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准备好成为传说吧
2023-12-14
假如时光倒流，我会早点开始炒股，从中吸取经验，不会在2021年入市做韭菜
准备好成为传说吧
2023-12-15
作为小米的迷你股东必须站小米啊，等哪天华为上市了再考虑站华为
准备好成为传说吧
2023-12-15
应该不会创新低了，最多在现在的点数附近徘徊，等明年美国降息就有希望！
准备好成为传说吧
2023-12-14
最疯狂的一次其实是上10倍杠杆打新港股，结果浪费1000多利息还没中签。。。
准备好成为传说吧
2023-12-14
好久没来啦，打个卡。大家今年赚钱了吗？
准备好成为传说吧
2022-05-16
👍
@格隆汇:若2008年重现，第一个倒下的国家会是谁？
准备好成为传说吧
2022-01-05
首次发帖试一下
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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GDP 只有不到200亿美元。倘若2008年不幸再现，那么第一个倒下的会是谁？是阿根廷、巴西，还是目前资本看好的越南？01、洗劫泰国1970年代末，泰国推行出口导向国家经济发展战略。在当时欧美日低端附加值产业链也急需转移的大背景下，宽松的国际资本持续涌入泰国，泰国经济得以","listText":"历史上，美国通过美元霸权收割过很多国家。上世纪70年代，为了应对“滞涨”，美联储开启宽松货币政策。泛滥的美元资本涌入巴西、阿根廷等拉美国家，后者依靠大量举债外资发展经济，从1970年的212亿美元急速飙升至1980年的3287亿美元，累计增长15.5倍。没过多久，美联储调整货币政策，拉美国家债务危机爆发，资产价格因此大幅暴跌。等跌到白菜价了，美元资本强势杀回，狠狠收割了拉美国家。此后，拉美一蹶不振，无奈陷入“中等收入陷阱”。再后来，美元的霸权镰刀伸向日本。1985年，美英德法同日本在美国纽约广场饭店签订广场协议，逼迫日元大幅升值。大量的美元流入日本，导致日本国内的货币变轻，商品变重。楼市、股市一飞冲天，等火候差不多的时候，美元加息紧缩刺破泡沫，大量资本流出日本，金融资产持续暴跌。海量财富被卷走了，日本失去了30年。日本街头同样的套路，美元霸权攻击了泰国、印度尼西亚、新加坡、马来西亚等东南亚国家，用金融手段洗劫、掏空这些国家积攒数十年的财富家底，还屡屡得手。但针对中国及中国香港，并不顺利。在2008年的激烈博弈中，美国内部危机先被引爆，危机蔓延并转嫁全球。有人说，今年新冠疫情大流行+全球大通胀+极高的债务水平（2021年债务303万亿，占全球GDP的351%）+全球楼市大泡沫等大背景下，海外主流央行开启疯狂的货币紧转弯，其实所面临的风险可能要超过2008年次贷危机之前的水平。2008年，美国次贷风暴点燃不过半个月的时间内，冰岛陷入全面崩盘，国家陷入“破产”。冰岛损失惨重，超过了1000多亿美元的外债，但国家 GDP 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