白巾牛刀的个人主页 - 老虎社区

白巾牛刀

白巾牛刀

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IP属地：广东

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11-30

明年吧，今年超越不了了

11-29

TSLA 就是电车里的苹果，其他电车加一块都打不过它。不出十年，电车界一定重新洗牌，只会留下阿特，迪子和米子，拭目以待[吃瓜] [吃瓜] [吃瓜]

11-29

Tiger 做碗，端上 COIN 这碗肉，盛上TSLA 这碗汤[开心]吃肉又喝汤[开心]

11-28

今晚肯定不会上 340[开心]

11-28

看好达子，年内必上 160

11-19

为什么？

Why Nvidia Earnings May Trigger Massive S&P 500 Volatility

11-13

马斯克，拉马斯瓦米，懂王这么喜欢马。感觉杰克马也得有一席之地啊[龇牙]

11-13

如果全世界最有钱的人和全世界最有权的人都愿意疯狂一把，那我为什么不能疯狂一把？坚定看多特斯拉和 coin ！

11-09

$TSLA 20241122 300.0 CALL$ 世界上最伟大的企业[财迷]

10-27

大概率是特了，可以提前埋伏一波了[开心]

10-11

骂归骂，国内马上就有一大批电车厂商开始研究怎么去掉方向盘和踏板了

10-04

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 未来估计要横盘很长一段时间了，CHATGPT 震惊全球到现在也快两年的时间了，两年里，AI 的应用场景并没有想象中的那么美好，这也可能是 openAI 内部散装的原因之一，实在不知道有什么能支撑达子再起飞一次，除非有高人能点亮一次 AI 周边科技树。

09-28

三十多岁的人了，说变脸就变脸，太不成熟了！

09-27

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 特斯拉的无人驾驶我不知道，但是百度的无人驾驶未来一定是充会员加速！！！

08-29

$AAPL 20240906 230.0 CALL$

08-19

竞猜赢虎币，寻找实盘收益王

查看详情：竞猜赢虎币，寻找实盘收益王快来参与实盘竞猜活动，寻找你心中的收益王者，竞猜最高可获得USD 500代金券奖励。此帖仅开放于中国大陆用户

竞猜赢虎币，寻找实盘收益王

08-19

$TSLA 20240913 250.0 CALL$

08-16

$TSLA 20240830 215.0 CALL$

07-13

这个系列很不错，马克一下。

@芝士虎:Day1.25400%！一天254倍，为什么期权的波动那么大？

07-10

汽车启动前先看2分钟广告，车子加速请充值会员，下车前安装app可返现。你问我看不看好？我看好特斯拉。

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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move.</p></li><li><p>Nvidia stock has averaged a 5.3% 1-day move after earnings, with a 12.5% implied move this quarter.</p></li></ul><p>Investors and speculators are gearing up for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia Corp.</a>‘s earnings report on Wednesday, an event that’s expected to send ripples, if not tidal waves, across the U.S. stock market.</p><p>If the options market is right, Nvidia&#39;s results could spark moves in the S&amp;P 500 index – as tracked by the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</a> – larger than those typically triggered by key economic data like the employment and inflation reports.</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s dominance in the AI-driven technology trade has turned its earnings into a barometer for overall market sentiment, and its influence on the stock market is unparalleled.</p><p>Over the past year, Nvidia accounted for 20% of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s total returns and Bank of America&#39;s derivatives analyst Gonzalo Asis didn&#39;t mince words: “It remains the most dominant stock in the market... expected to drive nearly 25% of the S&amp;P 500’s EPS growth in 3Q.”</p><p>In essence, whether Nvidia beats or misses expectations, the ripple effects will likely extend far beyond its ticker.</p><h3 id=\"id_790713258\">S&amp;P 500 Implied Move Is Higher Than Inflation Or Jobs Data</h3><p>The options market implies a potential 1.05% move in the S&amp;P 500—higher than what traders expect from next month&#39;s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, Consumer Price Index (CPI) print, and in line with the Federal Reserve’s December meeting.</p><p>“Options are assigning more broad-market risk around NVDA earnings than around next month’s NFP and CPI days, and as much as the Dec FOMC,” the analyst noted.</p><p>For Nvidia shares themselves, the implied one-day move is even more eye-popping: 12.5%.</p><p>“We remain cautious of fragility risks in single names around earnings, but NVDA hedges themselves are not particularly cheap relative to how much the stock has reacted to results in the last two years,” Assis wrote.</p><p>The analyst also warned that the recent easing of post-election euphoria and heightened single-stock fragility can be reasons for traders to hedge against potential market turbulence if Nvidia disappoints.</p><h3 id=\"id_870992785\">A Strategy For Hedging The Nasdaq Impact</h3><p>For traders seeking to hedge the broader market risks tied to Nvidia’s performance, Bank of America recommended an option strategy using put spreads on the Nasdaq-100 ETF, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a>. Specifically, the QQQ 22Nov 490-480 put spreads are priced at $2 and could offer a 5x payout if the Nasdaq-100 falls by roughly 3.3% this week.</p><p>Despite the potential need for hedges, the bank also noted that hedging NVDA earnings directly is not cheap, considering how significantly the stock has reacted to its last few earnings reports.</p><h3 id=\"id_3012355421\">Historical Nvidia Earnings Data</h3><p>Data from Benzinga Pro shows that over the last 12 quarters, Nvidia has exceeded earnings-per-share (EPS) expectations 10 times and missed revenue expectations only once.</p><p>On average, Nvidia shares moved 5.3% in the single trading day following its earnings release.</p><p>The largest 1-day gain followed its first quarter 2024 earnings, when the stock surged 24.4%, while the worst reaction occurred after fourth quarter 2024 results, with a decline of 7.6%.</p><p>Here&#39;s a snapshot of the company&#39;s recent earnings performance:</p><table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;\"><tbody><tr><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Fiscal Quarter</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Date Announced</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Surprise % EPS</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Surprise % Revenue</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>1-Day % NVDA Move</strong></p></th></tr></tbody><tbody><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q2-2025</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8/28/24</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6.25%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.73%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-6.38%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q1-2025</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5/22/24</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.86%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5.66%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>9.32%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q4-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2/21/24</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11.45%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>7.19%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>16.40%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q3-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11/21/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>19.64%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>12.39%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-2.46%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q2-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8/23/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>29.19%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>20.38%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.10%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q1-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5/24/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>18.48%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>10.31%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>24.37%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q4-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2/22/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.64%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.68%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>14.02%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q3-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11/16/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-15.94%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.79%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-1.46%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q2-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8/24/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-59.20%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-17.23%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.01%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q1-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5/25/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5.43%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.07%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5.16%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q4-2022</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2/16/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.20%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>3.01%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-7.56%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q3-2022</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11/17/21</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6.36%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.00%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.25%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><em>Data: Benzinga Pro</em></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Nvidia Earnings May Trigger Massive S&P 500 Volatility</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Nvidia Earnings May Trigger Massive S&P 500 Volatility\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-11-19 11:04</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><h4 id=\"id_1992767499\" style=\"text-align: start;\">KEY POINTS</h4><ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\"><li><p>Nvidia earnings are expected to trigger Fed-like volatility in the S&amp;P 500, with options implying a 1.05% move.</p></li><li><p>Nvidia stock has averaged a 5.3% 1-day move after earnings, with a 12.5% implied move this quarter.</p></li></ul><p>Investors and speculators are gearing up for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia Corp.</a>‘s earnings report on Wednesday, an event that’s expected to send ripples, if not tidal waves, across the U.S. stock market.</p><p>If the options market is right, Nvidia&#39;s results could spark moves in the S&amp;P 500 index – as tracked by the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</a> – larger than those typically triggered by key economic data like the employment and inflation reports.</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s dominance in the AI-driven technology trade has turned its earnings into a barometer for overall market sentiment, and its influence on the stock market is unparalleled.</p><p>Over the past year, Nvidia accounted for 20% of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s total returns and Bank of America&#39;s derivatives analyst Gonzalo Asis didn&#39;t mince words: “It remains the most dominant stock in the market... expected to drive nearly 25% of the S&amp;P 500’s EPS growth in 3Q.”</p><p>In essence, whether Nvidia beats or misses expectations, the ripple effects will likely extend far beyond its ticker.</p><h3 id=\"id_790713258\">S&amp;P 500 Implied Move Is Higher Than Inflation Or Jobs Data</h3><p>The options market implies a potential 1.05% move in the S&amp;P 500—higher than what traders expect from next month&#39;s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, Consumer Price Index (CPI) print, and in line with the Federal Reserve’s December meeting.</p><p>“Options are assigning more broad-market risk around NVDA earnings than around next month’s NFP and CPI days, and as much as the Dec FOMC,” the analyst noted.</p><p>For Nvidia shares themselves, the implied one-day move is even more eye-popping: 12.5%.</p><p>“We remain cautious of fragility risks in single names around earnings, but NVDA hedges themselves are not particularly cheap relative to how much the stock has reacted to results in the last two years,” Assis wrote.</p><p>The analyst also warned that the recent easing of post-election euphoria and heightened single-stock fragility can be reasons for traders to hedge against potential market turbulence if Nvidia disappoints.</p><h3 id=\"id_870992785\">A Strategy For Hedging The Nasdaq Impact</h3><p>For traders seeking to hedge the broader market risks tied to Nvidia’s performance, Bank of America recommended an option strategy using put spreads on the Nasdaq-100 ETF, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a>. Specifically, the QQQ 22Nov 490-480 put spreads are priced at $2 and could offer a 5x payout if the Nasdaq-100 falls by roughly 3.3% this week.</p><p>Despite the potential need for hedges, the bank also noted that hedging NVDA earnings directly is not cheap, considering how significantly the stock has reacted to its last few earnings reports.</p><h3 id=\"id_3012355421\">Historical Nvidia Earnings Data</h3><p>Data from Benzinga Pro shows that over the last 12 quarters, Nvidia has exceeded earnings-per-share (EPS) expectations 10 times and missed revenue expectations only once.</p><p>On average, Nvidia shares moved 5.3% in the single trading day following its earnings release.</p><p>The largest 1-day gain followed its first quarter 2024 earnings, when the stock surged 24.4%, while the worst reaction occurred after fourth quarter 2024 results, with a decline of 7.6%.</p><p>Here&#39;s a snapshot of the company&#39;s recent earnings performance:</p><table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;\"><tbody><tr><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Fiscal Quarter</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Date Announced</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Surprise % EPS</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Surprise % Revenue</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>1-Day % NVDA Move</strong></p></th></tr></tbody><tbody><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q2-2025</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8/28/24</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6.25%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.73%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-6.38%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q1-2025</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5/22/24</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.86%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5.66%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>9.32%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q4-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2/21/24</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11.45%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>7.19%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>16.40%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q3-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11/21/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>19.64%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>12.39%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-2.46%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q2-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8/23/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>29.19%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>20.38%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.10%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q1-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5/24/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>18.48%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>10.31%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>24.37%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q4-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2/22/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.64%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.68%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>14.02%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q3-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11/16/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-15.94%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.79%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-1.46%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q2-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8/24/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-59.20%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-17.23%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.01%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q1-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5/25/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5.43%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.07%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5.16%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q4-2022</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2/16/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.20%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>3.01%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-7.56%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q3-2022</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11/17/21</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6.36%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.00%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.25%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><em>Data: Benzinga Pro</em></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-nvidia-earnings-may-trigger-000013120.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2484934264","content_text":"KEY POINTSNvidia earnings are expected to trigger Fed-like volatility in the S&P 500, with options implying a 1.05% move.Nvidia stock has averaged a 5.3% 1-day move after earnings, with a 12.5% implied move this quarter.Investors and speculators are gearing up for Nvidia Corp.‘s earnings report on Wednesday, an event that’s expected to send ripples, if not tidal waves, across the U.S. stock market.If the options market is right, Nvidia's results could spark moves in the S&P 500 index – as tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust – larger than those typically triggered by key economic data like the employment and inflation reports.Nvidia's dominance in the AI-driven technology trade has turned its earnings into a barometer for overall market sentiment, and its influence on the stock market is unparalleled.Over the past year, Nvidia accounted for 20% of the S&P 500's total returns and Bank of America's derivatives analyst Gonzalo Asis didn't mince words: “It remains the most dominant stock in the market... expected to drive nearly 25% of the S&P 500’s EPS growth in 3Q.”In essence, whether Nvidia beats or misses expectations, the ripple effects will likely extend far beyond its ticker.S&P 500 Implied Move Is Higher Than Inflation Or Jobs DataThe options market implies a potential 1.05% move in the S&P 500—higher than what traders expect from next month's Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, Consumer Price Index (CPI) print, and in line with the Federal Reserve’s December meeting.“Options are assigning more broad-market risk around NVDA earnings than around next month’s NFP and CPI days, and as much as the Dec FOMC,” the analyst noted.For Nvidia shares themselves, the implied one-day move is even more eye-popping: 12.5%.“We remain cautious of fragility risks in single names around earnings, but NVDA hedges themselves are not particularly cheap relative to how much the stock has reacted to results in the last two years,” Assis wrote.The analyst also warned that the recent easing of post-election euphoria and heightened single-stock fragility can be reasons for traders to hedge against potential market turbulence if Nvidia disappoints.A Strategy For Hedging The Nasdaq ImpactFor traders seeking to hedge the broader market risks tied to Nvidia’s performance, Bank of America recommended an option strategy using put spreads on the Nasdaq-100 ETF, the Invesco QQQ Trust. Specifically, the QQQ 22Nov 490-480 put spreads are priced at $2 and could offer a 5x payout if the Nasdaq-100 falls by roughly 3.3% this week.Despite the potential need for hedges, the bank also noted that hedging NVDA earnings directly is not cheap, considering how significantly the stock has reacted to its last few earnings reports.Historical Nvidia Earnings DataData from Benzinga Pro shows that over the last 12 quarters, Nvidia has exceeded earnings-per-share (EPS) expectations 10 times and missed revenue expectations only once.On average, Nvidia shares moved 5.3% in the single trading day following its earnings release.The largest 1-day gain followed its first quarter 2024 earnings, when the stock surged 24.4%, while the worst reaction occurred after fourth quarter 2024 results, with a decline of 7.6%.Here's a snapshot of the company's recent earnings performance:Fiscal QuarterDate AnnouncedSurprise % EPSSurprise % Revenue1-Day % NVDA MoveQ2-20258/28/246.25%4.73%-6.38%Q1-20255/22/242.86%5.66%9.32%Q4-20242/21/2411.45%7.19%16.40%Q3-202411/21/2319.64%12.39%-2.46%Q2-20248/23/2329.19%20.38%0.10%Q1-20245/24/2318.48%10.31%24.37%Q4-20232/22/238.64%0.68%14.02%Q3-202311/16/22-15.94%2.79%-1.46%Q2-20238/24/22-59.20%-17.23%4.01%Q1-20235/25/225.43%2.07%5.16%Q4-20222/16/228.20%3.01%-7.56%Q3-202211/17/216.36%4.00%8.25%Data: Benzinga 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CALL$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d85e9fab27fd3588102a6df6c7ac5f24","width":"972","height":"1631"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/338991015014768","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":195,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":326144585806072,"gmtCreate":1720626748151,"gmtModify":1720626750678,"author":{"id":"4165585084251242","authorId":"4165585084251242","name":"白巾牛刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bb7108757c755520d95534bdca2d66","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4165585084251242","authorIdStr":"4165585084251242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"汽车启动前先看2分钟广告，车子加速请充值会员，下车前安装app可返现。 你问我看不看好？我看好特斯拉。","listText":"汽车启动前先看2分钟广告，车子加速请充值会员，下车前安装app可返现。 你问我看不看好？我看好特斯拉。","text":"汽车启动前先看2分钟广告，车子加速请充值会员，下车前安装app可返现。 你问我看不看好？我看好特斯拉。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326144585806072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":602,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":370595288490040,"gmtCreate":1731491167693,"gmtModify":1731491169880,"author":{"id":"4165585084251242","authorId":"4165585084251242","name":"白巾牛刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bb7108757c755520d95534bdca2d66","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4165585084251242","authorIdStr":"4165585084251242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"如果全世界最有钱的人和全世界最有权的人都愿意疯狂一把，那我为什么不能疯狂一把？坚定看多特斯拉和 coin ！","listText":"如果全世界最有钱的人和全世界最有权的人都愿意疯狂一把，那我为什么不能疯狂一把？坚定看多特斯拉和 coin ！","text":"如果全世界最有钱的人和全世界最有权的人都愿意疯狂一把，那我为什么不能疯狂一把？坚定看多特斯拉和 coin ！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370595288490040","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":148,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356533253804280,"gmtCreate":1728053719136,"gmtModify":1728053721961,"author":{"id":"4165585084251242","authorId":"4165585084251242","name":"白巾牛刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bb7108757c755520d95534bdca2d66","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4165585084251242","authorIdStr":"4165585084251242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a>未来估计要横盘很长一段时间了，CHATGPT 震惊全球到现在也快两年的时间了，两年里，AI 的应用场景并没有想象中的那么美好，这也可能是 openAI 内部散装的原因之一，实在不知道有什么能支撑达子再起飞一次，除非有高人能点亮一次 AI 周边科技树。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a>未来估计要横盘很长一段时间了，CHATGPT 震惊全球到现在也快两年的时间了，两年里，AI 的应用场景并没有想象中的那么美好，这也可能是 openAI 内部散装的原因之一，实在不知道有什么能支撑达子再起飞一次，除非有高人能点亮一次 AI 周边科技树。","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 未来估计要横盘很长一段时间了，CHATGPT 震惊全球到现在也快两年的时间了，两年里，AI 的应用场景并没有想象中的那么美好，这也可能是 openAI 内部散装的原因之一，实在不知道有什么能支撑达子再起飞一次，除非有高人能点亮一次 AI 周边科技树。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356533253804280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1327,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":376346250244472,"gmtCreate":1732923584123,"gmtModify":1732923586944,"author":{"id":"4165585084251242","authorId":"4165585084251242","name":"白巾牛刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bb7108757c755520d95534bdca2d66","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4165585084251242","authorIdStr":"4165585084251242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"明年吧，今年超越不了了","listText":"明年吧，今年超越不了了","text":"明年吧，今年超越不了了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/376346250244472","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":375999457681856,"gmtCreate":1732837970367,"gmtModify":1732837974881,"author":{"id":"4165585084251242","authorId":"4165585084251242","name":"白巾牛刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bb7108757c755520d95534bdca2d66","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4165585084251242","authorIdStr":"4165585084251242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tiger 做碗，端上 COIN 这碗肉，盛上TSLA 这碗汤[开心]吃肉又喝汤[开心]","listText":"Tiger 做碗，端上 COIN 这碗肉，盛上TSLA 这碗汤[开心]吃肉又喝汤[开心]","text":"Tiger 做碗，端上 COIN 这碗肉，盛上TSLA 这碗汤[开心]吃肉又喝汤[开心]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9018cdcb4c6fa4c15a014556efb6ac67"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375999457681856","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":154,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":375978672857368,"gmtCreate":1732796906627,"gmtModify":1732796908821,"author":{"id":"4165585084251242","authorId":"4165585084251242","name":"白巾牛刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bb7108757c755520d95534bdca2d66","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4165585084251242","authorIdStr":"4165585084251242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"今晚肯定不会上 340[开心]","listText":"今晚肯定不会上 340[开心]","text":"今晚肯定不会上 340[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375978672857368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":196,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":375868584554880,"gmtCreate":1732770078368,"gmtModify":1732770080620,"author":{"id":"4165585084251242","authorId":"4165585084251242","name":"白巾牛刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bb7108757c755520d95534bdca2d66","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4165585084251242","authorIdStr":"4165585084251242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"看好达子，年内必上 160","listText":"看好达子，年内必上 160","text":"看好达子，年内必上 160","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375868584554880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":372651770916928,"gmtCreate":1732022070708,"gmtModify":1732022073666,"author":{"id":"4165585084251242","authorId":"4165585084251242","name":"白巾牛刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bb7108757c755520d95534bdca2d66","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4165585084251242","authorIdStr":"4165585084251242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"为什么？","listText":"为什么？","text":"为什么？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372651770916928","repostId":"2484934264","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2484934264","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1731985472,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2484934264?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-11-19 11:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Nvidia Earnings May Trigger Massive S&P 500 Volatility","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2484934264","media":"Benzinga","summary":"KEY POINTSNvidia earnings are expected to trigger Fed-like volatility in the S&P 500, with options implying a 1.05% move.Nvidia stock has averaged a 5.3% 1-day move after earnings, with a 12.5% implie","content":"<html><head></head><body><h4 id=\"id_1992767499\" style=\"text-align: start;\">KEY POINTS</h4><ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\"><li><p>Nvidia earnings are expected to trigger Fed-like volatility in the S&amp;P 500, with options implying a 1.05% move.</p></li><li><p>Nvidia stock has averaged a 5.3% 1-day move after earnings, with a 12.5% implied move this quarter.</p></li></ul><p>Investors and speculators are gearing up for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia Corp.</a>‘s earnings report on Wednesday, an event that’s expected to send ripples, if not tidal waves, across the U.S. stock market.</p><p>If the options market is right, Nvidia&#39;s results could spark moves in the S&amp;P 500 index – as tracked by the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</a> – larger than those typically triggered by key economic data like the employment and inflation reports.</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s dominance in the AI-driven technology trade has turned its earnings into a barometer for overall market sentiment, and its influence on the stock market is unparalleled.</p><p>Over the past year, Nvidia accounted for 20% of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s total returns and Bank of America&#39;s derivatives analyst Gonzalo Asis didn&#39;t mince words: “It remains the most dominant stock in the market... expected to drive nearly 25% of the S&amp;P 500’s EPS growth in 3Q.”</p><p>In essence, whether Nvidia beats or misses expectations, the ripple effects will likely extend far beyond its ticker.</p><h3 id=\"id_790713258\">S&amp;P 500 Implied Move Is Higher Than Inflation Or Jobs Data</h3><p>The options market implies a potential 1.05% move in the S&amp;P 500—higher than what traders expect from next month&#39;s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, Consumer Price Index (CPI) print, and in line with the Federal Reserve’s December meeting.</p><p>“Options are assigning more broad-market risk around NVDA earnings than around next month’s NFP and CPI days, and as much as the Dec FOMC,” the analyst noted.</p><p>For Nvidia shares themselves, the implied one-day move is even more eye-popping: 12.5%.</p><p>“We remain cautious of fragility risks in single names around earnings, but NVDA hedges themselves are not particularly cheap relative to how much the stock has reacted to results in the last two years,” Assis wrote.</p><p>The analyst also warned that the recent easing of post-election euphoria and heightened single-stock fragility can be reasons for traders to hedge against potential market turbulence if Nvidia disappoints.</p><h3 id=\"id_870992785\">A Strategy For Hedging The Nasdaq Impact</h3><p>For traders seeking to hedge the broader market risks tied to Nvidia’s performance, Bank of America recommended an option strategy using put spreads on the Nasdaq-100 ETF, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a>. Specifically, the QQQ 22Nov 490-480 put spreads are priced at $2 and could offer a 5x payout if the Nasdaq-100 falls by roughly 3.3% this week.</p><p>Despite the potential need for hedges, the bank also noted that hedging NVDA earnings directly is not cheap, considering how significantly the stock has reacted to its last few earnings reports.</p><h3 id=\"id_3012355421\">Historical Nvidia Earnings Data</h3><p>Data from Benzinga Pro shows that over the last 12 quarters, Nvidia has exceeded earnings-per-share (EPS) expectations 10 times and missed revenue expectations only once.</p><p>On average, Nvidia shares moved 5.3% in the single trading day following its earnings release.</p><p>The largest 1-day gain followed its first quarter 2024 earnings, when the stock surged 24.4%, while the worst reaction occurred after fourth quarter 2024 results, with a decline of 7.6%.</p><p>Here&#39;s a snapshot of the company&#39;s recent earnings performance:</p><table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;\"><tbody><tr><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Fiscal Quarter</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Date Announced</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Surprise % EPS</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Surprise % Revenue</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>1-Day % NVDA Move</strong></p></th></tr></tbody><tbody><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q2-2025</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8/28/24</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6.25%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.73%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-6.38%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q1-2025</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5/22/24</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.86%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5.66%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>9.32%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q4-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2/21/24</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11.45%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>7.19%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>16.40%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q3-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11/21/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>19.64%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>12.39%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-2.46%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q2-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8/23/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>29.19%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>20.38%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.10%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q1-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5/24/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>18.48%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>10.31%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>24.37%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q4-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2/22/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.64%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.68%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>14.02%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q3-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11/16/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-15.94%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.79%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-1.46%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q2-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8/24/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-59.20%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-17.23%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.01%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q1-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5/25/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5.43%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.07%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5.16%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q4-2022</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2/16/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.20%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>3.01%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-7.56%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q3-2022</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11/17/21</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6.36%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.00%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.25%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><em>Data: Benzinga Pro</em></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Nvidia Earnings May Trigger Massive S&P 500 Volatility</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Nvidia Earnings May Trigger Massive S&P 500 Volatility\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-11-19 11:04</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><h4 id=\"id_1992767499\" style=\"text-align: start;\">KEY POINTS</h4><ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\"><li><p>Nvidia earnings are expected to trigger Fed-like volatility in the S&amp;P 500, with options implying a 1.05% move.</p></li><li><p>Nvidia stock has averaged a 5.3% 1-day move after earnings, with a 12.5% implied move this quarter.</p></li></ul><p>Investors and speculators are gearing up for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia Corp.</a>‘s earnings report on Wednesday, an event that’s expected to send ripples, if not tidal waves, across the U.S. stock market.</p><p>If the options market is right, Nvidia&#39;s results could spark moves in the S&amp;P 500 index – as tracked by the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</a> – larger than those typically triggered by key economic data like the employment and inflation reports.</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s dominance in the AI-driven technology trade has turned its earnings into a barometer for overall market sentiment, and its influence on the stock market is unparalleled.</p><p>Over the past year, Nvidia accounted for 20% of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s total returns and Bank of America&#39;s derivatives analyst Gonzalo Asis didn&#39;t mince words: “It remains the most dominant stock in the market... expected to drive nearly 25% of the S&amp;P 500’s EPS growth in 3Q.”</p><p>In essence, whether Nvidia beats or misses expectations, the ripple effects will likely extend far beyond its ticker.</p><h3 id=\"id_790713258\">S&amp;P 500 Implied Move Is Higher Than Inflation Or Jobs Data</h3><p>The options market implies a potential 1.05% move in the S&amp;P 500—higher than what traders expect from next month&#39;s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, Consumer Price Index (CPI) print, and in line with the Federal Reserve’s December meeting.</p><p>“Options are assigning more broad-market risk around NVDA earnings than around next month’s NFP and CPI days, and as much as the Dec FOMC,” the analyst noted.</p><p>For Nvidia shares themselves, the implied one-day move is even more eye-popping: 12.5%.</p><p>“We remain cautious of fragility risks in single names around earnings, but NVDA hedges themselves are not particularly cheap relative to how much the stock has reacted to results in the last two years,” Assis wrote.</p><p>The analyst also warned that the recent easing of post-election euphoria and heightened single-stock fragility can be reasons for traders to hedge against potential market turbulence if Nvidia disappoints.</p><h3 id=\"id_870992785\">A Strategy For Hedging The Nasdaq Impact</h3><p>For traders seeking to hedge the broader market risks tied to Nvidia’s performance, Bank of America recommended an option strategy using put spreads on the Nasdaq-100 ETF, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a>. Specifically, the QQQ 22Nov 490-480 put spreads are priced at $2 and could offer a 5x payout if the Nasdaq-100 falls by roughly 3.3% this week.</p><p>Despite the potential need for hedges, the bank also noted that hedging NVDA earnings directly is not cheap, considering how significantly the stock has reacted to its last few earnings reports.</p><h3 id=\"id_3012355421\">Historical Nvidia Earnings Data</h3><p>Data from Benzinga Pro shows that over the last 12 quarters, Nvidia has exceeded earnings-per-share (EPS) expectations 10 times and missed revenue expectations only once.</p><p>On average, Nvidia shares moved 5.3% in the single trading day following its earnings release.</p><p>The largest 1-day gain followed its first quarter 2024 earnings, when the stock surged 24.4%, while the worst reaction occurred after fourth quarter 2024 results, with a decline of 7.6%.</p><p>Here&#39;s a snapshot of the company&#39;s recent earnings performance:</p><table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;\"><tbody><tr><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Fiscal Quarter</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Date Announced</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Surprise % EPS</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Surprise % Revenue</strong></p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>1-Day % NVDA Move</strong></p></th></tr></tbody><tbody><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q2-2025</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8/28/24</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6.25%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.73%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-6.38%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q1-2025</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5/22/24</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.86%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5.66%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>9.32%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q4-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2/21/24</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11.45%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>7.19%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>16.40%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q3-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11/21/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>19.64%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>12.39%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-2.46%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q2-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8/23/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>29.19%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>20.38%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.10%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q1-2024</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5/24/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>18.48%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>10.31%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>24.37%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q4-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2/22/23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.64%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>0.68%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>14.02%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q3-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11/16/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-15.94%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.79%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-1.46%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q2-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8/24/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-59.20%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-17.23%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.01%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q1-2023</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5/25/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5.43%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2.07%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>5.16%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q4-2022</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>2/16/22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.20%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>3.01%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>-7.56%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>Q3-2022</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11/17/21</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>6.36%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>4.00%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>8.25%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><em>Data: Benzinga Pro</em></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-nvidia-earnings-may-trigger-000013120.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2484934264","content_text":"KEY POINTSNvidia earnings are expected to trigger Fed-like volatility in the S&P 500, with options implying a 1.05% move.Nvidia stock has averaged a 5.3% 1-day move after earnings, with a 12.5% implied move this quarter.Investors and speculators are gearing up for Nvidia Corp.‘s earnings report on Wednesday, an event that’s expected to send ripples, if not tidal waves, across the U.S. stock market.If the options market is right, Nvidia's results could spark moves in the S&P 500 index – as tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust – larger than those typically triggered by key economic data like the employment and inflation reports.Nvidia's dominance in the AI-driven technology trade has turned its earnings into a barometer for overall market sentiment, and its influence on the stock market is unparalleled.Over the past year, Nvidia accounted for 20% of the S&P 500's total returns and Bank of America's derivatives analyst Gonzalo Asis didn't mince words: “It remains the most dominant stock in the market... expected to drive nearly 25% of the S&P 500’s EPS growth in 3Q.”In essence, whether Nvidia beats or misses expectations, the ripple effects will likely extend far beyond its ticker.S&P 500 Implied Move Is Higher Than Inflation Or Jobs DataThe options market implies a potential 1.05% move in the S&P 500—higher than what traders expect from next month's Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, Consumer Price Index (CPI) print, and in line with the Federal Reserve’s December meeting.“Options are assigning more broad-market risk around NVDA earnings than around next month’s NFP and CPI days, and as much as the Dec FOMC,” the analyst noted.For Nvidia shares themselves, the implied one-day move is even more eye-popping: 12.5%.“We remain cautious of fragility risks in single names around earnings, but NVDA hedges themselves are not particularly cheap relative to how much the stock has reacted to results in the last two years,” Assis wrote.The analyst also warned that the recent easing of post-election euphoria and heightened single-stock fragility can be reasons for traders to hedge against potential market turbulence if Nvidia disappoints.A Strategy For Hedging The Nasdaq ImpactFor traders seeking to hedge the broader market risks tied to Nvidia’s performance, Bank of America recommended an option strategy using put spreads on the Nasdaq-100 ETF, the Invesco QQQ Trust. Specifically, the QQQ 22Nov 490-480 put spreads are priced at $2 and could offer a 5x payout if the Nasdaq-100 falls by roughly 3.3% this week.Despite the potential need for hedges, the bank also noted that hedging NVDA earnings directly is not cheap, considering how significantly the stock has reacted to its last few earnings reports.Historical Nvidia Earnings DataData from Benzinga Pro shows that over the last 12 quarters, Nvidia has exceeded earnings-per-share (EPS) expectations 10 times and missed revenue expectations only once.On average, Nvidia shares moved 5.3% in the single trading day following its earnings release.The largest 1-day gain followed its first quarter 2024 earnings, when the stock surged 24.4%, while the worst reaction occurred after fourth quarter 2024 results, with a decline of 7.6%.Here's a snapshot of the company's recent earnings performance:Fiscal QuarterDate AnnouncedSurprise % EPSSurprise % Revenue1-Day % NVDA MoveQ2-20258/28/246.25%4.73%-6.38%Q1-20255/22/242.86%5.66%9.32%Q4-20242/21/2411.45%7.19%16.40%Q3-202411/21/2319.64%12.39%-2.46%Q2-20248/23/2329.19%20.38%0.10%Q1-20245/24/2318.48%10.31%24.37%Q4-20232/22/238.64%0.68%14.02%Q3-202311/16/22-15.94%2.79%-1.46%Q2-20238/24/22-59.20%-17.23%4.01%Q1-20235/25/225.43%2.07%5.16%Q4-20222/16/228.20%3.01%-7.56%Q3-202211/17/216.36%4.00%8.25%Data: Benzinga Pro","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":124,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":364647756521744,"gmtCreate":1730035433598,"gmtModify":1730035436268,"author":{"id":"4165585084251242","authorId":"4165585084251242","name":"白巾牛刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bb7108757c755520d95534bdca2d66","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4165585084251242","authorIdStr":"4165585084251242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"大概率是特了，可以提前埋伏一波了[开心]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"大概率是特了，可以提前埋伏一波了[开心]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"大概率是特了，可以提前埋伏一波了[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/364647756521744","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":107,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":354193923371224,"gmtCreate":1727490387774,"gmtModify":1727490390195,"author":{"id":"4165585084251242","authorId":"4165585084251242","name":"白巾牛刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bb7108757c755520d95534bdca2d66","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4165585084251242","authorIdStr":"4165585084251242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"三十多岁的人了，说变脸就变脸，太不成熟了！","listText":"三十多岁的人了，说变脸就变脸，太不成熟了！","text":"三十多岁的人了，说变脸就变脸，太不成熟了！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/354193923371224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":304,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":353716901609616,"gmtCreate":1727394727727,"gmtModify":1727394730302,"author":{"id":"4165585084251242","authorId":"4165585084251242","name":"白巾牛刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bb7108757c755520d95534bdca2d66","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4165585084251242","authorIdStr":"4165585084251242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 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href=\"https://www.atigrvibe.com/activity/market/2024/trading-guess?inviteId=GDSQBQGC&amp;utm_medium=tiger_community&amp;platform=iOS&amp;shareID=c4bc34391e5251298f9e5bfdb026efdf&amp;invite=X6WEHZ&amp;lang=zh_CN\">竞猜赢虎币 ，寻找实盘收益王</a> 快来参与实盘竞猜活动，寻找你心中的收益王者，竞猜最高可获得USD 500代金券奖励。 此帖仅开放于中国大陆用户","listText":"查看详情： <a href=\"https://www.atigrvibe.com/activity/market/2024/trading-guess?inviteId=GDSQBQGC&amp;utm_medium=tiger_community&amp;platform=iOS&amp;shareID=c4bc34391e5251298f9e5bfdb026efdf&amp;invite=X6WEHZ&amp;lang=zh_CN\">竞猜赢虎币 ，寻找实盘收益王</a> 快来参与实盘竞猜活动，寻找你心中的收益王者，竞猜最高可获得USD 500代金券奖励。 此帖仅开放于中国大陆用户","text":"查看详情： 竞猜赢虎币 ，寻找实盘收益王 快来参与实盘竞猜活动，寻找你心中的收益王者，竞猜最高可获得USD 500代金券奖励。 此帖仅开放于中国大陆用户","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f22c491ee8ae08f0d36ded0795f1fe33"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/340165911273512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":365,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":340110409097616,"gmtCreate":1724076875026,"gmtModify":1724078167378,"author":{"id":"4165585084251242","authorId":"4165585084251242","name":"白巾牛刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bb7108757c755520d95534bdca2d66","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4165585084251242","authorIdStr":"4165585084251242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20240913 250.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20240913 250.0 CALL$</a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20240913 250.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20240913 250.0 CALL$</a>&nbsp;","text":"$TSLA 20240913 250.0 CALL$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e88090c03e97056e2297cf97359d08e4","width":"972","height":"1631"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/340110409097616","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":326937704853560,"gmtCreate":1720850381495,"gmtModify":1720850383831,"author":{"id":"4165585084251242","authorId":"4165585084251242","name":"白巾牛刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bb7108757c755520d95534bdca2d66","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4165585084251242","authorIdStr":"4165585084251242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这个系列很不错，马克一下。","listText":"这个系列很不错，马克一下。","text":"这个系列很不错，马克一下。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326937704853560","repostId":"180520191840296","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":180520191840296,"gmtCreate":1685093885414,"gmtModify":1733468363728,"author":{"id":"4093504281887960","authorId":"4093504281887960","name":"芝士虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f3a05d038882153678ee817929431fc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093504281887960","authorIdStr":"4093504281887960"},"themes":[],"title":"Day1.25400%！一天254倍，为什么期权的波动那么大？","htmlText":"虎友，你好！欢迎来到老虎芝士学堂——「期权芝士专栏」第一期。很多对期权感兴趣的虎友会有这样的疑问，为什么期权的收益率波动那么大？今天我就来带你来解决这个问题：以 SVB 的股票期权为例，在 3 月 31 号当日 SVB 股票价格下跌 60% 左右，而 SVB 4 月 21 日到期行权价为 150 美元的看跌期权，当日涨幅则高达25400%！一天 254 倍，相信看到这里，很多人已经在脑子里演示了：如果赶上了这波，拿出来1个月工资都实现财富自由了！图片来源：Tiger trade app图片来源：Tiger trade app但是，在我们跃跃欲试投资期权之前，需要先想明白一个问题，为什么期权的收益率波动那么大呢? 很多人觉得是加了杠杆（也就是我们说的融资买入），但实际上并不是。总的来说：一个金融产品收益率波动大主要有两种情形：第一种：资金杠杆举个例子：假如，特斯拉现价100美元，然而我只拿出了 10 美元的自有资金，又借了 90 美元，一共筹够 100 美元买了这只股票，当第二天股价上涨到110美元的时候，不考虑融资利息，我的收益是10美元（110-100），而投资金额是10美元。所以，虽然股价涨幅 10%（110/100-1），但收益率是 100%（10/10）。所以，资金杠杆是可以放大收益率的，但同时融资也是有成本的。刚刚，我们并没有考虑借入 90 美元的利息问题，如果考虑了利息，会降低实际收益。第二种：衍生品以期权为例：如果我直接买入特斯拉股票需要100美元，但是如果有这样一个看涨期权合约：合约的买方只需要花1块钱就可以买到一个权利：第二天就可以以 100 美元的价格向卖方行权，买入特斯拉的股票。所以，如果第二天股价涨到101美元，那么买方就已经盈亏平衡了：即按100美元的价格买入价值101美元的特斯拉股票，再扣除1美元的权利金，不赚不亏。如果股价上涨到102美元，此时","listText":"虎友，你好！欢迎来到老虎芝士学堂——「期权芝士专栏」第一期。很多对期权感兴趣的虎友会有这样的疑问，为什么期权的收益率波动那么大？今天我就来带你来解决这个问题：以 SVB 的股票期权为例，在 3 月 31 号当日 SVB 股票价格下跌 60% 左右，而 SVB 4 月 21 日到期行权价为 150 美元的看跌期权，当日涨幅则高达25400%！一天 254 倍，相信看到这里，很多人已经在脑子里演示了：如果赶上了这波，拿出来1个月工资都实现财富自由了！图片来源：Tiger trade app图片来源：Tiger trade app但是，在我们跃跃欲试投资期权之前，需要先想明白一个问题，为什么期权的收益率波动那么大呢? 很多人觉得是加了杠杆（也就是我们说的融资买入），但实际上并不是。总的来说：一个金融产品收益率波动大主要有两种情形：第一种：资金杠杆举个例子：假如，特斯拉现价100美元，然而我只拿出了 10 美元的自有资金，又借了 90 美元，一共筹够 100 美元买了这只股票，当第二天股价上涨到110美元的时候，不考虑融资利息，我的收益是10美元（110-100），而投资金额是10美元。所以，虽然股价涨幅 10%（110/100-1），但收益率是 100%（10/10）。所以，资金杠杆是可以放大收益率的，但同时融资也是有成本的。刚刚，我们并没有考虑借入 90 美元的利息问题，如果考虑了利息，会降低实际收益。第二种：衍生品以期权为例：如果我直接买入特斯拉股票需要100美元，但是如果有这样一个看涨期权合约：合约的买方只需要花1块钱就可以买到一个权利：第二天就可以以 100 美元的价格向卖方行权，买入特斯拉的股票。所以，如果第二天股价涨到101美元，那么买方就已经盈亏平衡了：即按100美元的价格买入价值101美元的特斯拉股票，再扣除1美元的权利金，不赚不亏。如果股价上涨到102美元，此时","text":"虎友，你好！欢迎来到老虎芝士学堂——「期权芝士专栏」第一期。很多对期权感兴趣的虎友会有这样的疑问，为什么期权的收益率波动那么大？今天我就来带你来解决这个问题：以 SVB 的股票期权为例，在 3 月 31 号当日 SVB 股票价格下跌 60% 左右，而 SVB 4 月 21 日到期行权价为 150 美元的看跌期权，当日涨幅则高达25400%！一天 254 倍，相信看到这里，很多人已经在脑子里演示了：如果赶上了这波，拿出来1个月工资都实现财富自由了！图片来源：Tiger trade app图片来源：Tiger trade app但是，在我们跃跃欲试投资期权之前，需要先想明白一个问题，为什么期权的收益率波动那么大呢? 很多人觉得是加了杠杆（也就是我们说的融资买入），但实际上并不是。总的来说：一个金融产品收益率波动大主要有两种情形：第一种：资金杠杆举个例子：假如，特斯拉现价100美元，然而我只拿出了 10 美元的自有资金，又借了 90 美元，一共筹够 100 美元买了这只股票，当第二天股价上涨到110美元的时候，不考虑融资利息，我的收益是10美元（110-100），而投资金额是10美元。所以，虽然股价涨幅 10%（110/100-1），但收益率是 100%（10/10）。所以，资金杠杆是可以放大收益率的，但同时融资也是有成本的。刚刚，我们并没有考虑借入 90 美元的利息问题，如果考虑了利息，会降低实际收益。第二种：衍生品以期权为例：如果我直接买入特斯拉股票需要100美元，但是如果有这样一个看涨期权合约：合约的买方只需要花1块钱就可以买到一个权利：第二天就可以以 100 美元的价格向卖方行权，买入特斯拉的股票。所以，如果第二天股价涨到101美元，那么买方就已经盈亏平衡了：即按100美元的价格买入价值101美元的特斯拉股票，再扣除1美元的权利金，不赚不亏。如果股价上涨到102美元，此时","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31d2b802bb971548dd1019bb7afc5dcd","width":"1080","height":"300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/180520191840296","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}