+关注
E1
暂无个人介绍
IP属地:未知
235
关注
3
粉丝
0
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
E1
2021-12-17
Very good
抱歉,原内容已删除
E1
2021-12-12
Yes
国盛宏观:美国通胀即将迎来拐点
E1
2021-10-31
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!
E1
2021-10-30
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!
E1
2021-10-29
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!
E1
2021-10-29
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!
E1
2021-10-19
Ok
美联航Q3营收77.5亿美元,调整后亏损低于预期
E1
2021-10-03
Yes
史上最强收视冠军!《鱿鱼游戏》这么火,奈飞都没想到
E1
2021-10-03
Yes
抱歉,原内容已删除
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"4096237348804660","uuid":"4096237348804660","gmtCreate":1633138029392,"gmtModify":1633166013450,"name":"E1","pinyin":"e1","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f887693ed3474f48db5ad78f0799734","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":3,"headSize":235,"tweetSize":9,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖(非转发)","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.02.27","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-1","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"精英交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到30次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0f87127c854ce3191a752d57b46edc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9835ce48b8c8743566d344ac7a7ba8c","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76754b53ce7a90019f132c1d2fbc698f","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.11.15","exceedPercentage":"60.17%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.28","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":3,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":699047164,"gmtCreate":1639729375157,"gmtModify":1639729375310,"author":{"id":"4096237348804660","authorId":"4096237348804660","name":"E1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f887693ed3474f48db5ad78f0799734","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4096237348804660","authorIdStr":"4096237348804660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Very good","listText":"Very good","text":"Very good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699047164","repostId":"2192929891","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1405,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604389107,"gmtCreate":1639350034458,"gmtModify":1639350034533,"author":{"id":"4096237348804660","authorId":"4096237348804660","name":"E1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f887693ed3474f48db5ad78f0799734","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4096237348804660","authorIdStr":"4096237348804660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604389107","repostId":"2190674948","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2190674948","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1639287807,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2190674948?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-12 13:43","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"国盛宏观:美国通胀即将迎来拐点","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2190674948","media":"格隆汇","summary":"事件:北京时间12月10日21:30,美国公布11月CPI数据。\n核心结论:\n1、美国11月未季调CPI同比6.8%,符合预期,高于前值6.2%;核心CPI同比4.9%,符合预期,高于前值4.6%。分","content":"<p><b>事件:</b>北京时间12月10日21:30,美国公布11月CPI数据。</p>\n<p><b>核心结论:</b></p>\n<p>1、美国11月未季调CPI同比6.8%,符合预期,高于前值6.2%;核心CPI同比4.9%,符合预期,高于前值4.6%。分项来看,能源和二手车依然是涨幅最大的两个分项,食品价格同比涨幅也有所扩大,服务分项价格上涨不明显。</p>\n<p>2、美国CPI数据公布后,美元指数和美债收益率均快速下行,美联储加息预期小幅降温。背后的逻辑在于,当前市场的通胀恐慌情绪已发酵得非常充分,在此背景下,“符合预期”即“不及预期”。</p>\n<p>3、要判断通胀的影响,需厘清实际通胀、通胀预期、加息预期之间的关系。概况而言,通胀预期和加息预期均跟随实际通胀变化,但二者均是只反映了即期通胀,没有包含对长期通胀走势的判断。这也意味着,一旦通胀数据开始回落,通胀预期和加息预期均会降温。</p>\n<p>4、美国通胀展望:美国CPI同比大概率在12月或1月出现拐点,随后持续回落,到2022年底有望降至2-3%。美联储货币政策方面:12/16的FOMC会议上可能宣布加速Taper,从而将于2022年3月结束购债。我们的中性预期仍是2022年加息1次,若通胀回落较为缓慢同时就业状况超预期改善,不排除可能加息2次,目前市场对加息超过2次的定价有些过高。</p>\n<p>5、大类资产展望:维持我们海外年度报告的观点:2022年美元指数大概率上涨,高点可能破100;美债名义利率更有可能温和下行,但实际利率可能上行;美国通胀出现拐点后,黄金大概率重回下跌通道;美股以震荡调整为主,难持续大幅上涨。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6911c7acd0bc555a83a0f76e9f8c3c8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"760\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>正文如下:</b></p>\n<h3>1、美国11月CPI同比继续上行,能源价格仍是最大的驱动因素</h3>\n<p>>整体表现:美国11月未季调CPI同比6.8%,符合预期,高于前值6.2%,创1983年来最高;核心CPI同比4.9%,符合预期,高于前值4.6%,创1992年来最高。</p>\n<p>>分项来看:能源和二手车依然是涨幅最大的两个分项,分别同比上涨33.5%、31.4%,较前值分别提高3.5、5.0个百分点;食品分项同比上涨6.1%,较前值提高0.8个百分点;服务分项同比上涨3.4%,较前值提高0.1个百分点。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3d91a2e0bba8635a3c688c6067ee392\" tg-width=\"1075\" tg-height=\"783\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<h3>2、为何通胀创新高,美元指数与美债收益率却在下行?</h3>\n<p>自2021年初以来,几乎每个月的美国CPI同比都高于市场预期,且不断创下过去数十年新高,导致通胀恐慌情绪不断加剧。在此背景下,“符合预期”即“不及预期”,也就是说,即使通胀仍在上行,但只要没有超预期,市场就会认为通胀压力即将缓解。典型代表是今年7-9月,实际CPI数据与市场一致预期差别不大,通胀担忧暂时缓解,10Y美债收益率由1.5%降至1.2%。但自10月初以来,由于OPEC+不扩大增产和欧洲天然气危机,能源价格持续大幅上涨,导致通胀担忧再度加剧。</p>\n<p>本次美国CPI数据公布后,美元指数由96.4快速下跌至96.0左右;10Y美债收益率由1.52%一度下行至最低1.45%,最终收盘在1.49%;联邦基金利率期货隐含的2022年加息次数由2.9次回落至2.66次。资产价格和加息预期的这一表现,正是反映了“符合预期”即“不及预期”这一逻辑。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f046967e71522f9b2bdd71fc71d5ef1\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"757\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7276e873e4d6ef26004d37f44e5af48c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"760\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4cda9d64ff883e6d0ebb92726753e8e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"761\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8732c6732b6d28949d0db8232cf269e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"758\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<h3>3、要判断通胀的影响,需厘清实际通胀、通胀预期、加息预期之间的关系</h3>\n<p>概况而言,通胀预期和加息预期均跟随实际通胀变化,但二者均是只反映了即期通胀,没有包含对长期通胀走势的判断。不论美债隐含的市场通胀预期(美债与TIPS利差),还是纽约联储调查的消费者通胀预期,均与美国CPI同比走势高度一致。同时,利率期货隐含的加息预期与美债隐含的通胀预期走势高度一致。</p>\n<p>实际上,彭博最新的一致预期显示,市场预计2022Q4美国CPI同比将降至2.6%,PCE通胀将降至2.3%,核心PCE通胀将降至2.5%,这与我们年度海外报告中的测算较为接近。若认为通胀会持续回落至仅略高于美联储的政策目标,则不应预期2022年会加息接近3次。这反映出,利率期货隐含的加息预期更多反映了即期通胀表现,一旦通胀开始回落,加息预期也将开始降温。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6b8f54aed9e3a7f1ce179712ddedaaf\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"759\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66e9a8ddd0478e6f39b9f22fb505ab17\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b09b912e0b136635bbecb39ac85619cd\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"741\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/593494ea4dcb980cbf9112b3e881077a\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"741\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<h3>4、美国通胀可能在12月或1月出现拐点,随后美联储加息预期将有所降温</h3>\n<p>>美国通胀走势:在前期报告中我们曾多次指出,美国通胀是“能源分项决定方向,其他分项决定幅度”,此外,原油价格同比领先CPI能源分项同比1-2月。根据我们在海外年度报告《反转之年——2022年海外宏观展望》中的分析,2022年原油价格大概率下跌,实际上自11月初以来油价已经下跌了超过13%,以12月至今的价格计算,油价同比已由10月的101.7%回落至44.3%。因此,美国通胀可能在12月或明年1月出现拐点,随后持续回落,到2022年底预计将降至2-3%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faefadef8d850157275f324a2b6fdd45\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"758\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6911c7acd0bc555a83a0f76e9f8c3c8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"760\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>>美联储货币政策:从近期鲍威尔和其他美联储官员表态来看,美联储很有可能会在12/16的FOMC会议上宣布加快Taper,从明年1月开始将缩债规模从150亿提高到300亿,从而将于2022年3月结束购债。但我们认为这并不意味着加息节奏会进一步加快,随着美国通胀见顶回落、经济持续放缓,叠加Omicron病毒的冲击,我们的中性预期仍是2022年加息1次,若通胀回落较为缓慢同时就业状况超预期改善,不排除可能加息2次,相比之下,目前市场对加息超过2次的定价有些过高。等到美国通胀出现拐点后,市场加息预期大概率会有所降温。</p>\n<p>>资产价格展望:维持我们海外年度报告的观点:2022年美元指数大概率上涨,高点可能破100;美债名义利率更有可能温和下行,但实际利率可能上行;美国通胀出现拐点后,黄金大概率重回下跌通道;美股以震荡调整为主,难持续大幅上涨。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d63c96c1d176de45a463f56f93840f10\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"761\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ced62d1287055296b75a2245e755593\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"762\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>风险提示:</b></p>\n<p><b>美国通胀持续超预期,美联储政策立场超预期变化。</b></p>","source":"gelonghui_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>国盛宏观:美国通胀即将迎来拐点</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n国盛宏观:美国通胀即将迎来拐点\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-12 13:43 北京时间 <a href=http://www.gelonghui.com/p/500534><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>事件:北京时间12月10日21:30,美国公布11月CPI数据。\n核心结论:\n1、美国11月未季调CPI同比6.8%,符合预期,高于前值6.2%;核心CPI同比4.9%,符合预期,高于前值4.6%。分项来看,能源和二手车依然是涨幅最大的两个分项,食品价格同比涨幅也有所扩大,服务分项价格上涨不明显。\n2、美国CPI数据公布后,美元指数和美债收益率均快速下行,美联储加息预期小幅降温。背后的逻辑在于,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.gelonghui.com/p/500534\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"http://www.gelonghui.com/p/500534","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","article_id":"2190674948","content_text":"事件:北京时间12月10日21:30,美国公布11月CPI数据。\n核心结论:\n1、美国11月未季调CPI同比6.8%,符合预期,高于前值6.2%;核心CPI同比4.9%,符合预期,高于前值4.6%。分项来看,能源和二手车依然是涨幅最大的两个分项,食品价格同比涨幅也有所扩大,服务分项价格上涨不明显。\n2、美国CPI数据公布后,美元指数和美债收益率均快速下行,美联储加息预期小幅降温。背后的逻辑在于,当前市场的通胀恐慌情绪已发酵得非常充分,在此背景下,“符合预期”即“不及预期”。\n3、要判断通胀的影响,需厘清实际通胀、通胀预期、加息预期之间的关系。概况而言,通胀预期和加息预期均跟随实际通胀变化,但二者均是只反映了即期通胀,没有包含对长期通胀走势的判断。这也意味着,一旦通胀数据开始回落,通胀预期和加息预期均会降温。\n4、美国通胀展望:美国CPI同比大概率在12月或1月出现拐点,随后持续回落,到2022年底有望降至2-3%。美联储货币政策方面:12/16的FOMC会议上可能宣布加速Taper,从而将于2022年3月结束购债。我们的中性预期仍是2022年加息1次,若通胀回落较为缓慢同时就业状况超预期改善,不排除可能加息2次,目前市场对加息超过2次的定价有些过高。\n5、大类资产展望:维持我们海外年度报告的观点:2022年美元指数大概率上涨,高点可能破100;美债名义利率更有可能温和下行,但实际利率可能上行;美国通胀出现拐点后,黄金大概率重回下跌通道;美股以震荡调整为主,难持续大幅上涨。\n\n正文如下:\n1、美国11月CPI同比继续上行,能源价格仍是最大的驱动因素\n>整体表现:美国11月未季调CPI同比6.8%,符合预期,高于前值6.2%,创1983年来最高;核心CPI同比4.9%,符合预期,高于前值4.6%,创1992年来最高。\n>分项来看:能源和二手车依然是涨幅最大的两个分项,分别同比上涨33.5%、31.4%,较前值分别提高3.5、5.0个百分点;食品分项同比上涨6.1%,较前值提高0.8个百分点;服务分项同比上涨3.4%,较前值提高0.1个百分点。\n\n2、为何通胀创新高,美元指数与美债收益率却在下行?\n自2021年初以来,几乎每个月的美国CPI同比都高于市场预期,且不断创下过去数十年新高,导致通胀恐慌情绪不断加剧。在此背景下,“符合预期”即“不及预期”,也就是说,即使通胀仍在上行,但只要没有超预期,市场就会认为通胀压力即将缓解。典型代表是今年7-9月,实际CPI数据与市场一致预期差别不大,通胀担忧暂时缓解,10Y美债收益率由1.5%降至1.2%。但自10月初以来,由于OPEC+不扩大增产和欧洲天然气危机,能源价格持续大幅上涨,导致通胀担忧再度加剧。\n本次美国CPI数据公布后,美元指数由96.4快速下跌至96.0左右;10Y美债收益率由1.52%一度下行至最低1.45%,最终收盘在1.49%;联邦基金利率期货隐含的2022年加息次数由2.9次回落至2.66次。资产价格和加息预期的这一表现,正是反映了“符合预期”即“不及预期”这一逻辑。\n\n\n\n\n3、要判断通胀的影响,需厘清实际通胀、通胀预期、加息预期之间的关系\n概况而言,通胀预期和加息预期均跟随实际通胀变化,但二者均是只反映了即期通胀,没有包含对长期通胀走势的判断。不论美债隐含的市场通胀预期(美债与TIPS利差),还是纽约联储调查的消费者通胀预期,均与美国CPI同比走势高度一致。同时,利率期货隐含的加息预期与美债隐含的通胀预期走势高度一致。\n实际上,彭博最新的一致预期显示,市场预计2022Q4美国CPI同比将降至2.6%,PCE通胀将降至2.3%,核心PCE通胀将降至2.5%,这与我们年度海外报告中的测算较为接近。若认为通胀会持续回落至仅略高于美联储的政策目标,则不应预期2022年会加息接近3次。这反映出,利率期货隐含的加息预期更多反映了即期通胀表现,一旦通胀开始回落,加息预期也将开始降温。\n\n\n\n\n4、美国通胀可能在12月或1月出现拐点,随后美联储加息预期将有所降温\n>美国通胀走势:在前期报告中我们曾多次指出,美国通胀是“能源分项决定方向,其他分项决定幅度”,此外,原油价格同比领先CPI能源分项同比1-2月。根据我们在海外年度报告《反转之年——2022年海外宏观展望》中的分析,2022年原油价格大概率下跌,实际上自11月初以来油价已经下跌了超过13%,以12月至今的价格计算,油价同比已由10月的101.7%回落至44.3%。因此,美国通胀可能在12月或明年1月出现拐点,随后持续回落,到2022年底预计将降至2-3%。\n\n\n>美联储货币政策:从近期鲍威尔和其他美联储官员表态来看,美联储很有可能会在12/16的FOMC会议上宣布加快Taper,从明年1月开始将缩债规模从150亿提高到300亿,从而将于2022年3月结束购债。但我们认为这并不意味着加息节奏会进一步加快,随着美国通胀见顶回落、经济持续放缓,叠加Omicron病毒的冲击,我们的中性预期仍是2022年加息1次,若通胀回落较为缓慢同时就业状况超预期改善,不排除可能加息2次,相比之下,目前市场对加息超过2次的定价有些过高。等到美国通胀出现拐点后,市场加息预期大概率会有所降温。\n>资产价格展望:维持我们海外年度报告的观点:2022年美元指数大概率上涨,高点可能破100;美债名义利率更有可能温和下行,但实际利率可能上行;美国通胀出现拐点后,黄金大概率重回下跌通道;美股以震荡调整为主,难持续大幅上涨。\n\n\n风险提示:\n美国通胀持续超预期,美联储政策立场超预期变化。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849023067,"gmtCreate":1635717299933,"gmtModify":1635717299933,"author":{"id":"4096237348804660","authorId":"4096237348804660","name":"E1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f887693ed3474f48db5ad78f0799734","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4096237348804660","authorIdStr":"4096237348804660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849023067","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1934,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840827594,"gmtCreate":1635636714566,"gmtModify":1635636714566,"author":{"id":"4096237348804660","authorId":"4096237348804660","name":"E1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f887693ed3474f48db5ad78f0799734","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4096237348804660","authorIdStr":"4096237348804660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840827594","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857561805,"gmtCreate":1635550024205,"gmtModify":1635550024335,"author":{"id":"4096237348804660","authorId":"4096237348804660","name":"E1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f887693ed3474f48db5ad78f0799734","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4096237348804660","authorIdStr":"4096237348804660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857561805","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1517,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857807897,"gmtCreate":1635516379860,"gmtModify":1635516379860,"author":{"id":"4096237348804660","authorId":"4096237348804660","name":"E1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f887693ed3474f48db5ad78f0799734","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4096237348804660","authorIdStr":"4096237348804660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857807897","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859813949,"gmtCreate":1634686487090,"gmtModify":1634686487184,"author":{"id":"4096237348804660","authorId":"4096237348804660","name":"E1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f887693ed3474f48db5ad78f0799734","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4096237348804660","authorIdStr":"4096237348804660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859813949","repostId":"2176764104","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2176764104","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634684382,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2176764104?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-20 06:59","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美联航Q3营收77.5亿美元,调整后亏损低于预期","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2176764104","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美东时间10月19日(周二)美股盘后,美联航公布了截至2021年9月30日的第三季度财务报告。财报显示,美联航Q3营收77.5亿美元,去年同期24.89亿美元,同比增长211.4%;净利润4.73亿美元,去年同期净亏损18.41亿美元;摊薄后每股收益为1.44美元,去年同期每股亏损为6.33美元。财报显示,与第二季度相比,美联航三季度恢复了23条国内航线,13条国际航线的直飞业务。","content":"<p>美东时间10月19日(周二)美股盘后,美联航(UAL)公布了截至2021年9月30日的第三季度财务报告。财报显示,美联航(UAL.US)Q3营收77.5亿美元,去年同期24.89亿美元,同比增长211.4%;净利润4.73亿美元,去年同期净亏损18.41亿美元;摊薄后每股收益为1.44美元,去年同期每股亏损为6.33美元。</p>\n<p>调整后非GAAP净亏损为3.29亿美元,去年同期非GAAP净亏损为23.74亿美元;调整后每股亏损为1.02美元,去年同期亏损8.16美元。</p>\n<p>财报显示,与第二季度相比,美联航三季度恢复了23条国内航线,13条国际航线的直飞业务。</p>\n<p>该公司是美国第一家要求其员工接种新冠疫苗的商业航空公司,接种率高达99.7%。</p>\n<p>展望未来,该公司预计四季度载客量将比2019年同期下降约23%,总收入将比2019年同期下降25%-30%。</p>\n<p>公司表示,虽然第三季度受到新冠病毒Delta变种的影响,但公司仍有信心实现其在今年夏天早些时候制定的长期财务目标。</p>\n<p>财报公布后,美联航盘后股价涨2.23%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6e582dd7c12c99784208cec4865c6e3\" tg-width=\"716\" tg-height=\"525\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联航Q3营收77.5亿美元,调整后亏损低于预期</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联航Q3营收77.5亿美元,调整后亏损低于预期\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-20 06:59</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>美东时间10月19日(周二)美股盘后,美联航(UAL)公布了截至2021年9月30日的第三季度财务报告。财报显示,美联航(UAL.US)Q3营收77.5亿美元,去年同期24.89亿美元,同比增长211.4%;净利润4.73亿美元,去年同期净亏损18.41亿美元;摊薄后每股收益为1.44美元,去年同期每股亏损为6.33美元。</p>\n<p>调整后非GAAP净亏损为3.29亿美元,去年同期非GAAP净亏损为23.74亿美元;调整后每股亏损为1.02美元,去年同期亏损8.16美元。</p>\n<p>财报显示,与第二季度相比,美联航三季度恢复了23条国内航线,13条国际航线的直飞业务。</p>\n<p>该公司是美国第一家要求其员工接种新冠疫苗的商业航空公司,接种率高达99.7%。</p>\n<p>展望未来,该公司预计四季度载客量将比2019年同期下降约23%,总收入将比2019年同期下降25%-30%。</p>\n<p>公司表示,虽然第三季度受到新冠病毒Delta变种的影响,但公司仍有信心实现其在今年夏天早些时候制定的长期财务目标。</p>\n<p>财报公布后,美联航盘后股价涨2.23%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6e582dd7c12c99784208cec4865c6e3\" tg-width=\"716\" tg-height=\"525\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/411c6ea7e969aee81c7c240d3341abef","relate_stocks":{"UAL":"联合大陆航空"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2176764104","content_text":"美东时间10月19日(周二)美股盘后,美联航(UAL)公布了截至2021年9月30日的第三季度财务报告。财报显示,美联航(UAL.US)Q3营收77.5亿美元,去年同期24.89亿美元,同比增长211.4%;净利润4.73亿美元,去年同期净亏损18.41亿美元;摊薄后每股收益为1.44美元,去年同期每股亏损为6.33美元。\n调整后非GAAP净亏损为3.29亿美元,去年同期非GAAP净亏损为23.74亿美元;调整后每股亏损为1.02美元,去年同期亏损8.16美元。\n财报显示,与第二季度相比,美联航三季度恢复了23条国内航线,13条国际航线的直飞业务。\n该公司是美国第一家要求其员工接种新冠疫苗的商业航空公司,接种率高达99.7%。\n展望未来,该公司预计四季度载客量将比2019年同期下降约23%,总收入将比2019年同期下降25%-30%。\n公司表示,虽然第三季度受到新冠病毒Delta变种的影响,但公司仍有信心实现其在今年夏天早些时候制定的长期财务目标。\n财报公布后,美联航盘后股价涨2.23%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867575450,"gmtCreate":1633305111478,"gmtModify":1633305167455,"author":{"id":"4096237348804660","authorId":"4096237348804660","name":"E1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f887693ed3474f48db5ad78f0799734","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4096237348804660","authorIdStr":"4096237348804660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867575450","repostId":"2172964085","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2172964085","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1633304740,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2172964085?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-04 07:45","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"史上最强收视冠军!《鱿鱼游戏》这么火,奈飞都没想到","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2172964085","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"以生存游戏为主线的韩剧《鱿鱼游戏》一经放映就大获全胜,不仅有望创下奈飞的收视纪录,更是持续吸引着全球范围内的观众。","content":"<p>Netflix于9月17日放映的《鱿鱼游戏》(Squid Game)的原剧本曾经一度无人问津。</p>\n<p>十年来,这部关于生存游戏的反乌托邦韩剧一直被认为是荒诞和不现实的,但现在却有望登顶Netflix有史以来的收视冠军。</p>\n<h2>风靡全球 创下收视神话</h2>\n<p>在过去的十年里,韩国当地的影视公司一直以其荒诞和不现实为由,拒绝接受拍摄这部虚构的电视剧。</p>\n<p>但如今,《鱿鱼游戏》却成为了一种现象级的剧集:人们在网上疯传其中的儿童游戏的TikTok视频,而在线零售商也在争相出售剧集中的万圣节服装。</p>\n<p>这部剧在包括美国在内的90多个国家观看量排名第一,这甚至让Netflix的高管们都感到意外。</p>\n<p>Netflix亚太地区创意活动的负责人Minyoung Kim表示,从各方面来看,这部韩剧的总观看时<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00001\">长和</a>观看至少两分钟的用户数量都有望超过Netflix目前的最高纪录——《布里奇顿(Bridgerton)》和《绅士怪盗(Lupin)》。</p>\n<p>Netflix在YouTube上发布的《鱿鱼游戏》预告片播放量已经超过1400万,是上面两部剧的两倍多。</p>\n<p>据华尔街日报报道,Kim表示:</p>\n<blockquote>\n 《鱿鱼游戏》仍在持续风靡全球,我们从来没有见过任何作品像它这样如此受欢迎。\n</blockquote>\n<p>Kim还表示,该剧虽然非常具有韩国特色,但更具有全球范围内的吸引力,因为它提出了一个简单的道德问题:我们是谁?</p>\n<p>“我们不是马,我们是人类。”她表示,“这才是这部剧真正想要抛给你的问题。”</p>\n<p>出版过一本关于韩国音乐产业的书的Kim教授对此表示:</p>\n<blockquote>\n 韩国不再是一个只存在某种特定的粉丝文化的国度。\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 它是一个主要的文化中心,并在好莱坞和公告牌排行榜上的地位不断上升。\n</blockquote>\n<p>Netflix于2016年开始在韩国开展业务,其引进了80多部韩国电影和电视剧。在过去两年里,观看韩剧的美国人数量翻了一番。</p>\n<p>《鱿鱼游戏》约95%的观众在韩国以外的其他国家。Netflix表示,该剧集已被翻译成31种语言,并被配音成13种语言。</p>\n<p>这一成果也代表着Netflix多年来对韩国影视作平投资带来的回报。Netflix表示,从2015年到2020年,它为韩国电影和电视剧投资了约7亿美元。仅在今年,Netflix就计划投资5亿美元。</p>\n<p>《鱿鱼游戏》大受欢迎之际,Netflix也面临着前所未有的竞争,竞争对手都在寻找能够吸引全球观众眼球的原创作品,使自己的作品脱颖而出。</p>\n<p>周五,Netflix股价以613.15美元收盘,其在过去几天《鱿鱼游戏》大火以来已经涨超4%,年初至今已经涨近20%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb99b5b9b8c111c1744987fff42bfec0\" tg-width=\"1382\" tg-height=\"1016\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<h2>以儿童游戏贯穿故事</h2>\n<p>这部韩国电视剧以一场残忍的生存游戏为主线,内容极为暴力惊悚,呈现出资本主义社会的残酷,又揭露人性丑恶的一面。</p>\n<p>故事发生在一个与世隔绝的岛上,456名因欠债而陷入绝望的玩家收到神秘邀请参加一个生存游戏。如果赢得六轮游戏的胜利,胜利者将可以获得456亿韩元(约3900万美元)的奖金,而失败者将付出生命的代价。</p>\n<p>游戏项目都是韩国的传统的儿童游戏,如“一二三木头人”等。</p>\n<p>据BBC报道,《鱿鱼游戏》导演黄东赫在一次采访中表示:</p>\n<blockquote>\n 正是那种看不到希望的成年人冒着生命危险参加一场儿童游戏的讽刺感吸引了人们的注意。\n</blockquote>\n<p>专家们还将此剧的成功归功于角色设计,其中许多人物都属于社会的边缘人物。</p>\n<h2>大获全胜的关键:跨越文化差异</h2>\n<p>该剧虽然以韩国人的儿时游戏为主,却可以跨越文化差异让其他国家的观众产生共鸣。</p>\n<p>学者分析,这是因为该剧主题让人们可以很轻易的“感同身受”,因此文化差异并不会影响观众感受。</p>\n<p>据德国之声报道,长年研究韩国流行文化的菲律宾大学副教授Erik Paolo Capistrano指出,观众意识到这些人可能存在在社会中,他们的故事是如此真实导致他们必须做这些可怕的事情,为了脱离贫困,心甘情愿地接受严酷条件。</p>\n<p>他观察到:“很多菲律宾人将‘鱿鱼游戏’的剧情与他们目前对自身社会现状的理解连在一起。”</p>\n<p>中国台湾政治大学韩国语文学系助理教授林侑毅也说,底层的人为了拿到金钱,展现人性的丑恶和光辉,观众不只能看到紧张刺激的游戏,还会看到底层社会人与人间的竞争与争夺,这些“探讨人性及社会议题,已经跳脱韩国社会框架,不同国家的人都能与自身经验产生共鸣”。</p>\n<p>林侑毅分析,这些元素跟韩流风潮结合,往欧美国家传播,<b>对西方观众而言,这是新奇的东方或韩国元素,他们会希望通过戏剧更了解<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCG\">东方文化</a>。</b></p>\n<p><b>在展现人性的同时,该剧也向观众抛出了另一个社会问题——公平正义。</b></p>\n<p>剧中负责游戏竞赛的人曾经说过:“参与游戏的人都是平等的,这是因为我们要给在外界受不平待遇和歧视的人,赢得公平竞争的最后机会。”</p>\n<p>韩国精神科医生李日俊向德国之声表示:“‘鱿鱼游戏’虽然很刺激紧张,但它的确触动了我们社会潜意识中根深蒂固的虚脱与无力感。”他指出,“鱿鱼游戏”提供一个反思的机会,让我们思考在现代资本主义社会竞争激烈的体系中,每个人是否都享有平等的机会,能否光靠自己能力来达到成就,而无需其他人的牺牲或计谋。</p>\n<p>曾赴韩国当交换学生、来自中国台湾的李宜庭指出,在接受教育与成长的过程中,被教导被强调公平正义的重要性,但实际上在社会中仍存有诸多不平等以及特权事件,这部戏让我们感受到“写实与现实”,进而反思并产生共鸣。</p>\n<p>韩国祥明大学全球文化内容系教授金平江向BBC表示:“剧中人物似乎可以引起人们、尤其是经常感到疏离感和不忿的年轻一代的同情。”</p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>史上最强收视冠军!《鱿鱼游戏》这么火,奈飞都没想到</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n史上最强收视冠军!《鱿鱼游戏》这么火,奈飞都没想到\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-04 07:45 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3641667><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Netflix于9月17日放映的《鱿鱼游戏》(Squid Game)的原剧本曾经一度无人问津。\n十年来,这部关于生存游戏的反乌托邦韩剧一直被认为是荒诞和不现实的,但现在却有望登顶Netflix有史以来的收视冠军。\n风靡全球 创下收视神话\n在过去的十年里,韩国当地的影视公司一直以其荒诞和不现实为由,拒绝接受拍摄这部虚构的电视剧。\n但如今,《鱿鱼游戏》却成为了一种现象级的剧集:人们在网上疯传其中的儿童...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3641667\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79263a79f9e8ee6c464a9718013bd988","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3641667","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2172964085","content_text":"Netflix于9月17日放映的《鱿鱼游戏》(Squid Game)的原剧本曾经一度无人问津。\n十年来,这部关于生存游戏的反乌托邦韩剧一直被认为是荒诞和不现实的,但现在却有望登顶Netflix有史以来的收视冠军。\n风靡全球 创下收视神话\n在过去的十年里,韩国当地的影视公司一直以其荒诞和不现实为由,拒绝接受拍摄这部虚构的电视剧。\n但如今,《鱿鱼游戏》却成为了一种现象级的剧集:人们在网上疯传其中的儿童游戏的TikTok视频,而在线零售商也在争相出售剧集中的万圣节服装。\n这部剧在包括美国在内的90多个国家观看量排名第一,这甚至让Netflix的高管们都感到意外。\nNetflix亚太地区创意活动的负责人Minyoung Kim表示,从各方面来看,这部韩剧的总观看时长和观看至少两分钟的用户数量都有望超过Netflix目前的最高纪录——《布里奇顿(Bridgerton)》和《绅士怪盗(Lupin)》。\nNetflix在YouTube上发布的《鱿鱼游戏》预告片播放量已经超过1400万,是上面两部剧的两倍多。\n据华尔街日报报道,Kim表示:\n\n 《鱿鱼游戏》仍在持续风靡全球,我们从来没有见过任何作品像它这样如此受欢迎。\n\nKim还表示,该剧虽然非常具有韩国特色,但更具有全球范围内的吸引力,因为它提出了一个简单的道德问题:我们是谁?\n“我们不是马,我们是人类。”她表示,“这才是这部剧真正想要抛给你的问题。”\n出版过一本关于韩国音乐产业的书的Kim教授对此表示:\n\n 韩国不再是一个只存在某种特定的粉丝文化的国度。\n\n\n 它是一个主要的文化中心,并在好莱坞和公告牌排行榜上的地位不断上升。\n\nNetflix于2016年开始在韩国开展业务,其引进了80多部韩国电影和电视剧。在过去两年里,观看韩剧的美国人数量翻了一番。\n《鱿鱼游戏》约95%的观众在韩国以外的其他国家。Netflix表示,该剧集已被翻译成31种语言,并被配音成13种语言。\n这一成果也代表着Netflix多年来对韩国影视作平投资带来的回报。Netflix表示,从2015年到2020年,它为韩国电影和电视剧投资了约7亿美元。仅在今年,Netflix就计划投资5亿美元。\n《鱿鱼游戏》大受欢迎之际,Netflix也面临着前所未有的竞争,竞争对手都在寻找能够吸引全球观众眼球的原创作品,使自己的作品脱颖而出。\n周五,Netflix股价以613.15美元收盘,其在过去几天《鱿鱼游戏》大火以来已经涨超4%,年初至今已经涨近20%。\n\n以儿童游戏贯穿故事\n这部韩国电视剧以一场残忍的生存游戏为主线,内容极为暴力惊悚,呈现出资本主义社会的残酷,又揭露人性丑恶的一面。\n故事发生在一个与世隔绝的岛上,456名因欠债而陷入绝望的玩家收到神秘邀请参加一个生存游戏。如果赢得六轮游戏的胜利,胜利者将可以获得456亿韩元(约3900万美元)的奖金,而失败者将付出生命的代价。\n游戏项目都是韩国的传统的儿童游戏,如“一二三木头人”等。\n据BBC报道,《鱿鱼游戏》导演黄东赫在一次采访中表示:\n\n 正是那种看不到希望的成年人冒着生命危险参加一场儿童游戏的讽刺感吸引了人们的注意。\n\n专家们还将此剧的成功归功于角色设计,其中许多人物都属于社会的边缘人物。\n大获全胜的关键:跨越文化差异\n该剧虽然以韩国人的儿时游戏为主,却可以跨越文化差异让其他国家的观众产生共鸣。\n学者分析,这是因为该剧主题让人们可以很轻易的“感同身受”,因此文化差异并不会影响观众感受。\n据德国之声报道,长年研究韩国流行文化的菲律宾大学副教授Erik Paolo Capistrano指出,观众意识到这些人可能存在在社会中,他们的故事是如此真实导致他们必须做这些可怕的事情,为了脱离贫困,心甘情愿地接受严酷条件。\n他观察到:“很多菲律宾人将‘鱿鱼游戏’的剧情与他们目前对自身社会现状的理解连在一起。”\n中国台湾政治大学韩国语文学系助理教授林侑毅也说,底层的人为了拿到金钱,展现人性的丑恶和光辉,观众不只能看到紧张刺激的游戏,还会看到底层社会人与人间的竞争与争夺,这些“探讨人性及社会议题,已经跳脱韩国社会框架,不同国家的人都能与自身经验产生共鸣”。\n林侑毅分析,这些元素跟韩流风潮结合,往欧美国家传播,对西方观众而言,这是新奇的东方或韩国元素,他们会希望通过戏剧更了解东方文化。\n在展现人性的同时,该剧也向观众抛出了另一个社会问题——公平正义。\n剧中负责游戏竞赛的人曾经说过:“参与游戏的人都是平等的,这是因为我们要给在外界受不平待遇和歧视的人,赢得公平竞争的最后机会。”\n韩国精神科医生李日俊向德国之声表示:“‘鱿鱼游戏’虽然很刺激紧张,但它的确触动了我们社会潜意识中根深蒂固的虚脱与无力感。”他指出,“鱿鱼游戏”提供一个反思的机会,让我们思考在现代资本主义社会竞争激烈的体系中,每个人是否都享有平等的机会,能否光靠自己能力来达到成就,而无需其他人的牺牲或计谋。\n曾赴韩国当交换学生、来自中国台湾的李宜庭指出,在接受教育与成长的过程中,被教导被强调公平正义的重要性,但实际上在社会中仍存有诸多不平等以及特权事件,这部戏让我们感受到“写实与现实”,进而反思并产生共鸣。\n韩国祥明大学全球文化内容系教授金平江向BBC表示:“剧中人物似乎可以引起人们、尤其是经常感到疏离感和不忿的年轻一代的同情。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1898,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867180047,"gmtCreate":1633226231302,"gmtModify":1633226231374,"author":{"id":"4096237348804660","authorId":"4096237348804660","name":"E1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f887693ed3474f48db5ad78f0799734","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4096237348804660","authorIdStr":"4096237348804660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867180047","repostId":"2172796450","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1421,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":867575450,"gmtCreate":1633305111478,"gmtModify":1633305167455,"author":{"id":"4096237348804660","authorId":"4096237348804660","name":"E1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f887693ed3474f48db5ad78f0799734","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4096237348804660","authorIdStr":"4096237348804660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867575450","repostId":"2172964085","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1898,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604389107,"gmtCreate":1639350034458,"gmtModify":1639350034533,"author":{"id":"4096237348804660","authorId":"4096237348804660","name":"E1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f887693ed3474f48db5ad78f0799734","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4096237348804660","authorIdStr":"4096237348804660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604389107","repostId":"2190674948","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2190674948","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1639287807,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2190674948?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-12 13:43","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"国盛宏观:美国通胀即将迎来拐点","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2190674948","media":"格隆汇","summary":"事件:北京时间12月10日21:30,美国公布11月CPI数据。\n核心结论:\n1、美国11月未季调CPI同比6.8%,符合预期,高于前值6.2%;核心CPI同比4.9%,符合预期,高于前值4.6%。分","content":"<p><b>事件:</b>北京时间12月10日21:30,美国公布11月CPI数据。</p>\n<p><b>核心结论:</b></p>\n<p>1、美国11月未季调CPI同比6.8%,符合预期,高于前值6.2%;核心CPI同比4.9%,符合预期,高于前值4.6%。分项来看,能源和二手车依然是涨幅最大的两个分项,食品价格同比涨幅也有所扩大,服务分项价格上涨不明显。</p>\n<p>2、美国CPI数据公布后,美元指数和美债收益率均快速下行,美联储加息预期小幅降温。背后的逻辑在于,当前市场的通胀恐慌情绪已发酵得非常充分,在此背景下,“符合预期”即“不及预期”。</p>\n<p>3、要判断通胀的影响,需厘清实际通胀、通胀预期、加息预期之间的关系。概况而言,通胀预期和加息预期均跟随实际通胀变化,但二者均是只反映了即期通胀,没有包含对长期通胀走势的判断。这也意味着,一旦通胀数据开始回落,通胀预期和加息预期均会降温。</p>\n<p>4、美国通胀展望:美国CPI同比大概率在12月或1月出现拐点,随后持续回落,到2022年底有望降至2-3%。美联储货币政策方面:12/16的FOMC会议上可能宣布加速Taper,从而将于2022年3月结束购债。我们的中性预期仍是2022年加息1次,若通胀回落较为缓慢同时就业状况超预期改善,不排除可能加息2次,目前市场对加息超过2次的定价有些过高。</p>\n<p>5、大类资产展望:维持我们海外年度报告的观点:2022年美元指数大概率上涨,高点可能破100;美债名义利率更有可能温和下行,但实际利率可能上行;美国通胀出现拐点后,黄金大概率重回下跌通道;美股以震荡调整为主,难持续大幅上涨。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6911c7acd0bc555a83a0f76e9f8c3c8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"760\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>正文如下:</b></p>\n<h3>1、美国11月CPI同比继续上行,能源价格仍是最大的驱动因素</h3>\n<p>>整体表现:美国11月未季调CPI同比6.8%,符合预期,高于前值6.2%,创1983年来最高;核心CPI同比4.9%,符合预期,高于前值4.6%,创1992年来最高。</p>\n<p>>分项来看:能源和二手车依然是涨幅最大的两个分项,分别同比上涨33.5%、31.4%,较前值分别提高3.5、5.0个百分点;食品分项同比上涨6.1%,较前值提高0.8个百分点;服务分项同比上涨3.4%,较前值提高0.1个百分点。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3d91a2e0bba8635a3c688c6067ee392\" tg-width=\"1075\" tg-height=\"783\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<h3>2、为何通胀创新高,美元指数与美债收益率却在下行?</h3>\n<p>自2021年初以来,几乎每个月的美国CPI同比都高于市场预期,且不断创下过去数十年新高,导致通胀恐慌情绪不断加剧。在此背景下,“符合预期”即“不及预期”,也就是说,即使通胀仍在上行,但只要没有超预期,市场就会认为通胀压力即将缓解。典型代表是今年7-9月,实际CPI数据与市场一致预期差别不大,通胀担忧暂时缓解,10Y美债收益率由1.5%降至1.2%。但自10月初以来,由于OPEC+不扩大增产和欧洲天然气危机,能源价格持续大幅上涨,导致通胀担忧再度加剧。</p>\n<p>本次美国CPI数据公布后,美元指数由96.4快速下跌至96.0左右;10Y美债收益率由1.52%一度下行至最低1.45%,最终收盘在1.49%;联邦基金利率期货隐含的2022年加息次数由2.9次回落至2.66次。资产价格和加息预期的这一表现,正是反映了“符合预期”即“不及预期”这一逻辑。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f046967e71522f9b2bdd71fc71d5ef1\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"757\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7276e873e4d6ef26004d37f44e5af48c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"760\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4cda9d64ff883e6d0ebb92726753e8e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"761\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8732c6732b6d28949d0db8232cf269e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"758\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<h3>3、要判断通胀的影响,需厘清实际通胀、通胀预期、加息预期之间的关系</h3>\n<p>概况而言,通胀预期和加息预期均跟随实际通胀变化,但二者均是只反映了即期通胀,没有包含对长期通胀走势的判断。不论美债隐含的市场通胀预期(美债与TIPS利差),还是纽约联储调查的消费者通胀预期,均与美国CPI同比走势高度一致。同时,利率期货隐含的加息预期与美债隐含的通胀预期走势高度一致。</p>\n<p>实际上,彭博最新的一致预期显示,市场预计2022Q4美国CPI同比将降至2.6%,PCE通胀将降至2.3%,核心PCE通胀将降至2.5%,这与我们年度海外报告中的测算较为接近。若认为通胀会持续回落至仅略高于美联储的政策目标,则不应预期2022年会加息接近3次。这反映出,利率期货隐含的加息预期更多反映了即期通胀表现,一旦通胀开始回落,加息预期也将开始降温。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6b8f54aed9e3a7f1ce179712ddedaaf\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"759\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66e9a8ddd0478e6f39b9f22fb505ab17\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b09b912e0b136635bbecb39ac85619cd\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"741\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/593494ea4dcb980cbf9112b3e881077a\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"741\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<h3>4、美国通胀可能在12月或1月出现拐点,随后美联储加息预期将有所降温</h3>\n<p>>美国通胀走势:在前期报告中我们曾多次指出,美国通胀是“能源分项决定方向,其他分项决定幅度”,此外,原油价格同比领先CPI能源分项同比1-2月。根据我们在海外年度报告《反转之年——2022年海外宏观展望》中的分析,2022年原油价格大概率下跌,实际上自11月初以来油价已经下跌了超过13%,以12月至今的价格计算,油价同比已由10月的101.7%回落至44.3%。因此,美国通胀可能在12月或明年1月出现拐点,随后持续回落,到2022年底预计将降至2-3%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faefadef8d850157275f324a2b6fdd45\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"758\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6911c7acd0bc555a83a0f76e9f8c3c8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"760\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>>美联储货币政策:从近期鲍威尔和其他美联储官员表态来看,美联储很有可能会在12/16的FOMC会议上宣布加快Taper,从明年1月开始将缩债规模从150亿提高到300亿,从而将于2022年3月结束购债。但我们认为这并不意味着加息节奏会进一步加快,随着美国通胀见顶回落、经济持续放缓,叠加Omicron病毒的冲击,我们的中性预期仍是2022年加息1次,若通胀回落较为缓慢同时就业状况超预期改善,不排除可能加息2次,相比之下,目前市场对加息超过2次的定价有些过高。等到美国通胀出现拐点后,市场加息预期大概率会有所降温。</p>\n<p>>资产价格展望:维持我们海外年度报告的观点:2022年美元指数大概率上涨,高点可能破100;美债名义利率更有可能温和下行,但实际利率可能上行;美国通胀出现拐点后,黄金大概率重回下跌通道;美股以震荡调整为主,难持续大幅上涨。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d63c96c1d176de45a463f56f93840f10\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"761\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ced62d1287055296b75a2245e755593\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"762\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>风险提示:</b></p>\n<p><b>美国通胀持续超预期,美联储政策立场超预期变化。</b></p>","source":"gelonghui_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>国盛宏观:美国通胀即将迎来拐点</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n国盛宏观:美国通胀即将迎来拐点\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-12 13:43 北京时间 <a href=http://www.gelonghui.com/p/500534><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>事件:北京时间12月10日21:30,美国公布11月CPI数据。\n核心结论:\n1、美国11月未季调CPI同比6.8%,符合预期,高于前值6.2%;核心CPI同比4.9%,符合预期,高于前值4.6%。分项来看,能源和二手车依然是涨幅最大的两个分项,食品价格同比涨幅也有所扩大,服务分项价格上涨不明显。\n2、美国CPI数据公布后,美元指数和美债收益率均快速下行,美联储加息预期小幅降温。背后的逻辑在于,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.gelonghui.com/p/500534\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"http://www.gelonghui.com/p/500534","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","article_id":"2190674948","content_text":"事件:北京时间12月10日21:30,美国公布11月CPI数据。\n核心结论:\n1、美国11月未季调CPI同比6.8%,符合预期,高于前值6.2%;核心CPI同比4.9%,符合预期,高于前值4.6%。分项来看,能源和二手车依然是涨幅最大的两个分项,食品价格同比涨幅也有所扩大,服务分项价格上涨不明显。\n2、美国CPI数据公布后,美元指数和美债收益率均快速下行,美联储加息预期小幅降温。背后的逻辑在于,当前市场的通胀恐慌情绪已发酵得非常充分,在此背景下,“符合预期”即“不及预期”。\n3、要判断通胀的影响,需厘清实际通胀、通胀预期、加息预期之间的关系。概况而言,通胀预期和加息预期均跟随实际通胀变化,但二者均是只反映了即期通胀,没有包含对长期通胀走势的判断。这也意味着,一旦通胀数据开始回落,通胀预期和加息预期均会降温。\n4、美国通胀展望:美国CPI同比大概率在12月或1月出现拐点,随后持续回落,到2022年底有望降至2-3%。美联储货币政策方面:12/16的FOMC会议上可能宣布加速Taper,从而将于2022年3月结束购债。我们的中性预期仍是2022年加息1次,若通胀回落较为缓慢同时就业状况超预期改善,不排除可能加息2次,目前市场对加息超过2次的定价有些过高。\n5、大类资产展望:维持我们海外年度报告的观点:2022年美元指数大概率上涨,高点可能破100;美债名义利率更有可能温和下行,但实际利率可能上行;美国通胀出现拐点后,黄金大概率重回下跌通道;美股以震荡调整为主,难持续大幅上涨。\n\n正文如下:\n1、美国11月CPI同比继续上行,能源价格仍是最大的驱动因素\n>整体表现:美国11月未季调CPI同比6.8%,符合预期,高于前值6.2%,创1983年来最高;核心CPI同比4.9%,符合预期,高于前值4.6%,创1992年来最高。\n>分项来看:能源和二手车依然是涨幅最大的两个分项,分别同比上涨33.5%、31.4%,较前值分别提高3.5、5.0个百分点;食品分项同比上涨6.1%,较前值提高0.8个百分点;服务分项同比上涨3.4%,较前值提高0.1个百分点。\n\n2、为何通胀创新高,美元指数与美债收益率却在下行?\n自2021年初以来,几乎每个月的美国CPI同比都高于市场预期,且不断创下过去数十年新高,导致通胀恐慌情绪不断加剧。在此背景下,“符合预期”即“不及预期”,也就是说,即使通胀仍在上行,但只要没有超预期,市场就会认为通胀压力即将缓解。典型代表是今年7-9月,实际CPI数据与市场一致预期差别不大,通胀担忧暂时缓解,10Y美债收益率由1.5%降至1.2%。但自10月初以来,由于OPEC+不扩大增产和欧洲天然气危机,能源价格持续大幅上涨,导致通胀担忧再度加剧。\n本次美国CPI数据公布后,美元指数由96.4快速下跌至96.0左右;10Y美债收益率由1.52%一度下行至最低1.45%,最终收盘在1.49%;联邦基金利率期货隐含的2022年加息次数由2.9次回落至2.66次。资产价格和加息预期的这一表现,正是反映了“符合预期”即“不及预期”这一逻辑。\n\n\n\n\n3、要判断通胀的影响,需厘清实际通胀、通胀预期、加息预期之间的关系\n概况而言,通胀预期和加息预期均跟随实际通胀变化,但二者均是只反映了即期通胀,没有包含对长期通胀走势的判断。不论美债隐含的市场通胀预期(美债与TIPS利差),还是纽约联储调查的消费者通胀预期,均与美国CPI同比走势高度一致。同时,利率期货隐含的加息预期与美债隐含的通胀预期走势高度一致。\n实际上,彭博最新的一致预期显示,市场预计2022Q4美国CPI同比将降至2.6%,PCE通胀将降至2.3%,核心PCE通胀将降至2.5%,这与我们年度海外报告中的测算较为接近。若认为通胀会持续回落至仅略高于美联储的政策目标,则不应预期2022年会加息接近3次。这反映出,利率期货隐含的加息预期更多反映了即期通胀表现,一旦通胀开始回落,加息预期也将开始降温。\n\n\n\n\n4、美国通胀可能在12月或1月出现拐点,随后美联储加息预期将有所降温\n>美国通胀走势:在前期报告中我们曾多次指出,美国通胀是“能源分项决定方向,其他分项决定幅度”,此外,原油价格同比领先CPI能源分项同比1-2月。根据我们在海外年度报告《反转之年——2022年海外宏观展望》中的分析,2022年原油价格大概率下跌,实际上自11月初以来油价已经下跌了超过13%,以12月至今的价格计算,油价同比已由10月的101.7%回落至44.3%。因此,美国通胀可能在12月或明年1月出现拐点,随后持续回落,到2022年底预计将降至2-3%。\n\n\n>美联储货币政策:从近期鲍威尔和其他美联储官员表态来看,美联储很有可能会在12/16的FOMC会议上宣布加快Taper,从明年1月开始将缩债规模从150亿提高到300亿,从而将于2022年3月结束购债。但我们认为这并不意味着加息节奏会进一步加快,随着美国通胀见顶回落、经济持续放缓,叠加Omicron病毒的冲击,我们的中性预期仍是2022年加息1次,若通胀回落较为缓慢同时就业状况超预期改善,不排除可能加息2次,相比之下,目前市场对加息超过2次的定价有些过高。等到美国通胀出现拐点后,市场加息预期大概率会有所降温。\n>资产价格展望:维持我们海外年度报告的观点:2022年美元指数大概率上涨,高点可能破100;美债名义利率更有可能温和下行,但实际利率可能上行;美国通胀出现拐点后,黄金大概率重回下跌通道;美股以震荡调整为主,难持续大幅上涨。\n\n\n风险提示:\n美国通胀持续超预期,美联储政策立场超预期变化。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859813949,"gmtCreate":1634686487090,"gmtModify":1634686487184,"author":{"id":"4096237348804660","authorId":"4096237348804660","name":"E1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f887693ed3474f48db5ad78f0799734","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4096237348804660","authorIdStr":"4096237348804660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859813949","repostId":"2176764104","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2176764104","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634684382,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2176764104?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-20 06:59","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美联航Q3营收77.5亿美元,调整后亏损低于预期","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2176764104","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美东时间10月19日(周二)美股盘后,美联航公布了截至2021年9月30日的第三季度财务报告。财报显示,美联航Q3营收77.5亿美元,去年同期24.89亿美元,同比增长211.4%;净利润4.73亿美元,去年同期净亏损18.41亿美元;摊薄后每股收益为1.44美元,去年同期每股亏损为6.33美元。财报显示,与第二季度相比,美联航三季度恢复了23条国内航线,13条国际航线的直飞业务。","content":"<p>美东时间10月19日(周二)美股盘后,美联航(UAL)公布了截至2021年9月30日的第三季度财务报告。财报显示,美联航(UAL.US)Q3营收77.5亿美元,去年同期24.89亿美元,同比增长211.4%;净利润4.73亿美元,去年同期净亏损18.41亿美元;摊薄后每股收益为1.44美元,去年同期每股亏损为6.33美元。</p>\n<p>调整后非GAAP净亏损为3.29亿美元,去年同期非GAAP净亏损为23.74亿美元;调整后每股亏损为1.02美元,去年同期亏损8.16美元。</p>\n<p>财报显示,与第二季度相比,美联航三季度恢复了23条国内航线,13条国际航线的直飞业务。</p>\n<p>该公司是美国第一家要求其员工接种新冠疫苗的商业航空公司,接种率高达99.7%。</p>\n<p>展望未来,该公司预计四季度载客量将比2019年同期下降约23%,总收入将比2019年同期下降25%-30%。</p>\n<p>公司表示,虽然第三季度受到新冠病毒Delta变种的影响,但公司仍有信心实现其在今年夏天早些时候制定的长期财务目标。</p>\n<p>财报公布后,美联航盘后股价涨2.23%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6e582dd7c12c99784208cec4865c6e3\" tg-width=\"716\" tg-height=\"525\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联航Q3营收77.5亿美元,调整后亏损低于预期</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联航Q3营收77.5亿美元,调整后亏损低于预期\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-20 06:59</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>美东时间10月19日(周二)美股盘后,美联航(UAL)公布了截至2021年9月30日的第三季度财务报告。财报显示,美联航(UAL.US)Q3营收77.5亿美元,去年同期24.89亿美元,同比增长211.4%;净利润4.73亿美元,去年同期净亏损18.41亿美元;摊薄后每股收益为1.44美元,去年同期每股亏损为6.33美元。</p>\n<p>调整后非GAAP净亏损为3.29亿美元,去年同期非GAAP净亏损为23.74亿美元;调整后每股亏损为1.02美元,去年同期亏损8.16美元。</p>\n<p>财报显示,与第二季度相比,美联航三季度恢复了23条国内航线,13条国际航线的直飞业务。</p>\n<p>该公司是美国第一家要求其员工接种新冠疫苗的商业航空公司,接种率高达99.7%。</p>\n<p>展望未来,该公司预计四季度载客量将比2019年同期下降约23%,总收入将比2019年同期下降25%-30%。</p>\n<p>公司表示,虽然第三季度受到新冠病毒Delta变种的影响,但公司仍有信心实现其在今年夏天早些时候制定的长期财务目标。</p>\n<p>财报公布后,美联航盘后股价涨2.23%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6e582dd7c12c99784208cec4865c6e3\" tg-width=\"716\" tg-height=\"525\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/411c6ea7e969aee81c7c240d3341abef","relate_stocks":{"UAL":"联合大陆航空"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2176764104","content_text":"美东时间10月19日(周二)美股盘后,美联航(UAL)公布了截至2021年9月30日的第三季度财务报告。财报显示,美联航(UAL.US)Q3营收77.5亿美元,去年同期24.89亿美元,同比增长211.4%;净利润4.73亿美元,去年同期净亏损18.41亿美元;摊薄后每股收益为1.44美元,去年同期每股亏损为6.33美元。\n调整后非GAAP净亏损为3.29亿美元,去年同期非GAAP净亏损为23.74亿美元;调整后每股亏损为1.02美元,去年同期亏损8.16美元。\n财报显示,与第二季度相比,美联航三季度恢复了23条国内航线,13条国际航线的直飞业务。\n该公司是美国第一家要求其员工接种新冠疫苗的商业航空公司,接种率高达99.7%。\n展望未来,该公司预计四季度载客量将比2019年同期下降约23%,总收入将比2019年同期下降25%-30%。\n公司表示,虽然第三季度受到新冠病毒Delta变种的影响,但公司仍有信心实现其在今年夏天早些时候制定的长期财务目标。\n财报公布后,美联航盘后股价涨2.23%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849023067,"gmtCreate":1635717299933,"gmtModify":1635717299933,"author":{"id":"4096237348804660","authorId":"4096237348804660","name":"E1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f887693ed3474f48db5ad78f0799734","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4096237348804660","authorIdStr":"4096237348804660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849023067","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1934,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699047164,"gmtCreate":1639729375157,"gmtModify":1639729375310,"author":{"id":"4096237348804660","authorId":"4096237348804660","name":"E1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f887693ed3474f48db5ad78f0799734","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4096237348804660","authorIdStr":"4096237348804660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Very good","listText":"Very good","text":"Very good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699047164","repostId":"2192929891","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1405,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840827594,"gmtCreate":1635636714566,"gmtModify":1635636714566,"author":{"id":"4096237348804660","authorId":"4096237348804660","name":"E1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f887693ed3474f48db5ad78f0799734","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4096237348804660","authorIdStr":"4096237348804660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840827594","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857561805,"gmtCreate":1635550024205,"gmtModify":1635550024335,"author":{"id":"4096237348804660","authorId":"4096237348804660","name":"E1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f887693ed3474f48db5ad78f0799734","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4096237348804660","authorIdStr":"4096237348804660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857561805","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1517,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857807897,"gmtCreate":1635516379860,"gmtModify":1635516379860,"author":{"id":"4096237348804660","authorId":"4096237348804660","name":"E1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f887693ed3474f48db5ad78f0799734","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4096237348804660","authorIdStr":"4096237348804660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857807897","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867180047,"gmtCreate":1633226231302,"gmtModify":1633226231374,"author":{"id":"4096237348804660","authorId":"4096237348804660","name":"E1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f887693ed3474f48db5ad78f0799734","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4096237348804660","authorIdStr":"4096237348804660"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867180047","repostId":"2172796450","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1421,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}