","repostId":2245324562,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":683906148,"gmtCreate":1655939814489,"gmtModify":1704863611727,"author":{"id":"3461870233765570","authorId":"3461870233765570","authorIdStr":"3461870233765570","name":"Guyuns","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed0120fb944618c7c9f2141e29cd1ba5","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"该加还是加","listText":"该加还是加","text":"该加还是加","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/683906148","repostId":2245324562,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":18,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":4,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}