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2021-03-25

[难过]

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2021-03-24

[流泪]

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2021-03-23

Here comes the smoke bomb[呆住]

This High-Yield Dividend Stock Might Be in Trouble

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comes the smoke bomb[呆住]&nbsp;","listText":"Here comes the smoke bomb[呆住]&nbsp;","text":"Here comes the smoke bomb[呆住]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353178900","repostId":"1185868278","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185868278","pubTimestamp":1616471796,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185868278?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-23 11:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This High-Yield Dividend Stock Might Be in Trouble","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185868278","media":"fool","summary":"Real estate investment trusts (REITs) are known for their high-yield dividends, andThe GEO Group(NYS","content":"<p>Real estate investment trusts (REITs) are known for their high-yield dividends, and<b>The GEO Group</b>(NYSE:GEO)is no exception. The company, which owns and manages 123 private domestic secure facilities and post-correctional residential facilities with 93,000 total beds in the United States, Australia, Africa, and the United Kingdom, offers a dividend with an annualized payout of $1 a share. At the company's current share price, that gives it a yield of around 12.6%.</p>\n<p>That might sound great ... until you find out why the yield is so high. GEO Group's stock price has fallen by more than 32% in the last year, so despite payout cuts this year and last year, the yield remains high. I'm not that worried about the safety of GEO's dividend, but the company appears to be a classic dividend trap because its revenues are trending downward.</p>\n<p><b>The hits keep on coming</b></p>\n<p>Last year was difficult for companies that operate private prisons. The COVID-19 pandemic meant extra costs to make prisons and immigrant detention centers safer for workers, inmates, and detainees. It also led to a drop in inmate populations.</p>\n<p>According to The Marshall Project, the number of people incarcerated in the U.S. fell from 1.3 million in March to 1.2 million by June. Prisons, in an effort to avoid bringing the coronavirus into their populations, stopped accepting new prisoners. Court closures meant fewer people were being sentenced, and parole officers were less active and sent fewer people back to prison for parole violations.</p>\n<p>On top of that, with the change of government in Washington, this isn't the best of times to be in the private prison business. On Jan. 26, President Biden signedan executive orderdirecting the Justice Department not to renew its contracts with private prison operators.</p>\n<p>The order applies to any private facilities connected with the Bureau of Prisons and the U.S. Marshals Service. It doesn't yet apply to all agencies. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, for example, has contracts with private companies, including the GEO Group, to detain undocumented immigrants.</p>\n<p>Looking at a recent investor presentation by the company, it's easy to see that the eventual result of Biden's policy could be a 27% cut to GEO Group's revenue.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ccfe516df8184f834d5e735cc660d07\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"415\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>IMAGE SOURCE: THE GEO GROUP</p>\n<p>Even before the executive order, the Bureau of Prisons chose not to renew its contracts with three GEO facilities; those contracts expire this quarter. The company said its remaining Bureau of Prisons contracts may also not be renewed as they come up.</p>\n<p>In March, GEO learned that the Marshals Service would not renew its contract for the company's 222-bed Queens Detention Facility in New York. The facility generated $19 million annually in revenues, the company said.</p>\n<p><b>The dividend may be safe, but the share price not so much</b></p>\n<p>You have to give GEO credit for doing the smart thing, trimming its quarterlydividend29.2% to 34 cents a share last year and then again by 26.5% to 25 cents a share this year.</p>\n<p>While the cuts are concerning, the dividend appears well covered by the company's expected adjusted funds from operations (FFO) this year, which management said should be in the range of $1.98 per share to $2.08 per share.</p>\n<p>The company's 2020 revenue of $2.35 billionwas down from the $2.47 billion it brought in for 2019, and net income of $113 million was down from $166 million the year before. In the fourth quarter, its revenue of $578.1 million was a 7% drop year over year. It was also the fourth consecutive quarter of top-line declines.</p>\n<p>REITs are better analyzed on the basis of their FFOs, and those metrics fell for GEO Group as well. The company reported yearly normalized FFO of $229.3 million, down from $260.7 million in 2019; adjusted FFO was $300.6 million, compared to $328.4 million in 2019. GEO's adjusted FFO last year was at its lowest level since 2016.</p>\n<p><b>GEO Group is fighting against trends</b></p>\n<p>Unlike some REITs that were adversely affected during the global pandemic by tenants that had difficulty paying the rent, GEO's customers are government agencies that always pay the rent on time.</p>\n<p>The difficulty GEO faces is that the population of prisoners in its facilities has been dropping, and that trend appears likely to continue. That means reduced revenue, which to investors means the stock's share price could continue to drop, and also increases the likelihood that the company could cut its dividend further.</p>\n<p>To some degree, the future revenue declines may have already been priced into the stock, but as an investor, I don't see upside for GEO Group any time soon.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This High-Yield Dividend Stock Might Be in Trouble</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis High-Yield Dividend Stock Might Be in Trouble\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-23 11:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/22/this-high-yield-dividend-stock-might-be-in-trouble/><strong>fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Real estate investment trusts (REITs) are known for their high-yield dividends, andThe GEO Group(NYSE:GEO)is no exception. The company, which owns and manages 123 private domestic secure facilities ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/22/this-high-yield-dividend-stock-might-be-in-trouble/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/22/this-high-yield-dividend-stock-might-be-in-trouble/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185868278","content_text":"Real estate investment trusts (REITs) are known for their high-yield dividends, andThe GEO Group(NYSE:GEO)is no exception. The company, which owns and manages 123 private domestic secure facilities and post-correctional residential facilities with 93,000 total beds in the United States, Australia, Africa, and the United Kingdom, offers a dividend with an annualized payout of $1 a share. At the company's current share price, that gives it a yield of around 12.6%.\nThat might sound great ... until you find out why the yield is so high. GEO Group's stock price has fallen by more than 32% in the last year, so despite payout cuts this year and last year, the yield remains high. I'm not that worried about the safety of GEO's dividend, but the company appears to be a classic dividend trap because its revenues are trending downward.\nThe hits keep on coming\nLast year was difficult for companies that operate private prisons. The COVID-19 pandemic meant extra costs to make prisons and immigrant detention centers safer for workers, inmates, and detainees. It also led to a drop in inmate populations.\nAccording to The Marshall Project, the number of people incarcerated in the U.S. fell from 1.3 million in March to 1.2 million by June. Prisons, in an effort to avoid bringing the coronavirus into their populations, stopped accepting new prisoners. Court closures meant fewer people were being sentenced, and parole officers were less active and sent fewer people back to prison for parole violations.\nOn top of that, with the change of government in Washington, this isn't the best of times to be in the private prison business. On Jan. 26, President Biden signedan executive orderdirecting the Justice Department not to renew its contracts with private prison operators.\nThe order applies to any private facilities connected with the Bureau of Prisons and the U.S. Marshals Service. It doesn't yet apply to all agencies. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, for example, has contracts with private companies, including the GEO Group, to detain undocumented immigrants.\nLooking at a recent investor presentation by the company, it's easy to see that the eventual result of Biden's policy could be a 27% cut to GEO Group's revenue.\n\nIMAGE SOURCE: THE GEO GROUP\nEven before the executive order, the Bureau of Prisons chose not to renew its contracts with three GEO facilities; those contracts expire this quarter. The company said its remaining Bureau of Prisons contracts may also not be renewed as they come up.\nIn March, GEO learned that the Marshals Service would not renew its contract for the company's 222-bed Queens Detention Facility in New York. The facility generated $19 million annually in revenues, the company said.\nThe dividend may be safe, but the share price not so much\nYou have to give GEO credit for doing the smart thing, trimming its quarterlydividend29.2% to 34 cents a share last year and then again by 26.5% to 25 cents a share this year.\nWhile the cuts are concerning, the dividend appears well covered by the company's expected adjusted funds from operations (FFO) this year, which management said should be in the range of $1.98 per share to $2.08 per share.\nThe company's 2020 revenue of $2.35 billionwas down from the $2.47 billion it brought in for 2019, and net income of $113 million was down from $166 million the year before. In the fourth quarter, its revenue of $578.1 million was a 7% drop year over year. It was also the fourth consecutive quarter of top-line declines.\nREITs are better analyzed on the basis of their FFOs, and those metrics fell for GEO Group as well. The company reported yearly normalized FFO of $229.3 million, down from $260.7 million in 2019; adjusted FFO was $300.6 million, compared to $328.4 million in 2019. GEO's adjusted FFO last year was at its lowest level since 2016.\nGEO Group is fighting against trends\nUnlike some REITs that were adversely affected during the global pandemic by tenants that had difficulty paying the rent, GEO's customers are government agencies that always pay the rent on time.\nThe difficulty GEO faces is that the population of prisoners in its facilities has been dropping, and that trend appears likely to continue. That means reduced revenue, which to investors means the stock's share price could continue to drop, and also increases the likelihood that the company could cut its dividend further.\nTo some degree, the future revenue declines may have already been priced into the stock, but as an investor, I don't see upside for GEO Group any time soon.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":539,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":353178900,"gmtCreate":1616474884900,"gmtModify":1634525627038,"author":{"id":"3576729415516509","authorId":"3576729415516509","name":"armypanda90","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e4f2e0a614b36c8b5360e771c2deb6c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Here comes the smoke bomb[呆住]&nbsp;","listText":"Here comes the smoke bomb[呆住]&nbsp;","text":"Here comes the smoke bomb[呆住]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353178900","repostId":"1185868278","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":539,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":351713917,"gmtCreate":1616632789239,"gmtModify":1634524841087,"author":{"id":"3576729415516509","authorId":"3576729415516509","name":"armypanda90","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e4f2e0a614b36c8b5360e771c2deb6c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[难过]&nbsp;","listText":"[难过]&nbsp;","text":"[难过]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/351713917","repostId":"1132657904","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132657904","pubTimestamp":1616632329,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132657904?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-25 08:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop shares fall 33% on lack of transformation detail, possible share sale","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132657904","media":"cnbc","summary":"KEY POINTS\n\nGameStop missed on the top and bottom lines of its quarterly results, but e-commerce sal","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nGameStop missed on the top and bottom lines of its quarterly results, but e-commerce sales jumped 175% last quarter and accounted for more than a third of its sales in the period.\nThe ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/23/gamestop-shares-rise-on-e-commerce-sales-jump-new-coo.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1609915699154","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop shares fall 33% on lack of transformation detail, possible share sale</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop shares fall 33% on lack of transformation detail, possible share sale\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-25 08:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/23/gamestop-shares-rise-on-e-commerce-sales-jump-new-coo.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nGameStop missed on the top and bottom lines of its quarterly results, but e-commerce sales jumped 175% last quarter and accounted for more than a third of its sales in the period.\nThe ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/23/gamestop-shares-rise-on-e-commerce-sales-jump-new-coo.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/23/gamestop-shares-rise-on-e-commerce-sales-jump-new-coo.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132657904","content_text":"KEY POINTS\n\nGameStop missed on the top and bottom lines of its quarterly results, but e-commerce sales jumped 175% last quarter and accounted for more than a third of its sales in the period.\nThe brick-and-mortar video game retailer named former Amazon and Google executive Jenna Owens as its new chief operating officer.\nGameStop also acknowledged in a filing that it was considering selling additional equity shares.\nDuring a much anticipated earnings conference call that at one point reached maximum capacity, the company declined to answer questions.\n\nInvestors finally got a look atGameStop's fundamentals following a Reddit-fueled trading frenzy earlier this year and were left wanting more from the video game retailer.\nHere's what the company announced after the bell Tuesday.\n\nIt released fiscal fourth-quarter results that missedWall Street's estimates on the top and bottom lines.\nIn its latest executive shake-up, the company named former Amazon and Google executive Jenna Owens as its new chief operating officer.\nIn a hint of the transformation that’s got some investors excited about the stock, the company said global e-commerce sales jumped 175% last quarter and accounted for more than a third of its sales in the period.\nGameStop also acknowledged in a filing that it was considering selling additional equity shares to fund its transformation.\nDuring a much anticipated earnings conference call that at one point reached maximum capacity, the company declined to answer questions.\n\nShares tanked 33.8% on Wednesday on the potential share sale and disappointment that a more detailed transformation wasn’t unveiled.\n“The highly anticipated 4Q20 earnings report from GameStop was a bit anti-climatic,” wrote Telsey Advisory Group analyst Joseph Feldman. “While EPS met the consensus, it was completely driven by a tax benefit that offset much worse than expected operating profit. Moreover, while everyone was expecting big news about some massive digital transformation in the mold of the new tech-oriented board members, nothing was said.”\n“In fact, the company did not even take questions on the earnings conference call,” added Feldman. “As for the much anticipated strategic plan, it sounded like every other retailer.”\nFor the fiscal period ended January 2021, GameStop earned $1.34 per share on revenue of $2.12 billion. Wall Street was expecting earnings per share of $1.35 on revenue of $2.21 billion, according to Refinitiv’s average of the six analysts.\nGameStop’s fiscal fourth-quarter earnings typically make up the majority of the company’s yearly earnings, boosted by holiday sales. The company’s same-store sales rose 6.5% last quarter.\nThe company said it is continuing to suspend guidance, but is updating its fulfillment operations to boost the speed of its delivery and services. GameStop CEO George Sherman also revealed that February comparable store sales increased 23%, thanks to strength in hardware sales worldwide.\nAlong with the mania-fueled trading, GameStop’s stock has responded positively on new developments for the company in the past five months like the appointment ofChewyco-founder Ryan Cohen to GameStop’s board and a focus on GameStop’s technology and e-commerce transition.\nGameStop said after the bell that it continues to seek out executive talent with e-commerce, retail and technology expertise to bolster its turnaround. Sherman said on the conference call that GameStop was “focused on transforming into a customer-obsessed technology company that excites gamers.”\nEarlier this month, GameStopannounced it tapped Cohen to lead its shift to e-commerce. He is serving as chairman of a special committee formed by GameStop’s board to help its transformation. Board members Alan Attal, Chewy’s former top operations executive, and Kurt Wolf, chief investment officer of Hestia Capital Management, also serve on the committee.\n\nEarlier this year, an epic short squeeze in the company’s stock shocked Wall Street and drew attention to an emerging class of retail investor on social media platforms like Reddit. GameStop’s share price skyrocketed to $483 per share, and subsequently lost 90% of its value. The controversy drew the attention of Wall Street and Washington.\nGameStop still has a market capitalization of nearly $13 billion through Tuesday’s close, 10 times the $1.3 billion market value the stock had at the end of last year. A year ago, GameStop’s market capitalization was $245 million.\nNaming Owens as COO is the latest in a series of recent personnel moves, but it remains to be seen whether these moves and the sparse detail given Tuesday night will satisfy investors that have bid up the stock to such high levels.\nTelsey’s Feldman lowered his price target on the shares to $30 from $33 following the results. The new target would represent a decline of more than 80% from Tuesday’s close.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":752,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":351301633,"gmtCreate":1616559518622,"gmtModify":1634525200024,"author":{"id":"3576729415516509","authorId":"3576729415516509","name":"armypanda90","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e4f2e0a614b36c8b5360e771c2deb6c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"[流泪]&nbsp;","text":"[流泪]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/351301633","repostId":"1145719096","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145719096","pubTimestamp":1616551021,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1145719096?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-24 09:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Entertainment Has a New Price Target: $0.01","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145719096","media":"fool","summary":"Last year, uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus whipsawed the stock market. In 2021, the pandem","content":"<p>Last year, uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus whipsawed the stock market. In 2021, the pandemic seems to have taken a back seat on Wall Street to a new phenomenon:the Reddit frenzy.</p>\n<p>In its simplest form, the Reddit frenzy involves retail investors -- mostly young and/or novice investors -- banding together to buy shares and out-of-the-money call options on heavily short-sold stocks. Short-sellers are investors who make money when stock prices decline. In many instances, institutional investors and hedge funds (i.e., the perceived-to-be \"big money\") are the biggest short-sellers.</p>\n<p>These Reddit traders have purchased stock and used leverage to effect a short squeeze in dozens of companies since mid-January. Since short-selling losses are potentially unlimited, ashort squeezecan send pessimists scurrying for the exit at the same time, which can exacerbate a runaway move to the upside in a heavily short-sold stock.</p>\n<p>AMC Entertainment is \"dramatically overvalued\"</p>\n<p>Although<b>GameStop</b>&nbsp;is the best-known Reddit play, its popular sidekick would certainly have to be movie theater operator<b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:AMC). Shares of AMC are higher by 557% on a year-to-date basis, through this past weekend.</p>\n<p>But according to one analyst,AMC houses a lot of riskand could be in for a bumpy ride.</p>\n<p>Two weeks ago, equity analyst Rich Greenfield, who covers media and technology companies for LightShed Partners, initiated coverage on AMC Entertainment with a sell rating. Although sell ratings are fairly uncommon on Wall Street, it's Greenfield's 12-month price target that really stands out: $0.01. You're reading that correctly:<i>One cent</i>!</p>\n<p>Greenfield's thesis as to why AMC will lose nearly 100% of its value over the next year hits on a number of points. To begin with, he believes that AMC is over-levered and its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) estimates are too rosy. Greenfield notes that the company is valued at 8 times debt-to-EBITDA, and believes it's unlikely the company will surpass $600 million in adjusted EBITDA in 2022. With little to no free cash flow, he doesn't believe AMC will be able to service its growing debt load.</p>\n<p>Furthermore, Greenfield is skeptical about AMC's audience returning anytime soon. He notes that pandemic fears may persist and keep people away from theaters. Greenfield points to increased streaming usage, as well, as reason why the company could struggle. In other words, consumers could opt to stay home to watch select new releases, or the exclusivity window for theater operators could notably shrink.</p>\n<p>Could AMC really fall 99.9% over the next year?</p>\n<p>The $64,000 question is: Could AMC's stock really become worthless within the next 12 months?</p>\n<p>As much as Iview bankruptcy as a legitimate possibility for AMCand agree with much of Greenfield's analysis, it's unlikely that AMC reaches this price target within the next 12 months. The reason is simple: AMC has the power to sell common stock and potentially even issue more debt capital to raise money, should the need arise. Greenfield's price target only comes into play if AMC files for a Chapter 11 bankruptcy reorganization, which would likely wipe out retail investors.</p>\n<p>However, I wouldn't discount the possibility of $0.01 being a realistic price target within the next two years for a number of reasons.</p>\n<p>To start with, AMC recently claimed to have more than $1 billion in cash on hand. This comes after issuing close to 165 million shares and boosting its debt capital by over $400 million. But Wall Street's consensus loss estimate for 2021 and 2022 would result in an aggregate net loss of around $1.75 billion. Put simply, AMC doesn't have enough cash to survive the losses that Wall Street is expecting over the next two years.</p>\n<p>It's also unclear when society will return to normal. Even though AMC is planning to have 99% of its theaters open by March 26, the vast majority of these locations will have ongoing restrictions, such as limited capacity. Without a return to normal capacity, AMCcould struggle to draw crowdsand attach high-margin concessions sales that are its bread and butter.</p>\n<p>While there's no doubt an open theater at 50% capacity is better than a closed theater, the pandemic hasn't gone away. New variants have spread to various locales in the U.S., and a sizable percentage of the population in various surveys has shown little or no interest in getting the vaccine. In short, reaching herd immunity could be pushed down the road, which would be devastating for a company like AMC, which is hanging on by a thread.</p>\n<p>But possibly themost-damning catalyst for AMC is the rise of streamingthat Greenfield alluded to. This year,<b>AT&amp;T</b>&nbsp;subsidiary WarnerMedia is releasing all of its new movies on HBO Max the same day they'll hit theaters.<b>Walt Disney</b>&nbsp;is doing something similar with a handful of movies on its Disney+ streaming service. Either consumers will choose to stay home, or the exclusivity period for movie operators will shorten considerably. The landscape is changing for AMC, and not for the better.</p>\n<p>In case you need one more reason to be skeptical of AMC, how about CEO Adam Aron having his compensation package more than double to $20.9 million from $9.6 million in 2020. Aron received ahefty bonusand stock award for his efforts to keep AMC afloat, which essentially amounted to issuing stock and debt like it was going out of the style.</p>\n<p>AMC is a fundamental dumpster fire that's being kept afloat by the emotions of retail investors. Whether it's the company's ongoing share-based dilution or its poor operating performance, the arrow is most definitely pointing down.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Entertainment Has a New Price Target: $0.01</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Entertainment Has a New Price Target: $0.01\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-24 09:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/23/amc-entertainment-has-a-new-price-target-001/><strong>fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Last year, uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus whipsawed the stock market. In 2021, the pandemic seems to have taken a back seat on Wall Street to a new phenomenon:the Reddit frenzy.\nIn its ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/23/amc-entertainment-has-a-new-price-target-001/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/23/amc-entertainment-has-a-new-price-target-001/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145719096","content_text":"Last year, uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus whipsawed the stock market. In 2021, the pandemic seems to have taken a back seat on Wall Street to a new phenomenon:the Reddit frenzy.\nIn its simplest form, the Reddit frenzy involves retail investors -- mostly young and/or novice investors -- banding together to buy shares and out-of-the-money call options on heavily short-sold stocks. Short-sellers are investors who make money when stock prices decline. In many instances, institutional investors and hedge funds (i.e., the perceived-to-be \"big money\") are the biggest short-sellers.\nThese Reddit traders have purchased stock and used leverage to effect a short squeeze in dozens of companies since mid-January. Since short-selling losses are potentially unlimited, ashort squeezecan send pessimists scurrying for the exit at the same time, which can exacerbate a runaway move to the upside in a heavily short-sold stock.\nAMC Entertainment is \"dramatically overvalued\"\nAlthoughGameStop is the best-known Reddit play, its popular sidekick would certainly have to be movie theater operatorAMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC). Shares of AMC are higher by 557% on a year-to-date basis, through this past weekend.\nBut according to one analyst,AMC houses a lot of riskand could be in for a bumpy ride.\nTwo weeks ago, equity analyst Rich Greenfield, who covers media and technology companies for LightShed Partners, initiated coverage on AMC Entertainment with a sell rating. Although sell ratings are fairly uncommon on Wall Street, it's Greenfield's 12-month price target that really stands out: $0.01. You're reading that correctly:One cent!\nGreenfield's thesis as to why AMC will lose nearly 100% of its value over the next year hits on a number of points. To begin with, he believes that AMC is over-levered and its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) estimates are too rosy. Greenfield notes that the company is valued at 8 times debt-to-EBITDA, and believes it's unlikely the company will surpass $600 million in adjusted EBITDA in 2022. With little to no free cash flow, he doesn't believe AMC will be able to service its growing debt load.\nFurthermore, Greenfield is skeptical about AMC's audience returning anytime soon. He notes that pandemic fears may persist and keep people away from theaters. Greenfield points to increased streaming usage, as well, as reason why the company could struggle. In other words, consumers could opt to stay home to watch select new releases, or the exclusivity window for theater operators could notably shrink.\nCould AMC really fall 99.9% over the next year?\nThe $64,000 question is: Could AMC's stock really become worthless within the next 12 months?\nAs much as Iview bankruptcy as a legitimate possibility for AMCand agree with much of Greenfield's analysis, it's unlikely that AMC reaches this price target within the next 12 months. The reason is simple: AMC has the power to sell common stock and potentially even issue more debt capital to raise money, should the need arise. Greenfield's price target only comes into play if AMC files for a Chapter 11 bankruptcy reorganization, which would likely wipe out retail investors.\nHowever, I wouldn't discount the possibility of $0.01 being a realistic price target within the next two years for a number of reasons.\nTo start with, AMC recently claimed to have more than $1 billion in cash on hand. This comes after issuing close to 165 million shares and boosting its debt capital by over $400 million. But Wall Street's consensus loss estimate for 2021 and 2022 would result in an aggregate net loss of around $1.75 billion. Put simply, AMC doesn't have enough cash to survive the losses that Wall Street is expecting over the next two years.\nIt's also unclear when society will return to normal. Even though AMC is planning to have 99% of its theaters open by March 26, the vast majority of these locations will have ongoing restrictions, such as limited capacity. Without a return to normal capacity, AMCcould struggle to draw crowdsand attach high-margin concessions sales that are its bread and butter.\nWhile there's no doubt an open theater at 50% capacity is better than a closed theater, the pandemic hasn't gone away. New variants have spread to various locales in the U.S., and a sizable percentage of the population in various surveys has shown little or no interest in getting the vaccine. In short, reaching herd immunity could be pushed down the road, which would be devastating for a company like AMC, which is hanging on by a thread.\nBut possibly themost-damning catalyst for AMC is the rise of streamingthat Greenfield alluded to. This year,AT&T subsidiary WarnerMedia is releasing all of its new movies on HBO Max the same day they'll hit theaters.Walt Disney is doing something similar with a handful of movies on its Disney+ streaming service. Either consumers will choose to stay home, or the exclusivity period for movie operators will shorten considerably. The landscape is changing for AMC, and not for the better.\nIn case you need one more reason to be skeptical of AMC, how about CEO Adam Aron having his compensation package more than double to $20.9 million from $9.6 million in 2020. Aron received ahefty bonusand stock award for his efforts to keep AMC afloat, which essentially amounted to issuing stock and debt like it was going out of the style.\nAMC is a fundamental dumpster fire that's being kept afloat by the emotions of retail investors. Whether it's the company's ongoing share-based dilution or its poor operating performance, the arrow is most definitely pointing down.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":519,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}