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打仗两败俱伤
@大叔观点时间:俄乌交战中的筹码都值几个钱？
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2022-03-13
这篇文章不错，转发给大家看
@从九千到九千万:2022/2/27 九千万美股分析——逢高就空?（精选）
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МосБиржи）是俄罗斯股市以卢布计价的基准。MOEX从开战之前就开始跌，光关市前的2周，就跌了32%。大叔认为这次军事行动总要过去，双方达成和解方案的可能性很高，股市最终也就会恢复交易。于是大叔也想参与一把“特殊行动”，捡个便宜货。MOEX指数在美国无法交易，于是看上了RSX。RSX是跟踪俄罗斯指数、规模最大的ETF之一。ETF按被投公司市值加权，由VanEck基金管理公司发行管理，在美国CBOE交易所交易。最重要的是，ETF有相应的期权，大叔喜欢。3月3日，VanEck宣布暂停增设新股，3月4日，CBOE交易所停止了RSX的交易。RSX从2月中旬的25.5到3月3日的5.65，下降了78%。有趣的是，虽然RSX本身3月4日停止交易，可是它的期权当天还可以交易，于是大叔做了两笔交易：1. 3月3日卖了3月11日到期（1周后）、strike=3的put，收入期权费0.5；2. 3月4日卖了3月18日到期（2周后）、strike=2的put，收入期权费0.4。3和2的Strikes和3月3日5.65的收盘价比，都是价外期权（o","text":"自2月24日俄罗斯对乌克兰进行“特殊行动计划”已经3周了，乌克兰战火纷飞，而俄罗斯，则经受了西方社会史无前例的经济制裁，包括禁止进口奢侈品、伏特加、禁飞、冻结俄罗斯寡头资产、禁止进口俄石油、冻结俄罗斯央行资产、排除部分俄罗斯银行在Swift系统之外（用于跨境转移资金的国际金融信息系统）。不得不说，手段稳准狠，俄罗斯即刻被孤立在西方经济系统之外，贸易、资金的进出受到严重堵塞。俄罗斯的反围堵也很快：首先，禁止出口200多种产品；其次，将利率提高了一倍以上，以试图阻止卢布贬值；最后，在25日，开打的第二天，关闭莫斯科股票交易所。MOEX俄罗斯指数（俄语：Индекс МосБиржи）是俄罗斯股市以卢布计价的基准。MOEX从开战之前就开始跌，光关市前的2周，就跌了32%。大叔认为这次军事行动总要过去，双方达成和解方案的可能性很高，股市最终也就会恢复交易。于是大叔也想参与一把“特殊行动”，捡个便宜货。MOEX指数在美国无法交易，于是看上了RSX。RSX是跟踪俄罗斯指数、规模最大的ETF之一。ETF按被投公司市值加权，由VanEck基金管理公司发行管理，在美国CBOE交易所交易。最重要的是，ETF有相应的期权，大叔喜欢。3月3日，VanEck宣布暂停增设新股，3月4日，CBOE交易所停止了RSX的交易。RSX从2月中旬的25.5到3月3日的5.65，下降了78%。有趣的是，虽然RSX本身3月4日停止交易，可是它的期权当天还可以交易，于是大叔做了两笔交易：1. 3月3日卖了3月11日到期（1周后）、strike=3的put，收入期权费0.5；2. 3月4日卖了3月18日到期（2周后）、strike=2的put，收入期权费0.4。3和2的Strikes和3月3日5.65的收盘价比，都是价外期权（o","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4220b9015d783bba31859de58446502f","width":"632","height":"269"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaf3f504b3b25efa03763b1e783140b3","width":"632","height":"313"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a29b7e4a7d97f63dc443e58756b069b5","width":"632","height":"190"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/634291634","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635551432,"gmtCreate":1647133464045,"gmtModify":1647133464045,"author":{"id":"3576198525547752","authorId":"3576198525547752","name":"我是一个大宝贝","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576198525547752","idStr":"3576198525547752"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635551432","repostId":"636583771","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":636583771,"gmtCreate":1646011654092,"gmtModify":1646030254025,"author":{"id":"3476843710285521","authorId":"3476843710285521","name":"从九千到九千万","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/521140bf022c3de9c2122f982d47a32d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3476843710285521","idStr":"3476843710285521"},"themes":[],"title":"2022/2/27 九千万美股分析——逢高就空?（精选）","htmlText":"Hello大家好，这里是九千君。今天是2月27号，标准普尔 500 指数周五收盘上涨 +2.24%，道琼斯工业指数收盘上涨 +2.51%，纳斯达克 100 指数收盘+1.53%。周五美国股指连续第二天温和上涨。周五，俄罗斯总统普京准备授权与乌克兰就该国可能的中立地位进行谈判，周五股市获得支撑。这一消息发布之际，俄罗斯军队在普京下令入侵的第二天，正在逼近乌克兰首都基辅。由于美国经济数据大多好于预期，周五股市也获得支撑。个股来看的话，周五基本上普遍回升，其中SQ暴涨26%，AAPL TSLA也有近1.3%的涨幅，根据一种简单的理论。在整体下降的大盘面前，高位去买一下投机性的PUT，也许会有很好的收益。从目前SPY的日线来看，我认为还是有大概率的下跌风险。整体上建议小仓位和观望为主，MACD的交叉也许预示着4月前会有10%以上的跌幅。记得注意控制自己的头寸，耐心等待机会，才会持续盈利。本周九千万的交易记录已经更新，大家可以在https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1jE4dDcPrPzS-8KvPn6FGiaUJkIFxrFer5WD9kYZEZ18/edit?usp=sharing上看到完整的交易记录。（以上交易均为“从九千到九千万美股社区”实时交易喊单，仅供参考。对我们的VIP服务感兴趣，可以关注公众号：从九千到九千万，获取更多资讯。）个股部分，AMD上周收盘121附近，周四跌至104之后反转，我认为在大环境没有问题的情况下，100-110附近基本上是今年的底部，如果3月份大盘没有暴跌的话，应该会在3月看到125-128的区间。跌破100基本会迅速跌落95。AMZN<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> 收盘价3075附","listText":"Hello大家好，这里是九千君。今天是2月27号，标准普尔 500 指数周五收盘上涨 +2.24%，道琼斯工业指数收盘上涨 +2.51%，纳斯达克 100 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TSLA也有近1.3%的涨幅，根据一种简单的理论。在整体下降的大盘面前，高位去买一下投机性的PUT，也许会有很好的收益。从目前SPY的日线来看，我认为还是有大概率的下跌风险。整体上建议小仓位和观望为主，MACD的交叉也许预示着4月前会有10%以上的跌幅。记得注意控制自己的头寸，耐心等待机会，才会持续盈利。本周九千万的交易记录已经更新，大家可以在https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1jE4dDcPrPzS-8KvPn6FGiaUJkIFxrFer5WD9kYZEZ18/edit?usp=sharing上看到完整的交易记录。（以上交易均为“从九千到九千万美股社区”实时交易喊单，仅供参考。对我们的VIP服务感兴趣，可以关注公众号：从九千到九千万，获取更多资讯。）个股部分，AMD上周收盘121附近，周四跌至104之后反转，我认为在大环境没有问题的情况下，100-110附近基本上是今年的底部，如果3月份大盘没有暴跌的话，应该会在3月看到125-128的区间。跌破100基本会迅速跌落95。AMZN$亚马逊(AMZN)$ 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九千万美股分析——逢高就空?（精选）","htmlText":"Hello大家好，这里是九千君。今天是2月27号，标准普尔 500 指数周五收盘上涨 +2.24%，道琼斯工业指数收盘上涨 +2.51%，纳斯达克 100 指数收盘+1.53%。周五美国股指连续第二天温和上涨。周五，俄罗斯总统普京准备授权与乌克兰就该国可能的中立地位进行谈判，周五股市获得支撑。这一消息发布之际，俄罗斯军队在普京下令入侵的第二天，正在逼近乌克兰首都基辅。由于美国经济数据大多好于预期，周五股市也获得支撑。个股来看的话，周五基本上普遍回升，其中SQ暴涨26%，AAPL TSLA也有近1.3%的涨幅，根据一种简单的理论。在整体下降的大盘面前，高位去买一下投机性的PUT，也许会有很好的收益。从目前SPY的日线来看，我认为还是有大概率的下跌风险。整体上建议小仓位和观望为主，MACD的交叉也许预示着4月前会有10%以上的跌幅。记得注意控制自己的头寸，耐心等待机会，才会持续盈利。本周九千万的交易记录已经更新，大家可以在https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1jE4dDcPrPzS-8KvPn6FGiaUJkIFxrFer5WD9kYZEZ18/edit?usp=sharing上看到完整的交易记录。（以上交易均为“从九千到九千万美股社区”实时交易喊单，仅供参考。对我们的VIP服务感兴趣，可以关注公众号：从九千到九千万，获取更多资讯。）个股部分，AMD上周收盘121附近，周四跌至104之后反转，我认为在大环境没有问题的情况下，100-110附近基本上是今年的底部，如果3月份大盘没有暴跌的话，应该会在3月看到125-128的区间。跌破100基本会迅速跌落95。AMZN<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> 收盘价3075附","listText":"Hello大家好，这里是九千君。今天是2月27号，标准普尔 500 指数周五收盘上涨 +2.24%，道琼斯工业指数收盘上涨 +2.51%，纳斯达克 100 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TSLA也有近1.3%的涨幅，根据一种简单的理论。在整体下降的大盘面前，高位去买一下投机性的PUT，也许会有很好的收益。从目前SPY的日线来看，我认为还是有大概率的下跌风险。整体上建议小仓位和观望为主，MACD的交叉也许预示着4月前会有10%以上的跌幅。记得注意控制自己的头寸，耐心等待机会，才会持续盈利。本周九千万的交易记录已经更新，大家可以在https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1jE4dDcPrPzS-8KvPn6FGiaUJkIFxrFer5WD9kYZEZ18/edit?usp=sharing上看到完整的交易记录。（以上交易均为“从九千到九千万美股社区”实时交易喊单，仅供参考。对我们的VIP服务感兴趣，可以关注公众号：从九千到九千万，获取更多资讯。）个股部分，AMD上周收盘121附近，周四跌至104之后反转，我认为在大环境没有问题的情况下，100-110附近基本上是今年的底部，如果3月份大盘没有暴跌的话，应该会在3月看到125-128的区间。跌破100基本会迅速跌落95。AMZN$亚马逊(AMZN)$ 收盘价3075附","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df77f301d26d6b8d110d49c86c909102","width":"1107","height":"244"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/636583771","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635551268,"gmtCreate":1647133444345,"gmtModify":1647133444345,"author":{"id":"3576198525547752","authorId":"3576198525547752","name":"我是一个大宝贝","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576198525547752","idStr":"3576198525547752"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635551268","repostId":"632942849","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":632942849,"gmtCreate":1646214905941,"gmtModify":1646264074427,"author":{"id":"3582524673862453","authorId":"3582524673862453","name":"库巴财经","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582524673862453","idStr":"3582524673862453"},"themes":[],"title":"股市里最大的穷人思维就是，我只要每天赚1个点，一年就能3倍了","htmlText":"股市里最大的穷人思维就是，如果我每天能赚1个点，一年就能3倍，日积月累下去就可以实现财富自由。如果你脑袋里有这个想法，我得给你泼盆冷水，因为每天赚一个点是一个不可能实现的情况。大多时候，我们的账户是今天赚1个点，明天亏5个点，后天赚3个点，然后继续亏10个点，账户资金稳定下滑。真正能在这个市场赚到钱的人，脑袋里是没有这种每天赚一个点的思维的。想在股市赚到钱的前提有两个，一个是要学会择机重仓，一个是要学会熬得住。择机重仓是什么？是在这个市场看到机会要敢于重仓，因为重仓是改变收益的唯一途径，交易中最大的一次获利决定了一个人能否在这个市场中赚到钱。在这个市场有一个定律，那就是80%的收益，都是在20%的时间里完成的，其余的时间要么在躺平，要么在煎熬。 熬得住是什么呢？当你发现机会并买入知乎，你必须要熬到属于你的那个风口出现的那一天。就像张坤长期重仓白酒，葛兰长期重仓医药一样，他们都等来了自己的高光时刻。所以在这个市场，一定要有赚大钱的豪情，也要有10年饮冰，难凉热血的气魄。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600519\">$贵州茅台(600519)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600276\">$恒瑞医药(600276)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> ","listText":"股市里最大的穷人思维就是，如果我每天能赚1个点，一年就能3倍，日积月累下去就可以实现财富自由。如果你脑袋里有这个想法，我得给你泼盆冷水，因为每天赚一个点是一个不可能实现的情况。大多时候，我们的账户是今天赚1个点，明天亏5个点，后天赚3个点，然后继续亏10个点，账户资金稳定下滑。真正能在这个市场赚到钱的人，脑袋里是没有这种每天赚一个点的思维的。想在股市赚到钱的前提有两个，一个是要学会择机重仓，一个是要学会熬得住。择机重仓是什么？是在这个市场看到机会要敢于重仓，因为重仓是改变收益的唯一途径，交易中最大的一次获利决定了一个人能否在这个市场中赚到钱。在这个市场有一个定律，那就是80%的收益，都是在20%的时间里完成的，其余的时间要么在躺平，要么在煎熬。 熬得住是什么呢？当你发现机会并买入知乎，你必须要熬到属于你的那个风口出现的那一天。就像张坤长期重仓白酒，葛兰长期重仓医药一样，他们都等来了自己的高光时刻。所以在这个市场，一定要有赚大钱的豪情，也要有10年饮冰，难凉热血的气魄。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600519\">$贵州茅台(600519)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600276\">$恒瑞医药(600276)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> ","text":"股市里最大的穷人思维就是，如果我每天能赚1个点，一年就能3倍，日积月累下去就可以实现财富自由。如果你脑袋里有这个想法，我得给你泼盆冷水，因为每天赚一个点是一个不可能实现的情况。大多时候，我们的账户是今天赚1个点，明天亏5个点，后天赚3个点，然后继续亏10个点，账户资金稳定下滑。真正能在这个市场赚到钱的人，脑袋里是没有这种每天赚一个点的思维的。想在股市赚到钱的前提有两个，一个是要学会择机重仓，一个是要学会熬得住。择机重仓是什么？是在这个市场看到机会要敢于重仓，因为重仓是改变收益的唯一途径，交易中最大的一次获利决定了一个人能否在这个市场中赚到钱。在这个市场有一个定律，那就是80%的收益，都是在20%的时间里完成的，其余的时间要么在躺平，要么在煎熬。 熬得住是什么呢？当你发现机会并买入知乎，你必须要熬到属于你的那个风口出现的那一天。就像张坤长期重仓白酒，葛兰长期重仓医药一样，他们都等来了自己的高光时刻。所以在这个市场，一定要有赚大钱的豪情，也要有10年饮冰，难凉热血的气魄。$贵州茅台(600519)$ $恒瑞医药(600276)$ $腾讯控股(00700)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/632942849","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635551633,"gmtCreate":1647133432453,"gmtModify":1647133432453,"author":{"id":"3576198525547752","authorId":"3576198525547752","name":"我是一个大宝贝","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576198525547752","idStr":"3576198525547752"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635551633","repostId":"632130534","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":632130534,"gmtCreate":1646286225006,"gmtModify":1646318908406,"author":{"id":"21347731130544","authorId":"21347731130544","name":"价值投资为王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"21347731130544","idStr":"21347731130544"},"themes":[],"title":"抄底俄铝，富贵险中求？","htmlText":"2月28日，我发了一篇俄铝的分析文章--《<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/636435110\" target=\"_blank\">抄底俄罗斯？这支标的最纯正！</a>》，此文偏向于基本面分析。当时，俄铝从最高点仅回落39%，跌幅远小于俄罗斯股指和其他海外上市的俄罗斯股票。随着俄乌战局的恶化和谈判了无进展，欧美开始加码制裁。一开始是常规手段，驱逐外交官，禁止贸易往来，即使后来升级到互关领空，也都在预期之内。但随后，制裁升级，俄罗斯在海外上市的股票或相关ETF遭到交易限制，其中，俄罗斯联邦储蓄银行Sberbank在伦敦跌幅达90%，年初以来跌幅高达99%，股价跌至1美分，几乎清零！在美股的俄罗斯etf也遭到机构抛弃，富时罗素昨日发布声明称，由于客户无法在市场上交易俄股，将从所有富时罗素股票指数中剔除俄罗斯企业股票，自3月7日开盘起生效。俄罗斯全球存托凭证（GDR）将以3月4日（周五）的正式收盘价被删除。联想到苹果和谷歌关闭在俄罗斯相关的功能，如支付，甚至动物协会都在禁止与俄罗斯相关的交易，目前欧美对俄罗斯的制裁已经是无所不及。这种情况，恐怕是抄底的散户未曾想到的。如韩国投资者在俄乌开战之后，蜂拥抄底韩国唯一一只聚焦俄罗斯股票的ETF—— Kindex MSCI Russia ETF，目前基本被埋：虽然有暂停交易的风险，但俄铝今日在港股仍然大涨了15%，至此，俄乌开战，俄铝下跌幅度达到55%。虽然腰斩，但相比其他俄罗斯股票已经是善待了，这可能跟俄铝在港股上市有关。毕竟欧美的制裁，尚且不会影响到港交所跟进。港股作为全球金融中心，外资占比较大，不排除有欧美机构从俄铝上撤离，但显然不会出现俄罗斯联邦储蓄银行Sberbank在伦敦近乎清零的局面。俄铝此次危机中跌幅十分克制，也与公司主业有关，目前俄铝是除中国以外，最大的铝生产商，来自欧洲的收入占俄铝","listText":"2月28日，我发了一篇俄铝的分析文章--《<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/636435110\" target=\"_blank\">抄底俄罗斯？这支标的最纯正！</a>》，此文偏向于基本面分析。当时，俄铝从最高点仅回落39%，跌幅远小于俄罗斯股指和其他海外上市的俄罗斯股票。随着俄乌战局的恶化和谈判了无进展，欧美开始加码制裁。一开始是常规手段，驱逐外交官，禁止贸易往来，即使后来升级到互关领空，也都在预期之内。但随后，制裁升级，俄罗斯在海外上市的股票或相关ETF遭到交易限制，其中，俄罗斯联邦储蓄银行Sberbank在伦敦跌幅达90%，年初以来跌幅高达99%，股价跌至1美分，几乎清零！在美股的俄罗斯etf也遭到机构抛弃，富时罗素昨日发布声明称，由于客户无法在市场上交易俄股，将从所有富时罗素股票指数中剔除俄罗斯企业股票，自3月7日开盘起生效。俄罗斯全球存托凭证（GDR）将以3月4日（周五）的正式收盘价被删除。联想到苹果和谷歌关闭在俄罗斯相关的功能，如支付，甚至动物协会都在禁止与俄罗斯相关的交易，目前欧美对俄罗斯的制裁已经是无所不及。这种情况，恐怕是抄底的散户未曾想到的。如韩国投资者在俄乌开战之后，蜂拥抄底韩国唯一一只聚焦俄罗斯股票的ETF—— Kindex MSCI Russia ETF，目前基本被埋：虽然有暂停交易的风险，但俄铝今日在港股仍然大涨了15%，至此，俄乌开战，俄铝下跌幅度达到55%。虽然腰斩，但相比其他俄罗斯股票已经是善待了，这可能跟俄铝在港股上市有关。毕竟欧美的制裁，尚且不会影响到港交所跟进。港股作为全球金融中心，外资占比较大，不排除有欧美机构从俄铝上撤离，但显然不会出现俄罗斯联邦储蓄银行Sberbank在伦敦近乎清零的局面。俄铝此次危机中跌幅十分克制，也与公司主业有关，目前俄铝是除中国以外，最大的铝生产商，来自欧洲的收入占俄铝","text":"2月28日，我发了一篇俄铝的分析文章--《抄底俄罗斯？这支标的最纯正！》，此文偏向于基本面分析。当时，俄铝从最高点仅回落39%，跌幅远小于俄罗斯股指和其他海外上市的俄罗斯股票。随着俄乌战局的恶化和谈判了无进展，欧美开始加码制裁。一开始是常规手段，驱逐外交官，禁止贸易往来，即使后来升级到互关领空，也都在预期之内。但随后，制裁升级，俄罗斯在海外上市的股票或相关ETF遭到交易限制，其中，俄罗斯联邦储蓄银行Sberbank在伦敦跌幅达90%，年初以来跌幅高达99%，股价跌至1美分，几乎清零！在美股的俄罗斯etf也遭到机构抛弃，富时罗素昨日发布声明称，由于客户无法在市场上交易俄股，将从所有富时罗素股票指数中剔除俄罗斯企业股票，自3月7日开盘起生效。俄罗斯全球存托凭证（GDR）将以3月4日（周五）的正式收盘价被删除。联想到苹果和谷歌关闭在俄罗斯相关的功能，如支付，甚至动物协会都在禁止与俄罗斯相关的交易，目前欧美对俄罗斯的制裁已经是无所不及。这种情况，恐怕是抄底的散户未曾想到的。如韩国投资者在俄乌开战之后，蜂拥抄底韩国唯一一只聚焦俄罗斯股票的ETF—— Kindex MSCI Russia 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МосБиржи）是俄罗斯股市以卢布计价的基准。MOEX从开战之前就开始跌，光关市前的2周，就跌了32%。大叔认为这次军事行动总要过去，双方达成和解方案的可能性很高，股市最终也就会恢复交易。于是大叔也想参与一把“特殊行动”，捡个便宜货。MOEX指数在美国无法交易，于是看上了RSX。RSX是跟踪俄罗斯指数、规模最大的ETF之一。ETF按被投公司市值加权，由VanEck基金管理公司发行管理，在美国CBOE交易所交易。最重要的是，ETF有相应的期权，大叔喜欢。3月3日，VanEck宣布暂停增设新股，3月4日，CBOE交易所停止了RSX的交易。RSX从2月中旬的25.5到3月3日的5.65，下降了78%。有趣的是，虽然RSX本身3月4日停止交易，可是它的期权当天还可以交易，于是大叔做了两笔交易：1. 3月3日卖了3月11日到期（1周后）、strike=3的put，收入期权费0.5；2. 3月4日卖了3月18日到期（2周后）、strike=2的put，收入期权费0.4。3和2的Strikes和3月3日5.65的收盘价比，都是价外期权（o","text":"自2月24日俄罗斯对乌克兰进行“特殊行动计划”已经3周了，乌克兰战火纷飞，而俄罗斯，则经受了西方社会史无前例的经济制裁，包括禁止进口奢侈品、伏特加、禁飞、冻结俄罗斯寡头资产、禁止进口俄石油、冻结俄罗斯央行资产、排除部分俄罗斯银行在Swift系统之外（用于跨境转移资金的国际金融信息系统）。不得不说，手段稳准狠，俄罗斯即刻被孤立在西方经济系统之外，贸易、资金的进出受到严重堵塞。俄罗斯的反围堵也很快：首先，禁止出口200多种产品；其次，将利率提高了一倍以上，以试图阻止卢布贬值；最后，在25日，开打的第二天，关闭莫斯科股票交易所。MOEX俄罗斯指数（俄语：Индекс МосБиржи）是俄罗斯股市以卢布计价的基准。MOEX从开战之前就开始跌，光关市前的2周，就跌了32%。大叔认为这次军事行动总要过去，双方达成和解方案的可能性很高，股市最终也就会恢复交易。于是大叔也想参与一把“特殊行动”，捡个便宜货。MOEX指数在美国无法交易，于是看上了RSX。RSX是跟踪俄罗斯指数、规模最大的ETF之一。ETF按被投公司市值加权，由VanEck基金管理公司发行管理，在美国CBOE交易所交易。最重要的是，ETF有相应的期权，大叔喜欢。3月3日，VanEck宣布暂停增设新股，3月4日，CBOE交易所停止了RSX的交易。RSX从2月中旬的25.5到3月3日的5.65，下降了78%。有趣的是，虽然RSX本身3月4日停止交易，可是它的期权当天还可以交易，于是大叔做了两笔交易：1. 3月3日卖了3月11日到期（1周后）、strike=3的put，收入期权费0.5；2. 3月4日卖了3月18日到期（2周后）、strike=2的put，收入期权费0.4。3和2的Strikes和3月3日5.65的收盘价比，都是价外期权（o","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4220b9015d783bba31859de58446502f","width":"632","height":"269"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaf3f504b3b25efa03763b1e783140b3","width":"632","height":"313"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a29b7e4a7d97f63dc443e58756b069b5","width":"632","height":"190"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/634291634","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635551432,"gmtCreate":1647133464045,"gmtModify":1647133464045,"author":{"id":"3576198525547752","authorId":"3576198525547752","name":"我是一个大宝贝","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576198525547752","authorIdStr":"3576198525547752"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635551432","repostId":"636583771","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":636583771,"gmtCreate":1646011654092,"gmtModify":1646030254025,"author":{"id":"3476843710285521","authorId":"3476843710285521","name":"从九千到九千万","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/521140bf022c3de9c2122f982d47a32d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3476843710285521","authorIdStr":"3476843710285521"},"themes":[],"title":"2022/2/27 九千万美股分析——逢高就空?（精选）","htmlText":"Hello大家好，这里是九千君。今天是2月27号，标准普尔 500 指数周五收盘上涨 +2.24%，道琼斯工业指数收盘上涨 +2.51%，纳斯达克 100 指数收盘+1.53%。周五美国股指连续第二天温和上涨。周五，俄罗斯总统普京准备授权与乌克兰就该国可能的中立地位进行谈判，周五股市获得支撑。这一消息发布之际，俄罗斯军队在普京下令入侵的第二天，正在逼近乌克兰首都基辅。由于美国经济数据大多好于预期，周五股市也获得支撑。个股来看的话，周五基本上普遍回升，其中SQ暴涨26%，AAPL TSLA也有近1.3%的涨幅，根据一种简单的理论。在整体下降的大盘面前，高位去买一下投机性的PUT，也许会有很好的收益。从目前SPY的日线来看，我认为还是有大概率的下跌风险。整体上建议小仓位和观望为主，MACD的交叉也许预示着4月前会有10%以上的跌幅。记得注意控制自己的头寸，耐心等待机会，才会持续盈利。本周九千万的交易记录已经更新，大家可以在https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1jE4dDcPrPzS-8KvPn6FGiaUJkIFxrFer5WD9kYZEZ18/edit?usp=sharing上看到完整的交易记录。（以上交易均为“从九千到九千万美股社区”实时交易喊单，仅供参考。对我们的VIP服务感兴趣，可以关注公众号：从九千到九千万，获取更多资讯。）个股部分，AMD上周收盘121附近，周四跌至104之后反转，我认为在大环境没有问题的情况下，100-110附近基本上是今年的底部，如果3月份大盘没有暴跌的话，应该会在3月看到125-128的区间。跌破100基本会迅速跌落95。AMZN<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> 收盘价3075附","listText":"Hello大家好，这里是九千君。今天是2月27号，标准普尔 500 指数周五收盘上涨 +2.24%，道琼斯工业指数收盘上涨 +2.51%，纳斯达克 100 指数收盘+1.53%。周五美国股指连续第二天温和上涨。周五，俄罗斯总统普京准备授权与乌克兰就该国可能的中立地位进行谈判，周五股市获得支撑。这一消息发布之际，俄罗斯军队在普京下令入侵的第二天，正在逼近乌克兰首都基辅。由于美国经济数据大多好于预期，周五股市也获得支撑。个股来看的话，周五基本上普遍回升，其中SQ暴涨26%，AAPL TSLA也有近1.3%的涨幅，根据一种简单的理论。在整体下降的大盘面前，高位去买一下投机性的PUT，也许会有很好的收益。从目前SPY的日线来看，我认为还是有大概率的下跌风险。整体上建议小仓位和观望为主，MACD的交叉也许预示着4月前会有10%以上的跌幅。记得注意控制自己的头寸，耐心等待机会，才会持续盈利。本周九千万的交易记录已经更新，大家可以在https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1jE4dDcPrPzS-8KvPn6FGiaUJkIFxrFer5WD9kYZEZ18/edit?usp=sharing上看到完整的交易记录。（以上交易均为“从九千到九千万美股社区”实时交易喊单，仅供参考。对我们的VIP服务感兴趣，可以关注公众号：从九千到九千万，获取更多资讯。）个股部分，AMD上周收盘121附近，周四跌至104之后反转，我认为在大环境没有问题的情况下，100-110附近基本上是今年的底部，如果3月份大盘没有暴跌的话，应该会在3月看到125-128的区间。跌破100基本会迅速跌落95。AMZN<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> 收盘价3075附","text":"Hello大家好，这里是九千君。今天是2月27号，标准普尔 500 指数周五收盘上涨 +2.24%，道琼斯工业指数收盘上涨 +2.51%，纳斯达克 100 指数收盘+1.53%。周五美国股指连续第二天温和上涨。周五，俄罗斯总统普京准备授权与乌克兰就该国可能的中立地位进行谈判，周五股市获得支撑。这一消息发布之际，俄罗斯军队在普京下令入侵的第二天，正在逼近乌克兰首都基辅。由于美国经济数据大多好于预期，周五股市也获得支撑。个股来看的话，周五基本上普遍回升，其中SQ暴涨26%，AAPL TSLA也有近1.3%的涨幅，根据一种简单的理论。在整体下降的大盘面前，高位去买一下投机性的PUT，也许会有很好的收益。从目前SPY的日线来看，我认为还是有大概率的下跌风险。整体上建议小仓位和观望为主，MACD的交叉也许预示着4月前会有10%以上的跌幅。记得注意控制自己的头寸，耐心等待机会，才会持续盈利。本周九千万的交易记录已经更新，大家可以在https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1jE4dDcPrPzS-8KvPn6FGiaUJkIFxrFer5WD9kYZEZ18/edit?usp=sharing上看到完整的交易记录。（以上交易均为“从九千到九千万美股社区”实时交易喊单，仅供参考。对我们的VIP服务感兴趣，可以关注公众号：从九千到九千万，获取更多资讯。）个股部分，AMD上周收盘121附近，周四跌至104之后反转，我认为在大环境没有问题的情况下，100-110附近基本上是今年的底部，如果3月份大盘没有暴跌的话，应该会在3月看到125-128的区间。跌破100基本会迅速跌落95。AMZN$亚马逊(AMZN)$ 收盘价3075附","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df77f301d26d6b8d110d49c86c909102","width":"1107","height":"244"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/636583771","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
