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田岚
2021-07-19
[微笑] [微笑]
@价值投资为王:财报前瞻:台积电Q2扑街,阿斯麦能否独善其身?
田岚
2021-07-02
总算反弹了
田岚
2021-06-29
启动[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷]
田岚
2021-06-28
启动,好好把握
田岚
2021-06-26
$小米集团-W(01810)$
[得意] [得意] [得意] [得意] [得意]
田岚
2021-06-24
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@价值投资为王:奈雪的茶估值贵吗?会不会破发?
田岚
2021-06-24
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@老虎专刊:【老虎周刊】老虎社区一周十大精华文章
田岚
2021-06-24
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@小虎老师:想抄底别直接买,教你一个巴菲特最爱的抄底方式
田岚
2021-06-24
[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]
田岚
2021-06-23
有点起色了
田岚
2021-06-22
$小米集团-W(01810)$
[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]
田岚
2021-06-22
走的不错。坚持持有
田岚
2021-06-20
$小米集团-W(01810)$
还不错
田岚
2021-06-20
可以做一波反弹
田岚
2021-06-16
$小米集团-W(01810)$
还不错
田岚
2021-06-15
可以获利了结了
田岚
2021-06-14
上升趋势,走的多飘亮
田岚
2021-06-13
$小米集团-W(01810)$
晒晒
田岚
2021-06-11
$小米集团-W(01810)$
[微笑] [微笑] [微笑]
田岚
2021-06-08
[开心] [开心] [开心] [开心]
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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Q1业绩回顾! 阿斯麦在一季度的业绩可谓炸裂,营收同比暴增78.8%,创下近五年来最快单季增速,总收入达到43.64亿欧元。 从收入构成来看,阿斯麦主要有两部分收入来源,一个是系统销售收入,主要是EUV和DUV光刻机的销售,另外一部分是软件和服务收入,如计算光刻的软件以及光刻机的维修升级服务等。 在一季度中,带动阿斯麦营收实现暴增的主要功臣是系统收入。当季营收规模达到31.29亿欧元,同比暴增97.5%。 软件和服务收入斩获12.35亿欧元,同比增长44.1%。 在一季度,阿斯麦销售了76台光刻机,其中EUV7台、ArFi24台、ArFdry4台、KrF35台、I-Line6台,DUV依然是主流。 受益于疫情,全球都在进行数字化转型,5G、人工智能和高性能计算迎来大发展,大幅推动了半导体设备的需求。 强劲的需求一度造成芯片慌,因此,阿斯麦下游客户台积电、英特尔等都在疯狂扩产。 如台积电2021年的资本开支上调为300亿美元,远高于2020年的170亿,并且台积电计划未来3年投入1000亿美元进行扩产。 台积电的对手英特尔也在2021年宣布大举扩张,计划投资200亿美元建设晶圆厂。 强劲的需求,对阿斯麦的业绩产生强劲的支撑,","text":"昨日,$台积电(TSM)$打响了大型半导体科技股Q2财报第一枪,虽然营收超出市场预期,但毛利率恶化,净利润增速不及预期,股价大跌5.5%。 这一糟糕的态势拖累了阿斯麦、英伟达等一众半导体概念股。 在7月21日(下周三),光刻机龙头$阿斯麦(ASML)$将公布二季度财报,在今年股价大涨44%的情况下,二季度财报能否摆脱台积电阴霾? 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[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] ","listText":"启动[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷] ","text":"启动[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a>[得意] [得意] [得意] [得意] [得意] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a>[得意] [得意] [得意] [得意] [得意] ","text":"$小米集团-W(01810)$[得意] [得意] [得意] [得意] [得意]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b02a8d485c85d6ddec9a6b0399bf1e91","width":"1242","height":"2151"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124912864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1598,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":128114962,"gmtCreate":1624505762356,"gmtModify":1624505762356,"author":{"id":"3575963263967282","authorId":"3575963263967282","authorIdStr":"3575963263967282","name":"田岚","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d20c9bb723acba057fab0a1eb9af0216","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128114962","repostId":"166832841","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":166832841,"gmtCreate":1624000957779,"gmtModify":1624011760435,"author":{"id":"21347731130544","authorId":"21347731130544","authorIdStr":"21347731130544","name":"价值投资为王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"奈雪的茶估值贵吗?会不会破发?","htmlText":"奈雪今日开始招股,不同于时代天使,网上抵制奈雪的声音较多,主要理由有几个: 1. 奶茶品类竞争者众,奈雪不是老大。 高端现制奶茶目前的老大是喜茶,虽未上市,但喜茶主打小店,盈利能力略胜一筹,加上营销力不错,奈雪只能当老二。 除了喜茶和奈雪之外,茶颜悦色、乐乐茶、伏见桃山等品牌紧随其后。 奶茶是个好品类,但是一个没有门槛的品类,在商业赛道上,奈雪败了一道! 2. 奈雪产品贵,但公司还在亏损。 一杯奶茶要25元+,卖的这么贵,消费者想当然认为这是一个暴利生意,但奈雪却连年亏损。 3. 340亿港币市值有点高! 赛道上的缺陷,加上作为奶茶第一股,奈雪没有可以对标的公司,因此,多数抵制奈雪的人认为340亿港币的估值有点太高了。 从基石上看,奈雪这次引入的多是基金公司,确实没有实力靠前的机构,与喜茶腾讯、IDG和高瓴的阵容相比,确实差了些。 那奈雪的茶到底值不值得打新?首日又会不会破发? 没有同行上市,因此,比估值只能拿星巴克来PK。 星巴克1992年6月登陆美股,PE在上市之后不久达到97倍,资本市场认为咖啡赛道极佳,加上门店快速扩张,估值一路上行。 在2001年,星巴克大举扩张海外,打开市场想象空间,估值最高达到141PE。 金融危机之后,星巴克的快速扩张告一段落,营收增速下滑,估值维持在30倍左右。 从星巴克发展历程看,在高速扩张阶段,公司估值将明显偏高,犹如奈雪的茶当下的定位。 根据奈雪的计划,其计划在2021年及2022年分别开设约300间及350间奈雪的茶茶饮店,且预期在2023年新开设的数量不低于2022年。 也即是说,未来2年,奈雪将处于高速扩张期间,估值恐将保持在高位。 由于奈雪尚未盈利,因此采用PS估值做对比,奈雪假设2021年店铺数量能达到791家,营收粗略估计为50亿人民币,则PS估值为5.","listText":"奈雪今日开始招股,不同于时代天使,网上抵制奈雪的声音较多,主要理由有几个: 1. 奶茶品类竞争者众,奈雪不是老大。 高端现制奶茶目前的老大是喜茶,虽未上市,但喜茶主打小店,盈利能力略胜一筹,加上营销力不错,奈雪只能当老二。 除了喜茶和奈雪之外,茶颜悦色、乐乐茶、伏见桃山等品牌紧随其后。 奶茶是个好品类,但是一个没有门槛的品类,在商业赛道上,奈雪败了一道! 2. 奈雪产品贵,但公司还在亏损。 一杯奶茶要25元+,卖的这么贵,消费者想当然认为这是一个暴利生意,但奈雪却连年亏损。 3. 340亿港币市值有点高! 赛道上的缺陷,加上作为奶茶第一股,奈雪没有可以对标的公司,因此,多数抵制奈雪的人认为340亿港币的估值有点太高了。 从基石上看,奈雪这次引入的多是基金公司,确实没有实力靠前的机构,与喜茶腾讯、IDG和高瓴的阵容相比,确实差了些。 那奈雪的茶到底值不值得打新?首日又会不会破发? 没有同行上市,因此,比估值只能拿星巴克来PK。 星巴克1992年6月登陆美股,PE在上市之后不久达到97倍,资本市场认为咖啡赛道极佳,加上门店快速扩张,估值一路上行。 在2001年,星巴克大举扩张海外,打开市场想象空间,估值最高达到141PE。 金融危机之后,星巴克的快速扩张告一段落,营收增速下滑,估值维持在30倍左右。 从星巴克发展历程看,在高速扩张阶段,公司估值将明显偏高,犹如奈雪的茶当下的定位。 根据奈雪的计划,其计划在2021年及2022年分别开设约300间及350间奈雪的茶茶饮店,且预期在2023年新开设的数量不低于2022年。 也即是说,未来2年,奈雪将处于高速扩张期间,估值恐将保持在高位。 由于奈雪尚未盈利,因此采用PS估值做对比,奈雪假设2021年店铺数量能达到791家,营收粗略估计为50亿人民币,则PS估值为5.","text":"奈雪今日开始招股,不同于时代天使,网上抵制奈雪的声音较多,主要理由有几个: 1. 奶茶品类竞争者众,奈雪不是老大。 高端现制奶茶目前的老大是喜茶,虽未上市,但喜茶主打小店,盈利能力略胜一筹,加上营销力不错,奈雪只能当老二。 除了喜茶和奈雪之外,茶颜悦色、乐乐茶、伏见桃山等品牌紧随其后。 奶茶是个好品类,但是一个没有门槛的品类,在商业赛道上,奈雪败了一道! 2. 奈雪产品贵,但公司还在亏损。 一杯奶茶要25元+,卖的这么贵,消费者想当然认为这是一个暴利生意,但奈雪却连年亏损。 3. 340亿港币市值有点高! 赛道上的缺陷,加上作为奶茶第一股,奈雪没有可以对标的公司,因此,多数抵制奈雪的人认为340亿港币的估值有点太高了。 从基石上看,奈雪这次引入的多是基金公司,确实没有实力靠前的机构,与喜茶腾讯、IDG和高瓴的阵容相比,确实差了些。 那奈雪的茶到底值不值得打新?首日又会不会破发? 没有同行上市,因此,比估值只能拿星巴克来PK。 星巴克1992年6月登陆美股,PE在上市之后不久达到97倍,资本市场认为咖啡赛道极佳,加上门店快速扩张,估值一路上行。 在2001年,星巴克大举扩张海外,打开市场想象空间,估值最高达到141PE。 金融危机之后,星巴克的快速扩张告一段落,营收增速下滑,估值维持在30倍左右。 从星巴克发展历程看,在高速扩张阶段,公司估值将明显偏高,犹如奈雪的茶当下的定位。 根据奈雪的计划,其计划在2021年及2022年分别开设约300间及350间奈雪的茶茶饮店,且预期在2023年新开设的数量不低于2022年。 也即是说,未来2年,奈雪将处于高速扩张期间,估值恐将保持在高位。 由于奈雪尚未盈利,因此采用PS估值做对比,奈雪假设2021年店铺数量能达到791家,营收粗略估计为50亿人民币,则PS估值为5.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0602f9b0b131c3f485964c48175e2be5","width":"945","height":"525"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166832841","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":128115541,"gmtCreate":1624505743883,"gmtModify":1624505743883,"author":{"id":"3575963263967282","authorId":"3575963263967282","authorIdStr":"3575963263967282","name":"田岚","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d20c9bb723acba057fab0a1eb9af0216","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128115541","repostId":"162708672","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":162708672,"gmtCreate":1624074169592,"gmtModify":1624077736072,"author":{"id":"35433028694349","authorId":"35433028694349","authorIdStr":"35433028694349","name":"老虎专刊","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/e0b93d50cf0df54ce7b1b746f78db36c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"【老虎周刊】老虎社区一周十大精华文章","htmlText":"嗨,虎友们好~这里是老虎社区每周更新的栏目“老虎周刊”。 “老虎周刊”精选老虎社区虎友们一周精华写作,希望对您的投资有所助力。 最好发现认识志同道合的虎友,一起投资一起成长。感谢虎友们支持,祝您投资顺利! 下面进入一周榜单: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/https://laohu8.com/TW/187083325\" target=\"_blank\">滴滴复杂招股书的三个简单解读</a> 发布者:<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/279327367386116\">@小斯聊新股</a> 柳青和程维曾经就在2016年的公开信里就骄傲地宣称,滴滴是唯一一家同时获得<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">$百度(BIDU)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> 和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 投资的互联网公司。 目前这个点上市,除了作为IPO给前期股东退出机会这种人尽皆知的目的之外,从业务上更重要的还是想在国际业务上博一把。 以目前的900亿美元估值来看,滴滴完全是与优步对标,至于上市后是否还有更高的空间,可能还需要看着众多的前期股东与二级市场股东的博弈了。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/https://laohu8.com/TW/188490946\" target=\"_blank\">不知道买什么ETF?试试ETF Lite!</a> 发布者:","listText":"嗨,虎友们好~这里是老虎社区每周更新的栏目“老虎周刊”。 “老虎周刊”精选老虎社区虎友们一周精华写作,希望对您的投资有所助力。 最好发现认识志同道合的虎友,一起投资一起成长。感谢虎友们支持,祝您投资顺利! 下面进入一周榜单: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/https://laohu8.com/TW/187083325\" target=\"_blank\">滴滴复杂招股书的三个简单解读</a> 发布者:<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/279327367386116\">@小斯聊新股</a> 柳青和程维曾经就在2016年的公开信里就骄傲地宣称,滴滴是唯一一家同时获得<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">$百度(BIDU)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> 和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 投资的互联网公司。 目前这个点上市,除了作为IPO给前期股东退出机会这种人尽皆知的目的之外,从业务上更重要的还是想在国际业务上博一把。 以目前的900亿美元估值来看,滴滴完全是与优步对标,至于上市后是否还有更高的空间,可能还需要看着众多的前期股东与二级市场股东的博弈了。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/https://laohu8.com/TW/188490946\" target=\"_blank\">不知道买什么ETF?试试ETF Lite!</a> 发布者:","text":"嗨,虎友们好~这里是老虎社区每周更新的栏目“老虎周刊”。 “老虎周刊”精选老虎社区虎友们一周精华写作,希望对您的投资有所助力。 最好发现认识志同道合的虎友,一起投资一起成长。感谢虎友们支持,祝您投资顺利! 下面进入一周榜单: 滴滴复杂招股书的三个简单解读 发布者:@小斯聊新股 柳青和程维曾经就在2016年的公开信里就骄傲地宣称,滴滴是唯一一家同时获得$百度(BIDU)$ 、$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 和$腾讯控股(00700)$ 投资的互联网公司。 目前这个点上市,除了作为IPO给前期股东退出机会这种人尽皆知的目的之外,从业务上更重要的还是想在国际业务上博一把。 以目前的900亿美元估值来看,滴滴完全是与优步对标,至于上市后是否还有更高的空间,可能还需要看着众多的前期股东与二级市场股东的博弈了。 不知道买什么ETF?试试ETF Lite! 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面对一只跌到50美元的股票, 普通人抄底:挂个50美元的买单,成本50美元。 大佬抄底:卖个50美元的看跌期权,一股空手白赚4美元,被行权后以50美元买入,成本46美元(50-4=46)老有人问能不能抄巴菲特作业,老实说,绝大部分是抄不了的,因为他买入卖出前都不会跟你说,等你知道的时候只有接盘和割肉的份儿。但是,巴菲特这个抄底动作,却是为数不多普通散户可以学的操作之一。 秘诀就是卖看跌期权(short put),说起来也并不复杂,看完这篇你就会了! 我们先看看巴菲特的示范,再解释一下原理。 1993年4月,巴菲特希望增持可口可乐,但此时可口可乐的股价是40美元左右,而他对可口可乐股票的心理价位是35美元。 于是,他以1.5美元的权利金卖出500万份到期日(行权日)为1993年12月17日、行权价为35美元的可口可乐看跌期权(put)。 到了1993年12月17日(到期日),会有两种情况: 如果可口可乐的股价高于35美元,那么期权就是废纸一张,巴菲特可以获得1.5美元×500万份=750万美元的权利金; 如果可口可乐的股价低于35美元,巴菲特就必须按照35美元买入500万股可口可乐股票,扣除之前收取的1.5美元权利金,最后巴菲特持有可口可乐股票的实际买入成本为33.5美元/股,低于心理价位。 这么操作还有一个额外的优势:卖完期权现金就到手,比起把钱放账户里一直挂35的买单干等,还提升了现金流。 那么对于我们个人来说,如何操作? 如果你是纯纯的期权小白,可以看我之前的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/117146180\" target=\"_blank\">《想止盈的股票不要直接卖,这个操作能让你多赚亿点点,邻居股民馋哭了 》</a>,介绍的是巧用期权止盈的思路,这里面有对基本期权概念的解释。 在那篇的基础上,再划几个","listText":"普通人抄底和大佬抄底有什么不同? 面对一只跌到50美元的股票, 普通人抄底:挂个50美元的买单,成本50美元。 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我们先看看巴菲特的示范,再解释一下原理。 1993年4月,巴菲特希望增持可口可乐,但此时可口可乐的股价是40美元左右,而他对可口可乐股票的心理价位是35美元。 于是,他以1.5美元的权利金卖出500万份到期日(行权日)为1993年12月17日、行权价为35美元的可口可乐看跌期权(put)。 到了1993年12月17日(到期日),会有两种情况: 如果可口可乐的股价高于35美元,那么期权就是废纸一张,巴菲特可以获得1.5美元×500万份=750万美元的权利金; 如果可口可乐的股价低于35美元,巴菲特就必须按照35美元买入500万股可口可乐股票,扣除之前收取的1.5美元权利金,最后巴菲特持有可口可乐股票的实际买入成本为33.5美元/股,低于心理价位。 这么操作还有一个额外的优势:卖完期权现金就到手,比起把钱放账户里一直挂35的买单干等,还提升了现金流。 那么对于我们个人来说,如何操作? 如果你是纯纯的期权小白,可以看我之前的《想止盈的股票不要直接卖,这个操作能让你多赚亿点点,邻居股民馋哭了 》,介绍的是巧用期权止盈的思路,这里面有对基本期权概念的解释。 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