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2021-03-27

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Earnings Forecasts Are Low. What That Means for Stocks

2021-03-25

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GameStop shares fall 33% on lack of transformation detail, possible share sale

2021-03-07

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What That Means for Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165077583","media":"Barrons","summary":"Analysts have been racing to revise earnings estimates upward of late, but those projections could e","content":"<p>Analysts have been racing to revise earnings estimates upward of late, but those projections could easily still be too low. That could mean more upside for stocks even though the market has been hot recently.</p>\n<p>Earnings estimates for 2021 for the average&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;company have been revised higher by 8% in the past six months, according to FactSet data.Covid-19 vaccines have found arms at a fast pace, enabling states to reopen, which has been met by pent-up demand resulting fromtrillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus. Given that, revisions upward may now be less frequent.</p>\n<p>But there is indeed more upside to earnings, according to analysis from&nbsp;Credit Suisse&nbsp;strategists. For every percentage point of additional gross domestic product growth, revenue growth on the S&amp;P 500 is roughly double, historically, Credit Suisse said. With GDP expected to grow just over 7% in 2021—the fastest clip in decades as the economy normalizes after the lockdowns of 2020—S&amp;P 500 revenues could grow about 14%.</p>\n<p>But analysts only expect aggregate sales growth on the index of around 9% for the year, according to FactSet data. Considering current revenue estimates, Credit Suisse’s analysis implies roughly 4% upside to sales projections.</p>\n<p>Earnings would have even more potential to rise. For many S&amp;P 500 companies—think of manufacturers, retail businesses, and food-chain operators—increased sales often mean even higher profit growth. That is because those companies have high operating leverage: A significant portion of their costs don’t vary much, so when sales rise, profit margins expand and earnings grow robustly.</p>\n<p>Credit Suisse is forecasting EPS growth of 34% in 2021, higher than the consensus estimate of 25%.</p>\n<p>Would higher expectations pump stock prices upward significantly? One challenge is that stocks already reflect a high degree of optimism. The S&amp;P 500 is up almost 20% since late September,when investors resumed buying up assets most sensitive to changes in the economy.</p>\n<p>That has brought valuations to fairly high levels, with the average stock on the index trading at just under 22 times the per-share earnings expected for next year, compared with the long-term average of 15 times.</p>\n<p>But&nbsp;interest rates have recently been on the rise,which makes stocks less attractive.Many on Wall Street see the S&amp;P 500 trading down to 20 times the earnings expected for next year.While expectations of bigger profits could help stocks, the gain would be partially offset if shares trade at a lower multiple of forecasted earnings.</p>\n<p>The most economically sensitive stocks are some of the best ones to play the earnings story.Cyclicals have run hot,but some still look good.</p>\n<p>Norfolk Southern&nbsp;(ticker: NSC) could achieve earnings per share of $16 by 2023,Citigroup&nbsp;analysts wrote in a note. That would put the rail and transportation company on a path to grow earnings at a 20% clip for the next three years, up from the 13% FactSet data indicates Wall Street analysts currently expect. While the stock is trading above its average price/earnings ratio for the past five years, the Citi analysts still see room for a 37% gain in the shares.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Earnings Forecasts Are Low. What That Means for Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEarnings Forecasts Are Low. What That Means for Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-26 22:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/why-forecasts-for-earnings-are-low-and-what-that-means-for-stocks-51616758201?mod=RTA><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Analysts have been racing to revise earnings estimates upward of late, but those projections could easily still be too low. That could mean more upside for stocks even though the market has been hot ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/why-forecasts-for-earnings-are-low-and-what-that-means-for-stocks-51616758201?mod=RTA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/why-forecasts-for-earnings-are-low-and-what-that-means-for-stocks-51616758201?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165077583","content_text":"Analysts have been racing to revise earnings estimates upward of late, but those projections could easily still be too low. That could mean more upside for stocks even though the market has been hot recently.\nEarnings estimates for 2021 for the average S&P 500 company have been revised higher by 8% in the past six months, according to FactSet data.Covid-19 vaccines have found arms at a fast pace, enabling states to reopen, which has been met by pent-up demand resulting fromtrillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus. Given that, revisions upward may now be less frequent.\nBut there is indeed more upside to earnings, according to analysis from Credit Suisse strategists. For every percentage point of additional gross domestic product growth, revenue growth on the S&P 500 is roughly double, historically, Credit Suisse said. With GDP expected to grow just over 7% in 2021—the fastest clip in decades as the economy normalizes after the lockdowns of 2020—S&P 500 revenues could grow about 14%.\nBut analysts only expect aggregate sales growth on the index of around 9% for the year, according to FactSet data. Considering current revenue estimates, Credit Suisse’s analysis implies roughly 4% upside to sales projections.\nEarnings would have even more potential to rise. For many S&P 500 companies—think of manufacturers, retail businesses, and food-chain operators—increased sales often mean even higher profit growth. That is because those companies have high operating leverage: A significant portion of their costs don’t vary much, so when sales rise, profit margins expand and earnings grow robustly.\nCredit Suisse is forecasting EPS growth of 34% in 2021, higher than the consensus estimate of 25%.\nWould higher expectations pump stock prices upward significantly? One challenge is that stocks already reflect a high degree of optimism. The S&P 500 is up almost 20% since late September,when investors resumed buying up assets most sensitive to changes in the economy.\nThat has brought valuations to fairly high levels, with the average stock on the index trading at just under 22 times the per-share earnings expected for next year, compared with the long-term average of 15 times.\nBut interest rates have recently been on the rise,which makes stocks less attractive.Many on Wall Street see the S&P 500 trading down to 20 times the earnings expected for next year.While expectations of bigger profits could help stocks, the gain would be partially offset if shares trade at a lower multiple of forecasted earnings.\nThe most economically sensitive stocks are some of the best ones to play the earnings story.Cyclicals have run hot,but some still look good.\nNorfolk Southern (ticker: NSC) could achieve earnings per share of $16 by 2023,Citigroup analysts wrote in a note. That would put the rail and transportation company on a path to grow earnings at a 20% clip for the next three years, up from the 13% FactSet data indicates Wall Street analysts currently expect. While the stock is trading above its average price/earnings ratio for the past five years, the Citi analysts still see room for a 37% gain in the shares.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":666,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":358033173,"gmtCreate":1616638773992,"gmtModify":1634524790457,"author":{"id":"3576547785025400","authorId":"3576547785025400","name":"Kimsu","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[难过]&nbsp;","listText":"[难过]&nbsp;","text":"[难过]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358033173","repostId":"1132657904","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132657904","pubTimestamp":1616632329,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132657904?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-25 08:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop shares fall 33% on lack of transformation detail, possible share sale","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132657904","media":"cnbc","summary":"KEY POINTS\n\nGameStop missed on the top and bottom lines of its quarterly results, but e-commerce sal","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nGameStop missed on the top and bottom lines of its quarterly results, but e-commerce sales jumped 175% last quarter and accounted for more than a third of its sales in the period.\nThe ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/23/gamestop-shares-rise-on-e-commerce-sales-jump-new-coo.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1609915699154","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop shares fall 33% on lack of transformation detail, possible share sale</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop shares fall 33% on lack of transformation detail, possible share sale\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-25 08:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/23/gamestop-shares-rise-on-e-commerce-sales-jump-new-coo.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nGameStop missed on the top and bottom lines of its quarterly results, but e-commerce sales jumped 175% last quarter and accounted for more than a third of its sales in the period.\nThe ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/23/gamestop-shares-rise-on-e-commerce-sales-jump-new-coo.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/23/gamestop-shares-rise-on-e-commerce-sales-jump-new-coo.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132657904","content_text":"KEY POINTS\n\nGameStop missed on the top and bottom lines of its quarterly results, but e-commerce sales jumped 175% last quarter and accounted for more than a third of its sales in the period.\nThe brick-and-mortar video game retailer named former Amazon and Google executive Jenna Owens as its new chief operating officer.\nGameStop also acknowledged in a filing that it was considering selling additional equity shares.\nDuring a much anticipated earnings conference call that at one point reached maximum capacity, the company declined to answer questions.\n\nInvestors finally got a look atGameStop's fundamentals following a Reddit-fueled trading frenzy earlier this year and were left wanting more from the video game retailer.\nHere's what the company announced after the bell Tuesday.\n\nIt released fiscal fourth-quarter results that missedWall Street's estimates on the top and bottom lines.\nIn its latest executive shake-up, the company named former Amazon and Google executive Jenna Owens as its new chief operating officer.\nIn a hint of the transformation that’s got some investors excited about the stock, the company said global e-commerce sales jumped 175% last quarter and accounted for more than a third of its sales in the period.\nGameStop also acknowledged in a filing that it was considering selling additional equity shares to fund its transformation.\nDuring a much anticipated earnings conference call that at one point reached maximum capacity, the company declined to answer questions.\n\nShares tanked 33.8% on Wednesday on the potential share sale and disappointment that a more detailed transformation wasn’t unveiled.\n“The highly anticipated 4Q20 earnings report from GameStop was a bit anti-climatic,” wrote Telsey Advisory Group analyst Joseph Feldman. “While EPS met the consensus, it was completely driven by a tax benefit that offset much worse than expected operating profit. Moreover, while everyone was expecting big news about some massive digital transformation in the mold of the new tech-oriented board members, nothing was said.”\n“In fact, the company did not even take questions on the earnings conference call,” added Feldman. “As for the much anticipated strategic plan, it sounded like every other retailer.”\nFor the fiscal period ended January 2021, GameStop earned $1.34 per share on revenue of $2.12 billion. Wall Street was expecting earnings per share of $1.35 on revenue of $2.21 billion, according to Refinitiv’s average of the six analysts.\nGameStop’s fiscal fourth-quarter earnings typically make up the majority of the company’s yearly earnings, boosted by holiday sales. The company’s same-store sales rose 6.5% last quarter.\nThe company said it is continuing to suspend guidance, but is updating its fulfillment operations to boost the speed of its delivery and services. GameStop CEO George Sherman also revealed that February comparable store sales increased 23%, thanks to strength in hardware sales worldwide.\nAlong with the mania-fueled trading, GameStop’s stock has responded positively on new developments for the company in the past five months like the appointment ofChewyco-founder Ryan Cohen to GameStop’s board and a focus on GameStop’s technology and e-commerce transition.\nGameStop said after the bell that it continues to seek out executive talent with e-commerce, retail and technology expertise to bolster its turnaround. Sherman said on the conference call that GameStop was “focused on transforming into a customer-obsessed technology company that excites gamers.”\nEarlier this month, GameStopannounced it tapped Cohen to lead its shift to e-commerce. He is serving as chairman of a special committee formed by GameStop’s board to help its transformation. Board members Alan Attal, Chewy’s former top operations executive, and Kurt Wolf, chief investment officer of Hestia Capital Management, also serve on the committee.\n\nEarlier this year, an epic short squeeze in the company’s stock shocked Wall Street and drew attention to an emerging class of retail investor on social media platforms like Reddit. GameStop’s share price skyrocketed to $483 per share, and subsequently lost 90% of its value. The controversy drew the attention of Wall Street and Washington.\nGameStop still has a market capitalization of nearly $13 billion through Tuesday’s close, 10 times the $1.3 billion market value the stock had at the end of last year. A year ago, GameStop’s market capitalization was $245 million.\nNaming Owens as COO is the latest in a series of recent personnel moves, but it remains to be seen whether these moves and the sparse detail given Tuesday night will satisfy investors that have bid up the stock to such high levels.\nTelsey’s Feldman lowered his price target on the shares to $30 from $33 following the results. 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