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FreyS
2021-11-22
Great post
Is the Stock Market Going to Crash Again?
FreyS
2021-11-25
[Cool]
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His holding company, <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> (NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B) owns shares in dozens of companies as well as parts of or whole companies themselves, and it has amassed fabulous wealth for Buffett and his investors.</p>\n<p>Buffett has a very specific investment strategy focused on value investing, or buying shares of companies that are undervalued relative to their intrinsic worth. Many of Berkshire's latest holdings are in companies you know and use every day, such as <b>Coca-Cola</b> and <b>American Express</b>. These companies are usually mature and trade at low valuations. High-growth companies that aren't yet profitable or trade at expensive valuations usually don't make it into Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio. Smaller companies usually don't make the cut because they aren't big enough yet to make a material difference to Berkshire's bottom line. If Berkshire was interested in a small company, it would more likely just buy it outright than buy shares.</p>\n<p>It's for these reasons that Buffett and Berkshire likely won't be buying shares of <b>Global-e Online</b> (NASDAQ:GLBE) anytime soon. But you can. And maybe you should.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4260b6bc58a4600c1434e010a4e699d\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>Facilitating cross-border commerce</h2>\n<p>Global-e is becoming a leader in international e-commerce solutions. It boasts an impressive client list, including French luxury company <b>LVMH</b>, Hugo Boss, and Sigma Sports, as well as partnerships with e-commerce brands like <b>Shopify</b> (NYSE:SHOP) and Klarna, with which it supports an easy integration.</p>\n<p>It works with both large and small clients, helping them manage things like local currencies, instant customs and shipping calculations, and localized checkout in 30 languages. Its technology-driven platform helps streamline solutions and improve the international checkout experience. A recent example is the vegan shoe brand Native Shoes' efforts to improve its international e-commerce. Global-e helped it boost international revenue 92% the first year and 40% more the second year.</p>\n<p>Global-e is definitely in the right place at the right time. E-commerce exploded during the pandemic, and for many local merchants, both big and small, the next step in growth is international markets. Companies such as <b>Nike</b> and <b>Amazon</b> already count international markets as an important element of their businesses, and entering other regions successfully will become even more important as online shopping and social media open up customers to products they would never have seen before. Companies that don't follow up on this strategy are likely to fall behind companies that do.</p>\n<p>Global-e isn't the only operator in this space. A top competitor in cross-border commerce is Borderfree, which was acquired by postal operator <b>Pitney Bowes</b> in 2015. It services several large retailers, including <b>Macy's</b> and <b>Nordstrom</b>.</p>\n<p>Global-e's advantages relate to its data-driven technology. As for the competition, management says, \"We believe that none of these providers have the combination of track record, variety of merchants, scale, feature set and data, to match Global-e's overall offering.\" In other words, the company is aggressively innovating to offer better features and more options. This creates a flywheel effect as it scales and adds more data into its product development.</p>\n<h2>Beginning with a flourish</h2>\n<p>Global-e's most recent earnings report (released Nov. 9) suggests the company is succeeding in its efforts. In the third quarter, revenue increased 77% year over year to $59 million, and gross merchandise volume (GMV) increased 86% to $352 million. Adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) improved from $2.7 million to $7.7 million.</p>\n<p>A <b>Forrester Research</b> report projects a total addressable market of $736 billion by 2023, of which Global-e has a tiny slice. It's growing both through signing up new merchants as well as expanding its relationships with current merchants, and it sees a natural progression of increasing GMV as trends move toward cross-border e-commerce.</p>\n<p>The company went public in May at $25 a share and its stock price is up about 130% since then. That means its stock is already highly valued, trading at 43 times trailing 12-month sales. Global-e reported being profitable in 2020. With the IPO this year and heavy expansion efforts that include developing a relationship with Shopify, it posted a net loss the past two quarters.</p>\n<p>Global-e is a fast-growing company with a wide opportunity. Its stock is also expensive at the moment and has been volatile recently. It's a little too risky as an investment for Warren Buffett, but risk-tolerant investors might want to consider buying shares.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett Won't Buy This Stock, but You Can</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett Won't Buy This Stock, but You Can\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-24 13:48 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/23/warren-buffett-cant-buy-this-stock-but-you-can/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>When Warren Buffett invests, people pay attention. His holding company, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B) owns shares in dozens of companies as well as parts of or whole companies themselves...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/23/warren-buffett-cant-buy-this-stock-but-you-can/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SHOP":"Shopify Inc","GLBE":"Global-E Online Ltd.","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/23/warren-buffett-cant-buy-this-stock-but-you-can/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2185387115","content_text":"When Warren Buffett invests, people pay attention. His holding company, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B) owns shares in dozens of companies as well as parts of or whole companies themselves, and it has amassed fabulous wealth for Buffett and his investors.\nBuffett has a very specific investment strategy focused on value investing, or buying shares of companies that are undervalued relative to their intrinsic worth. Many of Berkshire's latest holdings are in companies you know and use every day, such as Coca-Cola and American Express. These companies are usually mature and trade at low valuations. High-growth companies that aren't yet profitable or trade at expensive valuations usually don't make it into Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio. Smaller companies usually don't make the cut because they aren't big enough yet to make a material difference to Berkshire's bottom line. If Berkshire was interested in a small company, it would more likely just buy it outright than buy shares.\nIt's for these reasons that Buffett and Berkshire likely won't be buying shares of Global-e Online (NASDAQ:GLBE) anytime soon. But you can. And maybe you should.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nFacilitating cross-border commerce\nGlobal-e is becoming a leader in international e-commerce solutions. It boasts an impressive client list, including French luxury company LVMH, Hugo Boss, and Sigma Sports, as well as partnerships with e-commerce brands like Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) and Klarna, with which it supports an easy integration.\nIt works with both large and small clients, helping them manage things like local currencies, instant customs and shipping calculations, and localized checkout in 30 languages. Its technology-driven platform helps streamline solutions and improve the international checkout experience. A recent example is the vegan shoe brand Native Shoes' efforts to improve its international e-commerce. Global-e helped it boost international revenue 92% the first year and 40% more the second year.\nGlobal-e is definitely in the right place at the right time. E-commerce exploded during the pandemic, and for many local merchants, both big and small, the next step in growth is international markets. Companies such as Nike and Amazon already count international markets as an important element of their businesses, and entering other regions successfully will become even more important as online shopping and social media open up customers to products they would never have seen before. Companies that don't follow up on this strategy are likely to fall behind companies that do.\nGlobal-e isn't the only operator in this space. A top competitor in cross-border commerce is Borderfree, which was acquired by postal operator Pitney Bowes in 2015. It services several large retailers, including Macy's and Nordstrom.\nGlobal-e's advantages relate to its data-driven technology. As for the competition, management says, \"We believe that none of these providers have the combination of track record, variety of merchants, scale, feature set and data, to match Global-e's overall offering.\" In other words, the company is aggressively innovating to offer better features and more options. This creates a flywheel effect as it scales and adds more data into its product development.\nBeginning with a flourish\nGlobal-e's most recent earnings report (released Nov. 9) suggests the company is succeeding in its efforts. In the third quarter, revenue increased 77% year over year to $59 million, and gross merchandise volume (GMV) increased 86% to $352 million. Adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) improved from $2.7 million to $7.7 million.\nA Forrester Research report projects a total addressable market of $736 billion by 2023, of which Global-e has a tiny slice. It's growing both through signing up new merchants as well as expanding its relationships with current merchants, and it sees a natural progression of increasing GMV as trends move toward cross-border e-commerce.\nThe company went public in May at $25 a share and its stock price is up about 130% since then. That means its stock is already highly valued, trading at 43 times trailing 12-month sales. Global-e reported being profitable in 2020. With the IPO this year and heavy expansion efforts that include developing a relationship with Shopify, it posted a net loss the past two quarters.\nGlobal-e is a fast-growing company with a wide opportunity. Its stock is also expensive at the moment and has been volatile recently. It's a little too risky as an investment for Warren Buffett, but risk-tolerant investors might want to consider buying shares.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":86,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":872759452,"gmtCreate":1637579060590,"gmtModify":1637579060590,"author":{"id":"4100179377007790","authorId":"4100179377007790","name":"FreyS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98f5090676ce4b07229d7b45da18de3b","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great post","listText":"Great post","text":"Great post","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872759452","repostId":"2185826772","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2185826772","pubTimestamp":1637573760,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2185826772?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-22 17:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is the Stock Market Going to Crash Again?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2185826772","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The next market crash is inevitable. Prepare while you can.","content":"<p>The market will crash again. That is inevitable. The only real question is when will it happen?</p>\n<p>Let's be clear: there are <i>lots </i>of reasons to believe the market could crash soon. Skyrocketing inflation , stretched valuations , and a critical labor shortage each could pose risks to the market on their own. Put them all together in a situation like we have today, and the danger certainly seems to multiply.</p>\n<p>Just because the market <i>could </i>crash soon doesn't mean it <i>will</i>, however. If it somehow manages to keep climbing, would you really want to be sitting on the sidelines, watching the purchasing power of your money evaporate to inflation?</p>\n<p>That combination of factors makes now <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the toughest times in most of our investing lifetimes to know what the best course of action should be. That might actually mean that there is no <i>single </i>best path forward and that the right approach could be to build a balance across the five options discussed here.</p>\n<h2>No. 1: Get out of (expensive) debt</h2>\n<p>If the market's massive run has left you in the position where you <i>could </i>pay off your debts, maybe that provides a good opportunity to <i>actually </i>do so. If not your entire debt burden, perhaps you could pay off everything but your fixed-rate, low interest mortgage?</p>\n<p>It might seem crazy to pay off debt when interest rates are so low and the market has seen such huge recent rises, but that could very well be the best time to do so. After all, if interest rates rise, that could both increase your debt service costs <i>and </i>cause at least some of your stocks to drop, catching you with a double-whammy. When you add in the fact your debt service costs need to be paid even if your stocks are way down, you get a situation where reducing or eliminating debt looks like a smart move.</p>\n<h2>No. 2: Build a cash buffer</h2>\n<p>In a world where inflation is running over 6%, having a lot of cash sitting around earning less than 1% might seem crazy. When viewed only on that basis, it is. When you recognize that market crashes and job losses often go hand in hand, having a decent cash buffer can be viewed as an insurance policy. At least for a little while, it can keep you from being forced to sell at the low due to lost income and buy you time to find alternatives.</p>\n<p>That said, with inflation running as hot as it is and cash returns failing to keep up, it might not be a good idea to hold too much cash. As a result, consider the standard guidance of three-to-six months' worth of basic living expenses as a reasonable \"goldilocks\" target.</p>\n<h2>No. 3: Plan for the big expenses coming your way soon</h2>\n<p>As a general rule, money you expect to spend within the next five years does not belong in stocks. If you have a big purchase coming up in that time window -- say a new car, a child's college education, or a bucket list vacation -- a market sitting near all-time highs can give you a great opportunity to sell.</p>\n<p>It's OK to sell enough stock to cover the costs of what you're buying in that window and any taxes you'll owe on your stock sale. Then, put the remaining money in something like a CD or Treasury or investment grade bonds that mature just before you'll need the money.</p>\n<p>No, you won't make stupendously high returns on that money, but you will also sleep more soundly knowing that a mere market crash won't automatically derail your near-term plans for that cash.</p>\n<h2>No. 4: Know a decent estimate of the value of what you own</h2>\n<p>Ultimately, stocks are nothing more than fractional ownership stakes in companies. Yes, their market prices can rise or fall a whole bunch in a very short period of time, but in the long run, stocks are tied to the cash generating capability of the businesses behind those shares.</p>\n<p>Using the discounted cash flow model and reasonable projections for the future of the company, you can estimate what that fair value would be. You can easily adjust your assumptions for a more aggressive growth future or a more pessimistic one as well, to get a feel for a range of potential values. You can then compare your model with the market's price and use that to inform your buy, sell, or hold decisions.</p>\n<p>If a company you own is priced so high by the market that even your most aggressive estimates for its future can't keep up, then it might be a good idea to sell it. On the flip side, if a company you own is available for such a dirt cheap price that even your pessimistic estimate is above the market's price for it, you might want to consider buying even more.</p>\n<p>The beauty of the discounted cash flow model is that it can help you make those buy/sell/hold decisions regardless of what the overall market is doing. As a result, it can help you both prepare for a crash by figuring out which companies to consider selling and invest through a crash by figuring out which ones are the biggest bargains worthy of buying.</p>\n<h2>No. 5: Invest with the long term in mind</h2>\n<p>With the first three options, you've taken great steps to protect yourself against many of the short term disruptions that can come from market crashes. With the fourth option, you've given yourself a tool to make smarter investing decisions around the time of a crash. Together, they free you up to truly have a long-term perspective when you invest in stocks.</p>\n<p>That long-term perspective is important because it provides the foundation of the biggest advantage you have against Wall Street: your patience. With a long-term perspective, the rest of your financial house in order, and decent valuations at your disposal, you can stay invested during and after a crash. That is absolutely key to being invested during any subsequent recovery, which is where the next round of wealth can be built.</p>\n<h2>Get ready now for the next crash</h2>\n<p>None of us really know when the next stock market crash will happen, but we can be pretty sure that there will be another one headed our way. With the market near all-time highs and so many very clear economic risks in front of us, now could be a great time to make the adjustments you need to get prepared for that crash.</p>\n<p>By balancing the tools you need to survive the next crash with a long term perspective for the money you're able to keep invested, you can be prepared no matter when that crash takes place. Get yourself ready now, and you will have the advantage of being ready before it happens, rather than trying to clean up after the fact.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the Stock Market Going to Crash Again?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the Stock Market Going to Crash Again?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-22 17:36 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/21/is-the-stock-market-going-to-crash-again/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The market will crash again. That is inevitable. The only real question is when will it happen?\nLet's be clear: there are lots of reasons to believe the market could crash soon. Skyrocketing inflation...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/21/is-the-stock-market-going-to-crash-again/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/21/is-the-stock-market-going-to-crash-again/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2185826772","content_text":"The market will crash again. That is inevitable. The only real question is when will it happen?\nLet's be clear: there are lots of reasons to believe the market could crash soon. Skyrocketing inflation , stretched valuations , and a critical labor shortage each could pose risks to the market on their own. Put them all together in a situation like we have today, and the danger certainly seems to multiply.\nJust because the market could crash soon doesn't mean it will, however. If it somehow manages to keep climbing, would you really want to be sitting on the sidelines, watching the purchasing power of your money evaporate to inflation?\nThat combination of factors makes now one of the toughest times in most of our investing lifetimes to know what the best course of action should be. That might actually mean that there is no single best path forward and that the right approach could be to build a balance across the five options discussed here.\nNo. 1: Get out of (expensive) debt\nIf the market's massive run has left you in the position where you could pay off your debts, maybe that provides a good opportunity to actually do so. If not your entire debt burden, perhaps you could pay off everything but your fixed-rate, low interest mortgage?\nIt might seem crazy to pay off debt when interest rates are so low and the market has seen such huge recent rises, but that could very well be the best time to do so. After all, if interest rates rise, that could both increase your debt service costs and cause at least some of your stocks to drop, catching you with a double-whammy. When you add in the fact your debt service costs need to be paid even if your stocks are way down, you get a situation where reducing or eliminating debt looks like a smart move.\nNo. 2: Build a cash buffer\nIn a world where inflation is running over 6%, having a lot of cash sitting around earning less than 1% might seem crazy. When viewed only on that basis, it is. When you recognize that market crashes and job losses often go hand in hand, having a decent cash buffer can be viewed as an insurance policy. At least for a little while, it can keep you from being forced to sell at the low due to lost income and buy you time to find alternatives.\nThat said, with inflation running as hot as it is and cash returns failing to keep up, it might not be a good idea to hold too much cash. As a result, consider the standard guidance of three-to-six months' worth of basic living expenses as a reasonable \"goldilocks\" target.\nNo. 3: Plan for the big expenses coming your way soon\nAs a general rule, money you expect to spend within the next five years does not belong in stocks. If you have a big purchase coming up in that time window -- say a new car, a child's college education, or a bucket list vacation -- a market sitting near all-time highs can give you a great opportunity to sell.\nIt's OK to sell enough stock to cover the costs of what you're buying in that window and any taxes you'll owe on your stock sale. Then, put the remaining money in something like a CD or Treasury or investment grade bonds that mature just before you'll need the money.\nNo, you won't make stupendously high returns on that money, but you will also sleep more soundly knowing that a mere market crash won't automatically derail your near-term plans for that cash.\nNo. 4: Know a decent estimate of the value of what you own\nUltimately, stocks are nothing more than fractional ownership stakes in companies. Yes, their market prices can rise or fall a whole bunch in a very short period of time, but in the long run, stocks are tied to the cash generating capability of the businesses behind those shares.\nUsing the discounted cash flow model and reasonable projections for the future of the company, you can estimate what that fair value would be. You can easily adjust your assumptions for a more aggressive growth future or a more pessimistic one as well, to get a feel for a range of potential values. You can then compare your model with the market's price and use that to inform your buy, sell, or hold decisions.\nIf a company you own is priced so high by the market that even your most aggressive estimates for its future can't keep up, then it might be a good idea to sell it. On the flip side, if a company you own is available for such a dirt cheap price that even your pessimistic estimate is above the market's price for it, you might want to consider buying even more.\nThe beauty of the discounted cash flow model is that it can help you make those buy/sell/hold decisions regardless of what the overall market is doing. As a result, it can help you both prepare for a crash by figuring out which companies to consider selling and invest through a crash by figuring out which ones are the biggest bargains worthy of buying.\nNo. 5: Invest with the long term in mind\nWith the first three options, you've taken great steps to protect yourself against many of the short term disruptions that can come from market crashes. With the fourth option, you've given yourself a tool to make smarter investing decisions around the time of a crash. Together, they free you up to truly have a long-term perspective when you invest in stocks.\nThat long-term perspective is important because it provides the foundation of the biggest advantage you have against Wall Street: your patience. With a long-term perspective, the rest of your financial house in order, and decent valuations at your disposal, you can stay invested during and after a crash. That is absolutely key to being invested during any subsequent recovery, which is where the next round of wealth can be built.\nGet ready now for the next crash\nNone of us really know when the next stock market crash will happen, but we can be pretty sure that there will be another one headed our way. With the market near all-time highs and so many very clear economic risks in front of us, now could be a great time to make the adjustments you need to get prepared for that crash.\nBy balancing the tools you need to survive the next crash with a long term perspective for the money you're able to keep invested, you can be prepared no matter when that crash takes place. Get yourself ready now, and you will have the advantage of being ready before it happens, rather than trying to clean up after the fact.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":52,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":872759452,"gmtCreate":1637579060590,"gmtModify":1637579060590,"author":{"id":"4100179377007790","authorId":"4100179377007790","name":"FreyS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98f5090676ce4b07229d7b45da18de3b","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great post","listText":"Great post","text":"Great post","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872759452","repostId":"2185826772","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2185826772","pubTimestamp":1637573760,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2185826772?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-22 17:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is the Stock Market Going to Crash Again?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2185826772","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The next market crash is inevitable. Prepare while you can.","content":"<p>The market will crash again. That is inevitable. The only real question is when will it happen?</p>\n<p>Let's be clear: there are <i>lots </i>of reasons to believe the market could crash soon. Skyrocketing inflation , stretched valuations , and a critical labor shortage each could pose risks to the market on their own. Put them all together in a situation like we have today, and the danger certainly seems to multiply.</p>\n<p>Just because the market <i>could </i>crash soon doesn't mean it <i>will</i>, however. If it somehow manages to keep climbing, would you really want to be sitting on the sidelines, watching the purchasing power of your money evaporate to inflation?</p>\n<p>That combination of factors makes now <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the toughest times in most of our investing lifetimes to know what the best course of action should be. That might actually mean that there is no <i>single </i>best path forward and that the right approach could be to build a balance across the five options discussed here.</p>\n<h2>No. 1: Get out of (expensive) debt</h2>\n<p>If the market's massive run has left you in the position where you <i>could </i>pay off your debts, maybe that provides a good opportunity to <i>actually </i>do so. If not your entire debt burden, perhaps you could pay off everything but your fixed-rate, low interest mortgage?</p>\n<p>It might seem crazy to pay off debt when interest rates are so low and the market has seen such huge recent rises, but that could very well be the best time to do so. After all, if interest rates rise, that could both increase your debt service costs <i>and </i>cause at least some of your stocks to drop, catching you with a double-whammy. When you add in the fact your debt service costs need to be paid even if your stocks are way down, you get a situation where reducing or eliminating debt looks like a smart move.</p>\n<h2>No. 2: Build a cash buffer</h2>\n<p>In a world where inflation is running over 6%, having a lot of cash sitting around earning less than 1% might seem crazy. When viewed only on that basis, it is. When you recognize that market crashes and job losses often go hand in hand, having a decent cash buffer can be viewed as an insurance policy. At least for a little while, it can keep you from being forced to sell at the low due to lost income and buy you time to find alternatives.</p>\n<p>That said, with inflation running as hot as it is and cash returns failing to keep up, it might not be a good idea to hold too much cash. As a result, consider the standard guidance of three-to-six months' worth of basic living expenses as a reasonable \"goldilocks\" target.</p>\n<h2>No. 3: Plan for the big expenses coming your way soon</h2>\n<p>As a general rule, money you expect to spend within the next five years does not belong in stocks. If you have a big purchase coming up in that time window -- say a new car, a child's college education, or a bucket list vacation -- a market sitting near all-time highs can give you a great opportunity to sell.</p>\n<p>It's OK to sell enough stock to cover the costs of what you're buying in that window and any taxes you'll owe on your stock sale. Then, put the remaining money in something like a CD or Treasury or investment grade bonds that mature just before you'll need the money.</p>\n<p>No, you won't make stupendously high returns on that money, but you will also sleep more soundly knowing that a mere market crash won't automatically derail your near-term plans for that cash.</p>\n<h2>No. 4: Know a decent estimate of the value of what you own</h2>\n<p>Ultimately, stocks are nothing more than fractional ownership stakes in companies. Yes, their market prices can rise or fall a whole bunch in a very short period of time, but in the long run, stocks are tied to the cash generating capability of the businesses behind those shares.</p>\n<p>Using the discounted cash flow model and reasonable projections for the future of the company, you can estimate what that fair value would be. You can easily adjust your assumptions for a more aggressive growth future or a more pessimistic one as well, to get a feel for a range of potential values. You can then compare your model with the market's price and use that to inform your buy, sell, or hold decisions.</p>\n<p>If a company you own is priced so high by the market that even your most aggressive estimates for its future can't keep up, then it might be a good idea to sell it. On the flip side, if a company you own is available for such a dirt cheap price that even your pessimistic estimate is above the market's price for it, you might want to consider buying even more.</p>\n<p>The beauty of the discounted cash flow model is that it can help you make those buy/sell/hold decisions regardless of what the overall market is doing. As a result, it can help you both prepare for a crash by figuring out which companies to consider selling and invest through a crash by figuring out which ones are the biggest bargains worthy of buying.</p>\n<h2>No. 5: Invest with the long term in mind</h2>\n<p>With the first three options, you've taken great steps to protect yourself against many of the short term disruptions that can come from market crashes. With the fourth option, you've given yourself a tool to make smarter investing decisions around the time of a crash. Together, they free you up to truly have a long-term perspective when you invest in stocks.</p>\n<p>That long-term perspective is important because it provides the foundation of the biggest advantage you have against Wall Street: your patience. With a long-term perspective, the rest of your financial house in order, and decent valuations at your disposal, you can stay invested during and after a crash. That is absolutely key to being invested during any subsequent recovery, which is where the next round of wealth can be built.</p>\n<h2>Get ready now for the next crash</h2>\n<p>None of us really know when the next stock market crash will happen, but we can be pretty sure that there will be another one headed our way. With the market near all-time highs and so many very clear economic risks in front of us, now could be a great time to make the adjustments you need to get prepared for that crash.</p>\n<p>By balancing the tools you need to survive the next crash with a long term perspective for the money you're able to keep invested, you can be prepared no matter when that crash takes place. Get yourself ready now, and you will have the advantage of being ready before it happens, rather than trying to clean up after the fact.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the Stock Market Going to Crash Again?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the Stock Market Going to Crash Again?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-22 17:36 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/21/is-the-stock-market-going-to-crash-again/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The market will crash again. That is inevitable. The only real question is when will it happen?\nLet's be clear: there are lots of reasons to believe the market could crash soon. Skyrocketing inflation...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/21/is-the-stock-market-going-to-crash-again/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/21/is-the-stock-market-going-to-crash-again/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2185826772","content_text":"The market will crash again. That is inevitable. The only real question is when will it happen?\nLet's be clear: there are lots of reasons to believe the market could crash soon. Skyrocketing inflation , stretched valuations , and a critical labor shortage each could pose risks to the market on their own. Put them all together in a situation like we have today, and the danger certainly seems to multiply.\nJust because the market could crash soon doesn't mean it will, however. If it somehow manages to keep climbing, would you really want to be sitting on the sidelines, watching the purchasing power of your money evaporate to inflation?\nThat combination of factors makes now one of the toughest times in most of our investing lifetimes to know what the best course of action should be. That might actually mean that there is no single best path forward and that the right approach could be to build a balance across the five options discussed here.\nNo. 1: Get out of (expensive) debt\nIf the market's massive run has left you in the position where you could pay off your debts, maybe that provides a good opportunity to actually do so. If not your entire debt burden, perhaps you could pay off everything but your fixed-rate, low interest mortgage?\nIt might seem crazy to pay off debt when interest rates are so low and the market has seen such huge recent rises, but that could very well be the best time to do so. After all, if interest rates rise, that could both increase your debt service costs and cause at least some of your stocks to drop, catching you with a double-whammy. When you add in the fact your debt service costs need to be paid even if your stocks are way down, you get a situation where reducing or eliminating debt looks like a smart move.\nNo. 2: Build a cash buffer\nIn a world where inflation is running over 6%, having a lot of cash sitting around earning less than 1% might seem crazy. When viewed only on that basis, it is. When you recognize that market crashes and job losses often go hand in hand, having a decent cash buffer can be viewed as an insurance policy. At least for a little while, it can keep you from being forced to sell at the low due to lost income and buy you time to find alternatives.\nThat said, with inflation running as hot as it is and cash returns failing to keep up, it might not be a good idea to hold too much cash. As a result, consider the standard guidance of three-to-six months' worth of basic living expenses as a reasonable \"goldilocks\" target.\nNo. 3: Plan for the big expenses coming your way soon\nAs a general rule, money you expect to spend within the next five years does not belong in stocks. If you have a big purchase coming up in that time window -- say a new car, a child's college education, or a bucket list vacation -- a market sitting near all-time highs can give you a great opportunity to sell.\nIt's OK to sell enough stock to cover the costs of what you're buying in that window and any taxes you'll owe on your stock sale. Then, put the remaining money in something like a CD or Treasury or investment grade bonds that mature just before you'll need the money.\nNo, you won't make stupendously high returns on that money, but you will also sleep more soundly knowing that a mere market crash won't automatically derail your near-term plans for that cash.\nNo. 4: Know a decent estimate of the value of what you own\nUltimately, stocks are nothing more than fractional ownership stakes in companies. Yes, their market prices can rise or fall a whole bunch in a very short period of time, but in the long run, stocks are tied to the cash generating capability of the businesses behind those shares.\nUsing the discounted cash flow model and reasonable projections for the future of the company, you can estimate what that fair value would be. You can easily adjust your assumptions for a more aggressive growth future or a more pessimistic one as well, to get a feel for a range of potential values. You can then compare your model with the market's price and use that to inform your buy, sell, or hold decisions.\nIf a company you own is priced so high by the market that even your most aggressive estimates for its future can't keep up, then it might be a good idea to sell it. On the flip side, if a company you own is available for such a dirt cheap price that even your pessimistic estimate is above the market's price for it, you might want to consider buying even more.\nThe beauty of the discounted cash flow model is that it can help you make those buy/sell/hold decisions regardless of what the overall market is doing. As a result, it can help you both prepare for a crash by figuring out which companies to consider selling and invest through a crash by figuring out which ones are the biggest bargains worthy of buying.\nNo. 5: Invest with the long term in mind\nWith the first three options, you've taken great steps to protect yourself against many of the short term disruptions that can come from market crashes. With the fourth option, you've given yourself a tool to make smarter investing decisions around the time of a crash. Together, they free you up to truly have a long-term perspective when you invest in stocks.\nThat long-term perspective is important because it provides the foundation of the biggest advantage you have against Wall Street: your patience. With a long-term perspective, the rest of your financial house in order, and decent valuations at your disposal, you can stay invested during and after a crash. That is absolutely key to being invested during any subsequent recovery, which is where the next round of wealth can be built.\nGet ready now for the next crash\nNone of us really know when the next stock market crash will happen, but we can be pretty sure that there will be another one headed our way. With the market near all-time highs and so many very clear economic risks in front of us, now could be a great time to make the adjustments you need to get prepared for that crash.\nBy balancing the tools you need to survive the next crash with a long term perspective for the money you're able to keep invested, you can be prepared no matter when that crash takes place. Get yourself ready now, and you will have the advantage of being ready before it happens, rather than trying to clean up after the fact.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":52,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":874527667,"gmtCreate":1637803644650,"gmtModify":1637803644650,"author":{"id":"4100179377007790","authorId":"4100179377007790","name":"FreyS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98f5090676ce4b07229d7b45da18de3b","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool] ","listText":"[Cool] ","text":"[Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/874527667","repostId":"2185387115","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":86,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
