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Abc123
2021-10-22
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@价值投资为王:你会打新商汤科技吗?
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留足够的保证金。如果被行权的有足够的钱接盘。(如果真的钱不够,今晚及时止损出局不要被行权) 假如今晚AMD 跌到了100以下,那么明后天周末结算,我手头2张到期的SP 就会变成200股以100价格买入的AMD正股,如果AMD跌到98,那么我的买入成本仍然是100,行权后账面亏损就会达(100-98)*200= 400美刀。但是不要紧,我长期看好AMD,理由前面说过多次了。 对于半导体这轮杀跌,我的看法是杀估值,大家记得今年年初美债收益率飙升时候,杀的也是高估值的成长股,尤其是SaaS云服务,但是3月反弹以来,半导体一马当前,领涨了所有板块,核心逻辑是供不应求。所以这两天美债收益率再度扰动市场,首先杀的就是半导体。但这并不改行业到明年仍然会紧缺的局面。在上半年,英伟达曾经是我的第一重仓股,可惜卖飞了,一直买不回来,卖出价格还是180,我也等跌跌好买回来,也做英伟达的Sell Put 175-185的。 好了,话说回来,如果今晚我的AMD被行权了怎么办?<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 废话","text":"经过连续三天的暴跌,小班长盘了一下手头的今晚到期的Sell Put,应该没有会被行权的,那就继续收利。这几天基本上都是开盘微涨,盘中有气无力转跌,半导体简直是这轮杀的最惨的,如果今晚盘中再度暴跌,今晚到期Sell Put 100的AMD还有可能会被行权,被行权了怎么办? 小班长一直强调,大家做Sell Put的时候,一定要做自己敢接盘的价格,并且按照行权价*数量 留足够的保证金。如果被行权的有足够的钱接盘。(如果真的钱不够,今晚及时止损出局不要被行权) 假如今晚AMD 跌到了100以下,那么明后天周末结算,我手头2张到期的SP 就会变成200股以100价格买入的AMD正股,如果AMD跌到98,那么我的买入成本仍然是100,行权后账面亏损就会达(100-98)*200= 400美刀。但是不要紧,我长期看好AMD,理由前面说过多次了。 对于半导体这轮杀跌,我的看法是杀估值,大家记得今年年初美债收益率飙升时候,杀的也是高估值的成长股,尤其是SaaS云服务,但是3月反弹以来,半导体一马当前,领涨了所有板块,核心逻辑是供不应求。所以这两天美债收益率再度扰动市场,首先杀的就是半导体。但这并不改行业到明年仍然会紧缺的局面。在上半年,英伟达曾经是我的第一重仓股,可惜卖飞了,一直买不回来,卖出价格还是180,我也等跌跌好买回来,也做英伟达的Sell Put 175-185的。 好了,话说回来,如果今晚我的AMD被行权了怎么办?$AMD(AMD)$ $英伟达(NVDA)$ 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美政府关门 美债违约 基建法案&福利法案 供应链 美联储Taper 1、美国的新财年在每年10月份启动,如果在新财年启动前,国会没有按时完成政府拨款法案的立法,那么未完成法案覆盖的政府工作条线、部门将会因为得不到立法机构授权的财政资金而暂时关停,此即美国政府的部分关门。 有的媒体会把美政府关门和债务违约两件事合二为一讨论。债务违约、政府关门,两者本身并无直接关联,但这一次民主党主动将二者合并立法,然而目前看来还是要各论各的。议员们也已达成协议,将政府开支延长至12月3日,这将能够避免政府在周五关门。2、近期美国十年国债收益率大幅上行,突破了1.5%的关键点位,因为美债上限问题迟迟得不到解决。共和党始终不同意民主党提议解决债务上限。美国财政部长耶伦敦促国会在10月18日之前采取行动,避免对经济造成“严重伤害”。 于是29号民主党折中方案:美国众议院以219票对212票通过了暂停国家债务限额至2022年12月16日的法案。然而美国参议院共和党领袖麦康奈尔曾表示,共和党会投票赞成拨款供政府正常运转,但不会支持暂停政府债务上限。 所以你们看到了,大盘暴跌就是纯纯的人祸。 3、30号也就是今晚美国众议院将对1万亿美元的基础设施法案进行投票。早前这份法案已经得到了参议院的两党支持。现在威胁到这份法案命运的,却是拜登自己党内分歧。 进步派民主党人希望能够推进另一项规模达3.5万亿美元的社会政策与气候法案,内容涉及医保、教育和气候行动等。否则,就不愿支持基础设施法案。目前,众议院议长佩洛西坚持会在周四进行投票,但如果各方谈判无法达成一致,她可能会进一步推迟投票日期。 4、如果说上面的债务上限是威胁整体大盘估值,那么供应链危机就是专门针对消费股而来的。大家可","listText":"目前影响宏观主要是5大问题,但因为民主党试图绑定前三项导致媒体经常把1、2、3混在一起谈论,令人迷惑,所以有必要给大家捋一捋: 美政府关门 美债违约 基建法案&福利法案 供应链 美联储Taper 1、美国的新财年在每年10月份启动,如果在新财年启动前,国会没有按时完成政府拨款法案的立法,那么未完成法案覆盖的政府工作条线、部门将会因为得不到立法机构授权的财政资金而暂时关停,此即美国政府的部分关门。 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