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JeffTan27
2021-12-10
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2021-12-25
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2021-12-11
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2021-12-04
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如何部署?","htmlText":"还有两周,2021年就要结束了,站在年关回头看港股,无尽唏嘘。 年初高喊抢夺定价权,没想到定价权没抢成,港股反而成为大中华市场的风险释放池,比如说内房股的金融风险,几乎全被港股消纳。 从回报来看,今年截至当地时间12月16日,恒生科技指数回报率-30.9%,恒生指数回报率-13.79%,再次成为全球回报最差的资产之一。可以说,港股再次来到至暗时刻。 复盘历史,每次港股大幅破净,后面总会迎来大幅反弹,那么这一次,还在黑暗的港股,可以重见光明吗? 一、港股好难 近年来,随着港交所对上市规则的改革,越来越多新经济股选择在香港IPO。基本上中国人喜闻乐见的东西,都能在港股找到对应标的。 买手机有小米,玩游戏有腾讯,吃火锅有海底捞,喝奶茶有奈雪...有投资者说,你看,\"中国版FAANG\"、\"中国版麦当劳\"、“中国版星巴克”都在港股,这么性感的市场,还不快来? 然而,今年这些特色板块,几乎全部都出现了基本面的瑕疵甚至崩塌。假如一个投资者,年初看好中国的平台经济,大手一挥买入腾讯美团这些平台型公司,到了年底,资产起码要缩水20%。 来源:富途,年初至今股价涨幅 互联网不行,那我们看看过去几年疯狂造富的教育行业。\"双减\"之后行业直接崩盘,跌了50%的,可以再跌50%,有些更直接跌穿每股现金价,让不少投资者速成学会了什么是估值陷阱。 来源:富途,年初至今股价涨幅 捡便宜不行,那我们就抱团买贵的,增长故事没瑕疵的。物管板块历来是港股的头牌,确定性高,增长好,应该不会翻车了吧?没想到八月份之后,房地产的美元债事件爆发,母公司出事,子公司变了集资机器,连带物管板块也一起崩。 到了年底,你以为黑天鹅告一段落了,实体清单又来一刀。CRO板块尽管景气度高,股价也无法幸免,尽管各家CRO领导们都说影响不大,最后也证明了CRO不在实体清单内。但投资人的心一旦发生变化,高估值就是原罪。即使被证明是清白的,股价","listText":"还有两周,2021年就要结束了,站在年关回头看港股,无尽唏嘘。 年初高喊抢夺定价权,没想到定价权没抢成,港股反而成为大中华市场的风险释放池,比如说内房股的金融风险,几乎全被港股消纳。 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