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BC_76
2021-12-31
Nice. Thank you.
@vyaya:
$NIO Inc.(NIO)$
Insiders information came out before opening the market
BC_76
2021-12-23
Volatility increases
@何安迪:【转】以史为鉴:当美联储开始加息,会发生什么?
BC_76
2021-12-22
Unless they want to make an electric i-Disney featured car? Lol. Just kidding.
Apple And Disney Merging Into A Single Company? Bob Iger Says It Was A Real Possibility If Not For Steve Jobs' Demise
BC_76
2021-12-19
Good article
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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Thank you. ","listText":"Nice. Thank you. ","text":"Nice. Thank you.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692628749","repostId":"692086213","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":692086213,"gmtCreate":1640792020277,"gmtModify":1640826070596,"author":{"id":"3575934434932552","authorId":"3575934434932552","name":"vyaya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/470613e1e537d2aa9162dccd4d938bec","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575934434932552","authorIdStr":"3575934434932552"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Insiders information came out before opening the market ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Insiders information came out before opening the market ","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$Insiders information came out before opening the market","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692086213","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1065,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691235808,"gmtCreate":1640193070211,"gmtModify":1640193070326,"author":{"id":"3573662870064196","authorId":"3573662870064196","name":"BC_76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27fa332080dc8d7fc339793d668b0e9b","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573662870064196","authorIdStr":"3573662870064196"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Volatility increases ","listText":"Volatility increases ","text":"Volatility increases","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691235808","repostId":"607224506","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":607224506,"gmtCreate":1639550616688,"gmtModify":1639569073022,"author":{"id":"3568081734360099","authorId":"3568081734360099","name":"何安迪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02c7061d02e3c72d7ce21a375ae80cb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568081734360099","authorIdStr":"3568081734360099"},"themes":[],"title":"【转】以史为鉴:当美联储开始加息,会发生什么?","htmlText":"作者:周晓雯 如果历史可信,倘若美联储在2022年上半年首次加息,将在随后的两到三年内对经济和金融市场产生影响。 如果市场预期正确,明年上半年美联储将启动另一个紧缩周期。 当美联储加息时,通常会发生什么? 德意志银行研究部通过对过往历史上美联储加息后的市场变化进行回顾后发现,从首次加息算起,通常加息第一年经济增长保持强劲,通胀继续上升,股市继续上涨,信贷紧缩,债券收益率曲线趋平;到了第二年,经济增长开始放缓,股市趋于平稳,信贷开始扩大,债券收益率下降。 自1955年以来,一共有13个独立的加息周期,平均时间不到2年。如果从宣布加息当天开始计算,历史上的衰退则平均会在3-3.5年后出现。不过,1980年的加息到1981年的衰退只隔了11个月,但1983年的加息到1990年的衰退则隔了86个月。 常见的一个模式是,增长放缓通常发生在加息的一年后。这与货币政策的滞后性有关,一般货币政策的全面效应可能需要几个季度才能显现。 考虑到加息后最早出现衰退的时间是11个月,那么从统计上看,2022年出现负增长的可能性很低。如果历史可信的话,这种可能性将从2023年起不断增加。 加息周期中的宏观经济 在加息开启之后,名义和实际GDP都会在第二年开始出现增速放缓,但通胀并没有这个趋势。 平均而言,在加息周期的第一年,实际GDP增长为+4.8%,但在第二年放缓至+2.7%,第三年为+2.1%。 在紧缩周期开始后,名义GDP中也出现同样的现象。第一年平均增长8.5%,但第二年放缓至6.5%,第三年增长5.8%,这是一个主要的趋势。 然而在通胀方面并没有类似的现象。通胀可能是加息周期开始的主要原因,但历史表明,抑制通胀需要一段时间。 平均而言,通货膨胀率已经从第一次加息后一年的+3.8%上升到第二年的+4.5%。也就是说,这在很大程度上是一种相关性而非因果关系,因为加息周期开始的首要原因往往是通胀压","listText":"作者:周晓雯 如果历史可信,倘若美联储在2022年上半年首次加息,将在随后的两到三年内对经济和金融市场产生影响。 如果市场预期正确,明年上半年美联储将启动另一个紧缩周期。 当美联储加息时,通常会发生什么? 德意志银行研究部通过对过往历史上美联储加息后的市场变化进行回顾后发现,从首次加息算起,通常加息第一年经济增长保持强劲,通胀继续上升,股市继续上涨,信贷紧缩,债券收益率曲线趋平;到了第二年,经济增长开始放缓,股市趋于平稳,信贷开始扩大,债券收益率下降。 自1955年以来,一共有13个独立的加息周期,平均时间不到2年。如果从宣布加息当天开始计算,历史上的衰退则平均会在3-3.5年后出现。不过,1980年的加息到1981年的衰退只隔了11个月,但1983年的加息到1990年的衰退则隔了86个月。 常见的一个模式是,增长放缓通常发生在加息的一年后。这与货币政策的滞后性有关,一般货币政策的全面效应可能需要几个季度才能显现。 考虑到加息后最早出现衰退的时间是11个月,那么从统计上看,2022年出现负增长的可能性很低。如果历史可信的话,这种可能性将从2023年起不断增加。 加息周期中的宏观经济 在加息开启之后,名义和实际GDP都会在第二年开始出现增速放缓,但通胀并没有这个趋势。 平均而言,在加息周期的第一年,实际GDP增长为+4.8%,但在第二年放缓至+2.7%,第三年为+2.1%。 在紧缩周期开始后,名义GDP中也出现同样的现象。第一年平均增长8.5%,但第二年放缓至6.5%,第三年增长5.8%,这是一个主要的趋势。 然而在通胀方面并没有类似的现象。通胀可能是加息周期开始的主要原因,但历史表明,抑制通胀需要一段时间。 平均而言,通货膨胀率已经从第一次加息后一年的+3.8%上升到第二年的+4.5%。也就是说,这在很大程度上是一种相关性而非因果关系,因为加息周期开始的首要原因往往是通胀压","text":"作者:周晓雯 如果历史可信,倘若美联储在2022年上半年首次加息,将在随后的两到三年内对经济和金融市场产生影响。 如果市场预期正确,明年上半年美联储将启动另一个紧缩周期。 当美联储加息时,通常会发生什么? 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Lol. Just kidding. ","listText":"Unless they want to make an electric i-Disney featured car? Lol. Just kidding. ","text":"Unless they want to make an electric i-Disney featured car? Lol. Just kidding.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691804412","repostId":"1123262270","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123262270","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1640150854,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123262270?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-22 13:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple And Disney Merging Into A Single Company? Bob Iger Says It Was A Real Possibility If Not For Steve Jobs' Demise","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123262270","media":"Benzinga","summary":"he Walt Disney Co and Apple Inc would have ended up discussing a merger between the companies if Ste","content":"<p><b>he Walt Disney Co</b> and <b>Apple Inc</b> would have ended up discussing a merger between the companies if <b>Steve Jobs</b> would have been alive, Disney Chair <b>Bob Iger</b> said in an interview Tuesday.</p>\n<p><b>What Happened:</b>Iger told CNBC that, while Jobs and him never actually discussed a merger, he said a deal would have “gotten there,”reported Apple Insider.</p>\n<p>Jobs was passionate about “everything that Disney did,” said Iger. The Disney Chair said the intersection of liberal arts and technology made Jobs’ “heart sing.”</p>\n<p>Disney’s content would be a natural fit for the iPhone maker, said Iger. On the merger between the two companies, he said, “I'm pretty convinced we would have had that discussion.”</p>\n<p><b>Why It Matters:</b>The Disney executive also revealed how he spent months getting to know Jobs, who was an investor and co-founder of <b>Pixar Studios</b>. The bond between the two reportedly grew when Disney acquired the studio.</p>\n<p>The acquisition made Jobs Disney’s largest shareholder and a board member of the entertainment behemoth.</p>\n<p>Jobs in turn selected Iger to succeed him on the Apple board of directors. Iger exited as a board member in 2019.</p>\n<p>Iger stepped down as Disney CEO in 2020. He will officially give up the role of Chair at the end of 2021.</p>\n<p>In the interview, Iger said that he began thinking about stepping down after he became too dismissive of other people’s opinions.</p>\n<p><b>Price Action:</b>On Tuesday, Disney shares closed 3.1% higher at $151.05 in the regular session. On the same day, Apple shares ended the regular session 1.9% higher at $172.99 and fell 0.2% in the after-hours session.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple And Disney Merging Into A Single Company? Bob Iger Says It Was A Real Possibility If Not For Steve Jobs' Demise</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple And Disney Merging Into A Single Company? Bob Iger Says It Was A Real Possibility If Not For Steve Jobs' Demise\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-22 13:27</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>he Walt Disney Co</b> and <b>Apple Inc</b> would have ended up discussing a merger between the companies if <b>Steve Jobs</b> would have been alive, Disney Chair <b>Bob Iger</b> said in an interview Tuesday.</p>\n<p><b>What Happened:</b>Iger told CNBC that, while Jobs and him never actually discussed a merger, he said a deal would have “gotten there,”reported Apple Insider.</p>\n<p>Jobs was passionate about “everything that Disney did,” said Iger. The Disney Chair said the intersection of liberal arts and technology made Jobs’ “heart sing.”</p>\n<p>Disney’s content would be a natural fit for the iPhone maker, said Iger. On the merger between the two companies, he said, “I'm pretty convinced we would have had that discussion.”</p>\n<p><b>Why It Matters:</b>The Disney executive also revealed how he spent months getting to know Jobs, who was an investor and co-founder of <b>Pixar Studios</b>. The bond between the two reportedly grew when Disney acquired the studio.</p>\n<p>The acquisition made Jobs Disney’s largest shareholder and a board member of the entertainment behemoth.</p>\n<p>Jobs in turn selected Iger to succeed him on the Apple board of directors. Iger exited as a board member in 2019.</p>\n<p>Iger stepped down as Disney CEO in 2020. He will officially give up the role of Chair at the end of 2021.</p>\n<p>In the interview, Iger said that he began thinking about stepping down after he became too dismissive of other people’s opinions.</p>\n<p><b>Price Action:</b>On Tuesday, Disney shares closed 3.1% higher at $151.05 in the regular session. On the same day, Apple shares ended the regular session 1.9% higher at $172.99 and fell 0.2% in the after-hours session.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼","AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123262270","content_text":"he Walt Disney Co and Apple Inc would have ended up discussing a merger between the companies if Steve Jobs would have been alive, Disney Chair Bob Iger said in an interview Tuesday.\nWhat Happened:Iger told CNBC that, while Jobs and him never actually discussed a merger, he said a deal would have “gotten there,”reported Apple Insider.\nJobs was passionate about “everything that Disney did,” said Iger. The Disney Chair said the intersection of liberal arts and technology made Jobs’ “heart sing.”\nDisney’s content would be a natural fit for the iPhone maker, said Iger. On the merger between the two companies, he said, “I'm pretty convinced we would have had that discussion.”\nWhy It Matters:The Disney executive also revealed how he spent months getting to know Jobs, who was an investor and co-founder of Pixar Studios. The bond between the two reportedly grew when Disney acquired the studio.\nThe acquisition made Jobs Disney’s largest shareholder and a board member of the entertainment behemoth.\nJobs in turn selected Iger to succeed him on the Apple board of directors. Iger exited as a board member in 2019.\nIger stepped down as Disney CEO in 2020. He will officially give up the role of Chair at the end of 2021.\nIn the interview, Iger said that he began thinking about stepping down after he became too dismissive of other people’s opinions.\nPrice Action:On Tuesday, Disney shares closed 3.1% higher at $151.05 in the regular session. On the same day, Apple shares ended the regular session 1.9% higher at $172.99 and fell 0.2% in the after-hours session.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":727,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699554985,"gmtCreate":1639853593561,"gmtModify":1639853593688,"author":{"id":"3573662870064196","authorId":"3573662870064196","name":"BC_76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27fa332080dc8d7fc339793d668b0e9b","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573662870064196","authorIdStr":"3573662870064196"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article ","listText":"Good article ","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699554985","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":691804412,"gmtCreate":1640158792052,"gmtModify":1640158792125,"author":{"id":"3573662870064196","authorId":"3573662870064196","name":"BC_76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27fa332080dc8d7fc339793d668b0e9b","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573662870064196","authorIdStr":"3573662870064196"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Unless they want to make an electric i-Disney featured car? Lol. Just kidding. ","listText":"Unless they want to make an electric i-Disney featured car? Lol. Just kidding. ","text":"Unless they want to make an electric i-Disney featured car? Lol. Just kidding.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691804412","repostId":"1123262270","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123262270","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1640150854,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123262270?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-22 13:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple And Disney Merging Into A Single Company? Bob Iger Says It Was A Real Possibility If Not For Steve Jobs' Demise","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123262270","media":"Benzinga","summary":"he Walt Disney Co and Apple Inc would have ended up discussing a merger between the companies if Ste","content":"<p><b>he Walt Disney Co</b> and <b>Apple Inc</b> would have ended up discussing a merger between the companies if <b>Steve Jobs</b> would have been alive, Disney Chair <b>Bob Iger</b> said in an interview Tuesday.</p>\n<p><b>What Happened:</b>Iger told CNBC that, while Jobs and him never actually discussed a merger, he said a deal would have “gotten there,”reported Apple Insider.</p>\n<p>Jobs was passionate about “everything that Disney did,” said Iger. The Disney Chair said the intersection of liberal arts and technology made Jobs’ “heart sing.”</p>\n<p>Disney’s content would be a natural fit for the iPhone maker, said Iger. On the merger between the two companies, he said, “I'm pretty convinced we would have had that discussion.”</p>\n<p><b>Why It Matters:</b>The Disney executive also revealed how he spent months getting to know Jobs, who was an investor and co-founder of <b>Pixar Studios</b>. The bond between the two reportedly grew when Disney acquired the studio.</p>\n<p>The acquisition made Jobs Disney’s largest shareholder and a board member of the entertainment behemoth.</p>\n<p>Jobs in turn selected Iger to succeed him on the Apple board of directors. Iger exited as a board member in 2019.</p>\n<p>Iger stepped down as Disney CEO in 2020. He will officially give up the role of Chair at the end of 2021.</p>\n<p>In the interview, Iger said that he began thinking about stepping down after he became too dismissive of other people’s opinions.</p>\n<p><b>Price Action:</b>On Tuesday, Disney shares closed 3.1% higher at $151.05 in the regular session. On the same day, Apple shares ended the regular session 1.9% higher at $172.99 and fell 0.2% in the after-hours session.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple And Disney Merging Into A Single Company? Bob Iger Says It Was A Real Possibility If Not For Steve Jobs' Demise</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple And Disney Merging Into A Single Company? Bob Iger Says It Was A Real Possibility If Not For Steve Jobs' Demise\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-22 13:27</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>he Walt Disney Co</b> and <b>Apple Inc</b> would have ended up discussing a merger between the companies if <b>Steve Jobs</b> would have been alive, Disney Chair <b>Bob Iger</b> said in an interview Tuesday.</p>\n<p><b>What Happened:</b>Iger told CNBC that, while Jobs and him never actually discussed a merger, he said a deal would have “gotten there,”reported Apple Insider.</p>\n<p>Jobs was passionate about “everything that Disney did,” said Iger. The Disney Chair said the intersection of liberal arts and technology made Jobs’ “heart sing.”</p>\n<p>Disney’s content would be a natural fit for the iPhone maker, said Iger. On the merger between the two companies, he said, “I'm pretty convinced we would have had that discussion.”</p>\n<p><b>Why It Matters:</b>The Disney executive also revealed how he spent months getting to know Jobs, who was an investor and co-founder of <b>Pixar Studios</b>. The bond between the two reportedly grew when Disney acquired the studio.</p>\n<p>The acquisition made Jobs Disney’s largest shareholder and a board member of the entertainment behemoth.</p>\n<p>Jobs in turn selected Iger to succeed him on the Apple board of directors. Iger exited as a board member in 2019.</p>\n<p>Iger stepped down as Disney CEO in 2020. He will officially give up the role of Chair at the end of 2021.</p>\n<p>In the interview, Iger said that he began thinking about stepping down after he became too dismissive of other people’s opinions.</p>\n<p><b>Price Action:</b>On Tuesday, Disney shares closed 3.1% higher at $151.05 in the regular session. On the same day, Apple shares ended the regular session 1.9% higher at $172.99 and fell 0.2% in the after-hours session.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼","AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123262270","content_text":"he Walt Disney Co and Apple Inc would have ended up discussing a merger between the companies if Steve Jobs would have been alive, Disney Chair Bob Iger said in an interview Tuesday.\nWhat Happened:Iger told CNBC that, while Jobs and him never actually discussed a merger, he said a deal would have “gotten there,”reported Apple Insider.\nJobs was passionate about “everything that Disney did,” said Iger. The Disney Chair said the intersection of liberal arts and technology made Jobs’ “heart sing.”\nDisney’s content would be a natural fit for the iPhone maker, said Iger. On the merger between the two companies, he said, “I'm pretty convinced we would have had that discussion.”\nWhy It Matters:The Disney executive also revealed how he spent months getting to know Jobs, who was an investor and co-founder of Pixar Studios. The bond between the two reportedly grew when Disney acquired the studio.\nThe acquisition made Jobs Disney’s largest shareholder and a board member of the entertainment behemoth.\nJobs in turn selected Iger to succeed him on the Apple board of directors. Iger exited as a board member in 2019.\nIger stepped down as Disney CEO in 2020. He will officially give up the role of Chair at the end of 2021.\nIn the interview, Iger said that he began thinking about stepping down after he became too dismissive of other people’s opinions.\nPrice Action:On Tuesday, Disney shares closed 3.1% higher at $151.05 in the regular session. On the same day, Apple shares ended the regular session 1.9% higher at $172.99 and fell 0.2% in the after-hours session.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":727,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692628749,"gmtCreate":1640948491115,"gmtModify":1640948491239,"author":{"id":"3573662870064196","authorId":"3573662870064196","name":"BC_76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27fa332080dc8d7fc339793d668b0e9b","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573662870064196","authorIdStr":"3573662870064196"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice. Thank you. ","listText":"Nice. Thank you. ","text":"Nice. Thank you.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692628749","repostId":"692086213","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":692086213,"gmtCreate":1640792020277,"gmtModify":1640826070596,"author":{"id":"3575934434932552","authorId":"3575934434932552","name":"vyaya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/470613e1e537d2aa9162dccd4d938bec","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575934434932552","authorIdStr":"3575934434932552"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Insiders information came out before opening the market ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Insiders information came out before opening the market ","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$Insiders information came out before opening the market","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692086213","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1065,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691235808,"gmtCreate":1640193070211,"gmtModify":1640193070326,"author":{"id":"3573662870064196","authorId":"3573662870064196","name":"BC_76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27fa332080dc8d7fc339793d668b0e9b","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573662870064196","authorIdStr":"3573662870064196"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Volatility increases ","listText":"Volatility increases ","text":"Volatility increases","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691235808","repostId":"607224506","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":607224506,"gmtCreate":1639550616688,"gmtModify":1639569073022,"author":{"id":"3568081734360099","authorId":"3568081734360099","name":"何安迪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02c7061d02e3c72d7ce21a375ae80cb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568081734360099","authorIdStr":"3568081734360099"},"themes":[],"title":"【转】以史为鉴:当美联储开始加息,会发生什么?","htmlText":"作者:周晓雯 如果历史可信,倘若美联储在2022年上半年首次加息,将在随后的两到三年内对经济和金融市场产生影响。 如果市场预期正确,明年上半年美联储将启动另一个紧缩周期。 当美联储加息时,通常会发生什么? 德意志银行研究部通过对过往历史上美联储加息后的市场变化进行回顾后发现,从首次加息算起,通常加息第一年经济增长保持强劲,通胀继续上升,股市继续上涨,信贷紧缩,债券收益率曲线趋平;到了第二年,经济增长开始放缓,股市趋于平稳,信贷开始扩大,债券收益率下降。 自1955年以来,一共有13个独立的加息周期,平均时间不到2年。如果从宣布加息当天开始计算,历史上的衰退则平均会在3-3.5年后出现。不过,1980年的加息到1981年的衰退只隔了11个月,但1983年的加息到1990年的衰退则隔了86个月。 常见的一个模式是,增长放缓通常发生在加息的一年后。这与货币政策的滞后性有关,一般货币政策的全面效应可能需要几个季度才能显现。 考虑到加息后最早出现衰退的时间是11个月,那么从统计上看,2022年出现负增长的可能性很低。如果历史可信的话,这种可能性将从2023年起不断增加。 加息周期中的宏观经济 在加息开启之后,名义和实际GDP都会在第二年开始出现增速放缓,但通胀并没有这个趋势。 平均而言,在加息周期的第一年,实际GDP增长为+4.8%,但在第二年放缓至+2.7%,第三年为+2.1%。 在紧缩周期开始后,名义GDP中也出现同样的现象。第一年平均增长8.5%,但第二年放缓至6.5%,第三年增长5.8%,这是一个主要的趋势。 然而在通胀方面并没有类似的现象。通胀可能是加息周期开始的主要原因,但历史表明,抑制通胀需要一段时间。 平均而言,通货膨胀率已经从第一次加息后一年的+3.8%上升到第二年的+4.5%。也就是说,这在很大程度上是一种相关性而非因果关系,因为加息周期开始的首要原因往往是通胀压","listText":"作者:周晓雯 如果历史可信,倘若美联储在2022年上半年首次加息,将在随后的两到三年内对经济和金融市场产生影响。 如果市场预期正确,明年上半年美联储将启动另一个紧缩周期。 当美联储加息时,通常会发生什么? 德意志银行研究部通过对过往历史上美联储加息后的市场变化进行回顾后发现,从首次加息算起,通常加息第一年经济增长保持强劲,通胀继续上升,股市继续上涨,信贷紧缩,债券收益率曲线趋平;到了第二年,经济增长开始放缓,股市趋于平稳,信贷开始扩大,债券收益率下降。 自1955年以来,一共有13个独立的加息周期,平均时间不到2年。如果从宣布加息当天开始计算,历史上的衰退则平均会在3-3.5年后出现。不过,1980年的加息到1981年的衰退只隔了11个月,但1983年的加息到1990年的衰退则隔了86个月。 常见的一个模式是,增长放缓通常发生在加息的一年后。这与货币政策的滞后性有关,一般货币政策的全面效应可能需要几个季度才能显现。 考虑到加息后最早出现衰退的时间是11个月,那么从统计上看,2022年出现负增长的可能性很低。如果历史可信的话,这种可能性将从2023年起不断增加。 加息周期中的宏观经济 在加息开启之后,名义和实际GDP都会在第二年开始出现增速放缓,但通胀并没有这个趋势。 平均而言,在加息周期的第一年,实际GDP增长为+4.8%,但在第二年放缓至+2.7%,第三年为+2.1%。 在紧缩周期开始后,名义GDP中也出现同样的现象。第一年平均增长8.5%,但第二年放缓至6.5%,第三年增长5.8%,这是一个主要的趋势。 然而在通胀方面并没有类似的现象。通胀可能是加息周期开始的主要原因,但历史表明,抑制通胀需要一段时间。 平均而言,通货膨胀率已经从第一次加息后一年的+3.8%上升到第二年的+4.5%。也就是说,这在很大程度上是一种相关性而非因果关系,因为加息周期开始的首要原因往往是通胀压","text":"作者:周晓雯 如果历史可信,倘若美联储在2022年上半年首次加息,将在随后的两到三年内对经济和金融市场产生影响。 如果市场预期正确,明年上半年美联储将启动另一个紧缩周期。 当美联储加息时,通常会发生什么? 德意志银行研究部通过对过往历史上美联储加息后的市场变化进行回顾后发现,从首次加息算起,通常加息第一年经济增长保持强劲,通胀继续上升,股市继续上涨,信贷紧缩,债券收益率曲线趋平;到了第二年,经济增长开始放缓,股市趋于平稳,信贷开始扩大,债券收益率下降。 自1955年以来,一共有13个独立的加息周期,平均时间不到2年。如果从宣布加息当天开始计算,历史上的衰退则平均会在3-3.5年后出现。不过,1980年的加息到1981年的衰退只隔了11个月,但1983年的加息到1990年的衰退则隔了86个月。 常见的一个模式是,增长放缓通常发生在加息的一年后。这与货币政策的滞后性有关,一般货币政策的全面效应可能需要几个季度才能显现。 考虑到加息后最早出现衰退的时间是11个月,那么从统计上看,2022年出现负增长的可能性很低。如果历史可信的话,这种可能性将从2023年起不断增加。 加息周期中的宏观经济 在加息开启之后,名义和实际GDP都会在第二年开始出现增速放缓,但通胀并没有这个趋势。 平均而言,在加息周期的第一年,实际GDP增长为+4.8%,但在第二年放缓至+2.7%,第三年为+2.1%。 在紧缩周期开始后,名义GDP中也出现同样的现象。第一年平均增长8.5%,但第二年放缓至6.5%,第三年增长5.8%,这是一个主要的趋势。 然而在通胀方面并没有类似的现象。通胀可能是加息周期开始的主要原因,但历史表明,抑制通胀需要一段时间。 平均而言,通货膨胀率已经从第一次加息后一年的+3.8%上升到第二年的+4.5%。也就是说,这在很大程度上是一种相关性而非因果关系,因为加息周期开始的首要原因往往是通胀压","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0faf41f9cb4fded40d7d067946114d89","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06d1d87d68cf5570c03d53192fab33a","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8993e9e70f1a67a81fcd4c8aefc2ab7c","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607224506","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":727,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699554985,"gmtCreate":1639853593561,"gmtModify":1639853593688,"author":{"id":"3573662870064196","authorId":"3573662870064196","name":"BC_76","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27fa332080dc8d7fc339793d668b0e9b","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573662870064196","authorIdStr":"3573662870064196"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article ","listText":"Good article ","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699554985","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}