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2021-10-13

Apple fall

Apple Finally Falls Victim to Never-Ending Supply Chain Crisis

2021-09-27

Trick

Apple Stock: The “Trick” That Can Push Share Price Higher

2021-09-13

Going for long term 🍎

@Eldenminaj:Is Apple overvalued now? Is it a good buy?$Apple(AAPL)$With Apple Market Cap hitting 2.5 Trillion USD, I am sure these questions are in your mind. Here are my key takeaways:-With 94.77 Billion Free Cash flow for Trailing-Twele Months, current valuation of Apple could be 260 USD per share with a Discount Rate of 5% and Growth Estimate of 5% for the next 10 years. -Apple has the strongest MOAT among all smartphone producing companies, which is 20% of the global market share. -Apple's profits have grown at 9.6% yearly for the past 5 years. Free Cash flow has grown at a CAGR rate of 9.4% for the past years. Share buybacks has increased from 33 Billion USD in 2017 to 72 Billion USD in 2020. -Apple is currently working on launching Appl

2021-09-02

Everything bubble. So, are you bubble too?

5 Reasons The Next Stock Bear Market And Recession Could Be The Worst Since The 1930s

2021-09-02

Recommend for trading 🙈 hi roller coaster

2021-09-02

$Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$Unbelievable

2021-08-27

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$After a long wait, finally ! Up

2021-08-27

An Apple insights. Interesting piece of reading !

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-26

Good news or bad news?

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-24

$JinkoSolar(JKS)$Roller coasters ride

2021-08-17

👍

3 Reasons To Buy Apple Stock Over Amazon

2021-08-17

See u soon 13 !

Apple’s Next iPhone Is Coming Soon. Here’s What to Expect.

2021-08-17

$Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$?

2021-08-17

Interesting move by Temasek into PRC company. Hmmmmm ! Cutting Microsoft going for Intel, not surprise though.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-16

🍎

@YOLO道:$苹果(AAPL)$苹果公司在上个月发布财报时，尽管业绩出色，但未能获得市场青睐，股价在财报日小幅下跌，不过这比过去两份稳健的报告后看到的直接抛售要好。现在苹果股价慢慢从财报下跌中反弹回来。在上周四，股价漂亮反弹之后，到达150美元附近的阻力位。如果该股突破150美元，下一个目标将是161.8%的延伸线即160美元附近。在下行方面，看看10日和21日移动平均线能否作为支撑。低于这个水平，股价将滑向之前的历史高点145美元附近。如果这个区域也不能作为支撑，那么跌向50天移动平均线也是可能的。

2021-08-15

$Apple(AAPL)$Waiting for u…

2021-08-11

Careful for PRC shares. Go for Nvidia !

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-11

Oversold 🤦‍♀️

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-11

$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$Invest VOO for newbie like me, slow and steady !

2021-08-05

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$Waiting for you to come back Amazon !

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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Manufacturers impacted by a lack of key materials, logistics. Apple Inc., the world’s most valuable company, has finally joined a growing list of household names from Toyota to Samsung forced to cut back on business because of a global shortage of semiconductors.Apple is now likely to slash its projected iPhone 13 production targets for 2021 by as many as 10 million units,Bloomberg News reported Tuesday.For months, while supply chain","content":"<ul>\n <li>Biden set to focus on transportation bottlenecks on Wednesday</li>\n <li>Manufacturers impacted by a lack of key materials, logistics</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Apple Inc., the world’s most valuable company, has finally joined a growing list of household names from&nbsp;Toyota&nbsp;to&nbsp;Samsung&nbsp;forced to cut back on business because of a global shortage of semiconductors.</p>\n<p>Apple is now likely to slash its projected iPhone 13 production targets for 2021 by as many as 10 million units,Bloomberg News reported Tuesday.</p>\n<p>For months, while supply chain shocks rocked the electronic, automaking, and even commodities industries, Apple remained the one company that could secure the chips needed to keep selling its latest range of products, due to its well-managed supply chain and the prestige of meeting its exacting standards.</p>\n<p>But the recent setback for Apple has dashed any hopes that the supply-chain crisis was easing.</p>\n<p>“If this is happening to the most powerful company,” it could happen to anyone, said Neil Campling, an analyst at&nbsp;Mirabaud Securities. Given “they have huge power in terms of their ability to source semiconductors as such a key customer, then everyone else will be having greater issues than they are.”</p>\n<p>Apple’s scaleback is a clear sign that the supply disruptions that have wreaked havoc around the world are worsening, which may jeopardize the outlook for the post-pandemic economic recovery. Almost all major manufacturers have been impacted both by a lack of key materials such as semiconductors, but also an inability to get finished goods into the hands of consumers.</p>\n<p>President Joe Biden&nbsp;is set to focus on transportation bottleneckson Wednesday, with the congested Port of Los Angeles planning a 24 hours a day, seven days a week effort to confront the squeeze on goods. A.P. Moller-Maersk A/S said it had to&nbsp;divert some ships&nbsp;from the U.K.’s largest container port because of congestion tied to a trucker shortage.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00b2ca1b624d644ffd4f99c2be9f0ec7\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"562\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>“Recent rumblings from chip producers suggest that the problems are expected to persist,”Deutsche Bank AG&nbsp;strategists including Jim Reid, global head of fundamental credit strategy wrote in a note. That “will make central bank decisions even more complicated over the coming weeks as they grapple with increasing supply-side constraints that push up inflation whilst threatening to undermine the recovery.”</p>\n<p>Apple had expected to produce 90 million new iPhone models this year, but is now telling manufacturing partners that the total will be lower because&nbsp;Broadcom Inc.andTexas Instruments Inc.are struggling to deliver enough components, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the situation is private.</p>\n<p>Japan Display Inc., which gets more than half of its revenue from Apple, fell as much as 5.6%, joining U.S. suppliers that fell in postmarket trading.</p>\n<p>The shortage of semiconductors stems mainly from years of under-investment coupled with a failure to gauge the explosion in demand for connected devices. Even industry insiders were caught by surprise.ASML Holding NVCEO Peter Wennink, whose company sells the machines that enable most cutting-edge chipmaking, said in July it’s&nbsp;underestimated&nbsp;the growth of the semiconductor industry over the past 15 years.</p>\n<p>The amount of time that companies need to wait for chip orders to get filled has set records for nine straight months, signaling that semiconductor shortages will continue to&nbsp;plague&nbsp;businesses well into 2022 and likely beyond.Alix&nbsp;Partners, a global consulting firm, estimated last month that the global automotive industry will lose about $210 billion in sales for 2021 alone.</p>\n<p>Earlier this year, Apple had already warned that it would face supply constraints of the iPhone and iPad during the quarter that ended September. But it held off from reducing its internal projections at the time.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a1f228eaa42607e9d97bfca12614923\" tg-width=\"848\" tg-height=\"729\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>The timing couldn’t be worse. The year-end quarter was expected to be Apple’s biggest sales blitz yet, generating about $120 billion in revenue. That would be up about 7% from a year earlier -- and more money than Apple made in an entire year a decade ago.</p>\n<p>In addition to facing tight iPhone availability, the company has struggled to make enough of the Apple Watch Series 7 and other products.</p>\n<p>Separately, a protracted energy crisis in China may&nbsp;add&nbsp;to the iPhone maker’s headaches. Apple supplier&nbsp;TPK Holding Co.said&nbsp;last week that subsidiaries in the southeastern Chinese province of Fujian are modifying their production schedule due to local government power restrictions. That comes less than two weeks after iPhone assembler&nbsp;Pegatron Corp.&nbsp;adopted&nbsp;energy-saving measures amid government-imposed power curbs.</p>\n<p>Some analysts however spot an opportunity for Apple.</p>\n<p>“If Apple can’t meet near-term demand, the shortfall is likely to be even greater at competitors, creating an opportunity for share gains,”Morgan Stanley&nbsp;analysts wrote after Bloomberg’s report.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Finally Falls Victim to Never-Ending Supply Chain Crisis</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Finally Falls Victim to Never-Ending Supply Chain Crisis\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-13 18:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-10-13/apple-finally-falls-victim-to-never-ending-supply-chain-crisis><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Biden set to focus on transportation bottlenecks on Wednesday\nManufacturers impacted by a lack of key materials, logistics\n\nApple Inc., the world’s most valuable company, has finally joined a growing ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-10-13/apple-finally-falls-victim-to-never-ending-supply-chain-crisis\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-10-13/apple-finally-falls-victim-to-never-ending-supply-chain-crisis","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182958686","content_text":"Biden set to focus on transportation bottlenecks on Wednesday\nManufacturers impacted by a lack of key materials, logistics\n\nApple Inc., the world’s most valuable company, has finally joined a growing list of household names from Toyota to Samsung forced to cut back on business because of a global shortage of semiconductors.\nApple is now likely to slash its projected iPhone 13 production targets for 2021 by as many as 10 million units,Bloomberg News reported Tuesday.\nFor months, while supply chain shocks rocked the electronic, automaking, and even commodities industries, Apple remained the one company that could secure the chips needed to keep selling its latest range of products, due to its well-managed supply chain and the prestige of meeting its exacting standards.\nBut the recent setback for Apple has dashed any hopes that the supply-chain crisis was easing.\n“If this is happening to the most powerful company,” it could happen to anyone, said Neil Campling, an analyst at Mirabaud Securities. Given “they have huge power in terms of their ability to source semiconductors as such a key customer, then everyone else will be having greater issues than they are.”\nApple’s scaleback is a clear sign that the supply disruptions that have wreaked havoc around the world are worsening, which may jeopardize the outlook for the post-pandemic economic recovery. Almost all major manufacturers have been impacted both by a lack of key materials such as semiconductors, but also an inability to get finished goods into the hands of consumers.\nPresident Joe Biden is set to focus on transportation bottleneckson Wednesday, with the congested Port of Los Angeles planning a 24 hours a day, seven days a week effort to confront the squeeze on goods. A.P. Moller-Maersk A/S said it had to divert some ships from the U.K.’s largest container port because of congestion tied to a trucker shortage.\n\n“Recent rumblings from chip producers suggest that the problems are expected to persist,”Deutsche Bank AG strategists including Jim Reid, global head of fundamental credit strategy wrote in a note. That “will make central bank decisions even more complicated over the coming weeks as they grapple with increasing supply-side constraints that push up inflation whilst threatening to undermine the recovery.”\nApple had expected to produce 90 million new iPhone models this year, but is now telling manufacturing partners that the total will be lower because Broadcom Inc.andTexas Instruments Inc.are struggling to deliver enough components, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the situation is private.\nJapan Display Inc., which gets more than half of its revenue from Apple, fell as much as 5.6%, joining U.S. suppliers that fell in postmarket trading.\nThe shortage of semiconductors stems mainly from years of under-investment coupled with a failure to gauge the explosion in demand for connected devices. Even industry insiders were caught by surprise.ASML Holding NVCEO Peter Wennink, whose company sells the machines that enable most cutting-edge chipmaking, said in July it’s underestimated the growth of the semiconductor industry over the past 15 years.\nThe amount of time that companies need to wait for chip orders to get filled has set records for nine straight months, signaling that semiconductor shortages will continue to plague businesses well into 2022 and likely beyond.Alix Partners, a global consulting firm, estimated last month that the global automotive industry will lose about $210 billion in sales for 2021 alone.\nEarlier this year, Apple had already warned that it would face supply constraints of the iPhone and iPad during the quarter that ended September. But it held off from reducing its internal projections at the time.\n\nThe timing couldn’t be worse. The year-end quarter was expected to be Apple’s biggest sales blitz yet, generating about $120 billion in revenue. That would be up about 7% from a year earlier -- and more money than Apple made in an entire year a decade ago.\nIn addition to facing tight iPhone availability, the company has struggled to make enough of the Apple Watch Series 7 and other products.\nSeparately, a protracted energy crisis in China may add to the iPhone maker’s headaches. Apple supplier TPK Holding Co.said last week that subsidiaries in the southeastern Chinese province of Fujian are modifying their production schedule due to local government power restrictions. That comes less than two weeks after iPhone assembler Pegatron Corp. adopted energy-saving measures amid government-imposed power curbs.\nSome analysts however spot an opportunity for Apple.\n“If Apple can’t meet near-term demand, the shortfall is likely to be even greater at competitors, creating an opportunity for share gains,”Morgan Stanley analysts wrote after Bloomberg’s report.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":758,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866865629,"gmtCreate":1632754159561,"gmtModify":1632798066422,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088157638983690","authorIdStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Trick&nbsp;","listText":"Trick&nbsp;","text":"Trick","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866865629","repostId":"1143344359","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143344359","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632727246,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1143344359?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-27 15:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: The “Trick” That Can Push Share Price Higher","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143344359","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Corporate America continues to aggressively buy their own shares, following a pullback in activity d","content":"<p>Corporate America continues to aggressively buy their own shares, following a pullback in activity during the pandemic. This is how Apple stock investors should benefit.</p>\n<p>S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices has&nbsp;reported&nbsp;that US-based companies continue to invest heavily in… their own stock. Share buybacks in Q2 has risen nearly 12% sequentially and 124% YOY. This is a strong rebound from the post-COVID period of uncertainty that led to a temporary reduction in repurchase activity.</p>\n<p>This is a reminder for Apple stock&nbsp;investors that the Cupertino company’s share price can continue to benefit from stock buybacks. The Apple Maven recaps why this might be the case.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3facec59ae76a6c28f4c5847600b4de\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"886\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Apple store in New York, NY.</span></p>\n<p><b>Apple’s “secret sauce”</b></p>\n<p>A bit over a year ago,I talked about one of Apple’s tricks&nbsp;to driving share price higher in the past decade. “Tenfold in ten years” was possible not merely because of robust business fundamentals. Sure, the popularity of the iPhone and success of iPad contributed greatly to compelling stock performance. But share repurchase was also an important piece of the puzzle.</p>\n<p>Think about it: since 2011, Apple’s net income grew an impressive 190%. But at the same time, EPS (earnings per share) shot up by 325% over the same period. This “net income leverage” effect was only possible because share count was slashed by around 30% between 2013 and 2020. See chart below, which was published in June 2020 and not adjusted&nbsp;for the most recent stock split.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10126c1a8a7f21648f44ba54c038c518\" tg-width=\"656\" tg-height=\"352\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: Apple's net cash &amp; shares outstanding since 2011.</span></p>\n<p>In the S&amp;P’s most recent report, Apple was cited as the leader of the pack in stock buybacks by “not only spending the most of any [company], but its Q2 expenditure ranked second highest in S&amp;P history”. The Cupertino company seems highly committed to supporting its stock, which should be a bullish sign.</p>\n<p><b>Apple Maven’s take: quick math</b></p>\n<p>Continuing to retire shares is, in my view, a crucial tenet of the investment thesis on AAPL stock – and Apple’s management team seems to agree. Year-to-date, the Cupertino company has&nbsp;spent&nbsp;$66.2 billion on repurchases, 20% more than in fiscal 2020. The figure is massive, as it has represented nearly 90% of the free cash flow that Apple has produced in fiscal 2021 so far.</p>\n<p>At this pace, and assuming a share price of $150 apiece, Apple can retire around 600 million shares per year going forward, or just short of 4% of the total number of shares outstanding annually. Give it five years, and Apple’s share count could drop by almost 20%.</p>\n<p>Think of the EPS calculation, which is net income divided by shares outstanding. Repurchases alone can boost Apple’s bottom line quite substantially. Assuming the stock’s P/E valuation does not change, it is fair to say, roughly, that AAPL stock can rise some 20% by 2026 due to buybacks alone.</p>\n<p>For this reason and given the recent reports of a pickup in share repurchase activity across Corporate America, Apple investors have good reasons to be optimistic about share price performance.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: The “Trick” That Can Push Share Price Higher</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: The “Trick” That Can Push Share Price Higher\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-27 15:20 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-the-trick-that-can-push-share-price-higher><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Corporate America continues to aggressively buy their own shares, following a pullback in activity during the pandemic. This is how Apple stock investors should benefit.\nS&P Dow Jones Indices has ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-the-trick-that-can-push-share-price-higher\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-the-trick-that-can-push-share-price-higher","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143344359","content_text":"Corporate America continues to aggressively buy their own shares, following a pullback in activity during the pandemic. This is how Apple stock investors should benefit.\nS&P Dow Jones Indices has reported that US-based companies continue to invest heavily in… their own stock. Share buybacks in Q2 has risen nearly 12% sequentially and 124% YOY. This is a strong rebound from the post-COVID period of uncertainty that led to a temporary reduction in repurchase activity.\nThis is a reminder for Apple stock investors that the Cupertino company’s share price can continue to benefit from stock buybacks. The Apple Maven recaps why this might be the case.\nFigure 1: Apple store in New York, NY.\nApple’s “secret sauce”\nA bit over a year ago,I talked about one of Apple’s tricks to driving share price higher in the past decade. “Tenfold in ten years” was possible not merely because of robust business fundamentals. Sure, the popularity of the iPhone and success of iPad contributed greatly to compelling stock performance. But share repurchase was also an important piece of the puzzle.\nThink about it: since 2011, Apple’s net income grew an impressive 190%. But at the same time, EPS (earnings per share) shot up by 325% over the same period. This “net income leverage” effect was only possible because share count was slashed by around 30% between 2013 and 2020. See chart below, which was published in June 2020 and not adjusted for the most recent stock split.\nFigure 2: Apple's net cash & shares outstanding since 2011.\nIn the S&P’s most recent report, Apple was cited as the leader of the pack in stock buybacks by “not only spending the most of any [company], but its Q2 expenditure ranked second highest in S&P history”. The Cupertino company seems highly committed to supporting its stock, which should be a bullish sign.\nApple Maven’s take: quick math\nContinuing to retire shares is, in my view, a crucial tenet of the investment thesis on AAPL stock – and Apple’s management team seems to agree. Year-to-date, the Cupertino company has spent $66.2 billion on repurchases, 20% more than in fiscal 2020. The figure is massive, as it has represented nearly 90% of the free cash flow that Apple has produced in fiscal 2021 so far.\nAt this pace, and assuming a share price of $150 apiece, Apple can retire around 600 million shares per year going forward, or just short of 4% of the total number of shares outstanding annually. Give it five years, and Apple’s share count could drop by almost 20%.\nThink of the EPS calculation, which is net income divided by shares outstanding. Repurchases alone can boost Apple’s bottom line quite substantially. Assuming the stock’s P/E valuation does not change, it is fair to say, roughly, that AAPL stock can rise some 20% by 2026 due to buybacks alone.\nFor this reason and given the recent reports of a pickup in share repurchase activity across Corporate America, Apple investors have good reasons to be optimistic about share price performance.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":690,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":886024674,"gmtCreate":1631540399298,"gmtModify":1631889767346,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088157638983690","authorIdStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Going for long term 🍎","listText":"Going for long term 🍎","text":"Going for long term 🍎","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886024674","repostId":"881360766","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":881360766,"gmtCreate":1631294103955,"gmtModify":1631883964661,"author":{"id":"3577922109777992","authorId":"3577922109777992","name":"Eldenminaj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b70c888201698b49ffaacadca9b58be","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577922109777992","authorIdStr":"3577922109777992"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is Apple overvalued now? Is it a good buy?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>With Apple Market Cap hitting 2.5 Trillion USD, I am sure these questions are in your mind.&nbsp;Here are my key takeaways:-With 94.77 Billion Free Cash flow for Trailing-Twele Months, current valuation of Apple could be 260 USD per share with a Discount Rate of 5% and Growth Estimate of 5% for the next 10 years.&nbsp;-Apple has the strongest MOAT among all smartphone producing companies, which is 20% of the global market share.&nbsp;-Apple's profits have grown at 9.6% yearly for the past 5 years. Free Cash flow has grown at a CAGR rate of 9.4% for the past years. Share buybacks has increased from 33 Billion USD in 2017 to 72 Billion USD in 2020.&nbsp;-Apple is currently working on launching Appl","listText":"Is Apple overvalued now? Is it a good buy?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>With Apple Market Cap hitting 2.5 Trillion USD, I am sure these questions are in your mind.&nbsp;Here are my key takeaways:-With 94.77 Billion Free Cash flow for Trailing-Twele Months, current valuation of Apple could be 260 USD per share with a Discount Rate of 5% and Growth Estimate of 5% for the next 10 years.&nbsp;-Apple has the strongest MOAT among all smartphone producing companies, which is 20% of the global market share.&nbsp;-Apple's profits have grown at 9.6% yearly for the past 5 years. Free Cash flow has grown at a CAGR rate of 9.4% for the past years. Share buybacks has increased from 33 Billion USD in 2017 to 72 Billion USD in 2020.&nbsp;-Apple is currently working on launching Appl","text":"Is Apple overvalued now? Is it a good buy?$Apple(AAPL)$With Apple Market Cap hitting 2.5 Trillion USD, I am sure these questions are in your mind. Here are my key takeaways:-With 94.77 Billion Free Cash flow for Trailing-Twele Months, current valuation of Apple could be 260 USD per share with a Discount Rate of 5% and Growth Estimate of 5% for the next 10 years. -Apple has the strongest MOAT among all smartphone producing companies, which is 20% of the global market share. -Apple's profits have grown at 9.6% yearly for the past 5 years. Free Cash flow has grown at a CAGR rate of 9.4% for the past years. Share buybacks has increased from 33 Billion USD in 2017 to 72 Billion USD in 2020. -Apple is currently working on launching Appl","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/482138df0788428abbb1111151ad4553","width":"1080","height":"3075"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/881360766","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":195,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":812524764,"gmtCreate":1630595917758,"gmtModify":1631889767352,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088157638983690","authorIdStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Everything bubble. So, are you bubble too?&nbsp;","listText":"Everything bubble. So, are you bubble too?&nbsp;","text":"Everything bubble. So, are you bubble too?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812524764","repostId":"1146170136","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146170136","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630576860,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146170136?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-02 18:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Reasons The Next Stock Bear Market And Recession Could Be The Worst Since The 1930s","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146170136","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe first reason we believe the next stock bear market and recession will be the worst sinc","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>The first reason we believe the next stock bear market and recession will be the worst since the 1930s is due to extremely high asset valuations.</li>\n <li>The second reason is due to extraordinarily bullish investor sentiment.</li>\n <li>The third reason is due to weak economic fundamentals.</li>\n <li>The fourth reason is due to excessive debt levels.</li>\n <li>The fifth reason is due to limited policy options.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>With the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) at all-time highs and seemingly endless “free liquidity” being provided by the Fed, the last thing most investors can envision right now is a major bear market or recession - particularly ones that will be the worst since the Great Depression of the 1930s!</p>\n<p>But the facts we will detail in this article show that is&nbsp;<i>highly likely</i>&nbsp;to be the case. This is an extraordinary statement, but we are living in extraordinary times! Investors need to understand the risks they are facing now in order to prepare and profit from them in the future.</p>\n<p>Here are the five key reasons we believe the next stock bear market and recession will be worse than the Great Recession of 2008-2009 (when the S&amp;P 500 fell 58% and it took about six years to recover), which will make it the worst since the 1930s (when the S&amp;P 500 fell 86% and it took about 25 years to recover):</p>\n<p><b>1. Extremely High Asset Valuations</b></p>\n<p>Informed investors know that we are currently in an “Everything Bubble” driven by massive and persistent central bank money creation. Virtually every major financial asset is overvalued and priced to deliver low - or even negative - long-term returns.</p>\n<p>For example, the Shiller P/E Ratio shown below is 30% higher than it was at the 1929 peak and is nearly as high as the all-time high in 2000. TheShiller P/E Ratiowas created by economist Robert Shiller and is calculated as the price of the S&amp;P 500 divided by the average past 10 years of earnings, adjusted for inflation. It attempts to smooth the cyclicality of earnings. Historically, high Shiller P/E Ratios have led to below-average long-term returns.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66f9a3f8fedee54d3a30a15b70138ab5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofShiller PE Ratio, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p>Warren Buffett’s favorite valuation measure- and the one that best predicts future long-term stock market returns - is the Stock Market Capitalization To GDP Ratio, which is shown below. Based on this measure, stocks are trading 30% higher than the prior all-time high at the Tech Bubble peak of 2000! Stocks would have to fall over 60% for this ratio to return to the levels it reached at the stock market bottom in March 2009.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d270087f9958674d30bed139425fe08e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p>It is not just stocks that are priced to deliver poor returns. US Treasury bills and bonds are trading at historically low interest rates not far above zero (and some countries have negative interest rates), assuring very low returns until maturity. Also, corporate bond yields relative to Treasury bond yields are at historically low levels.</p>\n<p>Real estate is also expensive, with REITs trading at historically low dividend yields. And as shown in the chart below of theS&amp;P/Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index, home prices are currently 27% higher than they were at the housing bubble peak of 2006!</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c011c579b31844dd761b260b1adb7600\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"281\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p>Importantly, not only do high valuations lead to low long-term returns but they also usually lead to devastating bear markets on the path to those low long-term returns.</p>\n<p><b>2. Extraordinarily Bullish Investor Sentiment</b></p>\n<p>Along with high asset valuations, investor sentiment is at sky-high levels of bullishness. When investors are very bullish, that is a bearish contrarian indicator.</p>\n<p>The best investor sentiment indicators show where investors are actually putting their hard-earned money in anticipation of making a profit, not just what they say their “mood” is. For sentiment, we focus on investor<i>actions</i>, not<i>words</i>.</p>\n<p>One excellent sentiment indicator is the Equity Put/Call Ratio. When investors are bearish, they buy Put options in anticipation of profiting from a fall in stock prices. When they are bullish, they buy Call options in anticipation of profiting from a rise in stock prices. When the ratio of Puts to Calls is very high, that shows investors are very bearish, which is a bullish contrarian indicator. Conversely, when the ratio of Puts to Calls is very low, that shows investors are very bullish, which is a bearish contrarian indicator.</p>\n<p>The chart below shows the Equity Put/Call Ratio, using the 100-day moving average to reduce short-term noise in this indicator. Over the past year, it has fallen to extremely low levels - well below those seen at the stock market peak in 2007.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f4ac510219add2cccd009014b44162b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofStockCharts.com, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p>The next chart is the Rydex Asset Ratio, which is the ratio of investor assets in all Rydex bear and money market funds (bearish positioning) compared to investor assets in all Rydex bull funds (bullish positioning). As you can see, investors have been very bullishly positioned in US stocks for over seven years! The last time investors approached this level of bullishness was around the Tech Bubble peak of 2000.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30902a5fd01f363fd7dc95147f34735a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofStockCharts.com, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p>When the majority of investors are already very bullish and “all in”, there is no one left to buy and lots of potential sellers when something changes, as it always does. Most investors will be shocked when their bullish expectations meet the harsh reality of a major bear market.</p>\n<p><b>3. Weak Economic Fundamentals</b></p>\n<p>The US economy is not as strong as it used to be. That is certainly true in the wake of the Covid pandemic, but it has also been true for the past two decades. All of the taxes, regulations and other government interventions in the economy in recent decades have created a weaker and more fragile economy that will make the next recession even worse.</p>\n<p>The chart below of Industrial Production shows it is only 8% higher than at the 2000 peak and is 1% lower than at the 2007 peak. It has nearly flatlined over the past two decades. That is much weaker than the 3.9% annual growth in Industrial Production from 1920 to 2000.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3b30a4514e3707d1aaaf03a81dd5d3d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"276\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p>Total Nonfarm Employment, shown below, grew at a 2.5% annual rate from 1940 to 2000. Similar to Industrial Production, Employment has nearly flatlined over the past two decades. It has increased only 10% since the 2000 peak and only 6% since the 2007 peak. Sadly, it is still nearly 4% below the February 2020 peak.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c7778bd8479e8800718b3abdcdf0dfb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p><b>4. Excessive Debt Levels</b></p>\n<p>The chart below shows the US Total Debt To GDP Ratio is near recent all-time highs at 3.8 times (or 380%), even higher than the high levels preceding the Great Recession. Global Debt To GDP is also at record high levels over 300%, as is US Federal Debt To GDP at 125%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/563808ddc51f6a6b821f4abde5f62d17\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"242\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p>Excessive debt has been the problem with every financial crisis in history, due to prior money creation out of thin air. So the next one promises to be one for the history books given these unprecedented high debt levels. Debt liquidation and defaults will lead to deflation, particularly for asset prices, as we saw in the Great Recession and even more so in the Great Depression.</p>\n<p><b>5. Limited Policy Options</b></p>\n<p>The primary “bull case” for the stock market and economy over the past 12 years since the Great Recession ended has been “free liquidity” provided in seemingly endless amounts by the Federal Reserve. It is almost as though money really does grow on trees!</p>\n<p>But money created out of thin air does not create new goods and services that improve living standards. If it did, a place likeZimbabwewould be the wealthiest country in the world. However, newly created money can flow into financial assets, which helps explain why valuation levels are so high.</p>\n<p>The graph below shows “Austrian” Money Supply (AMS), the best measure of money supply that is consistent withthis Austrian School of Economics definition(although it no longer includes traveler’s checks, which have been discontinued in the Fed’s database due to limited use these days). AMS is up 40% since February 2020 and is up an astounding 225% since the Great Recession ended in June 2009!</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3844fc699c58ff48effcc5918378bfcd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"261\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p>This is well above the money supply growth that drove the Roaring ‘20s and ultimately led to the Great Depression of the 1930s, as detailed in economist Murray N. Rothbard’s definitive history of that period in his book<i>America’s Great Depression</i>. In this book, heexplained the cause of the boom and bust business cycle:</p>\n<p><i>The “boom-bust” cycle is generated by monetary intervention in the market, specifically bank credit expansion to business…[B]ank credit expansion sets into motion the business cycle in all its phases: the inflationary boom, marked by expansion of the money supply and by malinvestment; the crisis, which arrives when credit expansion ceases and malinvestments become evident; and the depression recovery, the necessary adjustment process by which the economy returns to the most efficient ways of satisfying consumer desires.</i></p>\n<p>All this money creation has enabled the Fed to target theFederal Funds Rateat only 0.1%, as shown below. While that is above the negative interest rates prevailing in some countries, it doesn’t leave much room for the Fed to cut rates to try to prevent a recession, particularly with inflation at over 5% now. And as the chart shows, the Fed cut rates throughout the prior three recessions and bear markets and was not able to stop them, since the market is bigger than the Fed. This leaves the stock market and economy very vulnerable in the next downturn, with potentially no “safety nets” to protect them.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62449341ea09ce506389102e838a6cf4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p>Lastly, for the Keynesian economists who still believe the dogma that Federal budget deficits can prevent a recession - despite any evidence or logical theory to support it - the current Federal Budget Surplus/Deficit To GDP Ratio of -15% is the worst since World War II, as shown below. Given record-high government debt levels and deficits, how much more deficit spending will bond investors be willing to finance? And what good will it do, since deficits did not prevent the Great Recession?</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26c9f09598045b1c92a037cc0e326f86\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"275\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p><b>Implications For Investors</b></p>\n<p>There is much more that can be said to prove our case, but hopefully, the facts provided in this article are sufficient for investors to understand the current risks in financial assets and the economy.</p>\n<p>While the exact timing of the next bear market and recession is unknown and there are currently no signs of it with stocks at all-time highs, now is the time for investors to seek out information on how to identify the tell-tale signs of bear markets and how to profit from them, rather than being decimated by them, as the majority of investors, unfortunately, will be.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Reasons The Next Stock Bear Market And Recession Could Be The Worst Since The 1930s</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Reasons The Next Stock Bear Market And Recession Could Be The Worst Since The 1930s\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-02 18:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4452860-5-reasons-the-next-stock-bear-market-and-recession-could-be-the-worst-since-the-1930s><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe first reason we believe the next stock bear market and recession will be the worst since the 1930s is due to extremely high asset valuations.\nThe second reason is due to extraordinarily ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4452860-5-reasons-the-next-stock-bear-market-and-recession-could-be-the-worst-since-the-1930s\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4452860-5-reasons-the-next-stock-bear-market-and-recession-could-be-the-worst-since-the-1930s","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1146170136","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe first reason we believe the next stock bear market and recession will be the worst since the 1930s is due to extremely high asset valuations.\nThe second reason is due to extraordinarily bullish investor sentiment.\nThe third reason is due to weak economic fundamentals.\nThe fourth reason is due to excessive debt levels.\nThe fifth reason is due to limited policy options.\n\nWith the S&P 500 (SPY) at all-time highs and seemingly endless “free liquidity” being provided by the Fed, the last thing most investors can envision right now is a major bear market or recession - particularly ones that will be the worst since the Great Depression of the 1930s!\nBut the facts we will detail in this article show that is highly likely to be the case. This is an extraordinary statement, but we are living in extraordinary times! Investors need to understand the risks they are facing now in order to prepare and profit from them in the future.\nHere are the five key reasons we believe the next stock bear market and recession will be worse than the Great Recession of 2008-2009 (when the S&P 500 fell 58% and it took about six years to recover), which will make it the worst since the 1930s (when the S&P 500 fell 86% and it took about 25 years to recover):\n1. Extremely High Asset Valuations\nInformed investors know that we are currently in an “Everything Bubble” driven by massive and persistent central bank money creation. Virtually every major financial asset is overvalued and priced to deliver low - or even negative - long-term returns.\nFor example, the Shiller P/E Ratio shown below is 30% higher than it was at the 1929 peak and is nearly as high as the all-time high in 2000. TheShiller P/E Ratiowas created by economist Robert Shiller and is calculated as the price of the S&P 500 divided by the average past 10 years of earnings, adjusted for inflation. It attempts to smooth the cyclicality of earnings. Historically, high Shiller P/E Ratios have led to below-average long-term returns.\nSource: Chart courtesy ofShiller PE Ratio, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\nWarren Buffett’s favorite valuation measure- and the one that best predicts future long-term stock market returns - is the Stock Market Capitalization To GDP Ratio, which is shown below. Based on this measure, stocks are trading 30% higher than the prior all-time high at the Tech Bubble peak of 2000! Stocks would have to fall over 60% for this ratio to return to the levels it reached at the stock market bottom in March 2009.\nSource: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\nIt is not just stocks that are priced to deliver poor returns. US Treasury bills and bonds are trading at historically low interest rates not far above zero (and some countries have negative interest rates), assuring very low returns until maturity. Also, corporate bond yields relative to Treasury bond yields are at historically low levels.\nReal estate is also expensive, with REITs trading at historically low dividend yields. And as shown in the chart below of theS&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index, home prices are currently 27% higher than they were at the housing bubble peak of 2006!\nSource: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\nImportantly, not only do high valuations lead to low long-term returns but they also usually lead to devastating bear markets on the path to those low long-term returns.\n2. Extraordinarily Bullish Investor Sentiment\nAlong with high asset valuations, investor sentiment is at sky-high levels of bullishness. When investors are very bullish, that is a bearish contrarian indicator.\nThe best investor sentiment indicators show where investors are actually putting their hard-earned money in anticipation of making a profit, not just what they say their “mood” is. For sentiment, we focus on investoractions, notwords.\nOne excellent sentiment indicator is the Equity Put/Call Ratio. When investors are bearish, they buy Put options in anticipation of profiting from a fall in stock prices. When they are bullish, they buy Call options in anticipation of profiting from a rise in stock prices. When the ratio of Puts to Calls is very high, that shows investors are very bearish, which is a bullish contrarian indicator. Conversely, when the ratio of Puts to Calls is very low, that shows investors are very bullish, which is a bearish contrarian indicator.\nThe chart below shows the Equity Put/Call Ratio, using the 100-day moving average to reduce short-term noise in this indicator. Over the past year, it has fallen to extremely low levels - well below those seen at the stock market peak in 2007.\nSource: Chart courtesy ofStockCharts.com, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\nThe next chart is the Rydex Asset Ratio, which is the ratio of investor assets in all Rydex bear and money market funds (bearish positioning) compared to investor assets in all Rydex bull funds (bullish positioning). As you can see, investors have been very bullishly positioned in US stocks for over seven years! The last time investors approached this level of bullishness was around the Tech Bubble peak of 2000.\nSource: Chart courtesy ofStockCharts.com, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\nWhen the majority of investors are already very bullish and “all in”, there is no one left to buy and lots of potential sellers when something changes, as it always does. Most investors will be shocked when their bullish expectations meet the harsh reality of a major bear market.\n3. Weak Economic Fundamentals\nThe US economy is not as strong as it used to be. That is certainly true in the wake of the Covid pandemic, but it has also been true for the past two decades. All of the taxes, regulations and other government interventions in the economy in recent decades have created a weaker and more fragile economy that will make the next recession even worse.\nThe chart below of Industrial Production shows it is only 8% higher than at the 2000 peak and is 1% lower than at the 2007 peak. It has nearly flatlined over the past two decades. That is much weaker than the 3.9% annual growth in Industrial Production from 1920 to 2000.\nSource: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\nTotal Nonfarm Employment, shown below, grew at a 2.5% annual rate from 1940 to 2000. Similar to Industrial Production, Employment has nearly flatlined over the past two decades. It has increased only 10% since the 2000 peak and only 6% since the 2007 peak. Sadly, it is still nearly 4% below the February 2020 peak.\nSource: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\n4. Excessive Debt Levels\nThe chart below shows the US Total Debt To GDP Ratio is near recent all-time highs at 3.8 times (or 380%), even higher than the high levels preceding the Great Recession. Global Debt To GDP is also at record high levels over 300%, as is US Federal Debt To GDP at 125%.\nSource: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\nExcessive debt has been the problem with every financial crisis in history, due to prior money creation out of thin air. So the next one promises to be one for the history books given these unprecedented high debt levels. Debt liquidation and defaults will lead to deflation, particularly for asset prices, as we saw in the Great Recession and even more so in the Great Depression.\n5. Limited Policy Options\nThe primary “bull case” for the stock market and economy over the past 12 years since the Great Recession ended has been “free liquidity” provided in seemingly endless amounts by the Federal Reserve. It is almost as though money really does grow on trees!\nBut money created out of thin air does not create new goods and services that improve living standards. If it did, a place likeZimbabwewould be the wealthiest country in the world. However, newly created money can flow into financial assets, which helps explain why valuation levels are so high.\nThe graph below shows “Austrian” Money Supply (AMS), the best measure of money supply that is consistent withthis Austrian School of Economics definition(although it no longer includes traveler’s checks, which have been discontinued in the Fed’s database due to limited use these days). AMS is up 40% since February 2020 and is up an astounding 225% since the Great Recession ended in June 2009!\nSource: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\nThis is well above the money supply growth that drove the Roaring ‘20s and ultimately led to the Great Depression of the 1930s, as detailed in economist Murray N. Rothbard’s definitive history of that period in his bookAmerica’s Great Depression. In this book, heexplained the cause of the boom and bust business cycle:\nThe “boom-bust” cycle is generated by monetary intervention in the market, specifically bank credit expansion to business…[B]ank credit expansion sets into motion the business cycle in all its phases: the inflationary boom, marked by expansion of the money supply and by malinvestment; the crisis, which arrives when credit expansion ceases and malinvestments become evident; and the depression recovery, the necessary adjustment process by which the economy returns to the most efficient ways of satisfying consumer desires.\nAll this money creation has enabled the Fed to target theFederal Funds Rateat only 0.1%, as shown below. While that is above the negative interest rates prevailing in some countries, it doesn’t leave much room for the Fed to cut rates to try to prevent a recession, particularly with inflation at over 5% now. And as the chart shows, the Fed cut rates throughout the prior three recessions and bear markets and was not able to stop them, since the market is bigger than the Fed. This leaves the stock market and economy very vulnerable in the next downturn, with potentially no “safety nets” to protect them.\nSource: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\nLastly, for the Keynesian economists who still believe the dogma that Federal budget deficits can prevent a recession - despite any evidence or logical theory to support it - the current Federal Budget Surplus/Deficit To GDP Ratio of -15% is the worst since World War II, as shown below. Given record-high government debt levels and deficits, how much more deficit spending will bond investors be willing to finance? And what good will it do, since deficits did not prevent the Great Recession?\nSource: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\nImplications For Investors\nThere is much more that can be said to prove our case, but hopefully, the facts provided in this article are sufficient for investors to understand the current risks in financial assets and the economy.\nWhile the exact timing of the next bear market and recession is unknown and there are currently no signs of it with stocks at all-time highs, now is the time for investors to seek out information on how to identify the tell-tale signs of bear markets and how to profit from them, rather than being decimated by them, as the majority of investors, unfortunately, will be.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":190,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":812521675,"gmtCreate":1630595608797,"gmtModify":1631889767355,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088157638983690","authorIdStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Recommend for trading 🙈 hi roller coaster&nbsp;","listText":"Recommend for trading 🙈 hi roller coaster&nbsp;","text":"Recommend for trading 🙈 hi roller coaster","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812521675","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":812523645,"gmtCreate":1630595543087,"gmtModify":1631888290158,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088157638983690","authorIdStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">$Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$</a>Unbelievable&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">$Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$</a>Unbelievable&nbsp;","text":"$Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$Unbelievable","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bdfe2ef2a0af18d20038dac99ad09e0","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812523645","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":238,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819235281,"gmtCreate":1630071812743,"gmtModify":1704955516702,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088157638983690","authorIdStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>After a long wait, finally ! Up&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>After a long wait, finally ! Up&nbsp;","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$After a long wait, finally ! Up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec2bd12b33c13f742640df71bd805ea5","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819235281","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":212,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810423389,"gmtCreate":1629993847941,"gmtModify":1704954385366,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088157638983690","authorIdStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"An Apple insights. Interesting piece of reading !","listText":"An Apple insights. Interesting piece of reading !","text":"An Apple insights. Interesting piece of reading !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810423389","repostId":"1168256001","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":75,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810463345,"gmtCreate":1629993203787,"gmtModify":1704954371596,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088157638983690","authorIdStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news or bad news?&nbsp;","listText":"Good news or bad news?&nbsp;","text":"Good news or bad news?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810463345","repostId":"1129687208","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834402316,"gmtCreate":1629816701335,"gmtModify":1631885649552,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088157638983690","authorIdStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JKS\">$JinkoSolar(JKS)$</a>Roller coasters ride","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JKS\">$JinkoSolar(JKS)$</a>Roller coasters ride","text":"$JinkoSolar(JKS)$Roller coasters ride","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cddf8c70295e0d508a590a1af88586b1","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834402316","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839453812,"gmtCreate":1629176079736,"gmtModify":1631889767363,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088157638983690","authorIdStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839453812","repostId":"1133874781","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133874781","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629164267,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133874781?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-17 09:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Reasons To Buy Apple Stock Over Amazon","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133874781","media":"TheStreet","summary":"The Apple Maven presents three reasons why Apple stock may be a better pick than Amazon today.\nAmazo","content":"<p>The Apple Maven presents three reasons why Apple stock may be a better pick than Amazon today.</p>\n<p>Amazon&nbsp;or Apple stock? Maybe picking one over the other might not make too much difference, since both have behaved similarly, especially in the past year or two. See the rolling one-year correlation chart below – the closer to +1, the closer the stocks’ daily returns track each other.</p>\n<p>But today, the Apple Maven presents three reasons why AAPL may be a better bet compared to its peer AMZN. For those interested, our sister channel&nbsp;Amazon Maven will soon take the other side&nbsp;of the argument. Check out both theses to determine which makes most sense.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2842dada1100f7fa50ce607c91359294\" tg-width=\"777\" tg-height=\"429\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: One-year rolling correlation, AAPL vs. AMZN.</span></p>\n<p><b>#1. Post-pandemic outperformer</b></p>\n<p>Since reporting Q2 earnings, Amazon stock has failed to gain any lift. The culprit has been a sharp deceleration in the online store’s revenue growth rate. Amazon has proved that the pandemic period was particularly beneficial for the company’s e-commerce business, but that the party might be over.</p>\n<p>The opposite has happened to Apple. While the more pessimistic analysts believed that the post-pandemic environment would be a headwind to the company’s financial performance,Apple proved them wrong: astounding revenue and earnings growth of 36% and 101%, respectively, in fiscal Q3.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/addc3e819f69d2aa771eb0cbf30a7d02\" tg-width=\"792\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: FQ3 2021 revenue growth by geo segment.</span></p>\n<p><b>#2. Valuations more appealing</b></p>\n<p>In absolute terms, it is undeniable that Apple stock is a more affordable play than Amazon. The chart below shows how AMZN is substantially more richly valued than Apple, both in terms of trailing earnings (nearly twice more expensive) and free cash flow (substantially more expensive).</p>\n<p>In an environment in which assets are not priced for perfection, paying a bit more for what one might consider a better stock could make sense. But during a period like the current one, in which equity valuations seem stretched thin, being a bit more conservative on the price tag may be the best approach.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8bbc5964d65a7779bfa877427132d2f5\" tg-width=\"999\" tg-height=\"501\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 3: AAPL and AMZN's valuation.</span></p>\n<p><b>#3. Underappreciated growth</b></p>\n<p>Lastly, Amazon has been growing its top and bottom lines at a faster pace than Apple – and analysts expect this to still be the case going forward,according to Seeking Alpha. However, while Amazon’s growth opportunities in e-commerce and cloud seem to be well-understood, Apple stock price may not properly reflect the company’s two- to five-year growth potential.</p>\n<p>The Cupertino company could be&nbsp;introducing a new mixed reality headset&nbsp;next year or in 2023,followed by an Apple Car&nbsp;that could drastically change (improve?) the company’s financial performance.Valued at an attractive current-year P/E of 25 times, I suspect that the market has not properly factored these opportunities into the share price.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Reasons To Buy Apple Stock Over Amazon</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Reasons To Buy Apple Stock Over Amazon\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-17 09:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/3-reasons-to-buy-apple-stock-over-amazon><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Apple Maven presents three reasons why Apple stock may be a better pick than Amazon today.\nAmazon or Apple stock? Maybe picking one over the other might not make too much difference, since both ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/3-reasons-to-buy-apple-stock-over-amazon\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/3-reasons-to-buy-apple-stock-over-amazon","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133874781","content_text":"The Apple Maven presents three reasons why Apple stock may be a better pick than Amazon today.\nAmazon or Apple stock? Maybe picking one over the other might not make too much difference, since both have behaved similarly, especially in the past year or two. See the rolling one-year correlation chart below – the closer to +1, the closer the stocks’ daily returns track each other.\nBut today, the Apple Maven presents three reasons why AAPL may be a better bet compared to its peer AMZN. For those interested, our sister channel Amazon Maven will soon take the other side of the argument. Check out both theses to determine which makes most sense.\nFigure 1: One-year rolling correlation, AAPL vs. AMZN.\n#1. Post-pandemic outperformer\nSince reporting Q2 earnings, Amazon stock has failed to gain any lift. The culprit has been a sharp deceleration in the online store’s revenue growth rate. Amazon has proved that the pandemic period was particularly beneficial for the company’s e-commerce business, but that the party might be over.\nThe opposite has happened to Apple. While the more pessimistic analysts believed that the post-pandemic environment would be a headwind to the company’s financial performance,Apple proved them wrong: astounding revenue and earnings growth of 36% and 101%, respectively, in fiscal Q3.\nFigure 2: FQ3 2021 revenue growth by geo segment.\n#2. Valuations more appealing\nIn absolute terms, it is undeniable that Apple stock is a more affordable play than Amazon. The chart below shows how AMZN is substantially more richly valued than Apple, both in terms of trailing earnings (nearly twice more expensive) and free cash flow (substantially more expensive).\nIn an environment in which assets are not priced for perfection, paying a bit more for what one might consider a better stock could make sense. But during a period like the current one, in which equity valuations seem stretched thin, being a bit more conservative on the price tag may be the best approach.\nFigure 3: AAPL and AMZN's valuation.\n#3. Underappreciated growth\nLastly, Amazon has been growing its top and bottom lines at a faster pace than Apple – and analysts expect this to still be the case going forward,according to Seeking Alpha. However, while Amazon’s growth opportunities in e-commerce and cloud seem to be well-understood, Apple stock price may not properly reflect the company’s two- to five-year growth potential.\nThe Cupertino company could be introducing a new mixed reality headset next year or in 2023,followed by an Apple Car that could drastically change (improve?) the company’s financial performance.Valued at an attractive current-year P/E of 25 times, I suspect that the market has not properly factored these opportunities into the share price.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839800025,"gmtCreate":1629130973667,"gmtModify":1631889767368,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088157638983690","authorIdStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"See u soon 13 !","listText":"See u soon 13 !","text":"See u soon 13 !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839800025","repostId":"1111034903","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1111034903","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629099150,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1111034903?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-16 15:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple’s Next iPhone Is Coming Soon. Here’s What to Expect.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111034903","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Analysts say camera improvements are the biggest changes hitting Apple’s coming smartphones. Otherwi","content":"<p>Analysts say camera improvements are the biggest changes hitting Apple’s coming smartphones. Otherwise, expect modest upgrades.</p>\n<p>About to buy a new iPhone?Don’t. We expect&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;to announce new models sometime next month, as it does every year. And even if you aren’t interested in the latest and greatest, the company generally drops the price of some older models along with the new crop.</p>\n<p>Apple is, of course, hush-hush on what’s to come. A company spokeswoman declined to comment on future products. But iPhone production tends to be a leaky business, and I asked analysts who monitor Apple’s sales and supply chain to weigh in on the next iPhone.</p>\n<p>First, what will it be called? The iPhone 13? It’s a likely bet, since Apple skipped the iPhone 11S and went right to the 12.</p>\n<p>Some have hypothesized Apple might steer clear of the number because of superstition, the way some skyscrapers skip a 13th floor.A survey&nbsp;of 3,000 Apple users by Sell Cell, a used-electronics vendor, found that 18% would be put off by an iPhone 13. But Apple hasn’t shied away from naming software iOS 13 or selling a 13-inch MacBook.</p>\n<p>Whether it’s iPhone 13, iPhone 12S, iPhone 2021 or even iPhone (15th generation), there will be several new models this year. Here’s what you can expect from the coming device:</p>\n<p><b>Modest Changes</b></p>\n<p>“We’re in the 5G chapter of the iPhone, which is a multiyear chapter,” said Gene Munster, a managing partner and Apple analyst with venture-capital firm Loup Ventures. “It’s going to be pretty modest over years two and three.”</p>\n<p>Last year was&nbsp;significant for the device. The iPhone 12 models—the first to support faster 5G cellular networks—got a redesign and gained two new sizes in&nbsp;the Mini&nbsp;and&nbsp;Pro Max. Apple typically follows a big update with a less noteworthy release. Mr. Munster said we’ll see incremental improvements: a faster processor, longer battery life and camera upgrades.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6147bbb135ac38b417c4707fb0f9b78\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Last year iPhone 12 models—the first to support faster 5G cellular networks—got a redesign and gained two new sizes.</span></p>\n<p><b>Camera Improvements</b></p>\n<p>“There’s a pretty healthy set of rumors about the camera, which are true,” he said. “I believe that this will be Apple’s selling point this time around.”</p>\n<p>Mr. Munster pointed to a&nbsp;Bloomberg story&nbsp;that reports the camera on the higher-end Pro and Pro Max models could support Portrait mode (where the background is artfully blurred) when shooting video, as well as a higher-quality video format. High-end&nbsp;Samsung&nbsp;Galaxy phones have been able to shoot portrait mode during video—called Video Live Focus—since 2019, with the Samsung Galaxy S10 5G.</p>\n<p><b>One More Mini</b></p>\n<p>Apple saw lackluster sales of the iPhone 12 Mini, which has a 5.4-inch screen.Counterpoint Intelligence Research Partners&nbsp;estimates that the Mini made up just 5% of total iPhone 12 sales in the quarter ending June 2021.Trendforce, a market research firm, reported that Apple halted iPhone 12 mini production.</p>\n<p>However, Mr. Munster believes that we’ll see another Mini this year. “It’s a niche, but people in that niche tend to like them,” he said. This was welcome news to me. I happen to be in that niche—though I do think the small phone’s battery life could be much better.</p>\n<p>Adam Wears, an analyst at Juniper Research, agrees. He expects Apple will phase out the Mini in subsequent years, focusing instead on its standard and premium-tier Pro and Pro Max models, while the iPhone SE, with a 4.7-inch screen, becomes the lower-priced model.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8c33d34b970f0851a8ee62ccb8497c9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Apple CEO Tim Cook showed off the iPhone 12 Pro in October 2020.</span></p>\n<p><b>Wider 5G Availability</b></p>\n<p>Mr. Wears also anticipates the next iPhone will expand the use of&nbsp;high-frequency millimeter-wave technology&nbsp;in handsets in more countries across Asia and Europe.</p>\n<p>The iPhone 12 globally supports the more conventional sub-6-gigahertz band, but the faster millimeter-wave antenna, which can’t travel long distances and is more susceptible to obstacles such as trees, is only available in iPhone models in the U.S.</p>\n<p>Brian White, an analyst with Monness Crespi Hardt, agrees that the next iPhones will likely “further tap into this nascent global 5G ramp.”</p>\n<p><b>Shipping Delays</b></p>\n<p>Apple said it is affected by the disruption to the&nbsp;global supply of microprocessors. “We’re going to take it sort of one quarter at a time and, as you would guess, we’ll do everything we can to mitigate whatever set of circumstances we’re dealt,” Chief Executive Tim Cook told analysts during a public conference call last month.</p>\n<p>Mr. Munster said that while he expects the company to announce the phone in September with availability in October, he thinks most customers won’t receive devices until December.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881a288be0216567393e9fa6f1fc7f79\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Samsung recently announced two foldable devices: the Galaxy Z Flip3, left, and Galaxy Z Fold3.</span></p>\n<p><b>No Foldable—Yet</b></p>\n<p>“The chapter after 5G is foldable phones,” said Mr. Munster, who expects Apple to release that device in 2023. The competition in the space is heating up: Samsung recently announced two foldable devices, the&nbsp;Galaxy Z Fold3 and Galaxy Z Flip3. The former opens like a book and the latter works like an old-school flip phone, like the old Motorola Razr. The prediction that iPhones will eventually flip is reinforced by the fact that Samsung is one of Apple’s top display manufacturers.</p>\n<p>My colleague Joanna Stern found a pattern in Samsung and Apple releases. The iPhone maker typically incorporates features&nbsp;two to three years after Samsung. And if that timeline is any indication, the iPhone is soon due for an in-screen fingerprint reader and a screen with a faster 120-hertz refresh rate for smoother animations.</p>\n<p>Joanna reported that Apple has been working on in-screen fingerprint technology and has considered including Touch ID and Face ID on the same device, according to two former Apple employees. It probably won’t appear this year, however.</p>\n<p><b>What About Other Phones?</b></p>\n<p>If you’re in the market for an upgrade, there are, of course, other options to consider.</p>\n<p>Google already announced that its next Pixel 6 will run its own proprietary Google-designed chip and feature a new camera system. We’ll hear more details sometime this fall. Meanwhile, Samsung lowered the price of its recent foldables to $1,800 for the Fold ($200 less than its predecessor) and $1,000 for the smaller Flip (nearly $400 cheaper than last year’s model). And while&nbsp;the Galaxy S21is still probably the best overall Android purchase, Samsung will likely launch its next non-folding flagship Galaxy phones in early 2022.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple’s Next iPhone Is Coming Soon. Here’s What to Expect.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple’s Next iPhone Is Coming Soon. Here’s What to Expect.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-16 15:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.wsj.com/articles/apples-next-iphone-is-coming-soon-heres-what-to-expect-11629032400?mod=hp_lead_pos10><strong>The Wall Street Journal</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Analysts say camera improvements are the biggest changes hitting Apple’s coming smartphones. Otherwise, expect modest upgrades.\nAbout to buy a new iPhone?Don’t. We expect Apple to announce new models ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/apples-next-iphone-is-coming-soon-heres-what-to-expect-11629032400?mod=hp_lead_pos10\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/apples-next-iphone-is-coming-soon-heres-what-to-expect-11629032400?mod=hp_lead_pos10","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111034903","content_text":"Analysts say camera improvements are the biggest changes hitting Apple’s coming smartphones. Otherwise, expect modest upgrades.\nAbout to buy a new iPhone?Don’t. We expect Apple to announce new models sometime next month, as it does every year. And even if you aren’t interested in the latest and greatest, the company generally drops the price of some older models along with the new crop.\nApple is, of course, hush-hush on what’s to come. A company spokeswoman declined to comment on future products. But iPhone production tends to be a leaky business, and I asked analysts who monitor Apple’s sales and supply chain to weigh in on the next iPhone.\nFirst, what will it be called? The iPhone 13? It’s a likely bet, since Apple skipped the iPhone 11S and went right to the 12.\nSome have hypothesized Apple might steer clear of the number because of superstition, the way some skyscrapers skip a 13th floor.A survey of 3,000 Apple users by Sell Cell, a used-electronics vendor, found that 18% would be put off by an iPhone 13. But Apple hasn’t shied away from naming software iOS 13 or selling a 13-inch MacBook.\nWhether it’s iPhone 13, iPhone 12S, iPhone 2021 or even iPhone (15th generation), there will be several new models this year. Here’s what you can expect from the coming device:\nModest Changes\n“We’re in the 5G chapter of the iPhone, which is a multiyear chapter,” said Gene Munster, a managing partner and Apple analyst with venture-capital firm Loup Ventures. “It’s going to be pretty modest over years two and three.”\nLast year was significant for the device. The iPhone 12 models—the first to support faster 5G cellular networks—got a redesign and gained two new sizes in the Mini and Pro Max. Apple typically follows a big update with a less noteworthy release. Mr. Munster said we’ll see incremental improvements: a faster processor, longer battery life and camera upgrades.\nLast year iPhone 12 models—the first to support faster 5G cellular networks—got a redesign and gained two new sizes.\nCamera Improvements\n“There’s a pretty healthy set of rumors about the camera, which are true,” he said. “I believe that this will be Apple’s selling point this time around.”\nMr. Munster pointed to a Bloomberg story that reports the camera on the higher-end Pro and Pro Max models could support Portrait mode (where the background is artfully blurred) when shooting video, as well as a higher-quality video format. High-end Samsung Galaxy phones have been able to shoot portrait mode during video—called Video Live Focus—since 2019, with the Samsung Galaxy S10 5G.\nOne More Mini\nApple saw lackluster sales of the iPhone 12 Mini, which has a 5.4-inch screen.Counterpoint Intelligence Research Partners estimates that the Mini made up just 5% of total iPhone 12 sales in the quarter ending June 2021.Trendforce, a market research firm, reported that Apple halted iPhone 12 mini production.\nHowever, Mr. Munster believes that we’ll see another Mini this year. “It’s a niche, but people in that niche tend to like them,” he said. This was welcome news to me. I happen to be in that niche—though I do think the small phone’s battery life could be much better.\nAdam Wears, an analyst at Juniper Research, agrees. He expects Apple will phase out the Mini in subsequent years, focusing instead on its standard and premium-tier Pro and Pro Max models, while the iPhone SE, with a 4.7-inch screen, becomes the lower-priced model.\nApple CEO Tim Cook showed off the iPhone 12 Pro in October 2020.\nWider 5G Availability\nMr. Wears also anticipates the next iPhone will expand the use of high-frequency millimeter-wave technology in handsets in more countries across Asia and Europe.\nThe iPhone 12 globally supports the more conventional sub-6-gigahertz band, but the faster millimeter-wave antenna, which can’t travel long distances and is more susceptible to obstacles such as trees, is only available in iPhone models in the U.S.\nBrian White, an analyst with Monness Crespi Hardt, agrees that the next iPhones will likely “further tap into this nascent global 5G ramp.”\nShipping Delays\nApple said it is affected by the disruption to the global supply of microprocessors. “We’re going to take it sort of one quarter at a time and, as you would guess, we’ll do everything we can to mitigate whatever set of circumstances we’re dealt,” Chief Executive Tim Cook told analysts during a public conference call last month.\nMr. Munster said that while he expects the company to announce the phone in September with availability in October, he thinks most customers won’t receive devices until December.\nSamsung recently announced two foldable devices: the Galaxy Z Flip3, left, and Galaxy Z Fold3.\nNo Foldable—Yet\n“The chapter after 5G is foldable phones,” said Mr. Munster, who expects Apple to release that device in 2023. The competition in the space is heating up: Samsung recently announced two foldable devices, the Galaxy Z Fold3 and Galaxy Z Flip3. The former opens like a book and the latter works like an old-school flip phone, like the old Motorola Razr. The prediction that iPhones will eventually flip is reinforced by the fact that Samsung is one of Apple’s top display manufacturers.\nMy colleague Joanna Stern found a pattern in Samsung and Apple releases. The iPhone maker typically incorporates features two to three years after Samsung. And if that timeline is any indication, the iPhone is soon due for an in-screen fingerprint reader and a screen with a faster 120-hertz refresh rate for smoother animations.\nJoanna reported that Apple has been working on in-screen fingerprint technology and has considered including Touch ID and Face ID on the same device, according to two former Apple employees. It probably won’t appear this year, however.\nWhat About Other Phones?\nIf you’re in the market for an upgrade, there are, of course, other options to consider.\nGoogle already announced that its next Pixel 6 will run its own proprietary Google-designed chip and feature a new camera system. We’ll hear more details sometime this fall. Meanwhile, Samsung lowered the price of its recent foldables to $1,800 for the Fold ($200 less than its predecessor) and $1,000 for the smaller Flip (nearly $400 cheaper than last year’s model). And while the Galaxy S21is still probably the best overall Android purchase, Samsung will likely launch its next non-folding flagship Galaxy phones in early 2022.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":63,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839174641,"gmtCreate":1629130772984,"gmtModify":1631888290254,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088157638983690","authorIdStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">$Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$</a>?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">$Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$</a>?","text":"$Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b920728a4307437fd27a8ec30e3292f5","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839174641","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":138,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839175471,"gmtCreate":1629130685793,"gmtModify":1631889767371,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088157638983690","authorIdStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting move by Temasek into PRC company. Hmmmmm ! Cutting Microsoft going for Intel, not surprise though.&nbsp;","listText":"Interesting move by Temasek into PRC company. Hmmmmm ! Cutting Microsoft going for Intel, not surprise though.&nbsp;","text":"Interesting move by Temasek into PRC company. Hmmmmm ! Cutting Microsoft going for Intel, not surprise though.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839175471","repostId":"2159226397","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":156,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839318715,"gmtCreate":1629122066537,"gmtModify":1631889767373,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088157638983690","authorIdStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🍎","listText":"🍎","text":"🍎","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839318715","repostId":"830698125","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":830698125,"gmtCreate":1629069117567,"gmtModify":1629084357802,"author":{"id":"3528067440798020","authorId":"3528067440798020","name":"YOLO道","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e9ffc9ce8bdc6bbdf0601cfe562d658","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3528067440798020","authorIdStr":"3528067440798020"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>苹果公司在上个月发布财报时，尽管业绩出色，但未能获得市场青睐，股价在财报日小幅下跌，不过这比过去两份稳健的报告后看到的直接抛售要好。现在苹果股价慢慢从财报下跌中反弹回来。在上周四，股价漂亮反弹之后，到达150美元附近的阻力位。如果该股突破150美元，下一个目标将是161.8%的延伸线即160美元附近。在下行方面，看看10日和21日移动平均线能否作为支撑。低于这个水平，股价将滑向之前的历史高点145美元附近。如果这个区域也不能作为支撑，那么跌向50天移动平均线也是可能的。","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>苹果公司在上个月发布财报时，尽管业绩出色，但未能获得市场青睐，股价在财报日小幅下跌，不过这比过去两份稳健的报告后看到的直接抛售要好。现在苹果股价慢慢从财报下跌中反弹回来。在上周四，股价漂亮反弹之后，到达150美元附近的阻力位。如果该股突破150美元，下一个目标将是161.8%的延伸线即160美元附近。在下行方面，看看10日和21日移动平均线能否作为支撑。低于这个水平，股价将滑向之前的历史高点145美元附近。如果这个区域也不能作为支撑，那么跌向50天移动平均线也是可能的。","text":"$苹果(AAPL)$苹果公司在上个月发布财报时，尽管业绩出色，但未能获得市场青睐，股价在财报日小幅下跌，不过这比过去两份稳健的报告后看到的直接抛售要好。现在苹果股价慢慢从财报下跌中反弹回来。在上周四，股价漂亮反弹之后，到达150美元附近的阻力位。如果该股突破150美元，下一个目标将是161.8%的延伸线即160美元附近。在下行方面，看看10日和21日移动平均线能否作为支撑。低于这个水平，股价将滑向之前的历史高点145美元附近。如果这个区域也不能作为支撑，那么跌向50天移动平均线也是可能的。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7aafbd445cf58a85f522c83e58f794aa","width":"1020","height":"681"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830698125","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830327399,"gmtCreate":1629015940411,"gmtModify":1631889767375,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088157638983690","authorIdStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Waiting for u…","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Waiting for u…","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$Waiting for u…","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7fff4b1c7fb9585ca2a036234988c09","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830327399","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":120,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895080626,"gmtCreate":1628694187465,"gmtModify":1631891917963,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088157638983690","authorIdStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Careful for PRC shares. Go for Nvidia !&nbsp;","listText":"Careful for PRC shares. Go for Nvidia !&nbsp;","text":"Careful for PRC shares. Go for Nvidia !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895080626","repostId":"2158474560","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":418,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895014775,"gmtCreate":1628694084797,"gmtModify":1631891917976,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088157638983690","authorIdStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oversold 🤦‍♀️","listText":"Oversold 🤦‍♀️","text":"Oversold 🤦‍♀️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895014775","repostId":"1124982476","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":157,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895015510,"gmtCreate":1628694004730,"gmtModify":1631883939405,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088157638983690","authorIdStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VOO\">$Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF(VOO)$</a>Invest VOO&nbsp;for newbie like me, slow and steady !","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VOO\">$Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF(VOO)$</a>Invest VOO&nbsp;for newbie like me, slow and steady !","text":"$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$Invest VOO for newbie like me, slow and steady !","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28fc1ee75ca88577f5d4f0ce7c7f16f0","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895015510","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899815417,"gmtCreate":1628173292939,"gmtModify":1631891917990,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088157638983690","authorIdStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>Waiting for you to come back Amazon !&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>Waiting for you to come back Amazon !&nbsp;","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$Waiting for you to come back Amazon !","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79af8728c7889ccfe36ef57c45a172d7","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899815417","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":147221528,"gmtCreate":1626360294364,"gmtModify":1633927495402,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088157638983690","idStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>Retreat from the new high&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a>Retreat from the new high&nbsp;","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$Retreat from the new high","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb45bf054c0d87c9db01bdb8a7d4d149","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147221528","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":227,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895080626,"gmtCreate":1628694187465,"gmtModify":1631891917963,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088157638983690","idStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Careful for PRC shares. Go for Nvidia !&nbsp;","listText":"Careful for PRC shares. Go for Nvidia !&nbsp;","text":"Careful for PRC shares. Go for Nvidia !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895080626","repostId":"2158474560","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":418,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177042437,"gmtCreate":1627172328629,"gmtModify":1631884664757,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088157638983690","idStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is NIO China version of Tesla? Let’s wait &amp; see&nbsp;","listText":"Is NIO China version of Tesla? Let’s wait &amp; see&nbsp;","text":"Is NIO China version of Tesla? Let’s wait & see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177042437","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>\n <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>\n <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Article Thesis</b></p>\n<p>NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p>\n<p><b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p>\n<p>Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p>\n<p><b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p>\n<p>The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p>\n<p><b>Business Model</b></p>\n<p>Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p>\n<p>Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p>\n<p><b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p>\n<p>The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p>\n<p>Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p>\n<p>The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p>\n<p>Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p>\n<p><b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p>\n<p>The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p>\n<p>When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p>\n<p>It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p>\n<p><b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p>\n<p>When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p>\n<p>One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-24 09:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":80,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143682116,"gmtCreate":1625791807735,"gmtModify":1631885482005,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088157638983690","idStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time for Pfizer to pick up !","listText":"Time for Pfizer to pick up !","text":"Time for Pfizer to pick up !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143682116","repostId":"1141664359","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141664359","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625786702,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1141664359?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-09 07:25","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Pfizer says it is developing a Covid booster shot to target the highly transmissible delta variant","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141664359","media":"CNBC","summary":"KEY POINTS\n\nPfizer and BioNTech announced Thursday they are developing a Covid-19 booster shot inten","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nPfizer and BioNTech announced Thursday they are developing a Covid-19 booster shot intended to target the delta variant.\nClinical studies could begin as early as August, subject to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/08/pfizer-says-it-is-developing-a-covid-booster-shot-to-target-the-highly-transmissible-delta-variant.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pfizer says it is developing a Covid booster shot to target the highly transmissible delta variant</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPfizer says it is developing a Covid booster shot to target the highly transmissible delta variant\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-09 07:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/08/pfizer-says-it-is-developing-a-covid-booster-shot-to-target-the-highly-transmissible-delta-variant.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nPfizer and BioNTech announced Thursday they are developing a Covid-19 booster shot intended to target the delta variant.\nClinical studies could begin as early as August, subject to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/08/pfizer-says-it-is-developing-a-covid-booster-shot-to-target-the-highly-transmissible-delta-variant.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/08/pfizer-says-it-is-developing-a-covid-booster-shot-to-target-the-highly-transmissible-delta-variant.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1141664359","content_text":"KEY POINTS\n\nPfizer and BioNTech announced Thursday they are developing a Covid-19 booster shot intended to target the delta variant.\nClinical studies could begin as early as August, subject to regulatory approvals.\nExecutives from Pfizer and BioNtech have repeatedly said people will likely need a booster shot, or third dose, within 12 months of getting fully vaccinated.\n\nPfizerandBioNTechannounced Thursday they are developing a Covid-19 booster shot intended to target the delta variant as concerns rise about the highly transmissible strain that is already the dominant form of the disease in the United States.\nThe companies said although they believe a third shot of their current two-dose vaccine has the potential to preserve the \"highest levels\" of protection against all currently known variants, including delta, they are \"remaining vigilant\" and developing an updated version of the vaccine.\n“As seen in real world evidence released from the Israel Ministry of Health, vaccine efficacy has declined six months post-vaccination, at the same time that the Delta variant is becoming the dominate variant in the country,” the companies said in a written statement.\n“These findings are consistent with an ongoing analysis from the companies’ Phase 3 study,” they said. “That is why we have said, and we continue to believe that it is likely, based on the totality of the data we have to date, that a third dose may be needed within 6 to 12 months after full vaccination.”\nClinical studies could begin as early as August, subject to regulatory approvals, the companies said.\nThe announcement comes the same day Olympics organizers saidthey are banning all spectatorsfrom the games this year after Japan declared a state of emergency that’s meant to curb a wave of new Covid-19 infections due in part to the delta variant.\nDelta is estimated by the World Health Organization to be about 55% more transmissible than alpha, the variant first found in the United Kingdom that once dominated the U.S. While current evidence shows Pfizer’s is highly effective against delta in preventing severe disease and death, it may not protect as well against mild disease and spreading the disease to others, scientists say.\nOn Monday, Israeli officialsreporteda decrease in the effectiveness of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine in preventing infections and symptomatic illness but said it remained highly effective in preventing serious illness.\nIn the U.S, health officials are urging all eligible Americans to get vaccinated as quickly as possible, especially before the fall season when delta isexpected to cause another surge in new coronavirus cases, particularly in places with the lowest vaccination rates.\nThere are about 1,000 counties in the U.S. that have Covid vaccination coverage of less than 30%, mostly located in the Southeast and Midwest, CDC Director Dr. Rochelle Walensky recently said. The agency is already seeing increasing rates of infection in those areas due to the further spread of the delta variant.\nExecutives from Pfizer and BioNtech have repeatedly said people will likely need a booster shot, or third dose, within 12 months of getting fully vaccinated because they expect vaccine-induced immunity to wane over time. They also said it’s likely people will need to get additional shots each year.\nPfizer and BioNTech are developing booster shots and are expected to shortly seek U.S. authorization for a third dose of its vaccine.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":21,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890881687,"gmtCreate":1628091716449,"gmtModify":1631891918013,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088157638983690","idStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>Hi baba!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>Hi baba!","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$Hi baba!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/924fbceb1c0a5b4c26a7f2d77572949e","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890881687","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":812524764,"gmtCreate":1630595917758,"gmtModify":1631889767352,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088157638983690","idStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Everything bubble. So, are you bubble too?&nbsp;","listText":"Everything bubble. So, are you bubble too?&nbsp;","text":"Everything bubble. So, are you bubble too?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812524764","repostId":"1146170136","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146170136","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630576860,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146170136?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-02 18:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Reasons The Next Stock Bear Market And Recession Could Be The Worst Since The 1930s","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146170136","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe first reason we believe the next stock bear market and recession will be the worst sinc","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>The first reason we believe the next stock bear market and recession will be the worst since the 1930s is due to extremely high asset valuations.</li>\n <li>The second reason is due to extraordinarily bullish investor sentiment.</li>\n <li>The third reason is due to weak economic fundamentals.</li>\n <li>The fourth reason is due to excessive debt levels.</li>\n <li>The fifth reason is due to limited policy options.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>With the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) at all-time highs and seemingly endless “free liquidity” being provided by the Fed, the last thing most investors can envision right now is a major bear market or recession - particularly ones that will be the worst since the Great Depression of the 1930s!</p>\n<p>But the facts we will detail in this article show that is&nbsp;<i>highly likely</i>&nbsp;to be the case. This is an extraordinary statement, but we are living in extraordinary times! Investors need to understand the risks they are facing now in order to prepare and profit from them in the future.</p>\n<p>Here are the five key reasons we believe the next stock bear market and recession will be worse than the Great Recession of 2008-2009 (when the S&amp;P 500 fell 58% and it took about six years to recover), which will make it the worst since the 1930s (when the S&amp;P 500 fell 86% and it took about 25 years to recover):</p>\n<p><b>1. Extremely High Asset Valuations</b></p>\n<p>Informed investors know that we are currently in an “Everything Bubble” driven by massive and persistent central bank money creation. Virtually every major financial asset is overvalued and priced to deliver low - or even negative - long-term returns.</p>\n<p>For example, the Shiller P/E Ratio shown below is 30% higher than it was at the 1929 peak and is nearly as high as the all-time high in 2000. TheShiller P/E Ratiowas created by economist Robert Shiller and is calculated as the price of the S&amp;P 500 divided by the average past 10 years of earnings, adjusted for inflation. It attempts to smooth the cyclicality of earnings. Historically, high Shiller P/E Ratios have led to below-average long-term returns.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66f9a3f8fedee54d3a30a15b70138ab5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofShiller PE Ratio, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p>Warren Buffett’s favorite valuation measure- and the one that best predicts future long-term stock market returns - is the Stock Market Capitalization To GDP Ratio, which is shown below. Based on this measure, stocks are trading 30% higher than the prior all-time high at the Tech Bubble peak of 2000! Stocks would have to fall over 60% for this ratio to return to the levels it reached at the stock market bottom in March 2009.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d270087f9958674d30bed139425fe08e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p>It is not just stocks that are priced to deliver poor returns. US Treasury bills and bonds are trading at historically low interest rates not far above zero (and some countries have negative interest rates), assuring very low returns until maturity. Also, corporate bond yields relative to Treasury bond yields are at historically low levels.</p>\n<p>Real estate is also expensive, with REITs trading at historically low dividend yields. And as shown in the chart below of theS&amp;P/Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index, home prices are currently 27% higher than they were at the housing bubble peak of 2006!</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c011c579b31844dd761b260b1adb7600\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"281\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p>Importantly, not only do high valuations lead to low long-term returns but they also usually lead to devastating bear markets on the path to those low long-term returns.</p>\n<p><b>2. Extraordinarily Bullish Investor Sentiment</b></p>\n<p>Along with high asset valuations, investor sentiment is at sky-high levels of bullishness. When investors are very bullish, that is a bearish contrarian indicator.</p>\n<p>The best investor sentiment indicators show where investors are actually putting their hard-earned money in anticipation of making a profit, not just what they say their “mood” is. For sentiment, we focus on investor<i>actions</i>, not<i>words</i>.</p>\n<p>One excellent sentiment indicator is the Equity Put/Call Ratio. When investors are bearish, they buy Put options in anticipation of profiting from a fall in stock prices. When they are bullish, they buy Call options in anticipation of profiting from a rise in stock prices. When the ratio of Puts to Calls is very high, that shows investors are very bearish, which is a bullish contrarian indicator. Conversely, when the ratio of Puts to Calls is very low, that shows investors are very bullish, which is a bearish contrarian indicator.</p>\n<p>The chart below shows the Equity Put/Call Ratio, using the 100-day moving average to reduce short-term noise in this indicator. Over the past year, it has fallen to extremely low levels - well below those seen at the stock market peak in 2007.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f4ac510219add2cccd009014b44162b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofStockCharts.com, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p>The next chart is the Rydex Asset Ratio, which is the ratio of investor assets in all Rydex bear and money market funds (bearish positioning) compared to investor assets in all Rydex bull funds (bullish positioning). As you can see, investors have been very bullishly positioned in US stocks for over seven years! The last time investors approached this level of bullishness was around the Tech Bubble peak of 2000.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30902a5fd01f363fd7dc95147f34735a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofStockCharts.com, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p>When the majority of investors are already very bullish and “all in”, there is no one left to buy and lots of potential sellers when something changes, as it always does. Most investors will be shocked when their bullish expectations meet the harsh reality of a major bear market.</p>\n<p><b>3. Weak Economic Fundamentals</b></p>\n<p>The US economy is not as strong as it used to be. That is certainly true in the wake of the Covid pandemic, but it has also been true for the past two decades. All of the taxes, regulations and other government interventions in the economy in recent decades have created a weaker and more fragile economy that will make the next recession even worse.</p>\n<p>The chart below of Industrial Production shows it is only 8% higher than at the 2000 peak and is 1% lower than at the 2007 peak. It has nearly flatlined over the past two decades. That is much weaker than the 3.9% annual growth in Industrial Production from 1920 to 2000.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3b30a4514e3707d1aaaf03a81dd5d3d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"276\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p>Total Nonfarm Employment, shown below, grew at a 2.5% annual rate from 1940 to 2000. Similar to Industrial Production, Employment has nearly flatlined over the past two decades. It has increased only 10% since the 2000 peak and only 6% since the 2007 peak. Sadly, it is still nearly 4% below the February 2020 peak.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c7778bd8479e8800718b3abdcdf0dfb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p><b>4. Excessive Debt Levels</b></p>\n<p>The chart below shows the US Total Debt To GDP Ratio is near recent all-time highs at 3.8 times (or 380%), even higher than the high levels preceding the Great Recession. Global Debt To GDP is also at record high levels over 300%, as is US Federal Debt To GDP at 125%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/563808ddc51f6a6b821f4abde5f62d17\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"242\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p>Excessive debt has been the problem with every financial crisis in history, due to prior money creation out of thin air. So the next one promises to be one for the history books given these unprecedented high debt levels. Debt liquidation and defaults will lead to deflation, particularly for asset prices, as we saw in the Great Recession and even more so in the Great Depression.</p>\n<p><b>5. Limited Policy Options</b></p>\n<p>The primary “bull case” for the stock market and economy over the past 12 years since the Great Recession ended has been “free liquidity” provided in seemingly endless amounts by the Federal Reserve. It is almost as though money really does grow on trees!</p>\n<p>But money created out of thin air does not create new goods and services that improve living standards. If it did, a place likeZimbabwewould be the wealthiest country in the world. However, newly created money can flow into financial assets, which helps explain why valuation levels are so high.</p>\n<p>The graph below shows “Austrian” Money Supply (AMS), the best measure of money supply that is consistent withthis Austrian School of Economics definition(although it no longer includes traveler’s checks, which have been discontinued in the Fed’s database due to limited use these days). AMS is up 40% since February 2020 and is up an astounding 225% since the Great Recession ended in June 2009!</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3844fc699c58ff48effcc5918378bfcd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"261\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p>This is well above the money supply growth that drove the Roaring ‘20s and ultimately led to the Great Depression of the 1930s, as detailed in economist Murray N. Rothbard’s definitive history of that period in his book<i>America’s Great Depression</i>. In this book, heexplained the cause of the boom and bust business cycle:</p>\n<p><i>The “boom-bust” cycle is generated by monetary intervention in the market, specifically bank credit expansion to business…[B]ank credit expansion sets into motion the business cycle in all its phases: the inflationary boom, marked by expansion of the money supply and by malinvestment; the crisis, which arrives when credit expansion ceases and malinvestments become evident; and the depression recovery, the necessary adjustment process by which the economy returns to the most efficient ways of satisfying consumer desires.</i></p>\n<p>All this money creation has enabled the Fed to target theFederal Funds Rateat only 0.1%, as shown below. While that is above the negative interest rates prevailing in some countries, it doesn’t leave much room for the Fed to cut rates to try to prevent a recession, particularly with inflation at over 5% now. And as the chart shows, the Fed cut rates throughout the prior three recessions and bear markets and was not able to stop them, since the market is bigger than the Fed. This leaves the stock market and economy very vulnerable in the next downturn, with potentially no “safety nets” to protect them.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62449341ea09ce506389102e838a6cf4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p>Lastly, for the Keynesian economists who still believe the dogma that Federal budget deficits can prevent a recession - despite any evidence or logical theory to support it - the current Federal Budget Surplus/Deficit To GDP Ratio of -15% is the worst since World War II, as shown below. Given record-high government debt levels and deficits, how much more deficit spending will bond investors be willing to finance? And what good will it do, since deficits did not prevent the Great Recession?</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26c9f09598045b1c92a037cc0e326f86\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"275\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.</span></p>\n<p><b>Implications For Investors</b></p>\n<p>There is much more that can be said to prove our case, but hopefully, the facts provided in this article are sufficient for investors to understand the current risks in financial assets and the economy.</p>\n<p>While the exact timing of the next bear market and recession is unknown and there are currently no signs of it with stocks at all-time highs, now is the time for investors to seek out information on how to identify the tell-tale signs of bear markets and how to profit from them, rather than being decimated by them, as the majority of investors, unfortunately, will be.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Reasons The Next Stock Bear Market And Recession Could Be The Worst Since The 1930s</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Reasons The Next Stock Bear Market And Recession Could Be The Worst Since The 1930s\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-02 18:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4452860-5-reasons-the-next-stock-bear-market-and-recession-could-be-the-worst-since-the-1930s><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe first reason we believe the next stock bear market and recession will be the worst since the 1930s is due to extremely high asset valuations.\nThe second reason is due to extraordinarily ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4452860-5-reasons-the-next-stock-bear-market-and-recession-could-be-the-worst-since-the-1930s\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4452860-5-reasons-the-next-stock-bear-market-and-recession-could-be-the-worst-since-the-1930s","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1146170136","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe first reason we believe the next stock bear market and recession will be the worst since the 1930s is due to extremely high asset valuations.\nThe second reason is due to extraordinarily bullish investor sentiment.\nThe third reason is due to weak economic fundamentals.\nThe fourth reason is due to excessive debt levels.\nThe fifth reason is due to limited policy options.\n\nWith the S&P 500 (SPY) at all-time highs and seemingly endless “free liquidity” being provided by the Fed, the last thing most investors can envision right now is a major bear market or recession - particularly ones that will be the worst since the Great Depression of the 1930s!\nBut the facts we will detail in this article show that is highly likely to be the case. This is an extraordinary statement, but we are living in extraordinary times! Investors need to understand the risks they are facing now in order to prepare and profit from them in the future.\nHere are the five key reasons we believe the next stock bear market and recession will be worse than the Great Recession of 2008-2009 (when the S&P 500 fell 58% and it took about six years to recover), which will make it the worst since the 1930s (when the S&P 500 fell 86% and it took about 25 years to recover):\n1. Extremely High Asset Valuations\nInformed investors know that we are currently in an “Everything Bubble” driven by massive and persistent central bank money creation. Virtually every major financial asset is overvalued and priced to deliver low - or even negative - long-term returns.\nFor example, the Shiller P/E Ratio shown below is 30% higher than it was at the 1929 peak and is nearly as high as the all-time high in 2000. TheShiller P/E Ratiowas created by economist Robert Shiller and is calculated as the price of the S&P 500 divided by the average past 10 years of earnings, adjusted for inflation. It attempts to smooth the cyclicality of earnings. Historically, high Shiller P/E Ratios have led to below-average long-term returns.\nSource: Chart courtesy ofShiller PE Ratio, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\nWarren Buffett’s favorite valuation measure- and the one that best predicts future long-term stock market returns - is the Stock Market Capitalization To GDP Ratio, which is shown below. Based on this measure, stocks are trading 30% higher than the prior all-time high at the Tech Bubble peak of 2000! Stocks would have to fall over 60% for this ratio to return to the levels it reached at the stock market bottom in March 2009.\nSource: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\nIt is not just stocks that are priced to deliver poor returns. US Treasury bills and bonds are trading at historically low interest rates not far above zero (and some countries have negative interest rates), assuring very low returns until maturity. Also, corporate bond yields relative to Treasury bond yields are at historically low levels.\nReal estate is also expensive, with REITs trading at historically low dividend yields. And as shown in the chart below of theS&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index, home prices are currently 27% higher than they were at the housing bubble peak of 2006!\nSource: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\nImportantly, not only do high valuations lead to low long-term returns but they also usually lead to devastating bear markets on the path to those low long-term returns.\n2. Extraordinarily Bullish Investor Sentiment\nAlong with high asset valuations, investor sentiment is at sky-high levels of bullishness. When investors are very bullish, that is a bearish contrarian indicator.\nThe best investor sentiment indicators show where investors are actually putting their hard-earned money in anticipation of making a profit, not just what they say their “mood” is. For sentiment, we focus on investoractions, notwords.\nOne excellent sentiment indicator is the Equity Put/Call Ratio. When investors are bearish, they buy Put options in anticipation of profiting from a fall in stock prices. When they are bullish, they buy Call options in anticipation of profiting from a rise in stock prices. When the ratio of Puts to Calls is very high, that shows investors are very bearish, which is a bullish contrarian indicator. Conversely, when the ratio of Puts to Calls is very low, that shows investors are very bullish, which is a bearish contrarian indicator.\nThe chart below shows the Equity Put/Call Ratio, using the 100-day moving average to reduce short-term noise in this indicator. Over the past year, it has fallen to extremely low levels - well below those seen at the stock market peak in 2007.\nSource: Chart courtesy ofStockCharts.com, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\nThe next chart is the Rydex Asset Ratio, which is the ratio of investor assets in all Rydex bear and money market funds (bearish positioning) compared to investor assets in all Rydex bull funds (bullish positioning). As you can see, investors have been very bullishly positioned in US stocks for over seven years! The last time investors approached this level of bullishness was around the Tech Bubble peak of 2000.\nSource: Chart courtesy ofStockCharts.com, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\nWhen the majority of investors are already very bullish and “all in”, there is no one left to buy and lots of potential sellers when something changes, as it always does. Most investors will be shocked when their bullish expectations meet the harsh reality of a major bear market.\n3. Weak Economic Fundamentals\nThe US economy is not as strong as it used to be. That is certainly true in the wake of the Covid pandemic, but it has also been true for the past two decades. All of the taxes, regulations and other government interventions in the economy in recent decades have created a weaker and more fragile economy that will make the next recession even worse.\nThe chart below of Industrial Production shows it is only 8% higher than at the 2000 peak and is 1% lower than at the 2007 peak. It has nearly flatlined over the past two decades. That is much weaker than the 3.9% annual growth in Industrial Production from 1920 to 2000.\nSource: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\nTotal Nonfarm Employment, shown below, grew at a 2.5% annual rate from 1940 to 2000. Similar to Industrial Production, Employment has nearly flatlined over the past two decades. It has increased only 10% since the 2000 peak and only 6% since the 2007 peak. Sadly, it is still nearly 4% below the February 2020 peak.\nSource: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\n4. Excessive Debt Levels\nThe chart below shows the US Total Debt To GDP Ratio is near recent all-time highs at 3.8 times (or 380%), even higher than the high levels preceding the Great Recession. Global Debt To GDP is also at record high levels over 300%, as is US Federal Debt To GDP at 125%.\nSource: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\nExcessive debt has been the problem with every financial crisis in history, due to prior money creation out of thin air. So the next one promises to be one for the history books given these unprecedented high debt levels. Debt liquidation and defaults will lead to deflation, particularly for asset prices, as we saw in the Great Recession and even more so in the Great Depression.\n5. Limited Policy Options\nThe primary “bull case” for the stock market and economy over the past 12 years since the Great Recession ended has been “free liquidity” provided in seemingly endless amounts by the Federal Reserve. It is almost as though money really does grow on trees!\nBut money created out of thin air does not create new goods and services that improve living standards. If it did, a place likeZimbabwewould be the wealthiest country in the world. However, newly created money can flow into financial assets, which helps explain why valuation levels are so high.\nThe graph below shows “Austrian” Money Supply (AMS), the best measure of money supply that is consistent withthis Austrian School of Economics definition(although it no longer includes traveler’s checks, which have been discontinued in the Fed’s database due to limited use these days). AMS is up 40% since February 2020 and is up an astounding 225% since the Great Recession ended in June 2009!\nSource: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\nThis is well above the money supply growth that drove the Roaring ‘20s and ultimately led to the Great Depression of the 1930s, as detailed in economist Murray N. Rothbard’s definitive history of that period in his bookAmerica’s Great Depression. In this book, heexplained the cause of the boom and bust business cycle:\nThe “boom-bust” cycle is generated by monetary intervention in the market, specifically bank credit expansion to business…[B]ank credit expansion sets into motion the business cycle in all its phases: the inflationary boom, marked by expansion of the money supply and by malinvestment; the crisis, which arrives when credit expansion ceases and malinvestments become evident; and the depression recovery, the necessary adjustment process by which the economy returns to the most efficient ways of satisfying consumer desires.\nAll this money creation has enabled the Fed to target theFederal Funds Rateat only 0.1%, as shown below. While that is above the negative interest rates prevailing in some countries, it doesn’t leave much room for the Fed to cut rates to try to prevent a recession, particularly with inflation at over 5% now. And as the chart shows, the Fed cut rates throughout the prior three recessions and bear markets and was not able to stop them, since the market is bigger than the Fed. This leaves the stock market and economy very vulnerable in the next downturn, with potentially no “safety nets” to protect them.\nSource: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\nLastly, for the Keynesian economists who still believe the dogma that Federal budget deficits can prevent a recession - despite any evidence or logical theory to support it - the current Federal Budget Surplus/Deficit To GDP Ratio of -15% is the worst since World War II, as shown below. Given record-high government debt levels and deficits, how much more deficit spending will bond investors be willing to finance? And what good will it do, since deficits did not prevent the Great Recession?\nSource: Chart courtesy ofFRED, with annotations by Jon Wolfenbarger, CFA.\nImplications For Investors\nThere is much more that can be said to prove our case, but hopefully, the facts provided in this article are sufficient for investors to understand the current risks in financial assets and the economy.\nWhile the exact timing of the next bear market and recession is unknown and there are currently no signs of it with stocks at all-time highs, now is the time for investors to seek out information on how to identify the tell-tale signs of bear markets and how to profit from them, rather than being decimated by them, as the majority of investors, unfortunately, will be.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":190,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810463345,"gmtCreate":1629993203787,"gmtModify":1704954371596,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088157638983690","idStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news or bad news?&nbsp;","listText":"Good news or bad news?&nbsp;","text":"Good news or bad news?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810463345","repostId":"1129687208","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177077447,"gmtCreate":1627173364589,"gmtModify":1633767547485,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088157638983690","idStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Key to note: Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports. It’s time to take profit before her earnings report out on Tuesday.&nbsp;","listText":"Key to note: Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports. It’s time to take profit before her earnings report out on Tuesday.&nbsp;","text":"Key to note: Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports. It’s time to take profit before her earnings report out on Tuesday.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177077447","repostId":"2153938547","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153938547","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1627085070,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2153938547?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 08:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153938547","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few mo","content":"<p>Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few more hints about the next iPhone release when discussing results Tuesday afternoon</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1694f71fa4dec194ef63e28ffc75776f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"495\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Heavy promotions in the wireless industry likely benefited Apple's business during the June quarter.</span></p>\n<p>The pandemic may add a wrinkle to the guessing game that normally accompanies Apple Inc.'s June-quarter conference call.</p>\n<p>Typically the most important tidbit coming out of fiscal third-quarter earnings, which Apple <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> is scheduled to report Tuesday afternoon, is the company's outlook and commentary around its September-quarter revenue, which can hold clues as to what the company expects in the early days of its next smartphone launch. A strong forecast may imply that the company intends to make its new lineup available during the waning days of its fiscal year, while weaker guidance could suggest the launch will be pushed in to the calendar fourth quarter.</p>\n<p>The problem this time around is that Apple has held off on issuing a formal outlook for more than a year amid the pandemic, and it remains unclear when or if the company will resume the practice. Apple has instead been offering \"directional insights\" to offer some indication of how its results could stack up to those of prior quarters, but it has been notoriously tight-lipped about plans for iPhone launches.</p>\n<p>\"We expect the timing of iPhone 13 availability will ultimately prove to be the swing factor in [the fiscal fourth quarter], thus we anticipate the company will provide more granular directional commentary,\" wrote Monness, Crespi, Hardt &amp; Co. analyst Brian White.</p>\n<p>The coming launch is of keen interest given that the current lineup has performed well. \"The iPhone 12 cycle has been strong but we believe the next two cycles may prove challenging with units potentially down [year over year] in FY22 and FY23,\" wrote Barclays analyst Tim Long.</p>\n<p>The June quarter that Apple will report Tuesday is traditionally a slower <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>, as consumers wait for the next iPhone launch, but the company is still expected to deliver big growth in its smartphone business. Not only does the company have the benefit of easy comparisons to the early days of the pandemic, but it should also be reaping the rewards of an unusually promotional wireless industry.</p>\n<p><b>What to watch for</b></p>\n<p><b>Earnings:</b> Analysts tracked by FactSet expect Apple to post $1.01 in earnings per share, up from 65 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average expectation is for $1.16 a share in EPS.</p>\n<p><b>Revenue: </b>The FactSet consensus calls for $73.26 billion in overall revenue, up from $59.69 billion a year prior. On Estimize, the average estimate is for $77.38 billion.</p>\n<p>On a segment level, analysts surveyed by FactSet project $34.19 billion in iPhone revenue, $7.17 billion in iPad revenue, $7.86 billion in Mac revenue, $16.26 billion in services revenue, and $7.83 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category.</p>\n<p><b>Stock movement: </b>Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports, though the stock is up 60% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 32%.</p>\n<p>Of the 44 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 33 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings and two have sell ratings, with an average price target of $157.88.</p>\n<p><b>What else to watch for</b></p>\n<p>Apple's iPhone business is set up for its second-largest rate of growth in at least three years, behind only what was seen in the previous quarter. Analysts tracked by FactSet are calling for $34.2 billion in iPhone revenue, up 29.4% from a year earlier.</p>\n<p>Some encouraging signals came from Verizon Communications Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>, which recently ran a big iPhone promotion as it sought to match discounts at rival AT&amp;T Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></p>\n<p>\"Momentum built throughout the quarter, and we timed our promotions to take full advantage of the economic recovery and increased customer activity,\" Verizon Chief Financial Officer Matthew Ellis said on his company's earnings call. About 20% of Verizon's consumer base is now using 5G-enabled phones .</p>\n<p>Raymond James analyst Chris Caso noted that the quantity of upgrades might not even be the most important factor, as his analysis of iPhone carrier deals from last year found that they can be helpful in driving a greater \"mix\" of more expensive devices.</p>\n<p>\"Consumers appear to have been willing to pay the few dollars per month to upgrade to higher-end models, if the base model was offered for free,\" he wrote, based on analyzing last year's subsidies.</p>\n<p>UBS analyst David Vogt is also feeling upbeat about the business heading into the fiscal third-quarter report, pointing to positive signs in the telecommunications industry like the \"aggressive promotions\" and improving retail traffic at wireless stores.</p>\n<p>But he notes that demand may not be the big issue for Apple, as the company's overall upside is \"gated\" due to supply constraints plaguing the broader electronics industry and beyond. Apple addressed these issues on its earnings call, projecting a $3 billion to $4 billion negative revenue impact in the June quarter that was mainly expected to affect the Mac and iPad businesses.</p>\n<p>Another key narrative is how those two segments held up more generally given a return to more normalized activities outside the home. Apple's Macs and iPads were popular purchases among those needing new hardware to power remote working and schooling, but analysts will be looking to see whether the personal-computer boom is sustainable.</p>\n<p>\"While Apple will have to contend with lapping very difficult pandemic comparisons in the [June quarter] and for several quarters thereafter, we see several near-term tailwinds from both categories,\" wrote CFRA analyst Angelo Zino. \"We see corporate upgrades on the enterprise level becoming a bigger contributor to demand as the economy fully reopens across the globe.\"</p>\n<p>The coming results will also be the first gauge on demand for Apple's new colorful iMac lineup and powerful iPad Pro , both of which rolled out in the spring and feature the company's custom M1 chip.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-24 08:04 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-will-apple-say-about-the-next-iphone-at-earnings-time-maybe-more-than-usual-11627077819?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few more hints about the next iPhone release when discussing results Tuesday afternoon\nHeavy promotions in...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-will-apple-say-about-the-next-iphone-at-earnings-time-maybe-more-than-usual-11627077819?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-will-apple-say-about-the-next-iphone-at-earnings-time-maybe-more-than-usual-11627077819?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153938547","content_text":"Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few more hints about the next iPhone release when discussing results Tuesday afternoon\nHeavy promotions in the wireless industry likely benefited Apple's business during the June quarter.\nThe pandemic may add a wrinkle to the guessing game that normally accompanies Apple Inc.'s June-quarter conference call.\nTypically the most important tidbit coming out of fiscal third-quarter earnings, which Apple $(AAPL)$ is scheduled to report Tuesday afternoon, is the company's outlook and commentary around its September-quarter revenue, which can hold clues as to what the company expects in the early days of its next smartphone launch. A strong forecast may imply that the company intends to make its new lineup available during the waning days of its fiscal year, while weaker guidance could suggest the launch will be pushed in to the calendar fourth quarter.\nThe problem this time around is that Apple has held off on issuing a formal outlook for more than a year amid the pandemic, and it remains unclear when or if the company will resume the practice. Apple has instead been offering \"directional insights\" to offer some indication of how its results could stack up to those of prior quarters, but it has been notoriously tight-lipped about plans for iPhone launches.\n\"We expect the timing of iPhone 13 availability will ultimately prove to be the swing factor in [the fiscal fourth quarter], thus we anticipate the company will provide more granular directional commentary,\" wrote Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Co. analyst Brian White.\nThe coming launch is of keen interest given that the current lineup has performed well. \"The iPhone 12 cycle has been strong but we believe the next two cycles may prove challenging with units potentially down [year over year] in FY22 and FY23,\" wrote Barclays analyst Tim Long.\nThe June quarter that Apple will report Tuesday is traditionally a slower one, as consumers wait for the next iPhone launch, but the company is still expected to deliver big growth in its smartphone business. Not only does the company have the benefit of easy comparisons to the early days of the pandemic, but it should also be reaping the rewards of an unusually promotional wireless industry.\nWhat to watch for\nEarnings: Analysts tracked by FactSet expect Apple to post $1.01 in earnings per share, up from 65 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average expectation is for $1.16 a share in EPS.\nRevenue: The FactSet consensus calls for $73.26 billion in overall revenue, up from $59.69 billion a year prior. On Estimize, the average estimate is for $77.38 billion.\nOn a segment level, analysts surveyed by FactSet project $34.19 billion in iPhone revenue, $7.17 billion in iPad revenue, $7.86 billion in Mac revenue, $16.26 billion in services revenue, and $7.83 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category.\nStock movement: Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports, though the stock is up 60% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 32%.\nOf the 44 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 33 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings and two have sell ratings, with an average price target of $157.88.\nWhat else to watch for\nApple's iPhone business is set up for its second-largest rate of growth in at least three years, behind only what was seen in the previous quarter. Analysts tracked by FactSet are calling for $34.2 billion in iPhone revenue, up 29.4% from a year earlier.\nSome encouraging signals came from Verizon Communications Inc. $(VZ)$, which recently ran a big iPhone promotion as it sought to match discounts at rival AT&T Inc. $(T)$\n\"Momentum built throughout the quarter, and we timed our promotions to take full advantage of the economic recovery and increased customer activity,\" Verizon Chief Financial Officer Matthew Ellis said on his company's earnings call. About 20% of Verizon's consumer base is now using 5G-enabled phones .\nRaymond James analyst Chris Caso noted that the quantity of upgrades might not even be the most important factor, as his analysis of iPhone carrier deals from last year found that they can be helpful in driving a greater \"mix\" of more expensive devices.\n\"Consumers appear to have been willing to pay the few dollars per month to upgrade to higher-end models, if the base model was offered for free,\" he wrote, based on analyzing last year's subsidies.\nUBS analyst David Vogt is also feeling upbeat about the business heading into the fiscal third-quarter report, pointing to positive signs in the telecommunications industry like the \"aggressive promotions\" and improving retail traffic at wireless stores.\nBut he notes that demand may not be the big issue for Apple, as the company's overall upside is \"gated\" due to supply constraints plaguing the broader electronics industry and beyond. Apple addressed these issues on its earnings call, projecting a $3 billion to $4 billion negative revenue impact in the June quarter that was mainly expected to affect the Mac and iPad businesses.\nAnother key narrative is how those two segments held up more generally given a return to more normalized activities outside the home. Apple's Macs and iPads were popular purchases among those needing new hardware to power remote working and schooling, but analysts will be looking to see whether the personal-computer boom is sustainable.\n\"While Apple will have to contend with lapping very difficult pandemic comparisons in the [June quarter] and for several quarters thereafter, we see several near-term tailwinds from both categories,\" wrote CFRA analyst Angelo Zino. \"We see corporate upgrades on the enterprise level becoming a bigger contributor to demand as the economy fully reopens across the globe.\"\nThe coming results will also be the first gauge on demand for Apple's new colorful iMac lineup and powerful iPad Pro , both of which rolled out in the spring and feature the company's custom M1 chip.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":180,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172509614,"gmtCreate":1626964578538,"gmtModify":1633769300367,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088157638983690","idStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nvidia. I have my faith on you, don’t let me down please. Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Nvidia. I have my faith on you, don’t let me down please. Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Nvidia. I have my faith on you, don’t let me down please. Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172509614","repostId":"2153671844","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153671844","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1626962400,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2153671844?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-22 22:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks That Could Double Your Money and Sooner Than You Might Think","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153671844","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"If you're hunting for stocks that could gain 100% relatively quickly, one of the best places to look is among those that already have.","content":"<p>Well-read investors often find that they can draw parallels between other branches of knowledge that help inform their financial decisions. One such lesson I've always found useful comes from the realm of physics -- Newton's first law of motion: An object in motion tends to stay in motion unless acted upon by an outside force.</p>\n<p>That principle can be applied fairly well to the strategy of investing in successful companies. Put another way, winners have a tendency to keep winning.</p>\n<p>When a stock is red hot, there are usually good reasons why, so focusing on companies that are firing on all cylinders and have already delivered significant gains to shareholders is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> way to increase the likelihood that the stocks you buy will reward you. With that in mind, here are three stocks whose prices have doubled over the past couple of years and still appear well-positioned to double again in the near future.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d35a202acdf4af1e6795846abbc4802\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Image source: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GTY\">Getty</a> Images.</p>\n<h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ETSY\">Etsy</a>: Not just a COVID-19 play</h2>\n<p>Prior to the pandemic, <b>Etsy</b> (NASDAQ:ETSY) had already established itself as the premier online purveyor of custom and handmade products, as well as craft supplies and vintage goods. On its platform, buyers can find a seemingly endless supply of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-of-a-kind items. Demand for those offerings accelerated last year and shows no signs of slowing.</p>\n<p>Etsy enjoys a scale no other handmade goods seller can match. It offers 92 million unique products for sale with 4.7 million active sellers and more than 90 million active buyers. Gross merchandise sales -- i.e., the total value of products sold on Etsy's platform -- grew 132% year over year in the first quarter. This helped drive revenue up 142%, while its profits surged more than 11-fold.</p>\n<p>The company is focused on maintaining and even extending its gains from 2020. Management noted during the first-quarter earnings call that it was \"laser focused on driving frequency\" and identifying \"buyer triggers.\" As one example, management highlighted its update tab, \"It's very encouraging to see that now 13% of app visits include a visit to the updates tab, and 27% of those visits have buyers clicking on one or more of the listings that we include in updates.\" This helps illustrate the lengths Etsy is going to continue to engage shoppers and grow sales.</p>\n<p>The company has carved out a unique and lucrative niche for itself in the world of e-commerce, and the results for investors are telling: The stock quadrupled in 2020 and could double again from here.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2d30ad255c7e6843e82747f7fd0160f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Image source: Pinterest.</p>\n<h2>Pinterest: A different kind of social media platform</h2>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PINS\">Pinterest, Inc.</a> </b>rose to prominence by bucking the negative stereotypes associated with social media and instead providing a dose of positivity. The platform acts as a visual discovery engine, encouraging users to find and pursue their passions. It's a digital repository where users find and \"pin\" things they are interested in from across the internet, motivating and inspiring them to take up hobbies, travel, new recipes, and more.</p>\n<p>Spreading positivity has been lucrative. Revenue grew 78% year over year in the first quarter, and Pinterest cut its net loss by 85%. Its count of global monthly active users grew 30%, while its average revenue per user (ARPU) was up 50%.</p>\n<p>It's the company's international results that should have investors most excited: Foreign revenue and ARPU surged 170% and 91%, respectively. Pinterest is building its international business following the strategic plan that worked so well in the U.S. -- focus first on the fundamental infrastructure and build the user experience, then scale and monetize later. CFO Todd Morgenfeld said during the first quarter earnings call that the company is \"running the same playbook\" and expects this already successful template to pay worldwide dividends in time.</p>\n<p>Management also expects the good times to continue, guiding for revenue growth of 105% in the second quarter. This helps explain the stock's 170% gain over the past year and illustrates its potential for future growth.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83403155b75521c0964881771c6ad975\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>NVIDIA GeForce RTX 30 series of processors. Image source: NVIDIA.</p>\n<h2>NVIDIA: So. Many. Tailwinds.</h2>\n<p>When it comes to graphics processing units (GPUs), no company holds a candle to <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA Corp</a></b> <b>.</b> It pioneered these processing chips that allow PCs and consoles to render lifelike images in video games, and it's the undisputed leader in the discrete desktop GPU space with an 81% share of the market as of the first quarter of 2021. As a result, NVIDIA's gaming segment sales grew 106% year over year in its fiscal 2022 first quarter. That alone could be reason enough to invest in the stock.</p>\n<p>The gaming market, however, might not be NVIDIA's biggest profit engine in the years to come. Its cutting-edge chips and accompanying software have become the industry standards in a number of accelerating technologies, including cloud computing, data centers, and artificial intelligence. NVIDIA's data center sales, which are being driven by all of those important secular trends, rose 79% in the latest period, and there's still a long runway for growth ahead.</p>\n<p>Finally, the company has partnerships with a growing number of automakers that are working to develop autonomous driving systems. Once they achieve a level of reliability sufficient to allow such cars to be sold, NVIDIA will no doubt have a seat at the table as its processors will likely underpin the new technology. While its sales for autonomous driving systems currently amount to just a minuscule part of the top line, that could change if production of self-driving cars shifts into high gear.</p>\n<p>The company's stellar execution and the growth of its end markets have helped propel NVIDIA stock upward by more than 80% over the past year alone -- leading to the company's decision to perform its highly-anticipated stock split.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3def3a6d37ebf1b5581e72f70f0874e2\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"499\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Data by YCharts.</p>\n<h2>The fine print</h2>\n<p>It's important to remember that there's no such thing as a free lunch in investing. While each of these companies has executed to a high degree over the past several years, there's no guarantee that they will continue to do so. Additionally, even a near-perfect performance can sometimes result in a falling stock price -- at least in the short term -- particularly if external factors like a market correction come into play.</p>\n<p>There's a trade-off that comes from investing in potential multibaggers. Each of these companies is a high-risk, high-reward option, which comes with an equally high price tag, like so many other high-growth stocks. NVIDIA, Pinterest, and Etsy are selling at 19 times, 17 times, and 11 times forward sales, respectively, when a reasonable price-to-sales ratio is generally between one and two.</p>\n<p>That said, based on these businesses' current trajectories, their stocks remain solid bets to beat the market over the next three to five years -- with the potential to double along the way.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks That Could Double Your Money and Sooner Than You Might Think</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks That Could Double Your Money and Sooner Than You Might Think\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-22 22:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/22/3-stocks-double-your-money-sooner-than-you-think/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Well-read investors often find that they can draw parallels between other branches of knowledge that help inform their financial decisions. One such lesson I've always found useful comes from the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/22/3-stocks-double-your-money-sooner-than-you-think/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达","ETSY":"Etsy, Inc.","PINS":"Pinterest, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/22/3-stocks-double-your-money-sooner-than-you-think/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153671844","content_text":"Well-read investors often find that they can draw parallels between other branches of knowledge that help inform their financial decisions. One such lesson I've always found useful comes from the realm of physics -- Newton's first law of motion: An object in motion tends to stay in motion unless acted upon by an outside force.\nThat principle can be applied fairly well to the strategy of investing in successful companies. Put another way, winners have a tendency to keep winning.\nWhen a stock is red hot, there are usually good reasons why, so focusing on companies that are firing on all cylinders and have already delivered significant gains to shareholders is one way to increase the likelihood that the stocks you buy will reward you. With that in mind, here are three stocks whose prices have doubled over the past couple of years and still appear well-positioned to double again in the near future.\n\nImage source: Getty Images.\nEtsy: Not just a COVID-19 play\nPrior to the pandemic, Etsy (NASDAQ:ETSY) had already established itself as the premier online purveyor of custom and handmade products, as well as craft supplies and vintage goods. On its platform, buyers can find a seemingly endless supply of one-of-a-kind items. Demand for those offerings accelerated last year and shows no signs of slowing.\nEtsy enjoys a scale no other handmade goods seller can match. It offers 92 million unique products for sale with 4.7 million active sellers and more than 90 million active buyers. Gross merchandise sales -- i.e., the total value of products sold on Etsy's platform -- grew 132% year over year in the first quarter. This helped drive revenue up 142%, while its profits surged more than 11-fold.\nThe company is focused on maintaining and even extending its gains from 2020. Management noted during the first-quarter earnings call that it was \"laser focused on driving frequency\" and identifying \"buyer triggers.\" As one example, management highlighted its update tab, \"It's very encouraging to see that now 13% of app visits include a visit to the updates tab, and 27% of those visits have buyers clicking on one or more of the listings that we include in updates.\" This helps illustrate the lengths Etsy is going to continue to engage shoppers and grow sales.\nThe company has carved out a unique and lucrative niche for itself in the world of e-commerce, and the results for investors are telling: The stock quadrupled in 2020 and could double again from here.\n\nImage source: Pinterest.\nPinterest: A different kind of social media platform\nPinterest, Inc. rose to prominence by bucking the negative stereotypes associated with social media and instead providing a dose of positivity. The platform acts as a visual discovery engine, encouraging users to find and pursue their passions. It's a digital repository where users find and \"pin\" things they are interested in from across the internet, motivating and inspiring them to take up hobbies, travel, new recipes, and more.\nSpreading positivity has been lucrative. Revenue grew 78% year over year in the first quarter, and Pinterest cut its net loss by 85%. Its count of global monthly active users grew 30%, while its average revenue per user (ARPU) was up 50%.\nIt's the company's international results that should have investors most excited: Foreign revenue and ARPU surged 170% and 91%, respectively. Pinterest is building its international business following the strategic plan that worked so well in the U.S. -- focus first on the fundamental infrastructure and build the user experience, then scale and monetize later. CFO Todd Morgenfeld said during the first quarter earnings call that the company is \"running the same playbook\" and expects this already successful template to pay worldwide dividends in time.\nManagement also expects the good times to continue, guiding for revenue growth of 105% in the second quarter. This helps explain the stock's 170% gain over the past year and illustrates its potential for future growth.\n\nNVIDIA GeForce RTX 30 series of processors. Image source: NVIDIA.\nNVIDIA: So. Many. Tailwinds.\nWhen it comes to graphics processing units (GPUs), no company holds a candle to NVIDIA Corp . It pioneered these processing chips that allow PCs and consoles to render lifelike images in video games, and it's the undisputed leader in the discrete desktop GPU space with an 81% share of the market as of the first quarter of 2021. As a result, NVIDIA's gaming segment sales grew 106% year over year in its fiscal 2022 first quarter. That alone could be reason enough to invest in the stock.\nThe gaming market, however, might not be NVIDIA's biggest profit engine in the years to come. Its cutting-edge chips and accompanying software have become the industry standards in a number of accelerating technologies, including cloud computing, data centers, and artificial intelligence. NVIDIA's data center sales, which are being driven by all of those important secular trends, rose 79% in the latest period, and there's still a long runway for growth ahead.\nFinally, the company has partnerships with a growing number of automakers that are working to develop autonomous driving systems. Once they achieve a level of reliability sufficient to allow such cars to be sold, NVIDIA will no doubt have a seat at the table as its processors will likely underpin the new technology. While its sales for autonomous driving systems currently amount to just a minuscule part of the top line, that could change if production of self-driving cars shifts into high gear.\nThe company's stellar execution and the growth of its end markets have helped propel NVIDIA stock upward by more than 80% over the past year alone -- leading to the company's decision to perform its highly-anticipated stock split.\n\nData by YCharts.\nThe fine print\nIt's important to remember that there's no such thing as a free lunch in investing. While each of these companies has executed to a high degree over the past several years, there's no guarantee that they will continue to do so. Additionally, even a near-perfect performance can sometimes result in a falling stock price -- at least in the short term -- particularly if external factors like a market correction come into play.\nThere's a trade-off that comes from investing in potential multibaggers. Each of these companies is a high-risk, high-reward option, which comes with an equally high price tag, like so many other high-growth stocks. NVIDIA, Pinterest, and Etsy are selling at 19 times, 17 times, and 11 times forward sales, respectively, when a reasonable price-to-sales ratio is generally between one and two.\nThat said, based on these businesses' current trajectories, their stocks remain solid bets to beat the market over the next three to five years -- with the potential to double along the way.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":51,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145350347,"gmtCreate":1626191121389,"gmtModify":1633929181460,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088157638983690","idStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$</a>How good if this is my prime account portfolio&nbsp;😂","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$</a>How good if this is my prime account portfolio&nbsp;😂","text":"$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$How good if this is my prime account portfolio 😂","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97f50e8f54d41d0a119f0fbe9d2e01c2","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145350347","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":30,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839174641,"gmtCreate":1629130772984,"gmtModify":1631888290254,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088157638983690","idStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">$Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$</a>?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">$Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$</a>?","text":"$Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b920728a4307437fd27a8ec30e3292f5","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839174641","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":138,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899354172,"gmtCreate":1628163624496,"gmtModify":1631891918001,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088157638983690","idStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good buy for long term growth.&nbsp;","listText":"Good buy for long term growth.&nbsp;","text":"Good buy for long term growth.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899354172","repostId":"1158747638","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803905204,"gmtCreate":1627399336908,"gmtModify":1631893642420,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088157638983690","idStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"what about Apple? u just missed that :S","listText":"what about Apple? u just missed that :S","text":"what about Apple? u just missed that :S","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803905204","repostId":"1180394633","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":58,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171751911,"gmtCreate":1626767621533,"gmtModify":1631885481040,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088157638983690","idStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"10%-15% correction? Time to buy !&nbsp;","listText":"10%-15% correction? Time to buy !&nbsp;","text":"10%-15% correction? Time to buy !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171751911","repostId":"1116573791","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":16,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819235281,"gmtCreate":1630071812743,"gmtModify":1704955516702,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088157638983690","idStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>After a long wait, finally ! Up&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>After a long wait, finally ! Up&nbsp;","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$After a long wait, finally ! Up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec2bd12b33c13f742640df71bd805ea5","width":"750","height":"1068"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819235281","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":212,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804205366,"gmtCreate":1627956668755,"gmtModify":1631885102218,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088157638983690","idStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to go in when it’s low&nbsp;","listText":"Time to go in when it’s low&nbsp;","text":"Time to go in when it’s low","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804205366","repostId":"2155915751","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":33,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803470252,"gmtCreate":1627460372676,"gmtModify":1631893642409,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088157638983690","idStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go-ogle go go go !!!&nbsp;","listText":"Go-ogle go go go !!!&nbsp;","text":"Go-ogle go go go !!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803470252","repostId":"1144405179","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144405179","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627483002,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144405179?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-28 22:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Google parent Alphabet stock Popped more than 4% to a new high","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144405179","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Google parent Alphabet stock Popped more than 4% to a new high on reaching record quarterly revenue, profit in ad boom.Google parent Alphabet Inc'squarterly revenue and profit surged to record highs, the company reported on Tuesday, powered by a rise in advertising spending as more consumers shopped online.Shares of Alphabet, the world's largest provider of search and video ads, rose 3.3% in extended trading after the results, which handily beat analyst estimates. Shares of Facebook, which compe","content":"<p>Google parent Alphabet stock Popped more than&nbsp;4% to a new high&nbsp;on&nbsp;reaching record quarterly revenue, profit in ad boom.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a5539bec5c01987fb9331cc794581fa\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Google parent Alphabet Inc's(GOOGL.O)quarterly revenue and profit surged to record highs, the company reported on Tuesday, powered by a rise in advertising spending as more consumers shopped online.</p>\n<p>Shares of Alphabet, the world's largest provider of search and video ads, rose 3.3% in extended trading after the results, which handily beat analyst estimates. Shares of Facebook, which competes with Google in web ad sales and reports its own results on Wednesday, rose 1.3%.</p>\n<p>Overall, it was a stellar day for the big U.S. tech companies - Apple and Microsoft also reported record earnings.</p>\n<p>With consumers spending more time online during the coronavirus pandemic, retailers have been pushing to reach them there, whether they're shopping for products using Google search or watching videos on YouTube. The nascent U.S. economic rebound that's accompanied the vaccine rollout and the easing of restrictions is also helping as consumers are enjoying increased mobility and options for purchases of all kinds.</p>\n<p>\"Alphabet has benefited from the general return of ad spend to the market and especially the balance of that return, which is more focused on digital channels than pre-pandemic,\" said Tom Johnson, chief digital officer at WPP Mindshare.</p>\n<p>Alphabet said revenue from Google advertising rose nearly 70% to $50.44 billion during the second quarter ended June 30.</p>\n<p>Retail brands were the biggest contributor to the ads business' growth, said Philipp Schindler, Google's chief business officer, during a call with analysts. The travel, financial services and media and entertainment sectors were also strong, he added.</p>\n<p>Ad revenue for the company's streaming video platform YouTube jumped 83.7% from the year-ago quarter to $7 billion - nearly as much as Netflix generated in quarterly revenue.</p>\n<p>Results \"outperformed our expectations across all three lines of Google's ad business: search, Google Network, and YouTube,\" said Nicole Perrin, eMarketer principal analyst at Insider Intelligence. \"YouTube was the fastest-growing segment during the quarter and points to the continued strength of video advertising for both direct response and brand goals.\"</p>\n<p>Total revenue for Alphabet rose 61.6% to $61.88 billion, well above Wall Street estimates of $56.16 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p>\n<p>Quarterly profit was $18.5 billion or $27.26 per share, beating expectations of $19.34 per share.</p>\n<p>Google Cloud, which trails Amazon.com Inc(AMZN.O)and Microsoft Corp(MSFT.O)in market share, narrowed its operating loss to $591 million during the quarter.</p>\n<p>The strong results coincide with Alphabet facing four antitrust lawsuits brought by U.S. federal regulators or states, which threaten to force major changes across its business including advertising and smart-home gadgets.read more</p>\n<p>Most recently, 37 U.S. state and district attorneys general alleged earlier this month that Google \"unlawfully\" maintained a monopoly for its app store on Android phones. The lawsuits are expected to take years to resolve.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Google parent Alphabet stock Popped more than 4% to a new high</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoogle parent Alphabet stock Popped more than 4% to a new high\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-28 22:36</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Google parent Alphabet stock Popped more than&nbsp;4% to a new high&nbsp;on&nbsp;reaching record quarterly revenue, profit in ad boom.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a5539bec5c01987fb9331cc794581fa\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Google parent Alphabet Inc's(GOOGL.O)quarterly revenue and profit surged to record highs, the company reported on Tuesday, powered by a rise in advertising spending as more consumers shopped online.</p>\n<p>Shares of Alphabet, the world's largest provider of search and video ads, rose 3.3% in extended trading after the results, which handily beat analyst estimates. Shares of Facebook, which competes with Google in web ad sales and reports its own results on Wednesday, rose 1.3%.</p>\n<p>Overall, it was a stellar day for the big U.S. tech companies - Apple and Microsoft also reported record earnings.</p>\n<p>With consumers spending more time online during the coronavirus pandemic, retailers have been pushing to reach them there, whether they're shopping for products using Google search or watching videos on YouTube. The nascent U.S. economic rebound that's accompanied the vaccine rollout and the easing of restrictions is also helping as consumers are enjoying increased mobility and options for purchases of all kinds.</p>\n<p>\"Alphabet has benefited from the general return of ad spend to the market and especially the balance of that return, which is more focused on digital channels than pre-pandemic,\" said Tom Johnson, chief digital officer at WPP Mindshare.</p>\n<p>Alphabet said revenue from Google advertising rose nearly 70% to $50.44 billion during the second quarter ended June 30.</p>\n<p>Retail brands were the biggest contributor to the ads business' growth, said Philipp Schindler, Google's chief business officer, during a call with analysts. The travel, financial services and media and entertainment sectors were also strong, he added.</p>\n<p>Ad revenue for the company's streaming video platform YouTube jumped 83.7% from the year-ago quarter to $7 billion - nearly as much as Netflix generated in quarterly revenue.</p>\n<p>Results \"outperformed our expectations across all three lines of Google's ad business: search, Google Network, and YouTube,\" said Nicole Perrin, eMarketer principal analyst at Insider Intelligence. \"YouTube was the fastest-growing segment during the quarter and points to the continued strength of video advertising for both direct response and brand goals.\"</p>\n<p>Total revenue for Alphabet rose 61.6% to $61.88 billion, well above Wall Street estimates of $56.16 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p>\n<p>Quarterly profit was $18.5 billion or $27.26 per share, beating expectations of $19.34 per share.</p>\n<p>Google Cloud, which trails Amazon.com Inc(AMZN.O)and Microsoft Corp(MSFT.O)in market share, narrowed its operating loss to $591 million during the quarter.</p>\n<p>The strong results coincide with Alphabet facing four antitrust lawsuits brought by U.S. federal regulators or states, which threaten to force major changes across its business including advertising and smart-home gadgets.read more</p>\n<p>Most recently, 37 U.S. state and district attorneys general alleged earlier this month that Google \"unlawfully\" maintained a monopoly for its app store on Android phones. The lawsuits are expected to take years to resolve.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","GOOG":"谷歌"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144405179","content_text":"Google parent Alphabet stock Popped more than 4% to a new high on reaching record quarterly revenue, profit in ad boom.\n\nGoogle parent Alphabet Inc's(GOOGL.O)quarterly revenue and profit surged to record highs, the company reported on Tuesday, powered by a rise in advertising spending as more consumers shopped online.\nShares of Alphabet, the world's largest provider of search and video ads, rose 3.3% in extended trading after the results, which handily beat analyst estimates. Shares of Facebook, which competes with Google in web ad sales and reports its own results on Wednesday, rose 1.3%.\nOverall, it was a stellar day for the big U.S. tech companies - Apple and Microsoft also reported record earnings.\nWith consumers spending more time online during the coronavirus pandemic, retailers have been pushing to reach them there, whether they're shopping for products using Google search or watching videos on YouTube. The nascent U.S. economic rebound that's accompanied the vaccine rollout and the easing of restrictions is also helping as consumers are enjoying increased mobility and options for purchases of all kinds.\n\"Alphabet has benefited from the general return of ad spend to the market and especially the balance of that return, which is more focused on digital channels than pre-pandemic,\" said Tom Johnson, chief digital officer at WPP Mindshare.\nAlphabet said revenue from Google advertising rose nearly 70% to $50.44 billion during the second quarter ended June 30.\nRetail brands were the biggest contributor to the ads business' growth, said Philipp Schindler, Google's chief business officer, during a call with analysts. The travel, financial services and media and entertainment sectors were also strong, he added.\nAd revenue for the company's streaming video platform YouTube jumped 83.7% from the year-ago quarter to $7 billion - nearly as much as Netflix generated in quarterly revenue.\nResults \"outperformed our expectations across all three lines of Google's ad business: search, Google Network, and YouTube,\" said Nicole Perrin, eMarketer principal analyst at Insider Intelligence. \"YouTube was the fastest-growing segment during the quarter and points to the continued strength of video advertising for both direct response and brand goals.\"\nTotal revenue for Alphabet rose 61.6% to $61.88 billion, well above Wall Street estimates of $56.16 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.\nQuarterly profit was $18.5 billion or $27.26 per share, beating expectations of $19.34 per share.\nGoogle Cloud, which trails Amazon.com Inc(AMZN.O)and Microsoft Corp(MSFT.O)in market share, narrowed its operating loss to $591 million during the quarter.\nThe strong results coincide with Alphabet facing four antitrust lawsuits brought by U.S. federal regulators or states, which threaten to force major changes across its business including advertising and smart-home gadgets.read more\nMost recently, 37 U.S. state and district attorneys general alleged earlier this month that Google \"unlawfully\" maintained a monopoly for its app store on Android phones. The lawsuits are expected to take years to resolve.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":201,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174000336,"gmtCreate":1627051084125,"gmtModify":1633768412391,"author":{"id":"4088157638983690","authorId":"4088157638983690","name":"mandyt25","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94eee74711de9fa6cffcbb6e721fb7c7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088157638983690","idStr":"4088157638983690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Overvalue?&nbsp;","listText":"Overvalue?&nbsp;","text":"Overvalue?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174000336","repostId":"1183078855","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183078855","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627047447,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183078855?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-23 21:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Facebook rose over 2%, reaching record high","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183078855","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(July 23) Facebook rose over 2%, reaching record high.","content":"<p>(July 23)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> rose over 2%, reaching record high.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/414e2c0bbd13f604e8a3aa78e542f33a\" tg-width=\"903\" tg-height=\"542\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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