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这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看
华尔街知名大多头慌了：小心美股重蹈“崩溃”覆辙！
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Intelligence）和美国个人投资者协会（AAII）的投资情绪调查得出的牛熊比率最近已达到较高水平。此外，衡量投资者通过期权合约购买的保护金额的看跌期权与看涨期权比率已达到相对较低的水平。</p><p>“从逆势角度来看，这是<strong>看跌</strong>的。”亚德尼说。</p><p>亚德尼表示，当然，最近几周和几个月股市大幅上涨是有充分理由的。他指出的理由包括，经济和就业市场仍保持弹性且基础强劲，通胀已大幅下降。</p><p>周四公布的第四季度GDP数据进一步证实了这一点，该数据显示经济增长3.3%，增速远高于经济学家预期的2.0%。</p><p>但这一强劲数据也引发了亚德尼最大的担忧之一：美联储降息可能会加剧股市的崩溃。</p><p>“想象一下，如果美联储真的开始降低利率，会发生什么。我担心的是，这可能会引发市场崩溃，”亚德尼说。</p><p>在亚德尼看来，<strong>降息就像美联储为股市上涨浇注汽油，可能会进一步推高资产价格，甚至推动通胀反弹。</strong></p><p>“我认为美联储降低利率将是一个错误。我认为鲍威尔将开始反对这一点。他非常了解市场力量，如果股市持续上涨，就会创造正财富效应，然后创造通胀卷土重来的潜力，”亚德尼说。</p></body></html>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>华尔街知名大多头慌了：小心美股重蹈“崩溃”覆辙！</title>\n<style 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href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=131436&type=news&data_type=0\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3725a13b30fd5c13e94450c92502eb75","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=131436&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2406751400","content_text":"随着标普500指数不断创下新高 ，市场资深人士艾德·亚德尼（Ed Yardeni） 越来越担心潜在的股市崩盘。自2022年10月股市触底以来，亚德尼一直是华尔街最大的多头之一，他将标普500指数2024年和2025年年底目标价分别定为5400点和6000点，是策略师中最乐观的。但美股在过去一周接连创下历史新高，令亚德尼发表了一些谨慎的评论。他担心股市上涨得太快太猛，最终可能会重蹈上世纪90年代末的覆辙，即“融涨”带来的极端乐观情绪最终将导致市场崩溃。“融涨”指的是基于一种跟风效应出现的一种资金流进股市出现上涨。在最近给客户的一份报告中，亚德尼援引短期情绪指标指出，投资者有理由保持谨慎。根据投资者情报（Investors Intelligence）和美国个人投资者协会（AAII）的投资情绪调查得出的牛熊比率最近已达到较高水平。此外，衡量投资者通过期权合约购买的保护金额的看跌期权与看涨期权比率已达到相对较低的水平。“从逆势角度来看，这是看跌的。”亚德尼说。亚德尼表示，当然，最近几周和几个月股市大幅上涨是有充分理由的。他指出的理由包括，经济和就业市场仍保持弹性且基础强劲，通胀已大幅下降。周四公布的第四季度GDP数据进一步证实了这一点，该数据显示经济增长3.3%，增速远高于经济学家预期的2.0%。但这一强劲数据也引发了亚德尼最大的担忧之一：美联储降息可能会加剧股市的崩溃。“想象一下，如果美联储真的开始降低利率，会发生什么。我担心的是，这可能会引发市场崩溃，”亚德尼说。在亚德尼看来，降息就像美联储为股市上涨浇注汽油，可能会进一步推高资产价格，甚至推动通胀反弹。“我认为美联储降低利率将是一个错误。我认为鲍威尔将开始反对这一点。他非常了解市场力量，如果股市持续上涨，就会创造正财富效应，然后创造通胀卷土重来的潜力，”亚德尼说。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":267251806581024,"gmtCreate":1706271437377,"gmtModify":1706276296521,"author":{"id":"3581650538964939","authorId":"3581650538964939","name":"JJHh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/267251806581024","repostId":"2406751400","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2406751400","pubTimestamp":1706263263,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2406751400?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-01-26 18:01","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"华尔街知名大多头慌了：小心美股重蹈“崩溃”覆辙！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2406751400","media":"金十数据","summary":"他担心股市上涨得太快太猛，最终可能会重蹈上世纪90年代末的覆辙。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>随着标普500指数不断创下新高 ，市场资深人士艾德·亚德尼（Ed Yardeni） 越来越担心潜在的股市崩盘。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c8040d60380e7a0e50342c1c8b98cc2\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>自2022年10月股市触底以来，亚德尼一直是华尔街最大的多头之一，<strong>他将标普500指数2024年和2025年年底目标价分别定为5400点和6000点，是策略师中最乐观的。</strong></p><p>但美股在过去一周接连创下历史新高，令亚德尼发表了一些谨慎的评论。他担心股市上涨得太快太猛，最终可能会重蹈上世纪90年代末的覆辙，即“融涨”带来的极端乐观情绪最终将导致市场崩溃。“融涨”指的是基于一种跟风效应出现的一种资金流进股市出现上涨。</p><p>在最近给客户的一份报告中，亚德尼援引短期情绪指标指出，投资者有理由保持谨慎。</p><p>根据投资者情报（Investors Intelligence）和美国个人投资者协会（AAII）的投资情绪调查得出的牛熊比率最近已达到较高水平。此外，衡量投资者通过期权合约购买的保护金额的看跌期权与看涨期权比率已达到相对较低的水平。</p><p>“从逆势角度来看，这是<strong>看跌</strong>的。”亚德尼说。</p><p>亚德尼表示，当然，最近几周和几个月股市大幅上涨是有充分理由的。他指出的理由包括，经济和就业市场仍保持弹性且基础强劲，通胀已大幅下降。</p><p>周四公布的第四季度GDP数据进一步证实了这一点，该数据显示经济增长3.3%，增速远高于经济学家预期的2.0%。</p><p>但这一强劲数据也引发了亚德尼最大的担忧之一：美联储降息可能会加剧股市的崩溃。</p><p>“想象一下，如果美联储真的开始降低利率，会发生什么。我担心的是，这可能会引发市场崩溃，”亚德尼说。</p><p>在亚德尼看来，<strong>降息就像美联储为股市上涨浇注汽油，可能会进一步推高资产价格，甚至推动通胀反弹。</strong></p><p>“我认为美联储降低利率将是一个错误。我认为鲍威尔将开始反对这一点。他非常了解市场力量，如果股市持续上涨，就会创造正财富效应，然后创造通胀卷土重来的潜力，”亚德尼说。</p></body></html>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>华尔街知名大多头慌了：小心美股重蹈“崩溃”覆辙！</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n华尔街知名大多头慌了：小心美股重蹈“崩溃”覆辙！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-01-26 18:01 北京时间 <a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=131436&type=news&data_type=0><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>随着标普500指数不断创下新高 ，市场资深人士艾德·亚德尼（Ed Yardeni） 越来越担心潜在的股市崩盘。自2022年10月股市触底以来，亚德尼一直是华尔街最大的多头之一，他将标普500指数2024年和2025年年底目标价分别定为5400点和6000点，是策略师中最乐观的。但美股在过去一周接连创下历史新高，令亚德尼发表了一些谨慎的评论。他担心股市上涨得太快太猛，最终可能会重蹈上世纪90年代末的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=131436&type=news&data_type=0\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3725a13b30fd5c13e94450c92502eb75","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=131436&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2406751400","content_text":"随着标普500指数不断创下新高 ，市场资深人士艾德·亚德尼（Ed Yardeni） 越来越担心潜在的股市崩盘。自2022年10月股市触底以来，亚德尼一直是华尔街最大的多头之一，他将标普500指数2024年和2025年年底目标价分别定为5400点和6000点，是策略师中最乐观的。但美股在过去一周接连创下历史新高，令亚德尼发表了一些谨慎的评论。他担心股市上涨得太快太猛，最终可能会重蹈上世纪90年代末的覆辙，即“融涨”带来的极端乐观情绪最终将导致市场崩溃。“融涨”指的是基于一种跟风效应出现的一种资金流进股市出现上涨。在最近给客户的一份报告中，亚德尼援引短期情绪指标指出，投资者有理由保持谨慎。根据投资者情报（Investors Intelligence）和美国个人投资者协会（AAII）的投资情绪调查得出的牛熊比率最近已达到较高水平。此外，衡量投资者通过期权合约购买的保护金额的看跌期权与看涨期权比率已达到相对较低的水平。“从逆势角度来看，这是看跌的。”亚德尼说。亚德尼表示，当然，最近几周和几个月股市大幅上涨是有充分理由的。他指出的理由包括，经济和就业市场仍保持弹性且基础强劲，通胀已大幅下降。周四公布的第四季度GDP数据进一步证实了这一点，该数据显示经济增长3.3%，增速远高于经济学家预期的2.0%。但这一强劲数据也引发了亚德尼最大的担忧之一：美联储降息可能会加剧股市的崩溃。“想象一下，如果美联储真的开始降低利率，会发生什么。我担心的是，这可能会引发市场崩溃，”亚德尼说。在亚德尼看来，降息就像美联储为股市上涨浇注汽油，可能会进一步推高资产价格，甚至推动通胀反弹。“我认为美联储降低利率将是一个错误。我认为鲍威尔将开始反对这一点。他非常了解市场力量，如果股市持续上涨，就会创造正财富效应，然后创造通胀卷土重来的潜力，”亚德尼说。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
