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BTW
2021-07-14
感谢老虎证券，虽然持仓的股票被强平了2手，但中签的这两支都不错👍
抱歉，原内容已删除
BTW
2021-06-19
下周什么值得期待
BTW
2021-06-18
今日什么值得买
BTW
2021-06-16
什么值得买
BTW
2021-06-15
打卡
抱歉，原内容已删除
BTW
2021-06-08
明天什么值得买
BTW
2021-06-07
明日什么值得买
BTW
2021-05-11
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美国经济可能”内爆“，在这之前还能买什么？
BTW
2021-05-11
打卡
图森未来Q1营收94.4万美元，同比增长264%
BTW
2021-05-10
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抱歉，原内容已删除
BTW
2021-05-10
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BTW
2021-04-14
今天市场回暖了
BTW
2021-04-13
什么值得买，求推荐
BTW
2021-03-05
银行股哪个值得你拥有
BTW
2021-03-04
银行股如何？比如农业银行和邮储银行
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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22:06","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国经济可能”内爆“，在这之前还能买什么？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182815829","media":"美港电讯","summary":"预计通胀水平在2022年1月之前，不会达到峰值，市场在未来的8个月内还大有可为。","content":"<p>通胀已经成为最近一年多市场最关心的主题，现在的问题是通胀水平会在什么时候达到峰值，留给市场的通胀交易空间还有多大。美国银行的首席投资官Michael Hartnett测算，<b><u>预计通胀水平在2022年1月之前，不会达到峰值，市场在未来的8个月内还大有可为。</u></b></p>\n<p>Michael Hartnett在美国非农就业报告前表示，这是可“追逐风险的事件”（a \"highly risk-on event\"），因为在最近的12次非农报告期间，标普500指数在其中10次报告公布当天的平均涨幅达到1%。他表示，在未来几个月<b>，更重要的不是就业数据，而是薪资，</b>月平均时薪环比超过0.3%，可能会促使2022年通胀预测的新升级。</p>\n<p>根据现在的利率市场数据，利用5年期远期盈亏平衡曲线，分析师发现5年期通胀预期将在2022年1月22日达到2.7%的峰值（高于6个月前的2.0%），<b>而且这个数字可能还会上升。</b></p>\n<p>在通胀预期不断上升的背景下，未来8个多月该如何交易？Michael Hartnett认为有两种方式：</p>\n<blockquote>\n 一、长期视角，或1-2年的观点：更高的通胀率=更高的收益率=实物资产>金融资产，大宗商品>债券，小盘>大盘，价值>成长；二、战术视角，或1-2季度观点：峰值定位、政策、利润（“Positioning, Policy, Profits，3Ps”）+利率上升、监管、再分配（“rising Rates, Regulation, Redistribution 3Rs”) =未来3-6个月的低/负股票/信贷回报=做多通胀资产和价值资产。\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>估值位置方面</b>，Michael Hartnett指出，最近相对于旧经济型股票，新经济新型股票遭遇了净流出，（如AARK与BRK之间的对比），“这让人想起了2000和2001年泡沫后的价格行动”。目前，以科技股为代表的新经济型股票，估值和体量受到了限制， FAAMG 5家公司的市值，相当于全球GDP排行榜上位居第三的国家GDP体量。</p>\n<p><b>政策方面</b>，好消息是，美联储一直比较友好，至今没有放出收紧的风声。不好的消息是，尽管嘴上不说，全球4大央行QE规模是在逐渐减少的。从2020年的8.5万亿美元降至2021年的3.4万亿美元，22年仅为0.4万亿美元；在今年的第二季度第三季度，“宏观经济越强，QE规模缩减越快，缩减的量越大。”</p>\n<p><b>利润方面</b>，Michael Hartnett指出，中国债券年初至今的表现优于股票，而在第二季度，30年期中国国债的表现优于纳斯达克指数。与此同时，周期性的石油表现超过黄金。不过，美国银行的全球每股收益模型（Global EPS model）显示，全球每股收益增长将达到峰值，这是未来利润最高点的最明显迹象是4月份36%的增长率。</p>\n<p>而密切跟踪ISM的SOX半导体指数也未能创出新高，即超过3300。<b>接下来几个月，随着全球经济重新开放，每股收益修正峰值随即到来。</b></p>\n<p><b>Michael Hartnett 还对债务和收益率发表了看法</b>：IMF数据表显示，自1880年以来，从公共债务占GDP的比重以及发达经济体的债券收益率关系看，收益率的大幅增长并非由债务本身（如日本）推动，而是债务在促进强劲经济增长和通胀方面取得的成功。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ac5f90849797d9fc7adde4ebe68f493\" tg-width=\"529\" tg-height=\"507\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>换言之，如果拜登政府注入的数万亿债务融资刺激计划，真的转化为对GDP增长的非暂时性提振，那么所有的赌注都泡汤了。<b>如果拜登的经济刺激计划奏效，可能导致的结果可能是讽刺的：即随着美债收益率飙升，美国经济出现内爆。</b></p>","source":"live_meigang","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国经济可能”内爆“，在这之前还能买什么？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国经济可能”内爆“，在这之前还能买什么？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-10 22:06 北京时间 <a href=https://news.ushknews.com/mobile/details.html?id=1002899><strong>美港电讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>通胀已经成为最近一年多市场最关心的主题，现在的问题是通胀水平会在什么时候达到峰值，留给市场的通胀交易空间还有多大。美国银行的首席投资官Michael Hartnett测算，预计通胀水平在2022年1月之前，不会达到峰值，市场在未来的8个月内还大有可为。\nMichael Hartnett在美国非农就业报告前表示，这是可“追逐风险的事件”（a \"highly risk-on event\"），因为在最近...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://news.ushknews.com/mobile/details.html?id=1002899\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2578fef036607345dce47cc401e172a3","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://news.ushknews.com/mobile/details.html?id=1002899","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182815829","content_text":"通胀已经成为最近一年多市场最关心的主题，现在的问题是通胀水平会在什么时候达到峰值，留给市场的通胀交易空间还有多大。美国银行的首席投资官Michael Hartnett测算，预计通胀水平在2022年1月之前，不会达到峰值，市场在未来的8个月内还大有可为。\nMichael Hartnett在美国非农就业报告前表示，这是可“追逐风险的事件”（a \"highly risk-on event\"），因为在最近的12次非农报告期间，标普500指数在其中10次报告公布当天的平均涨幅达到1%。他表示，在未来几个月，更重要的不是就业数据，而是薪资，月平均时薪环比超过0.3%，可能会促使2022年通胀预测的新升级。\n根据现在的利率市场数据，利用5年期远期盈亏平衡曲线，分析师发现5年期通胀预期将在2022年1月22日达到2.7%的峰值（高于6个月前的2.0%），而且这个数字可能还会上升。\n在通胀预期不断上升的背景下，未来8个多月该如何交易？Michael Hartnett认为有两种方式：\n\n 一、长期视角，或1-2年的观点：更高的通胀率=更高的收益率=实物资产>金融资产，大宗商品>债券，小盘>大盘，价值>成长；二、战术视角，或1-2季度观点：峰值定位、政策、利润（“Positioning, Policy, Profits，3Ps”）+利率上升、监管、再分配（“rising Rates, Regulation, Redistribution 3Rs”) =未来3-6个月的低/负股票/信贷回报=做多通胀资产和价值资产。\n\n估值位置方面，Michael Hartnett指出，最近相对于旧经济型股票，新经济新型股票遭遇了净流出，（如AARK与BRK之间的对比），“这让人想起了2000和2001年泡沫后的价格行动”。目前，以科技股为代表的新经济型股票，估值和体量受到了限制， FAAMG 5家公司的市值，相当于全球GDP排行榜上位居第三的国家GDP体量。\n政策方面，好消息是，美联储一直比较友好，至今没有放出收紧的风声。不好的消息是，尽管嘴上不说，全球4大央行QE规模是在逐渐减少的。从2020年的8.5万亿美元降至2021年的3.4万亿美元，22年仅为0.4万亿美元；在今年的第二季度第三季度，“宏观经济越强，QE规模缩减越快，缩减的量越大。”\n利润方面，Michael Hartnett指出，中国债券年初至今的表现优于股票，而在第二季度，30年期中国国债的表现优于纳斯达克指数。与此同时，周期性的石油表现超过黄金。不过，美国银行的全球每股收益模型（Global EPS model）显示，全球每股收益增长将达到峰值，这是未来利润最高点的最明显迹象是4月份36%的增长率。\n而密切跟踪ISM的SOX半导体指数也未能创出新高，即超过3300。接下来几个月，随着全球经济重新开放，每股收益修正峰值随即到来。\nMichael Hartnett 还对债务和收益率发表了看法：IMF数据表显示，自1880年以来，从公共债务占GDP的比重以及发达经济体的债券收益率关系看，收益率的大幅增长并非由债务本身（如日本）推动，而是债务在促进强劲经济增长和通胀方面取得的成功。\n\n换言之，如果拜登政府注入的数万亿债务融资刺激计划，真的转化为对GDP增长的非暂时性提振，那么所有的赌注都泡汤了。如果拜登的经济刺激计划奏效，可能导致的结果可能是讽刺的：即随着美债收益率飙升，美国经济出现内爆。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1759,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":199123230,"gmtCreate":1620692028420,"gmtModify":1620692028420,"author":{"id":"3577231587916681","authorId":"3577231587916681","name":"BTW","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bf339169195681a12c0f8574ea3efcc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577231587916681","authorIdStr":"3577231587916681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"打卡","listText":"打卡","text":"打卡","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/199123230","repostId":"1115592117","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115592117","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1620688945,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1115592117?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-11 07:22","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"图森未来Q1营收94.4万美元，同比增长264%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115592117","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美东时间5月10日盘后，图森未来$(TSP)$公布了IPO上市以来首份财报。报告显示，图森未来2021年第一季度营收为94.4万美元，同比增长264%。净亏损为3.85亿美元，与去年同期的净亏损258","content":"<p>美东时间5月10日盘后，图森未来<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSP\">$(TSP)$</a>公布了IPO上市以来首份财报。报告显示，图森未来2021年第一季度营收为94.4万美元，同比增长264%。净亏损为3.85亿美元，与去年同期的净亏损2580万美元相比有所扩大；归属于公司普通股股东的净亏损为3.89亿美元，与去年同期归属于公司普通股股东的净亏损2580万美元相比有所扩大。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c48e137d96b8628e88fbdc1da347c455\" tg-width=\"1004\" tg-height=\"446\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">图森未来一季度研发支出为4143万美元，去年同期为1818万美元；营收成本为224.6万美元；销售和营销支出为67.8万美元；一般和管理费用为1522.4万美元。</p><p>截止至2021年3月31日，图森未来持有的现金及现金等价物为5.09亿美元。同时图森未来表示，公司通过4月份的IPO筹集了10亿美元的资金。</p><p>全自动卡车在季度末新增预订1200辆，使得目前卡车预订数量达到6775辆。</p><p>图森未来股价盘后几乎持平。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8509b6e7a67597ca3dc7782600a7ebca\" tg-width=\"701\" tg-height=\"526\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>图森未来Q1营收94.4万美元，同比增长264%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; 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8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n图森未来Q1营收94.4万美元，同比增长264%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-11 07:22</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>美东时间5月10日盘后，图森未来<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSP\">$(TSP)$</a>公布了IPO上市以来首份财报。报告显示，图森未来2021年第一季度营收为94.4万美元，同比增长264%。净亏损为3.85亿美元，与去年同期的净亏损2580万美元相比有所扩大；归属于公司普通股股东的净亏损为3.89亿美元，与去年同期归属于公司普通股股东的净亏损2580万美元相比有所扩大。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c48e137d96b8628e88fbdc1da347c455\" tg-width=\"1004\" tg-height=\"446\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">图森未来一季度研发支出为4143万美元，去年同期为1818万美元；营收成本为224.6万美元；销售和营销支出为67.8万美元；一般和管理费用为1522.4万美元。</p><p>截止至2021年3月31日，图森未来持有的现金及现金等价物为5.09亿美元。同时图森未来表示，公司通过4月份的IPO筹集了10亿美元的资金。</p><p>全自动卡车在季度末新增预订1200辆，使得目前卡车预订数量达到6775辆。</p><p>图森未来股价盘后几乎持平。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8509b6e7a67597ca3dc7782600a7ebca\" tg-width=\"701\" tg-height=\"526\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c59750cec0ff6fd8ddbf32a5b0969c5a","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115592117","content_text":"美东时间5月10日盘后，图森未来$(TSP)$公布了IPO上市以来首份财报。报告显示，图森未来2021年第一季度营收为94.4万美元，同比增长264%。净亏损为3.85亿美元，与去年同期的净亏损2580万美元相比有所扩大；归属于公司普通股股东的净亏损为3.89亿美元，与去年同期归属于公司普通股股东的净亏损2580万美元相比有所扩大。图森未来一季度研发支出为4143万美元，去年同期为1818万美元；营收成本为224.6万美元；销售和营销支出为67.8万美元；一般和管理费用为1522.4万美元。截止至2021年3月31日，图森未来持有的现金及现金等价物为5.09亿美元。同时图森未来表示，公司通过4月份的IPO筹集了10亿美元的资金。全自动卡车在季度末新增预订1200辆，使得目前卡车预订数量达到6775辆。图森未来股价盘后几乎持平。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1666,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":190102370,"gmtCreate":1620603937090,"gmtModify":1620603937090,"author":{"id":"3577231587916681","authorId":"3577231587916681","name":"BTW","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bf339169195681a12c0f8574ea3efcc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577231587916681","authorIdStr":"3577231587916681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"打卡","listText":"打卡","text":"打卡","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190102370","repostId":"1105392454","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":190102044,"gmtCreate":1620603920888,"gmtModify":1620603920888,"author":{"id":"3577231587916681","authorId":"3577231587916681","name":"BTW","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bf339169195681a12c0f8574ea3efcc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577231587916681","authorIdStr":"3577231587916681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"打卡","listText":"打卡","text":"打卡","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190102044","repostId":"1139408959","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":963,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":344999235,"gmtCreate":1618364704427,"gmtModify":1618364704427,"author":{"id":"3577231587916681","authorId":"3577231587916681","name":"BTW","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bf339169195681a12c0f8574ea3efcc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577231587916681","authorIdStr":"3577231587916681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"今天市场回暖了","listText":"今天市场回暖了","text":"今天市场回暖了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/344999235","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1091,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":345298599,"gmtCreate":1618316149211,"gmtModify":1618316149211,"author":{"id":"3577231587916681","authorId":"3577231587916681","name":"BTW","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bf339169195681a12c0f8574ea3efcc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577231587916681","authorIdStr":"3577231587916681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"什么值得买，求推荐","listText":"什么值得买，求推荐","text":"什么值得买，求推荐","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/345298599","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":772,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":367369168,"gmtCreate":1614910961654,"gmtModify":1703482863687,"author":{"id":"3577231587916681","authorId":"3577231587916681","name":"BTW","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bf339169195681a12c0f8574ea3efcc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577231587916681","authorIdStr":"3577231587916681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"银行股哪个值得你拥有","listText":"银行股哪个值得你拥有","text":"银行股哪个值得你拥有","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367369168","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":777,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":364639851,"gmtCreate":1614844713273,"gmtModify":1703481847223,"author":{"id":"3577231587916681","authorId":"3577231587916681","name":"BTW","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bf339169195681a12c0f8574ea3efcc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577231587916681","authorIdStr":"3577231587916681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"银行股如何？比如农业银行和邮储银行","listText":"银行股如何？比如农业银行和邮储银行","text":"银行股如何？比如农业银行和邮储银行","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/364639851","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2343,"au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22:06","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国经济可能”内爆“，在这之前还能买什么？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182815829","media":"美港电讯","summary":"预计通胀水平在2022年1月之前，不会达到峰值，市场在未来的8个月内还大有可为。","content":"<p>通胀已经成为最近一年多市场最关心的主题，现在的问题是通胀水平会在什么时候达到峰值，留给市场的通胀交易空间还有多大。美国银行的首席投资官Michael Hartnett测算，<b><u>预计通胀水平在2022年1月之前，不会达到峰值，市场在未来的8个月内还大有可为。</u></b></p>\n<p>Michael Hartnett在美国非农就业报告前表示，这是可“追逐风险的事件”（a \"highly risk-on event\"），因为在最近的12次非农报告期间，标普500指数在其中10次报告公布当天的平均涨幅达到1%。他表示，在未来几个月<b>，更重要的不是就业数据，而是薪资，</b>月平均时薪环比超过0.3%，可能会促使2022年通胀预测的新升级。</p>\n<p>根据现在的利率市场数据，利用5年期远期盈亏平衡曲线，分析师发现5年期通胀预期将在2022年1月22日达到2.7%的峰值（高于6个月前的2.0%），<b>而且这个数字可能还会上升。</b></p>\n<p>在通胀预期不断上升的背景下，未来8个多月该如何交易？Michael Hartnett认为有两种方式：</p>\n<blockquote>\n 一、长期视角，或1-2年的观点：更高的通胀率=更高的收益率=实物资产>金融资产，大宗商品>债券，小盘>大盘，价值>成长；二、战术视角，或1-2季度观点：峰值定位、政策、利润（“Positioning, Policy, Profits，3Ps”）+利率上升、监管、再分配（“rising Rates, Regulation, Redistribution 3Rs”) =未来3-6个月的低/负股票/信贷回报=做多通胀资产和价值资产。\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>估值位置方面</b>，Michael Hartnett指出，最近相对于旧经济型股票，新经济新型股票遭遇了净流出，（如AARK与BRK之间的对比），“这让人想起了2000和2001年泡沫后的价格行动”。目前，以科技股为代表的新经济型股票，估值和体量受到了限制， FAAMG 5家公司的市值，相当于全球GDP排行榜上位居第三的国家GDP体量。</p>\n<p><b>政策方面</b>，好消息是，美联储一直比较友好，至今没有放出收紧的风声。不好的消息是，尽管嘴上不说，全球4大央行QE规模是在逐渐减少的。从2020年的8.5万亿美元降至2021年的3.4万亿美元，22年仅为0.4万亿美元；在今年的第二季度第三季度，“宏观经济越强，QE规模缩减越快，缩减的量越大。”</p>\n<p><b>利润方面</b>，Michael Hartnett指出，中国债券年初至今的表现优于股票，而在第二季度，30年期中国国债的表现优于纳斯达克指数。与此同时，周期性的石油表现超过黄金。不过，美国银行的全球每股收益模型（Global EPS model）显示，全球每股收益增长将达到峰值，这是未来利润最高点的最明显迹象是4月份36%的增长率。</p>\n<p>而密切跟踪ISM的SOX半导体指数也未能创出新高，即超过3300。<b>接下来几个月，随着全球经济重新开放，每股收益修正峰值随即到来。</b></p>\n<p><b>Michael Hartnett 还对债务和收益率发表了看法</b>：IMF数据表显示，自1880年以来，从公共债务占GDP的比重以及发达经济体的债券收益率关系看，收益率的大幅增长并非由债务本身（如日本）推动，而是债务在促进强劲经济增长和通胀方面取得的成功。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ac5f90849797d9fc7adde4ebe68f493\" tg-width=\"529\" tg-height=\"507\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>换言之，如果拜登政府注入的数万亿债务融资刺激计划，真的转化为对GDP增长的非暂时性提振，那么所有的赌注都泡汤了。<b>如果拜登的经济刺激计划奏效，可能导致的结果可能是讽刺的：即随着美债收益率飙升，美国经济出现内爆。</b></p>","source":"live_meigang","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国经济可能”内爆“，在这之前还能买什么？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国经济可能”内爆“，在这之前还能买什么？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-10 22:06 北京时间 <a href=https://news.ushknews.com/mobile/details.html?id=1002899><strong>美港电讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>通胀已经成为最近一年多市场最关心的主题，现在的问题是通胀水平会在什么时候达到峰值，留给市场的通胀交易空间还有多大。美国银行的首席投资官Michael Hartnett测算，预计通胀水平在2022年1月之前，不会达到峰值，市场在未来的8个月内还大有可为。\nMichael Hartnett在美国非农就业报告前表示，这是可“追逐风险的事件”（a \"highly risk-on event\"），因为在最近...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://news.ushknews.com/mobile/details.html?id=1002899\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2578fef036607345dce47cc401e172a3","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://news.ushknews.com/mobile/details.html?id=1002899","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182815829","content_text":"通胀已经成为最近一年多市场最关心的主题，现在的问题是通胀水平会在什么时候达到峰值，留给市场的通胀交易空间还有多大。美国银行的首席投资官Michael Hartnett测算，预计通胀水平在2022年1月之前，不会达到峰值，市场在未来的8个月内还大有可为。\nMichael Hartnett在美国非农就业报告前表示，这是可“追逐风险的事件”（a \"highly risk-on event\"），因为在最近的12次非农报告期间，标普500指数在其中10次报告公布当天的平均涨幅达到1%。他表示，在未来几个月，更重要的不是就业数据，而是薪资，月平均时薪环比超过0.3%，可能会促使2022年通胀预测的新升级。\n根据现在的利率市场数据，利用5年期远期盈亏平衡曲线，分析师发现5年期通胀预期将在2022年1月22日达到2.7%的峰值（高于6个月前的2.0%），而且这个数字可能还会上升。\n在通胀预期不断上升的背景下，未来8个多月该如何交易？Michael Hartnett认为有两种方式：\n\n 一、长期视角，或1-2年的观点：更高的通胀率=更高的收益率=实物资产>金融资产，大宗商品>债券，小盘>大盘，价值>成长；二、战术视角，或1-2季度观点：峰值定位、政策、利润（“Positioning, Policy, Profits，3Ps”）+利率上升、监管、再分配（“rising Rates, Regulation, Redistribution 3Rs”) =未来3-6个月的低/负股票/信贷回报=做多通胀资产和价值资产。\n\n估值位置方面，Michael Hartnett指出，最近相对于旧经济型股票，新经济新型股票遭遇了净流出，（如AARK与BRK之间的对比），“这让人想起了2000和2001年泡沫后的价格行动”。目前，以科技股为代表的新经济型股票，估值和体量受到了限制， FAAMG 5家公司的市值，相当于全球GDP排行榜上位居第三的国家GDP体量。\n政策方面，好消息是，美联储一直比较友好，至今没有放出收紧的风声。不好的消息是，尽管嘴上不说，全球4大央行QE规模是在逐渐减少的。从2020年的8.5万亿美元降至2021年的3.4万亿美元，22年仅为0.4万亿美元；在今年的第二季度第三季度，“宏观经济越强，QE规模缩减越快，缩减的量越大。”\n利润方面，Michael Hartnett指出，中国债券年初至今的表现优于股票，而在第二季度，30年期中国国债的表现优于纳斯达克指数。与此同时，周期性的石油表现超过黄金。不过，美国银行的全球每股收益模型（Global EPS model）显示，全球每股收益增长将达到峰值，这是未来利润最高点的最明显迹象是4月份36%的增长率。\n而密切跟踪ISM的SOX半导体指数也未能创出新高，即超过3300。接下来几个月，随着全球经济重新开放，每股收益修正峰值随即到来。\nMichael Hartnett 还对债务和收益率发表了看法：IMF数据表显示，自1880年以来，从公共债务占GDP的比重以及发达经济体的债券收益率关系看，收益率的大幅增长并非由债务本身（如日本）推动，而是债务在促进强劲经济增长和通胀方面取得的成功。\n\n换言之，如果拜登政府注入的数万亿债务融资刺激计划，真的转化为对GDP增长的非暂时性提振，那么所有的赌注都泡汤了。如果拜登的经济刺激计划奏效，可能导致的结果可能是讽刺的：即随着美债收益率飙升，美国经济出现内爆。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1759,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":199123230,"gmtCreate":1620692028420,"gmtModify":1620692028420,"author":{"id":"3577231587916681","authorId":"3577231587916681","name":"BTW","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bf339169195681a12c0f8574ea3efcc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577231587916681","authorIdStr":"3577231587916681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"打卡","listText":"打卡","text":"打卡","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/199123230","repostId":"1115592117","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115592117","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1620688945,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1115592117?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-11 07:22","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"图森未来Q1营收94.4万美元，同比增长264%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115592117","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美东时间5月10日盘后，图森未来$(TSP)$公布了IPO上市以来首份财报。报告显示，图森未来2021年第一季度营收为94.4万美元，同比增长264%。净亏损为3.85亿美元，与去年同期的净亏损258","content":"<p>美东时间5月10日盘后，图森未来<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSP\">$(TSP)$</a>公布了IPO上市以来首份财报。报告显示，图森未来2021年第一季度营收为94.4万美元，同比增长264%。净亏损为3.85亿美元，与去年同期的净亏损2580万美元相比有所扩大；归属于公司普通股股东的净亏损为3.89亿美元，与去年同期归属于公司普通股股东的净亏损2580万美元相比有所扩大。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c48e137d96b8628e88fbdc1da347c455\" tg-width=\"1004\" tg-height=\"446\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">图森未来一季度研发支出为4143万美元，去年同期为1818万美元；营收成本为224.6万美元；销售和营销支出为67.8万美元；一般和管理费用为1522.4万美元。</p><p>截止至2021年3月31日，图森未来持有的现金及现金等价物为5.09亿美元。同时图森未来表示，公司通过4月份的IPO筹集了10亿美元的资金。</p><p>全自动卡车在季度末新增预订1200辆，使得目前卡车预订数量达到6775辆。</p><p>图森未来股价盘后几乎持平。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8509b6e7a67597ca3dc7782600a7ebca\" tg-width=\"701\" tg-height=\"526\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>图森未来Q1营收94.4万美元，同比增长264%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; 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8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n图森未来Q1营收94.4万美元，同比增长264%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-11 07:22</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>美东时间5月10日盘后，图森未来<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSP\">$(TSP)$</a>公布了IPO上市以来首份财报。报告显示，图森未来2021年第一季度营收为94.4万美元，同比增长264%。净亏损为3.85亿美元，与去年同期的净亏损2580万美元相比有所扩大；归属于公司普通股股东的净亏损为3.89亿美元，与去年同期归属于公司普通股股东的净亏损2580万美元相比有所扩大。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c48e137d96b8628e88fbdc1da347c455\" tg-width=\"1004\" tg-height=\"446\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">图森未来一季度研发支出为4143万美元，去年同期为1818万美元；营收成本为224.6万美元；销售和营销支出为67.8万美元；一般和管理费用为1522.4万美元。</p><p>截止至2021年3月31日，图森未来持有的现金及现金等价物为5.09亿美元。同时图森未来表示，公司通过4月份的IPO筹集了10亿美元的资金。</p><p>全自动卡车在季度末新增预订1200辆，使得目前卡车预订数量达到6775辆。</p><p>图森未来股价盘后几乎持平。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8509b6e7a67597ca3dc7782600a7ebca\" tg-width=\"701\" tg-height=\"526\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c59750cec0ff6fd8ddbf32a5b0969c5a","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115592117","content_text":"美东时间5月10日盘后，图森未来$(TSP)$公布了IPO上市以来首份财报。报告显示，图森未来2021年第一季度营收为94.4万美元，同比增长264%。净亏损为3.85亿美元，与去年同期的净亏损2580万美元相比有所扩大；归属于公司普通股股东的净亏损为3.89亿美元，与去年同期归属于公司普通股股东的净亏损2580万美元相比有所扩大。图森未来一季度研发支出为4143万美元，去年同期为1818万美元；营收成本为224.6万美元；销售和营销支出为67.8万美元；一般和管理费用为1522.4万美元。截止至2021年3月31日，图森未来持有的现金及现金等价物为5.09亿美元。同时图森未来表示，公司通过4月份的IPO筹集了10亿美元的资金。全自动卡车在季度末新增预订1200辆，使得目前卡车预订数量达到6775辆。图森未来股价盘后几乎持平。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1666,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":190102370,"gmtCreate":1620603937090,"gmtModify":1620603937090,"author":{"id":"3577231587916681","authorId":"3577231587916681","name":"BTW","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bf339169195681a12c0f8574ea3efcc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577231587916681","authorIdStr":"3577231587916681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"打卡","listText":"打卡","text":"打卡","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190102370","repostId":"1105392454","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":344999235,"gmtCreate":1618364704427,"gmtModify":1618364704427,"author":{"id":"3577231587916681","authorId":"3577231587916681","name":"BTW","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bf339169195681a12c0f8574ea3efcc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577231587916681","authorIdStr":"3577231587916681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"今天市场回暖了","listText":"今天市场回暖了","text":"今天市场回暖了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/344999235","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1091,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":345298599,"gmtCreate":1618316149211,"gmtModify":1618316149211,"author":{"id":"3577231587916681","authorId":"3577231587916681","name":"BTW","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bf339169195681a12c0f8574ea3efcc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577231587916681","authorIdStr":"3577231587916681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"什么值得买，求推荐","listText":"什么值得买，求推荐","text":"什么值得买，求推荐","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/345298599","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":772,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
