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Vincent li
10-07
接着奏乐,接着舞▶• ılıılıılıılıılıılı. 0 这个暴涨之下,看谁会收到传花🌸
Vincent li
10-07
$恒生科技ETF(03032)$
Vincent li
10-04
洋人损招多[愤怒]
欧盟委员会向中国电动汽车征收反补贴税提议获通过
Vincent li
09-30
$小鹏汽车-W(09868)$
为啥看空的多却一直不跌
Vincent li
05-18
$Faraday Future(FFIE)$
Vincent li
05-18
$Faraday Future(FFIE)$
Vincent li
03-19
$理想汽车-W(02015)$
$理想汽车-W(02015)$
虽然只买一手但是操作3次做空都精准蒙对了
Vincent li
03-13
$理想汽车-W(02015)$
$理想汽车(LI)$
Vincent li
2022-02-21
是英伟达跌的太狠,台积电没涨
抱歉,原内容已删除
Vincent li
2021-10-15
$中国恒大(03333)$
问一下,老子选择做空。这货停牌到退市重组。我做空的钱能回来😂
Vincent li
2021-09-02
$快手-W(01024)$
解套了,还要继续持有吗?
Vincent li
2021-08-02
百公里8.5个油的新能源
抱歉,原内容已删除
Vincent li
2021-07-28
$滴滴(DIDI)$
我挣了。涨不上就做空么
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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17:44</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>当地时间10月4日,欧盟就是否对中国电动汽车征收为期五年的反补贴税举行投票。欧盟委员会发布的声明显示,投票中欧委会对中国进口纯电动汽车征收关税的提议获得了欧盟成员国的必要支持。</p><p>声明说,欧盟和中国继续努力探索替代解决方案,该解决方案必须完全符合世贸组织规定、能够充分解决委员会调查所确定的损害性补贴、并且可监控和可执行。(央视新闻)</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47b6fbfe38edb1202883a645549da7f6","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车","LI":"理想汽车","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141178338","content_text":"当地时间10月4日,欧盟就是否对中国电动汽车征收为期五年的反补贴税举行投票。欧盟委员会发布的声明显示,投票中欧委会对中国进口纯电动汽车征收关税的提议获得了欧盟成员国的必要支持。声明说,欧盟和中国继续努力探索替代解决方案,该解决方案必须完全符合世贸组织规定、能够充分解决委员会调查所确定的损害性补贴、并且可监控和可执行。(央视新闻)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":195,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":354961778872336,"gmtCreate":1727662563831,"gmtModify":1727662565760,"author":{"id":"3575955255986334","authorId":"3575955255986334","name":"Vincent 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7月份交付量达8589辆","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197350558","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"8月1日,理想汽车公布2021年7月交付数据。理想汽车7月交付8,589辆理想ONE,单月交付量首次超过八千辆,同比2020年7月增长251.3%,环比2021年6月增长11.4%。2021年前七个月,理想汽车总交付量达38,743辆。理想ONE目前累计交付量已达72,340辆。理想汽车联合创始人兼总裁沈亚楠说。截至7月31日,理想汽车在全国已有109家零售中心,覆盖67个城市;售后维修中心及授权钣喷中心176家,覆盖134个城市。","content":"<p>8月1日,理想汽车公布2021年7月交付数据。理想汽车7月交付8,589辆理想ONE,单月交付量首次超过八千辆,同比2020年7月增长251.3%,环比2021年6月增长11.4%。2021年前七个月,理想汽车总交付量达38,743辆。理想ONE目前累计交付量已达72,340辆。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66e01811917575b87e9f28c7d6918192\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"1304\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“凭借其突出的产品力,2021款理想ONE在7月再次刷新交付记录。年底前,我们还将陆续推出重磅的OTA升级,将理想ONE的产品力推向全新高度。”理想汽车联合创始人兼总裁沈亚楠说。</p>\n<p>此外,理想汽车的直营零售体系建设正在加速布局。为了便于更多用户可以就近体验理想汽车的产品,到2021年底,理想汽车计划将建成200家直营零售中心,覆盖全国超过100个城市。截至7月31日,理想汽车在全国已有109家零售中心,覆盖67个城市;售后维修中心及授权钣喷中心176家,覆盖134个城市。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n理想汽车: 7月份交付量达8589辆\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-01 16:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>8月1日,理想汽车公布2021年7月交付数据。理想汽车7月交付8,589辆理想ONE,单月交付量首次超过八千辆,同比2020年7月增长251.3%,环比2021年6月增长11.4%。2021年前七个月,理想汽车总交付量达38,743辆。理想ONE目前累计交付量已达72,340辆。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66e01811917575b87e9f28c7d6918192\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"1304\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“凭借其突出的产品力,2021款理想ONE在7月再次刷新交付记录。年底前,我们还将陆续推出重磅的OTA升级,将理想ONE的产品力推向全新高度。”理想汽车联合创始人兼总裁沈亚楠说。</p>\n<p>此外,理想汽车的直营零售体系建设正在加速布局。为了便于更多用户可以就近体验理想汽车的产品,到2021年底,理想汽车计划将建成200家直营零售中心,覆盖全国超过100个城市。截至7月31日,理想汽车在全国已有109家零售中心,覆盖67个城市;售后维修中心及授权钣喷中心176家,覆盖134个城市。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c0ab7d3f5d89bb403311ca0a8e68f8e","relate_stocks":{"LI":"理想汽车","02015":"理想汽车-W"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197350558","content_text":"8月1日,理想汽车公布2021年7月交付数据。理想汽车7月交付8,589辆理想ONE,单月交付量首次超过八千辆,同比2020年7月增长251.3%,环比2021年6月增长11.4%。2021年前七个月,理想汽车总交付量达38,743辆。理想ONE目前累计交付量已达72,340辆。“凭借其突出的产品力,2021款理想ONE在7月再次刷新交付记录。年底前,我们还将陆续推出重磅的OTA升级,将理想ONE的产品力推向全新高度。”理想汽车联合创始人兼总裁沈亚楠说。\n此外,理想汽车的直营零售体系建设正在加速布局。为了便于更多用户可以就近体验理想汽车的产品,到2021年底,理想汽车计划将建成200家直营零售中心,覆盖全国超过100个城市。截至7月31日,理想汽车在全国已有109家零售中心,覆盖67个城市;售后维修中心及授权钣喷中心176家,覆盖134个城市。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2046,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"244167682663680","authorId":"244167682663680","name":"资以待乏","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"244167682663680","idStr":"244167682663680"},"content":"可以更新一下认知了","text":"可以更新一下认知了","html":"可以更新一下认知了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":812198204,"gmtCreate":1630559985608,"gmtModify":1630559985608,"author":{"id":"3575955255986334","authorId":"3575955255986334","name":"Vincent li","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de67658ac93387a0323bd7f57bb8a70a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575955255986334","idStr":"3575955255986334"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$</a>解套了,还要继续持有吗?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$</a>解套了,还要继续持有吗?","text":"$快手-W(01024)$解套了,还要继续持有吗?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f40630b782e1aa628824a796b5cbcc72","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812198204","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2296,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":638406126,"gmtCreate":1645459138630,"gmtModify":1645459138630,"author":{"id":"3575955255986334","authorId":"3575955255986334","name":"Vincent li","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de67658ac93387a0323bd7f57bb8a70a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575955255986334","idStr":"3575955255986334"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"是英伟达跌的太狠,台积电没涨","listText":"是英伟达跌的太狠,台积电没涨","text":"是英伟达跌的太狠,台积电没涨","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/638406126","repostId":"1146619336","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1146619336","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"最有深度的半导体新媒体,实讯、专业、原创、深度,30万半导体精英关注!专注观察全球半导体最新资讯、技术前沿、发展趋势。《摩尔精英》《中国集成电路》共同出品,欢迎订阅摩尔旗下公众号:摩尔精英、摩尔芯闻、摩尔App","home_visible":1,"media_name":"半导体行业观察","id":"1099700132","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/705285f8deea4d7b8e48df7848a67868"},"pubTimestamp":1645423522,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146619336?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-02-21 14:05","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"台积电市值超越英伟达,跃居全球最贵半导体公司","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146619336","media":"半导体行业观察","summary":"根据最新的市值显示,台积电现在市值已经高达6188亿美元,领先于英伟达的5910亿美元,这不但让他们跃居全球最值钱的半导体公司,也让他们跃居全球第八大公司。一月底超越腾讯,成为亚洲市值最大公司据华尔街","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>根据最新的市值显示,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>现在市值已经高达6188亿美元,领先于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>的5910亿美元,这不但让他们跃居全球最值钱的半导体公司,也让他们跃居全球第八大公司。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9526240371842f147c3ff5d93f02e1e9\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>一月底超越腾讯,成为亚洲市值最大公司</b></p><p>据华尔街日报在今年1月底报道,得益于市场对半导体的需求不断增长,台湾积体电路制造股份有限公司已坐拥6,000亿美元市值,成为亚洲市值最高的公司。</p><p>据来自<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPGI\">标普全球</a>市场财智(S&P Global Market Intelligence)、基于可查询到的最新收盘价的数据,在全球范围内,台积电排名第九,紧跟巴菲特(Warren Buffett)麾下<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">伯克希尔</a>哈撒韦公司(Berkshire Hathaway Inc., BRKA)。被台积电从亚洲市值排行榜榜首位置挤掉的是中国的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯控股</a>有限公司(Tencent Holdings Ltd., 0700.HK, TCEHY,简称﹕腾讯),中国政府对国内科技巨头的持续整顿已让腾讯受到影响。</p><p>截至报道截止日期,腾讯市值约为5,690亿美元。FactSet数据显示,自去年12月15日以来,台积电市值持续高于腾讯。在那以前,去年8月初之后台积电市值多次短暂超越腾讯但随后又被反超。</p><p>使用台积电芯片的产品数不胜数,包括iPhone、电脑和汽车等。据来自凯投宏观(Capital Economics)、以半导体产业协会(Semiconductor Industry Association)所发布数据为基础的信息,世界上最复杂的半导体产品有超过90%是台积电生产的。这些芯片中的晶体管宽度还不到人类头发丝直径的千分之一。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b4facd3bbbcf44a2eda5f00204ccdee\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1404\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>台积电总部位于台湾新竹,是全球最大的芯片代工厂商,对于全球投资者来说也是发展中市场最重要的公司之一。根据MSCI明晟(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSCI\">MSCI Inc</a>., MSCI)的数据,在颇具影响力的MSCI明晟新兴市场指数中,台积电是最大的单一成分股,截至12月底权重接近7%。</p><p>该公司在一月曾表示,将2022年资本支出预算设定在400亿-440亿美元,为历史最高水平,因在全球芯片供应紧张的情况下,需求继续激增;相比之下去年的预算为300亿美元。</p><p>台积电首席执行官魏哲家(C.C. Wei)本月表示,他预计今年公司收入将比去年创纪录的新台币1.59万亿元(约合570亿美元)至少高出25%。</p><p>分析师和投资者称,鉴于台积电相对于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>公司(Intel Corp., INTC)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSD.UK\">三星电子</a>(Samsung Electronics Co., 005930.SE)等竞争对手的技术优势,以及其芯片的普遍应用,这证明了台积电的市值合理。台积电还为一些英特尔竞争对手代工芯片,包括Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>, 简称AMD)和英伟达(Nvidia Corp., NVDA)。</p><p>Optimas Capital Ltd.创始人兼首席投资官Thomas Wong说:“台积电与其竞争对手之间的技术差距正在拉大。这就是我们看好这只股票的原因。”Optimas持有台积电股票,是一家对冲基金管理公司,专门从事多空股票投资,即买入一些股票的同时押注其他股票将下跌。</p><p>Wong还称,台积电已从美中贸易紧张局势受益。这一紧张局势已使得中国芯片制造商更难在技术上迎头赶上。</p><p>截至报道日收盘,台积电股价今年迄今累计上涨约4%,不过随着全球市场普遍回落,该股自1月17日见顶后涨幅有所收窄。台积电不仅在台北上市交易,还以美国存托凭证的形式在纽约证券交易所交易。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/318edc7154afa3dfccd4d1c0740c77c0\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1536\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00665\">海通国际</a>证券集团(Haitong International Securities Group Ltd.)大中华区科技分析师Jeff Pu表示,投资者近期可能会关注影响股市的更广泛问题,比如通胀和对美联储将更快加息的预期。</p><p>台积电无法免受半导体行业周期的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>)最近将台积电目标价上调了4.9%,至新台币648元(约合23.4美元),略高于周二的收盘价新台币641元。</p><p>该行表示,如果需求放缓,台积电将面临库存价值缩水的风险。2019年1月,台积电曾以宏观经济环境趋弱、手机市场季节性因素以及大量库存为由下调过业绩预期。</p><p>为整顿互联网行业,中国实施了一连串新规并开出了一系列罚单,腾讯和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>集团控股有限公司(Alibaba Group Holding Limited, 9988.HK, BABA, 简称:阿里巴巴)等中国互联网公司的股票去年因此遭受打击。腾讯已减持了在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>集团股份有限公司(JD.com, Inc., 9618.HK)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Ltd</a>. (SE)这两大资产中的持股。腾讯的估值在一定程度上依赖该公司对其他科技公司的巨额投资。分析师表示,腾讯可能面临剥离更多资产的压力。</p><p>一些投资者同时看好腾讯和台积电。骏利亨德森投资(Janus Henderson Investors)的投资组合经理Richard Clode称,在2021年初因为监管和估值担忧抛售腾讯股票后,他管理的一只基金又重新投资了腾讯,而且他认为,监管方面的挑战将在某个时点得到缓解。与此同时,台积电是该基金的10大持仓股票之一,Clode称赞台积电的资本支出计划是一个增长信号。</p><p><b>金融界:台积电能够成为万亿美元股票吗?</b></p><p>在去年八月,金融界以这个标题为题发布了一个文章。据报道,台积电有一条可行的途径加入12个零俱乐部,但一些不可预测的挑战可能会阻止它在2025年达到这一里程碑。</p><p>台积电是全球最大、最先进合同芯片制造商。许多领先“无晶圆厂”芯片制造商,包括AMD、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">高通</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>,都依赖台积电来制造他们最小和最强大芯片。</p><p>由于市场对新芯片胃口越来越大,台积电过去几年收入激增,其股价在今年2月创下历史新高。该股在过去五年上涨了300%以上,但随着全球芯片短缺产生新顺风,它可能会攀升得更高。</p><p>台积电目前的市值约为6000亿美元。英特尔相信它可以在2025年前,从台积电手中夺回工艺领先地位,其市值刚刚超过2000亿美元。台积电能否保持领先于英特尔,到2025年成为全球第一家价值万亿美元的代工芯片制造商,还是会在达到这一里程碑前停止增长?</p><p><b>1、为什么台积电到2025年可能达到1万亿美元</b></p><p>许多分析师和芯片制造商认为,由疫情加剧全球芯片短缺,将持续到2023年。来自5G、物联网(IoT)、家庭自动化、数据中心和消费电子市场的长期增长应该会保持低供应.</p><p>根据Mordor Intelligence数据,基于这些预期,从2021年到2026年,全球半导体代工市场可能以7.3%的复合年增长率(CAGR)增长。如果台积电今年收入符合分析师对560亿美元的预期,并与预计复合年增长率保持同步,那么它在2025年可能产生740亿美元收入,在2026年会产生800亿美元收入。</p><p>台积电目前的市销率约为过去销售额的13倍。如果它在2025年之前保持该市销率(P/S),其价值将略高于9600亿美元。但作为市场领导者,台积电的增长速度可能超过更广泛代工市场,其中还包括UMC和GlobalFoundries 等增长较慢公司。</p><p>在2015年至2020年间,台积电收入实际上以美元计算的复合年增长率为11.8%。如果台积电在2021年至2026年,以9%的复合年增长率超过市场的预期增长,那么它可能会在2025年产生约790亿美元收入。将该数字乘以13将使我们的市值达到1.03万亿美元。</p><p><b>2、为什么台积电到2025年可能不达到1万亿美元</b></p><p>到了2025年,台积电可能价值1万亿美元,但三个挑战可能会阻止它加入12个零俱乐部。首先,台积电的市销率和市盈率目前徘徊在历史高位附近。</p><p>许多投资者为台积电支付溢价,因为他们认为全球芯片短缺将持续下去。作为全球半导体市场的关键,台积电自然是顺应这一长期趋势。</p><p>但如果发生三件事,投资者可能会停止支付这一溢价。首先,英特尔可以通过积极扩展第三方代工服务来逐步赶上台积电。台积电目前仍处于领先地位,但英特尔在2024年和2025年的雄心勃勃目标,计划在2nm节点及以后与台积电和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">三星</a>匹敌,将迫使台积电大幅提高资本支出以保持领先地位。</p><p>如果台积电未能领先于英特尔,后者正在寻求美国和欧洲政府补贴支持,以加快其计划,那么台积电未来五年增长可能会放缓。</p><p>其次,越来越多的芯片制造商和分析师认为,当前芯片短缺将导致供应过剩。台积电、三星、英特尔和其他芯片制造商都在通过建设新工厂来增加资本支出,以解决全球芯片短缺的问题,但这样做可能会将钟摆推向另一个方向,并导致芯片供过于求。</p><p>最后,地缘政治紧张局势可能会伤害台积电。它在台湾制造最小芯片的工厂,容易受到潜在攻击。它还面临来自美国压力,要求切断与中国芯片制造商的联系,并在美国建立更先进的工厂。</p><p><b>3、专注于台积电的核心业务而不是市值</b></p><p>台积电有望在2025年成为一家价值万亿美元的芯片制造商,但前提是英特尔无法实现复苏,长期顺风(即5G、数据中心、物联网、汽车)保持强劲并防止供应过剩,以及地缘政治紧张局势。</p><p>如果开始出现任何裂缝,投资者可能会停止为台积电的股票支付溢价,该公司的价值在2025年可能远低于1万亿美元。</p><p>话虽如此,台积电的核心代工业务依然强劲,到2025年它可能仍将是全球最重要的芯片制造商。台积电顶级客户可能不会仅仅因为三星和英特尔增加支出,而更换芯片制造商,因此投资者应该更加关注公司核心优势,而不是怀疑其市值是否会达到1万亿美元。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n台积电市值超越英伟达,跃居全球最贵半导体公司\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1099700132\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/705285f8deea4d7b8e48df7848a67868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">半导体行业观察 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-02-21 14:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>根据最新的市值显示,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>现在市值已经高达6188亿美元,领先于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>的5910亿美元,这不但让他们跃居全球最值钱的半导体公司,也让他们跃居全球第八大公司。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9526240371842f147c3ff5d93f02e1e9\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>一月底超越腾讯,成为亚洲市值最大公司</b></p><p>据华尔街日报在今年1月底报道,得益于市场对半导体的需求不断增长,台湾积体电路制造股份有限公司已坐拥6,000亿美元市值,成为亚洲市值最高的公司。</p><p>据来自<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPGI\">标普全球</a>市场财智(S&P Global Market Intelligence)、基于可查询到的最新收盘价的数据,在全球范围内,台积电排名第九,紧跟巴菲特(Warren Buffett)麾下<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">伯克希尔</a>哈撒韦公司(Berkshire Hathaway Inc., BRKA)。被台积电从亚洲市值排行榜榜首位置挤掉的是中国的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯控股</a>有限公司(Tencent Holdings Ltd., 0700.HK, TCEHY,简称﹕腾讯),中国政府对国内科技巨头的持续整顿已让腾讯受到影响。</p><p>截至报道截止日期,腾讯市值约为5,690亿美元。FactSet数据显示,自去年12月15日以来,台积电市值持续高于腾讯。在那以前,去年8月初之后台积电市值多次短暂超越腾讯但随后又被反超。</p><p>使用台积电芯片的产品数不胜数,包括iPhone、电脑和汽车等。据来自凯投宏观(Capital Economics)、以半导体产业协会(Semiconductor Industry Association)所发布数据为基础的信息,世界上最复杂的半导体产品有超过90%是台积电生产的。这些芯片中的晶体管宽度还不到人类头发丝直径的千分之一。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b4facd3bbbcf44a2eda5f00204ccdee\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1404\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>台积电总部位于台湾新竹,是全球最大的芯片代工厂商,对于全球投资者来说也是发展中市场最重要的公司之一。根据MSCI明晟(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSCI\">MSCI Inc</a>., MSCI)的数据,在颇具影响力的MSCI明晟新兴市场指数中,台积电是最大的单一成分股,截至12月底权重接近7%。</p><p>该公司在一月曾表示,将2022年资本支出预算设定在400亿-440亿美元,为历史最高水平,因在全球芯片供应紧张的情况下,需求继续激增;相比之下去年的预算为300亿美元。</p><p>台积电首席执行官魏哲家(C.C. Wei)本月表示,他预计今年公司收入将比去年创纪录的新台币1.59万亿元(约合570亿美元)至少高出25%。</p><p>分析师和投资者称,鉴于台积电相对于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>公司(Intel Corp., INTC)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSD.UK\">三星电子</a>(Samsung Electronics Co., 005930.SE)等竞争对手的技术优势,以及其芯片的普遍应用,这证明了台积电的市值合理。台积电还为一些英特尔竞争对手代工芯片,包括Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>, 简称AMD)和英伟达(Nvidia Corp., NVDA)。</p><p>Optimas Capital Ltd.创始人兼首席投资官Thomas Wong说:“台积电与其竞争对手之间的技术差距正在拉大。这就是我们看好这只股票的原因。”Optimas持有台积电股票,是一家对冲基金管理公司,专门从事多空股票投资,即买入一些股票的同时押注其他股票将下跌。</p><p>Wong还称,台积电已从美中贸易紧张局势受益。这一紧张局势已使得中国芯片制造商更难在技术上迎头赶上。</p><p>截至报道日收盘,台积电股价今年迄今累计上涨约4%,不过随着全球市场普遍回落,该股自1月17日见顶后涨幅有所收窄。台积电不仅在台北上市交易,还以美国存托凭证的形式在纽约证券交易所交易。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/318edc7154afa3dfccd4d1c0740c77c0\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1536\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00665\">海通国际</a>证券集团(Haitong International Securities Group Ltd.)大中华区科技分析师Jeff Pu表示,投资者近期可能会关注影响股市的更广泛问题,比如通胀和对美联储将更快加息的预期。</p><p>台积电无法免受半导体行业周期的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>)最近将台积电目标价上调了4.9%,至新台币648元(约合23.4美元),略高于周二的收盘价新台币641元。</p><p>该行表示,如果需求放缓,台积电将面临库存价值缩水的风险。2019年1月,台积电曾以宏观经济环境趋弱、手机市场季节性因素以及大量库存为由下调过业绩预期。</p><p>为整顿互联网行业,中国实施了一连串新规并开出了一系列罚单,腾讯和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>集团控股有限公司(Alibaba Group Holding Limited, 9988.HK, BABA, 简称:阿里巴巴)等中国互联网公司的股票去年因此遭受打击。腾讯已减持了在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>集团股份有限公司(JD.com, Inc., 9618.HK)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Ltd</a>. (SE)这两大资产中的持股。腾讯的估值在一定程度上依赖该公司对其他科技公司的巨额投资。分析师表示,腾讯可能面临剥离更多资产的压力。</p><p>一些投资者同时看好腾讯和台积电。骏利亨德森投资(Janus Henderson Investors)的投资组合经理Richard Clode称,在2021年初因为监管和估值担忧抛售腾讯股票后,他管理的一只基金又重新投资了腾讯,而且他认为,监管方面的挑战将在某个时点得到缓解。与此同时,台积电是该基金的10大持仓股票之一,Clode称赞台积电的资本支出计划是一个增长信号。</p><p><b>金融界:台积电能够成为万亿美元股票吗?</b></p><p>在去年八月,金融界以这个标题为题发布了一个文章。据报道,台积电有一条可行的途径加入12个零俱乐部,但一些不可预测的挑战可能会阻止它在2025年达到这一里程碑。</p><p>台积电是全球最大、最先进合同芯片制造商。许多领先“无晶圆厂”芯片制造商,包括AMD、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">高通</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>,都依赖台积电来制造他们最小和最强大芯片。</p><p>由于市场对新芯片胃口越来越大,台积电过去几年收入激增,其股价在今年2月创下历史新高。该股在过去五年上涨了300%以上,但随着全球芯片短缺产生新顺风,它可能会攀升得更高。</p><p>台积电目前的市值约为6000亿美元。英特尔相信它可以在2025年前,从台积电手中夺回工艺领先地位,其市值刚刚超过2000亿美元。台积电能否保持领先于英特尔,到2025年成为全球第一家价值万亿美元的代工芯片制造商,还是会在达到这一里程碑前停止增长?</p><p><b>1、为什么台积电到2025年可能达到1万亿美元</b></p><p>许多分析师和芯片制造商认为,由疫情加剧全球芯片短缺,将持续到2023年。来自5G、物联网(IoT)、家庭自动化、数据中心和消费电子市场的长期增长应该会保持低供应.</p><p>根据Mordor Intelligence数据,基于这些预期,从2021年到2026年,全球半导体代工市场可能以7.3%的复合年增长率(CAGR)增长。如果台积电今年收入符合分析师对560亿美元的预期,并与预计复合年增长率保持同步,那么它在2025年可能产生740亿美元收入,在2026年会产生800亿美元收入。</p><p>台积电目前的市销率约为过去销售额的13倍。如果它在2025年之前保持该市销率(P/S),其价值将略高于9600亿美元。但作为市场领导者,台积电的增长速度可能超过更广泛代工市场,其中还包括UMC和GlobalFoundries 等增长较慢公司。</p><p>在2015年至2020年间,台积电收入实际上以美元计算的复合年增长率为11.8%。如果台积电在2021年至2026年,以9%的复合年增长率超过市场的预期增长,那么它可能会在2025年产生约790亿美元收入。将该数字乘以13将使我们的市值达到1.03万亿美元。</p><p><b>2、为什么台积电到2025年可能不达到1万亿美元</b></p><p>到了2025年,台积电可能价值1万亿美元,但三个挑战可能会阻止它加入12个零俱乐部。首先,台积电的市销率和市盈率目前徘徊在历史高位附近。</p><p>许多投资者为台积电支付溢价,因为他们认为全球芯片短缺将持续下去。作为全球半导体市场的关键,台积电自然是顺应这一长期趋势。</p><p>但如果发生三件事,投资者可能会停止支付这一溢价。首先,英特尔可以通过积极扩展第三方代工服务来逐步赶上台积电。台积电目前仍处于领先地位,但英特尔在2024年和2025年的雄心勃勃目标,计划在2nm节点及以后与台积电和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">三星</a>匹敌,将迫使台积电大幅提高资本支出以保持领先地位。</p><p>如果台积电未能领先于英特尔,后者正在寻求美国和欧洲政府补贴支持,以加快其计划,那么台积电未来五年增长可能会放缓。</p><p>其次,越来越多的芯片制造商和分析师认为,当前芯片短缺将导致供应过剩。台积电、三星、英特尔和其他芯片制造商都在通过建设新工厂来增加资本支出,以解决全球芯片短缺的问题,但这样做可能会将钟摆推向另一个方向,并导致芯片供过于求。</p><p>最后,地缘政治紧张局势可能会伤害台积电。它在台湾制造最小芯片的工厂,容易受到潜在攻击。它还面临来自美国压力,要求切断与中国芯片制造商的联系,并在美国建立更先进的工厂。</p><p><b>3、专注于台积电的核心业务而不是市值</b></p><p>台积电有望在2025年成为一家价值万亿美元的芯片制造商,但前提是英特尔无法实现复苏,长期顺风(即5G、数据中心、物联网、汽车)保持强劲并防止供应过剩,以及地缘政治紧张局势。</p><p>如果开始出现任何裂缝,投资者可能会停止为台积电的股票支付溢价,该公司的价值在2025年可能远低于1万亿美元。</p><p>话虽如此,台积电的核心代工业务依然强劲,到2025年它可能仍将是全球最重要的芯片制造商。台积电顶级客户可能不会仅仅因为三星和英特尔增加支出,而更换芯片制造商,因此投资者应该更加关注公司核心优势,而不是怀疑其市值是否会达到1万亿美元。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b98f9e740cb6fb06990004c4ea7eae84","relate_stocks":{"BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4543":"AI","BK4527":"明星科技股","TSM":"台积电","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4526":"热门中概股","BK4141":"半导体产品","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4549":"软银资本持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4529":"IDC概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146619336","content_text":"根据最新的市值显示,台积电现在市值已经高达6188亿美元,领先于英伟达的5910亿美元,这不但让他们跃居全球最值钱的半导体公司,也让他们跃居全球第八大公司。一月底超越腾讯,成为亚洲市值最大公司据华尔街日报在今年1月底报道,得益于市场对半导体的需求不断增长,台湾积体电路制造股份有限公司已坐拥6,000亿美元市值,成为亚洲市值最高的公司。据来自标普全球市场财智(S&P Global Market Intelligence)、基于可查询到的最新收盘价的数据,在全球范围内,台积电排名第九,紧跟巴菲特(Warren Buffett)麾下伯克希尔哈撒韦公司(Berkshire Hathaway Inc., BRKA)。被台积电从亚洲市值排行榜榜首位置挤掉的是中国的腾讯控股有限公司(Tencent Holdings Ltd., 0700.HK, TCEHY,简称﹕腾讯),中国政府对国内科技巨头的持续整顿已让腾讯受到影响。截至报道截止日期,腾讯市值约为5,690亿美元。FactSet数据显示,自去年12月15日以来,台积电市值持续高于腾讯。在那以前,去年8月初之后台积电市值多次短暂超越腾讯但随后又被反超。使用台积电芯片的产品数不胜数,包括iPhone、电脑和汽车等。据来自凯投宏观(Capital Economics)、以半导体产业协会(Semiconductor Industry Association)所发布数据为基础的信息,世界上最复杂的半导体产品有超过90%是台积电生产的。这些芯片中的晶体管宽度还不到人类头发丝直径的千分之一。台积电总部位于台湾新竹,是全球最大的芯片代工厂商,对于全球投资者来说也是发展中市场最重要的公司之一。根据MSCI明晟(MSCI Inc., MSCI)的数据,在颇具影响力的MSCI明晟新兴市场指数中,台积电是最大的单一成分股,截至12月底权重接近7%。该公司在一月曾表示,将2022年资本支出预算设定在400亿-440亿美元,为历史最高水平,因在全球芯片供应紧张的情况下,需求继续激增;相比之下去年的预算为300亿美元。台积电首席执行官魏哲家(C.C. Wei)本月表示,他预计今年公司收入将比去年创纪录的新台币1.59万亿元(约合570亿美元)至少高出25%。分析师和投资者称,鉴于台积电相对于英特尔公司(Intel Corp., INTC)和三星电子(Samsung Electronics Co., 005930.SE)等竞争对手的技术优势,以及其芯片的普遍应用,这证明了台积电的市值合理。台积电还为一些英特尔竞争对手代工芯片,包括Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD, 简称AMD)和英伟达(Nvidia Corp., NVDA)。Optimas Capital Ltd.创始人兼首席投资官Thomas Wong说:“台积电与其竞争对手之间的技术差距正在拉大。这就是我们看好这只股票的原因。”Optimas持有台积电股票,是一家对冲基金管理公司,专门从事多空股票投资,即买入一些股票的同时押注其他股票将下跌。Wong还称,台积电已从美中贸易紧张局势受益。这一紧张局势已使得中国芯片制造商更难在技术上迎头赶上。截至报道日收盘,台积电股价今年迄今累计上涨约4%,不过随着全球市场普遍回落,该股自1月17日见顶后涨幅有所收窄。台积电不仅在台北上市交易,还以美国存托凭证的形式在纽约证券交易所交易。海通国际证券集团(Haitong International Securities Group Ltd.)大中华区科技分析师Jeff Pu表示,投资者近期可能会关注影响股市的更广泛问题,比如通胀和对美联储将更快加息的预期。台积电无法免受半导体行业周期的影响。摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)最近将台积电目标价上调了4.9%,至新台币648元(约合23.4美元),略高于周二的收盘价新台币641元。该行表示,如果需求放缓,台积电将面临库存价值缩水的风险。2019年1月,台积电曾以宏观经济环境趋弱、手机市场季节性因素以及大量库存为由下调过业绩预期。为整顿互联网行业,中国实施了一连串新规并开出了一系列罚单,腾讯和阿里巴巴集团控股有限公司(Alibaba Group Holding Limited, 9988.HK, BABA, 简称:阿里巴巴)等中国互联网公司的股票去年因此遭受打击。腾讯已减持了在京东集团股份有限公司(JD.com, Inc., 9618.HK)和Sea Ltd. (SE)这两大资产中的持股。腾讯的估值在一定程度上依赖该公司对其他科技公司的巨额投资。分析师表示,腾讯可能面临剥离更多资产的压力。一些投资者同时看好腾讯和台积电。骏利亨德森投资(Janus Henderson Investors)的投资组合经理Richard Clode称,在2021年初因为监管和估值担忧抛售腾讯股票后,他管理的一只基金又重新投资了腾讯,而且他认为,监管方面的挑战将在某个时点得到缓解。与此同时,台积电是该基金的10大持仓股票之一,Clode称赞台积电的资本支出计划是一个增长信号。金融界:台积电能够成为万亿美元股票吗?在去年八月,金融界以这个标题为题发布了一个文章。据报道,台积电有一条可行的途径加入12个零俱乐部,但一些不可预测的挑战可能会阻止它在2025年达到这一里程碑。台积电是全球最大、最先进合同芯片制造商。许多领先“无晶圆厂”芯片制造商,包括AMD、高通和苹果,都依赖台积电来制造他们最小和最强大芯片。由于市场对新芯片胃口越来越大,台积电过去几年收入激增,其股价在今年2月创下历史新高。该股在过去五年上涨了300%以上,但随着全球芯片短缺产生新顺风,它可能会攀升得更高。台积电目前的市值约为6000亿美元。英特尔相信它可以在2025年前,从台积电手中夺回工艺领先地位,其市值刚刚超过2000亿美元。台积电能否保持领先于英特尔,到2025年成为全球第一家价值万亿美元的代工芯片制造商,还是会在达到这一里程碑前停止增长?1、为什么台积电到2025年可能达到1万亿美元许多分析师和芯片制造商认为,由疫情加剧全球芯片短缺,将持续到2023年。来自5G、物联网(IoT)、家庭自动化、数据中心和消费电子市场的长期增长应该会保持低供应.根据Mordor Intelligence数据,基于这些预期,从2021年到2026年,全球半导体代工市场可能以7.3%的复合年增长率(CAGR)增长。如果台积电今年收入符合分析师对560亿美元的预期,并与预计复合年增长率保持同步,那么它在2025年可能产生740亿美元收入,在2026年会产生800亿美元收入。台积电目前的市销率约为过去销售额的13倍。如果它在2025年之前保持该市销率(P/S),其价值将略高于9600亿美元。但作为市场领导者,台积电的增长速度可能超过更广泛代工市场,其中还包括UMC和GlobalFoundries 等增长较慢公司。在2015年至2020年间,台积电收入实际上以美元计算的复合年增长率为11.8%。如果台积电在2021年至2026年,以9%的复合年增长率超过市场的预期增长,那么它可能会在2025年产生约790亿美元收入。将该数字乘以13将使我们的市值达到1.03万亿美元。2、为什么台积电到2025年可能不达到1万亿美元到了2025年,台积电可能价值1万亿美元,但三个挑战可能会阻止它加入12个零俱乐部。首先,台积电的市销率和市盈率目前徘徊在历史高位附近。许多投资者为台积电支付溢价,因为他们认为全球芯片短缺将持续下去。作为全球半导体市场的关键,台积电自然是顺应这一长期趋势。但如果发生三件事,投资者可能会停止支付这一溢价。首先,英特尔可以通过积极扩展第三方代工服务来逐步赶上台积电。台积电目前仍处于领先地位,但英特尔在2024年和2025年的雄心勃勃目标,计划在2nm节点及以后与台积电和三星匹敌,将迫使台积电大幅提高资本支出以保持领先地位。如果台积电未能领先于英特尔,后者正在寻求美国和欧洲政府补贴支持,以加快其计划,那么台积电未来五年增长可能会放缓。其次,越来越多的芯片制造商和分析师认为,当前芯片短缺将导致供应过剩。台积电、三星、英特尔和其他芯片制造商都在通过建设新工厂来增加资本支出,以解决全球芯片短缺的问题,但这样做可能会将钟摆推向另一个方向,并导致芯片供过于求。最后,地缘政治紧张局势可能会伤害台积电。它在台湾制造最小芯片的工厂,容易受到潜在攻击。它还面临来自美国压力,要求切断与中国芯片制造商的联系,并在美国建立更先进的工厂。3、专注于台积电的核心业务而不是市值台积电有望在2025年成为一家价值万亿美元的芯片制造商,但前提是英特尔无法实现复苏,长期顺风(即5G、数据中心、物联网、汽车)保持强劲并防止供应过剩,以及地缘政治紧张局势。如果开始出现任何裂缝,投资者可能会停止为台积电的股票支付溢价,该公司的价值在2025年可能远低于1万亿美元。话虽如此,台积电的核心代工业务依然强劲,到2025年它可能仍将是全球最重要的芯片制造商。台积电顶级客户可能不会仅仅因为三星和英特尔增加支出,而更换芯片制造商,因此投资者应该更加关注公司核心优势,而不是怀疑其市值是否会达到1万亿美元。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1501,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356457592242288,"gmtCreate":1728035249439,"gmtModify":1728035251452,"author":{"id":"3575955255986334","authorId":"3575955255986334","name":"Vincent 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17:44</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>当地时间10月4日,欧盟就是否对中国电动汽车征收为期五年的反补贴税举行投票。欧盟委员会发布的声明显示,投票中欧委会对中国进口纯电动汽车征收关税的提议获得了欧盟成员国的必要支持。</p><p>声明说,欧盟和中国继续努力探索替代解决方案,该解决方案必须完全符合世贸组织规定、能够充分解决委员会调查所确定的损害性补贴、并且可监控和可执行。(央视新闻)</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47b6fbfe38edb1202883a645549da7f6","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车","LI":"理想汽车","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141178338","content_text":"当地时间10月4日,欧盟就是否对中国电动汽车征收为期五年的反补贴税举行投票。欧盟委员会发布的声明显示,投票中欧委会对中国进口纯电动汽车征收关税的提议获得了欧盟成员国的必要支持。声明说,欧盟和中国继续努力探索替代解决方案,该解决方案必须完全符合世贸组织规定、能够充分解决委员会调查所确定的损害性补贴、并且可监控和可执行。(央视新闻)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":195,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":357606946074736,"gmtCreate":1728315853403,"gmtModify":1728315856194,"author":{"id":"3575955255986334","authorId":"3575955255986334","name":"Vincent 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