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波罗的海蜜蜡
2022-11-22
$波奇宠物(BQ)$
我始终还是觉得波奇这个模式不错,一旦熬过困难期,最终是一个长期平台。
波罗的海蜜蜡
2022-11-17
$易大宗(01733)$
供给端本期各地煤矿开工率稳步上行,焦煤供应稳中有涨。需求端当前焦钢企业利润不高,开工率下降,对焦煤采购减少。当前焦煤供需格局正逐步走向宽松,本期焦煤价格小幅下跌,预计焦煤价格短期稳中偏弱运行。
波罗的海蜜蜡
2022-11-16
$波奇宠物(BQ)$
《2021年中国宠物行业白皮书》显示,2021年,中国城镇宠物(猫犬)主达6844万人,比2020年增长8.7%,人群日益扩大;2021年,宠物消费市场规模达2490亿元,相较2020年增长20.6%,且还在不断增长中。
波罗的海蜜蜡
2022-11-16
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
首次买入芯片股,巴菲特看到了什么?
波罗的海蜜蜡
2022-11-16
《2021中国闲置二手交易碳减排报告》显示,中国二手闲置物品交易市场规模从2015年约3000亿元,提升至2020年破万亿。闲置物品交易范围覆盖了几乎所有消费品品类,预计2025年市场规模将达到接近3万亿
$万物新生(RERE)$
波罗的海蜜蜡
2022-11-14
$万物新生(RERE)$
从“买家”到“卖家”,越来越多消费者在这样的身份中来回转换,这种转换背后是二手交易市场的日渐火热。随着消费意识的升级、环保理念的推行,闲置交易已经成为一种潮流的生活方式
波罗的海蜜蜡
2022-11-14
$易大宗(01733)$
最近拉了30%的涨幅,管理层还是很有决心,才能不断加码回购。
波罗的海蜜蜡
2022-11-11
$波奇宠物(BQ)$
宠物行业产业链较长,覆盖范围较广。随着养宠意识不断崛起,细分需求逐渐增多。宠物行业上游主要为宠物养殖和贩卖,中游为各类宠物产品,下游主要涉及各项宠物服务。
波罗的海蜜蜡
2022-11-10
$万物新生(RERE)$
闲置交易APP月活用户1.45亿,线上+线下多元交易新生态逐步形成。。。
波罗的海蜜蜡
2022-11-10
$易大宗(01733)$
受两轮降价影响,焦企利润持续低位,随着钢材期货盘面修复性反弹,部分有下游订单的贸易开始采购。不过钢厂利润不佳,部分北方钢厂开始落实第三轮降价,对于焦炭需求仍有压制,焦炭呈现供需双弱格局。
波罗的海蜜蜡
2022-11-07
$万物新生(RERE)$
就目前的状态来说,先回到两元吧,期望太高也不能说一定不行,小目标先实现。
波罗的海蜜蜡
2022-11-07
$易大宗(01733)$
双焦总库存均处于低位,总量优势还在,四季度终端的补库需求或是下一个矛盾点,但能补库的前提是产业链利润icon的修复,各环节能正常生产。整体看双焦受产业链利润再分配的压力,材弱只能从上游要利润。材企稳原料有向上修复驱动。
波罗的海蜜蜡
2022-11-04
$易大宗(01733)$
所谓步步为营。触底了还是要反弹的。
波罗的海蜜蜡
2022-10-28
$万物新生(RERE)$
对‘爱回收’这个品牌,消费者是有一定认知和信赖的,并且还在持续加强。
波罗的海蜜蜡
2022-10-28
$易大宗(01733)$
今天这一波不是行情,是旱清,严重缺乏买涨资金
波罗的海蜜蜡
2022-10-27
$波奇宠物(BQ)$
市场是不会撒谎的,交易量都基本可以看到,数据也会公开,只要做的好,股价要给力。
波罗的海蜜蜡
2022-10-26
$万物新生(RERE)$
涨就是一种态度,哪怕杯水车薪,也好过连夜冻雨。在这日子里,还有希望。
波罗的海蜜蜡
2022-10-25
$波奇宠物(BQ)$
那位朋友说的真对,真是跌不动了。今天夫人在边上哗啦啦的下单吞狗粮猫粮。。
波罗的海蜜蜡
2022-10-25
$易大宗(01733)$
焦煤期货主力合约下跌3.03%,报1985.0元/吨,创9月16日以来新低。焦炭、螺纹跌近2%,铁矿跌超1%。
波罗的海蜜蜡
2022-10-19
$万物新生(RERE)$
再别跌了啊,你也算是行业大户了,市场那么大,还有东东背书,哪儿能这么跌呢?
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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</a>供给端本期各地煤矿开工率稳步上行,焦煤供应稳中有涨。需求端当前焦钢企业利润不高,开工率下降,对焦煤采购减少。当前焦煤供需格局正逐步走向宽松,本期焦煤价格小幅下跌,预计焦煤价格短期稳中偏弱运行。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01733\">$易大宗(01733)$ </a>供给端本期各地煤矿开工率稳步上行,焦煤供应稳中有涨。需求端当前焦钢企业利润不高,开工率下降,对焦煤采购减少。当前焦煤供需格局正逐步走向宽松,本期焦煤价格小幅下跌,预计焦煤价格短期稳中偏弱运行。","text":"$易大宗(01733)$ 供给端本期各地煤矿开工率稳步上行,焦煤供应稳中有涨。需求端当前焦钢企业利润不高,开工率下降,对焦煤采购减少。当前焦煤供需格局正逐步走向宽松,本期焦煤价格小幅下跌,预计焦煤价格短期稳中偏弱运行。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/667126938","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":667131471,"gmtCreate":1668612366193,"gmtModify":1668612367288,"author":{"id":"4118367061533030","authorId":"4118367061533030","name":"波罗的海蜜蜡","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4118367061533030","idStr":"4118367061533030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BQ\">$波奇宠物(BQ)$ </a>《2021年中国宠物行业白皮书》显示,2021年,中国城镇宠物(猫犬)主达6844万人,比2020年增长8.7%,人群日益扩大;2021年,宠物消费市场规模达2490亿元,相较2020年增长20.6%,且还在不断增长中。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BQ\">$波奇宠物(BQ)$ 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22:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"首次买入芯片股,巴菲特看到了什么?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116759935","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"股神对台积电的关注,可能已长达十年之久。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>当一家公司股价在年内一度腰斩,大概率会失去投资者的宠爱,甚至被无情地从名单上抹去。</p><p>然而当一家公司能凭借强劲业绩逆势向上,股价跌破关口反倒可助其成为舞台聚光灯下的焦点,甚至它会发现,巴菲特已然坐在观众席前列。</p><p>这就是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>。</p><p>继被业内看好有望击败<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">三星</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>,勇夺半导体王座之后,台积电凭借一己之力,不仅令芯片股首次获得巴菲特“垂青”,自己也直接跃升为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">伯克希尔</a>哈撒韦前十大重仓股,成为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>公司之后的第二大科技股,仓位达到41亿美元(约合人民币近290亿元)。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ceb4a594da02960a53ca7ef15c3d5fbb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>图片来源:whalewisdom</p><p><b>首次大胆出手,源自长期“暗中观察”,股神对台积电的关注,可能已长达十年之久。</b></p><p>媒体称,光电科技工业协进会(PIDA)的特别研究顾问Nobunaga Chai表示:</p><blockquote>当巴菲特采取行动时,他已经至少花了十年时间,来监控目标公司的财务表现和基本面情况。</blockquote><p>所以,巴菲特耗费十年光阴,究竟从台积电看到了什么“护城河”?</p><p>或许正如拥有伯克希尔股份的Gardner, Russo&Quinn的合伙人Tom Russo所说,他认为伯克希尔增持台积电的理由是<b>“伯克希尔相信世界离不开台积电生产的产品”。</b></p><p><b>领先的技术优势</b></p><p>作为全球规模最大的芯片制造商,台积电在全球芯片代工市场占据55%以上的份额,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">高通</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>、AVGO、三星以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">美国航空</a>航天局都位列其客户名单。在7纳米制程和5纳米制程工艺的占比更是分别高达85%和90%,台积电手握关键技术,成为无可争议的领导者。</p><p>在最为先进的3纳米制程工艺上,台积电同样位列行业前列,已在本季度实现量产。</p><p>在这种前进速度之下,如果劲敌三星继续深陷良率问题,那么台积电或将在3纳米上直接形成垄断地位,苹果很可能“抢得头彩”,成为它第一个客户,另有七大客户紧随其后。</p><p>而且即便已经保持相当明显的领先优势,台积电丝毫没有放慢脚步。<b>台积电总裁魏哲家已经在今年8月承诺,2纳米可以保证在2025年量产。</b></p><p>台积电也正是凭借巨大的技术优势,成功抵挡住消费电子市场的需求颓势,即使智能手机和PC厂商接连加入“砍单潮”,台积电也未如同行一般遭受猛烈风暴。在今年一季度,HPC(高性能计算)在台积电营收中的占比首次超过智能手机。</p><p>因此,尽管全球最具权威的IT研究与顾问咨询公司Gartner已经预计半导体行业将在2023年萎缩2.5%,但于台积电而言,2023年反倒是增长之年。</p><p><b>强劲的财务表现</b></p><p>出色的利润率和稳健的资产负债表同样是台积电手中利刃,成为其强悍的“护城河”。</p><p>回顾过去五年,台积电的平均毛利润高达50%,目前预计在2022年将进一步攀升至55%,一举冲破行业下行周期的禁锢。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62828e0c179cedeb75b62f1108c72201\" tg-width=\"631\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>图片来源:Seekingalpha</p><p>而在过去十年间,台积电的营收也从150亿美元跃升至超过600亿美元。这在很大程度上得益于台积电市场份额的增长,以及其所服务的终端市场的增长,例如智能手机、高性能计算机和数据中心、物联网设备、汽车等。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7917e912c2262fc056d468a5a9dcb98\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>台积电过去十年营收(图片来源:Seekingalpha)</p><p>值得一提的是,台积电过去十年的平均单季业绩增长率约为16.8%,而这个数字在近期更是直接翻番达到36.65%,将英特尔和三星远远甩在身后。英特尔的平均单季增长率仅为2.9%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSD.UK\">三星电子</a>则为5.3%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88ad3ddf4a9b725536a6605d9b46a611\" tg-width=\"623\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>台积电、英特尔、三星电子单季业绩增速对比(图片来源:Seekingalpha)</p><p>此外,稳健的资产负债表也令台积电的竞争对手可望而不可即。</p><p>虽然芯片行业属于资本密集型,动辄需投入数百亿资金用于开发新技术及新产能,但是台积电的资产负债表保持高流动性。</p><p><b>相比于长期债务,台积电拥有更多的现金和短期投资,</b>其中现金占总资产比例超过25%。截至今年三季度末,台积电持有470亿美元的现金和短期投资,相比之下债务总额为270亿美元。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9227d80c1a1db0246a58fd706ad877a1\" tg-width=\"595\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>今年迄今为止,台积电现金及短期投资、长期债务趋势(来源:Seekingalpha)</p><p>这也意味着,当行业发展陷入低迷期时,出色的财务状况可以帮助台积电稳住地位,勇于选定前进方面并可抵御未知风险。</p><p>最新业绩也再度反映了台积电强劲的财务表现。</p><p>台积电10月营收高达2102.66亿元新台币(约合479.41亿元人民币),较去年同期增加了56.3%。今年1-10月累计营收约为1.85万亿元新台币(约合4218亿元人民币),同比增加44%。另外在三季度,台积电毛利润上行至60.4%,环比增长1.3个百分点,高于此前57.5%-59.5%的毛利率指引。</p><p><b>诱人的估值水平</b></p><p>充满吸引力的估值也被认为是巴菲特青睐台积电的关键因素。</p><p>正如前文提及,在今年经历大幅回撤之后,台积电股价的交易价值相对处于低位。目前台积电的企业价值倍数(EV/EBITDA)仅为7.8倍,远期市盈率甚至更低,约为7倍,远低于公司过去10年的平均水平。</p><p>而且和西方众多领先半导体公司的估值水平相比,台积电更是“相差甚远”。荷兰ASML、英伟达、AMD和英特尔的估值分别为30倍、37倍、20倍和15倍。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/723eb6b27a203fc08418d96945153cfa\" tg-width=\"611\" tg-height=\"372\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>图片来源:Seekingalpha</p><p>光电科技工业协进会(PIDA)的特别研究顾问Nobunaga Chai总结台积电被巴菲特重仓原因时表示:</p><blockquote>作为价值投资大师,巴菲特只选择长期前景乐观、财务状况及盈利能力良好、市盈率 (PE) 和市账率 (PB) 均相对较低的公司比率,<b>而台积电在第三季度股价跌破关口时通过了所有测试。</b></blockquote><p>而且按照巴菲特的观点,他认为在大通胀时期,投资者在寻找标的时应注重两大商业特征:<b>(1)拥有轻松提高价格的能力;(2) 能够在不过度支出的情况下开展更多业务。</b></p></body></html>","source":"live_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>首次买入芯片股,巴菲特看到了什么?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; 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8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n首次买入芯片股,巴菲特看到了什么?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-16 22:00 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3675167><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>当一家公司股价在年内一度腰斩,大概率会失去投资者的宠爱,甚至被无情地从名单上抹去。然而当一家公司能凭借强劲业绩逆势向上,股价跌破关口反倒可助其成为舞台聚光灯下的焦点,甚至它会发现,巴菲特已然坐在观众席前列。这就是台积电。继被业内看好有望击败三星和英特尔,勇夺半导体王座之后,台积电凭借一己之力,不仅令芯片股首次获得巴菲特“垂青”,自己也直接跃升为伯克希尔哈撒韦前十大重仓股,成为苹果公司之后的第二大...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3675167\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c2a3e5a129f96410f8e57e1dc840bde","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3675167","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1116759935","content_text":"当一家公司股价在年内一度腰斩,大概率会失去投资者的宠爱,甚至被无情地从名单上抹去。然而当一家公司能凭借强劲业绩逆势向上,股价跌破关口反倒可助其成为舞台聚光灯下的焦点,甚至它会发现,巴菲特已然坐在观众席前列。这就是台积电。继被业内看好有望击败三星和英特尔,勇夺半导体王座之后,台积电凭借一己之力,不仅令芯片股首次获得巴菲特“垂青”,自己也直接跃升为伯克希尔哈撒韦前十大重仓股,成为苹果公司之后的第二大科技股,仓位达到41亿美元(约合人民币近290亿元)。图片来源:whalewisdom首次大胆出手,源自长期“暗中观察”,股神对台积电的关注,可能已长达十年之久。媒体称,光电科技工业协进会(PIDA)的特别研究顾问Nobunaga Chai表示:当巴菲特采取行动时,他已经至少花了十年时间,来监控目标公司的财务表现和基本面情况。所以,巴菲特耗费十年光阴,究竟从台积电看到了什么“护城河”?或许正如拥有伯克希尔股份的Gardner, Russo&Quinn的合伙人Tom Russo所说,他认为伯克希尔增持台积电的理由是“伯克希尔相信世界离不开台积电生产的产品”。领先的技术优势作为全球规模最大的芯片制造商,台积电在全球芯片代工市场占据55%以上的份额,高通、英伟达、AVGO、三星以及美国航空航天局都位列其客户名单。在7纳米制程和5纳米制程工艺的占比更是分别高达85%和90%,台积电手握关键技术,成为无可争议的领导者。在最为先进的3纳米制程工艺上,台积电同样位列行业前列,已在本季度实现量产。在这种前进速度之下,如果劲敌三星继续深陷良率问题,那么台积电或将在3纳米上直接形成垄断地位,苹果很可能“抢得头彩”,成为它第一个客户,另有七大客户紧随其后。而且即便已经保持相当明显的领先优势,台积电丝毫没有放慢脚步。台积电总裁魏哲家已经在今年8月承诺,2纳米可以保证在2025年量产。台积电也正是凭借巨大的技术优势,成功抵挡住消费电子市场的需求颓势,即使智能手机和PC厂商接连加入“砍单潮”,台积电也未如同行一般遭受猛烈风暴。在今年一季度,HPC(高性能计算)在台积电营收中的占比首次超过智能手机。因此,尽管全球最具权威的IT研究与顾问咨询公司Gartner已经预计半导体行业将在2023年萎缩2.5%,但于台积电而言,2023年反倒是增长之年。强劲的财务表现出色的利润率和稳健的资产负债表同样是台积电手中利刃,成为其强悍的“护城河”。回顾过去五年,台积电的平均毛利润高达50%,目前预计在2022年将进一步攀升至55%,一举冲破行业下行周期的禁锢。图片来源:Seekingalpha而在过去十年间,台积电的营收也从150亿美元跃升至超过600亿美元。这在很大程度上得益于台积电市场份额的增长,以及其所服务的终端市场的增长,例如智能手机、高性能计算机和数据中心、物联网设备、汽车等。台积电过去十年营收(图片来源:Seekingalpha)值得一提的是,台积电过去十年的平均单季业绩增长率约为16.8%,而这个数字在近期更是直接翻番达到36.65%,将英特尔和三星远远甩在身后。英特尔的平均单季增长率仅为2.9%,三星电子则为5.3%。台积电、英特尔、三星电子单季业绩增速对比(图片来源:Seekingalpha)此外,稳健的资产负债表也令台积电的竞争对手可望而不可即。虽然芯片行业属于资本密集型,动辄需投入数百亿资金用于开发新技术及新产能,但是台积电的资产负债表保持高流动性。相比于长期债务,台积电拥有更多的现金和短期投资,其中现金占总资产比例超过25%。截至今年三季度末,台积电持有470亿美元的现金和短期投资,相比之下债务总额为270亿美元。今年迄今为止,台积电现金及短期投资、长期债务趋势(来源:Seekingalpha)这也意味着,当行业发展陷入低迷期时,出色的财务状况可以帮助台积电稳住地位,勇于选定前进方面并可抵御未知风险。最新业绩也再度反映了台积电强劲的财务表现。台积电10月营收高达2102.66亿元新台币(约合479.41亿元人民币),较去年同期增加了56.3%。今年1-10月累计营收约为1.85万亿元新台币(约合4218亿元人民币),同比增加44%。另外在三季度,台积电毛利润上行至60.4%,环比增长1.3个百分点,高于此前57.5%-59.5%的毛利率指引。诱人的估值水平充满吸引力的估值也被认为是巴菲特青睐台积电的关键因素。正如前文提及,在今年经历大幅回撤之后,台积电股价的交易价值相对处于低位。目前台积电的企业价值倍数(EV/EBITDA)仅为7.8倍,远期市盈率甚至更低,约为7倍,远低于公司过去10年的平均水平。而且和西方众多领先半导体公司的估值水平相比,台积电更是“相差甚远”。荷兰ASML、英伟达、AMD和英特尔的估值分别为30倍、37倍、20倍和15倍。图片来源:Seekingalpha光电科技工业协进会(PIDA)的特别研究顾问Nobunaga 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01733\">$易大宗(01733)$</a>双焦总库存均处于低位,总量优势还在,四季度终端的补库需求或是下一个矛盾点,但能补库的前提是产业链利润icon的修复,各环节能正常生产。整体看双焦受产业链利润再分配的压力,材弱只能从上游要利润。材企稳原料有向上修复驱动。","text":"$易大宗(01733)$双焦总库存均处于低位,总量优势还在,四季度终端的补库需求或是下一个矛盾点,但能补库的前提是产业链利润icon的修复,各环节能正常生产。整体看双焦受产业链利润再分配的压力,材弱只能从上游要利润。材企稳原料有向上修复驱动。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664944804","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1317,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":665752743,"gmtCreate":1667529041283,"gmtModify":1667529042407,"author":{"id":"4118367061533030","authorId":"4118367061533030","name":"波罗的海蜜蜡","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4118367061533030","idStr":"4118367061533030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01733\">$易大宗(01733)$</a>今天这一波不是行情,是旱清,严重缺乏买涨资金","text":"$易大宗(01733)$今天这一波不是行情,是旱清,严重缺乏买涨资金","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665306332","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":476,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":665912249,"gmtCreate":1666881374881,"gmtModify":1666881375979,"author":{"id":"4118367061533030","authorId":"4118367061533030","name":"波罗的海蜜蜡","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4118367061533030","idStr":"4118367061533030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BQ\">$波奇宠物(BQ)$</a>市场是不会撒谎的,交易量都基本可以看到,数据也会公开,只要做的好,股价要给力。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BQ\">$波奇宠物(BQ)$</a>市场是不会撒谎的,交易量都基本可以看到,数据也会公开,只要做的好,股价要给力。","text":"$波奇宠物(BQ)$市场是不会撒谎的,交易量都基本可以看到,数据也会公开,只要做的好,股价要给力。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665912249","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":739,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":665008658,"gmtCreate":1666797098174,"gmtModify":1666797099695,"author":{"id":"4118367061533030","authorId":"4118367061533030","name":"波罗的海蜜蜡","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4118367061533030","idStr":"4118367061533030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RERE\">$万物新生(RERE)$</a>涨就是一种态度,哪怕杯水车薪,也好过连夜冻雨。在这日子里,还有希望。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RERE\">$万物新生(RERE)$</a>涨就是一种态度,哪怕杯水车薪,也好过连夜冻雨。在这日子里,还有希望。","text":"$万物新生(RERE)$涨就是一种态度,哪怕杯水车薪,也好过连夜冻雨。在这日子里,还有希望。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665008658","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":624,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":662425027,"gmtCreate":1666709710370,"gmtModify":1666709711690,"author":{"id":"4118367061533030","authorId":"4118367061533030","name":"波罗的海蜜蜡","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4118367061533030","idStr":"4118367061533030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BQ\">$波奇宠物(BQ)$</a>那位朋友说的真对,真是跌不动了。今天夫人在边上哗啦啦的下单吞狗粮猫粮。。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BQ\">$波奇宠物(BQ)$</a>那位朋友说的真对,真是跌不动了。今天夫人在边上哗啦啦的下单吞狗粮猫粮。。","text":"$波奇宠物(BQ)$那位朋友说的真对,真是跌不动了。今天夫人在边上哗啦啦的下单吞狗粮猫粮。。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/662425027","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1056,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":662557504,"gmtCreate":1666667909408,"gmtModify":1666667910604,"author":{"id":"4118367061533030","authorId":"4118367061533030","name":"波罗的海蜜蜡","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4118367061533030","idStr":"4118367061533030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01733\">$易大宗(01733)$</a>焦煤期货主力合约下跌3.03%,报1985.0元/吨,创9月16日以来新低。焦炭、螺纹跌近2%,铁矿跌超1%。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01733\">$易大宗(01733)$</a>焦煤期货主力合约下跌3.03%,报1985.0元/吨,创9月16日以来新低。焦炭、螺纹跌近2%,铁矿跌超1%。","text":"$易大宗(01733)$焦煤期货主力合约下跌3.03%,报1985.0元/吨,创9月16日以来新低。焦炭、螺纹跌近2%,铁矿跌超1%。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/662557504","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1058,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":662315387,"gmtCreate":1666188145949,"gmtModify":1666188146998,"author":{"id":"4118367061533030","authorId":"4118367061533030","name":"波罗的海蜜蜡","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4118367061533030","idStr":"4118367061533030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RERE\">$万物新生(RERE)$</a>再别跌了啊,你也算是行业大户了,市场那么大,还有东东背书,哪儿能这么跌呢?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RERE\">$万物新生(RERE)$</a>再别跌了啊,你也算是行业大户了,市场那么大,还有东东背书,哪儿能这么跌呢?","text":"$万物新生(RERE)$再别跌了啊,你也算是行业大户了,市场那么大,还有东东背书,哪儿能这么跌呢?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/662315387","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":668489050,"gmtCreate":1665064432271,"gmtModify":1665064466450,"author":{"id":"4118367061533030","authorId":"4118367061533030","name":"波罗的海蜜蜡","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4118367061533030","authorIdStr":"4118367061533030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"随着强美元给全球资本市场带来的压力持续上升,过去一周内,英国、韩国、日本央行或政府纷纷开始干预本国市场。面对越来越多国家下场维稳,强美元还能维持多久?这种压力和动荡是否会孕育1985年广场协议式的干预?","listText":"随着强美元给全球资本市场带来的压力持续上升,过去一周内,英国、韩国、日本央行或政府纷纷开始干预本国市场。面对越来越多国家下场维稳,强美元还能维持多久?这种压力和动荡是否会孕育1985年广场协议式的干预?","text":"随着强美元给全球资本市场带来的压力持续上升,过去一周内,英国、韩国、日本央行或政府纷纷开始干预本国市场。面对越来越多国家下场维稳,强美元还能维持多久?这种压力和动荡是否会孕育1985年广场协议式的干预?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/668489050","repostId":"2273827922","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2273827922","pubTimestamp":1665039715,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2273827922?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-10-06 15:01","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"强美元冲击全球汇市和资本市场,新一轮“广场协议”在孕育吗?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273827922","media":"第一财经","summary":"强势美元不仅导致汇市在内的全球资本市场动荡,还增加了其他国家的输入性通胀压力,令全球经济承压。随着强美元给全球资本市场带来的压力持续上升,过去一周内,英国、韩国、日本央行或政府纷纷开始干预本国市场。强美元导致汇市及全球市场波动历史上每一次强美元都会导致汇市和全球资本市场动荡。他称,由于美联储为全球最大央行,而美元是主要储备货币,美联储政策对全球货币政策影响甚大。会否有新一轮“广场协议”?","content":"<div>\n<p>强美元下,越来越多央行下场干预本国货币和其他资产。强势美元不仅导致汇市在内的全球资本市场动荡,还增加了其他国家的输入性通胀压力,令全球经济承压。随着强美元给全球资本市场带来的压力持续上升,过去一周内,英国、韩国、日本央行或政府纷纷开始干预本国市场。面对越来越多国家下场维稳,强美元还能维持多久?这种压力和动荡是否会孕育1985年广场协议式的干预?美元牛市尚未结束分析师普遍认为,今年导致美元强势的因素...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.yicai.com/news/101554374.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"dyvj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n强美元冲击全球汇市和资本市场,新一轮“广场协议”在孕育吗?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-06 15:01 北京时间 <a href=https://www.yicai.com/news/101554374.html><strong>第一财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>强美元下,越来越多央行下场干预本国货币和其他资产。强势美元不仅导致汇市在内的全球资本市场动荡,还增加了其他国家的输入性通胀压力,令全球经济承压。随着强美元给全球资本市场带来的压力持续上升,过去一周内,英国、韩国、日本央行或政府纷纷开始干预本国市场。面对越来越多国家下场维稳,强美元还能维持多久?这种压力和动荡是否会孕育1985年广场协议式的干预?美元牛市尚未结束分析师普遍认为,今年导致美元强势的因素...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.yicai.com/news/101554374.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e973a40b8057adc979708b02b8b98386","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.yicai.com/news/101554374.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273827922","content_text":"强美元下,越来越多央行下场干预本国货币和其他资产。强势美元不仅导致汇市在内的全球资本市场动荡,还增加了其他国家的输入性通胀压力,令全球经济承压。随着强美元给全球资本市场带来的压力持续上升,过去一周内,英国、韩国、日本央行或政府纷纷开始干预本国市场。面对越来越多国家下场维稳,强美元还能维持多久?这种压力和动荡是否会孕育1985年广场协议式的干预?美元牛市尚未结束分析师普遍认为,今年导致美元强势的因素仍在,美元牛市尚未结束。瑞银财富管理投资总监办公室(CIO)发表的机构观点称,美元涨势尚未结束,“目前,美元的实际有效汇率接近2000年以来的高点,按购买力平价计算,美元其实相当“昂贵”,特别是相对欧元、英镑和瑞典克朗而言。长远来看,我们相信美联储能够成功控制通胀,当利率前景变得更清晰,美元料将在明年起走弱。但在短期内,我们认为美元牛市尚未结束,上调了对美元的观点至看好,建议投资者可以考虑将现金和债券配置向美元倾斜。”Capital.com的分析师西加里(Piero Cingari)对第一财经表示:“美元依然具备继续走牛市轨道的各项条件。一方面,美联储仍然致力于对抗通货膨胀,只有当美联储对通胀和失业之间的权衡变得更加平衡时,投资者才会开始对美联储政策转向进行定价。而在此之前,我们首先需要看到一场具有通货紧缩效应的全球衰退,但我们目前还没到这个阶段。”另一方面,他称,宏观经济基本面也继续支持美元相对于其他主要货币,比如欧元和英镑走强,这两种货币都处于极端压力之下。“除了利差因素,美元今年迄今升值的另一个主要原因是美国贸易条件由于能源价格上涨出现改善;反之,英国和欧洲的贸易状况严重恶化。”此外,西加里预计,比起上述两个原因,美元升值的下一阶段可能会更加受到风险厌恶情绪进一步走高的推动,投资者或将美元视为全球市场动荡下唯一的避风港。“如果全球避险情绪继续上升,美元指数今年稍晚可能达到2001年7月的121高点。”强美元导致汇市及全球市场波动历史上每一次强美元都会导致汇市和全球资本市场动荡。近期,英镑对美元一度跌至历史最低点,日本央行的干预仍难助日元脱离对美元的24年低位,欧元进一步跌破与美元平价。除了这些跌幅最为显著的主要货币外,10国集团(G10)的每一种货币今年对美元都出现贬值,平均跌幅约16%。汇市波动也持续走高。上周,德银的货币波动率指数(Currency Volatility Index)跃升至两年半来的最高点13.55。该指数用于衡量七国集团(G7)主要货币的历史波动率。分析师预计,汇市波动将持续。CIBC资本市场北美外汇策略主管拉伊(Bipan Rai)表示:“目前的汇市确实还存在更多无序行动的基础。虽然外汇交易员对波动并不陌生,但各种风险的汇合使此次波动显得尤为突出。”他补充称,“本轮汇市波动与2020年3月时不同,当时,政策制定者团结一致,对疫情的反应大体相似。而眼下,交易员面临着全球央行在应对通胀飙升和货币疲软时以不同方式作出的反应。”FXD Capital首席执行官哈德尔斯顿(Chris Huddleston)表示:“过去,汇市波动是一个宏观经济故事,但这一次的波动在很大程度上是一个央行故事,全球央行都在争抢加息。”不仅汇市,强美元还导致全球资本市场越发动荡。摩根士丹利投资管理全球固定收益团队的投资组合经理兼首席固定收益策略卡伦(Jim Caron)对第一财经表示,美联储大幅加息以及伴随而来的强美元已经构成了全球的一个风险情况。他称,由于美联储为全球最大央行,而美元是主要储备货币,美联储政策对全球货币政策影响甚大。“美元作为主要储备货币意味着美元在全球其他央行的外汇储备中所占的比例为最高,从以抵消美元债务。换句话说,全球央行需要有充足的美元储备来应对压力。这些美元储备主要投资于美国国债以赚取收入。”卡伦说道,“随着美联储加息,美元走强,则代表外国货币相对美元走弱。由于国家本币贬值会加剧通胀,将促使当地央行提高利率来对抗美元强势,以压抑高通胀。或者,国家可以通过买入本国货币干预货币市场,但只能用美元进行回购。为了筹集美元,国家可以出售美国国债,从而推高美国国债收益率。”综合上述原因,以及由于美债收益率高企及美元强势对全球增长非常不利,他称,最终利率上升和货币政策将形成恶性循环,而且许多外国债务均以美元计价,将导致美国国债收益率优势缩窄。日本此前出手干预日元引起热烈讨论,如果类似的干预情况变得更为普遍,市场需认真看待。摩根士丹利上周的一份报告也指出,美元持续走强预示着全球金融市场前景不妙,“从历史上看,强美元通常会导致某种金融/经济危机。而如果说有哪个时刻需要我们当心全球市场中的某一部分正在崩塌,那个时刻就是现在。”纽约梅德利全球顾问公司(Medley global Advisors)的全球宏观战略董事总经理埃蒙斯(Ben Emons)表示,目前,随着美元的升值导致汇率波动和新兴市场美元融资成本上升,全球金融情况已经出现收紧,所谓的“美元勇士”(即对强美元做出反击的外国央行)正在增加。这一过程,据埃蒙斯称,往往伴随投资者抛售美股和美债,创造了“现金为王”的情况。除了影响全球资本市场,西加里对第一财经表示,美元走强通常还会对全球经济产生负面影响,尤其是对新兴市场,因为这些市场的大部分债务是以美元计价的。此外,由于欧洲目前似乎是全球能源和通胀危机的中心,而大宗商品大部分以美元计价,本轮美元走强的影响会继续对欧洲国家造成沉重影响。而在全球经济放缓之际,英镑或欧元走软也无法大幅提振出口。因此,面对能源价格上涨和美元走强,预计欧洲和英国的贸易基本面还将继续恶化。会否有新一轮“广场协议”?虽然如此,但截至目前,不论是分析师还是美国自身的表态都驳斥了类似“1985年广场协议”(Plaza Accord)那样联合干预的可能性。广场协议是在1985年,美国、英国、德国、法国、日本五国财长在美国的纽约广场饭店签订了一项协议,通过联合货币干预结束了20世纪80年代上半叶美元对其他主要货币的持续升值。广场协议后的十年内,美元汇率不断走低。摩根士丹利策略是团队上周四发布的一份报告称:“在当今时代,联合外汇干预很困难,因此我们不认为很快会出现新的广场协议。即便在当年,围绕汇率协调的讨论最早开始于1982年,筹备了三年才孕育出广场协议。”再者,该团队补充称,即便真的出现新一轮联合干预,在当前条件下,也很难导致美元持续疲软。因为与当年的情况不同,眼下,美国需要强美元。美元走弱将破坏美联储实现低通胀的目标,因为“美元走弱实际上是美国的通胀因素,也是国外的通货紧缩因素”。而当年,美国的财政赤字急剧增加,对外贸易逆差大幅度增长,使得美国希望通过美元贬值来提高其产品的出口竞争力,以改善美国的贸易逆差。埃蒙斯也认为,正式的联合干预美元不太可能,各国可能会采取另一种形式的行动,即“各国央行对强势美元发表更多言论”。总部设在伦敦的金融智库OMFIF的美国主席索贝尔(Mark Sobel)表示,“联合干预措施通常只针对近年来最严重的危机,如果全球市场进一步发展至极度混乱和动荡,我们或许可以找到联合干预汇率的理由。但眼下,各国的货币政策分歧大大降低了联合干预成功的机会,在此背景下进行的干预‘犹如向风中吐痰’。”最为关键的是,英国、日本近期的动荡还不足以令美国产生联合干预的意愿。美国财政部截至目前尚未对近期的市场波动表达担忧。美国财政部长珍妮特·耶伦(Janet Yellen)上周对外媒表示,市场运作良好,她也没有看到可能导致金融稳定风险的流动性问题。在上周被问及G7是否可能效仿1985年的《广场协议》以阻止美元强劲上涨时,白宫首席经济顾问布莱恩·迪斯(Brian Deese)更是直言“这不是我们预期的发展方向”。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":195,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":665340929,"gmtCreate":1666962825062,"gmtModify":1666962826935,"author":{"id":"4118367061533030","authorId":"4118367061533030","name":"波罗的海蜜蜡","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4118367061533030","authorIdStr":"4118367061533030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RERE\">$万物新生(RERE)$</a>对‘爱回收’这个品牌,消费者是有一定认知和信赖的,并且还在持续加强。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RERE\">$万物新生(RERE)$</a>对‘爱回收’这个品牌,消费者是有一定认知和信赖的,并且还在持续加强。","text":"$万物新生(RERE)$对‘爱回收’这个品牌,消费者是有一定认知和信赖的,并且还在持续加强。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665340929","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1622,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":663373622,"gmtCreate":1662991576766,"gmtModify":1662991578845,"author":{"id":"4118367061533030","authorId":"4118367061533030","name":"波罗的海蜜蜡","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4118367061533030","authorIdStr":"4118367061533030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RERE\">$万物新生(RERE)$</a>爱回收公布的保值率,大数据肯定是真实的,不过结果很意想不到啊!可持续关注。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RERE\">$万物新生(RERE)$</a>爱回收公布的保值率,大数据肯定是真实的,不过结果很意想不到啊!可持续关注。","text":"$万物新生(RERE)$爱回收公布的保值率,大数据肯定是真实的,不过结果很意想不到啊!可持续关注。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39811e69e4f91b1d9734ecd963daccf8","width":"660","height":"1721"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/663373622","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2464,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":667192347,"gmtCreate":1668609648190,"gmtModify":1668610633082,"author":{"id":"4118367061533030","authorId":"4118367061533030","name":"波罗的海蜜蜡","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4118367061533030","authorIdStr":"4118367061533030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"《2021中国闲置二手交易碳减排报告》显示,中国二手闲置物品交易市场规模从2015年约3000亿元,提升至2020年破万亿。闲置物品交易范围覆盖了几乎所有消费品品类,预计2025年市场规模将达到接近3万亿<a 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