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JollyBee

JollyBee

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2021-04-27

$Histogenics(OCGN)$Continue to soar

2021-04-20

To follow? On what basis....

Warren Buffett Owns These 5 Dividend Aristocrats. Should You?

2021-04-30

Sold Nio shares earlier. Still keeping XPeng. Come on go up up up. What is your take?

XPeng Vs. NIO: Which EV Stock Is The Better Buy

2021-04-30

$Histogenics(OCGN)$I like this share but decided to sell

2021-03-24

Learn about SPACs

Why SPACs Won’t Replace Traditional IPOs -- and Vice Versa

2021-06-16

Informative

Wall Street ends down as data spooks investors awaiting Fed report

2021-04-12

Love Cathie. She is brilliant. Don’t forget to do your due diligence on the stock before buying.

3 Cathie Wood Stocks That Are Better Than Bitcoin

2021-03-24

My next buy

Netflix Has Been Trailing the Market. Why One Analyst Decided to Get More Bullish.

2021-05-14

Awesome article. Such a good read. Like the wisdom tree concept. Now we know so much & the moat of Palantir, is it time to buy more now?

Palantir: Highly Favourable Reward-To-Risk

2021-04-23

No risk no gain. Are u willing to take the risk?

3 Bitcoin Stocks to Avoid Like the Plague

2021-04-22

$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$I see light....

2021-06-17

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$Start smallgrow big

2021-04-07

$Zoom(ZM)$321.53Fly me to the moon

2021-06-16

$Tattooed Chef, Inc(TTCF)$Slow & steady

2021-06-16

Baba, is time to soar…..

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-22

17% higher than IPO price...worth the buy or wait & see?

UiPath opens for trading at $65.72,above IPO price of $56

2021-04-01

Up up up

Tech lifts S&P 500, Nasdaq; indexes post gains for quarter

2021-05-28

If only everyone is as lucky as him. You can try your luck or do your homework as a value investor not a gambler. The choice is yours.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-23

Is time to hand over. Take a rest Lee.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-20

Looking for a difference in iPad this round. The stocks will skyrocket? 🚀

抱歉，原内容已删除

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only&nbsp;everyone is as lucky as him. You can try your luck or do your homework as a&nbsp;value investor not a gambler. The choice is yours.&nbsp;","listText":"If only&nbsp;everyone is as lucky as him. You can try your luck or do your homework as a&nbsp;value investor not a gambler. The choice is yours.&nbsp;","text":"If only everyone is as lucky as him. You can try your luck or do your homework as a value investor not a gambler. The choice is yours.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135364905","repostId":"2138517320","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138517320","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1622129220,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2138517320?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-27 23:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin, GameStop and NIO bets turned this flight attendant into a millionaire: Now he's wagering it all in one final push to $3 million","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138517320","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Don't invest like Andrew Dawood -- you may never be as lucky.The Egyptian-born resident of Dubai tur","content":"<p>Don't invest like Andrew Dawood -- you may never be as lucky.</p><p>The Egyptian-born resident of Dubai turned roughly $50,000 in savings into $1.7 million on a series of white-knuckle bets on bitcoin , Chinese electric-vehicle maker NIO <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>, and videogame-retailer GameStop Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a> over a four-year period, he told MarketWatch in an interview.</p><p>He can technically call himself a millionaire; but, he's risking it all to reach a goal of more than $3 million before 2025.</p><p>In many ways, Dawood's tale represents the new type of buyer on Wall Street, eager to grow wealth and willing to make outsize wagers in the hope of minting boatloads of money on Wall Street -- even if it imperils the entire bet in the process.</p><p>Dawood, who works as a flight attendant for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the world's largest airlines (he declined to identify the company by name), said he saved about $40,000 over four years and invested the entire amount in bitcoin on the Bittrex exchange, among others, at an average price of around $4,200 between Aug. 13 and Aug. 28 of 2017, accumulating 9.71 tokens.</p><p>MarketWatch looked over trade statements that he shared to confirm his transactions.</p><p>\"In my mind, if it gets to $5,000 or $6,000, fine, then I will sell it and be more than happy,\" the 31-year-old told MarketWatch.</p><p>Then mishap struck, he frittered away 3.95 bitcoins by attempting to boost his stake in the digital asset by selling as the price rose in the hope of buying more when it retreated in value.</p><p>\"But it didn't work. Every time I sold, it just went higher, and I bought again quickly, I kept repeating and thus reduced my bitcoin to 5.76 bitcoin,\" he explained.</p><p>It turned out to be an error that slashed about $70,000 from his account, at that time.</p><p>Dawood said that he eventually sold his remaining bitcoin to a man he met through www.localbitcoins.com , a site that matches buyers and sellers of crypto and touts human-to-human transactions.</p><p>The buyer wanted to wire him the sale proceeds but Dawood felt more comfortable meeting in a public place. Dawood arranged to meet at a nearby Dubai mall.</p><p>He accepted 370,000 Emirati Dirham , the equivalent of about $100,000 at the time, in exchange for his 5.76 bitcoin.</p><p>\"I counted the [money] and then deposited [it] in my 2 bank accounts in separate transactions.</p><p>For most people, this is where the story ends, especially after taking a nearly 4-bitcoin profit in his crypto foray.</p><p>However, Dawood was itching to find a fresh investment. So he bought 15,500 shares of NIO at $4.64 on Jan. 23, 2020, and another chunk of 6,565 shares at $4.12 days later as the stock slipped, before making a final purchase of 2,055 shares at $12.79 in July.</p><p>In total, he was holding on to more than 24,000 NIO shares, which cost him a little over $125,000, including an additional $25,000 that he accumulated from winning bets in Organigram Holdings (OG<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00999\">I.T</a>), and Canadian cannabis company Aphria, which was bought by rival <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLRY\">Tilray Inc.</a>  in a deal announced earlier this year.</p><p>Nearly a year after his January 2020 buy, Dawood sold his more than 24,000 shares of NIO in December, bought at an average price of $7.18, at $46.603 for a total of $1.124 million, trading statements reviewed by MarketWatch show.</p><p>Then, he took the money from his NIO investment and poured the entire sum into GameStop Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME.AU\">$(GME.AU)$</a>, purchasing more than 50,500 shares on Dec. 28, 2020 at around $22.</p><p>\"It's a stupid move, I agree,\" he told MarketWatch. \"And my friends and my family all told me not to.\" But Dawood did it anyway.</p><p>Tales of thrill-seeking investors appear to be growing against a backdrop of a stock market that is flush with liquidity from central banks across the globe and a prevailing climate of low interest rates that have emboldened investors young and old to carve out paths that might make the likes of Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA)(BRKA) CEO Warren Buffett or Peter Lynch grimace.</p><p>Brokerages, offering zero-commission trades are riding this wave of new investors. Fidelity Investments, for example, said that it added 4.1 million new accounts , according to data from JMP Securities, as stuck-at-home investors used pandemic stimulus funds to make stock bets.</p><p>National Securities chief market strategist Art Hogan said that \"there are literally thousands of stories\" like Dawood's that \"worked out the other way.\"</p><p>\"To me, this is a great sideshow story that really has nothing to do with investing whatsoever, but it's the nature of what's happening now,\" Hogan said.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average , the S&amp;P 500 index  and the Nasdaq Composite Index  have seen choppy trade in recent weeks, but indexes aren't that far from record highs as investors wrestle with the prospect of higher inflation and a sizzling post-pandemic economy.</p><p>A recent New York Times article made crypto trader Glauber Contessoto  famous, after documenting the 33-year-old's outlandish, leveraged bets on \"meme\" asset dogecoin , which had made him roughly $2 million as of early to mid-May.</p><p>Dogecoin has taken a precipitous drop along with the rest of the crypto complex since then, however.</p><p>See:Individual investors are back--here's what it means for the stock market</p><p>Dawood says that he wants people to know his story because he thinks that too few of his friends and people his age are investing and he believes that saving isn't enough to grow wealth.</p><p>There are a couple of things to know about Dawood's GameStop wager. Had he been as patient with his GME bet as he was with NIO, he would be a millionaire many times over.</p><p>His shares would have been worth $17.5 million had he sold GameStop around the peak in January, and those shares would still be worth around $12 million if he owned them today.</p><p>But he says he sold them at $33 because a paper profit isn't profit at all.</p><p>Despite this, Dawood grew his portfolio to roughly $1.7 million. Nothing to sneeze at, but hardly the money that he could have made.</p><p>Does he have any regrets? \"Of course,\" he said. But he's living with it.</p><p>So what did Dawood do with the proceeds from GameStop?</p><p>He put it back in NIO and that is where it will stay until it hits $100. He's already lost a chunk on that wager. NIO is trading at $37.92 as of Wednesday, or about half of where Dawood originally bought it.</p><p>Meanwhile, he has been supplementing his income by selling covered calls against his investment portfolio. A call is an option that gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy the underlying asset at a specified strike price by a certain time.</p><p>By selling calls, Dawood is effectively betting that the price won't rise above the strike price, while collecting the premium paid by the buyer for the option.</p><p>Check out:How an options-trading frenzy is lifting stocks and stirring fears of a market bubble</p><p>If his stocks rise in value above the strike price, he pays the option buyer the difference between the equity price and the strike price. If the stock falls or doesn't rise enough to hit the exercise price, he keeps the premium paid by the option buyer. He's earned tens of thousands using that strategy so far and has lived off some of that income and invested it in NIO, most recently.</p><p>Dawood is currently on an eight-month unpaid leave from his airline gig as much of the world attempts to emerge from COVID. His expenses are minimal.</p><p>His company pays for his apartment, where he has lived for a number of years and he drives a modest vehicle for a would-be millionaire: a 2011 Ford Figo:</p><p>He said that he plans to end his high-risk parlays once he hits $3 million, at which point he may buy property and purchase something more staid and secure than meme stocks and crypto.</p><p>\"I will tell you that when you contemplate things like that, when you say to yourself 'when I get to this amount, I will stop' or whatever your goal is...you're really just rolling the dice,\" the National Securities' Hogan added.</p><p>\"Congratulations to him for how it's turned out so far...but this isn't investing, it's gambling,\" Hogan said.</p><p>Right now, Dawood isn't blinking, despite NIO's recent slump. \"I believe in NIO,\" he said and plus, \"Tesla Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> was too expensive for me,\" he said.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin, GameStop and NIO bets turned this flight attendant into a millionaire: Now he's wagering it all in one final push to $3 million\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-27 23:27</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Don't invest like Andrew Dawood -- you may never be as lucky.</p><p>The Egyptian-born resident of Dubai turned roughly $50,000 in savings into $1.7 million on a series of white-knuckle bets on bitcoin , Chinese electric-vehicle maker NIO <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>, and videogame-retailer GameStop Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$(GME)$</a> over a four-year period, he told MarketWatch in an interview.</p><p>He can technically call himself a millionaire; but, he's risking it all to reach a goal of more than $3 million before 2025.</p><p>In many ways, Dawood's tale represents the new type of buyer on Wall Street, eager to grow wealth and willing to make outsize wagers in the hope of minting boatloads of money on Wall Street -- even if it imperils the entire bet in the process.</p><p>Dawood, who works as a flight attendant for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the world's largest airlines (he declined to identify the company by name), said he saved about $40,000 over four years and invested the entire amount in bitcoin on the Bittrex exchange, among others, at an average price of around $4,200 between Aug. 13 and Aug. 28 of 2017, accumulating 9.71 tokens.</p><p>MarketWatch looked over trade statements that he shared to confirm his transactions.</p><p>\"In my mind, if it gets to $5,000 or $6,000, fine, then I will sell it and be more than happy,\" the 31-year-old told MarketWatch.</p><p>Then mishap struck, he frittered away 3.95 bitcoins by attempting to boost his stake in the digital asset by selling as the price rose in the hope of buying more when it retreated in value.</p><p>\"But it didn't work. Every time I sold, it just went higher, and I bought again quickly, I kept repeating and thus reduced my bitcoin to 5.76 bitcoin,\" he explained.</p><p>It turned out to be an error that slashed about $70,000 from his account, at that time.</p><p>Dawood said that he eventually sold his remaining bitcoin to a man he met through www.localbitcoins.com , a site that matches buyers and sellers of crypto and touts human-to-human transactions.</p><p>The buyer wanted to wire him the sale proceeds but Dawood felt more comfortable meeting in a public place. Dawood arranged to meet at a nearby Dubai mall.</p><p>He accepted 370,000 Emirati Dirham , the equivalent of about $100,000 at the time, in exchange for his 5.76 bitcoin.</p><p>\"I counted the [money] and then deposited [it] in my 2 bank accounts in separate transactions.</p><p>For most people, this is where the story ends, especially after taking a nearly 4-bitcoin profit in his crypto foray.</p><p>However, Dawood was itching to find a fresh investment. So he bought 15,500 shares of NIO at $4.64 on Jan. 23, 2020, and another chunk of 6,565 shares at $4.12 days later as the stock slipped, before making a final purchase of 2,055 shares at $12.79 in July.</p><p>In total, he was holding on to more than 24,000 NIO shares, which cost him a little over $125,000, including an additional $25,000 that he accumulated from winning bets in Organigram Holdings (OG<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00999\">I.T</a>), and Canadian cannabis company Aphria, which was bought by rival <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLRY\">Tilray Inc.</a>  in a deal announced earlier this year.</p><p>Nearly a year after his January 2020 buy, Dawood sold his more than 24,000 shares of NIO in December, bought at an average price of $7.18, at $46.603 for a total of $1.124 million, trading statements reviewed by MarketWatch show.</p><p>Then, he took the money from his NIO investment and poured the entire sum into GameStop Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME.AU\">$(GME.AU)$</a>, purchasing more than 50,500 shares on Dec. 28, 2020 at around $22.</p><p>\"It's a stupid move, I agree,\" he told MarketWatch. \"And my friends and my family all told me not to.\" But Dawood did it anyway.</p><p>Tales of thrill-seeking investors appear to be growing against a backdrop of a stock market that is flush with liquidity from central banks across the globe and a prevailing climate of low interest rates that have emboldened investors young and old to carve out paths that might make the likes of Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA)(BRKA) CEO Warren Buffett or Peter Lynch grimace.</p><p>Brokerages, offering zero-commission trades are riding this wave of new investors. Fidelity Investments, for example, said that it added 4.1 million new accounts , according to data from JMP Securities, as stuck-at-home investors used pandemic stimulus funds to make stock bets.</p><p>National Securities chief market strategist Art Hogan said that \"there are literally thousands of stories\" like Dawood's that \"worked out the other way.\"</p><p>\"To me, this is a great sideshow story that really has nothing to do with investing whatsoever, but it's the nature of what's happening now,\" Hogan said.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average , the S&amp;P 500 index  and the Nasdaq Composite Index  have seen choppy trade in recent weeks, but indexes aren't that far from record highs as investors wrestle with the prospect of higher inflation and a sizzling post-pandemic economy.</p><p>A recent New York Times article made crypto trader Glauber Contessoto  famous, after documenting the 33-year-old's outlandish, leveraged bets on \"meme\" asset dogecoin , which had made him roughly $2 million as of early to mid-May.</p><p>Dogecoin has taken a precipitous drop along with the rest of the crypto complex since then, however.</p><p>See:Individual investors are back--here's what it means for the stock market</p><p>Dawood says that he wants people to know his story because he thinks that too few of his friends and people his age are investing and he believes that saving isn't enough to grow wealth.</p><p>There are a couple of things to know about Dawood's GameStop wager. Had he been as patient with his GME bet as he was with NIO, he would be a millionaire many times over.</p><p>His shares would have been worth $17.5 million had he sold GameStop around the peak in January, and those shares would still be worth around $12 million if he owned them today.</p><p>But he says he sold them at $33 because a paper profit isn't profit at all.</p><p>Despite this, Dawood grew his portfolio to roughly $1.7 million. Nothing to sneeze at, but hardly the money that he could have made.</p><p>Does he have any regrets? \"Of course,\" he said. But he's living with it.</p><p>So what did Dawood do with the proceeds from GameStop?</p><p>He put it back in NIO and that is where it will stay until it hits $100. He's already lost a chunk on that wager. NIO is trading at $37.92 as of Wednesday, or about half of where Dawood originally bought it.</p><p>Meanwhile, he has been supplementing his income by selling covered calls against his investment portfolio. A call is an option that gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy the underlying asset at a specified strike price by a certain time.</p><p>By selling calls, Dawood is effectively betting that the price won't rise above the strike price, while collecting the premium paid by the buyer for the option.</p><p>Check out:How an options-trading frenzy is lifting stocks and stirring fears of a market bubble</p><p>If his stocks rise in value above the strike price, he pays the option buyer the difference between the equity price and the strike price. If the stock falls or doesn't rise enough to hit the exercise price, he keeps the premium paid by the option buyer. He's earned tens of thousands using that strategy so far and has lived off some of that income and invested it in NIO, most recently.</p><p>Dawood is currently on an eight-month unpaid leave from his airline gig as much of the world attempts to emerge from COVID. His expenses are minimal.</p><p>His company pays for his apartment, where he has lived for a number of years and he drives a modest vehicle for a would-be millionaire: a 2011 Ford Figo:</p><p>He said that he plans to end his high-risk parlays once he hits $3 million, at which point he may buy property and purchase something more staid and secure than meme stocks and crypto.</p><p>\"I will tell you that when you contemplate things like that, when you say to yourself 'when I get to this amount, I will stop' or whatever your goal is...you're really just rolling the dice,\" the National Securities' Hogan added.</p><p>\"Congratulations to him for how it's turned out so far...but this isn't investing, it's gambling,\" Hogan said.</p><p>Right now, Dawood isn't blinking, despite NIO's recent slump. \"I believe in NIO,\" he said and plus, \"Tesla Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> was too expensive for me,\" he said.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","OGI":"ORGANIGRAM HOLD","NIO":"蔚来","GME":"游戏驿站","TLRY":"Tilray Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138517320","content_text":"Don't invest like Andrew Dawood -- you may never be as lucky.The Egyptian-born resident of Dubai turned roughly $50,000 in savings into $1.7 million on a series of white-knuckle bets on bitcoin , Chinese electric-vehicle maker NIO $(NIO)$, and videogame-retailer GameStop Corp. $(GME)$ over a four-year period, he told MarketWatch in an interview.He can technically call himself a millionaire; but, he's risking it all to reach a goal of more than $3 million before 2025.In many ways, Dawood's tale represents the new type of buyer on Wall Street, eager to grow wealth and willing to make outsize wagers in the hope of minting boatloads of money on Wall Street -- even if it imperils the entire bet in the process.Dawood, who works as a flight attendant for one of the world's largest airlines (he declined to identify the company by name), said he saved about $40,000 over four years and invested the entire amount in bitcoin on the Bittrex exchange, among others, at an average price of around $4,200 between Aug. 13 and Aug. 28 of 2017, accumulating 9.71 tokens.MarketWatch looked over trade statements that he shared to confirm his transactions.\"In my mind, if it gets to $5,000 or $6,000, fine, then I will sell it and be more than happy,\" the 31-year-old told MarketWatch.Then mishap struck, he frittered away 3.95 bitcoins by attempting to boost his stake in the digital asset by selling as the price rose in the hope of buying more when it retreated in value.\"But it didn't work. Every time I sold, it just went higher, and I bought again quickly, I kept repeating and thus reduced my bitcoin to 5.76 bitcoin,\" he explained.It turned out to be an error that slashed about $70,000 from his account, at that time.Dawood said that he eventually sold his remaining bitcoin to a man he met through www.localbitcoins.com , a site that matches buyers and sellers of crypto and touts human-to-human transactions.The buyer wanted to wire him the sale proceeds but Dawood felt more comfortable meeting in a public place. Dawood arranged to meet at a nearby Dubai mall.He accepted 370,000 Emirati Dirham , the equivalent of about $100,000 at the time, in exchange for his 5.76 bitcoin.\"I counted the [money] and then deposited [it] in my 2 bank accounts in separate transactions.For most people, this is where the story ends, especially after taking a nearly 4-bitcoin profit in his crypto foray.However, Dawood was itching to find a fresh investment. So he bought 15,500 shares of NIO at $4.64 on Jan. 23, 2020, and another chunk of 6,565 shares at $4.12 days later as the stock slipped, before making a final purchase of 2,055 shares at $12.79 in July.In total, he was holding on to more than 24,000 NIO shares, which cost him a little over $125,000, including an additional $25,000 that he accumulated from winning bets in Organigram Holdings (OGI.T), and Canadian cannabis company Aphria, which was bought by rival Tilray Inc.  in a deal announced earlier this year.Nearly a year after his January 2020 buy, Dawood sold his more than 24,000 shares of NIO in December, bought at an average price of $7.18, at $46.603 for a total of $1.124 million, trading statements reviewed by MarketWatch show.Then, he took the money from his NIO investment and poured the entire sum into GameStop Corp. $(GME.AU)$, purchasing more than 50,500 shares on Dec. 28, 2020 at around $22.\"It's a stupid move, I agree,\" he told MarketWatch. \"And my friends and my family all told me not to.\" But Dawood did it anyway.Tales of thrill-seeking investors appear to be growing against a backdrop of a stock market that is flush with liquidity from central banks across the globe and a prevailing climate of low interest rates that have emboldened investors young and old to carve out paths that might make the likes of Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA)(BRKA) CEO Warren Buffett or Peter Lynch grimace.Brokerages, offering zero-commission trades are riding this wave of new investors. Fidelity Investments, for example, said that it added 4.1 million new accounts , according to data from JMP Securities, as stuck-at-home investors used pandemic stimulus funds to make stock bets.National Securities chief market strategist Art Hogan said that \"there are literally thousands of stories\" like Dawood's that \"worked out the other way.\"\"To me, this is a great sideshow story that really has nothing to do with investing whatsoever, but it's the nature of what's happening now,\" Hogan said.The Dow Jones Industrial Average , the S&P 500 index  and the Nasdaq Composite Index  have seen choppy trade in recent weeks, but indexes aren't that far from record highs as investors wrestle with the prospect of higher inflation and a sizzling post-pandemic economy.A recent New York Times article made crypto trader Glauber Contessoto  famous, after documenting the 33-year-old's outlandish, leveraged bets on \"meme\" asset dogecoin , which had made him roughly $2 million as of early to mid-May.Dogecoin has taken a precipitous drop along with the rest of the crypto complex since then, however.See:Individual investors are back--here's what it means for the stock marketDawood says that he wants people to know his story because he thinks that too few of his friends and people his age are investing and he believes that saving isn't enough to grow wealth.There are a couple of things to know about Dawood's GameStop wager. Had he been as patient with his GME bet as he was with NIO, he would be a millionaire many times over.His shares would have been worth $17.5 million had he sold GameStop around the peak in January, and those shares would still be worth around $12 million if he owned them today.But he says he sold them at $33 because a paper profit isn't profit at all.Despite this, Dawood grew his portfolio to roughly $1.7 million. Nothing to sneeze at, but hardly the money that he could have made.Does he have any regrets? \"Of course,\" he said. But he's living with it.So what did Dawood do with the proceeds from GameStop?He put it back in NIO and that is where it will stay until it hits $100. He's already lost a chunk on that wager. NIO is trading at $37.92 as of Wednesday, or about half of where Dawood originally bought it.Meanwhile, he has been supplementing his income by selling covered calls against his investment portfolio. A call is an option that gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy the underlying asset at a specified strike price by a certain time.By selling calls, Dawood is effectively betting that the price won't rise above the strike price, while collecting the premium paid by the buyer for the option.Check out:How an options-trading frenzy is lifting stocks and stirring fears of a market bubbleIf his stocks rise in value above the strike price, he pays the option buyer the difference between the equity price and the strike price. If the stock falls or doesn't rise enough to hit the exercise price, he keeps the premium paid by the option buyer. He's earned tens of thousands using that strategy so far and has lived off some of that income and invested it in NIO, most recently.Dawood is currently on an eight-month unpaid leave from his airline gig as much of the world attempts to emerge from COVID. His expenses are minimal.His company pays for his apartment, where he has lived for a number of years and he drives a modest vehicle for a would-be millionaire: a 2011 Ford Figo:He said that he plans to end his high-risk parlays once he hits $3 million, at which point he may buy property and purchase something more staid and secure than meme stocks and crypto.\"I will tell you that when you contemplate things like that, when you say to yourself 'when I get to this amount, I will stop' or whatever your goal is...you're really just rolling the dice,\" the National Securities' Hogan added.\"Congratulations to him for how it's turned out so far...but this isn't investing, it's gambling,\" Hogan said.Right now, Dawood isn't blinking, despite NIO's recent slump. \"I believe in NIO,\" he said and plus, \"Tesla Inc. $(TSLA)$ was too expensive for me,\" he said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198184758,"gmtCreate":1620946941874,"gmtModify":1634195156287,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Awesome article. Such a good read. Like the wisdom tree concept. Now we know so much &amp;&nbsp;the moat&nbsp;of Palantir, is it time to buy more&nbsp;now?&nbsp;","listText":"Awesome article. Such a good read. Like the wisdom tree concept. Now we know so much &amp;&nbsp;the moat&nbsp;of Palantir, is it time to buy more&nbsp;now?&nbsp;","text":"Awesome article. Such a good read. Like the wisdom tree concept. Now we know so much & the moat of Palantir, is it time to buy more now?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198184758","repostId":"1191876953","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1191876953","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620719091,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191876953?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-11 15:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Highly Favourable Reward-To-Risk","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191876953","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryA look at the relationship between P/S and Total Addressable Market and what it means for Pal","content":"<p>Summary</p><ul><li>A look at the relationship between P/S and Total Addressable Market and what it means for Palantir.</li><li>In FY20, revenue grew 47% with only 6 customer additions. The consensus 33% growth for FY21 looks way off.</li><li>A deep-dive into the impressive underlying economics of Palantir’s business.</li><li>A simple valuation analysis to outline it's extremely unlikely investors will lose money even by investing at these levels.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eab06bd9956d953235cc7975b0de6995\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Contents</b></p><ul><li>Multiples &amp; TAM</li><li>&gt; P/S &amp; TAM Penetration</li><li>&gt;&gt; PLTR’s TAM and Ability to Enter New Markets?</li><li>&gt; Expanding TAM Fueling Expanding Multiple</li><li>&gt;&gt; ServiceNow vs Workday</li><li>&gt;&gt; Cloudflare</li><li>Multiples &amp; TAM Recap</li><li>What is PLTR Actually Good At?</li><li>What’s Not Being Talked About</li><li>Impressive Underlying Economics</li><li>Valuation</li><li>Conclusion</li></ul><p><b>Multiples &amp; TAM</b></p><p>It’s commonly known that multiples are closely correlated with revenue growth expectations – higher growth usually equals higher P/S and P/E. Though we wanted to explore the relationship between multiples and a company’s Total Addressable Market, aka TAM. Firstly, we investigated the correlation between P/S and TAM penetration. Then secondly, we used a qualitative approach to assess how increases in TAM tends to affect a company’s P/S. The reason for delving into this is to gain a better insight into Palantir's (PLTR) ongoing valuation, whether the stock’s P/S will persist, extend, or decline, and ultimately what this means for investors’ returns.</p><p>P/S &amp; TAM Penetration</p><p>We already had metrics for a group of stocks we put together for some other PLTR analysis, therefore we used these to work on the P/S and TAM penetration correlation. To arrive at a TAM for each stock, if we didn’t know beforehand, we reviewed company websites to understand which markets they serve, and then we looked for independent market research (from the likes of Grand View Research and Mordor Intelligence, etc.) estimating the size and growth projections of the subject market. If the size of market estimate seemed odd compared to the company’s revenues and P/S, then we resorted to the company’s investor presentations that usually offer a TAM.</p><p>As this was quite time-consuming, in addition to PLTR we only conducted this process for 15 stocks, so the sample size is 16. Therefore, the statistics shown in the table below should be viewed with caution because the sample is relatively small and adding more to the sample may significantly change the correlation. Nonetheless, you might still be interested despite the sample being on the small side. From this research we found that the P/S and the TAM penetration (defined as LTM revenue divided by the TAM) for this group of stocks had an inverse correlation of -0.6281. The negative sign indicates that a smaller TAM penetration is associated with a higher P/S. The correlation equates to an R-squared of -0.6281 ^ 2 =<b>0.3945</b>. This means that the TAM penetration explains 39.45% of the variability of the P/S within this group. And considering the nature of financial variables, this is a moderately strong correlation. As expected, there is a stronger correlation between P/S and LTM revenue growth. The 0.9248 correlation equates to an R-squared of 85.55%.</p><p>Figure 1 - Correlation between P/S and TAM Penetration</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b8853eadde7cac4e62059f7961af215\" tg-width=\"385\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Convequity analysis</p><p>This is far from conclusive and requires further research but it certainly looks likely that TAM penetration is inversely correlated to P/S multiples. So, what does this have to do with PLTR’s valuation? Well, the market is currently pricing in the management guided TAM of $119bn, yet in reality the TAM is a lot greater. Once investors realize this the 33x P/S at the time of writing will offer extremely good value.</p><p><b>PLTR’s TAM and Ability to Enter New Markets?</b></p><p>A high stock multiple often results in poor future returns because there are already high growth expectations priced in, and as the growth outlook naturally decelerates, the multiple will decline too. However, we believe PLTR, like other best-in-breed cloud-oriented stocks, are a special case, because they can rotate and enter new markets with relative ease.</p><p>Showcased by theDouble-Clickevent, PLTR is already emerging as a formidable player in the life sciences analytics industry which is projected to grow from$22bn in 2020 to $42bn by 2025. TheERPmarket, in which they’ve smoothly entered via a AWS partnership, is projected to grow from $43bn today up to $60bn by 2026. Despite these markets being heavily competed for by established players, PLTR’s software-defined approach is displacing many incumbents and in due course will grab a sizeable chunk of market share. And these are just two markets that make up over half of PLTR’s supposed TAM of $119bn.</p><p>In reality, PLTR’s TAM is the entire software industry. They have an ability like no other software vendor in history to pivot into new markets as they see fit. They have the programming skills and the thoughtfulness in interface design, along with a deep understanding of how users need to interact with software, that affords them the capability to turn their focus to any software market worthwhile. With this in mind, it is reasonable to assume that whenever PLTR needs a revenue growth and/or share price booster, they can formulate a plan to penetrate a new market and provide that catalyst.</p><p>Below we highlight PLTR’s true potential TAM with reference to a Gartner estimate. The IT services might be a stretch but they certainly have the ability to fully expand within the $483bn Enterprise Software market. With current TTM revenue a little over $1bn, the current TAM penetration of &lt; 0.3% offers high growth for many years which will help prevent a sharp P/S deceleration and support strong future shareholder returns. And in all likelihood, the P/S will probably expand in the interim before beginning a downward trajectory.</p><p>Figure 2 - Worldwide IT Spending Forecasts</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dda4329ffe8f2cead662503bd5cd8a8\" tg-width=\"466\" tg-height=\"314\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Expanding TAM Fueling Expanding Multiple</p><p>With this TAM correlation in mind, it might be interesting for investors to visualize how PLTR’s share price and P/S will respond when management inevitably announce that they’re entering new markets – CRM, Risk Management, Productivity, or whatever it may be. To illustrate this, we’ll review the P/S paths of ServiceNow (NOW) and Workday (WDAY) during the past few years.</p><p><b>ServiceNow vs Workday</b></p><p>Comparing the P/S trends of these two stocks in relation to their TAM development is interesting to observe. To observe the changing TAM, we’ve used research giant Gartner’s Magic Quadrant. Here is the Magic Quadrant template for those unfamiliar.</p><p>Figure 3 - Gartner's Magic Quadrant Template</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26acf1d90d9c7bc6f9c912e1e938cff7\" tg-width=\"377\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source:gartner.com</p><p>Back in 2016, in reference to Gartner’s Magic Quadrant, Workday (WDAY) was the outright leader in Human Capital Management (HCM) and ServiceNow (NOW) was the same for IT Services Management (ITSM). Both firms had similar revenue growth and gross, operating, and FCF margins, and also neither were serving any other markets. Therefore, as shown in the following chart, WDAY’s higher P/S appeared to be largely attributed to HCM being a larger market than ITSM. During 2017, according to Gartner’s HCM Magic Quadrant WDAY lost its competitive distance as the space became crowded. During the same period, NOW extended their leadership status in the ITSM Magic Quadrant. As a result, the P/S differential closed and the two stocks were trading at almost identical multiples throughout 2017. Despite the same growth rates in 2018, NOW’s P/S pulled sharply higher than WDAY’s because they expanded TAM by entering into two new markets – Integrated Risk Management and CRM Customer Engagement – whilst WDAY didn’t expand their TAM.</p><p>Figure 4 - NOW vs WDAY P/S Multiple Journey, Part 1</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/819428f5fd07f5be31e2e242101675e8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"334\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Koyfin chart, Convequity analysis</p><p>In early 2019, the P/S differential tightened with WDAY’s multiple climbing partly attributable to expanding into the Cloud Financial Management market; NOW also entered a new market in early 2019. Then in 2020, the difference widened further as a result of NOW expanding into 3 more markets and turning from visionary to leader in the Magic Quadrant for Software Asset Management (SAM) whilst WDAY did not even enter one new market.</p><p>Figure 5 - Figure 1 - NOW vs WDAY P/S Multiple Journey, Part 2</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/671154b03eb210d553999cf81e22632c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Koyfin chart, Convequity analysis</p><p>This is a classic example of how entering new markets raises expectations for growth and long-term profitability, thereby raising multiples and ultimately increasing returns for shareholders. We don’t claim that inclusion into Gartner’s Magic Quadrants were the sole factor at play, however, given that both firms’ growth and margins were similar for most of the period under review, it certainly appears to have had a significant influence.</p><p>Cloudflare</p><p>Cloudflare (NET) offers another good example of how TAM expansion influences a stock’s multiple. NET certainly benefitted from the general COVID-induced WFH dynamic during 2020, however, their new product launches also contributed to multiple expansion in a significant way. NET have moved so fast that Gartner haven’t even had time to update their Magic Quadrants, therefore we shall leave Gartner out of this observation. In just 16 months, NET has tripled their P/S mainly as a result of entering new markets. In January 2020, they entered into a $20bn market by announcing their offerings for Secure Web Gateways and Zero Trust products. In July 2020, they made a big move by making their edge compute Workers platform accessible to all developers; in October 2020 they officially launched their SASE offering; and then in March 2021, they introduced Magic WAN which has kind of created a new market altogether because NET is the first to offer a global private WAN.</p><p>Figure 6 - NET's P/S Journey</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12bc7ba8e1617c02699be8a7509ec27d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"303\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Koyfin chart, Convequity analysis</p><p>There are plenty of other recent examples in which stocks have expanded multiples thanks to TAM expansion - Zscaler and Twilio to name a couple. An underlying driving factor enabling software companies to enter new markets with relative ease is the growth of cloud computing. The required capex to move into new markets is minimal in comparison to the pre-cloud era because software firms don’t need to purchase and implement more servers. Once an application is developed and ready to be deployed, they can scale it across the elastic supply of AWS, Azure, or GCP servers that provide all the necessary compute, networking, and storage requirements – and ramp-up or decrease capacity according to demand.</p><p>As we point out in our articleS&amp;P 500 is Undervalued, Tech is in a New Paradigm, cloud computing has altered the software industry’s competitive dynamics. It has radically lowered the entry barriers thereby making many software markets overcrowded - in 2007 there were 115 U.S. software stocks and today there are 284. This isn’t alarming as the numbers suggest because the cloud has opened up many greenfield markets, however, the cloud has ushered in a winner-takes-all dynamic into various markets also. And given the reach enabled by the cloud, the prize for the market winners is larger than it’s ever been before. At Asymmetric Tech Investments we aim to identify these future winners.</p><p><b>Multiples &amp; TAM Recap</b></p><p>Here is a quick recap:</p><ul><li>There is evidence that a stock’s P/S is moderately correlated to revenue divided by TAM, or TAM penetration. This may appear obvious to some investors though doing this bit of research has helped us refine how we view a company’s market opportunity and shareholder investment prospects.</li><li>There are many examples that illustrate how TAM expansion tends to increase stock multiples, or at least play a significant part.</li><li>Cloud computing has made it easier than ever before for software firms to expand TAM.</li></ul><p>Taking this into account, the future looks incredibly bright for PLTR’s share price. As and when PLTR enter new markets and expand the company’s TAM, there is a high probability that the share price will climb driven by altering growth expectations. If it can be argued that PLTR’s software is already effectively doing stuff like Software Asset Management, Integrated Risk Management, and CRM, then the TAM should be higher than the current $119bn priced in. And if this is the case, PLTR’s multiple should adjust higher to reflect this in due course. Either way despite the perceived high P/S at present, it will probably persist or even rise from here, and over a longer timeframe we suspect PLTR’s multiple will decelerate at a much slower pace than many other high-growth software stocks.</p><p>Lastly, not only does PLTR have the core software skills to enter almost any market, they are well and truly cloud-enabled following their partnerships with AWS and IBM. This will accelerate the TAM expansion for sure.</p><p><b>What is PLTR Actually Good At?</b></p><p>It might be easier to try and answer what they aren’t good at. All the information given in the S-1, the 10-k, and investor presentations, pertaining to what PLTR do can be somewhat overwhelming. At the same time, just labelling them a data analysis company is a gross oversimplification. To help us refine our understanding of PLTR’s scope, below we’ve categorized 4 areas, or pillars, in which we believe lays the foundation for all they do – Data Connectivity, Data, Analysis, Data Governance, and User Interface. We’re probably not alone in inferring that the underpinning to PLTR’s superior advantages is closely associated with these 4 pillars. Each of which appear to be in a transformative stage due to the world delving deeper into an era of hyperconnectivity. Within each category we listed things that PLTR are good at dealing with. By the time we had finished we realized the depth and sheer breadth of what they can do.</p><p>Figure 7 – The 4 Pillars to PLTR’s Competitive Edge</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8e17daf500fc82224591acb8ed9bee2\" tg-width=\"555\" tg-height=\"343\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Convequity analysis</p><p>And the only way we can surmise as to how they are capable of such depth and scope, is that they have the deepest understanding of the core principles of software engineering and have an amazing ability to leverage this to various platforms and technologies. Elon Musk’s advocacy for First Principles thinking springs to mind.</p><p>Figure 8 - First Principles Thinking</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9bda1fb57abaf33eff8dfacd2457aa2\" tg-width=\"513\" tg-height=\"401\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source:safalniveshak.com</p><p>It is these 4 pillars in which PLTR are building their moat around, and this foundation can be leveraged to enter almost any software market. Throw in the network effects within enterprise customers’ organization, across verticals (life sciences, airline industry, etc.), and within PLTR itself, it’s hard to envisage them losing their competitive lead.</p><p>Recently I spoke to a friend who is an engineer at Rolls Royce who shed some light on how PLTR could help him in his job. Below is what he told me.</p><blockquote><i>“When designing a product, a RR engineer will spend ~25% of their time gathering and pre-processing data in order to perform a design study. Typically, the data is created by multiple teams, each working in different systems and supplying the data in different formats by differing means. For example, the stress engineer will supply speeds/temperatures/pressures in the form of an emailed spreadsheet. The aero engineer will supply geometry as a CAD file and a pressure map as a .csv file via a shared drive. The designer will supply geometric information and tolerances as a printed word document. All this data must be extracted and processed into a single format before the designer can do any analysis. Having all this data in one system would massively reduce the time spent processing data and would free up the designer to do the actual engineering.”</i></blockquote><p>Foundry would solve his problem by connecting to all the relevant data sources and standardizing the data ready for immediate analysis. The ramp-up in my friend’s productivity would be profound. Generally, it seems as though this type of problem involving data located across disjointed systems and existing in different formats has up until now been the main use case for Foundry. Increasingly, however, we’re hearing cases whereby Foundry has been laid atop an enterprise’s legacy systems and deliver what works like a brand-new IT infrastructure built from the ground up. For example, in the Double Click event, Forward Deploy Engineer, Liam Mawe, explained how a Foundry ERP archetype was installed for one industrial client that already had 25 ERP systems in operation that were largely siloed from each other. After a few hours of configuration, Foundry’s ERP had every single piece of data readily available. Mawe didn’t elaborate, though we presume Foundry’s ERP could carry on working in conjunction with the other ERP systems or work just as well should the client decide to remove them – which is more probable. This incredible flexibility is the key to the seemingly rapid customer acquisition of late – there is no rip and replace required, so the stakes are lower and as a result decision-makers are more willing to give PLTR a try.</p><p><b>What’s Not Being Talked About</b></p><p>From what we’ve read about PLTR, there hasn’t been any mention of the fact that they only added 6 customers in FY20 whilst growing revenue by 47%. This is staggering; and achieved by the 41% increase in revenue per customer, as shown in the chart below. When we think about the AWS and IBM cloud partnerships and the various press releases thus far into 2021, they could have tripled the FY20 new customer number in the first quarter alone. Couple that with another &gt;20% increase in per customer revenue, it’s not beyond the realm of possibility for PLTR to grow revenue by 60% this year.</p><p>Figure 9 - Net New Customer Additions in FY20</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5c6b020093a59492fcc6c4c50812b65\" tg-width=\"314\" tg-height=\"128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: 10-k, Convequity analysis</p><p>We thought we’d have a go at forecasting 1Q21 revenue – which will be released before the market open on Tuesday 11thMay. We began by building up the revenue estimate based on available information such as the press releases thus far in 2021, balance sheet items such as deferred revenue and customer deposits, as well as off-balance sheet deal value which includes remaining performance obligations and contract renewal options. In the 3Q20 investor presentation we noticed the average contract duration was 3.6 years, so we used this to estimate what might come off deferred revenue and customer deposits and be recorded as income statement revenue. To estimate how much deal value might be transferred into revenue for 1Q21, we used a longer duration of 4.6 years. We infer that a small portion of deal value could skip the balance sheet and land straight on the income statement when customers renew their contracts. Of course, this is an oversimplification of how these financial items are linked together so the estimate might be way off. Nonetheless, based on all this, as shown below, we estimate 1Q21 revenue of $259m which, as a reminder, is derived from available information and has not accounted for unknowns. This is a shortfall of $73m versus the $332m consensus estimate. Given all the unknown revenue sources from the AWS and IBM deals and elsewhere, and the general confidence from management, it looks like PLTR are going to blow these forecasts out the water.</p><p>Figure 10 - 1Q21 Revenue Estimates Based on Available Information</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c976ca3fc200ad63eb7ee9595b6b8a5\" tg-width=\"633\" tg-height=\"345\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: 10-k, Convequity analysis</p><p><b>Impressive Underlying Economics</b></p><p>We believe the greatest investment catalyst is tied to PLTR’s profitability potential; and this is because of the pervasive doubt of the business model viability at present. Management have heavily focused on contribution margin (that we’ll refer to as CM) in previous investor presentations. As the they presented in the 4Q20 presentation shown below, CM margin has more than doubled from FY19 to FY20. However, this could be skewed due to the low number of customer additions – only 6 in FY20. With this in mind we wanted to dig deeper in understanding how the underlying economics have really improved.</p><p>Figure 11 - High-Level View of Contribution Margin and Gross Margin</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d46bd90bbcfcc1028ec0417d858ec8f8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"270\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source:4Q20 Investor Presentation</p><p>Management have presented the efficiency of the business by grouping customers into 3 phases – Acquire, Expand, and Scale – and in each phase, show how the CM changes within each group. To illustrate, take a look at the figures below, extracted from the S-1 and the 10-k. The customers in the Acquire Phase in FY19 (fiscal year-end 31stDec-21) generated a very negative CM. Those same customers, generated a 17% CM in FY20. The customers in the Expand Phase in FY19 generated -43% CM, and those same customers generated 47% CM in the following year. What’s important to note here, is that the Acquire Phase customers in FY19 will not be the same Acquire Phase customers in FY20 – they will become the Expand Phase customers (or potentially even the Scale Phase customers).</p><p>Figure 12 - PLTR's Customer Phases</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/349bc44eeb8317f08f36bb9da9a2d261\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"83\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: PLTR’s S-1 and FY20 10-k</p><p>On the face of it, this looks impressive, but when we think deeper about it, this is what most SaaS/software firms are doing nowadays. The S&amp;M expenditure to bring the customer to a company and the initial deployment and operational costs make the Acquire phase the costliest. At the same time, free trial or preliminary testing periods don’t generate much revenue. So, for any SaaS-type firm, negative CM is the case for the Acquire and the Expand phases and those same customers will become profitable at a later point in the relationship. We think investors are aware of this and this is why there doesn’t seem to be much online discussion about PLTR’s CM. Of course, investors could simply take the higher-level view of overall CM more than doubling in FY20, however, as aforementioned this is potentially skewed because of the few new customers acquired.</p><p>What can be instantly gleaned from the above CM metrics, is that when the proportion of new customers joining PLTR is small in relation to existing customers the overall CM will be close to the Scale Phase CM. But perhaps that still doesn’t impressive investors enough, because it may take a few years to reach that state.</p><p>Let’s go back to notion that the Acquire Phase customers in FY19 go on to be the Expand (or even Scale) Phase customers in FY20. This is useful but we wanted to see if we could compare the FY20 Acquire Phase with the FY19 Acquire Phase; and the FY20 Expand Phase with the FY19 Expand Phase; and the same for the Scale Phase. This cannot be derived from the data above. Therefore, we’ve had to dig deeper, scan for more information, and make some educated guesses to piece this together. Because knowing by how much the Expand Phase CM has improved from FY19 to FY20 would be really insightful and we don’t suspect many analysts have tried this so far so there is probably an information edge to be gained over the market.</p><p>We show the analysis we did on this below, however,it may be easier for readers to access the actual spreadsheetto take a closer look. If you click the link make sure to download the spreadsheet to see all the comment boxes.</p><p>What interests us the most in the spreadsheet, is the Expand Phase comparisons in FY19 and FY20. The 28% CM highlighted in yellow, under the FY20 Expand Cohort, is what we think the Expand Phase CM must have been in FY20. The equivalent CM in FY19 was -43%. This is a huge like-for-like improvement in the CM and indicates how PLTR has/is radically shortening the deployment phase of their software by utilizing their Apollo SaaS-installation. Personally, we think this is more insightful and meaningful than the overall CM presented which could be skewed, and also versus management’s presentation of the Acquire/Expand/Scale CMs.</p><p>Figure 13 - Contribution Margin Like-for-Like Comparisons</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14c581fd6fbbccea3d7a5da87480edf5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"694\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: 10-k, Convequity analysis</p><p>Another way to view this is that customers are classified as Expand Phase customers when they’ve exceeded $100k in annualized revenue but CM is negative. If the FY19 Expand Phase CM was -43%, it indicates that the majority of these customers remained negative CM customers throughout FY19. If the FY20 Expand Phase CM is 28%, it indicates that the majority of these customers turned from negative to positive within the same year. Again, in our opinion, this is way more impressive than what PLTR’s management has presented to date.</p><p>Lastly, in the final section of the spreadsheet, the Total CMs highlighted in gold text are actual and the ones in red are composed of actual and estimated figures. We can see that all the FY19 customers generated a weighted average CM of 23% in FY19, and then those same customers generated 58% CM in FY20. Going into FY21 we forecast that these same FY19 customers will generate 68% in CM. All the FY20 customers generated a CM of 54% in FY20, though had PLTR brought on board more new customers in FY20, the CM would be considerably lower. These same customers are estimated to generate 65% in CM in FY21 and then 75% in FY22.</p><p>To conclude, PLTR’s current CM of 54% is already high, especially for a high growth software stock, yet it’s likely to move higher. We expect the AWS and IBM partnerships to give PLTR the scale to expand its margins. We think this should erase the doubt that PLTR will be highly profitable. The huge nonrecurring expenses related to the DPO and associated stock-based compensation and other opex categories have contributed to the appearance of an unprofitable business. As these costs normalize and PLTR further leverage Apollo’s SaaS installation/deployment, the CM will continue to rise and PLTR’s margins lower down the income statement will also look attractive.</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>In our previous article on PLTR we presented our DCF valuation for PLTR which arrived at a value per share of $47. We still have full faith in this valuation; however, it may take longer than we initially anticipated. And we partly assign this to the misunderstanding of the potential profitability of the stock. Therefore, for this section, we approached the valuation through a different lens. We’ve projected PLTR’s average revenue growth rate through FY25 and used possible P/S multiples in FY25.</p><p>In the 4Q20 earnings call, management stated that they believe revenue growth will be above 30% each year through to FY25 – quite incredible considering the current TTM revenue of $1.1bn. Knowing this, below we’ve projected some arbitrary growth rates. We know FY20 growth was 47% and based off what management has stated, we’ll put FY25 growth as 30% as a minimum. Therefore, we’ve randomly decelerated from 47% to 30% for each year. The Compounded Annual Growth Rate, or CAGR, of this series of growth rates equals 34%. We shall use this for the valuation exercise.</p><p>Figure 14 - Estimate for Average Revenue Growth Through FY25</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b76e91d228a978ddd8a18a8a102ea495\" tg-width=\"449\" tg-height=\"109\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Convequity analysis</p><p>By using this 34% average revenue growth rate (or CAGR) we calculate revenue will be $4.784bn in FY25/2025. Due to the natural growth expectations decline, we guess that the P/S will be 20x in 2025. ServiceNow’s is currently 20x whilst having TTM revenue of $4,500m, so this is plausible for exceptional companies. These parameters calculate a 2025 market cap of $96bn, a share price of $53.39, and an annualized return of 21%.</p><p>Figure 15 - 2025 Market Cap Forecast</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef9e349e3ba5ffdd5f413a5c857fcb18\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"47\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Convequity analysis</p><p>Below we show the 2025 share price sensitivity table with the 2025 P/S and the CAGR being the two variables. The probabilities are arbitrary just to express how likely we think the respective P/S metrics are in 2025. The share prices in purple text represent the range of what we think our estimation error is likely to be.</p><p>Figure 16 - PLTR's 2025 Share Price Sensitivity Table</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7192c1e4fcda23289de59a09c242fec\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"203\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Convequity analysis</p><p>If management are correct with their growth prediction, then a P/S toward 30x would be fairer than a &lt;20x P/S. However, even if PLTR only generate an average growth rate of 24% and the P/S is 14x at the end of 2025, at the current share price of ~$20 investors still wouldn’t have lost capital. Indeed, it would have been a disappointing investment, but it wouldn’t have lost money. This sensitivity table shows that, despite PLTR’s high multiple at present, the future returns look very appetizing.</p><p>The next sensitivity table replaces the share price with the annualized return through to 2025.</p><p>Figure 17 - PLTR's 2025 Annualized Return Sensitivity Table</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f3a6e9d761e6e7fcb3fb918df9b8503\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"205\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Convequity analysis</p><p>In summary, even at the current high P/S of 34x, we consider it extremely unlikely that investors will lose money investing in PLTR now and holding through to 2025 – simply because of growth projections. Add in the impressive underlying economics, we believe this will prove to be a very good long-term investment.</p><p>So, given the minimal downside and the attractive upside, PLTR is one of the most favourable reward-to-risk holdings in the Convequity Portfolio.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>PLTR’s stock is going to be driven by a combination of changing TAM expectations, high growth, and impressive profitability in due course. Currently, it looks as though the market is underestimating all of these, so the future looks very bright, indeed.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Highly Favourable Reward-To-Risk</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Highly Favourable Reward-To-Risk\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-11 15:44 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4426825-palantir-highly-favourable-reward-to-risk><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryA look at the relationship between P/S and Total Addressable Market and what it means for Palantir.In FY20, revenue grew 47% with only 6 customer additions. The consensus 33% growth for FY21 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4426825-palantir-highly-favourable-reward-to-risk\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4426825-palantir-highly-favourable-reward-to-risk","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1191876953","content_text":"SummaryA look at the relationship between P/S and Total Addressable Market and what it means for Palantir.In FY20, revenue grew 47% with only 6 customer additions. The consensus 33% growth for FY21 looks way off.A deep-dive into the impressive underlying economics of Palantir’s business.A simple valuation analysis to outline it's extremely unlikely investors will lose money even by investing at these levels.ContentsMultiples & TAM> P/S & TAM Penetration>> PLTR’s TAM and Ability to Enter New Markets?> Expanding TAM Fueling Expanding Multiple>> ServiceNow vs Workday>> CloudflareMultiples & TAM RecapWhat is PLTR Actually Good At?What’s Not Being Talked AboutImpressive Underlying EconomicsValuationConclusionMultiples & TAMIt’s commonly known that multiples are closely correlated with revenue growth expectations – higher growth usually equals higher P/S and P/E. Though we wanted to explore the relationship between multiples and a company’s Total Addressable Market, aka TAM. Firstly, we investigated the correlation between P/S and TAM penetration. Then secondly, we used a qualitative approach to assess how increases in TAM tends to affect a company’s P/S. The reason for delving into this is to gain a better insight into Palantir's (PLTR) ongoing valuation, whether the stock’s P/S will persist, extend, or decline, and ultimately what this means for investors’ returns.P/S & TAM PenetrationWe already had metrics for a group of stocks we put together for some other PLTR analysis, therefore we used these to work on the P/S and TAM penetration correlation. To arrive at a TAM for each stock, if we didn’t know beforehand, we reviewed company websites to understand which markets they serve, and then we looked for independent market research (from the likes of Grand View Research and Mordor Intelligence, etc.) estimating the size and growth projections of the subject market. If the size of market estimate seemed odd compared to the company’s revenues and P/S, then we resorted to the company’s investor presentations that usually offer a TAM.As this was quite time-consuming, in addition to PLTR we only conducted this process for 15 stocks, so the sample size is 16. Therefore, the statistics shown in the table below should be viewed with caution because the sample is relatively small and adding more to the sample may significantly change the correlation. Nonetheless, you might still be interested despite the sample being on the small side. From this research we found that the P/S and the TAM penetration (defined as LTM revenue divided by the TAM) for this group of stocks had an inverse correlation of -0.6281. The negative sign indicates that a smaller TAM penetration is associated with a higher P/S. The correlation equates to an R-squared of -0.6281 ^ 2 =0.3945. This means that the TAM penetration explains 39.45% of the variability of the P/S within this group. And considering the nature of financial variables, this is a moderately strong correlation. As expected, there is a stronger correlation between P/S and LTM revenue growth. The 0.9248 correlation equates to an R-squared of 85.55%.Figure 1 - Correlation between P/S and TAM PenetrationSource: Convequity analysisThis is far from conclusive and requires further research but it certainly looks likely that TAM penetration is inversely correlated to P/S multiples. So, what does this have to do with PLTR’s valuation? Well, the market is currently pricing in the management guided TAM of $119bn, yet in reality the TAM is a lot greater. Once investors realize this the 33x P/S at the time of writing will offer extremely good value.PLTR’s TAM and Ability to Enter New Markets?A high stock multiple often results in poor future returns because there are already high growth expectations priced in, and as the growth outlook naturally decelerates, the multiple will decline too. However, we believe PLTR, like other best-in-breed cloud-oriented stocks, are a special case, because they can rotate and enter new markets with relative ease.Showcased by theDouble-Clickevent, PLTR is already emerging as a formidable player in the life sciences analytics industry which is projected to grow from$22bn in 2020 to $42bn by 2025. TheERPmarket, in which they’ve smoothly entered via a AWS partnership, is projected to grow from $43bn today up to $60bn by 2026. Despite these markets being heavily competed for by established players, PLTR’s software-defined approach is displacing many incumbents and in due course will grab a sizeable chunk of market share. And these are just two markets that make up over half of PLTR’s supposed TAM of $119bn.In reality, PLTR’s TAM is the entire software industry. They have an ability like no other software vendor in history to pivot into new markets as they see fit. They have the programming skills and the thoughtfulness in interface design, along with a deep understanding of how users need to interact with software, that affords them the capability to turn their focus to any software market worthwhile. With this in mind, it is reasonable to assume that whenever PLTR needs a revenue growth and/or share price booster, they can formulate a plan to penetrate a new market and provide that catalyst.Below we highlight PLTR’s true potential TAM with reference to a Gartner estimate. The IT services might be a stretch but they certainly have the ability to fully expand within the $483bn Enterprise Software market. With current TTM revenue a little over $1bn, the current TAM penetration of < 0.3% offers high growth for many years which will help prevent a sharp P/S deceleration and support strong future shareholder returns. And in all likelihood, the P/S will probably expand in the interim before beginning a downward trajectory.Figure 2 - Worldwide IT Spending ForecastsExpanding TAM Fueling Expanding MultipleWith this TAM correlation in mind, it might be interesting for investors to visualize how PLTR’s share price and P/S will respond when management inevitably announce that they’re entering new markets – CRM, Risk Management, Productivity, or whatever it may be. To illustrate this, we’ll review the P/S paths of ServiceNow (NOW) and Workday (WDAY) during the past few years.ServiceNow vs WorkdayComparing the P/S trends of these two stocks in relation to their TAM development is interesting to observe. To observe the changing TAM, we’ve used research giant Gartner’s Magic Quadrant. Here is the Magic Quadrant template for those unfamiliar.Figure 3 - Gartner's Magic Quadrant TemplateSource:gartner.comBack in 2016, in reference to Gartner’s Magic Quadrant, Workday (WDAY) was the outright leader in Human Capital Management (HCM) and ServiceNow (NOW) was the same for IT Services Management (ITSM). Both firms had similar revenue growth and gross, operating, and FCF margins, and also neither were serving any other markets. Therefore, as shown in the following chart, WDAY’s higher P/S appeared to be largely attributed to HCM being a larger market than ITSM. During 2017, according to Gartner’s HCM Magic Quadrant WDAY lost its competitive distance as the space became crowded. During the same period, NOW extended their leadership status in the ITSM Magic Quadrant. As a result, the P/S differential closed and the two stocks were trading at almost identical multiples throughout 2017. Despite the same growth rates in 2018, NOW’s P/S pulled sharply higher than WDAY’s because they expanded TAM by entering into two new markets – Integrated Risk Management and CRM Customer Engagement – whilst WDAY didn’t expand their TAM.Figure 4 - NOW vs WDAY P/S Multiple Journey, Part 1Source: Koyfin chart, Convequity analysisIn early 2019, the P/S differential tightened with WDAY’s multiple climbing partly attributable to expanding into the Cloud Financial Management market; NOW also entered a new market in early 2019. Then in 2020, the difference widened further as a result of NOW expanding into 3 more markets and turning from visionary to leader in the Magic Quadrant for Software Asset Management (SAM) whilst WDAY did not even enter one new market.Figure 5 - Figure 1 - NOW vs WDAY P/S Multiple Journey, Part 2Source: Koyfin chart, Convequity analysisThis is a classic example of how entering new markets raises expectations for growth and long-term profitability, thereby raising multiples and ultimately increasing returns for shareholders. We don’t claim that inclusion into Gartner’s Magic Quadrants were the sole factor at play, however, given that both firms’ growth and margins were similar for most of the period under review, it certainly appears to have had a significant influence.CloudflareCloudflare (NET) offers another good example of how TAM expansion influences a stock’s multiple. NET certainly benefitted from the general COVID-induced WFH dynamic during 2020, however, their new product launches also contributed to multiple expansion in a significant way. NET have moved so fast that Gartner haven’t even had time to update their Magic Quadrants, therefore we shall leave Gartner out of this observation. In just 16 months, NET has tripled their P/S mainly as a result of entering new markets. In January 2020, they entered into a $20bn market by announcing their offerings for Secure Web Gateways and Zero Trust products. In July 2020, they made a big move by making their edge compute Workers platform accessible to all developers; in October 2020 they officially launched their SASE offering; and then in March 2021, they introduced Magic WAN which has kind of created a new market altogether because NET is the first to offer a global private WAN.Figure 6 - NET's P/S JourneySource: Koyfin chart, Convequity analysisThere are plenty of other recent examples in which stocks have expanded multiples thanks to TAM expansion - Zscaler and Twilio to name a couple. An underlying driving factor enabling software companies to enter new markets with relative ease is the growth of cloud computing. The required capex to move into new markets is minimal in comparison to the pre-cloud era because software firms don’t need to purchase and implement more servers. Once an application is developed and ready to be deployed, they can scale it across the elastic supply of AWS, Azure, or GCP servers that provide all the necessary compute, networking, and storage requirements – and ramp-up or decrease capacity according to demand.As we point out in our articleS&P 500 is Undervalued, Tech is in a New Paradigm, cloud computing has altered the software industry’s competitive dynamics. It has radically lowered the entry barriers thereby making many software markets overcrowded - in 2007 there were 115 U.S. software stocks and today there are 284. This isn’t alarming as the numbers suggest because the cloud has opened up many greenfield markets, however, the cloud has ushered in a winner-takes-all dynamic into various markets also. And given the reach enabled by the cloud, the prize for the market winners is larger than it’s ever been before. At Asymmetric Tech Investments we aim to identify these future winners.Multiples & TAM RecapHere is a quick recap:There is evidence that a stock’s P/S is moderately correlated to revenue divided by TAM, or TAM penetration. This may appear obvious to some investors though doing this bit of research has helped us refine how we view a company’s market opportunity and shareholder investment prospects.There are many examples that illustrate how TAM expansion tends to increase stock multiples, or at least play a significant part.Cloud computing has made it easier than ever before for software firms to expand TAM.Taking this into account, the future looks incredibly bright for PLTR’s share price. As and when PLTR enter new markets and expand the company’s TAM, there is a high probability that the share price will climb driven by altering growth expectations. If it can be argued that PLTR’s software is already effectively doing stuff like Software Asset Management, Integrated Risk Management, and CRM, then the TAM should be higher than the current $119bn priced in. And if this is the case, PLTR’s multiple should adjust higher to reflect this in due course. Either way despite the perceived high P/S at present, it will probably persist or even rise from here, and over a longer timeframe we suspect PLTR’s multiple will decelerate at a much slower pace than many other high-growth software stocks.Lastly, not only does PLTR have the core software skills to enter almost any market, they are well and truly cloud-enabled following their partnerships with AWS and IBM. This will accelerate the TAM expansion for sure.What is PLTR Actually Good At?It might be easier to try and answer what they aren’t good at. All the information given in the S-1, the 10-k, and investor presentations, pertaining to what PLTR do can be somewhat overwhelming. At the same time, just labelling them a data analysis company is a gross oversimplification. To help us refine our understanding of PLTR’s scope, below we’ve categorized 4 areas, or pillars, in which we believe lays the foundation for all they do – Data Connectivity, Data, Analysis, Data Governance, and User Interface. We’re probably not alone in inferring that the underpinning to PLTR’s superior advantages is closely associated with these 4 pillars. Each of which appear to be in a transformative stage due to the world delving deeper into an era of hyperconnectivity. Within each category we listed things that PLTR are good at dealing with. By the time we had finished we realized the depth and sheer breadth of what they can do.Figure 7 – The 4 Pillars to PLTR’s Competitive EdgeSource: Convequity analysisAnd the only way we can surmise as to how they are capable of such depth and scope, is that they have the deepest understanding of the core principles of software engineering and have an amazing ability to leverage this to various platforms and technologies. Elon Musk’s advocacy for First Principles thinking springs to mind.Figure 8 - First Principles ThinkingSource:safalniveshak.comIt is these 4 pillars in which PLTR are building their moat around, and this foundation can be leveraged to enter almost any software market. Throw in the network effects within enterprise customers’ organization, across verticals (life sciences, airline industry, etc.), and within PLTR itself, it’s hard to envisage them losing their competitive lead.Recently I spoke to a friend who is an engineer at Rolls Royce who shed some light on how PLTR could help him in his job. Below is what he told me.“When designing a product, a RR engineer will spend ~25% of their time gathering and pre-processing data in order to perform a design study. Typically, the data is created by multiple teams, each working in different systems and supplying the data in different formats by differing means. For example, the stress engineer will supply speeds/temperatures/pressures in the form of an emailed spreadsheet. The aero engineer will supply geometry as a CAD file and a pressure map as a .csv file via a shared drive. The designer will supply geometric information and tolerances as a printed word document. All this data must be extracted and processed into a single format before the designer can do any analysis. Having all this data in one system would massively reduce the time spent processing data and would free up the designer to do the actual engineering.”Foundry would solve his problem by connecting to all the relevant data sources and standardizing the data ready for immediate analysis. The ramp-up in my friend’s productivity would be profound. Generally, it seems as though this type of problem involving data located across disjointed systems and existing in different formats has up until now been the main use case for Foundry. Increasingly, however, we’re hearing cases whereby Foundry has been laid atop an enterprise’s legacy systems and deliver what works like a brand-new IT infrastructure built from the ground up. For example, in the Double Click event, Forward Deploy Engineer, Liam Mawe, explained how a Foundry ERP archetype was installed for one industrial client that already had 25 ERP systems in operation that were largely siloed from each other. After a few hours of configuration, Foundry’s ERP had every single piece of data readily available. Mawe didn’t elaborate, though we presume Foundry’s ERP could carry on working in conjunction with the other ERP systems or work just as well should the client decide to remove them – which is more probable. This incredible flexibility is the key to the seemingly rapid customer acquisition of late – there is no rip and replace required, so the stakes are lower and as a result decision-makers are more willing to give PLTR a try.What’s Not Being Talked AboutFrom what we’ve read about PLTR, there hasn’t been any mention of the fact that they only added 6 customers in FY20 whilst growing revenue by 47%. This is staggering; and achieved by the 41% increase in revenue per customer, as shown in the chart below. When we think about the AWS and IBM cloud partnerships and the various press releases thus far into 2021, they could have tripled the FY20 new customer number in the first quarter alone. Couple that with another >20% increase in per customer revenue, it’s not beyond the realm of possibility for PLTR to grow revenue by 60% this year.Figure 9 - Net New Customer Additions in FY20Source: 10-k, Convequity analysisWe thought we’d have a go at forecasting 1Q21 revenue – which will be released before the market open on Tuesday 11thMay. We began by building up the revenue estimate based on available information such as the press releases thus far in 2021, balance sheet items such as deferred revenue and customer deposits, as well as off-balance sheet deal value which includes remaining performance obligations and contract renewal options. In the 3Q20 investor presentation we noticed the average contract duration was 3.6 years, so we used this to estimate what might come off deferred revenue and customer deposits and be recorded as income statement revenue. To estimate how much deal value might be transferred into revenue for 1Q21, we used a longer duration of 4.6 years. We infer that a small portion of deal value could skip the balance sheet and land straight on the income statement when customers renew their contracts. Of course, this is an oversimplification of how these financial items are linked together so the estimate might be way off. Nonetheless, based on all this, as shown below, we estimate 1Q21 revenue of $259m which, as a reminder, is derived from available information and has not accounted for unknowns. This is a shortfall of $73m versus the $332m consensus estimate. Given all the unknown revenue sources from the AWS and IBM deals and elsewhere, and the general confidence from management, it looks like PLTR are going to blow these forecasts out the water.Figure 10 - 1Q21 Revenue Estimates Based on Available InformationSource: 10-k, Convequity analysisImpressive Underlying EconomicsWe believe the greatest investment catalyst is tied to PLTR’s profitability potential; and this is because of the pervasive doubt of the business model viability at present. Management have heavily focused on contribution margin (that we’ll refer to as CM) in previous investor presentations. As the they presented in the 4Q20 presentation shown below, CM margin has more than doubled from FY19 to FY20. However, this could be skewed due to the low number of customer additions – only 6 in FY20. With this in mind we wanted to dig deeper in understanding how the underlying economics have really improved.Figure 11 - High-Level View of Contribution Margin and Gross MarginSource:4Q20 Investor PresentationManagement have presented the efficiency of the business by grouping customers into 3 phases – Acquire, Expand, and Scale – and in each phase, show how the CM changes within each group. To illustrate, take a look at the figures below, extracted from the S-1 and the 10-k. The customers in the Acquire Phase in FY19 (fiscal year-end 31stDec-21) generated a very negative CM. Those same customers, generated a 17% CM in FY20. The customers in the Expand Phase in FY19 generated -43% CM, and those same customers generated 47% CM in the following year. What’s important to note here, is that the Acquire Phase customers in FY19 will not be the same Acquire Phase customers in FY20 – they will become the Expand Phase customers (or potentially even the Scale Phase customers).Figure 12 - PLTR's Customer PhasesSource: PLTR’s S-1 and FY20 10-kOn the face of it, this looks impressive, but when we think deeper about it, this is what most SaaS/software firms are doing nowadays. The S&M expenditure to bring the customer to a company and the initial deployment and operational costs make the Acquire phase the costliest. At the same time, free trial or preliminary testing periods don’t generate much revenue. So, for any SaaS-type firm, negative CM is the case for the Acquire and the Expand phases and those same customers will become profitable at a later point in the relationship. We think investors are aware of this and this is why there doesn’t seem to be much online discussion about PLTR’s CM. Of course, investors could simply take the higher-level view of overall CM more than doubling in FY20, however, as aforementioned this is potentially skewed because of the few new customers acquired.What can be instantly gleaned from the above CM metrics, is that when the proportion of new customers joining PLTR is small in relation to existing customers the overall CM will be close to the Scale Phase CM. But perhaps that still doesn’t impressive investors enough, because it may take a few years to reach that state.Let’s go back to notion that the Acquire Phase customers in FY19 go on to be the Expand (or even Scale) Phase customers in FY20. This is useful but we wanted to see if we could compare the FY20 Acquire Phase with the FY19 Acquire Phase; and the FY20 Expand Phase with the FY19 Expand Phase; and the same for the Scale Phase. This cannot be derived from the data above. Therefore, we’ve had to dig deeper, scan for more information, and make some educated guesses to piece this together. Because knowing by how much the Expand Phase CM has improved from FY19 to FY20 would be really insightful and we don’t suspect many analysts have tried this so far so there is probably an information edge to be gained over the market.We show the analysis we did on this below, however,it may be easier for readers to access the actual spreadsheetto take a closer look. If you click the link make sure to download the spreadsheet to see all the comment boxes.What interests us the most in the spreadsheet, is the Expand Phase comparisons in FY19 and FY20. The 28% CM highlighted in yellow, under the FY20 Expand Cohort, is what we think the Expand Phase CM must have been in FY20. The equivalent CM in FY19 was -43%. This is a huge like-for-like improvement in the CM and indicates how PLTR has/is radically shortening the deployment phase of their software by utilizing their Apollo SaaS-installation. Personally, we think this is more insightful and meaningful than the overall CM presented which could be skewed, and also versus management’s presentation of the Acquire/Expand/Scale CMs.Figure 13 - Contribution Margin Like-for-Like ComparisonsSource: 10-k, Convequity analysisAnother way to view this is that customers are classified as Expand Phase customers when they’ve exceeded $100k in annualized revenue but CM is negative. If the FY19 Expand Phase CM was -43%, it indicates that the majority of these customers remained negative CM customers throughout FY19. If the FY20 Expand Phase CM is 28%, it indicates that the majority of these customers turned from negative to positive within the same year. Again, in our opinion, this is way more impressive than what PLTR’s management has presented to date.Lastly, in the final section of the spreadsheet, the Total CMs highlighted in gold text are actual and the ones in red are composed of actual and estimated figures. We can see that all the FY19 customers generated a weighted average CM of 23% in FY19, and then those same customers generated 58% CM in FY20. Going into FY21 we forecast that these same FY19 customers will generate 68% in CM. All the FY20 customers generated a CM of 54% in FY20, though had PLTR brought on board more new customers in FY20, the CM would be considerably lower. These same customers are estimated to generate 65% in CM in FY21 and then 75% in FY22.To conclude, PLTR’s current CM of 54% is already high, especially for a high growth software stock, yet it’s likely to move higher. We expect the AWS and IBM partnerships to give PLTR the scale to expand its margins. We think this should erase the doubt that PLTR will be highly profitable. The huge nonrecurring expenses related to the DPO and associated stock-based compensation and other opex categories have contributed to the appearance of an unprofitable business. As these costs normalize and PLTR further leverage Apollo’s SaaS installation/deployment, the CM will continue to rise and PLTR’s margins lower down the income statement will also look attractive.ValuationIn our previous article on PLTR we presented our DCF valuation for PLTR which arrived at a value per share of $47. We still have full faith in this valuation; however, it may take longer than we initially anticipated. And we partly assign this to the misunderstanding of the potential profitability of the stock. Therefore, for this section, we approached the valuation through a different lens. We’ve projected PLTR’s average revenue growth rate through FY25 and used possible P/S multiples in FY25.In the 4Q20 earnings call, management stated that they believe revenue growth will be above 30% each year through to FY25 – quite incredible considering the current TTM revenue of $1.1bn. Knowing this, below we’ve projected some arbitrary growth rates. We know FY20 growth was 47% and based off what management has stated, we’ll put FY25 growth as 30% as a minimum. Therefore, we’ve randomly decelerated from 47% to 30% for each year. The Compounded Annual Growth Rate, or CAGR, of this series of growth rates equals 34%. We shall use this for the valuation exercise.Figure 14 - Estimate for Average Revenue Growth Through FY25Source: Convequity analysisBy using this 34% average revenue growth rate (or CAGR) we calculate revenue will be $4.784bn in FY25/2025. Due to the natural growth expectations decline, we guess that the P/S will be 20x in 2025. ServiceNow’s is currently 20x whilst having TTM revenue of $4,500m, so this is plausible for exceptional companies. These parameters calculate a 2025 market cap of $96bn, a share price of $53.39, and an annualized return of 21%.Figure 15 - 2025 Market Cap ForecastSource: Convequity analysisBelow we show the 2025 share price sensitivity table with the 2025 P/S and the CAGR being the two variables. The probabilities are arbitrary just to express how likely we think the respective P/S metrics are in 2025. The share prices in purple text represent the range of what we think our estimation error is likely to be.Figure 16 - PLTR's 2025 Share Price Sensitivity TableSource: Convequity analysisIf management are correct with their growth prediction, then a P/S toward 30x would be fairer than a <20x P/S. However, even if PLTR only generate an average growth rate of 24% and the P/S is 14x at the end of 2025, at the current share price of ~$20 investors still wouldn’t have lost capital. Indeed, it would have been a disappointing investment, but it wouldn’t have lost money. This sensitivity table shows that, despite PLTR’s high multiple at present, the future returns look very appetizing.The next sensitivity table replaces the share price with the annualized return through to 2025.Figure 17 - PLTR's 2025 Annualized Return Sensitivity TableSource: Convequity analysisIn summary, even at the current high P/S of 34x, we consider it extremely unlikely that investors will lose money investing in PLTR now and holding through to 2025 – simply because of growth projections. Add in the impressive underlying economics, we believe this will prove to be a very good long-term investment.So, given the minimal downside and the attractive upside, PLTR is one of the most favourable reward-to-risk holdings in the Convequity Portfolio.ConclusionPLTR’s stock is going to be driven by a combination of changing TAM expectations, high growth, and impressive profitability in due course. Currently, it looks as though the market is underestimating all of these, so the future looks very bright, indeed.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":350,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":103559680,"gmtCreate":1619794970440,"gmtModify":1634209860651,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sold Nio&nbsp;shares earlier. Still keeping XPeng. Come on go up up up. What is your take?&nbsp;","listText":"Sold Nio&nbsp;shares earlier. Still keeping XPeng. Come on go up up up. What is your take?&nbsp;","text":"Sold Nio shares earlier. Still keeping XPeng. Come on go up up up. What is your take?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/103559680","repostId":"1137943982","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":417,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":103511783,"gmtCreate":1619793055742,"gmtModify":1634209884353,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">$Histogenics(OCGN)$</a>I like this share but decided to sell","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">$Histogenics(OCGN)$</a>I like this share but decided to sell","text":"$Histogenics(OCGN)$I like this share but decided to sell","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42675f3e9dac503a9c3440cc44d74cfa","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/103511783","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374515493,"gmtCreate":1619455575212,"gmtModify":1634273305226,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">$Histogenics(OCGN)$</a>Continue to soar","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">$Histogenics(OCGN)$</a>Continue to soar","text":"$Histogenics(OCGN)$Continue to soar","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa57ac45f3912f018936f90f8133c1a4","width":"1170","height":"2260"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374515493","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372386674,"gmtCreate":1619178376398,"gmtModify":1634287976364,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No risk no gain. Are u willing to take the risk?","listText":"No risk no gain. Are u willing to take the risk?","text":"No risk no gain. Are u willing to take the risk?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372386674","repostId":"2129591703","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372381584,"gmtCreate":1619178188648,"gmtModify":1634287977526,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is time to hand over. Take a rest Lee.&nbsp;","listText":"Is time to hand over. Take a rest Lee.&nbsp;","text":"Is time to hand over. Take a rest Lee.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372381584","repostId":"1144940040","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144940040","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619165890,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144940040?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-23 16:18","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore names new finance minister in cabinet reshuffle after setback in leadership succession","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144940040","media":"cnbc","summary":"KEY POINTSSingapore’s Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong has named Lawrence Wong as the country’s new fi","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSSingapore’s Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong has named Lawrence Wong as the country’s new finance minister.Wong is the current education minister and second finance minister, and has been ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/23/singapore-cabinet-reshuffle-lawrence-wong-to-become-finance-minister.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore names new finance minister in cabinet reshuffle after setback in leadership succession</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore names new finance minister in cabinet reshuffle after setback in leadership succession\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-23 16:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/23/singapore-cabinet-reshuffle-lawrence-wong-to-become-finance-minister.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSSingapore’s Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong has named Lawrence Wong as the country’s new finance minister.Wong is the current education minister and second finance minister, and has been ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/23/singapore-cabinet-reshuffle-lawrence-wong-to-become-finance-minister.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/23/singapore-cabinet-reshuffle-lawrence-wong-to-become-finance-minister.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1144940040","content_text":"KEY POINTSSingapore’s Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong has named Lawrence Wong as the country’s new finance minister.Wong is the current education minister and second finance minister, and has been tipped as one of the potential successors to Lee.Wong will take over from Heng Swee Keat, who announced two weeks ago that he will step aside as Lee’s designated successor.SINGAPORE — Singapore’s Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong has named a new finance minister, replacing Heng Swee Keat who announced two weeks ago that he willstep aside as Lee’s designated successor.Lawrence Wong, the country’s current education minister and second finance minister, will helm the finance portfolio from May 15,the prime minister’s office said on Friday.Wong is also the co-chair of Singapore’s taskforce on Covid-19, and has risen in prominence since the coronavirus outbreak last year.Wong is among potential candidatesthat analysts said could eventually take over from Lee as prime minister.The cabinet shuffle came after Heng's announcement threw Singapore's carefully planned leadership succession into disarray. Heng, who's 60 this year, had cited his age as an obstacle in steering the country in a post-pandemic world.Heng will relinquish his role as finance minister, but remains the country's deputy prime minister and coordinating minister for economic policies.In addition to Wong, analysts identified three other potential candidates for prime minister:Minister for Trade and Industry Chan Chun Sing, 51, who will become education minister in the new cabinet.Minister for Transport Ong Ye Kung, 51, who will become health minister.Desmond Lee, 44, who will remain as minister for national development.The ruling People’s Action Party has governed Singapore since the country’s independence in 1965. The party suffered one of itsworst electoral showingslast year, winning 83 out of 93 parliamentary seats and 61% of the votes.Lee, the current prime minister, had previously said he was ready to retireby the time he turns 70. However, he later indicated he would delay his handover to see Singapore through the Covid-19 crisis.Lee is 69 this year.After Heng’s surprise announcement, Lee said he would stay on as prime minister until a new successor emerges and is ready to take over.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":378689409,"gmtCreate":1619022612401,"gmtModify":1634289133542,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"17% higher than IPO price...worth the buy or wait &amp; see?","listText":"17% higher than IPO price...worth the buy or wait &amp; see?","text":"17% higher than IPO price...worth the buy or wait & see?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/378689409","repostId":"1188151581","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188151581","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619022381,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188151581?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-22 00:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"UiPath opens for trading at $65.72,above IPO price of $56","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188151581","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"UiPath opens for trading at $65.72， above IPO price of $56.UiPath is an automation software maker. T","content":"<p>UiPath opens for trading at $65.72，&nbsp;above IPO price of $56.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73573b4f015764620d24e8c172063efe\" tg-width=\"843\" tg-height=\"613\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>UiPath&nbsp;is an automation software maker. The software UiPath provides helps automate repetitive tasks, increasing efficiencies for its clientele. The company’s products have become increasingly attractive for companies looking to boost productivity amid the global pandemic. Accordingly, investors seem bullish on what will be PATH stock.Demandfor this IPO appears to be much higher than initially expected.</p><p>Let’s take a look at some of the most important details about the UiPath IPO for potential investors in PATH stock.</p><ul><li>To start off with, the company is listing its shares on the New York Stock Exchange under the PATH stock ticker.</li><li>The company islisting shares of its stock for $56 each.</li><li>That’s higher than its expected IPO price range,which valued shares between $52 to $54 each.</li><li>UiPath’s IPO also has it offering up 9,416,384 shares of PATH stock.</li><li>Selling stockholders are listing 14,474,393 shares of stock in the IPO.</li><li>However, the company’s won’t see any proceeds from selling stockholders offering up their shares.</li><li>There’s also a 30-day option for underwriters of the IPO to purchase an additional 3,583,616 shares.</li><li><b>Morgan Stanley</b>(NYSE:<b><u>MS</u></b>) and<b>JPMorgan</b>(NYSE:<b><u>JPM</u></b>) and the lead acting bookrunners of the IPO.</li><li><b>Bank of America</b>(NYSE:<b><u>BAC</u></b>) Securities,<b>Credit Suisse</b>(NYSE:<b><u>CS</u></b>),<b>Barclays</b>(NYSE:<b><u>BCS</u></b>), and<b>Wells Fargo</b>(NYSE:<b><u>WFC</u></b>) Securities are active bookrunners for the offering.</li></ul><ul><li>Several others are also acting as passive bookrunners of the IPO.</li><li>UiPath’s IPO is set to end on Friday.</li><li>The company is a developer of automation software.</li><li>This software allows its customers to increase efficiency by automating repetitive tasks.</li><li>It looks like investors are hungry for a stock like PATH.</li><li>UiPath was previously targeting a price range of $43 to $50 with 21.3 million shares.</li><li>Instead, the company increased the price and share amount to meet demand from potential investors.</li><li>That means there are high expectations for PATH stock to perform well when it goes public.</li><li>Excited investors will just have to wait until it starts trading later today to see if the stock can meet those expectations.</li></ul>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>UiPath opens for trading at $65.72,above IPO price of $56</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUiPath opens for trading at $65.72,above IPO price of $56\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-04-22 00:26</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>UiPath opens for trading at $65.72，&nbsp;above IPO price of $56.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73573b4f015764620d24e8c172063efe\" tg-width=\"843\" tg-height=\"613\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>UiPath&nbsp;is an automation software maker. The software UiPath provides helps automate repetitive tasks, increasing efficiencies for its clientele. The company’s products have become increasingly attractive for companies looking to boost productivity amid the global pandemic. Accordingly, investors seem bullish on what will be PATH stock.Demandfor this IPO appears to be much higher than initially expected.</p><p>Let’s take a look at some of the most important details about the UiPath IPO for potential investors in PATH stock.</p><ul><li>To start off with, the company is listing its shares on the New York Stock Exchange under the PATH stock ticker.</li><li>The company islisting shares of its stock for $56 each.</li><li>That’s higher than its expected IPO price range,which valued shares between $52 to $54 each.</li><li>UiPath’s IPO also has it offering up 9,416,384 shares of PATH stock.</li><li>Selling stockholders are listing 14,474,393 shares of stock in the IPO.</li><li>However, the company’s won’t see any proceeds from selling stockholders offering up their shares.</li><li>There’s also a 30-day option for underwriters of the IPO to purchase an additional 3,583,616 shares.</li><li><b>Morgan Stanley</b>(NYSE:<b><u>MS</u></b>) and<b>JPMorgan</b>(NYSE:<b><u>JPM</u></b>) and the lead acting bookrunners of the IPO.</li><li><b>Bank of America</b>(NYSE:<b><u>BAC</u></b>) Securities,<b>Credit Suisse</b>(NYSE:<b><u>CS</u></b>),<b>Barclays</b>(NYSE:<b><u>BCS</u></b>), and<b>Wells Fargo</b>(NYSE:<b><u>WFC</u></b>) Securities are active bookrunners for the offering.</li></ul><ul><li>Several others are also acting as passive bookrunners of the IPO.</li><li>UiPath’s IPO is set to end on Friday.</li><li>The company is a developer of automation software.</li><li>This software allows its customers to increase efficiency by automating repetitive tasks.</li><li>It looks like investors are hungry for a stock like PATH.</li><li>UiPath was previously targeting a price range of $43 to $50 with 21.3 million shares.</li><li>Instead, the company increased the price and share amount to meet demand from potential investors.</li><li>That means there are high expectations for PATH stock to perform well when it goes public.</li><li>Excited investors will just have to wait until it starts trading later today to see if the stock can meet those expectations.</li></ul>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PATH":"UiPath"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188151581","content_text":"UiPath opens for trading at $65.72， above IPO price of $56.UiPath is an automation software maker. The software UiPath provides helps automate repetitive tasks, increasing efficiencies for its clientele. The company’s products have become increasingly attractive for companies looking to boost productivity amid the global pandemic. Accordingly, investors seem bullish on what will be PATH stock.Demandfor this IPO appears to be much higher than initially expected.Let’s take a look at some of the most important details about the UiPath IPO for potential investors in PATH stock.To start off with, the company is listing its shares on the New York Stock Exchange under the PATH stock ticker.The company islisting shares of its stock for $56 each.That’s higher than its expected IPO price range,which valued shares between $52 to $54 each.UiPath’s IPO also has it offering up 9,416,384 shares of PATH stock.Selling stockholders are listing 14,474,393 shares of stock in the IPO.However, the company’s won’t see any proceeds from selling stockholders offering up their shares.There’s also a 30-day option for underwriters of the IPO to purchase an additional 3,583,616 shares.Morgan Stanley(NYSE:MS) andJPMorgan(NYSE:JPM) and the lead acting bookrunners of the IPO.Bank of America(NYSE:BAC) Securities,Credit Suisse(NYSE:CS),Barclays(NYSE:BCS), andWells Fargo(NYSE:WFC) Securities are active bookrunners for the offering.Several others are also acting as passive bookrunners of the IPO.UiPath’s IPO is set to end on Friday.The company is a developer of automation software.This software allows its customers to increase efficiency by automating repetitive tasks.It looks like investors are hungry for a stock like PATH.UiPath was previously targeting a price range of $43 to $50 with 21.3 million shares.Instead, the company increased the price and share amount to meet demand from potential investors.That means there are high expectations for PATH stock to perform well when it goes public.Excited investors will just have to wait until it starts trading later today to see if the stock can meet those expectations.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":324,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":378619182,"gmtCreate":1619021490746,"gmtModify":1634289138792,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>I see light....","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>I see light....","text":"$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$I see light....","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/439fd14b93293c31c7f78004c23bd37e","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/378619182","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":254,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371877659,"gmtCreate":1618929065271,"gmtModify":1634289812730,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To follow? On what basis....","listText":"To follow? On what basis....","text":"To follow? On what basis....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371877659","repostId":"2128846250","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2128846250","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1618926923,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2128846250?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-20 21:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warren Buffett Owns These 5 Dividend Aristocrats. Should You?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2128846250","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The stock market's dividend yield is at a 10-year low, but these five companies still yield over 2%.","content":"<p>Warren Buffett has spent decades beating the market by focusing on fundamentally sound businesses. The strategy has been a long-term winner. However, <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> (NYSE:BRK.A) (NYSE:BRK.B) actually underperformed the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> over the last 10 years -- mostly because it didn't own many of the technology stocks that accounted for much of the market's gain.</p>\n<p>Now 90 years old, Buffett knows he'll eventually have to pass the torch to his successors, so he's been trying out some of their ideas. The big winner has been <b>Apple</b>, which now accounts for 38% of Berkshire's portfolio. Berkshire has added other tech stocks as well, such as <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">Snowflake</a></b> and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STNE\">StoneCo</a></b>, which deviate heavily from the way Buffett is known to invest.</p>\n<p>Despite these new companies, the vast majority of Berkshire's holdings are in dividend stocks, mostly in the financial and consumer staples sectors. However, only five of the 49 securities that Berkshire holds are Dividend Aristocrats -- members of the S&amp;P 500 that have raised their dividends for at least 25 consecutive years. They are <b>Coca-Cola</b> (NYSE:KO), <b>Chevron </b>(NYSE:CVX), <b>AbbVie</b> (NYSE:ABBV), <b>Johnson &amp; Johnson</b> (NYSE:JNJ), and <b>Procter &amp; Gamble</b> (NYSE:PG). Here's what to buy and which ones to pass on.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F621924%2Fbuffett-fool.png&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>Image source: The Motley Fool.</span></p>\n<h2>1. Coca-Cola</h2>\n<h3>Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio Stats</h3>\n<p>Value: $21.47 billion</p>\n<p>Allocation: 7.1%</p>\n<p>Rank: 4/49 securities</p>\n<p>Dividend Yield: 3.1%</p>\n<p>Buffett has owned Coca-Cola for what seems like forever, but that doesn't necessarily mean you should go out and buy shares of America's largest beverage company. The pandemic took a toll on Coke's top and bottom line, which is understandable considering many of the restaurants, resorts, and entertainment venues that sell its products were closed.&nbsp;However, the company's performance was on a downtrend even before the pandemic.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47fb617d5225b2b87be879d1818e7ad9\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"482\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>KO Revenue (Annual) data by YCharts</p>\n<p>Shifting consumer behaviors away from soda toward healthier options paired with limited growth avenues makes Coke's trajectory uncertain. Management is guiding for around $2.15 in 2021 non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS), which would give it a forward P/E ratio around 25. That's not exactly cheap for a slow grower. The only thing really going for Coke is its stable and growing payout. The company is guiding for non-GAAP 2021 free cash flow (FCF) of $8.5 billion, which is more than enough to cover its $7.1 billion in dividend obligations. Coke is likely to continue distributing the majority of its FCF as a dividend payment. But given Coke's valuation and shaky performance, it's best to steer clear unless its price comes down significantly.</p>\n<h2>2. Chevron</h2>\n<h3>Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio Stats</h3>\n<p>Value: $4.99 billion</p>\n<p>Allocation: 1.6%</p>\n<p>Rank: 10/49 securities</p>\n<p>Dividend Yield: 5%</p>\n<p>The energy sector is full of risky companies and high-yield dividend stocks that are riddled with debt. But it's also <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the best sectors to find value. Buffett is well aware of this opportunity. And although Berkshire owns just two energy stocks, Chevron and <b>Suncor Energy</b>, it also owns 91.1% of Berkshire Hathaway Energy, which has over $100 billion in assets.</p>\n<p>Chevron has Buffett written all over it. After an expansion period of high spending and mounting debt, Chevron has spent the last five years decreasing its spending and improving its balance sheet. It has arguably the best balance sheet of the oil majors and can sustain its current oil and gas production without outlaying too much capital. This provides advantages over bulkier majors like <b>ExxonMobil</b>. With WTI oil prices above $60 a barrel, Chevron is well-positioned to have a nice recovery and continue raising its dividend, which currently yields 5%.</p>\n<h2>3. AbbVie</h2>\n<h3>Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio Stats</h3>\n<p>Value: $2.76 billion</p>\n<p>Allocation: 0.9%</p>\n<p>Rank: 15/49 securities</p>\n<p>Dividend Yield: 4.6%</p>\n<p>AbbVie was spun off from <b>Abbott Laboratories</b> in 2013 and has raised its dividend ever since. And because Abbott was a Dividend Aristocrat in 2013 (and continues to be today), that makes AbbVie <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> as well.</p>\n<p>Buffett has been increasingly looking at the healthcare industry for value and dividends. AbbVie's 4.8% dividend yield and low valuation are right up Buffett's alley. It generated $10.56 billion in 2020 adjusted diluted EPS, giving it an adjusted P/E ratio of just 10. It's also guiding for around $12.42 in adjusted diluted 2021 EPS. The only real danger with AbbVie is its concentrated drug portfolio. 43% of 2020 revenue came from Humira, the leading prescription medicine used to treat Crohn's disease.&nbsp;Humira's revenue is expected to decline in the coming years, so AbbVie is developing new drugs to help offset that revenue loss. AbbVie isn't without its risks, but it seems like a reasonable value right now.</p>\n<h2>4. Johnson &amp; Johnson (J&amp;J)</h2>\n<h3>Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio Stats</h3>\n<p>Value: $53.1 million</p>\n<p>Allocation: 0.02%</p>\n<p>Rank: 42/49 securities</p>\n<p>Dividend Yield: 2.5%</p>\n<p>J&amp;J made headlines last week after its COVID-19 vaccine was suspended due to reports of severe blood clots. It's the latest hiccup in the company's vaccine rollout, which was already lagging behind <b>Pfizer</b> and <b>Moderna</b>. However, J&amp;J's success doesn't depend on the vaccine. Far from it. J&amp;J is a massive healthcare behemoth that generates sales from three core segments -- pharmaceuticals, medical devices, and consumer goods. This reach gives it diverse revenue streams unlike AbbVie, which is a pure-play pharmaceutical company. J&amp;J has generated steady results throughout market cycles. So, although the vaccine delays may be giving J&amp;J a headache, it's got Tylenol and a slew of other brand products to back it up.</p>\n<p>J&amp;J is similar to Coca-Cola in that it isn't necessarily cheap, it isn't growing quickly, but it has the size and track record that dividend investors love. Chevron and AbbVie seem better positioned at this time, but it's hard to go wrong with J&amp;J.</p>\n<h2><b>5. Procter &amp; Gamble (P&amp;G)</b></h2>\n<h3>Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio Stats</h3>\n<p>Value: $43.3 million</p>\n<p>Allocation: 0.01%</p>\n<p>Rank: 43/49 securities</p>\n<p>Dividend Yield: 2.3%</p>\n<p>What does P&amp;G have in common with Coke and J&amp;J? All three companies are the largest U.S.-traded stocks by market cap in their respective industries. And all three have raised their dividends for 57 consecutive years. P&amp;G is the quintessential recession-proof stock. Demand for its products is relatively insulated from market cycles. However, P&amp;G is arguably a better consumer staple investment than Coke. Unlike Coke, it was able to grow revenue and earnings in 2020&nbsp;and plans on growing its organic sales further to cap off fiscal year 2021 (FY 2021). P&amp;G is also a cheaper stock, trading at a P/E ratio of 26 compared to Coke's 30. And finally, P&amp;G generates nearly twice the FCF needed to cover its dividend. Given its entrenched position and track record for stable low to mid-single-digit growth, P&amp;G is the safest Dividend Aristocrat on this list and arguably a better buy than Coke or J&amp;J.</p>\n<h2>A final takeaway</h2>\n<p>With the market at an all-time high, dividend stocks that yield over 3%, let alone 2%, are increasingly harder to come by. The average stock in the S&amp;P 500 yields just 1.3%, the lowest level in 10 years.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65e537bf08cd4d6f8d7251c42d963bc0\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"536\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>KO Dividend Yield data by YCharts</p>\n<p>Despite growth and valuation concerns, each Dividend Aristocrat that Berkshire owns deserves recognition for yielding over 2%. However, inflation is now 2.6%. Investors and retirees looking to generate income that exceeds inflation could consider Chevron or AbbVie.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett Owns These 5 Dividend Aristocrats. Should You?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett Owns These 5 Dividend Aristocrats. Should You?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-20 21:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/20/warren-buffett-owns-these-5-dividend-aristocrats-s/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Warren Buffett has spent decades beating the market by focusing on fundamentally sound businesses. The strategy has been a long-term winner. However, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A) (NYSE:BRK.B) ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/20/warren-buffett-owns-these-5-dividend-aristocrats-s/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ABBV":"艾伯维公司","JNJ":"强生","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","PG":"宝洁","KO":"可口可乐","CVX":"雪佛龙","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/20/warren-buffett-owns-these-5-dividend-aristocrats-s/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2128846250","content_text":"Warren Buffett has spent decades beating the market by focusing on fundamentally sound businesses. The strategy has been a long-term winner. However, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A) (NYSE:BRK.B) actually underperformed the S&P 500 over the last 10 years -- mostly because it didn't own many of the technology stocks that accounted for much of the market's gain.\nNow 90 years old, Buffett knows he'll eventually have to pass the torch to his successors, so he's been trying out some of their ideas. The big winner has been Apple, which now accounts for 38% of Berkshire's portfolio. Berkshire has added other tech stocks as well, such as Snowflake and StoneCo, which deviate heavily from the way Buffett is known to invest.\nDespite these new companies, the vast majority of Berkshire's holdings are in dividend stocks, mostly in the financial and consumer staples sectors. However, only five of the 49 securities that Berkshire holds are Dividend Aristocrats -- members of the S&P 500 that have raised their dividends for at least 25 consecutive years. They are Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO), Chevron (NYSE:CVX), AbbVie (NYSE:ABBV), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), and Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG). Here's what to buy and which ones to pass on.\nImage source: The Motley Fool.\n1. Coca-Cola\nBerkshire Hathaway Portfolio Stats\nValue: $21.47 billion\nAllocation: 7.1%\nRank: 4/49 securities\nDividend Yield: 3.1%\nBuffett has owned Coca-Cola for what seems like forever, but that doesn't necessarily mean you should go out and buy shares of America's largest beverage company. The pandemic took a toll on Coke's top and bottom line, which is understandable considering many of the restaurants, resorts, and entertainment venues that sell its products were closed. However, the company's performance was on a downtrend even before the pandemic.\n\nKO Revenue (Annual) data by YCharts\nShifting consumer behaviors away from soda toward healthier options paired with limited growth avenues makes Coke's trajectory uncertain. Management is guiding for around $2.15 in 2021 non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS), which would give it a forward P/E ratio around 25. That's not exactly cheap for a slow grower. The only thing really going for Coke is its stable and growing payout. The company is guiding for non-GAAP 2021 free cash flow (FCF) of $8.5 billion, which is more than enough to cover its $7.1 billion in dividend obligations. Coke is likely to continue distributing the majority of its FCF as a dividend payment. But given Coke's valuation and shaky performance, it's best to steer clear unless its price comes down significantly.\n2. Chevron\nBerkshire Hathaway Portfolio Stats\nValue: $4.99 billion\nAllocation: 1.6%\nRank: 10/49 securities\nDividend Yield: 5%\nThe energy sector is full of risky companies and high-yield dividend stocks that are riddled with debt. But it's also one of the best sectors to find value. Buffett is well aware of this opportunity. And although Berkshire owns just two energy stocks, Chevron and Suncor Energy, it also owns 91.1% of Berkshire Hathaway Energy, which has over $100 billion in assets.\nChevron has Buffett written all over it. After an expansion period of high spending and mounting debt, Chevron has spent the last five years decreasing its spending and improving its balance sheet. It has arguably the best balance sheet of the oil majors and can sustain its current oil and gas production without outlaying too much capital. This provides advantages over bulkier majors like ExxonMobil. With WTI oil prices above $60 a barrel, Chevron is well-positioned to have a nice recovery and continue raising its dividend, which currently yields 5%.\n3. AbbVie\nBerkshire Hathaway Portfolio Stats\nValue: $2.76 billion\nAllocation: 0.9%\nRank: 15/49 securities\nDividend Yield: 4.6%\nAbbVie was spun off from Abbott Laboratories in 2013 and has raised its dividend ever since. And because Abbott was a Dividend Aristocrat in 2013 (and continues to be today), that makes AbbVie one as well.\nBuffett has been increasingly looking at the healthcare industry for value and dividends. AbbVie's 4.8% dividend yield and low valuation are right up Buffett's alley. It generated $10.56 billion in 2020 adjusted diluted EPS, giving it an adjusted P/E ratio of just 10. It's also guiding for around $12.42 in adjusted diluted 2021 EPS. The only real danger with AbbVie is its concentrated drug portfolio. 43% of 2020 revenue came from Humira, the leading prescription medicine used to treat Crohn's disease. Humira's revenue is expected to decline in the coming years, so AbbVie is developing new drugs to help offset that revenue loss. AbbVie isn't without its risks, but it seems like a reasonable value right now.\n4. Johnson & Johnson (J&J)\nBerkshire Hathaway Portfolio Stats\nValue: $53.1 million\nAllocation: 0.02%\nRank: 42/49 securities\nDividend Yield: 2.5%\nJ&J made headlines last week after its COVID-19 vaccine was suspended due to reports of severe blood clots. It's the latest hiccup in the company's vaccine rollout, which was already lagging behind Pfizer and Moderna. However, J&J's success doesn't depend on the vaccine. Far from it. J&J is a massive healthcare behemoth that generates sales from three core segments -- pharmaceuticals, medical devices, and consumer goods. This reach gives it diverse revenue streams unlike AbbVie, which is a pure-play pharmaceutical company. J&J has generated steady results throughout market cycles. So, although the vaccine delays may be giving J&J a headache, it's got Tylenol and a slew of other brand products to back it up.\nJ&J is similar to Coca-Cola in that it isn't necessarily cheap, it isn't growing quickly, but it has the size and track record that dividend investors love. Chevron and AbbVie seem better positioned at this time, but it's hard to go wrong with J&J.\n5. Procter & Gamble (P&G)\nBerkshire Hathaway Portfolio Stats\nValue: $43.3 million\nAllocation: 0.01%\nRank: 43/49 securities\nDividend Yield: 2.3%\nWhat does P&G have in common with Coke and J&J? All three companies are the largest U.S.-traded stocks by market cap in their respective industries. And all three have raised their dividends for 57 consecutive years. P&G is the quintessential recession-proof stock. Demand for its products is relatively insulated from market cycles. However, P&G is arguably a better consumer staple investment than Coke. Unlike Coke, it was able to grow revenue and earnings in 2020 and plans on growing its organic sales further to cap off fiscal year 2021 (FY 2021). P&G is also a cheaper stock, trading at a P/E ratio of 26 compared to Coke's 30. And finally, P&G generates nearly twice the FCF needed to cover its dividend. Given its entrenched position and track record for stable low to mid-single-digit growth, P&G is the safest Dividend Aristocrat on this list and arguably a better buy than Coke or J&J.\nA final takeaway\nWith the market at an all-time high, dividend stocks that yield over 3%, let alone 2%, are increasingly harder to come by. The average stock in the S&P 500 yields just 1.3%, the lowest level in 10 years.\n\nKO Dividend Yield data by YCharts\nDespite growth and valuation concerns, each Dividend Aristocrat that Berkshire owns deserves recognition for yielding over 2%. However, inflation is now 2.6%. Investors and retirees looking to generate income that exceeds inflation could consider Chevron or AbbVie.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371121652,"gmtCreate":1618922165776,"gmtModify":1634289898740,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looking for a difference in iPad this round. The stocks will skyrocket? 🚀","listText":"Looking for a difference in iPad this round. The stocks will skyrocket? 🚀","text":"Looking for a difference in iPad this round. The stocks will skyrocket? 🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371121652","repostId":"1185485095","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":342845651,"gmtCreate":1618202994773,"gmtModify":1634294443417,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Love Cathie. She is brilliant. Don’t forget to do your due diligence on the stock before buying.&nbsp;","listText":"Love Cathie. She is brilliant. Don’t forget to do your due diligence on the stock before buying.&nbsp;","text":"Love Cathie. She is brilliant. Don’t forget to do your due diligence on the stock before buying.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/342845651","repostId":"2126269058","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2126269058","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1618193746,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2126269058?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-12 10:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Cathie Wood Stocks That Are Better Than Bitcoin","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2126269058","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The cryptocurrency's performance has been incredible, but these stocks could deliver better returns.","content":"<p>The last year has been a wild one for growth investors. Two of the financial world's biggest stories over the last 12 months have been Bitcoin's incredible rally and the success of Cathie Wood's ARK Invest company and its growth-focused exchange-traded funds&nbsp;(ETFs). The value of a single Bitcoin has risen roughly 800% over the last year and is currently at $58,600. Meanwhile the value of the <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a></b> has risen roughly 170% across the same stretch, a highly impressive performance in its own right.</p><p>Bitcoin has crushed it over the last year. However, three Motley Fool contributors have identified some stocks held within Wood's premier ETF that look primed to outperform Bitcoin. Read on to see why they think that <b>Sea Limited</b> (NYSE:SE), <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a></b> (NASDAQ:PYPL), and <b>Square</b> (NYSE:SQ) have what it takes to outperform the market's leading cryptocurrency.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/623c11178ea70f1b4f7f5fb4855f424f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2><b>Tapping into big growth trends</b></h2><p><b>Keith Noonan&nbsp;(Sea Limited): </b>Bitcoin's run over the last year has been nothing short of incredible, and Wood's ARK Invest has taken bullish positions in the crypto space that have come to look prescient with hindsight. It's possible that Bitcoin has more huge gains ahead, and the coin has certainly far outperformed where I thought it would be over the last year. However, I generally stick to the Peter Lynch \"invest in what you know\" approach, and the difficulty I have mapping out why Bitcoin should go up or down means there are growth stocks held in ARK funds that I find more appealing.</p><p>It's not that I haven't looked into Bitcoin. I've read and heard about its 21 million hard coin supply cap, hash rates, the Lightning Network, and the related critiques of fiat currency that underpin many arguments for new digital assets. My investing focus skews toward growth stocks that are riskier than the market at large, but at the end of the day, I just don't have a great case for why Bitcoin should be worth more <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> year from now -- particularly when there are other cryptocurrencies that offer superior functionality in many respects.</p><p>While I'm not super bullish on Bitcoin or the ARK-favored <b>Grayscale Bitcoin Trust</b> (OTC:GBTC), there are stocks in the company's actively managed ETFs that are right up my ally. Sea Limited, for example, is the fifth-largest holding in the ARK Innovation ETF, and I plan on adding the stock to my portfolio in the near future. The Singapore-based tech company has posted stellar gains over the last year, and it appears to be on track to deliver more big wins.</p><p>Sea operates at the intersection of two industries with huge long-term growth potential: e-commerce and interactive entertainment. Its Shopee platform has established a leadership position in Southeast Asia's fast-growing online retail industry, and its&nbsp;<i>Garena Free Fire</i> is one of the world's top-grossing video games.</p><p>Southeast Asia is a geographic market that looks poised for rapid development over the next decade, and Sea has established e-commerce and entertainment offerings that are primed to benefit from macroeconomic and category growth. I wouldn't place bets against Bitcoin, but strong players in the e-commerce and gaming markets currently look like better buys to me.</p><h2>\"Actively managed\" leaves a lot of doors open</h2><p><b>James Brumley</b> <b>(PayPal):</b> Look, I know Wood's<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKW\">ARK Next Generation Internet ETF</a></b> (NYSEMKT:ARKW) has a huge stake in Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, which is an easier way to trade the cryptocurrency than buying and selling Bitcoin itself. A few other ARK funds hold a stake in the same trust.</p><p>For a lot of investors, though, ARK's position in so much Bitcoin is a bit misleading.</p><p>See, ARK funds are actively managed exchange-traded funds, which by definition means Wood and her fund managers will sell them when it looks like there's no upside left. As such, these stakes are more of a speculative trade and less of an actual commitment to the premise of cryptocurrency. They only have value to any ARK fund as long as they're growing at an arbitrary price, but instability is one of the last things you want in any currency.</p><p>That's not to suggest there's something wrong with a little speculating. But if you're going to make serious investment bets, it just makes so much more sense to start -- and maybe even finish -- with names you can make at least some sort of earnings-based and growth-based assessment of.</p><p>Take PayPal&nbsp;as an example, and an alternative. Wood's <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKF\">ARK Fintech Innovation ETF</a></b> (NYSEMKT:ARKF) as well as the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF sold off a bunch of PayPal shares recently. It's still the fintech fund's fourth-biggest holding, though, making it clear that Wood and her management team see something in it. I suspect this year's and next year's projected revenue growth of 20% is a key factor. It's a growth outlook that simply doesn't exist for Bitcoin.</p><h2>This fintech has multiple ways to win</h2><p><b>David Butler</b> <b>(Square):</b> Wood focuses heavily on tech. Investing in her strategy definitely provides the speculation and big potential returns that those interested in cryptocurrencies covet so dearly. Overall, the heavy focus on tech is a bit too concentrated for my tastes, as a shift in sector trends could be significantly troublesome. That being said, Wood has created some great gains in her ARK Innovation ETF, and there are lessons to be learned from it.</p><p>Among Wood's largest holdings, I like Square because of its strategic positioning within e-commerce. Because its services allow businesses to create online stores easily, and link it all with their inventory and marketing, Square serves as a middle man for all kinds of different industries. The company's suite of mobile payment software offers a great deal of utility to the customer. Annual revenue growth has been strong, but 2020 was certainly the biggest year for the company. Sales doubled to $9.48 billion, with earnings more than doubling to $0.84 per diluted share.</p><p>The one catch, of course, is valuation. As with most of these rapidly growing tech names, Square is not cheap, trading at over 300 times last year's earnings. This one is all about the future, and the big premiums are no different than investing in something as unbelievably speculative as Bitcoin. Square offers utility. What does Bitcoin currently offer outside of serving as an artificial digital commodity?</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Cathie Wood Stocks That Are Better Than Bitcoin</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Cathie Wood Stocks That Are Better Than Bitcoin\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-12 10:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/11/3-cathie-wood-stocks-that-are-better-than-bitcoin/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The last year has been a wild one for growth investors. Two of the financial world's biggest stories over the last 12 months have been Bitcoin's incredible rally and the success of Cathie Wood's ARK ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/11/3-cathie-wood-stocks-that-are-better-than-bitcoin/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF","PYPL":"PayPal","SE":"Sea Ltd","SQ":"Block"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/11/3-cathie-wood-stocks-that-are-better-than-bitcoin/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2126269058","content_text":"The last year has been a wild one for growth investors. Two of the financial world's biggest stories over the last 12 months have been Bitcoin's incredible rally and the success of Cathie Wood's ARK Invest company and its growth-focused exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The value of a single Bitcoin has risen roughly 800% over the last year and is currently at $58,600. Meanwhile the value of the ARK Innovation ETF has risen roughly 170% across the same stretch, a highly impressive performance in its own right.Bitcoin has crushed it over the last year. However, three Motley Fool contributors have identified some stocks held within Wood's premier ETF that look primed to outperform Bitcoin. Read on to see why they think that Sea Limited (NYSE:SE), PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL), and Square (NYSE:SQ) have what it takes to outperform the market's leading cryptocurrency.Image source: Getty Images.Tapping into big growth trendsKeith Noonan (Sea Limited): Bitcoin's run over the last year has been nothing short of incredible, and Wood's ARK Invest has taken bullish positions in the crypto space that have come to look prescient with hindsight. It's possible that Bitcoin has more huge gains ahead, and the coin has certainly far outperformed where I thought it would be over the last year. However, I generally stick to the Peter Lynch \"invest in what you know\" approach, and the difficulty I have mapping out why Bitcoin should go up or down means there are growth stocks held in ARK funds that I find more appealing.It's not that I haven't looked into Bitcoin. I've read and heard about its 21 million hard coin supply cap, hash rates, the Lightning Network, and the related critiques of fiat currency that underpin many arguments for new digital assets. My investing focus skews toward growth stocks that are riskier than the market at large, but at the end of the day, I just don't have a great case for why Bitcoin should be worth more one year from now -- particularly when there are other cryptocurrencies that offer superior functionality in many respects.While I'm not super bullish on Bitcoin or the ARK-favored Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (OTC:GBTC), there are stocks in the company's actively managed ETFs that are right up my ally. Sea Limited, for example, is the fifth-largest holding in the ARK Innovation ETF, and I plan on adding the stock to my portfolio in the near future. The Singapore-based tech company has posted stellar gains over the last year, and it appears to be on track to deliver more big wins.Sea operates at the intersection of two industries with huge long-term growth potential: e-commerce and interactive entertainment. Its Shopee platform has established a leadership position in Southeast Asia's fast-growing online retail industry, and its Garena Free Fire is one of the world's top-grossing video games.Southeast Asia is a geographic market that looks poised for rapid development over the next decade, and Sea has established e-commerce and entertainment offerings that are primed to benefit from macroeconomic and category growth. I wouldn't place bets against Bitcoin, but strong players in the e-commerce and gaming markets currently look like better buys to me.\"Actively managed\" leaves a lot of doors openJames Brumley (PayPal): Look, I know Wood's ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (NYSEMKT:ARKW) has a huge stake in Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, which is an easier way to trade the cryptocurrency than buying and selling Bitcoin itself. A few other ARK funds hold a stake in the same trust.For a lot of investors, though, ARK's position in so much Bitcoin is a bit misleading.See, ARK funds are actively managed exchange-traded funds, which by definition means Wood and her fund managers will sell them when it looks like there's no upside left. As such, these stakes are more of a speculative trade and less of an actual commitment to the premise of cryptocurrency. They only have value to any ARK fund as long as they're growing at an arbitrary price, but instability is one of the last things you want in any currency.That's not to suggest there's something wrong with a little speculating. But if you're going to make serious investment bets, it just makes so much more sense to start -- and maybe even finish -- with names you can make at least some sort of earnings-based and growth-based assessment of.Take PayPal as an example, and an alternative. Wood's ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (NYSEMKT:ARKF) as well as the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF sold off a bunch of PayPal shares recently. It's still the fintech fund's fourth-biggest holding, though, making it clear that Wood and her management team see something in it. I suspect this year's and next year's projected revenue growth of 20% is a key factor. It's a growth outlook that simply doesn't exist for Bitcoin.This fintech has multiple ways to winDavid Butler (Square): Wood focuses heavily on tech. Investing in her strategy definitely provides the speculation and big potential returns that those interested in cryptocurrencies covet so dearly. Overall, the heavy focus on tech is a bit too concentrated for my tastes, as a shift in sector trends could be significantly troublesome. That being said, Wood has created some great gains in her ARK Innovation ETF, and there are lessons to be learned from it.Among Wood's largest holdings, I like Square because of its strategic positioning within e-commerce. Because its services allow businesses to create online stores easily, and link it all with their inventory and marketing, Square serves as a middle man for all kinds of different industries. The company's suite of mobile payment software offers a great deal of utility to the customer. Annual revenue growth has been strong, but 2020 was certainly the biggest year for the company. Sales doubled to $9.48 billion, with earnings more than doubling to $0.84 per diluted share.The one catch, of course, is valuation. As with most of these rapidly growing tech names, Square is not cheap, trading at over 300 times last year's earnings. This one is all about the future, and the big premiums are no different than investing in something as unbelievably speculative as Bitcoin. Square offers utility. What does Bitcoin currently offer outside of serving as an artificial digital commodity?","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":229,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341659943,"gmtCreate":1617810204982,"gmtModify":1631883960653,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">$Zoom(ZM)$</a>321.53Fly me to the moon&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">$Zoom(ZM)$</a>321.53Fly me to the moon&nbsp;","text":"$Zoom(ZM)$321.53Fly me to the moon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/657d20131d6bf3efa88dcc6268557e96","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341659943","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":357375624,"gmtCreate":1617242151568,"gmtModify":1634521852088,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up up up","listText":"Up up up","text":"Up up up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/357375624","repostId":"2124285272","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":353706707,"gmtCreate":1616520751109,"gmtModify":1634525376405,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Learn about SPACs","listText":"Learn about SPACs","text":"Learn about SPACs","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353706707","repostId":"1102596742","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":353458653,"gmtCreate":1616515614772,"gmtModify":1634525391223,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"My next buy","listText":"My next buy","text":"My next buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353458653","repostId":"1194045564","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194045564","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616512875,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194045564?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-23 23:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix Has Been Trailing the Market. Why One Analyst Decided to Get More Bullish.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194045564","media":"Barrons","summary":"Netflix shares were getting a boost on Tuesday from Argus analyst Joseph Bonner, who raised his rati","content":"<p>Netflix shares were getting a boost on Tuesday from Argus analyst Joseph Bonner, who raised his rating on the streaming video giant’s stock to Buy from Hold, setting a price target of $650.</p>\n<p>“Netflix continues to produce popular original content, while also expanding globally, adding new subscribers, and strengthening its industry position,” Bonner wrote in a research note. “We believe that it has sustainable structural competitive advantages in the streaming video space.”</p>\n<p>As Bonner points out,the company recentlysaid it expected to become sustainably free cash flow positive in the near future. “While valuation metrics for Netflix remain well above the peer average, they have improved with the recent selloff and in our view provide investors with an appropriate entry point,” he wrote.</p>\n<p>Bonner thinks Netflix (ticker: NFLX) shares simply look cheap. He points out that while the stock is up 54% over the last 12 months, that trails gains of 62% for the S&amp;P 500, 83% for the S&amp;P Media and Entertainment index, and 142% for the NYSE’s FANG+ index. He notes that the stock trades for 33 times forward estimated Ebitda (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization), about a 124% premium to peer media and entertainment stocks, but below the two-year historical average premium of 159%.</p>\n<p>Netflix was up 3% in Tuesday morning trading, to $538.57.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix Has Been Trailing the Market. Why One Analyst Decided to Get More Bullish.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix Has Been Trailing the Market. Why One Analyst Decided to Get More Bullish.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-23 23:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/netflix-has-been-trailing-the-market-why-one-analyst-decided-to-get-more-bullish-51616512416?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Netflix shares were getting a boost on Tuesday from Argus analyst Joseph Bonner, who raised his rating on the streaming video giant’s stock to Buy from Hold, setting a price target of $650.\n“Netflix ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/netflix-has-been-trailing-the-market-why-one-analyst-decided-to-get-more-bullish-51616512416?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/netflix-has-been-trailing-the-market-why-one-analyst-decided-to-get-more-bullish-51616512416?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194045564","content_text":"Netflix shares were getting a boost on Tuesday from Argus analyst Joseph Bonner, who raised his rating on the streaming video giant’s stock to Buy from Hold, setting a price target of $650.\n“Netflix continues to produce popular original content, while also expanding globally, adding new subscribers, and strengthening its industry position,” Bonner wrote in a research note. “We believe that it has sustainable structural competitive advantages in the streaming video space.”\nAs Bonner points out,the company recentlysaid it expected to become sustainably free cash flow positive in the near future. “While valuation metrics for Netflix remain well above the peer average, they have improved with the recent selloff and in our view provide investors with an appropriate entry point,” he wrote.\nBonner thinks Netflix (ticker: NFLX) shares simply look cheap. He points out that while the stock is up 54% over the last 12 months, that trails gains of 62% for the S&P 500, 83% for the S&P Media and Entertainment index, and 142% for the NYSE’s FANG+ index. He notes that the stock trades for 33 times forward estimated Ebitda (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization), about a 124% premium to peer media and entertainment stocks, but below the two-year historical average premium of 159%.\nNetflix was up 3% in Tuesday morning trading, to $538.57.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":97,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":374515493,"gmtCreate":1619455575212,"gmtModify":1634273305226,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">$Histogenics(OCGN)$</a>Continue to soar","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">$Histogenics(OCGN)$</a>Continue to soar","text":"$Histogenics(OCGN)$Continue to soar","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa57ac45f3912f018936f90f8133c1a4","width":"1170","height":"2260"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374515493","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371877659,"gmtCreate":1618929065271,"gmtModify":1634289812730,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To follow? On what basis....","listText":"To follow? On what basis....","text":"To follow? On what basis....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371877659","repostId":"2128846250","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2128846250","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1618926923,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2128846250?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-20 21:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warren Buffett Owns These 5 Dividend Aristocrats. Should You?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2128846250","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The stock market's dividend yield is at a 10-year low, but these five companies still yield over 2%.","content":"<p>Warren Buffett has spent decades beating the market by focusing on fundamentally sound businesses. The strategy has been a long-term winner. However, <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> (NYSE:BRK.A) (NYSE:BRK.B) actually underperformed the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> over the last 10 years -- mostly because it didn't own many of the technology stocks that accounted for much of the market's gain.</p>\n<p>Now 90 years old, Buffett knows he'll eventually have to pass the torch to his successors, so he's been trying out some of their ideas. The big winner has been <b>Apple</b>, which now accounts for 38% of Berkshire's portfolio. Berkshire has added other tech stocks as well, such as <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">Snowflake</a></b> and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STNE\">StoneCo</a></b>, which deviate heavily from the way Buffett is known to invest.</p>\n<p>Despite these new companies, the vast majority of Berkshire's holdings are in dividend stocks, mostly in the financial and consumer staples sectors. However, only five of the 49 securities that Berkshire holds are Dividend Aristocrats -- members of the S&amp;P 500 that have raised their dividends for at least 25 consecutive years. They are <b>Coca-Cola</b> (NYSE:KO), <b>Chevron </b>(NYSE:CVX), <b>AbbVie</b> (NYSE:ABBV), <b>Johnson &amp; Johnson</b> (NYSE:JNJ), and <b>Procter &amp; Gamble</b> (NYSE:PG). Here's what to buy and which ones to pass on.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F621924%2Fbuffett-fool.png&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>Image source: The Motley Fool.</span></p>\n<h2>1. Coca-Cola</h2>\n<h3>Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio Stats</h3>\n<p>Value: $21.47 billion</p>\n<p>Allocation: 7.1%</p>\n<p>Rank: 4/49 securities</p>\n<p>Dividend Yield: 3.1%</p>\n<p>Buffett has owned Coca-Cola for what seems like forever, but that doesn't necessarily mean you should go out and buy shares of America's largest beverage company. The pandemic took a toll on Coke's top and bottom line, which is understandable considering many of the restaurants, resorts, and entertainment venues that sell its products were closed.&nbsp;However, the company's performance was on a downtrend even before the pandemic.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47fb617d5225b2b87be879d1818e7ad9\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"482\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>KO Revenue (Annual) data by YCharts</p>\n<p>Shifting consumer behaviors away from soda toward healthier options paired with limited growth avenues makes Coke's trajectory uncertain. Management is guiding for around $2.15 in 2021 non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS), which would give it a forward P/E ratio around 25. That's not exactly cheap for a slow grower. The only thing really going for Coke is its stable and growing payout. The company is guiding for non-GAAP 2021 free cash flow (FCF) of $8.5 billion, which is more than enough to cover its $7.1 billion in dividend obligations. Coke is likely to continue distributing the majority of its FCF as a dividend payment. But given Coke's valuation and shaky performance, it's best to steer clear unless its price comes down significantly.</p>\n<h2>2. Chevron</h2>\n<h3>Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio Stats</h3>\n<p>Value: $4.99 billion</p>\n<p>Allocation: 1.6%</p>\n<p>Rank: 10/49 securities</p>\n<p>Dividend Yield: 5%</p>\n<p>The energy sector is full of risky companies and high-yield dividend stocks that are riddled with debt. But it's also <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the best sectors to find value. Buffett is well aware of this opportunity. And although Berkshire owns just two energy stocks, Chevron and <b>Suncor Energy</b>, it also owns 91.1% of Berkshire Hathaway Energy, which has over $100 billion in assets.</p>\n<p>Chevron has Buffett written all over it. After an expansion period of high spending and mounting debt, Chevron has spent the last five years decreasing its spending and improving its balance sheet. It has arguably the best balance sheet of the oil majors and can sustain its current oil and gas production without outlaying too much capital. This provides advantages over bulkier majors like <b>ExxonMobil</b>. With WTI oil prices above $60 a barrel, Chevron is well-positioned to have a nice recovery and continue raising its dividend, which currently yields 5%.</p>\n<h2>3. AbbVie</h2>\n<h3>Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio Stats</h3>\n<p>Value: $2.76 billion</p>\n<p>Allocation: 0.9%</p>\n<p>Rank: 15/49 securities</p>\n<p>Dividend Yield: 4.6%</p>\n<p>AbbVie was spun off from <b>Abbott Laboratories</b> in 2013 and has raised its dividend ever since. And because Abbott was a Dividend Aristocrat in 2013 (and continues to be today), that makes AbbVie <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> as well.</p>\n<p>Buffett has been increasingly looking at the healthcare industry for value and dividends. AbbVie's 4.8% dividend yield and low valuation are right up Buffett's alley. It generated $10.56 billion in 2020 adjusted diluted EPS, giving it an adjusted P/E ratio of just 10. It's also guiding for around $12.42 in adjusted diluted 2021 EPS. The only real danger with AbbVie is its concentrated drug portfolio. 43% of 2020 revenue came from Humira, the leading prescription medicine used to treat Crohn's disease.&nbsp;Humira's revenue is expected to decline in the coming years, so AbbVie is developing new drugs to help offset that revenue loss. AbbVie isn't without its risks, but it seems like a reasonable value right now.</p>\n<h2>4. Johnson &amp; Johnson (J&amp;J)</h2>\n<h3>Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio Stats</h3>\n<p>Value: $53.1 million</p>\n<p>Allocation: 0.02%</p>\n<p>Rank: 42/49 securities</p>\n<p>Dividend Yield: 2.5%</p>\n<p>J&amp;J made headlines last week after its COVID-19 vaccine was suspended due to reports of severe blood clots. It's the latest hiccup in the company's vaccine rollout, which was already lagging behind <b>Pfizer</b> and <b>Moderna</b>. However, J&amp;J's success doesn't depend on the vaccine. Far from it. J&amp;J is a massive healthcare behemoth that generates sales from three core segments -- pharmaceuticals, medical devices, and consumer goods. This reach gives it diverse revenue streams unlike AbbVie, which is a pure-play pharmaceutical company. J&amp;J has generated steady results throughout market cycles. So, although the vaccine delays may be giving J&amp;J a headache, it's got Tylenol and a slew of other brand products to back it up.</p>\n<p>J&amp;J is similar to Coca-Cola in that it isn't necessarily cheap, it isn't growing quickly, but it has the size and track record that dividend investors love. Chevron and AbbVie seem better positioned at this time, but it's hard to go wrong with J&amp;J.</p>\n<h2><b>5. Procter &amp; Gamble (P&amp;G)</b></h2>\n<h3>Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio Stats</h3>\n<p>Value: $43.3 million</p>\n<p>Allocation: 0.01%</p>\n<p>Rank: 43/49 securities</p>\n<p>Dividend Yield: 2.3%</p>\n<p>What does P&amp;G have in common with Coke and J&amp;J? All three companies are the largest U.S.-traded stocks by market cap in their respective industries. And all three have raised their dividends for 57 consecutive years. P&amp;G is the quintessential recession-proof stock. Demand for its products is relatively insulated from market cycles. However, P&amp;G is arguably a better consumer staple investment than Coke. Unlike Coke, it was able to grow revenue and earnings in 2020&nbsp;and plans on growing its organic sales further to cap off fiscal year 2021 (FY 2021). P&amp;G is also a cheaper stock, trading at a P/E ratio of 26 compared to Coke's 30. And finally, P&amp;G generates nearly twice the FCF needed to cover its dividend. Given its entrenched position and track record for stable low to mid-single-digit growth, P&amp;G is the safest Dividend Aristocrat on this list and arguably a better buy than Coke or J&amp;J.</p>\n<h2>A final takeaway</h2>\n<p>With the market at an all-time high, dividend stocks that yield over 3%, let alone 2%, are increasingly harder to come by. The average stock in the S&amp;P 500 yields just 1.3%, the lowest level in 10 years.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65e537bf08cd4d6f8d7251c42d963bc0\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"536\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>KO Dividend Yield data by YCharts</p>\n<p>Despite growth and valuation concerns, each Dividend Aristocrat that Berkshire owns deserves recognition for yielding over 2%. However, inflation is now 2.6%. Investors and retirees looking to generate income that exceeds inflation could consider Chevron or AbbVie.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett Owns These 5 Dividend Aristocrats. Should You?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett Owns These 5 Dividend Aristocrats. Should You?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-20 21:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/20/warren-buffett-owns-these-5-dividend-aristocrats-s/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Warren Buffett has spent decades beating the market by focusing on fundamentally sound businesses. The strategy has been a long-term winner. However, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A) (NYSE:BRK.B) ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/20/warren-buffett-owns-these-5-dividend-aristocrats-s/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ABBV":"艾伯维公司","JNJ":"强生","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","PG":"宝洁","KO":"可口可乐","CVX":"雪佛龙","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/20/warren-buffett-owns-these-5-dividend-aristocrats-s/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2128846250","content_text":"Warren Buffett has spent decades beating the market by focusing on fundamentally sound businesses. The strategy has been a long-term winner. However, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A) (NYSE:BRK.B) actually underperformed the S&P 500 over the last 10 years -- mostly because it didn't own many of the technology stocks that accounted for much of the market's gain.\nNow 90 years old, Buffett knows he'll eventually have to pass the torch to his successors, so he's been trying out some of their ideas. The big winner has been Apple, which now accounts for 38% of Berkshire's portfolio. Berkshire has added other tech stocks as well, such as Snowflake and StoneCo, which deviate heavily from the way Buffett is known to invest.\nDespite these new companies, the vast majority of Berkshire's holdings are in dividend stocks, mostly in the financial and consumer staples sectors. However, only five of the 49 securities that Berkshire holds are Dividend Aristocrats -- members of the S&P 500 that have raised their dividends for at least 25 consecutive years. They are Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO), Chevron (NYSE:CVX), AbbVie (NYSE:ABBV), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), and Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG). Here's what to buy and which ones to pass on.\nImage source: The Motley Fool.\n1. Coca-Cola\nBerkshire Hathaway Portfolio Stats\nValue: $21.47 billion\nAllocation: 7.1%\nRank: 4/49 securities\nDividend Yield: 3.1%\nBuffett has owned Coca-Cola for what seems like forever, but that doesn't necessarily mean you should go out and buy shares of America's largest beverage company. The pandemic took a toll on Coke's top and bottom line, which is understandable considering many of the restaurants, resorts, and entertainment venues that sell its products were closed. However, the company's performance was on a downtrend even before the pandemic.\n\nKO Revenue (Annual) data by YCharts\nShifting consumer behaviors away from soda toward healthier options paired with limited growth avenues makes Coke's trajectory uncertain. Management is guiding for around $2.15 in 2021 non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS), which would give it a forward P/E ratio around 25. That's not exactly cheap for a slow grower. The only thing really going for Coke is its stable and growing payout. The company is guiding for non-GAAP 2021 free cash flow (FCF) of $8.5 billion, which is more than enough to cover its $7.1 billion in dividend obligations. Coke is likely to continue distributing the majority of its FCF as a dividend payment. But given Coke's valuation and shaky performance, it's best to steer clear unless its price comes down significantly.\n2. Chevron\nBerkshire Hathaway Portfolio Stats\nValue: $4.99 billion\nAllocation: 1.6%\nRank: 10/49 securities\nDividend Yield: 5%\nThe energy sector is full of risky companies and high-yield dividend stocks that are riddled with debt. But it's also one of the best sectors to find value. Buffett is well aware of this opportunity. And although Berkshire owns just two energy stocks, Chevron and Suncor Energy, it also owns 91.1% of Berkshire Hathaway Energy, which has over $100 billion in assets.\nChevron has Buffett written all over it. After an expansion period of high spending and mounting debt, Chevron has spent the last five years decreasing its spending and improving its balance sheet. It has arguably the best balance sheet of the oil majors and can sustain its current oil and gas production without outlaying too much capital. This provides advantages over bulkier majors like ExxonMobil. With WTI oil prices above $60 a barrel, Chevron is well-positioned to have a nice recovery and continue raising its dividend, which currently yields 5%.\n3. AbbVie\nBerkshire Hathaway Portfolio Stats\nValue: $2.76 billion\nAllocation: 0.9%\nRank: 15/49 securities\nDividend Yield: 4.6%\nAbbVie was spun off from Abbott Laboratories in 2013 and has raised its dividend ever since. And because Abbott was a Dividend Aristocrat in 2013 (and continues to be today), that makes AbbVie one as well.\nBuffett has been increasingly looking at the healthcare industry for value and dividends. AbbVie's 4.8% dividend yield and low valuation are right up Buffett's alley. It generated $10.56 billion in 2020 adjusted diluted EPS, giving it an adjusted P/E ratio of just 10. It's also guiding for around $12.42 in adjusted diluted 2021 EPS. The only real danger with AbbVie is its concentrated drug portfolio. 43% of 2020 revenue came from Humira, the leading prescription medicine used to treat Crohn's disease. Humira's revenue is expected to decline in the coming years, so AbbVie is developing new drugs to help offset that revenue loss. AbbVie isn't without its risks, but it seems like a reasonable value right now.\n4. Johnson & Johnson (J&J)\nBerkshire Hathaway Portfolio Stats\nValue: $53.1 million\nAllocation: 0.02%\nRank: 42/49 securities\nDividend Yield: 2.5%\nJ&J made headlines last week after its COVID-19 vaccine was suspended due to reports of severe blood clots. It's the latest hiccup in the company's vaccine rollout, which was already lagging behind Pfizer and Moderna. However, J&J's success doesn't depend on the vaccine. Far from it. J&J is a massive healthcare behemoth that generates sales from three core segments -- pharmaceuticals, medical devices, and consumer goods. This reach gives it diverse revenue streams unlike AbbVie, which is a pure-play pharmaceutical company. J&J has generated steady results throughout market cycles. So, although the vaccine delays may be giving J&J a headache, it's got Tylenol and a slew of other brand products to back it up.\nJ&J is similar to Coca-Cola in that it isn't necessarily cheap, it isn't growing quickly, but it has the size and track record that dividend investors love. Chevron and AbbVie seem better positioned at this time, but it's hard to go wrong with J&J.\n5. Procter & Gamble (P&G)\nBerkshire Hathaway Portfolio Stats\nValue: $43.3 million\nAllocation: 0.01%\nRank: 43/49 securities\nDividend Yield: 2.3%\nWhat does P&G have in common with Coke and J&J? All three companies are the largest U.S.-traded stocks by market cap in their respective industries. And all three have raised their dividends for 57 consecutive years. P&G is the quintessential recession-proof stock. Demand for its products is relatively insulated from market cycles. However, P&G is arguably a better consumer staple investment than Coke. Unlike Coke, it was able to grow revenue and earnings in 2020 and plans on growing its organic sales further to cap off fiscal year 2021 (FY 2021). P&G is also a cheaper stock, trading at a P/E ratio of 26 compared to Coke's 30. And finally, P&G generates nearly twice the FCF needed to cover its dividend. Given its entrenched position and track record for stable low to mid-single-digit growth, P&G is the safest Dividend Aristocrat on this list and arguably a better buy than Coke or J&J.\nA final takeaway\nWith the market at an all-time high, dividend stocks that yield over 3%, let alone 2%, are increasingly harder to come by. The average stock in the S&P 500 yields just 1.3%, the lowest level in 10 years.\n\nKO Dividend Yield data by YCharts\nDespite growth and valuation concerns, each Dividend Aristocrat that Berkshire owns deserves recognition for yielding over 2%. However, inflation is now 2.6%. Investors and retirees looking to generate income that exceeds inflation could consider Chevron or AbbVie.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":103559680,"gmtCreate":1619794970440,"gmtModify":1634209860651,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sold Nio&nbsp;shares earlier. Still keeping XPeng. Come on go up up up. What is your take?&nbsp;","listText":"Sold Nio&nbsp;shares earlier. Still keeping XPeng. Come on go up up up. What is your take?&nbsp;","text":"Sold Nio shares earlier. Still keeping XPeng. Come on go up up up. What is your take?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/103559680","repostId":"1137943982","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137943982","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619749878,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137943982?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-30 10:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"XPeng Vs. NIO: Which EV Stock Is The Better Buy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137943982","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"The EV industry experiences high growth rates and there are many new market entrants.NIO and XPeng belong to the highest-growth EV companies and have a lot of potential in their home market China.Both have some unique offerings, trade at a discount compared to Tesla, and grow more quickly. But which one is the better choice?Electric vehicle companies have experienced a big increase in investor interest over the last year, as the EV market continued to expand at a rapid pace. The number of EV sto","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The EV industry experiences high growth rates and there are many new market entrants.</li>\n <li>NIO and XPeng belong to the highest-growth EV companies and have a lot of potential in their home market China.</li>\n <li>Both have some unique offerings, trade at a discount compared to Tesla, and grow more quickly. But which one is the better choice?</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4aaa88cf5d3f942b0de6eda862dd6dd\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Photo by jonathanfilskov-photography/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Electric vehicle companies have experienced a big increase in investor interest over the last year, as the EV market continued to expand at a rapid pace. The number of EV stocks investors can choose from continues to rise as well, and two of the biggest ones are NIO (NIO) and XPeng (XPEV). In this article, we will take a look at these two major Chinese EV pure-plays to decide which one may be a better investment.</p>\n<p><b>XPeng Versus NIO Stock</b></p>\n<p>XPeng Inc and NIO Inc have both seen their share prices rise considerably over the last year. New investors rushed into markets, while interest in EV stocks rose, which could be seen in the share prices of the likes of Tesla (TSLA), but also with these two Chinese EV players:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76ba39e1d303590ed1db133e32f7f347\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Right now, with shares trading at $41 and $31, respectively, NIO and XPeng are valued at $67 billion and $25 billion. This is a far cry from the $700 billion Tesla is valued at, but both NIO and XPeng still belong to the EV pure-plays with the highest market capitalizations. Others in this category include BYD (OTCPK:BYDDY) and Li Auto (LI).</p>\n<p>The big share price increases these two companies have experienced bring up the question of whether these valuations do make sense. This is a question where some will agree and others will not - both companies are growing very fast, which naturally warrants a higher valuation, but on the other hand, they are both not profitable yet, and current forecasts do see them remain unprofitable through 2022. We will take a closer look at valuation further down in this article.</p>\n<p><b>Exposure To The High-Growth Chinese EV Market</b></p>\n<p>Both companies are located in China, manufacture their cars in China, and primarily sell their vehicles in China. China is one of the biggest EV markets in the world, and the biggest overall automobile market globally. Chinese politicians have ambitious goals of increasing the amount of EVs on the country's roads, partially due to a need to reduce local emissions in order to fight smog troubles. On top of that, China has a rapidly growing middle class, which is, of course, a major tailwind for consumption, which also benefits purchases of EVs and other vehicles.</p>\n<p>In 2020, 1.3 million EVs were sold in China, which represents about 40% of the global EV market. Forecasts see a&nbsp;50% increase&nbsp;in EVs being sold in China in 2021, which gets us to an estimated 2.0 million electric vehicles being sold in China this year.</p>\n<p>The high growth rate in their home market has been a major driver for both NIO's and XPeng's growth. During 2020, NIO sold&nbsp;44,000 vehicles, but a lot more growth is forecasted for the current year. NIO planned to sell more than 20,000 vehicles in Q1 alone, which equates to an annual pace of more than 80,000, and with further ramp-up expected for Q2-Q4, it is likely that NIO will sell at least 100,000 of its EVs this year.</p>\n<p>Xiaopeng Motors, on the other hand,has sold 27,000 vehicles&nbsp;in 2020, albeit its pace already stood at more than 50,000 vehicles annually in Q4. XPeng has guided for at least 12,500 EVs being sold in Q1, and factoring in the seasonality of the business and further ramp-up of production in coming quarters, it is very likely that XPeng will more than double its sales this year.</p>\n<p>Looking at analyst estimates, we see that this year's strong growth that is expected for both companies is not an outlier. Instead, 2022 will be another year during which both NIO and XPeng should grow at a strong pace.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d2acba3a3368db073de724bd97eb71c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>NIO is forecasted to grow its revenues to $5.4 billion this year, with another 59% growth forecasted for 2022, while revenues for 2023 are expected at $12.5 billion (up 45% versus 2022's expected revenues).</p>\n<p>XPeng data is not available at YCharts, but the growth curves look very strong as well -analysts are forecasting&nbsp;that revenues will hit $2.1 billion this year (up 130% versus 2020), and that revenues during 2022 will hit $4.2 billion, up by another 100%.</p>\n<p>Among the two, NIO is the larger one by both vehicle deliveries and revenues, which is also reflected in its higher valuation. XPeng, however, with its strong expected growth, will also become a much larger player in this space over the next couple of years.</p>\n<p>Looking at market share, we see that NIO sells about one in every 20 EVs in China, while XPeng, due to its smaller size, sells about one in every 35 EVs. Both have bigger peers in their home market China, including Tesla, but at the same time, both NIO and XPeng are growing faster than the market. This should result in ongoing market share gains for both companies over the coming years. Thanks to the ongoing introduction of new models and their aggressive growth plans, it seems likely that both companies will continue to gain share over the coming years, as their above-market growth will be maintained.</p>\n<p><b>Unique Pros For NIO And XPeng</b></p>\n<p>When looking at unique selling points for these two companies in the crowded EV market, both are trying to set themselves aside from competitors. One of NIO's best arguments for why consumers should buy a NIO-branded car is its battery-swapping technology and battery-as-a-service offering. This service allows consumers to swap their batteries in a couple of minutes, which negates one of the main arguments consumers may still hold against EVs - that it takes too long to recharge a vehicle while on a road trip or similar.</p>\n<p>With NIO's technology, which has been used millions of times already, this isn't a concern, at least while consumers live and travel in a geographic area with a dense battery-swapping network. Such networks do not exist outside of China yet, but in its home market, NIO can clearly differentiate itself from competitors with BAAS.</p>\n<p>XPeng, on the other hand, is working hard on branding itself as the \"Smart EV\" company. It puts an above-average focus on R&amp;D and is working hard on bringing smart technologies like advanced driver assistance systems to consumers. This strategy is primarily aimed at younger consumers. XPeng has managed to become one of the more popular EV players in China, but its offering is still not as unique as NIO's BAAS.</p>\n<p><b>Chinese EV Market: Tailwinds For Domestic Producers</b></p>\n<p>Tesla is still the largest EV player in the world, and it also sells a large amount of cars in China. Recent news, however, shows why domestic producers may ultimately be favored in China. Tesla is experiencing more scrutiny by the Chinese government and Chinese regulators, which has gotten so far that Tesla vehicles have been prevented from&nbsp;accessing some highways&nbsp;in the country due to safety concerns. Its vehicles have also reportedly been banned from military bases in the country, and the company has also experienced&nbsp;social media campaigns&nbsp;that are very unfavorable towards Tesla.</p>\n<p>It looks like a theme that has been visible in other industries as well - Chinese regulators and governments favor domestic producers - could hold true in the high-growth EV industry as well. This positions NIO and XPeng well for success in their home countries.</p>\n<p><b>NIO And XPeng: Valuation</b></p>\n<p>Since both companies aren't profitable yet, we can't use earnings multiple to decide whether they are undervalued or not. We can, however, look at revenue multiples to deduce whether shares are favorably priced right now.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12557115440606d283aa6aa8ff14c611\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>NIO is trading at 5.6 times 2023's expected revenue, while XPeng is valued at roughly 3 times 2023's expected revenue (data not available on YCharts). This compares favorably versus the current EV king Tesla, which trades at 8 times 2023's expected revenue. On the other hand, however, both NIO and XPeng are of course way more expensive than legacy auto companies with a growing EV presence, including Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY), which trades at less than 1 times its annual sales.</p>\n<p><b>Is NIO Or XPeng A Buy</b></p>\n<p>Both companies enjoy high growth rates, have shown solid Q1 results, and both benefit from China's policy of favoring domestic companies in a range of ways. It can be expected that both NIO Inc and XPeng Inc will continue to do well operationally, and it is also worth mentioning that both companies are significantly less expensive than Tesla, the current leader in the EV space. It is noteworthy that NIO and XPeng are less expensive despite delivering stronger growth rates on a relative basis.</p>\n<p>At the same time, however, one can't say that either of these companies is inexpensive - they both still trade at large premiums over legacy auto companies.</p>\n<p>Due to the fact that NIO has gotten farther in growing its business so far, combined with the very unique BAAS offering that clearly differentiates it from peers and provides a major reason to use its products, I see it as a more favorable choice than XPeng generally. I believe this warrants a premium versus XPeng, which isn't as uniquely positioned and could experience more growing pains in coming years due to its smaller size.</p>\n<p>Nevertheless, due to valuation, I don't think NIO's shares are a great buy right here, even though I would prefer them over those of XPeng (and I would prefer both over those of Tesla). Investors may want to wait for more favorable prices before entering or expanding a position if the current valuation gives them a pause - both when it comes to these two companies, as well as when other EV companies are considered.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>XPeng Vs. NIO: Which EV Stock Is The Better Buy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nXPeng Vs. NIO: Which EV Stock Is The Better Buy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-30 10:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4422352-xpeng-vs-nio-stock-better-buy><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe EV industry experiences high growth rates and there are many new market entrants.\nNIO and XPeng belong to the highest-growth EV companies and have a lot of potential in their home market ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4422352-xpeng-vs-nio-stock-better-buy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","XPEV":"小鹏汽车"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4422352-xpeng-vs-nio-stock-better-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1137943982","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe EV industry experiences high growth rates and there are many new market entrants.\nNIO and XPeng belong to the highest-growth EV companies and have a lot of potential in their home market China.\nBoth have some unique offerings, trade at a discount compared to Tesla, and grow more quickly. But which one is the better choice?\n\nPhoto by jonathanfilskov-photography/iStock via Getty Images\nElectric vehicle companies have experienced a big increase in investor interest over the last year, as the EV market continued to expand at a rapid pace. The number of EV stocks investors can choose from continues to rise as well, and two of the biggest ones are NIO (NIO) and XPeng (XPEV). In this article, we will take a look at these two major Chinese EV pure-plays to decide which one may be a better investment.\nXPeng Versus NIO Stock\nXPeng Inc and NIO Inc have both seen their share prices rise considerably over the last year. New investors rushed into markets, while interest in EV stocks rose, which could be seen in the share prices of the likes of Tesla (TSLA), but also with these two Chinese EV players:\nData by YCharts\nRight now, with shares trading at $41 and $31, respectively, NIO and XPeng are valued at $67 billion and $25 billion. This is a far cry from the $700 billion Tesla is valued at, but both NIO and XPeng still belong to the EV pure-plays with the highest market capitalizations. Others in this category include BYD (OTCPK:BYDDY) and Li Auto (LI).\nThe big share price increases these two companies have experienced bring up the question of whether these valuations do make sense. This is a question where some will agree and others will not - both companies are growing very fast, which naturally warrants a higher valuation, but on the other hand, they are both not profitable yet, and current forecasts do see them remain unprofitable through 2022. We will take a closer look at valuation further down in this article.\nExposure To The High-Growth Chinese EV Market\nBoth companies are located in China, manufacture their cars in China, and primarily sell their vehicles in China. China is one of the biggest EV markets in the world, and the biggest overall automobile market globally. Chinese politicians have ambitious goals of increasing the amount of EVs on the country's roads, partially due to a need to reduce local emissions in order to fight smog troubles. On top of that, China has a rapidly growing middle class, which is, of course, a major tailwind for consumption, which also benefits purchases of EVs and other vehicles.\nIn 2020, 1.3 million EVs were sold in China, which represents about 40% of the global EV market. Forecasts see a 50% increase in EVs being sold in China in 2021, which gets us to an estimated 2.0 million electric vehicles being sold in China this year.\nThe high growth rate in their home market has been a major driver for both NIO's and XPeng's growth. During 2020, NIO sold 44,000 vehicles, but a lot more growth is forecasted for the current year. NIO planned to sell more than 20,000 vehicles in Q1 alone, which equates to an annual pace of more than 80,000, and with further ramp-up expected for Q2-Q4, it is likely that NIO will sell at least 100,000 of its EVs this year.\nXiaopeng Motors, on the other hand,has sold 27,000 vehicles in 2020, albeit its pace already stood at more than 50,000 vehicles annually in Q4. XPeng has guided for at least 12,500 EVs being sold in Q1, and factoring in the seasonality of the business and further ramp-up of production in coming quarters, it is very likely that XPeng will more than double its sales this year.\nLooking at analyst estimates, we see that this year's strong growth that is expected for both companies is not an outlier. Instead, 2022 will be another year during which both NIO and XPeng should grow at a strong pace.\nData by YCharts\nNIO is forecasted to grow its revenues to $5.4 billion this year, with another 59% growth forecasted for 2022, while revenues for 2023 are expected at $12.5 billion (up 45% versus 2022's expected revenues).\nXPeng data is not available at YCharts, but the growth curves look very strong as well -analysts are forecasting that revenues will hit $2.1 billion this year (up 130% versus 2020), and that revenues during 2022 will hit $4.2 billion, up by another 100%.\nAmong the two, NIO is the larger one by both vehicle deliveries and revenues, which is also reflected in its higher valuation. XPeng, however, with its strong expected growth, will also become a much larger player in this space over the next couple of years.\nLooking at market share, we see that NIO sells about one in every 20 EVs in China, while XPeng, due to its smaller size, sells about one in every 35 EVs. Both have bigger peers in their home market China, including Tesla, but at the same time, both NIO and XPeng are growing faster than the market. This should result in ongoing market share gains for both companies over the coming years. Thanks to the ongoing introduction of new models and their aggressive growth plans, it seems likely that both companies will continue to gain share over the coming years, as their above-market growth will be maintained.\nUnique Pros For NIO And XPeng\nWhen looking at unique selling points for these two companies in the crowded EV market, both are trying to set themselves aside from competitors. One of NIO's best arguments for why consumers should buy a NIO-branded car is its battery-swapping technology and battery-as-a-service offering. This service allows consumers to swap their batteries in a couple of minutes, which negates one of the main arguments consumers may still hold against EVs - that it takes too long to recharge a vehicle while on a road trip or similar.\nWith NIO's technology, which has been used millions of times already, this isn't a concern, at least while consumers live and travel in a geographic area with a dense battery-swapping network. Such networks do not exist outside of China yet, but in its home market, NIO can clearly differentiate itself from competitors with BAAS.\nXPeng, on the other hand, is working hard on branding itself as the \"Smart EV\" company. It puts an above-average focus on R&D and is working hard on bringing smart technologies like advanced driver assistance systems to consumers. This strategy is primarily aimed at younger consumers. XPeng has managed to become one of the more popular EV players in China, but its offering is still not as unique as NIO's BAAS.\nChinese EV Market: Tailwinds For Domestic Producers\nTesla is still the largest EV player in the world, and it also sells a large amount of cars in China. Recent news, however, shows why domestic producers may ultimately be favored in China. Tesla is experiencing more scrutiny by the Chinese government and Chinese regulators, which has gotten so far that Tesla vehicles have been prevented from accessing some highways in the country due to safety concerns. Its vehicles have also reportedly been banned from military bases in the country, and the company has also experienced social media campaigns that are very unfavorable towards Tesla.\nIt looks like a theme that has been visible in other industries as well - Chinese regulators and governments favor domestic producers - could hold true in the high-growth EV industry as well. This positions NIO and XPeng well for success in their home countries.\nNIO And XPeng: Valuation\nSince both companies aren't profitable yet, we can't use earnings multiple to decide whether they are undervalued or not. We can, however, look at revenue multiples to deduce whether shares are favorably priced right now.\nData by YCharts\nNIO is trading at 5.6 times 2023's expected revenue, while XPeng is valued at roughly 3 times 2023's expected revenue (data not available on YCharts). This compares favorably versus the current EV king Tesla, which trades at 8 times 2023's expected revenue. On the other hand, however, both NIO and XPeng are of course way more expensive than legacy auto companies with a growing EV presence, including Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY), which trades at less than 1 times its annual sales.\nIs NIO Or XPeng A Buy\nBoth companies enjoy high growth rates, have shown solid Q1 results, and both benefit from China's policy of favoring domestic companies in a range of ways. It can be expected that both NIO Inc and XPeng Inc will continue to do well operationally, and it is also worth mentioning that both companies are significantly less expensive than Tesla, the current leader in the EV space. It is noteworthy that NIO and XPeng are less expensive despite delivering stronger growth rates on a relative basis.\nAt the same time, however, one can't say that either of these companies is inexpensive - they both still trade at large premiums over legacy auto companies.\nDue to the fact that NIO has gotten farther in growing its business so far, combined with the very unique BAAS offering that clearly differentiates it from peers and provides a major reason to use its products, I see it as a more favorable choice than XPeng generally. I believe this warrants a premium versus XPeng, which isn't as uniquely positioned and could experience more growing pains in coming years due to its smaller size.\nNevertheless, due to valuation, I don't think NIO's shares are a great buy right here, even though I would prefer them over those of XPeng (and I would prefer both over those of Tesla). Investors may want to wait for more favorable prices before entering or expanding a position if the current valuation gives them a pause - both when it comes to these two companies, as well as when other EV companies are considered.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":417,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":103511783,"gmtCreate":1619793055742,"gmtModify":1634209884353,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">$Histogenics(OCGN)$</a>I like this share but decided to sell","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">$Histogenics(OCGN)$</a>I like this share but decided to sell","text":"$Histogenics(OCGN)$I like this share but decided to sell","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42675f3e9dac503a9c3440cc44d74cfa","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/103511783","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":353706707,"gmtCreate":1616520751109,"gmtModify":1634525376405,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Learn about SPACs","listText":"Learn about SPACs","text":"Learn about SPACs","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353706707","repostId":"1102596742","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102596742","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616514133,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1102596742?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-23 23:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why SPACs Won’t Replace Traditional IPOs -- and Vice Versa","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102596742","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Will SPACs replace traditional IPOs? I think to a degree, they already have -- at least for now. Lon","content":"<p>Will SPACs replace traditional IPOs? I think to a degree, they already have -- at least for now. Longer-term, however, I think that traditional investment banking will survive, and that there will always be room for both methods of going public.</p>\n<p>Part of why I say that traditional IPOs will survive is due to the sheer abundance of SPACs out there right now. Can they all find winning companies to merge with? What happens to those that don't find the right dance partner? Surely some will wither and die. But at the same time, the SPAC model is probably here to stay since it does simplify and expedite the whole process of going public and raising capital. And so I think that SPACs will survive even once we’re past the current manic stage.</p>\n<p>First, understand that IPOs and SPACs are really just two ways of getting a private company from point A (in need of capital) to point B (capital needs satisfied and trading publicly). As you'll see, it's really a matter of putting the wagon before the horse, or the horse before the wagon. And the same model doesn’t work for every private company in every situation.</p>\n<p><b>The IPO</b></p>\n<p>The traditional IPO, or Initial Public Offering, has been around since the beginning. This is what investment bankers, among other things, do for a living. As a former senior New York Stock Exchange floor trader who worked as part of the IPO team for what was considered the hottest investment bank during the internet bubble of the late 1990's, early 2000's, I have a great deal of experience in both supporting and in running the execution end of traditional IPOs, either from the booth, or in the crowd at the point of sale.</p>\n<p>In simplified form, IPOs involve private companies working with an investment bank or several investment banks to raise capital by “going public.\" The investment banks place a value on the private firm through a strenuous level of fundamental analysis, all the while gauging or trying to drum up demand. That part of the job is often referred to as a \"road show.\"</p>\n<p>The private company must also register with the exchange where it plans to list, as well as the Securities and Exchange Commission. There is a lengthy process that must be followed, as well as numerous requirements, such as compliance around transparency in financial reporting, that must be met.</p>\n<p>The investment bank or banks, also known as the underwriters, may guarantee the IPO by purchasing the offering in a firm commitment and then selling the shares themselves in the secondary market. Without this \"firm\" commitment, the IPO is considered to be a \"best effort\" agreement, in which the underwriter sells the shares with no guarantee.</p>\n<p>In my experience, the vast majority of IPOs are indeed “firm commitments” in which the underwriter takes on either the profit or loss (the risk) when selling shares after having priced the IPO. In the case of a \"best effort'' IPO, the investment bank is really more like a broker and advisor than a trader, and passes on to the formerly private company's shareholders the proceeds of those initial sales.</p>\n<p><b>The SPAC</b></p>\n<p>The SPAC, or Special Purpose Acquisition Company, has become increasingly popular lately. Some of you may have heard of \"Blank Check Companies.\" This is another term for basically the same thing as a SPAC. The whole idea is simply to raise funds first and then target private companies to merge with afterwards.</p>\n<p>In this way, the private firm is able to get in position to quickly merge with an already-public company, greatly simplifying the process of going public. At that point, the shareholders or owners of the private company can either redeem their stakes at the offering price, or accept stock in the newly-merged company, depending on their preference.</p>\n<p>Why would a private company choose this route over a traditional IPO? There are several good reasons. The first is speed to market. By foregoing the whole \"road show\" process and merging with an already public firm, the company can now bypass all of the registrations and regulatory requirements. In addition, the risk of allowing investment bankers to price the deal is removed once the merger is agreed to.</p>\n<p>What makes SPACs so attractive to private companies that might be in need of capital? It’s pretty simple --<i>in a traditional IPO, the private company chases the capital, but with a SPAC, the capital chases the private company</i>.</p>\n<p>Notably, the SPAC structure is less risky to the owners of the targeted private company. The private company negotiates and agrees to a deal. Their work is now done, and the risk is transferred to the SPAC. This is great -- if you happen to run a highly sought-after private company in a suddenly hot industry. That is another reason why speed matters. No one ever knows how long the iron (or industry) stays hot.</p>\n<p>Now, for the less highly sought-after private business, there will always be a need for a traditional investment banker since these companies still need to raise capital and will need help finding investors. However, in the IPO model, the workload and the risk are more on the private company than they are on the bank -- at least until the issue is priced and regardless of whether a firm commitment has been made.</p>\n<p><b>The Bottom Line</b></p>\n<p>In my opinion, there will always be room in this marketplace for both traditional investment bankers as well as SPACs. For now, amid a pandemic, which has largely taken the \"road show\" aspect out of the IPO, and as certain industries have taken off seemingly overnight, SPACs have taken as much as half of the market for new issues.</p>\n<p>That is the current environment and it is not only subject to change, it<i>will</i>change. As some SPACs fail to attract potentially hot new private companies, their ranks will thin. In a market that’s tougher than the current bull one, raising money ahead of a deal becomes more difficult, and the pendulum will swing back toward traditional investment bankers who provide access to a broader array of potential investors.</p>\n<p>That said, these are two ways of going about doing the same thing. Neither is going away. Quality will succeed where success is deserved, and so quality investment bankers will outperform lower-quality SPACs and vice versa. Where quality is less obvious, there will be failure to last, or to find the right dance partner. The route chosen may depend on just how desirable, or choosy, the private company is able to be.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why SPACs Won’t Replace Traditional IPOs -- and Vice Versa</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy SPACs Won’t Replace Traditional IPOs -- and Vice Versa\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-23 23:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/why-spacs-wont-replace-traditional-ipos><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Will SPACs replace traditional IPOs? I think to a degree, they already have -- at least for now. Longer-term, however, I think that traditional investment banking will survive, and that there will ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/why-spacs-wont-replace-traditional-ipos\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/why-spacs-wont-replace-traditional-ipos","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102596742","content_text":"Will SPACs replace traditional IPOs? I think to a degree, they already have -- at least for now. Longer-term, however, I think that traditional investment banking will survive, and that there will always be room for both methods of going public.\nPart of why I say that traditional IPOs will survive is due to the sheer abundance of SPACs out there right now. Can they all find winning companies to merge with? What happens to those that don't find the right dance partner? Surely some will wither and die. But at the same time, the SPAC model is probably here to stay since it does simplify and expedite the whole process of going public and raising capital. And so I think that SPACs will survive even once we’re past the current manic stage.\nFirst, understand that IPOs and SPACs are really just two ways of getting a private company from point A (in need of capital) to point B (capital needs satisfied and trading publicly). As you'll see, it's really a matter of putting the wagon before the horse, or the horse before the wagon. And the same model doesn’t work for every private company in every situation.\nThe IPO\nThe traditional IPO, or Initial Public Offering, has been around since the beginning. This is what investment bankers, among other things, do for a living. As a former senior New York Stock Exchange floor trader who worked as part of the IPO team for what was considered the hottest investment bank during the internet bubble of the late 1990's, early 2000's, I have a great deal of experience in both supporting and in running the execution end of traditional IPOs, either from the booth, or in the crowd at the point of sale.\nIn simplified form, IPOs involve private companies working with an investment bank or several investment banks to raise capital by “going public.\" The investment banks place a value on the private firm through a strenuous level of fundamental analysis, all the while gauging or trying to drum up demand. That part of the job is often referred to as a \"road show.\"\nThe private company must also register with the exchange where it plans to list, as well as the Securities and Exchange Commission. There is a lengthy process that must be followed, as well as numerous requirements, such as compliance around transparency in financial reporting, that must be met.\nThe investment bank or banks, also known as the underwriters, may guarantee the IPO by purchasing the offering in a firm commitment and then selling the shares themselves in the secondary market. Without this \"firm\" commitment, the IPO is considered to be a \"best effort\" agreement, in which the underwriter sells the shares with no guarantee.\nIn my experience, the vast majority of IPOs are indeed “firm commitments” in which the underwriter takes on either the profit or loss (the risk) when selling shares after having priced the IPO. In the case of a \"best effort'' IPO, the investment bank is really more like a broker and advisor than a trader, and passes on to the formerly private company's shareholders the proceeds of those initial sales.\nThe SPAC\nThe SPAC, or Special Purpose Acquisition Company, has become increasingly popular lately. Some of you may have heard of \"Blank Check Companies.\" This is another term for basically the same thing as a SPAC. The whole idea is simply to raise funds first and then target private companies to merge with afterwards.\nIn this way, the private firm is able to get in position to quickly merge with an already-public company, greatly simplifying the process of going public. At that point, the shareholders or owners of the private company can either redeem their stakes at the offering price, or accept stock in the newly-merged company, depending on their preference.\nWhy would a private company choose this route over a traditional IPO? There are several good reasons. The first is speed to market. By foregoing the whole \"road show\" process and merging with an already public firm, the company can now bypass all of the registrations and regulatory requirements. In addition, the risk of allowing investment bankers to price the deal is removed once the merger is agreed to.\nWhat makes SPACs so attractive to private companies that might be in need of capital? It’s pretty simple --in a traditional IPO, the private company chases the capital, but with a SPAC, the capital chases the private company.\nNotably, the SPAC structure is less risky to the owners of the targeted private company. The private company negotiates and agrees to a deal. Their work is now done, and the risk is transferred to the SPAC. This is great -- if you happen to run a highly sought-after private company in a suddenly hot industry. That is another reason why speed matters. No one ever knows how long the iron (or industry) stays hot.\nNow, for the less highly sought-after private business, there will always be a need for a traditional investment banker since these companies still need to raise capital and will need help finding investors. However, in the IPO model, the workload and the risk are more on the private company than they are on the bank -- at least until the issue is priced and regardless of whether a firm commitment has been made.\nThe Bottom Line\nIn my opinion, there will always be room in this marketplace for both traditional investment bankers as well as SPACs. For now, amid a pandemic, which has largely taken the \"road show\" aspect out of the IPO, and as certain industries have taken off seemingly overnight, SPACs have taken as much as half of the market for new issues.\nThat is the current environment and it is not only subject to change, itwillchange. As some SPACs fail to attract potentially hot new private companies, their ranks will thin. In a market that’s tougher than the current bull one, raising money ahead of a deal becomes more difficult, and the pendulum will swing back toward traditional investment bankers who provide access to a broader array of potential investors.\nThat said, these are two ways of going about doing the same thing. Neither is going away. Quality will succeed where success is deserved, and so quality investment bankers will outperform lower-quality SPACs and vice versa. Where quality is less obvious, there will be failure to last, or to find the right dance partner. The route chosen may depend on just how desirable, or choosy, the private company is able to be.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160209780,"gmtCreate":1623798479440,"gmtModify":1634028186997,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Informative","listText":"Informative","text":"Informative","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160209780","repostId":"2143680537","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2143680537","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1623797252,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2143680537?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 06:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends down as data spooks investors awaiting Fed report","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2143680537","media":"Reuters","summary":"Wall Street’s main indices closed lower on Tuesday as data showing stronger inflation and weaker U.S. retail sales in May spooked already-jittery investors awaiting the results of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting.Assurance from the Fed that rising prices are transitory and falling U.S. Treasury yields have helped ease some concerns over inflation and supported U.S. stocks in recent weeks. All eyes are now on the central bank’s statement at the end of its two-day policy meeting on Wedn","content":"<p>Wall Street’s main indices closed lower on Tuesday as data showing stronger inflation and weaker U.S. retail sales in May spooked already-jittery investors awaiting the results of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting.</p>\n<p>Assurance from the Fed that rising prices are transitory and falling U.S. Treasury yields have helped ease some concerns over inflation and supported U.S. stocks in recent weeks. All eyes are now on the central bank’s statement at the end of its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Data showed an acceleration in producer prices last month as supply chains struggled to meet demand unleashed by the reopening of the economy. A separate report showed U.S. retail sales dropped more than expected in May.</p>\n<p>“There was a bit of a reaction to the economic data we got, which, for the most part, shows that the economy is starting to wean itself off stimulus, the recovery is slowing down a little, and inflation is continuing to grow,” said Ed Moya, senior market analyst for the Americas at OANDA.</p>\n<p>“We’re seeing some very modest weakness, and it’ll be choppy leading up to the Fed decision. Right now, the Fed is probably in a position to show they are thinking about tapering, but they’re still a long way from actually doing it.”</p>\n<p>The Fed is likely to announce in August or September a strategy for reducing its massive bond buying program, but will not start cutting monthly purchases until early next year, a Reuters poll of economists found.</p>\n<p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500, the blue-chip Dow Jones and the tech-focused Nasdaq have risen 13%, 12.1% and 9.2% respectively so far this year, largely driven by optimism about an economic reopening.</p>\n<p>However, the S&amp;P 500 has been broadly stuck within a range, despite recording its 29th record-high finish of 2021 on Monday, versus 33 for all of last year.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 94.42 points, or 0.27%, to 34,299.33, the S&amp;P 500 lost 8.56 points, or 0.20%, to 4,246.59 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 101.29 points, or 0.71%, to 14,072.86.</p>\n<p>Seven of the 11 major S&amp;P sectors slipped. Among them was communication services, which ended 0.5% lower, having hit a record intraday high earlier in the session.</p>\n<p>The largest gainer was the energy index, which rose 2.1% on oil prices hitting multi-year highs on a positive demand outlook. Exxon Mobil Corp had its best day since Mar. 5, jumping 3.6%. [O/R]</p>\n<p>In corporate news, Boeing Co gained 0.6% after the United States and the European Union agreed on a truce in their 17-year conflict over aircraft subsidies involving the planemaker and its rival Airbus.</p>\n<p>Having slumped 19% on Monday, Lordstown Motors Corp shares rebounded 11.3% after comments from the electric truck manufacturer’s president on orders.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.98 billion shares, compared with the 10.58 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 87 new highs and 21 new lows.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends down as data spooks investors awaiting Fed report</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends down as data spooks investors awaiting Fed report\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-16 06:47</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Wall Street’s main indices closed lower on Tuesday as data showing stronger inflation and weaker U.S. retail sales in May spooked already-jittery investors awaiting the results of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting.</p>\n<p>Assurance from the Fed that rising prices are transitory and falling U.S. Treasury yields have helped ease some concerns over inflation and supported U.S. stocks in recent weeks. All eyes are now on the central bank’s statement at the end of its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Data showed an acceleration in producer prices last month as supply chains struggled to meet demand unleashed by the reopening of the economy. A separate report showed U.S. retail sales dropped more than expected in May.</p>\n<p>“There was a bit of a reaction to the economic data we got, which, for the most part, shows that the economy is starting to wean itself off stimulus, the recovery is slowing down a little, and inflation is continuing to grow,” said Ed Moya, senior market analyst for the Americas at OANDA.</p>\n<p>“We’re seeing some very modest weakness, and it’ll be choppy leading up to the Fed decision. Right now, the Fed is probably in a position to show they are thinking about tapering, but they’re still a long way from actually doing it.”</p>\n<p>The Fed is likely to announce in August or September a strategy for reducing its massive bond buying program, but will not start cutting monthly purchases until early next year, a Reuters poll of economists found.</p>\n<p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500, the blue-chip Dow Jones and the tech-focused Nasdaq have risen 13%, 12.1% and 9.2% respectively so far this year, largely driven by optimism about an economic reopening.</p>\n<p>However, the S&amp;P 500 has been broadly stuck within a range, despite recording its 29th record-high finish of 2021 on Monday, versus 33 for all of last year.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 94.42 points, or 0.27%, to 34,299.33, the S&amp;P 500 lost 8.56 points, or 0.20%, to 4,246.59 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 101.29 points, or 0.71%, to 14,072.86.</p>\n<p>Seven of the 11 major S&amp;P sectors slipped. Among them was communication services, which ended 0.5% lower, having hit a record intraday high earlier in the session.</p>\n<p>The largest gainer was the energy index, which rose 2.1% on oil prices hitting multi-year highs on a positive demand outlook. Exxon Mobil Corp had its best day since Mar. 5, jumping 3.6%. [O/R]</p>\n<p>In corporate news, Boeing Co gained 0.6% after the United States and the European Union agreed on a truce in their 17-year conflict over aircraft subsidies involving the planemaker and its rival Airbus.</p>\n<p>Having slumped 19% on Monday, Lordstown Motors Corp shares rebounded 11.3% after comments from the electric truck manufacturer’s president on orders.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.98 billion shares, compared with the 10.58 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 87 new highs and 21 new lows.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","BA":"波音","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2143680537","content_text":"Wall Street’s main indices closed lower on Tuesday as data showing stronger inflation and weaker U.S. retail sales in May spooked already-jittery investors awaiting the results of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting.\nAssurance from the Fed that rising prices are transitory and falling U.S. Treasury yields have helped ease some concerns over inflation and supported U.S. stocks in recent weeks. All eyes are now on the central bank’s statement at the end of its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday.\nData showed an acceleration in producer prices last month as supply chains struggled to meet demand unleashed by the reopening of the economy. A separate report showed U.S. retail sales dropped more than expected in May.\n“There was a bit of a reaction to the economic data we got, which, for the most part, shows that the economy is starting to wean itself off stimulus, the recovery is slowing down a little, and inflation is continuing to grow,” said Ed Moya, senior market analyst for the Americas at OANDA.\n“We’re seeing some very modest weakness, and it’ll be choppy leading up to the Fed decision. Right now, the Fed is probably in a position to show they are thinking about tapering, but they’re still a long way from actually doing it.”\nThe Fed is likely to announce in August or September a strategy for reducing its massive bond buying program, but will not start cutting monthly purchases until early next year, a Reuters poll of economists found.\nThe benchmark S&P 500, the blue-chip Dow Jones and the tech-focused Nasdaq have risen 13%, 12.1% and 9.2% respectively so far this year, largely driven by optimism about an economic reopening.\nHowever, the S&P 500 has been broadly stuck within a range, despite recording its 29th record-high finish of 2021 on Monday, versus 33 for all of last year.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 94.42 points, or 0.27%, to 34,299.33, the S&P 500 lost 8.56 points, or 0.20%, to 4,246.59 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 101.29 points, or 0.71%, to 14,072.86.\nSeven of the 11 major S&P sectors slipped. Among them was communication services, which ended 0.5% lower, having hit a record intraday high earlier in the session.\nThe largest gainer was the energy index, which rose 2.1% on oil prices hitting multi-year highs on a positive demand outlook. Exxon Mobil Corp had its best day since Mar. 5, jumping 3.6%. [O/R]\nIn corporate news, Boeing Co gained 0.6% after the United States and the European Union agreed on a truce in their 17-year conflict over aircraft subsidies involving the planemaker and its rival Airbus.\nHaving slumped 19% on Monday, Lordstown Motors Corp shares rebounded 11.3% after comments from the electric truck manufacturer’s president on orders.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.98 billion shares, compared with the 10.58 billion average over the last 20 trading days.\nThe S&P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 87 new highs and 21 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":273,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":342845651,"gmtCreate":1618202994773,"gmtModify":1634294443417,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Love Cathie. She is brilliant. Don’t forget to do your due diligence on the stock before buying.&nbsp;","listText":"Love Cathie. She is brilliant. Don’t forget to do your due diligence on the stock before buying.&nbsp;","text":"Love Cathie. She is brilliant. Don’t forget to do your due diligence on the stock before buying.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/342845651","repostId":"2126269058","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2126269058","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1618193746,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2126269058?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-12 10:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Cathie Wood Stocks That Are Better Than Bitcoin","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2126269058","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The cryptocurrency's performance has been incredible, but these stocks could deliver better returns.","content":"<p>The last year has been a wild one for growth investors. Two of the financial world's biggest stories over the last 12 months have been Bitcoin's incredible rally and the success of Cathie Wood's ARK Invest company and its growth-focused exchange-traded funds&nbsp;(ETFs). The value of a single Bitcoin has risen roughly 800% over the last year and is currently at $58,600. Meanwhile the value of the <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a></b> has risen roughly 170% across the same stretch, a highly impressive performance in its own right.</p><p>Bitcoin has crushed it over the last year. However, three Motley Fool contributors have identified some stocks held within Wood's premier ETF that look primed to outperform Bitcoin. Read on to see why they think that <b>Sea Limited</b> (NYSE:SE), <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a></b> (NASDAQ:PYPL), and <b>Square</b> (NYSE:SQ) have what it takes to outperform the market's leading cryptocurrency.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/623c11178ea70f1b4f7f5fb4855f424f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2><b>Tapping into big growth trends</b></h2><p><b>Keith Noonan&nbsp;(Sea Limited): </b>Bitcoin's run over the last year has been nothing short of incredible, and Wood's ARK Invest has taken bullish positions in the crypto space that have come to look prescient with hindsight. It's possible that Bitcoin has more huge gains ahead, and the coin has certainly far outperformed where I thought it would be over the last year. However, I generally stick to the Peter Lynch \"invest in what you know\" approach, and the difficulty I have mapping out why Bitcoin should go up or down means there are growth stocks held in ARK funds that I find more appealing.</p><p>It's not that I haven't looked into Bitcoin. I've read and heard about its 21 million hard coin supply cap, hash rates, the Lightning Network, and the related critiques of fiat currency that underpin many arguments for new digital assets. My investing focus skews toward growth stocks that are riskier than the market at large, but at the end of the day, I just don't have a great case for why Bitcoin should be worth more <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> year from now -- particularly when there are other cryptocurrencies that offer superior functionality in many respects.</p><p>While I'm not super bullish on Bitcoin or the ARK-favored <b>Grayscale Bitcoin Trust</b> (OTC:GBTC), there are stocks in the company's actively managed ETFs that are right up my ally. Sea Limited, for example, is the fifth-largest holding in the ARK Innovation ETF, and I plan on adding the stock to my portfolio in the near future. The Singapore-based tech company has posted stellar gains over the last year, and it appears to be on track to deliver more big wins.</p><p>Sea operates at the intersection of two industries with huge long-term growth potential: e-commerce and interactive entertainment. Its Shopee platform has established a leadership position in Southeast Asia's fast-growing online retail industry, and its&nbsp;<i>Garena Free Fire</i> is one of the world's top-grossing video games.</p><p>Southeast Asia is a geographic market that looks poised for rapid development over the next decade, and Sea has established e-commerce and entertainment offerings that are primed to benefit from macroeconomic and category growth. I wouldn't place bets against Bitcoin, but strong players in the e-commerce and gaming markets currently look like better buys to me.</p><h2>\"Actively managed\" leaves a lot of doors open</h2><p><b>James Brumley</b> <b>(PayPal):</b> Look, I know Wood's<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKW\">ARK Next Generation Internet ETF</a></b> (NYSEMKT:ARKW) has a huge stake in Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, which is an easier way to trade the cryptocurrency than buying and selling Bitcoin itself. A few other ARK funds hold a stake in the same trust.</p><p>For a lot of investors, though, ARK's position in so much Bitcoin is a bit misleading.</p><p>See, ARK funds are actively managed exchange-traded funds, which by definition means Wood and her fund managers will sell them when it looks like there's no upside left. As such, these stakes are more of a speculative trade and less of an actual commitment to the premise of cryptocurrency. They only have value to any ARK fund as long as they're growing at an arbitrary price, but instability is one of the last things you want in any currency.</p><p>That's not to suggest there's something wrong with a little speculating. But if you're going to make serious investment bets, it just makes so much more sense to start -- and maybe even finish -- with names you can make at least some sort of earnings-based and growth-based assessment of.</p><p>Take PayPal&nbsp;as an example, and an alternative. Wood's <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKF\">ARK Fintech Innovation ETF</a></b> (NYSEMKT:ARKF) as well as the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF sold off a bunch of PayPal shares recently. It's still the fintech fund's fourth-biggest holding, though, making it clear that Wood and her management team see something in it. I suspect this year's and next year's projected revenue growth of 20% is a key factor. It's a growth outlook that simply doesn't exist for Bitcoin.</p><h2>This fintech has multiple ways to win</h2><p><b>David Butler</b> <b>(Square):</b> Wood focuses heavily on tech. Investing in her strategy definitely provides the speculation and big potential returns that those interested in cryptocurrencies covet so dearly. Overall, the heavy focus on tech is a bit too concentrated for my tastes, as a shift in sector trends could be significantly troublesome. That being said, Wood has created some great gains in her ARK Innovation ETF, and there are lessons to be learned from it.</p><p>Among Wood's largest holdings, I like Square because of its strategic positioning within e-commerce. Because its services allow businesses to create online stores easily, and link it all with their inventory and marketing, Square serves as a middle man for all kinds of different industries. The company's suite of mobile payment software offers a great deal of utility to the customer. Annual revenue growth has been strong, but 2020 was certainly the biggest year for the company. Sales doubled to $9.48 billion, with earnings more than doubling to $0.84 per diluted share.</p><p>The one catch, of course, is valuation. As with most of these rapidly growing tech names, Square is not cheap, trading at over 300 times last year's earnings. This one is all about the future, and the big premiums are no different than investing in something as unbelievably speculative as Bitcoin. Square offers utility. What does Bitcoin currently offer outside of serving as an artificial digital commodity?</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Cathie Wood Stocks That Are Better Than Bitcoin</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Cathie Wood Stocks That Are Better Than Bitcoin\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-12 10:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/11/3-cathie-wood-stocks-that-are-better-than-bitcoin/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The last year has been a wild one for growth investors. Two of the financial world's biggest stories over the last 12 months have been Bitcoin's incredible rally and the success of Cathie Wood's ARK ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/11/3-cathie-wood-stocks-that-are-better-than-bitcoin/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF","PYPL":"PayPal","SE":"Sea Ltd","SQ":"Block"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/11/3-cathie-wood-stocks-that-are-better-than-bitcoin/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2126269058","content_text":"The last year has been a wild one for growth investors. Two of the financial world's biggest stories over the last 12 months have been Bitcoin's incredible rally and the success of Cathie Wood's ARK Invest company and its growth-focused exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The value of a single Bitcoin has risen roughly 800% over the last year and is currently at $58,600. Meanwhile the value of the ARK Innovation ETF has risen roughly 170% across the same stretch, a highly impressive performance in its own right.Bitcoin has crushed it over the last year. However, three Motley Fool contributors have identified some stocks held within Wood's premier ETF that look primed to outperform Bitcoin. Read on to see why they think that Sea Limited (NYSE:SE), PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL), and Square (NYSE:SQ) have what it takes to outperform the market's leading cryptocurrency.Image source: Getty Images.Tapping into big growth trendsKeith Noonan (Sea Limited): Bitcoin's run over the last year has been nothing short of incredible, and Wood's ARK Invest has taken bullish positions in the crypto space that have come to look prescient with hindsight. It's possible that Bitcoin has more huge gains ahead, and the coin has certainly far outperformed where I thought it would be over the last year. However, I generally stick to the Peter Lynch \"invest in what you know\" approach, and the difficulty I have mapping out why Bitcoin should go up or down means there are growth stocks held in ARK funds that I find more appealing.It's not that I haven't looked into Bitcoin. I've read and heard about its 21 million hard coin supply cap, hash rates, the Lightning Network, and the related critiques of fiat currency that underpin many arguments for new digital assets. My investing focus skews toward growth stocks that are riskier than the market at large, but at the end of the day, I just don't have a great case for why Bitcoin should be worth more one year from now -- particularly when there are other cryptocurrencies that offer superior functionality in many respects.While I'm not super bullish on Bitcoin or the ARK-favored Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (OTC:GBTC), there are stocks in the company's actively managed ETFs that are right up my ally. Sea Limited, for example, is the fifth-largest holding in the ARK Innovation ETF, and I plan on adding the stock to my portfolio in the near future. The Singapore-based tech company has posted stellar gains over the last year, and it appears to be on track to deliver more big wins.Sea operates at the intersection of two industries with huge long-term growth potential: e-commerce and interactive entertainment. Its Shopee platform has established a leadership position in Southeast Asia's fast-growing online retail industry, and its Garena Free Fire is one of the world's top-grossing video games.Southeast Asia is a geographic market that looks poised for rapid development over the next decade, and Sea has established e-commerce and entertainment offerings that are primed to benefit from macroeconomic and category growth. I wouldn't place bets against Bitcoin, but strong players in the e-commerce and gaming markets currently look like better buys to me.\"Actively managed\" leaves a lot of doors openJames Brumley (PayPal): Look, I know Wood's ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (NYSEMKT:ARKW) has a huge stake in Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, which is an easier way to trade the cryptocurrency than buying and selling Bitcoin itself. A few other ARK funds hold a stake in the same trust.For a lot of investors, though, ARK's position in so much Bitcoin is a bit misleading.See, ARK funds are actively managed exchange-traded funds, which by definition means Wood and her fund managers will sell them when it looks like there's no upside left. As such, these stakes are more of a speculative trade and less of an actual commitment to the premise of cryptocurrency. They only have value to any ARK fund as long as they're growing at an arbitrary price, but instability is one of the last things you want in any currency.That's not to suggest there's something wrong with a little speculating. But if you're going to make serious investment bets, it just makes so much more sense to start -- and maybe even finish -- with names you can make at least some sort of earnings-based and growth-based assessment of.Take PayPal as an example, and an alternative. Wood's ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (NYSEMKT:ARKF) as well as the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF sold off a bunch of PayPal shares recently. It's still the fintech fund's fourth-biggest holding, though, making it clear that Wood and her management team see something in it. I suspect this year's and next year's projected revenue growth of 20% is a key factor. It's a growth outlook that simply doesn't exist for Bitcoin.This fintech has multiple ways to winDavid Butler (Square): Wood focuses heavily on tech. Investing in her strategy definitely provides the speculation and big potential returns that those interested in cryptocurrencies covet so dearly. Overall, the heavy focus on tech is a bit too concentrated for my tastes, as a shift in sector trends could be significantly troublesome. That being said, Wood has created some great gains in her ARK Innovation ETF, and there are lessons to be learned from it.Among Wood's largest holdings, I like Square because of its strategic positioning within e-commerce. Because its services allow businesses to create online stores easily, and link it all with their inventory and marketing, Square serves as a middle man for all kinds of different industries. The company's suite of mobile payment software offers a great deal of utility to the customer. Annual revenue growth has been strong, but 2020 was certainly the biggest year for the company. Sales doubled to $9.48 billion, with earnings more than doubling to $0.84 per diluted share.The one catch, of course, is valuation. As with most of these rapidly growing tech names, Square is not cheap, trading at over 300 times last year's earnings. This one is all about the future, and the big premiums are no different than investing in something as unbelievably speculative as Bitcoin. Square offers utility. What does Bitcoin currently offer outside of serving as an artificial digital commodity?","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":229,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":353458653,"gmtCreate":1616515614772,"gmtModify":1634525391223,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"My next buy","listText":"My next buy","text":"My next buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353458653","repostId":"1194045564","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194045564","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616512875,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194045564?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-23 23:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix Has Been Trailing the Market. Why One Analyst Decided to Get More Bullish.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194045564","media":"Barrons","summary":"Netflix shares were getting a boost on Tuesday from Argus analyst Joseph Bonner, who raised his rati","content":"<p>Netflix shares were getting a boost on Tuesday from Argus analyst Joseph Bonner, who raised his rating on the streaming video giant’s stock to Buy from Hold, setting a price target of $650.</p>\n<p>“Netflix continues to produce popular original content, while also expanding globally, adding new subscribers, and strengthening its industry position,” Bonner wrote in a research note. “We believe that it has sustainable structural competitive advantages in the streaming video space.”</p>\n<p>As Bonner points out,the company recentlysaid it expected to become sustainably free cash flow positive in the near future. “While valuation metrics for Netflix remain well above the peer average, they have improved with the recent selloff and in our view provide investors with an appropriate entry point,” he wrote.</p>\n<p>Bonner thinks Netflix (ticker: NFLX) shares simply look cheap. He points out that while the stock is up 54% over the last 12 months, that trails gains of 62% for the S&amp;P 500, 83% for the S&amp;P Media and Entertainment index, and 142% for the NYSE’s FANG+ index. He notes that the stock trades for 33 times forward estimated Ebitda (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization), about a 124% premium to peer media and entertainment stocks, but below the two-year historical average premium of 159%.</p>\n<p>Netflix was up 3% in Tuesday morning trading, to $538.57.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix Has Been Trailing the Market. Why One Analyst Decided to Get More Bullish.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix Has Been Trailing the Market. Why One Analyst Decided to Get More Bullish.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-23 23:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/netflix-has-been-trailing-the-market-why-one-analyst-decided-to-get-more-bullish-51616512416?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Netflix shares were getting a boost on Tuesday from Argus analyst Joseph Bonner, who raised his rating on the streaming video giant’s stock to Buy from Hold, setting a price target of $650.\n“Netflix ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/netflix-has-been-trailing-the-market-why-one-analyst-decided-to-get-more-bullish-51616512416?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/netflix-has-been-trailing-the-market-why-one-analyst-decided-to-get-more-bullish-51616512416?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194045564","content_text":"Netflix shares were getting a boost on Tuesday from Argus analyst Joseph Bonner, who raised his rating on the streaming video giant’s stock to Buy from Hold, setting a price target of $650.\n“Netflix continues to produce popular original content, while also expanding globally, adding new subscribers, and strengthening its industry position,” Bonner wrote in a research note. “We believe that it has sustainable structural competitive advantages in the streaming video space.”\nAs Bonner points out,the company recentlysaid it expected to become sustainably free cash flow positive in the near future. “While valuation metrics for Netflix remain well above the peer average, they have improved with the recent selloff and in our view provide investors with an appropriate entry point,” he wrote.\nBonner thinks Netflix (ticker: NFLX) shares simply look cheap. He points out that while the stock is up 54% over the last 12 months, that trails gains of 62% for the S&P 500, 83% for the S&P Media and Entertainment index, and 142% for the NYSE’s FANG+ index. He notes that the stock trades for 33 times forward estimated Ebitda (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization), about a 124% premium to peer media and entertainment stocks, but below the two-year historical average premium of 159%.\nNetflix was up 3% in Tuesday morning trading, to $538.57.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":97,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198184758,"gmtCreate":1620946941874,"gmtModify":1634195156287,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Awesome article. Such a good read. Like the wisdom tree concept. Now we know so much &amp;&nbsp;the moat&nbsp;of Palantir, is it time to buy more&nbsp;now?&nbsp;","listText":"Awesome article. Such a good read. Like the wisdom tree concept. Now we know so much &amp;&nbsp;the moat&nbsp;of Palantir, is it time to buy more&nbsp;now?&nbsp;","text":"Awesome article. Such a good read. Like the wisdom tree concept. Now we know so much & the moat of Palantir, is it time to buy more now?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198184758","repostId":"1191876953","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1191876953","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620719091,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191876953?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-11 15:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Highly Favourable Reward-To-Risk","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191876953","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryA look at the relationship between P/S and Total Addressable Market and what it means for Pal","content":"<p>Summary</p><ul><li>A look at the relationship between P/S and Total Addressable Market and what it means for Palantir.</li><li>In FY20, revenue grew 47% with only 6 customer additions. The consensus 33% growth for FY21 looks way off.</li><li>A deep-dive into the impressive underlying economics of Palantir’s business.</li><li>A simple valuation analysis to outline it's extremely unlikely investors will lose money even by investing at these levels.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eab06bd9956d953235cc7975b0de6995\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Contents</b></p><ul><li>Multiples &amp; TAM</li><li>&gt; P/S &amp; TAM Penetration</li><li>&gt;&gt; PLTR’s TAM and Ability to Enter New Markets?</li><li>&gt; Expanding TAM Fueling Expanding Multiple</li><li>&gt;&gt; ServiceNow vs Workday</li><li>&gt;&gt; Cloudflare</li><li>Multiples &amp; TAM Recap</li><li>What is PLTR Actually Good At?</li><li>What’s Not Being Talked About</li><li>Impressive Underlying Economics</li><li>Valuation</li><li>Conclusion</li></ul><p><b>Multiples &amp; TAM</b></p><p>It’s commonly known that multiples are closely correlated with revenue growth expectations – higher growth usually equals higher P/S and P/E. Though we wanted to explore the relationship between multiples and a company’s Total Addressable Market, aka TAM. Firstly, we investigated the correlation between P/S and TAM penetration. Then secondly, we used a qualitative approach to assess how increases in TAM tends to affect a company’s P/S. The reason for delving into this is to gain a better insight into Palantir's (PLTR) ongoing valuation, whether the stock’s P/S will persist, extend, or decline, and ultimately what this means for investors’ returns.</p><p>P/S &amp; TAM Penetration</p><p>We already had metrics for a group of stocks we put together for some other PLTR analysis, therefore we used these to work on the P/S and TAM penetration correlation. To arrive at a TAM for each stock, if we didn’t know beforehand, we reviewed company websites to understand which markets they serve, and then we looked for independent market research (from the likes of Grand View Research and Mordor Intelligence, etc.) estimating the size and growth projections of the subject market. If the size of market estimate seemed odd compared to the company’s revenues and P/S, then we resorted to the company’s investor presentations that usually offer a TAM.</p><p>As this was quite time-consuming, in addition to PLTR we only conducted this process for 15 stocks, so the sample size is 16. Therefore, the statistics shown in the table below should be viewed with caution because the sample is relatively small and adding more to the sample may significantly change the correlation. Nonetheless, you might still be interested despite the sample being on the small side. From this research we found that the P/S and the TAM penetration (defined as LTM revenue divided by the TAM) for this group of stocks had an inverse correlation of -0.6281. The negative sign indicates that a smaller TAM penetration is associated with a higher P/S. The correlation equates to an R-squared of -0.6281 ^ 2 =<b>0.3945</b>. This means that the TAM penetration explains 39.45% of the variability of the P/S within this group. And considering the nature of financial variables, this is a moderately strong correlation. As expected, there is a stronger correlation between P/S and LTM revenue growth. The 0.9248 correlation equates to an R-squared of 85.55%.</p><p>Figure 1 - Correlation between P/S and TAM Penetration</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b8853eadde7cac4e62059f7961af215\" tg-width=\"385\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Convequity analysis</p><p>This is far from conclusive and requires further research but it certainly looks likely that TAM penetration is inversely correlated to P/S multiples. So, what does this have to do with PLTR’s valuation? Well, the market is currently pricing in the management guided TAM of $119bn, yet in reality the TAM is a lot greater. Once investors realize this the 33x P/S at the time of writing will offer extremely good value.</p><p><b>PLTR’s TAM and Ability to Enter New Markets?</b></p><p>A high stock multiple often results in poor future returns because there are already high growth expectations priced in, and as the growth outlook naturally decelerates, the multiple will decline too. However, we believe PLTR, like other best-in-breed cloud-oriented stocks, are a special case, because they can rotate and enter new markets with relative ease.</p><p>Showcased by theDouble-Clickevent, PLTR is already emerging as a formidable player in the life sciences analytics industry which is projected to grow from$22bn in 2020 to $42bn by 2025. TheERPmarket, in which they’ve smoothly entered via a AWS partnership, is projected to grow from $43bn today up to $60bn by 2026. Despite these markets being heavily competed for by established players, PLTR’s software-defined approach is displacing many incumbents and in due course will grab a sizeable chunk of market share. And these are just two markets that make up over half of PLTR’s supposed TAM of $119bn.</p><p>In reality, PLTR’s TAM is the entire software industry. They have an ability like no other software vendor in history to pivot into new markets as they see fit. They have the programming skills and the thoughtfulness in interface design, along with a deep understanding of how users need to interact with software, that affords them the capability to turn their focus to any software market worthwhile. With this in mind, it is reasonable to assume that whenever PLTR needs a revenue growth and/or share price booster, they can formulate a plan to penetrate a new market and provide that catalyst.</p><p>Below we highlight PLTR’s true potential TAM with reference to a Gartner estimate. The IT services might be a stretch but they certainly have the ability to fully expand within the $483bn Enterprise Software market. With current TTM revenue a little over $1bn, the current TAM penetration of &lt; 0.3% offers high growth for many years which will help prevent a sharp P/S deceleration and support strong future shareholder returns. And in all likelihood, the P/S will probably expand in the interim before beginning a downward trajectory.</p><p>Figure 2 - Worldwide IT Spending Forecasts</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dda4329ffe8f2cead662503bd5cd8a8\" tg-width=\"466\" tg-height=\"314\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Expanding TAM Fueling Expanding Multiple</p><p>With this TAM correlation in mind, it might be interesting for investors to visualize how PLTR’s share price and P/S will respond when management inevitably announce that they’re entering new markets – CRM, Risk Management, Productivity, or whatever it may be. To illustrate this, we’ll review the P/S paths of ServiceNow (NOW) and Workday (WDAY) during the past few years.</p><p><b>ServiceNow vs Workday</b></p><p>Comparing the P/S trends of these two stocks in relation to their TAM development is interesting to observe. To observe the changing TAM, we’ve used research giant Gartner’s Magic Quadrant. Here is the Magic Quadrant template for those unfamiliar.</p><p>Figure 3 - Gartner's Magic Quadrant Template</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26acf1d90d9c7bc6f9c912e1e938cff7\" tg-width=\"377\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source:gartner.com</p><p>Back in 2016, in reference to Gartner’s Magic Quadrant, Workday (WDAY) was the outright leader in Human Capital Management (HCM) and ServiceNow (NOW) was the same for IT Services Management (ITSM). Both firms had similar revenue growth and gross, operating, and FCF margins, and also neither were serving any other markets. Therefore, as shown in the following chart, WDAY’s higher P/S appeared to be largely attributed to HCM being a larger market than ITSM. During 2017, according to Gartner’s HCM Magic Quadrant WDAY lost its competitive distance as the space became crowded. During the same period, NOW extended their leadership status in the ITSM Magic Quadrant. As a result, the P/S differential closed and the two stocks were trading at almost identical multiples throughout 2017. Despite the same growth rates in 2018, NOW’s P/S pulled sharply higher than WDAY’s because they expanded TAM by entering into two new markets – Integrated Risk Management and CRM Customer Engagement – whilst WDAY didn’t expand their TAM.</p><p>Figure 4 - NOW vs WDAY P/S Multiple Journey, Part 1</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/819428f5fd07f5be31e2e242101675e8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"334\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Koyfin chart, Convequity analysis</p><p>In early 2019, the P/S differential tightened with WDAY’s multiple climbing partly attributable to expanding into the Cloud Financial Management market; NOW also entered a new market in early 2019. Then in 2020, the difference widened further as a result of NOW expanding into 3 more markets and turning from visionary to leader in the Magic Quadrant for Software Asset Management (SAM) whilst WDAY did not even enter one new market.</p><p>Figure 5 - Figure 1 - NOW vs WDAY P/S Multiple Journey, Part 2</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/671154b03eb210d553999cf81e22632c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Koyfin chart, Convequity analysis</p><p>This is a classic example of how entering new markets raises expectations for growth and long-term profitability, thereby raising multiples and ultimately increasing returns for shareholders. We don’t claim that inclusion into Gartner’s Magic Quadrants were the sole factor at play, however, given that both firms’ growth and margins were similar for most of the period under review, it certainly appears to have had a significant influence.</p><p>Cloudflare</p><p>Cloudflare (NET) offers another good example of how TAM expansion influences a stock’s multiple. NET certainly benefitted from the general COVID-induced WFH dynamic during 2020, however, their new product launches also contributed to multiple expansion in a significant way. NET have moved so fast that Gartner haven’t even had time to update their Magic Quadrants, therefore we shall leave Gartner out of this observation. In just 16 months, NET has tripled their P/S mainly as a result of entering new markets. In January 2020, they entered into a $20bn market by announcing their offerings for Secure Web Gateways and Zero Trust products. In July 2020, they made a big move by making their edge compute Workers platform accessible to all developers; in October 2020 they officially launched their SASE offering; and then in March 2021, they introduced Magic WAN which has kind of created a new market altogether because NET is the first to offer a global private WAN.</p><p>Figure 6 - NET's P/S Journey</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12bc7ba8e1617c02699be8a7509ec27d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"303\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Koyfin chart, Convequity analysis</p><p>There are plenty of other recent examples in which stocks have expanded multiples thanks to TAM expansion - Zscaler and Twilio to name a couple. An underlying driving factor enabling software companies to enter new markets with relative ease is the growth of cloud computing. The required capex to move into new markets is minimal in comparison to the pre-cloud era because software firms don’t need to purchase and implement more servers. Once an application is developed and ready to be deployed, they can scale it across the elastic supply of AWS, Azure, or GCP servers that provide all the necessary compute, networking, and storage requirements – and ramp-up or decrease capacity according to demand.</p><p>As we point out in our articleS&amp;P 500 is Undervalued, Tech is in a New Paradigm, cloud computing has altered the software industry’s competitive dynamics. It has radically lowered the entry barriers thereby making many software markets overcrowded - in 2007 there were 115 U.S. software stocks and today there are 284. This isn’t alarming as the numbers suggest because the cloud has opened up many greenfield markets, however, the cloud has ushered in a winner-takes-all dynamic into various markets also. And given the reach enabled by the cloud, the prize for the market winners is larger than it’s ever been before. At Asymmetric Tech Investments we aim to identify these future winners.</p><p><b>Multiples &amp; TAM Recap</b></p><p>Here is a quick recap:</p><ul><li>There is evidence that a stock’s P/S is moderately correlated to revenue divided by TAM, or TAM penetration. This may appear obvious to some investors though doing this bit of research has helped us refine how we view a company’s market opportunity and shareholder investment prospects.</li><li>There are many examples that illustrate how TAM expansion tends to increase stock multiples, or at least play a significant part.</li><li>Cloud computing has made it easier than ever before for software firms to expand TAM.</li></ul><p>Taking this into account, the future looks incredibly bright for PLTR’s share price. As and when PLTR enter new markets and expand the company’s TAM, there is a high probability that the share price will climb driven by altering growth expectations. If it can be argued that PLTR’s software is already effectively doing stuff like Software Asset Management, Integrated Risk Management, and CRM, then the TAM should be higher than the current $119bn priced in. And if this is the case, PLTR’s multiple should adjust higher to reflect this in due course. Either way despite the perceived high P/S at present, it will probably persist or even rise from here, and over a longer timeframe we suspect PLTR’s multiple will decelerate at a much slower pace than many other high-growth software stocks.</p><p>Lastly, not only does PLTR have the core software skills to enter almost any market, they are well and truly cloud-enabled following their partnerships with AWS and IBM. This will accelerate the TAM expansion for sure.</p><p><b>What is PLTR Actually Good At?</b></p><p>It might be easier to try and answer what they aren’t good at. All the information given in the S-1, the 10-k, and investor presentations, pertaining to what PLTR do can be somewhat overwhelming. At the same time, just labelling them a data analysis company is a gross oversimplification. To help us refine our understanding of PLTR’s scope, below we’ve categorized 4 areas, or pillars, in which we believe lays the foundation for all they do – Data Connectivity, Data, Analysis, Data Governance, and User Interface. We’re probably not alone in inferring that the underpinning to PLTR’s superior advantages is closely associated with these 4 pillars. Each of which appear to be in a transformative stage due to the world delving deeper into an era of hyperconnectivity. Within each category we listed things that PLTR are good at dealing with. By the time we had finished we realized the depth and sheer breadth of what they can do.</p><p>Figure 7 – The 4 Pillars to PLTR’s Competitive Edge</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8e17daf500fc82224591acb8ed9bee2\" tg-width=\"555\" tg-height=\"343\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Convequity analysis</p><p>And the only way we can surmise as to how they are capable of such depth and scope, is that they have the deepest understanding of the core principles of software engineering and have an amazing ability to leverage this to various platforms and technologies. Elon Musk’s advocacy for First Principles thinking springs to mind.</p><p>Figure 8 - First Principles Thinking</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9bda1fb57abaf33eff8dfacd2457aa2\" tg-width=\"513\" tg-height=\"401\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source:safalniveshak.com</p><p>It is these 4 pillars in which PLTR are building their moat around, and this foundation can be leveraged to enter almost any software market. Throw in the network effects within enterprise customers’ organization, across verticals (life sciences, airline industry, etc.), and within PLTR itself, it’s hard to envisage them losing their competitive lead.</p><p>Recently I spoke to a friend who is an engineer at Rolls Royce who shed some light on how PLTR could help him in his job. Below is what he told me.</p><blockquote><i>“When designing a product, a RR engineer will spend ~25% of their time gathering and pre-processing data in order to perform a design study. Typically, the data is created by multiple teams, each working in different systems and supplying the data in different formats by differing means. For example, the stress engineer will supply speeds/temperatures/pressures in the form of an emailed spreadsheet. The aero engineer will supply geometry as a CAD file and a pressure map as a .csv file via a shared drive. The designer will supply geometric information and tolerances as a printed word document. All this data must be extracted and processed into a single format before the designer can do any analysis. Having all this data in one system would massively reduce the time spent processing data and would free up the designer to do the actual engineering.”</i></blockquote><p>Foundry would solve his problem by connecting to all the relevant data sources and standardizing the data ready for immediate analysis. The ramp-up in my friend’s productivity would be profound. Generally, it seems as though this type of problem involving data located across disjointed systems and existing in different formats has up until now been the main use case for Foundry. Increasingly, however, we’re hearing cases whereby Foundry has been laid atop an enterprise’s legacy systems and deliver what works like a brand-new IT infrastructure built from the ground up. For example, in the Double Click event, Forward Deploy Engineer, Liam Mawe, explained how a Foundry ERP archetype was installed for one industrial client that already had 25 ERP systems in operation that were largely siloed from each other. After a few hours of configuration, Foundry’s ERP had every single piece of data readily available. Mawe didn’t elaborate, though we presume Foundry’s ERP could carry on working in conjunction with the other ERP systems or work just as well should the client decide to remove them – which is more probable. This incredible flexibility is the key to the seemingly rapid customer acquisition of late – there is no rip and replace required, so the stakes are lower and as a result decision-makers are more willing to give PLTR a try.</p><p><b>What’s Not Being Talked About</b></p><p>From what we’ve read about PLTR, there hasn’t been any mention of the fact that they only added 6 customers in FY20 whilst growing revenue by 47%. This is staggering; and achieved by the 41% increase in revenue per customer, as shown in the chart below. When we think about the AWS and IBM cloud partnerships and the various press releases thus far into 2021, they could have tripled the FY20 new customer number in the first quarter alone. Couple that with another &gt;20% increase in per customer revenue, it’s not beyond the realm of possibility for PLTR to grow revenue by 60% this year.</p><p>Figure 9 - Net New Customer Additions in FY20</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5c6b020093a59492fcc6c4c50812b65\" tg-width=\"314\" tg-height=\"128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: 10-k, Convequity analysis</p><p>We thought we’d have a go at forecasting 1Q21 revenue – which will be released before the market open on Tuesday 11thMay. We began by building up the revenue estimate based on available information such as the press releases thus far in 2021, balance sheet items such as deferred revenue and customer deposits, as well as off-balance sheet deal value which includes remaining performance obligations and contract renewal options. In the 3Q20 investor presentation we noticed the average contract duration was 3.6 years, so we used this to estimate what might come off deferred revenue and customer deposits and be recorded as income statement revenue. To estimate how much deal value might be transferred into revenue for 1Q21, we used a longer duration of 4.6 years. We infer that a small portion of deal value could skip the balance sheet and land straight on the income statement when customers renew their contracts. Of course, this is an oversimplification of how these financial items are linked together so the estimate might be way off. Nonetheless, based on all this, as shown below, we estimate 1Q21 revenue of $259m which, as a reminder, is derived from available information and has not accounted for unknowns. This is a shortfall of $73m versus the $332m consensus estimate. Given all the unknown revenue sources from the AWS and IBM deals and elsewhere, and the general confidence from management, it looks like PLTR are going to blow these forecasts out the water.</p><p>Figure 10 - 1Q21 Revenue Estimates Based on Available Information</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c976ca3fc200ad63eb7ee9595b6b8a5\" tg-width=\"633\" tg-height=\"345\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: 10-k, Convequity analysis</p><p><b>Impressive Underlying Economics</b></p><p>We believe the greatest investment catalyst is tied to PLTR’s profitability potential; and this is because of the pervasive doubt of the business model viability at present. Management have heavily focused on contribution margin (that we’ll refer to as CM) in previous investor presentations. As the they presented in the 4Q20 presentation shown below, CM margin has more than doubled from FY19 to FY20. However, this could be skewed due to the low number of customer additions – only 6 in FY20. With this in mind we wanted to dig deeper in understanding how the underlying economics have really improved.</p><p>Figure 11 - High-Level View of Contribution Margin and Gross Margin</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d46bd90bbcfcc1028ec0417d858ec8f8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"270\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source:4Q20 Investor Presentation</p><p>Management have presented the efficiency of the business by grouping customers into 3 phases – Acquire, Expand, and Scale – and in each phase, show how the CM changes within each group. To illustrate, take a look at the figures below, extracted from the S-1 and the 10-k. The customers in the Acquire Phase in FY19 (fiscal year-end 31stDec-21) generated a very negative CM. Those same customers, generated a 17% CM in FY20. The customers in the Expand Phase in FY19 generated -43% CM, and those same customers generated 47% CM in the following year. What’s important to note here, is that the Acquire Phase customers in FY19 will not be the same Acquire Phase customers in FY20 – they will become the Expand Phase customers (or potentially even the Scale Phase customers).</p><p>Figure 12 - PLTR's Customer Phases</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/349bc44eeb8317f08f36bb9da9a2d261\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"83\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: PLTR’s S-1 and FY20 10-k</p><p>On the face of it, this looks impressive, but when we think deeper about it, this is what most SaaS/software firms are doing nowadays. The S&amp;M expenditure to bring the customer to a company and the initial deployment and operational costs make the Acquire phase the costliest. At the same time, free trial or preliminary testing periods don’t generate much revenue. So, for any SaaS-type firm, negative CM is the case for the Acquire and the Expand phases and those same customers will become profitable at a later point in the relationship. We think investors are aware of this and this is why there doesn’t seem to be much online discussion about PLTR’s CM. Of course, investors could simply take the higher-level view of overall CM more than doubling in FY20, however, as aforementioned this is potentially skewed because of the few new customers acquired.</p><p>What can be instantly gleaned from the above CM metrics, is that when the proportion of new customers joining PLTR is small in relation to existing customers the overall CM will be close to the Scale Phase CM. But perhaps that still doesn’t impressive investors enough, because it may take a few years to reach that state.</p><p>Let’s go back to notion that the Acquire Phase customers in FY19 go on to be the Expand (or even Scale) Phase customers in FY20. This is useful but we wanted to see if we could compare the FY20 Acquire Phase with the FY19 Acquire Phase; and the FY20 Expand Phase with the FY19 Expand Phase; and the same for the Scale Phase. This cannot be derived from the data above. Therefore, we’ve had to dig deeper, scan for more information, and make some educated guesses to piece this together. Because knowing by how much the Expand Phase CM has improved from FY19 to FY20 would be really insightful and we don’t suspect many analysts have tried this so far so there is probably an information edge to be gained over the market.</p><p>We show the analysis we did on this below, however,it may be easier for readers to access the actual spreadsheetto take a closer look. If you click the link make sure to download the spreadsheet to see all the comment boxes.</p><p>What interests us the most in the spreadsheet, is the Expand Phase comparisons in FY19 and FY20. The 28% CM highlighted in yellow, under the FY20 Expand Cohort, is what we think the Expand Phase CM must have been in FY20. The equivalent CM in FY19 was -43%. This is a huge like-for-like improvement in the CM and indicates how PLTR has/is radically shortening the deployment phase of their software by utilizing their Apollo SaaS-installation. Personally, we think this is more insightful and meaningful than the overall CM presented which could be skewed, and also versus management’s presentation of the Acquire/Expand/Scale CMs.</p><p>Figure 13 - Contribution Margin Like-for-Like Comparisons</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14c581fd6fbbccea3d7a5da87480edf5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"694\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: 10-k, Convequity analysis</p><p>Another way to view this is that customers are classified as Expand Phase customers when they’ve exceeded $100k in annualized revenue but CM is negative. If the FY19 Expand Phase CM was -43%, it indicates that the majority of these customers remained negative CM customers throughout FY19. If the FY20 Expand Phase CM is 28%, it indicates that the majority of these customers turned from negative to positive within the same year. Again, in our opinion, this is way more impressive than what PLTR’s management has presented to date.</p><p>Lastly, in the final section of the spreadsheet, the Total CMs highlighted in gold text are actual and the ones in red are composed of actual and estimated figures. We can see that all the FY19 customers generated a weighted average CM of 23% in FY19, and then those same customers generated 58% CM in FY20. Going into FY21 we forecast that these same FY19 customers will generate 68% in CM. All the FY20 customers generated a CM of 54% in FY20, though had PLTR brought on board more new customers in FY20, the CM would be considerably lower. These same customers are estimated to generate 65% in CM in FY21 and then 75% in FY22.</p><p>To conclude, PLTR’s current CM of 54% is already high, especially for a high growth software stock, yet it’s likely to move higher. We expect the AWS and IBM partnerships to give PLTR the scale to expand its margins. We think this should erase the doubt that PLTR will be highly profitable. The huge nonrecurring expenses related to the DPO and associated stock-based compensation and other opex categories have contributed to the appearance of an unprofitable business. As these costs normalize and PLTR further leverage Apollo’s SaaS installation/deployment, the CM will continue to rise and PLTR’s margins lower down the income statement will also look attractive.</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>In our previous article on PLTR we presented our DCF valuation for PLTR which arrived at a value per share of $47. We still have full faith in this valuation; however, it may take longer than we initially anticipated. And we partly assign this to the misunderstanding of the potential profitability of the stock. Therefore, for this section, we approached the valuation through a different lens. We’ve projected PLTR’s average revenue growth rate through FY25 and used possible P/S multiples in FY25.</p><p>In the 4Q20 earnings call, management stated that they believe revenue growth will be above 30% each year through to FY25 – quite incredible considering the current TTM revenue of $1.1bn. Knowing this, below we’ve projected some arbitrary growth rates. We know FY20 growth was 47% and based off what management has stated, we’ll put FY25 growth as 30% as a minimum. Therefore, we’ve randomly decelerated from 47% to 30% for each year. The Compounded Annual Growth Rate, or CAGR, of this series of growth rates equals 34%. We shall use this for the valuation exercise.</p><p>Figure 14 - Estimate for Average Revenue Growth Through FY25</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b76e91d228a978ddd8a18a8a102ea495\" tg-width=\"449\" tg-height=\"109\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Convequity analysis</p><p>By using this 34% average revenue growth rate (or CAGR) we calculate revenue will be $4.784bn in FY25/2025. Due to the natural growth expectations decline, we guess that the P/S will be 20x in 2025. ServiceNow’s is currently 20x whilst having TTM revenue of $4,500m, so this is plausible for exceptional companies. These parameters calculate a 2025 market cap of $96bn, a share price of $53.39, and an annualized return of 21%.</p><p>Figure 15 - 2025 Market Cap Forecast</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef9e349e3ba5ffdd5f413a5c857fcb18\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"47\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Convequity analysis</p><p>Below we show the 2025 share price sensitivity table with the 2025 P/S and the CAGR being the two variables. The probabilities are arbitrary just to express how likely we think the respective P/S metrics are in 2025. The share prices in purple text represent the range of what we think our estimation error is likely to be.</p><p>Figure 16 - PLTR's 2025 Share Price Sensitivity Table</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7192c1e4fcda23289de59a09c242fec\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"203\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Convequity analysis</p><p>If management are correct with their growth prediction, then a P/S toward 30x would be fairer than a &lt;20x P/S. However, even if PLTR only generate an average growth rate of 24% and the P/S is 14x at the end of 2025, at the current share price of ~$20 investors still wouldn’t have lost capital. Indeed, it would have been a disappointing investment, but it wouldn’t have lost money. This sensitivity table shows that, despite PLTR’s high multiple at present, the future returns look very appetizing.</p><p>The next sensitivity table replaces the share price with the annualized return through to 2025.</p><p>Figure 17 - PLTR's 2025 Annualized Return Sensitivity Table</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f3a6e9d761e6e7fcb3fb918df9b8503\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"205\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Source: Convequity analysis</p><p>In summary, even at the current high P/S of 34x, we consider it extremely unlikely that investors will lose money investing in PLTR now and holding through to 2025 – simply because of growth projections. Add in the impressive underlying economics, we believe this will prove to be a very good long-term investment.</p><p>So, given the minimal downside and the attractive upside, PLTR is one of the most favourable reward-to-risk holdings in the Convequity Portfolio.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>PLTR’s stock is going to be driven by a combination of changing TAM expectations, high growth, and impressive profitability in due course. Currently, it looks as though the market is underestimating all of these, so the future looks very bright, indeed.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Highly Favourable Reward-To-Risk</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Highly Favourable Reward-To-Risk\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-11 15:44 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4426825-palantir-highly-favourable-reward-to-risk><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryA look at the relationship between P/S and Total Addressable Market and what it means for Palantir.In FY20, revenue grew 47% with only 6 customer additions. The consensus 33% growth for FY21 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4426825-palantir-highly-favourable-reward-to-risk\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4426825-palantir-highly-favourable-reward-to-risk","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1191876953","content_text":"SummaryA look at the relationship between P/S and Total Addressable Market and what it means for Palantir.In FY20, revenue grew 47% with only 6 customer additions. The consensus 33% growth for FY21 looks way off.A deep-dive into the impressive underlying economics of Palantir’s business.A simple valuation analysis to outline it's extremely unlikely investors will lose money even by investing at these levels.ContentsMultiples & TAM> P/S & TAM Penetration>> PLTR’s TAM and Ability to Enter New Markets?> Expanding TAM Fueling Expanding Multiple>> ServiceNow vs Workday>> CloudflareMultiples & TAM RecapWhat is PLTR Actually Good At?What’s Not Being Talked AboutImpressive Underlying EconomicsValuationConclusionMultiples & TAMIt’s commonly known that multiples are closely correlated with revenue growth expectations – higher growth usually equals higher P/S and P/E. Though we wanted to explore the relationship between multiples and a company’s Total Addressable Market, aka TAM. Firstly, we investigated the correlation between P/S and TAM penetration. Then secondly, we used a qualitative approach to assess how increases in TAM tends to affect a company’s P/S. The reason for delving into this is to gain a better insight into Palantir's (PLTR) ongoing valuation, whether the stock’s P/S will persist, extend, or decline, and ultimately what this means for investors’ returns.P/S & TAM PenetrationWe already had metrics for a group of stocks we put together for some other PLTR analysis, therefore we used these to work on the P/S and TAM penetration correlation. To arrive at a TAM for each stock, if we didn’t know beforehand, we reviewed company websites to understand which markets they serve, and then we looked for independent market research (from the likes of Grand View Research and Mordor Intelligence, etc.) estimating the size and growth projections of the subject market. If the size of market estimate seemed odd compared to the company’s revenues and P/S, then we resorted to the company’s investor presentations that usually offer a TAM.As this was quite time-consuming, in addition to PLTR we only conducted this process for 15 stocks, so the sample size is 16. Therefore, the statistics shown in the table below should be viewed with caution because the sample is relatively small and adding more to the sample may significantly change the correlation. Nonetheless, you might still be interested despite the sample being on the small side. From this research we found that the P/S and the TAM penetration (defined as LTM revenue divided by the TAM) for this group of stocks had an inverse correlation of -0.6281. The negative sign indicates that a smaller TAM penetration is associated with a higher P/S. The correlation equates to an R-squared of -0.6281 ^ 2 =0.3945. This means that the TAM penetration explains 39.45% of the variability of the P/S within this group. And considering the nature of financial variables, this is a moderately strong correlation. As expected, there is a stronger correlation between P/S and LTM revenue growth. The 0.9248 correlation equates to an R-squared of 85.55%.Figure 1 - Correlation between P/S and TAM PenetrationSource: Convequity analysisThis is far from conclusive and requires further research but it certainly looks likely that TAM penetration is inversely correlated to P/S multiples. So, what does this have to do with PLTR’s valuation? Well, the market is currently pricing in the management guided TAM of $119bn, yet in reality the TAM is a lot greater. Once investors realize this the 33x P/S at the time of writing will offer extremely good value.PLTR’s TAM and Ability to Enter New Markets?A high stock multiple often results in poor future returns because there are already high growth expectations priced in, and as the growth outlook naturally decelerates, the multiple will decline too. However, we believe PLTR, like other best-in-breed cloud-oriented stocks, are a special case, because they can rotate and enter new markets with relative ease.Showcased by theDouble-Clickevent, PLTR is already emerging as a formidable player in the life sciences analytics industry which is projected to grow from$22bn in 2020 to $42bn by 2025. TheERPmarket, in which they’ve smoothly entered via a AWS partnership, is projected to grow from $43bn today up to $60bn by 2026. Despite these markets being heavily competed for by established players, PLTR’s software-defined approach is displacing many incumbents and in due course will grab a sizeable chunk of market share. And these are just two markets that make up over half of PLTR’s supposed TAM of $119bn.In reality, PLTR’s TAM is the entire software industry. They have an ability like no other software vendor in history to pivot into new markets as they see fit. They have the programming skills and the thoughtfulness in interface design, along with a deep understanding of how users need to interact with software, that affords them the capability to turn their focus to any software market worthwhile. With this in mind, it is reasonable to assume that whenever PLTR needs a revenue growth and/or share price booster, they can formulate a plan to penetrate a new market and provide that catalyst.Below we highlight PLTR’s true potential TAM with reference to a Gartner estimate. The IT services might be a stretch but they certainly have the ability to fully expand within the $483bn Enterprise Software market. With current TTM revenue a little over $1bn, the current TAM penetration of < 0.3% offers high growth for many years which will help prevent a sharp P/S deceleration and support strong future shareholder returns. And in all likelihood, the P/S will probably expand in the interim before beginning a downward trajectory.Figure 2 - Worldwide IT Spending ForecastsExpanding TAM Fueling Expanding MultipleWith this TAM correlation in mind, it might be interesting for investors to visualize how PLTR’s share price and P/S will respond when management inevitably announce that they’re entering new markets – CRM, Risk Management, Productivity, or whatever it may be. To illustrate this, we’ll review the P/S paths of ServiceNow (NOW) and Workday (WDAY) during the past few years.ServiceNow vs WorkdayComparing the P/S trends of these two stocks in relation to their TAM development is interesting to observe. To observe the changing TAM, we’ve used research giant Gartner’s Magic Quadrant. Here is the Magic Quadrant template for those unfamiliar.Figure 3 - Gartner's Magic Quadrant TemplateSource:gartner.comBack in 2016, in reference to Gartner’s Magic Quadrant, Workday (WDAY) was the outright leader in Human Capital Management (HCM) and ServiceNow (NOW) was the same for IT Services Management (ITSM). Both firms had similar revenue growth and gross, operating, and FCF margins, and also neither were serving any other markets. Therefore, as shown in the following chart, WDAY’s higher P/S appeared to be largely attributed to HCM being a larger market than ITSM. During 2017, according to Gartner’s HCM Magic Quadrant WDAY lost its competitive distance as the space became crowded. During the same period, NOW extended their leadership status in the ITSM Magic Quadrant. As a result, the P/S differential closed and the two stocks were trading at almost identical multiples throughout 2017. Despite the same growth rates in 2018, NOW’s P/S pulled sharply higher than WDAY’s because they expanded TAM by entering into two new markets – Integrated Risk Management and CRM Customer Engagement – whilst WDAY didn’t expand their TAM.Figure 4 - NOW vs WDAY P/S Multiple Journey, Part 1Source: Koyfin chart, Convequity analysisIn early 2019, the P/S differential tightened with WDAY’s multiple climbing partly attributable to expanding into the Cloud Financial Management market; NOW also entered a new market in early 2019. Then in 2020, the difference widened further as a result of NOW expanding into 3 more markets and turning from visionary to leader in the Magic Quadrant for Software Asset Management (SAM) whilst WDAY did not even enter one new market.Figure 5 - Figure 1 - NOW vs WDAY P/S Multiple Journey, Part 2Source: Koyfin chart, Convequity analysisThis is a classic example of how entering new markets raises expectations for growth and long-term profitability, thereby raising multiples and ultimately increasing returns for shareholders. We don’t claim that inclusion into Gartner’s Magic Quadrants were the sole factor at play, however, given that both firms’ growth and margins were similar for most of the period under review, it certainly appears to have had a significant influence.CloudflareCloudflare (NET) offers another good example of how TAM expansion influences a stock’s multiple. NET certainly benefitted from the general COVID-induced WFH dynamic during 2020, however, their new product launches also contributed to multiple expansion in a significant way. NET have moved so fast that Gartner haven’t even had time to update their Magic Quadrants, therefore we shall leave Gartner out of this observation. In just 16 months, NET has tripled their P/S mainly as a result of entering new markets. In January 2020, they entered into a $20bn market by announcing their offerings for Secure Web Gateways and Zero Trust products. In July 2020, they made a big move by making their edge compute Workers platform accessible to all developers; in October 2020 they officially launched their SASE offering; and then in March 2021, they introduced Magic WAN which has kind of created a new market altogether because NET is the first to offer a global private WAN.Figure 6 - NET's P/S JourneySource: Koyfin chart, Convequity analysisThere are plenty of other recent examples in which stocks have expanded multiples thanks to TAM expansion - Zscaler and Twilio to name a couple. An underlying driving factor enabling software companies to enter new markets with relative ease is the growth of cloud computing. The required capex to move into new markets is minimal in comparison to the pre-cloud era because software firms don’t need to purchase and implement more servers. Once an application is developed and ready to be deployed, they can scale it across the elastic supply of AWS, Azure, or GCP servers that provide all the necessary compute, networking, and storage requirements – and ramp-up or decrease capacity according to demand.As we point out in our articleS&P 500 is Undervalued, Tech is in a New Paradigm, cloud computing has altered the software industry’s competitive dynamics. It has radically lowered the entry barriers thereby making many software markets overcrowded - in 2007 there were 115 U.S. software stocks and today there are 284. This isn’t alarming as the numbers suggest because the cloud has opened up many greenfield markets, however, the cloud has ushered in a winner-takes-all dynamic into various markets also. And given the reach enabled by the cloud, the prize for the market winners is larger than it’s ever been before. At Asymmetric Tech Investments we aim to identify these future winners.Multiples & TAM RecapHere is a quick recap:There is evidence that a stock’s P/S is moderately correlated to revenue divided by TAM, or TAM penetration. This may appear obvious to some investors though doing this bit of research has helped us refine how we view a company’s market opportunity and shareholder investment prospects.There are many examples that illustrate how TAM expansion tends to increase stock multiples, or at least play a significant part.Cloud computing has made it easier than ever before for software firms to expand TAM.Taking this into account, the future looks incredibly bright for PLTR’s share price. As and when PLTR enter new markets and expand the company’s TAM, there is a high probability that the share price will climb driven by altering growth expectations. If it can be argued that PLTR’s software is already effectively doing stuff like Software Asset Management, Integrated Risk Management, and CRM, then the TAM should be higher than the current $119bn priced in. And if this is the case, PLTR’s multiple should adjust higher to reflect this in due course. Either way despite the perceived high P/S at present, it will probably persist or even rise from here, and over a longer timeframe we suspect PLTR’s multiple will decelerate at a much slower pace than many other high-growth software stocks.Lastly, not only does PLTR have the core software skills to enter almost any market, they are well and truly cloud-enabled following their partnerships with AWS and IBM. This will accelerate the TAM expansion for sure.What is PLTR Actually Good At?It might be easier to try and answer what they aren’t good at. All the information given in the S-1, the 10-k, and investor presentations, pertaining to what PLTR do can be somewhat overwhelming. At the same time, just labelling them a data analysis company is a gross oversimplification. To help us refine our understanding of PLTR’s scope, below we’ve categorized 4 areas, or pillars, in which we believe lays the foundation for all they do – Data Connectivity, Data, Analysis, Data Governance, and User Interface. We’re probably not alone in inferring that the underpinning to PLTR’s superior advantages is closely associated with these 4 pillars. Each of which appear to be in a transformative stage due to the world delving deeper into an era of hyperconnectivity. Within each category we listed things that PLTR are good at dealing with. By the time we had finished we realized the depth and sheer breadth of what they can do.Figure 7 – The 4 Pillars to PLTR’s Competitive EdgeSource: Convequity analysisAnd the only way we can surmise as to how they are capable of such depth and scope, is that they have the deepest understanding of the core principles of software engineering and have an amazing ability to leverage this to various platforms and technologies. Elon Musk’s advocacy for First Principles thinking springs to mind.Figure 8 - First Principles ThinkingSource:safalniveshak.comIt is these 4 pillars in which PLTR are building their moat around, and this foundation can be leveraged to enter almost any software market. Throw in the network effects within enterprise customers’ organization, across verticals (life sciences, airline industry, etc.), and within PLTR itself, it’s hard to envisage them losing their competitive lead.Recently I spoke to a friend who is an engineer at Rolls Royce who shed some light on how PLTR could help him in his job. Below is what he told me.“When designing a product, a RR engineer will spend ~25% of their time gathering and pre-processing data in order to perform a design study. Typically, the data is created by multiple teams, each working in different systems and supplying the data in different formats by differing means. For example, the stress engineer will supply speeds/temperatures/pressures in the form of an emailed spreadsheet. The aero engineer will supply geometry as a CAD file and a pressure map as a .csv file via a shared drive. The designer will supply geometric information and tolerances as a printed word document. All this data must be extracted and processed into a single format before the designer can do any analysis. Having all this data in one system would massively reduce the time spent processing data and would free up the designer to do the actual engineering.”Foundry would solve his problem by connecting to all the relevant data sources and standardizing the data ready for immediate analysis. The ramp-up in my friend’s productivity would be profound. Generally, it seems as though this type of problem involving data located across disjointed systems and existing in different formats has up until now been the main use case for Foundry. Increasingly, however, we’re hearing cases whereby Foundry has been laid atop an enterprise’s legacy systems and deliver what works like a brand-new IT infrastructure built from the ground up. For example, in the Double Click event, Forward Deploy Engineer, Liam Mawe, explained how a Foundry ERP archetype was installed for one industrial client that already had 25 ERP systems in operation that were largely siloed from each other. After a few hours of configuration, Foundry’s ERP had every single piece of data readily available. Mawe didn’t elaborate, though we presume Foundry’s ERP could carry on working in conjunction with the other ERP systems or work just as well should the client decide to remove them – which is more probable. This incredible flexibility is the key to the seemingly rapid customer acquisition of late – there is no rip and replace required, so the stakes are lower and as a result decision-makers are more willing to give PLTR a try.What’s Not Being Talked AboutFrom what we’ve read about PLTR, there hasn’t been any mention of the fact that they only added 6 customers in FY20 whilst growing revenue by 47%. This is staggering; and achieved by the 41% increase in revenue per customer, as shown in the chart below. When we think about the AWS and IBM cloud partnerships and the various press releases thus far into 2021, they could have tripled the FY20 new customer number in the first quarter alone. Couple that with another >20% increase in per customer revenue, it’s not beyond the realm of possibility for PLTR to grow revenue by 60% this year.Figure 9 - Net New Customer Additions in FY20Source: 10-k, Convequity analysisWe thought we’d have a go at forecasting 1Q21 revenue – which will be released before the market open on Tuesday 11thMay. We began by building up the revenue estimate based on available information such as the press releases thus far in 2021, balance sheet items such as deferred revenue and customer deposits, as well as off-balance sheet deal value which includes remaining performance obligations and contract renewal options. In the 3Q20 investor presentation we noticed the average contract duration was 3.6 years, so we used this to estimate what might come off deferred revenue and customer deposits and be recorded as income statement revenue. To estimate how much deal value might be transferred into revenue for 1Q21, we used a longer duration of 4.6 years. We infer that a small portion of deal value could skip the balance sheet and land straight on the income statement when customers renew their contracts. Of course, this is an oversimplification of how these financial items are linked together so the estimate might be way off. Nonetheless, based on all this, as shown below, we estimate 1Q21 revenue of $259m which, as a reminder, is derived from available information and has not accounted for unknowns. This is a shortfall of $73m versus the $332m consensus estimate. Given all the unknown revenue sources from the AWS and IBM deals and elsewhere, and the general confidence from management, it looks like PLTR are going to blow these forecasts out the water.Figure 10 - 1Q21 Revenue Estimates Based on Available InformationSource: 10-k, Convequity analysisImpressive Underlying EconomicsWe believe the greatest investment catalyst is tied to PLTR’s profitability potential; and this is because of the pervasive doubt of the business model viability at present. Management have heavily focused on contribution margin (that we’ll refer to as CM) in previous investor presentations. As the they presented in the 4Q20 presentation shown below, CM margin has more than doubled from FY19 to FY20. However, this could be skewed due to the low number of customer additions – only 6 in FY20. With this in mind we wanted to dig deeper in understanding how the underlying economics have really improved.Figure 11 - High-Level View of Contribution Margin and Gross MarginSource:4Q20 Investor PresentationManagement have presented the efficiency of the business by grouping customers into 3 phases – Acquire, Expand, and Scale – and in each phase, show how the CM changes within each group. To illustrate, take a look at the figures below, extracted from the S-1 and the 10-k. The customers in the Acquire Phase in FY19 (fiscal year-end 31stDec-21) generated a very negative CM. Those same customers, generated a 17% CM in FY20. The customers in the Expand Phase in FY19 generated -43% CM, and those same customers generated 47% CM in the following year. What’s important to note here, is that the Acquire Phase customers in FY19 will not be the same Acquire Phase customers in FY20 – they will become the Expand Phase customers (or potentially even the Scale Phase customers).Figure 12 - PLTR's Customer PhasesSource: PLTR’s S-1 and FY20 10-kOn the face of it, this looks impressive, but when we think deeper about it, this is what most SaaS/software firms are doing nowadays. The S&M expenditure to bring the customer to a company and the initial deployment and operational costs make the Acquire phase the costliest. At the same time, free trial or preliminary testing periods don’t generate much revenue. So, for any SaaS-type firm, negative CM is the case for the Acquire and the Expand phases and those same customers will become profitable at a later point in the relationship. We think investors are aware of this and this is why there doesn’t seem to be much online discussion about PLTR’s CM. Of course, investors could simply take the higher-level view of overall CM more than doubling in FY20, however, as aforementioned this is potentially skewed because of the few new customers acquired.What can be instantly gleaned from the above CM metrics, is that when the proportion of new customers joining PLTR is small in relation to existing customers the overall CM will be close to the Scale Phase CM. But perhaps that still doesn’t impressive investors enough, because it may take a few years to reach that state.Let’s go back to notion that the Acquire Phase customers in FY19 go on to be the Expand (or even Scale) Phase customers in FY20. This is useful but we wanted to see if we could compare the FY20 Acquire Phase with the FY19 Acquire Phase; and the FY20 Expand Phase with the FY19 Expand Phase; and the same for the Scale Phase. This cannot be derived from the data above. Therefore, we’ve had to dig deeper, scan for more information, and make some educated guesses to piece this together. Because knowing by how much the Expand Phase CM has improved from FY19 to FY20 would be really insightful and we don’t suspect many analysts have tried this so far so there is probably an information edge to be gained over the market.We show the analysis we did on this below, however,it may be easier for readers to access the actual spreadsheetto take a closer look. If you click the link make sure to download the spreadsheet to see all the comment boxes.What interests us the most in the spreadsheet, is the Expand Phase comparisons in FY19 and FY20. The 28% CM highlighted in yellow, under the FY20 Expand Cohort, is what we think the Expand Phase CM must have been in FY20. The equivalent CM in FY19 was -43%. This is a huge like-for-like improvement in the CM and indicates how PLTR has/is radically shortening the deployment phase of their software by utilizing their Apollo SaaS-installation. Personally, we think this is more insightful and meaningful than the overall CM presented which could be skewed, and also versus management’s presentation of the Acquire/Expand/Scale CMs.Figure 13 - Contribution Margin Like-for-Like ComparisonsSource: 10-k, Convequity analysisAnother way to view this is that customers are classified as Expand Phase customers when they’ve exceeded $100k in annualized revenue but CM is negative. If the FY19 Expand Phase CM was -43%, it indicates that the majority of these customers remained negative CM customers throughout FY19. If the FY20 Expand Phase CM is 28%, it indicates that the majority of these customers turned from negative to positive within the same year. Again, in our opinion, this is way more impressive than what PLTR’s management has presented to date.Lastly, in the final section of the spreadsheet, the Total CMs highlighted in gold text are actual and the ones in red are composed of actual and estimated figures. We can see that all the FY19 customers generated a weighted average CM of 23% in FY19, and then those same customers generated 58% CM in FY20. Going into FY21 we forecast that these same FY19 customers will generate 68% in CM. All the FY20 customers generated a CM of 54% in FY20, though had PLTR brought on board more new customers in FY20, the CM would be considerably lower. These same customers are estimated to generate 65% in CM in FY21 and then 75% in FY22.To conclude, PLTR’s current CM of 54% is already high, especially for a high growth software stock, yet it’s likely to move higher. We expect the AWS and IBM partnerships to give PLTR the scale to expand its margins. We think this should erase the doubt that PLTR will be highly profitable. The huge nonrecurring expenses related to the DPO and associated stock-based compensation and other opex categories have contributed to the appearance of an unprofitable business. As these costs normalize and PLTR further leverage Apollo’s SaaS installation/deployment, the CM will continue to rise and PLTR’s margins lower down the income statement will also look attractive.ValuationIn our previous article on PLTR we presented our DCF valuation for PLTR which arrived at a value per share of $47. We still have full faith in this valuation; however, it may take longer than we initially anticipated. And we partly assign this to the misunderstanding of the potential profitability of the stock. Therefore, for this section, we approached the valuation through a different lens. We’ve projected PLTR’s average revenue growth rate through FY25 and used possible P/S multiples in FY25.In the 4Q20 earnings call, management stated that they believe revenue growth will be above 30% each year through to FY25 – quite incredible considering the current TTM revenue of $1.1bn. Knowing this, below we’ve projected some arbitrary growth rates. We know FY20 growth was 47% and based off what management has stated, we’ll put FY25 growth as 30% as a minimum. Therefore, we’ve randomly decelerated from 47% to 30% for each year. The Compounded Annual Growth Rate, or CAGR, of this series of growth rates equals 34%. We shall use this for the valuation exercise.Figure 14 - Estimate for Average Revenue Growth Through FY25Source: Convequity analysisBy using this 34% average revenue growth rate (or CAGR) we calculate revenue will be $4.784bn in FY25/2025. Due to the natural growth expectations decline, we guess that the P/S will be 20x in 2025. ServiceNow’s is currently 20x whilst having TTM revenue of $4,500m, so this is plausible for exceptional companies. These parameters calculate a 2025 market cap of $96bn, a share price of $53.39, and an annualized return of 21%.Figure 15 - 2025 Market Cap ForecastSource: Convequity analysisBelow we show the 2025 share price sensitivity table with the 2025 P/S and the CAGR being the two variables. The probabilities are arbitrary just to express how likely we think the respective P/S metrics are in 2025. The share prices in purple text represent the range of what we think our estimation error is likely to be.Figure 16 - PLTR's 2025 Share Price Sensitivity TableSource: Convequity analysisIf management are correct with their growth prediction, then a P/S toward 30x would be fairer than a <20x P/S. However, even if PLTR only generate an average growth rate of 24% and the P/S is 14x at the end of 2025, at the current share price of ~$20 investors still wouldn’t have lost capital. Indeed, it would have been a disappointing investment, but it wouldn’t have lost money. This sensitivity table shows that, despite PLTR’s high multiple at present, the future returns look very appetizing.The next sensitivity table replaces the share price with the annualized return through to 2025.Figure 17 - PLTR's 2025 Annualized Return Sensitivity TableSource: Convequity analysisIn summary, even at the current high P/S of 34x, we consider it extremely unlikely that investors will lose money investing in PLTR now and holding through to 2025 – simply because of growth projections. Add in the impressive underlying economics, we believe this will prove to be a very good long-term investment.So, given the minimal downside and the attractive upside, PLTR is one of the most favourable reward-to-risk holdings in the Convequity Portfolio.ConclusionPLTR’s stock is going to be driven by a combination of changing TAM expectations, high growth, and impressive profitability in due course. Currently, it looks as though the market is underestimating all of these, so the future looks very bright, indeed.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":350,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372386674,"gmtCreate":1619178376398,"gmtModify":1634287976364,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No risk no gain. Are u willing to take the risk?","listText":"No risk no gain. Are u willing to take the risk?","text":"No risk no gain. Are u willing to take the risk?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372386674","repostId":"2129591703","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2129591703","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1619178121,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2129591703?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-23 19:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Bitcoin Stocks to Avoid Like the Plague","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2129591703","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"There are a lot of ways to gain exposure to Bitcoin. This trio of companies would be the worst way to do so.","content":"<p>Historically, the stock market has been the greatest wealth creator on the planet. Over the very long run, the market has returned about 7% annually (with dividends reinvested). But it's been even more impressive since the beginning of 1980. Including dividends, the average annual total return of the benchmark <b>S&amp;P 500</b> has been more than 10%.</p>\n<p>Then <b>Bitcoin</b> (CRYPTO:BTC) came along a little over a decade ago. Since its debut, the world's largest cryptocurrency has run circles around the broader market indexes many times over. Just looking at the trailing five-year period, Bitcoin is higher by close to 13,800%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b574bce2f4c87731881bf278bde1070\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<p>Why is Bitcoin thriving? The perception of a fixed token count (21 million) is one reason investors are excited. The belief is that as the U.S. and global money supply increase, Bitcoin will increase in value since its token count is capped.</p>\n<p>There's a growing utility argument surrounding Bitcoin, as well. A couple of companies (ahem, <b>Tesla Motors</b>) have begun adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets. Meanwhile, money managers and investment banks are coming around to the idea that portioning some funds for crypto may not be a bad idea.</p>\n<p>A case can also be made that Bitcoin will revolutionize the way payments are made. With traditional banking networks, cross-border payments can take up to a week to be validated and settled. If these same transactions are conducted in Bitcoin and on its blockchain, the average settlement time is right around 10 minutes.</p>\n<p>Previously, I've made no secret why I'm not a fan of Bitcoin, as well as why I won't be adding it to my portfolio. However, even with this inherent bias, I can understand why certain Bitcoin stocks might offer an attractive value proposition to investors.</p>\n<h2>This trio of Bitcoin stocks is bad news</h2>\n<p>At the same time, a handful of Bitcoin stocks stand out as truly awful investment opportunities, relative to just buying the digital currency itself or investing in a tracking fund like the <b>Grayscale Bitcoin Trust</b>. In my view, the following three Bitcoin stocks should be avoided like the plague.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/948979a5906f6a772325eab379e777b1\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>Coinbase</h2>\n<p>Although it may have been the most anticipated initial public offering of the year, cryptocurrency trading platform and crypto ecosystem <b>Coinbase Global</b> (NASDAQ:COIN) is first up in the avoid column.</p>\n<p>As you can imagine, euphoria surrounding crypto is at or near an all-time high. Bitcoin recently neared $65,000, and meme-based digital-currency <b>Dogecoin</b>&nbsp;rocketed higher by more than 400% in a week. Young investors who crave volatility and the get-rich-quick mentality are having a field day with cryptocurrencies -- and Coinbase's quarterly results show it. The roughly $1.8 billion in revenue that Coinbase generated in the first quarter of 2021 is more than the company brought in during the previous two full years <i>combined</i>.</p>\n<p>Unfortunately, this is an operating model that's highly dependent on investors' emotions and the popularity of Bitcoin and <b>Ethereum</b>, which make up the bulk of the platform's revenue. If the price of these two popular digital currencies isn't rising, we've historically seen trading interest drop off significantly. In fact, Coinbase's revenue between 2017 and 2019 was nearly halved as Bitcoin lost around 80% of its value. With volatility a precedent in the crypto space, Coinbase's revenue could be susceptible to wild swings.</p>\n<p>Another obvious concern is that other digital-currency brokerages could undercut Coinbase's trading fees. Though Coinbase has 56 million verified users as of the end of March, we watched the same price wars unfold with traditional Wall Street brokerages over the years.</p>\n<p>Long story short, Coinbase appears grossly overvalued for the services it provides, which is what makes it <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the most dangerous Bitcoin stocks.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7820c1f47b166de46066a8218fa6556\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>MicroStrategy</h2>\n<p>Enterprise intelligence software-solutions provider <b>MicroStrategy</b> (NASDAQ:MSTR) is another extremely dangerous Bitcoin stock that would be best avoided.</p>\n<p>The lure for investors has been the conviction of CEO Michael Saylor in Bitcoin. Taking into account the $1.03 billion investment MicroStrategy made into Bitcoin in February 2021, Saylor's company is now holding 90,531 Bitcoins on its balance sheet at an average cost basis of $23,985 per token. Put another way, MicroStrategy's $2.17 billion investment in Bitcoin is now worth nearly $5.1 billion. That's a hefty return investors have come to appreciate.</p>\n<p>However, it makes no sense at all for investors to buy into an enterprise software company that's being treated as a Bitcoin tracking company when investors could more accurately track the movement of Bitcoin by purchasing it directly or buying a tracking fund. Furthermore, MicroStrategy is in the midst of a six-year sales decline.</p>\n<p>Even though the company has been profitable on an adjusted basis, paying almost $1.7 billion above and beyond the value of the company's digital assets for a business that's been in constant decline for over a half-decade doesn't seem prudent. It's also a bit unnerving that Saylor has spent his time promoting Bitcoin on social media, rather than figuring out how to turn around his company's stagnant enterprise intelligence segment.</p>\n<p>But the most egregious thing of all might be that MicroStrategy has taken out more than $1.6 billion in convertible debt to raise the cash necessary to buy its Bitcoin. It's one thing to use excess cash on a company's balance sheet to buy Bitcoin; it's an entirely different story when a company is burying itself in debt to buy a highly volatile digital asset.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91f6037829ea3fb0ae1cae0b95d8d11e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>Riot Blockchain</h2>\n<p>The third and final Bitcoin stock to avoid like the plague is cryptocurrency miner <b>Riot Blockchain </b>(NASDAQ:RIOT).</p>\n<p>Cryptocurrency miners are people or businesses that use high-powered computers to solve complex mathematical equations that validate groups of transactions, known as a block, on proof-of-stake networks. For being the first to validate a block as true, a block reward is paid. Riot specifically targets Bitcoin, which pays out a block reward of 6.25 tokens (worth around $350,000). Thus, the lure of Riot Blockchain is that it'll generate juicier rewards if the price of Bitcoin keeps climbing.</p>\n<p>On the other hand, there are big-time issues with investing in crypto miners like Riot. For starters, there's virtually no barrier to entry. Any business with sufficient capital can purchase the equipment needed to mine Bitcoin. This suggests competition is only going to increase if the price of Bitcoin keeps heading higher.</p>\n<p>Another concern that can't be overlooked is that the block reward for Bitcoin halves every couple of years. Instead of increased returns over time, Riot Blockchain is fighting with more and more businesses for a piece of an increasingly smaller pie.</p>\n<p>Plus, it's not even clear if cryptocurrency miners like Riot Blockchain can survive over the long run. Bitcoin had three separate drawdowns of at least 80% over the past decade, and Riot Blockchain is essentially devoid of innovation and wholly reliant on Bitcoin to head higher. If you want Bitcoin exposure, Riot Blockchain isn't the way to do it.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Bitcoin Stocks to Avoid Like the Plague</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Bitcoin Stocks to Avoid Like the Plague\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-23 19:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/23/3-bitcoin-stocks-to-avoid-like-the-plague/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Historically, the stock market has been the greatest wealth creator on the planet. Over the very long run, the market has returned about 7% annually (with dividends reinvested). But it's been even ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/23/3-bitcoin-stocks-to-avoid-like-the-plague/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSTR":"MicroStrategy","RIOT":"Riot Platforms","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/23/3-bitcoin-stocks-to-avoid-like-the-plague/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2129591703","content_text":"Historically, the stock market has been the greatest wealth creator on the planet. Over the very long run, the market has returned about 7% annually (with dividends reinvested). But it's been even more impressive since the beginning of 1980. Including dividends, the average annual total return of the benchmark S&P 500 has been more than 10%.\nThen Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) came along a little over a decade ago. Since its debut, the world's largest cryptocurrency has run circles around the broader market indexes many times over. Just looking at the trailing five-year period, Bitcoin is higher by close to 13,800%.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nWhy is Bitcoin thriving? The perception of a fixed token count (21 million) is one reason investors are excited. The belief is that as the U.S. and global money supply increase, Bitcoin will increase in value since its token count is capped.\nThere's a growing utility argument surrounding Bitcoin, as well. A couple of companies (ahem, Tesla Motors) have begun adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets. Meanwhile, money managers and investment banks are coming around to the idea that portioning some funds for crypto may not be a bad idea.\nA case can also be made that Bitcoin will revolutionize the way payments are made. With traditional banking networks, cross-border payments can take up to a week to be validated and settled. If these same transactions are conducted in Bitcoin and on its blockchain, the average settlement time is right around 10 minutes.\nPreviously, I've made no secret why I'm not a fan of Bitcoin, as well as why I won't be adding it to my portfolio. However, even with this inherent bias, I can understand why certain Bitcoin stocks might offer an attractive value proposition to investors.\nThis trio of Bitcoin stocks is bad news\nAt the same time, a handful of Bitcoin stocks stand out as truly awful investment opportunities, relative to just buying the digital currency itself or investing in a tracking fund like the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust. In my view, the following three Bitcoin stocks should be avoided like the plague.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nCoinbase\nAlthough it may have been the most anticipated initial public offering of the year, cryptocurrency trading platform and crypto ecosystem Coinbase Global (NASDAQ:COIN) is first up in the avoid column.\nAs you can imagine, euphoria surrounding crypto is at or near an all-time high. Bitcoin recently neared $65,000, and meme-based digital-currency Dogecoin rocketed higher by more than 400% in a week. Young investors who crave volatility and the get-rich-quick mentality are having a field day with cryptocurrencies -- and Coinbase's quarterly results show it. The roughly $1.8 billion in revenue that Coinbase generated in the first quarter of 2021 is more than the company brought in during the previous two full years combined.\nUnfortunately, this is an operating model that's highly dependent on investors' emotions and the popularity of Bitcoin and Ethereum, which make up the bulk of the platform's revenue. If the price of these two popular digital currencies isn't rising, we've historically seen trading interest drop off significantly. In fact, Coinbase's revenue between 2017 and 2019 was nearly halved as Bitcoin lost around 80% of its value. With volatility a precedent in the crypto space, Coinbase's revenue could be susceptible to wild swings.\nAnother obvious concern is that other digital-currency brokerages could undercut Coinbase's trading fees. Though Coinbase has 56 million verified users as of the end of March, we watched the same price wars unfold with traditional Wall Street brokerages over the years.\nLong story short, Coinbase appears grossly overvalued for the services it provides, which is what makes it one of the most dangerous Bitcoin stocks.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nMicroStrategy\nEnterprise intelligence software-solutions provider MicroStrategy (NASDAQ:MSTR) is another extremely dangerous Bitcoin stock that would be best avoided.\nThe lure for investors has been the conviction of CEO Michael Saylor in Bitcoin. Taking into account the $1.03 billion investment MicroStrategy made into Bitcoin in February 2021, Saylor's company is now holding 90,531 Bitcoins on its balance sheet at an average cost basis of $23,985 per token. Put another way, MicroStrategy's $2.17 billion investment in Bitcoin is now worth nearly $5.1 billion. That's a hefty return investors have come to appreciate.\nHowever, it makes no sense at all for investors to buy into an enterprise software company that's being treated as a Bitcoin tracking company when investors could more accurately track the movement of Bitcoin by purchasing it directly or buying a tracking fund. Furthermore, MicroStrategy is in the midst of a six-year sales decline.\nEven though the company has been profitable on an adjusted basis, paying almost $1.7 billion above and beyond the value of the company's digital assets for a business that's been in constant decline for over a half-decade doesn't seem prudent. It's also a bit unnerving that Saylor has spent his time promoting Bitcoin on social media, rather than figuring out how to turn around his company's stagnant enterprise intelligence segment.\nBut the most egregious thing of all might be that MicroStrategy has taken out more than $1.6 billion in convertible debt to raise the cash necessary to buy its Bitcoin. It's one thing to use excess cash on a company's balance sheet to buy Bitcoin; it's an entirely different story when a company is burying itself in debt to buy a highly volatile digital asset.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nRiot Blockchain\nThe third and final Bitcoin stock to avoid like the plague is cryptocurrency miner Riot Blockchain (NASDAQ:RIOT).\nCryptocurrency miners are people or businesses that use high-powered computers to solve complex mathematical equations that validate groups of transactions, known as a block, on proof-of-stake networks. For being the first to validate a block as true, a block reward is paid. Riot specifically targets Bitcoin, which pays out a block reward of 6.25 tokens (worth around $350,000). Thus, the lure of Riot Blockchain is that it'll generate juicier rewards if the price of Bitcoin keeps climbing.\nOn the other hand, there are big-time issues with investing in crypto miners like Riot. For starters, there's virtually no barrier to entry. Any business with sufficient capital can purchase the equipment needed to mine Bitcoin. This suggests competition is only going to increase if the price of Bitcoin keeps heading higher.\nAnother concern that can't be overlooked is that the block reward for Bitcoin halves every couple of years. Instead of increased returns over time, Riot Blockchain is fighting with more and more businesses for a piece of an increasingly smaller pie.\nPlus, it's not even clear if cryptocurrency miners like Riot Blockchain can survive over the long run. Bitcoin had three separate drawdowns of at least 80% over the past decade, and Riot Blockchain is essentially devoid of innovation and wholly reliant on Bitcoin to head higher. If you want Bitcoin exposure, Riot Blockchain isn't the way to do it.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":378619182,"gmtCreate":1619021490746,"gmtModify":1634289138792,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>I see light....","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>I see light....","text":"$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$I see light....","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/439fd14b93293c31c7f78004c23bd37e","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/378619182","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":254,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168049699,"gmtCreate":1623945295711,"gmtModify":1634025452593,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Start smallgrow big&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Start smallgrow big&nbsp;","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$Start smallgrow big","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63a289099f54644d0d4ae03c471c60c0","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168049699","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":337,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341659943,"gmtCreate":1617810204982,"gmtModify":1631883960653,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">$Zoom(ZM)$</a>321.53Fly me to the moon&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">$Zoom(ZM)$</a>321.53Fly me to the moon&nbsp;","text":"$Zoom(ZM)$321.53Fly me to the moon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/657d20131d6bf3efa88dcc6268557e96","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341659943","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160235827,"gmtCreate":1623799147869,"gmtModify":1631888407269,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTCF\">$Tattooed Chef, Inc(TTCF)$</a>Slow &amp; steady","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTCF\">$Tattooed Chef, Inc(TTCF)$</a>Slow &amp; steady","text":"$Tattooed Chef, Inc(TTCF)$Slow & steady","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efe460c53b8f685cf5b506aee1202214","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160235827","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":394,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160297116,"gmtCreate":1623798990135,"gmtModify":1634028171832,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Baba, is&nbsp;time to soar…..","listText":"Baba, is&nbsp;time to soar…..","text":"Baba, is time to soar…..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160297116","repostId":"1127088935","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":252,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":378689409,"gmtCreate":1619022612401,"gmtModify":1634289133542,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"17% higher than IPO price...worth the buy or wait &amp; see?","listText":"17% higher than IPO price...worth the buy or wait &amp; see?","text":"17% higher than IPO price...worth the buy or wait & see?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/378689409","repostId":"1188151581","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188151581","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619022381,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188151581?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-22 00:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"UiPath opens for trading at $65.72,above IPO price of $56","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188151581","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"UiPath opens for trading at $65.72， above IPO price of $56.UiPath is an automation software maker. T","content":"<p>UiPath opens for trading at $65.72，&nbsp;above IPO price of $56.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73573b4f015764620d24e8c172063efe\" tg-width=\"843\" tg-height=\"613\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>UiPath&nbsp;is an automation software maker. The software UiPath provides helps automate repetitive tasks, increasing efficiencies for its clientele. The company’s products have become increasingly attractive for companies looking to boost productivity amid the global pandemic. Accordingly, investors seem bullish on what will be PATH stock.Demandfor this IPO appears to be much higher than initially expected.</p><p>Let’s take a look at some of the most important details about the UiPath IPO for potential investors in PATH stock.</p><ul><li>To start off with, the company is listing its shares on the New York Stock Exchange under the PATH stock ticker.</li><li>The company islisting shares of its stock for $56 each.</li><li>That’s higher than its expected IPO price range,which valued shares between $52 to $54 each.</li><li>UiPath’s IPO also has it offering up 9,416,384 shares of PATH stock.</li><li>Selling stockholders are listing 14,474,393 shares of stock in the IPO.</li><li>However, the company’s won’t see any proceeds from selling stockholders offering up their shares.</li><li>There’s also a 30-day option for underwriters of the IPO to purchase an additional 3,583,616 shares.</li><li><b>Morgan Stanley</b>(NYSE:<b><u>MS</u></b>) and<b>JPMorgan</b>(NYSE:<b><u>JPM</u></b>) and the lead acting bookrunners of the IPO.</li><li><b>Bank of America</b>(NYSE:<b><u>BAC</u></b>) Securities,<b>Credit Suisse</b>(NYSE:<b><u>CS</u></b>),<b>Barclays</b>(NYSE:<b><u>BCS</u></b>), and<b>Wells Fargo</b>(NYSE:<b><u>WFC</u></b>) Securities are active bookrunners for the offering.</li></ul><ul><li>Several others are also acting as passive bookrunners of the IPO.</li><li>UiPath’s IPO is set to end on Friday.</li><li>The company is a developer of automation software.</li><li>This software allows its customers to increase efficiency by automating repetitive tasks.</li><li>It looks like investors are hungry for a stock like PATH.</li><li>UiPath was previously targeting a price range of $43 to $50 with 21.3 million shares.</li><li>Instead, the company increased the price and share amount to meet demand from potential investors.</li><li>That means there are high expectations for PATH stock to perform well when it goes public.</li><li>Excited investors will just have to wait until it starts trading later today to see if the stock can meet those expectations.</li></ul>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUiPath opens for trading at $65.72,above IPO price of $56\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-04-22 00:26</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>UiPath opens for trading at $65.72，&nbsp;above IPO price of $56.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73573b4f015764620d24e8c172063efe\" tg-width=\"843\" tg-height=\"613\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>UiPath&nbsp;is an automation software maker. The software UiPath provides helps automate repetitive tasks, increasing efficiencies for its clientele. The company’s products have become increasingly attractive for companies looking to boost productivity amid the global pandemic. Accordingly, investors seem bullish on what will be PATH stock.Demandfor this IPO appears to be much higher than initially expected.</p><p>Let’s take a look at some of the most important details about the UiPath IPO for potential investors in PATH stock.</p><ul><li>To start off with, the company is listing its shares on the New York Stock Exchange under the PATH stock ticker.</li><li>The company islisting shares of its stock for $56 each.</li><li>That’s higher than its expected IPO price range,which valued shares between $52 to $54 each.</li><li>UiPath’s IPO also has it offering up 9,416,384 shares of PATH stock.</li><li>Selling stockholders are listing 14,474,393 shares of stock in the IPO.</li><li>However, the company’s won’t see any proceeds from selling stockholders offering up their shares.</li><li>There’s also a 30-day option for underwriters of the IPO to purchase an additional 3,583,616 shares.</li><li><b>Morgan Stanley</b>(NYSE:<b><u>MS</u></b>) and<b>JPMorgan</b>(NYSE:<b><u>JPM</u></b>) and the lead acting bookrunners of the IPO.</li><li><b>Bank of America</b>(NYSE:<b><u>BAC</u></b>) Securities,<b>Credit Suisse</b>(NYSE:<b><u>CS</u></b>),<b>Barclays</b>(NYSE:<b><u>BCS</u></b>), and<b>Wells Fargo</b>(NYSE:<b><u>WFC</u></b>) Securities are active bookrunners for the offering.</li></ul><ul><li>Several others are also acting as passive bookrunners of the IPO.</li><li>UiPath’s IPO is set to end on Friday.</li><li>The company is a developer of automation software.</li><li>This software allows its customers to increase efficiency by automating repetitive tasks.</li><li>It looks like investors are hungry for a stock like PATH.</li><li>UiPath was previously targeting a price range of $43 to $50 with 21.3 million shares.</li><li>Instead, the company increased the price and share amount to meet demand from potential investors.</li><li>That means there are high expectations for PATH stock to perform well when it goes public.</li><li>Excited investors will just have to wait until it starts trading later today to see if the stock can meet those expectations.</li></ul>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PATH":"UiPath"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188151581","content_text":"UiPath opens for trading at $65.72， above IPO price of $56.UiPath is an automation software maker. The software UiPath provides helps automate repetitive tasks, increasing efficiencies for its clientele. The company’s products have become increasingly attractive for companies looking to boost productivity amid the global pandemic. Accordingly, investors seem bullish on what will be PATH stock.Demandfor this IPO appears to be much higher than initially expected.Let’s take a look at some of the most important details about the UiPath IPO for potential investors in PATH stock.To start off with, the company is listing its shares on the New York Stock Exchange under the PATH stock ticker.The company islisting shares of its stock for $56 each.That’s higher than its expected IPO price range,which valued shares between $52 to $54 each.UiPath’s IPO also has it offering up 9,416,384 shares of PATH stock.Selling stockholders are listing 14,474,393 shares of stock in the IPO.However, the company’s won’t see any proceeds from selling stockholders offering up their shares.There’s also a 30-day option for underwriters of the IPO to purchase an additional 3,583,616 shares.Morgan Stanley(NYSE:MS) andJPMorgan(NYSE:JPM) and the lead acting bookrunners of the IPO.Bank of America(NYSE:BAC) Securities,Credit Suisse(NYSE:CS),Barclays(NYSE:BCS), andWells Fargo(NYSE:WFC) Securities are active bookrunners for the offering.Several others are also acting as passive bookrunners of the IPO.UiPath’s IPO is set to end on Friday.The company is a developer of automation software.This software allows its customers to increase efficiency by automating repetitive tasks.It looks like investors are hungry for a stock like PATH.UiPath was previously targeting a price range of $43 to $50 with 21.3 million shares.Instead, the company increased the price and share amount to meet demand from potential investors.That means there are high expectations for PATH stock to perform well when it goes public.Excited investors will just have to wait until it starts trading later today to see if the stock can meet those expectations.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":324,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":357375624,"gmtCreate":1617242151568,"gmtModify":1634521852088,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up up up","listText":"Up up up","text":"Up up up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/357375624","repostId":"2124285272","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2124285272","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1617229040,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2124285272?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-01 06:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tech lifts S&P 500, Nasdaq; indexes post gains for quarter","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2124285272","media":"Reuters","summary":"March 31 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Wednesday, boosted by gains in technology shares","content":"<p>March 31 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Wednesday, boosted by gains in technology shares, and the three major Wall Street indexes registered their fourth straight quarterly rise as investors positioned themselves for President Joe Biden's massive infrastructure plan.</p><p>Bets on a strong economic rebound supported Wall Street during the quarter even as jitters cropped up over GameStop</p><p>and a retail trading frenzy, a spike in Treasury yields and a U.S. hedge fund going bust.</p><p>On Wednesday, the benchmark S&amp;P 500 reached an intra-day record high but stopped short of hitting 4,000 and pared gains late in the day. The S&amp;P 500 technology index</p><p>led sector gains, while the energy sector fell and was the weakest sector on the day.</p><p>\"The trend we're seeing today is investors rotating back into growth-oriented names that have gotten a little bit beaten up over the past few weeks or so due to underlying rotation toward the economic reopening stocks,\" said Michael Sheldon, chief investment officer at RDM Financial Group at Hightower in Westport, Connecticut.</p><p>Some cyclical sectors could also be taking a breather from their rise because of recent strength in the dollar, he said.</p><p>For the quarter, the Nasdaq underperformed the other two major indexes as investors swapped growth-oriented stocks with underpriced shares deemed to benefit most from a full economic reopening. High-flying tech names have been hit by a surge in U.S. 10-year bond yields .</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 85.41 points, or 0.26%, to 32,981.55, the S&amp;P 500 gained 14.34 points, or 0.36%, to 3,972.89 and the Nasdaq Composite added 201.48 points, or 1.54%, to 13,246.87.</p><p>For the quarter, the Dow gained 7.8%, the S&amp;P 500 rose 5.8% and the Nasdaq increased 2.8%. For the month, the Dow added about 6.6%, the S&amp;P 500 rose 4.2% and the Nasdaq gained just 0.4%.</p><p>Biden gave a much anticipated speech in the afternoon calling for a sweeping use of government power to reshape the world's largest economy and counter China's rise in a $2 trillion-plus proposal that has been met with swift political resistance.</p><p>Apple Inc rose 1.9% after brokerage UBS upgraded the stock to \"buy\" on stable long-term demand for iPhones with better authorized service providers.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> advanced 3.6% after raising its 2021 profit forecast on higher sales at its U.S. retail pharmacy stores.</p><p>On the economic front, U.S. private employers boosted hiring in March as more Americans got vaccinated against COVID-19. The payroll report was in line with the recent signs of improvement in the labor market and comes ahead of a more comprehensive monthly jobs report on Friday.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.36-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.79-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 28 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 68 new highs and 18 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.45 billion shares, compared with a 13.4 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tech lifts S&P 500, Nasdaq; indexes post gains for quarter</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTech lifts S&P 500, Nasdaq; indexes post gains for quarter\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-04-01 06:17</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>March 31 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Wednesday, boosted by gains in technology shares, and the three major Wall Street indexes registered their fourth straight quarterly rise as investors positioned themselves for President Joe Biden's massive infrastructure plan.</p><p>Bets on a strong economic rebound supported Wall Street during the quarter even as jitters cropped up over GameStop</p><p>and a retail trading frenzy, a spike in Treasury yields and a U.S. hedge fund going bust.</p><p>On Wednesday, the benchmark S&amp;P 500 reached an intra-day record high but stopped short of hitting 4,000 and pared gains late in the day. The S&amp;P 500 technology index</p><p>led sector gains, while the energy sector fell and was the weakest sector on the day.</p><p>\"The trend we're seeing today is investors rotating back into growth-oriented names that have gotten a little bit beaten up over the past few weeks or so due to underlying rotation toward the economic reopening stocks,\" said Michael Sheldon, chief investment officer at RDM Financial Group at Hightower in Westport, Connecticut.</p><p>Some cyclical sectors could also be taking a breather from their rise because of recent strength in the dollar, he said.</p><p>For the quarter, the Nasdaq underperformed the other two major indexes as investors swapped growth-oriented stocks with underpriced shares deemed to benefit most from a full economic reopening. High-flying tech names have been hit by a surge in U.S. 10-year bond yields .</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 85.41 points, or 0.26%, to 32,981.55, the S&amp;P 500 gained 14.34 points, or 0.36%, to 3,972.89 and the Nasdaq Composite added 201.48 points, or 1.54%, to 13,246.87.</p><p>For the quarter, the Dow gained 7.8%, the S&amp;P 500 rose 5.8% and the Nasdaq increased 2.8%. For the month, the Dow added about 6.6%, the S&amp;P 500 rose 4.2% and the Nasdaq gained just 0.4%.</p><p>Biden gave a much anticipated speech in the afternoon calling for a sweeping use of government power to reshape the world's largest economy and counter China's rise in a $2 trillion-plus proposal that has been met with swift political resistance.</p><p>Apple Inc rose 1.9% after brokerage UBS upgraded the stock to \"buy\" on stable long-term demand for iPhones with better authorized service providers.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> advanced 3.6% after raising its 2021 profit forecast on higher sales at its U.S. retail pharmacy stores.</p><p>On the economic front, U.S. private employers boosted hiring in March as more Americans got vaccinated against COVID-19. The payroll report was in line with the recent signs of improvement in the labor market and comes ahead of a more comprehensive monthly jobs report on Friday.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.36-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.79-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 28 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 68 new highs and 18 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.45 billion shares, compared with a 13.4 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a333e60f09b7b3e09b914d4d15b1a58","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SH":"标普500反向ETF","AAPL":"苹果",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","GME":"游戏驿站","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","WBA":"沃尔格林联合博姿",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2124285272","content_text":"March 31 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Wednesday, boosted by gains in technology shares, and the three major Wall Street indexes registered their fourth straight quarterly rise as investors positioned themselves for President Joe Biden's massive infrastructure plan.Bets on a strong economic rebound supported Wall Street during the quarter even as jitters cropped up over GameStopand a retail trading frenzy, a spike in Treasury yields and a U.S. hedge fund going bust.On Wednesday, the benchmark S&P 500 reached an intra-day record high but stopped short of hitting 4,000 and pared gains late in the day. The S&P 500 technology indexled sector gains, while the energy sector fell and was the weakest sector on the day.\"The trend we're seeing today is investors rotating back into growth-oriented names that have gotten a little bit beaten up over the past few weeks or so due to underlying rotation toward the economic reopening stocks,\" said Michael Sheldon, chief investment officer at RDM Financial Group at Hightower in Westport, Connecticut.Some cyclical sectors could also be taking a breather from their rise because of recent strength in the dollar, he said.For the quarter, the Nasdaq underperformed the other two major indexes as investors swapped growth-oriented stocks with underpriced shares deemed to benefit most from a full economic reopening. High-flying tech names have been hit by a surge in U.S. 10-year bond yields .The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 85.41 points, or 0.26%, to 32,981.55, the S&P 500 gained 14.34 points, or 0.36%, to 3,972.89 and the Nasdaq Composite added 201.48 points, or 1.54%, to 13,246.87.For the quarter, the Dow gained 7.8%, the S&P 500 rose 5.8% and the Nasdaq increased 2.8%. For the month, the Dow added about 6.6%, the S&P 500 rose 4.2% and the Nasdaq gained just 0.4%.Biden gave a much anticipated speech in the afternoon calling for a sweeping use of government power to reshape the world's largest economy and counter China's rise in a $2 trillion-plus proposal that has been met with swift political resistance.Apple Inc rose 1.9% after brokerage UBS upgraded the stock to \"buy\" on stable long-term demand for iPhones with better authorized service providers.Walgreens Boots Alliance advanced 3.6% after raising its 2021 profit forecast on higher sales at its U.S. retail pharmacy stores.On the economic front, U.S. private employers boosted hiring in March as more Americans got vaccinated against COVID-19. The payroll report was in line with the recent signs of improvement in the labor market and comes ahead of a more comprehensive monthly jobs report on Friday.Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.36-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.79-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 28 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 68 new highs and 18 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.45 billion shares, compared with a 13.4 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135364905,"gmtCreate":1622132548107,"gmtModify":1634183540012,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"If only&nbsp;everyone is as lucky as him. You can try your luck or do your homework as a&nbsp;value investor not a gambler. The choice is yours.&nbsp;","listText":"If only&nbsp;everyone is as lucky as him. You can try your luck or do your homework as a&nbsp;value investor not a gambler. The choice is yours.&nbsp;","text":"If only everyone is as lucky as him. You can try your luck or do your homework as a value investor not a gambler. The choice is yours.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135364905","repostId":"2138517320","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372381584,"gmtCreate":1619178188648,"gmtModify":1634287977526,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is time to hand over. Take a rest Lee.&nbsp;","listText":"Is time to hand over. Take a rest Lee.&nbsp;","text":"Is time to hand over. Take a rest Lee.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372381584","repostId":"1144940040","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371121652,"gmtCreate":1618922165776,"gmtModify":1634289898740,"author":{"id":"3579343091008394","authorId":"3579343091008394","name":"JollyBee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda177a64ab7e899518f5a76c54348c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579343091008394","authorIdStr":"3579343091008394"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looking for a difference in iPad this round. The stocks will skyrocket? 🚀","listText":"Looking for a difference in iPad this round. The stocks will skyrocket? 🚀","text":"Looking for a difference in iPad this round. The stocks will skyrocket? 🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371121652","repostId":"1185485095","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}