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CYKSSR
2021-08-20
$上证指数(000001.SH)$
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CYKSSR
2021-08-07
这是美股要完蛋的第几个月了
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08:38","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美股最惨的“时节”要来了","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2155894163","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"在经历了7月1日到7月15日历史数据统计的“史上最强劲两周”后,美股即将迎来统计数据上的最糟糕月份——八月。\n\n正如高盛信贷策略师Scott Rubner所统计的那样,整个八月份市场趋势都在走低,这是","content":"<p>在经历了7月1日到7月15日历史数据统计的“史上最强劲两周”后,美股即将迎来统计数据上的最糟糕月份——八月。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce4aa20635c056c2425c903c7bfa9919\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>正如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>信贷策略师Scott Rubner所统计的那样,整个八月份市场趋势都在走低,这是一年中最糟糕的时节之一,并在杰克逊霍尔全球央行会议上达到高潮和拐点。目前,人们预计鲍威尔将在这次会议上宣布taper。</p>\n<p>具体来看,自1950年以来,标准普尔500指数在72年里有19次在上半年上涨超过10%,但在强劲的上半年之后,8月份的回报率中值通常会下降51个基点。</p>\n<p>Rubner还指出,今年上半年没有出现戏剧性的大跌,标准普尔500指数连续第6个月上涨,创下2018年以来最长的上涨时间。然而,与上述观察相呼应这并不是什么好事,毕竟自2010年8月以来,此前的11个8月中有6次下跌。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca60b07fac07ccd13faa80796c2df34d\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>尽管如此,Rubner指出,即便不回顾历史,今年的状况也能得出同样的结论,美联储的资产负债表就应该能解释得很清楚清楚。随着美联储政策的逐步推出,市场将更加缺乏流动性,因此8月的下跌效应会加剧,任何负面消息都会被放大。</p>\n<p>此外,Rubner还回顾了此前的两次“8月危机”,这两次危机分别发生在2011年和2015年:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>2011年,恰逢美国在债务上限问题上的争论不休。尽管这个问题在8月初得到了解决,但标准普尔随后将美国信用评级从AAA下调至AA+。与此同时,对欧洲主权债务危机的担忧持续发酵,最终导致8月股市大跌。</li>\n <li>2015年,新兴市场出现了动荡,进而蔓延到包括美国和欧洲在内的其他地区。</li>\n</ul>\n<p>对于接下来的8月,Rubner表示,人们关注的焦点将集中于杰克逊霍尔全球央行会议,以及宏观变量(尤其是通胀)的变化。他同时表示,我们需要对市场中的任何意外保持警惕。</p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股最惨的“时节”要来了</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股最惨的“时节”要来了\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-01 08:38 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636809><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>在经历了7月1日到7月15日历史数据统计的“史上最强劲两周”后,美股即将迎来统计数据上的最糟糕月份——八月。\n\n正如高盛信贷策略师Scott Rubner所统计的那样,整个八月份市场趋势都在走低,这是一年中最糟糕的时节之一,并在杰克逊霍尔全球央行会议上达到高潮和拐点。目前,人们预计鲍威尔将在这次会议上宣布taper。\n具体来看,自1950年以来,标准普尔500指数在72年里有19次在上半年上涨超过...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636809\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37d43f47ff4637f33c2675f14c1cc937","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636809","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2155894163","content_text":"在经历了7月1日到7月15日历史数据统计的“史上最强劲两周”后,美股即将迎来统计数据上的最糟糕月份——八月。\n\n正如高盛信贷策略师Scott Rubner所统计的那样,整个八月份市场趋势都在走低,这是一年中最糟糕的时节之一,并在杰克逊霍尔全球央行会议上达到高潮和拐点。目前,人们预计鲍威尔将在这次会议上宣布taper。\n具体来看,自1950年以来,标准普尔500指数在72年里有19次在上半年上涨超过10%,但在强劲的上半年之后,8月份的回报率中值通常会下降51个基点。\nRubner还指出,今年上半年没有出现戏剧性的大跌,标准普尔500指数连续第6个月上涨,创下2018年以来最长的上涨时间。然而,与上述观察相呼应这并不是什么好事,毕竟自2010年8月以来,此前的11个8月中有6次下跌。\n\n尽管如此,Rubner指出,即便不回顾历史,今年的状况也能得出同样的结论,美联储的资产负债表就应该能解释得很清楚清楚。随着美联储政策的逐步推出,市场将更加缺乏流动性,因此8月的下跌效应会加剧,任何负面消息都会被放大。\n此外,Rubner还回顾了此前的两次“8月危机”,这两次危机分别发生在2011年和2015年:\n\n2011年,恰逢美国在债务上限问题上的争论不休。尽管这个问题在8月初得到了解决,但标准普尔随后将美国信用评级从AAA下调至AA+。与此同时,对欧洲主权债务危机的担忧持续发酵,最终导致8月股市大跌。\n2015年,新兴市场出现了动荡,进而蔓延到包括美国和欧洲在内的其他地区。\n\n对于接下来的8月,Rubner表示,人们关注的焦点将集中于杰克逊霍尔全球央行会议,以及宏观变量(尤其是通胀)的变化。他同时表示,我们需要对市场中的任何意外保持警惕。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1293,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}