潘石屹“跑”了，黑石会给房地产市场带来什么？_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

潘石屹“跑”了，黑石会给房地产市场带来什么？

博闻财经2021-06-17

停牌两天之后，一切尘埃落定。昨日（6月16日）晚间，SOHO中国发布公告称，高盛(亚洲)有限责任公司代表黑石集团旗下公司TWO CITIES MASTER HOLDINGS II LIMITED作出附先决条件之自愿性有条件现金要约以收购SOHO中国有限公司之全部已发行股份，收购价格为每股5港元，总额236.58亿港元，较停牌前价格溢价约32%。而在停牌之前，SOHO中国股价就已大幅走高，停牌前...

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丽娜shi
·2021-06-18
老潘这一跑？失去很多人的民心？这个精明干练的人赚钱都在高处，相信再难得到民心！
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1
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富甲一方金滿地
·2021-06-17
不要脸滴坏人[微笑]
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Justin_L
·2021-06-17
跑了跑了
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恒跌
·2021-06-17
据说财富精英跑了，知识精英跑了，留下了贫穷和愚昧！需要一个皇上！
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8
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y1244425
·2021-06-17
奇怪，高瓴为什么不接手？中国其它国有资本为啥不接手？
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阿拉丁_9656
·2021-06-17
抓起来枪毙
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3
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万象入星辰
·2021-06-17
Sohu地产代表一级地产资源和先富一批人，在高通胀下企业家怎么做，背后逻辑意义非凡！所以要慎重！
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- 万象入星辰:
  如果让先富在这个敏感时期跑了，这又怎么说！资助外人？
  2021-06-17
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风雪腊梅
·2021-06-17
[叹气] [叹气] [叹气]
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多巴
·2021-06-17
应该禁止收购，因为中国两个字太刺眼了……
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2
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- T0000023454:
  哈尔滨啤酒不也是美国资本的
  2021-06-17
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猛逃
·2021-06-17
看透不说透也[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]
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2
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锐哥来了
·2021-06-17
老潘精明的很，看结果吧！
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2
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小白84544664
·2021-06-17
说明他赚够要跑路了，仅此而已
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1
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米格21
·2021-06-17
好基友任我行被打击的那么惨，不跑准备将来去游街吗
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3
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62984650
·2021-06-17
早就看出这个笑面虎了！典型的汉奸相！
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3
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- 烦烦躁躁:
  哈哈😄，你又提美国干啥，老年痴呆了呢
  2021-06-17
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- kingman:
  我年轻穷b的时候也很信美国那一套
  2021-06-17
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- 烦烦躁躁回复kingman:
  当然信，当年微博大v不是盖的，不过，你脑子再洗也洗不干净了，可能进臭虫了[开心]
  2021-06-17
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查看更多 2 条评论
理想超哥
·2021-06-17
苏世民带领的黑石真是🐮
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3
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Hada
·2021-06-17
俗话说贫贱不能“移”
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2
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abelxie
·2021-06-17
有人出来城、有人进城
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清风飘飘
·2021-06-17
这小子鬼精鬼精的，把烫手山芋终于如愿以偿的换到黑石啦，但愿到黑石手里不是黑屎
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1
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找个特斯拉
·2021-06-17
谈妥了的最后一根稻草是什么？还是坑爹
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3
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.wx-sou","directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2144198217","pubTimestamp":1623897018,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"tencent","name":"腾讯"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"SOHO中国的未来还有很大的看头，精明如潘石屹怎么会真的跑掉呢？","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"qq.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"BX":"黑石","00410":"SOHO中国"},"translate_title":"Pan Shiyi \"ran\", what will Blackstone Group LP bring to the real estate market?","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12361f185f3ff420f555a968e2cd3177","symbols_score_info":{"00410":0.9,"BX":0.9},"content_text":"停牌两天之后，一切尘埃落定。\n昨日（6月16日）晚间，SOHO中国发布公告称，高盛(亚洲)有限责任公司代表黑石集团旗下公司TWO CITIES MASTER HOLDINGS II LIMITED作出附先决条件之自愿性有条件现金要约以收购SOHO中国有限公司之全部已发行股份，收购价格为每股5港元，总额236.58亿港元，较停牌前价格溢价约32%。\n而在停牌之前，SOHO中国股价就已大幅走高，停牌前一周涨幅达47.86%，真是应了那句“世上没有密不透风的墙”。\n\n曲折的“卖身”之路\n虽然资本市场的走势已表明似乎有大事发生，但是停牌两天就出来了结果，还是比预期的时间要快得多。\n当然，熟悉SOHO中国的都知道，在本次停牌之前黑石集团与SOHO中国就私有化事项已进行了多次的磋商。\n早在去年的3月10日，就有媒体报道称，黑石集团正在与SOHO中国进行私有化谈判，价格为6港元/股，交易共计约40亿美元。此外，黑石集团还将接管SOHO中国的债务。\n当天，在利好的刺激下SOHO中国股价涨幅达到37.58%，为4.10港元/股。\n\n但是，在后续的谈判过程中，因为疫情反复带来的不确定性以及债券市场的动荡，黑石动摇了，谈判也陷入了停滞的状态，5个月后谈判正式宣告“流产”。\n到了2020年11月，市场再度传出SOHO中国私有化的信息，这次买方为高瓴资本。不过随后，高瓴资本火速澄清，称无意私有化SOHO中国。\n两次私有化消息落空让SOHO中国的投资者忐忑不安，SOHO中国的股价也上下起伏，大幅波动，不知有多少追风的少年被套在高处。\n\n正所谓事不过三，潘石屹终于在昨天等来了他想要的结果。而在此之前，SOHO中国的“卖身”之路已经走了有6年的时间。\n2014年2月，SOHO中国将上海SOHO静安广场和SOHO海伦广场以52.32亿的价格出售给了金融街控股，同年9月，将上海凌空SOHO一半的股权以30.5亿的价格出售给携程网。\n2016年7月，SOHO中国将上海SOHO世纪广场卖给国华人寿保险，总价32.2亿元。\n2017年6月，以27.6亿的价格将上海虹口SOHO卖给新加坡吉宝置业公司，同年7月将凌空SOHO一半股权以29.5亿卖给了香港知名私募基金公司基汇资本。\n2019年9月，SOHO中国以7.61亿元的价格将多个项目的2583个地下停车位出售给了慧泊停车场投资（广州）有限公司。\n\n据统计，短短6年间，SOHO中国就通过出售资产的方式套现了超过300亿元。也是从那时开始，SOHO中国的身影鲜少出现在公开土地交易市场。\n一边大量出售资产，一边减少拿地，同时从公告的交易对价来看，比去年的40亿没有的报价低了整整10亿美元，难道潘石屹铁了心要清仓？\n心甘情愿还是被逼无奈？\n一顿操作猛如虎，疯狂卖卖卖之后，潘石屹囊中剩下位于核心城市的“九大金刚”，分别是北京的前门大街、望京SOHO、光华路SOHO Ⅱ、银河／朝阳门SOHO、丽泽SOHO，以及上海的SOHO复兴广场、外滩SOHO、SOHO天山广场、古北SOHO。\n\n如今，这些当初他口中的“非卖品”也被悉数转手了。\n而其中一个很大的原因，就是突如其来的疫情。\n受疫情影响，北京项目里除了2019年12月刚开业的丽泽SOHO，其他几个项目出租率全部下跌。上海项目里除了外滩SOHO出租率有所提升外，其他项目同样也是全部下跌。\n其中，出租率最低的是刚开业满一年的丽泽SOHO，仅为60%；跌幅最大的是银河／朝阳门SOHO，出租率从94%大幅下跌到62%。\n在租金收入方面，位列前三的三栋资产为望京SOHO、光华路SOHO和SOHO复兴广场，分别约为2.89亿元、2.21亿元和1.95亿元。\n表面上看这个“包租公”赚的钱还是挺多的，但是若细化到每平方米的价格，恐怕没有那么好看。以最赚钱的望京SOHO为例，可出租面积149172平方米，出租率83%即实际出租面积123813平方米，租金收入2.89亿元，计算得出每平方米出租价格2334元/年。\n这么看来“九大金刚”不太刚啊。\n据潘石屹此前透露，即便是在北京这样的城市，总价约78亿的自持物业回报率仅有3%。而SOHO中国年报数据显示，SOHO中国平均借贷成本约4.7%。\n这意味着，公司部分自持物业租金回报率还赶不上银行贷款利息，持有似乎意味着持续亏损。\n从SOHO中国公布的业绩来看也确实如此，其净利润已连续4年下跌。\n\n据SOHO中国发布年报显示，2020年SOHO中国实现营业收入约人民币21.92亿元，同比增长约19%。而归母净利润却同比减少59.77%，为5.35亿元，同期，实现税前利润约人民币16亿元，同比下降约17%。\n截至2020年12月31日，SOHO中国的净资产负债率约为43%，平均借贷成本约为4.7%；SOHO中国的总借贷共计约人民币184.70亿元。\n另外，SOHO中国流动资产中银行存款约6935万元，现金及现金等价物约3.97亿元，而这两项数据在2019年分别为2.61亿元、12.07亿元，出现了大幅下降。\n面对如此颓势，在房地产调控不断加压的当下，潘石屹显然也无能为力。\n黑石会带来什么\n这时候，引入有实力的第三方机构无疑是正确的，于是潘石屹瞄准了黑石集团，准确地说他们两是情投意合。\n在2020年中国投资年会上，黑石集团董事长苏世民受邀参加了会议，他表示：“未来，黑石愿意在中国投资两类房产：第一是仓储类资产，第二是城市购物中心。与此同时，中国的酒店业也会慢慢起步。”\nSOHO中国无疑符合了他的要求。而黑石集团能够带来什么呢？\n首先是资金成本，上文提到SOHO中国的融资成本为4.7%，而黑石集团的实际利息成本仅3.2%，海外宽松的融资环境使海外机构资金端压力相对较小。\n第二是商业模式，将不再依靠租金收入来维持现金流，金融投资、物业销售等亦将贡献较大的现金流入。同时国外已发展成熟了REITs等渠道，将提供独特的资本化路径。\n最后是运营能力，黑石集团在资产运营方面有着丰富的经验。2007年，黑石以260亿美元收购希尔顿，修复并改善运营后，于2014年后逐步卖出，最终获利约140亿美元，在资产价值提升方面成果卓著。\n同时黑石集团还于2018年收购了上海怡丰城及其相邻办公大楼，2019年收购了香港国际建投及上海长泰广场，未来不排除会注入SOHO中国。\n显然，SOHO中国的未来还有很大的看头，精明如潘石屹怎么会真的跑掉呢？他仍然保留了SOHO中国9%的股份。\n现在只需等待黑石集团亲自操刀“修复并改善”的过程，他便可以坐享其成。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":166040932,"gmtCreate":1623986324226,"gmtModify":1634024594661,"author":{"id":"3582692464347207","authorId":"3582692464347207","name":"丽娜shi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/170c8798c178e16105b9dd9fb7b8599b","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"老潘这一跑？失去很多人的民心？这个精明干练的人赚钱都在高处，相信再难得到民心！","listText":"老潘这一跑？失去很多人的民心？这个精明干练的人赚钱都在高处，相信再难得到民心！","text":"老潘这一跑？失去很多人的民心？这个精明干练的人赚钱都在高处，相信再难得到民心！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166040932","repostId":2144198217,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":161802759,"gmtCreate":1623915246171,"gmtModify":1623915484829,"author":{"id":"3545958648302474","authorId":"3545958648302474","name":"富甲一方金滿地","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0263bebd0769cf5a51d1d7c7f35e9e2","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"不要脸滴坏人[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"不要脸滴坏人[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"不要脸滴坏人[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161802759","repostId":2144198217,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":161806871,"gmtCreate":1623915147693,"gmtModify":1623915147693,"author":{"id":"3501113550178595","authorId":"3501113550178595","name":"Justin_L","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d4fc9cc59f9e5eff9a291919842f8f5","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b073a07f77dbe6b3bec6b12311fde6bd","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"跑了跑了","listText":"跑了跑了","text":"跑了跑了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161806871","repostId":2144198217,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":161803293,"gmtCreate":1623914978012,"gmtModify":1623914978012,"author":{"id":"3464587978783849","authorId":"3464587978783849","name":"恒跌","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1979ed439107058a8ba67c3a90477ff6","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"据说财富精英跑了，知识精英跑了，留下了贫穷和愚昧！需要一个皇上！","listText":"据说财富精英跑了，知识精英跑了，留下了贫穷和愚昧！需要一个皇上！","text":"据说财富精英跑了，知识精英跑了，留下了贫穷和愚昧！需要一个皇上！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161803293","repostId":2144198217,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":161183975,"gmtCreate":1623910772697,"gmtModify":1623910772697,"author":{"id":"3442441311972857","authorId":"3442441311972857","name":"y1244425","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28441e6f225b573cd59ee82f2d03cd3b","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"奇怪，高瓴 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