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认真的小韭菜
2021-07-07
$瑞幸咖啡(LKNCY)$
很快瑞幸发布2020年财报就会让很多人高攀不起了。
认真的小韭菜
2021-07-23
$瑞幸咖啡(LKNCY)$
瑞幸的20年财报,预计对比19年营收增长100%-150%,利润嘛估计大幅减亏。看好财报后估价18-20。
认真的小韭菜
2021-06-21
$知临集团(APM)$
最近有大利好,今天晚上突破4
认真的小韭菜
2021-06-21
$Orphazyme A/S(ORPH)$
真是垃圾啊。敢不敢涨到8以上
认真的小韭菜
2021-07-07
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@李永浩:瑞幸,危险又美丽
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKNCY\">$瑞幸咖啡(LKNCY)$</a>,我正儿八经地梳理了中、美、日消费的发展趋势和咖啡行业的市场空间,复盘了瑞幸从诞生以来的发展历程,研究了几个关键人物,调研了6个不同能级的城市店面的运营情况,做了几个相关人士深访。基本上把运营层面的事情摸清楚了。 但这公司“向下”的风险,还没摸清楚,所以一直不敢大手笔买,也不敢写文章分析,怕有人因为信任我而跟风买。前天瑞幸官方公布了个消息,股价就涨了20%,我怕万一涨上去了,我再发分析,有点跪舔和马后炮的味道。索性写出来,也算是为以后的投资复盘作依据。但仍要重点说明,该股票具有彻底清零的可能性,不建议抄作业。 过往我一直公开自己的分析和研究过程,只为记录逻辑并让更多人提出建议,错了就方便复盘和补全思维漏洞,对了就方便我吹牛逼留证据。然而,却被有些心怀恶意的人讽刺挖苦为“吹票割韭菜”,这确实给我造成了一些苦恼,好在我已经克服那些障碍了。我依旧会彪悍地、旗帜分明地表明立场,并开放地接受善意的批评、理性地探讨。所以,挺我的人别担心,损我的人别得意。 没时间看长文的,简述如下: 当品牌祛魅:过往高大上的洋品牌,已走下神坛,国产品牌已具备和他们扳手腕的实力; 当产品回归:星巴克是绝对的老大,当你花三十多块钱买咖啡的时候,很多是为他们的品牌和空间付费,但现在越来越多人是买了就走,咖啡回归产品属性; 当玩法升级:星巴克是传统的餐饮零售企业想要插上科技赋能的翅膀,而瑞幸天生就是带着科技翅膀的新零售。沃尔玛再厉害,也被亚马逊超越; 当浪子回头:每个横空出世的天才少年,都需要经过生活的捶打才能成长和成熟。造假、退市、内斗,瑞幸正在逐步走出低谷,精准营销、私域运营、产品升级,三板斧让瑞幸的单店模型彻底跑通; 当格局已定:线下流量的","text":"序 最近一个月,为了调研瑞幸$瑞幸咖啡(LKNCY)$,我正儿八经地梳理了中、美、日消费的发展趋势和咖啡行业的市场空间,复盘了瑞幸从诞生以来的发展历程,研究了几个关键人物,调研了6个不同能级的城市店面的运营情况,做了几个相关人士深访。基本上把运营层面的事情摸清楚了。 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当格局已定:线下流量的","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/348b30dfd6a141e5b0a29988c71cba72","width":"869","height":"694"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786191f7945e44518406e52da0c01cd7","width":"640","height":"474"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2d4d75601074746951d7bebadbef6da","width":"1080","height":"820"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152985491","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":753,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":140524317,"gmtCreate":1625666736039,"gmtModify":1625666736039,"author":{"id":"3586567415020100","authorId":"3586567415020100","name":"认真的小韭菜","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586567415020100","authorIdStr":"3586567415020100"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKNCY\">$瑞幸咖啡(LKNCY)$</a>很快瑞幸发布2020年财报就会让很多人高攀不起了。","text":"$瑞幸咖啡(LKNCY)$很快瑞幸发布2020年财报就会让很多人高攀不起了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140524317","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3286,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3557118224458329","authorId":"3557118224458329","name":"Abby杨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8cd307c2343d910f4a02520b4701a59","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3557118224458329","authorIdStr":"3557118224458329"},"content":"不是已经发了吗","text":"不是已经发了吗","html":"不是已经发了吗"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":167759961,"gmtCreate":1624285710153,"gmtModify":1624285710153,"author":{"id":"3586567415020100","authorId":"3586567415020100","name":"认真的小韭菜","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586567415020100","authorIdStr":"3586567415020100"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APM\">$知临集团(APM)$</a>最近有大利好,今天晚上突破4","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APM\">$知临集团(APM)$</a>最近有大利好,今天晚上突破4","text":"$知临集团(APM)$最近有大利好,今天晚上突破4","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167759961","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1411,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":167448379,"gmtCreate":1624283326591,"gmtModify":1624283779912,"author":{"id":"3586567415020100","authorId":"3586567415020100","name":"认真的小韭菜","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586567415020100","authorIdStr":"3586567415020100"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORPH\">$Orphazyme A/S(ORPH)$</a>真是垃圾啊。敢不敢涨到8以上","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORPH\">$Orphazyme 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKNCY\">$瑞幸咖啡(LKNCY)$</a>很快瑞幸发布2020年财报就会让很多人高攀不起了。","text":"$瑞幸咖啡(LKNCY)$很快瑞幸发布2020年财报就会让很多人高攀不起了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140524317","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3286,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3557118224458329","authorId":"3557118224458329","name":"Abby杨","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8cd307c2343d910f4a02520b4701a59","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3557118224458329","authorIdStr":"3557118224458329"},"content":"不是已经发了吗","text":"不是已经发了吗","html":"不是已经发了吗"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":172492628,"gmtCreate":1626970215364,"gmtModify":1626970215364,"author":{"id":"3586567415020100","authorId":"3586567415020100","name":"认真的小韭菜","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586567415020100","authorIdStr":"3586567415020100"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKNCY\">$瑞幸咖啡(LKNCY)$</a>瑞幸的20年财报,预计对比19年营收增长100%-150%,利润嘛估计大幅减亏。看好财报后估价18-20。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKNCY\">$瑞幸咖啡(LKNCY)$</a>瑞幸的20年财报,预计对比19年营收增长100%-150%,利润嘛估计大幅减亏。看好财报后估价18-20。","text":"$瑞幸咖啡(LKNCY)$瑞幸的20年财报,预计对比19年营收增长100%-150%,利润嘛估计大幅减亏。看好财报后估价18-20。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172492628","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1888,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":167759961,"gmtCreate":1624285710153,"gmtModify":1624285710153,"author":{"id":"3586567415020100","authorId":"3586567415020100","name":"认真的小韭菜","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586567415020100","authorIdStr":"3586567415020100"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKNCY\">$瑞幸咖啡(LKNCY)$</a>,我正儿八经地梳理了中、美、日消费的发展趋势和咖啡行业的市场空间,复盘了瑞幸从诞生以来的发展历程,研究了几个关键人物,调研了6个不同能级的城市店面的运营情况,做了几个相关人士深访。基本上把运营层面的事情摸清楚了。 但这公司“向下”的风险,还没摸清楚,所以一直不敢大手笔买,也不敢写文章分析,怕有人因为信任我而跟风买。前天瑞幸官方公布了个消息,股价就涨了20%,我怕万一涨上去了,我再发分析,有点跪舔和马后炮的味道。索性写出来,也算是为以后的投资复盘作依据。但仍要重点说明,该股票具有彻底清零的可能性,不建议抄作业。 过往我一直公开自己的分析和研究过程,只为记录逻辑并让更多人提出建议,错了就方便复盘和补全思维漏洞,对了就方便我吹牛逼留证据。然而,却被有些心怀恶意的人讽刺挖苦为“吹票割韭菜”,这确实给我造成了一些苦恼,好在我已经克服那些障碍了。我依旧会彪悍地、旗帜分明地表明立场,并开放地接受善意的批评、理性地探讨。所以,挺我的人别担心,损我的人别得意。 没时间看长文的,简述如下: 当品牌祛魅:过往高大上的洋品牌,已走下神坛,国产品牌已具备和他们扳手腕的实力; 当产品回归:星巴克是绝对的老大,当你花三十多块钱买咖啡的时候,很多是为他们的品牌和空间付费,但现在越来越多人是买了就走,咖啡回归产品属性; 当玩法升级:星巴克是传统的餐饮零售企业想要插上科技赋能的翅膀,而瑞幸天生就是带着科技翅膀的新零售。沃尔玛再厉害,也被亚马逊超越; 当浪子回头:每个横空出世的天才少年,都需要经过生活的捶打才能成长和成熟。造假、退市、内斗,瑞幸正在逐步走出低谷,精准营销、私域运营、产品升级,三板斧让瑞幸的单店模型彻底跑通; 当格局已定:线下流量的","text":"序 最近一个月,为了调研瑞幸$瑞幸咖啡(LKNCY)$,我正儿八经地梳理了中、美、日消费的发展趋势和咖啡行业的市场空间,复盘了瑞幸从诞生以来的发展历程,研究了几个关键人物,调研了6个不同能级的城市店面的运营情况,做了几个相关人士深访。基本上把运营层面的事情摸清楚了。 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