鱼三的个人主页 - 老虎社区

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2021-11-17

$一起教育科技(YQ)$怎么回事？回光返照？

2021-08-04

$腾讯音乐(TME)$再次被政策波及到了Ouch

2021-07-26

$一起教育科技(YQ)$哈哈哈哈哈哈今天才掉24块！已经是死猪不怕开水烫了[得意]

2021-07-22

$SOS Limited(SOS)$两天涨了30%,虽然还在亏损，但你真是妈妈的好大儿[安慰]

2021-07-06

$滴滴(DIDI)$我这是买啥啥跌，韭菜风向标。不过那些11多就抛售的韭菜们，断舍离做得很干脆利落啊[惊讶]

2021-07-01

$滴滴(DIDI)$今晚为滴滴摇旗呐喊

2021-06-22

$一起教育科技(YQ)$再跌就认你当爹[警告]

2021-06-21

公司就是做Saas的。等上市分股票已经等了很久了。遥遥无期。[笑哭]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-19

和一起教育科技还是没有一毛钱关系[流泪] 求求股票快站起来，别再跪了

中概教育股强势反弹，高途涨超9%

2021-06-15

看不懂[DOGE] 这是什么意思？

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-11

$燃料电池能源(FCEL)$守得云开见月明

2021-05-26

用爽文的文风写金融快讯，是晋江写手跨行业了吗？

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-24

那这是好消息还是不好的消息？

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-24

$SOS Limited(SOS)$如其名！

2021-05-21

小韭菜不懂就问,这会怎么影响股价？

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-19

$Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$买什么亏什么也是一种超能力了

2021-05-19

数据这么好为什么股价一直掉？

新年开局业绩超预期腾讯音乐要在B端+C端双腿跑

2021-05-19

受比特币影响今晚要die了

2021-05-18

期望越大失望越大

2021-05-14

$途牛(TOUR)$套得够牢的了。索命套头塑料袋[正经]

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">高途</a>涨超9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">好未来</a>涨超8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAO\">有道</a>涨近6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>涨超4%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/253ed0f448834fca32d2ac08bcdc7bc8\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a65ddf73055baf7ee7e017124875990","relate_stocks":{"EDU":"新东方","DAO":"有道","09901":"新东方-S","TAL":"好未来"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156914181","content_text":"6月18日，中概教育股强势反弹，截止发稿，高途涨超9%，好未来涨超8%，有道涨近6%，新东方涨超4%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":568,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":160008631,"gmtCreate":1623765708623,"gmtModify":1634028661376,"author":{"id":"3575637218307642","authorId":"3575637218307642","name":"鱼三","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/026c5a802db8b0565039777618671de7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"看不懂[DOGE]&nbsp;这是什么意思？","listText":"看不懂[DOGE]&nbsp;这是什么意思？","text":"看不懂[DOGE] 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n新年开局业绩超预期 腾讯音乐要在B端+C端双腿跑\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-19 16:05 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://stock.10jqka.com.cn/usstock/20210519/c629504554.shtml><strong>北京商报网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>腾讯音乐娱乐集团（以下简称“腾讯音乐”）的2021年第一份业绩成绩单于5月18日正式向外界公开。数据显示，2021年第一季度，腾讯音乐的总营收同比增长超两成，归属净利润则超过9亿元，调整后净利润为人民币12.4亿元，同时包括在线音乐付费用户在内的多项业务指标均进一步突破。现阶段，腾讯音乐早已不在只是一个在线音乐平台，而是瞄向在线音乐与音频娱乐平台的定位不断布局，除了持续扩大音乐内容储备，与更多...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://stock.10jqka.com.cn/usstock/20210519/c629504554.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06c120bbb961941a6910f63352c38f2b","relate_stocks":{"TME":"腾讯音乐"},"source_url":"http://stock.10jqka.com.cn/usstock/20210519/c629504554.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/f0343184bd9b9c963ed02b302442e2b8","article_id":"2136915620","content_text":"腾讯音乐娱乐集团（以下简称“腾讯音乐”）的2021年第一份业绩成绩单于5月18日正式向外界公开。数据显示，2021年第一季度，腾讯音乐的总营收同比增长超两成，归属净利润则超过9亿元，调整后净利润为人民币12.4亿元，同时包括在线音乐付费用户在内的多项业务指标均进一步突破。现阶段，腾讯音乐早已不在只是一个在线音乐平台，而是瞄向在线音乐与音频娱乐平台的定位不断布局，除了持续扩大音乐内容储备，与更多唱片公司、音乐人达成合作外，还布局长音频业务、推出TME live、拓展物联网用户及使用场景、加速联动多元生态，使得腾讯音乐逐渐打开更多的可能性。　　总营收78.2亿超预期增长　　5月18日，腾讯音乐正式公布2021年第一季度财报。数据显示，今年一季度，腾讯音乐的总营收同比增长24%至78.2亿元，实现超预期增长，同时，公司净利润则为9.79亿元，归属于公司股东的净利润为9.26亿元，非国际财务报告准则下（Non-FIRST)公司净利润为12.4亿元。　　在多个财务数据实现稳健增长的背后，腾讯音乐无论是旗下不同业务收入，还是用户规模方面，均保持着增长的势头。其中，腾讯音乐的在线音乐服务收入同比增长34.5%，在线音乐订阅收入同比增长40.2%至16.9亿元，广告服务收入则获得了超100%的同比增长。　　腾讯音乐娱乐集团执行董事长彭迦信表示，“在线音乐服务方面，在线音乐订阅服务与广告业务的强劲表现，推动了我们该领域收入相比去年同期的进一步加速增长。通过聚焦平台的社区化，以及全方位覆盖包括大众热门与新锐流行、授权与自制、音频与视频在内的多元化内容，我们与用户之间的连接和互动得到了进一步的拓展和加深。在竞争环境不断变化和充满挑战的背景下，我们的社交娱乐服务在第一季度表现稳健，我们也将持续深化探索，增强在该领域的行业优势。”　　值得注意的是，近年来，腾讯音乐的在线音乐付费用户数和付费率随着财报的发布，屡次打破曾经的数值，实现历史新高。2021年第一季度也不例外，其中，报告期内腾讯音乐的在线音乐付费用户达到6090万，同比增长42.6%，付费率则为9.9%，高于2020年第三季度的8%和2020年第四季度的9%。　　在业内人士看来，腾讯音乐之所以能够实现财务数据以及用户规模等持续增长，首先离不开在承载内容上的储备和不断丰富。就在今年5月，腾讯音乐便与索尼音乐娱乐（SME）续签了长期版权合作协议，公司将通过创新丰富的宣发方式与多元化渠道，与SME在创新宣发、艺人推广以及跨界共创等领域进行深度合作与探索，同时持续加深公司在中国日本音乐乐迷中的影响力。　　除此以外，今年腾讯音乐还与华研音乐、华纳音乐等多家头部公司达成了战略合作。且除了针对音乐曲库上的合作外，腾讯音乐还与多方实现进一步深度合作，以与华纳音乐的合作为例，双方在续签长期战略合作授权协议的同时，还宣布共同成立全新音乐厂牌，从而满足用户多元化音乐内容需求，挖掘更多音乐内容价值。此外，2020年开始腾讯音乐正式宣布进入长音频赛道，并与阅文集团展开战略合作。更有全景音乐现场演出TME live的诞生，持续不断地贡献社交话题热点。　　数字文创产业智库研究员李杰认为，尽管现阶段曾经的互联网音乐公司均在挖掘多元业务并探索更多商业模式，以强化自身的竞争力，但丰富且多元的音乐内容储备则是保证市场影响力的基础必备条件，也只有拥有足够的内容，才能够支撑相关公司去延伸旗下业务，打开更大的市场空间。　　生态联动衍生大市场　　毋庸置疑，音乐已成为人们生活娱乐的重要组成部分，而到了今日，随着在线音乐行业的发展，人们对于音乐早已衍生出更多元的需求，据极光大数据发布的《2020年中国在线音乐行业报告》显示，在线音乐用户增长也已处于平台期，市场进入存量竞争阶段。　　在这一背景下，各家公司已开始思索更多的发展可能性，腾讯音乐也不例外，并与腾讯内容生态、社交生态加速联动。其中，腾讯音乐已布局一年有余的长音频业务便是内容业态联动的代表之一。　　公开资料显示，2020年4月，腾讯音乐正式宣布进入长音频赛道，并在布局首年实现月活跃用户突破1亿，且在2020年第四季度，腾讯音乐长音频用户的渗透率已提升至15%，远高于同期的6%。而据此次财报显示，2021年第一季度，腾讯音乐长音频MAU渗透率从去年同期的5.5%升至20.0％，同时，长音频内容对公司旗下平台用户规模及其参与度均有积极影响。　　腾讯音乐长音频业务的快速发展，除了与自身多年通过在线音乐业务而获得的用户积淀、市场品牌有关外，还处处可见其他内容业态联动的身影，尤其是通过与同属于腾讯生态的阅文集团签署战略合作协议，腾讯音乐获得了包括《庆余年》《斗破苍穹》在内的大量网文知名IP，再加上与腾讯漫画、快看漫画等动漫平台，蔡康永、韩雪等明星，程一、蕊希Erin等知名主播建立了合作。一系列资源上的打通，使得腾讯音乐旗下内容品类进一步丰富，从而对接用户多元的内容需求。　　当下长音频业务的发展成绩也令腾讯音乐加强了深化布局的决心，并在今年4月宣布将旗下的酷我畅听和懒人听书品牌合并升级，成立全新长音频品牌“懒人畅听”，进一步强化生态联动。　　正当长音频业务拓展内容上的可能性时，腾讯音乐通过与腾讯社交平台生态的协同，也在持续建设基于粉丝生态、更具有活力的音乐宣发矩阵与用户体验平台，上线QQ音乐扑通社区、在酷狗音乐上打造音乐人与粉丝深度互动社区“粉丝说”，在被视为在线音乐市场下半场战局重要一环的音乐社区上积极布局。　　就在刚刚结束的《创造营2021》上，腾讯音乐旗下QQ音乐扑通社区和酷狗音乐“粉丝说”便展现出了多元玩法。不仅QQ音乐扑通社区成为粉丝为学员打Call、追星的聚集地，还推出《创造营2021》限定联名周边，而酷狗音乐“粉丝说”也推出了《创造营2021》的点赞与助力专区，让偶像、粉丝被连接起来。　　乐评人王乐认为，当下社交功能被部分音乐用户愈发看重，相关平台也能借此增强用户粘性，腾讯音乐在获得并稳定市场份额后，通过与更多内容端以及渠道端、平台端进行生态联动，在充足自身资源储备的同时，也是在增强特色化，强化竞争力。　　探索多元场景打开新想象　　随着人们听歌的方式越来越便捷，选择听歌的时机更加多样化，如何覆盖更多场景，也成为音乐市场的关键词。且这背后存在着更大的想象空间，据艾瑞咨询发布的《2019年中国数字音乐商用版权市场研究报告》显示，2023年中国数字音乐商用版权市场规模将达到85.5亿元，呈现指数级增长。此时的腾讯音乐，便正在尝试拓展物联网音乐用户范围和使用场景。　　就在腾讯音乐与华纳音乐的合作中，双方便透露，将共拓商用音乐市场的新蓝海，腾讯音乐旗下的在线音乐平台将通过车载音乐系统等特定智能终端设备为中国大陆地区用户提供华纳音乐曲库内容。　　与此同时，2020年4月，腾讯音乐完成了对线下公播公司瑞迪欧的股权投资，正式入局公播音乐市场。而在去年9月，腾讯音乐旗下B端音乐整合服务平台爱听卓乐则正式发布全新子品牌卓乐云，为国内“用音乐”市场中的B端企业提供行业云端音乐整合服务。随后在去年12月，长虹虹魔方便与腾讯音乐旗下酷狗音乐、爱听卓乐达成战略合作，通过卓乐云·智能电视音乐全生态解决方案，三方将促进音乐全生态在家庭大屏音娱场景下的落地与深耕。　　而在此次的财报中，腾讯音乐也首次公布了在拓展物联网中的经营成果，并称在智能终端的内容消费日益普及的趋势下，腾讯音乐正在积极拓展旗下整体业务在IoT使用场景的广泛覆盖。在截至2021年3月31日的三个月里，腾讯音乐包含车载系统、智能音箱、电视以及其他智能设备在内的IoT MAU规模已达到6900万，同比增长50.0%。　　王乐表示，此前外界更多关注的是音乐市场对于个人用户的布局与发展，但商用音乐市场实则也是一个蓝海，只不过因此前版权保护有待完善，市场秩序尚未建立，因此并未凸显。随着目前市场整体的发展，商用音乐市场的需求度持续保持较高的水平，若能提供多元场景下的音乐解决方案，则将撬动另外一端，打开新的想象空间。　　此外在李杰看来，B端与C端均拥有着较大的市场，同时两端也能在一定程度上起到相辅相成，互为促进的发展关系，若能够在两端同时打通，将会为相关公司带来更大的发展空间。\n关注同花顺财经（ths518），获取更多机会\n\n责任编辑：jhb","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":607,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":194455881,"gmtCreate":1621395509443,"gmtModify":1634189488037,"author":{"id":"3575637218307642","authorId":"3575637218307642","name":"鱼三","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/026c5a802db8b0565039777618671de7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"受比特币影响 今晚要die了","listText":"受比特币影响 今晚要die了","text":"受比特币影响 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这是什么意思？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160008631","repostId":"1119444358","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119444358","pubTimestamp":1623730397,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119444358?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 12:13","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"2万亿期权周五到期，年内第二个“四巫日”太可怕？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119444358","media":"美港电讯","summary":"美股这样的平静日子很可能在本周五就画上句号。","content":"<p>周一，纳指、标普500指数再创历史新高；与此同时，衡量标普500指数波动性的VIX指数近日持续走低，目前已经触及去年疫情爆发以来的最低水平。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c682edd73777792c9069a8b0727620e\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>金融博客零对冲撰文指出，<u><b>美股这样的平静日子很可能在本周五就画上句号，这是年内第二个“四巫日”，届时大量美股期权将同时到期。</b></u></p>\n<p>高盛的内部衍生品专家Rocky Fishman预测6月即将到期的期权规模和之前一样巨大，具体而言，本周五到期的期权包括：价值2400亿美元的标普500指数ETF期权，2000亿美元的迷你标普500指数期货以及1.8万亿美元的标普500指数期权。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54db6f13be487dd09e44c260bc5440db\" tg-width=\"894\" tg-height=\"713\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>值得注意的是，执行价格接近标的资产价格的期权数量创下10年来最低，由于近期美股一直处于高位，预计大部分6月未平仓合约价格都低于当前的股指现货价格。如下图所示，行权价在3900和4150附近期权分布密集。这意味着在本周五之后，这些点周围可能会有一定的支撑，直到被新的gamma重新填充。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a85d6a35c0b893247b3b9095f4400b15\" tg-width=\"1139\" tg-height=\"658\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>此外，据高盛估计，折式合成期权（combos）占标普500指数期权规模的15-20%，即调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远大于即将到期的单一股票期权的未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。</p>\n<p><b><u>这个“四巫日”之所以特别，一个重要原因是此前大盘波动率实在低得异常。</u></b>高盛策略师指出标普500指数过去13个交易日的波动率仅为5.1%，这是自2019年以来最低。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>这一幕和1997年8月相似，当时标普500指数不断续刷新高，与此同时VIX指数却处于新低。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>大盘波动率极低，但诡异的是，个股却频频上演极端波动，例如AMC——虽然AMC上周名义成交量仅70亿美元/天，远低于亚马逊的1200亿美元/天，且远低于第一季度的峰值，但在所有个股中其合约成交量最高，期间可实现的成交量接近400%。</p>\n<p>分析指出，散户驱动了所有个股期权活动的很大比例，近期个股期权活动的增长主要集中在低价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量的份额与名义交易量不匹配。</p>\n<p>目前美股的多头伽玛头寸规模依然高企，野村证券的Charlie McElligott指出，<b><u>极低的大盘实际波动率与大量看涨gamma期权到期的情况是危险的，即一旦头寸集体平仓，实际波动率可能会瞬间回升</u></b>。同时，VIX指数期货相对于标普500指数Beta值不断上升，这表明，如果市场出现抛售，空头gamma仓位会回升，市场将变得更加不稳定。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>高盛还指出，临近周五“四巫日”，美股期权交易量正在下降，这个反常现象出现主要是因为每周到期的短期期权正在变得火热，尤其是大受散户投资者欢迎。事实上，第三个周五到期的标普500指数期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，甚至小于每周一和周三到期期权交易量的百分比。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>超短期期权交易量增加的一个解释是散户对部分个股的热潮。高盛指出：</p>\n<blockquote>\n “如果做市商无法覆盖散户投资者看涨买入产生的短期gamma，他们可能会积极买入多头头寸，以抵消伽玛效应。”\n</blockquote>\n<p>零对冲警告，一旦这个趋势变得普遍，大盘可能会面临剧烈波动。</p>","source":"live_meigang","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2万亿期权周五到期，年内第二个“四巫日”太可怕？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2万亿期权周五到期，年内第二个“四巫日”太可怕？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 12:13 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://news.ushknews.com/mobile/details.html?id=1003226><strong>美港电讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>周一，纳指、标普500指数再创历史新高；与此同时，衡量标普500指数波动性的VIX指数近日持续走低，目前已经触及去年疫情爆发以来的最低水平。\n\n金融博客零对冲撰文指出，美股这样的平静日子很可能在本周五就画上句号，这是年内第二个“四巫日”，届时大量美股期权将同时到期。\n高盛的内部衍生品专家Rocky Fishman预测6月即将到期的期权规模和之前一样巨大，具体而言，本周五到期的期权包括：价值2400...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://news.ushknews.com/mobile/details.html?id=1003226\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32f76f2b955be371110b877bebef37ba","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://news.ushknews.com/mobile/details.html?id=1003226","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119444358","content_text":"周一，纳指、标普500指数再创历史新高；与此同时，衡量标普500指数波动性的VIX指数近日持续走低，目前已经触及去年疫情爆发以来的最低水平。\n\n金融博客零对冲撰文指出，美股这样的平静日子很可能在本周五就画上句号，这是年内第二个“四巫日”，届时大量美股期权将同时到期。\n高盛的内部衍生品专家Rocky Fishman预测6月即将到期的期权规模和之前一样巨大，具体而言，本周五到期的期权包括：价值2400亿美元的标普500指数ETF期权，2000亿美元的迷你标普500指数期货以及1.8万亿美元的标普500指数期权。\n\n值得注意的是，执行价格接近标的资产价格的期权数量创下10年来最低，由于近期美股一直处于高位，预计大部分6月未平仓合约价格都低于当前的股指现货价格。如下图所示，行权价在3900和4150附近期权分布密集。这意味着在本周五之后，这些点周围可能会有一定的支撑，直到被新的gamma重新填充。\n\n此外，据高盛估计，折式合成期权（combos）占标普500指数期权规模的15-20%，即调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远大于即将到期的单一股票期权的未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。\n这个“四巫日”之所以特别，一个重要原因是此前大盘波动率实在低得异常。高盛策略师指出标普500指数过去13个交易日的波动率仅为5.1%，这是自2019年以来最低。\n\n这一幕和1997年8月相似，当时标普500指数不断续刷新高，与此同时VIX指数却处于新低。\n\n大盘波动率极低，但诡异的是，个股却频频上演极端波动，例如AMC——虽然AMC上周名义成交量仅70亿美元/天，远低于亚马逊的1200亿美元/天，且远低于第一季度的峰值，但在所有个股中其合约成交量最高，期间可实现的成交量接近400%。\n分析指出，散户驱动了所有个股期权活动的很大比例，近期个股期权活动的增长主要集中在低价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量的份额与名义交易量不匹配。\n目前美股的多头伽玛头寸规模依然高企，野村证券的Charlie McElligott指出，极低的大盘实际波动率与大量看涨gamma期权到期的情况是危险的，即一旦头寸集体平仓，实际波动率可能会瞬间回升。同时，VIX指数期货相对于标普500指数Beta值不断上升，这表明，如果市场出现抛售，空头gamma仓位会回升，市场将变得更加不稳定。\n\n高盛还指出，临近周五“四巫日”，美股期权交易量正在下降，这个反常现象出现主要是因为每周到期的短期期权正在变得火热，尤其是大受散户投资者欢迎。事实上，第三个周五到期的标普500指数期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，甚至小于每周一和周三到期期权交易量的百分比。\n\n超短期期权交易量增加的一个解释是散户对部分个股的热潮。高盛指出：\n\n “如果做市商无法覆盖散户投资者看涨买入产生的短期gamma，他们可能会积极买入多头头寸，以抵消伽玛效应。”\n\n零对冲警告，一旦这个趋势变得普遍，大盘可能会面临剧烈波动。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":823,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3562670436825511","authorId":"3562670436825511","name":"上了飞机老师","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1f05edd9e1dfe2801c7d5b00683313e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"amc会暴涨","text":"amc会暴涨","html":"amc会暴涨"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":198376747,"gmtCreate":1620941958189,"gmtModify":1631886946952,"author":{"id":"3575637218307642","authorId":"3575637218307642","name":"鱼三","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/026c5a802db8b0565039777618671de7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOUR\">$途牛(TOUR)$</a>套得够牢的了。索命套头塑料袋[正经]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOUR\">$途牛(TOUR)$</a>套得够牢的了。索命套头塑料袋[正经]&nbsp;","text":"$途牛(TOUR)$套得够牢的了。索命套头塑料袋[正经]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ca92c480c51d6cc8abe4170df467751","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198376747","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":651,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":131238386,"gmtCreate":1621861957245,"gmtModify":1634186021189,"author":{"id":"3575637218307642","authorId":"3575637218307642","name":"鱼三","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/026c5a802db8b0565039777618671de7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"那这是好消息还是不好的消息？","listText":"那这是好消息还是不好的消息？","text":"那这是好消息还是不好的消息？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/131238386","repostId":"1102697371","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102697371","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621861337,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1102697371?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-24 21:02","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉在自动驾驶技术测试中使用了激光雷达","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102697371","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"特斯拉据悉在自动驾驶技术测试中使用了激光雷达。据知情人士透露，特斯拉与激光雷达公司Luminar签订了一份使用激光传感器技术进行测试和开发的合同。而此前马斯克曾表示，可以在不使用激光传感器技术的情况下","content":"<p>特斯拉据悉在自动驾驶技术测试中使用了激光雷达。</p><p>据知情人士透露，特斯拉与激光雷达公司Luminar签订了一份使用激光传感器技术进行测试和开发的合同。而此前马斯克曾表示，可以在不使用激光传感器技术的情况下开发一辆全自动驾驶汽车。</p><p>上周四，社交平台上流传的一张特斯拉Model Y车顶装有激光雷达传感器的照片已引发了两家公司正在合作的猜测。知情人士表示，作为协议的一部分，Luminar向特斯拉出售用于该辆Model Y上的传感器。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/724b829ed670cfbc5005a2be8c5d316f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/469aee1b1a9a96cded994f20ea03d511\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"356\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">受此消息影响，Luminar盘前直线拉升，现涨超10%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51204dcce3f742f3964511cffbbc2392\" tg-width=\"862\" tg-height=\"639\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉在自动驾驶技术测试中使用了激光雷达</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉在自动驾驶技术测试中使用了激光雷达\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-24 21:02</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>特斯拉据悉在自动驾驶技术测试中使用了激光雷达。</p><p>据知情人士透露，特斯拉与激光雷达公司Luminar签订了一份使用激光传感器技术进行测试和开发的合同。而此前马斯克曾表示，可以在不使用激光传感器技术的情况下开发一辆全自动驾驶汽车。</p><p>上周四，社交平台上流传的一张特斯拉Model Y车顶装有激光雷达传感器的照片已引发了两家公司正在合作的猜测。知情人士表示，作为协议的一部分，Luminar向特斯拉出售用于该辆Model Y上的传感器。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/724b829ed670cfbc5005a2be8c5d316f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/469aee1b1a9a96cded994f20ea03d511\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"356\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">受此消息影响，Luminar盘前直线拉升，现涨超10%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51204dcce3f742f3964511cffbbc2392\" tg-width=\"862\" tg-height=\"639\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1f099f6724852eed80c0925003dfca8","relate_stocks":{"LAZR":"Luminar Technologies, Inc.","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102697371","content_text":"特斯拉据悉在自动驾驶技术测试中使用了激光雷达。据知情人士透露，特斯拉与激光雷达公司Luminar签订了一份使用激光传感器技术进行测试和开发的合同。而此前马斯克曾表示，可以在不使用激光传感器技术的情况下开发一辆全自动驾驶汽车。上周四，社交平台上流传的一张特斯拉Model Y车顶装有激光雷达传感器的照片已引发了两家公司正在合作的猜测。知情人士表示，作为协议的一部分，Luminar向特斯拉出售用于该辆Model Y上的传感器。受此消息影响，Luminar盘前直线拉升，现涨超10%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574464809597717","authorId":"3574464809597717","name":"竹子来咯","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9533b82751a3bd2b715a1cff0fef33f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"值得大关注 有一个量产的点啊","text":"值得大关注 有一个量产的点啊","html":"值得大关注 有一个量产的点啊"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":197954084,"gmtCreate":1621422789448,"gmtModify":1631884969933,"author":{"id":"3575637218307642","authorId":"3575637218307642","name":"鱼三","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/026c5a802db8b0565039777618671de7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">$Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$</a>买什么亏什么也是一种超能力了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">$Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$</a>买什么亏什么也是一种超能力了","text":"$Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$买什么亏什么也是一种超能力了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8f76d5a6dbb1e6e4ceba97f3a480f64","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197954084","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":305,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":194455881,"gmtCreate":1621395509443,"gmtModify":1634189488037,"author":{"id":"3575637218307642","authorId":"3575637218307642","name":"鱼三","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/026c5a802db8b0565039777618671de7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"受比特币影响 今晚要die了","listText":"受比特币影响 今晚要die了","text":"受比特币影响 今晚要die了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27cb1d9bcb31606f30e321e3aa378c80","width":"1125","height":"2567"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194455881","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1703,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":105388352,"gmtCreate":1620269991376,"gmtModify":1634206481138,"author":{"id":"3575637218307642","authorId":"3575637218307642","name":"鱼三","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/026c5a802db8b0565039777618671de7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">$腾讯音乐(TME)$</a>花生什么事了？？？？？？？","listText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOUR\">$途牛(TOUR)$</a>五一要到了，为什么携程起那么多，途牛却不行呢？有没有人知道？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOUR\">$途牛(TOUR)$</a>五一要到了，为什么携程起那么多，途牛却不行呢？有没有人知道？","text":"$途牛(TOUR)$五一要到了，为什么携程起那么多，途牛却不行呢？有没有人知道？","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b11b5e036b588aeb86e3c9d1ec8cd355","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/377108867","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1265,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3472554652085855","authorId":"3472554652085855","name":"迷茫的渔夫","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c2f036787f3efc09b69bb9398532165","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"屠牛不吉利","text":"屠牛不吉利","html":"屠牛不吉利"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":374119063,"gmtCreate":1619427445952,"gmtModify":1634273577567,"author":{"id":"3575637218307642","authorId":"3575637218307642","name":"鱼三","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/026c5a802db8b0565039777618671de7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"涨是会涨的。但是它真的值现在这个价格吗？虽然各个指数都挺看好的，却莫名不信服[正经]&nbsp;","listText":"涨是会涨的。但是它真的值现在这个价格吗？虽然各个指数都挺看好的，却莫名不信服[正经]&nbsp;","text":"涨是会涨的。但是它真的值现在这个价格吗？虽然各个指数都挺看好的，却莫名不信服[正经]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374119063","repostId":"1119967360","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1119967360","pubTimestamp":1619426522,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119967360?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-26 16:42","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"华尔街聚焦特斯拉Q1财报，预测将实现创纪录净利润","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119967360","media":"美港电讯","summary":"不过还需要注意这几点。","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>将在4月26日(周一)盘后公布Q1业绩。</p><p>市场对特斯拉最大的批评之一是它无法产生有意义的利润。尽管在豪华电动汽车市场占有很大份额，但特斯拉在历史上已经出现了几年的重大亏损。投资者现在希望把重点转向关键的利润率指标。目前来看，华尔街对特斯拉的业绩预测还相当不错。</p><p><b>Q1业绩预期</b></p><p><b>综合华尔街预期，特斯拉Q1营收为103.44亿美元，同比增长43.59%，环比小幅下滑。净利润为4.97亿美元，环比增长84.1%，而去年同期仅为1600万美元。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dd1979d2b42840cd9f12bebe7c68aca\" tg-width=\"692\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>市场关注利润指标</b></p><p>今年第一季度，特斯拉全球交付18.5万辆汽车，连续几个季度超过18万辆的大关，这预示着季度收入将维持强劲。但是即使特斯拉Q1的产销量都超过了预期，Model S/X在该季度的零生产也将影响收入。马斯克曾在去年Q1的财报电话会议上表示，这两款豪华车型的升级版已经投产，将于明年2月交付，但很明显，这一切并没有发生。由于这两款车过去都是利润率较高的车型，因此预计全公司的平均销售价格会出现下降。</p><p>在过去5个季度，特斯拉的汽车业务毛利率大多在20%左右，监管积分是主力。在2020财年，特斯拉从同行那里获得了16亿美元的监管积分费用，这使得公司的利润保持在积极水平，但从长远来看，随着传统制造商变得自给自足，这一任务变得更加复杂。而且，近年来，特斯拉的能源业务利润率较低，甚至出现负增长，而服务/其他业务每个季度都出现大量亏损。在2020年Q4，特斯拉整体毛利率为19.23%，比汽车业务毛利率低了接近500个百分点。如果特斯拉要维持利润，那么其他业务的改善仍需加大力度并控制成本。</p><p>华尔街预计特斯拉今年的每股盈利将超过4美元，到2024年，预计这一数字将飙升至较低两位数。随着时间的推移，即使监管积分收入下滑，交付量的大幅增长也将带来更多的收入。然而，如果实现这一增长需要更多的降价，那么无论是出于竞争还是全球经济等其他因素，某些利润率目标就无法实现。</p><p><b>年度产销有何影响？</b></p><p>虽然管理层要求2021年交付超过75万辆汽车，但投资者期望的要远远超过这个数字，特别是在第一季度之后。即使Model S/X在Q2的贡献非常有限，下一阶段中国制造的Model Y在Q2的交货量也应该能轻松超过20万辆。</p><p>有看涨人士认为，在今年剩余时间里，如果特斯拉以95%的装机情况来推算，特斯拉的产能约为88.2万辆，这还不包括柏林或德克萨斯州新工厂的生产(虽然有消息称特斯拉柏林超级工厂的投产时间可能会大幅推迟)。因此，即使Model S/X生产不给力，甚至不考虑这两款车，特斯拉全年产能至少也有87.5万辆车。</p><p><b>自动驾驶进展</b></p><p>除了业绩之外，市场也非常关注特斯拉在自动驾驶方面的重大进展。马斯克曾说，2020年将有100万辆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300024\">机器人</a>出租车在路上行驶，但这一说法显然又没有实现。上周，特斯拉发布了Q1汽车安全报告，结果显得有些平淡无奇。自发布这一数据以来，自动驾驶仪的数据首次呈现逐年恶化的趋势，每次事故的平均里程比2020年Q1下降了近10.5%。周末发生的另一起可怕的致命事故再次将特斯拉置于聚光灯下。特斯拉的自动驾驶雄心是投资者一直在推高该股的一个重要原因，但该项目仍然落后于马斯克提出的时间表。</p><p><b>股票评级</b></p><p><b>目前的市场目标价均值为650.19美元，暗示从现价(周三收盘价744.12美元)还会下跌93.93美元，而该股在获利之前的走势可能取决于通胀数据是否会导致债券收益率大幅走高。</b></p><p>如下图所示，当前有9位分析师给予强烈买入评级，6个买入评级，12个持有评级，7个卖出评级。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15007776a873210ce98b6ada7051c410\" tg-width=\"692\" tg-height=\"152\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>投行怎么看？</b></p><p><b>瑞穗：将特斯拉目标价上调至820美元 评级买入</b></p><blockquote>瑞穗分析师Vijay Rakesh将特斯拉的目标价从775美元上调至820美元，并重申对该股的买入评级。该分析师认为，长期来看，特斯拉和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车(NIO.N)在电动汽车市场处于有利地位，而传统汽车制造商仍努力在传统内燃机和电动汽车之间取得平衡。Rakesh相信2021年第一季度财报将会强劲开局。此前特斯拉一季度销量数据好于预期，这可能意味着更高的年销量。</blockquote>","source":"live_meigang","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>华尔街聚焦特斯拉Q1财报，预测将实现创纪录净利润</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ 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hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n华尔街聚焦特斯拉Q1财报，预测将实现创纪录净利润\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-26 16:42 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://news.ushknews.com/mobile/details.html?id=1002798><strong>美港电讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>特斯拉将在4月26日(周一)盘后公布Q1业绩。市场对特斯拉最大的批评之一是它无法产生有意义的利润。尽管在豪华电动汽车市场占有很大份额，但特斯拉在历史上已经出现了几年的重大亏损。投资者现在希望把重点转向关键的利润率指标。目前来看，华尔街对特斯拉的业绩预测还相当不错。Q1业绩预期综合华尔街预期，特斯拉Q1营收为103.44亿美元，同比增长43.59%，环比小幅下滑。净利润为4.97亿美元，环比增长...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://news.ushknews.com/mobile/details.html?id=1002798\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ba18e4c173130d8ec828f5035d30189","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://news.ushknews.com/mobile/details.html?id=1002798","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119967360","content_text":"特斯拉将在4月26日(周一)盘后公布Q1业绩。市场对特斯拉最大的批评之一是它无法产生有意义的利润。尽管在豪华电动汽车市场占有很大份额，但特斯拉在历史上已经出现了几年的重大亏损。投资者现在希望把重点转向关键的利润率指标。目前来看，华尔街对特斯拉的业绩预测还相当不错。Q1业绩预期综合华尔街预期，特斯拉Q1营收为103.44亿美元，同比增长43.59%，环比小幅下滑。净利润为4.97亿美元，环比增长84.1%，而去年同期仅为1600万美元。市场关注利润指标今年第一季度，特斯拉全球交付18.5万辆汽车，连续几个季度超过18万辆的大关，这预示着季度收入将维持强劲。但是即使特斯拉Q1的产销量都超过了预期，Model S/X在该季度的零生产也将影响收入。马斯克曾在去年Q1的财报电话会议上表示，这两款豪华车型的升级版已经投产，将于明年2月交付，但很明显，这一切并没有发生。由于这两款车过去都是利润率较高的车型，因此预计全公司的平均销售价格会出现下降。在过去5个季度，特斯拉的汽车业务毛利率大多在20%左右，监管积分是主力。在2020财年，特斯拉从同行那里获得了16亿美元的监管积分费用，这使得公司的利润保持在积极水平，但从长远来看，随着传统制造商变得自给自足，这一任务变得更加复杂。而且，近年来，特斯拉的能源业务利润率较低，甚至出现负增长，而服务/其他业务每个季度都出现大量亏损。在2020年Q4，特斯拉整体毛利率为19.23%，比汽车业务毛利率低了接近500个百分点。如果特斯拉要维持利润，那么其他业务的改善仍需加大力度并控制成本。华尔街预计特斯拉今年的每股盈利将超过4美元，到2024年，预计这一数字将飙升至较低两位数。随着时间的推移，即使监管积分收入下滑，交付量的大幅增长也将带来更多的收入。然而，如果实现这一增长需要更多的降价，那么无论是出于竞争还是全球经济等其他因素，某些利润率目标就无法实现。年度产销有何影响？虽然管理层要求2021年交付超过75万辆汽车，但投资者期望的要远远超过这个数字，特别是在第一季度之后。即使Model S/X在Q2的贡献非常有限，下一阶段中国制造的Model Y在Q2的交货量也应该能轻松超过20万辆。有看涨人士认为，在今年剩余时间里，如果特斯拉以95%的装机情况来推算，特斯拉的产能约为88.2万辆，这还不包括柏林或德克萨斯州新工厂的生产(虽然有消息称特斯拉柏林超级工厂的投产时间可能会大幅推迟)。因此，即使Model S/X生产不给力，甚至不考虑这两款车，特斯拉全年产能至少也有87.5万辆车。自动驾驶进展除了业绩之外，市场也非常关注特斯拉在自动驾驶方面的重大进展。马斯克曾说，2020年将有100万辆机器人出租车在路上行驶，但这一说法显然又没有实现。上周，特斯拉发布了Q1汽车安全报告，结果显得有些平淡无奇。自发布这一数据以来，自动驾驶仪的数据首次呈现逐年恶化的趋势，每次事故的平均里程比2020年Q1下降了近10.5%。周末发生的另一起可怕的致命事故再次将特斯拉置于聚光灯下。特斯拉的自动驾驶雄心是投资者一直在推高该股的一个重要原因，但该项目仍然落后于马斯克提出的时间表。股票评级目前的市场目标价均值为650.19美元，暗示从现价(周三收盘价744.12美元)还会下跌93.93美元，而该股在获利之前的走势可能取决于通胀数据是否会导致债券收益率大幅走高。如下图所示，当前有9位分析师给予强烈买入评级，6个买入评级，12个持有评级，7个卖出评级。投行怎么看？瑞穗：将特斯拉目标价上调至820美元 评级买入瑞穗分析师Vijay 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求求股票快站起来，别再跪了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162153277","repostId":"1156914181","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":568,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":139061638,"gmtCreate":1621575312724,"gmtModify":1634187943007,"author":{"id":"3575637218307642","authorId":"3575637218307642","name":"鱼三","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/026c5a802db8b0565039777618671de7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"小韭菜不懂就问,这会怎么影响股价？","listText":"小韭菜不懂就问,这会怎么影响股价？","text":"小韭菜不懂就问,这会怎么影响股价？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/139061638","repostId":"1172901483","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1172901483","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621575165,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1172901483?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-21 13:32","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉美国三款车型上调500美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172901483","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"据特斯拉美国官网：特斯拉Model 3标准续航升级版起售价为3.999万美元，此前为3.949万美元，上调500美元；长续航版起售价为4.899万美元，此前为4.849万美元，上调500美元；Mode","content":"<p>据<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>美国官网：特斯拉Model 3标准续航升级版起售价为3.999万美元，此前为3.949万美元，上调500美元；长续航版起售价为4.899万美元，此前为4.849万美元，上调500美元；Model Y长续航版起售价为5.199万美元，此前为5.149万美元，上调500美元。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉美国三款车型上调500美元</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉美国三款车型上调500美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-21 13:32</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>据<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>美国官网：特斯拉Model 3标准续航升级版起售价为3.999万美元，此前为3.949万美元，上调500美元；长续航版起售价为4.899万美元，此前为4.849万美元，上调500美元；Model Y长续航版起售价为5.199万美元，此前为5.149万美元，上调500美元。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ff460a3c38d8370653067c1948c76ac","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172901483","content_text":"据特斯拉美国官网：特斯拉Model 3标准续航升级版起售价为3.999万美元，此前为3.949万美元，上调500美元；长续航版起售价为4.899万美元，此前为4.849万美元，上调500美元；Model Y长续航版起售价为5.199万美元，此前为5.149万美元，上调500美元。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":409,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}