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2021-12-14

$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$wooooooooooooooaaaaaaaaaw

2021-11-09

$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$woooooooaaaaaw

2021-11-09

$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$wooooooooaaaaw

2021-09-30

$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$wooooooooooaaaw

2021-09-30

$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$woooooooooaaaaaw

2021-09-30

woooooooaaaaw

2021 Global Market Outlook - Q4 Update: Growing Pains

2021-09-29

$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$woooooooooaaaaw

2021-09-29

woooooooooaaaw

Wall Street swoons on rising Treasury yields, growing inflation worries

2021-09-28

$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$wooooooooaaaaw

2021-09-28

$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$wooooooooaaaaw

2021-09-28

wooooooaaaw

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2021-09-27

$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$wooooooooaaaaw

2021-09-27

woooooooaw

Debt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week

2021-07-21

wooooooooaw[开心]

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2021-06-25

wooooooaw[可爱]

2021-06-25

wooooooaw[得意]

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2021-05-04

[开心]

Dow jumps 200 points as stock market kicks off May in rally mode

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRSR\">$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$</a>wooooooooooaaaw","text":"$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$wooooooooooaaaw","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/663a403a66238f73e526dd1ea079b623","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865655141","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":553,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865655089,"gmtCreate":1632979842694,"gmtModify":1632979844057,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRSR\">$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$</a>woooooooooaaaaaw","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRSR\">$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$</a>woooooooooaaaaaw","text":"$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$woooooooooaaaaaw","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84ddca2a2530be24f54a3484cca3a9b3","width":"1080","height":"2559"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865655089","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":407,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865652089,"gmtCreate":1632979734121,"gmtModify":1632979735440,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"woooooooaaaaw","listText":"woooooooaaaaw","text":"woooooooaaaaw","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865652089","repostId":"1104172212","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104172212","pubTimestamp":1632965278,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104172212?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-30 09:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2021 Global Market Outlook - Q4 Update: Growing Pains","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104172212","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows.</li>\n <li>The reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor.</li>\n <li>The key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The COVID-19 delta variant, inflation and central bank tapering are unnerving investors. <b>We expect the pandemic-recovery trade to resume as inflation subsides, infection rates decline and tapering turns out to not equal tightening. Amid this backdrop, our outlook favors equities over bonds, the value factor over the growth factor and non-U.S. stocks over U.S. stocks.</b></p>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>The post-lockdown recovery has transitioned from energetic youthfulness to awkward adolescence. It’s still growing, although at a slower pace, and there are worries about what happens next, particularly about monetary policy and the outlook for inflation. Theinflation spikehas been larger than expected, but we still think it istransitory, caused by base effects from when the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) fell during the lockdown last year and by temporary supply bottlenecks. Inflation may remain high over the remainder of 2021 but should decline in early 2022. This means that even though the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to begin tapering back on asset purchases before the end of the year, rate hikes are unlikely before the second half of 2023.</p>\n<p>Another worry is thehighly contagious COVID-19 delta variant. The evidence so far is that vaccines are effective in preventing serious COVID-19 infections. Vaccination rates are accelerating globally, and emerging economies are catching up with developed markets. Infection rates appear to have peaked globally in early September. This means the reopening of economies should continue over the remainder of 2021. The onset of winter in the northern hemisphere will be a test, but the rollout of booster vaccination shots should help prevent widescale renewed lockdowns.</p>\n<p>The conclusions from our cycle, value and sentiment (CVS) investment decision-making process are broadly unchanged from our previous quarterly report. Global equities remain expensive, with the very expensive U.S. market offsetting better value elsewhere. Sentiment is slightly overbought, but not close to dangerous levels of euphoria. The strong cycle delivers a preference for equities over bonds for at least the next 12 months, despite expensive valuations. It also reinforces our preference for thevalue equity factor over the growth factorand for non-U.S. equities to outperform the U.S. market.</p>\n<p><b>Cycle still in recovery phase</b></p>\n<p>The post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows. Even so, we think the cycle is still in the recovery phase, although it is maturing. Despite strong growth, there is plenty of spare capacity. This can be seen in the employment-to-population ratio for prime-age workers in the United States. The chart below shows the ratio has recovered from the pandemic lows, but only to levels reached during the relatively mild recessions in the early 1990s and 2000s. We expect theU.S. labor-market recoveryshould still resemble a typical post-recession recovery over the next few quarters.</p>\n<p><b>U.S. EMPLOYMENT-POPULATION RATIO FOR PRIME-AGE WORKERS</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28a91fe2991463e2285879c32cb1b8c7\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The U.S. recovery, however, is more advanced than that of other developed economies. The following chart shows how far GDP has recovered, relative to the pre-COVID-19 peak in 2019. GDP is 0.8% higher in the U.S., although this level is still short relative to the pre-COVID-19 trend. GDP is 2.5% below 2019 levels in the euro area and 4.5% below in the United Kingdom. We expect more cyclical upside for economic growth outside the U.S., and this should allow market leadership to rotate toward the rest of the world.</p>\n<p><b>GDP IN Q2 2021 RELATIVE TO PRE-COVID-19 PEAK IN 2019</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/577d1b96aef08b71c9bdb6665a21b2ac\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Two key indicators</b></p>\n<p>Last quarter, we listed two indicators that should offer a guide to the Fed’s expected reaction to the inflation spike.</p>\n<p>The first is five-year/five-year breakeven inflation expectations, based on the pricing of Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS). This is the market’s forecast for average inflation over five years in five years’ time. It tells us that investors expect inflation will average 2.17% in the five years from late 2026 to late 2031. The TIPS yields are based on the CPI, while the Fed targets inflation as measured by the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) deflator. The two move together over time, but CPI inflation is generally around 0.25% higher than PCE inflation. A breakeven rate of 2.75% would suggest the market sees PCE inflation above 2.5% in five years’ time. Market inflation expectations are currently comfortably below the Fed’s worry point.</p>\n<p><b>WATCHPOINT INDICATOR #1: U.S. 5-YEAR/5-YEAR BREAKEVEN INFLATION RATE</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f3cf57b58f600fe6681e9015779e85\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The second indicator is the Atlanta Fed’s Wage Growth Tracker, and this has a less-comforting message about inflation risks. It reached 3.9% in August, which isclose to the 4% thresholdwhere we judge that the Fed will become concerned about the inflationary impact on the growth of wages. A breakdown shows that the spike has been mostly driven by wages for low-skilled, young people in the leisure and hospitality industry. This suggests the surge has been caused by temporary labor supply shortages and that wage pressures should subside as economic activity normalizes. This indicator, however, will be an important watchpoint over the next few months.</p>\n<p><b>WATCHPOINT INDICATOR #2: ATLANTA FED WAGE GROWTH TRACKER</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d3ff1ca26f6d29a28f919c65531c9a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Reopening trade still makes sense</b></p>\n<p>The reopening trade, which lifts long-term interest rates and favors cyclical and value stocks over technology and growth stocks, worked well for several months following the vaccine announcement last November. Value outperformed growth and yield curves steepened. The trade has reversed in recent months, however, amid fears that the delta variant might derail the economic recovery. The impact has been magnified by short covering in bond markets as investors, who have been short or underweight, have been forced by the rally to buy back into the market, pushing bond yields even lower.</p>\n<p>The reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor. Financial stocks comprise the largest sector in the MSCI World Value Index, and they should benefit from further yield-curve steepening, which boosts the profitability of banks. Long-term interest rates should rise as global growth remains above trend, delta-variant fears fade, the short squeeze unwinds and central banks begin tapering back on bond purchases.</p>\n<p>The rotation in economic growth leadership away from the United States should also help the reopening trade. The rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks relative to the U.S., which has a higher weight to technology stocks.</p>\n<p>Emerging market (EM) equities have been poor performers since the vaccine announcement, but there are some encouraging signs. Initially, they were held back by the exposure to technology stocks in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index and the slow rollout of COVID-19 vaccines. More recently, they have come under pressure from the slowdown in the Chinese economy and theregulatory crackdown on Chinese tech companies. The vaccine rollout across emerging markets has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon improve the growth outlook. The path of Chinese regulation is harder to predict, but it is now largely priced in, with Chinese technology companies underperforming their global peers by nearly 50% from February 2021 through mid-September.</p>\n<p>The resumption of the reopening trade should also result in U.S. dollar weakness. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has traded sideways since the vaccine announcement. It should weaken once investors have confidence that delta-variant risks are subsiding and realize that the Fed is likely to remain dovish as inflation risks decline. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. Dollar weakness should support the performance of non-U.S. markets, particularly emerging markets.</p>\n<p><b>Risks: variants, inflation, China weakness</b></p>\n<p>The key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter. The evidence so far is that vaccinations are highly effective in preventing serious illness. In Israel, booster shots appear to have slowed the rate of new cases.</p>\n<p>Another watchpoint is inflation and the response of central banks. Our expectation is that this year’s inflation spike is mostly transitory and that the major central banks, led by the Fed, are still two years from raising interest rates.</p>\n<p>Finally, there is the risk of a sharper-than-expected slowdown in China.Credit growth has slowed this yearand the purchasing managers’ indexes (PMI) have trended lower. Monetary and fiscal policy have been eased, however, and senior officials have signaled that more stimulus is on the way. China policy direction and credit trends will be an important watchpoint over coming months.</p>\n<p><b>Regional snapshotsUnited States</b></p>\n<p>The U.S. economy is likely to sustain above-trend growth into 2022. However, the easiest gains appear in the rear-view mirror at the end of the third quarter as the recovery phase of the business cycle matures. This is most visible for corporate earnings, where S&amp;P 500® Index earnings-per-share already sit 20% above their previous cyclical high.</p>\n<p>Strong fundamentals have helped power the stock market to new highs. Early evidence that the delta-variant wave may be fading and the potential for greater vaccine access for children are positives for a more complete recovery in the quarters ahead. The Fedlooks poised to start tapering its asset purchasesaround the end of 2021. The timing of the first rate hike will then hinge on what happens to inflation next year. Our models suggest that inflation is likely to drop back below the Fed’s 2% target in 2022. If that is correct, the Fed is likely to remain on hold into the second half of 2023.</p>\n<p>Wage inflation is a key risk to this view. It is running unusually strong for this stage of the cycle, and record hiring intentions from businesses could exhaust spare capacity in the year ahead. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise moderately from 1.37% in mid-September to 1.75% in coming months.</p>\n<p>Fiscal stimulus negotiations continue to grab headlines in Washington, D.C. Thetax provisions in these billsare likely to be the most impactful for financial markets. We estimate thathigher corporate taxescould subtract about four percentage points from S&amp;P 500 earnings growth in 2022. This could create volatility and opportunity in markets. Given our strong cyclical outlook, our bias continues to be a<i>risk-on</i>preference for equities over bonds for the medium-term.</p>\n<p><b>Eurozone</b></p>\n<p>Euro area growthslowed through the third quarter but looks on track for a return to above-trend growth over the fourth quarter and into 2022. Vaccination rates are high, and the euro area has more catch-up potential than other major economies, particularly the United States. The euro area is also set to receive more fiscal support than other regions, with the European Union’s pandemic recovery fund only just starting to disburse stimulus, which will provide significant support in southern Europe. Polls in advance of Germany’s federal election on Sept. 26 suggested the electorate was moving toward the political left, which means the new government is likely to support expansionary fiscal policy and a continued dovish stance by the European Central Bank (ECB).</p>\n<p>The MSCI EMU Index, which reflects the European Economic and Monetary Union, has performed broadly in line with the S&amp;P 500 so far in 2021. We think it has potential to outperform in coming quarters. Europe’s exposure to financials and cyclically sensitive sectors such as industrials, materials and energy, and its relatively small exposure to technology, gives it the potential to outperform as delta-variant fears subside, economic activity picks up and yield curves in Europe steepen.</p>\n<p><b>United Kingdom</b></p>\n<p>As of mid-year, UK GDP was still nearly 4.5% below its pre-pandemic peak. We see plenty of scope for strong catch-up growth as borders are fully reopened and activity normalizes. Supply bottlenecks and labor shortages have triggered a sharp rise in underlying inflation and created concerns that the Bank of England (BoE) may start rate hikes in the first half of 2022. We think the BoE is unlikely to be that aggressive. We expect inflation to decline in early 2022 as supply constraints ease, which should convince the BoE to delay rate hikes.</p>\n<p>The FTSE 100 Index is the cheapest of the major developed equity markets in late 2021, and this should help it reflect higher returns than other markets over the next decade. Around 70% of UK corporate earnings come from offshore, so one near-term risk is that further strengthening of British sterling dampens earnings growth. The other risks are mostly around policy missteps, for example, early tightening by the Bank of England.</p>\n<p><b>Japan</b></p>\n<p>The Japanese economy is expected to get a shot in the arm as rising vaccination rates improve mobility and reduce the risk of further lockdowns, and as political leadership changes result in more fiscal stimulus: the Japanese election is due to be held before Nov. 28. Japanese equities look slightly more expensive than other regions such as the UK and Europe. We maintain our view that the Bank of Japan will significantly lag other central banks in normalizing policy.</p>\n<p><b>China</b></p>\n<p>We expect Chinese economic growth to berobust over the next 12 months, supported by a post-lockdown jump in consumer spending and incremental fiscal and monetary easing. Despite a big improvement in vaccination rates,COVID-19 outbreaks remain a riskgiven the Chinese government’s zero-tolerance approach. The major consumer technology companies have seen significant drops in stock prices recently due to more aggressive regulation. Some uncertainty remains around thepath of future regulation, especially as it relates to technology companies, and as a result we expect investors will remain cautious on Chinese equities in the coming months. The property market, particularly property developers as recently highlighted by Evergrande’s debt crisis, remains a risk that we are monitoring closely.</p>\n<p><b>Canada</b></p>\n<p>Canada leads the G71countries in terms of the vaccination rollout, which should minimize the risk of large-scale lockdowns over winter. The delta variant has taken an economic toll, however, with industry consensus projections now predicting 5% GDP growth in 2021 versus estimates of more than 6% just three months ago. Even so, growth remains above-trend and the odds of additional fiscal expenditures to support the economy have increased. This means that weaker growth due to COVID-19 is unlikely to change the Bank of Canada's (BoC) tightening bias.</p>\n<p>Tapering of asset purchasesshould be complete by the end of the first quarter of 2022. BoC Governor Tiff Macklem has indicated that the reinvestment phase of the bonds held by the central bank will commence once quantitative easing has ended. This should generate an estimated C$1 billion in weekly bond purchases, down from the current pace of C$2 billion. The BoC will likely only consider shrinking its balance sheet after it has started lifting interest rates. The BoC projects that the output gap will close sometime over the second half of 2022, and that rate hikes will be considered after economic slack has disappeared. We believe that the timeline may be a tad aggressive, and a delay to 2023 for liftoff is more likely. This would better align the Canadian central bank with its American counterpart.</p>\n<p><b>Australia/New Zealand</b></p>\n<p>The Australian economy is set to return to life, with lockdowns likely to be eased in October and November. Consumer and business balance sheets continue to look healthy, which should facilitate a strong recovery. The reopening of the international border in 2022 will provide a further boost. Fiscal policy has supported the economy through the downturn, and there is potential for further stimulus in the lead-up to the federal election, which is due before the end of 2022. The Reserve Bank of Australia has begun the process of tapering its bond-purchase program, but we expect that a rise in the cash rate is unlikely until at least the second half of 2023.</p>\n<p>New Zealand’s most recent lockdown will drag on Q3 GDP, but similar to Australia, we expect a solid rebound as the economy reopens. The government aims to provide a vaccine to all adults by the end of 2021, after which borders will gradually reopen. This will provide a boost, particularly to tourism-exposed sectors. Despite having recently put off hiking interest rates due to the recent lockdown, we expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will start raising rates this year. Even though they have significantly underperformed global equities this year, New Zealand equities still screen as relatively expensive compared to other regions.</p>\n<p><b>Asset-class preferences</b></p>\n<p>Our cycle, value and sentiment investment decision-making process in late September 2021 has a moderately positive medium-term view on global equities. Value is expensive across most markets except for UK equities, which are near fair value. The cycle is risk-asset supportive for the medium-term. The major economies still have spare capacity and inflation pressures appear transitory, caused by COVID-19-related supply shortages. Rate hikes by the U.S. Fed seem unlikely before the second half of 2023. Sentiment, after reaching overbought levels earlier in the year, has returned to more neutral levels.</p>\n<p><b>COMPOSITE CONTRARIAN INDICATOR: SENTIMENT SHIFTS TOWARD NEUTRAL</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c527955abbc9e770d200c1d709f80d8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<ul>\n <li>We prefer<b>non-U.S. equities</b>to U.S. equities. Stronger economic growth and steeper yield curves after the third-quarter slowdown should favor undervalued cyclical value stocks over expensive technology and growth stocks. Relative to the U.S., the rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks.</li>\n <li><b>Emerging markets equities</b>have been relatively poor performers this year, but there are some encouraging signs. The vaccine rollout across EM has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon boost the economic growth outlook.China’s regulatory crackdownhas caused significant underperformance by Chinese technology companies, but this should be less of a headwind going forward now that it is priced in.</li>\n <li><b>High yield</b>and<b>investment grade credit</b>are expensive on a spread basis but have support from a positive cycle view that accommodates corporate profit growth and keeps default rates low. U.S. dollar-denominated<b>emerging markets debt</b>is close to fair value in spread terms and will gain support on U.S. dollar weakness.</li>\n <li><b>Government bonds</b>are expensive, and yields should come under upward pressure as output gaps close and central banks look to taper back asset purchases. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise toward 1.75% in coming months.</li>\n <li><b>Real assets</b>: Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) have significantly outperformed Global Listed Infrastructure (GLI) so far this year, to the extent that REITS are now expensive relative to GLI. Both should benefit from the pandemic recovery, but GLI has some catch-up potential. GLI should benefit from the global re-opening boosting domestic and international travel.<b>Commodities</b>have been the best-performing asset class this year amid strong demand and supply bottlenecks. The gains have been led by industrial metals and energy. The pace of increase should ease as supply issues are resolved, butcommodities should retain supportfrom above-trend global demand.</li>\n <li>The<b>U.S. dollar</b>has been supported this year by expectations for early Fed tightening and U.S. economic growth leadership. It should weaken as global growth leadership rotates away from the U.S. and toward Europe and other developed economies. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. The main beneficiary is likely to be the<b>euro</b>, which is still undervalued. We also believe<b>British sterling</b>and the economically sensitive<i>commodity currencies</i>—the<b>Australian dollar</b>, the<b>New Zealand dollar</b>and the<b>Canadian dollar</b>—can make further gains, although these currencies are not undervalued from a longer-term perspective.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>ASSET PERFORMANCE SINCE THE BEGINNING OF 2021</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50e253becd38bd122d9fc211e7b0f583\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>1The Group of Seven is an inter-governmental political forum consisting of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States.</p>\n<p><b>Important Information</b></p>\n<p>The views in this Global Market Outlook report are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of September 27, 2021. While all material is deemed to be reliable, accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.</p>\n<p>Please remember that all investments carry some level of risk, including the potential loss of principal invested. They do not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns.</p>\n<p>Keep in mind that, like all investing, multi-asset investing does not assure a profit or protect against loss.</p>\n<p>No model or group of models can offer a precise estimate of future returns available from capital markets. We remain cautious that rational analytical techniques cannot predict extremes in financial behavior, such as periods of financial euphoria or investor panic. Our models rest on the assumptions of normal and rational financial behavior. Forecasting models are inherently uncertain, subject to change at any time based on a variety of factors and can be inaccurate. Russell believes that the utility of this information is highest in evaluating the relative relationships of various components of a globally diversified portfolio. As such, the models may offer insights into the prudence of over or under weighting those components from time to time or under periods of extreme dislocation. The models are explicitly not intended as market timing signals.</p>\n<p>Forecasting represents predictions of market prices and/or volume patterns utilizing varying analytical data. It is not representative of a projection of the stock market, or of any specific investment.</p>\n<p>Investment in global, international or emerging markets may be significantly affected by political or economic conditions and regulatory requirements in a particular country. Investments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation. Such securities may be less liquid and more volatile. Investments in emerging or developing markets involve exposure to economic structures that are generally less diverse and mature, and political systems with less stability than in more developed countries.</p>\n<p>Currency investing involves risks including fluctuations in currency values, whether the home currency or the foreign currency. They can either enhance or reduce the returns associated with foreign investments.</p>\n<p>Investments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation.</p>\n<p>Bond investors should carefully consider risks such as interest rate, credit, default and duration risks. Greater risk, such as increased volatility, limited liquidity, prepayment, non-payment and increased default risk, is inherent in portfolios that invest in high yield (“junk”) bonds or mortgage-backed securities, especially mortgage-backed securities with exposure to sub-prime mortgages. Generally, when interest rates rise, prices of fixed income securities fall. Interest rates in the United States are at, or near, historic lows, which may increase a Fund’s exposure to risks associated with rising rates. Investment in non-U.S. and emerging market securities is subject to the risk of currency fluctuations and to economic and political risks associated with such foreign countries.</p>\n<p>Performance quoted represents past performance and should not be viewed as a guarantee of future results.</p>\n<p>The FTSE 100 Index is a market-capitalization weighted index of UK-listed blue chip companies.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500® Index, or the Standard &amp; Poor’s 500, is a stock market index based on the market capitalizations of 500 large companies having common stock listed on the NYSE or NASDAQ.</p>\n<p>The MSCI EMU Index (European Economic and Monetary Union) captures large and mid cap representation across the 10 developed markets countries in the EMU. With 246 constituents, the index covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization of the EMU.</p>\n<p>Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.</p>\n<p>Copyright © Russell Investments 2021. All rights reserved. This material is proprietary and may not be reproduced, transferred, or distributed in any form without prior written permission from Russell Investments. It is delivered on an “as is” basis without warranty.</p>\n<p>Frank Russell Company is the owner of the Russell trademarks contained in this material and all trademark rights related to the Russell trademarks, which the members of the Russell Investments group of companies are permitted to use under license from Frank Russell Company. The members of the Russell Investments group of companies are not affiliated in any manner with Frank Russell Company or any entity operating under the “FTSE RUSSELL” brand.</p>\n<p>Products and services described on this website are intended for<b>United States residents only</b>. Nothing contained in this material is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities, or investment advice, nor an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, nor a solicitation of any type. The general information contained on this website should not be acted upon without obtaining specific legal, tax, and investment advice from a licensed professional. Persons outside the United States may find more information about products and services available within their jurisdictions by going to Russell Investments' Worldwide site.</p>\n<p>Russell Investments is committed to ensuring digital accessibility for people with disabilities. We are continually improving the user experience for everyone, and applying the relevant accessibility standards.</p>\n<p>Russell Investments' ownership is composed of a majority stake held by funds managed by TA Associates, with a significant minority stake held by funds managed by Reverence Capital Partners. Russell Investments' employees and Hamilton Lane Advisors, LLC also hold minority, non-controlling, ownership stakes.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2021 Global Market Outlook - Q4 Update: Growing Pains</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2021 Global Market Outlook - Q4 Update: Growing Pains\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-30 09:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457651-2021-global-market-outlook-q4-update-growing-pains><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows.\nThe reopening trade should resume in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457651-2021-global-market-outlook-q4-update-growing-pains\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457651-2021-global-market-outlook-q4-update-growing-pains","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1104172212","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows.\nThe reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor.\nThe key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter.\n\nThe COVID-19 delta variant, inflation and central bank tapering are unnerving investors. We expect the pandemic-recovery trade to resume as inflation subsides, infection rates decline and tapering turns out to not equal tightening. Amid this backdrop, our outlook favors equities over bonds, the value factor over the growth factor and non-U.S. stocks over U.S. stocks.\nIntroduction\nThe post-lockdown recovery has transitioned from energetic youthfulness to awkward adolescence. It’s still growing, although at a slower pace, and there are worries about what happens next, particularly about monetary policy and the outlook for inflation. Theinflation spikehas been larger than expected, but we still think it istransitory, caused by base effects from when the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) fell during the lockdown last year and by temporary supply bottlenecks. Inflation may remain high over the remainder of 2021 but should decline in early 2022. This means that even though the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to begin tapering back on asset purchases before the end of the year, rate hikes are unlikely before the second half of 2023.\nAnother worry is thehighly contagious COVID-19 delta variant. The evidence so far is that vaccines are effective in preventing serious COVID-19 infections. Vaccination rates are accelerating globally, and emerging economies are catching up with developed markets. Infection rates appear to have peaked globally in early September. This means the reopening of economies should continue over the remainder of 2021. The onset of winter in the northern hemisphere will be a test, but the rollout of booster vaccination shots should help prevent widescale renewed lockdowns.\nThe conclusions from our cycle, value and sentiment (CVS) investment decision-making process are broadly unchanged from our previous quarterly report. Global equities remain expensive, with the very expensive U.S. market offsetting better value elsewhere. Sentiment is slightly overbought, but not close to dangerous levels of euphoria. The strong cycle delivers a preference for equities over bonds for at least the next 12 months, despite expensive valuations. It also reinforces our preference for thevalue equity factor over the growth factorand for non-U.S. equities to outperform the U.S. market.\nCycle still in recovery phase\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows. Even so, we think the cycle is still in the recovery phase, although it is maturing. Despite strong growth, there is plenty of spare capacity. This can be seen in the employment-to-population ratio for prime-age workers in the United States. The chart below shows the ratio has recovered from the pandemic lows, but only to levels reached during the relatively mild recessions in the early 1990s and 2000s. We expect theU.S. labor-market recoveryshould still resemble a typical post-recession recovery over the next few quarters.\nU.S. EMPLOYMENT-POPULATION RATIO FOR PRIME-AGE WORKERS\n\nThe U.S. recovery, however, is more advanced than that of other developed economies. The following chart shows how far GDP has recovered, relative to the pre-COVID-19 peak in 2019. GDP is 0.8% higher in the U.S., although this level is still short relative to the pre-COVID-19 trend. GDP is 2.5% below 2019 levels in the euro area and 4.5% below in the United Kingdom. We expect more cyclical upside for economic growth outside the U.S., and this should allow market leadership to rotate toward the rest of the world.\nGDP IN Q2 2021 RELATIVE TO PRE-COVID-19 PEAK IN 2019\n\nTwo key indicators\nLast quarter, we listed two indicators that should offer a guide to the Fed’s expected reaction to the inflation spike.\nThe first is five-year/five-year breakeven inflation expectations, based on the pricing of Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS). This is the market’s forecast for average inflation over five years in five years’ time. It tells us that investors expect inflation will average 2.17% in the five years from late 2026 to late 2031. The TIPS yields are based on the CPI, while the Fed targets inflation as measured by the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) deflator. The two move together over time, but CPI inflation is generally around 0.25% higher than PCE inflation. A breakeven rate of 2.75% would suggest the market sees PCE inflation above 2.5% in five years’ time. Market inflation expectations are currently comfortably below the Fed’s worry point.\nWATCHPOINT INDICATOR #1: U.S. 5-YEAR/5-YEAR BREAKEVEN INFLATION RATE\n\nThe second indicator is the Atlanta Fed’s Wage Growth Tracker, and this has a less-comforting message about inflation risks. It reached 3.9% in August, which isclose to the 4% thresholdwhere we judge that the Fed will become concerned about the inflationary impact on the growth of wages. A breakdown shows that the spike has been mostly driven by wages for low-skilled, young people in the leisure and hospitality industry. This suggests the surge has been caused by temporary labor supply shortages and that wage pressures should subside as economic activity normalizes. This indicator, however, will be an important watchpoint over the next few months.\nWATCHPOINT INDICATOR #2: ATLANTA FED WAGE GROWTH TRACKER\n\nReopening trade still makes sense\nThe reopening trade, which lifts long-term interest rates and favors cyclical and value stocks over technology and growth stocks, worked well for several months following the vaccine announcement last November. Value outperformed growth and yield curves steepened. The trade has reversed in recent months, however, amid fears that the delta variant might derail the economic recovery. The impact has been magnified by short covering in bond markets as investors, who have been short or underweight, have been forced by the rally to buy back into the market, pushing bond yields even lower.\nThe reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor. Financial stocks comprise the largest sector in the MSCI World Value Index, and they should benefit from further yield-curve steepening, which boosts the profitability of banks. Long-term interest rates should rise as global growth remains above trend, delta-variant fears fade, the short squeeze unwinds and central banks begin tapering back on bond purchases.\nThe rotation in economic growth leadership away from the United States should also help the reopening trade. The rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks relative to the U.S., which has a higher weight to technology stocks.\nEmerging market (EM) equities have been poor performers since the vaccine announcement, but there are some encouraging signs. Initially, they were held back by the exposure to technology stocks in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index and the slow rollout of COVID-19 vaccines. More recently, they have come under pressure from the slowdown in the Chinese economy and theregulatory crackdown on Chinese tech companies. The vaccine rollout across emerging markets has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon improve the growth outlook. The path of Chinese regulation is harder to predict, but it is now largely priced in, with Chinese technology companies underperforming their global peers by nearly 50% from February 2021 through mid-September.\nThe resumption of the reopening trade should also result in U.S. dollar weakness. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has traded sideways since the vaccine announcement. It should weaken once investors have confidence that delta-variant risks are subsiding and realize that the Fed is likely to remain dovish as inflation risks decline. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. Dollar weakness should support the performance of non-U.S. markets, particularly emerging markets.\nRisks: variants, inflation, China weakness\nThe key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter. The evidence so far is that vaccinations are highly effective in preventing serious illness. In Israel, booster shots appear to have slowed the rate of new cases.\nAnother watchpoint is inflation and the response of central banks. Our expectation is that this year’s inflation spike is mostly transitory and that the major central banks, led by the Fed, are still two years from raising interest rates.\nFinally, there is the risk of a sharper-than-expected slowdown in China.Credit growth has slowed this yearand the purchasing managers’ indexes (PMI) have trended lower. Monetary and fiscal policy have been eased, however, and senior officials have signaled that more stimulus is on the way. China policy direction and credit trends will be an important watchpoint over coming months.\nRegional snapshotsUnited States\nThe U.S. economy is likely to sustain above-trend growth into 2022. However, the easiest gains appear in the rear-view mirror at the end of the third quarter as the recovery phase of the business cycle matures. This is most visible for corporate earnings, where S&P 500® Index earnings-per-share already sit 20% above their previous cyclical high.\nStrong fundamentals have helped power the stock market to new highs. Early evidence that the delta-variant wave may be fading and the potential for greater vaccine access for children are positives for a more complete recovery in the quarters ahead. The Fedlooks poised to start tapering its asset purchasesaround the end of 2021. The timing of the first rate hike will then hinge on what happens to inflation next year. Our models suggest that inflation is likely to drop back below the Fed’s 2% target in 2022. If that is correct, the Fed is likely to remain on hold into the second half of 2023.\nWage inflation is a key risk to this view. It is running unusually strong for this stage of the cycle, and record hiring intentions from businesses could exhaust spare capacity in the year ahead. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise moderately from 1.37% in mid-September to 1.75% in coming months.\nFiscal stimulus negotiations continue to grab headlines in Washington, D.C. Thetax provisions in these billsare likely to be the most impactful for financial markets. We estimate thathigher corporate taxescould subtract about four percentage points from S&P 500 earnings growth in 2022. This could create volatility and opportunity in markets. Given our strong cyclical outlook, our bias continues to be arisk-onpreference for equities over bonds for the medium-term.\nEurozone\nEuro area growthslowed through the third quarter but looks on track for a return to above-trend growth over the fourth quarter and into 2022. Vaccination rates are high, and the euro area has more catch-up potential than other major economies, particularly the United States. The euro area is also set to receive more fiscal support than other regions, with the European Union’s pandemic recovery fund only just starting to disburse stimulus, which will provide significant support in southern Europe. Polls in advance of Germany’s federal election on Sept. 26 suggested the electorate was moving toward the political left, which means the new government is likely to support expansionary fiscal policy and a continued dovish stance by the European Central Bank (ECB).\nThe MSCI EMU Index, which reflects the European Economic and Monetary Union, has performed broadly in line with the S&P 500 so far in 2021. We think it has potential to outperform in coming quarters. Europe’s exposure to financials and cyclically sensitive sectors such as industrials, materials and energy, and its relatively small exposure to technology, gives it the potential to outperform as delta-variant fears subside, economic activity picks up and yield curves in Europe steepen.\nUnited Kingdom\nAs of mid-year, UK GDP was still nearly 4.5% below its pre-pandemic peak. We see plenty of scope for strong catch-up growth as borders are fully reopened and activity normalizes. Supply bottlenecks and labor shortages have triggered a sharp rise in underlying inflation and created concerns that the Bank of England (BoE) may start rate hikes in the first half of 2022. We think the BoE is unlikely to be that aggressive. We expect inflation to decline in early 2022 as supply constraints ease, which should convince the BoE to delay rate hikes.\nThe FTSE 100 Index is the cheapest of the major developed equity markets in late 2021, and this should help it reflect higher returns than other markets over the next decade. Around 70% of UK corporate earnings come from offshore, so one near-term risk is that further strengthening of British sterling dampens earnings growth. The other risks are mostly around policy missteps, for example, early tightening by the Bank of England.\nJapan\nThe Japanese economy is expected to get a shot in the arm as rising vaccination rates improve mobility and reduce the risk of further lockdowns, and as political leadership changes result in more fiscal stimulus: the Japanese election is due to be held before Nov. 28. Japanese equities look slightly more expensive than other regions such as the UK and Europe. We maintain our view that the Bank of Japan will significantly lag other central banks in normalizing policy.\nChina\nWe expect Chinese economic growth to berobust over the next 12 months, supported by a post-lockdown jump in consumer spending and incremental fiscal and monetary easing. Despite a big improvement in vaccination rates,COVID-19 outbreaks remain a riskgiven the Chinese government’s zero-tolerance approach. The major consumer technology companies have seen significant drops in stock prices recently due to more aggressive regulation. Some uncertainty remains around thepath of future regulation, especially as it relates to technology companies, and as a result we expect investors will remain cautious on Chinese equities in the coming months. The property market, particularly property developers as recently highlighted by Evergrande’s debt crisis, remains a risk that we are monitoring closely.\nCanada\nCanada leads the G71countries in terms of the vaccination rollout, which should minimize the risk of large-scale lockdowns over winter. The delta variant has taken an economic toll, however, with industry consensus projections now predicting 5% GDP growth in 2021 versus estimates of more than 6% just three months ago. Even so, growth remains above-trend and the odds of additional fiscal expenditures to support the economy have increased. This means that weaker growth due to COVID-19 is unlikely to change the Bank of Canada's (BoC) tightening bias.\nTapering of asset purchasesshould be complete by the end of the first quarter of 2022. BoC Governor Tiff Macklem has indicated that the reinvestment phase of the bonds held by the central bank will commence once quantitative easing has ended. This should generate an estimated C$1 billion in weekly bond purchases, down from the current pace of C$2 billion. The BoC will likely only consider shrinking its balance sheet after it has started lifting interest rates. The BoC projects that the output gap will close sometime over the second half of 2022, and that rate hikes will be considered after economic slack has disappeared. We believe that the timeline may be a tad aggressive, and a delay to 2023 for liftoff is more likely. This would better align the Canadian central bank with its American counterpart.\nAustralia/New Zealand\nThe Australian economy is set to return to life, with lockdowns likely to be eased in October and November. Consumer and business balance sheets continue to look healthy, which should facilitate a strong recovery. The reopening of the international border in 2022 will provide a further boost. Fiscal policy has supported the economy through the downturn, and there is potential for further stimulus in the lead-up to the federal election, which is due before the end of 2022. The Reserve Bank of Australia has begun the process of tapering its bond-purchase program, but we expect that a rise in the cash rate is unlikely until at least the second half of 2023.\nNew Zealand’s most recent lockdown will drag on Q3 GDP, but similar to Australia, we expect a solid rebound as the economy reopens. The government aims to provide a vaccine to all adults by the end of 2021, after which borders will gradually reopen. This will provide a boost, particularly to tourism-exposed sectors. Despite having recently put off hiking interest rates due to the recent lockdown, we expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will start raising rates this year. Even though they have significantly underperformed global equities this year, New Zealand equities still screen as relatively expensive compared to other regions.\nAsset-class preferences\nOur cycle, value and sentiment investment decision-making process in late September 2021 has a moderately positive medium-term view on global equities. Value is expensive across most markets except for UK equities, which are near fair value. The cycle is risk-asset supportive for the medium-term. The major economies still have spare capacity and inflation pressures appear transitory, caused by COVID-19-related supply shortages. Rate hikes by the U.S. Fed seem unlikely before the second half of 2023. Sentiment, after reaching overbought levels earlier in the year, has returned to more neutral levels.\nCOMPOSITE CONTRARIAN INDICATOR: SENTIMENT SHIFTS TOWARD NEUTRAL\n\n\nWe prefernon-U.S. equitiesto U.S. equities. Stronger economic growth and steeper yield curves after the third-quarter slowdown should favor undervalued cyclical value stocks over expensive technology and growth stocks. Relative to the U.S., the rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks.\nEmerging markets equitieshave been relatively poor performers this year, but there are some encouraging signs. The vaccine rollout across EM has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon boost the economic growth outlook.China’s regulatory crackdownhas caused significant underperformance by Chinese technology companies, but this should be less of a headwind going forward now that it is priced in.\nHigh yieldandinvestment grade creditare expensive on a spread basis but have support from a positive cycle view that accommodates corporate profit growth and keeps default rates low. U.S. dollar-denominatedemerging markets debtis close to fair value in spread terms and will gain support on U.S. dollar weakness.\nGovernment bondsare expensive, and yields should come under upward pressure as output gaps close and central banks look to taper back asset purchases. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise toward 1.75% in coming months.\nReal assets: Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) have significantly outperformed Global Listed Infrastructure (GLI) so far this year, to the extent that REITS are now expensive relative to GLI. Both should benefit from the pandemic recovery, but GLI has some catch-up potential. GLI should benefit from the global re-opening boosting domestic and international travel.Commoditieshave been the best-performing asset class this year amid strong demand and supply bottlenecks. The gains have been led by industrial metals and energy. The pace of increase should ease as supply issues are resolved, butcommodities should retain supportfrom above-trend global demand.\nTheU.S. dollarhas been supported this year by expectations for early Fed tightening and U.S. economic growth leadership. It should weaken as global growth leadership rotates away from the U.S. and toward Europe and other developed economies. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. The main beneficiary is likely to be theeuro, which is still undervalued. We also believeBritish sterlingand the economically sensitivecommodity currencies—theAustralian dollar, theNew Zealand dollarand theCanadian dollar—can make further gains, although these currencies are not undervalued from a longer-term perspective.\n\nASSET PERFORMANCE SINCE THE BEGINNING OF 2021\n\n1The Group of Seven is an inter-governmental political forum consisting of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States.\nImportant Information\nThe views in this Global Market Outlook report are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of September 27, 2021. While all material is deemed to be reliable, accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.\nPlease remember that all investments carry some level of risk, including the potential loss of principal invested. They do not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns.\nKeep in mind that, like all investing, multi-asset investing does not assure a profit or protect against loss.\nNo model or group of models can offer a precise estimate of future returns available from capital markets. We remain cautious that rational analytical techniques cannot predict extremes in financial behavior, such as periods of financial euphoria or investor panic. Our models rest on the assumptions of normal and rational financial behavior. Forecasting models are inherently uncertain, subject to change at any time based on a variety of factors and can be inaccurate. Russell believes that the utility of this information is highest in evaluating the relative relationships of various components of a globally diversified portfolio. As such, the models may offer insights into the prudence of over or under weighting those components from time to time or under periods of extreme dislocation. The models are explicitly not intended as market timing signals.\nForecasting represents predictions of market prices and/or volume patterns utilizing varying analytical data. It is not representative of a projection of the stock market, or of any specific investment.\nInvestment in global, international or emerging markets may be significantly affected by political or economic conditions and regulatory requirements in a particular country. Investments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation. Such securities may be less liquid and more volatile. Investments in emerging or developing markets involve exposure to economic structures that are generally less diverse and mature, and political systems with less stability than in more developed countries.\nCurrency investing involves risks including fluctuations in currency values, whether the home currency or the foreign currency. They can either enhance or reduce the returns associated with foreign investments.\nInvestments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation.\nBond investors should carefully consider risks such as interest rate, credit, default and duration risks. Greater risk, such as increased volatility, limited liquidity, prepayment, non-payment and increased default risk, is inherent in portfolios that invest in high yield (“junk”) bonds or mortgage-backed securities, especially mortgage-backed securities with exposure to sub-prime mortgages. Generally, when interest rates rise, prices of fixed income securities fall. Interest rates in the United States are at, or near, historic lows, which may increase a Fund’s exposure to risks associated with rising rates. Investment in non-U.S. and emerging market securities is subject to the risk of currency fluctuations and to economic and political risks associated with such foreign countries.\nPerformance quoted represents past performance and should not be viewed as a guarantee of future results.\nThe FTSE 100 Index is a market-capitalization weighted index of UK-listed blue chip companies.\nThe S&P 500® Index, or the Standard & Poor’s 500, is a stock market index based on the market capitalizations of 500 large companies having common stock listed on the NYSE or NASDAQ.\nThe MSCI EMU Index (European Economic and Monetary Union) captures large and mid cap representation across the 10 developed markets countries in the EMU. With 246 constituents, the index covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization of the EMU.\nIndexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.\nCopyright © Russell Investments 2021. All rights reserved. This material is proprietary and may not be reproduced, transferred, or distributed in any form without prior written permission from Russell Investments. It is delivered on an “as is” basis without warranty.\nFrank Russell Company is the owner of the Russell trademarks contained in this material and all trademark rights related to the Russell trademarks, which the members of the Russell Investments group of companies are permitted to use under license from Frank Russell Company. The members of the Russell Investments group of companies are not affiliated in any manner with Frank Russell Company or any entity operating under the “FTSE RUSSELL” brand.\nProducts and services described on this website are intended forUnited States residents only. Nothing contained in this material is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities, or investment advice, nor an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, nor a solicitation of any type. The general information contained on this website should not be acted upon without obtaining specific legal, tax, and investment advice from a licensed professional. Persons outside the United States may find more information about products and services available within their jurisdictions by going to Russell Investments' Worldwide site.\nRussell Investments is committed to ensuring digital accessibility for people with disabilities. We are continually improving the user experience for everyone, and applying the relevant accessibility standards.\nRussell Investments' ownership is composed of a majority stake held by funds managed by TA Associates, with a significant minority stake held by funds managed by Reverence Capital Partners. Russell Investments' employees and Hamilton Lane Advisors, LLC also hold minority, non-controlling, ownership stakes.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862225665,"gmtCreate":1632883394953,"gmtModify":1632883395280,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRSR\">$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$</a>woooooooooaaaaw","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRSR\">$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$</a>woooooooooaaaaw","text":"$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$woooooooooaaaaw","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/681d5035030b27b0c3b8291f20ccc7ec","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862225665","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":437,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862226243,"gmtCreate":1632883263239,"gmtModify":1632883263611,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"woooooooooaaaw","listText":"woooooooooaaaw","text":"woooooooooaaaw","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862226243","repostId":"1179744266","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179744266","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1632859283,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179744266?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-29 04:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street swoons on rising Treasury yields, growing inflation worries","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179744266","media":"Reuters","summary":"S&P 500's worst day since May, Nasdaq's worst since March\nFord rises on $11.4 bln investment with SK","content":"<ul>\n <li>S&amp;P 500's worst day since May, Nasdaq's worst since March</li>\n <li>Ford rises on $11.4 bln investment with SK Innovation</li>\n <li>Indexes drop: Dow 1.63%, S&amp;P 2.04%, Nasdaq 2.83% (Updates with closing prices)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>NEW YORK, Sept 28 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks ended sharply lower on Tuesday in a broad sell-off driven by rising U.S. Treasury yields, deepening concerns over persistent inflation, and contentious debt ceiling negotiations in Washington.</p>\n<p>All three major U.S. stock indexes slid nearly 2% or more, with interest rate sensitive tech and tech-adjacent stocks weighing heaviest as investors lost their risk appetite.</p>\n<p>It was the S&amp;P 500 index's biggest one-day percentage drop since May, and the Nasdaq's largest since March.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite index were on track for their largest monthly declines since September 2020.</p>\n<p>\"The big picture is the sudden surge in the past week of yields, which has led to a 'sell first, ask questions later' mentality,\" Ryan Detrick, senior market strategist at LPL Financial in Charlotte, North Carolina.</p>\n<p>\"(But) there are multiple factors weighing on sentiment today,\" Detrick added. \"The back-and-forth in Washington with the debt ceiling and the spending bill and potential higher taxes have weighed on overall investor psyche and has led to a pretty good sized sell-off.\"</p>\n<p>The benchmark index was also setting a course for its weakest quarterly performance since the COVID pandemic brought the global economy to its knees.</p>\n<p>Weakness pervaded across most asset classes, including gold, suggesting widespread risk-off sentiment.</p>\n<p>U.S. Treasury yields continued rising, with 10-year yields reaching their highest level since June, as inflation expectations heated up and fears grew that the U.S. Federal Reserve could shorten its timeline for tightening its monetary policy.</p>\n<p>Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said she expected inflation to end 2021 near 4% and warned lawmakers their failure to avert a government shutdown as the nation moves closer to exhausting its borrowing capabilities could cause \"serious harm\" to the economy.</p>\n<p>Senate Republicans appeared set to strike down Democrats' efforts to extend the government's borrowing authority and avoid a potential U.S. credit default.</p>\n<p>A Conference Board report showed consumer confidence weakened unexpectedly in September to the lowest level since February.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 569.38 points, or 1.63%, to 34,299.99; the S&amp;P 500 lost 90.48 points, or 2.04%, at 4,352.63; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 423.29 points, or 2.83%, to 14,546.68.</p>\n<p>Half of the S&amp;P 500's components closed 10% or more below their 52-week highs. That included 63 stocks that had fallen 20% or more.</p>\n<p>Among the 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500, all but energy ended red, with tech and communications services suffering the steepest percentage losses.</p>\n<p>Communications services shed 2.8%, the sector's biggest one-day percentage decline since January. The S&amp;P growth index closed at its lowest since July and posted its biggest one-day percentage drop since February.</p>\n<p>Microsoft Corp, Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc and Alphabet Inc weighed heaviest on the S&amp;P and Nasdaq, falling between 2.4% and 3.6%.</p>\n<p>Ford Motor Co was one of the few bright spots, advancing 1.1% on news that it would join Korean battery partner SK Innovation to invest $11.4 billion to build an electric F-150 assembly plant and three U.S. battery plants.</p>\n<p>Declining issues outnumbered gainers on the NYSE by a 4.35-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 4.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 17 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 54 new highs and 120 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.27 billion shares, compared with the 10.37 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p>(Reporting by Stephen Culp; Additional reporting by Noel Randewich and Sinead Carew in New York and Devik Jain in Bengaluru; Editing by Richard Chang)</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street swoons on rising Treasury yields, growing inflation worries</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street swoons on rising Treasury yields, growing inflation worries\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-29 04:01</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<ul>\n <li>S&amp;P 500's worst day since May, Nasdaq's worst since March</li>\n <li>Ford rises on $11.4 bln investment with SK Innovation</li>\n <li>Indexes drop: Dow 1.63%, S&amp;P 2.04%, Nasdaq 2.83% (Updates with closing prices)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>NEW YORK, Sept 28 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks ended sharply lower on Tuesday in a broad sell-off driven by rising U.S. Treasury yields, deepening concerns over persistent inflation, and contentious debt ceiling negotiations in Washington.</p>\n<p>All three major U.S. stock indexes slid nearly 2% or more, with interest rate sensitive tech and tech-adjacent stocks weighing heaviest as investors lost their risk appetite.</p>\n<p>It was the S&amp;P 500 index's biggest one-day percentage drop since May, and the Nasdaq's largest since March.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite index were on track for their largest monthly declines since September 2020.</p>\n<p>\"The big picture is the sudden surge in the past week of yields, which has led to a 'sell first, ask questions later' mentality,\" Ryan Detrick, senior market strategist at LPL Financial in Charlotte, North Carolina.</p>\n<p>\"(But) there are multiple factors weighing on sentiment today,\" Detrick added. \"The back-and-forth in Washington with the debt ceiling and the spending bill and potential higher taxes have weighed on overall investor psyche and has led to a pretty good sized sell-off.\"</p>\n<p>The benchmark index was also setting a course for its weakest quarterly performance since the COVID pandemic brought the global economy to its knees.</p>\n<p>Weakness pervaded across most asset classes, including gold, suggesting widespread risk-off sentiment.</p>\n<p>U.S. Treasury yields continued rising, with 10-year yields reaching their highest level since June, as inflation expectations heated up and fears grew that the U.S. Federal Reserve could shorten its timeline for tightening its monetary policy.</p>\n<p>Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said she expected inflation to end 2021 near 4% and warned lawmakers their failure to avert a government shutdown as the nation moves closer to exhausting its borrowing capabilities could cause \"serious harm\" to the economy.</p>\n<p>Senate Republicans appeared set to strike down Democrats' efforts to extend the government's borrowing authority and avoid a potential U.S. credit default.</p>\n<p>A Conference Board report showed consumer confidence weakened unexpectedly in September to the lowest level since February.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 569.38 points, or 1.63%, to 34,299.99; the S&amp;P 500 lost 90.48 points, or 2.04%, at 4,352.63; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 423.29 points, or 2.83%, to 14,546.68.</p>\n<p>Half of the S&amp;P 500's components closed 10% or more below their 52-week highs. That included 63 stocks that had fallen 20% or more.</p>\n<p>Among the 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500, all but energy ended red, with tech and communications services suffering the steepest percentage losses.</p>\n<p>Communications services shed 2.8%, the sector's biggest one-day percentage decline since January. The S&amp;P growth index closed at its lowest since July and posted its biggest one-day percentage drop since February.</p>\n<p>Microsoft Corp, Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc and Alphabet Inc weighed heaviest on the S&amp;P and Nasdaq, falling between 2.4% and 3.6%.</p>\n<p>Ford Motor Co was one of the few bright spots, advancing 1.1% on news that it would join Korean battery partner SK Innovation to invest $11.4 billion to build an electric F-150 assembly plant and three U.S. battery plants.</p>\n<p>Declining issues outnumbered gainers on the NYSE by a 4.35-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 4.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 17 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 54 new highs and 120 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.27 billion shares, compared with the 10.37 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p>(Reporting by Stephen Culp; Additional reporting by Noel Randewich and Sinead Carew in New York and Devik Jain in Bengaluru; Editing by Richard Chang)</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179744266","content_text":"S&P 500's worst day since May, Nasdaq's worst since March\nFord rises on $11.4 bln investment with SK Innovation\nIndexes drop: Dow 1.63%, S&P 2.04%, Nasdaq 2.83% (Updates with closing prices)\n\nNEW YORK, Sept 28 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks ended sharply lower on Tuesday in a broad sell-off driven by rising U.S. Treasury yields, deepening concerns over persistent inflation, and contentious debt ceiling negotiations in Washington.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes slid nearly 2% or more, with interest rate sensitive tech and tech-adjacent stocks weighing heaviest as investors lost their risk appetite.\nIt was the S&P 500 index's biggest one-day percentage drop since May, and the Nasdaq's largest since March.\nThe S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite index were on track for their largest monthly declines since September 2020.\n\"The big picture is the sudden surge in the past week of yields, which has led to a 'sell first, ask questions later' mentality,\" Ryan Detrick, senior market strategist at LPL Financial in Charlotte, North Carolina.\n\"(But) there are multiple factors weighing on sentiment today,\" Detrick added. \"The back-and-forth in Washington with the debt ceiling and the spending bill and potential higher taxes have weighed on overall investor psyche and has led to a pretty good sized sell-off.\"\nThe benchmark index was also setting a course for its weakest quarterly performance since the COVID pandemic brought the global economy to its knees.\nWeakness pervaded across most asset classes, including gold, suggesting widespread risk-off sentiment.\nU.S. Treasury yields continued rising, with 10-year yields reaching their highest level since June, as inflation expectations heated up and fears grew that the U.S. Federal Reserve could shorten its timeline for tightening its monetary policy.\nTreasury Secretary Janet Yellen said she expected inflation to end 2021 near 4% and warned lawmakers their failure to avert a government shutdown as the nation moves closer to exhausting its borrowing capabilities could cause \"serious harm\" to the economy.\nSenate Republicans appeared set to strike down Democrats' efforts to extend the government's borrowing authority and avoid a potential U.S. credit default.\nA Conference Board report showed consumer confidence weakened unexpectedly in September to the lowest level since February.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 569.38 points, or 1.63%, to 34,299.99; the S&P 500 lost 90.48 points, or 2.04%, at 4,352.63; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 423.29 points, or 2.83%, to 14,546.68.\nHalf of the S&P 500's components closed 10% or more below their 52-week highs. That included 63 stocks that had fallen 20% or more.\nAmong the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500, all but energy ended red, with tech and communications services suffering the steepest percentage losses.\nCommunications services shed 2.8%, the sector's biggest one-day percentage decline since January. The S&P growth index closed at its lowest since July and posted its biggest one-day percentage drop since February.\nMicrosoft Corp, Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc and Alphabet Inc weighed heaviest on the S&P and Nasdaq, falling between 2.4% and 3.6%.\nFord Motor Co was one of the few bright spots, advancing 1.1% on news that it would join Korean battery partner SK Innovation to invest $11.4 billion to build an electric F-150 assembly plant and three U.S. battery plants.\nDeclining issues outnumbered gainers on the NYSE by a 4.35-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 4.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 17 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 54 new highs and 120 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 12.27 billion shares, compared with the 10.37 billion average over the last 20 trading days.\n(Reporting by Stephen Culp; Additional reporting by Noel Randewich and Sinead Carew in New York and Devik Jain in Bengaluru; Editing by Richard Chang)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":414,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866582293,"gmtCreate":1632790989812,"gmtModify":1632797581835,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRSR\">$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$</a>wooooooooaaaaw","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRSR\">$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$</a>wooooooooaaaaw","text":"$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$wooooooooaaaaw","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af0b9c8ebde04ca4f3f185172fbdd031","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866582293","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":646,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866582888,"gmtCreate":1632790969244,"gmtModify":1632797581880,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRSR\">$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$</a>wooooooooaaaaw","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRSR\">$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$</a>wooooooooaaaaw","text":"$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$wooooooooaaaaw","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/495f5170ec883586d2dba43754da283e","width":"1080","height":"2559"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866582888","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":517,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866586351,"gmtCreate":1632790885773,"gmtModify":1632797582065,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wooooooaaaw","listText":"wooooooaaaw","text":"wooooooaaaw","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866586351","repostId":"1199853438","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866076461,"gmtCreate":1632716746153,"gmtModify":1632798331832,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRSR\">$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$</a>wooooooooaaaaw","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRSR\">$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$</a>wooooooooaaaaw","text":"$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$wooooooooaaaaw","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aea8c0845659a501eae99ebbe1ee58b7","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866076461","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":188,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866078655,"gmtCreate":1632716615077,"gmtModify":1632798333179,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"woooooooaw","listText":"woooooooaw","text":"woooooooaw","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866078655","repostId":"2170488786","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2170488786","pubTimestamp":1632685409,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2170488786?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-27 03:43","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Debt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2170488786","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race t","content":"<p>Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race to pass legislation to avoid a government shutdown by the end of the month and debate raising the debt ceiling. Elsewhere, economic data on consumer confidence is also due for release.</p>\n<p>The Senate is expected to vote Monday on a procedural motion over the legislation passed by the House of Representatives last week. That bill included a plan to temporarily fund the government through early December, and came alongside a measure to raise the government debt ceiling through December 2022.</p>\n<p>The latter point has been an area of contention for Senate Republicans, who are only narrowly outnumbered by Democratic lawmakers in both chambers and who have threatened to block the bill in its current form.</p>\n<p>Senate Republicans including Minority Leader Mitch McConnell have suggested that Democratic lawmakers should use the budget reconciliation process to raise the debt ceiling without Republican support. McConnell has, however, supported a short-term government funding bill that excludes a debt ceiling suspension.</p>\n<p>\"If they [the Democrats] want to tax, borrow and spend historic sums of money without our input, they’ll have to raise the debt limit without our help. This is the reality,” McConnell said on the Senate floor last week.</p>\n<p>Democratic lawmakers, for their part, have called for the move to raise the debt limit be bipartisan to prevent the government from defaulting on its obligations. The Treasury Department has warned that the U.S. could default on its debts as soon as October in absence of congressional action.</p>\n<p>\"The U.S. has always paid its bills on time, but the overwhelming consensus among economists and Treasury officials of both parties is that failing to raise the debt limit would produce widespread economic catastrophe,\" Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen wrote in an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal last week.</p>\n<p>Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell also warned of the consequences of a failure to raise the debt ceiling during his post-FOMC meeting press conference last week.</p>\n<p>\"It's just very important that the debt ceiling be raised in a timely fashion so that the United States can pay its bills when and as they come due. That's a critically important thing,\" he said. \"The failure to do that is something that could result in severe reactions, severe damage to the economy and to the financial markets ... no <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> should assume that the Fed or anyone else can protect the markets or the economy in the event of a failure.\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6a59b9c059b09d9267c8298e0b837\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">A dead Elm tree is removed on the West Front of the Capitol in Washington, Friday, Sept. 10, 2021. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)ASSOCIATED PRESS</p>\n<p>Amid the standoff, the Office of Management and Budget began warning federal agencies last week to prepare for a potential government shutdown. The reminder served as a standard warning one week out from Congress's deadline to reach an agreement to at least temporarily continue funding the government.</p>\n<p>Though leaders of both political parties have agreed that a continuing resolution to avoid the shutdown at the end of the month is needed, the ongoing tension over raising the debt limit has served as a potential roadblock in this effort.</p>\n<p>\"We still expect Congress to avert a partial government shutdown at the start of October. Republicans won’t vote for the current continuing resolution being touted by the Democratic leadership, which also includes a new debt ceiling suspension,\" wrote Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist for Capital Economics, in a note Friday. \"But we expect a Plan B to emerge next week with the latter stripped out, which Republicans will support.\"</p>\n<p>\"The bigger issue is that there doesn’t appear to be an easy path to raising the debt ceiling by mid-October, which is when estimates suggest the Treasury’s will exhaust the 'extraordinary measures it is currently using to keep the lights on,\" he added.</p>\n<p>Investors have also grown jittery as the debates wore on, with stocks posting their worst day since May last week amid a confluence of concerns that also included debt concerns with China Evergrande.</p>\n<p>Many strategists, however, have suggested market participants need not be overly concerned about the impacts of a potential government shutdown.</p>\n<p>\"Historically, we've seen that government shutdowns tend to be short-lived,\" Jordan Jackson, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, told Yahoo Finance Live on Friday. \"We also know that for those non-essential federal employees, they do get furlough pay as well.\"</p>\n<p>\"If it lasts more than 30 days, it's certainly going to have a bigger impact on the economy. But generally speaking, these shutdowns tend to be short-lived and markets — while they may correct in the short-term — they do sort of continue to grind higher,\" he added. \"I think it's certainly a risk in terms of a short-term mini correction there. But again, with all the liquidity out there, I think any sort of blip in the markets will be short-lived.\"</p>\n<p>Historical equity performance during and immediately following a government shutdown has also tended to point to a muted market impact.</p>\n<p>\"In the 14 government shutdowns since 1980, the S&amp;P 500 generated median returns of -0.1% on the dates of budget authority expiration, 0.1% during the shutdown periods, and 0.3% on the dates of resolution,\" David Kostin, Goldman Sachs chief equity strategist, wrote in a note published on Sept. 21.</p>\n<p>\"One notable exception was the most recent federal shutdown in December 2018, when the S&amp;P 500 fell 2% on the spending authority expiration date,\" he added. \"However, this decline was likely driven primarily by investor concerns about Fed tightening.\"</p>\n<p>Kostin also noted that the typical government shutdown since 1980 has only lasted three days before ultimately being resolved. More recent shutdowns have lasted several times longer, however, with the duration of the four most recent federal shutdowns averaging 18 days, Kostin said.</p>\n<h3>Consumer confidence</h3>\n<p>On the economic data front, one of the most closely watched new pieces of data will be on consumer confidence.</p>\n<p>The Conference Board is set to release its September consumer confidence index Tuesday morning. Economists expect the index to tick up only slightly compared to August, with consumers' views on the coronavirus and rising prices stabilizing near the lowest level since February.</p>\n<p>Specifically, consensus economists are looking for the index to rise to 115.0 in September after dropping to 113.8 in August. During the last monthly report, consumers' assessments of current business and labor market conditions both eased, and expectations for the next six months out also deteriorated.</p>\n<p>\"Consumer confidence fell to a six-month low in August, due to concerns around the Delta variant and inflation,\" wrote Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer in a note on Friday. \"We think these concerns largely remained in September.\"</p>\n<p>At the time, Lynn Franco, senior director of economic indicators at the Conference Board, said it was still \"too soon to conclude\" whether decline in consumer confidence would \"result in consumers significantly curtailing their spending in the months ahead.\"</p>\n<p>The latest spending data has also been equivocal. The Commerce Department's latest report showed retail sales rose 0.7% in August after declining in July. However, the categories posting the biggest declines were areas like e-commerce shops and grocery stores, suggesting consumer behavior was shifting back toward stay-in-place trends and away from in-person events like restaurant dining amid the latest wave of the coronavirus.</p>\n<h3>Economic calendar</h3>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b>Durable goods orders, August preliminary (0.6% expected, -0.1% in July); Durable goods excluding transportation, August preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.8% in July); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, August preliminary (0.3% expected, 0.1% in July); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, August preliminary (0.9% in July); Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index, September (11.0 expected, 9.0 in July)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>Advance goods trade balance, August (-$87.0 billion expected, -$86.4 billion in July); Wholesale inventories, month-over-month, August preliminary (0.6% in July); Retail inventories, month-over-month, August (0.4% in July); FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, July (1.5% expected, 1.6% in July); S&amp;P <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLGX\">CoreLogic</a> Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, July (1.62% expected, 1.77% in June); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, July (20.1% expected, 19.08% in June); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, September (114.2 expected, 113.8 in August); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, September (9 in August)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended September 24 (4.9% during prior month); Pending home sales, month-over-month, August (1.0% expected, -1.8% in July)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>Initial jobless claims, week ended September 25 (320,000 expected, 351,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended September 18 (2.845 million during prior week); GDP annualized, quarter-over-quarter, second-quarter third estimate (6.7% expected, 6.6% in prior estimate); Personal consumption, second-quarter third estimate (11.9% in prior estimate); Core personal consumption expenditures, second quarter third estimate (6.1% in prior estimate); MNI Chicago PMI, September (65.0 expected, 66.8 in August)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b>Personal income, August (0.2% expected, 1.1% in July); Personal spending, August (0.7% expected, 0.3% in July); Personal consumption expenditures core deflator, month-over-over, August (0.2% expected, 0.3% in July); Personal consumption expenditures core deflator, year-over-year, August (3.6% expected, 3.6% in July); <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a> manufacturing PMI, September final (60.5 in prior estimate); Construction spending, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.3% in July); University of Michigan sentiment, September final (71.0 expected, 71.0 in prior print); ISM Manufacturing, September (59.5 expected, 59.9 in August)</p></li>\n</ul>\n<h3>Earnings calendar</h3>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b>Aurora Cannabis (ACB) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>Micron Technology (MU) after market close.</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>CarMax (KMX), Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) before market open; Jefferies (JEF) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for releas</i></p></li>\n</ul>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Debt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDebt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-27 03:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race to pass legislation to avoid a government shutdown by the end of the month and debate raising the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7e749e88d2580d292ffc6ae18d03b65","relate_stocks":{"SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2170488786","content_text":"Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race to pass legislation to avoid a government shutdown by the end of the month and debate raising the debt ceiling. Elsewhere, economic data on consumer confidence is also due for release.\nThe Senate is expected to vote Monday on a procedural motion over the legislation passed by the House of Representatives last week. That bill included a plan to temporarily fund the government through early December, and came alongside a measure to raise the government debt ceiling through December 2022.\nThe latter point has been an area of contention for Senate Republicans, who are only narrowly outnumbered by Democratic lawmakers in both chambers and who have threatened to block the bill in its current form.\nSenate Republicans including Minority Leader Mitch McConnell have suggested that Democratic lawmakers should use the budget reconciliation process to raise the debt ceiling without Republican support. McConnell has, however, supported a short-term government funding bill that excludes a debt ceiling suspension.\n\"If they [the Democrats] want to tax, borrow and spend historic sums of money without our input, they’ll have to raise the debt limit without our help. This is the reality,” McConnell said on the Senate floor last week.\nDemocratic lawmakers, for their part, have called for the move to raise the debt limit be bipartisan to prevent the government from defaulting on its obligations. The Treasury Department has warned that the U.S. could default on its debts as soon as October in absence of congressional action.\n\"The U.S. has always paid its bills on time, but the overwhelming consensus among economists and Treasury officials of both parties is that failing to raise the debt limit would produce widespread economic catastrophe,\" Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen wrote in an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal last week.\nFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell also warned of the consequences of a failure to raise the debt ceiling during his post-FOMC meeting press conference last week.\n\"It's just very important that the debt ceiling be raised in a timely fashion so that the United States can pay its bills when and as they come due. That's a critically important thing,\" he said. \"The failure to do that is something that could result in severe reactions, severe damage to the economy and to the financial markets ... no one should assume that the Fed or anyone else can protect the markets or the economy in the event of a failure.\"\nA dead Elm tree is removed on the West Front of the Capitol in Washington, Friday, Sept. 10, 2021. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)ASSOCIATED PRESS\nAmid the standoff, the Office of Management and Budget began warning federal agencies last week to prepare for a potential government shutdown. The reminder served as a standard warning one week out from Congress's deadline to reach an agreement to at least temporarily continue funding the government.\nThough leaders of both political parties have agreed that a continuing resolution to avoid the shutdown at the end of the month is needed, the ongoing tension over raising the debt limit has served as a potential roadblock in this effort.\n\"We still expect Congress to avert a partial government shutdown at the start of October. Republicans won’t vote for the current continuing resolution being touted by the Democratic leadership, which also includes a new debt ceiling suspension,\" wrote Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist for Capital Economics, in a note Friday. \"But we expect a Plan B to emerge next week with the latter stripped out, which Republicans will support.\"\n\"The bigger issue is that there doesn’t appear to be an easy path to raising the debt ceiling by mid-October, which is when estimates suggest the Treasury’s will exhaust the 'extraordinary measures it is currently using to keep the lights on,\" he added.\nInvestors have also grown jittery as the debates wore on, with stocks posting their worst day since May last week amid a confluence of concerns that also included debt concerns with China Evergrande.\nMany strategists, however, have suggested market participants need not be overly concerned about the impacts of a potential government shutdown.\n\"Historically, we've seen that government shutdowns tend to be short-lived,\" Jordan Jackson, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, told Yahoo Finance Live on Friday. \"We also know that for those non-essential federal employees, they do get furlough pay as well.\"\n\"If it lasts more than 30 days, it's certainly going to have a bigger impact on the economy. But generally speaking, these shutdowns tend to be short-lived and markets — while they may correct in the short-term — they do sort of continue to grind higher,\" he added. \"I think it's certainly a risk in terms of a short-term mini correction there. But again, with all the liquidity out there, I think any sort of blip in the markets will be short-lived.\"\nHistorical equity performance during and immediately following a government shutdown has also tended to point to a muted market impact.\n\"In the 14 government shutdowns since 1980, the S&P 500 generated median returns of -0.1% on the dates of budget authority expiration, 0.1% during the shutdown periods, and 0.3% on the dates of resolution,\" David Kostin, Goldman Sachs chief equity strategist, wrote in a note published on Sept. 21.\n\"One notable exception was the most recent federal shutdown in December 2018, when the S&P 500 fell 2% on the spending authority expiration date,\" he added. \"However, this decline was likely driven primarily by investor concerns about Fed tightening.\"\nKostin also noted that the typical government shutdown since 1980 has only lasted three days before ultimately being resolved. More recent shutdowns have lasted several times longer, however, with the duration of the four most recent federal shutdowns averaging 18 days, Kostin said.\nConsumer confidence\nOn the economic data front, one of the most closely watched new pieces of data will be on consumer confidence.\nThe Conference Board is set to release its September consumer confidence index Tuesday morning. Economists expect the index to tick up only slightly compared to August, with consumers' views on the coronavirus and rising prices stabilizing near the lowest level since February.\nSpecifically, consensus economists are looking for the index to rise to 115.0 in September after dropping to 113.8 in August. During the last monthly report, consumers' assessments of current business and labor market conditions both eased, and expectations for the next six months out also deteriorated.\n\"Consumer confidence fell to a six-month low in August, due to concerns around the Delta variant and inflation,\" wrote Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer in a note on Friday. \"We think these concerns largely remained in September.\"\nAt the time, Lynn Franco, senior director of economic indicators at the Conference Board, said it was still \"too soon to conclude\" whether decline in consumer confidence would \"result in consumers significantly curtailing their spending in the months ahead.\"\nThe latest spending data has also been equivocal. The Commerce Department's latest report showed retail sales rose 0.7% in August after declining in July. However, the categories posting the biggest declines were areas like e-commerce shops and grocery stores, suggesting consumer behavior was shifting back toward stay-in-place trends and away from in-person events like restaurant dining amid the latest wave of the coronavirus.\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Durable goods orders, August preliminary (0.6% expected, -0.1% in July); Durable goods excluding transportation, August preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.8% in July); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, August preliminary (0.3% expected, 0.1% in July); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, August preliminary (0.9% in July); Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index, September (11.0 expected, 9.0 in July)\nTuesday: Advance goods trade balance, August (-$87.0 billion expected, -$86.4 billion in July); Wholesale inventories, month-over-month, August preliminary (0.6% in July); Retail inventories, month-over-month, August (0.4% in July); FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, July (1.5% expected, 1.6% in July); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, July (1.62% expected, 1.77% in June); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, July (20.1% expected, 19.08% in June); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, September (114.2 expected, 113.8 in August); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, September (9 in August)\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended September 24 (4.9% during prior month); Pending home sales, month-over-month, August (1.0% expected, -1.8% in July)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended September 25 (320,000 expected, 351,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended September 18 (2.845 million during prior week); GDP annualized, quarter-over-quarter, second-quarter third estimate (6.7% expected, 6.6% in prior estimate); Personal consumption, second-quarter third estimate (11.9% in prior estimate); Core personal consumption expenditures, second quarter third estimate (6.1% in prior estimate); MNI Chicago PMI, September (65.0 expected, 66.8 in August)\nFriday: Personal income, August (0.2% expected, 1.1% in July); Personal spending, August (0.7% expected, 0.3% in July); Personal consumption expenditures core deflator, month-over-over, August (0.2% expected, 0.3% in July); Personal consumption expenditures core deflator, year-over-year, August (3.6% expected, 3.6% in July); Markit manufacturing PMI, September final (60.5 in prior estimate); Construction spending, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.3% in July); University of Michigan sentiment, September final (71.0 expected, 71.0 in prior print); ISM Manufacturing, September (59.5 expected, 59.9 in August)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: Aurora Cannabis (ACB) after market close\nTuesday: Micron Technology (MU) after market close.\nWednesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nThursday: CarMax (KMX), Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) before market open; Jefferies (JEF) after market close\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for releas","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":163,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":176085546,"gmtCreate":1626845890085,"gmtModify":1633770443712,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wooooooooaw[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"wooooooooaw[开心]&nbsp;","text":"wooooooooaw[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176085546","repostId":"2153924256","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":250,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":122416199,"gmtCreate":1624629907411,"gmtModify":1633950313624,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wooooooaw[可爱]&nbsp;","listText":"wooooooaw[可爱]&nbsp;","text":"wooooooaw[可爱]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8339348f93f417d7f49085aed38d3901","width":"1080","height":"2446"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122416199","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":96,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":122437090,"gmtCreate":1624629760810,"gmtModify":1633950317219,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wooooooaw[得意]&nbsp;","listText":"wooooooaw[得意]&nbsp;","text":"wooooooaw[得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122437090","repostId":"2146023165","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":106899552,"gmtCreate":1620098840576,"gmtModify":1634207821281,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"[开心]&nbsp;","text":"[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106899552","repostId":"1165463758","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165463758","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1620048819,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1165463758?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-03 21:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow jumps 200 points as stock market kicks off May in rally mode","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165463758","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(May 3) Stocks opened higher Monday, kicking off the first trading day of May in rally mode as inves","content":"<p>(May 3)&nbsp;Stocks opened higher Monday, kicking off the first trading day of May in rally mode as investors bet on the reopening of the U.S. economy. The Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;was up 200 points, or 0.6%, at 34,076, while the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;rose 0.5% to 4,203 and the Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;advanced 0.4% to 14,012.</p><p>Berkshire Hathaway shares rose 1% in early trading after Warren Buffett’s conglomeratereported a 20% surge in operating earningsand continued to buy back large amounts of its own shares. Buffett also revealed to CNBC that when he is no longer in charge, Greg Abel, vice chairman of all non-insurance operations,will succeed him.</p><p>Bets on the economic reopening were gaining in early trading. Norwegian Cruise Line holdings and Carnival Corp. were both higher by 1% in the premarket. Caterpillar and Bank of America were also higher.</p><p>Shares of Verizon rose 0.6% in premarket trading after the telecom giant saidit will sell its media group to private equity firm Apollo Global Managementfor $5 billion. The sale allows Verizon to offload properties from the former internet empires of AOL and Yahoo.</p><p>Some tech shares, such as Tesla and Netflix, were weak in early trading.</p><p>Monday marks the first trading day of May. Despite Friday’s weakness in equities, the S&amp;P 500 notched its third straight month of gains in April, adding more than 5% to the index as investors bet on a big economic and profit recovery from the pandemic.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is now up 11% for the year.&nbsp;The benchmark closed at record levels on Thursday&nbsp;on the heels of blowout earnings results from Apple and Facebook.</p><p>The Dow rose about 2.7% last month, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 5.4% in April.</p><p>Some investors are expecting weakness in the new month given the old \"sell in May and go away\" Wall Street adage. This mantra calls for taking off risk from May to October, a period where the market is more prone to sell-offs historically.</p><p>Data going back to 1928 shows that the May-October period has the lowest average and median returns of any six-month period of the year with the S&amp;P 500 up 66% of the time on an average return of 2.2%, according to Bank of America.</p><p>The market might see mediocre performance from here especially after a massive rally from November to April, where the S&amp;P 500 gained 28%, the bank noted.</p><p>\"This is a small number of observations, but May-October has lackluster average and median returns after a November-April rally of at least 20%,\" Stephen Suttmeier, technical research strategist at Bank of America, said in a note.</p><p>Manufacturing PMI data for April will be released at 9:45 a.m. ET on Monday, followed by ISM manufacturing at 10 a.m.</p><p>April's jobs report will be released on Friday.</p><p>\"Investors are gearing up for another busy earnings week capped off with a widely watched jobs report. Given the positive economic and earnings news, the path of least resistance appears higher,\" Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at Cresset Capital told CNBC.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow jumps 200 points as stock market kicks off May in rally mode</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow jumps 200 points as stock market kicks off May in rally mode\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-03 21:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(May 3)&nbsp;Stocks opened higher Monday, kicking off the first trading day of May in rally mode as investors bet on the reopening of the U.S. economy. The Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;was up 200 points, or 0.6%, at 34,076, while the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;rose 0.5% to 4,203 and the Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;advanced 0.4% to 14,012.</p><p>Berkshire Hathaway shares rose 1% in early trading after Warren Buffett’s conglomeratereported a 20% surge in operating earningsand continued to buy back large amounts of its own shares. Buffett also revealed to CNBC that when he is no longer in charge, Greg Abel, vice chairman of all non-insurance operations,will succeed him.</p><p>Bets on the economic reopening were gaining in early trading. Norwegian Cruise Line holdings and Carnival Corp. were both higher by 1% in the premarket. Caterpillar and Bank of America were also higher.</p><p>Shares of Verizon rose 0.6% in premarket trading after the telecom giant saidit will sell its media group to private equity firm Apollo Global Managementfor $5 billion. The sale allows Verizon to offload properties from the former internet empires of AOL and Yahoo.</p><p>Some tech shares, such as Tesla and Netflix, were weak in early trading.</p><p>Monday marks the first trading day of May. Despite Friday’s weakness in equities, the S&amp;P 500 notched its third straight month of gains in April, adding more than 5% to the index as investors bet on a big economic and profit recovery from the pandemic.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is now up 11% for the year.&nbsp;The benchmark closed at record levels on Thursday&nbsp;on the heels of blowout earnings results from Apple and Facebook.</p><p>The Dow rose about 2.7% last month, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 5.4% in April.</p><p>Some investors are expecting weakness in the new month given the old \"sell in May and go away\" Wall Street adage. This mantra calls for taking off risk from May to October, a period where the market is more prone to sell-offs historically.</p><p>Data going back to 1928 shows that the May-October period has the lowest average and median returns of any six-month period of the year with the S&amp;P 500 up 66% of the time on an average return of 2.2%, according to Bank of America.</p><p>The market might see mediocre performance from here especially after a massive rally from November to April, where the S&amp;P 500 gained 28%, the bank noted.</p><p>\"This is a small number of observations, but May-October has lackluster average and median returns after a November-April rally of at least 20%,\" Stephen Suttmeier, technical research strategist at Bank of America, said in a note.</p><p>Manufacturing PMI data for April will be released at 9:45 a.m. ET on Monday, followed by ISM manufacturing at 10 a.m.</p><p>April's jobs report will be released on Friday.</p><p>\"Investors are gearing up for another busy earnings week capped off with a widely watched jobs report. Given the positive economic and earnings news, the path of least resistance appears higher,\" Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at Cresset Capital told CNBC.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165463758","content_text":"(May 3) Stocks opened higher Monday, kicking off the first trading day of May in rally mode as investors bet on the reopening of the U.S. economy. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 200 points, or 0.6%, at 34,076, while the S&P 500 rose 0.5% to 4,203 and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.4% to 14,012.Berkshire Hathaway shares rose 1% in early trading after Warren Buffett’s conglomeratereported a 20% surge in operating earningsand continued to buy back large amounts of its own shares. Buffett also revealed to CNBC that when he is no longer in charge, Greg Abel, vice chairman of all non-insurance operations,will succeed him.Bets on the economic reopening were gaining in early trading. Norwegian Cruise Line holdings and Carnival Corp. were both higher by 1% in the premarket. Caterpillar and Bank of America were also higher.Shares of Verizon rose 0.6% in premarket trading after the telecom giant saidit will sell its media group to private equity firm Apollo Global Managementfor $5 billion. The sale allows Verizon to offload properties from the former internet empires of AOL and Yahoo.Some tech shares, such as Tesla and Netflix, were weak in early trading.Monday marks the first trading day of May. Despite Friday’s weakness in equities, the S&P 500 notched its third straight month of gains in April, adding more than 5% to the index as investors bet on a big economic and profit recovery from the pandemic.The S&P 500 is now up 11% for the year. The benchmark closed at record levels on Thursday on the heels of blowout earnings results from Apple and Facebook.The Dow rose about 2.7% last month, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 5.4% in April.Some investors are expecting weakness in the new month given the old \"sell in May and go away\" Wall Street adage. This mantra calls for taking off risk from May to October, a period where the market is more prone to sell-offs historically.Data going back to 1928 shows that the May-October period has the lowest average and median returns of any six-month period of the year with the S&P 500 up 66% of the time on an average return of 2.2%, according to Bank of America.The market might see mediocre performance from here especially after a massive rally from November to April, where the S&P 500 gained 28%, the bank noted.\"This is a small number of observations, but May-October has lackluster average and median returns after a November-April rally of at least 20%,\" Stephen Suttmeier, technical research strategist at Bank of America, said in a note.Manufacturing PMI data for April will be released at 9:45 a.m. ET on Monday, followed by ISM manufacturing at 10 a.m.April's jobs report will be released on Friday.\"Investors are gearing up for another busy earnings week capped off with a widely watched jobs report. Given the positive economic and earnings news, the path of least resistance appears higher,\" Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at Cresset Capital told CNBC.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":228,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":866586351,"gmtCreate":1632790885773,"gmtModify":1632797582065,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wooooooaaaw","listText":"wooooooaaaw","text":"wooooooaaaw","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866586351","repostId":"1199853438","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199853438","pubTimestamp":1632790562,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199853438?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-28 08:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Bank Stocks Surge Toward Best Year Since 1997 on Fed Shift","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199853438","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"U.S. bank stocks are on track for the biggest annual gain in more than two decades as traders increa","content":"<p>U.S. bank stocks are on track for the biggest annual gain in more than two decades as traders increase bets that the Federal Reserve will start raising interest rates as soon as late next year, promising to boost lenders’ profits.</p>\n<p>The KBW Bank Index jumped 2.9% on Monday after 10-year Treasury yields touched the highest level since June on expectations that the Fed is moving closer toward tightening monetary policy as the economy recovers from the pandemic. The advance pushed the index to a gain of 37% this year, the most since 1997.</p>\n<p>READ: Treasury 10-Year Yield Tops 1.5% for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIME\">Time</a> Since June</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> began piling back into bank shares last week after the Fed’s latest dot plot showed 9 of 18 officials anticipate a rate hike next year, up from seven in June, and Chair Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> said the central bank may soon begin scaling back its massive bond purchases.</p>\n<p>Higher interest rates would provide a boost to banks’ bottom lines by increasing earnings on long-term loans.</p>\n<p>“Recent commentary about both tapering and a potential 2022 rate hike prove positive tailwinds” for asset sensitive banks, Hovde Group analysts include Brett Rabatin wrote in a note.</p>\n<p>All 24 members of the KBW Bank Index have gained at least 3.5% since the Fed’s Sept. 22 meeting, with half of shares rising 10% or more over the four-day rally. Dallas-based <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMA\">Comerica</a> Inc. has been the best performer, jumping about 15%.</p>\n<p>But <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a> &amp; Co. has lagged its peers and was the lone decliner on Monday after the bank reached a settlement with the U.S. Justice Department over claims it overcharged commercial customers who used its foreign exchange services.</p>\n<p>While the Fed’s next meeting is not until November, the next major catalyst for banks is just over two weeks away, with <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> &amp; Co. scheduled to kick off the third-quarter earnings season on Oct. 13.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Bank Stocks Surge Toward Best Year Since 1997 on Fed Shift</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Bank Stocks Surge Toward Best Year Since 1997 on Fed Shift\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-28 08:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-bank-stocks-surge-toward-173655393.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. bank stocks are on track for the biggest annual gain in more than two decades as traders increase bets that the Federal Reserve will start raising interest rates as soon as late next year, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-bank-stocks-surge-toward-173655393.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BAC":"美国银行"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-bank-stocks-surge-toward-173655393.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199853438","content_text":"U.S. bank stocks are on track for the biggest annual gain in more than two decades as traders increase bets that the Federal Reserve will start raising interest rates as soon as late next year, promising to boost lenders’ profits.\nThe KBW Bank Index jumped 2.9% on Monday after 10-year Treasury yields touched the highest level since June on expectations that the Fed is moving closer toward tightening monetary policy as the economy recovers from the pandemic. The advance pushed the index to a gain of 37% this year, the most since 1997.\nREAD: Treasury 10-Year Yield Tops 1.5% for First Time Since June\nInvestors began piling back into bank shares last week after the Fed’s latest dot plot showed 9 of 18 officials anticipate a rate hike next year, up from seven in June, and Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank may soon begin scaling back its massive bond purchases.\nHigher interest rates would provide a boost to banks’ bottom lines by increasing earnings on long-term loans.\n“Recent commentary about both tapering and a potential 2022 rate hike prove positive tailwinds” for asset sensitive banks, Hovde Group analysts include Brett Rabatin wrote in a note.\nAll 24 members of the KBW Bank Index have gained at least 3.5% since the Fed’s Sept. 22 meeting, with half of shares rising 10% or more over the four-day rally. Dallas-based Comerica Inc. has been the best performer, jumping about 15%.\nBut Wells Fargo & Co. has lagged its peers and was the lone decliner on Monday after the bank reached a settlement with the U.S. Justice Department over claims it overcharged commercial customers who used its foreign exchange services.\nWhile the Fed’s next meeting is not until November, the next major catalyst for banks is just over two weeks away, with JPMorgan Chase & Co. scheduled to kick off the third-quarter earnings season on Oct. 13.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865652089,"gmtCreate":1632979734121,"gmtModify":1632979735440,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"woooooooaaaaw","listText":"woooooooaaaaw","text":"woooooooaaaaw","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865652089","repostId":"1104172212","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104172212","pubTimestamp":1632965278,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104172212?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-30 09:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2021 Global Market Outlook - Q4 Update: Growing Pains","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104172212","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows.</li>\n <li>The reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor.</li>\n <li>The key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The COVID-19 delta variant, inflation and central bank tapering are unnerving investors. <b>We expect the pandemic-recovery trade to resume as inflation subsides, infection rates decline and tapering turns out to not equal tightening. Amid this backdrop, our outlook favors equities over bonds, the value factor over the growth factor and non-U.S. stocks over U.S. stocks.</b></p>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>The post-lockdown recovery has transitioned from energetic youthfulness to awkward adolescence. It’s still growing, although at a slower pace, and there are worries about what happens next, particularly about monetary policy and the outlook for inflation. Theinflation spikehas been larger than expected, but we still think it istransitory, caused by base effects from when the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) fell during the lockdown last year and by temporary supply bottlenecks. Inflation may remain high over the remainder of 2021 but should decline in early 2022. This means that even though the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to begin tapering back on asset purchases before the end of the year, rate hikes are unlikely before the second half of 2023.</p>\n<p>Another worry is thehighly contagious COVID-19 delta variant. The evidence so far is that vaccines are effective in preventing serious COVID-19 infections. Vaccination rates are accelerating globally, and emerging economies are catching up with developed markets. Infection rates appear to have peaked globally in early September. This means the reopening of economies should continue over the remainder of 2021. The onset of winter in the northern hemisphere will be a test, but the rollout of booster vaccination shots should help prevent widescale renewed lockdowns.</p>\n<p>The conclusions from our cycle, value and sentiment (CVS) investment decision-making process are broadly unchanged from our previous quarterly report. Global equities remain expensive, with the very expensive U.S. market offsetting better value elsewhere. Sentiment is slightly overbought, but not close to dangerous levels of euphoria. The strong cycle delivers a preference for equities over bonds for at least the next 12 months, despite expensive valuations. It also reinforces our preference for thevalue equity factor over the growth factorand for non-U.S. equities to outperform the U.S. market.</p>\n<p><b>Cycle still in recovery phase</b></p>\n<p>The post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows. Even so, we think the cycle is still in the recovery phase, although it is maturing. Despite strong growth, there is plenty of spare capacity. This can be seen in the employment-to-population ratio for prime-age workers in the United States. The chart below shows the ratio has recovered from the pandemic lows, but only to levels reached during the relatively mild recessions in the early 1990s and 2000s. We expect theU.S. labor-market recoveryshould still resemble a typical post-recession recovery over the next few quarters.</p>\n<p><b>U.S. EMPLOYMENT-POPULATION RATIO FOR PRIME-AGE WORKERS</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28a91fe2991463e2285879c32cb1b8c7\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The U.S. recovery, however, is more advanced than that of other developed economies. The following chart shows how far GDP has recovered, relative to the pre-COVID-19 peak in 2019. GDP is 0.8% higher in the U.S., although this level is still short relative to the pre-COVID-19 trend. GDP is 2.5% below 2019 levels in the euro area and 4.5% below in the United Kingdom. We expect more cyclical upside for economic growth outside the U.S., and this should allow market leadership to rotate toward the rest of the world.</p>\n<p><b>GDP IN Q2 2021 RELATIVE TO PRE-COVID-19 PEAK IN 2019</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/577d1b96aef08b71c9bdb6665a21b2ac\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Two key indicators</b></p>\n<p>Last quarter, we listed two indicators that should offer a guide to the Fed’s expected reaction to the inflation spike.</p>\n<p>The first is five-year/five-year breakeven inflation expectations, based on the pricing of Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS). This is the market’s forecast for average inflation over five years in five years’ time. It tells us that investors expect inflation will average 2.17% in the five years from late 2026 to late 2031. The TIPS yields are based on the CPI, while the Fed targets inflation as measured by the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) deflator. The two move together over time, but CPI inflation is generally around 0.25% higher than PCE inflation. A breakeven rate of 2.75% would suggest the market sees PCE inflation above 2.5% in five years’ time. Market inflation expectations are currently comfortably below the Fed’s worry point.</p>\n<p><b>WATCHPOINT INDICATOR #1: U.S. 5-YEAR/5-YEAR BREAKEVEN INFLATION RATE</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f3cf57b58f600fe6681e9015779e85\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The second indicator is the Atlanta Fed’s Wage Growth Tracker, and this has a less-comforting message about inflation risks. It reached 3.9% in August, which isclose to the 4% thresholdwhere we judge that the Fed will become concerned about the inflationary impact on the growth of wages. A breakdown shows that the spike has been mostly driven by wages for low-skilled, young people in the leisure and hospitality industry. This suggests the surge has been caused by temporary labor supply shortages and that wage pressures should subside as economic activity normalizes. This indicator, however, will be an important watchpoint over the next few months.</p>\n<p><b>WATCHPOINT INDICATOR #2: ATLANTA FED WAGE GROWTH TRACKER</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d3ff1ca26f6d29a28f919c65531c9a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Reopening trade still makes sense</b></p>\n<p>The reopening trade, which lifts long-term interest rates and favors cyclical and value stocks over technology and growth stocks, worked well for several months following the vaccine announcement last November. Value outperformed growth and yield curves steepened. The trade has reversed in recent months, however, amid fears that the delta variant might derail the economic recovery. The impact has been magnified by short covering in bond markets as investors, who have been short or underweight, have been forced by the rally to buy back into the market, pushing bond yields even lower.</p>\n<p>The reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor. Financial stocks comprise the largest sector in the MSCI World Value Index, and they should benefit from further yield-curve steepening, which boosts the profitability of banks. Long-term interest rates should rise as global growth remains above trend, delta-variant fears fade, the short squeeze unwinds and central banks begin tapering back on bond purchases.</p>\n<p>The rotation in economic growth leadership away from the United States should also help the reopening trade. The rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks relative to the U.S., which has a higher weight to technology stocks.</p>\n<p>Emerging market (EM) equities have been poor performers since the vaccine announcement, but there are some encouraging signs. Initially, they were held back by the exposure to technology stocks in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index and the slow rollout of COVID-19 vaccines. More recently, they have come under pressure from the slowdown in the Chinese economy and theregulatory crackdown on Chinese tech companies. The vaccine rollout across emerging markets has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon improve the growth outlook. The path of Chinese regulation is harder to predict, but it is now largely priced in, with Chinese technology companies underperforming their global peers by nearly 50% from February 2021 through mid-September.</p>\n<p>The resumption of the reopening trade should also result in U.S. dollar weakness. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has traded sideways since the vaccine announcement. It should weaken once investors have confidence that delta-variant risks are subsiding and realize that the Fed is likely to remain dovish as inflation risks decline. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. Dollar weakness should support the performance of non-U.S. markets, particularly emerging markets.</p>\n<p><b>Risks: variants, inflation, China weakness</b></p>\n<p>The key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter. The evidence so far is that vaccinations are highly effective in preventing serious illness. In Israel, booster shots appear to have slowed the rate of new cases.</p>\n<p>Another watchpoint is inflation and the response of central banks. Our expectation is that this year’s inflation spike is mostly transitory and that the major central banks, led by the Fed, are still two years from raising interest rates.</p>\n<p>Finally, there is the risk of a sharper-than-expected slowdown in China.Credit growth has slowed this yearand the purchasing managers’ indexes (PMI) have trended lower. Monetary and fiscal policy have been eased, however, and senior officials have signaled that more stimulus is on the way. China policy direction and credit trends will be an important watchpoint over coming months.</p>\n<p><b>Regional snapshotsUnited States</b></p>\n<p>The U.S. economy is likely to sustain above-trend growth into 2022. However, the easiest gains appear in the rear-view mirror at the end of the third quarter as the recovery phase of the business cycle matures. This is most visible for corporate earnings, where S&amp;P 500® Index earnings-per-share already sit 20% above their previous cyclical high.</p>\n<p>Strong fundamentals have helped power the stock market to new highs. Early evidence that the delta-variant wave may be fading and the potential for greater vaccine access for children are positives for a more complete recovery in the quarters ahead. The Fedlooks poised to start tapering its asset purchasesaround the end of 2021. The timing of the first rate hike will then hinge on what happens to inflation next year. Our models suggest that inflation is likely to drop back below the Fed’s 2% target in 2022. If that is correct, the Fed is likely to remain on hold into the second half of 2023.</p>\n<p>Wage inflation is a key risk to this view. It is running unusually strong for this stage of the cycle, and record hiring intentions from businesses could exhaust spare capacity in the year ahead. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise moderately from 1.37% in mid-September to 1.75% in coming months.</p>\n<p>Fiscal stimulus negotiations continue to grab headlines in Washington, D.C. Thetax provisions in these billsare likely to be the most impactful for financial markets. We estimate thathigher corporate taxescould subtract about four percentage points from S&amp;P 500 earnings growth in 2022. This could create volatility and opportunity in markets. Given our strong cyclical outlook, our bias continues to be a<i>risk-on</i>preference for equities over bonds for the medium-term.</p>\n<p><b>Eurozone</b></p>\n<p>Euro area growthslowed through the third quarter but looks on track for a return to above-trend growth over the fourth quarter and into 2022. Vaccination rates are high, and the euro area has more catch-up potential than other major economies, particularly the United States. The euro area is also set to receive more fiscal support than other regions, with the European Union’s pandemic recovery fund only just starting to disburse stimulus, which will provide significant support in southern Europe. Polls in advance of Germany’s federal election on Sept. 26 suggested the electorate was moving toward the political left, which means the new government is likely to support expansionary fiscal policy and a continued dovish stance by the European Central Bank (ECB).</p>\n<p>The MSCI EMU Index, which reflects the European Economic and Monetary Union, has performed broadly in line with the S&amp;P 500 so far in 2021. We think it has potential to outperform in coming quarters. Europe’s exposure to financials and cyclically sensitive sectors such as industrials, materials and energy, and its relatively small exposure to technology, gives it the potential to outperform as delta-variant fears subside, economic activity picks up and yield curves in Europe steepen.</p>\n<p><b>United Kingdom</b></p>\n<p>As of mid-year, UK GDP was still nearly 4.5% below its pre-pandemic peak. We see plenty of scope for strong catch-up growth as borders are fully reopened and activity normalizes. Supply bottlenecks and labor shortages have triggered a sharp rise in underlying inflation and created concerns that the Bank of England (BoE) may start rate hikes in the first half of 2022. We think the BoE is unlikely to be that aggressive. We expect inflation to decline in early 2022 as supply constraints ease, which should convince the BoE to delay rate hikes.</p>\n<p>The FTSE 100 Index is the cheapest of the major developed equity markets in late 2021, and this should help it reflect higher returns than other markets over the next decade. Around 70% of UK corporate earnings come from offshore, so one near-term risk is that further strengthening of British sterling dampens earnings growth. The other risks are mostly around policy missteps, for example, early tightening by the Bank of England.</p>\n<p><b>Japan</b></p>\n<p>The Japanese economy is expected to get a shot in the arm as rising vaccination rates improve mobility and reduce the risk of further lockdowns, and as political leadership changes result in more fiscal stimulus: the Japanese election is due to be held before Nov. 28. Japanese equities look slightly more expensive than other regions such as the UK and Europe. We maintain our view that the Bank of Japan will significantly lag other central banks in normalizing policy.</p>\n<p><b>China</b></p>\n<p>We expect Chinese economic growth to berobust over the next 12 months, supported by a post-lockdown jump in consumer spending and incremental fiscal and monetary easing. Despite a big improvement in vaccination rates,COVID-19 outbreaks remain a riskgiven the Chinese government’s zero-tolerance approach. The major consumer technology companies have seen significant drops in stock prices recently due to more aggressive regulation. Some uncertainty remains around thepath of future regulation, especially as it relates to technology companies, and as a result we expect investors will remain cautious on Chinese equities in the coming months. The property market, particularly property developers as recently highlighted by Evergrande’s debt crisis, remains a risk that we are monitoring closely.</p>\n<p><b>Canada</b></p>\n<p>Canada leads the G71countries in terms of the vaccination rollout, which should minimize the risk of large-scale lockdowns over winter. The delta variant has taken an economic toll, however, with industry consensus projections now predicting 5% GDP growth in 2021 versus estimates of more than 6% just three months ago. Even so, growth remains above-trend and the odds of additional fiscal expenditures to support the economy have increased. This means that weaker growth due to COVID-19 is unlikely to change the Bank of Canada's (BoC) tightening bias.</p>\n<p>Tapering of asset purchasesshould be complete by the end of the first quarter of 2022. BoC Governor Tiff Macklem has indicated that the reinvestment phase of the bonds held by the central bank will commence once quantitative easing has ended. This should generate an estimated C$1 billion in weekly bond purchases, down from the current pace of C$2 billion. The BoC will likely only consider shrinking its balance sheet after it has started lifting interest rates. The BoC projects that the output gap will close sometime over the second half of 2022, and that rate hikes will be considered after economic slack has disappeared. We believe that the timeline may be a tad aggressive, and a delay to 2023 for liftoff is more likely. This would better align the Canadian central bank with its American counterpart.</p>\n<p><b>Australia/New Zealand</b></p>\n<p>The Australian economy is set to return to life, with lockdowns likely to be eased in October and November. Consumer and business balance sheets continue to look healthy, which should facilitate a strong recovery. The reopening of the international border in 2022 will provide a further boost. Fiscal policy has supported the economy through the downturn, and there is potential for further stimulus in the lead-up to the federal election, which is due before the end of 2022. The Reserve Bank of Australia has begun the process of tapering its bond-purchase program, but we expect that a rise in the cash rate is unlikely until at least the second half of 2023.</p>\n<p>New Zealand’s most recent lockdown will drag on Q3 GDP, but similar to Australia, we expect a solid rebound as the economy reopens. The government aims to provide a vaccine to all adults by the end of 2021, after which borders will gradually reopen. This will provide a boost, particularly to tourism-exposed sectors. Despite having recently put off hiking interest rates due to the recent lockdown, we expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will start raising rates this year. Even though they have significantly underperformed global equities this year, New Zealand equities still screen as relatively expensive compared to other regions.</p>\n<p><b>Asset-class preferences</b></p>\n<p>Our cycle, value and sentiment investment decision-making process in late September 2021 has a moderately positive medium-term view on global equities. Value is expensive across most markets except for UK equities, which are near fair value. The cycle is risk-asset supportive for the medium-term. The major economies still have spare capacity and inflation pressures appear transitory, caused by COVID-19-related supply shortages. Rate hikes by the U.S. Fed seem unlikely before the second half of 2023. Sentiment, after reaching overbought levels earlier in the year, has returned to more neutral levels.</p>\n<p><b>COMPOSITE CONTRARIAN INDICATOR: SENTIMENT SHIFTS TOWARD NEUTRAL</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c527955abbc9e770d200c1d709f80d8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<ul>\n <li>We prefer<b>non-U.S. equities</b>to U.S. equities. Stronger economic growth and steeper yield curves after the third-quarter slowdown should favor undervalued cyclical value stocks over expensive technology and growth stocks. Relative to the U.S., the rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks.</li>\n <li><b>Emerging markets equities</b>have been relatively poor performers this year, but there are some encouraging signs. The vaccine rollout across EM has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon boost the economic growth outlook.China’s regulatory crackdownhas caused significant underperformance by Chinese technology companies, but this should be less of a headwind going forward now that it is priced in.</li>\n <li><b>High yield</b>and<b>investment grade credit</b>are expensive on a spread basis but have support from a positive cycle view that accommodates corporate profit growth and keeps default rates low. U.S. dollar-denominated<b>emerging markets debt</b>is close to fair value in spread terms and will gain support on U.S. dollar weakness.</li>\n <li><b>Government bonds</b>are expensive, and yields should come under upward pressure as output gaps close and central banks look to taper back asset purchases. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise toward 1.75% in coming months.</li>\n <li><b>Real assets</b>: Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) have significantly outperformed Global Listed Infrastructure (GLI) so far this year, to the extent that REITS are now expensive relative to GLI. Both should benefit from the pandemic recovery, but GLI has some catch-up potential. GLI should benefit from the global re-opening boosting domestic and international travel.<b>Commodities</b>have been the best-performing asset class this year amid strong demand and supply bottlenecks. The gains have been led by industrial metals and energy. The pace of increase should ease as supply issues are resolved, butcommodities should retain supportfrom above-trend global demand.</li>\n <li>The<b>U.S. dollar</b>has been supported this year by expectations for early Fed tightening and U.S. economic growth leadership. It should weaken as global growth leadership rotates away from the U.S. and toward Europe and other developed economies. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. The main beneficiary is likely to be the<b>euro</b>, which is still undervalued. We also believe<b>British sterling</b>and the economically sensitive<i>commodity currencies</i>—the<b>Australian dollar</b>, the<b>New Zealand dollar</b>and the<b>Canadian dollar</b>—can make further gains, although these currencies are not undervalued from a longer-term perspective.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>ASSET PERFORMANCE SINCE THE BEGINNING OF 2021</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50e253becd38bd122d9fc211e7b0f583\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"982\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>1The Group of Seven is an inter-governmental political forum consisting of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States.</p>\n<p><b>Important Information</b></p>\n<p>The views in this Global Market Outlook report are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of September 27, 2021. While all material is deemed to be reliable, accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.</p>\n<p>Please remember that all investments carry some level of risk, including the potential loss of principal invested. They do not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns.</p>\n<p>Keep in mind that, like all investing, multi-asset investing does not assure a profit or protect against loss.</p>\n<p>No model or group of models can offer a precise estimate of future returns available from capital markets. We remain cautious that rational analytical techniques cannot predict extremes in financial behavior, such as periods of financial euphoria or investor panic. Our models rest on the assumptions of normal and rational financial behavior. Forecasting models are inherently uncertain, subject to change at any time based on a variety of factors and can be inaccurate. Russell believes that the utility of this information is highest in evaluating the relative relationships of various components of a globally diversified portfolio. As such, the models may offer insights into the prudence of over or under weighting those components from time to time or under periods of extreme dislocation. The models are explicitly not intended as market timing signals.</p>\n<p>Forecasting represents predictions of market prices and/or volume patterns utilizing varying analytical data. It is not representative of a projection of the stock market, or of any specific investment.</p>\n<p>Investment in global, international or emerging markets may be significantly affected by political or economic conditions and regulatory requirements in a particular country. Investments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation. Such securities may be less liquid and more volatile. Investments in emerging or developing markets involve exposure to economic structures that are generally less diverse and mature, and political systems with less stability than in more developed countries.</p>\n<p>Currency investing involves risks including fluctuations in currency values, whether the home currency or the foreign currency. They can either enhance or reduce the returns associated with foreign investments.</p>\n<p>Investments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation.</p>\n<p>Bond investors should carefully consider risks such as interest rate, credit, default and duration risks. Greater risk, such as increased volatility, limited liquidity, prepayment, non-payment and increased default risk, is inherent in portfolios that invest in high yield (“junk”) bonds or mortgage-backed securities, especially mortgage-backed securities with exposure to sub-prime mortgages. Generally, when interest rates rise, prices of fixed income securities fall. Interest rates in the United States are at, or near, historic lows, which may increase a Fund’s exposure to risks associated with rising rates. Investment in non-U.S. and emerging market securities is subject to the risk of currency fluctuations and to economic and political risks associated with such foreign countries.</p>\n<p>Performance quoted represents past performance and should not be viewed as a guarantee of future results.</p>\n<p>The FTSE 100 Index is a market-capitalization weighted index of UK-listed blue chip companies.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500® Index, or the Standard &amp; Poor’s 500, is a stock market index based on the market capitalizations of 500 large companies having common stock listed on the NYSE or NASDAQ.</p>\n<p>The MSCI EMU Index (European Economic and Monetary Union) captures large and mid cap representation across the 10 developed markets countries in the EMU. With 246 constituents, the index covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization of the EMU.</p>\n<p>Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.</p>\n<p>Copyright © Russell Investments 2021. All rights reserved. This material is proprietary and may not be reproduced, transferred, or distributed in any form without prior written permission from Russell Investments. It is delivered on an “as is” basis without warranty.</p>\n<p>Frank Russell Company is the owner of the Russell trademarks contained in this material and all trademark rights related to the Russell trademarks, which the members of the Russell Investments group of companies are permitted to use under license from Frank Russell Company. The members of the Russell Investments group of companies are not affiliated in any manner with Frank Russell Company or any entity operating under the “FTSE RUSSELL” brand.</p>\n<p>Products and services described on this website are intended for<b>United States residents only</b>. Nothing contained in this material is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities, or investment advice, nor an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, nor a solicitation of any type. The general information contained on this website should not be acted upon without obtaining specific legal, tax, and investment advice from a licensed professional. Persons outside the United States may find more information about products and services available within their jurisdictions by going to Russell Investments' Worldwide site.</p>\n<p>Russell Investments is committed to ensuring digital accessibility for people with disabilities. We are continually improving the user experience for everyone, and applying the relevant accessibility standards.</p>\n<p>Russell Investments' ownership is composed of a majority stake held by funds managed by TA Associates, with a significant minority stake held by funds managed by Reverence Capital Partners. Russell Investments' employees and Hamilton Lane Advisors, LLC also hold minority, non-controlling, ownership stakes.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2021 Global Market Outlook - Q4 Update: Growing Pains</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2021 Global Market Outlook - Q4 Update: Growing Pains\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-30 09:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457651-2021-global-market-outlook-q4-update-growing-pains><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows.\nThe reopening trade should resume in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457651-2021-global-market-outlook-q4-update-growing-pains\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457651-2021-global-market-outlook-q4-update-growing-pains","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1104172212","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows.\nThe reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor.\nThe key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter.\n\nThe COVID-19 delta variant, inflation and central bank tapering are unnerving investors. We expect the pandemic-recovery trade to resume as inflation subsides, infection rates decline and tapering turns out to not equal tightening. Amid this backdrop, our outlook favors equities over bonds, the value factor over the growth factor and non-U.S. stocks over U.S. stocks.\nIntroduction\nThe post-lockdown recovery has transitioned from energetic youthfulness to awkward adolescence. It’s still growing, although at a slower pace, and there are worries about what happens next, particularly about monetary policy and the outlook for inflation. Theinflation spikehas been larger than expected, but we still think it istransitory, caused by base effects from when the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) fell during the lockdown last year and by temporary supply bottlenecks. Inflation may remain high over the remainder of 2021 but should decline in early 2022. This means that even though the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to begin tapering back on asset purchases before the end of the year, rate hikes are unlikely before the second half of 2023.\nAnother worry is thehighly contagious COVID-19 delta variant. The evidence so far is that vaccines are effective in preventing serious COVID-19 infections. Vaccination rates are accelerating globally, and emerging economies are catching up with developed markets. Infection rates appear to have peaked globally in early September. This means the reopening of economies should continue over the remainder of 2021. The onset of winter in the northern hemisphere will be a test, but the rollout of booster vaccination shots should help prevent widescale renewed lockdowns.\nThe conclusions from our cycle, value and sentiment (CVS) investment decision-making process are broadly unchanged from our previous quarterly report. Global equities remain expensive, with the very expensive U.S. market offsetting better value elsewhere. Sentiment is slightly overbought, but not close to dangerous levels of euphoria. The strong cycle delivers a preference for equities over bonds for at least the next 12 months, despite expensive valuations. It also reinforces our preference for thevalue equity factor over the growth factorand for non-U.S. equities to outperform the U.S. market.\nCycle still in recovery phase\nThe post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows. Even so, we think the cycle is still in the recovery phase, although it is maturing. Despite strong growth, there is plenty of spare capacity. This can be seen in the employment-to-population ratio for prime-age workers in the United States. The chart below shows the ratio has recovered from the pandemic lows, but only to levels reached during the relatively mild recessions in the early 1990s and 2000s. We expect theU.S. labor-market recoveryshould still resemble a typical post-recession recovery over the next few quarters.\nU.S. EMPLOYMENT-POPULATION RATIO FOR PRIME-AGE WORKERS\n\nThe U.S. recovery, however, is more advanced than that of other developed economies. The following chart shows how far GDP has recovered, relative to the pre-COVID-19 peak in 2019. GDP is 0.8% higher in the U.S., although this level is still short relative to the pre-COVID-19 trend. GDP is 2.5% below 2019 levels in the euro area and 4.5% below in the United Kingdom. We expect more cyclical upside for economic growth outside the U.S., and this should allow market leadership to rotate toward the rest of the world.\nGDP IN Q2 2021 RELATIVE TO PRE-COVID-19 PEAK IN 2019\n\nTwo key indicators\nLast quarter, we listed two indicators that should offer a guide to the Fed’s expected reaction to the inflation spike.\nThe first is five-year/five-year breakeven inflation expectations, based on the pricing of Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS). This is the market’s forecast for average inflation over five years in five years’ time. It tells us that investors expect inflation will average 2.17% in the five years from late 2026 to late 2031. The TIPS yields are based on the CPI, while the Fed targets inflation as measured by the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) deflator. The two move together over time, but CPI inflation is generally around 0.25% higher than PCE inflation. A breakeven rate of 2.75% would suggest the market sees PCE inflation above 2.5% in five years’ time. Market inflation expectations are currently comfortably below the Fed’s worry point.\nWATCHPOINT INDICATOR #1: U.S. 5-YEAR/5-YEAR BREAKEVEN INFLATION RATE\n\nThe second indicator is the Atlanta Fed’s Wage Growth Tracker, and this has a less-comforting message about inflation risks. It reached 3.9% in August, which isclose to the 4% thresholdwhere we judge that the Fed will become concerned about the inflationary impact on the growth of wages. A breakdown shows that the spike has been mostly driven by wages for low-skilled, young people in the leisure and hospitality industry. This suggests the surge has been caused by temporary labor supply shortages and that wage pressures should subside as economic activity normalizes. This indicator, however, will be an important watchpoint over the next few months.\nWATCHPOINT INDICATOR #2: ATLANTA FED WAGE GROWTH TRACKER\n\nReopening trade still makes sense\nThe reopening trade, which lifts long-term interest rates and favors cyclical and value stocks over technology and growth stocks, worked well for several months following the vaccine announcement last November. Value outperformed growth and yield curves steepened. The trade has reversed in recent months, however, amid fears that the delta variant might derail the economic recovery. The impact has been magnified by short covering in bond markets as investors, who have been short or underweight, have been forced by the rally to buy back into the market, pushing bond yields even lower.\nThe reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earnings upgrades than technology-heavy growth stocks, and the value factor is cheap compared to the growth factor. Financial stocks comprise the largest sector in the MSCI World Value Index, and they should benefit from further yield-curve steepening, which boosts the profitability of banks. Long-term interest rates should rise as global growth remains above trend, delta-variant fears fade, the short squeeze unwinds and central banks begin tapering back on bond purchases.\nThe rotation in economic growth leadership away from the United States should also help the reopening trade. The rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks relative to the U.S., which has a higher weight to technology stocks.\nEmerging market (EM) equities have been poor performers since the vaccine announcement, but there are some encouraging signs. Initially, they were held back by the exposure to technology stocks in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index and the slow rollout of COVID-19 vaccines. More recently, they have come under pressure from the slowdown in the Chinese economy and theregulatory crackdown on Chinese tech companies. The vaccine rollout across emerging markets has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon improve the growth outlook. The path of Chinese regulation is harder to predict, but it is now largely priced in, with Chinese technology companies underperforming their global peers by nearly 50% from February 2021 through mid-September.\nThe resumption of the reopening trade should also result in U.S. dollar weakness. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has traded sideways since the vaccine announcement. It should weaken once investors have confidence that delta-variant risks are subsiding and realize that the Fed is likely to remain dovish as inflation risks decline. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. Dollar weakness should support the performance of non-U.S. markets, particularly emerging markets.\nRisks: variants, inflation, China weakness\nThe key risk is that the delta variant or similar proves resilient to vaccination or that infection rates escalate during the Northern Hemisphere winter. The evidence so far is that vaccinations are highly effective in preventing serious illness. In Israel, booster shots appear to have slowed the rate of new cases.\nAnother watchpoint is inflation and the response of central banks. Our expectation is that this year’s inflation spike is mostly transitory and that the major central banks, led by the Fed, are still two years from raising interest rates.\nFinally, there is the risk of a sharper-than-expected slowdown in China.Credit growth has slowed this yearand the purchasing managers’ indexes (PMI) have trended lower. Monetary and fiscal policy have been eased, however, and senior officials have signaled that more stimulus is on the way. China policy direction and credit trends will be an important watchpoint over coming months.\nRegional snapshotsUnited States\nThe U.S. economy is likely to sustain above-trend growth into 2022. However, the easiest gains appear in the rear-view mirror at the end of the third quarter as the recovery phase of the business cycle matures. This is most visible for corporate earnings, where S&P 500® Index earnings-per-share already sit 20% above their previous cyclical high.\nStrong fundamentals have helped power the stock market to new highs. Early evidence that the delta-variant wave may be fading and the potential for greater vaccine access for children are positives for a more complete recovery in the quarters ahead. The Fedlooks poised to start tapering its asset purchasesaround the end of 2021. The timing of the first rate hike will then hinge on what happens to inflation next year. Our models suggest that inflation is likely to drop back below the Fed’s 2% target in 2022. If that is correct, the Fed is likely to remain on hold into the second half of 2023.\nWage inflation is a key risk to this view. It is running unusually strong for this stage of the cycle, and record hiring intentions from businesses could exhaust spare capacity in the year ahead. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise moderately from 1.37% in mid-September to 1.75% in coming months.\nFiscal stimulus negotiations continue to grab headlines in Washington, D.C. Thetax provisions in these billsare likely to be the most impactful for financial markets. We estimate thathigher corporate taxescould subtract about four percentage points from S&P 500 earnings growth in 2022. This could create volatility and opportunity in markets. Given our strong cyclical outlook, our bias continues to be arisk-onpreference for equities over bonds for the medium-term.\nEurozone\nEuro area growthslowed through the third quarter but looks on track for a return to above-trend growth over the fourth quarter and into 2022. Vaccination rates are high, and the euro area has more catch-up potential than other major economies, particularly the United States. The euro area is also set to receive more fiscal support than other regions, with the European Union’s pandemic recovery fund only just starting to disburse stimulus, which will provide significant support in southern Europe. Polls in advance of Germany’s federal election on Sept. 26 suggested the electorate was moving toward the political left, which means the new government is likely to support expansionary fiscal policy and a continued dovish stance by the European Central Bank (ECB).\nThe MSCI EMU Index, which reflects the European Economic and Monetary Union, has performed broadly in line with the S&P 500 so far in 2021. We think it has potential to outperform in coming quarters. Europe’s exposure to financials and cyclically sensitive sectors such as industrials, materials and energy, and its relatively small exposure to technology, gives it the potential to outperform as delta-variant fears subside, economic activity picks up and yield curves in Europe steepen.\nUnited Kingdom\nAs of mid-year, UK GDP was still nearly 4.5% below its pre-pandemic peak. We see plenty of scope for strong catch-up growth as borders are fully reopened and activity normalizes. Supply bottlenecks and labor shortages have triggered a sharp rise in underlying inflation and created concerns that the Bank of England (BoE) may start rate hikes in the first half of 2022. We think the BoE is unlikely to be that aggressive. We expect inflation to decline in early 2022 as supply constraints ease, which should convince the BoE to delay rate hikes.\nThe FTSE 100 Index is the cheapest of the major developed equity markets in late 2021, and this should help it reflect higher returns than other markets over the next decade. Around 70% of UK corporate earnings come from offshore, so one near-term risk is that further strengthening of British sterling dampens earnings growth. The other risks are mostly around policy missteps, for example, early tightening by the Bank of England.\nJapan\nThe Japanese economy is expected to get a shot in the arm as rising vaccination rates improve mobility and reduce the risk of further lockdowns, and as political leadership changes result in more fiscal stimulus: the Japanese election is due to be held before Nov. 28. Japanese equities look slightly more expensive than other regions such as the UK and Europe. We maintain our view that the Bank of Japan will significantly lag other central banks in normalizing policy.\nChina\nWe expect Chinese economic growth to berobust over the next 12 months, supported by a post-lockdown jump in consumer spending and incremental fiscal and monetary easing. Despite a big improvement in vaccination rates,COVID-19 outbreaks remain a riskgiven the Chinese government’s zero-tolerance approach. The major consumer technology companies have seen significant drops in stock prices recently due to more aggressive regulation. Some uncertainty remains around thepath of future regulation, especially as it relates to technology companies, and as a result we expect investors will remain cautious on Chinese equities in the coming months. The property market, particularly property developers as recently highlighted by Evergrande’s debt crisis, remains a risk that we are monitoring closely.\nCanada\nCanada leads the G71countries in terms of the vaccination rollout, which should minimize the risk of large-scale lockdowns over winter. The delta variant has taken an economic toll, however, with industry consensus projections now predicting 5% GDP growth in 2021 versus estimates of more than 6% just three months ago. Even so, growth remains above-trend and the odds of additional fiscal expenditures to support the economy have increased. This means that weaker growth due to COVID-19 is unlikely to change the Bank of Canada's (BoC) tightening bias.\nTapering of asset purchasesshould be complete by the end of the first quarter of 2022. BoC Governor Tiff Macklem has indicated that the reinvestment phase of the bonds held by the central bank will commence once quantitative easing has ended. This should generate an estimated C$1 billion in weekly bond purchases, down from the current pace of C$2 billion. The BoC will likely only consider shrinking its balance sheet after it has started lifting interest rates. The BoC projects that the output gap will close sometime over the second half of 2022, and that rate hikes will be considered after economic slack has disappeared. We believe that the timeline may be a tad aggressive, and a delay to 2023 for liftoff is more likely. This would better align the Canadian central bank with its American counterpart.\nAustralia/New Zealand\nThe Australian economy is set to return to life, with lockdowns likely to be eased in October and November. Consumer and business balance sheets continue to look healthy, which should facilitate a strong recovery. The reopening of the international border in 2022 will provide a further boost. Fiscal policy has supported the economy through the downturn, and there is potential for further stimulus in the lead-up to the federal election, which is due before the end of 2022. The Reserve Bank of Australia has begun the process of tapering its bond-purchase program, but we expect that a rise in the cash rate is unlikely until at least the second half of 2023.\nNew Zealand’s most recent lockdown will drag on Q3 GDP, but similar to Australia, we expect a solid rebound as the economy reopens. The government aims to provide a vaccine to all adults by the end of 2021, after which borders will gradually reopen. This will provide a boost, particularly to tourism-exposed sectors. Despite having recently put off hiking interest rates due to the recent lockdown, we expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will start raising rates this year. Even though they have significantly underperformed global equities this year, New Zealand equities still screen as relatively expensive compared to other regions.\nAsset-class preferences\nOur cycle, value and sentiment investment decision-making process in late September 2021 has a moderately positive medium-term view on global equities. Value is expensive across most markets except for UK equities, which are near fair value. The cycle is risk-asset supportive for the medium-term. The major economies still have spare capacity and inflation pressures appear transitory, caused by COVID-19-related supply shortages. Rate hikes by the U.S. Fed seem unlikely before the second half of 2023. Sentiment, after reaching overbought levels earlier in the year, has returned to more neutral levels.\nCOMPOSITE CONTRARIAN INDICATOR: SENTIMENT SHIFTS TOWARD NEUTRAL\n\n\nWe prefernon-U.S. equitiesto U.S. equities. Stronger economic growth and steeper yield curves after the third-quarter slowdown should favor undervalued cyclical value stocks over expensive technology and growth stocks. Relative to the U.S., the rest of the world is overweight cyclical value stocks.\nEmerging markets equitieshave been relatively poor performers this year, but there are some encouraging signs. The vaccine rollout across EM has accelerated and policy easing in China should soon boost the economic growth outlook.China’s regulatory crackdownhas caused significant underperformance by Chinese technology companies, but this should be less of a headwind going forward now that it is priced in.\nHigh yieldandinvestment grade creditare expensive on a spread basis but have support from a positive cycle view that accommodates corporate profit growth and keeps default rates low. U.S. dollar-denominatedemerging markets debtis close to fair value in spread terms and will gain support on U.S. dollar weakness.\nGovernment bondsare expensive, and yields should come under upward pressure as output gaps close and central banks look to taper back asset purchases. We expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise toward 1.75% in coming months.\nReal assets: Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) have significantly outperformed Global Listed Infrastructure (GLI) so far this year, to the extent that REITS are now expensive relative to GLI. Both should benefit from the pandemic recovery, but GLI has some catch-up potential. GLI should benefit from the global re-opening boosting domestic and international travel.Commoditieshave been the best-performing asset class this year amid strong demand and supply bottlenecks. The gains have been led by industrial metals and energy. The pace of increase should ease as supply issues are resolved, butcommodities should retain supportfrom above-trend global demand.\nTheU.S. dollarhas been supported this year by expectations for early Fed tightening and U.S. economic growth leadership. It should weaken as global growth leadership rotates away from the U.S. and toward Europe and other developed economies. The dollar typically gains during global downturns and declines in the recovery phase. The main beneficiary is likely to be theeuro, which is still undervalued. We also believeBritish sterlingand the economically sensitivecommodity currencies—theAustralian dollar, theNew Zealand dollarand theCanadian dollar—can make further gains, although these currencies are not undervalued from a longer-term perspective.\n\nASSET PERFORMANCE SINCE THE BEGINNING OF 2021\n\n1The Group of Seven is an inter-governmental political forum consisting of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States.\nImportant Information\nThe views in this Global Market Outlook report are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of September 27, 2021. While all material is deemed to be reliable, accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.\nPlease remember that all investments carry some level of risk, including the potential loss of principal invested. They do not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns.\nKeep in mind that, like all investing, multi-asset investing does not assure a profit or protect against loss.\nNo model or group of models can offer a precise estimate of future returns available from capital markets. We remain cautious that rational analytical techniques cannot predict extremes in financial behavior, such as periods of financial euphoria or investor panic. Our models rest on the assumptions of normal and rational financial behavior. Forecasting models are inherently uncertain, subject to change at any time based on a variety of factors and can be inaccurate. Russell believes that the utility of this information is highest in evaluating the relative relationships of various components of a globally diversified portfolio. As such, the models may offer insights into the prudence of over or under weighting those components from time to time or under periods of extreme dislocation. The models are explicitly not intended as market timing signals.\nForecasting represents predictions of market prices and/or volume patterns utilizing varying analytical data. It is not representative of a projection of the stock market, or of any specific investment.\nInvestment in global, international or emerging markets may be significantly affected by political or economic conditions and regulatory requirements in a particular country. Investments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation. Such securities may be less liquid and more volatile. Investments in emerging or developing markets involve exposure to economic structures that are generally less diverse and mature, and political systems with less stability than in more developed countries.\nCurrency investing involves risks including fluctuations in currency values, whether the home currency or the foreign currency. They can either enhance or reduce the returns associated with foreign investments.\nInvestments in non-U.S. markets can involve risks of currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, different accounting standards and foreign taxation.\nBond investors should carefully consider risks such as interest rate, credit, default and duration risks. Greater risk, such as increased volatility, limited liquidity, prepayment, non-payment and increased default risk, is inherent in portfolios that invest in high yield (“junk”) bonds or mortgage-backed securities, especially mortgage-backed securities with exposure to sub-prime mortgages. Generally, when interest rates rise, prices of fixed income securities fall. Interest rates in the United States are at, or near, historic lows, which may increase a Fund’s exposure to risks associated with rising rates. Investment in non-U.S. and emerging market securities is subject to the risk of currency fluctuations and to economic and political risks associated with such foreign countries.\nPerformance quoted represents past performance and should not be viewed as a guarantee of future results.\nThe FTSE 100 Index is a market-capitalization weighted index of UK-listed blue chip companies.\nThe S&P 500® Index, or the Standard & Poor’s 500, is a stock market index based on the market capitalizations of 500 large companies having common stock listed on the NYSE or NASDAQ.\nThe MSCI EMU Index (European Economic and Monetary Union) captures large and mid cap representation across the 10 developed markets countries in the EMU. With 246 constituents, the index covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization of the EMU.\nIndexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.\nCopyright © Russell Investments 2021. All rights reserved. This material is proprietary and may not be reproduced, transferred, or distributed in any form without prior written permission from Russell Investments. It is delivered on an “as is” basis without warranty.\nFrank Russell Company is the owner of the Russell trademarks contained in this material and all trademark rights related to the Russell trademarks, which the members of the Russell Investments group of companies are permitted to use under license from Frank Russell Company. The members of the Russell Investments group of companies are not affiliated in any manner with Frank Russell Company or any entity operating under the “FTSE RUSSELL” brand.\nProducts and services described on this website are intended forUnited States residents only. Nothing contained in this material is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities, or investment advice, nor an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, nor a solicitation of any type. The general information contained on this website should not be acted upon without obtaining specific legal, tax, and investment advice from a licensed professional. Persons outside the United States may find more information about products and services available within their jurisdictions by going to Russell Investments' Worldwide site.\nRussell Investments is committed to ensuring digital accessibility for people with disabilities. We are continually improving the user experience for everyone, and applying the relevant accessibility standards.\nRussell Investments' ownership is composed of a majority stake held by funds managed by TA Associates, with a significant minority stake held by funds managed by Reverence Capital Partners. Russell Investments' employees and Hamilton Lane Advisors, LLC also hold minority, non-controlling, ownership stakes.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":176085546,"gmtCreate":1626845890085,"gmtModify":1633770443712,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wooooooooaw[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"wooooooooaw[开心]&nbsp;","text":"wooooooooaw[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176085546","repostId":"2153924256","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153924256","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1626812915,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2153924256?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 04:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street bounces back on renewed economic optimism","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153924256","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK, July 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended sharply higher on Tuesday, rebounding from a multi-d","content":"<p>NEW YORK, July 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended sharply higher on Tuesday, rebounding from a multi-day losing streak as a string of upbeat earnings reports and revived economic optimism fueled a risk-on rally.</p>\n<p>All three major U.S. stock indexes gained more than 1% with the blue-chip Dow, on the heels of its worst day in nine months, leading the charge.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P notched its first advance in four days as well as registering its strongest day since March. The Nasdaq posted its first gain in six sessions.</p>\n<p>\"It’s a buy-the-dip mentality coming into the market,\" said Chuck Carlson, chief executive officer at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana.</p>\n<p>Economically sensitive small caps&nbsp;and transports&nbsp;outperformed the broader market.</p>\n<p>Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields bounced back from five-month lows, in the wake of their biggest single-session decline since February in the prior session . This helped boost rate-vulnerable banks by 2.6%.</p>\n<p>\"The economically sensitive stocks are up today,\" Carlson added. \"When the 10-year (Treasury yield) goes down in a short period of time, that typically doesn’t happen with an economy that’s supposed to be growing. Firming in the 10-year (yield) indicates that perhaps the economy isn’t going to be falling off a cliff.\"</p>\n<p>Mounting concerns over the highly contagious Delta variant of COVID-19, now responsible for the majority of new infections, have sparked sell-offs in recent sessions as worldwide vaccination efforts gather momentum.</p>\n<p>\"Things like the Delta variant can certainly impact in the margins,\" Carlson said. \"It doesn’t take a whole lot of fear in some investors to create what we saw yesterday.\"</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 549.95 points, or 1.62%, to 34,511.99, the S&amp;P 500 gained 64.57 points, or 1.52%, to 4,323.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 223.89 points, or 1.57%, to 14,498.88.</p>\n<p>Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, all but consumer staples closed green. Industrials fared best, rising 2.7%.</p>\n<p>Second-quarter reporting season has hit full-stride, with 56 of the companies in the S&amp;P 500 having posted results. Of those, 91% have beaten consensus, according to Refinitiv.</p>\n<p>Analysts now see annual S&amp;P earnings growth of 72.9% for the April-June period, a significant improvement over the 54% growth seen at the beginning of the quarter.</p>\n<p>Halliburton Co&nbsp;rose 3.7% after a bounce-back in crude prices boosted oilfield services demand, leading the company to post its second consecutive quarterly profit.</p>\n<p>Peloton Interactive Inc&nbsp;advanced 6.7% after announcing it would provide UnitedHealth Group's fully insured members free access to its live and on-demand fitness classes.</p>\n<p>Moderna's&nbsp;stock dropped 2% in a volatile session on Tuesday, with the COVID-19 vaccine maker the most heavily traded company on Wall Street ahead of its debut in the S&amp;P 500 on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Netflix Inc&nbsp;shares dipped more than 3% in after- hours trading after its forecast missed estimates.</p>\n<p>Shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill gained over 2% post-market after its earnings and revenue beat consensus.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 4.44-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.59-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 41 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 45 new highs and 76 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.62 billion shares, compared with the 10.19 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street bounces back on renewed economic optimism</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street bounces back on renewed economic optimism\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-21 04:28</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK, July 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended sharply higher on Tuesday, rebounding from a multi-day losing streak as a string of upbeat earnings reports and revived economic optimism fueled a risk-on rally.</p>\n<p>All three major U.S. stock indexes gained more than 1% with the blue-chip Dow, on the heels of its worst day in nine months, leading the charge.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P notched its first advance in four days as well as registering its strongest day since March. The Nasdaq posted its first gain in six sessions.</p>\n<p>\"It’s a buy-the-dip mentality coming into the market,\" said Chuck Carlson, chief executive officer at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana.</p>\n<p>Economically sensitive small caps&nbsp;and transports&nbsp;outperformed the broader market.</p>\n<p>Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields bounced back from five-month lows, in the wake of their biggest single-session decline since February in the prior session . This helped boost rate-vulnerable banks by 2.6%.</p>\n<p>\"The economically sensitive stocks are up today,\" Carlson added. \"When the 10-year (Treasury yield) goes down in a short period of time, that typically doesn’t happen with an economy that’s supposed to be growing. Firming in the 10-year (yield) indicates that perhaps the economy isn’t going to be falling off a cliff.\"</p>\n<p>Mounting concerns over the highly contagious Delta variant of COVID-19, now responsible for the majority of new infections, have sparked sell-offs in recent sessions as worldwide vaccination efforts gather momentum.</p>\n<p>\"Things like the Delta variant can certainly impact in the margins,\" Carlson said. \"It doesn’t take a whole lot of fear in some investors to create what we saw yesterday.\"</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 549.95 points, or 1.62%, to 34,511.99, the S&amp;P 500 gained 64.57 points, or 1.52%, to 4,323.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 223.89 points, or 1.57%, to 14,498.88.</p>\n<p>Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, all but consumer staples closed green. Industrials fared best, rising 2.7%.</p>\n<p>Second-quarter reporting season has hit full-stride, with 56 of the companies in the S&amp;P 500 having posted results. Of those, 91% have beaten consensus, according to Refinitiv.</p>\n<p>Analysts now see annual S&amp;P earnings growth of 72.9% for the April-June period, a significant improvement over the 54% growth seen at the beginning of the quarter.</p>\n<p>Halliburton Co&nbsp;rose 3.7% after a bounce-back in crude prices boosted oilfield services demand, leading the company to post its second consecutive quarterly profit.</p>\n<p>Peloton Interactive Inc&nbsp;advanced 6.7% after announcing it would provide UnitedHealth Group's fully insured members free access to its live and on-demand fitness classes.</p>\n<p>Moderna's&nbsp;stock dropped 2% in a volatile session on Tuesday, with the COVID-19 vaccine maker the most heavily traded company on Wall Street ahead of its debut in the S&amp;P 500 on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Netflix Inc&nbsp;shares dipped more than 3% in after- hours trading after its forecast missed estimates.</p>\n<p>Shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill gained over 2% post-market after its earnings and revenue beat consensus.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 4.44-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.59-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 41 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 45 new highs and 76 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.62 billion shares, compared with the 10.19 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","NFLX":"奈飞","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","OEX":"标普100","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153924256","content_text":"NEW YORK, July 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended sharply higher on Tuesday, rebounding from a multi-day losing streak as a string of upbeat earnings reports and revived economic optimism fueled a risk-on rally.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes gained more than 1% with the blue-chip Dow, on the heels of its worst day in nine months, leading the charge.\nThe S&P notched its first advance in four days as well as registering its strongest day since March. The Nasdaq posted its first gain in six sessions.\n\"It’s a buy-the-dip mentality coming into the market,\" said Chuck Carlson, chief executive officer at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana.\nEconomically sensitive small caps and transports outperformed the broader market.\nBenchmark U.S. Treasury yields bounced back from five-month lows, in the wake of their biggest single-session decline since February in the prior session . This helped boost rate-vulnerable banks by 2.6%.\n\"The economically sensitive stocks are up today,\" Carlson added. \"When the 10-year (Treasury yield) goes down in a short period of time, that typically doesn’t happen with an economy that’s supposed to be growing. Firming in the 10-year (yield) indicates that perhaps the economy isn’t going to be falling off a cliff.\"\nMounting concerns over the highly contagious Delta variant of COVID-19, now responsible for the majority of new infections, have sparked sell-offs in recent sessions as worldwide vaccination efforts gather momentum.\n\"Things like the Delta variant can certainly impact in the margins,\" Carlson said. \"It doesn’t take a whole lot of fear in some investors to create what we saw yesterday.\"\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 549.95 points, or 1.62%, to 34,511.99, the S&P 500 gained 64.57 points, or 1.52%, to 4,323.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 223.89 points, or 1.57%, to 14,498.88.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, all but consumer staples closed green. Industrials fared best, rising 2.7%.\nSecond-quarter reporting season has hit full-stride, with 56 of the companies in the S&P 500 having posted results. Of those, 91% have beaten consensus, according to Refinitiv.\nAnalysts now see annual S&P earnings growth of 72.9% for the April-June period, a significant improvement over the 54% growth seen at the beginning of the quarter.\nHalliburton Co rose 3.7% after a bounce-back in crude prices boosted oilfield services demand, leading the company to post its second consecutive quarterly profit.\nPeloton Interactive Inc advanced 6.7% after announcing it would provide UnitedHealth Group's fully insured members free access to its live and on-demand fitness classes.\nModerna's stock dropped 2% in a volatile session on Tuesday, with the COVID-19 vaccine maker the most heavily traded company on Wall Street ahead of its debut in the S&P 500 on Wednesday.\nNetflix Inc shares dipped more than 3% in after- hours trading after its forecast missed estimates.\nShares of Chipotle Mexican Grill gained over 2% post-market after its earnings and revenue beat consensus.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 4.44-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.59-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 41 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 45 new highs and 76 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.62 billion shares, compared with the 10.19 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":250,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604585133,"gmtCreate":1639412139966,"gmtModify":1639412766619,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRSR\">$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$</a>wooooooooooooooaaaaaaaaaw","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRSR\">$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$</a>wooooooooooooooaaaaaaaaaw","text":"$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$wooooooooooooooaaaaaaaaaw","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb58059850166af3594fbd4d297ec3cc","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604585133","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":711,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866078655,"gmtCreate":1632716615077,"gmtModify":1632798333179,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"woooooooaw","listText":"woooooooaw","text":"woooooooaw","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866078655","repostId":"2170488786","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2170488786","pubTimestamp":1632685409,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2170488786?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-27 03:43","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Debt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2170488786","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race t","content":"<p>Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race to pass legislation to avoid a government shutdown by the end of the month and debate raising the debt ceiling. Elsewhere, economic data on consumer confidence is also due for release.</p>\n<p>The Senate is expected to vote Monday on a procedural motion over the legislation passed by the House of Representatives last week. That bill included a plan to temporarily fund the government through early December, and came alongside a measure to raise the government debt ceiling through December 2022.</p>\n<p>The latter point has been an area of contention for Senate Republicans, who are only narrowly outnumbered by Democratic lawmakers in both chambers and who have threatened to block the bill in its current form.</p>\n<p>Senate Republicans including Minority Leader Mitch McConnell have suggested that Democratic lawmakers should use the budget reconciliation process to raise the debt ceiling without Republican support. McConnell has, however, supported a short-term government funding bill that excludes a debt ceiling suspension.</p>\n<p>\"If they [the Democrats] want to tax, borrow and spend historic sums of money without our input, they’ll have to raise the debt limit without our help. This is the reality,” McConnell said on the Senate floor last week.</p>\n<p>Democratic lawmakers, for their part, have called for the move to raise the debt limit be bipartisan to prevent the government from defaulting on its obligations. The Treasury Department has warned that the U.S. could default on its debts as soon as October in absence of congressional action.</p>\n<p>\"The U.S. has always paid its bills on time, but the overwhelming consensus among economists and Treasury officials of both parties is that failing to raise the debt limit would produce widespread economic catastrophe,\" Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen wrote in an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal last week.</p>\n<p>Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell also warned of the consequences of a failure to raise the debt ceiling during his post-FOMC meeting press conference last week.</p>\n<p>\"It's just very important that the debt ceiling be raised in a timely fashion so that the United States can pay its bills when and as they come due. That's a critically important thing,\" he said. \"The failure to do that is something that could result in severe reactions, severe damage to the economy and to the financial markets ... no <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> should assume that the Fed or anyone else can protect the markets or the economy in the event of a failure.\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6a59b9c059b09d9267c8298e0b837\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">A dead Elm tree is removed on the West Front of the Capitol in Washington, Friday, Sept. 10, 2021. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)ASSOCIATED PRESS</p>\n<p>Amid the standoff, the Office of Management and Budget began warning federal agencies last week to prepare for a potential government shutdown. The reminder served as a standard warning one week out from Congress's deadline to reach an agreement to at least temporarily continue funding the government.</p>\n<p>Though leaders of both political parties have agreed that a continuing resolution to avoid the shutdown at the end of the month is needed, the ongoing tension over raising the debt limit has served as a potential roadblock in this effort.</p>\n<p>\"We still expect Congress to avert a partial government shutdown at the start of October. Republicans won’t vote for the current continuing resolution being touted by the Democratic leadership, which also includes a new debt ceiling suspension,\" wrote Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist for Capital Economics, in a note Friday. \"But we expect a Plan B to emerge next week with the latter stripped out, which Republicans will support.\"</p>\n<p>\"The bigger issue is that there doesn’t appear to be an easy path to raising the debt ceiling by mid-October, which is when estimates suggest the Treasury’s will exhaust the 'extraordinary measures it is currently using to keep the lights on,\" he added.</p>\n<p>Investors have also grown jittery as the debates wore on, with stocks posting their worst day since May last week amid a confluence of concerns that also included debt concerns with China Evergrande.</p>\n<p>Many strategists, however, have suggested market participants need not be overly concerned about the impacts of a potential government shutdown.</p>\n<p>\"Historically, we've seen that government shutdowns tend to be short-lived,\" Jordan Jackson, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, told Yahoo Finance Live on Friday. \"We also know that for those non-essential federal employees, they do get furlough pay as well.\"</p>\n<p>\"If it lasts more than 30 days, it's certainly going to have a bigger impact on the economy. But generally speaking, these shutdowns tend to be short-lived and markets — while they may correct in the short-term — they do sort of continue to grind higher,\" he added. \"I think it's certainly a risk in terms of a short-term mini correction there. But again, with all the liquidity out there, I think any sort of blip in the markets will be short-lived.\"</p>\n<p>Historical equity performance during and immediately following a government shutdown has also tended to point to a muted market impact.</p>\n<p>\"In the 14 government shutdowns since 1980, the S&amp;P 500 generated median returns of -0.1% on the dates of budget authority expiration, 0.1% during the shutdown periods, and 0.3% on the dates of resolution,\" David Kostin, Goldman Sachs chief equity strategist, wrote in a note published on Sept. 21.</p>\n<p>\"One notable exception was the most recent federal shutdown in December 2018, when the S&amp;P 500 fell 2% on the spending authority expiration date,\" he added. \"However, this decline was likely driven primarily by investor concerns about Fed tightening.\"</p>\n<p>Kostin also noted that the typical government shutdown since 1980 has only lasted three days before ultimately being resolved. More recent shutdowns have lasted several times longer, however, with the duration of the four most recent federal shutdowns averaging 18 days, Kostin said.</p>\n<h3>Consumer confidence</h3>\n<p>On the economic data front, one of the most closely watched new pieces of data will be on consumer confidence.</p>\n<p>The Conference Board is set to release its September consumer confidence index Tuesday morning. Economists expect the index to tick up only slightly compared to August, with consumers' views on the coronavirus and rising prices stabilizing near the lowest level since February.</p>\n<p>Specifically, consensus economists are looking for the index to rise to 115.0 in September after dropping to 113.8 in August. During the last monthly report, consumers' assessments of current business and labor market conditions both eased, and expectations for the next six months out also deteriorated.</p>\n<p>\"Consumer confidence fell to a six-month low in August, due to concerns around the Delta variant and inflation,\" wrote Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer in a note on Friday. \"We think these concerns largely remained in September.\"</p>\n<p>At the time, Lynn Franco, senior director of economic indicators at the Conference Board, said it was still \"too soon to conclude\" whether decline in consumer confidence would \"result in consumers significantly curtailing their spending in the months ahead.\"</p>\n<p>The latest spending data has also been equivocal. The Commerce Department's latest report showed retail sales rose 0.7% in August after declining in July. However, the categories posting the biggest declines were areas like e-commerce shops and grocery stores, suggesting consumer behavior was shifting back toward stay-in-place trends and away from in-person events like restaurant dining amid the latest wave of the coronavirus.</p>\n<h3>Economic calendar</h3>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b>Durable goods orders, August preliminary (0.6% expected, -0.1% in July); Durable goods excluding transportation, August preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.8% in July); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, August preliminary (0.3% expected, 0.1% in July); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, August preliminary (0.9% in July); Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index, September (11.0 expected, 9.0 in July)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>Advance goods trade balance, August (-$87.0 billion expected, -$86.4 billion in July); Wholesale inventories, month-over-month, August preliminary (0.6% in July); Retail inventories, month-over-month, August (0.4% in July); FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, July (1.5% expected, 1.6% in July); S&amp;P <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLGX\">CoreLogic</a> Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, July (1.62% expected, 1.77% in June); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, July (20.1% expected, 19.08% in June); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, September (114.2 expected, 113.8 in August); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, September (9 in August)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended September 24 (4.9% during prior month); Pending home sales, month-over-month, August (1.0% expected, -1.8% in July)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>Initial jobless claims, week ended September 25 (320,000 expected, 351,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended September 18 (2.845 million during prior week); GDP annualized, quarter-over-quarter, second-quarter third estimate (6.7% expected, 6.6% in prior estimate); Personal consumption, second-quarter third estimate (11.9% in prior estimate); Core personal consumption expenditures, second quarter third estimate (6.1% in prior estimate); MNI Chicago PMI, September (65.0 expected, 66.8 in August)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b>Personal income, August (0.2% expected, 1.1% in July); Personal spending, August (0.7% expected, 0.3% in July); Personal consumption expenditures core deflator, month-over-over, August (0.2% expected, 0.3% in July); Personal consumption expenditures core deflator, year-over-year, August (3.6% expected, 3.6% in July); <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a> manufacturing PMI, September final (60.5 in prior estimate); Construction spending, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.3% in July); University of Michigan sentiment, September final (71.0 expected, 71.0 in prior print); ISM Manufacturing, September (59.5 expected, 59.9 in August)</p></li>\n</ul>\n<h3>Earnings calendar</h3>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b>Aurora Cannabis (ACB) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>Micron Technology (MU) after market close.</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>CarMax (KMX), Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) before market open; Jefferies (JEF) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for releas</i></p></li>\n</ul>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Debt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDebt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-27 03:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race to pass legislation to avoid a government shutdown by the end of the month and debate raising the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7e749e88d2580d292ffc6ae18d03b65","relate_stocks":{"SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2170488786","content_text":"Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race to pass legislation to avoid a government shutdown by the end of the month and debate raising the debt ceiling. Elsewhere, economic data on consumer confidence is also due for release.\nThe Senate is expected to vote Monday on a procedural motion over the legislation passed by the House of Representatives last week. That bill included a plan to temporarily fund the government through early December, and came alongside a measure to raise the government debt ceiling through December 2022.\nThe latter point has been an area of contention for Senate Republicans, who are only narrowly outnumbered by Democratic lawmakers in both chambers and who have threatened to block the bill in its current form.\nSenate Republicans including Minority Leader Mitch McConnell have suggested that Democratic lawmakers should use the budget reconciliation process to raise the debt ceiling without Republican support. McConnell has, however, supported a short-term government funding bill that excludes a debt ceiling suspension.\n\"If they [the Democrats] want to tax, borrow and spend historic sums of money without our input, they’ll have to raise the debt limit without our help. This is the reality,” McConnell said on the Senate floor last week.\nDemocratic lawmakers, for their part, have called for the move to raise the debt limit be bipartisan to prevent the government from defaulting on its obligations. The Treasury Department has warned that the U.S. could default on its debts as soon as October in absence of congressional action.\n\"The U.S. has always paid its bills on time, but the overwhelming consensus among economists and Treasury officials of both parties is that failing to raise the debt limit would produce widespread economic catastrophe,\" Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen wrote in an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal last week.\nFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell also warned of the consequences of a failure to raise the debt ceiling during his post-FOMC meeting press conference last week.\n\"It's just very important that the debt ceiling be raised in a timely fashion so that the United States can pay its bills when and as they come due. That's a critically important thing,\" he said. \"The failure to do that is something that could result in severe reactions, severe damage to the economy and to the financial markets ... no one should assume that the Fed or anyone else can protect the markets or the economy in the event of a failure.\"\nA dead Elm tree is removed on the West Front of the Capitol in Washington, Friday, Sept. 10, 2021. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)ASSOCIATED PRESS\nAmid the standoff, the Office of Management and Budget began warning federal agencies last week to prepare for a potential government shutdown. The reminder served as a standard warning one week out from Congress's deadline to reach an agreement to at least temporarily continue funding the government.\nThough leaders of both political parties have agreed that a continuing resolution to avoid the shutdown at the end of the month is needed, the ongoing tension over raising the debt limit has served as a potential roadblock in this effort.\n\"We still expect Congress to avert a partial government shutdown at the start of October. Republicans won’t vote for the current continuing resolution being touted by the Democratic leadership, which also includes a new debt ceiling suspension,\" wrote Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist for Capital Economics, in a note Friday. \"But we expect a Plan B to emerge next week with the latter stripped out, which Republicans will support.\"\n\"The bigger issue is that there doesn’t appear to be an easy path to raising the debt ceiling by mid-October, which is when estimates suggest the Treasury’s will exhaust the 'extraordinary measures it is currently using to keep the lights on,\" he added.\nInvestors have also grown jittery as the debates wore on, with stocks posting their worst day since May last week amid a confluence of concerns that also included debt concerns with China Evergrande.\nMany strategists, however, have suggested market participants need not be overly concerned about the impacts of a potential government shutdown.\n\"Historically, we've seen that government shutdowns tend to be short-lived,\" Jordan Jackson, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, told Yahoo Finance Live on Friday. \"We also know that for those non-essential federal employees, they do get furlough pay as well.\"\n\"If it lasts more than 30 days, it's certainly going to have a bigger impact on the economy. But generally speaking, these shutdowns tend to be short-lived and markets — while they may correct in the short-term — they do sort of continue to grind higher,\" he added. \"I think it's certainly a risk in terms of a short-term mini correction there. But again, with all the liquidity out there, I think any sort of blip in the markets will be short-lived.\"\nHistorical equity performance during and immediately following a government shutdown has also tended to point to a muted market impact.\n\"In the 14 government shutdowns since 1980, the S&P 500 generated median returns of -0.1% on the dates of budget authority expiration, 0.1% during the shutdown periods, and 0.3% on the dates of resolution,\" David Kostin, Goldman Sachs chief equity strategist, wrote in a note published on Sept. 21.\n\"One notable exception was the most recent federal shutdown in December 2018, when the S&P 500 fell 2% on the spending authority expiration date,\" he added. \"However, this decline was likely driven primarily by investor concerns about Fed tightening.\"\nKostin also noted that the typical government shutdown since 1980 has only lasted three days before ultimately being resolved. More recent shutdowns have lasted several times longer, however, with the duration of the four most recent federal shutdowns averaging 18 days, Kostin said.\nConsumer confidence\nOn the economic data front, one of the most closely watched new pieces of data will be on consumer confidence.\nThe Conference Board is set to release its September consumer confidence index Tuesday morning. Economists expect the index to tick up only slightly compared to August, with consumers' views on the coronavirus and rising prices stabilizing near the lowest level since February.\nSpecifically, consensus economists are looking for the index to rise to 115.0 in September after dropping to 113.8 in August. During the last monthly report, consumers' assessments of current business and labor market conditions both eased, and expectations for the next six months out also deteriorated.\n\"Consumer confidence fell to a six-month low in August, due to concerns around the Delta variant and inflation,\" wrote Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer in a note on Friday. \"We think these concerns largely remained in September.\"\nAt the time, Lynn Franco, senior director of economic indicators at the Conference Board, said it was still \"too soon to conclude\" whether decline in consumer confidence would \"result in consumers significantly curtailing their spending in the months ahead.\"\nThe latest spending data has also been equivocal. The Commerce Department's latest report showed retail sales rose 0.7% in August after declining in July. However, the categories posting the biggest declines were areas like e-commerce shops and grocery stores, suggesting consumer behavior was shifting back toward stay-in-place trends and away from in-person events like restaurant dining amid the latest wave of the coronavirus.\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Durable goods orders, August preliminary (0.6% expected, -0.1% in July); Durable goods excluding transportation, August preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.8% in July); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, August preliminary (0.3% expected, 0.1% in July); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, August preliminary (0.9% in July); Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index, September (11.0 expected, 9.0 in July)\nTuesday: Advance goods trade balance, August (-$87.0 billion expected, -$86.4 billion in July); Wholesale inventories, month-over-month, August preliminary (0.6% in July); Retail inventories, month-over-month, August (0.4% in July); FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, July (1.5% expected, 1.6% in July); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, July (1.62% expected, 1.77% in June); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, July (20.1% expected, 19.08% in June); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, September (114.2 expected, 113.8 in August); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, September (9 in August)\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended September 24 (4.9% during prior month); Pending home sales, month-over-month, August (1.0% expected, -1.8% in July)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended September 25 (320,000 expected, 351,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended September 18 (2.845 million during prior week); GDP annualized, quarter-over-quarter, second-quarter third estimate (6.7% expected, 6.6% in prior estimate); Personal consumption, second-quarter third estimate (11.9% in prior estimate); Core personal consumption expenditures, second quarter third estimate (6.1% in prior estimate); MNI Chicago PMI, September (65.0 expected, 66.8 in August)\nFriday: Personal income, August (0.2% expected, 1.1% in July); Personal spending, August (0.7% expected, 0.3% in July); Personal consumption expenditures core deflator, month-over-over, August (0.2% expected, 0.3% in July); Personal consumption expenditures core deflator, year-over-year, August (3.6% expected, 3.6% in July); Markit manufacturing PMI, September final (60.5 in prior estimate); Construction spending, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.3% in July); University of Michigan sentiment, September final (71.0 expected, 71.0 in prior print); ISM Manufacturing, September (59.5 expected, 59.9 in August)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: Aurora Cannabis (ACB) after market close\nTuesday: Micron Technology (MU) after market close.\nWednesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nThursday: CarMax (KMX), Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) before market open; Jefferies (JEF) after market close\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for releas","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":163,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":122437090,"gmtCreate":1624629760810,"gmtModify":1633950317219,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wooooooaw[得意]&nbsp;","listText":"wooooooaw[得意]&nbsp;","text":"wooooooaw[得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122437090","repostId":"2146023165","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146023165","pubTimestamp":1624614720,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2146023165?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-25 17:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft sent a strong signal to developers that could hurt Apple and Google","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146023165","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Microsoft  launched a broadside against rivals Apple  and Google  on Thursday, announcing that the next version of Windows, called Windows 11, will feature an app store that lets developers keep 100% of the revenue from sales of their apps.That’s a massive departure from the policies Apple and Google have in place that require app developers who use their stores to pay 30% fees on the sale of apps and in-app purchases.“Windows has always stood for sovereignty for creators and agency for consumer","content":"<p>Microsoft (MSFT) launched a broadside against rivals Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG, GOOGL) on Thursday, announcing that the next version of Windows, called Windows 11, will feature an app store that lets developers keep 100% of the revenue from sales of their apps.</p>\n<p>That’s a massive departure from the policies Apple and Google have in place that require app developers who use their stores to pay 30% fees on the sale of apps and in-app purchases.</p>\n<p>“Windows has always stood for sovereignty for creators and agency for consumers,” Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said. “A platform can only serve society if its rules allow for this foundational innovation and category creation. It’s why we’re introducing new store commerce models and policies.”</p>\n<p>The move is certain to rankle executives at both Apple and Google, which are facing antitrust investigations into their app store practices.</p>\n<p>Apple is awaiting a ruling in an antitrust case brought by Epic Games, in which the “Fortnite” developer accused the iPhone maker of abusing its market power over the App Store by forcing developers to use its own payment system and fork over the associated fees.</p>\n<p>Google, meanwhile, faces a similar lawsuit from Epic and is expected to get slapped with a lawsuit from a collection of state attorneys general for its app store policies.</p>\n<h3><b>Microsoft has been criticizing Apple’s policies</b></h3>\n<p>This isn’t the first time Microsoft has called out its rivals and their app stores. The company has criticized Apple’s policies in the past, specifically Apple’s policy of taking a share of revenue from Microsoft apps purchased through the Apple App Store.</p>\n<p>More recently, Microsoft sparred with Apple over its desire to get its xCloud cloud gaming platform onto the iPhone via a native app. Apple has pushed back, hampering Microsoft’s cloud gaming ambitions and forcing it to make users rely on a browser-style app.</p>\n<p>That led Microsoft to meet and lodge a complaint with members of the House Antitrust Subcommittee during the body’s investigation into Apple, Google, Amazon, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d92ddac610658f60945c72fc4da23210\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Microsoft has debuted the latest version of its Windows operating system: Windows 11. (Image: Microsoft)Microsoft</p>\n<p>Microsoft also took aim at Apple in the iPhone maker’s battle with “Fortnite” developer Epic Games. In that instance, Microsoft filed a statement of support for Epic in its fight to prevent Apple withholding iOS support for Epic’s Unreal Engine.</p>\n<p>Epic initially sued Apple and Google after the two companies removed “Fornite” from their respective app stores. Apple and Google argue that Epic implemented an update that added a separate payment system allowing consumers to circumvent Apple or Google’s payment services. That effectively cut out Apple and Google’s 30% app store fees.</p>\n<p>Epic’s fight with Apple wrapped up earlier this month and a ruling is expected before the end of the summer.</p>\n<h3><b>Microsoft could win over developers</b></h3>\n<p>With its decision to allow developers to use their own payment systems, Microsoft is sending a signal to the global developer community that it is willing to play by their rules. That could help the company as it seeks to build out its app store and drive more business for Windows.</p>\n<p>While Microsoft was caught flat-footed in the smartphone wars, its moves with the Windows 11 Microsoft Store could give it the kind of boost from developers that it needs to begin taking market share from Apple and Google in the fight for app store supremacy. It’s now up to Apple and Google to respond.</p>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft sent a strong signal to developers that could hurt Apple and Google</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft sent a strong signal to developers that could hurt Apple and Google\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-25 17:52 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-app-store-revenue-google-apple-200213646.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Microsoft (MSFT) launched a broadside against rivals Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG, GOOGL) on Thursday, announcing that the next version of Windows, called Windows 11, will feature an app store that ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-app-store-revenue-google-apple-200213646.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09086":"华夏纳指-U","03086":"华夏纳指","AAPL":"苹果","MSFT":"微软","GOOG":"谷歌","GOOGL":"谷歌A","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-app-store-revenue-google-apple-200213646.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2146023165","content_text":"Microsoft (MSFT) launched a broadside against rivals Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG, GOOGL) on Thursday, announcing that the next version of Windows, called Windows 11, will feature an app store that lets developers keep 100% of the revenue from sales of their apps.\nThat’s a massive departure from the policies Apple and Google have in place that require app developers who use their stores to pay 30% fees on the sale of apps and in-app purchases.\n“Windows has always stood for sovereignty for creators and agency for consumers,” Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said. “A platform can only serve society if its rules allow for this foundational innovation and category creation. It’s why we’re introducing new store commerce models and policies.”\nThe move is certain to rankle executives at both Apple and Google, which are facing antitrust investigations into their app store practices.\nApple is awaiting a ruling in an antitrust case brought by Epic Games, in which the “Fortnite” developer accused the iPhone maker of abusing its market power over the App Store by forcing developers to use its own payment system and fork over the associated fees.\nGoogle, meanwhile, faces a similar lawsuit from Epic and is expected to get slapped with a lawsuit from a collection of state attorneys general for its app store policies.\nMicrosoft has been criticizing Apple’s policies\nThis isn’t the first time Microsoft has called out its rivals and their app stores. The company has criticized Apple’s policies in the past, specifically Apple’s policy of taking a share of revenue from Microsoft apps purchased through the Apple App Store.\nMore recently, Microsoft sparred with Apple over its desire to get its xCloud cloud gaming platform onto the iPhone via a native app. Apple has pushed back, hampering Microsoft’s cloud gaming ambitions and forcing it to make users rely on a browser-style app.\nThat led Microsoft to meet and lodge a complaint with members of the House Antitrust Subcommittee during the body’s investigation into Apple, Google, Amazon, and Facebook.\nMicrosoft has debuted the latest version of its Windows operating system: Windows 11. (Image: Microsoft)Microsoft\nMicrosoft also took aim at Apple in the iPhone maker’s battle with “Fortnite” developer Epic Games. In that instance, Microsoft filed a statement of support for Epic in its fight to prevent Apple withholding iOS support for Epic’s Unreal Engine.\nEpic initially sued Apple and Google after the two companies removed “Fornite” from their respective app stores. Apple and Google argue that Epic implemented an update that added a separate payment system allowing consumers to circumvent Apple or Google’s payment services. That effectively cut out Apple and Google’s 30% app store fees.\nEpic’s fight with Apple wrapped up earlier this month and a ruling is expected before the end of the summer.\nMicrosoft could win over developers\nWith its decision to allow developers to use their own payment systems, Microsoft is sending a signal to the global developer community that it is willing to play by their rules. That could help the company as it seeks to build out its app store and drive more business for Windows.\nWhile Microsoft was caught flat-footed in the smartphone wars, its moves with the Windows 11 Microsoft Store could give it the kind of boost from developers that it needs to begin taking market share from Apple and Google in the fight for app store supremacy. It’s now up to Apple and Google to respond.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844508660,"gmtCreate":1636436510935,"gmtModify":1636436512307,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRSR\">$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$</a>woooooooaaaaaw","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRSR\">$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$</a>woooooooaaaaaw","text":"$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$woooooooaaaaaw","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20e477e2a29e9287605401eef2881948","width":"1080","height":"2745"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844508660","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":518,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865655141,"gmtCreate":1632979866707,"gmtModify":1632979868030,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRSR\">$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$</a>wooooooooooaaaw","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRSR\">$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$</a>wooooooooooaaaw","text":"$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$wooooooooooaaaw","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/663a403a66238f73e526dd1ea079b623","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865655141","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":553,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865655089,"gmtCreate":1632979842694,"gmtModify":1632979844057,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRSR\">$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$</a>woooooooooaaaaaw","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRSR\">$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$</a>woooooooooaaaaaw","text":"$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$woooooooooaaaaaw","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84ddca2a2530be24f54a3484cca3a9b3","width":"1080","height":"2559"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865655089","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":407,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862226243,"gmtCreate":1632883263239,"gmtModify":1632883263611,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"woooooooooaaaw","listText":"woooooooooaaaw","text":"woooooooooaaaw","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862226243","repostId":"1179744266","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179744266","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1632859283,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179744266?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-29 04:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street swoons on rising Treasury yields, growing inflation worries","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179744266","media":"Reuters","summary":"S&P 500's worst day since May, Nasdaq's worst since March\nFord rises on $11.4 bln investment with SK","content":"<ul>\n <li>S&amp;P 500's worst day since May, Nasdaq's worst since March</li>\n <li>Ford rises on $11.4 bln investment with SK Innovation</li>\n <li>Indexes drop: Dow 1.63%, S&amp;P 2.04%, Nasdaq 2.83% (Updates with closing prices)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>NEW YORK, Sept 28 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks ended sharply lower on Tuesday in a broad sell-off driven by rising U.S. Treasury yields, deepening concerns over persistent inflation, and contentious debt ceiling negotiations in Washington.</p>\n<p>All three major U.S. stock indexes slid nearly 2% or more, with interest rate sensitive tech and tech-adjacent stocks weighing heaviest as investors lost their risk appetite.</p>\n<p>It was the S&amp;P 500 index's biggest one-day percentage drop since May, and the Nasdaq's largest since March.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite index were on track for their largest monthly declines since September 2020.</p>\n<p>\"The big picture is the sudden surge in the past week of yields, which has led to a 'sell first, ask questions later' mentality,\" Ryan Detrick, senior market strategist at LPL Financial in Charlotte, North Carolina.</p>\n<p>\"(But) there are multiple factors weighing on sentiment today,\" Detrick added. \"The back-and-forth in Washington with the debt ceiling and the spending bill and potential higher taxes have weighed on overall investor psyche and has led to a pretty good sized sell-off.\"</p>\n<p>The benchmark index was also setting a course for its weakest quarterly performance since the COVID pandemic brought the global economy to its knees.</p>\n<p>Weakness pervaded across most asset classes, including gold, suggesting widespread risk-off sentiment.</p>\n<p>U.S. Treasury yields continued rising, with 10-year yields reaching their highest level since June, as inflation expectations heated up and fears grew that the U.S. Federal Reserve could shorten its timeline for tightening its monetary policy.</p>\n<p>Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said she expected inflation to end 2021 near 4% and warned lawmakers their failure to avert a government shutdown as the nation moves closer to exhausting its borrowing capabilities could cause \"serious harm\" to the economy.</p>\n<p>Senate Republicans appeared set to strike down Democrats' efforts to extend the government's borrowing authority and avoid a potential U.S. credit default.</p>\n<p>A Conference Board report showed consumer confidence weakened unexpectedly in September to the lowest level since February.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 569.38 points, or 1.63%, to 34,299.99; the S&amp;P 500 lost 90.48 points, or 2.04%, at 4,352.63; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 423.29 points, or 2.83%, to 14,546.68.</p>\n<p>Half of the S&amp;P 500's components closed 10% or more below their 52-week highs. That included 63 stocks that had fallen 20% or more.</p>\n<p>Among the 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500, all but energy ended red, with tech and communications services suffering the steepest percentage losses.</p>\n<p>Communications services shed 2.8%, the sector's biggest one-day percentage decline since January. The S&amp;P growth index closed at its lowest since July and posted its biggest one-day percentage drop since February.</p>\n<p>Microsoft Corp, Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc and Alphabet Inc weighed heaviest on the S&amp;P and Nasdaq, falling between 2.4% and 3.6%.</p>\n<p>Ford Motor Co was one of the few bright spots, advancing 1.1% on news that it would join Korean battery partner SK Innovation to invest $11.4 billion to build an electric F-150 assembly plant and three U.S. battery plants.</p>\n<p>Declining issues outnumbered gainers on the NYSE by a 4.35-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 4.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 17 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 54 new highs and 120 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.27 billion shares, compared with the 10.37 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p>(Reporting by Stephen Culp; Additional reporting by Noel Randewich and Sinead Carew in New York and Devik Jain in Bengaluru; Editing by Richard Chang)</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street swoons on rising Treasury yields, growing inflation worries</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street swoons on rising Treasury yields, growing inflation worries\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-29 04:01</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<ul>\n <li>S&amp;P 500's worst day since May, Nasdaq's worst since March</li>\n <li>Ford rises on $11.4 bln investment with SK Innovation</li>\n <li>Indexes drop: Dow 1.63%, S&amp;P 2.04%, Nasdaq 2.83% (Updates with closing prices)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>NEW YORK, Sept 28 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks ended sharply lower on Tuesday in a broad sell-off driven by rising U.S. Treasury yields, deepening concerns over persistent inflation, and contentious debt ceiling negotiations in Washington.</p>\n<p>All three major U.S. stock indexes slid nearly 2% or more, with interest rate sensitive tech and tech-adjacent stocks weighing heaviest as investors lost their risk appetite.</p>\n<p>It was the S&amp;P 500 index's biggest one-day percentage drop since May, and the Nasdaq's largest since March.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite index were on track for their largest monthly declines since September 2020.</p>\n<p>\"The big picture is the sudden surge in the past week of yields, which has led to a 'sell first, ask questions later' mentality,\" Ryan Detrick, senior market strategist at LPL Financial in Charlotte, North Carolina.</p>\n<p>\"(But) there are multiple factors weighing on sentiment today,\" Detrick added. \"The back-and-forth in Washington with the debt ceiling and the spending bill and potential higher taxes have weighed on overall investor psyche and has led to a pretty good sized sell-off.\"</p>\n<p>The benchmark index was also setting a course for its weakest quarterly performance since the COVID pandemic brought the global economy to its knees.</p>\n<p>Weakness pervaded across most asset classes, including gold, suggesting widespread risk-off sentiment.</p>\n<p>U.S. Treasury yields continued rising, with 10-year yields reaching their highest level since June, as inflation expectations heated up and fears grew that the U.S. Federal Reserve could shorten its timeline for tightening its monetary policy.</p>\n<p>Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said she expected inflation to end 2021 near 4% and warned lawmakers their failure to avert a government shutdown as the nation moves closer to exhausting its borrowing capabilities could cause \"serious harm\" to the economy.</p>\n<p>Senate Republicans appeared set to strike down Democrats' efforts to extend the government's borrowing authority and avoid a potential U.S. credit default.</p>\n<p>A Conference Board report showed consumer confidence weakened unexpectedly in September to the lowest level since February.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 569.38 points, or 1.63%, to 34,299.99; the S&amp;P 500 lost 90.48 points, or 2.04%, at 4,352.63; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 423.29 points, or 2.83%, to 14,546.68.</p>\n<p>Half of the S&amp;P 500's components closed 10% or more below their 52-week highs. That included 63 stocks that had fallen 20% or more.</p>\n<p>Among the 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500, all but energy ended red, with tech and communications services suffering the steepest percentage losses.</p>\n<p>Communications services shed 2.8%, the sector's biggest one-day percentage decline since January. The S&amp;P growth index closed at its lowest since July and posted its biggest one-day percentage drop since February.</p>\n<p>Microsoft Corp, Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc and Alphabet Inc weighed heaviest on the S&amp;P and Nasdaq, falling between 2.4% and 3.6%.</p>\n<p>Ford Motor Co was one of the few bright spots, advancing 1.1% on news that it would join Korean battery partner SK Innovation to invest $11.4 billion to build an electric F-150 assembly plant and three U.S. battery plants.</p>\n<p>Declining issues outnumbered gainers on the NYSE by a 4.35-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 4.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 17 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 54 new highs and 120 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.27 billion shares, compared with the 10.37 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p>(Reporting by Stephen Culp; Additional reporting by Noel Randewich and Sinead Carew in New York and Devik Jain in Bengaluru; Editing by Richard Chang)</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179744266","content_text":"S&P 500's worst day since May, Nasdaq's worst since March\nFord rises on $11.4 bln investment with SK Innovation\nIndexes drop: Dow 1.63%, S&P 2.04%, Nasdaq 2.83% (Updates with closing prices)\n\nNEW YORK, Sept 28 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks ended sharply lower on Tuesday in a broad sell-off driven by rising U.S. Treasury yields, deepening concerns over persistent inflation, and contentious debt ceiling negotiations in Washington.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes slid nearly 2% or more, with interest rate sensitive tech and tech-adjacent stocks weighing heaviest as investors lost their risk appetite.\nIt was the S&P 500 index's biggest one-day percentage drop since May, and the Nasdaq's largest since March.\nThe S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite index were on track for their largest monthly declines since September 2020.\n\"The big picture is the sudden surge in the past week of yields, which has led to a 'sell first, ask questions later' mentality,\" Ryan Detrick, senior market strategist at LPL Financial in Charlotte, North Carolina.\n\"(But) there are multiple factors weighing on sentiment today,\" Detrick added. \"The back-and-forth in Washington with the debt ceiling and the spending bill and potential higher taxes have weighed on overall investor psyche and has led to a pretty good sized sell-off.\"\nThe benchmark index was also setting a course for its weakest quarterly performance since the COVID pandemic brought the global economy to its knees.\nWeakness pervaded across most asset classes, including gold, suggesting widespread risk-off sentiment.\nU.S. Treasury yields continued rising, with 10-year yields reaching their highest level since June, as inflation expectations heated up and fears grew that the U.S. Federal Reserve could shorten its timeline for tightening its monetary policy.\nTreasury Secretary Janet Yellen said she expected inflation to end 2021 near 4% and warned lawmakers their failure to avert a government shutdown as the nation moves closer to exhausting its borrowing capabilities could cause \"serious harm\" to the economy.\nSenate Republicans appeared set to strike down Democrats' efforts to extend the government's borrowing authority and avoid a potential U.S. credit default.\nA Conference Board report showed consumer confidence weakened unexpectedly in September to the lowest level since February.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 569.38 points, or 1.63%, to 34,299.99; the S&P 500 lost 90.48 points, or 2.04%, at 4,352.63; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 423.29 points, or 2.83%, to 14,546.68.\nHalf of the S&P 500's components closed 10% or more below their 52-week highs. That included 63 stocks that had fallen 20% or more.\nAmong the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500, all but energy ended red, with tech and communications services suffering the steepest percentage losses.\nCommunications services shed 2.8%, the sector's biggest one-day percentage decline since January. The S&P growth index closed at its lowest since July and posted its biggest one-day percentage drop since February.\nMicrosoft Corp, Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc and Alphabet Inc weighed heaviest on the S&P and Nasdaq, falling between 2.4% and 3.6%.\nFord Motor Co was one of the few bright spots, advancing 1.1% on news that it would join Korean battery partner SK Innovation to invest $11.4 billion to build an electric F-150 assembly plant and three U.S. battery plants.\nDeclining issues outnumbered gainers on the NYSE by a 4.35-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 4.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 17 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 54 new highs and 120 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 12.27 billion shares, compared with the 10.37 billion average over the last 20 trading days.\n(Reporting by Stephen Culp; Additional reporting by Noel Randewich and Sinead Carew in New York and Devik Jain in Bengaluru; Editing by Richard Chang)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":414,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866582293,"gmtCreate":1632790989812,"gmtModify":1632797581835,"author":{"id":"3582886929910429","authorId":"3582886929910429","name":"Lowger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2787202ad1607a43e761beb8e8d1e26c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRSR\">$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$</a>wooooooooaaaaw","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRSR\">$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$</a>wooooooooaaaaw","text":"$Corsair Gaming, 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