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Alantheplann
2021-05-03
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
我等着你回来~~
Alantheplann
2021-05-03
Looking forward to this !!!
Uber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week
Alantheplann
2021-04-06
Wow apple up up
What Good Can I Say About Apple
Alantheplann
2021-04-06
虎哥,靠你了,好好来
Alantheplann
2021-02-18
Keep it on
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去老虎APP查看更多动态
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Estée Lauder is among Monday’s highlights, before things pick up on Tuesday: Activision Blizzard, CVS Health, DuPont, Pfizer, and T-Mobile US all report.</p><p>On Wednesday, Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings, General Motors, PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings. Anheuser-Busch InBev, Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday. And finally, Cigna closes the week on Friday.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1a866fbe5118566e68842053d76e2b9\" tg-width=\"1382\" tg-height=\"750\"></p><p>On the economic calendar this week, the main event will jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecast to report a gain of 975,000 nonfarm payrolls in April, and an unemployment rate of 5.8%—down from 6% a month earlier.</p><p>Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April on Monday and its Services equivalent on Wednesday.</p><p>Enterprise Products Partners and Estée Lauder release earnings.</p><p>Merck and Public Storage hold virtual investor days.</p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports construction-spending data for March. Consensus estimate is for a 0.6% month-over-month increase in construction spending to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.53 trillion.</p><p><b>The Institute for Supply</b> Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April. Economists forecast a 65 reading, roughly even with the March figure. The March reading was the highest for the index since December 1983.</p><p><b>Tuesday 5/4</b></p><p>Activision Blizzard,ConocoPhillips, Cummins, CVS Health,Dominion Energy,DuPont, Eaton, Pfizer,Sysco,and T-Mobile US report quarterly results.</p><p>Eli Lilly holds a conference call to discuss its sustainability initiatives.</p><p>Union Pacific holds its 2021 virtual investor day.</p><p><b>Wednesday 5/5</b></p><p>Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings,BorgWarner,Emerson Electric,General Motors,Hilton Worldwide Holdings,Novo Nordisk,PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.</p><p><b>ADP releases</b> its National Employment Report for April. Expectations are for a gain of 762,500 jobs in private-sector employment after a 517,000 increase in March.</p><p><b>ISM releases</b> its Services PMI for April. The consensus call is for a 64.6 reading, a tick higher than the March data. The March reading was an all-time high for the index.</p><p><b>Thursday 5/6</b></p><p>Anheuser-Busch InBev,Becton Dickinson,Expedia Group,Fidelity National Information Services,Kellogg, Linde,MetLife,Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, ViacomCBS, and Zoetishold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><b>The Department of Labor</b> reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 1. Initial jobless claims have averaged 611,750 a week in April and are at their lowest level since March of last year.</p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b> Statistics reports labor costs and productivity for the first quarter. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.2% productivity growth, compared with a 4.2% decline in the fourth quarter of 2020. Unit labor costs are seen falling 0.4% after rising 6% previously.</p><p><b>Friday 5/7</b></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b> Statistics releases the jobs report for April. Economists forecast a gain of 975,000 in nonfarm payroll employment. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 6%.</p><p>Cigna and <b>Liberty Media</b> report earnings.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Uber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-03 07:49 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/uber-pfizer-paypal-t-mobile-viacomcbs-general-motors-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51619982000?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&P 500 companies on deck to release their first-quarter results. Estée Lauder is among Monday’s highlights, before things pick up on Tuesday: ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/uber-pfizer-paypal-t-mobile-viacomcbs-general-motors-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51619982000?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UBER":"优步","PFE":"辉瑞",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","GM":"通用汽车","TMUS":"T-Mobile US Inc",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","PYPL":"PayPal",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/uber-pfizer-paypal-t-mobile-viacomcbs-general-motors-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51619982000?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135819410","content_text":"It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&P 500 companies on deck to release their first-quarter results. Estée Lauder is among Monday’s highlights, before things pick up on Tuesday: Activision Blizzard, CVS Health, DuPont, Pfizer, and T-Mobile US all report.On Wednesday, Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings, General Motors, PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings. Anheuser-Busch InBev, Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday. And finally, Cigna closes the week on Friday.On the economic calendar this week, the main event will jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecast to report a gain of 975,000 nonfarm payrolls in April, and an unemployment rate of 5.8%—down from 6% a month earlier.Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April on Monday and its Services equivalent on Wednesday.Enterprise Products Partners and Estée Lauder release earnings.Merck and Public Storage hold virtual investor days.The Census Bureau reports construction-spending data for March. Consensus estimate is for a 0.6% month-over-month increase in construction spending to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.53 trillion.The Institute for Supply Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April. Economists forecast a 65 reading, roughly even with the March figure. The March reading was the highest for the index since December 1983.Tuesday 5/4Activision Blizzard,ConocoPhillips, Cummins, CVS Health,Dominion Energy,DuPont, Eaton, Pfizer,Sysco,and T-Mobile US report quarterly results.Eli Lilly holds a conference call to discuss its sustainability initiatives.Union Pacific holds its 2021 virtual investor day.Wednesday 5/5Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings,BorgWarner,Emerson Electric,General Motors,Hilton Worldwide Holdings,Novo Nordisk,PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.ADP releases its National Employment Report for April. Expectations are for a gain of 762,500 jobs in private-sector employment after a 517,000 increase in March.ISM releases its Services PMI for April. The consensus call is for a 64.6 reading, a tick higher than the March data. The March reading was an all-time high for the index.Thursday 5/6Anheuser-Busch InBev,Becton Dickinson,Expedia Group,Fidelity National Information Services,Kellogg, Linde,MetLife,Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, ViacomCBS, and Zoetishold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 1. Initial jobless claims have averaged 611,750 a week in April and are at their lowest level since March of last year.The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports labor costs and productivity for the first quarter. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.2% productivity growth, compared with a 4.2% decline in the fourth quarter of 2020. Unit labor costs are seen falling 0.4% after rising 6% previously.Friday 5/7The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the jobs report for April. Economists forecast a gain of 975,000 in nonfarm payroll employment. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 6%.Cigna and Liberty Media report earnings.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":210,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":343089426,"gmtCreate":1617663016465,"gmtModify":1634297313366,"author":{"id":"3576566034601460","authorId":"3576566034601460","name":"Alantheplann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfe78bfb4ba13452c08ce9b72f01d1d0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576566034601460","idStr":"3576566034601460"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow apple up up","listText":"Wow apple up up","text":"Wow apple up up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343089426","repostId":"1177909392","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177909392","pubTimestamp":1617632142,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1177909392?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-05 22:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Good Can I Say About Apple","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177909392","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe most difficult thing in analysis is to remain objective.\nI've already written a series ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The most difficult thing in analysis is to remain objective.</li>\n <li>I've already written a series of negative articles about Apple. And so I decided to write a separate one in which I will highlight only the positive aspects.</li>\n <li>But even this approach does not allow giving a buy recommendation.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>In my opinion, the most difficult thing in analysis is to remain objective. And even if you do not own shares of the company you are analyzing, it is still difficult to be unbiased. This is because if you came to the conclusion that a company, for example, is overvalued, and publicly announced this, then it is already difficult for you to objectively judge this company. Because we all always want to be right.</p>\n<p>I note something similar in my attitude to Apple (AAPL). I have written a series of negative articles about this company in the past. And although I analyzed this company using different tools, I noticed that it became difficult for me to have a positive attitude towards Apple. And so I decided to write a separate article in which I will highlight only the positive aspects of analyzing the fundamental state of Apple's capitalization. So, let's begin.</p>\n<p><b>#1 Consistently Better Than Expectations</b></p>\n<p>First, I must admit that Apple is a company that consistently surprises with the results. So, for three years, the actual quarterly revenue and profit of the company turned out to be higher than analysts' expectations:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a41567c51a0232bbcec053d55a52a3dd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"281\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e31c798e170fcd4ae3627315f97da04\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"281\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>Accordingly, after each quarterly reporting, analysts raise their expectations for Apple. For example, here's what it looks like in the current fiscal year:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd303ab9bbbd42840580f6762b470175\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db531d11ddc1203e39acdef6f337f644\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p>\n<p>Therefore, when we say that, according to analysts' average expectations, Apple's revenue will grow by 21% in the next fiscal year, we should assume that the actual result is highly likely to be higher than this figure.<i>This is an important correction that should be taken into account in the analysis.</i></p>\n<p><b>#2 Price vs. Revenue</b></p>\n<p>Revenue is the main criterion for the size of the company. Therefore, over time, as a rule, a direct relationship is formed between the company's capitalization and the amount of revenue. This is how this relationship looks in the case of Apple:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7ac55753c196ffbc48505a12aba9368\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p>\n<p>As you can see, from this point of view, the company is definitely overvalued. But, if we consider a similar dependence only over the past five years, then the situation will change significantly:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0b4ad2fcf6f2d19b031f9b09ed4e25a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p>\n<p>In this case, the company's capitalization looks balanced and even retains the upside potential based on analysts' average expectations of Apple's revenue growth in the coming quarters. By the way, remember what I said about expectations in the previous block?</p>\n<p><b>#3 Price vs. Growth</b></p>\n<p>Now let's talk about the rate of growth of Apple's profits.</p>\n<p>If we compare the long-term growth rate of the company's EPS and the value of the P/E multiple, then we get a confirmation of the<i>simply insane overvaluation:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89a3d4e1402b1ffdd63a150ff9eeb30d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p>\n<p>But it should be admitted that despite the logic of the presence of a relationship between the P/E multiple and the rate of EPS growth, the given model is not enough qualitative in a statistical context (R^2 = 0.23)</p>\n<p>But there is another relationship whose quality is difficult to dispute. This is the relationship between ROE and the P/BV multiple:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdf44746a287b3743a391bf98c969fcb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p>\n<p>In this case, we get a balanced state of the company's price.</p>\n<p>But you have to be careful here, since this relationship is strongly affected by the buyback:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dab33c2437173ae50c70baf69fc30498\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p><b>#4 Comparative Valuation</b></p>\n<p>You can always find a dozen of multiples pointing to the undervaluation of the company, and the same number of multiples pointing to its overvaluation. Therefore, personally, I tend to trust only those multiples, which in the past allowed for a more or less stable determination of the company's balanced price. And in Apple's case, one such multiple is EV/OpFCF:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0cc296a218bcd0bd6f579276a364fa7e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fa0fad82c86992bfe29a99091f737f9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</span></p>\n<p><i>In this case, we can also conclude that Apple is balanced with the market.</i></p>\n<p>However, I must admit that I still trust forward multiples more. Simply because, at its core, the market reflects not what is now, but what is expected in the future. But in the case of Apple, I have not yet found suitable forward multiples for comparative valuation.</p>\n<p><b>Bottom Line</b></p>\n<p>In my opinion, I kept my promise and highlighted the main factors that positively characterize Apple's capitalization. But note that they all indicate a balanced state of the company's capitalization, and not an undervalued one. Therefore, even this approach does not allow giving a buy recommendation.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Good Can I Say About Apple</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Good Can I Say About Apple\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-05 22:15 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4417579-what-good-can-i-say-apple><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe most difficult thing in analysis is to remain objective.\nI've already written a series of negative articles about Apple. And so I decided to write a separate one in which I will highlight...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4417579-what-good-can-i-say-apple\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4417579-what-good-can-i-say-apple","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1177909392","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe most difficult thing in analysis is to remain objective.\nI've already written a series of negative articles about Apple. And so I decided to write a separate one in which I will highlight only the positive aspects.\nBut even this approach does not allow giving a buy recommendation.\n\nIn my opinion, the most difficult thing in analysis is to remain objective. And even if you do not own shares of the company you are analyzing, it is still difficult to be unbiased. This is because if you came to the conclusion that a company, for example, is overvalued, and publicly announced this, then it is already difficult for you to objectively judge this company. Because we all always want to be right.\nI note something similar in my attitude to Apple (AAPL). I have written a series of negative articles about this company in the past. And although I analyzed this company using different tools, I noticed that it became difficult for me to have a positive attitude towards Apple. And so I decided to write a separate article in which I will highlight only the positive aspects of analyzing the fundamental state of Apple's capitalization. So, let's begin.\n#1 Consistently Better Than Expectations\nFirst, I must admit that Apple is a company that consistently surprises with the results. So, for three years, the actual quarterly revenue and profit of the company turned out to be higher than analysts' expectations:\n\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nAccordingly, after each quarterly reporting, analysts raise their expectations for Apple. For example, here's what it looks like in the current fiscal year:\n\nSource: VisualizedAnalytics.com\nTherefore, when we say that, according to analysts' average expectations, Apple's revenue will grow by 21% in the next fiscal year, we should assume that the actual result is highly likely to be higher than this figure.This is an important correction that should be taken into account in the analysis.\n#2 Price vs. Revenue\nRevenue is the main criterion for the size of the company. Therefore, over time, as a rule, a direct relationship is formed between the company's capitalization and the amount of revenue. This is how this relationship looks in the case of Apple:\nSource: VisualizedAnalytics.com\nAs you can see, from this point of view, the company is definitely overvalued. But, if we consider a similar dependence only over the past five years, then the situation will change significantly:\nSource: VisualizedAnalytics.com\nIn this case, the company's capitalization looks balanced and even retains the upside potential based on analysts' average expectations of Apple's revenue growth in the coming quarters. By the way, remember what I said about expectations in the previous block?\n#3 Price vs. Growth\nNow let's talk about the rate of growth of Apple's profits.\nIf we compare the long-term growth rate of the company's EPS and the value of the P/E multiple, then we get a confirmation of thesimply insane overvaluation:\nSource: VisualizedAnalytics.com\nBut it should be admitted that despite the logic of the presence of a relationship between the P/E multiple and the rate of EPS growth, the given model is not enough qualitative in a statistical context (R^2 = 0.23)\nBut there is another relationship whose quality is difficult to dispute. This is the relationship between ROE and the P/BV multiple:\nSource: VisualizedAnalytics.com\nIn this case, we get a balanced state of the company's price.\nBut you have to be careful here, since this relationship is strongly affected by the buyback:\nData by YCharts\n#4 Comparative Valuation\nYou can always find a dozen of multiples pointing to the undervaluation of the company, and the same number of multiples pointing to its overvaluation. Therefore, personally, I tend to trust only those multiples, which in the past allowed for a more or less stable determination of the company's balanced price. And in Apple's case, one such multiple is EV/OpFCF:\n\nSource: VisualizedAnalytics.com\nIn this case, we can also conclude that Apple is balanced with the market.\nHowever, I must admit that I still trust forward multiples more. Simply because, at its core, the market reflects not what is now, but what is expected in the future. But in the case of Apple, I have not yet found suitable forward multiples for comparative valuation.\nBottom Line\nIn my opinion, I kept my promise and highlighted the main factors that positively characterize Apple's capitalization. But note that they all indicate a balanced state of the company's capitalization, and not an undervalued one. Therefore, even this approach does not allow giving a buy recommendation.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":180,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":343080459,"gmtCreate":1617662849671,"gmtModify":1634297313948,"author":{"id":"3576566034601460","authorId":"3576566034601460","name":"Alantheplann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfe78bfb4ba13452c08ce9b72f01d1d0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576566034601460","idStr":"3576566034601460"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"虎哥,靠你了,好好来","listText":"虎哥,靠你了,好好来","text":"虎哥,靠你了,好好来","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5da82a1352d049700d4b1e5b93f22dd2","width":"1080","height":"2288"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343080459","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":384958743,"gmtCreate":1613609141882,"gmtModify":1634552973404,"author":{"id":"3576566034601460","authorId":"3576566034601460","name":"Alantheplann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfe78bfb4ba13452c08ce9b72f01d1d0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576566034601460","idStr":"3576566034601460"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keep 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!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/108320174","repostId":"1135819410","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":210,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":343089426,"gmtCreate":1617663016465,"gmtModify":1634297313366,"author":{"id":"3576566034601460","authorId":"3576566034601460","name":"Alantheplann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfe78bfb4ba13452c08ce9b72f01d1d0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576566034601460","authorIdStr":"3576566034601460"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow apple up up","listText":"Wow apple up up","text":"Wow apple up 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