happytiga的个人主页 - 老虎社区

happytiga

just my two cents

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1主题

0勋章

2021-07-30

pls like

Amazon Reports Earnings Thursday. Expect a Blowout.

2021-07-26

pls like

Apple, Tesla, Amazon, Pfizer, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week

2021-07-20

yes

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-14

$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$$NIO Inc.(NIO)$i dont understand, why are people sellling when we see them dominating the market in 2 years time [Smug]

2021-06-04

really unlikely to have a close substitute for iphone but the trade wars rly hurt. expect a low but positive return at least

Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider

2021-06-04

xpeng and nio sure to grow given chinas large market and affordable car options compared to other ev companies

2021-06-02

imo, with the chinese govt backing up the 2 EV companies, it is highly likely that these 2 companies would gain market share in the large chinese market. more below

@话题虎:新能源汽车销量持续超预期！小鹏已暴涨50%！

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Expect a Blowout.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165497040","media":"Barrons","summary":"Amazon reports earnings after Thursday’s closing bell. Expect a blowout.Another is that Amazon’s competitors have already reported solid numbers.Shopify, arguably one of the company’s most important rivals in e-commerce,posted better-than-expected results for the June quarter, noting that sustained digital commerce trends and U.S. stimulus checks in March and April drove revenues above expectations. Strong reports from Alphabet,Snap and Twitter suggest Amazon will post accelerating growth in its","content":"<p>Amazon reports earnings after Thursday’s closing bell. Expect a blowout.</p>\n<p>For the June quarter, the tech giant has projected sales of $110 billion to $116 billion, with operating income in the $4.5 billion-to-$8 billion range. Wall Street consensus calls for sales of $115.4 billion, operating income of $7.8 billion, and earnings of $12.28 a share.</p>\n<p>There are several reasons why the Street numbers might be too low.</p>\n<p>For one, Amazon (ticker: AMZN)&nbsp;has beat expectations&nbsp;in every quarter since the start of the pandemic—in fact, for 10 quarters in a row.</p>\n<p>Another is that Amazon’s competitors have already reported solid numbers.Shopify(SHOP), arguably one of the company’s most important rivals in e-commerce,posted better-than-expected results for the June quarter, noting that sustained digital commerce trends and U.S. stimulus checks in March and April drove revenues above expectations. Strong reports from&nbsp;Alphabet,Snap&nbsp;and&nbsp;Twitter&nbsp;suggest Amazon will post accelerating growth in its underappreciated advertising business. And the&nbsp;strength in the cloud business at Microsoft&nbsp;bodes well for Amazon Web Services.</p>\n<p>Street estimates call for Amazon to post $57.3 billion in online sales, up 25%; $24.8 billion in third-party sellers services, up 36%; $14.3 billion from AWS, up 32%; $7.9 billion in subscription services, up 36%; $7 billion in “other” revenue, which is mostly advertising, up 66%; and $3.9 billion in physical stores revenue, up 3%.</p>\n<p>Plus, there are a couple of other factors at play. This will be the first quarter for Amazon since Jeff Bezos turned over the CEO reins to Andy Jassy. Bezos didn’t typically participate in the company’s quarterly earnings calls with analysts, leaving that job to CFO Brian OIsavky; it remains to be seen if Jassy will make an appearance this year. Also, Amazon finds itself at the heart of the debate—in Washington and elsewhere—over the power of tech companies, and now faces an in-depth investigation by the Federal Trade Commission over&nbsp;its proposed acquisition of the film studio MGM.Amazon has requested&nbsp;that FTC Chair Lina Khan recuse herself from any matters involving Amazon given her past criticisms of the company.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Investors also will be watching for clues on how the company expects the pandemic and a return to a more normal economy will impact results for the rest of the year. Street estimates for the September quarter call for revenue of $118.6 billion and profits of $12.97 a share.</p>\n<p>In a research note, MKM Partners analyst Rohit Kulkarni points out that Amazon has underperformed both Alphabet and&nbsp;Facebook&nbsp;shares this year. He thinks the stock has been weighed down by ongoing debate about the true strength of this year’s&nbsp;Prime Day&nbsp;sales event, as well as ongoing questions about the outlook for e-commerce as supplemental U.S. unemployment benefits lapse in September. Nonetheless, Kulkarni thinks that advertising, Amazon Prime subscriptions, and AWS will together drive upside to both second-quarter results and guidance, and he continues to consider Amazon his best pick among the big internet stocks. Kulkarni keeps his Buy rating and $4,075 target price.</p>\n<p>Evercore ISI analyst Mark Mahaney maintains an Outperform rating and $4,500 target price. He thinks Street estimates for the second quarter “look largely reasonable,” although he has some concerns that the Street might be too bullish on the third quarter, in particular given Prime Day this year shifted into the second quarter.</p>\n<p>Monness Crespi White analyst Brian White notes that Amazon shares have been “range bound” over the past few months, but he thinks the company is “uniquely positioned” to exit the pandemic as one of the biggest beneficiaries of the digital transformation trend. White asserts that “the company’s growth path is very attractive across the e-commerce segment, AWS, digital media, advertising, Alexa and more.” White maintains his Buy rating and $4,500 target price.</p>\n<p>On Wednesday, Amazon shares were up 0.1%, to $3,630.32.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Reports Earnings Thursday. Expect a Blowout.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Reports Earnings Thursday. Expect a Blowout.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-29 15:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/amazon-earnings-51627497584?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Amazon reports earnings after Thursday’s closing bell. Expect a blowout.\nFor the June quarter, the tech giant has projected sales of $110 billion to $116 billion, with operating income in the $4.5 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/amazon-earnings-51627497584?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/amazon-earnings-51627497584?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165497040","content_text":"Amazon reports earnings after Thursday’s closing bell. Expect a blowout.\nFor the June quarter, the tech giant has projected sales of $110 billion to $116 billion, with operating income in the $4.5 billion-to-$8 billion range. Wall Street consensus calls for sales of $115.4 billion, operating income of $7.8 billion, and earnings of $12.28 a share.\nThere are several reasons why the Street numbers might be too low.\nFor one, Amazon (ticker: AMZN) has beat expectations in every quarter since the start of the pandemic—in fact, for 10 quarters in a row.\nAnother is that Amazon’s competitors have already reported solid numbers.Shopify(SHOP), arguably one of the company’s most important rivals in e-commerce,posted better-than-expected results for the June quarter, noting that sustained digital commerce trends and U.S. stimulus checks in March and April drove revenues above expectations. Strong reports from Alphabet,Snap and Twitter suggest Amazon will post accelerating growth in its underappreciated advertising business. And the strength in the cloud business at Microsoft bodes well for Amazon Web Services.\nStreet estimates call for Amazon to post $57.3 billion in online sales, up 25%; $24.8 billion in third-party sellers services, up 36%; $14.3 billion from AWS, up 32%; $7.9 billion in subscription services, up 36%; $7 billion in “other” revenue, which is mostly advertising, up 66%; and $3.9 billion in physical stores revenue, up 3%.\nPlus, there are a couple of other factors at play. This will be the first quarter for Amazon since Jeff Bezos turned over the CEO reins to Andy Jassy. Bezos didn’t typically participate in the company’s quarterly earnings calls with analysts, leaving that job to CFO Brian OIsavky; it remains to be seen if Jassy will make an appearance this year. Also, Amazon finds itself at the heart of the debate—in Washington and elsewhere—over the power of tech companies, and now faces an in-depth investigation by the Federal Trade Commission over its proposed acquisition of the film studio MGM.Amazon has requested that FTC Chair Lina Khan recuse herself from any matters involving Amazon given her past criticisms of the company.\n\nInvestors also will be watching for clues on how the company expects the pandemic and a return to a more normal economy will impact results for the rest of the year. Street estimates for the September quarter call for revenue of $118.6 billion and profits of $12.97 a share.\nIn a research note, MKM Partners analyst Rohit Kulkarni points out that Amazon has underperformed both Alphabet and Facebook shares this year. He thinks the stock has been weighed down by ongoing debate about the true strength of this year’s Prime Day sales event, as well as ongoing questions about the outlook for e-commerce as supplemental U.S. unemployment benefits lapse in September. Nonetheless, Kulkarni thinks that advertising, Amazon Prime subscriptions, and AWS will together drive upside to both second-quarter results and guidance, and he continues to consider Amazon his best pick among the big internet stocks. Kulkarni keeps his Buy rating and $4,075 target price.\nEvercore ISI analyst Mark Mahaney maintains an Outperform rating and $4,500 target price. He thinks Street estimates for the second quarter “look largely reasonable,” although he has some concerns that the Street might be too bullish on the third quarter, in particular given Prime Day this year shifted into the second quarter.\nMonness Crespi White analyst Brian White notes that Amazon shares have been “range bound” over the past few months, but he thinks the company is “uniquely positioned” to exit the pandemic as one of the biggest beneficiaries of the digital transformation trend. White asserts that “the company’s growth path is very attractive across the e-commerce segment, AWS, digital media, advertising, Alexa and more.” White maintains his Buy rating and $4,500 target price.\nOn Wednesday, Amazon shares were up 0.1%, to $3,630.32.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":52,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800062500,"gmtCreate":1627266538700,"gmtModify":1633766704075,"author":{"id":"3577187273279454","authorId":"3577187273279454","name":"happytiga","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577187273279454","idStr":"3577187273279454"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"pls like","listText":"pls like","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800062500","repostId":"1100772026","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100772026","pubTimestamp":1627254622,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100772026?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-26 07:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple, Tesla, Amazon, Pfizer, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100772026","media":"Barrons","summary":"It’s the busiest week of second-quarter earnings season. About $one$ third of S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report. Tesla and Lockheed Martin kick things off on M onday, followed by a packed Tuesday: Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, $Visa$, $AMD$, UPS, General Electric, $3M$, and Starbucks headline a 42-report day.$Facebook$, Shopify, Boeing, Ford Motor, $PayPal$ Holdings, Pfizer, and Qualcomm release results on Wednesday. Then Amazon.com, Comcast, Mastercard, and T-Mobile US report on Thursday.","content":"<p>It’s the busiest week of second-quarter earnings season. About <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> third of S&amp;P 500 companies are scheduled to report. Tesla and Lockheed Martin kick things off on M onday, followed by a packed Tuesday: Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">Visa</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>, UPS, General Electric, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MMM\">3M</a>, and Starbucks headline a 42-report day.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>, Shopify, Boeing, Ford Motor, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> Holdings, Pfizer, and Qualcomm release results on Wednesday. Then Amazon.com, Comcast, Mastercard, and T-Mobile US report on Thursday. Finally, Exxon Mobil, Caterpillar, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHTR\">Charter Communications</a>, Chevron, and Procter &amp; Gamble close the week on Friday.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4564430f7fe9649d97a7a105615955e5\" tg-width=\"1562\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">There will be plenty of action on the economic calendar this week too. The Federal Reserve’s policy committee wraps up a two-day meeting on Wednesday. A change in interest rates is off the table, but officials could reveal more information about their timeline for reducing bond purchases. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s post-meeting press conference will be must-watch viewing.</p>\n<p>On Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis publishes its first official estimate of second-quarter U.S. gross domestic product. Economists are expecting a white-hot 9.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, up from 6.4% in the first quarter.</p>\n<p>Other data out this week include the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index for July and the Commerce Department’s durable goods orders for June, both on Tuesday. The latter is often viewed as a decent proxy for business investment.</p>\n<p>Monday 7/26</p>\n<p>Cadence Design Systems, Hasbro, Lockheed Martin, Otis Worldwide, and Tesla report quarterly results.</p>\n<p>The Census Bureau reports new single-family home sales for June. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 800,000 new homes sold, 4% more than May’s 769,000.</p>\n<p>Tuesday 7/27</p>\n<p>It’s a big day for megacap tech earnings. Alphabet, Apple, and Microsoft will release quarterly results. The three companies are among the five largest globally by market value, worth a combined $6.4 trillion.</p>\n<p>3M, Advanced Micro Devices, Chubb, Ecolab, General Electric, Invesco, Mondelez International, MSCI, Raytheon Technologies, Starbucks, United Parcel Service, and Visa announce earnings.</p>\n<p>The Conference Board releases its Consumer Confidence Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 124 reading, lower than June’s 127.3. The June figure was the highest for the index since the beginning of the pandemic.</p>\n<p>S&amp;P <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLGX\">CoreLogic</a> releases its Case-Shiller National Home Price Index for May. Expectations are for a 16.4% year-over-year rise, after a 14.6% jump in April. The April spike was a record for the index going back to 1988, when data were first collected.</p>\n<p>Wednesday 7/28</p>\n<p>Automatic Data Processing, Boeing, Bristol Myers Squibb, Facebook, Ford Motor, Generac Holdings, McDonald’s, Moody’s, Norfolk Southern, PayPal Holdings, Pfizer, Qualcomm, Shopify, and Thermo Fisher Scientific release quarterly results.</p>\n<p>The Federal Open Market Committee announces its monetary-policy decision. The FOMC is expected to leave the federal-funds rate unchanged near zero. Wall Street expects the central bank to announce a timeline for reducing its bond purchases, currently about $120 billion a month, at some time between now and the September meeting.</p>\n<p>Thursday 7/29</p>\n<p>Altria Group, Amazon.com, Comcast, Hershey, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Mastercard, Merck, Molson Coors Beverage, Northrop Grumman, and T-Mobile US hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p>\n<p>Robinhood Markets, the zero-commission investment app, is expected to begin trading on the Nasdaq exchange under the ticker HOOD. Robinhood plans to offer 55 million shares at $38 to $42 a share, which would value the company at roughly $35 billion.</p>\n<p>The Bureau of Economic Analysis reports its preliminary estimate of second-quarter gross domestic product. Economists forecast a 9.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, following a 6.4% increase in the first quarter. The Federal Reserve currently projects 7% GDP growth for 2021, which would be the fastest rate of growth since 1984.</p>\n<p>Friday 7/30</p>\n<p>AbbVie, Caterpillar, Charter Communications, Chevron, Colgate-Palmolive, Exxon Mobil, Procter &amp; Gamble, and Weyerhaeuser report quarterly results.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple, Tesla, Amazon, Pfizer, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple, Tesla, Amazon, Pfizer, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-26 07:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-51627239605?mod=hp_LEAD_4><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It’s the busiest week of second-quarter earnings season. About one third of S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report. Tesla and Lockheed Martin kick things off on M onday, followed by a packed ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-51627239605?mod=hp_LEAD_4\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SHOP":"Shopify Inc","TSLA":"特斯拉","AMZN":"亚马逊","AAPL":"苹果","PYPL":"PayPal","FORD":"福沃德工业","BA":"波音"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-51627239605?mod=hp_LEAD_4","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100772026","content_text":"It’s the busiest week of second-quarter earnings season. About one third of S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report. Tesla and Lockheed Martin kick things off on M onday, followed by a packed Tuesday: Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Visa, AMD, UPS, General Electric, 3M, and Starbucks headline a 42-report day.\nFacebook, Shopify, Boeing, Ford Motor, PayPal Holdings, Pfizer, and Qualcomm release results on Wednesday. Then Amazon.com, Comcast, Mastercard, and T-Mobile US report on Thursday. Finally, Exxon Mobil, Caterpillar, Charter Communications, Chevron, and Procter & Gamble close the week on Friday.\nThere will be plenty of action on the economic calendar this week too. The Federal Reserve’s policy committee wraps up a two-day meeting on Wednesday. A change in interest rates is off the table, but officials could reveal more information about their timeline for reducing bond purchases. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s post-meeting press conference will be must-watch viewing.\nOn Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis publishes its first official estimate of second-quarter U.S. gross domestic product. Economists are expecting a white-hot 9.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, up from 6.4% in the first quarter.\nOther data out this week include the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index for July and the Commerce Department’s durable goods orders for June, both on Tuesday. The latter is often viewed as a decent proxy for business investment.\nMonday 7/26\nCadence Design Systems, Hasbro, Lockheed Martin, Otis Worldwide, and Tesla report quarterly results.\nThe Census Bureau reports new single-family home sales for June. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 800,000 new homes sold, 4% more than May’s 769,000.\nTuesday 7/27\nIt’s a big day for megacap tech earnings. Alphabet, Apple, and Microsoft will release quarterly results. The three companies are among the five largest globally by market value, worth a combined $6.4 trillion.\n3M, Advanced Micro Devices, Chubb, Ecolab, General Electric, Invesco, Mondelez International, MSCI, Raytheon Technologies, Starbucks, United Parcel Service, and Visa announce earnings.\nThe Conference Board releases its Consumer Confidence Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 124 reading, lower than June’s 127.3. The June figure was the highest for the index since the beginning of the pandemic.\nS&P CoreLogic releases its Case-Shiller National Home Price Index for May. Expectations are for a 16.4% year-over-year rise, after a 14.6% jump in April. The April spike was a record for the index going back to 1988, when data were first collected.\nWednesday 7/28\nAutomatic Data Processing, Boeing, Bristol Myers Squibb, Facebook, Ford Motor, Generac Holdings, McDonald’s, Moody’s, Norfolk Southern, PayPal Holdings, Pfizer, Qualcomm, Shopify, and Thermo Fisher Scientific release quarterly results.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee announces its monetary-policy decision. The FOMC is expected to leave the federal-funds rate unchanged near zero. Wall Street expects the central bank to announce a timeline for reducing its bond purchases, currently about $120 billion a month, at some time between now and the September meeting.\nThursday 7/29\nAltria Group, Amazon.com, Comcast, Hershey, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Mastercard, Merck, Molson Coors Beverage, Northrop Grumman, and T-Mobile US hold conference calls to discuss earnings.\nRobinhood Markets, the zero-commission investment app, is expected to begin trading on the Nasdaq exchange under the ticker HOOD. Robinhood plans to offer 55 million shares at $38 to $42 a share, which would value the company at roughly $35 billion.\nThe Bureau of Economic Analysis reports its preliminary estimate of second-quarter gross domestic product. Economists forecast a 9.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, following a 6.4% increase in the first quarter. The Federal Reserve currently projects 7% GDP growth for 2021, which would be the fastest rate of growth since 1984.\nFriday 7/30\nAbbVie, Caterpillar, Charter Communications, Chevron, Colgate-Palmolive, Exxon Mobil, Procter & Gamble, and Weyerhaeuser report quarterly results.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171555519,"gmtCreate":1626752305531,"gmtModify":1633771361147,"author":{"id":"3577187273279454","authorId":"3577187273279454","name":"happytiga","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577187273279454","idStr":"3577187273279454"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yes","listText":"yes","text":"yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171555519","repostId":"2152652683","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":254,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184923541,"gmtCreate":1623681456983,"gmtModify":1634030139153,"author":{"id":"3577187273279454","authorId":"3577187273279454","name":"happytiga","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577187273279454","idStr":"3577187273279454"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>i dont understand, why are people sellling when we see them dominating the market in 2 years time [Smug]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>i dont understand, why are people sellling when we see them dominating the market in 2 years time [Smug]&nbsp;","text":"$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$$NIO Inc.(NIO)$i dont understand, why are people sellling when we see them dominating the market in 2 years time [Smug]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184923541","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116597650,"gmtCreate":1622810139370,"gmtModify":1634097809109,"author":{"id":"3577187273279454","authorId":"3577187273279454","name":"happytiga","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577187273279454","idStr":"3577187273279454"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"really unlikely to have a close substitute for iphone but the trade wars rly hurt. expect a low but positive return at least","listText":"really unlikely to have a close substitute for iphone but the trade wars rly hurt. expect a low but positive return at least","text":"really unlikely to have a close substitute for iphone but the trade wars rly hurt. expect a low but positive return at least","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116597650","repostId":"1122373606","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122373606","pubTimestamp":1622793373,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122373606?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 15:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122373606","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>\n <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>\n <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Article Thesis</b></p>\n<p>Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p>\n<p><b>Apple Stock Price</b></p>\n<p>Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p>\n<p><b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p>\n<p>Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p>\n<p>To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p>\n<p><b>Apple's business growth</b></p>\n<p>Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p>\n<p>On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p>\n<p><b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p>\n<p>Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p>\n<p>This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p>\n<p><b>Apple's future valuation</b></p>\n<p>AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p>\n<p><b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p>\n<p>Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p>\n<p>AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p>\n<p>Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-04 15:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.\nApple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122373606","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.\nApple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.\nShares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.\n\nPhoto by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nApple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.\nApple Stock Price\nOver the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:\nData by YCharts\nShares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years\nApple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.\nTo craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.\nApple's business growth\nApple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.\nData by YCharts\nOverall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.\nOn the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.\nApple's shareholder returns\nApple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.\nThis is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.\nApple's future valuation\nAAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:\nData by YCharts\nShares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.\nIs AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now\nStarting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.\nAAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.\nSumming it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":418,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118587115,"gmtCreate":1622739230037,"gmtModify":1634098500730,"author":{"id":"3577187273279454","authorId":"3577187273279454","name":"happytiga","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577187273279454","idStr":"3577187273279454"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"xpeng and nio sure to grow given chinas large market and affordable car options compared to other ev companies","listText":"xpeng and nio sure to grow given chinas large market and affordable car options compared to other ev companies","text":"xpeng and nio sure to grow given chinas large market and affordable car options compared to other ev companies","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118587115","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113639949,"gmtCreate":1622608629981,"gmtModify":1634099961300,"author":{"id":"3577187273279454","authorId":"3577187273279454","name":"happytiga","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577187273279454","idStr":"3577187273279454"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"imo, with the chinese govt backing up the 2 EV companies, it is highly likely that these 2 companies would gain market share in the large chinese market. more below","listText":"imo, with the chinese govt backing up the 2 EV companies, it is highly likely that these 2 companies would gain market share in the large chinese market. more below","text":"imo, with the chinese govt backing up the 2 EV companies, it is highly likely that these 2 companies would gain market share in the large chinese market. more below","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113639949","repostId":"113878092","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":113878092,"gmtCreate":1622606780409,"gmtModify":1716218117409,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3502767768442965","idStr":"3502767768442965"},"themes":[],"title":"新能源汽车销量持续超预期！小鹏已暴涨50%！","htmlText":"近日，各大车企纷纷公布了5月份的销量数据，其中： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> 交付6,711台，同比增长95.3%； <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a> 交付5,686台，同比大增483%。 中汽协也公布了 1-4 月新能源汽车整体销量： 累计销量 73.2 万辆，同比增长 249.2%。 此外，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$理想汽车(LI)$</a> 也将于近日公布5月交付量，网上普遍预期乐观。 新能源汽车销量持续超预期，导致近期整个新能源汽车板块在持续走强，其中： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300750\">$宁德时代(300750)$</a> 再创世新高：小鹏汽车触底反弹近50%：不过，值得一提的是，市场对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 的5月销量预期并不乐观。 据悉，受到负面舆论的影响，特斯拉4月份全球销量环比暴跌43%，国内销量环比暴跌67.1%，其中Model 3和Model Y跌幅分别为75.27%和46.73%。 …… 最后，大家聊一聊： 你如何看待新能源汽车销量持续走高？ 你觉得现在是否可以抄底新能源汽车了？ 精彩留言用户可获得888社区积分噢！ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01211\">$比亚迪股份(01211)$</a>","listText":"近日，各大车企纷纷公布了5月份的销量数据，其中： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> 交付6,711台，同比增长95.3%； <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a> 交付5,686台，同比大增483%。 中汽协也公布了 1-4 月新能源汽车整体销量： 累计销量 73.2 万辆，同比增长 249.2%。 此外，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$理想汽车(LI)$</a> 也将于近日公布5月交付量，网上普遍预期乐观。 新能源汽车销量持续超预期，导致近期整个新能源汽车板块在持续走强，其中： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300750\">$宁德时代(300750)$</a> 再创世新高：小鹏汽车触底反弹近50%：不过，值得一提的是，市场对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 的5月销量预期并不乐观。 据悉，受到负面舆论的影响，特斯拉4月份全球销量环比暴跌43%，国内销量环比暴跌67.1%，其中Model 3和Model Y跌幅分别为75.27%和46.73%。 …… 最后，大家聊一聊： 你如何看待新能源汽车销量持续走高？ 你觉得现在是否可以抄底新能源汽车了？ 精彩留言用户可获得888社区积分噢！ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01211\">$比亚迪股份(01211)$</a>","text":"近日，各大车企纷纷公布了5月份的销量数据，其中： $蔚来(NIO)$ 交付6,711台，同比增长95.3%； $小鹏汽车(XPEV)$ 交付5,686台，同比大增483%。 中汽协也公布了 1-4 月新能源汽车整体销量： 累计销量 73.2 万辆，同比增长 249.2%。 此外，$理想汽车(LI)$ 也将于近日公布5月交付量，网上普遍预期乐观。 新能源汽车销量持续超预期，导致近期整个新能源汽车板块在持续走强，其中： $宁德时代(300750)$ 再创世新高：小鹏汽车触底反弹近50%：不过，值得一提的是，市场对$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 的5月销量预期并不乐观。 据悉，受到负面舆论的影响，特斯拉4月份全球销量环比暴跌43%，国内销量环比暴跌67.1%，其中Model 3和Model Y跌幅分别为75.27%和46.73%。 …… 最后，大家聊一聊： 你如何看待新能源汽车销量持续走高？ 你觉得现在是否可以抄底新能源汽车了？ 精彩留言用户可获得888社区积分噢！ $比亚迪股份(01211)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f20da2b29d45b673a4b50490872aa3da","width":"840","height":"470"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8db6c9a2c7934e3816c5b9800f60ac73","width":"840","height":"470"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6d86b2a7851c4b62d0485766dfd7ee8","width":"640","height":"427"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113878092","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":672,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":800062500,"gmtCreate":1627266538700,"gmtModify":1633766704075,"author":{"id":"3577187273279454","authorId":"3577187273279454","name":"happytiga","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577187273279454","idStr":"3577187273279454"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"pls like","listText":"pls like","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800062500","repostId":"1100772026","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100772026","pubTimestamp":1627254622,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100772026?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-26 07:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple, Tesla, Amazon, Pfizer, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100772026","media":"Barrons","summary":"It’s the busiest week of second-quarter earnings season. About $one$ third of S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report. Tesla and Lockheed Martin kick things off on M onday, followed by a packed Tuesday: Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, $Visa$, $AMD$, UPS, General Electric, $3M$, and Starbucks headline a 42-report day.$Facebook$, Shopify, Boeing, Ford Motor, $PayPal$ Holdings, Pfizer, and Qualcomm release results on Wednesday. Then Amazon.com, Comcast, Mastercard, and T-Mobile US report on Thursday.","content":"<p>It’s the busiest week of second-quarter earnings season. About <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> third of S&amp;P 500 companies are scheduled to report. Tesla and Lockheed Martin kick things off on M onday, followed by a packed Tuesday: Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">Visa</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>, UPS, General Electric, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MMM\">3M</a>, and Starbucks headline a 42-report day.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>, Shopify, Boeing, Ford Motor, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> Holdings, Pfizer, and Qualcomm release results on Wednesday. Then Amazon.com, Comcast, Mastercard, and T-Mobile US report on Thursday. Finally, Exxon Mobil, Caterpillar, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHTR\">Charter Communications</a>, Chevron, and Procter &amp; Gamble close the week on Friday.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4564430f7fe9649d97a7a105615955e5\" tg-width=\"1562\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">There will be plenty of action on the economic calendar this week too. The Federal Reserve’s policy committee wraps up a two-day meeting on Wednesday. A change in interest rates is off the table, but officials could reveal more information about their timeline for reducing bond purchases. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s post-meeting press conference will be must-watch viewing.</p>\n<p>On Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis publishes its first official estimate of second-quarter U.S. gross domestic product. Economists are expecting a white-hot 9.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, up from 6.4% in the first quarter.</p>\n<p>Other data out this week include the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index for July and the Commerce Department’s durable goods orders for June, both on Tuesday. The latter is often viewed as a decent proxy for business investment.</p>\n<p>Monday 7/26</p>\n<p>Cadence Design Systems, Hasbro, Lockheed Martin, Otis Worldwide, and Tesla report quarterly results.</p>\n<p>The Census Bureau reports new single-family home sales for June. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 800,000 new homes sold, 4% more than May’s 769,000.</p>\n<p>Tuesday 7/27</p>\n<p>It’s a big day for megacap tech earnings. Alphabet, Apple, and Microsoft will release quarterly results. The three companies are among the five largest globally by market value, worth a combined $6.4 trillion.</p>\n<p>3M, Advanced Micro Devices, Chubb, Ecolab, General Electric, Invesco, Mondelez International, MSCI, Raytheon Technologies, Starbucks, United Parcel Service, and Visa announce earnings.</p>\n<p>The Conference Board releases its Consumer Confidence Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 124 reading, lower than June’s 127.3. The June figure was the highest for the index since the beginning of the pandemic.</p>\n<p>S&amp;P <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLGX\">CoreLogic</a> releases its Case-Shiller National Home Price Index for May. Expectations are for a 16.4% year-over-year rise, after a 14.6% jump in April. The April spike was a record for the index going back to 1988, when data were first collected.</p>\n<p>Wednesday 7/28</p>\n<p>Automatic Data Processing, Boeing, Bristol Myers Squibb, Facebook, Ford Motor, Generac Holdings, McDonald’s, Moody’s, Norfolk Southern, PayPal Holdings, Pfizer, Qualcomm, Shopify, and Thermo Fisher Scientific release quarterly results.</p>\n<p>The Federal Open Market Committee announces its monetary-policy decision. The FOMC is expected to leave the federal-funds rate unchanged near zero. Wall Street expects the central bank to announce a timeline for reducing its bond purchases, currently about $120 billion a month, at some time between now and the September meeting.</p>\n<p>Thursday 7/29</p>\n<p>Altria Group, Amazon.com, Comcast, Hershey, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Mastercard, Merck, Molson Coors Beverage, Northrop Grumman, and T-Mobile US hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p>\n<p>Robinhood Markets, the zero-commission investment app, is expected to begin trading on the Nasdaq exchange under the ticker HOOD. Robinhood plans to offer 55 million shares at $38 to $42 a share, which would value the company at roughly $35 billion.</p>\n<p>The Bureau of Economic Analysis reports its preliminary estimate of second-quarter gross domestic product. Economists forecast a 9.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, following a 6.4% increase in the first quarter. The Federal Reserve currently projects 7% GDP growth for 2021, which would be the fastest rate of growth since 1984.</p>\n<p>Friday 7/30</p>\n<p>AbbVie, Caterpillar, Charter Communications, Chevron, Colgate-Palmolive, Exxon Mobil, Procter &amp; Gamble, and Weyerhaeuser report quarterly results.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple, Tesla, Amazon, Pfizer, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple, Tesla, Amazon, Pfizer, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-26 07:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-51627239605?mod=hp_LEAD_4><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It’s the busiest week of second-quarter earnings season. About one third of S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report. Tesla and Lockheed Martin kick things off on M onday, followed by a packed ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-51627239605?mod=hp_LEAD_4\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SHOP":"Shopify Inc","TSLA":"特斯拉","AMZN":"亚马逊","AAPL":"苹果","PYPL":"PayPal","FORD":"福沃德工业","BA":"波音"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-51627239605?mod=hp_LEAD_4","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100772026","content_text":"It’s the busiest week of second-quarter earnings season. About one third of S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report. Tesla and Lockheed Martin kick things off on M onday, followed by a packed Tuesday: Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Visa, AMD, UPS, General Electric, 3M, and Starbucks headline a 42-report day.\nFacebook, Shopify, Boeing, Ford Motor, PayPal Holdings, Pfizer, and Qualcomm release results on Wednesday. Then Amazon.com, Comcast, Mastercard, and T-Mobile US report on Thursday. Finally, Exxon Mobil, Caterpillar, Charter Communications, Chevron, and Procter & Gamble close the week on Friday.\nThere will be plenty of action on the economic calendar this week too. The Federal Reserve’s policy committee wraps up a two-day meeting on Wednesday. A change in interest rates is off the table, but officials could reveal more information about their timeline for reducing bond purchases. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s post-meeting press conference will be must-watch viewing.\nOn Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis publishes its first official estimate of second-quarter U.S. gross domestic product. Economists are expecting a white-hot 9.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, up from 6.4% in the first quarter.\nOther data out this week include the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index for July and the Commerce Department’s durable goods orders for June, both on Tuesday. The latter is often viewed as a decent proxy for business investment.\nMonday 7/26\nCadence Design Systems, Hasbro, Lockheed Martin, Otis Worldwide, and Tesla report quarterly results.\nThe Census Bureau reports new single-family home sales for June. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 800,000 new homes sold, 4% more than May’s 769,000.\nTuesday 7/27\nIt’s a big day for megacap tech earnings. Alphabet, Apple, and Microsoft will release quarterly results. The three companies are among the five largest globally by market value, worth a combined $6.4 trillion.\n3M, Advanced Micro Devices, Chubb, Ecolab, General Electric, Invesco, Mondelez International, MSCI, Raytheon Technologies, Starbucks, United Parcel Service, and Visa announce earnings.\nThe Conference Board releases its Consumer Confidence Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 124 reading, lower than June’s 127.3. The June figure was the highest for the index since the beginning of the pandemic.\nS&P CoreLogic releases its Case-Shiller National Home Price Index for May. Expectations are for a 16.4% year-over-year rise, after a 14.6% jump in April. The April spike was a record for the index going back to 1988, when data were first collected.\nWednesday 7/28\nAutomatic Data Processing, Boeing, Bristol Myers Squibb, Facebook, Ford Motor, Generac Holdings, McDonald’s, Moody’s, Norfolk Southern, PayPal Holdings, Pfizer, Qualcomm, Shopify, and Thermo Fisher Scientific release quarterly results.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee announces its monetary-policy decision. The FOMC is expected to leave the federal-funds rate unchanged near zero. Wall Street expects the central bank to announce a timeline for reducing its bond purchases, currently about $120 billion a month, at some time between now and the September meeting.\nThursday 7/29\nAltria Group, Amazon.com, Comcast, Hershey, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Mastercard, Merck, Molson Coors Beverage, Northrop Grumman, and T-Mobile US hold conference calls to discuss earnings.\nRobinhood Markets, the zero-commission investment app, is expected to begin trading on the Nasdaq exchange under the ticker HOOD. Robinhood plans to offer 55 million shares at $38 to $42 a share, which would value the company at roughly $35 billion.\nThe Bureau of Economic Analysis reports its preliminary estimate of second-quarter gross domestic product. Economists forecast a 9.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, following a 6.4% increase in the first quarter. The Federal Reserve currently projects 7% GDP growth for 2021, which would be the fastest rate of growth since 1984.\nFriday 7/30\nAbbVie, Caterpillar, Charter Communications, Chevron, Colgate-Palmolive, Exxon Mobil, Procter & Gamble, and Weyerhaeuser report quarterly results.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808674639,"gmtCreate":1627580253621,"gmtModify":1633758097029,"author":{"id":"3577187273279454","authorId":"3577187273279454","name":"happytiga","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577187273279454","idStr":"3577187273279454"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"pls like","listText":"pls like","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808674639","repostId":"1165497040","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165497040","pubTimestamp":1627542522,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1165497040?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-29 15:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Reports Earnings Thursday. Expect a Blowout.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165497040","media":"Barrons","summary":"Amazon reports earnings after Thursday’s closing bell. Expect a blowout.Another is that Amazon’s competitors have already reported solid numbers.Shopify, arguably one of the company’s most important rivals in e-commerce,posted better-than-expected results for the June quarter, noting that sustained digital commerce trends and U.S. stimulus checks in March and April drove revenues above expectations. Strong reports from Alphabet,Snap and Twitter suggest Amazon will post accelerating growth in its","content":"<p>Amazon reports earnings after Thursday’s closing bell. Expect a blowout.</p>\n<p>For the June quarter, the tech giant has projected sales of $110 billion to $116 billion, with operating income in the $4.5 billion-to-$8 billion range. Wall Street consensus calls for sales of $115.4 billion, operating income of $7.8 billion, and earnings of $12.28 a share.</p>\n<p>There are several reasons why the Street numbers might be too low.</p>\n<p>For one, Amazon (ticker: AMZN)&nbsp;has beat expectations&nbsp;in every quarter since the start of the pandemic—in fact, for 10 quarters in a row.</p>\n<p>Another is that Amazon’s competitors have already reported solid numbers.Shopify(SHOP), arguably one of the company’s most important rivals in e-commerce,posted better-than-expected results for the June quarter, noting that sustained digital commerce trends and U.S. stimulus checks in March and April drove revenues above expectations. Strong reports from&nbsp;Alphabet,Snap&nbsp;and&nbsp;Twitter&nbsp;suggest Amazon will post accelerating growth in its underappreciated advertising business. And the&nbsp;strength in the cloud business at Microsoft&nbsp;bodes well for Amazon Web Services.</p>\n<p>Street estimates call for Amazon to post $57.3 billion in online sales, up 25%; $24.8 billion in third-party sellers services, up 36%; $14.3 billion from AWS, up 32%; $7.9 billion in subscription services, up 36%; $7 billion in “other” revenue, which is mostly advertising, up 66%; and $3.9 billion in physical stores revenue, up 3%.</p>\n<p>Plus, there are a couple of other factors at play. This will be the first quarter for Amazon since Jeff Bezos turned over the CEO reins to Andy Jassy. Bezos didn’t typically participate in the company’s quarterly earnings calls with analysts, leaving that job to CFO Brian OIsavky; it remains to be seen if Jassy will make an appearance this year. Also, Amazon finds itself at the heart of the debate—in Washington and elsewhere—over the power of tech companies, and now faces an in-depth investigation by the Federal Trade Commission over&nbsp;its proposed acquisition of the film studio MGM.Amazon has requested&nbsp;that FTC Chair Lina Khan recuse herself from any matters involving Amazon given her past criticisms of the company.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Investors also will be watching for clues on how the company expects the pandemic and a return to a more normal economy will impact results for the rest of the year. Street estimates for the September quarter call for revenue of $118.6 billion and profits of $12.97 a share.</p>\n<p>In a research note, MKM Partners analyst Rohit Kulkarni points out that Amazon has underperformed both Alphabet and&nbsp;Facebook&nbsp;shares this year. He thinks the stock has been weighed down by ongoing debate about the true strength of this year’s&nbsp;Prime Day&nbsp;sales event, as well as ongoing questions about the outlook for e-commerce as supplemental U.S. unemployment benefits lapse in September. Nonetheless, Kulkarni thinks that advertising, Amazon Prime subscriptions, and AWS will together drive upside to both second-quarter results and guidance, and he continues to consider Amazon his best pick among the big internet stocks. Kulkarni keeps his Buy rating and $4,075 target price.</p>\n<p>Evercore ISI analyst Mark Mahaney maintains an Outperform rating and $4,500 target price. He thinks Street estimates for the second quarter “look largely reasonable,” although he has some concerns that the Street might be too bullish on the third quarter, in particular given Prime Day this year shifted into the second quarter.</p>\n<p>Monness Crespi White analyst Brian White notes that Amazon shares have been “range bound” over the past few months, but he thinks the company is “uniquely positioned” to exit the pandemic as one of the biggest beneficiaries of the digital transformation trend. White asserts that “the company’s growth path is very attractive across the e-commerce segment, AWS, digital media, advertising, Alexa and more.” White maintains his Buy rating and $4,500 target price.</p>\n<p>On Wednesday, Amazon shares were up 0.1%, to $3,630.32.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Reports Earnings Thursday. Expect a Blowout.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Reports Earnings Thursday. Expect a Blowout.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-29 15:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/amazon-earnings-51627497584?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Amazon reports earnings after Thursday’s closing bell. Expect a blowout.\nFor the June quarter, the tech giant has projected sales of $110 billion to $116 billion, with operating income in the $4.5 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/amazon-earnings-51627497584?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/amazon-earnings-51627497584?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165497040","content_text":"Amazon reports earnings after Thursday’s closing bell. Expect a blowout.\nFor the June quarter, the tech giant has projected sales of $110 billion to $116 billion, with operating income in the $4.5 billion-to-$8 billion range. Wall Street consensus calls for sales of $115.4 billion, operating income of $7.8 billion, and earnings of $12.28 a share.\nThere are several reasons why the Street numbers might be too low.\nFor one, Amazon (ticker: AMZN) has beat expectations in every quarter since the start of the pandemic—in fact, for 10 quarters in a row.\nAnother is that Amazon’s competitors have already reported solid numbers.Shopify(SHOP), arguably one of the company’s most important rivals in e-commerce,posted better-than-expected results for the June quarter, noting that sustained digital commerce trends and U.S. stimulus checks in March and April drove revenues above expectations. Strong reports from Alphabet,Snap and Twitter suggest Amazon will post accelerating growth in its underappreciated advertising business. And the strength in the cloud business at Microsoft bodes well for Amazon Web Services.\nStreet estimates call for Amazon to post $57.3 billion in online sales, up 25%; $24.8 billion in third-party sellers services, up 36%; $14.3 billion from AWS, up 32%; $7.9 billion in subscription services, up 36%; $7 billion in “other” revenue, which is mostly advertising, up 66%; and $3.9 billion in physical stores revenue, up 3%.\nPlus, there are a couple of other factors at play. This will be the first quarter for Amazon since Jeff Bezos turned over the CEO reins to Andy Jassy. Bezos didn’t typically participate in the company’s quarterly earnings calls with analysts, leaving that job to CFO Brian OIsavky; it remains to be seen if Jassy will make an appearance this year. Also, Amazon finds itself at the heart of the debate—in Washington and elsewhere—over the power of tech companies, and now faces an in-depth investigation by the Federal Trade Commission over its proposed acquisition of the film studio MGM.Amazon has requested that FTC Chair Lina Khan recuse herself from any matters involving Amazon given her past criticisms of the company.\n\nInvestors also will be watching for clues on how the company expects the pandemic and a return to a more normal economy will impact results for the rest of the year. Street estimates for the September quarter call for revenue of $118.6 billion and profits of $12.97 a share.\nIn a research note, MKM Partners analyst Rohit Kulkarni points out that Amazon has underperformed both Alphabet and Facebook shares this year. He thinks the stock has been weighed down by ongoing debate about the true strength of this year’s Prime Day sales event, as well as ongoing questions about the outlook for e-commerce as supplemental U.S. unemployment benefits lapse in September. Nonetheless, Kulkarni thinks that advertising, Amazon Prime subscriptions, and AWS will together drive upside to both second-quarter results and guidance, and he continues to consider Amazon his best pick among the big internet stocks. Kulkarni keeps his Buy rating and $4,075 target price.\nEvercore ISI analyst Mark Mahaney maintains an Outperform rating and $4,500 target price. He thinks Street estimates for the second quarter “look largely reasonable,” although he has some concerns that the Street might be too bullish on the third quarter, in particular given Prime Day this year shifted into the second quarter.\nMonness Crespi White analyst Brian White notes that Amazon shares have been “range bound” over the past few months, but he thinks the company is “uniquely positioned” to exit the pandemic as one of the biggest beneficiaries of the digital transformation trend. White asserts that “the company’s growth path is very attractive across the e-commerce segment, AWS, digital media, advertising, Alexa and more.” White maintains his Buy rating and $4,500 target price.\nOn Wednesday, Amazon shares were up 0.1%, to $3,630.32.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":52,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184923541,"gmtCreate":1623681456983,"gmtModify":1634030139153,"author":{"id":"3577187273279454","authorId":"3577187273279454","name":"happytiga","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577187273279454","idStr":"3577187273279454"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>i dont understand, why are people sellling when we see them dominating the market in 2 years time [Smug]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>i dont understand, why are people sellling when we see them dominating the market in 2 years time [Smug]&nbsp;","text":"$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$$NIO Inc.(NIO)$i dont understand, why are people sellling when we see them dominating the market in 2 years time [Smug]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184923541","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116597650,"gmtCreate":1622810139370,"gmtModify":1634097809109,"author":{"id":"3577187273279454","authorId":"3577187273279454","name":"happytiga","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577187273279454","idStr":"3577187273279454"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"really unlikely to have a close substitute for iphone but the trade wars rly hurt. expect a low but positive return at least","listText":"really unlikely to have a close substitute for iphone but the trade wars rly hurt. expect a low but positive return at least","text":"really unlikely to have a close substitute for iphone but the trade wars rly hurt. expect a low but positive return at least","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116597650","repostId":"1122373606","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122373606","pubTimestamp":1622793373,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122373606?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 15:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122373606","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>\n <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>\n <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Article Thesis</b></p>\n<p>Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p>\n<p><b>Apple Stock Price</b></p>\n<p>Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p>\n<p><b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p>\n<p>Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p>\n<p>To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p>\n<p><b>Apple's business growth</b></p>\n<p>Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p>\n<p>On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p>\n<p><b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p>\n<p>Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p>\n<p>This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p>\n<p><b>Apple's future valuation</b></p>\n<p>AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p>\n<p><b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p>\n<p>Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p>\n<p>AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p>\n<p>Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? 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What To Consider\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-04 15:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.\nApple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122373606","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.\nApple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.\nShares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.\n\nPhoto by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nApple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.\nApple Stock Price\nOver the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:\nData by YCharts\nShares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years\nApple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.\nTo craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.\nApple's business growth\nApple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.\nData by YCharts\nOverall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.\nOn the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.\nApple's shareholder returns\nApple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.\nThis is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.\nApple's future valuation\nAAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:\nData by YCharts\nShares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.\nIs AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now\nStarting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.\nAAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.\nSumming it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":418,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171555519,"gmtCreate":1626752305531,"gmtModify":1633771361147,"author":{"id":"3577187273279454","authorId":"3577187273279454","name":"happytiga","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577187273279454","idStr":"3577187273279454"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yes","listText":"yes","text":"yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171555519","repostId":"2152652683","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":254,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113639949,"gmtCreate":1622608629981,"gmtModify":1634099961300,"author":{"id":"3577187273279454","authorId":"3577187273279454","name":"happytiga","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577187273279454","idStr":"3577187273279454"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"imo, with the chinese govt backing up the 2 EV companies, it is highly likely that these 2 companies would gain market share in the large chinese market. more below","listText":"imo, with the chinese govt backing up the 2 EV companies, it is highly likely that these 2 companies would gain market share in the large chinese market. more below","text":"imo, with the chinese govt backing up the 2 EV companies, it is highly likely that these 2 companies would gain market share in the large chinese market. more below","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113639949","repostId":"113878092","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":113878092,"gmtCreate":1622606780409,"gmtModify":1716218117409,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3502767768442965","idStr":"3502767768442965"},"themes":[],"title":"新能源汽车销量持续超预期！小鹏已暴涨50%！","htmlText":"近日，各大车企纷纷公布了5月份的销量数据，其中： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> 交付6,711台，同比增长95.3%； <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a> 交付5,686台，同比大增483%。 中汽协也公布了 1-4 月新能源汽车整体销量： 累计销量 73.2 万辆，同比增长 249.2%。 此外，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$理想汽车(LI)$</a> 也将于近日公布5月交付量，网上普遍预期乐观。 新能源汽车销量持续超预期，导致近期整个新能源汽车板块在持续走强，其中： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300750\">$宁德时代(300750)$</a> 再创世新高：小鹏汽车触底反弹近50%：不过，值得一提的是，市场对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 的5月销量预期并不乐观。 据悉，受到负面舆论的影响，特斯拉4月份全球销量环比暴跌43%，国内销量环比暴跌67.1%，其中Model 3和Model Y跌幅分别为75.27%和46.73%。 …… 最后，大家聊一聊： 你如何看待新能源汽车销量持续走高？ 你觉得现在是否可以抄底新能源汽车了？ 精彩留言用户可获得888社区积分噢！ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01211\">$比亚迪股份(01211)$</a>","listText":"近日，各大车企纷纷公布了5月份的销量数据，其中： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> 交付6,711台，同比增长95.3%； <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a> 交付5,686台，同比大增483%。 中汽协也公布了 1-4 月新能源汽车整体销量： 累计销量 73.2 万辆，同比增长 249.2%。 此外，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$理想汽车(LI)$</a> 也将于近日公布5月交付量，网上普遍预期乐观。 新能源汽车销量持续超预期，导致近期整个新能源汽车板块在持续走强，其中： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300750\">$宁德时代(300750)$</a> 再创世新高：小鹏汽车触底反弹近50%：不过，值得一提的是，市场对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 的5月销量预期并不乐观。 据悉，受到负面舆论的影响，特斯拉4月份全球销量环比暴跌43%，国内销量环比暴跌67.1%，其中Model 3和Model Y跌幅分别为75.27%和46.73%。 …… 最后，大家聊一聊： 你如何看待新能源汽车销量持续走高？ 你觉得现在是否可以抄底新能源汽车了？ 精彩留言用户可获得888社区积分噢！ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01211\">$比亚迪股份(01211)$</a>","text":"近日，各大车企纷纷公布了5月份的销量数据，其中： $蔚来(NIO)$ 交付6,711台，同比增长95.3%； $小鹏汽车(XPEV)$ 交付5,686台，同比大增483%。 中汽协也公布了 1-4 月新能源汽车整体销量： 累计销量 73.2 万辆，同比增长 249.2%。 此外，$理想汽车(LI)$ 也将于近日公布5月交付量，网上普遍预期乐观。 新能源汽车销量持续超预期，导致近期整个新能源汽车板块在持续走强，其中： $宁德时代(300750)$ 再创世新高：小鹏汽车触底反弹近50%：不过，值得一提的是，市场对$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 的5月销量预期并不乐观。 据悉，受到负面舆论的影响，特斯拉4月份全球销量环比暴跌43%，国内销量环比暴跌67.1%，其中Model 3和Model Y跌幅分别为75.27%和46.73%。 …… 最后，大家聊一聊： 你如何看待新能源汽车销量持续走高？ 你觉得现在是否可以抄底新能源汽车了？ 精彩留言用户可获得888社区积分噢！ $比亚迪股份(01211)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f20da2b29d45b673a4b50490872aa3da","width":"840","height":"470"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8db6c9a2c7934e3816c5b9800f60ac73","width":"840","height":"470"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6d86b2a7851c4b62d0485766dfd7ee8","width":"640","height":"427"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113878092","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":672,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118587115,"gmtCreate":1622739230037,"gmtModify":1634098500730,"author":{"id":"3577187273279454","authorId":"3577187273279454","name":"happytiga","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577187273279454","idStr":"3577187273279454"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"xpeng and nio sure to grow given chinas large market and affordable car options compared to other ev companies","listText":"xpeng and nio sure to grow given chinas large market and affordable car options compared to other ev companies","text":"xpeng and nio sure to grow given chinas large market and affordable car options compared to other ev companies","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118587115","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}