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Wins888
2021-10-17
done
@lg8:
$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$
can try
Wins888
2021-10-05
Seriously, all these big techs especially social media platform providers have harmed the lives of many children and elderlies getting glued to their algorithms of spending more time on it. It is time to fix it
抱歉,原内容已删除
Wins888
2021-09-21
lol..drop 1 day up 100 days
抱歉,原内容已删除
Wins888
2021-09-05
gogogo
抱歉,原内容已删除
Wins888
2021-09-02
cool
抱歉,原内容已删除
Wins888
2021-08-24
More business for Amazon?
抱歉,原内容已删除
Wins888
2021-08-21
i think this is all politics rather than actual help for humanity
抱歉,原内容已删除
Wins888
2021-08-19
drop more
抱歉,原内容已删除
Wins888
2021-08-11
cool
抱歉,原内容已删除
Wins888
2021-08-08
//
@陈剑ew4
:
@阿曼曼:这份闹了大乌龙的快手降级报告到底说了什么?
Wins888
2021-08-07
hmmm
抱歉,原内容已删除
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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business for Amazon?","listText":"More business for Amazon?","text":"More business for Amazon?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834379063","repostId":"2161705845","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832074247,"gmtCreate":1629551688389,"gmtModify":1633684077256,"author":{"id":"3573623994106312","authorId":"3573623994106312","name":"Wins888","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573623994106312","authorIdStr":"3573623994106312"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"i think this is all politics rather than actual help for humanity","listText":"i think this is all politics rather than actual help for humanity","text":"i think this is all politics rather than actual help for 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//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/10000000000007878\">@陈剑ew4</a>: [强] [强] ","listText":"[微笑] //<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/10000000000007878\">@陈剑ew4</a>: [强] [强] ","text":"[微笑] //@陈剑ew4: [强] [强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891404261","repostId":"803551065","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":803551065,"gmtCreate":1627450757054,"gmtModify":1627464608753,"author":{"id":"20704831058604","authorId":"20704831058604","name":"阿曼曼","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/tiger_upload_file_1446566133.png","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"20704831058604","authorIdStr":"20704831058604"},"themes":[],"title":"这份闹了大乌龙的快手降级报告到底说了什么?","htmlText":"本周,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$</a> 闹了一场大乌龙,自媒体误报摩根士丹利将快手目标价从300港元调低至50港元。虽然目标价是报道错了,但摩根士丹利 对快手进行降级,大幅调低目标价的确实存在的。此番风波引我专门去查了大摩的报告,7月9日大摩将快手目标价由300港元下调至130港元,大摩认为快手在追赶抖音的故事没有达到预期,市场份额可能继续分化,因此对快手的货币化盈利能力产生负面影响,相比同业估值也相应折让。这个超过腰斩的目标价调整已经很说明态度了,研报中最重要的是数据和理由,至于目标价到底是多少其实投行也经常是碍于面子。关键点 尽管快手每季度花费100亿人民币,但根据QuestMobile,快手在2021年第二季度的DAU季度增长却比抖音表现差了14%,这是自2018年第四季度以来的最大差距。快手的视频用户停留时长的市场2份额也在2021年第一季度达到顶峰。鉴于中国短视频娱乐行业的用户基础趋于饱和,快手和抖音的用户严重重叠,以及来自腾讯视频和Bilibili的竞争加剧,大摩认为这种份额分化将持续。快手目前有3亿DAU,抖音的目标是到2021年底达到6.8亿DAU,我们将2025年的快手的MAU从7亿降至6亿。分化将导致货币化份额的更大分歧。华尔街对快手2022年广告收入预期为760亿人民币(同比增长300亿人民币),2023年预期为1050亿人民币(同比增长290亿人民币),超过了百度2022年的核心业务的85亿人民币预期,这里显然存在下行风险。这意味着2022年的广告收入/DAU为220元,2023年需做到280元,高于抖音2020年的广告/DAU为200-250元,而快手的DAU和增长、广告负荷(双栏)和投资回报率都较低。抖音电商GMV也已经超过了快手,2021","listText":"本周,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$</a> 闹了一场大乌龙,自媒体误报摩根士丹利将快手目标价从300港元调低至50港元。虽然目标价是报道错了,但摩根士丹利 对快手进行降级,大幅调低目标价的确实存在的。此番风波引我专门去查了大摩的报告,7月9日大摩将快手目标价由300港元下调至130港元,大摩认为快手在追赶抖音的故事没有达到预期,市场份额可能继续分化,因此对快手的货币化盈利能力产生负面影响,相比同业估值也相应折让。这个超过腰斩的目标价调整已经很说明态度了,研报中最重要的是数据和理由,至于目标价到底是多少其实投行也经常是碍于面子。关键点 尽管快手每季度花费100亿人民币,但根据QuestMobile,快手在2021年第二季度的DAU季度增长却比抖音表现差了14%,这是自2018年第四季度以来的最大差距。快手的视频用户停留时长的市场2份额也在2021年第一季度达到顶峰。鉴于中国短视频娱乐行业的用户基础趋于饱和,快手和抖音的用户严重重叠,以及来自腾讯视频和Bilibili的竞争加剧,大摩认为这种份额分化将持续。快手目前有3亿DAU,抖音的目标是到2021年底达到6.8亿DAU,我们将2025年的快手的MAU从7亿降至6亿。分化将导致货币化份额的更大分歧。华尔街对快手2022年广告收入预期为760亿人民币(同比增长300亿人民币),2023年预期为1050亿人民币(同比增长290亿人民币),超过了百度2022年的核心业务的85亿人民币预期,这里显然存在下行风险。这意味着2022年的广告收入/DAU为220元,2023年需做到280元,高于抖音2020年的广告/DAU为200-250元,而快手的DAU和增长、广告负荷(双栏)和投资回报率都较低。抖音电商GMV也已经超过了快手,2021","text":"本周,$快手-W(01024)$ 闹了一场大乌龙,自媒体误报摩根士丹利将快手目标价从300港元调低至50港元。虽然目标价是报道错了,但摩根士丹利 对快手进行降级,大幅调低目标价的确实存在的。此番风波引我专门去查了大摩的报告,7月9日大摩将快手目标价由300港元下调至130港元,大摩认为快手在追赶抖音的故事没有达到预期,市场份额可能继续分化,因此对快手的货币化盈利能力产生负面影响,相比同业估值也相应折让。这个超过腰斩的目标价调整已经很说明态度了,研报中最重要的是数据和理由,至于目标价到底是多少其实投行也经常是碍于面子。关键点 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