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提醒:端午休市安排来了!港股6月14日休市一天
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2021-08-01
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美股最惨的“时节”要来了
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2021-06-16
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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股最惨的“时节”要来了\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-01 08:38 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636809><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>在经历了7月1日到7月15日历史数据统计的“史上最强劲两周”后,美股即将迎来统计数据上的最糟糕月份——八月。\n\n正如高盛信贷策略师Scott Rubner所统计的那样,整个八月份市场趋势都在走低,这是一年中最糟糕的时节之一,并在杰克逊霍尔全球央行会议上达到高潮和拐点。目前,人们预计鲍威尔将在这次会议上宣布taper。\n具体来看,自1950年以来,标准普尔500指数在72年里有19次在上半年上涨超过...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636809\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37d43f47ff4637f33c2675f14c1cc937","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","OEX":"标普100","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636809","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2155894163","content_text":"在经历了7月1日到7月15日历史数据统计的“史上最强劲两周”后,美股即将迎来统计数据上的最糟糕月份——八月。\n\n正如高盛信贷策略师Scott Rubner所统计的那样,整个八月份市场趋势都在走低,这是一年中最糟糕的时节之一,并在杰克逊霍尔全球央行会议上达到高潮和拐点。目前,人们预计鲍威尔将在这次会议上宣布taper。\n具体来看,自1950年以来,标准普尔500指数在72年里有19次在上半年上涨超过10%,但在强劲的上半年之后,8月份的回报率中值通常会下降51个基点。\nRubner还指出,今年上半年没有出现戏剧性的大跌,标准普尔500指数连续第6个月上涨,创下2018年以来最长的上涨时间。然而,与上述观察相呼应这并不是什么好事,毕竟自2010年8月以来,此前的11个8月中有6次下跌。\n\n尽管如此,Rubner指出,即便不回顾历史,今年的状况也能得出同样的结论,美联储的资产负债表就应该能解释得很清楚清楚。随着美联储政策的逐步推出,市场将更加缺乏流动性,因此8月的下跌效应会加剧,任何负面消息都会被放大。\n此外,Rubner还回顾了此前的两次“8月危机”,这两次危机分别发生在2011年和2015年:\n\n2011年,恰逢美国在债务上限问题上的争论不休。尽管这个问题在8月初得到了解决,但标准普尔随后将美国信用评级从AAA下调至AA+。与此同时,对欧洲主权债务危机的担忧持续发酵,最终导致8月股市大跌。\n2015年,新兴市场出现了动荡,进而蔓延到包括美国和欧洲在内的其他地区。\n\n对于接下来的8月,Rubner表示,人们关注的焦点将集中于杰克逊霍尔全球央行会议,以及宏观变量(尤其是通胀)的变化。他同时表示,我们需要对市场中的任何意外保持警惕。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":410,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":160253221,"gmtCreate":1623800304463,"gmtModify":1631893259027,"author":{"id":"3581756251167437","authorId":"3581756251167437","authorIdStr":"3581756251167437","name":"MR 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good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188338833","repostId":"1105134625","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105134625","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623140058,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105134625?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-08 16:14","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"提醒:端午休市安排来了!港股6月14日休市一天","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105134625","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"6月14日(周一)休市,6月15日(周二)起照常开市。美股、英股、新加坡股市照常交易。端午节,又称端阳节、龙舟节、天中节等,源于自然天象崇拜,由上古时代祭龙演变而来。因传说战国时期的楚国诗人屈原在五月五日跳汨罗江自尽,后来人们亦将端午节作为纪念屈原的节日;也有纪念伍子胥、曹娥及介子推等说法。总的来说,端午节起源于上古先民择“飞龙在天”吉日拜祭龙祖、祈福辟邪,注入夏季时令“祛病防疫\"风尚。","content":"<p>临近中国传统节日端午节假期,各主要市场休市安排如下:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad358d24b10a4ecf9c9fa183f3c2ab9b\" tg-width=\"779\" tg-height=\"667\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>A股:</b></p><p>6月14日(周一)休市,6月15日(周二)起照常开市。</p><p><b>港股:</b></p><p>6月14日(周一)休市,6月15日(周二)起照常开市。</p><p><b>澳股:</b></p><p>6月14日(周一)因 Queen's Birthday 休市,6月15日(周二)起照常开市。</p><p><b>美股、英股、新加坡股市照常交易。</b></p><p><b>沪股通、深股通:</b></p><p>6月14日(周一)不提供服务,6月15日(周二)起照常开通。</p><p><b>港股通:</b></p><p>6月14日(周一)不提供服务,6月15日(周二)起照常开通。</p><p><b>背景介绍:</b></p><p>端午节,又称端阳节、龙舟节、天中节等,源于自然天象崇拜,由上古时代祭龙演变而来。仲夏端午,苍龙七宿飞升于正南中天,处于全年最“正中”之位,即如《易经·乾卦》第五爻的爻辞曰:“飞龙在天”。其起源涵盖了古老星象文化、人文哲学等方面内容,蕴含着深邃丰厚的文化内涵,在传承发展中杂糅了多种民俗为一体,节俗内容丰富。扒龙舟与食粽是端午节的两大礼俗,这两大礼俗在中国自古传承,至今不辍。</p><p>端午节,本是上古先民创立用于拜祭龙祖、祈福辟邪的节日。因传说战国时期的楚国诗人屈原在五月五日跳汨罗江自尽,后来人们亦将端午节作为纪念屈原的节日;也有纪念伍子胥、曹娥及介子推等说法。总的来说,端午节起源于上古先民择“飞龙在天”吉日拜祭龙祖、祈福辟邪,注入夏季时令“祛病防疫\"风尚。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09ea6dbc4088c8bacb63a863e559c64b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"424\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>提醒:端午休市安排来了!港股6月14日休市一天</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n提醒:端午休市安排来了!港股6月14日休市一天\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-08 16:14</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>临近中国传统节日端午节假期,各主要市场休市安排如下:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad358d24b10a4ecf9c9fa183f3c2ab9b\" tg-width=\"779\" tg-height=\"667\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>A股:</b></p><p>6月14日(周一)休市,6月15日(周二)起照常开市。</p><p><b>港股:</b></p><p>6月14日(周一)休市,6月15日(周二)起照常开市。</p><p><b>澳股:</b></p><p>6月14日(周一)因 Queen's Birthday 休市,6月15日(周二)起照常开市。</p><p><b>美股、英股、新加坡股市照常交易。</b></p><p><b>沪股通、深股通:</b></p><p>6月14日(周一)不提供服务,6月15日(周二)起照常开通。</p><p><b>港股通:</b></p><p>6月14日(周一)不提供服务,6月15日(周二)起照常开通。</p><p><b>背景介绍:</b></p><p>端午节,又称端阳节、龙舟节、天中节等,源于自然天象崇拜,由上古时代祭龙演变而来。仲夏端午,苍龙七宿飞升于正南中天,处于全年最“正中”之位,即如《易经·乾卦》第五爻的爻辞曰:“飞龙在天”。其起源涵盖了古老星象文化、人文哲学等方面内容,蕴含着深邃丰厚的文化内涵,在传承发展中杂糅了多种民俗为一体,节俗内容丰富。扒龙舟与食粽是端午节的两大礼俗,这两大礼俗在中国自古传承,至今不辍。</p><p>端午节,本是上古先民创立用于拜祭龙祖、祈福辟邪的节日。因传说战国时期的楚国诗人屈原在五月五日跳汨罗江自尽,后来人们亦将端午节作为纪念屈原的节日;也有纪念伍子胥、曹娥及介子推等说法。总的来说,端午节起源于上古先民择“飞龙在天”吉日拜祭龙祖、祈福辟邪,注入夏季时令“祛病防疫\"风尚。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09ea6dbc4088c8bacb63a863e559c64b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"424\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09ea6dbc4088c8bacb63a863e559c64b","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105134625","content_text":"临近中国传统节日端午节假期,各主要市场休市安排如下:A股:6月14日(周一)休市,6月15日(周二)起照常开市。港股:6月14日(周一)休市,6月15日(周二)起照常开市。澳股:6月14日(周一)因 Queen's Birthday 休市,6月15日(周二)起照常开市。美股、英股、新加坡股市照常交易。沪股通、深股通:6月14日(周一)不提供服务,6月15日(周二)起照常开通。港股通:6月14日(周一)不提供服务,6月15日(周二)起照常开通。背景介绍:端午节,又称端阳节、龙舟节、天中节等,源于自然天象崇拜,由上古时代祭龙演变而来。仲夏端午,苍龙七宿飞升于正南中天,处于全年最“正中”之位,即如《易经·乾卦》第五爻的爻辞曰:“飞龙在天”。其起源涵盖了古老星象文化、人文哲学等方面内容,蕴含着深邃丰厚的文化内涵,在传承发展中杂糅了多种民俗为一体,节俗内容丰富。扒龙舟与食粽是端午节的两大礼俗,这两大礼俗在中国自古传承,至今不辍。端午节,本是上古先民创立用于拜祭龙祖、祈福辟邪的节日。因传说战国时期的楚国诗人屈原在五月五日跳汨罗江自尽,后来人们亦将端午节作为纪念屈原的节日;也有纪念伍子胥、曹娥及介子推等说法。总的来说,端午节起源于上古先民择“飞龙在天”吉日拜祭龙祖、祈福辟邪,注入夏季时令“祛病防疫\"风尚。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":188399282,"gmtCreate":1623420909246,"gmtModify":1631891208974,"author":{"id":"3581756251167437","authorId":"3581756251167437","authorIdStr":"3581756251167437","name":"MR OK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06eca6ad8ec96aa018ec3cade6ae7f4a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581756251167437"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QLYS\">$科力斯(QLYS)$</a>升升","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QLYS\">$科力斯(QLYS)$</a>升升","text":"$科力斯(QLYS)$升升","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18f0eb51007db98e418e452831eece9a","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188399282","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":462,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":802548896,"gmtCreate":1627790910415,"gmtModify":1631893259020,"author":{"id":"3581756251167437","authorId":"3581756251167437","authorIdStr":"3581756251167437","name":"MR OK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06eca6ad8ec96aa018ec3cade6ae7f4a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581756251167437"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[喷血] [喷血] [喷血] ","listText":"[喷血] [喷血] [喷血] ","text":"[喷血] [喷血] [喷血]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802548896","repostId":"2155894163","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2155894163","pubTimestamp":1627778319,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2155894163?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-01 08:38","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美股最惨的“时节”要来了","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2155894163","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"在经历了7月1日到7月15日历史数据统计的“史上最强劲两周”后,美股即将迎来统计数据上的最糟糕月份——八月。\n\n正如高盛信贷策略师Scott Rubner所统计的那样,整个八月份市场趋势都在走低,这是","content":"<p>在经历了7月1日到7月15日历史数据统计的“史上最强劲两周”后,美股即将迎来统计数据上的最糟糕月份——八月。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce4aa20635c056c2425c903c7bfa9919\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>正如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>信贷策略师Scott Rubner所统计的那样,整个八月份市场趋势都在走低,这是一年中最糟糕的时节之一,并在杰克逊霍尔全球央行会议上达到高潮和拐点。目前,人们预计鲍威尔将在这次会议上宣布taper。</p>\n<p>具体来看,自1950年以来,标准普尔500指数在72年里有19次在上半年上涨超过10%,但在强劲的上半年之后,8月份的回报率中值通常会下降51个基点。</p>\n<p>Rubner还指出,今年上半年没有出现戏剧性的大跌,标准普尔500指数连续第6个月上涨,创下2018年以来最长的上涨时间。然而,与上述观察相呼应这并不是什么好事,毕竟自2010年8月以来,此前的11个8月中有6次下跌。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca60b07fac07ccd13faa80796c2df34d\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>尽管如此,Rubner指出,即便不回顾历史,今年的状况也能得出同样的结论,美联储的资产负债表就应该能解释得很清楚清楚。随着美联储政策的逐步推出,市场将更加缺乏流动性,因此8月的下跌效应会加剧,任何负面消息都会被放大。</p>\n<p>此外,Rubner还回顾了此前的两次“8月危机”,这两次危机分别发生在2011年和2015年:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>2011年,恰逢美国在债务上限问题上的争论不休。尽管这个问题在8月初得到了解决,但标准普尔随后将美国信用评级从AAA下调至AA+。与此同时,对欧洲主权债务危机的担忧持续发酵,最终导致8月股市大跌。</li>\n <li>2015年,新兴市场出现了动荡,进而蔓延到包括美国和欧洲在内的其他地区。</li>\n</ul>\n<p>对于接下来的8月,Rubner表示,人们关注的焦点将集中于杰克逊霍尔全球央行会议,以及宏观变量(尤其是通胀)的变化。他同时表示,我们需要对市场中的任何意外保持警惕。</p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股最惨的“时节”要来了</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股最惨的“时节”要来了\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-01 08:38 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636809><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>在经历了7月1日到7月15日历史数据统计的“史上最强劲两周”后,美股即将迎来统计数据上的最糟糕月份——八月。\n\n正如高盛信贷策略师Scott Rubner所统计的那样,整个八月份市场趋势都在走低,这是一年中最糟糕的时节之一,并在杰克逊霍尔全球央行会议上达到高潮和拐点。目前,人们预计鲍威尔将在这次会议上宣布taper。\n具体来看,自1950年以来,标准普尔500指数在72年里有19次在上半年上涨超过...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636809\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37d43f47ff4637f33c2675f14c1cc937","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","OEX":"标普100","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636809","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2155894163","content_text":"在经历了7月1日到7月15日历史数据统计的“史上最强劲两周”后,美股即将迎来统计数据上的最糟糕月份——八月。\n\n正如高盛信贷策略师Scott Rubner所统计的那样,整个八月份市场趋势都在走低,这是一年中最糟糕的时节之一,并在杰克逊霍尔全球央行会议上达到高潮和拐点。目前,人们预计鲍威尔将在这次会议上宣布taper。\n具体来看,自1950年以来,标准普尔500指数在72年里有19次在上半年上涨超过10%,但在强劲的上半年之后,8月份的回报率中值通常会下降51个基点。\nRubner还指出,今年上半年没有出现戏剧性的大跌,标准普尔500指数连续第6个月上涨,创下2018年以来最长的上涨时间。然而,与上述观察相呼应这并不是什么好事,毕竟自2010年8月以来,此前的11个8月中有6次下跌。\n\n尽管如此,Rubner指出,即便不回顾历史,今年的状况也能得出同样的结论,美联储的资产负债表就应该能解释得很清楚清楚。随着美联储政策的逐步推出,市场将更加缺乏流动性,因此8月的下跌效应会加剧,任何负面消息都会被放大。\n此外,Rubner还回顾了此前的两次“8月危机”,这两次危机分别发生在2011年和2015年:\n\n2011年,恰逢美国在债务上限问题上的争论不休。尽管这个问题在8月初得到了解决,但标准普尔随后将美国信用评级从AAA下调至AA+。与此同时,对欧洲主权债务危机的担忧持续发酵,最终导致8月股市大跌。\n2015年,新兴市场出现了动荡,进而蔓延到包括美国和欧洲在内的其他地区。\n\n对于接下来的8月,Rubner表示,人们关注的焦点将集中于杰克逊霍尔全球央行会议,以及宏观变量(尤其是通胀)的变化。他同时表示,我们需要对市场中的任何意外保持警惕。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":410,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":160253221,"gmtCreate":1623800304463,"gmtModify":1631893259027,"author":{"id":"3581756251167437","authorId":"3581756251167437","authorIdStr":"3581756251167437","name":"MR 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