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2021-11-30
对耶 怎么说
鲍威尔:关于通胀,该放弃“暂时”这个词了
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美国三大股指跌超1%,银行板块跌1.5%。鲍威尔称,可以考虑提前几个月结束Taper(减码QE)。\n</blockquote>\n<p>11月30日周二,美联储主席鲍威尔与美国财长耶伦一同出席美国国会参议院银行委员会的季度听证,就顽固高通胀、奥密克戎新变种病毒对经济的影响、美国债务上限等关键议题发表观点,两人明日还将参加国会众议院金融服务委员会的听证。</p>\n<p>在问答环节,鲍威尔表示,通胀进一步上升的风险增加,物价上涨与新冠疫情造成的供应链中断有关。</p>\n<p>他还称,“是时候放弃关于通胀“暂时性”这个词了”,这句话一度令美股跌幅扩大,但他解释道,“暂时性”对每个人的意义不同,对于他来说意味着不会在价格上留下永久印记,美股跌幅又短线小幅收窄。</p>\n<p>在听证会初期,美国30年期国债收益率跌破1.8%。彭博美元指数跌0.7%,创11月19日以来新低。现货黄金日内涨幅达1.0%,报1803.07美元/盎司。美国11月谘商会消费者信心指数降至109.5,创最近九个月新低,受到通胀加速上行和新冠病例增加的冲击。</p>\n<p>在隔夜发布的书面证词中,鲍威尔首次公开提及新病毒变种,称会增加经济下行风险和通胀不确定性,人们外出工作的意愿或进一步降低,这将减缓劳动力市场的进展,并加剧供应链混乱。</p>\n<p>他还对通货膨胀发表了更直接的评论,即预测供应限制的持续性和影响具有挑战性,但现在看来,“推动通胀上升的因素将持续到明年”。不过,他仍强调随着供需失衡的缓解,包括美联储在内的大多数预测者都持续预期通胀将在明年“大幅下降”,劳动力闲置现象也在减少。</p>\n<p>在肯定美国经济继续走强、劳动力市场持续改善的基础上,鲍威尔承诺,美联储“致力于实现价格稳定目标”,将利用工具来支持经济和劳动力市场,并“防止更高的通胀变得根深蒂固”。</p>\n<p>他还承认,在与加息门槛有关的“实现就业和劳动力市场参与率这两项指标最大化方面”,仍有不小的进步空间,尽管新病毒变种压境,“美联储预计上述的最大化进程将继续取得进展”。</p>\n<p>分析认为,<b>奥密克戎新变种病毒出现在美国通胀数月高出美联储官方目标两倍多的时点,将为央行货币政策收紧路径再添变数</b>。</p>\n<p>原本官员们将在12月14日至15日的FOMC会议上讨论是否加速缩减购债,这样可以尽早结束QE量宽净购债的“放水”政策,为明年上半年就提前加息留出空间。高盛曾认为,taper加速“存在重大风险”,富国银行随后称,新变种病毒可能令12月会议上加速taper的计划复杂化。</p>\n<p>瑞银在最新研报中指出,新变异毒株突然来袭,供应链问题推动通胀上升的因素将持续存在,通胀上行风险加剧,或从“暂时性”转变为“长期性”:</p>\n<blockquote>\n 新一轮病毒扩散将对经济复苏产生损害,最初的经济、就业人数增长可能会下降,并且供应链问题将加剧,通胀压力也会比此前预期加大。 \n <b>美联储最初的反应将偏鸽派,随着通胀上升,在经济进一步复苏时,可能会加息。</b>\n</blockquote>","source":"highlight_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>鲍威尔:关于通胀,该放弃“暂时”这个词了</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n鲍威尔:关于通胀,该放弃“暂时”这个词了\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-30 23:35 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3646201><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>在问答环节,鲍威尔表示,通胀进一步上升的风险增加,物价上涨与新冠疫情造成的供应链中断有关。他还称,“是时候放弃关于通胀“暂时性”这个词了”,这句话一度令美股跌幅扩大,但他解释道,“暂时性”对每个人的意义不同,对于他来说意味着不会在价格上留下永久印记。\n\n\n 美国三大股指跌超1%,银行板块跌1.5%。鲍威尔称,可以考虑提前几个月结束Taper(减码QE)。\n\n11月30日周二,美联储主席鲍威尔与美国...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3646201\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/909f0c076f3fff78497a5c9be00e5429","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3646201","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1134305042","content_text":"在问答环节,鲍威尔表示,通胀进一步上升的风险增加,物价上涨与新冠疫情造成的供应链中断有关。他还称,“是时候放弃关于通胀“暂时性”这个词了”,这句话一度令美股跌幅扩大,但他解释道,“暂时性”对每个人的意义不同,对于他来说意味着不会在价格上留下永久印记。\n\n\n 美国三大股指跌超1%,银行板块跌1.5%。鲍威尔称,可以考虑提前几个月结束Taper(减码QE)。\n\n11月30日周二,美联储主席鲍威尔与美国财长耶伦一同出席美国国会参议院银行委员会的季度听证,就顽固高通胀、奥密克戎新变种病毒对经济的影响、美国债务上限等关键议题发表观点,两人明日还将参加国会众议院金融服务委员会的听证。\n在问答环节,鲍威尔表示,通胀进一步上升的风险增加,物价上涨与新冠疫情造成的供应链中断有关。\n他还称,“是时候放弃关于通胀“暂时性”这个词了”,这句话一度令美股跌幅扩大,但他解释道,“暂时性”对每个人的意义不同,对于他来说意味着不会在价格上留下永久印记,美股跌幅又短线小幅收窄。\n在听证会初期,美国30年期国债收益率跌破1.8%。彭博美元指数跌0.7%,创11月19日以来新低。现货黄金日内涨幅达1.0%,报1803.07美元/盎司。美国11月谘商会消费者信心指数降至109.5,创最近九个月新低,受到通胀加速上行和新冠病例增加的冲击。\n在隔夜发布的书面证词中,鲍威尔首次公开提及新病毒变种,称会增加经济下行风险和通胀不确定性,人们外出工作的意愿或进一步降低,这将减缓劳动力市场的进展,并加剧供应链混乱。\n他还对通货膨胀发表了更直接的评论,即预测供应限制的持续性和影响具有挑战性,但现在看来,“推动通胀上升的因素将持续到明年”。不过,他仍强调随着供需失衡的缓解,包括美联储在内的大多数预测者都持续预期通胀将在明年“大幅下降”,劳动力闲置现象也在减少。\n在肯定美国经济继续走强、劳动力市场持续改善的基础上,鲍威尔承诺,美联储“致力于实现价格稳定目标”,将利用工具来支持经济和劳动力市场,并“防止更高的通胀变得根深蒂固”。\n他还承认,在与加息门槛有关的“实现就业和劳动力市场参与率这两项指标最大化方面”,仍有不小的进步空间,尽管新病毒变种压境,“美联储预计上述的最大化进程将继续取得进展”。\n分析认为,奥密克戎新变种病毒出现在美国通胀数月高出美联储官方目标两倍多的时点,将为央行货币政策收紧路径再添变数。\n原本官员们将在12月14日至15日的FOMC会议上讨论是否加速缩减购债,这样可以尽早结束QE量宽净购债的“放水”政策,为明年上半年就提前加息留出空间。高盛曾认为,taper加速“存在重大风险”,富国银行随后称,新变种病毒可能令12月会议上加速taper的计划复杂化。\n瑞银在最新研报中指出,新变异毒株突然来袭,供应链问题推动通胀上升的因素将持续存在,通胀上行风险加剧,或从“暂时性”转变为“长期性”:\n\n 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