LateWizard的个人主页 - 老虎社区

LateWizard

LateWizard

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0勋章

2021-12-02

Firesale 😅

@Palantard SG:$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$Bought another 150 shares. Holding 19,330 shares now and currently at -S$90k loss collectively. Am i afraid? Yes. Afraid that I no longer have anymore cash to deploy. Sad

2021-11-16

Expert want a discounted share 😂

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-06

Waiting for fire sale 😅

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-31

It's time to short 😅

@blackblack1:$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$is time now

2021-09-03

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

@balm:$Coupang, Inc.(CPNG)$buy on dip?

2021-09-03

Buy at 23

@balm:$Coupang, Inc.(CPNG)$buy on dip?

2021-08-12

Covered call boys

@thekang:$Activision Blizzard(ATVI)$dont let workplace harassment distract u from the fact diablo immortal and 2 remaster is coming!

2021-07-29

Nio! 😁

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-26

😂

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-13

What's next? Viagra to treat cancer? 😂

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-08

😂

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-28

3.50 buy in safer.

@boon2:$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$ drop.. Drop drop more to $4.00 pls.. So that I can buy in...

2021-06-24

Now we know why there CEO is buying so much stock before this news 😏😏😏

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-24

Good luck with that 😀👍🏻

Tesla: A Lesson In Humility

2021-06-18

Personally avoid China tech stock for now..

Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already

2021-06-15

🦍

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-22

it will only fall if you panic bitch sell.

GameStop: Why The 'Blockbuster' Of Gaming Will Eventually Fail

2021-05-17

Might as well rename to ElonCoins

Bitcoin Tumbles After Musk Implies Tesla May Sell Cryptocurrency

2021-05-13

$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$ penny stock next year ☺️

2021-05-05

Time to short it 😂😂

抱歉，原内容已删除

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next? Viagra to treat cancer? 😂","listText":"What's next? Viagra to treat cancer? 😂","text":"What's next? Viagra to treat cancer? 😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142198533","repostId":"2145097055","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":273,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149405710,"gmtCreate":1625740418730,"gmtModify":1631890353645,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😂&nbsp;","listText":"😂&nbsp;","text":"😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149405710","repostId":"1141778926","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":45,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127479257,"gmtCreate":1624867005379,"gmtModify":1631890353663,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"3.50 buy in safer.&nbsp;","listText":"3.50 buy in safer.&nbsp;","text":"3.50 buy in safer.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127479257","repostId":"127453190","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":127453190,"gmtCreate":1624865631110,"gmtModify":1631885594971,"author":{"id":"3580619852870131","authorId":"3580619852870131","name":"boon2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/492254a6ed5d65b6497390aed7f42355","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3580619852870131","idStr":"3580619852870131"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a> drop.. Drop drop more to $4.00 pls.. So that I can buy in...&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a> drop.. Drop drop more to $4.00 pls.. So that I can buy in...&nbsp;","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$ drop.. Drop drop more to $4.00 pls.. So that I can buy in...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127453190","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":106,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126893334,"gmtCreate":1624550055228,"gmtModify":1631890353669,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Now we know why there CEO is buying so much stock before this news 😏😏😏","listText":"Now we know why there CEO is buying so much stock before this news 😏😏😏","text":"Now we know why there CEO is buying so much stock before this news 😏😏😏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126893334","repostId":"2145877550","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":26,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126070586,"gmtCreate":1624540079945,"gmtModify":1631890353680,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good luck with that 😀👍🏻","listText":"Good luck with that 😀👍🏻","text":"Good luck with that 😀👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126070586","repostId":"1176854050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176854050","pubTimestamp":1624506221,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176854050?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 11:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: A Lesson In Humility","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176854050","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Tesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.With earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.I see Tesla's fundamentals - and valuation - as having improved massively in recent months, and I'm therefore still quite bullish.Finally, the elephant in the room is the descending triangle I noted above, and I’ve added some extra bars at the end of the chart to show what the resolution of the triangle might look like. We can se","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Tesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.</li>\n <li>With earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.</li>\n <li>I see Tesla's fundamentals - and valuation - as having improved massively in recent months, and I'm therefore still quite bullish.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16088600ba424779ab370711976bff68\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AdrianHancu/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Sometimes in investing, our thesis, no matter how much we believe in it, doesn’t work. I’ve experienced that countless times personally, and I think pretty much everyone who tries their hand at growing capital through the financial markets does as well. The important thing is not to fall in love with a stock and let it destroy your portfolio, and in the case of EV mothership<b>Tesla</b>(TSLA), I certainly had my fair share of practice at letting go of a failed thesis recently.</p>\n<p>Back inearly April, I said it was time to buy Tesla based upon its fairly reliable history of running higher into earnings announcements. The stock was at $691 at the time and did move higher in the next couple of weeks, but as we can see from the below, the move didn’t stick. That caused me to rethink my position in the short-term with Tesla, and now that we are four weeks out from the next earnings report, we have a different situation on our hands.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54fd49361e0720105b3d38a4c4c88fa1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"615\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: StockCharts</span></p>\n<p>I’ve annotated several things on the daily chart because the situation is quite interesting for Tesla during this critical period leading up to the next earnings release. The first thing I’ll note is that the accumulation/distribution line remains very strong, having never wavered from its prior levels achieved during the massive rally that took place mostly in 2020. That’s a good sign because the bulls and bears remain roughly equally matched despite a share price that has given the bulls every reason to move on.</p>\n<p>Momentum is more of a mixed picture because the PPO and 14-day RSI are both showing some signs of positive divergence, but also signs that bullish momentum is nowhere near high enough to push the stock into another rally phase. On the divergence side, momentum is gradually moving higher while the share price bounces around, indicating that the worst of the selling is likely done, but that we’re in a digestion period. The 14-day RSI hasn’t yet crested the centerline in earnest, which again means that bullish momentum is fairly weak.</p>\n<p>Overall, I’d say momentum is showing what you might expect at this stage, which is that the selling pressure has abated, but we’re not in rally mode. Yet.</p>\n<p>Finally, the elephant in the room is the descending triangle I noted above, and I’ve added some extra bars at the end of the chart to show what the resolution of the triangle might look like. We can see at the current slope of the line that the triangle will likely resolve near the end of July, which just so happens to coincide with the earnings release. This is a bearish pattern so I don’t want to make everything seem like sunshine and lollipops, but the rest of the chart is mixed, so we’ll have to wait and see.</p>\n<p>The earnings report, in my view, is going to be the catalyst one way or the other for the breakout from the triangle. Which direction it will go is anyone’s guess, but I’d be ready for a wild reaction to the earnings release in July.</p>\n<p>If we look at a weekly chart, I see a much rosier picture.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef4525c330221c7768acc84c336cd8ef\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"615\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: StockCharts</span></p>\n<p>We can see that the stock ran up massively in 2020 and took with it the accumulation/distribution line, as well as the momentum indicators, as you’d expect. But since the selling began, we see signs that the stock has simply worked off its overbought conditions, which looks bullish to me.</p>\n<p>The 50-week moving average has served as support during this consolidation phase, and it currently stands at $575, so I’d watch that level if we see more selling. On the plus side, the accumulation/distribution line looks beautiful and again, is supportive of this selling being a digestion period rather than the end of the bull market for Tesla.</p>\n<p>Momentum would seem to support that as well, as the PPO and 14-week RSI are back at centerline support. What happens after this is critical, obviously, but the weekly chart doesn’t show Tesla as breaking down on a longer-term basis. The negative divergences we saw since 2020 began have given way to momentum resetting, which often happens before a new bull phase begins. With the earnings report looming in July, and the daily and weekly charts showing different pictures (at least to my eye), it’s going to be an interesting next four weeks for sure.</p>\n<p><b>Fundamentals still bullish</b></p>\n<p>I’d sum up the chart as having a short-term set of challenges for the bulls, but longer-term, I still see Tesla going higher. On a fundamental basis, I think the conclusion is decidedly more bullish. Let’s start with revenue revisions, which have been nothing short of terrific.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7297a6360a43284ab70d4caf12d206f3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>All years are showing uptrends in revenue revisions, and in particular, the out years. Let us not forget that these positive revisions are occurring during a time when countless startups and internal combustion engine OGs like GM (GM), Ford (F) and Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY) are investing tens of billions of dollars to take market share in EVs. None of this is new and it isn’t like the analyst community is surprised by these investments; Tesla is simply on a tremendous upward trajectory when it comes to growing revenue.</p>\n<p>Canaccordpointed out last week that the Model S Plaid Plus delay was likely due to the 4680 cell design not being ready for prime time. That very well could be the case, and it wouldn’t be the first time Tesla disappointed with a time frame it gave investors. Remember therobo-taxi claim?</p>\n<p>At any rate, the company’s lineup continues to resonate with customers and now that capacity constraints should lessen greatly over the coming years – new factories in a few parts of the world will help – the path of least resistance for Tesla is no doubt higher. This will only get better as Tesla can decrease the per-unit cost of things like the batteries so it can better compete with mainstream automakers on price, and become a mainstream automaker rather than a niche manufacturer for the well-heeled.</p>\n<p>Another thing scale is affording Tesla is monumental progress with profit margins. Below we have trailing-twelve-months gross margins, SG&amp;A costs, and EBIT margin as a percentage of revenue.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9effb44d7bda8f3bdb535e80dd1ac0f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>All three of these lines are moving in the right direction. Gross margins have been rising thanks to higher sales and production volumes, a trend that should continue so long as sales remain robust. In addition, Tesla is spending much less on an SG&amp;A basis than it used to, which again, is the product of higher sales volume. SG&amp;A used to be in the mid-20% range of revenue, which is unsustainable. Today, it’s only 10%, which means operating margins have gone quite positive, and with room to run in the future.</p>\n<p>Margins have always been an easy thing for the bears to point to, but that is simply no longer the case, and if you have a long holding period, the margin situation is going to work out in the bulls’ favor.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6401d5cd793a93d0ed6d36f911abdb15\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"283\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>This is all pointing to ever-higher EPS estimates, as we can see above. Analysts continue to try and keep up with Tesla’s upward trajectory, and so long as sales volumes and margins continue their march higher, so will these lines. Again, this is a feather in the cap of the bulls.</p>\n<p><b>Other considerations</b></p>\n<p>Tesla is not for the faint of heart, because it is volatile and we are at a point in the history of the automobile that an EV gold rush of sorts is occurring. Everyone is investing to win once the internal combustion engine is gone, but Tesla has a massive head start on the competition.</p>\n<p>Even so, there are risks to consider. First, Tesla could lose its technology lead over time as legacy manufacturers throw tens of billions of dollars at R&amp;D on battery technology. Tesla is far and away the superior battery maker today, but that does not guarantee it stays that way. To be clear, I don’t see that as a viable outcome in the near-term, but ten years from now? Twenty? It's a risk.</p>\n<p>Another risk is that Tesla uses its stock as a piggy bank, issuing shares to fund R&amp;D, factory construction, and the like.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8f44f661051d87ad3f2906cabe5479d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"165\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>The share count has nearly doubled in the past decade, which is pretty ugly from a shareholders’ perspective, as we usually only see this kind of dilution with REITs or BDCs that issue equity capital as a normal course of business. Manufacturing stocks don’t generally do anything like this, but Tesla has made it work. Still, you have to imagine it is possible that over a decade holding period, you’ll be diluted out of half of your ownership in the company. This also creates an uphill battle for EPS as earnings are spread over more and more shares, so I want to be clear this is an unequivocal negative for shareholders. However, let me now point you to what could possibly be the saving grace for this perma-dilution; free cash flow.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0569f35589cc0f82bb006148271df19b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"170\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>Tesla’s trailing-twelve-months FCF has improved immensely in recent years, as the company is producing massive amounts of operating cash flow that it never did before, which is owed once again to sales volume and margin growth. Tesla has surpassed the point where it needs to constantly issue capital just to survive because it is creating its own through its operations. This is massively important for the bull case because it means the dilution we’ve seen in recent years<i>shouldn’t</i>be necessary any longer.</p>\n<p>Indeed, if we look at net debt, we can see just how much Tesla’s balance sheet has improved, which again supports not having to dilute shareholders to stay afloat.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49fa413fc33c85d7269e987b2c11c888\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>Net debt has turned into a net cash position of late, with Tesla having nearly $5 billion in cash and equivalents more than debt. Tesla’s financing situation has improved enormously, and that’s good for those of us that are bullish.</p>\n<p><b>Is it cheap?</b></p>\n<p>Not really. But then again revolutionary companies rarely are. The good news is that the price-to-sales ratio has halved since the peak earlier this year, but at 11x forward revenue, I cannot in good conscience call it cheap.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca2d9f38636872d9d508e096e9ac8af8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"189\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>However, it is a lot cheaper than it was, and withrevenueslated to rise by more than half this year, and then<i>double</i>again by 2024, you don’t need the multiple to rise for a bullish outlook.</p>\n<p>I’ll reiterate that there are risks to Tesla. The daily chart is leaning slightly bearish with that descending triangle, but we’re heading into the pre-earnings run-up that Tesla<i>usually</i>shines during. The weekly chart is showing signs of digestion rather than rolling over. There are competitive risks that aren’t new and will never go way, but the company is still building great EVs that are resonating with customers. Margins and FCF are booming comparatively speaking, and the stock is at roughly half the valuation it was a few months ago.</p>\n<p>All in all, Tesla almost certainly has a rocky road in front of it, but I’m still bullish given the weight of the evidence.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: A Lesson In Humility</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: A Lesson In Humility\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-24 11:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436295-tesla-a-lesson-in-humility><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nTesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.\nWith earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.\nI see Tesla's ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436295-tesla-a-lesson-in-humility\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436295-tesla-a-lesson-in-humility","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1176854050","content_text":"Summary\n\nTesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.\nWith earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.\nI see Tesla's fundamentals - and valuation - as having improved massively in recent months, and I'm therefore still quite bullish.\n\nAdrianHancu/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nSometimes in investing, our thesis, no matter how much we believe in it, doesn’t work. I’ve experienced that countless times personally, and I think pretty much everyone who tries their hand at growing capital through the financial markets does as well. The important thing is not to fall in love with a stock and let it destroy your portfolio, and in the case of EV mothershipTesla(TSLA), I certainly had my fair share of practice at letting go of a failed thesis recently.\nBack inearly April, I said it was time to buy Tesla based upon its fairly reliable history of running higher into earnings announcements. The stock was at $691 at the time and did move higher in the next couple of weeks, but as we can see from the below, the move didn’t stick. That caused me to rethink my position in the short-term with Tesla, and now that we are four weeks out from the next earnings report, we have a different situation on our hands.\nSource: StockCharts\nI’ve annotated several things on the daily chart because the situation is quite interesting for Tesla during this critical period leading up to the next earnings release. The first thing I’ll note is that the accumulation/distribution line remains very strong, having never wavered from its prior levels achieved during the massive rally that took place mostly in 2020. That’s a good sign because the bulls and bears remain roughly equally matched despite a share price that has given the bulls every reason to move on.\nMomentum is more of a mixed picture because the PPO and 14-day RSI are both showing some signs of positive divergence, but also signs that bullish momentum is nowhere near high enough to push the stock into another rally phase. On the divergence side, momentum is gradually moving higher while the share price bounces around, indicating that the worst of the selling is likely done, but that we’re in a digestion period. The 14-day RSI hasn’t yet crested the centerline in earnest, which again means that bullish momentum is fairly weak.\nOverall, I’d say momentum is showing what you might expect at this stage, which is that the selling pressure has abated, but we’re not in rally mode. Yet.\nFinally, the elephant in the room is the descending triangle I noted above, and I’ve added some extra bars at the end of the chart to show what the resolution of the triangle might look like. We can see at the current slope of the line that the triangle will likely resolve near the end of July, which just so happens to coincide with the earnings release. This is a bearish pattern so I don’t want to make everything seem like sunshine and lollipops, but the rest of the chart is mixed, so we’ll have to wait and see.\nThe earnings report, in my view, is going to be the catalyst one way or the other for the breakout from the triangle. Which direction it will go is anyone’s guess, but I’d be ready for a wild reaction to the earnings release in July.\nIf we look at a weekly chart, I see a much rosier picture.\nSource: StockCharts\nWe can see that the stock ran up massively in 2020 and took with it the accumulation/distribution line, as well as the momentum indicators, as you’d expect. But since the selling began, we see signs that the stock has simply worked off its overbought conditions, which looks bullish to me.\nThe 50-week moving average has served as support during this consolidation phase, and it currently stands at $575, so I’d watch that level if we see more selling. On the plus side, the accumulation/distribution line looks beautiful and again, is supportive of this selling being a digestion period rather than the end of the bull market for Tesla.\nMomentum would seem to support that as well, as the PPO and 14-week RSI are back at centerline support. What happens after this is critical, obviously, but the weekly chart doesn’t show Tesla as breaking down on a longer-term basis. The negative divergences we saw since 2020 began have given way to momentum resetting, which often happens before a new bull phase begins. With the earnings report looming in July, and the daily and weekly charts showing different pictures (at least to my eye), it’s going to be an interesting next four weeks for sure.\nFundamentals still bullish\nI’d sum up the chart as having a short-term set of challenges for the bulls, but longer-term, I still see Tesla going higher. On a fundamental basis, I think the conclusion is decidedly more bullish. Let’s start with revenue revisions, which have been nothing short of terrific.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nAll years are showing uptrends in revenue revisions, and in particular, the out years. Let us not forget that these positive revisions are occurring during a time when countless startups and internal combustion engine OGs like GM (GM), Ford (F) and Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY) are investing tens of billions of dollars to take market share in EVs. None of this is new and it isn’t like the analyst community is surprised by these investments; Tesla is simply on a tremendous upward trajectory when it comes to growing revenue.\nCanaccordpointed out last week that the Model S Plaid Plus delay was likely due to the 4680 cell design not being ready for prime time. That very well could be the case, and it wouldn’t be the first time Tesla disappointed with a time frame it gave investors. Remember therobo-taxi claim?\nAt any rate, the company’s lineup continues to resonate with customers and now that capacity constraints should lessen greatly over the coming years – new factories in a few parts of the world will help – the path of least resistance for Tesla is no doubt higher. This will only get better as Tesla can decrease the per-unit cost of things like the batteries so it can better compete with mainstream automakers on price, and become a mainstream automaker rather than a niche manufacturer for the well-heeled.\nAnother thing scale is affording Tesla is monumental progress with profit margins. Below we have trailing-twelve-months gross margins, SG&A costs, and EBIT margin as a percentage of revenue.\nSource: TIKR.com\nAll three of these lines are moving in the right direction. Gross margins have been rising thanks to higher sales and production volumes, a trend that should continue so long as sales remain robust. In addition, Tesla is spending much less on an SG&A basis than it used to, which again, is the product of higher sales volume. SG&A used to be in the mid-20% range of revenue, which is unsustainable. Today, it’s only 10%, which means operating margins have gone quite positive, and with room to run in the future.\nMargins have always been an easy thing for the bears to point to, but that is simply no longer the case, and if you have a long holding period, the margin situation is going to work out in the bulls’ favor.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nThis is all pointing to ever-higher EPS estimates, as we can see above. Analysts continue to try and keep up with Tesla’s upward trajectory, and so long as sales volumes and margins continue their march higher, so will these lines. Again, this is a feather in the cap of the bulls.\nOther considerations\nTesla is not for the faint of heart, because it is volatile and we are at a point in the history of the automobile that an EV gold rush of sorts is occurring. Everyone is investing to win once the internal combustion engine is gone, but Tesla has a massive head start on the competition.\nEven so, there are risks to consider. First, Tesla could lose its technology lead over time as legacy manufacturers throw tens of billions of dollars at R&D on battery technology. Tesla is far and away the superior battery maker today, but that does not guarantee it stays that way. To be clear, I don’t see that as a viable outcome in the near-term, but ten years from now? Twenty? It's a risk.\nAnother risk is that Tesla uses its stock as a piggy bank, issuing shares to fund R&D, factory construction, and the like.\nSource: TIKR.com\nThe share count has nearly doubled in the past decade, which is pretty ugly from a shareholders’ perspective, as we usually only see this kind of dilution with REITs or BDCs that issue equity capital as a normal course of business. Manufacturing stocks don’t generally do anything like this, but Tesla has made it work. Still, you have to imagine it is possible that over a decade holding period, you’ll be diluted out of half of your ownership in the company. This also creates an uphill battle for EPS as earnings are spread over more and more shares, so I want to be clear this is an unequivocal negative for shareholders. However, let me now point you to what could possibly be the saving grace for this perma-dilution; free cash flow.\nSource: TIKR.com\nTesla’s trailing-twelve-months FCF has improved immensely in recent years, as the company is producing massive amounts of operating cash flow that it never did before, which is owed once again to sales volume and margin growth. Tesla has surpassed the point where it needs to constantly issue capital just to survive because it is creating its own through its operations. This is massively important for the bull case because it means the dilution we’ve seen in recent yearsshouldn’tbe necessary any longer.\nIndeed, if we look at net debt, we can see just how much Tesla’s balance sheet has improved, which again supports not having to dilute shareholders to stay afloat.\nSource: TIKR.com\nNet debt has turned into a net cash position of late, with Tesla having nearly $5 billion in cash and equivalents more than debt. Tesla’s financing situation has improved enormously, and that’s good for those of us that are bullish.\nIs it cheap?\nNot really. But then again revolutionary companies rarely are. The good news is that the price-to-sales ratio has halved since the peak earlier this year, but at 11x forward revenue, I cannot in good conscience call it cheap.\nSource: TIKR.com\nHowever, it is a lot cheaper than it was, and withrevenueslated to rise by more than half this year, and thendoubleagain by 2024, you don’t need the multiple to rise for a bullish outlook.\nI’ll reiterate that there are risks to Tesla. The daily chart is leaning slightly bearish with that descending triangle, but we’re heading into the pre-earnings run-up that Teslausuallyshines during. The weekly chart is showing signs of digestion rather than rolling over. There are competitive risks that aren’t new and will never go way, but the company is still building great EVs that are resonating with customers. Margins and FCF are booming comparatively speaking, and the stock is at roughly half the valuation it was a few months ago.\nAll in all, Tesla almost certainly has a rocky road in front of it, but I’m still bullish given the weight of the evidence.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":67,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166366905,"gmtCreate":1623992257007,"gmtModify":1631884666337,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Personally avoid China tech stock for now..&nbsp;","listText":"Personally avoid China tech stock for now..&nbsp;","text":"Personally avoid China tech stock for now..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166366905","repostId":"1175693382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175693382","pubTimestamp":1623978463,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175693382?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:07","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175693382","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>\n <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>\n <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>\n <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>The Technical Thesis</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p>\n<p>Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p>\n<p><b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p>\n<p>BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p>\n<p>Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p>\n<p>When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p>\n<p>One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p>\n<p>Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p>\n<p>Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p>\n<p>BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p>\n<p>Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p>\n<p><b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p>\n<p><b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p>\n<p>Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p>\n<p><b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p>\n<p>Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 09:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175693382","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.\nWe discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.\n\nYongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Technical Thesis\nSource: TradingView\nAlibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.\nBABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers\nAnnual GMV. Data source: Company filings\nAnnual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings\nBABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.\nEven though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.\nE-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista\nWhen we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.\nPeers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEven though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.\nOne important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.\nTherefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.\nMarket size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research\nEven though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.\nPDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.\nChina public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys\nSize of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn\nBABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.\nWorldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner\nWorldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner\nTherefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.\nBABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling\nNTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.\nEV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.\nPeers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nBy using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.\nRisks to Assumptions\nNow, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.\nWrapping It All Up\nAlibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":82,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187870781,"gmtCreate":1623750435243,"gmtModify":1631893430346,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"&nbsp;🦍&nbsp;","listText":"&nbsp;🦍&nbsp;","text":"🦍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187870781","repostId":"1181891821","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133033088,"gmtCreate":1621665936844,"gmtModify":1631893430360,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"it will only fall if you panic bitch sell.","listText":"it will only fall if you panic bitch sell.","text":"it will only fall if you panic bitch sell.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/133033088","repostId":"1154735458","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1154735458","pubTimestamp":1620820511,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154735458?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-12 19:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop: Why The 'Blockbuster' Of Gaming Will Eventually Fail","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154735458","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGameStop has been a highly debated stock after a surge of retail interest turned the compan","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>GameStop has been a highly debated stock after a surge of retail interest turned the company into a \"meme stock\" and drove shares into triple figures.</li>\n <li>The company is pivoting to e-commerce and has admittedly cleaned up its balance sheet nicely.</li>\n <li>The long-term problem is that the company faces margin pressures from a number of angles. The current valuation and business challenges present a \"lose/lose\" outcome to investors.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Now considered a \"meme stock\"; gaming retail company GameStop Corp.(NYSE:GME)has seen volatility in its share price over the past year. The stock has bounced between a vast range from low single digits, to more than $480 per share. While much of the excitement has faded away, the stock still trades at more than $140 per share. A business transformation is underway, led by Ryan Cohen, the former CEO and co-founder of animal products e-commerce leader Chewy(NYSE:CHWY). This has many retail investors holding shares in anticipation of a long term rebirth, with GameStop becoming an e-commerce titan of the gaming industry.</p>\n<p>Unfortunately, the data doesn't point to this outcome. While the company has stabilized itself and now operates on a debt free basis, the company's needed capital investments to flesh out an e-commerce strategy in addition to secular tailwinds lead me to believe that GameStop will be unable to sustain long term profitability. In the event of successful execution, the valuation will take many years to be justified. For these reasons, GameStop is a very poor long term investment. We will outline our bearish thesis below.</p>\n<p><b>GameStop Forced To Go To E-Commerce</b></p>\n<p>GameStop has long been known among consumers as a brick and mortar centric video game retailer. When I was growing up (I'm now in my early 30s), I used to camp out in front of GameStop at midnight, waiting with friends for the latest release of our favorite games. While you could get games at nearly any retailer, the ability to trade in old games for store credit, and large product selection found at a gaming focused store such as GameStop was compelling for me as a gamer.</p>\n<p>Today, the way in which gaming is delivered to the consumer is far different. In many cases, games can be purchased (and pre-ordered) digitally. Fast internet speeds mean that games can be downloaded and played within minutes or sometimes a few hours. The rise of Amazon has brought the shopping experience to one's fingertips.</p>\n<p>These secular changes have slowly deteriorated GameStop's store traffic and resulting revenues.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0690d871cc1287d7d877083b48b74d0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\">source: YCharts</p>\n<p>This significant decline in GameStop's business has forced the company to evolve, and begin the journey of shifting towards an e-commerce model. This has been led by an activist investor in Chewy co-founder Ryan Cohen, who got involved with GameStop in September of 2020.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/084ae308b6cc58704e8982e61b213408\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"162\">source: GameStop Corp.</p>\n<p>The company's plan is to strip costs out of the business by closing stores, cutting expenses, and devoting its resources to optimizing its product footprint while fleshing out the logistics needed for an e-commerce centric market strategy. These efforts remain in-motion. The company has closed roughly 1,000 stores through the end of 2020, andrecently leaseda 700K square-foot facility that will serve as a fulfillment center.</p>\n<p>To GameStop's credit, the business has seen signs of improvement. The company is currently debt free.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/575ba6c4954d66961e0a8550dcf561af\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"369\">source: YCharts</p>\n<p>The company has also raised capital with a timely equity raise in early 2021. GameStop raised $551 million on 3.5 million shares, averaging a price per share of $157. Considering the company has repurchased more than a third of its stock since spring 2019 at an average of $5.21/share, this is a phenomenal move on GameStop's part. This newfound capital will be needed as the company's transformation efforts are far from over.</p>\n<p>Multiple Margin Pressures Threaten Profitability</p>\n<p>While successful e-commerce models can be powerful, the formation of the e-commerce model can be costly. Infrastructure needs to be put into place, and the digital marketplace brings competition from all over.</p>\n<p>GameStop's financials are in a much better place at present. However over the long term, its largest challenge in pivoting to e-commerce is making the model profitable over the long term. There are a number of concerns I have about GameStop's ability to do this.</p>\n<p><b>Smaller Scale</b></p>\n<p>E-commerce is a \"cut-throat\" business, where scale is your friend. GameStop is seeking an e-commerce model that will pit it against much larger competitors such as Amazon (AMZN), Walmart (WMT), and Target (TGT). These companies have significantly higher scale than GameStop, including larger revenues (and balance sheets).</p>\n<p>In a retail space where the product is commoditized (gaming hardware/software is the same regardless of where you buy from unless a developer partnership is in place), there is not room for much mark-up and the larger players can take more \"pain\" to take/protect market share.</p>\n<p><b>Product Mix</b></p>\n<p>Another concern I have with GameStop is the company's product mix moving forward. Game distribution continues to move increasingly digital, and is a trend that I don't see reversing. It's simply far too convenient for gamers because they can buy/pre-order a game, and it can be downloaded relatively quickly thanks to faster internet speeds available today.</p>\n<p>This has been reinforced by console makers. The Xbox Series S lacks a disc drive, and the PlayStation 5 also offers a variant that does not include a disc drive.</p>\n<p>GameStop knows that software sales are in secular decline, and has indicated an intention to focus on hardware and accessories including:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Computers</li>\n <li>Monitors</li>\n <li>Game Tables</li>\n <li>Mobile Gaming</li>\n <li>Gaming TVs</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The problem for GameStop, is that these declining software sales carried the highest margins for the company.</p>\n<p>From GameStop's 2020Q4 earnings call:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>\"From a product margin standpoint, overall gross margins were 21.1%, down 610 basis points from our more software-led 27.2% gross margin in the fiscal fourth quarter last year. The decline was driven by an expected increase in mix of lower margin hardware sales, a continued increase in industry-wide freight costs, credit card processing fees driven by our higher penetration of e-commerce sales, and a broader promotional stance.\"</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>So GameStop is pivoting to lower margin, higher cost items - probably because it knows it has to. This isn't to say that GameStop can't pull it off, but the conflict is quite obvious.</p>\n<p><b>GameStop Needs To Repair Its Brand Image</b></p>\n<p>Perhaps the largest question mark I have about GameStop - even more than the economics of its future business model, is the company's branding. GameStop talks about being this gamer-centric, customer driven model that consumers love.</p>\n<p>However, this doesn't seem to be the current state of GameStop's brand. The company has been poked fun at on the internet for its \"low-ball\" offers on gamer trade-ins.</p>\n<p>GameStop also possesses a NPS (net promoter score) of -6according to Comparably. As a gamer myself, I had a \"bad taste\" in my mouth when sourcing my Xbox Series X. GameStop often tied its inventory of next-generation consoles to large expansive bundles that included high margin games and accessories that many consumers didn't want. If GameStop expects to become a modernized \"go-to\" shopping experience for gamers, they have work to do in the brand power department.</p>\n<p><b>The Long Path To Profitability Is Too Large A Risk</b></p>\n<p>GameStop can certainly address these concerns over time. The company's recent equity raise if anything, buys them time to try and execute this transition. This is also asking investors in GameStop to take on risk. While shares of GameStop have pulled back considerably, the stock still trades at $143 per share, multiples of what it did as recently as the beginning of the year.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fcc11261f3b8202eaa6b86d9f99c97b0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"375\">source: YCharts</p>\n<p>The company is not a growth stock, and therefore should be valued on earnings. But GameStop is losing money, and will not turn a profit anytime soon. Analysts see the company steadily getting closer to break even, breaking that barrier in FY2024 (three years from now).</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa4040ac389c6925d97545645ac30c98\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"226\">source: Seeking Alpha</p>\n<p>But if GameStop achieves 2024 estimates of earning $1.35 per share, that means that the stock's current valuation is a whopping 106X 2024 earnings(!). Investing is about risk and reward, and I can't make the case to pay that valuation. Investors have to essentially give up the opportunity cost of investing elsewhere over this time frame, hope that GameStop can execute successfully, and then wait longer for the business to grow into its valuation over a 5+ year time horizon. Frankly, it seems silly.</p>\n<p><b>Wrapping Up</b></p>\n<p>When you put all of this together, GameStop offers a terrible risk/reward to investors. In a worst case scenario, GameStop fails to execute its e-commerce model and goes out of business. In a best case scenario, investors will wait years to justify the current valuation. When the outcome is lose/lose, I would rather not play at all.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop: Why The 'Blockbuster' Of Gaming Will Eventually Fail</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop: Why The 'Blockbuster' Of Gaming Will Eventually Fail\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-12 19:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427260-gamestop-why-blockbuster-gaming-eventually-fail><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nGameStop has been a highly debated stock after a surge of retail interest turned the company into a \"meme stock\" and drove shares into triple figures.\nThe company is pivoting to e-commerce ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427260-gamestop-why-blockbuster-gaming-eventually-fail\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427260-gamestop-why-blockbuster-gaming-eventually-fail","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1154735458","content_text":"Summary\n\nGameStop has been a highly debated stock after a surge of retail interest turned the company into a \"meme stock\" and drove shares into triple figures.\nThe company is pivoting to e-commerce and has admittedly cleaned up its balance sheet nicely.\nThe long-term problem is that the company faces margin pressures from a number of angles. The current valuation and business challenges present a \"lose/lose\" outcome to investors.\n\nNow considered a \"meme stock\"; gaming retail company GameStop Corp.(NYSE:GME)has seen volatility in its share price over the past year. The stock has bounced between a vast range from low single digits, to more than $480 per share. While much of the excitement has faded away, the stock still trades at more than $140 per share. A business transformation is underway, led by Ryan Cohen, the former CEO and co-founder of animal products e-commerce leader Chewy(NYSE:CHWY). This has many retail investors holding shares in anticipation of a long term rebirth, with GameStop becoming an e-commerce titan of the gaming industry.\nUnfortunately, the data doesn't point to this outcome. While the company has stabilized itself and now operates on a debt free basis, the company's needed capital investments to flesh out an e-commerce strategy in addition to secular tailwinds lead me to believe that GameStop will be unable to sustain long term profitability. In the event of successful execution, the valuation will take many years to be justified. For these reasons, GameStop is a very poor long term investment. We will outline our bearish thesis below.\nGameStop Forced To Go To E-Commerce\nGameStop has long been known among consumers as a brick and mortar centric video game retailer. When I was growing up (I'm now in my early 30s), I used to camp out in front of GameStop at midnight, waiting with friends for the latest release of our favorite games. While you could get games at nearly any retailer, the ability to trade in old games for store credit, and large product selection found at a gaming focused store such as GameStop was compelling for me as a gamer.\nToday, the way in which gaming is delivered to the consumer is far different. In many cases, games can be purchased (and pre-ordered) digitally. Fast internet speeds mean that games can be downloaded and played within minutes or sometimes a few hours. The rise of Amazon has brought the shopping experience to one's fingertips.\nThese secular changes have slowly deteriorated GameStop's store traffic and resulting revenues.\nsource: YCharts\nThis significant decline in GameStop's business has forced the company to evolve, and begin the journey of shifting towards an e-commerce model. This has been led by an activist investor in Chewy co-founder Ryan Cohen, who got involved with GameStop in September of 2020.\nsource: GameStop Corp.\nThe company's plan is to strip costs out of the business by closing stores, cutting expenses, and devoting its resources to optimizing its product footprint while fleshing out the logistics needed for an e-commerce centric market strategy. These efforts remain in-motion. The company has closed roughly 1,000 stores through the end of 2020, andrecently leaseda 700K square-foot facility that will serve as a fulfillment center.\nTo GameStop's credit, the business has seen signs of improvement. The company is currently debt free.\nsource: YCharts\nThe company has also raised capital with a timely equity raise in early 2021. GameStop raised $551 million on 3.5 million shares, averaging a price per share of $157. Considering the company has repurchased more than a third of its stock since spring 2019 at an average of $5.21/share, this is a phenomenal move on GameStop's part. This newfound capital will be needed as the company's transformation efforts are far from over.\nMultiple Margin Pressures Threaten Profitability\nWhile successful e-commerce models can be powerful, the formation of the e-commerce model can be costly. Infrastructure needs to be put into place, and the digital marketplace brings competition from all over.\nGameStop's financials are in a much better place at present. However over the long term, its largest challenge in pivoting to e-commerce is making the model profitable over the long term. There are a number of concerns I have about GameStop's ability to do this.\nSmaller Scale\nE-commerce is a \"cut-throat\" business, where scale is your friend. GameStop is seeking an e-commerce model that will pit it against much larger competitors such as Amazon (AMZN), Walmart (WMT), and Target (TGT). These companies have significantly higher scale than GameStop, including larger revenues (and balance sheets).\nIn a retail space where the product is commoditized (gaming hardware/software is the same regardless of where you buy from unless a developer partnership is in place), there is not room for much mark-up and the larger players can take more \"pain\" to take/protect market share.\nProduct Mix\nAnother concern I have with GameStop is the company's product mix moving forward. Game distribution continues to move increasingly digital, and is a trend that I don't see reversing. It's simply far too convenient for gamers because they can buy/pre-order a game, and it can be downloaded relatively quickly thanks to faster internet speeds available today.\nThis has been reinforced by console makers. The Xbox Series S lacks a disc drive, and the PlayStation 5 also offers a variant that does not include a disc drive.\nGameStop knows that software sales are in secular decline, and has indicated an intention to focus on hardware and accessories including:\n\nComputers\nMonitors\nGame Tables\nMobile Gaming\nGaming TVs\n\nThe problem for GameStop, is that these declining software sales carried the highest margins for the company.\nFrom GameStop's 2020Q4 earnings call:\n\n\"From a product margin standpoint, overall gross margins were 21.1%, down 610 basis points from our more software-led 27.2% gross margin in the fiscal fourth quarter last year. The decline was driven by an expected increase in mix of lower margin hardware sales, a continued increase in industry-wide freight costs, credit card processing fees driven by our higher penetration of e-commerce sales, and a broader promotional stance.\"\n\nSo GameStop is pivoting to lower margin, higher cost items - probably because it knows it has to. This isn't to say that GameStop can't pull it off, but the conflict is quite obvious.\nGameStop Needs To Repair Its Brand Image\nPerhaps the largest question mark I have about GameStop - even more than the economics of its future business model, is the company's branding. GameStop talks about being this gamer-centric, customer driven model that consumers love.\nHowever, this doesn't seem to be the current state of GameStop's brand. The company has been poked fun at on the internet for its \"low-ball\" offers on gamer trade-ins.\nGameStop also possesses a NPS (net promoter score) of -6according to Comparably. As a gamer myself, I had a \"bad taste\" in my mouth when sourcing my Xbox Series X. GameStop often tied its inventory of next-generation consoles to large expansive bundles that included high margin games and accessories that many consumers didn't want. If GameStop expects to become a modernized \"go-to\" shopping experience for gamers, they have work to do in the brand power department.\nThe Long Path To Profitability Is Too Large A Risk\nGameStop can certainly address these concerns over time. The company's recent equity raise if anything, buys them time to try and execute this transition. This is also asking investors in GameStop to take on risk. While shares of GameStop have pulled back considerably, the stock still trades at $143 per share, multiples of what it did as recently as the beginning of the year.\nsource: YCharts\nThe company is not a growth stock, and therefore should be valued on earnings. But GameStop is losing money, and will not turn a profit anytime soon. Analysts see the company steadily getting closer to break even, breaking that barrier in FY2024 (three years from now).\nsource: Seeking Alpha\nBut if GameStop achieves 2024 estimates of earning $1.35 per share, that means that the stock's current valuation is a whopping 106X 2024 earnings(!). Investing is about risk and reward, and I can't make the case to pay that valuation. Investors have to essentially give up the opportunity cost of investing elsewhere over this time frame, hope that GameStop can execute successfully, and then wait longer for the business to grow into its valuation over a 5+ year time horizon. Frankly, it seems silly.\nWrapping Up\nWhen you put all of this together, GameStop offers a terrible risk/reward to investors. In a worst case scenario, GameStop fails to execute its e-commerce model and goes out of business. In a best case scenario, investors will wait years to justify the current valuation. When the outcome is lose/lose, I would rather not play at all.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192640562,"gmtCreate":1621208513656,"gmtModify":1631893430374,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Might as well rename to ElonCoins","listText":"Might as well rename to ElonCoins","text":"Might as well rename to ElonCoins","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192640562","repostId":"1134346216","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1134346216","pubTimestamp":1621208272,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1134346216?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-17 07:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin Tumbles After Musk Implies Tesla May Sell Cryptocurrency","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134346216","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Elon Musk continued to whipsaw the price of Bitcoin, briefly sending it to the lowest","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Elon Musk continued to whipsaw the price of Bitcoin, briefly sending it to the lowest since February after implying in a Twitter exchange Sunday that Tesla Inc. may sell or has sold its cryptocurrency holdings.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin slid below $45,000 for the first time in almost three months after the billionaire owner of the electric-car maker seemed to agree with a Twitter post that said Tesla should divest what at one point was a $1.5 billion stake in the largest cryptocurrency. It traded at $45,270 as of 5:51 p.m. in New York, down about $4,000 from where it ended Friday.</p>\n<p>The online commentary was the latest from the mercurial billionaire in a week of public statements that have roiled digital tokens. He lopped nearly $10,000 off the price of Bitcoin in hours last Wednesday after saying Tesla wouldn’t take it for cars. A few days earlier, he hosted “Saturday Night Live” and joked that Dogecoin, a token he had previously promoted, was a “hustle,” denting its price. Days later he tweeted he was working with Doge developers to improve its transaction efficiency.</p>\n<p>Musk’s disclosure in early February that Tesla used $1.5 billion of its nearly $20 billion in corporate cash to buy Bitcoin sent the token’s price to record and lent legitimacy to electronic currencies, which have become more of a mainstream asset in recent years despite some skepticism.</p>\n<p>His latest dustup with Bitcoin started with a tweet from a person using the handle @CryptoWhale, which said, “Bitcoiners are going to slap themselves next quarter when they find out Tesla dumped the rest of their #Bitcoin holdings. With the amount of hate @elonmusk is getting, I wouldn’t blame him...”</p>\n<p>The Tesla chief executive officer responded, “Indeed.”</p>\n<p>The twitter account @CryptoWhale, which calls itself a “crypto analyst” in its bio, also publishes a Medium blog on market and crypto trends.</p>\n<p>Musk has spent hours Sunday hitting back at several different users on Twitter who criticized his change of stance on Bitcoin last week, a move he said was sparked by environmental concerns over the power demands to process Bitcoin transactions. He said at the time that the company wouldn’t be selling any Bitcoin it holds.</p>\n<p>An outspoken supporter of cryptocurrencies with cult-like following on social media, Musk holds immense sway with his market-moving tweets. He has been touting Dogecoin and significantly elevated the profile of the coin, which started as a joke and now ranks the 5th largest by market value.</p>\n<p>Dogecoin is down 9.6% in the last 24 hours, trading at 47 cents late Sunday afternoon, according to data from CoinMarketCap.com.</p>\n<p>Tesla didn’t immediately respond to an email seeking comment on Musk’s tweet on Sunday.</p>\n<p>Musk’s Sunday social-media escapades were the latest chapter in one of the zaniest weeks in a crypto world famous for its wildness. For die hards, the renewed slumps in Bitcoin and other tokens have done nothing to deter crypto enthusiasts who say digital coins could many times their current value if they transform the financial system.</p>\n<p>“We’re looking at the long-term and so these blips, they don’t faze us,” Emilie Choi, president and chief operating officer of crypto exchange Coinbase Global Inc., said last week on Bloomberg TV about the wild swings prevalent in the market. “You’re looking for the long-term opportunity and you kind of buckle up and go for it.”</p>\n<p>Seat belts were needed by anyone watching the crypto world in the past eight days. Aside from Musk’s antics that sent Doge and Bitcoin on wild rides, a host of other developments pushed around prices.</p>\n<p>Tether, the world’s largest stablecoin, disclosed a reserves breakdown that showed a large portion in unspecified commercial paper. Steve Cohen’s Point72 Asset Management announced that it would begin trading cryptocurrencies. And a longstanding critique of the space reared its head again: illicit usage.</p>\n<p>It was reported that the owners of the Colonial Pipeline paid a $5 million ransom in untraceable digital currencies to hackers that attacked its infrastructure, while Bloomberg also reported that Binance Holdings Ltd., the world’s biggest cryptocurrency exchange, was under investigation by the Justice Department and Internal Revenue Service in relation to possible money-laundering and tax offenses.</p>\n<p>But, “for many crypto assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, the long-term story has not changed,” said Simon Peters, an analyst at multi-asset investment platform eToro. “This emerging asset class continues to revolutionize many aspects of financial services, and while nothing goes up in a straight line, the long-term fundamentals for crypto assets remain as solid as ever.”</p>\n<p>Bitcoin was already swinging wildly on the weekend before Musk tweeted. The two days tend to be particularly volatile for cryptocurrencies, which -- unlike most traditional assets -- trade around the clock every day of the week. Bitcoin’s average swing on Saturdays and Sundays so far this year comes in at 4.95%.</p>\n<p>That type of volatility is owing to a few factors: Bitcoin’s held by relatively few people, meaning that price swings can be magnified during low-volume periods. And, the market remains hugely fragmented with dozens of platforms operating under different standards. That means cryptocurrencies lack a centralized market structure akin to that of traditional assets.</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin Tumbles After Musk Implies Tesla May Sell Cryptocurrency</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin Tumbles After Musk Implies Tesla May Sell Cryptocurrency\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-17 07:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/musk-implies-tesla-may-sell-192401769.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Elon Musk continued to whipsaw the price of Bitcoin, briefly sending it to the lowest since February after implying in a Twitter exchange Sunday that Tesla Inc. may sell or has sold its...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/musk-implies-tesla-may-sell-192401769.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/musk-implies-tesla-may-sell-192401769.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134346216","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Elon Musk continued to whipsaw the price of Bitcoin, briefly sending it to the lowest since February after implying in a Twitter exchange Sunday that Tesla Inc. may sell or has sold its cryptocurrency holdings.\nBitcoin slid below $45,000 for the first time in almost three months after the billionaire owner of the electric-car maker seemed to agree with a Twitter post that said Tesla should divest what at one point was a $1.5 billion stake in the largest cryptocurrency. It traded at $45,270 as of 5:51 p.m. in New York, down about $4,000 from where it ended Friday.\nThe online commentary was the latest from the mercurial billionaire in a week of public statements that have roiled digital tokens. He lopped nearly $10,000 off the price of Bitcoin in hours last Wednesday after saying Tesla wouldn’t take it for cars. A few days earlier, he hosted “Saturday Night Live” and joked that Dogecoin, a token he had previously promoted, was a “hustle,” denting its price. Days later he tweeted he was working with Doge developers to improve its transaction efficiency.\nMusk’s disclosure in early February that Tesla used $1.5 billion of its nearly $20 billion in corporate cash to buy Bitcoin sent the token’s price to record and lent legitimacy to electronic currencies, which have become more of a mainstream asset in recent years despite some skepticism.\nHis latest dustup with Bitcoin started with a tweet from a person using the handle @CryptoWhale, which said, “Bitcoiners are going to slap themselves next quarter when they find out Tesla dumped the rest of their #Bitcoin holdings. With the amount of hate @elonmusk is getting, I wouldn’t blame him...”\nThe Tesla chief executive officer responded, “Indeed.”\nThe twitter account @CryptoWhale, which calls itself a “crypto analyst” in its bio, also publishes a Medium blog on market and crypto trends.\nMusk has spent hours Sunday hitting back at several different users on Twitter who criticized his change of stance on Bitcoin last week, a move he said was sparked by environmental concerns over the power demands to process Bitcoin transactions. He said at the time that the company wouldn’t be selling any Bitcoin it holds.\nAn outspoken supporter of cryptocurrencies with cult-like following on social media, Musk holds immense sway with his market-moving tweets. He has been touting Dogecoin and significantly elevated the profile of the coin, which started as a joke and now ranks the 5th largest by market value.\nDogecoin is down 9.6% in the last 24 hours, trading at 47 cents late Sunday afternoon, according to data from CoinMarketCap.com.\nTesla didn’t immediately respond to an email seeking comment on Musk’s tweet on Sunday.\nMusk’s Sunday social-media escapades were the latest chapter in one of the zaniest weeks in a crypto world famous for its wildness. For die hards, the renewed slumps in Bitcoin and other tokens have done nothing to deter crypto enthusiasts who say digital coins could many times their current value if they transform the financial system.\n“We’re looking at the long-term and so these blips, they don’t faze us,” Emilie Choi, president and chief operating officer of crypto exchange Coinbase Global Inc., said last week on Bloomberg TV about the wild swings prevalent in the market. “You’re looking for the long-term opportunity and you kind of buckle up and go for it.”\nSeat belts were needed by anyone watching the crypto world in the past eight days. Aside from Musk’s antics that sent Doge and Bitcoin on wild rides, a host of other developments pushed around prices.\nTether, the world’s largest stablecoin, disclosed a reserves breakdown that showed a large portion in unspecified commercial paper. Steve Cohen’s Point72 Asset Management announced that it would begin trading cryptocurrencies. And a longstanding critique of the space reared its head again: illicit usage.\nIt was reported that the owners of the Colonial Pipeline paid a $5 million ransom in untraceable digital currencies to hackers that attacked its infrastructure, while Bloomberg also reported that Binance Holdings Ltd., the world’s biggest cryptocurrency exchange, was under investigation by the Justice Department and Internal Revenue Service in relation to possible money-laundering and tax offenses.\nBut, “for many crypto assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, the long-term story has not changed,” said Simon Peters, an analyst at multi-asset investment platform eToro. “This emerging asset class continues to revolutionize many aspects of financial services, and while nothing goes up in a straight line, the long-term fundamentals for crypto assets remain as solid as ever.”\nBitcoin was already swinging wildly on the weekend before Musk tweeted. The two days tend to be particularly volatile for cryptocurrencies, which -- unlike most traditional assets -- trade around the clock every day of the week. Bitcoin’s average swing on Saturdays and Sundays so far this year comes in at 4.95%.\nThat type of volatility is owing to a few factors: Bitcoin’s held by relatively few people, meaning that price swings can be magnified during low-volume periods. And, the market remains hugely fragmented with dozens of platforms operating under different standards. That means cryptocurrencies lack a centralized market structure akin to that of traditional assets.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":79,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191251034,"gmtCreate":1620883018328,"gmtModify":1631884854661,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>&nbsp;penny stock next year ☺️&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>&nbsp;penny stock next year ☺️&nbsp;","text":"$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$ penny stock next year ☺️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191251034","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":99,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102601715,"gmtCreate":1620202077637,"gmtModify":1631885488374,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to short it 😂😂","listText":"Time to short it 😂😂","text":"Time to short it 😂😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/102601715","repostId":"2133545119","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":871133300,"gmtCreate":1637034209695,"gmtModify":1637034209816,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Expert want a discounted share 😂","listText":"Expert want a discounted share 😂","text":"Expert want a discounted share 😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871133300","repostId":"1116429379","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1116429379","pubTimestamp":1637033648,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116429379?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-16 11:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sell AAPL? Why This Expert Sees Apple Stock Dipping 12%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116429379","media":"Thestreet","summary":"As Apple stock(AAPL) continues to hover around $150 apiece, one of the few skeptics on Wall Street h","content":"<p>As Apple stock(<b>AAPL</b>)&nbsp;continues to hover around $150 apiece, one of the few skeptics on Wall Street has just published his most updated report. In it, he reinforced the idea that AAPL should be worth only $132, suggesting that shares have 12% of downside risk from here.</p>\n<p>Today, the Apple Maven revisits Bernstein’s Toni Sacconaghi’s mildly bearish case.</p>\n<p>The not-so-bullish case</p>\n<p>Mr. Sacconaghi has been cautious of AAPL since he&nbsp;downgraded&nbsp;the stock to neutral, in February 2018. The timing of his move did not prove to be the best, as Apple shares have climbed a whopping 285% in less than four years against the S&amp;P 500’s 85% gains. However, the analyst has also helped AAPL investors think of the devil’s advocate argument.</p>\n<p>In August, I&nbsp;reviewed Bernstein’s thesis&nbsp;in more detail. For the short term, the bank’s research team was concerned that Apple stock had climbed too fast in the first half of the year, ahead of a set of earnings seasons in which Apple would face tough comps.</p>\n<p>Also, Toni has mentioned valuations as a key risk. While he believes that AAPL should be valued at a higher multiple than the S&amp;P 500, the analyst questions how much is too much. Bernstein’s target P/E of 25 times is one to two turns lower than where the multiple is today.</p>\n<p>Add App Store to the list</p>\n<p>Now, the analyst has&nbsp;added&nbsp;one item to the list of worries: the App Store. Sacconaghi pointed out that a recent court loss will likely mean that payments will be allowed to be made outside the App Store platform in the US, starting as early as next month.</p>\n<p>Bernstein’s expert has done the math. He estimates that nearly one-third of App Store revenues come from the United States. If the App Store accounts for 6% and 15% of total company sales and op profits, respectively, the payment issue could impact 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits per year.</p>\n<p>Apple Maven’s take</p>\n<p>Regarding Toni’s earlier concerns, I believe that the risks have decreased substantially since AAPL peaked, in early September. Since then, investors have had time to fully embrace the more challenging late 2021-to-early 2022 period of tough comps and supply chain constraints.As I mentioned not long ago, valuations have de-risked to more reasonable levels.</p>\n<p>Regarding the App Store, I have slowly&nbsp;shifted from more to less concerned&nbsp;about the financial impact. Morgan Stanley’s Katy Huberty has argued that App Store policy changes could shave a maximum of 1% or 2% of Apple’s EPS, which is not much at all.</p>\n<p>Even Sacconaghi’s estimates of the financial risk only represents the worst-case scenario. In reality, much less than 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits will likely end up being cut as a result of the App Store’s payment changes, as many users will continue to choose Apple as their payment platform of choice.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sell AAPL? Why This Expert Sees Apple Stock Dipping 12%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSell AAPL? Why This Expert Sees Apple Stock Dipping 12%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-16 11:34 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/sell-aapl-why-this-expert-sees-apple-stock-dipping-12><strong>Thestreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>As Apple stock(AAPL) continues to hover around $150 apiece, one of the few skeptics on Wall Street has just published his most updated report. In it, he reinforced the idea that AAPL should be worth ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/sell-aapl-why-this-expert-sees-apple-stock-dipping-12\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/sell-aapl-why-this-expert-sees-apple-stock-dipping-12","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116429379","content_text":"As Apple stock(AAPL) continues to hover around $150 apiece, one of the few skeptics on Wall Street has just published his most updated report. In it, he reinforced the idea that AAPL should be worth only $132, suggesting that shares have 12% of downside risk from here.\nToday, the Apple Maven revisits Bernstein’s Toni Sacconaghi’s mildly bearish case.\nThe not-so-bullish case\nMr. Sacconaghi has been cautious of AAPL since he downgraded the stock to neutral, in February 2018. The timing of his move did not prove to be the best, as Apple shares have climbed a whopping 285% in less than four years against the S&P 500’s 85% gains. However, the analyst has also helped AAPL investors think of the devil’s advocate argument.\nIn August, I reviewed Bernstein’s thesis in more detail. For the short term, the bank’s research team was concerned that Apple stock had climbed too fast in the first half of the year, ahead of a set of earnings seasons in which Apple would face tough comps.\nAlso, Toni has mentioned valuations as a key risk. While he believes that AAPL should be valued at a higher multiple than the S&P 500, the analyst questions how much is too much. Bernstein’s target P/E of 25 times is one to two turns lower than where the multiple is today.\nAdd App Store to the list\nNow, the analyst has added one item to the list of worries: the App Store. Sacconaghi pointed out that a recent court loss will likely mean that payments will be allowed to be made outside the App Store platform in the US, starting as early as next month.\nBernstein’s expert has done the math. He estimates that nearly one-third of App Store revenues come from the United States. If the App Store accounts for 6% and 15% of total company sales and op profits, respectively, the payment issue could impact 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits per year.\nApple Maven’s take\nRegarding Toni’s earlier concerns, I believe that the risks have decreased substantially since AAPL peaked, in early September. Since then, investors have had time to fully embrace the more challenging late 2021-to-early 2022 period of tough comps and supply chain constraints.As I mentioned not long ago, valuations have de-risked to more reasonable levels.\nRegarding the App Store, I have slowly shifted from more to less concerned about the financial impact. Morgan Stanley’s Katy Huberty has argued that App Store policy changes could shave a maximum of 1% or 2% of Apple’s EPS, which is not much at all.\nEven Sacconaghi’s estimates of the financial risk only represents the worst-case scenario. In reality, much less than 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits will likely end up being cut as a result of the App Store’s payment changes, as many users will continue to choose Apple as their payment platform of choice.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":800296008,"gmtCreate":1627303429604,"gmtModify":1631890353623,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😂&nbsp;","listText":"😂&nbsp;","text":"😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800296008","repostId":"1187364175","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":350723222,"gmtCreate":1616291826366,"gmtModify":1634526488580,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"But the dips","listText":"But the dips","text":"But the dips","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350723222","repostId":"1103756496","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103756496","pubTimestamp":1616163949,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103756496?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 22:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock Is Going Down, One Analyst Says. Here’s Why","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103756496","media":"The Street","summary":"Recently, I laid out the arguments supporting Wall Street’s most bullish of theses on Apple stock. Some of the highlights included the doubling of services and wearables revenues in five years, the 5G super cycle, the greenfield Apple Car opportunity, and an acceleration in share repurchases.Now, I look at the flip side of the coin. How would one support the most bearish argument on Apple shares?At least one analyst has compiled a laundry list of items that makes him fear for a 35% drop in the s","content":"<p>Recently, I laid out the arguments supporting Wall Street’s most bullish of theses on Apple stock. Some of the highlights included the doubling of services and wearables revenues in five years, the 5G super cycle, the greenfield Apple Car opportunity, and an acceleration in share repurchases.</p>\n<p>Now, I look at the flip side of the coin. How would one support the most bearish argument on Apple shares? At least one analyst has compiled a laundry list of items that makes him fear for a 35% drop in the stock price from current levels.</p>\n<p><b>Apple might be too hyped</b></p>\n<p>Goldman Sach’s Rod Hall is one of those very rare Apple analysts that maintain a sell rating on the stock. While I have not come across research from him that is more recent thanlate January, most of his bearish points still seem relevant today.</p>\n<p>For starters, Goldman does not seem impressed with the near-term smartphone opportunity. According to the research shop, the iPhone 12 resembles a “redesign cycle” rather thana more meaningful “5G super cycle”. As a result, iPhone replacement rates should be low in 2021.</p>\n<p>Still on the same subject, Goldman projects ASP (average selling price) to come down this year, as buyers shift to cheaper models like the iPhone 12 mini and the iPhone 11. Here,recent data points have been suggesting the opposite: the mini seems to be the biggest loser within the product portfolio, while the Pro and Pro Max have been performing above expectations.</p>\n<p>Also, Mr. Hall does not seethe Apple Car opportunityas a profitable initiative.Accordingto him:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “The auto industry has generally lower gross margins than Apple's own current businesses. Tesla's gross margins are about 20%, compared to Apple's 40%. Operating margins are even lower, typically in the high single digits. Even in optimistic scenarios, the release of a production Apple Car is likely to have only a minor impact on Apple's bottom line.”\n</blockquote>\n<p>Lastly, the analyst believes that the end of the COVID-19 crisis will trigger a discretionary spending shift from tech devices (iPhones, Macs) to away-from-home services (travel and leisure). This could be a negative catalyst for the stock in 2021.</p>\n<p><b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p>\n<p>In my opinion, the market is not the place to cheer for or against a stock. This is what sports arenas are for (after the pandemic is over, of course). So, I think that even the most confident of Apple investors should pay attention to the bearish case on the stock, and think through the arguments critically.</p>\n<p>I think Goldman raises good points about the hype around the 5G super cycle and the Apple Car. Whether either can push Apple’s financial results significantly above current consensus remains to be seen. Meanwhile, the stockseems to have already priced some of the upside.</p>\n<p>I also understand the risk in discretionary spending migrating away from tech hardware, software and services. Just as an example,air travel bookings for the summer seasonhave already started to climb fast. Where will the money to cover these costs come from? A brand-new iPad could be one answer.</p>\n<p>Still, the Apple Maven sees more upside to investing in Apple at current levels than downside risk. In addition to the bullish points on the business fundamentals,the valuation floor and dip-buying opportunityincreases the probability that an investment in Apple today will pay off in the long term.</p>\n<p><b>Twitter speaks</b></p>\n<p>The most bullish analysts say that Apple could head to $225 per share, under the rosiest scenario. The most bearish of them says “not so fast”, and sees 35% downside risk. Who will be proven right?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/416292f8a70685b7612b592d29c72df6\" tg-width=\"589\" tg-height=\"454\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e715d243108042b76de007cc2748aed\" tg-width=\"678\" tg-height=\"520\"></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock Is Going Down, One Analyst Says. Here’s Why</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock Is Going Down, One Analyst Says. Here’s Why\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 22:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-is-going-down-one-analyst-says-heres-why><strong>The Street</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Recently, I laid out the arguments supporting Wall Street’s most bullish of theses on Apple stock. Some of the highlights included the doubling of services and wearables revenues in five years, the 5G...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-is-going-down-one-analyst-says-heres-why\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-is-going-down-one-analyst-says-heres-why","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103756496","content_text":"Recently, I laid out the arguments supporting Wall Street’s most bullish of theses on Apple stock. Some of the highlights included the doubling of services and wearables revenues in five years, the 5G super cycle, the greenfield Apple Car opportunity, and an acceleration in share repurchases.\nNow, I look at the flip side of the coin. How would one support the most bearish argument on Apple shares? At least one analyst has compiled a laundry list of items that makes him fear for a 35% drop in the stock price from current levels.\nApple might be too hyped\nGoldman Sach’s Rod Hall is one of those very rare Apple analysts that maintain a sell rating on the stock. While I have not come across research from him that is more recent thanlate January, most of his bearish points still seem relevant today.\nFor starters, Goldman does not seem impressed with the near-term smartphone opportunity. According to the research shop, the iPhone 12 resembles a “redesign cycle” rather thana more meaningful “5G super cycle”. As a result, iPhone replacement rates should be low in 2021.\nStill on the same subject, Goldman projects ASP (average selling price) to come down this year, as buyers shift to cheaper models like the iPhone 12 mini and the iPhone 11. Here,recent data points have been suggesting the opposite: the mini seems to be the biggest loser within the product portfolio, while the Pro and Pro Max have been performing above expectations.\nAlso, Mr. Hall does not seethe Apple Car opportunityas a profitable initiative.Accordingto him:\n\n “The auto industry has generally lower gross margins than Apple's own current businesses. Tesla's gross margins are about 20%, compared to Apple's 40%. Operating margins are even lower, typically in the high single digits. Even in optimistic scenarios, the release of a production Apple Car is likely to have only a minor impact on Apple's bottom line.”\n\nLastly, the analyst believes that the end of the COVID-19 crisis will trigger a discretionary spending shift from tech devices (iPhones, Macs) to away-from-home services (travel and leisure). This could be a negative catalyst for the stock in 2021.\nThe Apple Maven’s take\nIn my opinion, the market is not the place to cheer for or against a stock. This is what sports arenas are for (after the pandemic is over, of course). So, I think that even the most confident of Apple investors should pay attention to the bearish case on the stock, and think through the arguments critically.\nI think Goldman raises good points about the hype around the 5G super cycle and the Apple Car. Whether either can push Apple’s financial results significantly above current consensus remains to be seen. Meanwhile, the stockseems to have already priced some of the upside.\nI also understand the risk in discretionary spending migrating away from tech hardware, software and services. Just as an example,air travel bookings for the summer seasonhave already started to climb fast. Where will the money to cover these costs come from? A brand-new iPad could be one answer.\nStill, the Apple Maven sees more upside to investing in Apple at current levels than downside risk. In addition to the bullish points on the business fundamentals,the valuation floor and dip-buying opportunityincreases the probability that an investment in Apple today will pay off in the long term.\nTwitter speaks\nThe most bullish analysts say that Apple could head to $225 per share, under the rosiest scenario. The most bearish of them says “not so fast”, and sees 35% downside risk. Who will be proven right?","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":53,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192640562,"gmtCreate":1621208513656,"gmtModify":1631893430374,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Might as well rename to ElonCoins","listText":"Might as well rename to ElonCoins","text":"Might as well rename to ElonCoins","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192640562","repostId":"1134346216","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1134346216","pubTimestamp":1621208272,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1134346216?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-17 07:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin Tumbles After Musk Implies Tesla May Sell Cryptocurrency","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134346216","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Elon Musk continued to whipsaw the price of Bitcoin, briefly sending it to the lowest","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Elon Musk continued to whipsaw the price of Bitcoin, briefly sending it to the lowest since February after implying in a Twitter exchange Sunday that Tesla Inc. may sell or has sold its cryptocurrency holdings.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin slid below $45,000 for the first time in almost three months after the billionaire owner of the electric-car maker seemed to agree with a Twitter post that said Tesla should divest what at one point was a $1.5 billion stake in the largest cryptocurrency. It traded at $45,270 as of 5:51 p.m. in New York, down about $4,000 from where it ended Friday.</p>\n<p>The online commentary was the latest from the mercurial billionaire in a week of public statements that have roiled digital tokens. He lopped nearly $10,000 off the price of Bitcoin in hours last Wednesday after saying Tesla wouldn’t take it for cars. A few days earlier, he hosted “Saturday Night Live” and joked that Dogecoin, a token he had previously promoted, was a “hustle,” denting its price. Days later he tweeted he was working with Doge developers to improve its transaction efficiency.</p>\n<p>Musk’s disclosure in early February that Tesla used $1.5 billion of its nearly $20 billion in corporate cash to buy Bitcoin sent the token’s price to record and lent legitimacy to electronic currencies, which have become more of a mainstream asset in recent years despite some skepticism.</p>\n<p>His latest dustup with Bitcoin started with a tweet from a person using the handle @CryptoWhale, which said, “Bitcoiners are going to slap themselves next quarter when they find out Tesla dumped the rest of their #Bitcoin holdings. With the amount of hate @elonmusk is getting, I wouldn’t blame him...”</p>\n<p>The Tesla chief executive officer responded, “Indeed.”</p>\n<p>The twitter account @CryptoWhale, which calls itself a “crypto analyst” in its bio, also publishes a Medium blog on market and crypto trends.</p>\n<p>Musk has spent hours Sunday hitting back at several different users on Twitter who criticized his change of stance on Bitcoin last week, a move he said was sparked by environmental concerns over the power demands to process Bitcoin transactions. He said at the time that the company wouldn’t be selling any Bitcoin it holds.</p>\n<p>An outspoken supporter of cryptocurrencies with cult-like following on social media, Musk holds immense sway with his market-moving tweets. He has been touting Dogecoin and significantly elevated the profile of the coin, which started as a joke and now ranks the 5th largest by market value.</p>\n<p>Dogecoin is down 9.6% in the last 24 hours, trading at 47 cents late Sunday afternoon, according to data from CoinMarketCap.com.</p>\n<p>Tesla didn’t immediately respond to an email seeking comment on Musk’s tweet on Sunday.</p>\n<p>Musk’s Sunday social-media escapades were the latest chapter in one of the zaniest weeks in a crypto world famous for its wildness. For die hards, the renewed slumps in Bitcoin and other tokens have done nothing to deter crypto enthusiasts who say digital coins could many times their current value if they transform the financial system.</p>\n<p>“We’re looking at the long-term and so these blips, they don’t faze us,” Emilie Choi, president and chief operating officer of crypto exchange Coinbase Global Inc., said last week on Bloomberg TV about the wild swings prevalent in the market. “You’re looking for the long-term opportunity and you kind of buckle up and go for it.”</p>\n<p>Seat belts were needed by anyone watching the crypto world in the past eight days. Aside from Musk’s antics that sent Doge and Bitcoin on wild rides, a host of other developments pushed around prices.</p>\n<p>Tether, the world’s largest stablecoin, disclosed a reserves breakdown that showed a large portion in unspecified commercial paper. Steve Cohen’s Point72 Asset Management announced that it would begin trading cryptocurrencies. And a longstanding critique of the space reared its head again: illicit usage.</p>\n<p>It was reported that the owners of the Colonial Pipeline paid a $5 million ransom in untraceable digital currencies to hackers that attacked its infrastructure, while Bloomberg also reported that Binance Holdings Ltd., the world’s biggest cryptocurrency exchange, was under investigation by the Justice Department and Internal Revenue Service in relation to possible money-laundering and tax offenses.</p>\n<p>But, “for many crypto assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, the long-term story has not changed,” said Simon Peters, an analyst at multi-asset investment platform eToro. “This emerging asset class continues to revolutionize many aspects of financial services, and while nothing goes up in a straight line, the long-term fundamentals for crypto assets remain as solid as ever.”</p>\n<p>Bitcoin was already swinging wildly on the weekend before Musk tweeted. The two days tend to be particularly volatile for cryptocurrencies, which -- unlike most traditional assets -- trade around the clock every day of the week. Bitcoin’s average swing on Saturdays and Sundays so far this year comes in at 4.95%.</p>\n<p>That type of volatility is owing to a few factors: Bitcoin’s held by relatively few people, meaning that price swings can be magnified during low-volume periods. And, the market remains hugely fragmented with dozens of platforms operating under different standards. That means cryptocurrencies lack a centralized market structure akin to that of traditional assets.</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin Tumbles After Musk Implies Tesla May Sell Cryptocurrency</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin Tumbles After Musk Implies Tesla May Sell Cryptocurrency\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-17 07:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/musk-implies-tesla-may-sell-192401769.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Elon Musk continued to whipsaw the price of Bitcoin, briefly sending it to the lowest since February after implying in a Twitter exchange Sunday that Tesla Inc. may sell or has sold its...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/musk-implies-tesla-may-sell-192401769.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/musk-implies-tesla-may-sell-192401769.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134346216","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Elon Musk continued to whipsaw the price of Bitcoin, briefly sending it to the lowest since February after implying in a Twitter exchange Sunday that Tesla Inc. may sell or has sold its cryptocurrency holdings.\nBitcoin slid below $45,000 for the first time in almost three months after the billionaire owner of the electric-car maker seemed to agree with a Twitter post that said Tesla should divest what at one point was a $1.5 billion stake in the largest cryptocurrency. It traded at $45,270 as of 5:51 p.m. in New York, down about $4,000 from where it ended Friday.\nThe online commentary was the latest from the mercurial billionaire in a week of public statements that have roiled digital tokens. He lopped nearly $10,000 off the price of Bitcoin in hours last Wednesday after saying Tesla wouldn’t take it for cars. A few days earlier, he hosted “Saturday Night Live” and joked that Dogecoin, a token he had previously promoted, was a “hustle,” denting its price. Days later he tweeted he was working with Doge developers to improve its transaction efficiency.\nMusk’s disclosure in early February that Tesla used $1.5 billion of its nearly $20 billion in corporate cash to buy Bitcoin sent the token’s price to record and lent legitimacy to electronic currencies, which have become more of a mainstream asset in recent years despite some skepticism.\nHis latest dustup with Bitcoin started with a tweet from a person using the handle @CryptoWhale, which said, “Bitcoiners are going to slap themselves next quarter when they find out Tesla dumped the rest of their #Bitcoin holdings. With the amount of hate @elonmusk is getting, I wouldn’t blame him...”\nThe Tesla chief executive officer responded, “Indeed.”\nThe twitter account @CryptoWhale, which calls itself a “crypto analyst” in its bio, also publishes a Medium blog on market and crypto trends.\nMusk has spent hours Sunday hitting back at several different users on Twitter who criticized his change of stance on Bitcoin last week, a move he said was sparked by environmental concerns over the power demands to process Bitcoin transactions. He said at the time that the company wouldn’t be selling any Bitcoin it holds.\nAn outspoken supporter of cryptocurrencies with cult-like following on social media, Musk holds immense sway with his market-moving tweets. He has been touting Dogecoin and significantly elevated the profile of the coin, which started as a joke and now ranks the 5th largest by market value.\nDogecoin is down 9.6% in the last 24 hours, trading at 47 cents late Sunday afternoon, according to data from CoinMarketCap.com.\nTesla didn’t immediately respond to an email seeking comment on Musk’s tweet on Sunday.\nMusk’s Sunday social-media escapades were the latest chapter in one of the zaniest weeks in a crypto world famous for its wildness. For die hards, the renewed slumps in Bitcoin and other tokens have done nothing to deter crypto enthusiasts who say digital coins could many times their current value if they transform the financial system.\n“We’re looking at the long-term and so these blips, they don’t faze us,” Emilie Choi, president and chief operating officer of crypto exchange Coinbase Global Inc., said last week on Bloomberg TV about the wild swings prevalent in the market. “You’re looking for the long-term opportunity and you kind of buckle up and go for it.”\nSeat belts were needed by anyone watching the crypto world in the past eight days. Aside from Musk’s antics that sent Doge and Bitcoin on wild rides, a host of other developments pushed around prices.\nTether, the world’s largest stablecoin, disclosed a reserves breakdown that showed a large portion in unspecified commercial paper. Steve Cohen’s Point72 Asset Management announced that it would begin trading cryptocurrencies. And a longstanding critique of the space reared its head again: illicit usage.\nIt was reported that the owners of the Colonial Pipeline paid a $5 million ransom in untraceable digital currencies to hackers that attacked its infrastructure, while Bloomberg also reported that Binance Holdings Ltd., the world’s biggest cryptocurrency exchange, was under investigation by the Justice Department and Internal Revenue Service in relation to possible money-laundering and tax offenses.\nBut, “for many crypto assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, the long-term story has not changed,” said Simon Peters, an analyst at multi-asset investment platform eToro. “This emerging asset class continues to revolutionize many aspects of financial services, and while nothing goes up in a straight line, the long-term fundamentals for crypto assets remain as solid as ever.”\nBitcoin was already swinging wildly on the weekend before Musk tweeted. The two days tend to be particularly volatile for cryptocurrencies, which -- unlike most traditional assets -- trade around the clock every day of the week. Bitcoin’s average swing on Saturdays and Sundays so far this year comes in at 4.95%.\nThat type of volatility is owing to a few factors: Bitcoin’s held by relatively few people, meaning that price swings can be magnified during low-volume periods. And, the market remains hugely fragmented with dozens of platforms operating under different standards. That means cryptocurrencies lack a centralized market structure akin to that of traditional assets.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":79,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801422160,"gmtCreate":1627529436850,"gmtModify":1631890353611,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nio! 😁&nbsp;","listText":"Nio! 😁&nbsp;","text":"Nio! 😁","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801422160","repostId":"2155027927","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126070586,"gmtCreate":1624540079945,"gmtModify":1631890353680,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good luck with that 😀👍🏻","listText":"Good luck with that 😀👍🏻","text":"Good luck with that 😀👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126070586","repostId":"1176854050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176854050","pubTimestamp":1624506221,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176854050?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 11:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: A Lesson In Humility","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176854050","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Tesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.With earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.I see Tesla's fundamentals - and valuation - as having improved massively in recent months, and I'm therefore still quite bullish.Finally, the elephant in the room is the descending triangle I noted above, and I’ve added some extra bars at the end of the chart to show what the resolution of the triangle might look like. We can se","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Tesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.</li>\n <li>With earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.</li>\n <li>I see Tesla's fundamentals - and valuation - as having improved massively in recent months, and I'm therefore still quite bullish.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16088600ba424779ab370711976bff68\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AdrianHancu/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Sometimes in investing, our thesis, no matter how much we believe in it, doesn’t work. I’ve experienced that countless times personally, and I think pretty much everyone who tries their hand at growing capital through the financial markets does as well. The important thing is not to fall in love with a stock and let it destroy your portfolio, and in the case of EV mothership<b>Tesla</b>(TSLA), I certainly had my fair share of practice at letting go of a failed thesis recently.</p>\n<p>Back inearly April, I said it was time to buy Tesla based upon its fairly reliable history of running higher into earnings announcements. The stock was at $691 at the time and did move higher in the next couple of weeks, but as we can see from the below, the move didn’t stick. That caused me to rethink my position in the short-term with Tesla, and now that we are four weeks out from the next earnings report, we have a different situation on our hands.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54fd49361e0720105b3d38a4c4c88fa1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"615\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: StockCharts</span></p>\n<p>I’ve annotated several things on the daily chart because the situation is quite interesting for Tesla during this critical period leading up to the next earnings release. The first thing I’ll note is that the accumulation/distribution line remains very strong, having never wavered from its prior levels achieved during the massive rally that took place mostly in 2020. That’s a good sign because the bulls and bears remain roughly equally matched despite a share price that has given the bulls every reason to move on.</p>\n<p>Momentum is more of a mixed picture because the PPO and 14-day RSI are both showing some signs of positive divergence, but also signs that bullish momentum is nowhere near high enough to push the stock into another rally phase. On the divergence side, momentum is gradually moving higher while the share price bounces around, indicating that the worst of the selling is likely done, but that we’re in a digestion period. The 14-day RSI hasn’t yet crested the centerline in earnest, which again means that bullish momentum is fairly weak.</p>\n<p>Overall, I’d say momentum is showing what you might expect at this stage, which is that the selling pressure has abated, but we’re not in rally mode. Yet.</p>\n<p>Finally, the elephant in the room is the descending triangle I noted above, and I’ve added some extra bars at the end of the chart to show what the resolution of the triangle might look like. We can see at the current slope of the line that the triangle will likely resolve near the end of July, which just so happens to coincide with the earnings release. This is a bearish pattern so I don’t want to make everything seem like sunshine and lollipops, but the rest of the chart is mixed, so we’ll have to wait and see.</p>\n<p>The earnings report, in my view, is going to be the catalyst one way or the other for the breakout from the triangle. Which direction it will go is anyone’s guess, but I’d be ready for a wild reaction to the earnings release in July.</p>\n<p>If we look at a weekly chart, I see a much rosier picture.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef4525c330221c7768acc84c336cd8ef\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"615\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: StockCharts</span></p>\n<p>We can see that the stock ran up massively in 2020 and took with it the accumulation/distribution line, as well as the momentum indicators, as you’d expect. But since the selling began, we see signs that the stock has simply worked off its overbought conditions, which looks bullish to me.</p>\n<p>The 50-week moving average has served as support during this consolidation phase, and it currently stands at $575, so I’d watch that level if we see more selling. On the plus side, the accumulation/distribution line looks beautiful and again, is supportive of this selling being a digestion period rather than the end of the bull market for Tesla.</p>\n<p>Momentum would seem to support that as well, as the PPO and 14-week RSI are back at centerline support. What happens after this is critical, obviously, but the weekly chart doesn’t show Tesla as breaking down on a longer-term basis. The negative divergences we saw since 2020 began have given way to momentum resetting, which often happens before a new bull phase begins. With the earnings report looming in July, and the daily and weekly charts showing different pictures (at least to my eye), it’s going to be an interesting next four weeks for sure.</p>\n<p><b>Fundamentals still bullish</b></p>\n<p>I’d sum up the chart as having a short-term set of challenges for the bulls, but longer-term, I still see Tesla going higher. On a fundamental basis, I think the conclusion is decidedly more bullish. Let’s start with revenue revisions, which have been nothing short of terrific.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7297a6360a43284ab70d4caf12d206f3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>All years are showing uptrends in revenue revisions, and in particular, the out years. Let us not forget that these positive revisions are occurring during a time when countless startups and internal combustion engine OGs like GM (GM), Ford (F) and Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY) are investing tens of billions of dollars to take market share in EVs. None of this is new and it isn’t like the analyst community is surprised by these investments; Tesla is simply on a tremendous upward trajectory when it comes to growing revenue.</p>\n<p>Canaccordpointed out last week that the Model S Plaid Plus delay was likely due to the 4680 cell design not being ready for prime time. That very well could be the case, and it wouldn’t be the first time Tesla disappointed with a time frame it gave investors. Remember therobo-taxi claim?</p>\n<p>At any rate, the company’s lineup continues to resonate with customers and now that capacity constraints should lessen greatly over the coming years – new factories in a few parts of the world will help – the path of least resistance for Tesla is no doubt higher. This will only get better as Tesla can decrease the per-unit cost of things like the batteries so it can better compete with mainstream automakers on price, and become a mainstream automaker rather than a niche manufacturer for the well-heeled.</p>\n<p>Another thing scale is affording Tesla is monumental progress with profit margins. Below we have trailing-twelve-months gross margins, SG&amp;A costs, and EBIT margin as a percentage of revenue.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9effb44d7bda8f3bdb535e80dd1ac0f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>All three of these lines are moving in the right direction. Gross margins have been rising thanks to higher sales and production volumes, a trend that should continue so long as sales remain robust. In addition, Tesla is spending much less on an SG&amp;A basis than it used to, which again, is the product of higher sales volume. SG&amp;A used to be in the mid-20% range of revenue, which is unsustainable. Today, it’s only 10%, which means operating margins have gone quite positive, and with room to run in the future.</p>\n<p>Margins have always been an easy thing for the bears to point to, but that is simply no longer the case, and if you have a long holding period, the margin situation is going to work out in the bulls’ favor.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6401d5cd793a93d0ed6d36f911abdb15\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"283\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>This is all pointing to ever-higher EPS estimates, as we can see above. Analysts continue to try and keep up with Tesla’s upward trajectory, and so long as sales volumes and margins continue their march higher, so will these lines. Again, this is a feather in the cap of the bulls.</p>\n<p><b>Other considerations</b></p>\n<p>Tesla is not for the faint of heart, because it is volatile and we are at a point in the history of the automobile that an EV gold rush of sorts is occurring. Everyone is investing to win once the internal combustion engine is gone, but Tesla has a massive head start on the competition.</p>\n<p>Even so, there are risks to consider. First, Tesla could lose its technology lead over time as legacy manufacturers throw tens of billions of dollars at R&amp;D on battery technology. Tesla is far and away the superior battery maker today, but that does not guarantee it stays that way. To be clear, I don’t see that as a viable outcome in the near-term, but ten years from now? Twenty? It's a risk.</p>\n<p>Another risk is that Tesla uses its stock as a piggy bank, issuing shares to fund R&amp;D, factory construction, and the like.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8f44f661051d87ad3f2906cabe5479d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"165\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>The share count has nearly doubled in the past decade, which is pretty ugly from a shareholders’ perspective, as we usually only see this kind of dilution with REITs or BDCs that issue equity capital as a normal course of business. Manufacturing stocks don’t generally do anything like this, but Tesla has made it work. Still, you have to imagine it is possible that over a decade holding period, you’ll be diluted out of half of your ownership in the company. This also creates an uphill battle for EPS as earnings are spread over more and more shares, so I want to be clear this is an unequivocal negative for shareholders. However, let me now point you to what could possibly be the saving grace for this perma-dilution; free cash flow.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0569f35589cc0f82bb006148271df19b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"170\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>Tesla’s trailing-twelve-months FCF has improved immensely in recent years, as the company is producing massive amounts of operating cash flow that it never did before, which is owed once again to sales volume and margin growth. Tesla has surpassed the point where it needs to constantly issue capital just to survive because it is creating its own through its operations. This is massively important for the bull case because it means the dilution we’ve seen in recent years<i>shouldn’t</i>be necessary any longer.</p>\n<p>Indeed, if we look at net debt, we can see just how much Tesla’s balance sheet has improved, which again supports not having to dilute shareholders to stay afloat.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49fa413fc33c85d7269e987b2c11c888\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>Net debt has turned into a net cash position of late, with Tesla having nearly $5 billion in cash and equivalents more than debt. Tesla’s financing situation has improved enormously, and that’s good for those of us that are bullish.</p>\n<p><b>Is it cheap?</b></p>\n<p>Not really. But then again revolutionary companies rarely are. The good news is that the price-to-sales ratio has halved since the peak earlier this year, but at 11x forward revenue, I cannot in good conscience call it cheap.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca2d9f38636872d9d508e096e9ac8af8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"189\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>However, it is a lot cheaper than it was, and withrevenueslated to rise by more than half this year, and then<i>double</i>again by 2024, you don’t need the multiple to rise for a bullish outlook.</p>\n<p>I’ll reiterate that there are risks to Tesla. The daily chart is leaning slightly bearish with that descending triangle, but we’re heading into the pre-earnings run-up that Tesla<i>usually</i>shines during. The weekly chart is showing signs of digestion rather than rolling over. There are competitive risks that aren’t new and will never go way, but the company is still building great EVs that are resonating with customers. Margins and FCF are booming comparatively speaking, and the stock is at roughly half the valuation it was a few months ago.</p>\n<p>All in all, Tesla almost certainly has a rocky road in front of it, but I’m still bullish given the weight of the evidence.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: A Lesson In Humility</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: A Lesson In Humility\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-24 11:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436295-tesla-a-lesson-in-humility><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nTesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.\nWith earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.\nI see Tesla's ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436295-tesla-a-lesson-in-humility\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436295-tesla-a-lesson-in-humility","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1176854050","content_text":"Summary\n\nTesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.\nWith earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.\nI see Tesla's fundamentals - and valuation - as having improved massively in recent months, and I'm therefore still quite bullish.\n\nAdrianHancu/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nSometimes in investing, our thesis, no matter how much we believe in it, doesn’t work. I’ve experienced that countless times personally, and I think pretty much everyone who tries their hand at growing capital through the financial markets does as well. The important thing is not to fall in love with a stock and let it destroy your portfolio, and in the case of EV mothershipTesla(TSLA), I certainly had my fair share of practice at letting go of a failed thesis recently.\nBack inearly April, I said it was time to buy Tesla based upon its fairly reliable history of running higher into earnings announcements. The stock was at $691 at the time and did move higher in the next couple of weeks, but as we can see from the below, the move didn’t stick. That caused me to rethink my position in the short-term with Tesla, and now that we are four weeks out from the next earnings report, we have a different situation on our hands.\nSource: StockCharts\nI’ve annotated several things on the daily chart because the situation is quite interesting for Tesla during this critical period leading up to the next earnings release. The first thing I’ll note is that the accumulation/distribution line remains very strong, having never wavered from its prior levels achieved during the massive rally that took place mostly in 2020. That’s a good sign because the bulls and bears remain roughly equally matched despite a share price that has given the bulls every reason to move on.\nMomentum is more of a mixed picture because the PPO and 14-day RSI are both showing some signs of positive divergence, but also signs that bullish momentum is nowhere near high enough to push the stock into another rally phase. On the divergence side, momentum is gradually moving higher while the share price bounces around, indicating that the worst of the selling is likely done, but that we’re in a digestion period. The 14-day RSI hasn’t yet crested the centerline in earnest, which again means that bullish momentum is fairly weak.\nOverall, I’d say momentum is showing what you might expect at this stage, which is that the selling pressure has abated, but we’re not in rally mode. Yet.\nFinally, the elephant in the room is the descending triangle I noted above, and I’ve added some extra bars at the end of the chart to show what the resolution of the triangle might look like. We can see at the current slope of the line that the triangle will likely resolve near the end of July, which just so happens to coincide with the earnings release. This is a bearish pattern so I don’t want to make everything seem like sunshine and lollipops, but the rest of the chart is mixed, so we’ll have to wait and see.\nThe earnings report, in my view, is going to be the catalyst one way or the other for the breakout from the triangle. Which direction it will go is anyone’s guess, but I’d be ready for a wild reaction to the earnings release in July.\nIf we look at a weekly chart, I see a much rosier picture.\nSource: StockCharts\nWe can see that the stock ran up massively in 2020 and took with it the accumulation/distribution line, as well as the momentum indicators, as you’d expect. But since the selling began, we see signs that the stock has simply worked off its overbought conditions, which looks bullish to me.\nThe 50-week moving average has served as support during this consolidation phase, and it currently stands at $575, so I’d watch that level if we see more selling. On the plus side, the accumulation/distribution line looks beautiful and again, is supportive of this selling being a digestion period rather than the end of the bull market for Tesla.\nMomentum would seem to support that as well, as the PPO and 14-week RSI are back at centerline support. What happens after this is critical, obviously, but the weekly chart doesn’t show Tesla as breaking down on a longer-term basis. The negative divergences we saw since 2020 began have given way to momentum resetting, which often happens before a new bull phase begins. With the earnings report looming in July, and the daily and weekly charts showing different pictures (at least to my eye), it’s going to be an interesting next four weeks for sure.\nFundamentals still bullish\nI’d sum up the chart as having a short-term set of challenges for the bulls, but longer-term, I still see Tesla going higher. On a fundamental basis, I think the conclusion is decidedly more bullish. Let’s start with revenue revisions, which have been nothing short of terrific.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nAll years are showing uptrends in revenue revisions, and in particular, the out years. Let us not forget that these positive revisions are occurring during a time when countless startups and internal combustion engine OGs like GM (GM), Ford (F) and Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY) are investing tens of billions of dollars to take market share in EVs. None of this is new and it isn’t like the analyst community is surprised by these investments; Tesla is simply on a tremendous upward trajectory when it comes to growing revenue.\nCanaccordpointed out last week that the Model S Plaid Plus delay was likely due to the 4680 cell design not being ready for prime time. That very well could be the case, and it wouldn’t be the first time Tesla disappointed with a time frame it gave investors. Remember therobo-taxi claim?\nAt any rate, the company’s lineup continues to resonate with customers and now that capacity constraints should lessen greatly over the coming years – new factories in a few parts of the world will help – the path of least resistance for Tesla is no doubt higher. This will only get better as Tesla can decrease the per-unit cost of things like the batteries so it can better compete with mainstream automakers on price, and become a mainstream automaker rather than a niche manufacturer for the well-heeled.\nAnother thing scale is affording Tesla is monumental progress with profit margins. Below we have trailing-twelve-months gross margins, SG&A costs, and EBIT margin as a percentage of revenue.\nSource: TIKR.com\nAll three of these lines are moving in the right direction. Gross margins have been rising thanks to higher sales and production volumes, a trend that should continue so long as sales remain robust. In addition, Tesla is spending much less on an SG&A basis than it used to, which again, is the product of higher sales volume. SG&A used to be in the mid-20% range of revenue, which is unsustainable. Today, it’s only 10%, which means operating margins have gone quite positive, and with room to run in the future.\nMargins have always been an easy thing for the bears to point to, but that is simply no longer the case, and if you have a long holding period, the margin situation is going to work out in the bulls’ favor.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nThis is all pointing to ever-higher EPS estimates, as we can see above. Analysts continue to try and keep up with Tesla’s upward trajectory, and so long as sales volumes and margins continue their march higher, so will these lines. Again, this is a feather in the cap of the bulls.\nOther considerations\nTesla is not for the faint of heart, because it is volatile and we are at a point in the history of the automobile that an EV gold rush of sorts is occurring. Everyone is investing to win once the internal combustion engine is gone, but Tesla has a massive head start on the competition.\nEven so, there are risks to consider. First, Tesla could lose its technology lead over time as legacy manufacturers throw tens of billions of dollars at R&D on battery technology. Tesla is far and away the superior battery maker today, but that does not guarantee it stays that way. To be clear, I don’t see that as a viable outcome in the near-term, but ten years from now? Twenty? It's a risk.\nAnother risk is that Tesla uses its stock as a piggy bank, issuing shares to fund R&D, factory construction, and the like.\nSource: TIKR.com\nThe share count has nearly doubled in the past decade, which is pretty ugly from a shareholders’ perspective, as we usually only see this kind of dilution with REITs or BDCs that issue equity capital as a normal course of business. Manufacturing stocks don’t generally do anything like this, but Tesla has made it work. Still, you have to imagine it is possible that over a decade holding period, you’ll be diluted out of half of your ownership in the company. This also creates an uphill battle for EPS as earnings are spread over more and more shares, so I want to be clear this is an unequivocal negative for shareholders. However, let me now point you to what could possibly be the saving grace for this perma-dilution; free cash flow.\nSource: TIKR.com\nTesla’s trailing-twelve-months FCF has improved immensely in recent years, as the company is producing massive amounts of operating cash flow that it never did before, which is owed once again to sales volume and margin growth. Tesla has surpassed the point where it needs to constantly issue capital just to survive because it is creating its own through its operations. This is massively important for the bull case because it means the dilution we’ve seen in recent yearsshouldn’tbe necessary any longer.\nIndeed, if we look at net debt, we can see just how much Tesla’s balance sheet has improved, which again supports not having to dilute shareholders to stay afloat.\nSource: TIKR.com\nNet debt has turned into a net cash position of late, with Tesla having nearly $5 billion in cash and equivalents more than debt. Tesla’s financing situation has improved enormously, and that’s good for those of us that are bullish.\nIs it cheap?\nNot really. But then again revolutionary companies rarely are. The good news is that the price-to-sales ratio has halved since the peak earlier this year, but at 11x forward revenue, I cannot in good conscience call it cheap.\nSource: TIKR.com\nHowever, it is a lot cheaper than it was, and withrevenueslated to rise by more than half this year, and thendoubleagain by 2024, you don’t need the multiple to rise for a bullish outlook.\nI’ll reiterate that there are risks to Tesla. The daily chart is leaning slightly bearish with that descending triangle, but we’re heading into the pre-earnings run-up that Teslausuallyshines during. The weekly chart is showing signs of digestion rather than rolling over. There are competitive risks that aren’t new and will never go way, but the company is still building great EVs that are resonating with customers. Margins and FCF are booming comparatively speaking, and the stock is at roughly half the valuation it was a few months ago.\nAll in all, Tesla almost certainly has a rocky road in front of it, but I’m still bullish given the weight of the evidence.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":67,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133033088,"gmtCreate":1621665936844,"gmtModify":1631893430360,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"it will only fall if you panic bitch sell.","listText":"it will only fall if you panic bitch sell.","text":"it will only fall if you panic bitch sell.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/133033088","repostId":"1154735458","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1154735458","pubTimestamp":1620820511,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154735458?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-12 19:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop: Why The 'Blockbuster' Of Gaming Will Eventually Fail","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154735458","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGameStop has been a highly debated stock after a surge of retail interest turned the compan","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>GameStop has been a highly debated stock after a surge of retail interest turned the company into a \"meme stock\" and drove shares into triple figures.</li>\n <li>The company is pivoting to e-commerce and has admittedly cleaned up its balance sheet nicely.</li>\n <li>The long-term problem is that the company faces margin pressures from a number of angles. The current valuation and business challenges present a \"lose/lose\" outcome to investors.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Now considered a \"meme stock\"; gaming retail company GameStop Corp.(NYSE:GME)has seen volatility in its share price over the past year. The stock has bounced between a vast range from low single digits, to more than $480 per share. While much of the excitement has faded away, the stock still trades at more than $140 per share. A business transformation is underway, led by Ryan Cohen, the former CEO and co-founder of animal products e-commerce leader Chewy(NYSE:CHWY). This has many retail investors holding shares in anticipation of a long term rebirth, with GameStop becoming an e-commerce titan of the gaming industry.</p>\n<p>Unfortunately, the data doesn't point to this outcome. While the company has stabilized itself and now operates on a debt free basis, the company's needed capital investments to flesh out an e-commerce strategy in addition to secular tailwinds lead me to believe that GameStop will be unable to sustain long term profitability. In the event of successful execution, the valuation will take many years to be justified. For these reasons, GameStop is a very poor long term investment. We will outline our bearish thesis below.</p>\n<p><b>GameStop Forced To Go To E-Commerce</b></p>\n<p>GameStop has long been known among consumers as a brick and mortar centric video game retailer. When I was growing up (I'm now in my early 30s), I used to camp out in front of GameStop at midnight, waiting with friends for the latest release of our favorite games. While you could get games at nearly any retailer, the ability to trade in old games for store credit, and large product selection found at a gaming focused store such as GameStop was compelling for me as a gamer.</p>\n<p>Today, the way in which gaming is delivered to the consumer is far different. In many cases, games can be purchased (and pre-ordered) digitally. Fast internet speeds mean that games can be downloaded and played within minutes or sometimes a few hours. The rise of Amazon has brought the shopping experience to one's fingertips.</p>\n<p>These secular changes have slowly deteriorated GameStop's store traffic and resulting revenues.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0690d871cc1287d7d877083b48b74d0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\">source: YCharts</p>\n<p>This significant decline in GameStop's business has forced the company to evolve, and begin the journey of shifting towards an e-commerce model. This has been led by an activist investor in Chewy co-founder Ryan Cohen, who got involved with GameStop in September of 2020.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/084ae308b6cc58704e8982e61b213408\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"162\">source: GameStop Corp.</p>\n<p>The company's plan is to strip costs out of the business by closing stores, cutting expenses, and devoting its resources to optimizing its product footprint while fleshing out the logistics needed for an e-commerce centric market strategy. These efforts remain in-motion. The company has closed roughly 1,000 stores through the end of 2020, andrecently leaseda 700K square-foot facility that will serve as a fulfillment center.</p>\n<p>To GameStop's credit, the business has seen signs of improvement. The company is currently debt free.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/575ba6c4954d66961e0a8550dcf561af\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"369\">source: YCharts</p>\n<p>The company has also raised capital with a timely equity raise in early 2021. GameStop raised $551 million on 3.5 million shares, averaging a price per share of $157. Considering the company has repurchased more than a third of its stock since spring 2019 at an average of $5.21/share, this is a phenomenal move on GameStop's part. This newfound capital will be needed as the company's transformation efforts are far from over.</p>\n<p>Multiple Margin Pressures Threaten Profitability</p>\n<p>While successful e-commerce models can be powerful, the formation of the e-commerce model can be costly. Infrastructure needs to be put into place, and the digital marketplace brings competition from all over.</p>\n<p>GameStop's financials are in a much better place at present. However over the long term, its largest challenge in pivoting to e-commerce is making the model profitable over the long term. There are a number of concerns I have about GameStop's ability to do this.</p>\n<p><b>Smaller Scale</b></p>\n<p>E-commerce is a \"cut-throat\" business, where scale is your friend. GameStop is seeking an e-commerce model that will pit it against much larger competitors such as Amazon (AMZN), Walmart (WMT), and Target (TGT). These companies have significantly higher scale than GameStop, including larger revenues (and balance sheets).</p>\n<p>In a retail space where the product is commoditized (gaming hardware/software is the same regardless of where you buy from unless a developer partnership is in place), there is not room for much mark-up and the larger players can take more \"pain\" to take/protect market share.</p>\n<p><b>Product Mix</b></p>\n<p>Another concern I have with GameStop is the company's product mix moving forward. Game distribution continues to move increasingly digital, and is a trend that I don't see reversing. It's simply far too convenient for gamers because they can buy/pre-order a game, and it can be downloaded relatively quickly thanks to faster internet speeds available today.</p>\n<p>This has been reinforced by console makers. The Xbox Series S lacks a disc drive, and the PlayStation 5 also offers a variant that does not include a disc drive.</p>\n<p>GameStop knows that software sales are in secular decline, and has indicated an intention to focus on hardware and accessories including:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Computers</li>\n <li>Monitors</li>\n <li>Game Tables</li>\n <li>Mobile Gaming</li>\n <li>Gaming TVs</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The problem for GameStop, is that these declining software sales carried the highest margins for the company.</p>\n<p>From GameStop's 2020Q4 earnings call:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>\"From a product margin standpoint, overall gross margins were 21.1%, down 610 basis points from our more software-led 27.2% gross margin in the fiscal fourth quarter last year. The decline was driven by an expected increase in mix of lower margin hardware sales, a continued increase in industry-wide freight costs, credit card processing fees driven by our higher penetration of e-commerce sales, and a broader promotional stance.\"</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>So GameStop is pivoting to lower margin, higher cost items - probably because it knows it has to. This isn't to say that GameStop can't pull it off, but the conflict is quite obvious.</p>\n<p><b>GameStop Needs To Repair Its Brand Image</b></p>\n<p>Perhaps the largest question mark I have about GameStop - even more than the economics of its future business model, is the company's branding. GameStop talks about being this gamer-centric, customer driven model that consumers love.</p>\n<p>However, this doesn't seem to be the current state of GameStop's brand. The company has been poked fun at on the internet for its \"low-ball\" offers on gamer trade-ins.</p>\n<p>GameStop also possesses a NPS (net promoter score) of -6according to Comparably. As a gamer myself, I had a \"bad taste\" in my mouth when sourcing my Xbox Series X. GameStop often tied its inventory of next-generation consoles to large expansive bundles that included high margin games and accessories that many consumers didn't want. If GameStop expects to become a modernized \"go-to\" shopping experience for gamers, they have work to do in the brand power department.</p>\n<p><b>The Long Path To Profitability Is Too Large A Risk</b></p>\n<p>GameStop can certainly address these concerns over time. The company's recent equity raise if anything, buys them time to try and execute this transition. This is also asking investors in GameStop to take on risk. While shares of GameStop have pulled back considerably, the stock still trades at $143 per share, multiples of what it did as recently as the beginning of the year.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fcc11261f3b8202eaa6b86d9f99c97b0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"375\">source: YCharts</p>\n<p>The company is not a growth stock, and therefore should be valued on earnings. But GameStop is losing money, and will not turn a profit anytime soon. Analysts see the company steadily getting closer to break even, breaking that barrier in FY2024 (three years from now).</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa4040ac389c6925d97545645ac30c98\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"226\">source: Seeking Alpha</p>\n<p>But if GameStop achieves 2024 estimates of earning $1.35 per share, that means that the stock's current valuation is a whopping 106X 2024 earnings(!). Investing is about risk and reward, and I can't make the case to pay that valuation. Investors have to essentially give up the opportunity cost of investing elsewhere over this time frame, hope that GameStop can execute successfully, and then wait longer for the business to grow into its valuation over a 5+ year time horizon. Frankly, it seems silly.</p>\n<p><b>Wrapping Up</b></p>\n<p>When you put all of this together, GameStop offers a terrible risk/reward to investors. In a worst case scenario, GameStop fails to execute its e-commerce model and goes out of business. In a best case scenario, investors will wait years to justify the current valuation. When the outcome is lose/lose, I would rather not play at all.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop: Why The 'Blockbuster' Of Gaming Will Eventually Fail</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop: Why The 'Blockbuster' Of Gaming Will Eventually Fail\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-12 19:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427260-gamestop-why-blockbuster-gaming-eventually-fail><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nGameStop has been a highly debated stock after a surge of retail interest turned the company into a \"meme stock\" and drove shares into triple figures.\nThe company is pivoting to e-commerce ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427260-gamestop-why-blockbuster-gaming-eventually-fail\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427260-gamestop-why-blockbuster-gaming-eventually-fail","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1154735458","content_text":"Summary\n\nGameStop has been a highly debated stock after a surge of retail interest turned the company into a \"meme stock\" and drove shares into triple figures.\nThe company is pivoting to e-commerce and has admittedly cleaned up its balance sheet nicely.\nThe long-term problem is that the company faces margin pressures from a number of angles. The current valuation and business challenges present a \"lose/lose\" outcome to investors.\n\nNow considered a \"meme stock\"; gaming retail company GameStop Corp.(NYSE:GME)has seen volatility in its share price over the past year. The stock has bounced between a vast range from low single digits, to more than $480 per share. While much of the excitement has faded away, the stock still trades at more than $140 per share. A business transformation is underway, led by Ryan Cohen, the former CEO and co-founder of animal products e-commerce leader Chewy(NYSE:CHWY). This has many retail investors holding shares in anticipation of a long term rebirth, with GameStop becoming an e-commerce titan of the gaming industry.\nUnfortunately, the data doesn't point to this outcome. While the company has stabilized itself and now operates on a debt free basis, the company's needed capital investments to flesh out an e-commerce strategy in addition to secular tailwinds lead me to believe that GameStop will be unable to sustain long term profitability. In the event of successful execution, the valuation will take many years to be justified. For these reasons, GameStop is a very poor long term investment. We will outline our bearish thesis below.\nGameStop Forced To Go To E-Commerce\nGameStop has long been known among consumers as a brick and mortar centric video game retailer. When I was growing up (I'm now in my early 30s), I used to camp out in front of GameStop at midnight, waiting with friends for the latest release of our favorite games. While you could get games at nearly any retailer, the ability to trade in old games for store credit, and large product selection found at a gaming focused store such as GameStop was compelling for me as a gamer.\nToday, the way in which gaming is delivered to the consumer is far different. In many cases, games can be purchased (and pre-ordered) digitally. Fast internet speeds mean that games can be downloaded and played within minutes or sometimes a few hours. The rise of Amazon has brought the shopping experience to one's fingertips.\nThese secular changes have slowly deteriorated GameStop's store traffic and resulting revenues.\nsource: YCharts\nThis significant decline in GameStop's business has forced the company to evolve, and begin the journey of shifting towards an e-commerce model. This has been led by an activist investor in Chewy co-founder Ryan Cohen, who got involved with GameStop in September of 2020.\nsource: GameStop Corp.\nThe company's plan is to strip costs out of the business by closing stores, cutting expenses, and devoting its resources to optimizing its product footprint while fleshing out the logistics needed for an e-commerce centric market strategy. These efforts remain in-motion. The company has closed roughly 1,000 stores through the end of 2020, andrecently leaseda 700K square-foot facility that will serve as a fulfillment center.\nTo GameStop's credit, the business has seen signs of improvement. The company is currently debt free.\nsource: YCharts\nThe company has also raised capital with a timely equity raise in early 2021. GameStop raised $551 million on 3.5 million shares, averaging a price per share of $157. Considering the company has repurchased more than a third of its stock since spring 2019 at an average of $5.21/share, this is a phenomenal move on GameStop's part. This newfound capital will be needed as the company's transformation efforts are far from over.\nMultiple Margin Pressures Threaten Profitability\nWhile successful e-commerce models can be powerful, the formation of the e-commerce model can be costly. Infrastructure needs to be put into place, and the digital marketplace brings competition from all over.\nGameStop's financials are in a much better place at present. However over the long term, its largest challenge in pivoting to e-commerce is making the model profitable over the long term. There are a number of concerns I have about GameStop's ability to do this.\nSmaller Scale\nE-commerce is a \"cut-throat\" business, where scale is your friend. GameStop is seeking an e-commerce model that will pit it against much larger competitors such as Amazon (AMZN), Walmart (WMT), and Target (TGT). These companies have significantly higher scale than GameStop, including larger revenues (and balance sheets).\nIn a retail space where the product is commoditized (gaming hardware/software is the same regardless of where you buy from unless a developer partnership is in place), there is not room for much mark-up and the larger players can take more \"pain\" to take/protect market share.\nProduct Mix\nAnother concern I have with GameStop is the company's product mix moving forward. Game distribution continues to move increasingly digital, and is a trend that I don't see reversing. It's simply far too convenient for gamers because they can buy/pre-order a game, and it can be downloaded relatively quickly thanks to faster internet speeds available today.\nThis has been reinforced by console makers. The Xbox Series S lacks a disc drive, and the PlayStation 5 also offers a variant that does not include a disc drive.\nGameStop knows that software sales are in secular decline, and has indicated an intention to focus on hardware and accessories including:\n\nComputers\nMonitors\nGame Tables\nMobile Gaming\nGaming TVs\n\nThe problem for GameStop, is that these declining software sales carried the highest margins for the company.\nFrom GameStop's 2020Q4 earnings call:\n\n\"From a product margin standpoint, overall gross margins were 21.1%, down 610 basis points from our more software-led 27.2% gross margin in the fiscal fourth quarter last year. The decline was driven by an expected increase in mix of lower margin hardware sales, a continued increase in industry-wide freight costs, credit card processing fees driven by our higher penetration of e-commerce sales, and a broader promotional stance.\"\n\nSo GameStop is pivoting to lower margin, higher cost items - probably because it knows it has to. This isn't to say that GameStop can't pull it off, but the conflict is quite obvious.\nGameStop Needs To Repair Its Brand Image\nPerhaps the largest question mark I have about GameStop - even more than the economics of its future business model, is the company's branding. GameStop talks about being this gamer-centric, customer driven model that consumers love.\nHowever, this doesn't seem to be the current state of GameStop's brand. The company has been poked fun at on the internet for its \"low-ball\" offers on gamer trade-ins.\nGameStop also possesses a NPS (net promoter score) of -6according to Comparably. As a gamer myself, I had a \"bad taste\" in my mouth when sourcing my Xbox Series X. GameStop often tied its inventory of next-generation consoles to large expansive bundles that included high margin games and accessories that many consumers didn't want. If GameStop expects to become a modernized \"go-to\" shopping experience for gamers, they have work to do in the brand power department.\nThe Long Path To Profitability Is Too Large A Risk\nGameStop can certainly address these concerns over time. The company's recent equity raise if anything, buys them time to try and execute this transition. This is also asking investors in GameStop to take on risk. While shares of GameStop have pulled back considerably, the stock still trades at $143 per share, multiples of what it did as recently as the beginning of the year.\nsource: YCharts\nThe company is not a growth stock, and therefore should be valued on earnings. But GameStop is losing money, and will not turn a profit anytime soon. Analysts see the company steadily getting closer to break even, breaking that barrier in FY2024 (three years from now).\nsource: Seeking Alpha\nBut if GameStop achieves 2024 estimates of earning $1.35 per share, that means that the stock's current valuation is a whopping 106X 2024 earnings(!). Investing is about risk and reward, and I can't make the case to pay that valuation. Investors have to essentially give up the opportunity cost of investing elsewhere over this time frame, hope that GameStop can execute successfully, and then wait longer for the business to grow into its valuation over a 5+ year time horizon. Frankly, it seems silly.\nWrapping Up\nWhen you put all of this together, GameStop offers a terrible risk/reward to investors. In a worst case scenario, GameStop fails to execute its e-commerce model and goes out of business. In a best case scenario, investors will wait years to justify the current valuation. When the outcome is lose/lose, I would rather not play at all.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361887283,"gmtCreate":1614220937642,"gmtModify":1634550640856,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stonk! 🦍","listText":"Stonk! 🦍","text":"Stonk! 🦍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361887283","repostId":"1116750750","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116750750","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1614217562,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116750750?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-25 09:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop rallies again; some puzzle over ice cream cone tweet","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116750750","media":"Reuters","summary":"GameStop Corp shares more than doubled in afternoon trading on Wednesday, surprising those who thoug","content":"<p>GameStop Corp shares more than doubled in afternoon trading on Wednesday, surprising those who thought the video game retailer’s stock price would stabilize after a fierce rally and steep dive that upended Wall Street in January.</p>\n<p>The shares soared nearly 104% during the session in which trading was halted several times, then jumped another 85% after hours. The rally began after 2:30 p.m. (1930 GMT).</p>\n<p>Other so-called “stonks” - an intentional misspelling of ‘stocks’ - favored by retail traders on sites such as Reddit’s WallStreetBets, also shot higher. AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc gained 18%, Koss Corp rallied more than 50% and BlackBerry Corp rose nearly 9%. Shares of Canadian cannabis company Tilray Inc gained nearly 13%.</p>\n<p>Analysts could not pinpoint one reason for the sharp move. At least one ruled out a short squeeze like that which fired the “Reddit rally” in January when mom-and-pop investors bought GameStop furiously to punish hedge funds that had bet against the retailer. Some Twitter users pointed to an activist investor’s tweet of an ice cream cone picture. Others cited factors including a reshuffling of top executives and options trading.</p>\n<p>Shortly before 2 p.m., activist investor Ryan Cohen, a major shareholder of GameStop and founder of Chewy.com, tweeted a picture of a McDonald’s ice cream cone with a frog emoji. Some GameStop bulls wondered online whether it was a veiled message that Cohen would fix GameStop’s business, like the fast-food chain fixed its ice cream machines.</p>\n<p>“I don’t know what an ice-cream means,” said Michael Pachter, an analyst covering GameStop at Wedbush Securities. “People are looking for signals.”</p>\n<p>Others pointed to the resignation of GameStop Chief Financial Officer Jim Bell as the company focuses on shifting into technology-driven sales.</p>\n<p>“GameStop announced the resignation of its CFO last night. Some may have taken this as a good sign that RC Ventures is making a difference at the company in terms of trying to accelerate the shift to digital,” said Joseph Feldman, an analyst at Telsey Advisory Group.</p>\n<p>Stephanie Wissink, analyst at Jefferies Research cited her research report noting that the CFO resigned after the company settled with activist investor Ryan Cohen’s RC Ventures. Her note said the chain of stores would likely signal a change in business model by going after “a CFO with a more extensive tech (vs. retail) background.”</p>\n<p>Ihor Dusaniwsky, managing director of predictive analytics at analytics firm S3 Partners, said short covering was “not the predominant reason for this price move.”</p>\n<p>“It’s mostly long buying with short covering sprinkled in to help grease the skids up,” Dusaniwsky said.</p>\n<p>Fewer than 18 million GameStop shares were shorted as of Tuesday, down from over 70 million in early January, according to S3.</p>\n<p>Some said options trading may have amplified the move.</p>\n<p>Henry Schwartz, head of product intelligence at Cboe Global Markets, said the most active options contracts for GameStop were in calls around the $50 and $60 strike prices, expiring Friday. Those contracts began picking up in volume after 11 a.m., Schwartz said, adding that when the stock started jumping after 2:30 p.m., whoever was short those contracts may have had to buy GME stock to hedge their position.</p>\n<p>GameStop devotees on Reddit’s popular WallStreetBets forum expressed surprise.</p>\n<p>“Why is GME going up?” another retail trader asked on WallStreetBets. “Because we like the stock”, another replied, borrowing a line from well-known GameStop backer Keith Gill, known as RoaringKitty.</p>\n<p>Another user posted, “I missed out on GME the first time, I’m not making that mistake again. TO THE MOON”</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop rallies again; some puzzle over ice cream cone tweet</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop rallies again; some puzzle over ice cream cone tweet\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-02-25 09:46</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>GameStop Corp shares more than doubled in afternoon trading on Wednesday, surprising those who thought the video game retailer’s stock price would stabilize after a fierce rally and steep dive that upended Wall Street in January.</p>\n<p>The shares soared nearly 104% during the session in which trading was halted several times, then jumped another 85% after hours. The rally began after 2:30 p.m. (1930 GMT).</p>\n<p>Other so-called “stonks” - an intentional misspelling of ‘stocks’ - favored by retail traders on sites such as Reddit’s WallStreetBets, also shot higher. AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc gained 18%, Koss Corp rallied more than 50% and BlackBerry Corp rose nearly 9%. Shares of Canadian cannabis company Tilray Inc gained nearly 13%.</p>\n<p>Analysts could not pinpoint one reason for the sharp move. At least one ruled out a short squeeze like that which fired the “Reddit rally” in January when mom-and-pop investors bought GameStop furiously to punish hedge funds that had bet against the retailer. Some Twitter users pointed to an activist investor’s tweet of an ice cream cone picture. Others cited factors including a reshuffling of top executives and options trading.</p>\n<p>Shortly before 2 p.m., activist investor Ryan Cohen, a major shareholder of GameStop and founder of Chewy.com, tweeted a picture of a McDonald’s ice cream cone with a frog emoji. Some GameStop bulls wondered online whether it was a veiled message that Cohen would fix GameStop’s business, like the fast-food chain fixed its ice cream machines.</p>\n<p>“I don’t know what an ice-cream means,” said Michael Pachter, an analyst covering GameStop at Wedbush Securities. “People are looking for signals.”</p>\n<p>Others pointed to the resignation of GameStop Chief Financial Officer Jim Bell as the company focuses on shifting into technology-driven sales.</p>\n<p>“GameStop announced the resignation of its CFO last night. Some may have taken this as a good sign that RC Ventures is making a difference at the company in terms of trying to accelerate the shift to digital,” said Joseph Feldman, an analyst at Telsey Advisory Group.</p>\n<p>Stephanie Wissink, analyst at Jefferies Research cited her research report noting that the CFO resigned after the company settled with activist investor Ryan Cohen’s RC Ventures. Her note said the chain of stores would likely signal a change in business model by going after “a CFO with a more extensive tech (vs. retail) background.”</p>\n<p>Ihor Dusaniwsky, managing director of predictive analytics at analytics firm S3 Partners, said short covering was “not the predominant reason for this price move.”</p>\n<p>“It’s mostly long buying with short covering sprinkled in to help grease the skids up,” Dusaniwsky said.</p>\n<p>Fewer than 18 million GameStop shares were shorted as of Tuesday, down from over 70 million in early January, according to S3.</p>\n<p>Some said options trading may have amplified the move.</p>\n<p>Henry Schwartz, head of product intelligence at Cboe Global Markets, said the most active options contracts for GameStop were in calls around the $50 and $60 strike prices, expiring Friday. Those contracts began picking up in volume after 11 a.m., Schwartz said, adding that when the stock started jumping after 2:30 p.m., whoever was short those contracts may have had to buy GME stock to hedge their position.</p>\n<p>GameStop devotees on Reddit’s popular WallStreetBets forum expressed surprise.</p>\n<p>“Why is GME going up?” another retail trader asked on WallStreetBets. “Because we like the stock”, another replied, borrowing a line from well-known GameStop backer Keith Gill, known as RoaringKitty.</p>\n<p>Another user posted, “I missed out on GME the first time, I’m not making that mistake again. TO THE MOON”</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116750750","content_text":"GameStop Corp shares more than doubled in afternoon trading on Wednesday, surprising those who thought the video game retailer’s stock price would stabilize after a fierce rally and steep dive that upended Wall Street in January.\nThe shares soared nearly 104% during the session in which trading was halted several times, then jumped another 85% after hours. The rally began after 2:30 p.m. (1930 GMT).\nOther so-called “stonks” - an intentional misspelling of ‘stocks’ - favored by retail traders on sites such as Reddit’s WallStreetBets, also shot higher. AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc gained 18%, Koss Corp rallied more than 50% and BlackBerry Corp rose nearly 9%. Shares of Canadian cannabis company Tilray Inc gained nearly 13%.\nAnalysts could not pinpoint one reason for the sharp move. At least one ruled out a short squeeze like that which fired the “Reddit rally” in January when mom-and-pop investors bought GameStop furiously to punish hedge funds that had bet against the retailer. Some Twitter users pointed to an activist investor’s tweet of an ice cream cone picture. Others cited factors including a reshuffling of top executives and options trading.\nShortly before 2 p.m., activist investor Ryan Cohen, a major shareholder of GameStop and founder of Chewy.com, tweeted a picture of a McDonald’s ice cream cone with a frog emoji. Some GameStop bulls wondered online whether it was a veiled message that Cohen would fix GameStop’s business, like the fast-food chain fixed its ice cream machines.\n“I don’t know what an ice-cream means,” said Michael Pachter, an analyst covering GameStop at Wedbush Securities. “People are looking for signals.”\nOthers pointed to the resignation of GameStop Chief Financial Officer Jim Bell as the company focuses on shifting into technology-driven sales.\n“GameStop announced the resignation of its CFO last night. Some may have taken this as a good sign that RC Ventures is making a difference at the company in terms of trying to accelerate the shift to digital,” said Joseph Feldman, an analyst at Telsey Advisory Group.\nStephanie Wissink, analyst at Jefferies Research cited her research report noting that the CFO resigned after the company settled with activist investor Ryan Cohen’s RC Ventures. Her note said the chain of stores would likely signal a change in business model by going after “a CFO with a more extensive tech (vs. retail) background.”\nIhor Dusaniwsky, managing director of predictive analytics at analytics firm S3 Partners, said short covering was “not the predominant reason for this price move.”\n“It’s mostly long buying with short covering sprinkled in to help grease the skids up,” Dusaniwsky said.\nFewer than 18 million GameStop shares were shorted as of Tuesday, down from over 70 million in early January, according to S3.\nSome said options trading may have amplified the move.\nHenry Schwartz, head of product intelligence at Cboe Global Markets, said the most active options contracts for GameStop were in calls around the $50 and $60 strike prices, expiring Friday. Those contracts began picking up in volume after 11 a.m., Schwartz said, adding that when the stock started jumping after 2:30 p.m., whoever was short those contracts may have had to buy GME stock to hedge their position.\nGameStop devotees on Reddit’s popular WallStreetBets forum expressed surprise.\n“Why is GME going up?” another retail trader asked on WallStreetBets. “Because we like the stock”, another replied, borrowing a line from well-known GameStop backer Keith Gill, known as RoaringKitty.\nAnother user posted, “I missed out on GME the first time, I’m not making that mistake again. TO THE MOON”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":23,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191251034,"gmtCreate":1620883018328,"gmtModify":1631884854661,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>&nbsp;penny stock next year ☺️&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>&nbsp;penny stock next year ☺️&nbsp;","text":"$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$ penny stock next year ☺️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191251034","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":99,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":842366697,"gmtCreate":1636137732303,"gmtModify":1636137732778,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Waiting for fire sale 😅&nbsp;","listText":"Waiting for fire sale 😅&nbsp;","text":"Waiting for fire sale 😅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842366697","repostId":"1127340608","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1127340608","pubTimestamp":1636124077,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127340608?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-05 22:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Palantir Stock Offers a Bit of Something for Everyone","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127340608","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"PLTR has short-term and long-term opportunities","content":"<p>I first came in contact with&nbsp;<b>Palantir</b>(NYSE:<b><u>PLTR</u></b>) stock earlier this year and immediately knew it was something special. The underlying bullish thesis was clear, so I traded it successfully in the past few months. The easiest opportunities came when it fell in sympathy to other small-cap stocks.</p>\n<p>The problem with it is that it is temporarily part of the&nbsp;<b>Reddit</b>&nbsp;cohort of stocks. That’s a “problem” because Palantir has fundamentals that are near bulletproof.</p>\n<p>The company doesn’t need to be moving with others stocks — meme stocks — that have far more questionable scenarios. PLTR stock does not deserve to rally this fast in both directions.</p>\n<p>I was lucky enough to be long it when it spiked with the&nbsp;<b>GameStop</b>(NYSE:<b><u>GME</u></b>) storm in February. It almost hit $46 per share, then came crashing down too fast. Those who didn’t book profits at the top had a nasty reversal on their hands.</p>\n<p>Since then it has continued to whipsaw violently, but in a tighter range. This opened the door for actively trading it for profit. The plan was simple: Buy the dips and sell the rips.</p>\n<p>Some of the easiest wins have come from selling puts on bad days under $20 per share. These are bullish positions that leave room for error.</p>\n<p><b>PLTR Stock Will Be Up If Markets Are Up</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/342d022bee850ad91028eeea1f7f4f7c\" tg-width=\"1549\" tg-height=\"808\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Charts by TradingView</span></p>\n<p>In the long run, I am confident that if the stock markets are higher, than so is Palantir. It it important to note that shorter term, I am not a perma-bull.</p>\n<p>I have been realistic about the levels where it has resistance. For example I stopped my friends from chasing it in September near $30 per share. Sure enough, it failed and corrected 20% during the September market-wide spat.</p>\n<p>Since then PLTR stock found footing and rallied back 17%. Are you dizzy yet? It gets better because I expect the bulls to eventually go above $30. And when they do that, they go for another 20% from there.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the short-term strategy remains to trade the range until one of the sides fails.</p>\n<p>I anticipate that for the foreseeable future, PLTR stock has support near $22 per share. If that fails, then much stronger buyers would step in below $20 … including me. Looking up, there are at least three levels of resistance (see chart). But once past them, the bulls will likely reach $36 per share.</p>\n<p><b>Buy and Hold Will Work for Patient Investors</b></p>\n<p>The fundamentals suggest that it’s probably easiest to just buy the stock and hold it for the long term. The company already has a revenue rate of $1.4 billion. Management recently secured a contract guaranteeing them a 25% increase.</p>\n<p>In short, there’s absolutely nothing wrong with the fundamentals, and the team seems capable. They are in the right business and at the right time. Artificial intelligence (AI) has become an absolute necessity for all businesses. Up until last year, AI was more of a novelty.</p>\n<p>Since the pandemic, the rate of data collection has expanded tremendously. The people can no longer make use of it efficiently to be effective. We will need the help of machines to act on all the bits of information we collect.</p>\n<p>Palantir delivers a setup that empowers users to make decisions on the fly. Moreover, they have two lines of business, one commercial and the other with the government. We all know how much those folks love to overpay for stuff.</p>\n<p>The future is bright for this company and it will be in the lead pack of the stock market.<b>IBM</b>(NYSE:<b><u>IBM</u></b>) would learn a thing or two on how to implement a strategy. They’ve been trying to do this AI thing for decades.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Palantir Stock Offers a Bit of Something for Everyone</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Palantir Stock Offers a Bit of Something for Everyone\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-05 22:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/11/palantir-pltr-stock-offers-a-bit-of-something-for-everyone/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>I first came in contact with Palantir(NYSE:PLTR) stock earlier this year and immediately knew it was something special. The underlying bullish thesis was clear, so I traded it successfully in the past...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/palantir-pltr-stock-offers-a-bit-of-something-for-everyone/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/palantir-pltr-stock-offers-a-bit-of-something-for-everyone/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127340608","content_text":"I first came in contact with Palantir(NYSE:PLTR) stock earlier this year and immediately knew it was something special. The underlying bullish thesis was clear, so I traded it successfully in the past few months. The easiest opportunities came when it fell in sympathy to other small-cap stocks.\nThe problem with it is that it is temporarily part of the Reddit cohort of stocks. That’s a “problem” because Palantir has fundamentals that are near bulletproof.\nThe company doesn’t need to be moving with others stocks — meme stocks — that have far more questionable scenarios. PLTR stock does not deserve to rally this fast in both directions.\nI was lucky enough to be long it when it spiked with the GameStop(NYSE:GME) storm in February. It almost hit $46 per share, then came crashing down too fast. Those who didn’t book profits at the top had a nasty reversal on their hands.\nSince then it has continued to whipsaw violently, but in a tighter range. This opened the door for actively trading it for profit. The plan was simple: Buy the dips and sell the rips.\nSome of the easiest wins have come from selling puts on bad days under $20 per share. These are bullish positions that leave room for error.\nPLTR Stock Will Be Up If Markets Are Up\nSource: Charts by TradingView\nIn the long run, I am confident that if the stock markets are higher, than so is Palantir. It it important to note that shorter term, I am not a perma-bull.\nI have been realistic about the levels where it has resistance. For example I stopped my friends from chasing it in September near $30 per share. Sure enough, it failed and corrected 20% during the September market-wide spat.\nSince then PLTR stock found footing and rallied back 17%. Are you dizzy yet? It gets better because I expect the bulls to eventually go above $30. And when they do that, they go for another 20% from there.\nMeanwhile, the short-term strategy remains to trade the range until one of the sides fails.\nI anticipate that for the foreseeable future, PLTR stock has support near $22 per share. If that fails, then much stronger buyers would step in below $20 … including me. Looking up, there are at least three levels of resistance (see chart). But once past them, the bulls will likely reach $36 per share.\nBuy and Hold Will Work for Patient Investors\nThe fundamentals suggest that it’s probably easiest to just buy the stock and hold it for the long term. The company already has a revenue rate of $1.4 billion. Management recently secured a contract guaranteeing them a 25% increase.\nIn short, there’s absolutely nothing wrong with the fundamentals, and the team seems capable. They are in the right business and at the right time. Artificial intelligence (AI) has become an absolute necessity for all businesses. Up until last year, AI was more of a novelty.\nSince the pandemic, the rate of data collection has expanded tremendously. The people can no longer make use of it efficiently to be effective. We will need the help of machines to act on all the bits of information we collect.\nPalantir delivers a setup that empowers users to make decisions on the fly. Moreover, they have two lines of business, one commercial and the other with the government. We all know how much those folks love to overpay for stuff.\nThe future is bright for this company and it will be in the lead pack of the stock market.IBM(NYSE:IBM) would learn a thing or two on how to implement a strategy. They’ve been trying to do this AI thing for decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":795,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":149405710,"gmtCreate":1625740418730,"gmtModify":1631890353645,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😂&nbsp;","listText":"😂&nbsp;","text":"😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149405710","repostId":"1141778926","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141778926","pubTimestamp":1625737388,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1141778926?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-08 17:43","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Global Food Costs Finally Drop After Surge to Decade High","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141778926","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Global food prices fell for the first time in a year, potentially offering some relie","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Global food prices fell for the first time in a year, potentially offering some relief for consumers and easing inflationary pressures.</p>\n<p>A United Nations gauge of food costs dropped 2.5% in June, easing from a nine-year high and marking the first decline since May 2020. Prices of vegetable oils and cereals declined during the month, offsetting gains in meat and sugar.</p>\n<p>Costs of grains to meat to vegetable oils -- ingredients that feed through to countless grocery items -- rallied this year on big Chinese imports, the reopening of economies and weather risks to crops. Last month’s decline could reduce inflation risks, both for central banks facing pressure to tighten stimulus measures as well as poorer nations that are highly dependent on imports to feed their populations.</p>\n<p>Still, the index tracks costs on a raw-material level and it takes time for price changes to feed through to store shelves. Shipping costs have also soared, complicating trade of products like sugar, and the UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization last month predicted the global food import bill to hit an all-time high in 2021.</p>\n<p>“I don’t think that we’ll see the impact of this mild decline being felt by consumers given all the other factors that we know are still there,” Abdolreza Abbassian, a senior economist at the FAO, said by phone.</p>\n<p>There may be more relief in store for consumers in the medium to long term. A recent outlook from the UN and Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development forecast slowing demand and rising output to temper food prices in the coming years. And on Thursday, the UN said it expects global grain stockpiles to rise 2.4% in 2021-22, the first increase in four seasons.</p>\n<p>Still Expensive</p>\n<p>World food prices still remain historically high, up about 34% from the same time last year. Crop prices are hinging on the weather in the months ahead to determine whether harvests in Europe and North America will be large enough to replenish strained stockpiles. Much will also depend on China’s imports in the months ahead, Abbassian said, citing a rising outlook for the country’s corn stockpiles.</p>\n<p>Income losses during the pandemic are also exacerbating food insecurity, adding to the challenges from high prices, the World Food Programme said in a separate statement Thursday.</p>\n<p>“We already have conflict, climate and Covid-19 working together to push more people into hunger and misery,” WFP Chief Economist Arif Husain said. “Now, food prices have joined the deadly trio.”</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Global Food Costs Finally Drop After Surge to Decade High</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGlobal Food Costs Finally Drop After Surge to Decade High\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-08 17:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/global-food-costs-end-long-080000786.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Global food prices fell for the first time in a year, potentially offering some relief for consumers and easing inflationary pressures.\nA United Nations gauge of food costs dropped 2.5%...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/global-food-costs-end-long-080000786.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/global-food-costs-end-long-080000786.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141778926","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Global food prices fell for the first time in a year, potentially offering some relief for consumers and easing inflationary pressures.\nA United Nations gauge of food costs dropped 2.5% in June, easing from a nine-year high and marking the first decline since May 2020. Prices of vegetable oils and cereals declined during the month, offsetting gains in meat and sugar.\nCosts of grains to meat to vegetable oils -- ingredients that feed through to countless grocery items -- rallied this year on big Chinese imports, the reopening of economies and weather risks to crops. Last month’s decline could reduce inflation risks, both for central banks facing pressure to tighten stimulus measures as well as poorer nations that are highly dependent on imports to feed their populations.\nStill, the index tracks costs on a raw-material level and it takes time for price changes to feed through to store shelves. Shipping costs have also soared, complicating trade of products like sugar, and the UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization last month predicted the global food import bill to hit an all-time high in 2021.\n“I don’t think that we’ll see the impact of this mild decline being felt by consumers given all the other factors that we know are still there,” Abdolreza Abbassian, a senior economist at the FAO, said by phone.\nThere may be more relief in store for consumers in the medium to long term. A recent outlook from the UN and Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development forecast slowing demand and rising output to temper food prices in the coming years. And on Thursday, the UN said it expects global grain stockpiles to rise 2.4% in 2021-22, the first increase in four seasons.\nStill Expensive\nWorld food prices still remain historically high, up about 34% from the same time last year. Crop prices are hinging on the weather in the months ahead to determine whether harvests in Europe and North America will be large enough to replenish strained stockpiles. Much will also depend on China’s imports in the months ahead, Abbassian said, citing a rising outlook for the country’s corn stockpiles.\nIncome losses during the pandemic are also exacerbating food insecurity, adding to the challenges from high prices, the World Food Programme said in a separate statement Thursday.\n“We already have conflict, climate and Covid-19 working together to push more people into hunger and misery,” WFP Chief Economist Arif Husain said. “Now, food prices have joined the deadly trio.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":45,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":364157898,"gmtCreate":1614826577814,"gmtModify":1703481641136,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🚀&nbsp;","listText":"🚀&nbsp;","text":"🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/364157898","repostId":"1107788140","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":48,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142198533,"gmtCreate":1626135416622,"gmtModify":1631890353634,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What's next? Viagra to treat cancer? 😂","listText":"What's next? Viagra to treat cancer? 😂","text":"What's next? Viagra to treat cancer? 😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142198533","repostId":"2145097055","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":273,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166366905,"gmtCreate":1623992257007,"gmtModify":1631884666337,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Personally avoid China tech stock for now..&nbsp;","listText":"Personally avoid China tech stock for now..&nbsp;","text":"Personally avoid China tech stock for now..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166366905","repostId":"1175693382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175693382","pubTimestamp":1623978463,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175693382?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:07","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175693382","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>\n <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>\n <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>\n <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>The Technical Thesis</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p>\n<p>Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p>\n<p><b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p>\n<p>BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p>\n<p>Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p>\n<p>When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p>\n<p>One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p>\n<p>Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p>\n<p>Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p>\n<p>BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p>\n<p>Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p>\n<p><b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p>\n<p>By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p>\n<p><b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p>\n<p>Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p>\n<p><b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p>\n<p>Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 09:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175693382","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.\nWe discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.\n\nYongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Technical Thesis\nSource: TradingView\nAlibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.\nBABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers\nAnnual GMV. Data source: Company filings\nAnnual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings\nBABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.\nEven though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.\nE-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista\nWhen we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.\nPeers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEven though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.\nOne important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.\nTherefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.\nMarket size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research\nEven though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.\nPDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.\nChina public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys\nSize of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn\nBABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.\nWorldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner\nWorldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner\nTherefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.\nBABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling\nNTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.\nEV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.\nPeers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nBy using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.\nRisks to Assumptions\nNow, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.\nWrapping It All Up\nAlibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":82,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102601715,"gmtCreate":1620202077637,"gmtModify":1631885488374,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to short it 😂😂","listText":"Time to short it 😂😂","text":"Time to short it 😂😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/102601715","repostId":"2133545119","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108927239,"gmtCreate":1619995758021,"gmtModify":1631893430388,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😂&nbsp;","listText":"😂&nbsp;","text":"😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/108927239","repostId":"101557641","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":101557641,"gmtCreate":1619925372883,"gmtModify":1634209069935,"author":{"id":"3570742778586711","authorId":"3570742778586711","name":"firefirefire","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c04f323294e537812b906a523831e3c8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570742778586711","idStr":"3570742778586711"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tiger is still sleeping","listText":"Tiger is still sleeping","text":"Tiger is still sleeping","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5acd19f89c50a04eab47a6cfa9860a69","width":"1080","height":"2007"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101557641","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":50,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100347734,"gmtCreate":1619584745528,"gmtModify":1631893430398,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Take your profits.&nbsp;","listText":"Take your profits.&nbsp;","text":"Take your profits.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100347734","repostId":"1150452605","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1150452605","pubTimestamp":1619148984,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150452605?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-23 11:36","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"SIA’s Share Price is Up 50% in the Last 8 Months: Should You Sell?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150452605","media":"Yahoo","summary":"It’s been almost a year since Singapore Airline Limited (SGX: C6L), or SIA, announced its massive ri","content":"<p>It’s been almost a year since Singapore Airline Limited (SGX: C6L), or SIA, announced its massive rights issue to strengthen its balance sheet.</p>\n<p>Back then, the airline announced a cut of 96% to its capacity as the global pandemic brought air travel to its knees.</p>\n<p>The sentiment is quite different today.</p>\n<p>The rapid deployment of several promising vaccines has ignited optimism.</p>\n<p>The aviation industry started to see some light at the end of the long, dark tunnel.</p>\n<p>A wave of optimism has swept over the sector as hopes for the restart of air travel have increased.</p>\n<p>SIA’s share price has surged by 50% since hitting a low of S$3.31 in early August last year.</p>\n<p>The rapid recovery has left investors with a conundrum.</p>\n<p>Or could it be time to sell the shares?</p>\n<p>Or is there the hope of more gains in the future as the flagship carrier’s business improves?</p>\n<p><b>A global resurgence in infections</b></p>\n<p>Just as it seemed we had the virus tamed with the dissemination of the vaccines, the disease has, sadly, come roaring back with a vengeance.</p>\n<p>Asia has been particularly hard-hit as India is now reporting record numbers of infections, with 295,000 infected in just 24 hours and the country’s death toll hitting 182,000.</p>\n<p>The situation is also worsening in Thailand where 4,500 cases were reported this month alone due to partying, nightclubs and concerts.</p>\n<p>Over in Brazil, cases have remained stubbornly high after receding from a record, but the country still has a few more months before it sees a flattening of the infection curve.</p>\n<p>To make matters worse, several COVID-19 variants have surfaced that are reportedly spreading faster and may be resistant to certain vaccines, adding to the strain that countries are facing in tackling the pandemic.</p>\n<p>All these factors point to the continued closure of borders until such a time when the pandemic is successfully brought under control.</p>\n<p><b>A bubble of hope</b></p>\n<p>Singapore, however, is hard at work finalizing details of travel bubbles in the hopes of kickstarting some level of air travel.</p>\n<p>The aborted travel bubble between Singapore and Hong Kong last November is now being revived, with both countries in “active discussions” over when it should start, according to Transport Minister Ong Ye Kung.</p>\n<p>Even though a mutated strain has emerged, it should not derail plans for the bubble, which is poised to begin in mid-May.</p>\n<p>The successful travel bubble launched between Australia and New Zealand has provided hope that countries that are less affected by the pandemic or have combated it successfully can allow some semblance of air travel to resume.</p>\n<p>Australia is reportedly eyeing Singapore to establish its next quarantine-free travel bubble.</p>\n<p>SIA could see utilisation creep up as these travel bubbles take shape, providing some measure of relief for the airline.</p>\n<p><b>Continued cash burn</b></p>\n<p>The S$8.8 billion that SIA raised a year ago may soon run out.</p>\n<p>The carrier has seen success in raising funds through a variety of methods such as selling bonds and securing aircraft financing.</p>\n<p>It has also managed to defer capital spending of around S$4 billion.</p>\n<p>However, these measures may not be sufficient for the airline to tide through the next 12 months as it is still burning significant amounts of cash.</p>\n<p>With borders set to stay shut for the foreseeable future, SIA needs to tap into different sources of funding for the business to remain viable.</p>\n<p><b>A plethora of fund-raising options</b></p>\n<p>Fortunately, the airline is flush with options for raising money.</p>\n<p>Aside from its bond issuance, it still has another S$6.2 million that can be raised via the issuance of its deeply unpopular Mandatory Convertible Bonds (MCB).</p>\n<p>As its share price has appreciated significantly since its rights issue, the group can presumably tap on equity markets to raise more funds while avoiding the dilution witnessed last year.</p>\n<p>Yet another viable option is the issuance of perpetual securities as this item is accounted for as equity on the balance sheet, thus ensuring that debt covenants are not breached.</p>\n<p>For instance, Singtel (SGX: Z74) had recently priced its perpetual offering at 3.3% per annum as it raised S$1 billion. The issue was twice over-subscribed.</p>\n<p>SIA could see a similarly enthusiastic response if it embarks on a similar fund-raising exercise.</p>\n<p>Being able to raise cash cheaply is crucial as the airline attempts to cut back on its expenses in what may be a long winter.</p>\n<p><b>Get Smart: The situation remains highly uncertain</b></p>\n<p>The pandemic situation remains highly fluid and uncertain.</p>\n<p>Any recovery is certain to be uneven as some countries declare victory on the virus while others are still struggling to cope.</p>\n<p>Investors will agree that air travel is unlikely to restart in a big way anytime soon, though.</p>\n<p>The prospect of digital vaccine passports could help more travel bubbles to be formed in Southeast Asia, though finalising the details takes time and considerable effort.</p>\n<p>With SIA’s share pricing in some optimism, perhaps investors can consider taking some profit off the table.</p>","source":"lsy1584348713084","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SIA’s Share Price is Up 50% in the Last 8 Months: Should You Sell?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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*/\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSIA’s Share Price is Up 50% in the Last 8 Months: Should You Sell?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-23 11:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://sg.news.yahoo.com/sia-share-price-50-last-233037520.html><strong>Yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It’s been almost a year since Singapore Airline Limited (SGX: C6L), or SIA, announced its massive rights issue to strengthen its balance sheet.\nBack then, the airline announced a cut of 96% to its ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://sg.news.yahoo.com/sia-share-price-50-last-233037520.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"C6L.SI":"新加坡航空公司"},"source_url":"https://sg.news.yahoo.com/sia-share-price-50-last-233037520.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150452605","content_text":"It’s been almost a year since Singapore Airline Limited (SGX: C6L), or SIA, announced its massive rights issue to strengthen its balance sheet.\nBack then, the airline announced a cut of 96% to its capacity as the global pandemic brought air travel to its knees.\nThe sentiment is quite different today.\nThe rapid deployment of several promising vaccines has ignited optimism.\nThe aviation industry started to see some light at the end of the long, dark tunnel.\nA wave of optimism has swept over the sector as hopes for the restart of air travel have increased.\nSIA’s share price has surged by 50% since hitting a low of S$3.31 in early August last year.\nThe rapid recovery has left investors with a conundrum.\nOr could it be time to sell the shares?\nOr is there the hope of more gains in the future as the flagship carrier’s business improves?\nA global resurgence in infections\nJust as it seemed we had the virus tamed with the dissemination of the vaccines, the disease has, sadly, come roaring back with a vengeance.\nAsia has been particularly hard-hit as India is now reporting record numbers of infections, with 295,000 infected in just 24 hours and the country’s death toll hitting 182,000.\nThe situation is also worsening in Thailand where 4,500 cases were reported this month alone due to partying, nightclubs and concerts.\nOver in Brazil, cases have remained stubbornly high after receding from a record, but the country still has a few more months before it sees a flattening of the infection curve.\nTo make matters worse, several COVID-19 variants have surfaced that are reportedly spreading faster and may be resistant to certain vaccines, adding to the strain that countries are facing in tackling the pandemic.\nAll these factors point to the continued closure of borders until such a time when the pandemic is successfully brought under control.\nA bubble of hope\nSingapore, however, is hard at work finalizing details of travel bubbles in the hopes of kickstarting some level of air travel.\nThe aborted travel bubble between Singapore and Hong Kong last November is now being revived, with both countries in “active discussions” over when it should start, according to Transport Minister Ong Ye Kung.\nEven though a mutated strain has emerged, it should not derail plans for the bubble, which is poised to begin in mid-May.\nThe successful travel bubble launched between Australia and New Zealand has provided hope that countries that are less affected by the pandemic or have combated it successfully can allow some semblance of air travel to resume.\nAustralia is reportedly eyeing Singapore to establish its next quarantine-free travel bubble.\nSIA could see utilisation creep up as these travel bubbles take shape, providing some measure of relief for the airline.\nContinued cash burn\nThe S$8.8 billion that SIA raised a year ago may soon run out.\nThe carrier has seen success in raising funds through a variety of methods such as selling bonds and securing aircraft financing.\nIt has also managed to defer capital spending of around S$4 billion.\nHowever, these measures may not be sufficient for the airline to tide through the next 12 months as it is still burning significant amounts of cash.\nWith borders set to stay shut for the foreseeable future, SIA needs to tap into different sources of funding for the business to remain viable.\nA plethora of fund-raising options\nFortunately, the airline is flush with options for raising money.\nAside from its bond issuance, it still has another S$6.2 million that can be raised via the issuance of its deeply unpopular Mandatory Convertible Bonds (MCB).\nAs its share price has appreciated significantly since its rights issue, the group can presumably tap on equity markets to raise more funds while avoiding the dilution witnessed last year.\nYet another viable option is the issuance of perpetual securities as this item is accounted for as equity on the balance sheet, thus ensuring that debt covenants are not breached.\nFor instance, Singtel (SGX: Z74) had recently priced its perpetual offering at 3.3% per annum as it raised S$1 billion. The issue was twice over-subscribed.\nSIA could see a similarly enthusiastic response if it embarks on a similar fund-raising exercise.\nBeing able to raise cash cheaply is crucial as the airline attempts to cut back on its expenses in what may be a long winter.\nGet Smart: The situation remains highly uncertain\nThe pandemic situation remains highly fluid and uncertain.\nAny recovery is certain to be uneven as some countries declare victory on the virus while others are still struggling to cope.\nInvestors will agree that air travel is unlikely to restart in a big way anytime soon, though.\nThe prospect of digital vaccine passports could help more travel bubbles to be formed in Southeast Asia, though finalising the details takes time and considerable effort.\nWith SIA’s share pricing in some optimism, perhaps investors can consider taking some profit off the table.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":32,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":379306423,"gmtCreate":1618667125262,"gmtModify":1631893430447,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👌🏻 $PLTR","listText":"👌🏻 $PLTR","text":"👌🏻 $PLTR","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379306423","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":22,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":358467416,"gmtCreate":1616723631235,"gmtModify":1634524357041,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🦍😊","listText":"🦍😊","text":"🦍😊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358467416","repostId":"1153623009","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1153623009","pubTimestamp":1616720673,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1153623009?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-26 09:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A Look At GameStop Stock Technicals As It Makes A Comeback","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153623009","media":"benzinga","summary":"GameStop Corp. stock, which has been at the center of a volatile, Reddit- and Robinhood-driven ride ","content":"<p><b>GameStop Corp.</b> stock, which has been at the center of a volatile, Reddit- and Robinhood-driven ride this year,&nbsp;rallied Thursday.</p>\n<p>The stock was up 48.37% at $178.79 ahead of the close. Here are some technical levels in GameStop shares for traders to watch.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f46adc1a27f8030a8f053d9b40f01552\" tg-width=\"1324\" tg-height=\"730\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>GameStop Short-Term Chart Analysis:</b>The 5-minute chart above shows three potential key levels to watch in GameStop shares.</p>\n<p>The stock is trading in a channel between $150 and $200. The $200 level is an area that held as support before turning into resistance after falling below $200.</p>\n<p>The stock showed some support near the $150 level Thursday. This area has shown support in the past and may hold again in the future.</p>\n<p>If the $150 level were to be unable to hold, the stock may not find support again until near the $120 level. This was an area where the stock was able to find support premarket Thursday.</p>\n<p>GameStop is trading above both the 200-day moving average (blue) as well as the volume-weighted average price (pink), indicating possible short-term bullish sentiment in the stock.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05b148112a81ea732082fa6ec7321da4\" tg-width=\"1318\" tg-height=\"731\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>GameStop Daily Chart Analysis:</b>The daily chart above shows GameStop found support near the $125 level after it broke above this price level, which was previously holding as resistance. This is an area where the stock may be able to see a bounce again in the future.</p>\n<p>The stock has shown previous resistance near the $300 level, as the price was unable to break above this level and hold. This indicates the level may hold as resistance in the future.</p>\n<p>Bulls would like to see GameStop rise up to resistance before breaking above and consolidating. Retesting the resistance level as support may hint that the stock will see&nbsp;a rise in price.</p>\n<p>Bears would like to see the support levels break. If the price is able to break below these levels and consolidate, the price may be able to move down.</p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A Look At GameStop Stock Technicals As It Makes A Comeback</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA Look At GameStop Stock Technicals As It Makes A Comeback\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-26 09:04 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/long-ideas/21/03/20345876/a-look-at-gamestop-stock-technicals-as-it-makes-a-comeback><strong>benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>GameStop Corp. stock, which has been at the center of a volatile, Reddit- and Robinhood-driven ride this year, rallied Thursday.\nThe stock was up 48.37% at $178.79 ahead of the close. Here are some ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/long-ideas/21/03/20345876/a-look-at-gamestop-stock-technicals-as-it-makes-a-comeback\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/long-ideas/21/03/20345876/a-look-at-gamestop-stock-technicals-as-it-makes-a-comeback","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153623009","content_text":"GameStop Corp. stock, which has been at the center of a volatile, Reddit- and Robinhood-driven ride this year, rallied Thursday.\nThe stock was up 48.37% at $178.79 ahead of the close. Here are some technical levels in GameStop shares for traders to watch.\n\nGameStop Short-Term Chart Analysis:The 5-minute chart above shows three potential key levels to watch in GameStop shares.\nThe stock is trading in a channel between $150 and $200. The $200 level is an area that held as support before turning into resistance after falling below $200.\nThe stock showed some support near the $150 level Thursday. This area has shown support in the past and may hold again in the future.\nIf the $150 level were to be unable to hold, the stock may not find support again until near the $120 level. This was an area where the stock was able to find support premarket Thursday.\nGameStop is trading above both the 200-day moving average (blue) as well as the volume-weighted average price (pink), indicating possible short-term bullish sentiment in the stock.\n\nGameStop Daily Chart Analysis:The daily chart above shows GameStop found support near the $125 level after it broke above this price level, which was previously holding as resistance. This is an area where the stock may be able to see a bounce again in the future.\nThe stock has shown previous resistance near the $300 level, as the price was unable to break above this level and hold. This indicates the level may hold as resistance in the future.\nBulls would like to see GameStop rise up to resistance before breaking above and consolidating. Retesting the resistance level as support may hint that the stock will see a rise in price.\nBears would like to see the support levels break. If the price is able to break below these levels and consolidate, the price may be able to move down.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":23,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":603277747,"gmtCreate":1638420200608,"gmtModify":1638420201069,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Firesale 😅","listText":"Firesale 😅","text":"Firesale 😅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603277747","repostId":"603171721","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":603171721,"gmtCreate":1638382734964,"gmtModify":1638405198419,"author":{"id":"3574309605005459","authorId":"3574309605005459","name":"Palantard SG","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0711dc2e779bb4c2a3d2c425f9720032","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574309605005459","idStr":"3574309605005459"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Bought another 150 shares. Holding 19,330 shares now and currently at -S$90k loss collectively. Am i afraid? Yes. Afraid that I no longer have anymore cash to deploy. Sad&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Bought another 150 shares. Holding 19,330 shares now and currently at -S$90k loss collectively. Am i afraid? Yes. Afraid that I no longer have anymore cash to deploy. Sad&nbsp;","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$Bought another 150 shares. Holding 19,330 shares now and currently at -S$90k loss collectively. Am i afraid? Yes. Afraid that I no longer have anymore cash to deploy. Sad","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da62cde9d6cb5e5bfd36fe791a5cb9e1","width":"1170","height":"2532"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603171721","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":363,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}