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limyt
2021-07-28
以为会升的，结果是跌了下来。事事难料
抱歉，原内容已删除
limyt
2021-07-27
我也喜欢苹果手机，所以支持你
Apple Earnings Face High Expectations
limyt
2021-07-25
有可能， 谁都不知道以后会怎样。
Will Square Be Worth More Than PayPal by 2025?
limyt
2021-07-25
事事难料，什么事都有可能发生
Will Netflix Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2030?
limyt
2021-07-23
节节攀升，去到70
抱歉，原内容已删除
limyt
2022-01-04
Good
昨夜今晨：美股2022有惊无险开门红！特斯拉高涨13%
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07:52","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"昨夜今晨：美股2022有惊无险开门红！特斯拉高涨13%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129854888","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"昨夜今晨：①美股周一集体收涨，纳指涨1.2%；②OPEC+会议在即，美油周一收高1.2%；③苹果市值首次突破3万亿美元，苹果周一收涨逾2%创历史新高。海外市场1、美股2022年开门红！道指标普齐新高2","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>昨夜今晨：①美股周一集体收涨，纳指涨1.2%；②OPEC+会议在即，美油周一收高1.2%；③<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>市值首次突破3万亿美元，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>周一收涨逾2%创历史新高。</blockquote><p>海外市场</p><p>1、美股2022年开门红！道指标普齐新高</p><p>2022年美股的第一个交易日，在开盘一轮快速跳水后，三大股指在权重股带动下集体走高，最终道指、标普500指数再度刷新收盘历史新高。</p><p>道指涨0.68%，标普500指数涨0.64%，纳指涨1.2%。</p><p>美国科技龙头今天多数走强。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>盘中涨约3%，市值短暂突破3万亿美元，去年苹果股价累计上涨34%，是道琼斯工业平均指数涨幅最大的成份股。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>第四季度交付量达创纪录的30.86万辆，超预期。也使得公司全年交付数据定格在93.6万辆。受到利好刺激，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>大涨13.53%，逼近历史高位。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>涨2.21%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>涨0.27%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>跌0.47%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>涨4.41%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>涨2.41%。</p><p>经济重启概念也在假期后继续上攻，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>涨3.34%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">雪佛龙</a>涨1.63%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">埃克森美孚</a>涨3.84%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">美国航空</a>涨4.40%。</p><p>2、热门中概股周一收盘涨跌不一 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EM\">怪兽充电</a>涨超24%</p><p>热门中概股周一收盘涨跌不一，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EM\">怪兽充电</a>、人人公司等涨幅居前；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车涨超5%，该公司12月交付10489辆汽车，同比增49.7%。</p><p>其余中概股方面，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOGU\">蘑菇街</a>涨超9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTT\">趣头条</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KXIN\">开心汽车</a>涨超8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATHM\">汽车之家</a>涨近4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KRKR\">36氪</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOUR\">途牛</a>、雾芯科技涨超3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WB\">微博</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOHU\">搜狐</a>、携程涨超2%，$万物<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABCD\">新生</a>(RERE)$涨近2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HUYA\">虎牙</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YY\">欢聚集团</a>、图森未来涨超1%。</p><p>新能源汽车股中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车涨超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>涨近1%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌0.1%。</p><p>3、欧股周一收盘走高 德国DAX30指数涨近1%</p><p>欧洲斯托克50指数1月3日（周一）涨幅0.59%，英国<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LSE.UK\">伦敦证券交易所</a>休市一日。</p><p>德国DAX30指数收盘涨0.90%，法国CAC40指数涨幅0.90%，西班牙IBEX35指数涨0.63%。</p><p>4、OPEC+会议在即 美油周一收高1.2%</p><p>以Helima Croft为首的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RY\">加拿大皇家银行</a>资本市场分析师在周一发表的研究报告中写道：“尽管奥密克戎变异毒株在重要地区的感染数量继续攀升，但由于没有采取广泛的封锁限制，短期内对原油需求的担忧可能会得到控制。”</p><p>纽约商品交易所2月交割的西德克萨斯中质原油（WTI）期货价格上涨87美分，涨幅为1.2%，收于每桶76.08美元。</p><p>5、黄金期货周一收跌1.6% 创两周来最低收盘价</p><p>新年第一天美股与美国国债收益率攀升，使黄金期货价格降至两周来的最低水平。</p><p>Zaner机构分析师在周一的市场评论中写道：“黄金市场正在与导致其在2021年下跌3.6%的负面情绪作斗争。”</p><p>纽约商品交易所2月交割的黄金期货价格下跌28.50美元，跌幅为1.6%，收于每盎司1800.10美元，创12月21日以来的最低收盘价。盘中最低为1798.20美元。</p><p>6、美国国债收益率飙升 市场对美联储加息的预期升温</p><p>美国国债收益率在2022年的第一个交易日飙升，投资者对经济的乐观情绪推高了美股，刺激了公司债券发行，也增强了对美联储今年至少加息3次的预期。</p><p>基准收益率全线攀升，政策敏感的5年期国债收益率领涨，上涨近8个基点至1.34%。2年期国债收益率突破0.79%，为2020年3月以来的最高水平。</p><p>国际宏观</p><p>1、尽管加息预期升温 美国今年首次短期国债招标仍获得2010年来最强需求</p><p>在2022年的第一个交易日，美国国债收益率全线飙升，因为经济乐观情绪升温提振了美国股市，吸引了大量公司债发行，并增强了对美联储今年至少加息3次的预期。</p><p>根据当前的利率期货价格，联邦基金利率目标料在5月份首次上调，预计年底前将上调77个基点。</p><p>Jefferies经济学家Thomas Simons表示，加息预期是热门话题。</p><p>2、美国新增新冠病例数创新高 但检测数据表明实际情况可能严重得多</p><p>根据约翰·霍普金斯大学的数据，过去一周单日新增病例数平均约为405，000例，比美国2021年1月时候的峰值高出60%左右。但各州报告的检测次数仍低于2021年峰值。</p><p>与此同时，PCR检测阳性率为17%，为2020年4月以来最高。</p><p>数据表明omicron肆虐之际很多病例并未被检测到，可能的原因包括人们在家中自己进行快速检测或根本未做检测。</p><p>3、OPEC+势将再度增产 因石油市场供应料比先前预测偏紧</p><p>OPEC+代表称，周二会议有望再次批准每日40万桶的温和增产，重启新冠疫情期间暂时下线的产能。</p><p>在周一举行的初步会议上，OPEC分析师调降一季度石油市场过剩供应预测，因竞争对手供应料将减弱。</p><p>OPEC及其盟友在2020年暂停的产能迄今已恢复大约三分之二。他们正寻求用刚好能满足石油需求复苏的速度恢复剩余产能，避免价格飙升或使市场陷入新的低迷。到目前为止他们取得了理想的效果，国际原油价格接近每桶78美元。</p><p>据可看到的一份报告，OPEC+联合技术委员会目前预测2022年第一季度会有每日140万桶的过剩供应，比一个月前的预测少25%左右。</p><p>该委员会认为，随着“全世界更有能力应对新冠疫情及其带来的挑战，”预计omicron变异毒株带来的影响会是“温和而短暂的”。</p><p>4、美国食药监局：研制专门针对奥密克戎毒株的新冠疫苗并不必要</p><p>当地时间1月3日，美国食品药品监督管理局（FDA）负责评估新冠肺炎疫苗的生物制品评价与研究中心主任彼得·马克斯（Peter Marks）表示，研制专门针对奥密克戎毒株的新冠疫苗可能是没有必要的。</p><p>马克斯称，尽管所有疫苗研发公司正在努力研制针对奥密克戎毒株的特效疫苗，但是随着时间推移，奥密克戎毒株是否会一直作为新冠肺炎疫情的主要流行毒株尚未可知。</p><p>5、埃尔多安货币新政首份“成绩单”：CPI同比飙升36% 创近二十年新高</p><p>当地时间周一，土耳其官方统计研究所发布该国12月CPI数据。在货币新政的刺激下，该国物价指数出现了罕见的环比增长13.58%，将年化通胀率一把拉到惊人的36.08%。</p><p>位于伊斯坦布尔的Spinn咨询创始合伙人Ozlem Derici Sengul接受媒体采访时表示，面对这么紧急的情况，基准利率应当迅速大幅上调，但眼下的土耳其央行不太可能采取动作。</p><p>所以当官方政策对物价的影响（例如最低工资提高50%等）落地后，通胀年化增幅可能在今年三月触及40%-50%。</p><p>6、土耳其命令出口商将25%的收入转换为里拉</p><p>土耳其央行周一在一项法令中表示，出口商一旦收到美元、欧元或英镑的付款，央行将购买其中的25%。</p><p>7、意大利公共管理部长：该国制造业采购经理指数连续18个月增长</p><p>当地时间1月3日，意大利公共管理部长布鲁内塔透露，2021年12月该国制造业采购经理指数为62，已连续18个月稳定在上升区间，预计意大利2021年国内生产总值增长6.3%。</p><p>8、美欧奥密克戎病例“垂直增长”，多国拒绝收紧防疫，外媒：“全球被奥密克戎淹没”</p><p>在过去的一周，美国最高单日新增确诊病例近70万例，再次震动世界。</p><p>在世界最新的新冠肺炎确诊病例或死亡病例排名中，位于前列的大多是美欧国家，这也被称为世界上最令人触目惊心的排名。面对持续恶化的疫情，不少西方国家却意外地放松隔离规定</p><p>公司新闻</p><p>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2200782994\" target=\"_blank\">苹果周一收涨逾2%创历史新高 盘中市值首次突破3万亿美元关口</a></p><p>苹果公司股价周一收盘上涨2.5%，报182.01美元，创历史新高，市值2.98万亿美元。该公司总市值首次突破3万亿美元大关，成为史上首家达到这一里程碑的公司。</p><p>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2200478750\" target=\"_blank\">特斯拉周一收盘大涨逾13% 四季度交付量创纪录</a></p><p>特斯拉股价周一收盘大涨13.53%，报1199.78美元，创下去年3月份以来最大涨幅，市值1.2万亿美元。</p><p>该公司去年第四季度在全球交付了308600辆汽车，创下了这家电动汽车制造商的新纪录，为该公司加入万亿美元市值独家俱乐部的这一年划下圆满的句号。</p><p>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2200427419\" target=\"_blank\">古根海姆：看好耐克进军元宇宙 列为2022年首选股</a></p><p>古根海姆周一将<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">耐克</a>评为2022年的“首选股”。</p><p>分析师Robert Drbul在给客户的一份报告中表示，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">耐克</a>已占据主导地位的市场份额应该会继续增长，因该公司会在新的一年继续扩大在线业务并推出新的鞋类和服装产品。</p><p>他表示，耐克虽然在近期受到全球供应链中断的影响，但该公司仍应能够实现去年6月制定的财务目标。</p><p>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2200420220\" target=\"_blank\">“达利欧接班人”又换了一茬 桥水基金官宣CEO职位更迭</a></p><p>最新的人事变革，也令掌管1500亿美元资产的桥水再度面临接班人问题的审视。</p><p>自从今年已经72岁的达利欧在2011年退出基金的日常管理，专注于投资研究后，直到麦考米克2019年成为单独CEO期间，先后已经有5个人在这个位置上来了又走。</p><p>对于桥水的新管理层而言，最大的难点还是如何提高公司的投资业绩并留住客户。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>昨夜今晨：美股2022有惊无险开门红！特斯拉高涨13% </title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n昨夜今晨：美股2022有惊无险开门红！特斯拉高涨13% \n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-04 07:52</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote>昨夜今晨：①美股周一集体收涨，纳指涨1.2%；②OPEC+会议在即，美油周一收高1.2%；③<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>市值首次突破3万亿美元，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>周一收涨逾2%创历史新高。</blockquote><p>海外市场</p><p>1、美股2022年开门红！道指标普齐新高</p><p>2022年美股的第一个交易日，在开盘一轮快速跳水后，三大股指在权重股带动下集体走高，最终道指、标普500指数再度刷新收盘历史新高。</p><p>道指涨0.68%，标普500指数涨0.64%，纳指涨1.2%。</p><p>美国科技龙头今天多数走强。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>盘中涨约3%，市值短暂突破3万亿美元，去年苹果股价累计上涨34%，是道琼斯工业平均指数涨幅最大的成份股。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>第四季度交付量达创纪录的30.86万辆，超预期。也使得公司全年交付数据定格在93.6万辆。受到利好刺激，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>大涨13.53%，逼近历史高位。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>涨2.21%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>涨0.27%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>跌0.47%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>涨4.41%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>涨2.41%。</p><p>经济重启概念也在假期后继续上攻，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>涨3.34%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">雪佛龙</a>涨1.63%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">埃克森美孚</a>涨3.84%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">美国航空</a>涨4.40%。</p><p>2、热门中概股周一收盘涨跌不一 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EM\">怪兽充电</a>涨超24%</p><p>热门中概股周一收盘涨跌不一，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EM\">怪兽充电</a>、人人公司等涨幅居前；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车涨超5%，该公司12月交付10489辆汽车，同比增49.7%。</p><p>其余中概股方面，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOGU\">蘑菇街</a>涨超9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTT\">趣头条</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KXIN\">开心汽车</a>涨超8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATHM\">汽车之家</a>涨近4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KRKR\">36氪</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOUR\">途牛</a>、雾芯科技涨超3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WB\">微博</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOHU\">搜狐</a>、携程涨超2%，$万物<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABCD\">新生</a>(RERE)$涨近2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HUYA\">虎牙</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YY\">欢聚集团</a>、图森未来涨超1%。</p><p>新能源汽车股中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车涨超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>涨近1%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌0.1%。</p><p>3、欧股周一收盘走高 德国DAX30指数涨近1%</p><p>欧洲斯托克50指数1月3日（周一）涨幅0.59%，英国<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LSE.UK\">伦敦证券交易所</a>休市一日。</p><p>德国DAX30指数收盘涨0.90%，法国CAC40指数涨幅0.90%，西班牙IBEX35指数涨0.63%。</p><p>4、OPEC+会议在即 美油周一收高1.2%</p><p>以Helima Croft为首的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RY\">加拿大皇家银行</a>资本市场分析师在周一发表的研究报告中写道：“尽管奥密克戎变异毒株在重要地区的感染数量继续攀升，但由于没有采取广泛的封锁限制，短期内对原油需求的担忧可能会得到控制。”</p><p>纽约商品交易所2月交割的西德克萨斯中质原油（WTI）期货价格上涨87美分，涨幅为1.2%，收于每桶76.08美元。</p><p>5、黄金期货周一收跌1.6% 创两周来最低收盘价</p><p>新年第一天美股与美国国债收益率攀升，使黄金期货价格降至两周来的最低水平。</p><p>Zaner机构分析师在周一的市场评论中写道：“黄金市场正在与导致其在2021年下跌3.6%的负面情绪作斗争。”</p><p>纽约商品交易所2月交割的黄金期货价格下跌28.50美元，跌幅为1.6%，收于每盎司1800.10美元，创12月21日以来的最低收盘价。盘中最低为1798.20美元。</p><p>6、美国国债收益率飙升 市场对美联储加息的预期升温</p><p>美国国债收益率在2022年的第一个交易日飙升，投资者对经济的乐观情绪推高了美股，刺激了公司债券发行，也增强了对美联储今年至少加息3次的预期。</p><p>基准收益率全线攀升，政策敏感的5年期国债收益率领涨，上涨近8个基点至1.34%。2年期国债收益率突破0.79%，为2020年3月以来的最高水平。</p><p>国际宏观</p><p>1、尽管加息预期升温 美国今年首次短期国债招标仍获得2010年来最强需求</p><p>在2022年的第一个交易日，美国国债收益率全线飙升，因为经济乐观情绪升温提振了美国股市，吸引了大量公司债发行，并增强了对美联储今年至少加息3次的预期。</p><p>根据当前的利率期货价格，联邦基金利率目标料在5月份首次上调，预计年底前将上调77个基点。</p><p>Jefferies经济学家Thomas Simons表示，加息预期是热门话题。</p><p>2、美国新增新冠病例数创新高 但检测数据表明实际情况可能严重得多</p><p>根据约翰·霍普金斯大学的数据，过去一周单日新增病例数平均约为405，000例，比美国2021年1月时候的峰值高出60%左右。但各州报告的检测次数仍低于2021年峰值。</p><p>与此同时，PCR检测阳性率为17%，为2020年4月以来最高。</p><p>数据表明omicron肆虐之际很多病例并未被检测到，可能的原因包括人们在家中自己进行快速检测或根本未做检测。</p><p>3、OPEC+势将再度增产 因石油市场供应料比先前预测偏紧</p><p>OPEC+代表称，周二会议有望再次批准每日40万桶的温和增产，重启新冠疫情期间暂时下线的产能。</p><p>在周一举行的初步会议上，OPEC分析师调降一季度石油市场过剩供应预测，因竞争对手供应料将减弱。</p><p>OPEC及其盟友在2020年暂停的产能迄今已恢复大约三分之二。他们正寻求用刚好能满足石油需求复苏的速度恢复剩余产能，避免价格飙升或使市场陷入新的低迷。到目前为止他们取得了理想的效果，国际原油价格接近每桶78美元。</p><p>据可看到的一份报告，OPEC+联合技术委员会目前预测2022年第一季度会有每日140万桶的过剩供应，比一个月前的预测少25%左右。</p><p>该委员会认为，随着“全世界更有能力应对新冠疫情及其带来的挑战，”预计omicron变异毒株带来的影响会是“温和而短暂的”。</p><p>4、美国食药监局：研制专门针对奥密克戎毒株的新冠疫苗并不必要</p><p>当地时间1月3日，美国食品药品监督管理局（FDA）负责评估新冠肺炎疫苗的生物制品评价与研究中心主任彼得·马克斯（Peter Marks）表示，研制专门针对奥密克戎毒株的新冠疫苗可能是没有必要的。</p><p>马克斯称，尽管所有疫苗研发公司正在努力研制针对奥密克戎毒株的特效疫苗，但是随着时间推移，奥密克戎毒株是否会一直作为新冠肺炎疫情的主要流行毒株尚未可知。</p><p>5、埃尔多安货币新政首份“成绩单”：CPI同比飙升36% 创近二十年新高</p><p>当地时间周一，土耳其官方统计研究所发布该国12月CPI数据。在货币新政的刺激下，该国物价指数出现了罕见的环比增长13.58%，将年化通胀率一把拉到惊人的36.08%。</p><p>位于伊斯坦布尔的Spinn咨询创始合伙人Ozlem Derici Sengul接受媒体采访时表示，面对这么紧急的情况，基准利率应当迅速大幅上调，但眼下的土耳其央行不太可能采取动作。</p><p>所以当官方政策对物价的影响（例如最低工资提高50%等）落地后，通胀年化增幅可能在今年三月触及40%-50%。</p><p>6、土耳其命令出口商将25%的收入转换为里拉</p><p>土耳其央行周一在一项法令中表示，出口商一旦收到美元、欧元或英镑的付款，央行将购买其中的25%。</p><p>7、意大利公共管理部长：该国制造业采购经理指数连续18个月增长</p><p>当地时间1月3日，意大利公共管理部长布鲁内塔透露，2021年12月该国制造业采购经理指数为62，已连续18个月稳定在上升区间，预计意大利2021年国内生产总值增长6.3%。</p><p>8、美欧奥密克戎病例“垂直增长”，多国拒绝收紧防疫，外媒：“全球被奥密克戎淹没”</p><p>在过去的一周，美国最高单日新增确诊病例近70万例，再次震动世界。</p><p>在世界最新的新冠肺炎确诊病例或死亡病例排名中，位于前列的大多是美欧国家，这也被称为世界上最令人触目惊心的排名。面对持续恶化的疫情，不少西方国家却意外地放松隔离规定</p><p>公司新闻</p><p>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2200782994\" target=\"_blank\">苹果周一收涨逾2%创历史新高 盘中市值首次突破3万亿美元关口</a></p><p>苹果公司股价周一收盘上涨2.5%，报182.01美元，创历史新高，市值2.98万亿美元。该公司总市值首次突破3万亿美元大关，成为史上首家达到这一里程碑的公司。</p><p>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2200478750\" target=\"_blank\">特斯拉周一收盘大涨逾13% 四季度交付量创纪录</a></p><p>特斯拉股价周一收盘大涨13.53%，报1199.78美元，创下去年3月份以来最大涨幅，市值1.2万亿美元。</p><p>该公司去年第四季度在全球交付了308600辆汽车，创下了这家电动汽车制造商的新纪录，为该公司加入万亿美元市值独家俱乐部的这一年划下圆满的句号。</p><p>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2200427419\" target=\"_blank\">古根海姆：看好耐克进军元宇宙 列为2022年首选股</a></p><p>古根海姆周一将<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">耐克</a>评为2022年的“首选股”。</p><p>分析师Robert Drbul在给客户的一份报告中表示，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">耐克</a>已占据主导地位的市场份额应该会继续增长，因该公司会在新的一年继续扩大在线业务并推出新的鞋类和服装产品。</p><p>他表示，耐克虽然在近期受到全球供应链中断的影响，但该公司仍应能够实现去年6月制定的财务目标。</p><p>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2200420220\" target=\"_blank\">“达利欧接班人”又换了一茬 桥水基金官宣CEO职位更迭</a></p><p>最新的人事变革，也令掌管1500亿美元资产的桥水再度面临接班人问题的审视。</p><p>自从今年已经72岁的达利欧在2011年退出基金的日常管理，专注于投资研究后，直到麦考米克2019年成为单独CEO期间，先后已经有5个人在这个位置上来了又走。</p><p>对于桥水的新管理层而言，最大的难点还是如何提高公司的投资业绩并留住客户。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{"BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4527":"明星科技股",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","AAPL":"苹果","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4515":"5G概念",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129854888","content_text":"昨夜今晨：①美股周一集体收涨，纳指涨1.2%；②OPEC+会议在即，美油周一收高1.2%；③苹果市值首次突破3万亿美元，苹果周一收涨逾2%创历史新高。海外市场1、美股2022年开门红！道指标普齐新高2022年美股的第一个交易日，在开盘一轮快速跳水后，三大股指在权重股带动下集体走高，最终道指、标普500指数再度刷新收盘历史新高。道指涨0.68%，标普500指数涨0.64%，纳指涨1.2%。美国科技龙头今天多数走强。苹果盘中涨约3%，市值短暂突破3万亿美元，去年苹果股价累计上涨34%，是道琼斯工业平均指数涨幅最大的成份股。特斯拉第四季度交付量达创纪录的30.86万辆，超预期。也使得公司全年交付数据定格在93.6万辆。受到利好刺激，特斯拉大涨13.53%，逼近历史高位。亚马逊涨2.21%、谷歌涨0.27%、微软跌0.47%、AMD涨4.41%、英伟达涨2.41%。经济重启概念也在假期后继续上攻，高盛涨3.34%、雪佛龙涨1.63%、埃克森美孚涨3.84%、美国航空涨4.40%。2、热门中概股周一收盘涨跌不一 怪兽充电涨超24%热门中概股周一收盘涨跌不一，怪兽充电、人人公司等涨幅居前；蔚来汽车涨超5%，该公司12月交付10489辆汽车，同比增49.7%。其余中概股方面，蘑菇街涨超9%，趣头条、开心汽车涨超8%，汽车之家涨近4%，36氪、途牛、雾芯科技涨超3%，微博、搜狐、携程涨超2%，$万物新生(RERE)$涨近2%，阿里巴巴、虎牙、欢聚集团、图森未来涨超1%。新能源汽车股中，蔚来汽车涨超5%，理想汽车涨近1%，小鹏汽车跌0.1%。3、欧股周一收盘走高 德国DAX30指数涨近1%欧洲斯托克50指数1月3日（周一）涨幅0.59%，英国伦敦证券交易所休市一日。德国DAX30指数收盘涨0.90%，法国CAC40指数涨幅0.90%，西班牙IBEX35指数涨0.63%。4、OPEC+会议在即 美油周一收高1.2%以Helima Croft为首的加拿大皇家银行资本市场分析师在周一发表的研究报告中写道：“尽管奥密克戎变异毒株在重要地区的感染数量继续攀升，但由于没有采取广泛的封锁限制，短期内对原油需求的担忧可能会得到控制。”纽约商品交易所2月交割的西德克萨斯中质原油（WTI）期货价格上涨87美分，涨幅为1.2%，收于每桶76.08美元。5、黄金期货周一收跌1.6% 创两周来最低收盘价新年第一天美股与美国国债收益率攀升，使黄金期货价格降至两周来的最低水平。Zaner机构分析师在周一的市场评论中写道：“黄金市场正在与导致其在2021年下跌3.6%的负面情绪作斗争。”纽约商品交易所2月交割的黄金期货价格下跌28.50美元，跌幅为1.6%，收于每盎司1800.10美元，创12月21日以来的最低收盘价。盘中最低为1798.20美元。6、美国国债收益率飙升 市场对美联储加息的预期升温美国国债收益率在2022年的第一个交易日飙升，投资者对经济的乐观情绪推高了美股，刺激了公司债券发行，也增强了对美联储今年至少加息3次的预期。基准收益率全线攀升，政策敏感的5年期国债收益率领涨，上涨近8个基点至1.34%。2年期国债收益率突破0.79%，为2020年3月以来的最高水平。国际宏观1、尽管加息预期升温 美国今年首次短期国债招标仍获得2010年来最强需求在2022年的第一个交易日，美国国债收益率全线飙升，因为经济乐观情绪升温提振了美国股市，吸引了大量公司债发行，并增强了对美联储今年至少加息3次的预期。根据当前的利率期货价格，联邦基金利率目标料在5月份首次上调，预计年底前将上调77个基点。Jefferies经济学家Thomas Simons表示，加息预期是热门话题。2、美国新增新冠病例数创新高 但检测数据表明实际情况可能严重得多根据约翰·霍普金斯大学的数据，过去一周单日新增病例数平均约为405，000例，比美国2021年1月时候的峰值高出60%左右。但各州报告的检测次数仍低于2021年峰值。与此同时，PCR检测阳性率为17%，为2020年4月以来最高。数据表明omicron肆虐之际很多病例并未被检测到，可能的原因包括人们在家中自己进行快速检测或根本未做检测。3、OPEC+势将再度增产 因石油市场供应料比先前预测偏紧OPEC+代表称，周二会议有望再次批准每日40万桶的温和增产，重启新冠疫情期间暂时下线的产能。在周一举行的初步会议上，OPEC分析师调降一季度石油市场过剩供应预测，因竞争对手供应料将减弱。OPEC及其盟友在2020年暂停的产能迄今已恢复大约三分之二。他们正寻求用刚好能满足石油需求复苏的速度恢复剩余产能，避免价格飙升或使市场陷入新的低迷。到目前为止他们取得了理想的效果，国际原油价格接近每桶78美元。据可看到的一份报告，OPEC+联合技术委员会目前预测2022年第一季度会有每日140万桶的过剩供应，比一个月前的预测少25%左右。该委员会认为，随着“全世界更有能力应对新冠疫情及其带来的挑战，”预计omicron变异毒株带来的影响会是“温和而短暂的”。4、美国食药监局：研制专门针对奥密克戎毒株的新冠疫苗并不必要当地时间1月3日，美国食品药品监督管理局（FDA）负责评估新冠肺炎疫苗的生物制品评价与研究中心主任彼得·马克斯（Peter Marks）表示，研制专门针对奥密克戎毒株的新冠疫苗可能是没有必要的。马克斯称，尽管所有疫苗研发公司正在努力研制针对奥密克戎毒株的特效疫苗，但是随着时间推移，奥密克戎毒株是否会一直作为新冠肺炎疫情的主要流行毒株尚未可知。5、埃尔多安货币新政首份“成绩单”：CPI同比飙升36% 创近二十年新高当地时间周一，土耳其官方统计研究所发布该国12月CPI数据。在货币新政的刺激下，该国物价指数出现了罕见的环比增长13.58%，将年化通胀率一把拉到惊人的36.08%。位于伊斯坦布尔的Spinn咨询创始合伙人Ozlem Derici Sengul接受媒体采访时表示，面对这么紧急的情况，基准利率应当迅速大幅上调，但眼下的土耳其央行不太可能采取动作。所以当官方政策对物价的影响（例如最低工资提高50%等）落地后，通胀年化增幅可能在今年三月触及40%-50%。6、土耳其命令出口商将25%的收入转换为里拉土耳其央行周一在一项法令中表示，出口商一旦收到美元、欧元或英镑的付款，央行将购买其中的25%。7、意大利公共管理部长：该国制造业采购经理指数连续18个月增长当地时间1月3日，意大利公共管理部长布鲁内塔透露，2021年12月该国制造业采购经理指数为62，已连续18个月稳定在上升区间，预计意大利2021年国内生产总值增长6.3%。8、美欧奥密克戎病例“垂直增长”，多国拒绝收紧防疫，外媒：“全球被奥密克戎淹没”在过去的一周，美国最高单日新增确诊病例近70万例，再次震动世界。在世界最新的新冠肺炎确诊病例或死亡病例排名中，位于前列的大多是美欧国家，这也被称为世界上最令人触目惊心的排名。面对持续恶化的疫情，不少西方国家却意外地放松隔离规定公司新闻1、苹果周一收涨逾2%创历史新高 盘中市值首次突破3万亿美元关口苹果公司股价周一收盘上涨2.5%，报182.01美元，创历史新高，市值2.98万亿美元。该公司总市值首次突破3万亿美元大关，成为史上首家达到这一里程碑的公司。2、特斯拉周一收盘大涨逾13% 四季度交付量创纪录特斯拉股价周一收盘大涨13.53%，报1199.78美元，创下去年3月份以来最大涨幅，市值1.2万亿美元。该公司去年第四季度在全球交付了308600辆汽车，创下了这家电动汽车制造商的新纪录，为该公司加入万亿美元市值独家俱乐部的这一年划下圆满的句号。3、古根海姆：看好耐克进军元宇宙 列为2022年首选股古根海姆周一将耐克评为2022年的“首选股”。分析师Robert Drbul在给客户的一份报告中表示，耐克已占据主导地位的市场份额应该会继续增长，因该公司会在新的一年继续扩大在线业务并推出新的鞋类和服装产品。他表示，耐克虽然在近期受到全球供应链中断的影响，但该公司仍应能够实现去年6月制定的财务目标。4、“达利欧接班人”又换了一茬 桥水基金官宣CEO职位更迭最新的人事变革，也令掌管1500亿美元资产的桥水再度面临接班人问题的审视。自从今年已经72岁的达利欧在2011年退出基金的日常管理，专注于投资研究后，直到麦考米克2019年成为单独CEO期间，先后已经有5个人在这个位置上来了又走。对于桥水的新管理层而言，最大的难点还是如何提高公司的投资业绩并留住客户。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":861,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":803115824,"gmtCreate":1627427889368,"gmtModify":1633765197881,"author":{"id":"3586318198914193","authorId":"3586318198914193","name":"limyt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83ea8035bf2534391a687bd223721c10","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586318198914193","authorIdStr":"3586318198914193"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"以为会升的，结果是跌了下来。事事难料","listText":"以为会升的，结果是跌了下来。事事难料","text":"以为会升的，结果是跌了下来。事事难料","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803115824","repostId":"1148712151","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1083,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":809951723,"gmtCreate":1627345225162,"gmtModify":1633765951855,"author":{"id":"3586318198914193","authorId":"3586318198914193","name":"limyt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83ea8035bf2534391a687bd223721c10","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586318198914193","authorIdStr":"3586318198914193"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我也喜欢苹果手机，所以支持你","listText":"我也喜欢苹果手机，所以支持你","text":"我也喜欢苹果手机，所以支持你","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809951723","repostId":"1100647798","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100647798","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627313442,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100647798?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-26 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Earnings Face High Expectations","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100647798","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"After the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.I'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as we","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Shares go into report near all-time high.</li>\n <li>Estimates surge after two massive beats.</li>\n <li>Timing of product launches will shift revenue picture.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdd5b8fd99a0523d96bf052afd8c1b37\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"988\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>After the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple (AAPL) for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.</p>\n<p>For the first half of fiscal 2021, Apple's revenues have beaten street estimates by an average of $10.25 billion per quarter. The fiscal Q3 current average estimate is $73.44 billion, which would represent growth of more than 23% from the year-ago period. It's quite impressive that the current average is up more than $13 billion over the past year. On the bottom line, the street is looking for $1.01, growth of more than 56%. In the table below, you can see some Q3 key financial items for the past two years, with the current estimates for this year's period in yellow. Dollar values are millions except per share amounts.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df8630a7ef0be70113aeac0d50265a57\" tg-width=\"476\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(*Numbers estimated based on last year's split. Actual numbers to come from the company. Source: Fiscal Q3 2020 report)</span></p>\n<p>Apple is comingoff arguably its best quarter ever. Revenues for the iPhone were up more than 65.5% over the prior-year period, with the Mac up more than 70% and iPad up nearly 79%. Fiscal Q2 overall revenue growth was nearly 54%, so this time around we're looking for about 40% of that figure. Don't forget, on the Q2 conference call, management talked about a $3 billion to $4 billion revenue hit in the June period from supply constraints.</p>\n<p>I'm most curious to see how the iPhone does this time around, as it appears that the 5G supercycle seems to be going pretty well. This year, however, most expectations are that the smartphone will return to its usual September launch period, meaning new phone revenues would be generated in fiscal Q4 again. Last year's coronavirus delayed launch meant sales didn't start until well into October and even November for some models, completely changing the sales trajectory for Apple's current fiscal year. This year's launch isn't expected to see a major upgrade to the phone line itself, so demand trends will probably be more dependent on how many consumers are upgrading to 5G rather than switching to iPhones.</p>\n<p>I'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as well as soaring commodity prices. I don't think we will see a repeat of the 575 basis point increase in product gross margins that Q2 saw this time around, but the iPhone 12 line should still provide a nice year-over-year boost. In the long run, investors will look at growing services margins helping the gross margin percentage overall, but don't forget that the services side of the business has a lot of its expenses on the operating line.</p>\n<p>For the stock to stay elevated, management is going to need to show that work from home and stimulus money tailwinds are still ongoing. As I discussed in a previous article, estimates call for Apple to see quarterly revenues decline for its March 2022 fiscal period, as the company laps very high previous year bars. While that might bring out some of the bears again, the long-term trajectory still seems positive. Current estimates call for $355 billion in total revenue during this fiscal year with Apple adding another $50 billion to that total over the next three years.</p>\n<p>I hope that management took advantage of the weakness in Apple shares during the quarter for its buyback. Even though the company is spending $20 billion or so every three months, that money doesn't go as far as $145 as it does at $125, obviously. Less shares repurchased means less of an earnings per share benefit, and lower long-term dividend raises. The good news is that Apple is on its way towards $100 billion a year in free cash flow, so investors don't need to worry about capital returns slowing down anytime soon.</p>\n<p>The major issue for Apple right now is valuation. Shares finished last week trading at 33.4 times their trailing twelve-month earnings. That's basically double the mid-teens numbers from a couple of years ago, helped a lot by easy-money policies around the globe. My current price target of $162 is based on a 30X multiple of $5.40 in EPS for the September 2022 period. That number, however, assumes that the Fed and other central banks will remain fairly accommodative through most of next year. If we start to get a lot of tapering and or rate hikes earlier than expected, the overall market is likely to feel some pain, and I don't see how Apple would be immune from that.</p>\n<p>A strong report from Apple could easily help shares to rise to a new all-time high. But just to play devil's advocate for a minute, what if there is a disappointment or a \"buy the rumor, sell the news\" reaction? Well, shares are quite a bit above their key moving averages as seen in the chart below (50-day in purple, 200-day in orange). As long as Apple can hold the shorter-term trend line, that rising technical level should be one of support. The stock has been able to hold the long-term trend line for quite a while, so I don't see any more than about 14% downside in the near term unless we get a major market pullback.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc37ee144edb22fd36fcd15cf5fc3470\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"273\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Yahoo! Finance)</span></p>\n<p>In the end, expectations for Apple are very high as earnings approach this week. Two massive quarterly beats have sent estimates through the roof, and the stock has recently run to a new all-time high. The market will be looking for signs that the iPhone supercycle has continued while work from home tailwinds have not subsided just yet. Investors hoping that this rally can continue will need to see a strong report, with management hopefully painting a bright sales picture for upcoming fall product launches.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Earnings Face High Expectations</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Earnings Face High Expectations\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-26 23:30 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441375-apple-earnings-face-high-expectations><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nShares go into report near all-time high.\nEstimates surge after two massive beats.\nTiming of product launches will shift revenue picture.\n\nNikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nAfter the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441375-apple-earnings-face-high-expectations\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441375-apple-earnings-face-high-expectations","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100647798","content_text":"Summary\n\nShares go into report near all-time high.\nEstimates surge after two massive beats.\nTiming of product launches will shift revenue picture.\n\nNikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nAfter the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple (AAPL) for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.\nFor the first half of fiscal 2021, Apple's revenues have beaten street estimates by an average of $10.25 billion per quarter. The fiscal Q3 current average estimate is $73.44 billion, which would represent growth of more than 23% from the year-ago period. It's quite impressive that the current average is up more than $13 billion over the past year. On the bottom line, the street is looking for $1.01, growth of more than 56%. In the table below, you can see some Q3 key financial items for the past two years, with the current estimates for this year's period in yellow. Dollar values are millions except per share amounts.\n(*Numbers estimated based on last year's split. Actual numbers to come from the company. Source: Fiscal Q3 2020 report)\nApple is comingoff arguably its best quarter ever. Revenues for the iPhone were up more than 65.5% over the prior-year period, with the Mac up more than 70% and iPad up nearly 79%. Fiscal Q2 overall revenue growth was nearly 54%, so this time around we're looking for about 40% of that figure. Don't forget, on the Q2 conference call, management talked about a $3 billion to $4 billion revenue hit in the June period from supply constraints.\nI'm most curious to see how the iPhone does this time around, as it appears that the 5G supercycle seems to be going pretty well. This year, however, most expectations are that the smartphone will return to its usual September launch period, meaning new phone revenues would be generated in fiscal Q4 again. Last year's coronavirus delayed launch meant sales didn't start until well into October and even November for some models, completely changing the sales trajectory for Apple's current fiscal year. This year's launch isn't expected to see a major upgrade to the phone line itself, so demand trends will probably be more dependent on how many consumers are upgrading to 5G rather than switching to iPhones.\nI'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as well as soaring commodity prices. I don't think we will see a repeat of the 575 basis point increase in product gross margins that Q2 saw this time around, but the iPhone 12 line should still provide a nice year-over-year boost. In the long run, investors will look at growing services margins helping the gross margin percentage overall, but don't forget that the services side of the business has a lot of its expenses on the operating line.\nFor the stock to stay elevated, management is going to need to show that work from home and stimulus money tailwinds are still ongoing. As I discussed in a previous article, estimates call for Apple to see quarterly revenues decline for its March 2022 fiscal period, as the company laps very high previous year bars. While that might bring out some of the bears again, the long-term trajectory still seems positive. Current estimates call for $355 billion in total revenue during this fiscal year with Apple adding another $50 billion to that total over the next three years.\nI hope that management took advantage of the weakness in Apple shares during the quarter for its buyback. Even though the company is spending $20 billion or so every three months, that money doesn't go as far as $145 as it does at $125, obviously. Less shares repurchased means less of an earnings per share benefit, and lower long-term dividend raises. The good news is that Apple is on its way towards $100 billion a year in free cash flow, so investors don't need to worry about capital returns slowing down anytime soon.\nThe major issue for Apple right now is valuation. Shares finished last week trading at 33.4 times their trailing twelve-month earnings. That's basically double the mid-teens numbers from a couple of years ago, helped a lot by easy-money policies around the globe. My current price target of $162 is based on a 30X multiple of $5.40 in EPS for the September 2022 period. That number, however, assumes that the Fed and other central banks will remain fairly accommodative through most of next year. If we start to get a lot of tapering and or rate hikes earlier than expected, the overall market is likely to feel some pain, and I don't see how Apple would be immune from that.\nA strong report from Apple could easily help shares to rise to a new all-time high. But just to play devil's advocate for a minute, what if there is a disappointment or a \"buy the rumor, sell the news\" reaction? Well, shares are quite a bit above their key moving averages as seen in the chart below (50-day in purple, 200-day in orange). As long as Apple can hold the shorter-term trend line, that rising technical level should be one of support. The stock has been able to hold the long-term trend line for quite a while, so I don't see any more than about 14% downside in the near term unless we get a major market pullback.\n(Source: Yahoo! Finance)\nIn the end, expectations for Apple are very high as earnings approach this week. Two massive quarterly beats have sent estimates through the roof, and the stock has recently run to a new all-time high. The market will be looking for signs that the iPhone supercycle has continued while work from home tailwinds have not subsided just yet. Investors hoping that this rally can continue will need to see a strong report, with management hopefully painting a bright sales picture for upcoming fall product launches.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":703,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":177673065,"gmtCreate":1627217017357,"gmtModify":1633767107800,"author":{"id":"3586318198914193","authorId":"3586318198914193","name":"limyt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83ea8035bf2534391a687bd223721c10","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586318198914193","authorIdStr":"3586318198914193"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"有可能， 谁都不知道以后会怎样。","listText":"有可能， 谁都不知道以后会怎样。","text":"有可能， 谁都不知道以后会怎样。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177673065","repostId":"2153936352","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153936352","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1627180340,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2153936352?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-25 10:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Square Be Worth More Than PayPal by 2025?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153936352","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Could the ambitious fintech company overtake the market leader?","content":"<p><b>Square</b> (NYSE:SQ) and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a></b> (NASDAQ:PYPL) have both generated massive returns for patient investors over the past few years. Square went public at $9 per share in late 2015, and it's now trading at around $260. PayPal, which was spun off from<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a> </b>(NASDAQ:EBAY) earlier that year, has advanced more than 720% since its debut to over $300 per share.</p>\n<p>Square is worth nearly $120 billion as of this writing, while PayPal is worth over $350 billion. That isn't surprising, since PayPal still serves a much larger audience and operates in more countries than Square. But gazing into the future, could Square eventually match -- or even surpass -- PayPal's valuation by 2025? Let's examine both fintech companies' growth trajectories and valuations to find out.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3384d45efb17ed54b398c7dbcc043fb\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2><b>Wild ambitions vs. stable growth</b></h2>\n<p>Square and PayPal's core business models are similar. Both companies charge businesses flat fees, which vary by platform and transaction type, to process payments. Both companies offer small business loans. Square's Cash App and PayPal's Venmo both enable consumers to make peer-to-peer payments, and both companies provide branded debit cards that are linked to users' online accounts.</p>\n<p>But Square has been willing to take bolder risks than PayPal over the past few years. It expanded its services ecosystem with online payroll management services and analytics tools, and recently launched a full suite of online banking services. Square also added <b>Bitcoin</b> (CRYPTO:BTC) purchases to its Cash App in 2018, added free stock trades to the app to challenge Robinhood in 2019, and plans to add Credit Karma's tax filing services to its ecosystem in the near future.</p>\n<p>PayPal only started offering cryptocurrency trades last October, and it doesn't have any near-term plans to launch stock trading tools or dedicated tax filing services, or expand into a full-blown online bank like Square. Simply put, Square seems to have wilder and grander ambitions than PayPal.</p>\n<h2>Which company is growing faster?</h2>\n<p>Between 2015 and 2020, Square grew its annual revenue at a CAGR of 49.6%. Excluding its massive gain in Bitcoin revenue last year, it would still have grown its revenue at a CAGR of 31.2% over the past five years. PayPal's annual revenue grew at a CAGR of 18.5% between 2015 and 2020. Let's take a look at Wall Street's expectations for both companies over the next two years.</p>\n<table border=\"1\" width=\"600\">\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n <th width=\"118\"><p>Company</p></th>\n <th width=\"213\"><p>Estimated Sales Growth (FY 2021)</p></th>\n <th width=\"225\"><p>Estimated Sales Growth(FY 2022)</p></th>\n </tr>\n <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n <td width=\"118\"><p><b>Square</b></p></td>\n <td width=\"213\"><p>110.6%</p></td>\n <td width=\"225\"><p>14.1%</p></td>\n </tr>\n <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n <td width=\"118\"><p><b>PayPal</b></p></td>\n <td width=\"213\"><p>20.6%</p></td>\n <td width=\"225\"><p>21.5%</p></td>\n </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: Yahoo Finance, July 22.</p>\n<p>Analysts expect Square's Bitcoin revenue to continue rising this year before cooling off next year. They also expect its growth in transaction-based and seller service revenue, which slowed down during the pandemic, to recover as more businesses reopen. The Cash App, which grew its monthly active users 50% to 36 million in 2020, should also keep expanding as Square adds new services.</p>\n<p>Cathie Wood's ARK Invest expects Square's transaction-based and seller service revenues to grow at a CAGR of 19% through 2025. It also expects the Cash App's MAUs to more than double to 75 million, for Square to monetize roughly 40% of those users, and for its average revenue per Cash App user to grow from $25 in 2019 to $260 in 2025 -- which would represent a whopping CAGR of 49%.</p>\n<p>PayPal's growth should remain more predictable, since it doesn't generate significant revenue from cryptocurrencies yet. Instead, it will mainly rely on its growth in active accounts, which rose 21% year-over-year to 392 million last quarter, to generate stable revenue from its processing fees.</p>\n<p>PayPal expects to nearly double its active accounts to 750 million and <i>more than double</i> its annual revenue to over $50 billion by 2025. It also plans to grow its earnings at a CAGR of 22% from 2020 to 2025. It believes the rising acceptance of QR codes and NFC payments, the expansion of its financial services, and higher engagement rates for its apps will all drive that long-term growth.</p>\n<h2>Will Square be worth more than PayPal by 2025?</h2>\n<p>In a best-case scenario, ARK Invest believes Square's stock could hit $500 per share by 2025 if it hits its growth targets. But unlike PayPal, Square hasn't provided any concrete targets of its own yet.</p>\n<p>If Square hits $500 and its valuations hold steady, it could be worth just over $200 billion by 2025. Meanwhile, if PayPal achieves its goals of more than doubling its annual revenue and growing its EPS at a CAGR of 22% through 2025, its stock could easily double and boost its market cap to $700 billion.</p>\n<p>Therefore, it's doubtful that Square -- which already trades at higher valuations than PayPal -- will be the more valuable company by 2025. But that doesn't mean PayPal is necessarily a better growth stock than Square. I personally own Square instead of PayPal, because I admire its ambitious and forward-thinking strategies. Both stocks are still great long-term investments on the booming fintech market, so investors shouldn't fret too much over which company has the higher market cap.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Square Be Worth More Than PayPal by 2025?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Square Be Worth More Than PayPal by 2025?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-25 10:32 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/24/will-square-be-worth-more-than-paypal-by-2025/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Square (NYSE:SQ) and PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) have both generated massive returns for patient investors over the past few years. Square went public at $9 per share in late 2015, and it's now trading at ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/24/will-square-be-worth-more-than-paypal-by-2025/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SQ":"Block","PYPL":"PayPal"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/24/will-square-be-worth-more-than-paypal-by-2025/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153936352","content_text":"Square (NYSE:SQ) and PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) have both generated massive returns for patient investors over the past few years. Square went public at $9 per share in late 2015, and it's now trading at around $260. PayPal, which was spun off from eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY) earlier that year, has advanced more than 720% since its debut to over $300 per share.\nSquare is worth nearly $120 billion as of this writing, while PayPal is worth over $350 billion. That isn't surprising, since PayPal still serves a much larger audience and operates in more countries than Square. But gazing into the future, could Square eventually match -- or even surpass -- PayPal's valuation by 2025? Let's examine both fintech companies' growth trajectories and valuations to find out.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nWild ambitions vs. stable growth\nSquare and PayPal's core business models are similar. Both companies charge businesses flat fees, which vary by platform and transaction type, to process payments. Both companies offer small business loans. Square's Cash App and PayPal's Venmo both enable consumers to make peer-to-peer payments, and both companies provide branded debit cards that are linked to users' online accounts.\nBut Square has been willing to take bolder risks than PayPal over the past few years. It expanded its services ecosystem with online payroll management services and analytics tools, and recently launched a full suite of online banking services. Square also added Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) purchases to its Cash App in 2018, added free stock trades to the app to challenge Robinhood in 2019, and plans to add Credit Karma's tax filing services to its ecosystem in the near future.\nPayPal only started offering cryptocurrency trades last October, and it doesn't have any near-term plans to launch stock trading tools or dedicated tax filing services, or expand into a full-blown online bank like Square. Simply put, Square seems to have wilder and grander ambitions than PayPal.\nWhich company is growing faster?\nBetween 2015 and 2020, Square grew its annual revenue at a CAGR of 49.6%. Excluding its massive gain in Bitcoin revenue last year, it would still have grown its revenue at a CAGR of 31.2% over the past five years. PayPal's annual revenue grew at a CAGR of 18.5% between 2015 and 2020. Let's take a look at Wall Street's expectations for both companies over the next two years.\n\n\n\n\nCompany\nEstimated Sales Growth (FY 2021)\nEstimated Sales Growth(FY 2022)\n\n\nSquare\n110.6%\n14.1%\n\n\nPayPal\n20.6%\n21.5%\n\n\n\nSource: Yahoo Finance, July 22.\nAnalysts expect Square's Bitcoin revenue to continue rising this year before cooling off next year. They also expect its growth in transaction-based and seller service revenue, which slowed down during the pandemic, to recover as more businesses reopen. The Cash App, which grew its monthly active users 50% to 36 million in 2020, should also keep expanding as Square adds new services.\nCathie Wood's ARK Invest expects Square's transaction-based and seller service revenues to grow at a CAGR of 19% through 2025. It also expects the Cash App's MAUs to more than double to 75 million, for Square to monetize roughly 40% of those users, and for its average revenue per Cash App user to grow from $25 in 2019 to $260 in 2025 -- which would represent a whopping CAGR of 49%.\nPayPal's growth should remain more predictable, since it doesn't generate significant revenue from cryptocurrencies yet. Instead, it will mainly rely on its growth in active accounts, which rose 21% year-over-year to 392 million last quarter, to generate stable revenue from its processing fees.\nPayPal expects to nearly double its active accounts to 750 million and more than double its annual revenue to over $50 billion by 2025. It also plans to grow its earnings at a CAGR of 22% from 2020 to 2025. It believes the rising acceptance of QR codes and NFC payments, the expansion of its financial services, and higher engagement rates for its apps will all drive that long-term growth.\nWill Square be worth more than PayPal by 2025?\nIn a best-case scenario, ARK Invest believes Square's stock could hit $500 per share by 2025 if it hits its growth targets. But unlike PayPal, Square hasn't provided any concrete targets of its own yet.\nIf Square hits $500 and its valuations hold steady, it could be worth just over $200 billion by 2025. Meanwhile, if PayPal achieves its goals of more than doubling its annual revenue and growing its EPS at a CAGR of 22% through 2025, its stock could easily double and boost its market cap to $700 billion.\nTherefore, it's doubtful that Square -- which already trades at higher valuations than PayPal -- will be the more valuable company by 2025. But that doesn't mean PayPal is necessarily a better growth stock than Square. I personally own Square instead of PayPal, because I admire its ambitious and forward-thinking strategies. Both stocks are still great long-term investments on the booming fintech market, so investors shouldn't fret too much over which company has the higher market cap.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":870,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":177645326,"gmtCreate":1627216109265,"gmtModify":1633767111589,"author":{"id":"3586318198914193","authorId":"3586318198914193","name":"limyt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83ea8035bf2534391a687bd223721c10","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586318198914193","authorIdStr":"3586318198914193"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"事事难料，什么事都有可能发生","listText":"事事难料，什么事都有可能发生","text":"事事难料，什么事都有可能发生","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177645326","repostId":"1115106146","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115106146","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627182277,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1115106146?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-25 11:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Netflix Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2030?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115106146","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Will the streaming leader join the 12-zero club within the next decade?","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Netflix is the FAANG stock with the smallest market cap.</li>\n <li>It will face tough competition over the next decade.</li>\n <li>Its chances of joining the trillion-dollar club by 2030 are slim.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Netflix</b>(NASDAQ:NFLX)represents the \"N\" in the FAANG cohort of top tech companies, which also include <b>Facebook</b>,<b>Amazon</b>,<b>Apple</b>, and Google's parent company <b>Alphabet</b>.</p>\n<p>But with a market cap of $236 billion, Netflix is also much smaller than its four FAANG peers. Apple is worth more than $2 trillion, Amazon and Alphabet are both worth over $1 trillion, and Facebook has a market cap of $955 billion. Could Netflix also join the 12-zero club within the next ten years?</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a68592db9e2c6f47c122855a95129a4c\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1095\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: NETFLIX.</span></p>\n<p><b>The story thus far...</b></p>\n<p>Netflix has reinvented itself several times since it was founded in 1997. It initially offered DVD rentals by mail, then expanded that model into a subscription service, and accumulated five million members by 2006.</p>\n<p>Netflix launched its first streaming platform in 2007, which was subsequently offered on gaming consoles, set-top boxes, and Blu-ray players. It also launched its service internationally.</p>\n<p>That expansion boosted Netflix's audience to 25 million members by 2012. A year later it launched its first slate of original shows -- including <i>Orange is the New Blac</i>k,<i>House of Cards</i>, and <i>Hemlock Grove</i>-- to lock in its subscribers and reduce its dependence on licensed content.</p>\n<p>Netflix hit 50 million members in 2014, 100 million members in 2017, and 209.2 million members in its latest quarter. That massive audience makes it the world's largest paid video streaming platform.</p>\n<p>Between 2010 and 2020, Netflix's annual revenue rose from $2.16 billion to $25.0 billion. Its net income surged from $161 million to $2.76 billion.</p>\n<p><b>The challenges ahead...</b></p>\n<p>Netflix still enjoys a first-mover's advantage in premium streaming videos, but it currently faces a growing list of formidable competitors. The biggest threat is <b>Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS), which owns a massive portfolio of first-party content and offers its services at lower prices than Netflix.</p>\n<p>Disney+, the company's flagship platform, has already accumulated nearly 104 million subscribers since its launch in late 2019. By comparison, it took Netflix's streaming platform<i>ten years</i>to hit 100 million subscribers. Disney expects Disney+ to reach 230 million to 260 million subscribers by the end of fiscal 2024.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63d16de9232c81308fb95b1bfeeab68e\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p>\n<p>Disney also owns Hulu and ESPN+, which served 41.6 million and 13.8 million subscribers, respectively, last quarter. Hulu hosts more mature content than Disney+, while ESPN+ streams live sports -- a frequently requested feature that Netflix still doesn't offer.</p>\n<p>Other challengers include Amazon's Prime Video,<b>AT&T</b>'s HBO Max, Apple TV+, and stand-alone streaming services from traditional TV networks. This ongoing fragmentation of the streaming market could limit Netflix's pricing power, make it more difficult to gain new subscribers, and force it to spend even more money on expensive original shows and movies to retain its existing audience.</p>\n<p>Netflix has already been exploring new ways to differentiate its platform. It's licensing more anime content and expanding its children's programming, and it even launched an online store to sell tie-in merchandise. It's also planning to expand into video games by offering free mobile games to subscribers.</p>\n<p><b>The road to $1 trillion</b></p>\n<p>Netflix's stock has rallied about 1,200% over the past decade. But to cross the $1 trillion mark, it needs to more than quadruple in value.</p>\n<p>Analysts expect Netflix's revenue to rise 19% to $29.7 billion this year, then grow 15% to $34.2 billion next year. Netflix's growth will likely decelerate afterwards, for two simple reasons: It's saturating its developed markets like the U.S., and it faces too much competition around the world.</p>\n<p>But let's assume Netflix continues to roll out compelling original content, locks in more users with niche content like anime, and expands its digital ecosystem with video games and online merchandise.</p>\n<p>If Netflix's revenue growth meets analysts' expectations for the next two years and continues growing at an average rate of 10% from 2023 to 2030, it could generate $73.3 billion in annual revenue by the final year. If Netflix is still trading at about eight times sales, it would be worth nearly $600 billion.</p>\n<p>If Netflix grows it revenue at an average rate of 15% from 2023 to 2020, it would generate $104.6 billion in annual revenue by the final year. At eight times sales, it would still fall short of the $1 trillion mark.</p>\n<p>But Netflix's price-to-sales ratio will likely decline if investors think its high-growth days are over, which would result in much lower market caps. Investors should take a look at Netflix's Chinese counterpart <b>iQiyi</b>, which trades at just two times this year's sales and about 30% below its IPO price, to see what happens when a high-growth streaming video platform loses its momentum.</p>\n<p><b>The key takeaways</b></p>\n<p>Netflix's growth over the past decade has been stellar, but much of its success can be attributed to its first-mover's advantage in the streaming market. However, that advantage will likely fade over the next decade as competitors like Disney carve up the market. Netflix should keep growing over the next decade, but its chances of joining its FAANG peers in the trillion-dollar club by 2030 are slim.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Netflix Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2030?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Netflix Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2030?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-25 11:04 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/24/will-netflix-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2030/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Key Points\n\nNetflix is the FAANG stock with the smallest market cap.\nIt will face tough competition over the next decade.\nIts chances of joining the trillion-dollar club by 2030 are slim.\n\nNetflix(...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/24/will-netflix-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2030/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/24/will-netflix-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2030/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115106146","content_text":"Key Points\n\nNetflix is the FAANG stock with the smallest market cap.\nIt will face tough competition over the next decade.\nIts chances of joining the trillion-dollar club by 2030 are slim.\n\nNetflix(NASDAQ:NFLX)represents the \"N\" in the FAANG cohort of top tech companies, which also include Facebook,Amazon,Apple, and Google's parent company Alphabet.\nBut with a market cap of $236 billion, Netflix is also much smaller than its four FAANG peers. Apple is worth more than $2 trillion, Amazon and Alphabet are both worth over $1 trillion, and Facebook has a market cap of $955 billion. Could Netflix also join the 12-zero club within the next ten years?\nIMAGE SOURCE: NETFLIX.\nThe story thus far...\nNetflix has reinvented itself several times since it was founded in 1997. It initially offered DVD rentals by mail, then expanded that model into a subscription service, and accumulated five million members by 2006.\nNetflix launched its first streaming platform in 2007, which was subsequently offered on gaming consoles, set-top boxes, and Blu-ray players. It also launched its service internationally.\nThat expansion boosted Netflix's audience to 25 million members by 2012. A year later it launched its first slate of original shows -- including Orange is the New Black,House of Cards, and Hemlock Grove-- to lock in its subscribers and reduce its dependence on licensed content.\nNetflix hit 50 million members in 2014, 100 million members in 2017, and 209.2 million members in its latest quarter. That massive audience makes it the world's largest paid video streaming platform.\nBetween 2010 and 2020, Netflix's annual revenue rose from $2.16 billion to $25.0 billion. Its net income surged from $161 million to $2.76 billion.\nThe challenges ahead...\nNetflix still enjoys a first-mover's advantage in premium streaming videos, but it currently faces a growing list of formidable competitors. The biggest threat is Disney(NYSE:DIS), which owns a massive portfolio of first-party content and offers its services at lower prices than Netflix.\nDisney+, the company's flagship platform, has already accumulated nearly 104 million subscribers since its launch in late 2019. By comparison, it took Netflix's streaming platformten yearsto hit 100 million subscribers. Disney expects Disney+ to reach 230 million to 260 million subscribers by the end of fiscal 2024.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nDisney also owns Hulu and ESPN+, which served 41.6 million and 13.8 million subscribers, respectively, last quarter. Hulu hosts more mature content than Disney+, while ESPN+ streams live sports -- a frequently requested feature that Netflix still doesn't offer.\nOther challengers include Amazon's Prime Video,AT&T's HBO Max, Apple TV+, and stand-alone streaming services from traditional TV networks. This ongoing fragmentation of the streaming market could limit Netflix's pricing power, make it more difficult to gain new subscribers, and force it to spend even more money on expensive original shows and movies to retain its existing audience.\nNetflix has already been exploring new ways to differentiate its platform. It's licensing more anime content and expanding its children's programming, and it even launched an online store to sell tie-in merchandise. It's also planning to expand into video games by offering free mobile games to subscribers.\nThe road to $1 trillion\nNetflix's stock has rallied about 1,200% over the past decade. But to cross the $1 trillion mark, it needs to more than quadruple in value.\nAnalysts expect Netflix's revenue to rise 19% to $29.7 billion this year, then grow 15% to $34.2 billion next year. Netflix's growth will likely decelerate afterwards, for two simple reasons: It's saturating its developed markets like the U.S., and it faces too much competition around the world.\nBut let's assume Netflix continues to roll out compelling original content, locks in more users with niche content like anime, and expands its digital ecosystem with video games and online merchandise.\nIf Netflix's revenue growth meets analysts' expectations for the next two years and continues growing at an average rate of 10% from 2023 to 2030, it could generate $73.3 billion in annual revenue by the final year. If Netflix is still trading at about eight times sales, it would be worth nearly $600 billion.\nIf Netflix grows it revenue at an average rate of 15% from 2023 to 2020, it would generate $104.6 billion in annual revenue by the final year. At eight times sales, it would still fall short of the $1 trillion mark.\nBut Netflix's price-to-sales ratio will likely decline if investors think its high-growth days are over, which would result in much lower market caps. Investors should take a look at Netflix's Chinese counterpart iQiyi, which trades at just two times this year's sales and about 30% below its IPO price, to see what happens when a high-growth streaming video platform loses its momentum.\nThe key takeaways\nNetflix's growth over the past decade has been stellar, but much of its success can be attributed to its first-mover's advantage in the streaming market. However, that advantage will likely fade over the next decade as competitors like Disney carve up the market. Netflix should keep growing over the next decade, but its chances of joining its FAANG peers in the trillion-dollar club by 2030 are slim.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":843,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":172748927,"gmtCreate":1626996412469,"gmtModify":1633769048635,"author":{"id":"3586318198914193","authorId":"3586318198914193","name":"limyt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83ea8035bf2534391a687bd223721c10","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586318198914193","authorIdStr":"3586318198914193"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"节节攀升，去到70","listText":"节节攀升，去到70","text":"节节攀升，去到70","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172748927","repostId":"2153608165","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153608165","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1626995460,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2153608165?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-23 07:11","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Twitter earnings show big, unexpected growth and propel stock higher","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153608165","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Twitter added 7 million new active users, ad revenue hit $1 billion in second quarter.\nTwitter Inc. ","content":"<p>Twitter added 7 million new active users, ad revenue hit $1 billion in second quarter.</p>\n<p>Twitter Inc. shares rose sharply in late trading Thursday, after the company reported that it added 7 million more daily active users from the previous quarter and its revenue increased 74%.</p>\n<p>Twitter (TWTR) shares once climbed more than 6% higher after hours, after ending the regular session at $69.57, an increase of less than 1%.</p>\n<p>In a letter to investors, the San Francisco-based company said it saw \"better-than-expected performance across all major products and geographies\" in the second quarter. Revenue rose to $1.19 billion from $683.4 million in the year-ago quarter, with ad revenue soaring to $1.05 billion, an increase of 87% year over year.</p>\n<p>The microblogging company reported net income of $65.6 million, or 8 cents a share, compared with a loss of $1.38 billion, or $1.75 a share, in the year-ago period that saw COVID 19-related adjustments. This year's second-quarter earnings included adjustments for stock-based compensation and other costs.</p>\n<p>Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast adjusted earnings of 7 cents a share on revenue of $1.06 billion, including ad revenue of $926 million.</p>\n<p>Twitter expects third-quarter GAAP operating income to be between a loss of $50 million and break even on revenue of $1.22 billion to $1.3 billion. Analysts on average had expected revenue of $1.17 billion, according to FactSet.</p>\n<p>The report portends well for other ad-based social-media companies, as does another report that landed after the market closed Thursday, from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap Inc</a>., which also reported strong growth. Shares of the company's much bigger competitors, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc. (FB) and Google parent Alphabet Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a>(GOOGL), also rose after-hours, with Facebook increasing nearly 3% and Alphabet gaining nearly 1% ahead of their earnings reports next week.</p>\n<p>Twitter stock has risen nearly 29% year to date and is up about 81% in the past year. By comparison, the S&P 500 index has climbed 16% so far this year, and 35% in the past 52 weeks.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Twitter earnings show big, unexpected growth and propel stock higher</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTwitter earnings show big, unexpected growth and propel stock higher\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-23 07:11</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Twitter added 7 million new active users, ad revenue hit $1 billion in second quarter.</p>\n<p>Twitter Inc. shares rose sharply in late trading Thursday, after the company reported that it added 7 million more daily active users from the previous quarter and its revenue increased 74%.</p>\n<p>Twitter (TWTR) shares once climbed more than 6% higher after hours, after ending the regular session at $69.57, an increase of less than 1%.</p>\n<p>In a letter to investors, the San Francisco-based company said it saw \"better-than-expected performance across all major products and geographies\" in the second quarter. Revenue rose to $1.19 billion from $683.4 million in the year-ago quarter, with ad revenue soaring to $1.05 billion, an increase of 87% year over year.</p>\n<p>The microblogging company reported net income of $65.6 million, or 8 cents a share, compared with a loss of $1.38 billion, or $1.75 a share, in the year-ago period that saw COVID 19-related adjustments. This year's second-quarter earnings included adjustments for stock-based compensation and other costs.</p>\n<p>Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast adjusted earnings of 7 cents a share on revenue of $1.06 billion, including ad revenue of $926 million.</p>\n<p>Twitter expects third-quarter GAAP operating income to be between a loss of $50 million and break even on revenue of $1.22 billion to $1.3 billion. Analysts on average had expected revenue of $1.17 billion, according to FactSet.</p>\n<p>The report portends well for other ad-based social-media companies, as does another report that landed after the market closed Thursday, from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap Inc</a>., which also reported strong growth. Shares of the company's much bigger competitors, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc. (FB) and Google parent Alphabet Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a>(GOOGL), also rose after-hours, with Facebook increasing nearly 3% and Alphabet gaining nearly 1% ahead of their earnings reports next week.</p>\n<p>Twitter stock has risen nearly 29% year to date and is up about 81% in the past year. By comparison, the S&P 500 index has climbed 16% so far this year, and 35% in the past 52 weeks.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TWTR":"Twitter","GOOG":"谷歌","SNAP":"Snap Inc","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153608165","content_text":"Twitter added 7 million new active users, ad revenue hit $1 billion in second quarter.\nTwitter Inc. shares rose sharply in late trading Thursday, after the company reported that it added 7 million more daily active users from the previous quarter and its revenue increased 74%.\nTwitter (TWTR) shares once climbed more than 6% higher after hours, after ending the regular session at $69.57, an increase of less than 1%.\nIn a letter to investors, the San Francisco-based company said it saw \"better-than-expected performance across all major products and geographies\" in the second quarter. Revenue rose to $1.19 billion from $683.4 million in the year-ago quarter, with ad revenue soaring to $1.05 billion, an increase of 87% year over year.\nThe microblogging company reported net income of $65.6 million, or 8 cents a share, compared with a loss of $1.38 billion, or $1.75 a share, in the year-ago period that saw COVID 19-related adjustments. This year's second-quarter earnings included adjustments for stock-based compensation and other costs.\nAnalysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast adjusted earnings of 7 cents a share on revenue of $1.06 billion, including ad revenue of $926 million.\nTwitter expects third-quarter GAAP operating income to be between a loss of $50 million and break even on revenue of $1.22 billion to $1.3 billion. Analysts on average had expected revenue of $1.17 billion, according to FactSet.\nThe report portends well for other ad-based social-media companies, as does another report that landed after the market closed Thursday, from Snap Inc., which also reported strong growth. Shares of the company's much bigger competitors, Facebook Inc. (FB) and Google parent Alphabet Inc. $(GOOGL)$(GOOGL), also rose after-hours, with Facebook increasing nearly 3% and Alphabet gaining nearly 1% ahead of their earnings reports next week.\nTwitter stock has risen nearly 29% year to date and is up about 81% in the past year. By comparison, the S&P 500 index has climbed 16% so far this year, and 35% in the past 52 weeks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":803115824,"gmtCreate":1627427889368,"gmtModify":1633765197881,"author":{"id":"3586318198914193","authorId":"3586318198914193","name":"limyt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83ea8035bf2534391a687bd223721c10","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586318198914193","authorIdStr":"3586318198914193"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"以为会升的，结果是跌了下来。事事难料","listText":"以为会升的，结果是跌了下来。事事难料","text":"以为会升的，结果是跌了下来。事事难料","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803115824","repostId":"1148712151","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1083,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":809951723,"gmtCreate":1627345225162,"gmtModify":1633765951855,"author":{"id":"3586318198914193","authorId":"3586318198914193","name":"limyt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83ea8035bf2534391a687bd223721c10","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586318198914193","authorIdStr":"3586318198914193"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我也喜欢苹果手机，所以支持你","listText":"我也喜欢苹果手机，所以支持你","text":"我也喜欢苹果手机，所以支持你","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809951723","repostId":"1100647798","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100647798","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627313442,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100647798?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-26 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Earnings Face High Expectations","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100647798","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"After the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.I'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as we","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Shares go into report near all-time high.</li>\n <li>Estimates surge after two massive beats.</li>\n <li>Timing of product launches will shift revenue picture.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdd5b8fd99a0523d96bf052afd8c1b37\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"988\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>After the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple (AAPL) for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.</p>\n<p>For the first half of fiscal 2021, Apple's revenues have beaten street estimates by an average of $10.25 billion per quarter. The fiscal Q3 current average estimate is $73.44 billion, which would represent growth of more than 23% from the year-ago period. It's quite impressive that the current average is up more than $13 billion over the past year. On the bottom line, the street is looking for $1.01, growth of more than 56%. In the table below, you can see some Q3 key financial items for the past two years, with the current estimates for this year's period in yellow. Dollar values are millions except per share amounts.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df8630a7ef0be70113aeac0d50265a57\" tg-width=\"476\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(*Numbers estimated based on last year's split. Actual numbers to come from the company. Source: Fiscal Q3 2020 report)</span></p>\n<p>Apple is comingoff arguably its best quarter ever. Revenues for the iPhone were up more than 65.5% over the prior-year period, with the Mac up more than 70% and iPad up nearly 79%. Fiscal Q2 overall revenue growth was nearly 54%, so this time around we're looking for about 40% of that figure. Don't forget, on the Q2 conference call, management talked about a $3 billion to $4 billion revenue hit in the June period from supply constraints.</p>\n<p>I'm most curious to see how the iPhone does this time around, as it appears that the 5G supercycle seems to be going pretty well. This year, however, most expectations are that the smartphone will return to its usual September launch period, meaning new phone revenues would be generated in fiscal Q4 again. Last year's coronavirus delayed launch meant sales didn't start until well into October and even November for some models, completely changing the sales trajectory for Apple's current fiscal year. This year's launch isn't expected to see a major upgrade to the phone line itself, so demand trends will probably be more dependent on how many consumers are upgrading to 5G rather than switching to iPhones.</p>\n<p>I'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as well as soaring commodity prices. I don't think we will see a repeat of the 575 basis point increase in product gross margins that Q2 saw this time around, but the iPhone 12 line should still provide a nice year-over-year boost. In the long run, investors will look at growing services margins helping the gross margin percentage overall, but don't forget that the services side of the business has a lot of its expenses on the operating line.</p>\n<p>For the stock to stay elevated, management is going to need to show that work from home and stimulus money tailwinds are still ongoing. As I discussed in a previous article, estimates call for Apple to see quarterly revenues decline for its March 2022 fiscal period, as the company laps very high previous year bars. While that might bring out some of the bears again, the long-term trajectory still seems positive. Current estimates call for $355 billion in total revenue during this fiscal year with Apple adding another $50 billion to that total over the next three years.</p>\n<p>I hope that management took advantage of the weakness in Apple shares during the quarter for its buyback. Even though the company is spending $20 billion or so every three months, that money doesn't go as far as $145 as it does at $125, obviously. Less shares repurchased means less of an earnings per share benefit, and lower long-term dividend raises. The good news is that Apple is on its way towards $100 billion a year in free cash flow, so investors don't need to worry about capital returns slowing down anytime soon.</p>\n<p>The major issue for Apple right now is valuation. Shares finished last week trading at 33.4 times their trailing twelve-month earnings. That's basically double the mid-teens numbers from a couple of years ago, helped a lot by easy-money policies around the globe. My current price target of $162 is based on a 30X multiple of $5.40 in EPS for the September 2022 period. That number, however, assumes that the Fed and other central banks will remain fairly accommodative through most of next year. If we start to get a lot of tapering and or rate hikes earlier than expected, the overall market is likely to feel some pain, and I don't see how Apple would be immune from that.</p>\n<p>A strong report from Apple could easily help shares to rise to a new all-time high. But just to play devil's advocate for a minute, what if there is a disappointment or a \"buy the rumor, sell the news\" reaction? Well, shares are quite a bit above their key moving averages as seen in the chart below (50-day in purple, 200-day in orange). As long as Apple can hold the shorter-term trend line, that rising technical level should be one of support. The stock has been able to hold the long-term trend line for quite a while, so I don't see any more than about 14% downside in the near term unless we get a major market pullback.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc37ee144edb22fd36fcd15cf5fc3470\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"273\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Yahoo! Finance)</span></p>\n<p>In the end, expectations for Apple are very high as earnings approach this week. Two massive quarterly beats have sent estimates through the roof, and the stock has recently run to a new all-time high. The market will be looking for signs that the iPhone supercycle has continued while work from home tailwinds have not subsided just yet. Investors hoping that this rally can continue will need to see a strong report, with management hopefully painting a bright sales picture for upcoming fall product launches.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Earnings Face High Expectations</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Earnings Face High Expectations\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-26 23:30 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441375-apple-earnings-face-high-expectations><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nShares go into report near all-time high.\nEstimates surge after two massive beats.\nTiming of product launches will shift revenue picture.\n\nNikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nAfter the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441375-apple-earnings-face-high-expectations\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441375-apple-earnings-face-high-expectations","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100647798","content_text":"Summary\n\nShares go into report near all-time high.\nEstimates surge after two massive beats.\nTiming of product launches will shift revenue picture.\n\nNikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nAfter the bell on Tuesday, we'll receive fiscal third quarter results from technology giant Apple (AAPL) for its June ending period. With the company's previous two quarterly earnings reports smashing street estimates, it's not really a surprise that expectations have continued to rise. With shares rallying in recent weeks to new all-time highs, another strong report will likely be needed to keep things going.\nFor the first half of fiscal 2021, Apple's revenues have beaten street estimates by an average of $10.25 billion per quarter. The fiscal Q3 current average estimate is $73.44 billion, which would represent growth of more than 23% from the year-ago period. It's quite impressive that the current average is up more than $13 billion over the past year. On the bottom line, the street is looking for $1.01, growth of more than 56%. In the table below, you can see some Q3 key financial items for the past two years, with the current estimates for this year's period in yellow. Dollar values are millions except per share amounts.\n(*Numbers estimated based on last year's split. Actual numbers to come from the company. Source: Fiscal Q3 2020 report)\nApple is comingoff arguably its best quarter ever. Revenues for the iPhone were up more than 65.5% over the prior-year period, with the Mac up more than 70% and iPad up nearly 79%. Fiscal Q2 overall revenue growth was nearly 54%, so this time around we're looking for about 40% of that figure. Don't forget, on the Q2 conference call, management talked about a $3 billion to $4 billion revenue hit in the June period from supply constraints.\nI'm most curious to see how the iPhone does this time around, as it appears that the 5G supercycle seems to be going pretty well. This year, however, most expectations are that the smartphone will return to its usual September launch period, meaning new phone revenues would be generated in fiscal Q4 again. Last year's coronavirus delayed launch meant sales didn't start until well into October and even November for some models, completely changing the sales trajectory for Apple's current fiscal year. This year's launch isn't expected to see a major upgrade to the phone line itself, so demand trends will probably be more dependent on how many consumers are upgrading to 5G rather than switching to iPhones.\nI'm sure analysts will also be looking to see how Apple has navigated the chip shortage as well as soaring commodity prices. I don't think we will see a repeat of the 575 basis point increase in product gross margins that Q2 saw this time around, but the iPhone 12 line should still provide a nice year-over-year boost. In the long run, investors will look at growing services margins helping the gross margin percentage overall, but don't forget that the services side of the business has a lot of its expenses on the operating line.\nFor the stock to stay elevated, management is going to need to show that work from home and stimulus money tailwinds are still ongoing. As I discussed in a previous article, estimates call for Apple to see quarterly revenues decline for its March 2022 fiscal period, as the company laps very high previous year bars. While that might bring out some of the bears again, the long-term trajectory still seems positive. Current estimates call for $355 billion in total revenue during this fiscal year with Apple adding another $50 billion to that total over the next three years.\nI hope that management took advantage of the weakness in Apple shares during the quarter for its buyback. Even though the company is spending $20 billion or so every three months, that money doesn't go as far as $145 as it does at $125, obviously. Less shares repurchased means less of an earnings per share benefit, and lower long-term dividend raises. The good news is that Apple is on its way towards $100 billion a year in free cash flow, so investors don't need to worry about capital returns slowing down anytime soon.\nThe major issue for Apple right now is valuation. Shares finished last week trading at 33.4 times their trailing twelve-month earnings. That's basically double the mid-teens numbers from a couple of years ago, helped a lot by easy-money policies around the globe. My current price target of $162 is based on a 30X multiple of $5.40 in EPS for the September 2022 period. That number, however, assumes that the Fed and other central banks will remain fairly accommodative through most of next year. If we start to get a lot of tapering and or rate hikes earlier than expected, the overall market is likely to feel some pain, and I don't see how Apple would be immune from that.\nA strong report from Apple could easily help shares to rise to a new all-time high. But just to play devil's advocate for a minute, what if there is a disappointment or a \"buy the rumor, sell the news\" reaction? Well, shares are quite a bit above their key moving averages as seen in the chart below (50-day in purple, 200-day in orange). As long as Apple can hold the shorter-term trend line, that rising technical level should be one of support. The stock has been able to hold the long-term trend line for quite a while, so I don't see any more than about 14% downside in the near term unless we get a major market pullback.\n(Source: Yahoo! Finance)\nIn the end, expectations for Apple are very high as earnings approach this week. Two massive quarterly beats have sent estimates through the roof, and the stock has recently run to a new all-time high. The market will be looking for signs that the iPhone supercycle has continued while work from home tailwinds have not subsided just yet. Investors hoping that this rally can continue will need to see a strong report, with management hopefully painting a bright sales picture for upcoming fall product launches.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":703,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":177673065,"gmtCreate":1627217017357,"gmtModify":1633767107800,"author":{"id":"3586318198914193","authorId":"3586318198914193","name":"limyt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83ea8035bf2534391a687bd223721c10","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586318198914193","authorIdStr":"3586318198914193"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"有可能， 谁都不知道以后会怎样。","listText":"有可能， 谁都不知道以后会怎样。","text":"有可能， 谁都不知道以后会怎样。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177673065","repostId":"2153936352","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153936352","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1627180340,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2153936352?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-25 10:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Square Be Worth More Than PayPal by 2025?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153936352","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Could the ambitious fintech company overtake the market leader?","content":"<p><b>Square</b> (NYSE:SQ) and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a></b> (NASDAQ:PYPL) have both generated massive returns for patient investors over the past few years. Square went public at $9 per share in late 2015, and it's now trading at around $260. PayPal, which was spun off from<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a> </b>(NASDAQ:EBAY) earlier that year, has advanced more than 720% since its debut to over $300 per share.</p>\n<p>Square is worth nearly $120 billion as of this writing, while PayPal is worth over $350 billion. That isn't surprising, since PayPal still serves a much larger audience and operates in more countries than Square. But gazing into the future, could Square eventually match -- or even surpass -- PayPal's valuation by 2025? Let's examine both fintech companies' growth trajectories and valuations to find out.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3384d45efb17ed54b398c7dbcc043fb\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2><b>Wild ambitions vs. stable growth</b></h2>\n<p>Square and PayPal's core business models are similar. Both companies charge businesses flat fees, which vary by platform and transaction type, to process payments. Both companies offer small business loans. Square's Cash App and PayPal's Venmo both enable consumers to make peer-to-peer payments, and both companies provide branded debit cards that are linked to users' online accounts.</p>\n<p>But Square has been willing to take bolder risks than PayPal over the past few years. It expanded its services ecosystem with online payroll management services and analytics tools, and recently launched a full suite of online banking services. Square also added <b>Bitcoin</b> (CRYPTO:BTC) purchases to its Cash App in 2018, added free stock trades to the app to challenge Robinhood in 2019, and plans to add Credit Karma's tax filing services to its ecosystem in the near future.</p>\n<p>PayPal only started offering cryptocurrency trades last October, and it doesn't have any near-term plans to launch stock trading tools or dedicated tax filing services, or expand into a full-blown online bank like Square. Simply put, Square seems to have wilder and grander ambitions than PayPal.</p>\n<h2>Which company is growing faster?</h2>\n<p>Between 2015 and 2020, Square grew its annual revenue at a CAGR of 49.6%. Excluding its massive gain in Bitcoin revenue last year, it would still have grown its revenue at a CAGR of 31.2% over the past five years. PayPal's annual revenue grew at a CAGR of 18.5% between 2015 and 2020. Let's take a look at Wall Street's expectations for both companies over the next two years.</p>\n<table border=\"1\" width=\"600\">\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n <th width=\"118\"><p>Company</p></th>\n <th width=\"213\"><p>Estimated Sales Growth (FY 2021)</p></th>\n <th width=\"225\"><p>Estimated Sales Growth(FY 2022)</p></th>\n </tr>\n <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n <td width=\"118\"><p><b>Square</b></p></td>\n <td width=\"213\"><p>110.6%</p></td>\n <td width=\"225\"><p>14.1%</p></td>\n </tr>\n <tr valign=\"TOP\">\n <td width=\"118\"><p><b>PayPal</b></p></td>\n <td width=\"213\"><p>20.6%</p></td>\n <td width=\"225\"><p>21.5%</p></td>\n </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: Yahoo Finance, July 22.</p>\n<p>Analysts expect Square's Bitcoin revenue to continue rising this year before cooling off next year. They also expect its growth in transaction-based and seller service revenue, which slowed down during the pandemic, to recover as more businesses reopen. The Cash App, which grew its monthly active users 50% to 36 million in 2020, should also keep expanding as Square adds new services.</p>\n<p>Cathie Wood's ARK Invest expects Square's transaction-based and seller service revenues to grow at a CAGR of 19% through 2025. It also expects the Cash App's MAUs to more than double to 75 million, for Square to monetize roughly 40% of those users, and for its average revenue per Cash App user to grow from $25 in 2019 to $260 in 2025 -- which would represent a whopping CAGR of 49%.</p>\n<p>PayPal's growth should remain more predictable, since it doesn't generate significant revenue from cryptocurrencies yet. Instead, it will mainly rely on its growth in active accounts, which rose 21% year-over-year to 392 million last quarter, to generate stable revenue from its processing fees.</p>\n<p>PayPal expects to nearly double its active accounts to 750 million and <i>more than double</i> its annual revenue to over $50 billion by 2025. It also plans to grow its earnings at a CAGR of 22% from 2020 to 2025. It believes the rising acceptance of QR codes and NFC payments, the expansion of its financial services, and higher engagement rates for its apps will all drive that long-term growth.</p>\n<h2>Will Square be worth more than PayPal by 2025?</h2>\n<p>In a best-case scenario, ARK Invest believes Square's stock could hit $500 per share by 2025 if it hits its growth targets. But unlike PayPal, Square hasn't provided any concrete targets of its own yet.</p>\n<p>If Square hits $500 and its valuations hold steady, it could be worth just over $200 billion by 2025. Meanwhile, if PayPal achieves its goals of more than doubling its annual revenue and growing its EPS at a CAGR of 22% through 2025, its stock could easily double and boost its market cap to $700 billion.</p>\n<p>Therefore, it's doubtful that Square -- which already trades at higher valuations than PayPal -- will be the more valuable company by 2025. But that doesn't mean PayPal is necessarily a better growth stock than Square. I personally own Square instead of PayPal, because I admire its ambitious and forward-thinking strategies. Both stocks are still great long-term investments on the booming fintech market, so investors shouldn't fret too much over which company has the higher market cap.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Square Be Worth More Than PayPal by 2025?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Square Be Worth More Than PayPal by 2025?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-25 10:32 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/24/will-square-be-worth-more-than-paypal-by-2025/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Square (NYSE:SQ) and PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) have both generated massive returns for patient investors over the past few years. Square went public at $9 per share in late 2015, and it's now trading at ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/24/will-square-be-worth-more-than-paypal-by-2025/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SQ":"Block","PYPL":"PayPal"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/24/will-square-be-worth-more-than-paypal-by-2025/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153936352","content_text":"Square (NYSE:SQ) and PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) have both generated massive returns for patient investors over the past few years. Square went public at $9 per share in late 2015, and it's now trading at around $260. PayPal, which was spun off from eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY) earlier that year, has advanced more than 720% since its debut to over $300 per share.\nSquare is worth nearly $120 billion as of this writing, while PayPal is worth over $350 billion. That isn't surprising, since PayPal still serves a much larger audience and operates in more countries than Square. But gazing into the future, could Square eventually match -- or even surpass -- PayPal's valuation by 2025? Let's examine both fintech companies' growth trajectories and valuations to find out.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nWild ambitions vs. stable growth\nSquare and PayPal's core business models are similar. Both companies charge businesses flat fees, which vary by platform and transaction type, to process payments. Both companies offer small business loans. Square's Cash App and PayPal's Venmo both enable consumers to make peer-to-peer payments, and both companies provide branded debit cards that are linked to users' online accounts.\nBut Square has been willing to take bolder risks than PayPal over the past few years. It expanded its services ecosystem with online payroll management services and analytics tools, and recently launched a full suite of online banking services. Square also added Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) purchases to its Cash App in 2018, added free stock trades to the app to challenge Robinhood in 2019, and plans to add Credit Karma's tax filing services to its ecosystem in the near future.\nPayPal only started offering cryptocurrency trades last October, and it doesn't have any near-term plans to launch stock trading tools or dedicated tax filing services, or expand into a full-blown online bank like Square. Simply put, Square seems to have wilder and grander ambitions than PayPal.\nWhich company is growing faster?\nBetween 2015 and 2020, Square grew its annual revenue at a CAGR of 49.6%. Excluding its massive gain in Bitcoin revenue last year, it would still have grown its revenue at a CAGR of 31.2% over the past five years. PayPal's annual revenue grew at a CAGR of 18.5% between 2015 and 2020. Let's take a look at Wall Street's expectations for both companies over the next two years.\n\n\n\n\nCompany\nEstimated Sales Growth (FY 2021)\nEstimated Sales Growth(FY 2022)\n\n\nSquare\n110.6%\n14.1%\n\n\nPayPal\n20.6%\n21.5%\n\n\n\nSource: Yahoo Finance, July 22.\nAnalysts expect Square's Bitcoin revenue to continue rising this year before cooling off next year. They also expect its growth in transaction-based and seller service revenue, which slowed down during the pandemic, to recover as more businesses reopen. The Cash App, which grew its monthly active users 50% to 36 million in 2020, should also keep expanding as Square adds new services.\nCathie Wood's ARK Invest expects Square's transaction-based and seller service revenues to grow at a CAGR of 19% through 2025. It also expects the Cash App's MAUs to more than double to 75 million, for Square to monetize roughly 40% of those users, and for its average revenue per Cash App user to grow from $25 in 2019 to $260 in 2025 -- which would represent a whopping CAGR of 49%.\nPayPal's growth should remain more predictable, since it doesn't generate significant revenue from cryptocurrencies yet. Instead, it will mainly rely on its growth in active accounts, which rose 21% year-over-year to 392 million last quarter, to generate stable revenue from its processing fees.\nPayPal expects to nearly double its active accounts to 750 million and more than double its annual revenue to over $50 billion by 2025. It also plans to grow its earnings at a CAGR of 22% from 2020 to 2025. It believes the rising acceptance of QR codes and NFC payments, the expansion of its financial services, and higher engagement rates for its apps will all drive that long-term growth.\nWill Square be worth more than PayPal by 2025?\nIn a best-case scenario, ARK Invest believes Square's stock could hit $500 per share by 2025 if it hits its growth targets. But unlike PayPal, Square hasn't provided any concrete targets of its own yet.\nIf Square hits $500 and its valuations hold steady, it could be worth just over $200 billion by 2025. Meanwhile, if PayPal achieves its goals of more than doubling its annual revenue and growing its EPS at a CAGR of 22% through 2025, its stock could easily double and boost its market cap to $700 billion.\nTherefore, it's doubtful that Square -- which already trades at higher valuations than PayPal -- will be the more valuable company by 2025. But that doesn't mean PayPal is necessarily a better growth stock than Square. I personally own Square instead of PayPal, because I admire its ambitious and forward-thinking strategies. Both stocks are still great long-term investments on the booming fintech market, so investors shouldn't fret too much over which company has the higher market cap.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":870,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":177645326,"gmtCreate":1627216109265,"gmtModify":1633767111589,"author":{"id":"3586318198914193","authorId":"3586318198914193","name":"limyt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83ea8035bf2534391a687bd223721c10","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586318198914193","authorIdStr":"3586318198914193"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"事事难料，什么事都有可能发生","listText":"事事难料，什么事都有可能发生","text":"事事难料，什么事都有可能发生","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177645326","repostId":"1115106146","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115106146","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627182277,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1115106146?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-25 11:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Netflix Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2030?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115106146","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Will the streaming leader join the 12-zero club within the next decade?","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Netflix is the FAANG stock with the smallest market cap.</li>\n <li>It will face tough competition over the next decade.</li>\n <li>Its chances of joining the trillion-dollar club by 2030 are slim.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Netflix</b>(NASDAQ:NFLX)represents the \"N\" in the FAANG cohort of top tech companies, which also include <b>Facebook</b>,<b>Amazon</b>,<b>Apple</b>, and Google's parent company <b>Alphabet</b>.</p>\n<p>But with a market cap of $236 billion, Netflix is also much smaller than its four FAANG peers. Apple is worth more than $2 trillion, Amazon and Alphabet are both worth over $1 trillion, and Facebook has a market cap of $955 billion. Could Netflix also join the 12-zero club within the next ten years?</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a68592db9e2c6f47c122855a95129a4c\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1095\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: NETFLIX.</span></p>\n<p><b>The story thus far...</b></p>\n<p>Netflix has reinvented itself several times since it was founded in 1997. It initially offered DVD rentals by mail, then expanded that model into a subscription service, and accumulated five million members by 2006.</p>\n<p>Netflix launched its first streaming platform in 2007, which was subsequently offered on gaming consoles, set-top boxes, and Blu-ray players. It also launched its service internationally.</p>\n<p>That expansion boosted Netflix's audience to 25 million members by 2012. A year later it launched its first slate of original shows -- including <i>Orange is the New Blac</i>k,<i>House of Cards</i>, and <i>Hemlock Grove</i>-- to lock in its subscribers and reduce its dependence on licensed content.</p>\n<p>Netflix hit 50 million members in 2014, 100 million members in 2017, and 209.2 million members in its latest quarter. That massive audience makes it the world's largest paid video streaming platform.</p>\n<p>Between 2010 and 2020, Netflix's annual revenue rose from $2.16 billion to $25.0 billion. Its net income surged from $161 million to $2.76 billion.</p>\n<p><b>The challenges ahead...</b></p>\n<p>Netflix still enjoys a first-mover's advantage in premium streaming videos, but it currently faces a growing list of formidable competitors. The biggest threat is <b>Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS), which owns a massive portfolio of first-party content and offers its services at lower prices than Netflix.</p>\n<p>Disney+, the company's flagship platform, has already accumulated nearly 104 million subscribers since its launch in late 2019. By comparison, it took Netflix's streaming platform<i>ten years</i>to hit 100 million subscribers. Disney expects Disney+ to reach 230 million to 260 million subscribers by the end of fiscal 2024.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63d16de9232c81308fb95b1bfeeab68e\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p>\n<p>Disney also owns Hulu and ESPN+, which served 41.6 million and 13.8 million subscribers, respectively, last quarter. Hulu hosts more mature content than Disney+, while ESPN+ streams live sports -- a frequently requested feature that Netflix still doesn't offer.</p>\n<p>Other challengers include Amazon's Prime Video,<b>AT&T</b>'s HBO Max, Apple TV+, and stand-alone streaming services from traditional TV networks. This ongoing fragmentation of the streaming market could limit Netflix's pricing power, make it more difficult to gain new subscribers, and force it to spend even more money on expensive original shows and movies to retain its existing audience.</p>\n<p>Netflix has already been exploring new ways to differentiate its platform. It's licensing more anime content and expanding its children's programming, and it even launched an online store to sell tie-in merchandise. It's also planning to expand into video games by offering free mobile games to subscribers.</p>\n<p><b>The road to $1 trillion</b></p>\n<p>Netflix's stock has rallied about 1,200% over the past decade. But to cross the $1 trillion mark, it needs to more than quadruple in value.</p>\n<p>Analysts expect Netflix's revenue to rise 19% to $29.7 billion this year, then grow 15% to $34.2 billion next year. Netflix's growth will likely decelerate afterwards, for two simple reasons: It's saturating its developed markets like the U.S., and it faces too much competition around the world.</p>\n<p>But let's assume Netflix continues to roll out compelling original content, locks in more users with niche content like anime, and expands its digital ecosystem with video games and online merchandise.</p>\n<p>If Netflix's revenue growth meets analysts' expectations for the next two years and continues growing at an average rate of 10% from 2023 to 2030, it could generate $73.3 billion in annual revenue by the final year. If Netflix is still trading at about eight times sales, it would be worth nearly $600 billion.</p>\n<p>If Netflix grows it revenue at an average rate of 15% from 2023 to 2020, it would generate $104.6 billion in annual revenue by the final year. At eight times sales, it would still fall short of the $1 trillion mark.</p>\n<p>But Netflix's price-to-sales ratio will likely decline if investors think its high-growth days are over, which would result in much lower market caps. Investors should take a look at Netflix's Chinese counterpart <b>iQiyi</b>, which trades at just two times this year's sales and about 30% below its IPO price, to see what happens when a high-growth streaming video platform loses its momentum.</p>\n<p><b>The key takeaways</b></p>\n<p>Netflix's growth over the past decade has been stellar, but much of its success can be attributed to its first-mover's advantage in the streaming market. However, that advantage will likely fade over the next decade as competitors like Disney carve up the market. Netflix should keep growing over the next decade, but its chances of joining its FAANG peers in the trillion-dollar club by 2030 are slim.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Netflix Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2030?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Netflix Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2030?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-25 11:04 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/24/will-netflix-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2030/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Key Points\n\nNetflix is the FAANG stock with the smallest market cap.\nIt will face tough competition over the next decade.\nIts chances of joining the trillion-dollar club by 2030 are slim.\n\nNetflix(...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/24/will-netflix-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2030/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/24/will-netflix-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2030/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115106146","content_text":"Key Points\n\nNetflix is the FAANG stock with the smallest market cap.\nIt will face tough competition over the next decade.\nIts chances of joining the trillion-dollar club by 2030 are slim.\n\nNetflix(NASDAQ:NFLX)represents the \"N\" in the FAANG cohort of top tech companies, which also include Facebook,Amazon,Apple, and Google's parent company Alphabet.\nBut with a market cap of $236 billion, Netflix is also much smaller than its four FAANG peers. Apple is worth more than $2 trillion, Amazon and Alphabet are both worth over $1 trillion, and Facebook has a market cap of $955 billion. Could Netflix also join the 12-zero club within the next ten years?\nIMAGE SOURCE: NETFLIX.\nThe story thus far...\nNetflix has reinvented itself several times since it was founded in 1997. It initially offered DVD rentals by mail, then expanded that model into a subscription service, and accumulated five million members by 2006.\nNetflix launched its first streaming platform in 2007, which was subsequently offered on gaming consoles, set-top boxes, and Blu-ray players. It also launched its service internationally.\nThat expansion boosted Netflix's audience to 25 million members by 2012. A year later it launched its first slate of original shows -- including Orange is the New Black,House of Cards, and Hemlock Grove-- to lock in its subscribers and reduce its dependence on licensed content.\nNetflix hit 50 million members in 2014, 100 million members in 2017, and 209.2 million members in its latest quarter. That massive audience makes it the world's largest paid video streaming platform.\nBetween 2010 and 2020, Netflix's annual revenue rose from $2.16 billion to $25.0 billion. Its net income surged from $161 million to $2.76 billion.\nThe challenges ahead...\nNetflix still enjoys a first-mover's advantage in premium streaming videos, but it currently faces a growing list of formidable competitors. The biggest threat is Disney(NYSE:DIS), which owns a massive portfolio of first-party content and offers its services at lower prices than Netflix.\nDisney+, the company's flagship platform, has already accumulated nearly 104 million subscribers since its launch in late 2019. By comparison, it took Netflix's streaming platformten yearsto hit 100 million subscribers. Disney expects Disney+ to reach 230 million to 260 million subscribers by the end of fiscal 2024.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nDisney also owns Hulu and ESPN+, which served 41.6 million and 13.8 million subscribers, respectively, last quarter. Hulu hosts more mature content than Disney+, while ESPN+ streams live sports -- a frequently requested feature that Netflix still doesn't offer.\nOther challengers include Amazon's Prime Video,AT&T's HBO Max, Apple TV+, and stand-alone streaming services from traditional TV networks. This ongoing fragmentation of the streaming market could limit Netflix's pricing power, make it more difficult to gain new subscribers, and force it to spend even more money on expensive original shows and movies to retain its existing audience.\nNetflix has already been exploring new ways to differentiate its platform. It's licensing more anime content and expanding its children's programming, and it even launched an online store to sell tie-in merchandise. It's also planning to expand into video games by offering free mobile games to subscribers.\nThe road to $1 trillion\nNetflix's stock has rallied about 1,200% over the past decade. But to cross the $1 trillion mark, it needs to more than quadruple in value.\nAnalysts expect Netflix's revenue to rise 19% to $29.7 billion this year, then grow 15% to $34.2 billion next year. Netflix's growth will likely decelerate afterwards, for two simple reasons: It's saturating its developed markets like the U.S., and it faces too much competition around the world.\nBut let's assume Netflix continues to roll out compelling original content, locks in more users with niche content like anime, and expands its digital ecosystem with video games and online merchandise.\nIf Netflix's revenue growth meets analysts' expectations for the next two years and continues growing at an average rate of 10% from 2023 to 2030, it could generate $73.3 billion in annual revenue by the final year. If Netflix is still trading at about eight times sales, it would be worth nearly $600 billion.\nIf Netflix grows it revenue at an average rate of 15% from 2023 to 2020, it would generate $104.6 billion in annual revenue by the final year. At eight times sales, it would still fall short of the $1 trillion mark.\nBut Netflix's price-to-sales ratio will likely decline if investors think its high-growth days are over, which would result in much lower market caps. Investors should take a look at Netflix's Chinese counterpart iQiyi, which trades at just two times this year's sales and about 30% below its IPO price, to see what happens when a high-growth streaming video platform loses its momentum.\nThe key takeaways\nNetflix's growth over the past decade has been stellar, but much of its success can be attributed to its first-mover's advantage in the streaming market. However, that advantage will likely fade over the next decade as competitors like Disney carve up the market. Netflix should keep growing over the next decade, but its chances of joining its FAANG peers in the trillion-dollar club by 2030 are slim.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":843,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":172748927,"gmtCreate":1626996412469,"gmtModify":1633769048635,"author":{"id":"3586318198914193","authorId":"3586318198914193","name":"limyt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83ea8035bf2534391a687bd223721c10","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586318198914193","authorIdStr":"3586318198914193"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"节节攀升，去到70","listText":"节节攀升，去到70","text":"节节攀升，去到70","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172748927","repostId":"2153608165","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":695006622,"gmtCreate":1641258444871,"gmtModify":1641258445005,"author":{"id":"3586318198914193","authorId":"3586318198914193","name":"limyt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83ea8035bf2534391a687bd223721c10","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586318198914193","authorIdStr":"3586318198914193"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695006622","repostId":"1129854888","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1129854888","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1641253972,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129854888?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-04 07:52","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"昨夜今晨：美股2022有惊无险开门红！特斯拉高涨13%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129854888","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"昨夜今晨：①美股周一集体收涨，纳指涨1.2%；②OPEC+会议在即，美油周一收高1.2%；③苹果市值首次突破3万亿美元，苹果周一收涨逾2%创历史新高。海外市场1、美股2022年开门红！道指标普齐新高2","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>昨夜今晨：①美股周一集体收涨，纳指涨1.2%；②OPEC+会议在即，美油周一收高1.2%；③<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>市值首次突破3万亿美元，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>周一收涨逾2%创历史新高。</blockquote><p>海外市场</p><p>1、美股2022年开门红！道指标普齐新高</p><p>2022年美股的第一个交易日，在开盘一轮快速跳水后，三大股指在权重股带动下集体走高，最终道指、标普500指数再度刷新收盘历史新高。</p><p>道指涨0.68%，标普500指数涨0.64%，纳指涨1.2%。</p><p>美国科技龙头今天多数走强。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>盘中涨约3%，市值短暂突破3万亿美元，去年苹果股价累计上涨34%，是道琼斯工业平均指数涨幅最大的成份股。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>第四季度交付量达创纪录的30.86万辆，超预期。也使得公司全年交付数据定格在93.6万辆。受到利好刺激，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>大涨13.53%，逼近历史高位。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>涨2.21%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>涨0.27%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>跌0.47%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>涨4.41%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>涨2.41%。</p><p>经济重启概念也在假期后继续上攻，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>涨3.34%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">雪佛龙</a>涨1.63%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">埃克森美孚</a>涨3.84%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">美国航空</a>涨4.40%。</p><p>2、热门中概股周一收盘涨跌不一 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EM\">怪兽充电</a>涨超24%</p><p>热门中概股周一收盘涨跌不一，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EM\">怪兽充电</a>、人人公司等涨幅居前；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车涨超5%，该公司12月交付10489辆汽车，同比增49.7%。</p><p>其余中概股方面，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOGU\">蘑菇街</a>涨超9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTT\">趣头条</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KXIN\">开心汽车</a>涨超8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATHM\">汽车之家</a>涨近4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KRKR\">36氪</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOUR\">途牛</a>、雾芯科技涨超3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WB\">微博</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOHU\">搜狐</a>、携程涨超2%，$万物<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABCD\">新生</a>(RERE)$涨近2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HUYA\">虎牙</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YY\">欢聚集团</a>、图森未来涨超1%。</p><p>新能源汽车股中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车涨超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>涨近1%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌0.1%。</p><p>3、欧股周一收盘走高 德国DAX30指数涨近1%</p><p>欧洲斯托克50指数1月3日（周一）涨幅0.59%，英国<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LSE.UK\">伦敦证券交易所</a>休市一日。</p><p>德国DAX30指数收盘涨0.90%，法国CAC40指数涨幅0.90%，西班牙IBEX35指数涨0.63%。</p><p>4、OPEC+会议在即 美油周一收高1.2%</p><p>以Helima Croft为首的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RY\">加拿大皇家银行</a>资本市场分析师在周一发表的研究报告中写道：“尽管奥密克戎变异毒株在重要地区的感染数量继续攀升，但由于没有采取广泛的封锁限制，短期内对原油需求的担忧可能会得到控制。”</p><p>纽约商品交易所2月交割的西德克萨斯中质原油（WTI）期货价格上涨87美分，涨幅为1.2%，收于每桶76.08美元。</p><p>5、黄金期货周一收跌1.6% 创两周来最低收盘价</p><p>新年第一天美股与美国国债收益率攀升，使黄金期货价格降至两周来的最低水平。</p><p>Zaner机构分析师在周一的市场评论中写道：“黄金市场正在与导致其在2021年下跌3.6%的负面情绪作斗争。”</p><p>纽约商品交易所2月交割的黄金期货价格下跌28.50美元，跌幅为1.6%，收于每盎司1800.10美元，创12月21日以来的最低收盘价。盘中最低为1798.20美元。</p><p>6、美国国债收益率飙升 市场对美联储加息的预期升温</p><p>美国国债收益率在2022年的第一个交易日飙升，投资者对经济的乐观情绪推高了美股，刺激了公司债券发行，也增强了对美联储今年至少加息3次的预期。</p><p>基准收益率全线攀升，政策敏感的5年期国债收益率领涨，上涨近8个基点至1.34%。2年期国债收益率突破0.79%，为2020年3月以来的最高水平。</p><p>国际宏观</p><p>1、尽管加息预期升温 美国今年首次短期国债招标仍获得2010年来最强需求</p><p>在2022年的第一个交易日，美国国债收益率全线飙升，因为经济乐观情绪升温提振了美国股市，吸引了大量公司债发行，并增强了对美联储今年至少加息3次的预期。</p><p>根据当前的利率期货价格，联邦基金利率目标料在5月份首次上调，预计年底前将上调77个基点。</p><p>Jefferies经济学家Thomas Simons表示，加息预期是热门话题。</p><p>2、美国新增新冠病例数创新高 但检测数据表明实际情况可能严重得多</p><p>根据约翰·霍普金斯大学的数据，过去一周单日新增病例数平均约为405，000例，比美国2021年1月时候的峰值高出60%左右。但各州报告的检测次数仍低于2021年峰值。</p><p>与此同时，PCR检测阳性率为17%，为2020年4月以来最高。</p><p>数据表明omicron肆虐之际很多病例并未被检测到，可能的原因包括人们在家中自己进行快速检测或根本未做检测。</p><p>3、OPEC+势将再度增产 因石油市场供应料比先前预测偏紧</p><p>OPEC+代表称，周二会议有望再次批准每日40万桶的温和增产，重启新冠疫情期间暂时下线的产能。</p><p>在周一举行的初步会议上，OPEC分析师调降一季度石油市场过剩供应预测，因竞争对手供应料将减弱。</p><p>OPEC及其盟友在2020年暂停的产能迄今已恢复大约三分之二。他们正寻求用刚好能满足石油需求复苏的速度恢复剩余产能，避免价格飙升或使市场陷入新的低迷。到目前为止他们取得了理想的效果，国际原油价格接近每桶78美元。</p><p>据可看到的一份报告，OPEC+联合技术委员会目前预测2022年第一季度会有每日140万桶的过剩供应，比一个月前的预测少25%左右。</p><p>该委员会认为，随着“全世界更有能力应对新冠疫情及其带来的挑战，”预计omicron变异毒株带来的影响会是“温和而短暂的”。</p><p>4、美国食药监局：研制专门针对奥密克戎毒株的新冠疫苗并不必要</p><p>当地时间1月3日，美国食品药品监督管理局（FDA）负责评估新冠肺炎疫苗的生物制品评价与研究中心主任彼得·马克斯（Peter Marks）表示，研制专门针对奥密克戎毒株的新冠疫苗可能是没有必要的。</p><p>马克斯称，尽管所有疫苗研发公司正在努力研制针对奥密克戎毒株的特效疫苗，但是随着时间推移，奥密克戎毒株是否会一直作为新冠肺炎疫情的主要流行毒株尚未可知。</p><p>5、埃尔多安货币新政首份“成绩单”：CPI同比飙升36% 创近二十年新高</p><p>当地时间周一，土耳其官方统计研究所发布该国12月CPI数据。在货币新政的刺激下，该国物价指数出现了罕见的环比增长13.58%，将年化通胀率一把拉到惊人的36.08%。</p><p>位于伊斯坦布尔的Spinn咨询创始合伙人Ozlem Derici Sengul接受媒体采访时表示，面对这么紧急的情况，基准利率应当迅速大幅上调，但眼下的土耳其央行不太可能采取动作。</p><p>所以当官方政策对物价的影响（例如最低工资提高50%等）落地后，通胀年化增幅可能在今年三月触及40%-50%。</p><p>6、土耳其命令出口商将25%的收入转换为里拉</p><p>土耳其央行周一在一项法令中表示，出口商一旦收到美元、欧元或英镑的付款，央行将购买其中的25%。</p><p>7、意大利公共管理部长：该国制造业采购经理指数连续18个月增长</p><p>当地时间1月3日，意大利公共管理部长布鲁内塔透露，2021年12月该国制造业采购经理指数为62，已连续18个月稳定在上升区间，预计意大利2021年国内生产总值增长6.3%。</p><p>8、美欧奥密克戎病例“垂直增长”，多国拒绝收紧防疫，外媒：“全球被奥密克戎淹没”</p><p>在过去的一周，美国最高单日新增确诊病例近70万例，再次震动世界。</p><p>在世界最新的新冠肺炎确诊病例或死亡病例排名中，位于前列的大多是美欧国家，这也被称为世界上最令人触目惊心的排名。面对持续恶化的疫情，不少西方国家却意外地放松隔离规定</p><p>公司新闻</p><p>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2200782994\" target=\"_blank\">苹果周一收涨逾2%创历史新高 盘中市值首次突破3万亿美元关口</a></p><p>苹果公司股价周一收盘上涨2.5%，报182.01美元，创历史新高，市值2.98万亿美元。该公司总市值首次突破3万亿美元大关，成为史上首家达到这一里程碑的公司。</p><p>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2200478750\" target=\"_blank\">特斯拉周一收盘大涨逾13% 四季度交付量创纪录</a></p><p>特斯拉股价周一收盘大涨13.53%，报1199.78美元，创下去年3月份以来最大涨幅，市值1.2万亿美元。</p><p>该公司去年第四季度在全球交付了308600辆汽车，创下了这家电动汽车制造商的新纪录，为该公司加入万亿美元市值独家俱乐部的这一年划下圆满的句号。</p><p>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2200427419\" target=\"_blank\">古根海姆：看好耐克进军元宇宙 列为2022年首选股</a></p><p>古根海姆周一将<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">耐克</a>评为2022年的“首选股”。</p><p>分析师Robert Drbul在给客户的一份报告中表示，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">耐克</a>已占据主导地位的市场份额应该会继续增长，因该公司会在新的一年继续扩大在线业务并推出新的鞋类和服装产品。</p><p>他表示，耐克虽然在近期受到全球供应链中断的影响，但该公司仍应能够实现去年6月制定的财务目标。</p><p>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2200420220\" target=\"_blank\">“达利欧接班人”又换了一茬 桥水基金官宣CEO职位更迭</a></p><p>最新的人事变革，也令掌管1500亿美元资产的桥水再度面临接班人问题的审视。</p><p>自从今年已经72岁的达利欧在2011年退出基金的日常管理，专注于投资研究后，直到麦考米克2019年成为单独CEO期间，先后已经有5个人在这个位置上来了又走。</p><p>对于桥水的新管理层而言，最大的难点还是如何提高公司的投资业绩并留住客户。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>昨夜今晨：美股2022有惊无险开门红！特斯拉高涨13% </title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n昨夜今晨：美股2022有惊无险开门红！特斯拉高涨13% \n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-04 07:52</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote>昨夜今晨：①美股周一集体收涨，纳指涨1.2%；②OPEC+会议在即，美油周一收高1.2%；③<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>市值首次突破3万亿美元，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>周一收涨逾2%创历史新高。</blockquote><p>海外市场</p><p>1、美股2022年开门红！道指标普齐新高</p><p>2022年美股的第一个交易日，在开盘一轮快速跳水后，三大股指在权重股带动下集体走高，最终道指、标普500指数再度刷新收盘历史新高。</p><p>道指涨0.68%，标普500指数涨0.64%，纳指涨1.2%。</p><p>美国科技龙头今天多数走强。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>盘中涨约3%，市值短暂突破3万亿美元，去年苹果股价累计上涨34%，是道琼斯工业平均指数涨幅最大的成份股。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>第四季度交付量达创纪录的30.86万辆，超预期。也使得公司全年交付数据定格在93.6万辆。受到利好刺激，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>大涨13.53%，逼近历史高位。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>涨2.21%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>涨0.27%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>跌0.47%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>涨4.41%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>涨2.41%。</p><p>经济重启概念也在假期后继续上攻，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>涨3.34%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">雪佛龙</a>涨1.63%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">埃克森美孚</a>涨3.84%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">美国航空</a>涨4.40%。</p><p>2、热门中概股周一收盘涨跌不一 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EM\">怪兽充电</a>涨超24%</p><p>热门中概股周一收盘涨跌不一，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EM\">怪兽充电</a>、人人公司等涨幅居前；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车涨超5%，该公司12月交付10489辆汽车，同比增49.7%。</p><p>其余中概股方面，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOGU\">蘑菇街</a>涨超9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTT\">趣头条</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KXIN\">开心汽车</a>涨超8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATHM\">汽车之家</a>涨近4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KRKR\">36氪</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOUR\">途牛</a>、雾芯科技涨超3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WB\">微博</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOHU\">搜狐</a>、携程涨超2%，$万物<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABCD\">新生</a>(RERE)$涨近2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HUYA\">虎牙</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YY\">欢聚集团</a>、图森未来涨超1%。</p><p>新能源汽车股中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车涨超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>涨近1%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌0.1%。</p><p>3、欧股周一收盘走高 德国DAX30指数涨近1%</p><p>欧洲斯托克50指数1月3日（周一）涨幅0.59%，英国<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LSE.UK\">伦敦证券交易所</a>休市一日。</p><p>德国DAX30指数收盘涨0.90%，法国CAC40指数涨幅0.90%，西班牙IBEX35指数涨0.63%。</p><p>4、OPEC+会议在即 美油周一收高1.2%</p><p>以Helima Croft为首的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RY\">加拿大皇家银行</a>资本市场分析师在周一发表的研究报告中写道：“尽管奥密克戎变异毒株在重要地区的感染数量继续攀升，但由于没有采取广泛的封锁限制，短期内对原油需求的担忧可能会得到控制。”</p><p>纽约商品交易所2月交割的西德克萨斯中质原油（WTI）期货价格上涨87美分，涨幅为1.2%，收于每桶76.08美元。</p><p>5、黄金期货周一收跌1.6% 创两周来最低收盘价</p><p>新年第一天美股与美国国债收益率攀升，使黄金期货价格降至两周来的最低水平。</p><p>Zaner机构分析师在周一的市场评论中写道：“黄金市场正在与导致其在2021年下跌3.6%的负面情绪作斗争。”</p><p>纽约商品交易所2月交割的黄金期货价格下跌28.50美元，跌幅为1.6%，收于每盎司1800.10美元，创12月21日以来的最低收盘价。盘中最低为1798.20美元。</p><p>6、美国国债收益率飙升 市场对美联储加息的预期升温</p><p>美国国债收益率在2022年的第一个交易日飙升，投资者对经济的乐观情绪推高了美股，刺激了公司债券发行，也增强了对美联储今年至少加息3次的预期。</p><p>基准收益率全线攀升，政策敏感的5年期国债收益率领涨，上涨近8个基点至1.34%。2年期国债收益率突破0.79%，为2020年3月以来的最高水平。</p><p>国际宏观</p><p>1、尽管加息预期升温 美国今年首次短期国债招标仍获得2010年来最强需求</p><p>在2022年的第一个交易日，美国国债收益率全线飙升，因为经济乐观情绪升温提振了美国股市，吸引了大量公司债发行，并增强了对美联储今年至少加息3次的预期。</p><p>根据当前的利率期货价格，联邦基金利率目标料在5月份首次上调，预计年底前将上调77个基点。</p><p>Jefferies经济学家Thomas Simons表示，加息预期是热门话题。</p><p>2、美国新增新冠病例数创新高 但检测数据表明实际情况可能严重得多</p><p>根据约翰·霍普金斯大学的数据，过去一周单日新增病例数平均约为405，000例，比美国2021年1月时候的峰值高出60%左右。但各州报告的检测次数仍低于2021年峰值。</p><p>与此同时，PCR检测阳性率为17%，为2020年4月以来最高。</p><p>数据表明omicron肆虐之际很多病例并未被检测到，可能的原因包括人们在家中自己进行快速检测或根本未做检测。</p><p>3、OPEC+势将再度增产 因石油市场供应料比先前预测偏紧</p><p>OPEC+代表称，周二会议有望再次批准每日40万桶的温和增产，重启新冠疫情期间暂时下线的产能。</p><p>在周一举行的初步会议上，OPEC分析师调降一季度石油市场过剩供应预测，因竞争对手供应料将减弱。</p><p>OPEC及其盟友在2020年暂停的产能迄今已恢复大约三分之二。他们正寻求用刚好能满足石油需求复苏的速度恢复剩余产能，避免价格飙升或使市场陷入新的低迷。到目前为止他们取得了理想的效果，国际原油价格接近每桶78美元。</p><p>据可看到的一份报告，OPEC+联合技术委员会目前预测2022年第一季度会有每日140万桶的过剩供应，比一个月前的预测少25%左右。</p><p>该委员会认为，随着“全世界更有能力应对新冠疫情及其带来的挑战，”预计omicron变异毒株带来的影响会是“温和而短暂的”。</p><p>4、美国食药监局：研制专门针对奥密克戎毒株的新冠疫苗并不必要</p><p>当地时间1月3日，美国食品药品监督管理局（FDA）负责评估新冠肺炎疫苗的生物制品评价与研究中心主任彼得·马克斯（Peter Marks）表示，研制专门针对奥密克戎毒株的新冠疫苗可能是没有必要的。</p><p>马克斯称，尽管所有疫苗研发公司正在努力研制针对奥密克戎毒株的特效疫苗，但是随着时间推移，奥密克戎毒株是否会一直作为新冠肺炎疫情的主要流行毒株尚未可知。</p><p>5、埃尔多安货币新政首份“成绩单”：CPI同比飙升36% 创近二十年新高</p><p>当地时间周一，土耳其官方统计研究所发布该国12月CPI数据。在货币新政的刺激下，该国物价指数出现了罕见的环比增长13.58%，将年化通胀率一把拉到惊人的36.08%。</p><p>位于伊斯坦布尔的Spinn咨询创始合伙人Ozlem Derici Sengul接受媒体采访时表示，面对这么紧急的情况，基准利率应当迅速大幅上调，但眼下的土耳其央行不太可能采取动作。</p><p>所以当官方政策对物价的影响（例如最低工资提高50%等）落地后，通胀年化增幅可能在今年三月触及40%-50%。</p><p>6、土耳其命令出口商将25%的收入转换为里拉</p><p>土耳其央行周一在一项法令中表示，出口商一旦收到美元、欧元或英镑的付款，央行将购买其中的25%。</p><p>7、意大利公共管理部长：该国制造业采购经理指数连续18个月增长</p><p>当地时间1月3日，意大利公共管理部长布鲁内塔透露，2021年12月该国制造业采购经理指数为62，已连续18个月稳定在上升区间，预计意大利2021年国内生产总值增长6.3%。</p><p>8、美欧奥密克戎病例“垂直增长”，多国拒绝收紧防疫，外媒：“全球被奥密克戎淹没”</p><p>在过去的一周，美国最高单日新增确诊病例近70万例，再次震动世界。</p><p>在世界最新的新冠肺炎确诊病例或死亡病例排名中，位于前列的大多是美欧国家，这也被称为世界上最令人触目惊心的排名。面对持续恶化的疫情，不少西方国家却意外地放松隔离规定</p><p>公司新闻</p><p>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2200782994\" target=\"_blank\">苹果周一收涨逾2%创历史新高 盘中市值首次突破3万亿美元关口</a></p><p>苹果公司股价周一收盘上涨2.5%，报182.01美元，创历史新高，市值2.98万亿美元。该公司总市值首次突破3万亿美元大关，成为史上首家达到这一里程碑的公司。</p><p>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2200478750\" target=\"_blank\">特斯拉周一收盘大涨逾13% 四季度交付量创纪录</a></p><p>特斯拉股价周一收盘大涨13.53%，报1199.78美元，创下去年3月份以来最大涨幅，市值1.2万亿美元。</p><p>该公司去年第四季度在全球交付了308600辆汽车，创下了这家电动汽车制造商的新纪录，为该公司加入万亿美元市值独家俱乐部的这一年划下圆满的句号。</p><p>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2200427419\" target=\"_blank\">古根海姆：看好耐克进军元宇宙 列为2022年首选股</a></p><p>古根海姆周一将<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">耐克</a>评为2022年的“首选股”。</p><p>分析师Robert Drbul在给客户的一份报告中表示，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">耐克</a>已占据主导地位的市场份额应该会继续增长，因该公司会在新的一年继续扩大在线业务并推出新的鞋类和服装产品。</p><p>他表示，耐克虽然在近期受到全球供应链中断的影响，但该公司仍应能够实现去年6月制定的财务目标。</p><p>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2200420220\" target=\"_blank\">“达利欧接班人”又换了一茬 桥水基金官宣CEO职位更迭</a></p><p>最新的人事变革，也令掌管1500亿美元资产的桥水再度面临接班人问题的审视。</p><p>自从今年已经72岁的达利欧在2011年退出基金的日常管理，专注于投资研究后，直到麦考米克2019年成为单独CEO期间，先后已经有5个人在这个位置上来了又走。</p><p>对于桥水的新管理层而言，最大的难点还是如何提高公司的投资业绩并留住客户。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{"BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4527":"明星科技股",".IXIC":"NASDAQ 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怪兽充电涨超24%热门中概股周一收盘涨跌不一，怪兽充电、人人公司等涨幅居前；蔚来汽车涨超5%，该公司12月交付10489辆汽车，同比增49.7%。其余中概股方面，蘑菇街涨超9%，趣头条、开心汽车涨超8%，汽车之家涨近4%，36氪、途牛、雾芯科技涨超3%，微博、搜狐、携程涨超2%，$万物新生(RERE)$涨近2%，阿里巴巴、虎牙、欢聚集团、图森未来涨超1%。新能源汽车股中，蔚来汽车涨超5%，理想汽车涨近1%，小鹏汽车跌0.1%。3、欧股周一收盘走高 德国DAX30指数涨近1%欧洲斯托克50指数1月3日（周一）涨幅0.59%，英国伦敦证券交易所休市一日。德国DAX30指数收盘涨0.90%，法国CAC40指数涨幅0.90%，西班牙IBEX35指数涨0.63%。4、OPEC+会议在即 美油周一收高1.2%以Helima Croft为首的加拿大皇家银行资本市场分析师在周一发表的研究报告中写道：“尽管奥密克戎变异毒株在重要地区的感染数量继续攀升，但由于没有采取广泛的封锁限制，短期内对原油需求的担忧可能会得到控制。”纽约商品交易所2月交割的西德克萨斯中质原油（WTI）期货价格上涨87美分，涨幅为1.2%，收于每桶76.08美元。5、黄金期货周一收跌1.6% 创两周来最低收盘价新年第一天美股与美国国债收益率攀升，使黄金期货价格降至两周来的最低水平。Zaner机构分析师在周一的市场评论中写道：“黄金市场正在与导致其在2021年下跌3.6%的负面情绪作斗争。”纽约商品交易所2月交割的黄金期货价格下跌28.50美元，跌幅为1.6%，收于每盎司1800.10美元，创12月21日以来的最低收盘价。盘中最低为1798.20美元。6、美国国债收益率飙升 市场对美联储加息的预期升温美国国债收益率在2022年的第一个交易日飙升，投资者对经济的乐观情绪推高了美股，刺激了公司债券发行，也增强了对美联储今年至少加息3次的预期。基准收益率全线攀升，政策敏感的5年期国债收益率领涨，上涨近8个基点至1.34%。2年期国债收益率突破0.79%，为2020年3月以来的最高水平。国际宏观1、尽管加息预期升温 美国今年首次短期国债招标仍获得2010年来最强需求在2022年的第一个交易日，美国国债收益率全线飙升，因为经济乐观情绪升温提振了美国股市，吸引了大量公司债发行，并增强了对美联储今年至少加息3次的预期。根据当前的利率期货价格，联邦基金利率目标料在5月份首次上调，预计年底前将上调77个基点。Jefferies经济学家Thomas Simons表示，加息预期是热门话题。2、美国新增新冠病例数创新高 但检测数据表明实际情况可能严重得多根据约翰·霍普金斯大学的数据，过去一周单日新增病例数平均约为405，000例，比美国2021年1月时候的峰值高出60%左右。但各州报告的检测次数仍低于2021年峰值。与此同时，PCR检测阳性率为17%，为2020年4月以来最高。数据表明omicron肆虐之际很多病例并未被检测到，可能的原因包括人们在家中自己进行快速检测或根本未做检测。3、OPEC+势将再度增产 因石油市场供应料比先前预测偏紧OPEC+代表称，周二会议有望再次批准每日40万桶的温和增产，重启新冠疫情期间暂时下线的产能。在周一举行的初步会议上，OPEC分析师调降一季度石油市场过剩供应预测，因竞争对手供应料将减弱。OPEC及其盟友在2020年暂停的产能迄今已恢复大约三分之二。他们正寻求用刚好能满足石油需求复苏的速度恢复剩余产能，避免价格飙升或使市场陷入新的低迷。到目前为止他们取得了理想的效果，国际原油价格接近每桶78美元。据可看到的一份报告，OPEC+联合技术委员会目前预测2022年第一季度会有每日140万桶的过剩供应，比一个月前的预测少25%左右。该委员会认为，随着“全世界更有能力应对新冠疫情及其带来的挑战，”预计omicron变异毒株带来的影响会是“温和而短暂的”。4、美国食药监局：研制专门针对奥密克戎毒株的新冠疫苗并不必要当地时间1月3日，美国食品药品监督管理局（FDA）负责评估新冠肺炎疫苗的生物制品评价与研究中心主任彼得·马克斯（Peter Marks）表示，研制专门针对奥密克戎毒株的新冠疫苗可能是没有必要的。马克斯称，尽管所有疫苗研发公司正在努力研制针对奥密克戎毒株的特效疫苗，但是随着时间推移，奥密克戎毒株是否会一直作为新冠肺炎疫情的主要流行毒株尚未可知。5、埃尔多安货币新政首份“成绩单”：CPI同比飙升36% 创近二十年新高当地时间周一，土耳其官方统计研究所发布该国12月CPI数据。在货币新政的刺激下，该国物价指数出现了罕见的环比增长13.58%，将年化通胀率一把拉到惊人的36.08%。位于伊斯坦布尔的Spinn咨询创始合伙人Ozlem Derici Sengul接受媒体采访时表示，面对这么紧急的情况，基准利率应当迅速大幅上调，但眼下的土耳其央行不太可能采取动作。所以当官方政策对物价的影响（例如最低工资提高50%等）落地后，通胀年化增幅可能在今年三月触及40%-50%。6、土耳其命令出口商将25%的收入转换为里拉土耳其央行周一在一项法令中表示，出口商一旦收到美元、欧元或英镑的付款，央行将购买其中的25%。7、意大利公共管理部长：该国制造业采购经理指数连续18个月增长当地时间1月3日，意大利公共管理部长布鲁内塔透露，2021年12月该国制造业采购经理指数为62，已连续18个月稳定在上升区间，预计意大利2021年国内生产总值增长6.3%。8、美欧奥密克戎病例“垂直增长”，多国拒绝收紧防疫，外媒：“全球被奥密克戎淹没”在过去的一周，美国最高单日新增确诊病例近70万例，再次震动世界。在世界最新的新冠肺炎确诊病例或死亡病例排名中，位于前列的大多是美欧国家，这也被称为世界上最令人触目惊心的排名。面对持续恶化的疫情，不少西方国家却意外地放松隔离规定公司新闻1、苹果周一收涨逾2%创历史新高 盘中市值首次突破3万亿美元关口苹果公司股价周一收盘上涨2.5%，报182.01美元，创历史新高，市值2.98万亿美元。该公司总市值首次突破3万亿美元大关，成为史上首家达到这一里程碑的公司。2、特斯拉周一收盘大涨逾13% 四季度交付量创纪录特斯拉股价周一收盘大涨13.53%，报1199.78美元，创下去年3月份以来最大涨幅，市值1.2万亿美元。该公司去年第四季度在全球交付了308600辆汽车，创下了这家电动汽车制造商的新纪录，为该公司加入万亿美元市值独家俱乐部的这一年划下圆满的句号。3、古根海姆：看好耐克进军元宇宙 列为2022年首选股古根海姆周一将耐克评为2022年的“首选股”。分析师Robert Drbul在给客户的一份报告中表示，耐克已占据主导地位的市场份额应该会继续增长，因该公司会在新的一年继续扩大在线业务并推出新的鞋类和服装产品。他表示，耐克虽然在近期受到全球供应链中断的影响，但该公司仍应能够实现去年6月制定的财务目标。4、“达利欧接班人”又换了一茬 桥水基金官宣CEO职位更迭最新的人事变革，也令掌管1500亿美元资产的桥水再度面临接班人问题的审视。自从今年已经72岁的达利欧在2011年退出基金的日常管理，专注于投资研究后，直到麦考米克2019年成为单独CEO期间，先后已经有5个人在这个位置上来了又走。对于桥水的新管理层而言，最大的难点还是如何提高公司的投资业绩并留住客户。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":861,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
