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2021-08-24

🦍 party in singapore after 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀. Then the FUD spreaders can eat their words

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2021-08-16

FUD

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2021-08-24

FUD.

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2021-08-16

More FUD

3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street

2021-12-16

Amc ❤️❤️

2021-09-02

Great news for my calls

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❤️❤️","listText":"Amc ❤️❤️","text":"Amc ❤️❤️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690190906","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":226,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":812873159,"gmtCreate":1630577495571,"gmtModify":1632472091491,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087542547312600","idStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great news for my calls","listText":"Great news for my calls","text":"Great news for my calls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812873159","repostId":"1159580926","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":22,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834213674,"gmtCreate":1629805820398,"gmtModify":1633682328163,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087542547312600","idStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🦍 party in singapore after 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀. Then the FUD spreaders can eat their words","listText":"🦍 party in singapore after 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀. Then the FUD spreaders can eat their words","text":"🦍 party in singapore after 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀. Then the FUD spreaders can eat their words","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834213674","repostId":"1139894852","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834237094,"gmtCreate":1629805551518,"gmtModify":1633682330519,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087542547312600","idStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"FUD.&nbsp;","listText":"FUD.&nbsp;","text":"FUD.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834237094","repostId":"1139894852","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1139894852","pubTimestamp":1629795640,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1139894852?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-24 17:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Stock Makes Little Sense to Own at $36 Per Share","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139894852","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"If the short squeeze thesis collapses, so will the price of AMC stock, so avoid it ahead of what wil","content":"<p>If the short squeeze thesis collapses, so will the price of AMC stock, so avoid it ahead of what will likely be a substantial price decline</p>\n<p>A spate of positive developments&nbsp;may be helping to keep&nbsp;<b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:<b><u>AMC</u></b>) stock steady. But should investors take this as a sign that it’s wise to buy in now, ahead of this “meme stock” favorite of the Reddit trading community surging higher once again?</p>\n<p>Not so fast. Its recent resiliency may call into question my claim that the stock’s&nbsp;capitulation had already begun. Admittedly, my bear case for the stock may take longer than previously anticipated to play out. Don’t mistake this though, for me changing my take on the stock completely.</p>\n<p>Whether next month, next quarter, or even next year, the risk of a massive collapse remains on the table. Why? The self-proclaimed “Ape Army” of traders long the stock will at some point break. How? First, if or when the “mother of all short squeezes” thesis that’s been propping it up finally breaks.</p>\n<p>If this happens? The collapse will occur, as the company’s underlying value remains far below what shares change hands for today (around $36 per share). Compared to the other top “meme stock,”<b>GameStop</b>(NYSE:<b><u>GME</u></b>), the gap between trading price and underlying value is even wider with AMC. To avoid the risk of tremendous losses, it remains best to steer clear.</p>\n<p><b>AMC Entertainment and its Latest Quarterly Results</b></p>\n<p>On Aug 9, AMC reported results for the quarter ending June 30. Investors focused more on its&nbsp;revenue beat and lower-than-expected losses. But paying close attention to the details, it’s clear there really is not much to be excited about with this company’s results.</p>\n<p>What do I mean? Losses were lower than expected. Yet a quarterly loss of $344 million, versus projections of $561.2 million, is hardly anything to go bananas about. Revenue of $444.7 million, versus consensus estimates of $382.1 million, may have been a nice surprise. However, that’s still far below the&nbsp;$1.51 billion in quarterly sales&nbsp;the company was generating this time of year pre-Covid.</p>\n<p>Its theaters may be open again for business. Revenue is moving in the right direction. But this hardly justifies valuing AMC stock at a level many times what it was pre-pandemic. Now I understand that the “Ape Army” is not valuing this stock using traditional valuation metrics.</p>\n<p>Instead, they’ve mostly built it around insinuations that&nbsp; “dark pools” and other underhanded hedge fund tactics have resulted in a substantially higher level of short interest than has been reported (16.8% of outstanding float). Some see this as the&nbsp;perfect setup for the “mother of all short squeezes.”Yet given the low chances of this thesis playing out? Chances are, we’ll see the opposite happen, in a big way.</p>\n<p><b>If Short Squeeze Thesis Collapses, So Will AMC Stock</b></p>\n<p>Again, it’s hard to tell when. But at some point down the road, the longs will capitulate. Again, due to their “mother of all short squeezes” thesis on the stock fizzling out. With the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)&nbsp;investigating dark pools, “AMC Apes” for now may have enough on their side to bolster the narrative they’ve crafted about it.</p>\n<p>But what happens if the SEC reins in dark pools, and it turns out AMC stock hasn’t been shorted to an extent larger than reported? What if, at the end of the day, only a moderate amount of its shares remain sold short, with said shorts biding their time until the long throw in the towel?</p>\n<p>Shares will likely fall back to a price more in line with the company’s underlying value. To say that’s bad news for those who entered the stock at or above today’s prices is an understatement. As I broke it down in June, even in a “best case scenario,” it may be tough for shares to justify even a&nbsp;low double-digit per share valuation.</p>\n<p>Putting it simply, the downside risk with this popular “meme stock” makes the downside with the other top dog, GameStop,seem more reasonable by comparison. That’s not to say you should buy that one, either. Yet if you thought that AMC had more potential to pop again, think otherwise.</p>\n<p><b>Resiliency May Continue, But Risk/Return is Clearly Not in Your Favor</b></p>\n<p>Despite my heavy bearishness about AMC Entertainment, I’ll concede that the madness could continue. At the very least, shares could remain between $30 and $40 per share, as the “smart money” short side is countered by retail “Apes” on the long side. But given the downside risk if this dynamic changes, in a way that benefits the shorts?</p>\n<p>Without the “mother of all short squeezes” narrative, it’ll be tough for AMC stock to remain at prices well above its true value for long. To avoid possible high double-digit percentage losses, your best move remains to skip out entirely on this situation.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Stock Makes Little Sense to Own at $36 Per Share</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Stock Makes Little Sense to Own at $36 Per Share\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-24 17:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/08/amc-stock-makes-little-sense-to-own-at-36-per-share/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If the short squeeze thesis collapses, so will the price of AMC stock, so avoid it ahead of what will likely be a substantial price decline\nA spate of positive developments may be helping to keep AMC ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/08/amc-stock-makes-little-sense-to-own-at-36-per-share/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/08/amc-stock-makes-little-sense-to-own-at-36-per-share/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139894852","content_text":"If the short squeeze thesis collapses, so will the price of AMC stock, so avoid it ahead of what will likely be a substantial price decline\nA spate of positive developments may be helping to keep AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) stock steady. But should investors take this as a sign that it’s wise to buy in now, ahead of this “meme stock” favorite of the Reddit trading community surging higher once again?\nNot so fast. Its recent resiliency may call into question my claim that the stock’s capitulation had already begun. Admittedly, my bear case for the stock may take longer than previously anticipated to play out. Don’t mistake this though, for me changing my take on the stock completely.\nWhether next month, next quarter, or even next year, the risk of a massive collapse remains on the table. Why? The self-proclaimed “Ape Army” of traders long the stock will at some point break. How? First, if or when the “mother of all short squeezes” thesis that’s been propping it up finally breaks.\nIf this happens? The collapse will occur, as the company’s underlying value remains far below what shares change hands for today (around $36 per share). Compared to the other top “meme stock,”GameStop(NYSE:GME), the gap between trading price and underlying value is even wider with AMC. To avoid the risk of tremendous losses, it remains best to steer clear.\nAMC Entertainment and its Latest Quarterly Results\nOn Aug 9, AMC reported results for the quarter ending June 30. Investors focused more on its revenue beat and lower-than-expected losses. But paying close attention to the details, it’s clear there really is not much to be excited about with this company’s results.\nWhat do I mean? Losses were lower than expected. Yet a quarterly loss of $344 million, versus projections of $561.2 million, is hardly anything to go bananas about. Revenue of $444.7 million, versus consensus estimates of $382.1 million, may have been a nice surprise. However, that’s still far below the $1.51 billion in quarterly sales the company was generating this time of year pre-Covid.\nIts theaters may be open again for business. Revenue is moving in the right direction. But this hardly justifies valuing AMC stock at a level many times what it was pre-pandemic. Now I understand that the “Ape Army” is not valuing this stock using traditional valuation metrics.\nInstead, they’ve mostly built it around insinuations that  “dark pools” and other underhanded hedge fund tactics have resulted in a substantially higher level of short interest than has been reported (16.8% of outstanding float). Some see this as the perfect setup for the “mother of all short squeezes.”Yet given the low chances of this thesis playing out? Chances are, we’ll see the opposite happen, in a big way.\nIf Short Squeeze Thesis Collapses, So Will AMC Stock\nAgain, it’s hard to tell when. But at some point down the road, the longs will capitulate. Again, due to their “mother of all short squeezes” thesis on the stock fizzling out. With the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) investigating dark pools, “AMC Apes” for now may have enough on their side to bolster the narrative they’ve crafted about it.\nBut what happens if the SEC reins in dark pools, and it turns out AMC stock hasn’t been shorted to an extent larger than reported? What if, at the end of the day, only a moderate amount of its shares remain sold short, with said shorts biding their time until the long throw in the towel?\nShares will likely fall back to a price more in line with the company’s underlying value. To say that’s bad news for those who entered the stock at or above today’s prices is an understatement. As I broke it down in June, even in a “best case scenario,” it may be tough for shares to justify even a low double-digit per share valuation.\nPutting it simply, the downside risk with this popular “meme stock” makes the downside with the other top dog, GameStop,seem more reasonable by comparison. That’s not to say you should buy that one, either. Yet if you thought that AMC had more potential to pop again, think otherwise.\nResiliency May Continue, But Risk/Return is Clearly Not in Your Favor\nDespite my heavy bearishness about AMC Entertainment, I’ll concede that the madness could continue. At the very least, shares could remain between $30 and $40 per share, as the “smart money” short side is countered by retail “Apes” on the long side. But given the downside risk if this dynamic changes, in a way that benefits the shorts?\nWithout the “mother of all short squeezes” narrative, it’ll be tough for AMC stock to remain at prices well above its true value for long. To avoid possible high double-digit percentage losses, your best move remains to skip out entirely on this situation.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":57,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839123328,"gmtCreate":1629127843064,"gmtModify":1633687175651,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087542547312600","idStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"More FUD","listText":"More FUD","text":"More FUD","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839123328","repostId":"1137437693","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137437693","pubTimestamp":1629116844,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137437693?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-16 20:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137437693","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe pandemic and/o","content":"<blockquote>\n Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.</li>\n <li>Though Wall Street's price targets can often be taken with a grain of salt, these are likely on point.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>It's a great time to be an investor. In the close to 17 months since the widely followed&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">S&amp;P 500</a></b> bottomed out during the coronavirus crash in March 2020, the index has doubled in value. Time and again, patience begets profits on Wall Street.</p>\n<p>However, it's also common knowledge that not every stock is going to be a winner. According to Wall Street analysts and investment firms, there are three high-flying stocks that could lose anywhere from 53% to 84% of their value over the coming year, based on the consensus price target for each company.</p>\n<p><b>Moderna: Implied downside of 53%</b></p>\n<p>First up is skyrocketing&nbsp;biotech stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna, Inc.</a></b>, which has gained almost 1,900% since the beginning of 2020. Even after pulling back more than 20% from its intraday high last week, Moderna's share price would have to fall by another 53% just to hit the consensus price target of $184.92.</p>\n<p>As you can probably guess, the reason Moderna has ascended to the heavens is the success of its emergency-use authorized (EUA) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, mRNA-1273. In clinical trials, Moderna's vaccine candidate led to a vaccine efficacy (VE) of about 94%. With the exception of the<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>/</b><b>BioNTech</b>&nbsp;vaccine, which presented with a 95% VE, no other EUA vaccines have come close on the efficacy front.</p>\n<p>The rise of the COVID-19 delta variant has been another major boon for Moderna. The transmissibility of delta has lifted vaccination rates in a number of developed countries, and it encouraged the U.S. Food and Drug Administration toauthorize a booster shotfor those people with compromised immune systems.</p>\n<p>Ultimately, Moderna's skyrocketing share price appears to indicate that things could worsen before they get better on the COVID-19 front, and that booster shots will offer a beefier stream of revenue than once predicted.</p>\n<p>However, the issue with Moderna's valuation is twofold. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">First</a>, competition for COVID-19 vaccinations is increasing, not decreasing.&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b>&nbsp;is a good bet to receive EUA within the coming months, and&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a></b> shouldn't have any trouble ramping up production of its single-dose vaccine. We'reprobably looking at Moderna's peak revenue year in 2021.</p>\n<p>The other issue is mRNA-1273 is Moderna's only marketable drug. A $157 billion market cap based on a single therapy that may or may not have staying powersounds very risky.</p>\n<p><b>Dillard's: Implied downside of 55%</b></p>\n<p>The next high-flying stock might come as a bit of a surprise... department store chain&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">Dillard's</a></b>. Shares of Dillard's hit an all-time closing high of $196 on Friday, Aug. 13, pushing its market cap north of $4 billion. But according to analysts, which have a consensus price target of $87.33 on the company, this department store could be hitting the clearance rack with a 55% haircut over the next year.</p>\n<p>If you're wondering why Dillard's stock is up 625% over the trailing year, itsoperating performance would be a good place to start. The company drastically cut costs in the wake of the pandemic, strongly pushed direct-to-consumer sales, and has tightly managed its inventory. Without these burdensome overhead costs, profits have absolutely skyrocketed over the past two quarters as pent-up demand encouraged consumers to get out of their homes and into retail stores.</p>\n<p>Dillard's has done a good job of attempting to boost shareholder value, too. In the 26 weeks, ended July 31, the company repurchased about 1.4 million shares totaling $171 million. This may not sound like a lot, but it reduced the company's outstanding share count by more than 6%.</p>\n<p>It's also worth pointing out that Dillard's has a relatively small tradable float, and it's been a fairly heavily short-sold stock. This combination made it the perfect target for a short squeeze.</p>\n<p>Despite all these positives, it's important for investors to recognize that retail department stores are generally slow-growing and cyclical. Even though Dillard's year-over-year comparisons are lights-out impressive, its 26-week retail sales for 2021 are only 1% higher than its 26-week retail sales for the comparable period in 2019. Further, comparable-store sales are only 4% higher in 2021 compared to 2019. While gross margin is notably higher, this has more to do with cost-cutting than significant sales traction.</p>\n<p>Though Dillard's might defy Wall Street for a bit longer than expected, history suggestsit has no chance to keep up this pace. More than likely, Wall Street's price target will eventually become a reality.</p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a>: Implied downside of 84%</b></p>\n<p>Sporting the most potential downside, according to Wall Street's consensus price target, is movie theater stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a></b>. Although it's one of the year's top-performing stocks, AMC would need to decline by 84% from its current share price to hit the consensus target of $5.25 a share.</p>\n<p>AMC received a huge boost in January, when the company was able to save itself from bankruptcy by issuing common stock and debt. Short-sellers who'd been betting on additional downside in the company were caught off-guard by AMC's capital raise, which effected a viciousshort squeeze.</p>\n<p>Today, AMC's impassioned retail investors share the same goal -- i.e., to see another short squeeze take place. As of July 30, 85.85 million shares were held short, representing almost 17% of the float.</p>\n<p>The problem for AMC and its retail investors is that fundamentals always matter, and AMC's operating performance and balance sheet arenothing short of a horror movie. While having increased capacity in its theaters drove sequential quarterly sales higher in the second quarter, it doesn't excuse the fact that AMC has burned through $576.5 million in cash over the past six months or that it's a long way from being profitable.</p>\n<p>The balance sheet is a bigger concern. AMC ended June with $5.5 billion in corporate borrowing and had an additional $420 million in deferred rent that needs to be paid. With the company effectively maxing out its share issuances, AMC will be forced to rely on its $1.81 billion in cash and $212 million revolving credit facility to make good on its rent obligations and pay off its debt. With its 2026 and 2027 bonds going for 58% and 62% of par value, the clear implication from bondholders isthere's concern AMC won't remain solvent.</p>\n<p>The icing on the cake is we'vewitnessed theatrical exclusivity dwindle. For instance, AMC's agreement with&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&amp;T Inc</a>'s Warner Bros. offers only a 45-day exclusivity window, which is down from the traditional 75-day to 90-day period of exclusivity prior to the pandemic.</p>\n<p>It may take longer than 12 months, but AMC does look to beheaded back to its February low.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-16 20:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-high-flying-stocks-may-fall-53-to-84-wall-street/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.\nThough Wall Street's price ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-high-flying-stocks-may-fall-53-to-84-wall-street/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AMC":"AMC院线","DDS":"狄乐百货","JNJ":"强生","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-high-flying-stocks-may-fall-53-to-84-wall-street/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137437693","content_text":"Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.\nThough Wall Street's price targets can often be taken with a grain of salt, these are likely on point.\n\nIt's a great time to be an investor. In the close to 17 months since the widely followed S&P 500 bottomed out during the coronavirus crash in March 2020, the index has doubled in value. Time and again, patience begets profits on Wall Street.\nHowever, it's also common knowledge that not every stock is going to be a winner. According to Wall Street analysts and investment firms, there are three high-flying stocks that could lose anywhere from 53% to 84% of their value over the coming year, based on the consensus price target for each company.\nModerna: Implied downside of 53%\nFirst up is skyrocketing biotech stock Moderna, Inc., which has gained almost 1,900% since the beginning of 2020. Even after pulling back more than 20% from its intraday high last week, Moderna's share price would have to fall by another 53% just to hit the consensus price target of $184.92.\nAs you can probably guess, the reason Moderna has ascended to the heavens is the success of its emergency-use authorized (EUA) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, mRNA-1273. In clinical trials, Moderna's vaccine candidate led to a vaccine efficacy (VE) of about 94%. With the exception of the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine, which presented with a 95% VE, no other EUA vaccines have come close on the efficacy front.\nThe rise of the COVID-19 delta variant has been another major boon for Moderna. The transmissibility of delta has lifted vaccination rates in a number of developed countries, and it encouraged the U.S. Food and Drug Administration toauthorize a booster shotfor those people with compromised immune systems.\nUltimately, Moderna's skyrocketing share price appears to indicate that things could worsen before they get better on the COVID-19 front, and that booster shots will offer a beefier stream of revenue than once predicted.\nHowever, the issue with Moderna's valuation is twofold. First, competition for COVID-19 vaccinations is increasing, not decreasing. Novavax is a good bet to receive EUA within the coming months, and Johnson & Johnson shouldn't have any trouble ramping up production of its single-dose vaccine. We'reprobably looking at Moderna's peak revenue year in 2021.\nThe other issue is mRNA-1273 is Moderna's only marketable drug. A $157 billion market cap based on a single therapy that may or may not have staying powersounds very risky.\nDillard's: Implied downside of 55%\nThe next high-flying stock might come as a bit of a surprise... department store chain Dillard's. Shares of Dillard's hit an all-time closing high of $196 on Friday, Aug. 13, pushing its market cap north of $4 billion. But according to analysts, which have a consensus price target of $87.33 on the company, this department store could be hitting the clearance rack with a 55% haircut over the next year.\nIf you're wondering why Dillard's stock is up 625% over the trailing year, itsoperating performance would be a good place to start. The company drastically cut costs in the wake of the pandemic, strongly pushed direct-to-consumer sales, and has tightly managed its inventory. Without these burdensome overhead costs, profits have absolutely skyrocketed over the past two quarters as pent-up demand encouraged consumers to get out of their homes and into retail stores.\nDillard's has done a good job of attempting to boost shareholder value, too. In the 26 weeks, ended July 31, the company repurchased about 1.4 million shares totaling $171 million. This may not sound like a lot, but it reduced the company's outstanding share count by more than 6%.\nIt's also worth pointing out that Dillard's has a relatively small tradable float, and it's been a fairly heavily short-sold stock. This combination made it the perfect target for a short squeeze.\nDespite all these positives, it's important for investors to recognize that retail department stores are generally slow-growing and cyclical. Even though Dillard's year-over-year comparisons are lights-out impressive, its 26-week retail sales for 2021 are only 1% higher than its 26-week retail sales for the comparable period in 2019. Further, comparable-store sales are only 4% higher in 2021 compared to 2019. While gross margin is notably higher, this has more to do with cost-cutting than significant sales traction.\nThough Dillard's might defy Wall Street for a bit longer than expected, history suggestsit has no chance to keep up this pace. More than likely, Wall Street's price target will eventually become a reality.\nAMC Entertainment: Implied downside of 84%\nSporting the most potential downside, according to Wall Street's consensus price target, is movie theater stock AMC Entertainment. Although it's one of the year's top-performing stocks, AMC would need to decline by 84% from its current share price to hit the consensus target of $5.25 a share.\nAMC received a huge boost in January, when the company was able to save itself from bankruptcy by issuing common stock and debt. Short-sellers who'd been betting on additional downside in the company were caught off-guard by AMC's capital raise, which effected a viciousshort squeeze.\nToday, AMC's impassioned retail investors share the same goal -- i.e., to see another short squeeze take place. As of July 30, 85.85 million shares were held short, representing almost 17% of the float.\nThe problem for AMC and its retail investors is that fundamentals always matter, and AMC's operating performance and balance sheet arenothing short of a horror movie. While having increased capacity in its theaters drove sequential quarterly sales higher in the second quarter, it doesn't excuse the fact that AMC has burned through $576.5 million in cash over the past six months or that it's a long way from being profitable.\nThe balance sheet is a bigger concern. AMC ended June with $5.5 billion in corporate borrowing and had an additional $420 million in deferred rent that needs to be paid. With the company effectively maxing out its share issuances, AMC will be forced to rely on its $1.81 billion in cash and $212 million revolving credit facility to make good on its rent obligations and pay off its debt. With its 2026 and 2027 bonds going for 58% and 62% of par value, the clear implication from bondholders isthere's concern AMC won't remain solvent.\nThe icing on the cake is we'vewitnessed theatrical exclusivity dwindle. For instance, AMC's agreement with AT&T Inc's Warner Bros. offers only a 45-day exclusivity window, which is down from the traditional 75-day to 90-day period of exclusivity prior to the pandemic.\nIt may take longer than 12 months, but AMC does look to beheaded back to its February low.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":114,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839906789,"gmtCreate":1629112968341,"gmtModify":1633687331452,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087542547312600","idStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"FUD","listText":"FUD","text":"FUD","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839906789","repostId":"1100841503","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":82,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":834213674,"gmtCreate":1629805820398,"gmtModify":1633682328163,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087542547312600","authorIdStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🦍 party in singapore after 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀. Then the FUD spreaders can eat their words","listText":"🦍 party in singapore after 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀. Then the FUD spreaders can eat their words","text":"🦍 party in singapore after 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀. Then the FUD spreaders can eat their words","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834213674","repostId":"1139894852","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839906789,"gmtCreate":1629112968341,"gmtModify":1633687331452,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087542547312600","authorIdStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"FUD","listText":"FUD","text":"FUD","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839906789","repostId":"1100841503","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":82,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834237094,"gmtCreate":1629805551518,"gmtModify":1633682330519,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087542547312600","authorIdStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"FUD.&nbsp;","listText":"FUD.&nbsp;","text":"FUD.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834237094","repostId":"1139894852","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":57,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839123328,"gmtCreate":1629127843064,"gmtModify":1633687175651,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087542547312600","authorIdStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"More FUD","listText":"More FUD","text":"More FUD","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839123328","repostId":"1137437693","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137437693","pubTimestamp":1629116844,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137437693?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-16 20:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137437693","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe pandemic and/o","content":"<blockquote>\n Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.</li>\n <li>Though Wall Street's price targets can often be taken with a grain of salt, these are likely on point.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>It's a great time to be an investor. In the close to 17 months since the widely followed&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">S&amp;P 500</a></b> bottomed out during the coronavirus crash in March 2020, the index has doubled in value. Time and again, patience begets profits on Wall Street.</p>\n<p>However, it's also common knowledge that not every stock is going to be a winner. According to Wall Street analysts and investment firms, there are three high-flying stocks that could lose anywhere from 53% to 84% of their value over the coming year, based on the consensus price target for each company.</p>\n<p><b>Moderna: Implied downside of 53%</b></p>\n<p>First up is skyrocketing&nbsp;biotech stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna, Inc.</a></b>, which has gained almost 1,900% since the beginning of 2020. Even after pulling back more than 20% from its intraday high last week, Moderna's share price would have to fall by another 53% just to hit the consensus price target of $184.92.</p>\n<p>As you can probably guess, the reason Moderna has ascended to the heavens is the success of its emergency-use authorized (EUA) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, mRNA-1273. In clinical trials, Moderna's vaccine candidate led to a vaccine efficacy (VE) of about 94%. With the exception of the<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>/</b><b>BioNTech</b>&nbsp;vaccine, which presented with a 95% VE, no other EUA vaccines have come close on the efficacy front.</p>\n<p>The rise of the COVID-19 delta variant has been another major boon for Moderna. The transmissibility of delta has lifted vaccination rates in a number of developed countries, and it encouraged the U.S. Food and Drug Administration toauthorize a booster shotfor those people with compromised immune systems.</p>\n<p>Ultimately, Moderna's skyrocketing share price appears to indicate that things could worsen before they get better on the COVID-19 front, and that booster shots will offer a beefier stream of revenue than once predicted.</p>\n<p>However, the issue with Moderna's valuation is twofold. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">First</a>, competition for COVID-19 vaccinations is increasing, not decreasing.&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b>&nbsp;is a good bet to receive EUA within the coming months, and&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a></b> shouldn't have any trouble ramping up production of its single-dose vaccine. We'reprobably looking at Moderna's peak revenue year in 2021.</p>\n<p>The other issue is mRNA-1273 is Moderna's only marketable drug. A $157 billion market cap based on a single therapy that may or may not have staying powersounds very risky.</p>\n<p><b>Dillard's: Implied downside of 55%</b></p>\n<p>The next high-flying stock might come as a bit of a surprise... department store chain&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">Dillard's</a></b>. Shares of Dillard's hit an all-time closing high of $196 on Friday, Aug. 13, pushing its market cap north of $4 billion. But according to analysts, which have a consensus price target of $87.33 on the company, this department store could be hitting the clearance rack with a 55% haircut over the next year.</p>\n<p>If you're wondering why Dillard's stock is up 625% over the trailing year, itsoperating performance would be a good place to start. The company drastically cut costs in the wake of the pandemic, strongly pushed direct-to-consumer sales, and has tightly managed its inventory. Without these burdensome overhead costs, profits have absolutely skyrocketed over the past two quarters as pent-up demand encouraged consumers to get out of their homes and into retail stores.</p>\n<p>Dillard's has done a good job of attempting to boost shareholder value, too. In the 26 weeks, ended July 31, the company repurchased about 1.4 million shares totaling $171 million. This may not sound like a lot, but it reduced the company's outstanding share count by more than 6%.</p>\n<p>It's also worth pointing out that Dillard's has a relatively small tradable float, and it's been a fairly heavily short-sold stock. This combination made it the perfect target for a short squeeze.</p>\n<p>Despite all these positives, it's important for investors to recognize that retail department stores are generally slow-growing and cyclical. Even though Dillard's year-over-year comparisons are lights-out impressive, its 26-week retail sales for 2021 are only 1% higher than its 26-week retail sales for the comparable period in 2019. Further, comparable-store sales are only 4% higher in 2021 compared to 2019. While gross margin is notably higher, this has more to do with cost-cutting than significant sales traction.</p>\n<p>Though Dillard's might defy Wall Street for a bit longer than expected, history suggestsit has no chance to keep up this pace. More than likely, Wall Street's price target will eventually become a reality.</p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a>: Implied downside of 84%</b></p>\n<p>Sporting the most potential downside, according to Wall Street's consensus price target, is movie theater stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a></b>. Although it's one of the year's top-performing stocks, AMC would need to decline by 84% from its current share price to hit the consensus target of $5.25 a share.</p>\n<p>AMC received a huge boost in January, when the company was able to save itself from bankruptcy by issuing common stock and debt. Short-sellers who'd been betting on additional downside in the company were caught off-guard by AMC's capital raise, which effected a viciousshort squeeze.</p>\n<p>Today, AMC's impassioned retail investors share the same goal -- i.e., to see another short squeeze take place. As of July 30, 85.85 million shares were held short, representing almost 17% of the float.</p>\n<p>The problem for AMC and its retail investors is that fundamentals always matter, and AMC's operating performance and balance sheet arenothing short of a horror movie. While having increased capacity in its theaters drove sequential quarterly sales higher in the second quarter, it doesn't excuse the fact that AMC has burned through $576.5 million in cash over the past six months or that it's a long way from being profitable.</p>\n<p>The balance sheet is a bigger concern. AMC ended June with $5.5 billion in corporate borrowing and had an additional $420 million in deferred rent that needs to be paid. With the company effectively maxing out its share issuances, AMC will be forced to rely on its $1.81 billion in cash and $212 million revolving credit facility to make good on its rent obligations and pay off its debt. With its 2026 and 2027 bonds going for 58% and 62% of par value, the clear implication from bondholders isthere's concern AMC won't remain solvent.</p>\n<p>The icing on the cake is we'vewitnessed theatrical exclusivity dwindle. For instance, AMC's agreement with&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&amp;T Inc</a>'s Warner Bros. offers only a 45-day exclusivity window, which is down from the traditional 75-day to 90-day period of exclusivity prior to the pandemic.</p>\n<p>It may take longer than 12 months, but AMC does look to beheaded back to its February low.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-16 20:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-high-flying-stocks-may-fall-53-to-84-wall-street/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.\nThough Wall Street's price ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-high-flying-stocks-may-fall-53-to-84-wall-street/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AMC":"AMC院线","DDS":"狄乐百货","JNJ":"强生","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-high-flying-stocks-may-fall-53-to-84-wall-street/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137437693","content_text":"Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.\nThough Wall Street's price targets can often be taken with a grain of salt, these are likely on point.\n\nIt's a great time to be an investor. In the close to 17 months since the widely followed S&P 500 bottomed out during the coronavirus crash in March 2020, the index has doubled in value. Time and again, patience begets profits on Wall Street.\nHowever, it's also common knowledge that not every stock is going to be a winner. According to Wall Street analysts and investment firms, there are three high-flying stocks that could lose anywhere from 53% to 84% of their value over the coming year, based on the consensus price target for each company.\nModerna: Implied downside of 53%\nFirst up is skyrocketing biotech stock Moderna, Inc., which has gained almost 1,900% since the beginning of 2020. Even after pulling back more than 20% from its intraday high last week, Moderna's share price would have to fall by another 53% just to hit the consensus price target of $184.92.\nAs you can probably guess, the reason Moderna has ascended to the heavens is the success of its emergency-use authorized (EUA) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, mRNA-1273. In clinical trials, Moderna's vaccine candidate led to a vaccine efficacy (VE) of about 94%. With the exception of the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine, which presented with a 95% VE, no other EUA vaccines have come close on the efficacy front.\nThe rise of the COVID-19 delta variant has been another major boon for Moderna. The transmissibility of delta has lifted vaccination rates in a number of developed countries, and it encouraged the U.S. Food and Drug Administration toauthorize a booster shotfor those people with compromised immune systems.\nUltimately, Moderna's skyrocketing share price appears to indicate that things could worsen before they get better on the COVID-19 front, and that booster shots will offer a beefier stream of revenue than once predicted.\nHowever, the issue with Moderna's valuation is twofold. First, competition for COVID-19 vaccinations is increasing, not decreasing. Novavax is a good bet to receive EUA within the coming months, and Johnson & Johnson shouldn't have any trouble ramping up production of its single-dose vaccine. We'reprobably looking at Moderna's peak revenue year in 2021.\nThe other issue is mRNA-1273 is Moderna's only marketable drug. A $157 billion market cap based on a single therapy that may or may not have staying powersounds very risky.\nDillard's: Implied downside of 55%\nThe next high-flying stock might come as a bit of a surprise... department store chain Dillard's. Shares of Dillard's hit an all-time closing high of $196 on Friday, Aug. 13, pushing its market cap north of $4 billion. But according to analysts, which have a consensus price target of $87.33 on the company, this department store could be hitting the clearance rack with a 55% haircut over the next year.\nIf you're wondering why Dillard's stock is up 625% over the trailing year, itsoperating performance would be a good place to start. The company drastically cut costs in the wake of the pandemic, strongly pushed direct-to-consumer sales, and has tightly managed its inventory. Without these burdensome overhead costs, profits have absolutely skyrocketed over the past two quarters as pent-up demand encouraged consumers to get out of their homes and into retail stores.\nDillard's has done a good job of attempting to boost shareholder value, too. In the 26 weeks, ended July 31, the company repurchased about 1.4 million shares totaling $171 million. This may not sound like a lot, but it reduced the company's outstanding share count by more than 6%.\nIt's also worth pointing out that Dillard's has a relatively small tradable float, and it's been a fairly heavily short-sold stock. This combination made it the perfect target for a short squeeze.\nDespite all these positives, it's important for investors to recognize that retail department stores are generally slow-growing and cyclical. Even though Dillard's year-over-year comparisons are lights-out impressive, its 26-week retail sales for 2021 are only 1% higher than its 26-week retail sales for the comparable period in 2019. Further, comparable-store sales are only 4% higher in 2021 compared to 2019. While gross margin is notably higher, this has more to do with cost-cutting than significant sales traction.\nThough Dillard's might defy Wall Street for a bit longer than expected, history suggestsit has no chance to keep up this pace. More than likely, Wall Street's price target will eventually become a reality.\nAMC Entertainment: Implied downside of 84%\nSporting the most potential downside, according to Wall Street's consensus price target, is movie theater stock AMC Entertainment. Although it's one of the year's top-performing stocks, AMC would need to decline by 84% from its current share price to hit the consensus target of $5.25 a share.\nAMC received a huge boost in January, when the company was able to save itself from bankruptcy by issuing common stock and debt. Short-sellers who'd been betting on additional downside in the company were caught off-guard by AMC's capital raise, which effected a viciousshort squeeze.\nToday, AMC's impassioned retail investors share the same goal -- i.e., to see another short squeeze take place. As of July 30, 85.85 million shares were held short, representing almost 17% of the float.\nThe problem for AMC and its retail investors is that fundamentals always matter, and AMC's operating performance and balance sheet arenothing short of a horror movie. While having increased capacity in its theaters drove sequential quarterly sales higher in the second quarter, it doesn't excuse the fact that AMC has burned through $576.5 million in cash over the past six months or that it's a long way from being profitable.\nThe balance sheet is a bigger concern. AMC ended June with $5.5 billion in corporate borrowing and had an additional $420 million in deferred rent that needs to be paid. With the company effectively maxing out its share issuances, AMC will be forced to rely on its $1.81 billion in cash and $212 million revolving credit facility to make good on its rent obligations and pay off its debt. With its 2026 and 2027 bonds going for 58% and 62% of par value, the clear implication from bondholders isthere's concern AMC won't remain solvent.\nThe icing on the cake is we'vewitnessed theatrical exclusivity dwindle. For instance, AMC's agreement with AT&T Inc's Warner Bros. offers only a 45-day exclusivity window, which is down from the traditional 75-day to 90-day period of exclusivity prior to the pandemic.\nIt may take longer than 12 months, but AMC does look to beheaded back to its February low.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":114,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":690190906,"gmtCreate":1639645735016,"gmtModify":1639645735249,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087542547312600","authorIdStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Amc ❤️❤️","listText":"Amc ❤️❤️","text":"Amc ❤️❤️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690190906","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":226,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":812873159,"gmtCreate":1630577495571,"gmtModify":1632472091491,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087542547312600","authorIdStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great news for my calls","listText":"Great news for my calls","text":"Great news for my calls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812873159","repostId":"1159580926","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":22,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}