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JJ1995
2021-12-18
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2021-12-09
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3 Growth Stocks Down Over 50% To Buy Now
JJ1995
2021-12-02
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How Apple’s Rally Is a Boon to Berkshire Hathaway
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2021-11-30
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SJM leads slide in Macau gaming stocks after Suncity chairman arrested
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2021-11-29
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American Airlines: Buy For The Long Haul
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yyyyyyyyyYyy yyyYu UyyyyyyguyyyuggYyyyyy ","listText":"Yyyyyyyyyy yyyyyyyyyYyy yyyYu UyyyyyyguyyyuggYyyyyy ","text":"Yyyyyyyyyy yyyyyyyyyYyy yyyYu UyyyyyyguyyyuggYyyyyy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699128037","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602216796,"gmtCreate":1639025245062,"gmtModify":1639025245062,"author":{"id":"3585306220917787","authorId":"3585306220917787","name":"JJ1995","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7b7598df33bae920cf1aa01d5548891","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585306220917787","authorIdStr":"3585306220917787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K like ","listText":"K like ","text":"K like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602216796","repostId":"2189667447","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2189667447","pubTimestamp":1639022040,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2189667447?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-09 11:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Growth Stocks Down Over 50% To Buy Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2189667447","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The stock market is offering long-term investors an opportunity to buy these excellent businesses at a discount.","content":"<p>Investing in stocks for the long term can be an effective way to build wealth. However, the path to increasing stock values is rarely an upward straight line. More frequently, it is charted with several peaks and valleys. Long-term investors with the courage and discipline to hold or buy stocks during major crashes are sometimes rewarded with exponential gains.</p>\n<p>If you have extra cash you will not need for several years for life's necessities, you can buy stocks with good long-term prospects that are down due to short-term causes. <b>Chegg</b> (NYSE:CHGG), <b>Peloton</b> (NASDAQ:PTON), and <b>Skillz</b> (NYSE:SKLZ) are three stocks you can buy right now that are down over 50% while their long-term prospects remain intact.</p>\n<h2>Chegg</h2>\n<p>Chegg is an education technology company with a subscription business model. It caters primarily to college students by offering help with course curriculum. Chegg's platform has over 70 million step-by-step solutions to answers that students may have difficulty understanding. Chegg has built this database through student requests. In addition to having full access to existing content, students can ask 20 questions per month answered by subject-matter experts with their subscription. These questions and answers are then added to the database for all students to view.</p>\n<p>That's a lucrative business model because Chegg pays for that content once and gets the benefits for several years. The college curriculum does not change much over the years, so the assets pay dividends for decades. Chegg is already starting to capture the benefits of scaling to a more significant subscriber and revenue base. Indeed, from 2015 to 2020, operating profit grew from a loss of $57 million to a positive $57 million.</p>\n<p>Nevertheless, the stock is down 67.5% in 2021, with most losses coming after Nov. 1. That's when the company lowered the forecast for the rest of the fiscal year, citing a significant drop-off in student enrollment.</p>\n<h2>Peloton</h2>\n<p>Peloton sells interactive exercise equipment and a subscription to live and recorded exercise classes. The company was already gaining popularity before the pandemic increased the demand for in-home exercise equipment. As a result, revenue more than doubled to $4 billion in fiscal 2021.</p>\n<p>Once a customer signs up, they tend to stick around. Peloton boasted a membership retention rate of 92% in its most recent quarter ended Sept. 30. The company has a robust selection of live and recorded classes and makes members feel part of a community.</p>\n<p>Peloton had 2.5 million connected fitness subscribers at the end of the quarter, and management is forecasting that it will grow to 3.4 million by the end of fiscal 2022. Still, that would be a small part of the number of people that regularly exercise -- leaving Peloton with a long runway for growth.</p>\n<p>Peloton's stock is down 72% in 2021, mainly because economic reopening slowed the demand for in-home exercise equipment. That being said, Peloton's sales are growing on top of last years' elevated levels.</p>\n<h2>Skillz</h2>\n<p>Skillz is a gaming company with a unique twist: It allows contestants to wager on their games and doles out cash prizes to winners. The company's business is not considered gambling because the games on its site are based on skill. In other words, winners win because they are better at the game and not because of chance. Of course, if you have money on the line, you engage with the games more seriously than you would otherwise.</p>\n<p>In its most recent quarter, the company boasted 0.51 million monthly active users, up from 0.35 million in the year before. Still, the growth is not pleasing investors because the company is spending so heavily on sales and marketing. Skillz spent 112% of revenue on sales and marketing in its most recent quarter. Investors feel it should be getting better results from that spending. The stock is down 57.8% in 2021.</p>\n<p>Each of these three stocks is down big because of short-term catalysts. That could be an excellent buying opportunity for long-term investors who want to buy these growth stocks at more than 50% off their highs.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Growth Stocks Down Over 50% To Buy Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Growth Stocks Down Over 50% To Buy Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-09 11:54 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/08/3-growth-stocks-down-over-50-to-buy-now/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investing in stocks for the long term can be an effective way to build wealth. However, the path to increasing stock values is rarely an upward straight line. More frequently, it is charted with ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/08/3-growth-stocks-down-over-50-to-buy-now/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SKLZ":"Skillz Inc","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","CHGG":"Chegg Inc","PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc.","BK4085":"互动家庭娱乐","BK4190":"消闲用品","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4204":"教育服务"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/08/3-growth-stocks-down-over-50-to-buy-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2189667447","content_text":"Investing in stocks for the long term can be an effective way to build wealth. However, the path to increasing stock values is rarely an upward straight line. More frequently, it is charted with several peaks and valleys. Long-term investors with the courage and discipline to hold or buy stocks during major crashes are sometimes rewarded with exponential gains.\nIf you have extra cash you will not need for several years for life's necessities, you can buy stocks with good long-term prospects that are down due to short-term causes. Chegg (NYSE:CHGG), Peloton (NASDAQ:PTON), and Skillz (NYSE:SKLZ) are three stocks you can buy right now that are down over 50% while their long-term prospects remain intact.\nChegg\nChegg is an education technology company with a subscription business model. It caters primarily to college students by offering help with course curriculum. Chegg's platform has over 70 million step-by-step solutions to answers that students may have difficulty understanding. Chegg has built this database through student requests. In addition to having full access to existing content, students can ask 20 questions per month answered by subject-matter experts with their subscription. These questions and answers are then added to the database for all students to view.\nThat's a lucrative business model because Chegg pays for that content once and gets the benefits for several years. The college curriculum does not change much over the years, so the assets pay dividends for decades. Chegg is already starting to capture the benefits of scaling to a more significant subscriber and revenue base. Indeed, from 2015 to 2020, operating profit grew from a loss of $57 million to a positive $57 million.\nNevertheless, the stock is down 67.5% in 2021, with most losses coming after Nov. 1. That's when the company lowered the forecast for the rest of the fiscal year, citing a significant drop-off in student enrollment.\nPeloton\nPeloton sells interactive exercise equipment and a subscription to live and recorded exercise classes. The company was already gaining popularity before the pandemic increased the demand for in-home exercise equipment. As a result, revenue more than doubled to $4 billion in fiscal 2021.\nOnce a customer signs up, they tend to stick around. Peloton boasted a membership retention rate of 92% in its most recent quarter ended Sept. 30. The company has a robust selection of live and recorded classes and makes members feel part of a community.\nPeloton had 2.5 million connected fitness subscribers at the end of the quarter, and management is forecasting that it will grow to 3.4 million by the end of fiscal 2022. Still, that would be a small part of the number of people that regularly exercise -- leaving Peloton with a long runway for growth.\nPeloton's stock is down 72% in 2021, mainly because economic reopening slowed the demand for in-home exercise equipment. That being said, Peloton's sales are growing on top of last years' elevated levels.\nSkillz\nSkillz is a gaming company with a unique twist: It allows contestants to wager on their games and doles out cash prizes to winners. The company's business is not considered gambling because the games on its site are based on skill. In other words, winners win because they are better at the game and not because of chance. Of course, if you have money on the line, you engage with the games more seriously than you would otherwise.\nIn its most recent quarter, the company boasted 0.51 million monthly active users, up from 0.35 million in the year before. Still, the growth is not pleasing investors because the company is spending so heavily on sales and marketing. Skillz spent 112% of revenue on sales and marketing in its most recent quarter. Investors feel it should be getting better results from that spending. The stock is down 57.8% in 2021.\nEach of these three stocks is down big because of short-term catalysts. That could be an excellent buying opportunity for long-term investors who want to buy these growth stocks at more than 50% off their highs.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":585,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603571167,"gmtCreate":1638434287150,"gmtModify":1638434287266,"author":{"id":"3585306220917787","authorId":"3585306220917787","name":"JJ1995","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7b7598df33bae920cf1aa01d5548891","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585306220917787","authorIdStr":"3585306220917787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603571167","repostId":"1159346813","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159346813","pubTimestamp":1638433630,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159346813?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-02 16:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Apple’s Rally Is a Boon to Berkshire Hathaway","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159346813","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple‘s rising stock price is a boon to Berkshire Hathaway,whose 5% stake in the iPhone maker is now","content":"<p>Apple‘s rising stock price is a boon to Berkshire Hathaway,whose 5% stake in the iPhone maker is now worth about $151 billion.</p>\n<p>The recent gain in Apple shares (ticker: AAPL) is making Berkshire stock (BRK.A and BRK.B) more appealing by lifting the company’s shareholder equity, or book value.</p>\n<p>Berkshire class A shares trade for around 1.25 times projected year-end book value of about $333,000 a share. This is an estimate from Edward Jones analyst James Shanahan, who has a Buy rating on Berkshire stock. Book value ended the third quarter at about $316,000 per class A share. <i>Barron’s</i> has been bullish on Berkshire, including making it one of our top stock picks for 2021.</p>\n<p>The current price-to-book ratio is below the average of about 1.4 times over the past year, but above the year-end 2020 ratio of 1.2 times.</p>\n<p>Berkshire holds roughly 908 million Apple shares (based on the company’s third-quarter 10-Q). The stake is valued at $151 billion. Apple shares gained 3.2% Tuesday, to $165.30, bucking a sharp decline in the overall market.</p>\n<p>Apple now accounts almost half of Berkshire’s equity portfolio. which totaled $311 billion on Sept. 30. Four stocks—Apple,Coca-Cola (KO), Bank of America (BAC), and American Express (AXP)—make up more than 70% of its equity holdings. Berkshire is valued at around $625 billion.</p>\n<p>Berkshire’s cost for its Apple stock is $31 billion, or about $35 a share, with the stock largely purchased between 2016 and 2018. It’s sitting on a gain of about $120 billion, making it the biggest score of CEO Warren Buffett’s long tenure at Berkshire, dating back to 1965.</p>\n<p>The equity holdings and Berkshire’s cash of $149 billion make up nearly 75% of the company’s market value.</p>\n<p>Berkshire does have about $40 billion of debt and other borrowings at what it calls its insurance and other businesses. It also has significant insurance liabilities.</p>\n<p>Berkshire has been an aggressive buyer of its stock this year, continuing a trend from the last half of 2020.</p>\n<p>The company has bought back $20.2 billion of shares in the first nine months of 2021, including $7.6 billion in the third quarter. The buybacks continued into October. <i>Barron’s</i> has estimated that Berkshire purchased about $1.8 billion of stock based on the share count listed in Berkshire’s 10-Q.</p>\n<p>With the recent drop in Berkshire’s stock, Buffett may continue to be an aggressive buyer of the shares. The current share price is below the average price at which the company bought back shares in the third quarter. This is shaping up as a good year for Berkshire despite minimal investment activity, with book value on pace to rise about 16%, driven by earnings growth and gains in the equity portfolio.</p>\n<p>After besting the S&P 500 earlier this year, Berkshire now is behind the index with a year-to-date gain of about 20%, against a 21.6% total return for the S&P 500.</p>\n<p>There is some frustration among investors with Buffett’s inactivity on investments, but the 91-year-old CEO sees few opportunities.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Apple’s Rally Is a Boon to Berkshire Hathaway</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Apple’s Rally Is a Boon to Berkshire Hathaway\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-02 16:27 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-berkshire-hathaway-51638371498?mod=RTA><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple‘s rising stock price is a boon to Berkshire Hathaway,whose 5% stake in the iPhone maker is now worth about $151 billion.\nThe recent gain in Apple shares (ticker: AAPL) is making Berkshire stock ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-berkshire-hathaway-51638371498?mod=RTA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-berkshire-hathaway-51638371498?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159346813","content_text":"Apple‘s rising stock price is a boon to Berkshire Hathaway,whose 5% stake in the iPhone maker is now worth about $151 billion.\nThe recent gain in Apple shares (ticker: AAPL) is making Berkshire stock (BRK.A and BRK.B) more appealing by lifting the company’s shareholder equity, or book value.\nBerkshire class A shares trade for around 1.25 times projected year-end book value of about $333,000 a share. This is an estimate from Edward Jones analyst James Shanahan, who has a Buy rating on Berkshire stock. Book value ended the third quarter at about $316,000 per class A share. Barron’s has been bullish on Berkshire, including making it one of our top stock picks for 2021.\nThe current price-to-book ratio is below the average of about 1.4 times over the past year, but above the year-end 2020 ratio of 1.2 times.\nBerkshire holds roughly 908 million Apple shares (based on the company’s third-quarter 10-Q). The stake is valued at $151 billion. Apple shares gained 3.2% Tuesday, to $165.30, bucking a sharp decline in the overall market.\nApple now accounts almost half of Berkshire’s equity portfolio. which totaled $311 billion on Sept. 30. Four stocks—Apple,Coca-Cola (KO), Bank of America (BAC), and American Express (AXP)—make up more than 70% of its equity holdings. Berkshire is valued at around $625 billion.\nBerkshire’s cost for its Apple stock is $31 billion, or about $35 a share, with the stock largely purchased between 2016 and 2018. It’s sitting on a gain of about $120 billion, making it the biggest score of CEO Warren Buffett’s long tenure at Berkshire, dating back to 1965.\nThe equity holdings and Berkshire’s cash of $149 billion make up nearly 75% of the company’s market value.\nBerkshire does have about $40 billion of debt and other borrowings at what it calls its insurance and other businesses. It also has significant insurance liabilities.\nBerkshire has been an aggressive buyer of its stock this year, continuing a trend from the last half of 2020.\nThe company has bought back $20.2 billion of shares in the first nine months of 2021, including $7.6 billion in the third quarter. The buybacks continued into October. Barron’s has estimated that Berkshire purchased about $1.8 billion of stock based on the share count listed in Berkshire’s 10-Q.\nWith the recent drop in Berkshire’s stock, Buffett may continue to be an aggressive buyer of the shares. The current share price is below the average price at which the company bought back shares in the third quarter. This is shaping up as a good year for Berkshire despite minimal investment activity, with book value on pace to rise about 16%, driven by earnings growth and gains in the equity portfolio.\nAfter besting the S&P 500 earlier this year, Berkshire now is behind the index with a year-to-date gain of about 20%, against a 21.6% total return for the S&P 500.\nThere is some frustration among investors with Buffett’s inactivity on investments, but the 91-year-old CEO sees few opportunities.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":932,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609347836,"gmtCreate":1638244640754,"gmtModify":1638244640754,"author":{"id":"3585306220917787","authorId":"3585306220917787","name":"JJ1995","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7b7598df33bae920cf1aa01d5548891","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585306220917787","authorIdStr":"3585306220917787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609347836","repostId":"2187302022","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2187302022","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1638240965,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2187302022?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-30 10:56","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"SJM leads slide in Macau gaming stocks after Suncity chairman arrested","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2187302022","media":"Reuters","summary":"** Shares of SJM Holdings lead slide in Macau gaming stocks, falling 3.8% to the lowest since Oct. 1","content":"<p>** Shares of SJM Holdings lead slide in Macau gaming stocks, falling 3.8% to the lowest since Oct. 12 on their third consecutive session of decline</p>\n<p>** Melco, MGM China, Wynn Macau, Sands China and Galaxy also fall between 0.6% and 2.3%</p>\n<p>** Alvin Chau, who is also the founder of Suncity - a junket operator that brings in high rollers to play at casinos, was arrested by Macau police on Sunday</p>\n<p>** Suncity stock plunged 47.8% to HK$0.133, the lowest since listing in February 2007; the second biggest percentage decliner on the Hong Kong bourse</p>\n<p>** Suncity's unit Summit Ascent Holdings dropped as much as 50.5% to HK$0.24, its worst day ever on record; and was the biggest daily percentage decliner on the Hong Kong bourse</p>\n<p>** Hang Seng Commerce & Industry Index slides 0.9%, and the benchmark index eases 0.8%</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SJM leads slide in Macau gaming stocks after Suncity chairman arrested</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSJM leads slide in Macau gaming stocks after Suncity chairman arrested\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-11-30 10:56</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>** Shares of SJM Holdings lead slide in Macau gaming stocks, falling 3.8% to the lowest since Oct. 12 on their third consecutive session of decline</p>\n<p>** Melco, MGM China, Wynn Macau, Sands China and Galaxy also fall between 0.6% and 2.3%</p>\n<p>** Alvin Chau, who is also the founder of Suncity - a junket operator that brings in high rollers to play at casinos, was arrested by Macau police on Sunday</p>\n<p>** Suncity stock plunged 47.8% to HK$0.133, the lowest since listing in February 2007; the second biggest percentage decliner on the Hong Kong bourse</p>\n<p>** Suncity's unit Summit Ascent Holdings dropped as much as 50.5% to HK$0.24, its worst day ever on record; and was the biggest daily percentage decliner on the Hong Kong bourse</p>\n<p>** Hang Seng Commerce & Industry Index slides 0.9%, and the benchmark index eases 0.8%</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"00027":"银河娱乐","BK1521":"挪威政府全球养老基金持仓","BK1128":"电影和娱乐","BK1164":"酒店、度假村与豪华游轮","BK1605":"殡葬概念","01128":"永利澳门","01383":"LET GROUP","00200":"新濠国际发展","00102":"凯升控股","02282":"美高梅中国","01928":"金沙中国有限公司","BK1172":"赌场与赌博","BK1589":"北水核心资产","00880":"澳博控股","08082":"光尚文化控股"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2187302022","content_text":"** Shares of SJM Holdings lead slide in Macau gaming stocks, falling 3.8% to the lowest since Oct. 12 on their third consecutive session of decline\n** Melco, MGM China, Wynn Macau, Sands China and Galaxy also fall between 0.6% and 2.3%\n** Alvin Chau, who is also the founder of Suncity - a junket operator that brings in high rollers to play at casinos, was arrested by Macau police on Sunday\n** Suncity stock plunged 47.8% to HK$0.133, the lowest since listing in February 2007; the second biggest percentage decliner on the Hong Kong bourse\n** Suncity's unit Summit Ascent Holdings dropped as much as 50.5% to HK$0.24, its worst day ever on record; and was the biggest daily percentage decliner on the Hong Kong bourse\n** Hang Seng Commerce & Industry Index slides 0.9%, and the benchmark index eases 0.8%","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":660,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600502082,"gmtCreate":1638166893459,"gmtModify":1638166893459,"author":{"id":"3585306220917787","authorId":"3585306220917787","name":"JJ1995","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7b7598df33bae920cf1aa01d5548891","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585306220917787","authorIdStr":"3585306220917787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600502082","repostId":"1117801086","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117801086","pubTimestamp":1638165391,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117801086?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-29 13:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"American Airlines: Buy For The Long Haul","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117801086","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe new Covid strain out of South Africa is already impacting the AAL stock without knowing","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>The new Covid strain out of South Africa is already impacting the AAL stock without knowing very much about the variant; the stock could be oversold.</li>\n <li>Leisure travel has recovered to pre-Covid levels, just waiting on business travel to return, which could happen over the next 12-24 months.</li>\n <li>Debt reduction will continue as CapEx will remain low due to good fleet management over the last 10 years.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>American Airlines(NASDAQ:AAL)has been hit hard once again due to the fears of a new Covid strain coming out of South Africa. Threat or not it is too early to tell but the market is suggesting it could be a threat. I just see a potential buying opportunity for the long term. Travel for leisure has returned to similar levels we saw pre-covid, it is just business travel that is lagging. Once that returns, revenues will follow. The company could be back to pre-covid level revenue in the next 2 years and the share price will climb as that happens. In the meantime, we can only work with what is, and right now there is a bit of fear in the travel space. I am bullish on American Airlines long term.</p>\n<p>What Is Driving American Airlines?</p>\n<p>In short, it's Covid. But, what Covid is affecting is the revenue. Looking below we can get a grasp of where we currently stand with regards to Covid and travel and how it affects American Airlines. This has already lasted far longer than many of us (myself included) thought it would and airlines have been some of the hardest hit by Covid. Just as it was looking good, a new variant appears, but more on that later. For now, I will focus on the positive.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03791b93c138b55d06cb201c5bbe0a8a\" tg-width=\"1381\" tg-height=\"771\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source:Company Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>Later on, I will look at the TSA checkpoint data, but I want to highlight the following chart from American Airlines. What we can see here is that consumer sentiment is full on board with getting on a plane for leisure purposes. We can see that since the summer, the company is making roughly the same as they were off leisure in 2019, which is awesome. The downside is the business side. Many companies still won't allow their employees to travel, or strongly discourage it. A lot are realizing some pretty incredible savings due to not traveling, so it may take some more time to see those numbers come back to what they once were. I think most people (yes even people under 30) are starting to see that virtual meetings/conferences are way more effective in person. Sadly, it may take until Covid is no longer a buzzword in the media, and who knows when that is. But, I do firmly believe that business will return to 80%+ consistently over the next couple of years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3aac11cf89c30d6327ef83687e4f555\" tg-width=\"1854\" tg-height=\"743\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Company Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>Let's look at revenue as a whole and see where we were, and where we could be headed. In 2019, the company posted a record $45.77 billion in revenue. Only to see that fall all the way down to $17.34 billion in 2020. We will see how close they get to $30.00 billion this year, but it is expected that they get back over $40.00 billion in 2022. A good chunk of thatis dependent on business travel picking up again, which unfortunately all we can do is wait and see.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/670fea5cb5394f9c397c56999d1a92ae\" tg-width=\"1857\" tg-height=\"629\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>One of the other major positives when looking at American Airlines is their lower CapEx in the coming years. This is thanks to strong fleet management over the last 10 years. Roughly 60% of their fleet is 10 years old or younger, and this allows cash flows to be put towards paying down debt and getting the balance sheet back into a spot where the company could even consider paying a dividend down the road.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc4dcb6e867785014575a397fbb7db1d\" tg-width=\"1848\" tg-height=\"653\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Company Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>What About A Dividend?</p>\n<p>I know the dividend was a nice reward, but I wouldn't expect to see a dividend anytime soon. Some analysts are expecting a very small return in 2022, as small as $0.01 annually. Personally, I would like them to forget about the dividend and get the balance sheet back into a manageable position before they think about a payout.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9f89a11b63b20e8fef6cb8d3a571d2c\" tg-width=\"1852\" tg-height=\"623\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Looking above, we can see the net debt and how it's grown since Covid came into our lives, and rightfully so. For years, the company maintained a sub 3x debt to EBITDA ratio, and even by 2022 year-end, it's expected to be around 6.5x which is still very high. It will be a good thing that they finish with a positive EBITDA in 2022 alone, and there is a lot of work to be done here. But, what we do know is that air travel isn't going to disappear. It will be back, and the dividend will return as well as the debt comes back to a manageable level, long term.</p>\n<p>What Are The Risks?</p>\n<p>I am not a virologist by any means, but without a doubt, this new strain is a threat to shareholders. The reason it is a threat has to do with how passengers (customers) feel about travel given the news. Regardless of how you feel about Covid, this is a fact. All you have to do is look at the flyer statistics to see this. Looking below, we can see that travel has been edging closer to the numbers we saw in 2019 what seems like daily.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1447b2283f7592efe5b3dd35b69e8204\" tg-width=\"1848\" tg-height=\"750\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Author Made. Data fromTSA)</span></p>\n<p>Some of the effects here so include business and international travel. When will that be back in full force? I would love to tell you with confidence that 2022 will be our year, but it's hard to say at this point. Local and international restrictions will continue to play a role in travel at least for the first quarter of 2022 at this point. I will have full confidence when we can remove mandates and restrictions country-wide without having an explosion in cases, or at least the general media begins to ignore case counts. Until then, many people/companies will not feel comfortable with travel and numbers will remain below where we saw them pre-covid.</p>\n<p>What Does The Price Say?</p>\n<p>Some of this may seem redundant, but let's remind ourselves. Air travel is going to return to full force at some point, and eventually, the stock market will stop reacting to new Covid variants. When that is, is the million-dollar question. Looking below, we can see that the fair value, which uses 10-year forward levered cash flows, is showing over 200% possible returns. The stock was last at $41 in late 2018, and I do think it will get there again down the road.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/610c5755fbfe9f9630b4332a8835894e\" tg-width=\"1690\" tg-height=\"747\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Simplywall.st)</span></p>\n<p>Now, let's look at the charts and see when that could happen and what we need to watch for technically speaking. We saw the stock (and all airlines for that matter) crash through some key support right around $18.20 on the news of the new variant. We fell as low as $16.90, but rebounded nicely into the close and finished at $17.69 (nice). Honestly, this is better than I expected when I heard the news on Thursday night. So where do we go from here?</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3a4a8a88f605f5676364c975ca7eb02\" tg-width=\"1632\" tg-height=\"761\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: TC2000.com)</span></p>\n<p>There is a very good chance we could see some panic selling. Friday was a holiday for most people in the U.S. which means many were not very concerned with their investments. Typically what we see after a panic sell in the morning is a snap back up as smart money jumps back in. Obviously, there are other things at play here as well. All I can do is look for areas of support and play the charts accordingly.</p>\n<p>Looking below we can see a few areas. Yes, these are large gaps, but it's where the key support lies. I think we could see a retest of the $16.90 low we saw on Friday, but we could also dip lower on panic selling towards $15.00. Below $15.00, I would steer clear and wait for a clear reversal and to see $15.00 regained. As for the bounce case, we now have a nice gap thanks to the sell-off that needs to be filled. I would be keeping an eye on ~$18.87 to see if we can test that level. There is clear support there now, and it would fill the gap.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb16376040a8b7499a67e34f68f1e893\" tg-width=\"1586\" tg-height=\"756\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: TC2000.com)</span></p>\n<p>Either way, this is a very risky trade at this point given what we know. Markets don't like uncertainty and this new variant has introduced a lot of that to the market. The media will continue to run with news on the new variant, so keep an eye on that to see when that is no longer the main headline as it will signal a potential sustainable bounce. We are typically in a strong season for airline stocks, so it will be interesting to see how we respond from here given the news. If you do take the trade, set your stops. You can always buy back lower if you still love the stock.</p>\n<p>Wrap-Up</p>\n<p>The largest IF here and it's a big IF, surrounds Covid and if business travel can be sustained once again. I think we all agree that air travel is going to be here for decades to come. Once we see the business travel return, the stock will benefit greatly. The world is forever changed without a doubt, but I do think American Airlines will push through. I currently do not have a position, but I will be watching the levels outlined very carefully as I do think there is a lot of potential here and I am bullish in the long term. Thank you for reading, and stay safe out there!</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>American Airlines: Buy For The Long Haul</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmerican Airlines: Buy For The Long Haul\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-29 13:56 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4472192-american-airlines-buy-for-the-long-haul><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe new Covid strain out of South Africa is already impacting the AAL stock without knowing very much about the variant; the stock could be oversold.\nLeisure travel has recovered to pre-Covid...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4472192-american-airlines-buy-for-the-long-haul\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAL":"美国航空"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4472192-american-airlines-buy-for-the-long-haul","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1117801086","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe new Covid strain out of South Africa is already impacting the AAL stock without knowing very much about the variant; the stock could be oversold.\nLeisure travel has recovered to pre-Covid levels, just waiting on business travel to return, which could happen over the next 12-24 months.\nDebt reduction will continue as CapEx will remain low due to good fleet management over the last 10 years.\n\nAmerican Airlines(NASDAQ:AAL)has been hit hard once again due to the fears of a new Covid strain coming out of South Africa. Threat or not it is too early to tell but the market is suggesting it could be a threat. I just see a potential buying opportunity for the long term. Travel for leisure has returned to similar levels we saw pre-covid, it is just business travel that is lagging. Once that returns, revenues will follow. The company could be back to pre-covid level revenue in the next 2 years and the share price will climb as that happens. In the meantime, we can only work with what is, and right now there is a bit of fear in the travel space. I am bullish on American Airlines long term.\nWhat Is Driving American Airlines?\nIn short, it's Covid. But, what Covid is affecting is the revenue. Looking below we can get a grasp of where we currently stand with regards to Covid and travel and how it affects American Airlines. This has already lasted far longer than many of us (myself included) thought it would and airlines have been some of the hardest hit by Covid. Just as it was looking good, a new variant appears, but more on that later. For now, I will focus on the positive.\n(Source:Company Presentation)\nLater on, I will look at the TSA checkpoint data, but I want to highlight the following chart from American Airlines. What we can see here is that consumer sentiment is full on board with getting on a plane for leisure purposes. We can see that since the summer, the company is making roughly the same as they were off leisure in 2019, which is awesome. The downside is the business side. Many companies still won't allow their employees to travel, or strongly discourage it. A lot are realizing some pretty incredible savings due to not traveling, so it may take some more time to see those numbers come back to what they once were. I think most people (yes even people under 30) are starting to see that virtual meetings/conferences are way more effective in person. Sadly, it may take until Covid is no longer a buzzword in the media, and who knows when that is. But, I do firmly believe that business will return to 80%+ consistently over the next couple of years.\n(Source: Company Presentation)\nLet's look at revenue as a whole and see where we were, and where we could be headed. In 2019, the company posted a record $45.77 billion in revenue. Only to see that fall all the way down to $17.34 billion in 2020. We will see how close they get to $30.00 billion this year, but it is expected that they get back over $40.00 billion in 2022. A good chunk of thatis dependent on business travel picking up again, which unfortunately all we can do is wait and see.\n\nOne of the other major positives when looking at American Airlines is their lower CapEx in the coming years. This is thanks to strong fleet management over the last 10 years. Roughly 60% of their fleet is 10 years old or younger, and this allows cash flows to be put towards paying down debt and getting the balance sheet back into a spot where the company could even consider paying a dividend down the road.\n(Source: Company Presentation)\nWhat About A Dividend?\nI know the dividend was a nice reward, but I wouldn't expect to see a dividend anytime soon. Some analysts are expecting a very small return in 2022, as small as $0.01 annually. Personally, I would like them to forget about the dividend and get the balance sheet back into a manageable position before they think about a payout.\n\nLooking above, we can see the net debt and how it's grown since Covid came into our lives, and rightfully so. For years, the company maintained a sub 3x debt to EBITDA ratio, and even by 2022 year-end, it's expected to be around 6.5x which is still very high. It will be a good thing that they finish with a positive EBITDA in 2022 alone, and there is a lot of work to be done here. But, what we do know is that air travel isn't going to disappear. It will be back, and the dividend will return as well as the debt comes back to a manageable level, long term.\nWhat Are The Risks?\nI am not a virologist by any means, but without a doubt, this new strain is a threat to shareholders. The reason it is a threat has to do with how passengers (customers) feel about travel given the news. Regardless of how you feel about Covid, this is a fact. All you have to do is look at the flyer statistics to see this. Looking below, we can see that travel has been edging closer to the numbers we saw in 2019 what seems like daily.\n(Source: Author Made. Data fromTSA)\nSome of the effects here so include business and international travel. When will that be back in full force? I would love to tell you with confidence that 2022 will be our year, but it's hard to say at this point. Local and international restrictions will continue to play a role in travel at least for the first quarter of 2022 at this point. I will have full confidence when we can remove mandates and restrictions country-wide without having an explosion in cases, or at least the general media begins to ignore case counts. Until then, many people/companies will not feel comfortable with travel and numbers will remain below where we saw them pre-covid.\nWhat Does The Price Say?\nSome of this may seem redundant, but let's remind ourselves. Air travel is going to return to full force at some point, and eventually, the stock market will stop reacting to new Covid variants. When that is, is the million-dollar question. Looking below, we can see that the fair value, which uses 10-year forward levered cash flows, is showing over 200% possible returns. The stock was last at $41 in late 2018, and I do think it will get there again down the road.\n(Source: Simplywall.st)\nNow, let's look at the charts and see when that could happen and what we need to watch for technically speaking. We saw the stock (and all airlines for that matter) crash through some key support right around $18.20 on the news of the new variant. We fell as low as $16.90, but rebounded nicely into the close and finished at $17.69 (nice). Honestly, this is better than I expected when I heard the news on Thursday night. So where do we go from here?\n(Source: TC2000.com)\nThere is a very good chance we could see some panic selling. Friday was a holiday for most people in the U.S. which means many were not very concerned with their investments. Typically what we see after a panic sell in the morning is a snap back up as smart money jumps back in. Obviously, there are other things at play here as well. All I can do is look for areas of support and play the charts accordingly.\nLooking below we can see a few areas. Yes, these are large gaps, but it's where the key support lies. I think we could see a retest of the $16.90 low we saw on Friday, but we could also dip lower on panic selling towards $15.00. Below $15.00, I would steer clear and wait for a clear reversal and to see $15.00 regained. As for the bounce case, we now have a nice gap thanks to the sell-off that needs to be filled. I would be keeping an eye on ~$18.87 to see if we can test that level. There is clear support there now, and it would fill the gap.\n(Source: TC2000.com)\nEither way, this is a very risky trade at this point given what we know. Markets don't like uncertainty and this new variant has introduced a lot of that to the market. The media will continue to run with news on the new variant, so keep an eye on that to see when that is no longer the main headline as it will signal a potential sustainable bounce. We are typically in a strong season for airline stocks, so it will be interesting to see how we respond from here given the news. If you do take the trade, set your stops. You can always buy back lower if you still love the stock.\nWrap-Up\nThe largest IF here and it's a big IF, surrounds Covid and if business travel can be sustained once again. I think we all agree that air travel is going to be here for decades to come. Once we see the business travel return, the stock will benefit greatly. The world is forever changed without a doubt, but I do think American Airlines will push through. I currently do not have a position, but I will be watching the levels outlined very carefully as I do think there is a lot of potential here and I am bullish in the long term. Thank you for reading, and stay safe out there!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":524,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":602216796,"gmtCreate":1639025245062,"gmtModify":1639025245062,"author":{"id":"3585306220917787","authorId":"3585306220917787","name":"JJ1995","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7b7598df33bae920cf1aa01d5548891","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585306220917787","authorIdStr":"3585306220917787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K like ","listText":"K like ","text":"K like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602216796","repostId":"2189667447","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2189667447","pubTimestamp":1639022040,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2189667447?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-09 11:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Growth Stocks Down Over 50% To Buy Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2189667447","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The stock market is offering long-term investors an opportunity to buy these excellent businesses at a discount.","content":"<p>Investing in stocks for the long term can be an effective way to build wealth. However, the path to increasing stock values is rarely an upward straight line. More frequently, it is charted with several peaks and valleys. Long-term investors with the courage and discipline to hold or buy stocks during major crashes are sometimes rewarded with exponential gains.</p>\n<p>If you have extra cash you will not need for several years for life's necessities, you can buy stocks with good long-term prospects that are down due to short-term causes. <b>Chegg</b> (NYSE:CHGG), <b>Peloton</b> (NASDAQ:PTON), and <b>Skillz</b> (NYSE:SKLZ) are three stocks you can buy right now that are down over 50% while their long-term prospects remain intact.</p>\n<h2>Chegg</h2>\n<p>Chegg is an education technology company with a subscription business model. It caters primarily to college students by offering help with course curriculum. Chegg's platform has over 70 million step-by-step solutions to answers that students may have difficulty understanding. Chegg has built this database through student requests. In addition to having full access to existing content, students can ask 20 questions per month answered by subject-matter experts with their subscription. These questions and answers are then added to the database for all students to view.</p>\n<p>That's a lucrative business model because Chegg pays for that content once and gets the benefits for several years. The college curriculum does not change much over the years, so the assets pay dividends for decades. Chegg is already starting to capture the benefits of scaling to a more significant subscriber and revenue base. Indeed, from 2015 to 2020, operating profit grew from a loss of $57 million to a positive $57 million.</p>\n<p>Nevertheless, the stock is down 67.5% in 2021, with most losses coming after Nov. 1. That's when the company lowered the forecast for the rest of the fiscal year, citing a significant drop-off in student enrollment.</p>\n<h2>Peloton</h2>\n<p>Peloton sells interactive exercise equipment and a subscription to live and recorded exercise classes. The company was already gaining popularity before the pandemic increased the demand for in-home exercise equipment. As a result, revenue more than doubled to $4 billion in fiscal 2021.</p>\n<p>Once a customer signs up, they tend to stick around. Peloton boasted a membership retention rate of 92% in its most recent quarter ended Sept. 30. The company has a robust selection of live and recorded classes and makes members feel part of a community.</p>\n<p>Peloton had 2.5 million connected fitness subscribers at the end of the quarter, and management is forecasting that it will grow to 3.4 million by the end of fiscal 2022. Still, that would be a small part of the number of people that regularly exercise -- leaving Peloton with a long runway for growth.</p>\n<p>Peloton's stock is down 72% in 2021, mainly because economic reopening slowed the demand for in-home exercise equipment. That being said, Peloton's sales are growing on top of last years' elevated levels.</p>\n<h2>Skillz</h2>\n<p>Skillz is a gaming company with a unique twist: It allows contestants to wager on their games and doles out cash prizes to winners. The company's business is not considered gambling because the games on its site are based on skill. In other words, winners win because they are better at the game and not because of chance. Of course, if you have money on the line, you engage with the games more seriously than you would otherwise.</p>\n<p>In its most recent quarter, the company boasted 0.51 million monthly active users, up from 0.35 million in the year before. Still, the growth is not pleasing investors because the company is spending so heavily on sales and marketing. Skillz spent 112% of revenue on sales and marketing in its most recent quarter. Investors feel it should be getting better results from that spending. The stock is down 57.8% in 2021.</p>\n<p>Each of these three stocks is down big because of short-term catalysts. That could be an excellent buying opportunity for long-term investors who want to buy these growth stocks at more than 50% off their highs.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Growth Stocks Down Over 50% To Buy Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Growth Stocks Down Over 50% To Buy Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-09 11:54 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/08/3-growth-stocks-down-over-50-to-buy-now/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investing in stocks for the long term can be an effective way to build wealth. However, the path to increasing stock values is rarely an upward straight line. More frequently, it is charted with ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/08/3-growth-stocks-down-over-50-to-buy-now/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SKLZ":"Skillz Inc","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","CHGG":"Chegg Inc","PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc.","BK4085":"互动家庭娱乐","BK4190":"消闲用品","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4204":"教育服务"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/08/3-growth-stocks-down-over-50-to-buy-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2189667447","content_text":"Investing in stocks for the long term can be an effective way to build wealth. However, the path to increasing stock values is rarely an upward straight line. More frequently, it is charted with several peaks and valleys. Long-term investors with the courage and discipline to hold or buy stocks during major crashes are sometimes rewarded with exponential gains.\nIf you have extra cash you will not need for several years for life's necessities, you can buy stocks with good long-term prospects that are down due to short-term causes. Chegg (NYSE:CHGG), Peloton (NASDAQ:PTON), and Skillz (NYSE:SKLZ) are three stocks you can buy right now that are down over 50% while their long-term prospects remain intact.\nChegg\nChegg is an education technology company with a subscription business model. It caters primarily to college students by offering help with course curriculum. Chegg's platform has over 70 million step-by-step solutions to answers that students may have difficulty understanding. Chegg has built this database through student requests. In addition to having full access to existing content, students can ask 20 questions per month answered by subject-matter experts with their subscription. These questions and answers are then added to the database for all students to view.\nThat's a lucrative business model because Chegg pays for that content once and gets the benefits for several years. The college curriculum does not change much over the years, so the assets pay dividends for decades. Chegg is already starting to capture the benefits of scaling to a more significant subscriber and revenue base. Indeed, from 2015 to 2020, operating profit grew from a loss of $57 million to a positive $57 million.\nNevertheless, the stock is down 67.5% in 2021, with most losses coming after Nov. 1. That's when the company lowered the forecast for the rest of the fiscal year, citing a significant drop-off in student enrollment.\nPeloton\nPeloton sells interactive exercise equipment and a subscription to live and recorded exercise classes. The company was already gaining popularity before the pandemic increased the demand for in-home exercise equipment. As a result, revenue more than doubled to $4 billion in fiscal 2021.\nOnce a customer signs up, they tend to stick around. Peloton boasted a membership retention rate of 92% in its most recent quarter ended Sept. 30. The company has a robust selection of live and recorded classes and makes members feel part of a community.\nPeloton had 2.5 million connected fitness subscribers at the end of the quarter, and management is forecasting that it will grow to 3.4 million by the end of fiscal 2022. Still, that would be a small part of the number of people that regularly exercise -- leaving Peloton with a long runway for growth.\nPeloton's stock is down 72% in 2021, mainly because economic reopening slowed the demand for in-home exercise equipment. That being said, Peloton's sales are growing on top of last years' elevated levels.\nSkillz\nSkillz is a gaming company with a unique twist: It allows contestants to wager on their games and doles out cash prizes to winners. The company's business is not considered gambling because the games on its site are based on skill. In other words, winners win because they are better at the game and not because of chance. Of course, if you have money on the line, you engage with the games more seriously than you would otherwise.\nIn its most recent quarter, the company boasted 0.51 million monthly active users, up from 0.35 million in the year before. Still, the growth is not pleasing investors because the company is spending so heavily on sales and marketing. Skillz spent 112% of revenue on sales and marketing in its most recent quarter. Investors feel it should be getting better results from that spending. The stock is down 57.8% in 2021.\nEach of these three stocks is down big because of short-term catalysts. That could be an excellent buying opportunity for long-term investors who want to buy these growth stocks at more than 50% off their highs.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":585,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603571167,"gmtCreate":1638434287150,"gmtModify":1638434287266,"author":{"id":"3585306220917787","authorId":"3585306220917787","name":"JJ1995","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7b7598df33bae920cf1aa01d5548891","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585306220917787","authorIdStr":"3585306220917787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603571167","repostId":"1159346813","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159346813","pubTimestamp":1638433630,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159346813?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-02 16:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Apple’s Rally Is a Boon to Berkshire Hathaway","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159346813","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple‘s rising stock price is a boon to Berkshire Hathaway,whose 5% stake in the iPhone maker is now","content":"<p>Apple‘s rising stock price is a boon to Berkshire Hathaway,whose 5% stake in the iPhone maker is now worth about $151 billion.</p>\n<p>The recent gain in Apple shares (ticker: AAPL) is making Berkshire stock (BRK.A and BRK.B) more appealing by lifting the company’s shareholder equity, or book value.</p>\n<p>Berkshire class A shares trade for around 1.25 times projected year-end book value of about $333,000 a share. This is an estimate from Edward Jones analyst James Shanahan, who has a Buy rating on Berkshire stock. Book value ended the third quarter at about $316,000 per class A share. <i>Barron’s</i> has been bullish on Berkshire, including making it one of our top stock picks for 2021.</p>\n<p>The current price-to-book ratio is below the average of about 1.4 times over the past year, but above the year-end 2020 ratio of 1.2 times.</p>\n<p>Berkshire holds roughly 908 million Apple shares (based on the company’s third-quarter 10-Q). The stake is valued at $151 billion. Apple shares gained 3.2% Tuesday, to $165.30, bucking a sharp decline in the overall market.</p>\n<p>Apple now accounts almost half of Berkshire’s equity portfolio. which totaled $311 billion on Sept. 30. Four stocks—Apple,Coca-Cola (KO), Bank of America (BAC), and American Express (AXP)—make up more than 70% of its equity holdings. Berkshire is valued at around $625 billion.</p>\n<p>Berkshire’s cost for its Apple stock is $31 billion, or about $35 a share, with the stock largely purchased between 2016 and 2018. It’s sitting on a gain of about $120 billion, making it the biggest score of CEO Warren Buffett’s long tenure at Berkshire, dating back to 1965.</p>\n<p>The equity holdings and Berkshire’s cash of $149 billion make up nearly 75% of the company’s market value.</p>\n<p>Berkshire does have about $40 billion of debt and other borrowings at what it calls its insurance and other businesses. It also has significant insurance liabilities.</p>\n<p>Berkshire has been an aggressive buyer of its stock this year, continuing a trend from the last half of 2020.</p>\n<p>The company has bought back $20.2 billion of shares in the first nine months of 2021, including $7.6 billion in the third quarter. The buybacks continued into October. <i>Barron’s</i> has estimated that Berkshire purchased about $1.8 billion of stock based on the share count listed in Berkshire’s 10-Q.</p>\n<p>With the recent drop in Berkshire’s stock, Buffett may continue to be an aggressive buyer of the shares. The current share price is below the average price at which the company bought back shares in the third quarter. This is shaping up as a good year for Berkshire despite minimal investment activity, with book value on pace to rise about 16%, driven by earnings growth and gains in the equity portfolio.</p>\n<p>After besting the S&P 500 earlier this year, Berkshire now is behind the index with a year-to-date gain of about 20%, against a 21.6% total return for the S&P 500.</p>\n<p>There is some frustration among investors with Buffett’s inactivity on investments, but the 91-year-old CEO sees few opportunities.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Apple’s Rally Is a Boon to Berkshire Hathaway</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Apple’s Rally Is a Boon to Berkshire Hathaway\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-02 16:27 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-berkshire-hathaway-51638371498?mod=RTA><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple‘s rising stock price is a boon to Berkshire Hathaway,whose 5% stake in the iPhone maker is now worth about $151 billion.\nThe recent gain in Apple shares (ticker: AAPL) is making Berkshire stock ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-berkshire-hathaway-51638371498?mod=RTA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-berkshire-hathaway-51638371498?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159346813","content_text":"Apple‘s rising stock price is a boon to Berkshire Hathaway,whose 5% stake in the iPhone maker is now worth about $151 billion.\nThe recent gain in Apple shares (ticker: AAPL) is making Berkshire stock (BRK.A and BRK.B) more appealing by lifting the company’s shareholder equity, or book value.\nBerkshire class A shares trade for around 1.25 times projected year-end book value of about $333,000 a share. This is an estimate from Edward Jones analyst James Shanahan, who has a Buy rating on Berkshire stock. Book value ended the third quarter at about $316,000 per class A share. Barron’s has been bullish on Berkshire, including making it one of our top stock picks for 2021.\nThe current price-to-book ratio is below the average of about 1.4 times over the past year, but above the year-end 2020 ratio of 1.2 times.\nBerkshire holds roughly 908 million Apple shares (based on the company’s third-quarter 10-Q). The stake is valued at $151 billion. Apple shares gained 3.2% Tuesday, to $165.30, bucking a sharp decline in the overall market.\nApple now accounts almost half of Berkshire’s equity portfolio. which totaled $311 billion on Sept. 30. Four stocks—Apple,Coca-Cola (KO), Bank of America (BAC), and American Express (AXP)—make up more than 70% of its equity holdings. Berkshire is valued at around $625 billion.\nBerkshire’s cost for its Apple stock is $31 billion, or about $35 a share, with the stock largely purchased between 2016 and 2018. It’s sitting on a gain of about $120 billion, making it the biggest score of CEO Warren Buffett’s long tenure at Berkshire, dating back to 1965.\nThe equity holdings and Berkshire’s cash of $149 billion make up nearly 75% of the company’s market value.\nBerkshire does have about $40 billion of debt and other borrowings at what it calls its insurance and other businesses. It also has significant insurance liabilities.\nBerkshire has been an aggressive buyer of its stock this year, continuing a trend from the last half of 2020.\nThe company has bought back $20.2 billion of shares in the first nine months of 2021, including $7.6 billion in the third quarter. The buybacks continued into October. Barron’s has estimated that Berkshire purchased about $1.8 billion of stock based on the share count listed in Berkshire’s 10-Q.\nWith the recent drop in Berkshire’s stock, Buffett may continue to be an aggressive buyer of the shares. The current share price is below the average price at which the company bought back shares in the third quarter. This is shaping up as a good year for Berkshire despite minimal investment activity, with book value on pace to rise about 16%, driven by earnings growth and gains in the equity portfolio.\nAfter besting the S&P 500 earlier this year, Berkshire now is behind the index with a year-to-date gain of about 20%, against a 21.6% total return for the S&P 500.\nThere is some frustration among investors with Buffett’s inactivity on investments, but the 91-year-old CEO sees few opportunities.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":932,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600502082,"gmtCreate":1638166893459,"gmtModify":1638166893459,"author":{"id":"3585306220917787","authorId":"3585306220917787","name":"JJ1995","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7b7598df33bae920cf1aa01d5548891","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585306220917787","authorIdStr":"3585306220917787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600502082","repostId":"1117801086","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117801086","pubTimestamp":1638165391,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117801086?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-29 13:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"American Airlines: Buy For The Long Haul","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117801086","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe new Covid strain out of South Africa is already impacting the AAL stock without knowing","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>The new Covid strain out of South Africa is already impacting the AAL stock without knowing very much about the variant; the stock could be oversold.</li>\n <li>Leisure travel has recovered to pre-Covid levels, just waiting on business travel to return, which could happen over the next 12-24 months.</li>\n <li>Debt reduction will continue as CapEx will remain low due to good fleet management over the last 10 years.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>American Airlines(NASDAQ:AAL)has been hit hard once again due to the fears of a new Covid strain coming out of South Africa. Threat or not it is too early to tell but the market is suggesting it could be a threat. I just see a potential buying opportunity for the long term. Travel for leisure has returned to similar levels we saw pre-covid, it is just business travel that is lagging. Once that returns, revenues will follow. The company could be back to pre-covid level revenue in the next 2 years and the share price will climb as that happens. In the meantime, we can only work with what is, and right now there is a bit of fear in the travel space. I am bullish on American Airlines long term.</p>\n<p>What Is Driving American Airlines?</p>\n<p>In short, it's Covid. But, what Covid is affecting is the revenue. Looking below we can get a grasp of where we currently stand with regards to Covid and travel and how it affects American Airlines. This has already lasted far longer than many of us (myself included) thought it would and airlines have been some of the hardest hit by Covid. Just as it was looking good, a new variant appears, but more on that later. For now, I will focus on the positive.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03791b93c138b55d06cb201c5bbe0a8a\" tg-width=\"1381\" tg-height=\"771\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source:Company Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>Later on, I will look at the TSA checkpoint data, but I want to highlight the following chart from American Airlines. What we can see here is that consumer sentiment is full on board with getting on a plane for leisure purposes. We can see that since the summer, the company is making roughly the same as they were off leisure in 2019, which is awesome. The downside is the business side. Many companies still won't allow their employees to travel, or strongly discourage it. A lot are realizing some pretty incredible savings due to not traveling, so it may take some more time to see those numbers come back to what they once were. I think most people (yes even people under 30) are starting to see that virtual meetings/conferences are way more effective in person. Sadly, it may take until Covid is no longer a buzzword in the media, and who knows when that is. But, I do firmly believe that business will return to 80%+ consistently over the next couple of years.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3aac11cf89c30d6327ef83687e4f555\" tg-width=\"1854\" tg-height=\"743\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Company Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>Let's look at revenue as a whole and see where we were, and where we could be headed. In 2019, the company posted a record $45.77 billion in revenue. Only to see that fall all the way down to $17.34 billion in 2020. We will see how close they get to $30.00 billion this year, but it is expected that they get back over $40.00 billion in 2022. A good chunk of thatis dependent on business travel picking up again, which unfortunately all we can do is wait and see.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/670fea5cb5394f9c397c56999d1a92ae\" tg-width=\"1857\" tg-height=\"629\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>One of the other major positives when looking at American Airlines is their lower CapEx in the coming years. This is thanks to strong fleet management over the last 10 years. Roughly 60% of their fleet is 10 years old or younger, and this allows cash flows to be put towards paying down debt and getting the balance sheet back into a spot where the company could even consider paying a dividend down the road.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc4dcb6e867785014575a397fbb7db1d\" tg-width=\"1848\" tg-height=\"653\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Company Presentation)</span></p>\n<p>What About A Dividend?</p>\n<p>I know the dividend was a nice reward, but I wouldn't expect to see a dividend anytime soon. Some analysts are expecting a very small return in 2022, as small as $0.01 annually. Personally, I would like them to forget about the dividend and get the balance sheet back into a manageable position before they think about a payout.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9f89a11b63b20e8fef6cb8d3a571d2c\" tg-width=\"1852\" tg-height=\"623\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Looking above, we can see the net debt and how it's grown since Covid came into our lives, and rightfully so. For years, the company maintained a sub 3x debt to EBITDA ratio, and even by 2022 year-end, it's expected to be around 6.5x which is still very high. It will be a good thing that they finish with a positive EBITDA in 2022 alone, and there is a lot of work to be done here. But, what we do know is that air travel isn't going to disappear. It will be back, and the dividend will return as well as the debt comes back to a manageable level, long term.</p>\n<p>What Are The Risks?</p>\n<p>I am not a virologist by any means, but without a doubt, this new strain is a threat to shareholders. The reason it is a threat has to do with how passengers (customers) feel about travel given the news. Regardless of how you feel about Covid, this is a fact. All you have to do is look at the flyer statistics to see this. Looking below, we can see that travel has been edging closer to the numbers we saw in 2019 what seems like daily.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1447b2283f7592efe5b3dd35b69e8204\" tg-width=\"1848\" tg-height=\"750\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Author Made. Data fromTSA)</span></p>\n<p>Some of the effects here so include business and international travel. When will that be back in full force? I would love to tell you with confidence that 2022 will be our year, but it's hard to say at this point. Local and international restrictions will continue to play a role in travel at least for the first quarter of 2022 at this point. I will have full confidence when we can remove mandates and restrictions country-wide without having an explosion in cases, or at least the general media begins to ignore case counts. Until then, many people/companies will not feel comfortable with travel and numbers will remain below where we saw them pre-covid.</p>\n<p>What Does The Price Say?</p>\n<p>Some of this may seem redundant, but let's remind ourselves. Air travel is going to return to full force at some point, and eventually, the stock market will stop reacting to new Covid variants. When that is, is the million-dollar question. Looking below, we can see that the fair value, which uses 10-year forward levered cash flows, is showing over 200% possible returns. The stock was last at $41 in late 2018, and I do think it will get there again down the road.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/610c5755fbfe9f9630b4332a8835894e\" tg-width=\"1690\" tg-height=\"747\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Simplywall.st)</span></p>\n<p>Now, let's look at the charts and see when that could happen and what we need to watch for technically speaking. We saw the stock (and all airlines for that matter) crash through some key support right around $18.20 on the news of the new variant. We fell as low as $16.90, but rebounded nicely into the close and finished at $17.69 (nice). Honestly, this is better than I expected when I heard the news on Thursday night. So where do we go from here?</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3a4a8a88f605f5676364c975ca7eb02\" tg-width=\"1632\" tg-height=\"761\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: TC2000.com)</span></p>\n<p>There is a very good chance we could see some panic selling. Friday was a holiday for most people in the U.S. which means many were not very concerned with their investments. Typically what we see after a panic sell in the morning is a snap back up as smart money jumps back in. Obviously, there are other things at play here as well. All I can do is look for areas of support and play the charts accordingly.</p>\n<p>Looking below we can see a few areas. Yes, these are large gaps, but it's where the key support lies. I think we could see a retest of the $16.90 low we saw on Friday, but we could also dip lower on panic selling towards $15.00. Below $15.00, I would steer clear and wait for a clear reversal and to see $15.00 regained. As for the bounce case, we now have a nice gap thanks to the sell-off that needs to be filled. I would be keeping an eye on ~$18.87 to see if we can test that level. There is clear support there now, and it would fill the gap.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb16376040a8b7499a67e34f68f1e893\" tg-width=\"1586\" tg-height=\"756\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: TC2000.com)</span></p>\n<p>Either way, this is a very risky trade at this point given what we know. Markets don't like uncertainty and this new variant has introduced a lot of that to the market. The media will continue to run with news on the new variant, so keep an eye on that to see when that is no longer the main headline as it will signal a potential sustainable bounce. We are typically in a strong season for airline stocks, so it will be interesting to see how we respond from here given the news. If you do take the trade, set your stops. You can always buy back lower if you still love the stock.</p>\n<p>Wrap-Up</p>\n<p>The largest IF here and it's a big IF, surrounds Covid and if business travel can be sustained once again. I think we all agree that air travel is going to be here for decades to come. Once we see the business travel return, the stock will benefit greatly. The world is forever changed without a doubt, but I do think American Airlines will push through. I currently do not have a position, but I will be watching the levels outlined very carefully as I do think there is a lot of potential here and I am bullish in the long term. Thank you for reading, and stay safe out there!</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>American Airlines: Buy For The Long Haul</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmerican Airlines: Buy For The Long Haul\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-29 13:56 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4472192-american-airlines-buy-for-the-long-haul><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe new Covid strain out of South Africa is already impacting the AAL stock without knowing very much about the variant; the stock could be oversold.\nLeisure travel has recovered to pre-Covid...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4472192-american-airlines-buy-for-the-long-haul\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAL":"美国航空"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4472192-american-airlines-buy-for-the-long-haul","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1117801086","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe new Covid strain out of South Africa is already impacting the AAL stock without knowing very much about the variant; the stock could be oversold.\nLeisure travel has recovered to pre-Covid levels, just waiting on business travel to return, which could happen over the next 12-24 months.\nDebt reduction will continue as CapEx will remain low due to good fleet management over the last 10 years.\n\nAmerican Airlines(NASDAQ:AAL)has been hit hard once again due to the fears of a new Covid strain coming out of South Africa. Threat or not it is too early to tell but the market is suggesting it could be a threat. I just see a potential buying opportunity for the long term. Travel for leisure has returned to similar levels we saw pre-covid, it is just business travel that is lagging. Once that returns, revenues will follow. The company could be back to pre-covid level revenue in the next 2 years and the share price will climb as that happens. In the meantime, we can only work with what is, and right now there is a bit of fear in the travel space. I am bullish on American Airlines long term.\nWhat Is Driving American Airlines?\nIn short, it's Covid. But, what Covid is affecting is the revenue. Looking below we can get a grasp of where we currently stand with regards to Covid and travel and how it affects American Airlines. This has already lasted far longer than many of us (myself included) thought it would and airlines have been some of the hardest hit by Covid. Just as it was looking good, a new variant appears, but more on that later. For now, I will focus on the positive.\n(Source:Company Presentation)\nLater on, I will look at the TSA checkpoint data, but I want to highlight the following chart from American Airlines. What we can see here is that consumer sentiment is full on board with getting on a plane for leisure purposes. We can see that since the summer, the company is making roughly the same as they were off leisure in 2019, which is awesome. The downside is the business side. Many companies still won't allow their employees to travel, or strongly discourage it. A lot are realizing some pretty incredible savings due to not traveling, so it may take some more time to see those numbers come back to what they once were. I think most people (yes even people under 30) are starting to see that virtual meetings/conferences are way more effective in person. Sadly, it may take until Covid is no longer a buzzword in the media, and who knows when that is. But, I do firmly believe that business will return to 80%+ consistently over the next couple of years.\n(Source: Company Presentation)\nLet's look at revenue as a whole and see where we were, and where we could be headed. In 2019, the company posted a record $45.77 billion in revenue. Only to see that fall all the way down to $17.34 billion in 2020. We will see how close they get to $30.00 billion this year, but it is expected that they get back over $40.00 billion in 2022. A good chunk of thatis dependent on business travel picking up again, which unfortunately all we can do is wait and see.\n\nOne of the other major positives when looking at American Airlines is their lower CapEx in the coming years. This is thanks to strong fleet management over the last 10 years. Roughly 60% of their fleet is 10 years old or younger, and this allows cash flows to be put towards paying down debt and getting the balance sheet back into a spot where the company could even consider paying a dividend down the road.\n(Source: Company Presentation)\nWhat About A Dividend?\nI know the dividend was a nice reward, but I wouldn't expect to see a dividend anytime soon. Some analysts are expecting a very small return in 2022, as small as $0.01 annually. Personally, I would like them to forget about the dividend and get the balance sheet back into a manageable position before they think about a payout.\n\nLooking above, we can see the net debt and how it's grown since Covid came into our lives, and rightfully so. For years, the company maintained a sub 3x debt to EBITDA ratio, and even by 2022 year-end, it's expected to be around 6.5x which is still very high. It will be a good thing that they finish with a positive EBITDA in 2022 alone, and there is a lot of work to be done here. But, what we do know is that air travel isn't going to disappear. It will be back, and the dividend will return as well as the debt comes back to a manageable level, long term.\nWhat Are The Risks?\nI am not a virologist by any means, but without a doubt, this new strain is a threat to shareholders. The reason it is a threat has to do with how passengers (customers) feel about travel given the news. Regardless of how you feel about Covid, this is a fact. All you have to do is look at the flyer statistics to see this. Looking below, we can see that travel has been edging closer to the numbers we saw in 2019 what seems like daily.\n(Source: Author Made. Data fromTSA)\nSome of the effects here so include business and international travel. When will that be back in full force? I would love to tell you with confidence that 2022 will be our year, but it's hard to say at this point. Local and international restrictions will continue to play a role in travel at least for the first quarter of 2022 at this point. I will have full confidence when we can remove mandates and restrictions country-wide without having an explosion in cases, or at least the general media begins to ignore case counts. Until then, many people/companies will not feel comfortable with travel and numbers will remain below where we saw them pre-covid.\nWhat Does The Price Say?\nSome of this may seem redundant, but let's remind ourselves. Air travel is going to return to full force at some point, and eventually, the stock market will stop reacting to new Covid variants. When that is, is the million-dollar question. Looking below, we can see that the fair value, which uses 10-year forward levered cash flows, is showing over 200% possible returns. The stock was last at $41 in late 2018, and I do think it will get there again down the road.\n(Source: Simplywall.st)\nNow, let's look at the charts and see when that could happen and what we need to watch for technically speaking. We saw the stock (and all airlines for that matter) crash through some key support right around $18.20 on the news of the new variant. We fell as low as $16.90, but rebounded nicely into the close and finished at $17.69 (nice). Honestly, this is better than I expected when I heard the news on Thursday night. So where do we go from here?\n(Source: TC2000.com)\nThere is a very good chance we could see some panic selling. Friday was a holiday for most people in the U.S. which means many were not very concerned with their investments. Typically what we see after a panic sell in the morning is a snap back up as smart money jumps back in. Obviously, there are other things at play here as well. All I can do is look for areas of support and play the charts accordingly.\nLooking below we can see a few areas. Yes, these are large gaps, but it's where the key support lies. I think we could see a retest of the $16.90 low we saw on Friday, but we could also dip lower on panic selling towards $15.00. Below $15.00, I would steer clear and wait for a clear reversal and to see $15.00 regained. As for the bounce case, we now have a nice gap thanks to the sell-off that needs to be filled. I would be keeping an eye on ~$18.87 to see if we can test that level. There is clear support there now, and it would fill the gap.\n(Source: TC2000.com)\nEither way, this is a very risky trade at this point given what we know. Markets don't like uncertainty and this new variant has introduced a lot of that to the market. The media will continue to run with news on the new variant, so keep an eye on that to see when that is no longer the main headline as it will signal a potential sustainable bounce. We are typically in a strong season for airline stocks, so it will be interesting to see how we respond from here given the news. If you do take the trade, set your stops. You can always buy back lower if you still love the stock.\nWrap-Up\nThe largest IF here and it's a big IF, surrounds Covid and if business travel can be sustained once again. I think we all agree that air travel is going to be here for decades to come. Once we see the business travel return, the stock will benefit greatly. The world is forever changed without a doubt, but I do think American Airlines will push through. I currently do not have a position, but I will be watching the levels outlined very carefully as I do think there is a lot of potential here and I am bullish in the long term. Thank you for reading, and stay safe out there!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":524,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699128037,"gmtCreate":1639757356471,"gmtModify":1639757356579,"author":{"id":"3585306220917787","authorId":"3585306220917787","name":"JJ1995","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7b7598df33bae920cf1aa01d5548891","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585306220917787","authorIdStr":"3585306220917787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yyyyyyyyyy yyyyyyyyyYyy yyyYu UyyyyyyguyyyuggYyyyyy ","listText":"Yyyyyyyyyy yyyyyyyyyYyy yyyYu UyyyyyyguyyyuggYyyyyy ","text":"Yyyyyyyyyy yyyyyyyyyYyy yyyYu UyyyyyyguyyyuggYyyyyy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699128037","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609347836,"gmtCreate":1638244640754,"gmtModify":1638244640754,"author":{"id":"3585306220917787","authorId":"3585306220917787","name":"JJ1995","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7b7598df33bae920cf1aa01d5548891","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585306220917787","authorIdStr":"3585306220917787"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609347836","repostId":"2187302022","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2187302022","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1638240965,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2187302022?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-30 10:56","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"SJM leads slide in Macau gaming stocks after Suncity chairman arrested","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2187302022","media":"Reuters","summary":"** Shares of SJM Holdings lead slide in Macau gaming stocks, falling 3.8% to the lowest since Oct. 1","content":"<p>** Shares of SJM Holdings lead slide in Macau gaming stocks, falling 3.8% to the lowest since Oct. 12 on their third consecutive session of decline</p>\n<p>** Melco, MGM China, Wynn Macau, Sands China and Galaxy also fall between 0.6% and 2.3%</p>\n<p>** Alvin Chau, who is also the founder of Suncity - a junket operator that brings in high rollers to play at casinos, was arrested by Macau police on Sunday</p>\n<p>** Suncity stock plunged 47.8% to HK$0.133, the lowest since listing in February 2007; the second biggest percentage decliner on the Hong Kong bourse</p>\n<p>** Suncity's unit Summit Ascent Holdings dropped as much as 50.5% to HK$0.24, its worst day ever on record; and was the biggest daily percentage decliner on the Hong Kong bourse</p>\n<p>** Hang Seng Commerce & Industry Index slides 0.9%, and the benchmark index eases 0.8%</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SJM leads slide in Macau gaming stocks after Suncity chairman arrested</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSJM leads slide in Macau gaming stocks after Suncity chairman arrested\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-11-30 10:56</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>** Shares of SJM Holdings lead slide in Macau gaming stocks, falling 3.8% to the lowest since Oct. 12 on their third consecutive session of decline</p>\n<p>** Melco, MGM China, Wynn Macau, Sands China and Galaxy also fall between 0.6% and 2.3%</p>\n<p>** Alvin Chau, who is also the founder of Suncity - a junket operator that brings in high rollers to play at casinos, was arrested by Macau police on Sunday</p>\n<p>** Suncity stock plunged 47.8% to HK$0.133, the lowest since listing in February 2007; the second biggest percentage decliner on the Hong Kong bourse</p>\n<p>** Suncity's unit Summit Ascent Holdings dropped as much as 50.5% to HK$0.24, its worst day ever on record; and was the biggest daily percentage decliner on the Hong Kong bourse</p>\n<p>** Hang Seng Commerce & Industry Index slides 0.9%, and the benchmark index eases 0.8%</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"00027":"银河娱乐","BK1521":"挪威政府全球养老基金持仓","BK1128":"电影和娱乐","BK1164":"酒店、度假村与豪华游轮","BK1605":"殡葬概念","01128":"永利澳门","01383":"LET GROUP","00200":"新濠国际发展","00102":"凯升控股","02282":"美高梅中国","01928":"金沙中国有限公司","BK1172":"赌场与赌博","BK1589":"北水核心资产","00880":"澳博控股","08082":"光尚文化控股"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2187302022","content_text":"** Shares of SJM Holdings lead slide in Macau gaming stocks, falling 3.8% to the lowest since Oct. 12 on their third consecutive session of decline\n** Melco, MGM China, Wynn Macau, Sands China and Galaxy also fall between 0.6% and 2.3%\n** Alvin Chau, who is also the founder of Suncity - a junket operator that brings in high rollers to play at casinos, was arrested by Macau police on Sunday\n** Suncity stock plunged 47.8% to HK$0.133, the lowest since listing in February 2007; the second biggest percentage decliner on the Hong Kong bourse\n** Suncity's unit Summit Ascent Holdings dropped as much as 50.5% to HK$0.24, its worst day ever on record; and was the biggest daily percentage decliner on the Hong Kong bourse\n** Hang Seng Commerce & Industry Index slides 0.9%, and the benchmark index eases 0.8%","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":660,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
