MaoMao0314的个人主页 - 老虎社区

MaoMao0314

MaoMao0314

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

181关注

6粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-10-31

https://www.laohu8.com/m/post/850756569?invite=5C6Z2J&lang=en_US

2021-10-13

hi

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-11

hi

Big banks kick off Q3 earnings season, CPI inflation data: What to know this week

2021-10-10

hi

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-09

hihi

S&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss

2021-10-08

hi

September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big

2021-10-07

hi

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-05

hi

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-05

hi

Daimler Trucks producing far less than it could sell due to chip shortage, CEO says

2021-10-03

hi

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-02

hi

3 Stocks That Can Double Again in the Fourth Quarter

2021-09-30

Hihihi

Why September Shouldn't Make You Panic About the Stock Market

2021-09-30

hihi

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-27

hi

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-27

hi

Debt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week

2021-09-26

hi

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-26

hello

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-24

hi

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-24

hello

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-24

hi

IPO opening reminder: Clearwater Analytics opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3582857435811011","uuid":"3582857435811011","gmtCreate":1619792298082,"gmtModify":1623815333197,"name":"MaoMao0314","pinyin":"maomao0314","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":6,"headSize":181,"tweetSize":78,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.09.18","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.28","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-2","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"宗师交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到100次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"80.05%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":4,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":840479577,"gmtCreate":1635680900297,"gmtModify":1635682018302,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/post/850756569?invite=5C6Z2J&amp;lang=en_US","listText":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/post/850756569?invite=5C6Z2J&amp;lang=en_US","text":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/post/850756569?invite=5C6Z2J&lang=en_US","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840479577","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1071,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822504664,"gmtCreate":1634138877193,"gmtModify":1634138877253,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822504664","repostId":"2175157695","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":560,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828762007,"gmtCreate":1633947999951,"gmtModify":1633948000049,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828762007","repostId":"2174971913","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2174971913","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633907096,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2174971913?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-11 07:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Big banks kick off Q3 earnings season, CPI inflation data: What to know this week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2174971913","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Third-quarter earnings season ramps up in earnest this week with a packed schedule of major financia","content":"<p>Third-quarter earnings season ramps up in earnest this week with a packed schedule of major financial companies poised to report results. Key economic data will include the U.S. consumer price index for September, in the latest print on the state of inflation in the U.S. economy.</p>\n<p>Investors have been anxiously awaiting the start of the latest earnings season and bracing for a deceleration in corporate profit growth after a strong second quarter.</p>\n<p>S&amp;P 500 earnings are expected to grow by 27.6% in aggregate for the third quarter, slowing sharply from the second quarter's nearly 90% growth rate, according to data from FactSet. Still, last quarter's results had been aided by easy comparisons to the pandemic-depressed profit levels of mid-2020. And at nearly 30%, the expected earnings growth rate for the third quarter would still be the third-fastest pace for the index since 2010.</p>\n<p>Traders are especially looking to see that supply-side challenges and rising input and labor costs weighed heavily on corporate profits for the latest quarter. Nearly two dozen S&amp;P 500 companies — including major names like FedEx (FDX) and Nike (NKE) — have already reported third-quarter results, giving hints about the magnitude of the margin pressure being exerted by supply-side challenges.</p>\n<p>\"Supply chain disruptions and costs have been cited by the highest number companies in the index to date as a factor that either had a negative impact on earnings or revenues in Q3, or is expected to have a negative impact on earnings or revenues in future quarters,\" FactSet's John Butters wrote in a note on Friday. Of the 21 S&amp;P 500 component companies that have reported results so far, 15 of them have discussed negative impacts from these factors, Butters added.</p>\n<p>\"After supply chain disruptions, labor shortages and costs (14), COVID costs and impacts (11), and transportation and freight costs (11) have been discussed by the highest number of S&amp;P 500 companies,\" he added.</p>\n<p>For many companies, the specter of eventual interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve and the present inflationary environment has presented a slew of concerns over higher input and borrowing costs. But for the Big Banks, a higher interest-rate environment generally translates into stronger profits in their key lending businesses, allowing them to command higher rates on loans.</p>\n<p>The major U.S. banks including JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs (GS) and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> (MS) are each set to report quarterly results this week. Heading into these results, many analysts have said they expect to see net interest margins expand alongside the creep higher in benchmark interest rates this year. And as the economic recovery chugs along, banks may further release loan loss reserves they set aside to protect against potential defaults and nonpayments over the course of the pandemic.</p>\n<p>\"We expect 3Q21 EPS [earnings per share] results to be stronger on a year-over-year basis as loan loss reserves continue to be released albeit at a lower level than 1Q/2Q21 and the group posts positive revenue growth,\" RBC Capital Markets analyst Gerard Cassidy wrote in a note last week.</p>\n<p>\"Key themes that we expect to see in the results include: (1) more signs of net interest margin (NIM) stabilization; (2) growth in the consumer loan, residential mortgage and commercial real estate mortgage portfolios; and (3) positive outlook guidance on credit, loan growth (especially commercial &amp; industrial loans,) and NIM,\" he added. \"Lastly, commentary on core operating expenses should be listened to carefully to see if the banks are starting to feel non-incentive compensation wage pressure.\"</p>\n<p>According to Matt O'Connor, Deutsche Bank managing director of U.S. banks equity research, banks still have considerable room for loan growth with the economic recovery under way. Total industry loans are still 1% below pre-pandemic levels from the fourth quarter of 2019, he said, and are down by an even more significant mid-single-digits percentage when excluding loans made via the COVID-era Paycheck Protection Program.</p>\n<p>“We remain positive on bank stocks given a likely multi-year positive backdrop for credit, interest rates and loan growth,” O'Connor wrote in a note. “It’s hard to be too negative on the banks given a generally favorable macroeconomic outlook among most (despite some slower activity more recently) and the prospect for higher rates and faster loan growth, though was we’ve noted before the timing/magnitude of this remains unclear.”</p>\n<p>For the year-to-date, the financials sector remains the second-best performer in the S&amp;P 500 after the energy sector, climbing more than 30% so far in 2021.</p>\n<h2>Consumer price index</h2>\n<p>One of the most closely watched economic reports this week will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index, due for release on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>The report is expected to show consumer prices rose at roughly the same month-on-month and annual rate in September as in August, reinforcing the persistent inflationary pressures present even as the economic recovery rolls on.</p>\n<p>Consensus economists are looking for the consumer price index to jump by 0.3% in September over the previous month and by 5.3% over the prior year.</p>\n<p>At least some of that increase will likely come as a result of jumping energy prices, with crude oil and natural gas prices spiking amid elevated demand and tight supply over the past month. However, even excluding more volatile food and energy prices, the CPI likely still rose at a 4.0% annual pace.</p>\n<p>The so-called core measure of CPI has moderated from June's 4.5% annual clip, or the fastest rate since 1991, but has still held markedly higher compared to pre-pandemic standards. Some of the categories mostly closely associated with the economic reopening have seen prices pull back after initial surges in the spring and early summer — but not by enough to bring down the overall level of CPI.</p>\n<p>“The key takeaway from the upcoming consumer price index will be how broadly across categories we are seeing price increases,\" Greg McBride, chief financial analyst for Bankrate, said in an email on Friday. \"While used car prices, airfares, and lodging have all pulled back a bit, underscoring the idea that higher inflation might indeed be transitory, increases in others like shelter costs might just be heating up.”</p>\n<p>Other areas of the economy have also begun to show persistently heightened levels of inflation, with U.S. crude oil futures skyrocketing to their highest level since 2014 last week and commodity prices across the board moving higher. And last week's September jobs report also reflected a number of inflationary pressures in the labor market, with average hourly wages accelerating to the fastest year-over-year pace since February, and rise in the workweek taking place alongside a drop in labor force participation.</p>\n<p>\"We expect reopening effects to continue to fade, but the risk from supply constraints is likely to be longer-lasting than previously expected,\" High Frequency Economics' Rubeela Farooqi wrote in a note. \"That should provide ongoing support to goods prices, even as services inflation continues to revert to more typical trends on a normalization of activity.\"</p>\n<h2>Economic calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday:</b> <i>No notable reports scheduled for release </i></p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>NFIB Small Business Optimism, September (99.5 expected, 100.1 during prior month); JOLTS Job Openings, August (10.938 million expected, 10.934 million during prior month)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended Oct. 8 (-6.9% during prior week); Consumer price index, month-over-month, September (0.3% expected, 0.3% during prior month); CPI excluding food and energy, month-over-month, September (0.2% expected, 0.1% during prior month); CPI year-over-year, September (5.3% expected, 5.3% during prior month); CPI excluding food and energy, year-over-year, September (4.0% expected, 4.0% during prior month); Real Average Hourly earnings, year-over-year, September (-1.1% during prior month); Real Average Weekly earnings, year-over-year, September (-1.4% during prior month); FOMC meeting minutes</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>Initial jobless claims, week ended Oct. 9 (325,000 expected, 326,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Oct. 2 (2.696 million expected, 2.714 million during prior week); Producer price index, month-over-month, September (0.6% expected, 0.7% during prior month); PPI excluding food and energy, month-over-month, September (0.5% expected, 0.6% during prior month); PPI, year-over-year, September (8.7% expected, 8.3% during prior month); PPI excluding food and energy, year-over-year. September (7.1% expected, 6.7% during prior month)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b>Empire Manufacturing, October (25.0 expected, 34.3 during prior month); Retail sales, month-over-month, September (-0.2% expected, 0.7% during prior month); Retail sales excluding autos and gas, month-over-month, September (0.6% expected, 1.8% during prior month); Import price index, month-over-month, September (0.6% expected, -0.3% during prior month); University of Michigan sentiment, October preliminary (73.5 expected, 72.8 during prior month)</p></li>\n</ul>\n<h2>Earnings calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>JPMorgan Chase (JPM), BlackRock (BLK), First Republic Bank (FRC), Delta Air Lines (DAL) before market open</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>Bank of America (BAC), Domino's Pizza (DPZ), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> (WBA), The Progressive Corp. (PGR), UnitedHealth Group (UNH), US Bancorp (USB), Wells Fargo (WFC), Morgan Stanley (MS), Citigroup (C) before market open; Alcoa (AA) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b>PNC Financial Services (PNC), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TFC\">Truist Financial Corp</a>. (TFC), Coinbase Global (COIN), The Charles Schwab Corp. (SCHW), Goldman Sachs (GS) before market open</p></li>\n</ul>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Big banks kick off Q3 earnings season, CPI inflation data: What to know this week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBig banks kick off Q3 earnings season, CPI inflation data: What to know this week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-11 07:04 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/big-banks-kick-off-q-3-earnings-season-cpi-inflation-data-what-to-know-this-week-170456712.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Third-quarter earnings season ramps up in earnest this week with a packed schedule of major financial companies poised to report results. Key economic data will include the U.S. consumer price index ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/big-banks-kick-off-q-3-earnings-season-cpi-inflation-data-what-to-know-this-week-170456712.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WFC":"富国银行","SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust","GS":"高盛","JPM":"摩根大通","MS":"摩根士丹利","C":"花旗","BAC":"美国银行"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/big-banks-kick-off-q-3-earnings-season-cpi-inflation-data-what-to-know-this-week-170456712.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2174971913","content_text":"Third-quarter earnings season ramps up in earnest this week with a packed schedule of major financial companies poised to report results. Key economic data will include the U.S. consumer price index for September, in the latest print on the state of inflation in the U.S. economy.\nInvestors have been anxiously awaiting the start of the latest earnings season and bracing for a deceleration in corporate profit growth after a strong second quarter.\nS&P 500 earnings are expected to grow by 27.6% in aggregate for the third quarter, slowing sharply from the second quarter's nearly 90% growth rate, according to data from FactSet. Still, last quarter's results had been aided by easy comparisons to the pandemic-depressed profit levels of mid-2020. And at nearly 30%, the expected earnings growth rate for the third quarter would still be the third-fastest pace for the index since 2010.\nTraders are especially looking to see that supply-side challenges and rising input and labor costs weighed heavily on corporate profits for the latest quarter. Nearly two dozen S&P 500 companies — including major names like FedEx (FDX) and Nike (NKE) — have already reported third-quarter results, giving hints about the magnitude of the margin pressure being exerted by supply-side challenges.\n\"Supply chain disruptions and costs have been cited by the highest number companies in the index to date as a factor that either had a negative impact on earnings or revenues in Q3, or is expected to have a negative impact on earnings or revenues in future quarters,\" FactSet's John Butters wrote in a note on Friday. Of the 21 S&P 500 component companies that have reported results so far, 15 of them have discussed negative impacts from these factors, Butters added.\n\"After supply chain disruptions, labor shortages and costs (14), COVID costs and impacts (11), and transportation and freight costs (11) have been discussed by the highest number of S&P 500 companies,\" he added.\nFor many companies, the specter of eventual interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve and the present inflationary environment has presented a slew of concerns over higher input and borrowing costs. But for the Big Banks, a higher interest-rate environment generally translates into stronger profits in their key lending businesses, allowing them to command higher rates on loans.\nThe major U.S. banks including JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) are each set to report quarterly results this week. Heading into these results, many analysts have said they expect to see net interest margins expand alongside the creep higher in benchmark interest rates this year. And as the economic recovery chugs along, banks may further release loan loss reserves they set aside to protect against potential defaults and nonpayments over the course of the pandemic.\n\"We expect 3Q21 EPS [earnings per share] results to be stronger on a year-over-year basis as loan loss reserves continue to be released albeit at a lower level than 1Q/2Q21 and the group posts positive revenue growth,\" RBC Capital Markets analyst Gerard Cassidy wrote in a note last week.\n\"Key themes that we expect to see in the results include: (1) more signs of net interest margin (NIM) stabilization; (2) growth in the consumer loan, residential mortgage and commercial real estate mortgage portfolios; and (3) positive outlook guidance on credit, loan growth (especially commercial & industrial loans,) and NIM,\" he added. \"Lastly, commentary on core operating expenses should be listened to carefully to see if the banks are starting to feel non-incentive compensation wage pressure.\"\nAccording to Matt O'Connor, Deutsche Bank managing director of U.S. banks equity research, banks still have considerable room for loan growth with the economic recovery under way. Total industry loans are still 1% below pre-pandemic levels from the fourth quarter of 2019, he said, and are down by an even more significant mid-single-digits percentage when excluding loans made via the COVID-era Paycheck Protection Program.\n“We remain positive on bank stocks given a likely multi-year positive backdrop for credit, interest rates and loan growth,” O'Connor wrote in a note. “It’s hard to be too negative on the banks given a generally favorable macroeconomic outlook among most (despite some slower activity more recently) and the prospect for higher rates and faster loan growth, though was we’ve noted before the timing/magnitude of this remains unclear.”\nFor the year-to-date, the financials sector remains the second-best performer in the S&P 500 after the energy sector, climbing more than 30% so far in 2021.\nConsumer price index\nOne of the most closely watched economic reports this week will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index, due for release on Wednesday.\nThe report is expected to show consumer prices rose at roughly the same month-on-month and annual rate in September as in August, reinforcing the persistent inflationary pressures present even as the economic recovery rolls on.\nConsensus economists are looking for the consumer price index to jump by 0.3% in September over the previous month and by 5.3% over the prior year.\nAt least some of that increase will likely come as a result of jumping energy prices, with crude oil and natural gas prices spiking amid elevated demand and tight supply over the past month. However, even excluding more volatile food and energy prices, the CPI likely still rose at a 4.0% annual pace.\nThe so-called core measure of CPI has moderated from June's 4.5% annual clip, or the fastest rate since 1991, but has still held markedly higher compared to pre-pandemic standards. Some of the categories mostly closely associated with the economic reopening have seen prices pull back after initial surges in the spring and early summer — but not by enough to bring down the overall level of CPI.\n“The key takeaway from the upcoming consumer price index will be how broadly across categories we are seeing price increases,\" Greg McBride, chief financial analyst for Bankrate, said in an email on Friday. \"While used car prices, airfares, and lodging have all pulled back a bit, underscoring the idea that higher inflation might indeed be transitory, increases in others like shelter costs might just be heating up.”\nOther areas of the economy have also begun to show persistently heightened levels of inflation, with U.S. crude oil futures skyrocketing to their highest level since 2014 last week and commodity prices across the board moving higher. And last week's September jobs report also reflected a number of inflationary pressures in the labor market, with average hourly wages accelerating to the fastest year-over-year pace since February, and rise in the workweek taking place alongside a drop in labor force participation.\n\"We expect reopening effects to continue to fade, but the risk from supply constraints is likely to be longer-lasting than previously expected,\" High Frequency Economics' Rubeela Farooqi wrote in a note. \"That should provide ongoing support to goods prices, even as services inflation continues to revert to more typical trends on a normalization of activity.\"\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release \nTuesday: NFIB Small Business Optimism, September (99.5 expected, 100.1 during prior month); JOLTS Job Openings, August (10.938 million expected, 10.934 million during prior month)\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended Oct. 8 (-6.9% during prior week); Consumer price index, month-over-month, September (0.3% expected, 0.3% during prior month); CPI excluding food and energy, month-over-month, September (0.2% expected, 0.1% during prior month); CPI year-over-year, September (5.3% expected, 5.3% during prior month); CPI excluding food and energy, year-over-year, September (4.0% expected, 4.0% during prior month); Real Average Hourly earnings, year-over-year, September (-1.1% during prior month); Real Average Weekly earnings, year-over-year, September (-1.4% during prior month); FOMC meeting minutes\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended Oct. 9 (325,000 expected, 326,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Oct. 2 (2.696 million expected, 2.714 million during prior week); Producer price index, month-over-month, September (0.6% expected, 0.7% during prior month); PPI excluding food and energy, month-over-month, September (0.5% expected, 0.6% during prior month); PPI, year-over-year, September (8.7% expected, 8.3% during prior month); PPI excluding food and energy, year-over-year. September (7.1% expected, 6.7% during prior month)\nFriday: Empire Manufacturing, October (25.0 expected, 34.3 during prior month); Retail sales, month-over-month, September (-0.2% expected, 0.7% during prior month); Retail sales excluding autos and gas, month-over-month, September (0.6% expected, 1.8% during prior month); Import price index, month-over-month, September (0.6% expected, -0.3% during prior month); University of Michigan sentiment, October preliminary (73.5 expected, 72.8 during prior month)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nWednesday: JPMorgan Chase (JPM), BlackRock (BLK), First Republic Bank (FRC), Delta Air Lines (DAL) before market open\nThursday: Bank of America (BAC), Domino's Pizza (DPZ), Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA), The Progressive Corp. (PGR), UnitedHealth Group (UNH), US Bancorp (USB), Wells Fargo (WFC), Morgan Stanley (MS), Citigroup (C) before market open; Alcoa (AA) after market close\nFriday: PNC Financial Services (PNC), Truist Financial Corp. (TFC), Coinbase Global (COIN), The Charles Schwab Corp. (SCHW), Goldman Sachs (GS) before market open","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1054,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828375402,"gmtCreate":1633854406404,"gmtModify":1633854406509,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828375402","repostId":"2174920514","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":842,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821285436,"gmtCreate":1633747904398,"gmtModify":1633747904541,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hihi","listText":"hihi","text":"hihi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821285436","repostId":"1100565546","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100565546","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633734823,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100565546?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-09 07:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100565546","media":"Reuters","summary":" - The S&P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable op","content":"<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.</p>\n<p>Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.</p>\n<p>Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.</p>\n<p>Both companies were among the biggest drags on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p>\n<p>Real estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.</p>\n<p>Chevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&amp;P 500 the greatest lift.</p>\n<p>The Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.</p>\n<p>“I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”</p>\n<p>Futures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.</p>\n<p>The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.</p>\n<p>For the week, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.</p>\n<p>Third-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.</p>\n<p>Analysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:</p>\n<p>Analysts on average expect S&amp;P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.</p>\n<p>“I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”</p>\n<p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-09 07:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-lower-after-u-s-september-jobs-miss-idUSL1N2R42C9><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-lower-after-u-s-september-jobs-miss-idUSL1N2R42C9\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-lower-after-u-s-september-jobs-miss-idUSL1N2R42C9","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100565546","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.\nWall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.\nComcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.\nBoth companies were among the biggest drags on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nReal estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.\nThe S&P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.\nChevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&P 500 the greatest lift.\nThe Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.\n“I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”\nFutures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.\nThird-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.\nAnalysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:\nAnalysts on average expect S&P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.\n“I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821926106,"gmtCreate":1633689270282,"gmtModify":1633689270420,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821926106","repostId":"1135993400","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135993400","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633675137,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1135993400?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 14:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135993400","media":"zerohedge","summary":"After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the mo","content":"<p>After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.</p>\n<p>Here is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Total Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K</li>\n <li>Private Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K</li>\n <li>Unemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%</li>\n <li>Labor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%</li>\n <li>Average Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%</li>\n <li>Average Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7</li>\n</ul>\n<p>As&nbsp;Newsquawk&nbsp;writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.</p>\n<p>Goldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong,&nbsp;<b>and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"</b>As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.</p>\n<p>Labor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.</p>\n<p><b>POLICY</b>: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.</p>\n<p><b>PAYROLLS:</b>The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).<b>Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</b></p>\n<p><b>MEASURES OF SLACK:</b>The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.</p>\n<p><b>EARNINGS:</b>Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</p>\n<p><b>ADP:</b>The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure &amp; Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"</p>\n<p><b>INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:</b>Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.</p>\n<p><b>BUSINESS SURVEYS</b>: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.</p>\n<p><b>ARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT</b>:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>End of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts</b>. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.<b>Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.</b>Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa8e5900cf66c76d4b64055f84e58048\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>School reopening</b>. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff3e69723b40e0d372ec2bebecb38b1f\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Job availability</b>. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.</li>\n <li><b>ADP.</b>Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>ARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Delta variant.</b>Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.</li>\n <li><b>Employer surveys</b>. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>NEUTRAL FACTORS:</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Big Data.</b>High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.</li>\n <li><b>Seasonality.</b>The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).</li>\n <li><b>Jobless claims.</b>Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.</li>\n <li><b>Job cuts.</b>Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).</li>\n</ul>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSeptember Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-08 14:38 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135993400","content_text":"After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.\nHere is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:\n\nTotal Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K\nPrivate Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K\nUnemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%\nLabor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%\nAverage Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%\nAverage Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7\n\nAs Newsquawk writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.\nGoldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong, and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.\nLabor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.\nPOLICY: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.\nPAYROLLS:The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.\nMEASURES OF SLACK:The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.\nEARNINGS:Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.\nADP:The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure & Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"\nINITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.\nBUSINESS SURVEYS: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.\nARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:\n\nEnd of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).\n\n\n\nSchool reopening. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.\n\n\n\nJob availability. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.\nADP.Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.\n\nARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:\n\nDelta variant.Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.\nEmployer surveys. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.\n\nNEUTRAL FACTORS:\n\nBig Data.High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.\nSeasonality.The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).\nJobless claims.Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.\nJob cuts.Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray & Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":918,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823695250,"gmtCreate":1633616604306,"gmtModify":1633616647620,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823695250","repostId":"1170599877","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1241,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829357492,"gmtCreate":1633476875626,"gmtModify":1633476875796,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829357492","repostId":"1101968131","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":652,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820798137,"gmtCreate":1633428583833,"gmtModify":1633428584003,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820798137","repostId":"1194035077","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194035077","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633424174,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194035077?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-05 16:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Daimler Trucks producing far less than it could sell due to chip shortage, CEO says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194035077","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"BERLIN (Reuters) - Daimler Trucks CEO Martin Daum said the truckmaker, set to spin-off from Daimler ","content":"<p>BERLIN (Reuters) - Daimler Trucks CEO Martin Daum said the truckmaker, set to spin-off from Daimler in December, will undoubtedly sell less than it could in the coming year as chip shortages hamper production.</p>\n<p>\"We will certainly be delivering less than we could have sold, and that also applies to next year,\" he said at a roundtable with journalists on Tuesday, echoing recent warnings from competitors like Traton that profits could fall in the second half.</p>\n<p>\"It's a fight over every chip,\" Daum said.</p>\n<p>While passenger vehicle producers like BMW or Daimler can increase prices to offset chip losses, truckmakers do not have this flexibility, he said.</p>\n<p>Still, the company has committed to a 15% fixed-cost reduction from 2019 levels by 2025, and cuts are \"well underway\", he said. A concrete update will be provided at the company's Capital Markets Day on Nov. 11.</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Daimler Trucks producing far less than it could sell due to chip shortage, CEO says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDaimler Trucks producing far less than it could sell due to chip shortage, CEO says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-05 16:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/daimler-trucks-producing-far-less-083353418.html><strong>finance.yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>BERLIN (Reuters) - Daimler Trucks CEO Martin Daum said the truckmaker, set to spin-off from Daimler in December, will undoubtedly sell less than it could in the coming year as chip shortages hamper ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/daimler-trucks-producing-far-less-083353418.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DDAIF":"戴姆勒汽车"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/daimler-trucks-producing-far-less-083353418.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194035077","content_text":"BERLIN (Reuters) - Daimler Trucks CEO Martin Daum said the truckmaker, set to spin-off from Daimler in December, will undoubtedly sell less than it could in the coming year as chip shortages hamper production.\n\"We will certainly be delivering less than we could have sold, and that also applies to next year,\" he said at a roundtable with journalists on Tuesday, echoing recent warnings from competitors like Traton that profits could fall in the second half.\n\"It's a fight over every chip,\" Daum said.\nWhile passenger vehicle producers like BMW or Daimler can increase prices to offset chip losses, truckmakers do not have this flexibility, he said.\nStill, the company has committed to a 15% fixed-cost reduction from 2019 levels by 2025, and cuts are \"well underway\", he said. A concrete update will be provided at the company's Capital Markets Day on Nov. 11.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1104,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867403424,"gmtCreate":1633305397699,"gmtModify":1633305397970,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867403424","repostId":"2172313961","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":631,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867994110,"gmtCreate":1633182356865,"gmtModify":1633182356999,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867994110","repostId":"1134305481","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134305481","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633152909,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1134305481?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-02 13:35","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks That Can Double Again in the Fourth Quarter","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134305481","media":"The motley fool","summary":"Key Points\n\nCrocs has jacked up its guidance every quarter this year. It reports again later this mo","content":"<p>Key Points</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Crocs has jacked up its guidance every quarter this year. It reports again later this month.</li>\n <li>AMC would have to double from here to revisit its June highs. Check the upcoming theatrical release slate to know why movie theaters are about to get a whole lot better.</li>\n <li>Upstart is revolutionizing the way creditworthiness is determined in consumer loans, and it's laughing all the way to the bank.</li>\n</ul>\n<p></p>\n<p>It's been a volatile year for stocks, but naturally some investments have fared better than others. Over 300 stocks have more than doubled in 2021. Many of those winning investments will be lucky if they can hold those gains through the final three months of the year, but what about the names that have the potential to double again?</p>\n<p><b>Crocs</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:CROX),<b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:AMC), and<b>Upstart</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:UPST)have more than doubled in value through the first nine months of 2021. Let's see why they have what it takes to possibly repeat the feat in the fourth quarter.</p>\n<p>1. Crocs</p>\n<p>Remember those bright rubbery shoes with holes in them? They're back in a big way. Crocs sales are booming since the pandemic began, and the stock is following suit with a 129% increase through the first nine months of 2021.</p>\n<p>The comfortable resin shoes were already making a comeback before the COVID-19 crisis with double-digit revenue growth in 2019 before repeating the feat in 2020. Momentum is what's really taking Crocs to a higher level in 2021.</p>\n<p>The year began with the footwear maker projecting 20%-to-25% top-line growth for the entire year back in February. Guidance was bumped higher -- to between 40% and 50% growth -- the following quarter. It happened again this summer, with Crocs now targeting a 60%-to-65% surge in revenue for all of 2021. What do you think will happen if those targets get pushed even higher when it reports third-quarter results later this month?</p>\n<p>Despite a stock that has popped nearly sixfold since the start of 2019, Crocs is reasonably priced given its accelerating growth. It's trading at 21 times this year's earnings and just 17 times next year's target. There's clearly room to increase those multiples, and Wall Street's finally as comfortable with Crocs as an investment as its customers are in its shoes.</p>\n<p>2. AMC Entertainment</p>\n<p>You may be surprised to find the country's leading multiplex operator on this list, but plot twists are what make movies so good. It's certainly true that AMC Entertainment has appreciated -- in terms of both stock price and a fivefold explosion in shares outstanding -- to the point where its valuation is out of whack relative to its peers'. If you want a pure investing play on the movie theater industry's recovery, you will find more attractively priced stocks toscratchthatitch.</p>\n<p>However, as ameme stockand cultural phenomenon it's hard to argue against what AMC has done to translate its popularity among retail investors into a legitimate market share grab in the recovery process. No company has seen its market cap inflate as much as AMC has this year, but this is also a stock that enters the fourth quarter with a stock price that is a little more than half of what it was when it peaked in June. In short, it would have to double from here to revisit its all-time high -- but isn't that always possible with the poster child for 2021 momentum stocks?</p>\n<p>Fundamentally speaking, the catalysts are also there.<i>Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings</i>shattered box office records over Labor Day weekend, but the initial excitement fizzled out when subsequent weekends were abysmal. However, it's all about the pipeline. Studios pushed out September releases into October and beyond when the delta variant resulted in a spike in COVID-19 cases. We're now seeing the highly anticipated films start to come back, starting with the new James Bond movie next weekend. The fourth quarter should be a lot stronger for the industry than the naysayers think, and if AMC stock gets back to where it was in early June -- fundamentally earned this time -- it will have to double from here.</p>\n<p>3. Upstart</p>\n<p>I love when industries ripe for disruption get upended, and that's what Upstart is doing with the lending industry. Upstart usesartificial intelligenceand machine learning to make better calls on assessing risk profiles and creditworthiness for folks who don't typically get approved for consumer loans.</p>\n<p>Growth is bonkers. Revenue seemed to be decelerating sharply, with slowing growth spurts of 89%, 52%, and 27% in the last three years respectively. Now that consumers are becoming aware of Upstart as a better alternative to payday loans and other predatory lending products, business is skyrocketing. Revenue rose 90% in the first quarter, only to surge 1,018% in its latest report. And no, that's not a typo.</p>\n<p>With Upstart now expanding into the auto loans market, the potential for its better alternative to stodgy credit scores is just getting started. The stock has been a seven-bagger through the first three quarters of 2021, but the runway is long for this disruptive jet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks That Can Double Again in the Fourth Quarter</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks That Can Double Again in the Fourth Quarter\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-02 13:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/01/3-stocks-that-can-double-again-in-the-fourth-quart/><strong>The motley fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Key Points\n\nCrocs has jacked up its guidance every quarter this year. It reports again later this month.\nAMC would have to double from here to revisit its June highs. Check the upcoming theatrical ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/01/3-stocks-that-can-double-again-in-the-fourth-quart/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UPST":"Upstart Holdings, Inc.","AMC":"AMC院线","CROX":"卡骆驰"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/01/3-stocks-that-can-double-again-in-the-fourth-quart/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134305481","content_text":"Key Points\n\nCrocs has jacked up its guidance every quarter this year. It reports again later this month.\nAMC would have to double from here to revisit its June highs. Check the upcoming theatrical release slate to know why movie theaters are about to get a whole lot better.\nUpstart is revolutionizing the way creditworthiness is determined in consumer loans, and it's laughing all the way to the bank.\n\n\nIt's been a volatile year for stocks, but naturally some investments have fared better than others. Over 300 stocks have more than doubled in 2021. Many of those winning investments will be lucky if they can hold those gains through the final three months of the year, but what about the names that have the potential to double again?\nCrocs (NASDAQ:CROX),AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC), andUpstart (NASDAQ:UPST)have more than doubled in value through the first nine months of 2021. Let's see why they have what it takes to possibly repeat the feat in the fourth quarter.\n1. Crocs\nRemember those bright rubbery shoes with holes in them? They're back in a big way. Crocs sales are booming since the pandemic began, and the stock is following suit with a 129% increase through the first nine months of 2021.\nThe comfortable resin shoes were already making a comeback before the COVID-19 crisis with double-digit revenue growth in 2019 before repeating the feat in 2020. Momentum is what's really taking Crocs to a higher level in 2021.\nThe year began with the footwear maker projecting 20%-to-25% top-line growth for the entire year back in February. Guidance was bumped higher -- to between 40% and 50% growth -- the following quarter. It happened again this summer, with Crocs now targeting a 60%-to-65% surge in revenue for all of 2021. What do you think will happen if those targets get pushed even higher when it reports third-quarter results later this month?\nDespite a stock that has popped nearly sixfold since the start of 2019, Crocs is reasonably priced given its accelerating growth. It's trading at 21 times this year's earnings and just 17 times next year's target. There's clearly room to increase those multiples, and Wall Street's finally as comfortable with Crocs as an investment as its customers are in its shoes.\n2. AMC Entertainment\nYou may be surprised to find the country's leading multiplex operator on this list, but plot twists are what make movies so good. It's certainly true that AMC Entertainment has appreciated -- in terms of both stock price and a fivefold explosion in shares outstanding -- to the point where its valuation is out of whack relative to its peers'. If you want a pure investing play on the movie theater industry's recovery, you will find more attractively priced stocks toscratchthatitch.\nHowever, as ameme stockand cultural phenomenon it's hard to argue against what AMC has done to translate its popularity among retail investors into a legitimate market share grab in the recovery process. No company has seen its market cap inflate as much as AMC has this year, but this is also a stock that enters the fourth quarter with a stock price that is a little more than half of what it was when it peaked in June. In short, it would have to double from here to revisit its all-time high -- but isn't that always possible with the poster child for 2021 momentum stocks?\nFundamentally speaking, the catalysts are also there.Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Ringsshattered box office records over Labor Day weekend, but the initial excitement fizzled out when subsequent weekends were abysmal. However, it's all about the pipeline. Studios pushed out September releases into October and beyond when the delta variant resulted in a spike in COVID-19 cases. We're now seeing the highly anticipated films start to come back, starting with the new James Bond movie next weekend. The fourth quarter should be a lot stronger for the industry than the naysayers think, and if AMC stock gets back to where it was in early June -- fundamentally earned this time -- it will have to double from here.\n3. Upstart\nI love when industries ripe for disruption get upended, and that's what Upstart is doing with the lending industry. Upstart usesartificial intelligenceand machine learning to make better calls on assessing risk profiles and creditworthiness for folks who don't typically get approved for consumer loans.\nGrowth is bonkers. Revenue seemed to be decelerating sharply, with slowing growth spurts of 89%, 52%, and 27% in the last three years respectively. Now that consumers are becoming aware of Upstart as a better alternative to payday loans and other predatory lending products, business is skyrocketing. Revenue rose 90% in the first quarter, only to surge 1,018% in its latest report. And no, that's not a typo.\nWith Upstart now expanding into the auto loans market, the potential for its better alternative to stodgy credit scores is just getting started. The stock has been a seven-bagger through the first three quarters of 2021, but the runway is long for this disruptive jet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864052913,"gmtCreate":1633045180241,"gmtModify":1633045180377,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hihihi&nbsp;","listText":"Hihihi&nbsp;","text":"Hihihi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864052913","repostId":"1185076130","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185076130","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633044586,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185076130?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-01 07:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why September Shouldn't Make You Panic About the Stock Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185076130","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Key Points\n\nThursday was a weak day for the stock market, marking an end to a particularly bad Septe","content":"<p>Key Points</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Thursday was a weak day for the stock market, marking an end to a particularly bad September.</li>\n <li>Despite short-term losses, the downturn hasn't taken stocks very far from their highs.</li>\n <li>A long-term horizon gives you the ability to weather short-term moves like these.</li>\n</ul>\n<p></p>\n<p>Thursday was another bad day on Wall Street, as investors tried and failed to mount a convincing advance early in the day. Fears circled around a number of issues affecting the stock market, including inflation, immense liquidity in the monetary system, the COVID-19 pandemic, and a general concern about lurking traps that might not yet even be known.</p>\n<p>Losses for the month for the<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>(DJINDICES:^DJI),<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC), and<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC)were substantial, ranging from 4% to 5%.</p>\n<table>\n <thead>\n  <tr>\n   <th><p><b>Index</b></p></th>\n   <th><p><b>Daily Percentage Change</b></p></th>\n   <th><p><b>Daily Point Change</b></p></th>\n  </tr>\n </thead>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Dow</p></td>\n   <td><p>(1.59%)</p></td>\n   <td><p>(547)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>S&amp;P 500</p></td>\n   <td><p>(1.19%)</p></td>\n   <td><p>(52)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Nasdaq</p></td>\n   <td><p>(0.44%)</p></td>\n   <td><p>(64)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>DATA SOURCE: YAHOO! FINANCE.</p>\n<p>It's been a while sinceinvestors had to deal with a sizable market pullback. Yet even though the month of October has traditionally been a scary one for investors, there are ample reasons not to panic about the stock market's long-term prospects. Below, we'll take a closer look at the market's performance to try to put the losses for the day and the month in perspective.</p>\n<p>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p>\n<p>When you're going through stock market corrections in real time, it's easy to get fixated on the short-term impacts. For instance, the following statements make compelling headlines -- and they're absolutely true:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Dow drops 1,000 points in three sessions</li>\n <li>S&amp;P 500 loses more than 200 points in September</li>\n <li>Nasdaq is down almost 600 points just this week</li>\n</ul>\n<p>But before you draw the wrong conclusion from those true statements, you should bear in mind that I chose them for maximum impact. If you focus on other statements that are also true, you might well come away with a completely different attitude about the market.</p>\n<p>For example, even with all the declines that we've seen lately, major market benchmarks have only given up about two months' worth of gains. Where we ended the month of September is still above the lows that the stock market set in mid-July. The S&amp;P 500 actually finished the third quarter<i>up</i>from where it closed at the end of June.</p>\n<p>Push back the calendar a little further, and you'll see even more encouraging news. The Dow, the S&amp;P, and the Nasdaq are all still up double-digit percentages for 2021. The S&amp;P has climbed almost 15% -- and that's<i>before</i>you add in the dividend income that its constituent stocks have paid to shareholders.</p>\n<p>And when you take a multiyear look, you'll see that even when you include the impact of the coronavirus bear market in early 2020, the returns forstock market indexesover the past seven quarters have been solid. The Dow's 19% rise over that time frame matches the long-term performance of the index, but gains of 33% for the S&amp;P 500 and 61% for the Nasdaq are exceptional.</p>\n<p>Perhaps the most compelling reason not to panic about the pullback thus far is that it hasn't really caused any significant damage. Despite the headlines, major market benchmarks are only down around 5% to 6% from their all-time highs. Put another way, it's taken just about all the negative sentiment the market could muster just to get Wall Street to go through what most people consider a minor correction.</p>\n<p>Yes, it's always possible that the declines of the market in September could prove to be just the beginning of a more extensive downward move in the months to come. But long-term investors should always be prepared for market downturns -- while remaining confident in the eventual recovery that has followed those downturns without fail.</p>\n<p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why September Shouldn't Make You Panic About the Stock Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy September Shouldn't Make You Panic About the Stock Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-01 07:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/30/why-september-shouldnt-make-you-panic-stock-market/?source=eptyholnk0000202&utm_source=yahoo-host&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=article><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Key Points\n\nThursday was a weak day for the stock market, marking an end to a particularly bad September.\nDespite short-term losses, the downturn hasn't taken stocks very far from their highs.\nA long-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/30/why-september-shouldnt-make-you-panic-stock-market/?source=eptyholnk0000202&utm_source=yahoo-host&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=article\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/30/why-september-shouldnt-make-you-panic-stock-market/?source=eptyholnk0000202&utm_source=yahoo-host&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=article","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1185076130","content_text":"Key Points\n\nThursday was a weak day for the stock market, marking an end to a particularly bad September.\nDespite short-term losses, the downturn hasn't taken stocks very far from their highs.\nA long-term horizon gives you the ability to weather short-term moves like these.\n\n\nThursday was another bad day on Wall Street, as investors tried and failed to mount a convincing advance early in the day. Fears circled around a number of issues affecting the stock market, including inflation, immense liquidity in the monetary system, the COVID-19 pandemic, and a general concern about lurking traps that might not yet even be known.\nLosses for the month for theDow Jones Industrial Average(DJINDICES:^DJI),S&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC), andNasdaq Composite(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC)were substantial, ranging from 4% to 5%.\n\n\n\nIndex\nDaily Percentage Change\nDaily Point Change\n\n\n\n\nDow\n(1.59%)\n(547)\n\n\nS&P 500\n(1.19%)\n(52)\n\n\nNasdaq\n(0.44%)\n(64)\n\n\n\nDATA SOURCE: YAHOO! FINANCE.\nIt's been a while sinceinvestors had to deal with a sizable market pullback. Yet even though the month of October has traditionally been a scary one for investors, there are ample reasons not to panic about the stock market's long-term prospects. Below, we'll take a closer look at the market's performance to try to put the losses for the day and the month in perspective.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nWhen you're going through stock market corrections in real time, it's easy to get fixated on the short-term impacts. For instance, the following statements make compelling headlines -- and they're absolutely true:\n\nDow drops 1,000 points in three sessions\nS&P 500 loses more than 200 points in September\nNasdaq is down almost 600 points just this week\n\nBut before you draw the wrong conclusion from those true statements, you should bear in mind that I chose them for maximum impact. If you focus on other statements that are also true, you might well come away with a completely different attitude about the market.\nFor example, even with all the declines that we've seen lately, major market benchmarks have only given up about two months' worth of gains. Where we ended the month of September is still above the lows that the stock market set in mid-July. The S&P 500 actually finished the third quarterupfrom where it closed at the end of June.\nPush back the calendar a little further, and you'll see even more encouraging news. The Dow, the S&P, and the Nasdaq are all still up double-digit percentages for 2021. The S&P has climbed almost 15% -- and that'sbeforeyou add in the dividend income that its constituent stocks have paid to shareholders.\nAnd when you take a multiyear look, you'll see that even when you include the impact of the coronavirus bear market in early 2020, the returns forstock market indexesover the past seven quarters have been solid. The Dow's 19% rise over that time frame matches the long-term performance of the index, but gains of 33% for the S&P 500 and 61% for the Nasdaq are exceptional.\nPerhaps the most compelling reason not to panic about the pullback thus far is that it hasn't really caused any significant damage. Despite the headlines, major market benchmarks are only down around 5% to 6% from their all-time highs. Put another way, it's taken just about all the negative sentiment the market could muster just to get Wall Street to go through what most people consider a minor correction.\nYes, it's always possible that the declines of the market in September could prove to be just the beginning of a more extensive downward move in the months to come. But long-term investors should always be prepared for market downturns -- while remaining confident in the eventual recovery that has followed those downturns without fail.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":355,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865597004,"gmtCreate":1632997610334,"gmtModify":1632997610514,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hihi","listText":"hihi","text":"hihi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865597004","repostId":"1104172212","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":222,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866264272,"gmtCreate":1632785910696,"gmtModify":1632797597745,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866264272","repostId":"2170627617","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":750,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866326079,"gmtCreate":1632737306491,"gmtModify":1632798206773,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866326079","repostId":"2170488786","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2170488786","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632685409,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2170488786?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-27 03:43","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Debt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2170488786","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race t","content":"<p>Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race to pass legislation to avoid a government shutdown by the end of the month and debate raising the debt ceiling. Elsewhere, economic data on consumer confidence is also due for release.</p>\n<p>The Senate is expected to vote Monday on a procedural motion over the legislation passed by the House of Representatives last week. That bill included a plan to temporarily fund the government through early December, and came alongside a measure to raise the government debt ceiling through December 2022.</p>\n<p>The latter point has been an area of contention for Senate Republicans, who are only narrowly outnumbered by Democratic lawmakers in both chambers and who have threatened to block the bill in its current form.</p>\n<p>Senate Republicans including Minority Leader Mitch McConnell have suggested that Democratic lawmakers should use the budget reconciliation process to raise the debt ceiling without Republican support. McConnell has, however, supported a short-term government funding bill that excludes a debt ceiling suspension.</p>\n<p>\"If they [the Democrats] want to tax, borrow and spend historic sums of money without our input, they’ll have to raise the debt limit without our help. This is the reality,” McConnell said on the Senate floor last week.</p>\n<p>Democratic lawmakers, for their part, have called for the move to raise the debt limit be bipartisan to prevent the government from defaulting on its obligations. The Treasury Department has warned that the U.S. could default on its debts as soon as October in absence of congressional action.</p>\n<p>\"The U.S. has always paid its bills on time, but the overwhelming consensus among economists and Treasury officials of both parties is that failing to raise the debt limit would produce widespread economic catastrophe,\" Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen wrote in an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal last week.</p>\n<p>Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell also warned of the consequences of a failure to raise the debt ceiling during his post-FOMC meeting press conference last week.</p>\n<p>\"It's just very important that the debt ceiling be raised in a timely fashion so that the United States can pay its bills when and as they come due. That's a critically important thing,\" he said. \"The failure to do that is something that could result in severe reactions, severe damage to the economy and to the financial markets ... no <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> should assume that the Fed or anyone else can protect the markets or the economy in the event of a failure.\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6a59b9c059b09d9267c8298e0b837\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">A dead Elm tree is removed on the West Front of the Capitol in Washington, Friday, Sept. 10, 2021. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)ASSOCIATED PRESS</p>\n<p>Amid the standoff, the Office of Management and Budget began warning federal agencies last week to prepare for a potential government shutdown. The reminder served as a standard warning one week out from Congress's deadline to reach an agreement to at least temporarily continue funding the government.</p>\n<p>Though leaders of both political parties have agreed that a continuing resolution to avoid the shutdown at the end of the month is needed, the ongoing tension over raising the debt limit has served as a potential roadblock in this effort.</p>\n<p>\"We still expect Congress to avert a partial government shutdown at the start of October. Republicans won’t vote for the current continuing resolution being touted by the Democratic leadership, which also includes a new debt ceiling suspension,\" wrote Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist for Capital Economics, in a note Friday. \"But we expect a Plan B to emerge next week with the latter stripped out, which Republicans will support.\"</p>\n<p>\"The bigger issue is that there doesn’t appear to be an easy path to raising the debt ceiling by mid-October, which is when estimates suggest the Treasury’s will exhaust the 'extraordinary measures it is currently using to keep the lights on,\" he added.</p>\n<p>Investors have also grown jittery as the debates wore on, with stocks posting their worst day since May last week amid a confluence of concerns that also included debt concerns with China Evergrande.</p>\n<p>Many strategists, however, have suggested market participants need not be overly concerned about the impacts of a potential government shutdown.</p>\n<p>\"Historically, we've seen that government shutdowns tend to be short-lived,\" Jordan Jackson, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, told Yahoo Finance Live on Friday. \"We also know that for those non-essential federal employees, they do get furlough pay as well.\"</p>\n<p>\"If it lasts more than 30 days, it's certainly going to have a bigger impact on the economy. But generally speaking, these shutdowns tend to be short-lived and markets — while they may correct in the short-term — they do sort of continue to grind higher,\" he added. \"I think it's certainly a risk in terms of a short-term mini correction there. But again, with all the liquidity out there, I think any sort of blip in the markets will be short-lived.\"</p>\n<p>Historical equity performance during and immediately following a government shutdown has also tended to point to a muted market impact.</p>\n<p>\"In the 14 government shutdowns since 1980, the S&amp;P 500 generated median returns of -0.1% on the dates of budget authority expiration, 0.1% during the shutdown periods, and 0.3% on the dates of resolution,\" David Kostin, Goldman Sachs chief equity strategist, wrote in a note published on Sept. 21.</p>\n<p>\"One notable exception was the most recent federal shutdown in December 2018, when the S&amp;P 500 fell 2% on the spending authority expiration date,\" he added. \"However, this decline was likely driven primarily by investor concerns about Fed tightening.\"</p>\n<p>Kostin also noted that the typical government shutdown since 1980 has only lasted three days before ultimately being resolved. More recent shutdowns have lasted several times longer, however, with the duration of the four most recent federal shutdowns averaging 18 days, Kostin said.</p>\n<h3>Consumer confidence</h3>\n<p>On the economic data front, one of the most closely watched new pieces of data will be on consumer confidence.</p>\n<p>The Conference Board is set to release its September consumer confidence index Tuesday morning. Economists expect the index to tick up only slightly compared to August, with consumers' views on the coronavirus and rising prices stabilizing near the lowest level since February.</p>\n<p>Specifically, consensus economists are looking for the index to rise to 115.0 in September after dropping to 113.8 in August. During the last monthly report, consumers' assessments of current business and labor market conditions both eased, and expectations for the next six months out also deteriorated.</p>\n<p>\"Consumer confidence fell to a six-month low in August, due to concerns around the Delta variant and inflation,\" wrote Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer in a note on Friday. \"We think these concerns largely remained in September.\"</p>\n<p>At the time, Lynn Franco, senior director of economic indicators at the Conference Board, said it was still \"too soon to conclude\" whether decline in consumer confidence would \"result in consumers significantly curtailing their spending in the months ahead.\"</p>\n<p>The latest spending data has also been equivocal. The Commerce Department's latest report showed retail sales rose 0.7% in August after declining in July. However, the categories posting the biggest declines were areas like e-commerce shops and grocery stores, suggesting consumer behavior was shifting back toward stay-in-place trends and away from in-person events like restaurant dining amid the latest wave of the coronavirus.</p>\n<h3>Economic calendar</h3>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b>Durable goods orders, August preliminary (0.6% expected, -0.1% in July); Durable goods excluding transportation, August preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.8% in July); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, August preliminary (0.3% expected, 0.1% in July); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, August preliminary (0.9% in July); Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index, September (11.0 expected, 9.0 in July)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>Advance goods trade balance, August (-$87.0 billion expected, -$86.4 billion in July); Wholesale inventories, month-over-month, August preliminary (0.6% in July); Retail inventories, month-over-month, August (0.4% in July); FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, July (1.5% expected, 1.6% in July); S&amp;P <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLGX\">CoreLogic</a> Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, July (1.62% expected, 1.77% in June); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, July (20.1% expected, 19.08% in June); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, September (114.2 expected, 113.8 in August); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, September (9 in August)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended September 24 (4.9% during prior month); Pending home sales, month-over-month, August (1.0% expected, -1.8% in July)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>Initial jobless claims, week ended September 25 (320,000 expected, 351,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended September 18 (2.845 million during prior week); GDP annualized, quarter-over-quarter, second-quarter third estimate (6.7% expected, 6.6% in prior estimate); Personal consumption, second-quarter third estimate (11.9% in prior estimate); Core personal consumption expenditures, second quarter third estimate (6.1% in prior estimate); MNI Chicago PMI, September (65.0 expected, 66.8 in August)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b>Personal income, August (0.2% expected, 1.1% in July); Personal spending, August (0.7% expected, 0.3% in July); Personal consumption expenditures core deflator, month-over-over, August (0.2% expected, 0.3% in July); Personal consumption expenditures core deflator, year-over-year, August (3.6% expected, 3.6% in July); <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a> manufacturing PMI, September final (60.5 in prior estimate); Construction spending, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.3% in July); University of Michigan sentiment, September final (71.0 expected, 71.0 in prior print); ISM Manufacturing, September (59.5 expected, 59.9 in August)</p></li>\n</ul>\n<h3>Earnings calendar</h3>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b>Aurora Cannabis (ACB) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>Micron Technology (MU) after market close.</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>CarMax (KMX), Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) before market open; Jefferies (JEF) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for releas</i></p></li>\n</ul>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Debt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDebt ceiling debates in Congress, consumer confidence: What to know this week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-27 03:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race to pass legislation to avoid a government shutdown by the end of the month and debate raising the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7e749e88d2580d292ffc6ae18d03b65","relate_stocks":{"SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/debt-ceiling-debates-in-congress-consumer-confidence-what-to-know-this-week-194329712.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2170488786","content_text":"Investors this week are set to closely monitor developments in Washington, D.C., as lawmakers race to pass legislation to avoid a government shutdown by the end of the month and debate raising the debt ceiling. Elsewhere, economic data on consumer confidence is also due for release.\nThe Senate is expected to vote Monday on a procedural motion over the legislation passed by the House of Representatives last week. That bill included a plan to temporarily fund the government through early December, and came alongside a measure to raise the government debt ceiling through December 2022.\nThe latter point has been an area of contention for Senate Republicans, who are only narrowly outnumbered by Democratic lawmakers in both chambers and who have threatened to block the bill in its current form.\nSenate Republicans including Minority Leader Mitch McConnell have suggested that Democratic lawmakers should use the budget reconciliation process to raise the debt ceiling without Republican support. McConnell has, however, supported a short-term government funding bill that excludes a debt ceiling suspension.\n\"If they [the Democrats] want to tax, borrow and spend historic sums of money without our input, they’ll have to raise the debt limit without our help. This is the reality,” McConnell said on the Senate floor last week.\nDemocratic lawmakers, for their part, have called for the move to raise the debt limit be bipartisan to prevent the government from defaulting on its obligations. The Treasury Department has warned that the U.S. could default on its debts as soon as October in absence of congressional action.\n\"The U.S. has always paid its bills on time, but the overwhelming consensus among economists and Treasury officials of both parties is that failing to raise the debt limit would produce widespread economic catastrophe,\" Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen wrote in an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal last week.\nFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell also warned of the consequences of a failure to raise the debt ceiling during his post-FOMC meeting press conference last week.\n\"It's just very important that the debt ceiling be raised in a timely fashion so that the United States can pay its bills when and as they come due. That's a critically important thing,\" he said. \"The failure to do that is something that could result in severe reactions, severe damage to the economy and to the financial markets ... no one should assume that the Fed or anyone else can protect the markets or the economy in the event of a failure.\"\nA dead Elm tree is removed on the West Front of the Capitol in Washington, Friday, Sept. 10, 2021. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)ASSOCIATED PRESS\nAmid the standoff, the Office of Management and Budget began warning federal agencies last week to prepare for a potential government shutdown. The reminder served as a standard warning one week out from Congress's deadline to reach an agreement to at least temporarily continue funding the government.\nThough leaders of both political parties have agreed that a continuing resolution to avoid the shutdown at the end of the month is needed, the ongoing tension over raising the debt limit has served as a potential roadblock in this effort.\n\"We still expect Congress to avert a partial government shutdown at the start of October. Republicans won’t vote for the current continuing resolution being touted by the Democratic leadership, which also includes a new debt ceiling suspension,\" wrote Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist for Capital Economics, in a note Friday. \"But we expect a Plan B to emerge next week with the latter stripped out, which Republicans will support.\"\n\"The bigger issue is that there doesn’t appear to be an easy path to raising the debt ceiling by mid-October, which is when estimates suggest the Treasury’s will exhaust the 'extraordinary measures it is currently using to keep the lights on,\" he added.\nInvestors have also grown jittery as the debates wore on, with stocks posting their worst day since May last week amid a confluence of concerns that also included debt concerns with China Evergrande.\nMany strategists, however, have suggested market participants need not be overly concerned about the impacts of a potential government shutdown.\n\"Historically, we've seen that government shutdowns tend to be short-lived,\" Jordan Jackson, JPMorgan Asset Management global market strategist, told Yahoo Finance Live on Friday. \"We also know that for those non-essential federal employees, they do get furlough pay as well.\"\n\"If it lasts more than 30 days, it's certainly going to have a bigger impact on the economy. But generally speaking, these shutdowns tend to be short-lived and markets — while they may correct in the short-term — they do sort of continue to grind higher,\" he added. \"I think it's certainly a risk in terms of a short-term mini correction there. But again, with all the liquidity out there, I think any sort of blip in the markets will be short-lived.\"\nHistorical equity performance during and immediately following a government shutdown has also tended to point to a muted market impact.\n\"In the 14 government shutdowns since 1980, the S&P 500 generated median returns of -0.1% on the dates of budget authority expiration, 0.1% during the shutdown periods, and 0.3% on the dates of resolution,\" David Kostin, Goldman Sachs chief equity strategist, wrote in a note published on Sept. 21.\n\"One notable exception was the most recent federal shutdown in December 2018, when the S&P 500 fell 2% on the spending authority expiration date,\" he added. \"However, this decline was likely driven primarily by investor concerns about Fed tightening.\"\nKostin also noted that the typical government shutdown since 1980 has only lasted three days before ultimately being resolved. More recent shutdowns have lasted several times longer, however, with the duration of the four most recent federal shutdowns averaging 18 days, Kostin said.\nConsumer confidence\nOn the economic data front, one of the most closely watched new pieces of data will be on consumer confidence.\nThe Conference Board is set to release its September consumer confidence index Tuesday morning. Economists expect the index to tick up only slightly compared to August, with consumers' views on the coronavirus and rising prices stabilizing near the lowest level since February.\nSpecifically, consensus economists are looking for the index to rise to 115.0 in September after dropping to 113.8 in August. During the last monthly report, consumers' assessments of current business and labor market conditions both eased, and expectations for the next six months out also deteriorated.\n\"Consumer confidence fell to a six-month low in August, due to concerns around the Delta variant and inflation,\" wrote Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer in a note on Friday. \"We think these concerns largely remained in September.\"\nAt the time, Lynn Franco, senior director of economic indicators at the Conference Board, said it was still \"too soon to conclude\" whether decline in consumer confidence would \"result in consumers significantly curtailing their spending in the months ahead.\"\nThe latest spending data has also been equivocal. The Commerce Department's latest report showed retail sales rose 0.7% in August after declining in July. However, the categories posting the biggest declines were areas like e-commerce shops and grocery stores, suggesting consumer behavior was shifting back toward stay-in-place trends and away from in-person events like restaurant dining amid the latest wave of the coronavirus.\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Durable goods orders, August preliminary (0.6% expected, -0.1% in July); Durable goods excluding transportation, August preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.8% in July); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, August preliminary (0.3% expected, 0.1% in July); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, August preliminary (0.9% in July); Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index, September (11.0 expected, 9.0 in July)\nTuesday: Advance goods trade balance, August (-$87.0 billion expected, -$86.4 billion in July); Wholesale inventories, month-over-month, August preliminary (0.6% in July); Retail inventories, month-over-month, August (0.4% in July); FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, July (1.5% expected, 1.6% in July); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, July (1.62% expected, 1.77% in June); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, July (20.1% expected, 19.08% in June); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, September (114.2 expected, 113.8 in August); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, September (9 in August)\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended September 24 (4.9% during prior month); Pending home sales, month-over-month, August (1.0% expected, -1.8% in July)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended September 25 (320,000 expected, 351,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended September 18 (2.845 million during prior week); GDP annualized, quarter-over-quarter, second-quarter third estimate (6.7% expected, 6.6% in prior estimate); Personal consumption, second-quarter third estimate (11.9% in prior estimate); Core personal consumption expenditures, second quarter third estimate (6.1% in prior estimate); MNI Chicago PMI, September (65.0 expected, 66.8 in August)\nFriday: Personal income, August (0.2% expected, 1.1% in July); Personal spending, August (0.7% expected, 0.3% in July); Personal consumption expenditures core deflator, month-over-over, August (0.2% expected, 0.3% in July); Personal consumption expenditures core deflator, year-over-year, August (3.6% expected, 3.6% in July); Markit manufacturing PMI, September final (60.5 in prior estimate); Construction spending, month-over-month, August (0.3% expected, 0.3% in July); University of Michigan sentiment, September final (71.0 expected, 71.0 in prior print); ISM Manufacturing, September (59.5 expected, 59.9 in August)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: Aurora Cannabis (ACB) after market close\nTuesday: Micron Technology (MU) after market close.\nWednesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nThursday: CarMax (KMX), Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) before market open; Jefferies (JEF) after market close\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for releas","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":361,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":868840027,"gmtCreate":1632631968469,"gmtModify":1632648466780,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868840027","repostId":"2170146216","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":138,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":868857552,"gmtCreate":1632631960976,"gmtModify":1632648475783,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hello","listText":"hello","text":"hello","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868857552","repostId":"2170146216","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":258,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861542310,"gmtCreate":1632527751730,"gmtModify":1632712571436,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861542310","repostId":"2170361942","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":172,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861542006,"gmtCreate":1632527734805,"gmtModify":1632712574437,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hello","listText":"hello","text":"hello","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861542006","repostId":"2170361942","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861234162,"gmtCreate":1632496922556,"gmtModify":1632715918023,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861234162","repostId":"1114004721","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114004721","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632496493,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114004721?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-24 23:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"IPO opening reminder: Clearwater Analytics opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114004721","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 24) Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc. opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO pric","content":"<p>(Sept 24)&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CWAN\">Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc.</a></b> opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/076505c7b70dbe2ad6cfcae8c44f52cb\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Company &amp; Technology</b></p>\n<p>Boise, Idaho-based Clearwater was founded to develop a SaaS platform to simplify investment accounting and analysis for asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations.</p>\n<p>Management is headed by Chief Executive Officer Sandeep Sahai, who has been with the firm since September 2016 and was previously CEO of Solmark, an investment partnership.</p>\n<p>The company’s primary offerings include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>Investment accounting and reporting</p></li>\n <li><p>Performance measurement</p></li>\n <li><p>Compliance monitoring</p></li>\n <li><p>Risk analysis</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Clearwater has received at least $421 million in notes payable in equity investment from investors including Welsh Carson, Permira, Warburg Pincus and Dragoneer.</p>\n<p><b>Customer Acquisition</b></p>\n<p>The firm pursues client relationships with asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations via a direct sales and marketing force that is focused on the United States.</p>\n<p>CWAN also has international clients and will seek to expand its international presence post-IPO.</p>\n<p>Clearwater handles data on over $5.6 trillion in assets between more than 1,000 clients.</p>\n<p>Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Percentage</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>13.6%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>10.9%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>11.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>The Sales and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Sales and Marketing spend, dropped to 1.4x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Multiple</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.4</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.6</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>The Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.</p>\n<p>CWAN’s most recent calculation was 41% during the six months ended June 30, 2021, so the firm has performed well in this regard, per the table below:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Rule of 40</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Calculation</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Recent Rev. Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>24%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EBITDA %</p></td>\n   <td><p>17%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Total</p></td>\n   <td><p>41%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>The firm’s dollar-based net revenue retention rate for June 30, 2021 was 109%, a reasonably good result.</p>\n<p>The dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.</p>\n<p><b>Market &amp; Competition</b></p>\n<p>According to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Market Primes, the global investment management software market was an estimated $3 billion in 2019 and is forecast to reach nearly $4.5 billion by 2025.</p>\n<p>This represents a forecast CAGR of 10.2% from 2019 to 2025.</p>\n<p>The main drivers for this expected growth are a desire by users to automate repetitive tasks so they can focus on maximizing portfolio performance and creating more sophisticated approaches.</p>\n<p>Also, assessing risks and exposures and being able to efficiently report and share the information with stakeholders will drive demand for more capable solutions.</p>\n<p>Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>SS&amp;C</p></li>\n <li><p>State Street</p></li>\n <li><p>SAP</p></li>\n <li><p>BNY Mellon (Eagle)</p></li>\n <li><p>Simcorp</p></li>\n <li><p>BlackRock</p></li>\n <li><p>FIS</p></li>\n <li><p>Northern Trust</p></li>\n <li><p>Others</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Financial Performance</b></p>\n<p>Clearwater’s recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>Strong topline revenue growth</p></li>\n <li><p>Increasing gross profit and gross margin</p></li>\n <li><p>A swing to operating profit and net profit</p></li>\n <li><p>Uneven cash used in operations</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm’s registration statement:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Total Revenue</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Total Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>% Variance vs. Prior</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 117,770,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>23.8%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 203,222,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>21.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 168,001,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Gross Profit (Loss)</p></td>\n   <td><p>% Variance vs. Prior</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 87,872,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>28.8%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 149,959,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>24.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 120,856,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Gross Margin</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Gross Margin</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>74.61%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>73.79%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>71.94%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Operating Profit (Loss)</p></td>\n   <td><p>Operating Margin</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 20,544,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>17.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (20,418,000)</p></td>\n   <td><p>-10.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 25,697,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.3%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Net Income (Loss)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 3,200,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (44,230,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 7,732,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Cash Flow From Operations</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (16,352,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (6,486,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (230,029,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>As of June 30, 2021, Clearwater had $41 million in cash and $450 million in total liabilities.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was negative ($38 million).</p>\n<p>Valuation Metrics</p>\n<p>Below is a table of the firm’s relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Amount</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Market Capitalization at IPO</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3,472,178,130</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Enterprise Value</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3,470,109,130</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Price / Sales</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.37</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.36</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / EBITDA</p></td>\n   <td><p>-141.93</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Earnings Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>-$0.23</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p></td>\n   <td><p>12.96%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>$15.00</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Net Free Cash Flow</p></td>\n   <td><p>-$38,024,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>-1.10%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Revenue Growth Rate</p></td>\n   <td><p>23.83%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><b>Commentary</b></p>\n<p>CWAN intends to go public to pay down debt and will have a net of $55 million in debt post-IPO.</p>\n<p>The firm’s financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth and a rebound to operating profit and net income after negative results in 2020.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a decidedly unimpressive negative ($38 million).</p>\n<p>Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenue has increased; its Sales and Marketing efficiency rate dropped slightly to 1.4x in the most recent six-month period.</p>\n<p>CWAN's dollar-based net retention rate was 109% for June 30, 2021, a positive result and its Rule of 40 performance was good as well.</p>\n<p>The market opportunity for selling investment management software is large and expected to grow substantially in the years ahead, but the firm has extensive competition.</p>\n<p>Goldman Sachs is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 40.5% since their IPO. This is a middle-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p>\n<p>The primary risk to the company’s outlook is the degree of competition and specialization present in various submarkets in which it competes, as well as the ability for some larger prospects to develop solutions in-house.</p>\n<p>As for valuation, compared to competitor Simcorp, the CWAN IPO is much more highly priced on a revenue multiple basis. In my view, this is justified as the firm is growing revenue at a significantly higher rate of growth.</p>\n<p>After a difficult period during 2020 where the firm produced operating losses, 2021 has seen a return to operating and net profits with impressive growth as well.</p>\n<p>Given CWAN’s growth trajectory and the investment management software industry’s strong growth potential in the years ahead, the IPO is worth a close look.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>IPO opening reminder: Clearwater Analytics opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIPO opening reminder: Clearwater Analytics opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-24 23:14</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Sept 24)&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CWAN\">Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc.</a></b> opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/076505c7b70dbe2ad6cfcae8c44f52cb\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Company &amp; Technology</b></p>\n<p>Boise, Idaho-based Clearwater was founded to develop a SaaS platform to simplify investment accounting and analysis for asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations.</p>\n<p>Management is headed by Chief Executive Officer Sandeep Sahai, who has been with the firm since September 2016 and was previously CEO of Solmark, an investment partnership.</p>\n<p>The company’s primary offerings include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>Investment accounting and reporting</p></li>\n <li><p>Performance measurement</p></li>\n <li><p>Compliance monitoring</p></li>\n <li><p>Risk analysis</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Clearwater has received at least $421 million in notes payable in equity investment from investors including Welsh Carson, Permira, Warburg Pincus and Dragoneer.</p>\n<p><b>Customer Acquisition</b></p>\n<p>The firm pursues client relationships with asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations via a direct sales and marketing force that is focused on the United States.</p>\n<p>CWAN also has international clients and will seek to expand its international presence post-IPO.</p>\n<p>Clearwater handles data on over $5.6 trillion in assets between more than 1,000 clients.</p>\n<p>Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Percentage</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>13.6%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>10.9%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>11.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>The Sales and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Sales and Marketing spend, dropped to 1.4x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Multiple</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.4</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.6</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>The Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.</p>\n<p>CWAN’s most recent calculation was 41% during the six months ended June 30, 2021, so the firm has performed well in this regard, per the table below:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Rule of 40</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Calculation</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Recent Rev. Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>24%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EBITDA %</p></td>\n   <td><p>17%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Total</p></td>\n   <td><p>41%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>The firm’s dollar-based net revenue retention rate for June 30, 2021 was 109%, a reasonably good result.</p>\n<p>The dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.</p>\n<p><b>Market &amp; Competition</b></p>\n<p>According to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Market Primes, the global investment management software market was an estimated $3 billion in 2019 and is forecast to reach nearly $4.5 billion by 2025.</p>\n<p>This represents a forecast CAGR of 10.2% from 2019 to 2025.</p>\n<p>The main drivers for this expected growth are a desire by users to automate repetitive tasks so they can focus on maximizing portfolio performance and creating more sophisticated approaches.</p>\n<p>Also, assessing risks and exposures and being able to efficiently report and share the information with stakeholders will drive demand for more capable solutions.</p>\n<p>Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>SS&amp;C</p></li>\n <li><p>State Street</p></li>\n <li><p>SAP</p></li>\n <li><p>BNY Mellon (Eagle)</p></li>\n <li><p>Simcorp</p></li>\n <li><p>BlackRock</p></li>\n <li><p>FIS</p></li>\n <li><p>Northern Trust</p></li>\n <li><p>Others</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Financial Performance</b></p>\n<p>Clearwater’s recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>Strong topline revenue growth</p></li>\n <li><p>Increasing gross profit and gross margin</p></li>\n <li><p>A swing to operating profit and net profit</p></li>\n <li><p>Uneven cash used in operations</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm’s registration statement:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Total Revenue</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Total Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>% Variance vs. Prior</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 117,770,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>23.8%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 203,222,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>21.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 168,001,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Gross Profit (Loss)</p></td>\n   <td><p>% Variance vs. Prior</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 87,872,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>28.8%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 149,959,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>24.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 120,856,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Gross Margin</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Gross Margin</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>74.61%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>73.79%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>71.94%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Operating Profit (Loss)</p></td>\n   <td><p>Operating Margin</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 20,544,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>17.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (20,418,000)</p></td>\n   <td><p>-10.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 25,697,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.3%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Net Income (Loss)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 3,200,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (44,230,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 7,732,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Cash Flow From Operations</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (16,352,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (6,486,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (230,029,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>As of June 30, 2021, Clearwater had $41 million in cash and $450 million in total liabilities.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was negative ($38 million).</p>\n<p>Valuation Metrics</p>\n<p>Below is a table of the firm’s relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Amount</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Market Capitalization at IPO</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3,472,178,130</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Enterprise Value</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3,470,109,130</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Price / Sales</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.37</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.36</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / EBITDA</p></td>\n   <td><p>-141.93</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Earnings Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>-$0.23</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p></td>\n   <td><p>12.96%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>$15.00</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Net Free Cash Flow</p></td>\n   <td><p>-$38,024,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>-1.10%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Revenue Growth Rate</p></td>\n   <td><p>23.83%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><b>Commentary</b></p>\n<p>CWAN intends to go public to pay down debt and will have a net of $55 million in debt post-IPO.</p>\n<p>The firm’s financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth and a rebound to operating profit and net income after negative results in 2020.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a decidedly unimpressive negative ($38 million).</p>\n<p>Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenue has increased; its Sales and Marketing efficiency rate dropped slightly to 1.4x in the most recent six-month period.</p>\n<p>CWAN's dollar-based net retention rate was 109% for June 30, 2021, a positive result and its Rule of 40 performance was good as well.</p>\n<p>The market opportunity for selling investment management software is large and expected to grow substantially in the years ahead, but the firm has extensive competition.</p>\n<p>Goldman Sachs is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 40.5% since their IPO. This is a middle-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p>\n<p>The primary risk to the company’s outlook is the degree of competition and specialization present in various submarkets in which it competes, as well as the ability for some larger prospects to develop solutions in-house.</p>\n<p>As for valuation, compared to competitor Simcorp, the CWAN IPO is much more highly priced on a revenue multiple basis. In my view, this is justified as the firm is growing revenue at a significantly higher rate of growth.</p>\n<p>After a difficult period during 2020 where the firm produced operating losses, 2021 has seen a return to operating and net profits with impressive growth as well.</p>\n<p>Given CWAN’s growth trajectory and the investment management software industry’s strong growth potential in the years ahead, the IPO is worth a close look.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CWAN":"Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114004721","content_text":"(Sept 24) Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc. opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price.\n\nCompany & Technology\nBoise, Idaho-based Clearwater was founded to develop a SaaS platform to simplify investment accounting and analysis for asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations.\nManagement is headed by Chief Executive Officer Sandeep Sahai, who has been with the firm since September 2016 and was previously CEO of Solmark, an investment partnership.\nThe company’s primary offerings include:\n\nInvestment accounting and reporting\nPerformance measurement\nCompliance monitoring\nRisk analysis\n\nClearwater has received at least $421 million in notes payable in equity investment from investors including Welsh Carson, Permira, Warburg Pincus and Dragoneer.\nCustomer Acquisition\nThe firm pursues client relationships with asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations via a direct sales and marketing force that is focused on the United States.\nCWAN also has international clients and will seek to expand its international presence post-IPO.\nClearwater handles data on over $5.6 trillion in assets between more than 1,000 clients.\nSales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:\n\n\n\n\nSales and Marketing\nExpenses vs. Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nPercentage\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n13.6%\n\n\n2020\n10.9%\n\n\n2019\n11.4%\n\n\n\nThe Sales and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Sales and Marketing spend, dropped to 1.4x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:\n\n\n\n\nSales and Marketing\nEfficiency Rate\n\n\nPeriod\nMultiple\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n1.4\n\n\n2020\n1.6\n\n\n\nThe Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.\nCWAN’s most recent calculation was 41% during the six months ended June 30, 2021, so the firm has performed well in this regard, per the table below:\n\n\n\n\nRule of 40\nCalculation\n\n\nRecent Rev. Growth %\n24%\n\n\nEBITDA %\n17%\n\n\nTotal\n41%\n\n\n\nThe firm’s dollar-based net revenue retention rate for June 30, 2021 was 109%, a reasonably good result.\nThe dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.\nMarket & Competition\nAccording to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Market Primes, the global investment management software market was an estimated $3 billion in 2019 and is forecast to reach nearly $4.5 billion by 2025.\nThis represents a forecast CAGR of 10.2% from 2019 to 2025.\nThe main drivers for this expected growth are a desire by users to automate repetitive tasks so they can focus on maximizing portfolio performance and creating more sophisticated approaches.\nAlso, assessing risks and exposures and being able to efficiently report and share the information with stakeholders will drive demand for more capable solutions.\nMajor competitive or other industry participants include:\n\nSS&C\nState Street\nSAP\nBNY Mellon (Eagle)\nSimcorp\nBlackRock\nFIS\nNorthern Trust\nOthers\n\nFinancial Performance\nClearwater’s recent financial results can be summarized as follows:\n\nStrong topline revenue growth\nIncreasing gross profit and gross margin\nA swing to operating profit and net profit\nUneven cash used in operations\n\nBelow are relevant financial results derived from the firm’s registration statement:\n\n\n\n\nTotal Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nTotal Revenue\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 117,770,000\n23.8%\n\n\n2020\n$ 203,222,000\n21.0%\n\n\n2019\n$ 168,001,000\n\n\n\nGross Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Profit (Loss)\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 87,872,000\n28.8%\n\n\n2020\n$ 149,959,000\n24.1%\n\n\n2019\n$ 120,856,000\n\n\n\nGross Margin\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n74.61%\n\n\n2020\n73.79%\n\n\n2019\n71.94%\n\n\n\nOperating Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nOperating Profit (Loss)\nOperating Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 20,544,000\n17.4%\n\n\n2020\n$ (20,418,000)\n-10.0%\n\n\n2019\n$ 25,697,000\n15.3%\n\n\n\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 3,200,000\n\n\n2020\n$ (44,230,000)\n\n\n2019\n$ 7,732,000\n\n\n\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nPeriod\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ (16,352,000)\n\n\n2020\n$ (6,486,000)\n\n\n2019\n$ (230,029,000)\n\n\n\nAs of June 30, 2021, Clearwater had $41 million in cash and $450 million in total liabilities.\nFree cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was negative ($38 million).\nValuation Metrics\nBelow is a table of the firm’s relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:\n\n\n\n\nMeasure [TTM]\nAmount\n\n\nMarket Capitalization at IPO\n$3,472,178,130\n\n\nEnterprise Value\n$3,470,109,130\n\n\nPrice / Sales\n15.37\n\n\nEV / Revenue\n15.36\n\n\nEV / EBITDA\n-141.93\n\n\nEarnings Per Share\n-$0.23\n\n\nFloat To Outstanding Shares Ratio\n12.96%\n\n\nProposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share\n$15.00\n\n\nNet Free Cash Flow\n-$38,024,000\n\n\nFree Cash Flow Yield Per Share\n-1.10%\n\n\nRevenue Growth Rate\n23.83%\n\n\n\nCommentary\nCWAN intends to go public to pay down debt and will have a net of $55 million in debt post-IPO.\nThe firm’s financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth and a rebound to operating profit and net income after negative results in 2020.\nFree cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a decidedly unimpressive negative ($38 million).\nSales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenue has increased; its Sales and Marketing efficiency rate dropped slightly to 1.4x in the most recent six-month period.\nCWAN's dollar-based net retention rate was 109% for June 30, 2021, a positive result and its Rule of 40 performance was good as well.\nThe market opportunity for selling investment management software is large and expected to grow substantially in the years ahead, but the firm has extensive competition.\nGoldman Sachs is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 40.5% since their IPO. This is a middle-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.\nThe primary risk to the company’s outlook is the degree of competition and specialization present in various submarkets in which it competes, as well as the ability for some larger prospects to develop solutions in-house.\nAs for valuation, compared to competitor Simcorp, the CWAN IPO is much more highly priced on a revenue multiple basis. In my view, this is justified as the firm is growing revenue at a significantly higher rate of growth.\nAfter a difficult period during 2020 where the firm produced operating losses, 2021 has seen a return to operating and net profits with impressive growth as well.\nGiven CWAN’s growth trajectory and the investment management software industry’s strong growth potential in the years ahead, the IPO is worth a close look.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":365,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":866264272,"gmtCreate":1632785910696,"gmtModify":1632797597745,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866264272","repostId":"2170627617","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":750,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":171918020,"gmtCreate":1626702126860,"gmtModify":1633924819004,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi&nbsp;","listText":"Hi&nbsp;","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171918020","repostId":"1111084715","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":286,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163679931,"gmtCreate":1623884833023,"gmtModify":1634026601408,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like and comments thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comments thank you&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comments thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163679931","repostId":"2144713861","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":828375402,"gmtCreate":1633854406404,"gmtModify":1633854406509,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828375402","repostId":"2174920514","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":842,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829357492,"gmtCreate":1633476875626,"gmtModify":1633476875796,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829357492","repostId":"1101968131","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":652,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":120201027,"gmtCreate":1624323455469,"gmtModify":1634007842411,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120201027","repostId":"1191349655","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":260,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152843274,"gmtCreate":1625283396998,"gmtModify":1633941759062,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152843274","repostId":"1122056398","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122056398","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625280707,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122056398?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-03 10:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 15 stocks -- June's biggest losers -- could become July's winners","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122056398","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"‘Short-term reversal strategy’ often does particularly well in July.\n\nJune’s worst stocks are good b","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>‘Short-term reversal strategy’ often does particularly well in July.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>June’s worst stocks are good bets to beat the U.S. market in in July.</p>\n<p>That’s because portfolio window-dressing at the end of June will have made that month’s poor performers fall even further than they would have otherwise. It’s likely that once this artificial selling pressure disappears, these stocks will bounce back.</p>\n<p>To be sure, window dressing is a powerful force on several occasions throughout the calendar, not just at this time of year. It should have the biggest impact at the end of December, since more investors look at their portfolio holdings in early January than in any other month of the year. Fund managers therefore go out of their way to sell their losers prior to Dec. 31 in order to avoid the embarrassment of having to report that they had ever owned them.</p>\n<p>Just the opposite is the case for stocks that managers buy for window dressing. These are the stocks that already have been performing well and which managers want to show in their end-of-quarter holdings report. Their cosmetic buying will cause these stocks to perform even better — which, in turn, results in them falling back to earth once the new quarter comes around.</p>\n<p>As expected, January is the month in which the previous month’s worst performers fare best relative to the previous month’s best performers — a pattern known as the “short term reversal effect.” This is illustrated in the chart below, which reflects monthly data back to 1926. July is the second-most powerful month for this pattern. That also makes sense because, after January, July is the next most common time for investors to read through their brokerage statements.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ac3a509127efd603df1d98de04774e7\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"418\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Also as expected, end-of-quarter window dressing is less of a factor at the end of the first- and third quarters. In fact, as you can see from the chart, the short-term reversal effect is even less dominant in April than in non-quarter-end months.</p>\n<p><b>How to play the short-term reversal in July</b></p>\n<p>As is often the case, an exchange-traded fund has been created to exploit the short-term reversal effect. Vesper US Large Cap Short-Term Reversal Strategy ETFUTRN,“seeks to capitalize on the tendency for stocks that have experienced sharp recent sell-offs to experience near-term rebounds.”</p>\n<p>Because the fund was only recently created, in September 2018, the ETF’s average monthly returns since then are only suggestive of the long-term pattern. But its average return in July has been better (4.1%) than in any other month.</p>\n<p>For anyone interested in the individual stocks that performed the worst in June, I constructed the following list. I started with the 50 stocks in the S&amp;P 1500 index with the worst June returns, and then eliminated ones not currently recommended by any of the top-performing newsletters monitored by my newsletter-performance-tracking service.</p>\n<p>The 15 stocks listed below survived this winnowing process. I note that, on average, these 15 lost 15.4% during the month of June, versus a gain of 2.3% for the S&amp;P 500SPX.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Adient PLC&nbsp;ADNT</li>\n <li>Alaska Air Group&nbsp;ALK</li>\n <li>Alliance Data Systems&nbsp;ADS</li>\n <li>America’s Car Mart&nbsp;CRMT</li>\n <li>ArcBest&nbsp;ARCB</li>\n <li>Goodyear Tire &amp; Rubber&nbsp;GT</li>\n <li>KB Home&nbsp;KBH</li>\n <li>LCI Industries&nbsp;LCII</li>\n <li>Mosaic &amp; Co&nbsp;.MOS</li>\n <li>Medifast&nbsp;MED</li>\n <li>Newmont Corp.&nbsp;NEM</li>\n <li>Organon &amp; Co.&nbsp;OGN</li>\n <li>Patrick Industries&nbsp;PATK</li>\n <li>Regions Financial&nbsp;RF</li>\n <li>Sabre&nbsp;SABR</li>\n</ul>\n<p>I also note that these stocks have an average price/book value ratio of 3.3, which is well-below the 4.7 ratio for the S&amp;P 500. Having a below-average price/book ratio is the hallmark of a value stock, and it makes sense that value stocks will be favored by the short-term reversal strategy. That’s because value stocks significantly underperformed growth stocks in June — but their fortunes may soon change.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 15 stocks -- June's biggest losers -- could become July's winners</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 15 stocks -- June's biggest losers -- could become July's winners\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-03 10:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-15-stocks-junes-biggest-losers-could-become-julys-winners-11625238769?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>‘Short-term reversal strategy’ often does particularly well in July.\n\nJune’s worst stocks are good bets to beat the U.S. market in in July.\nThat’s because portfolio window-dressing at the end of June ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-15-stocks-junes-biggest-losers-could-become-julys-winners-11625238769?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LCII":"LCI Industries","GT":"固特异轮胎橡胶公司","MOS":"美国美盛","NEM":"纽曼矿业","PATK":"Patrick Industries","CRMT":"美国汽车行","RF":"地区金融","SABR":"Sabre Corporation","ARCB":"ArcBest Corporation","ADNT":"Adient PLC","KBH":"KB Home","OGN":"Organon & Co","MED":"快验保","ALK":"阿拉斯加航空集团有限公司"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-15-stocks-junes-biggest-losers-could-become-julys-winners-11625238769?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122056398","content_text":"‘Short-term reversal strategy’ often does particularly well in July.\n\nJune’s worst stocks are good bets to beat the U.S. market in in July.\nThat’s because portfolio window-dressing at the end of June will have made that month’s poor performers fall even further than they would have otherwise. It’s likely that once this artificial selling pressure disappears, these stocks will bounce back.\nTo be sure, window dressing is a powerful force on several occasions throughout the calendar, not just at this time of year. It should have the biggest impact at the end of December, since more investors look at their portfolio holdings in early January than in any other month of the year. Fund managers therefore go out of their way to sell their losers prior to Dec. 31 in order to avoid the embarrassment of having to report that they had ever owned them.\nJust the opposite is the case for stocks that managers buy for window dressing. These are the stocks that already have been performing well and which managers want to show in their end-of-quarter holdings report. Their cosmetic buying will cause these stocks to perform even better — which, in turn, results in them falling back to earth once the new quarter comes around.\nAs expected, January is the month in which the previous month’s worst performers fare best relative to the previous month’s best performers — a pattern known as the “short term reversal effect.” This is illustrated in the chart below, which reflects monthly data back to 1926. July is the second-most powerful month for this pattern. That also makes sense because, after January, July is the next most common time for investors to read through their brokerage statements.\n\nAlso as expected, end-of-quarter window dressing is less of a factor at the end of the first- and third quarters. In fact, as you can see from the chart, the short-term reversal effect is even less dominant in April than in non-quarter-end months.\nHow to play the short-term reversal in July\nAs is often the case, an exchange-traded fund has been created to exploit the short-term reversal effect. Vesper US Large Cap Short-Term Reversal Strategy ETFUTRN,“seeks to capitalize on the tendency for stocks that have experienced sharp recent sell-offs to experience near-term rebounds.”\nBecause the fund was only recently created, in September 2018, the ETF’s average monthly returns since then are only suggestive of the long-term pattern. But its average return in July has been better (4.1%) than in any other month.\nFor anyone interested in the individual stocks that performed the worst in June, I constructed the following list. I started with the 50 stocks in the S&P 1500 index with the worst June returns, and then eliminated ones not currently recommended by any of the top-performing newsletters monitored by my newsletter-performance-tracking service.\nThe 15 stocks listed below survived this winnowing process. I note that, on average, these 15 lost 15.4% during the month of June, versus a gain of 2.3% for the S&P 500SPX.\n\nAdient PLC ADNT\nAlaska Air Group ALK\nAlliance Data Systems ADS\nAmerica’s Car Mart CRMT\nArcBest ARCB\nGoodyear Tire & Rubber GT\nKB Home KBH\nLCI Industries LCII\nMosaic & Co .MOS\nMedifast MED\nNewmont Corp. NEM\nOrganon & Co. OGN\nPatrick Industries PATK\nRegions Financial RF\nSabre SABR\n\nI also note that these stocks have an average price/book value ratio of 3.3, which is well-below the 4.7 ratio for the S&P 500. Having a below-average price/book ratio is the hallmark of a value stock, and it makes sense that value stocks will be favored by the short-term reversal strategy. That’s because value stocks significantly underperformed growth stocks in June — but their fortunes may soon change.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":218,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":821285436,"gmtCreate":1633747904398,"gmtModify":1633747904541,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hihi","listText":"hihi","text":"hihi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821285436","repostId":"1100565546","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100565546","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633734823,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100565546?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-09 07:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100565546","media":"Reuters","summary":" - The S&P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable op","content":"<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.</p>\n<p>Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.</p>\n<p>Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.</p>\n<p>Both companies were among the biggest drags on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p>\n<p>Real estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.</p>\n<p>Chevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&amp;P 500 the greatest lift.</p>\n<p>The Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.</p>\n<p>“I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”</p>\n<p>Futures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.</p>\n<p>The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.</p>\n<p>For the week, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.</p>\n<p>Third-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.</p>\n<p>Analysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:</p>\n<p>Analysts on average expect S&amp;P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.</p>\n<p>“I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”</p>\n<p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-09 07:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-lower-after-u-s-september-jobs-miss-idUSL1N2R42C9><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-lower-after-u-s-september-jobs-miss-idUSL1N2R42C9\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-lower-after-u-s-september-jobs-miss-idUSL1N2R42C9","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100565546","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.\nWall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.\nComcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.\nBoth companies were among the biggest drags on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nReal estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.\nThe S&P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.\nChevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&P 500 the greatest lift.\nThe Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.\n“I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”\nFutures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.\nThird-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.\nAnalysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:\nAnalysts on average expect S&P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.\n“I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":175267542,"gmtCreate":1627035674686,"gmtModify":1633768591926,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi&nbsp;","listText":"Hi&nbsp;","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175267542","repostId":"1164478982","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":194,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":828762007,"gmtCreate":1633947999951,"gmtModify":1633948000049,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828762007","repostId":"2174971913","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2174971913","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633907096,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2174971913?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-11 07:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Big banks kick off Q3 earnings season, CPI inflation data: What to know this week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2174971913","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Third-quarter earnings season ramps up in earnest this week with a packed schedule of major financia","content":"<p>Third-quarter earnings season ramps up in earnest this week with a packed schedule of major financial companies poised to report results. Key economic data will include the U.S. consumer price index for September, in the latest print on the state of inflation in the U.S. economy.</p>\n<p>Investors have been anxiously awaiting the start of the latest earnings season and bracing for a deceleration in corporate profit growth after a strong second quarter.</p>\n<p>S&amp;P 500 earnings are expected to grow by 27.6% in aggregate for the third quarter, slowing sharply from the second quarter's nearly 90% growth rate, according to data from FactSet. Still, last quarter's results had been aided by easy comparisons to the pandemic-depressed profit levels of mid-2020. And at nearly 30%, the expected earnings growth rate for the third quarter would still be the third-fastest pace for the index since 2010.</p>\n<p>Traders are especially looking to see that supply-side challenges and rising input and labor costs weighed heavily on corporate profits for the latest quarter. Nearly two dozen S&amp;P 500 companies — including major names like FedEx (FDX) and Nike (NKE) — have already reported third-quarter results, giving hints about the magnitude of the margin pressure being exerted by supply-side challenges.</p>\n<p>\"Supply chain disruptions and costs have been cited by the highest number companies in the index to date as a factor that either had a negative impact on earnings or revenues in Q3, or is expected to have a negative impact on earnings or revenues in future quarters,\" FactSet's John Butters wrote in a note on Friday. Of the 21 S&amp;P 500 component companies that have reported results so far, 15 of them have discussed negative impacts from these factors, Butters added.</p>\n<p>\"After supply chain disruptions, labor shortages and costs (14), COVID costs and impacts (11), and transportation and freight costs (11) have been discussed by the highest number of S&amp;P 500 companies,\" he added.</p>\n<p>For many companies, the specter of eventual interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve and the present inflationary environment has presented a slew of concerns over higher input and borrowing costs. But for the Big Banks, a higher interest-rate environment generally translates into stronger profits in their key lending businesses, allowing them to command higher rates on loans.</p>\n<p>The major U.S. banks including JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs (GS) and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> (MS) are each set to report quarterly results this week. Heading into these results, many analysts have said they expect to see net interest margins expand alongside the creep higher in benchmark interest rates this year. And as the economic recovery chugs along, banks may further release loan loss reserves they set aside to protect against potential defaults and nonpayments over the course of the pandemic.</p>\n<p>\"We expect 3Q21 EPS [earnings per share] results to be stronger on a year-over-year basis as loan loss reserves continue to be released albeit at a lower level than 1Q/2Q21 and the group posts positive revenue growth,\" RBC Capital Markets analyst Gerard Cassidy wrote in a note last week.</p>\n<p>\"Key themes that we expect to see in the results include: (1) more signs of net interest margin (NIM) stabilization; (2) growth in the consumer loan, residential mortgage and commercial real estate mortgage portfolios; and (3) positive outlook guidance on credit, loan growth (especially commercial &amp; industrial loans,) and NIM,\" he added. \"Lastly, commentary on core operating expenses should be listened to carefully to see if the banks are starting to feel non-incentive compensation wage pressure.\"</p>\n<p>According to Matt O'Connor, Deutsche Bank managing director of U.S. banks equity research, banks still have considerable room for loan growth with the economic recovery under way. Total industry loans are still 1% below pre-pandemic levels from the fourth quarter of 2019, he said, and are down by an even more significant mid-single-digits percentage when excluding loans made via the COVID-era Paycheck Protection Program.</p>\n<p>“We remain positive on bank stocks given a likely multi-year positive backdrop for credit, interest rates and loan growth,” O'Connor wrote in a note. “It’s hard to be too negative on the banks given a generally favorable macroeconomic outlook among most (despite some slower activity more recently) and the prospect for higher rates and faster loan growth, though was we’ve noted before the timing/magnitude of this remains unclear.”</p>\n<p>For the year-to-date, the financials sector remains the second-best performer in the S&amp;P 500 after the energy sector, climbing more than 30% so far in 2021.</p>\n<h2>Consumer price index</h2>\n<p>One of the most closely watched economic reports this week will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index, due for release on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>The report is expected to show consumer prices rose at roughly the same month-on-month and annual rate in September as in August, reinforcing the persistent inflationary pressures present even as the economic recovery rolls on.</p>\n<p>Consensus economists are looking for the consumer price index to jump by 0.3% in September over the previous month and by 5.3% over the prior year.</p>\n<p>At least some of that increase will likely come as a result of jumping energy prices, with crude oil and natural gas prices spiking amid elevated demand and tight supply over the past month. However, even excluding more volatile food and energy prices, the CPI likely still rose at a 4.0% annual pace.</p>\n<p>The so-called core measure of CPI has moderated from June's 4.5% annual clip, or the fastest rate since 1991, but has still held markedly higher compared to pre-pandemic standards. Some of the categories mostly closely associated with the economic reopening have seen prices pull back after initial surges in the spring and early summer — but not by enough to bring down the overall level of CPI.</p>\n<p>“The key takeaway from the upcoming consumer price index will be how broadly across categories we are seeing price increases,\" Greg McBride, chief financial analyst for Bankrate, said in an email on Friday. \"While used car prices, airfares, and lodging have all pulled back a bit, underscoring the idea that higher inflation might indeed be transitory, increases in others like shelter costs might just be heating up.”</p>\n<p>Other areas of the economy have also begun to show persistently heightened levels of inflation, with U.S. crude oil futures skyrocketing to their highest level since 2014 last week and commodity prices across the board moving higher. And last week's September jobs report also reflected a number of inflationary pressures in the labor market, with average hourly wages accelerating to the fastest year-over-year pace since February, and rise in the workweek taking place alongside a drop in labor force participation.</p>\n<p>\"We expect reopening effects to continue to fade, but the risk from supply constraints is likely to be longer-lasting than previously expected,\" High Frequency Economics' Rubeela Farooqi wrote in a note. \"That should provide ongoing support to goods prices, even as services inflation continues to revert to more typical trends on a normalization of activity.\"</p>\n<h2>Economic calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday:</b> <i>No notable reports scheduled for release </i></p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>NFIB Small Business Optimism, September (99.5 expected, 100.1 during prior month); JOLTS Job Openings, August (10.938 million expected, 10.934 million during prior month)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended Oct. 8 (-6.9% during prior week); Consumer price index, month-over-month, September (0.3% expected, 0.3% during prior month); CPI excluding food and energy, month-over-month, September (0.2% expected, 0.1% during prior month); CPI year-over-year, September (5.3% expected, 5.3% during prior month); CPI excluding food and energy, year-over-year, September (4.0% expected, 4.0% during prior month); Real Average Hourly earnings, year-over-year, September (-1.1% during prior month); Real Average Weekly earnings, year-over-year, September (-1.4% during prior month); FOMC meeting minutes</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>Initial jobless claims, week ended Oct. 9 (325,000 expected, 326,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Oct. 2 (2.696 million expected, 2.714 million during prior week); Producer price index, month-over-month, September (0.6% expected, 0.7% during prior month); PPI excluding food and energy, month-over-month, September (0.5% expected, 0.6% during prior month); PPI, year-over-year, September (8.7% expected, 8.3% during prior month); PPI excluding food and energy, year-over-year. September (7.1% expected, 6.7% during prior month)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b>Empire Manufacturing, October (25.0 expected, 34.3 during prior month); Retail sales, month-over-month, September (-0.2% expected, 0.7% during prior month); Retail sales excluding autos and gas, month-over-month, September (0.6% expected, 1.8% during prior month); Import price index, month-over-month, September (0.6% expected, -0.3% during prior month); University of Michigan sentiment, October preliminary (73.5 expected, 72.8 during prior month)</p></li>\n</ul>\n<h2>Earnings calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>JPMorgan Chase (JPM), BlackRock (BLK), First Republic Bank (FRC), Delta Air Lines (DAL) before market open</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>Bank of America (BAC), Domino's Pizza (DPZ), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> (WBA), The Progressive Corp. (PGR), UnitedHealth Group (UNH), US Bancorp (USB), Wells Fargo (WFC), Morgan Stanley (MS), Citigroup (C) before market open; Alcoa (AA) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b>PNC Financial Services (PNC), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TFC\">Truist Financial Corp</a>. (TFC), Coinbase Global (COIN), The Charles Schwab Corp. (SCHW), Goldman Sachs (GS) before market open</p></li>\n</ul>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Big banks kick off Q3 earnings season, CPI inflation data: What to know this week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBig banks kick off Q3 earnings season, CPI inflation data: What to know this week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-11 07:04 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/big-banks-kick-off-q-3-earnings-season-cpi-inflation-data-what-to-know-this-week-170456712.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Third-quarter earnings season ramps up in earnest this week with a packed schedule of major financial companies poised to report results. Key economic data will include the U.S. consumer price index ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/big-banks-kick-off-q-3-earnings-season-cpi-inflation-data-what-to-know-this-week-170456712.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WFC":"富国银行","SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust","GS":"高盛","JPM":"摩根大通","MS":"摩根士丹利","C":"花旗","BAC":"美国银行"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/big-banks-kick-off-q-3-earnings-season-cpi-inflation-data-what-to-know-this-week-170456712.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2174971913","content_text":"Third-quarter earnings season ramps up in earnest this week with a packed schedule of major financial companies poised to report results. Key economic data will include the U.S. consumer price index for September, in the latest print on the state of inflation in the U.S. economy.\nInvestors have been anxiously awaiting the start of the latest earnings season and bracing for a deceleration in corporate profit growth after a strong second quarter.\nS&P 500 earnings are expected to grow by 27.6% in aggregate for the third quarter, slowing sharply from the second quarter's nearly 90% growth rate, according to data from FactSet. Still, last quarter's results had been aided by easy comparisons to the pandemic-depressed profit levels of mid-2020. And at nearly 30%, the expected earnings growth rate for the third quarter would still be the third-fastest pace for the index since 2010.\nTraders are especially looking to see that supply-side challenges and rising input and labor costs weighed heavily on corporate profits for the latest quarter. Nearly two dozen S&P 500 companies — including major names like FedEx (FDX) and Nike (NKE) — have already reported third-quarter results, giving hints about the magnitude of the margin pressure being exerted by supply-side challenges.\n\"Supply chain disruptions and costs have been cited by the highest number companies in the index to date as a factor that either had a negative impact on earnings or revenues in Q3, or is expected to have a negative impact on earnings or revenues in future quarters,\" FactSet's John Butters wrote in a note on Friday. Of the 21 S&P 500 component companies that have reported results so far, 15 of them have discussed negative impacts from these factors, Butters added.\n\"After supply chain disruptions, labor shortages and costs (14), COVID costs and impacts (11), and transportation and freight costs (11) have been discussed by the highest number of S&P 500 companies,\" he added.\nFor many companies, the specter of eventual interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve and the present inflationary environment has presented a slew of concerns over higher input and borrowing costs. But for the Big Banks, a higher interest-rate environment generally translates into stronger profits in their key lending businesses, allowing them to command higher rates on loans.\nThe major U.S. banks including JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) are each set to report quarterly results this week. Heading into these results, many analysts have said they expect to see net interest margins expand alongside the creep higher in benchmark interest rates this year. And as the economic recovery chugs along, banks may further release loan loss reserves they set aside to protect against potential defaults and nonpayments over the course of the pandemic.\n\"We expect 3Q21 EPS [earnings per share] results to be stronger on a year-over-year basis as loan loss reserves continue to be released albeit at a lower level than 1Q/2Q21 and the group posts positive revenue growth,\" RBC Capital Markets analyst Gerard Cassidy wrote in a note last week.\n\"Key themes that we expect to see in the results include: (1) more signs of net interest margin (NIM) stabilization; (2) growth in the consumer loan, residential mortgage and commercial real estate mortgage portfolios; and (3) positive outlook guidance on credit, loan growth (especially commercial & industrial loans,) and NIM,\" he added. \"Lastly, commentary on core operating expenses should be listened to carefully to see if the banks are starting to feel non-incentive compensation wage pressure.\"\nAccording to Matt O'Connor, Deutsche Bank managing director of U.S. banks equity research, banks still have considerable room for loan growth with the economic recovery under way. Total industry loans are still 1% below pre-pandemic levels from the fourth quarter of 2019, he said, and are down by an even more significant mid-single-digits percentage when excluding loans made via the COVID-era Paycheck Protection Program.\n“We remain positive on bank stocks given a likely multi-year positive backdrop for credit, interest rates and loan growth,” O'Connor wrote in a note. “It’s hard to be too negative on the banks given a generally favorable macroeconomic outlook among most (despite some slower activity more recently) and the prospect for higher rates and faster loan growth, though was we’ve noted before the timing/magnitude of this remains unclear.”\nFor the year-to-date, the financials sector remains the second-best performer in the S&P 500 after the energy sector, climbing more than 30% so far in 2021.\nConsumer price index\nOne of the most closely watched economic reports this week will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index, due for release on Wednesday.\nThe report is expected to show consumer prices rose at roughly the same month-on-month and annual rate in September as in August, reinforcing the persistent inflationary pressures present even as the economic recovery rolls on.\nConsensus economists are looking for the consumer price index to jump by 0.3% in September over the previous month and by 5.3% over the prior year.\nAt least some of that increase will likely come as a result of jumping energy prices, with crude oil and natural gas prices spiking amid elevated demand and tight supply over the past month. However, even excluding more volatile food and energy prices, the CPI likely still rose at a 4.0% annual pace.\nThe so-called core measure of CPI has moderated from June's 4.5% annual clip, or the fastest rate since 1991, but has still held markedly higher compared to pre-pandemic standards. Some of the categories mostly closely associated with the economic reopening have seen prices pull back after initial surges in the spring and early summer — but not by enough to bring down the overall level of CPI.\n“The key takeaway from the upcoming consumer price index will be how broadly across categories we are seeing price increases,\" Greg McBride, chief financial analyst for Bankrate, said in an email on Friday. \"While used car prices, airfares, and lodging have all pulled back a bit, underscoring the idea that higher inflation might indeed be transitory, increases in others like shelter costs might just be heating up.”\nOther areas of the economy have also begun to show persistently heightened levels of inflation, with U.S. crude oil futures skyrocketing to their highest level since 2014 last week and commodity prices across the board moving higher. And last week's September jobs report also reflected a number of inflationary pressures in the labor market, with average hourly wages accelerating to the fastest year-over-year pace since February, and rise in the workweek taking place alongside a drop in labor force participation.\n\"We expect reopening effects to continue to fade, but the risk from supply constraints is likely to be longer-lasting than previously expected,\" High Frequency Economics' Rubeela Farooqi wrote in a note. \"That should provide ongoing support to goods prices, even as services inflation continues to revert to more typical trends on a normalization of activity.\"\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release \nTuesday: NFIB Small Business Optimism, September (99.5 expected, 100.1 during prior month); JOLTS Job Openings, August (10.938 million expected, 10.934 million during prior month)\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended Oct. 8 (-6.9% during prior week); Consumer price index, month-over-month, September (0.3% expected, 0.3% during prior month); CPI excluding food and energy, month-over-month, September (0.2% expected, 0.1% during prior month); CPI year-over-year, September (5.3% expected, 5.3% during prior month); CPI excluding food and energy, year-over-year, September (4.0% expected, 4.0% during prior month); Real Average Hourly earnings, year-over-year, September (-1.1% during prior month); Real Average Weekly earnings, year-over-year, September (-1.4% during prior month); FOMC meeting minutes\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended Oct. 9 (325,000 expected, 326,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Oct. 2 (2.696 million expected, 2.714 million during prior week); Producer price index, month-over-month, September (0.6% expected, 0.7% during prior month); PPI excluding food and energy, month-over-month, September (0.5% expected, 0.6% during prior month); PPI, year-over-year, September (8.7% expected, 8.3% during prior month); PPI excluding food and energy, year-over-year. September (7.1% expected, 6.7% during prior month)\nFriday: Empire Manufacturing, October (25.0 expected, 34.3 during prior month); Retail sales, month-over-month, September (-0.2% expected, 0.7% during prior month); Retail sales excluding autos and gas, month-over-month, September (0.6% expected, 1.8% during prior month); Import price index, month-over-month, September (0.6% expected, -0.3% during prior month); University of Michigan sentiment, October preliminary (73.5 expected, 72.8 during prior month)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nWednesday: JPMorgan Chase (JPM), BlackRock (BLK), First Republic Bank (FRC), Delta Air Lines (DAL) before market open\nThursday: Bank of America (BAC), Domino's Pizza (DPZ), Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA), The Progressive Corp. (PGR), UnitedHealth Group (UNH), US Bancorp (USB), Wells Fargo (WFC), Morgan Stanley (MS), Citigroup (C) before market open; Alcoa (AA) after market close\nFriday: PNC Financial Services (PNC), Truist Financial Corp. (TFC), Coinbase Global (COIN), The Charles Schwab Corp. (SCHW), Goldman Sachs (GS) before market open","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1054,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":155169502,"gmtCreate":1625389103706,"gmtModify":1633941000491,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155169502","repostId":"1160702483","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":319,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126458312,"gmtCreate":1624582545836,"gmtModify":1633950994073,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126458312","repostId":"2146023477","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":103,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165265258,"gmtCreate":1624147532874,"gmtModify":1634010367803,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like and comments thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like and comments thank you&nbsp;","text":"Pls like and comments thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165265258","repostId":"1113942445","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168662706,"gmtCreate":1623974329505,"gmtModify":1634025052988,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like and comments thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like and comments thank you&nbsp;","text":"Pls like and comments thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168662706","repostId":"2144286417","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":218,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":868840027,"gmtCreate":1632631968469,"gmtModify":1632648466780,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868840027","repostId":"2170146216","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":138,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":890310298,"gmtCreate":1628082765814,"gmtModify":1631889878825,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890310298","repostId":"1163400390","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804722059,"gmtCreate":1627981977971,"gmtModify":1631893602637,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hihi","listText":"hihi","text":"hihi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804722059","repostId":"1126428821","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126428821","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627981590,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126428821?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-03 17:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How To Spot The Start Of The Tapering Cycle","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126428821","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Job growth at pre-pandemic levels is the key to the start of tapering, according to Fed Chair Powell","content":"<p>Job growth at pre-pandemic levels is the key to the start of tapering, according to Fed Chair Powell. The good news for fixed income traders worried about higher rates and bond bulls is we’re not there yet.</p>\n<p>A good gauge for when we do get there,<b>take a look at the spread between the labor participation rate and job openings (JOLTS).</b>It’s nowhere near pre-pandemic levels. Looking back at where labor and job openings were when the Fed announced tapering in December 2013 serves as a decent indication of what this relationship needs to look like before tapering is a more convincing option for the central bank.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84e3a3f692f7801c67928066e3bedbd6\" tg-width=\"862\" tg-height=\"246\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The question Fed Chair Powell is asked time and time again and the one he cannot seem to answer is “what does transitory mean and when will inflation point to the beginning of tapering?” The answer is likely not about inflation at all, but jobs. Remember, inflation is transitory for the Fed, or is it?</p>\n<p>Take a look at another metric of jobs returning to pre-pandemic levels: payroll gains and jobless claims. It seems we’re already there and the Fed is indeed behind the curve. It’s likely to fall even further behind once inflation begins to percolate.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be98f1ce03c5152b6f44c2bf52e81efb\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"248\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">That means inflation and inflationary expectations are like a spring wound tight. It is only when you reach the tipping point that it unravels. For the Fed, it appears that time is when labor participation increases sufficiently to fill current job openings.</p>\n<p>We may be closer than we think to that moment. School re-openings and the end of extended jobs benefits is right around the corner. That should produce an increase in the labor participation rate and result in fewer job openings. That’s when the first aforementioned metric may come into play.</p>\n<p>For equity investors, it’s not a time to panic. The 2013 taper tantrum didn’t produce an extended selloff but it was a different story for bond traders. As the participation/job opening gap closes, the canary in the coal mine may stop singing. That’ll likely be a sign that tapering is at hand and signal the beginning of a substantial bond correction.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How To Spot The Start Of The Tapering Cycle</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow To Spot The Start Of The Tapering Cycle\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-03 17:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/how-spot-start-tapering-cycle><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Job growth at pre-pandemic levels is the key to the start of tapering, according to Fed Chair Powell. The good news for fixed income traders worried about higher rates and bond bulls is we’re not ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/how-spot-start-tapering-cycle\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f09c44f289c2f0d40610768fe6661fab","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/how-spot-start-tapering-cycle","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126428821","content_text":"Job growth at pre-pandemic levels is the key to the start of tapering, according to Fed Chair Powell. The good news for fixed income traders worried about higher rates and bond bulls is we’re not there yet.\nA good gauge for when we do get there,take a look at the spread between the labor participation rate and job openings (JOLTS).It’s nowhere near pre-pandemic levels. Looking back at where labor and job openings were when the Fed announced tapering in December 2013 serves as a decent indication of what this relationship needs to look like before tapering is a more convincing option for the central bank.\nThe question Fed Chair Powell is asked time and time again and the one he cannot seem to answer is “what does transitory mean and when will inflation point to the beginning of tapering?” The answer is likely not about inflation at all, but jobs. Remember, inflation is transitory for the Fed, or is it?\nTake a look at another metric of jobs returning to pre-pandemic levels: payroll gains and jobless claims. It seems we’re already there and the Fed is indeed behind the curve. It’s likely to fall even further behind once inflation begins to percolate.\nThat means inflation and inflationary expectations are like a spring wound tight. It is only when you reach the tipping point that it unravels. For the Fed, it appears that time is when labor participation increases sufficiently to fill current job openings.\nWe may be closer than we think to that moment. School re-openings and the end of extended jobs benefits is right around the corner. That should produce an increase in the labor participation rate and result in fewer job openings. That’s when the first aforementioned metric may come into play.\nFor equity investors, it’s not a time to panic. The 2013 taper tantrum didn’t produce an extended selloff but it was a different story for bond traders. As the participation/job opening gap closes, the canary in the coal mine may stop singing. That’ll likely be a sign that tapering is at hand and signal the beginning of a substantial bond correction.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":93,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144562756,"gmtCreate":1626306778975,"gmtModify":1631884081807,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"New high","listText":"New high","text":"New high","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144562756","repostId":"2151548988","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":246,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140687601,"gmtCreate":1625654313603,"gmtModify":1633938701482,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140687601","repostId":"2149399705","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124168112,"gmtCreate":1624754142036,"gmtModify":1633949124576,"author":{"id":"3582857435811011","authorId":"3582857435811011","name":"MaoMao0314","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0121a8c147debd72c35c1c5f97447d1f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582857435811011","authorIdStr":"3582857435811011"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124168112","repostId":"2146009942","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146009942","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1624753788,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2146009942?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-27 08:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"WallStreetBets is dying, long live the WallStreetBets movement","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146009942","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"\nOlivier ","content":"<p>Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59d405b1c6d77a8a133d45a970a1f21c\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"896\"><span>Olivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>As the poet Yogi Berra once quipped, \"Nobody ever goes there anymore -- it's too crowded.\"</p>\n<p>While Berra was talking about a popular Florida restaurant in the early 1960s, he could have easily been talking about WallStreeBets in the summer of 2021, as many of the very retail investors that made the message board into a financial phenomenon are now abandoning it for newer subreddits, saying WallStreetBets has been compromised by mainstream finance's improved grasp of the power that social media has on the movement of markets.</p>\n<p>WallStreetBets became a household name in January as GameStop <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a>, AMC Entertainment <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$(AMC)$</a> and other meme stocks announced their arrival in the form of wild short squeezes that put Wall Street on its heels, and hedge funds in hot water.</p>\n<p>The irreverent and insidery tone of the message board gave users a platform to share stock tips and rage against what they saw as unfair market structure rigged to benefit big banks and funds. It also gave birth to retail investors uniquely risqué way of communicating, calling each other \"Apes,\" encouraging each other to hold onto short squeeze stocks with \"Diamond hands\" and lusting after trading profits in the form of chicken tenders, or \"tendies.\"</p>\n<p>Users also began to share detailed investment theses in the form of \"DDs\" or deep dives, using their own analysis to promote a new stock ticker for the movement to jump in on.</p>\n<p>But since January, the success of WallStreetBets has become an albatross, with the board's moderators coming under fire for what many of the board's 10.6 million users saw as inconsistent enforcement of the rules and a growing sense that the moderators were playing it too safe in fear of angering Wall Street and regulators.</p>\n<p>There is also rampant speculation that the size and popularity of WallStreetBets has made it susceptible to bad actors trying to create pump and dump schemes by spamming old conversation threads with ticker-specific posts that give the appearance of new social media interest in that stock.</p>\n<p>Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"</p>\n<p>The shift is reminiscent of how retail investors turned on Robinhood after the popular trading app froze activity on GameStop and other stocks at the peak of January's short squeeze. That decision set off a firestorm of rage against Robinhood with many in the retail crowd alleging on social media that the app was in cahoots with the hedge funds and market makers on the other side of the squeeze.</p>\n<p>Like the Robinhood exodus, the WallStreetBets schism has led retail investors onto new platforms and other subreddits more intensely focused on investing, options and individual stocks. It has even given them the opportunity to create their own boards like r/Superstonk, a subreddit for GameStop investors that started in March with a flurry of anti-WallStreetBets posts and already has 485,000 members.</p>\n<p>\"WSB is the Robinhood of Reddit,\" <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> user posted on Superstonk this week.</p>\n<p>AMC and other meme stocks have their own increasingly popular subreddits, and they appear to be the next iteration of the retail investing movement that is showing little sign of losing steam.</p>\n<p>While the mania of January has ebbed, a recent survey by financial advisory firm Betterment indicated that the majority of retail investors are committed to trading in the foreseeable future, and it stands to reason that the evolution of their trading will happen on smaller and more focused subreddits like Superstonk.</p>\n<p>As that online migration continues, WallStreetBets -- the mothership of the Reddit rally -- will have that empty nest feeling.</p>\n<p><b>LOOKING FORWARD</b></p>\n<p>Meanwhile, after good news on the progress of an infrastructure bill in Congress sent the U.S. stock market climbing again this week, from the U.S. Labor Department next Friday.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>WallStreetBets is dying, long live the WallStreetBets movement</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWallStreetBets is dying, long live the WallStreetBets movement\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-27 08:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wallstreetbets-is-dying-long-live-the-wallstreetbets-movement-11624714750?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"\nOlivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images\nAs the poet Yogi Berra once quipped, \"Nobody ever goes there anymore ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wallstreetbets-is-dying-long-live-the-wallstreetbets-movement-11624714750?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","GME":"游戏驿站",".DJI":"道琼斯","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wallstreetbets-is-dying-long-live-the-wallstreetbets-movement-11624714750?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2146009942","content_text":"Among Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"\nOlivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images\nAs the poet Yogi Berra once quipped, \"Nobody ever goes there anymore -- it's too crowded.\"\nWhile Berra was talking about a popular Florida restaurant in the early 1960s, he could have easily been talking about WallStreeBets in the summer of 2021, as many of the very retail investors that made the message board into a financial phenomenon are now abandoning it for newer subreddits, saying WallStreetBets has been compromised by mainstream finance's improved grasp of the power that social media has on the movement of markets.\nWallStreetBets became a household name in January as GameStop $(GME)$, AMC Entertainment $(AMC)$ and other meme stocks announced their arrival in the form of wild short squeezes that put Wall Street on its heels, and hedge funds in hot water.\nThe irreverent and insidery tone of the message board gave users a platform to share stock tips and rage against what they saw as unfair market structure rigged to benefit big banks and funds. It also gave birth to retail investors uniquely risqué way of communicating, calling each other \"Apes,\" encouraging each other to hold onto short squeeze stocks with \"Diamond hands\" and lusting after trading profits in the form of chicken tenders, or \"tendies.\"\nUsers also began to share detailed investment theses in the form of \"DDs\" or deep dives, using their own analysis to promote a new stock ticker for the movement to jump in on.\nBut since January, the success of WallStreetBets has become an albatross, with the board's moderators coming under fire for what many of the board's 10.6 million users saw as inconsistent enforcement of the rules and a growing sense that the moderators were playing it too safe in fear of angering Wall Street and regulators.\nThere is also rampant speculation that the size and popularity of WallStreetBets has made it susceptible to bad actors trying to create pump and dump schemes by spamming old conversation threads with ticker-specific posts that give the appearance of new social media interest in that stock.\nAmong Redditors who have moved on, WallStreetBets is often referred to as \"the melted sub.\"\nThe shift is reminiscent of how retail investors turned on Robinhood after the popular trading app froze activity on GameStop and other stocks at the peak of January's short squeeze. That decision set off a firestorm of rage against Robinhood with many in the retail crowd alleging on social media that the app was in cahoots with the hedge funds and market makers on the other side of the squeeze.\nLike the Robinhood exodus, the WallStreetBets schism has led retail investors onto new platforms and other subreddits more intensely focused on investing, options and individual stocks. It has even given them the opportunity to create their own boards like r/Superstonk, a subreddit for GameStop investors that started in March with a flurry of anti-WallStreetBets posts and already has 485,000 members.\n\"WSB is the Robinhood of Reddit,\" one user posted on Superstonk this week.\nAMC and other meme stocks have their own increasingly popular subreddits, and they appear to be the next iteration of the retail investing movement that is showing little sign of losing steam.\nWhile the mania of January has ebbed, a recent survey by financial advisory firm Betterment indicated that the majority of retail investors are committed to trading in the foreseeable future, and it stands to reason that the evolution of their trading will happen on smaller and more focused subreddits like Superstonk.\nAs that online migration continues, WallStreetBets -- the mothership of the Reddit rally -- will have that empty nest feeling.\nLOOKING FORWARD\nMeanwhile, after good news on the progress of an infrastructure bill in Congress sent the U.S. stock market climbing again this week, from the U.S. Labor Department next Friday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}