大侠投资的个人主页 - 老虎社区

大侠投资

大侠投资

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IP属地：北京

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2020-02-28

$搜狗(SOGO)$今天财报盘前还是盘后

2020-01-20

$新东方在线(01797)$ 直接跳水，见光死。

2020-01-20

$新东方在线(01797)$ 财报可以吗，还是拉升跑路？

2020-01-17

$新东方在线(01797)$ 牛，这股怎么都下不来

2020-01-09

说啥了，到点了

2019-12-24

美股崩了才信

提高警惕！古根海姆警告“明斯基时刻”恐将到来

2019-12-19

美股将新高

美国众议院正式发起对特朗普的弹劾，这意味着什么

2019-12-19

$恒生指数(HSI)$ 跳水

2019-12-19

美股能回调一下吗

投票通过！美众议院决定弹劾特朗普

2019-12-03

$趣头条(QTT)$ 超预期

2019-12-03

$趣头条(QTT)$ 几点财报

2019-11-27

$趣头条(QTT)$ 今晚打爆空头！拭目以待

2019-11-27

必须大涨来庆祝一下。

趣头条获颁《互联网新闻信息服务许可证》可从事新闻传播服务

2019-11-27

$趣头条(QTT)$ 今晚继续涨

2019-11-26

$趣头条(QTT)$ 今天继续涨

2019-11-21

$趣头条(QTT)$ 十二月三号财报

2019-11-20

$趣头条(QTT)$ 盘前没动静，说好的暴跌呢

2019-11-20

$趣头条(QTT)$ 下周一财报是真的吗

2019-11-17

$趣头条(QTT)$ 股价跌得太惨了，看来财报很差，提前泄露了。

2019-11-15

$趣头条(QTT)$ 下周一财报，这会应该是真的吧！

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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16:03","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"提高警惕！古根海姆警告“明斯基时刻”恐将到来","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1993756586","media":"环球外汇网","summary":"古根海姆合伙公司（Guggenheim Partners）首席投资官斯科特·米纳德（Scott Minerd）周一表示，随着美联储降息、美股屡创新高，当前市场环境颇有些类似于1998年金融风暴前的情况","content":"<p>古根海姆合伙公司（Guggenheim Partners）首席投资官斯科特·米纳德（Scott Minerd）周一表示，随着美联储降息、美股屡创新高，当前市场环境颇有些类似于1998年金融风暴前的情况，“明斯基时刻”恐怕就要来了。</p>\n<p>明斯基时刻指的是，在信贷周期中，当景气处于乐观阶段时，企业或投资者会更愿意加杠杆、导致投机性贷款增加，而一旦借款方开始经历升息或是经济放缓，那么即可能出现资金短缺之窘境，最终可能不足以支付债务利息。</p>\n<p>而当企业或投资人迫不得已需要出售手中资产换取现金时，若市场上诸多参与人士也同时卖出，那么在景气扩张阶段所形成的高档资产价格即可能没有人愿意接手，形成了一系列资产螺旋式下跌的流动性紧张，进而最后导致资产价格崩盘。</p>\n<p>回顾在1998年时，美联储也曾进行一系列降息，创造出由流动性驱动的金融资产涨势，那斯达克指数在一年内出现翻倍成长，这也为随后的2000年互联网泡沫破裂埋下伏笔。</p>\n<p>而目前，美联储在年内已三度降息，与1995-1996年和1998年降息时期类似，市场也具有了明斯基时刻的特点。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d639ca6dfa3a5f22fdaf9f992e8a753a\"><span>（美股处于极度贪婪区域）</span></p>\n<p>Minerd引述著名经济学家John Maynard Keynes的言论称：“市场保持非理性的时间，可能比你保持偿债能力的时间还要长。”</p>\n<p>Minerd解释道：“尽管美联储试图延长经济扩张，但现实是，这往往也是风险资产愚蠢季的序幕。汲取过去经验的教训，我们将继续采取防御性配置，以便在资产价格不可避免地重新调整时能够保留资本，并做好充分利用机会的准备。”</p>\n<p>值得一提的是，目前美元高收益债与同期美债利差出现收窄，亦是市场即将崩溃的一个明显迹象。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c408ccc5b2177227bab4e706d107fdcb\">Minerd提到，投资者在当前市场上承担的巨大风险却没得到充分的风险贴水补偿，在固定收益信贷市场的各个领域，风险正广泛聚集，尤其是在企业信贷领域，风险报酬比似乎很没有吸引力。</p>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>提高警惕！古根海姆警告“明斯基时刻”恐将到来</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n提高警惕！古根海姆警告“明斯基时刻”恐将到来\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2019-12-24 16:03 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2019-12-24/doc-iihnzahi9661479.shtml><strong>环球外汇网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>古根海姆合伙公司（Guggenheim Partners）首席投资官斯科特·米纳德（Scott Minerd）周一表示，随着美联储降息、美股屡创新高，当前市场环境颇有些类似于1998年金融风暴前的情况，“明斯基时刻”恐怕就要来了。\n明斯基时刻指的是，在信贷周期中，当景气处于乐观阶段时，企业或投资者会更愿意加杠杆、导致投机性贷款增加，而一旦借款方开始经历升息或是经济放缓，那么即可能出现资金短缺之窘境...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2019-12-24/doc-iihnzahi9661479.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c3dba7c4b0e443e40fe6df5639434d","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2019-12-24/doc-iihnzahi9661479.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"1993756586","content_text":"古根海姆合伙公司（Guggenheim Partners）首席投资官斯科特·米纳德（Scott Minerd）周一表示，随着美联储降息、美股屡创新高，当前市场环境颇有些类似于1998年金融风暴前的情况，“明斯基时刻”恐怕就要来了。\n明斯基时刻指的是，在信贷周期中，当景气处于乐观阶段时，企业或投资者会更愿意加杠杆、导致投机性贷款增加，而一旦借款方开始经历升息或是经济放缓，那么即可能出现资金短缺之窘境，最终可能不足以支付债务利息。\n而当企业或投资人迫不得已需要出售手中资产换取现金时，若市场上诸多参与人士也同时卖出，那么在景气扩张阶段所形成的高档资产价格即可能没有人愿意接手，形成了一系列资产螺旋式下跌的流动性紧张，进而最后导致资产价格崩盘。\n回顾在1998年时，美联储也曾进行一系列降息，创造出由流动性驱动的金融资产涨势，那斯达克指数在一年内出现翻倍成长，这也为随后的2000年互联网泡沫破裂埋下伏笔。\n而目前，美联储在年内已三度降息，与1995-1996年和1998年降息时期类似，市场也具有了明斯基时刻的特点。（美股处于极度贪婪区域）\nMinerd引述著名经济学家John Maynard Keynes的言论称：“市场保持非理性的时间，可能比你保持偿债能力的时间还要长。”\nMinerd解释道：“尽管美联储试图延长经济扩张，但现实是，这往往也是风险资产愚蠢季的序幕。汲取过去经验的教训，我们将继续采取防御性配置，以便在资产价格不可避免地重新调整时能够保留资本，并做好充分利用机会的准备。”\n值得一提的是，目前美元高收益债与同期美债利差出现收窄，亦是市场即将崩溃的一个明显迹象。Minerd提到，投资者在当前市场上承担的巨大风险却没得到充分的风险贴水补偿，在固定收益信贷市场的各个领域，风险正广泛聚集，尤其是在企业信贷领域，风险报酬比似乎很没有吸引力。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1415,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":919214888,"gmtCreate":1576728784944,"gmtModify":1704272336115,"author":{"id":"49588058040162","authorId":"49588058040162","name":"大侠投资","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a672fd2501fdb5019e0debb09f2c975","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"49588058040162","authorIdStr":"49588058040162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"美股将新高","listText":"美股将新高","text":"美股将新高","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/919214888","repostId":"1166409600","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166409600","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"市场策略研究、热点问题观察、分享最新观点：美国与海外市场、H股、及中概股市场","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Kevin策略研究","id":"1090746012","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54c3f16355434883aa8d30b4dc5a7d90"},"pubTimestamp":1576720821,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166409600?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2019-12-19 10:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国众议院正式发起对特朗普的弹劾，这意味着什么","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166409600","media":"Kevin策略研究","summary":"作者：Kevin大家好，北京时间今天早上9点半左右，在长达6个小时的辩论之后，美国众议院全体投票，通过了对特朗普总统发起弹劾。这是继7月25日特朗普总统与乌克兰总统通电话、9月24日众议院议长Pelo","content":"<p>作者：<span>Kevin</span></p><p><span>大家好，北京时间今天早上9点半左右，在长达6个小时的辩论之后，美国众议院全体投票，通过了对特朗普总统发起弹劾。这是继7月25日特朗普总统与乌克兰总统通电话、9月24日众议院议长Pelosi决定启动弹劾调查程序（ImpeachmentInquiry）后的最新进展。针对这一事件的一些基本事实、后续可能进展，我们简单评论如下，供大家参考。</span></p><p><span>https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/18/trump-impeached-by-house-for-high-crimes-and-misdemeanors.html</span></p><p><b>相关阅读：</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1992969217\" target=\"_blank\">特朗普回应遭弹劾：民主党走上“自杀之路”</a></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1168842595\" target=\"_blank\">环球时报：特朗普被弹劾背后暗藏惊人的美国国情</a></p><p><b><span>首先，众议院全体投票超过半数通过这一决议，意味着特朗普总统正式被弹劾</span></b><span>，这使其成为历史上第三位被正式弹劾的总统，前两位分别是安德鲁·约翰逊（1868年，民主党）与克林顿（1998~1999年，民主党），而尼克松（1974年，共和党）则是在正式发起弹劾前选择辞职。弹劾的理由有两款，分别是滥用职权和妨碍国会调查（abuse of power by soliciting theinterference of Ukraine in the 2020 U.S. presidential election, and obstructionof Congress by directing defiance of certain subpoenas issued by the House ofRepresentatives），目前通过第一项决议。</span></p><p><span>https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-congress/house-resolution/755?q=%7B&quot;search&quot;%3A%5B&quot;impeach&quot;%5D%7D&amp;s=4&amp;r=3</span></p><p><b><span>其次，流程上，接下来将进入参议院的审理程序（预计明年年初）。</span></b><span>具体来讲，整个弹劾流程基本上分五步走，分别为：第一步，众议院议员发起弹劾议案；第二步，众议院议长Pelosi将有权决定是否推进到下一步，即指示所属委员会启动正式的弹劾调查程序；第三步，众议院委员会（通常为司法委员会）将决定是否有充足的证据发起弹劾，并需投票通过（超过半数即可）；第四步，一旦通过委员会投票，接下来将进入众议院全体投票，而众议院投票如果通过（超过半数即可），则表明国会正式弹劾总统；第五步，将在参议院举行所谓的审讯，并最终由参议院全体投票决定是否弹劾成功（需要三分之二的绝对多数才可以）。</span><span><b>目前已经走完了第四步。</b></span></p><p><span>从法定职责权限上，</span><span><b>众议院具有发起弹劾的主要权力、参议院具有审判和最终决定权</b></span><span>。整个过程中，如果类比一下的话，众议院为检察官（负责调查并发起诉讼）、参议院扮演角色的是陪审团（负责最终裁决）、总统的律师作为辩护律师、而最高法院首席大法官为法官。</span></p><p><b><span>再次，最终通过的难度和门槛依然很高。</span></b><span>虽然今天这一结果在民主党主导的众议院获得通过并不令人意外（233/总435席位，共和党197个席位），仅需50%多数即可，但是要想在共和党控制的参议院获得三分之二以上的绝对多数（53/100席位，民主党占45个席位）难度则要大的多，在目前的情况下意味着需要两党合作。</span></p><p><b><span>从历史经验来看，目前还没有在任总统是因为弹劾本身成功而下台的</span></b><span>。在任总统被弹劾并不常见。历史上，共有三位总统经历或者接近弹劾程序，但并没有一位是真正因弹劾程序下台的。第17任总统安德鲁·约翰逊和克林顿总统都被国会正式弹劾，但在最终的参议院投票中均没有获得通过（其中约翰逊总统仅以1票之差留任）。尼克松总统则是在几乎要确定被众议院决定弹劾之前、且也应失掉党内支持的情况下而选择主动辞职。</span></p><p><span>实际上，从多个渠道的民调数据来看，特朗普的支持率近期反而明显抬升，为2017年3月以来的新高。这一支持率水平与奥巴马和里根在同一时期的支持率基本接近。</span><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/195785c808ec7add3e11c5e2f849a15e\" /></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b5b58482adeab53364846d00d5ed179\" /></p><p><b><span>第四，但这并没意味着没有影响；需要关注2020年大选年的政策变数和不确定性。</span></b><span>由于2020年是美国总统大选年，因此本身伴随的变数和不确定性就会比较多，叠加弹劾问题的扰动，即便最终成功可能性以目前的情形来看很小，但期间不排除会间歇性通过投资者情绪对市场带来扰动。</span></p><p><b><span>从大选流程看，明年年初一段时间，弹劾程序和大选选情也可能会交织在一起。</span></b><span>美国总统大选将于2020年11月3日举行。民主党和共和党将分别于2020年7月中和8月底举行全国代表大会以确定最终的提名候选人，即所谓的“党内初选”（primaries）。确定最终候选人后，即进入两党候选人最终角逐的冲刺期。民主党的党内初选将从2020年2月一直持续到6月。其中，最近的关键时间点将出现在3月3日所谓“超级星期二”，因为这一天将选出16州共计1358位参加全国代表大会的代表。加上此前已经选出的部分州的代表，意味着38%的初选选票全部出炉，这也将成为观察不同候选人选情和领先优势的一个重要时间节点。</span></p><p><span>而这对市场的影响渠道主要是通过不同候选人的政策主张投射到投资者情绪上。由于民主党内目前民调领先的候选人，如Biden，Warren和Sanders的政策主张今年更多偏向改变特朗普的减税政策改为加税、并重点向富人征税、甚至主张拆解大公司、加强严查大企业并购和金融监管等，而这些如果兑现，可能对于金融市场而言并非好事。因此如果短期预期的强化，将不排除使得市场面临压力。</span></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d74c28fa92f9727885421a0da544d8c\" /></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15351d0702454816bda4cf99a5b2297e\" /></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d829886dfbd7a14fc9356442156193\" /></p><p><span>资料来源：CNBC、WSJ，Fivethirtyeight，RealClearPolitics</span></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国众议院正式发起对特朗普的弹劾，这意味着什么</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国众议院正式发起对特朗普的弹劾，这意味着什么\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1090746012\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/54c3f16355434883aa8d30b4dc5a7d90);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Kevin策略研究 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2019-12-19 10:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>作者：<span>Kevin</span></p><p><span>大家好，北京时间今天早上9点半左右，在长达6个小时的辩论之后，美国众议院全体投票，通过了对特朗普总统发起弹劾。这是继7月25日特朗普总统与乌克兰总统通电话、9月24日众议院议长Pelosi决定启动弹劾调查程序（ImpeachmentInquiry）后的最新进展。针对这一事件的一些基本事实、后续可能进展，我们简单评论如下，供大家参考。</span></p><p><span>https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/18/trump-impeached-by-house-for-high-crimes-and-misdemeanors.html</span></p><p><b>相关阅读：</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1992969217\" target=\"_blank\">特朗普回应遭弹劾：民主党走上“自杀之路”</a></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1168842595\" target=\"_blank\">环球时报：特朗普被弹劾背后暗藏惊人的美国国情</a></p><p><b><span>首先，众议院全体投票超过半数通过这一决议，意味着特朗普总统正式被弹劾</span></b><span>，这使其成为历史上第三位被正式弹劾的总统，前两位分别是安德鲁·约翰逊（1868年，民主党）与克林顿（1998~1999年，民主党），而尼克松（1974年，共和党）则是在正式发起弹劾前选择辞职。弹劾的理由有两款，分别是滥用职权和妨碍国会调查（abuse of power by soliciting theinterference of Ukraine in the 2020 U.S. presidential election, and obstructionof Congress by directing defiance of certain subpoenas issued by the House ofRepresentatives），目前通过第一项决议。</span></p><p><span>https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-congress/house-resolution/755?q=%7B&quot;search&quot;%3A%5B&quot;impeach&quot;%5D%7D&amp;s=4&amp;r=3</span></p><p><b><span>其次，流程上，接下来将进入参议院的审理程序（预计明年年初）。</span></b><span>具体来讲，整个弹劾流程基本上分五步走，分别为：第一步，众议院议员发起弹劾议案；第二步，众议院议长Pelosi将有权决定是否推进到下一步，即指示所属委员会启动正式的弹劾调查程序；第三步，众议院委员会（通常为司法委员会）将决定是否有充足的证据发起弹劾，并需投票通过（超过半数即可）；第四步，一旦通过委员会投票，接下来将进入众议院全体投票，而众议院投票如果通过（超过半数即可），则表明国会正式弹劾总统；第五步，将在参议院举行所谓的审讯，并最终由参议院全体投票决定是否弹劾成功（需要三分之二的绝对多数才可以）。</span><span><b>目前已经走完了第四步。</b></span></p><p><span>从法定职责权限上，</span><span><b>众议院具有发起弹劾的主要权力、参议院具有审判和最终决定权</b></span><span>。整个过程中，如果类比一下的话，众议院为检察官（负责调查并发起诉讼）、参议院扮演角色的是陪审团（负责最终裁决）、总统的律师作为辩护律师、而最高法院首席大法官为法官。</span></p><p><b><span>再次，最终通过的难度和门槛依然很高。</span></b><span>虽然今天这一结果在民主党主导的众议院获得通过并不令人意外（233/总435席位，共和党197个席位），仅需50%多数即可，但是要想在共和党控制的参议院获得三分之二以上的绝对多数（53/100席位，民主党占45个席位）难度则要大的多，在目前的情况下意味着需要两党合作。</span></p><p><b><span>从历史经验来看，目前还没有在任总统是因为弹劾本身成功而下台的</span></b><span>。在任总统被弹劾并不常见。历史上，共有三位总统经历或者接近弹劾程序，但并没有一位是真正因弹劾程序下台的。第17任总统安德鲁·约翰逊和克林顿总统都被国会正式弹劾，但在最终的参议院投票中均没有获得通过（其中约翰逊总统仅以1票之差留任）。尼克松总统则是在几乎要确定被众议院决定弹劾之前、且也应失掉党内支持的情况下而选择主动辞职。</span></p><p><span>实际上，从多个渠道的民调数据来看，特朗普的支持率近期反而明显抬升，为2017年3月以来的新高。这一支持率水平与奥巴马和里根在同一时期的支持率基本接近。</span><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/195785c808ec7add3e11c5e2f849a15e\" /></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b5b58482adeab53364846d00d5ed179\" /></p><p><b><span>第四，但这并没意味着没有影响；需要关注2020年大选年的政策变数和不确定性。</span></b><span>由于2020年是美国总统大选年，因此本身伴随的变数和不确定性就会比较多，叠加弹劾问题的扰动，即便最终成功可能性以目前的情形来看很小，但期间不排除会间歇性通过投资者情绪对市场带来扰动。</span></p><p><b><span>从大选流程看，明年年初一段时间，弹劾程序和大选选情也可能会交织在一起。</span></b><span>美国总统大选将于2020年11月3日举行。民主党和共和党将分别于2020年7月中和8月底举行全国代表大会以确定最终的提名候选人，即所谓的“党内初选”（primaries）。确定最终候选人后，即进入两党候选人最终角逐的冲刺期。民主党的党内初选将从2020年2月一直持续到6月。其中，最近的关键时间点将出现在3月3日所谓“超级星期二”，因为这一天将选出16州共计1358位参加全国代表大会的代表。加上此前已经选出的部分州的代表，意味着38%的初选选票全部出炉，这也将成为观察不同候选人选情和领先优势的一个重要时间节点。</span></p><p><span>而这对市场的影响渠道主要是通过不同候选人的政策主张投射到投资者情绪上。由于民主党内目前民调领先的候选人，如Biden，Warren和Sanders的政策主张今年更多偏向改变特朗普的减税政策改为加税、并重点向富人征税、甚至主张拆解大公司、加强严查大企业并购和金融监管等，而这些如果兑现，可能对于金融市场而言并非好事。因此如果短期预期的强化，将不排除使得市场面临压力。</span></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d74c28fa92f9727885421a0da544d8c\" /></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15351d0702454816bda4cf99a5b2297e\" /></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d829886dfbd7a14fc9356442156193\" /></p><p><span>资料来源：CNBC、WSJ，Fivethirtyeight，RealClearPolitics</span></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5e516bbc79baa5af2ebf7567eab03cb","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166409600","content_text":"作者：Kevin大家好，北京时间今天早上9点半左右，在长达6个小时的辩论之后，美国众议院全体投票，通过了对特朗普总统发起弹劾。这是继7月25日特朗普总统与乌克兰总统通电话、9月24日众议院议长Pelosi决定启动弹劾调查程序（ImpeachmentInquiry）后的最新进展。针对这一事件的一些基本事实、后续可能进展，我们简单评论如下，供大家参考。https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/18/trump-impeached-by-house-for-high-crimes-and-misdemeanors.html相关阅读：特朗普回应遭弹劾：民主党走上“自杀之路”环球时报：特朗普被弹劾背后暗藏惊人的美国国情首先，众议院全体投票超过半数通过这一决议，意味着特朗普总统正式被弹劾，这使其成为历史上第三位被正式弹劾的总统，前两位分别是安德鲁·约翰逊（1868年，民主党）与克林顿（1998~1999年，民主党），而尼克松（1974年，共和党）则是在正式发起弹劾前选择辞职。弹劾的理由有两款，分别是滥用职权和妨碍国会调查（abuse of power by soliciting theinterference of Ukraine in the 2020 U.S. presidential election, and obstructionof Congress by directing defiance of certain subpoenas issued by the House ofRepresentatives），目前通过第一项决议。https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-congress/house-resolution/755?q=%7B\"search\"%3A%5B\"impeach\"%5D%7D&s=4&r=3其次，流程上，接下来将进入参议院的审理程序（预计明年年初）。具体来讲，整个弹劾流程基本上分五步走，分别为：第一步，众议院议员发起弹劾议案；第二步，众议院议长Pelosi将有权决定是否推进到下一步，即指示所属委员会启动正式的弹劾调查程序；第三步，众议院委员会（通常为司法委员会）将决定是否有充足的证据发起弹劾，并需投票通过（超过半数即可）；第四步，一旦通过委员会投票，接下来将进入众议院全体投票，而众议院投票如果通过（超过半数即可），则表明国会正式弹劾总统；第五步，将在参议院举行所谓的审讯，并最终由参议院全体投票决定是否弹劾成功（需要三分之二的绝对多数才可以）。目前已经走完了第四步。从法定职责权限上，众议院具有发起弹劾的主要权力、参议院具有审判和最终决定权。整个过程中，如果类比一下的话，众议院为检察官（负责调查并发起诉讼）、参议院扮演角色的是陪审团（负责最终裁决）、总统的律师作为辩护律师、而最高法院首席大法官为法官。再次，最终通过的难度和门槛依然很高。虽然今天这一结果在民主党主导的众议院获得通过并不令人意外（233/总435席位，共和党197个席位），仅需50%多数即可，但是要想在共和党控制的参议院获得三分之二以上的绝对多数（53/100席位，民主党占45个席位）难度则要大的多，在目前的情况下意味着需要两党合作。从历史经验来看，目前还没有在任总统是因为弹劾本身成功而下台的。在任总统被弹劾并不常见。历史上，共有三位总统经历或者接近弹劾程序，但并没有一位是真正因弹劾程序下台的。第17任总统安德鲁·约翰逊和克林顿总统都被国会正式弹劾，但在最终的参议院投票中均没有获得通过（其中约翰逊总统仅以1票之差留任）。尼克松总统则是在几乎要确定被众议院决定弹劾之前、且也应失掉党内支持的情况下而选择主动辞职。实际上，从多个渠道的民调数据来看，特朗普的支持率近期反而明显抬升，为2017年3月以来的新高。这一支持率水平与奥巴马和里根在同一时期的支持率基本接近。第四，但这并没意味着没有影响；需要关注2020年大选年的政策变数和不确定性。由于2020年是美国总统大选年，因此本身伴随的变数和不确定性就会比较多，叠加弹劾问题的扰动，即便最终成功可能性以目前的情形来看很小，但期间不排除会间歇性通过投资者情绪对市场带来扰动。从大选流程看，明年年初一段时间，弹劾程序和大选选情也可能会交织在一起。美国总统大选将于2020年11月3日举行。民主党和共和党将分别于2020年7月中和8月底举行全国代表大会以确定最终的提名候选人，即所谓的“党内初选”（primaries）。确定最终候选人后，即进入两党候选人最终角逐的冲刺期。民主党的党内初选将从2020年2月一直持续到6月。其中，最近的关键时间点将出现在3月3日所谓“超级星期二”，因为这一天将选出16州共计1358位参加全国代表大会的代表。加上此前已经选出的部分州的代表，意味着38%的初选选票全部出炉，这也将成为观察不同候选人选情和领先优势的一个重要时间节点。而这对市场的影响渠道主要是通过不同候选人的政策主张投射到投资者情绪上。由于民主党内目前民调领先的候选人，如Biden，Warren和Sanders的政策主张今年更多偏向改变特朗普的减税政策改为加税、并重点向富人征税、甚至主张拆解大公司、加强严查大企业并购和金融监管等，而这些如果兑现，可能对于金融市场而言并非好事。因此如果短期预期的强化，将不排除使得市场面临压力。资料来源：CNBC、WSJ，Fivethirtyeight，RealClearPolitics","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1803,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":919292739,"gmtCreate":1576719533821,"gmtModify":1704272308995,"author":{"id":"49588058040162","authorId":"49588058040162","name":"大侠投资","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a672fd2501fdb5019e0debb09f2c975","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"49588058040162","authorIdStr":"49588058040162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a>&nbsp;跳水","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a>&nbsp;跳水","text":"$恒生指数(HSI)$ 跳水","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/919292739","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1821,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":919292242,"gmtCreate":1576719472986,"gmtModify":1704272308306,"author":{"id":"49588058040162","authorId":"49588058040162","name":"大侠投资","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a672fd2501fdb5019e0debb09f2c975","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"49588058040162","authorIdStr":"49588058040162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"美股能回调一下吗","listText":"美股能回调一下吗","text":"美股能回调一下吗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/919292242","repostId":"1992212699","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1992212699","kind":"live","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1576718807,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1992212699?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2019-12-19 09:26","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"投票通过！美众议院决定弹劾特朗普","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1992212699","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"直播链接美国国会众议院18日表决通过第一项针对总统特朗普的弹劾条款，正式指控他滥用职权。特朗普成为美国历史上第三位遭众议院弹劾的总统。弹劾将交至由共和党居多数的参议院审理，决定特朗普是否下台。参议院预","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22:%2215767217631927%22%7D\" target=\"_blank\"><b>直播链接</b></a></p><p>美国国会众议院18日表决通过第一项针对总统特朗普的弹劾条款，正式指控他滥用职权。特朗普成为美国历史上第三位遭众议院弹劾的总统。弹劾将交至由共和党居多数的参议院审理，决定特朗普是否下台。<span>参议院预计将于明年1月开始相关审理程序，至少有三分之二投票支持弹劾，特朗普才会被真正罢免。</span></p><p><b>延伸阅读：</b></p><p><b>美众议院决定弹劾特朗普 其成美第3位被弹劾的总统</b></p><p>据美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）报道，当地时间18日，美国迎来了历史性的一天，国会众议院两党议员经过数小时激烈辩论，刚刚投票通过了弹劾总统特朗普滥权的议案，特朗普从而成为美国历史上第三位被弹劾的总统！弹劾将交至由共和党居多数的参议院审理，决定特朗普是否下台。</p><p>众议院投票前，特朗普称，我们没有做错任何事情，确实没有感觉到我们在被弹劾。</p><p>民主党籍众议院议长佩洛西宣布两党议员展开对特朗普弹劾条款的辩论前说：“如果我们现在不采取行动，就是玩忽职守。不幸的是，总统行事不顾后果，导致必须推动弹劾他。他让我们别无选择。”她又说：“我们今天讨论的是总统违宪的既定事实。事实上，总统对我们的国家安全和选举的公正性构成持续威胁。”</p><p>辩论结束时，众议院少数党领袖麦卡锡表示，这次对特朗普进行的弹劾，是美国历史上最没有公信力的一次。</p><p>针对众议院即将展开的弹劾投票，特朗普18日一早就发推文称：“你们相信吗？我今天将遭到激进左派、无所作为的民主党弹劾，而且我没有犯任何错。这种情况永远不要发生在另一位总统身上，为我祈祷吧。 ”</p><p>随着众议员弹劾辩论持续进行，特朗普所感受到的急迫性也逐渐呈现在他的推特中，以英文大写字母呈现，甚至在句尾加了许多惊叹号。他说：“激进左派、一事无成民主党的恶劣谎言，这是对美国的攻击，也是对共和党的攻击！！！！”</p><p>白宫顾问康威当天下午在白宫有关弹劾的通报会上讲了40多分钟，她告诉记者，特朗普总统正在关注弹劾条款的辩论，但他也“有很多其他安排”。康威说，特朗普总统不认为弹劾是他政治遗产的“污点”。她还说：“我们对弹劾不满意。我们认为这很荒谬，但弹劾是预先安排好的，并且是先射箭再画靶”。</p><p>白宫发言人格里沙姆则表示，特朗普今天整天都将忙于工作。她甚至暗示，以爱看电视闻名的特朗普不会看众院辩论的实况转播，因为他整天都将接受幕僚简报，只会在会议间空档大致了解辩论进行状况。（中国日报网）</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>投票通过！美众议院决定弹劾特朗普</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n投票通过！美众议院决定弹劾特朗普\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2019-12-19 09:26</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22:%2215767217631927%22%7D\" target=\"_blank\"><b>直播链接</b></a></p><p>美国国会众议院18日表决通过第一项针对总统特朗普的弹劾条款，正式指控他滥用职权。特朗普成为美国历史上第三位遭众议院弹劾的总统。弹劾将交至由共和党居多数的参议院审理，决定特朗普是否下台。<span>参议院预计将于明年1月开始相关审理程序，至少有三分之二投票支持弹劾，特朗普才会被真正罢免。</span></p><p><b>延伸阅读：</b></p><p><b>美众议院决定弹劾特朗普 其成美第3位被弹劾的总统</b></p><p>据美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）报道，当地时间18日，美国迎来了历史性的一天，国会众议院两党议员经过数小时激烈辩论，刚刚投票通过了弹劾总统特朗普滥权的议案，特朗普从而成为美国历史上第三位被弹劾的总统！弹劾将交至由共和党居多数的参议院审理，决定特朗普是否下台。</p><p>众议院投票前，特朗普称，我们没有做错任何事情，确实没有感觉到我们在被弹劾。</p><p>民主党籍众议院议长佩洛西宣布两党议员展开对特朗普弹劾条款的辩论前说：“如果我们现在不采取行动，就是玩忽职守。不幸的是，总统行事不顾后果，导致必须推动弹劾他。他让我们别无选择。”她又说：“我们今天讨论的是总统违宪的既定事实。事实上，总统对我们的国家安全和选举的公正性构成持续威胁。”</p><p>辩论结束时，众议院少数党领袖麦卡锡表示，这次对特朗普进行的弹劾，是美国历史上最没有公信力的一次。</p><p>针对众议院即将展开的弹劾投票，特朗普18日一早就发推文称：“你们相信吗？我今天将遭到激进左派、无所作为的民主党弹劾，而且我没有犯任何错。这种情况永远不要发生在另一位总统身上，为我祈祷吧。 ”</p><p>随着众议员弹劾辩论持续进行，特朗普所感受到的急迫性也逐渐呈现在他的推特中，以英文大写字母呈现，甚至在句尾加了许多惊叹号。他说：“激进左派、一事无成民主党的恶劣谎言，这是对美国的攻击，也是对共和党的攻击！！！！”</p><p>白宫顾问康威当天下午在白宫有关弹劾的通报会上讲了40多分钟，她告诉记者，特朗普总统正在关注弹劾条款的辩论，但他也“有很多其他安排”。康威说，特朗普总统不认为弹劾是他政治遗产的“污点”。她还说：“我们对弹劾不满意。我们认为这很荒谬，但弹劾是预先安排好的，并且是先射箭再画靶”。</p><p>白宫发言人格里沙姆则表示，特朗普今天整天都将忙于工作。她甚至暗示，以爱看电视闻名的特朗普不会看众院辩论的实况转播，因为他整天都将接受幕僚简报，只会在会议间空档大致了解辩论进行状况。（中国日报网）</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/208ddb2814b787ae78210975aee79676","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1992212699","content_text":"直播链接美国国会众议院18日表决通过第一项针对总统特朗普的弹劾条款，正式指控他滥用职权。特朗普成为美国历史上第三位遭众议院弹劾的总统。弹劾将交至由共和党居多数的参议院审理，决定特朗普是否下台。参议院预计将于明年1月开始相关审理程序，至少有三分之二投票支持弹劾，特朗普才会被真正罢免。延伸阅读：美众议院决定弹劾特朗普 其成美第3位被弹劾的总统据美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）报道，当地时间18日，美国迎来了历史性的一天，国会众议院两党议员经过数小时激烈辩论，刚刚投票通过了弹劾总统特朗普滥权的议案，特朗普从而成为美国历史上第三位被弹劾的总统！弹劾将交至由共和党居多数的参议院审理，决定特朗普是否下台。众议院投票前，特朗普称，我们没有做错任何事情，确实没有感觉到我们在被弹劾。民主党籍众议院议长佩洛西宣布两党议员展开对特朗普弹劾条款的辩论前说：“如果我们现在不采取行动，就是玩忽职守。不幸的是，总统行事不顾后果，导致必须推动弹劾他。他让我们别无选择。”她又说：“我们今天讨论的是总统违宪的既定事实。事实上，总统对我们的国家安全和选举的公正性构成持续威胁。”辩论结束时，众议院少数党领袖麦卡锡表示，这次对特朗普进行的弹劾，是美国历史上最没有公信力的一次。针对众议院即将展开的弹劾投票，特朗普18日一早就发推文称：“你们相信吗？我今天将遭到激进左派、无所作为的民主党弹劾，而且我没有犯任何错。这种情况永远不要发生在另一位总统身上，为我祈祷吧。 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今晚打爆空头！拭目以待","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/937807005","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1773,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":937803196,"gmtCreate":1574851596215,"gmtModify":1704728661257,"author":{"id":"49588058040162","authorId":"49588058040162","name":"大侠投资","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a672fd2501fdb5019e0debb09f2c975","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"49588058040162","authorIdStr":"49588058040162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"必须大涨来庆祝一下。","listText":"必须大涨来庆祝一下。","text":"必须大涨来庆祝一下。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/937803196","repostId":"1986959262","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1986959262","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1574840760,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1986959262?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2019-11-27 15:46","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"趣头条获颁《互联网新闻信息服务许可证》 可从事新闻传播服务","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1986959262","media":"站长之家","summary":"据上海市人民政府新闻办公室官网消息，近日，趣头条运营主体上海基分文化传播有限公司获得由国家互联网信息办公室颁发的《互联网新闻信息服务许可证》，准许其从事互联网新闻信息转载、传播平台服务。这标志着趣头条...","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p>\r\n                原标题：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTT\">趣头条</a>获颁《互联网新闻<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/III\">信息服务</a>许可证》 可从事新闻传播服务\r\n            </p>\n<p><img border=\"0\" height=\"276\" src=\"https://webquoteklinepic.eastmoney.com/GetPic.aspx?nid=105.QTT&amp;imageType=k&amp;token=28dfeb41d35cc81d84b4664d7c23c49f&amp;at=1\" width=\"578\"/></p><p>　　据上海市人民政府新闻办公室官网消息，近日，<span>趣头条</span><span></span>运营主体上海基分<span href=\"http://baike.eastmoney.com/item/文化\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">文化</span>传播有限<span href=\"http://baike.eastmoney.com/item/公司\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">公司</span>获得由国家<span href=\"http://baike.eastmoney.com/item/互联网\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">互联网</span>信息办公室颁发的《互联网新闻<span>信息服务</span><span></span>许可证》，准许其从事互联网新闻信息转载、传播平台<span href=\"http://baike.eastmoney.com/item/服务\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">服务</span>。这标志着<span href=\"http://quote.eastmoney.com/us/QTT.html?Market=NASDAQ\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">趣头条</span>平台上的内容被相关部门认可。</p>\n<p>　　公开资料显示，<span href=\"http://quote.eastmoney.com/us/QTT.html?Market=NASDAQ\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">趣头条</span>上线于 2016 年 6 月，是上海基分文化传播<span href=\"http://baike.eastmoney.com/item/有限公司\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">有限公司</span>开发的APP。 2018 年 9 月 14 日，趣头条正式在美国上市。</p><div></div>\n<p>　　目前趣头条平台合作媒体超过 1500 家，数量几乎是去年的 3 倍，自媒体入驻量超过 100 万，<span href=\"http://baike.eastmoney.com/item/同比\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">同比</span>增长70%。</p>\n<p>\r\n                (责任编辑：DF529)\r\n            </p>\n</div></body></html>","source":"stock_eastmoney","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>趣头条获颁《互联网新闻信息服务许可证》 可从事新闻传播服务</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ 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href=http://finance.eastmoney.com/a/201911271305219065.html><strong>站长之家</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>原标题：趣头条获颁《互联网新闻信息服务许可证》 可从事新闻传播服务\r\n            \n　　据上海市人民政府新闻办公室官网消息，近日，趣头条运营主体上海基分文化传播有限公司获得由国家互联网信息办公室颁发的《互联网新闻信息服务许可证》，准许其从事互联网新闻信息转载、传播平台服务。这标志着趣头条平台上的内容被相关部门认可。\n　　公开资料显示，趣头条上线于 2016 年 6 月，是上海基分文化...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://finance.eastmoney.com/a/201911271305219065.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad16900daee25e6a7ec851f26bf18a54","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"http://finance.eastmoney.com/a/201911271305219065.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1986959262","content_text":"原标题：趣头条获颁《互联网新闻信息服务许可证》 可从事新闻传播服务\r\n            \n　　据上海市人民政府新闻办公室官网消息，近日，趣头条运营主体上海基分文化传播有限公司获得由国家互联网信息办公室颁发的《互联网新闻信息服务许可证》，准许其从事互联网新闻信息转载、传播平台服务。这标志着趣头条平台上的内容被相关部门认可。\n　　公开资料显示，趣头条上线于 2016 年 6 月，是上海基分文化传播有限公司开发的APP。 2018 年 9 月 14 日，趣头条正式在美国上市。\n　　目前趣头条平台合作媒体超过 1500 家，数量几乎是去年的 3 倍，自媒体入驻量超过 100 万，同比增长70%。\n\r\n                (责任编辑：DF529)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":952,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":937163332,"gmtCreate":1574821753626,"gmtModify":1704728591573,"author":{"id":"49588058040162","authorId":"49588058040162","name":"大侠投资","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a672fd2501fdb5019e0debb09f2c975","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"49588058040162","authorIdStr":"49588058040162"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTT\">$趣头条(QTT)$</a>&nbsp;今晚继续涨","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTT\">$趣头条(QTT)$</a>&nbsp;今晚继续涨","text":"$趣头条(QTT)$ 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