需要一点点运气的个人主页 - 老虎社区

需要一点点运气

需要一点点运气

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390关注

20粉丝

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0勋章

需要一点点运气

2021-04-28

$Staffing 360 Solutions(STAF)$输了好多怎么办

需要一点点运气

2021-02-21

@我要发财了 hurt ah

抱歉，原内容已删除

需要一点点运气

2021-09-24

9

IPO opening reminder: Clearwater Analytics opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price

需要一点点运气

2021-09-27

O

Tesla Shanghai to make 300,000 cars Jan-Sept despite chip shortage -sources

需要一点点运气

2021-12-21

posting g

How to I post article on tiger. I have some issues completing the mission. Trying to make it to 50 words. I dun understand y tiger need us to publish a post in order to clear the mission.its fun har testing our writing skills. Let's go

需要一点点运气

2021-10-06

9

抱歉，原内容已删除

需要一点点运气

2021-10-08

9

September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big

需要一点点运气

2021-10-07

Hi

抱歉，原内容已删除

需要一点点运气

2021-02-21

@我要发财啦笨蛋

抱歉，原内容已删除

需要一点点运气

2021-12-21

Y all stocks keeps fallingg

需要一点点运气

2021-11-04

Oo

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

需要一点点运气

2021-10-31

Lousy. No tickets

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

需要一点点运气

2021-10-30

O

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

需要一点点运气

2021-10-29

How to share..

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

需要一点点运气

2021-10-29

Ooo

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

需要一点点运气

2021-02-23

@Xinyinhi who is this [爱你]

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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No tickets","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840417269","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f487d6799e86204e80dfde72e6040c0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? 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Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":704,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840037412,"gmtCreate":1635567152800,"gmtModify":1635567152963,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"O","listText":"O","text":"O","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840037412","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f487d6799e86204e80dfde72e6040c0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":376,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857102595,"gmtCreate":1635512177933,"gmtModify":1635513198951,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How to share..","listText":"How to share..","text":"How to share..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857102595","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f487d6799e86204e80dfde72e6040c0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":439,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857106089,"gmtCreate":1635512121345,"gmtModify":1635513180793,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ooo","listText":"Ooo","text":"Ooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857106089","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f487d6799e86204e80dfde72e6040c0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":529,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821398471,"gmtCreate":1633696038361,"gmtModify":1633696038847,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"9","listText":"9","text":"9","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821398471","repostId":"1135993400","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135993400","pubTimestamp":1633675137,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1135993400?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 14:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135993400","media":"zerohedge","summary":"After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the mo","content":"<p>After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.</p>\n<p>Here is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Total Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K</li>\n <li>Private Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K</li>\n <li>Unemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%</li>\n <li>Labor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%</li>\n <li>Average Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%</li>\n <li>Average Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7</li>\n</ul>\n<p>As&nbsp;Newsquawk&nbsp;writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.</p>\n<p>Goldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong,&nbsp;<b>and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"</b>As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.</p>\n<p>Labor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.</p>\n<p><b>POLICY</b>: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.</p>\n<p><b>PAYROLLS:</b>The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).<b>Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</b></p>\n<p><b>MEASURES OF SLACK:</b>The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.</p>\n<p><b>EARNINGS:</b>Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</p>\n<p><b>ADP:</b>The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure &amp; Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"</p>\n<p><b>INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:</b>Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.</p>\n<p><b>BUSINESS SURVEYS</b>: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.</p>\n<p><b>ARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT</b>:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>End of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts</b>. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.<b>Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.</b>Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa8e5900cf66c76d4b64055f84e58048\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>School reopening</b>. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff3e69723b40e0d372ec2bebecb38b1f\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Job availability</b>. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.</li>\n <li><b>ADP.</b>Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>ARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Delta variant.</b>Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.</li>\n <li><b>Employer surveys</b>. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>NEUTRAL FACTORS:</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Big Data.</b>High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.</li>\n <li><b>Seasonality.</b>The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).</li>\n <li><b>Jobless claims.</b>Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.</li>\n <li><b>Job cuts.</b>Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).</li>\n</ul>","source":"lsy1583725640930","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSeptember Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-08 14:38 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135993400","content_text":"After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.\nHere is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:\n\nTotal Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K\nPrivate Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K\nUnemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%\nLabor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%\nAverage Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%\nAverage Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7\n\nAs Newsquawk writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.\nGoldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong, and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.\nLabor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.\nPOLICY: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.\nPAYROLLS:The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.\nMEASURES OF SLACK:The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.\nEARNINGS:Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.\nADP:The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure & Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"\nINITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.\nBUSINESS SURVEYS: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.\nARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:\n\nEnd of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).\n\n\n\nSchool reopening. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.\n\n\n\nJob availability. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.\nADP.Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.\n\nARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:\n\nDelta variant.Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.\nEmployer surveys. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.\n\nNEUTRAL FACTORS:\n\nBig Data.High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.\nSeasonality.The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).\nJobless claims.Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.\nJob cuts.Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray & Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":481,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823642903,"gmtCreate":1633620602928,"gmtModify":1633620603317,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823642903","repostId":"2169613095","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829417563,"gmtCreate":1633533245460,"gmtModify":1633533245902,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"9","listText":"9","text":"9","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829417563","repostId":"2173791088","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866873604,"gmtCreate":1632756579608,"gmtModify":1632798040182,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"O","listText":"O","text":"O","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866873604","repostId":"2170462612","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":121,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861211666,"gmtCreate":1632497290855,"gmtModify":1632715827986,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"9","listText":"9","text":"9","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861211666","repostId":"1114004721","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114004721","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632496493,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114004721?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-24 23:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"IPO opening reminder: Clearwater Analytics opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114004721","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 24) Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc. opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO pric","content":"<p>(Sept 24)&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CWAN\">Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc.</a></b> opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/076505c7b70dbe2ad6cfcae8c44f52cb\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Company &amp; Technology</b></p>\n<p>Boise, Idaho-based Clearwater was founded to develop a SaaS platform to simplify investment accounting and analysis for asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations.</p>\n<p>Management is headed by Chief Executive Officer Sandeep Sahai, who has been with the firm since September 2016 and was previously CEO of Solmark, an investment partnership.</p>\n<p>The company’s primary offerings include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>Investment accounting and reporting</p></li>\n <li><p>Performance measurement</p></li>\n <li><p>Compliance monitoring</p></li>\n <li><p>Risk analysis</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Clearwater has received at least $421 million in notes payable in equity investment from investors including Welsh Carson, Permira, Warburg Pincus and Dragoneer.</p>\n<p><b>Customer Acquisition</b></p>\n<p>The firm pursues client relationships with asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations via a direct sales and marketing force that is focused on the United States.</p>\n<p>CWAN also has international clients and will seek to expand its international presence post-IPO.</p>\n<p>Clearwater handles data on over $5.6 trillion in assets between more than 1,000 clients.</p>\n<p>Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Percentage</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>13.6%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>10.9%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>11.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>The Sales and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Sales and Marketing spend, dropped to 1.4x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Multiple</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.4</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.6</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>The Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.</p>\n<p>CWAN’s most recent calculation was 41% during the six months ended June 30, 2021, so the firm has performed well in this regard, per the table below:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Rule of 40</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Calculation</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Recent Rev. Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>24%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EBITDA %</p></td>\n   <td><p>17%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Total</p></td>\n   <td><p>41%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>The firm’s dollar-based net revenue retention rate for June 30, 2021 was 109%, a reasonably good result.</p>\n<p>The dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.</p>\n<p><b>Market &amp; Competition</b></p>\n<p>According to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Market Primes, the global investment management software market was an estimated $3 billion in 2019 and is forecast to reach nearly $4.5 billion by 2025.</p>\n<p>This represents a forecast CAGR of 10.2% from 2019 to 2025.</p>\n<p>The main drivers for this expected growth are a desire by users to automate repetitive tasks so they can focus on maximizing portfolio performance and creating more sophisticated approaches.</p>\n<p>Also, assessing risks and exposures and being able to efficiently report and share the information with stakeholders will drive demand for more capable solutions.</p>\n<p>Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>SS&amp;C</p></li>\n <li><p>State Street</p></li>\n <li><p>SAP</p></li>\n <li><p>BNY Mellon (Eagle)</p></li>\n <li><p>Simcorp</p></li>\n <li><p>BlackRock</p></li>\n <li><p>FIS</p></li>\n <li><p>Northern Trust</p></li>\n <li><p>Others</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Financial Performance</b></p>\n<p>Clearwater’s recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>Strong topline revenue growth</p></li>\n <li><p>Increasing gross profit and gross margin</p></li>\n <li><p>A swing to operating profit and net profit</p></li>\n <li><p>Uneven cash used in operations</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm’s registration statement:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Total Revenue</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Total Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>% Variance vs. Prior</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 117,770,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>23.8%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 203,222,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>21.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 168,001,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Gross Profit (Loss)</p></td>\n   <td><p>% Variance vs. Prior</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 87,872,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>28.8%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 149,959,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>24.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 120,856,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Gross Margin</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Gross Margin</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>74.61%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>73.79%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>71.94%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Operating Profit (Loss)</p></td>\n   <td><p>Operating Margin</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 20,544,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>17.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (20,418,000)</p></td>\n   <td><p>-10.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 25,697,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.3%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Net Income (Loss)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 3,200,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (44,230,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 7,732,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Cash Flow From Operations</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (16,352,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (6,486,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (230,029,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>As of June 30, 2021, Clearwater had $41 million in cash and $450 million in total liabilities.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was negative ($38 million).</p>\n<p>Valuation Metrics</p>\n<p>Below is a table of the firm’s relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Amount</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Market Capitalization at IPO</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3,472,178,130</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Enterprise Value</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3,470,109,130</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Price / Sales</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.37</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.36</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / EBITDA</p></td>\n   <td><p>-141.93</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Earnings Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>-$0.23</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p></td>\n   <td><p>12.96%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>$15.00</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Net Free Cash Flow</p></td>\n   <td><p>-$38,024,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>-1.10%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Revenue Growth Rate</p></td>\n   <td><p>23.83%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><b>Commentary</b></p>\n<p>CWAN intends to go public to pay down debt and will have a net of $55 million in debt post-IPO.</p>\n<p>The firm’s financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth and a rebound to operating profit and net income after negative results in 2020.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a decidedly unimpressive negative ($38 million).</p>\n<p>Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenue has increased; its Sales and Marketing efficiency rate dropped slightly to 1.4x in the most recent six-month period.</p>\n<p>CWAN's dollar-based net retention rate was 109% for June 30, 2021, a positive result and its Rule of 40 performance was good as well.</p>\n<p>The market opportunity for selling investment management software is large and expected to grow substantially in the years ahead, but the firm has extensive competition.</p>\n<p>Goldman Sachs is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 40.5% since their IPO. This is a middle-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p>\n<p>The primary risk to the company’s outlook is the degree of competition and specialization present in various submarkets in which it competes, as well as the ability for some larger prospects to develop solutions in-house.</p>\n<p>As for valuation, compared to competitor Simcorp, the CWAN IPO is much more highly priced on a revenue multiple basis. In my view, this is justified as the firm is growing revenue at a significantly higher rate of growth.</p>\n<p>After a difficult period during 2020 where the firm produced operating losses, 2021 has seen a return to operating and net profits with impressive growth as well.</p>\n<p>Given CWAN’s growth trajectory and the investment management software industry’s strong growth potential in the years ahead, the IPO is worth a close look.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>IPO opening reminder: Clearwater Analytics opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIPO opening reminder: Clearwater Analytics opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-24 23:14</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Sept 24)&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CWAN\">Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc.</a></b> opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/076505c7b70dbe2ad6cfcae8c44f52cb\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Company &amp; Technology</b></p>\n<p>Boise, Idaho-based Clearwater was founded to develop a SaaS platform to simplify investment accounting and analysis for asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations.</p>\n<p>Management is headed by Chief Executive Officer Sandeep Sahai, who has been with the firm since September 2016 and was previously CEO of Solmark, an investment partnership.</p>\n<p>The company’s primary offerings include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>Investment accounting and reporting</p></li>\n <li><p>Performance measurement</p></li>\n <li><p>Compliance monitoring</p></li>\n <li><p>Risk analysis</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Clearwater has received at least $421 million in notes payable in equity investment from investors including Welsh Carson, Permira, Warburg Pincus and Dragoneer.</p>\n<p><b>Customer Acquisition</b></p>\n<p>The firm pursues client relationships with asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations via a direct sales and marketing force that is focused on the United States.</p>\n<p>CWAN also has international clients and will seek to expand its international presence post-IPO.</p>\n<p>Clearwater handles data on over $5.6 trillion in assets between more than 1,000 clients.</p>\n<p>Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Percentage</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>13.6%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>10.9%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>11.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>The Sales and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Sales and Marketing spend, dropped to 1.4x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Multiple</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.4</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.6</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>The Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.</p>\n<p>CWAN’s most recent calculation was 41% during the six months ended June 30, 2021, so the firm has performed well in this regard, per the table below:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Rule of 40</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Calculation</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Recent Rev. Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>24%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EBITDA %</p></td>\n   <td><p>17%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Total</p></td>\n   <td><p>41%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>The firm’s dollar-based net revenue retention rate for June 30, 2021 was 109%, a reasonably good result.</p>\n<p>The dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.</p>\n<p><b>Market &amp; Competition</b></p>\n<p>According to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Market Primes, the global investment management software market was an estimated $3 billion in 2019 and is forecast to reach nearly $4.5 billion by 2025.</p>\n<p>This represents a forecast CAGR of 10.2% from 2019 to 2025.</p>\n<p>The main drivers for this expected growth are a desire by users to automate repetitive tasks so they can focus on maximizing portfolio performance and creating more sophisticated approaches.</p>\n<p>Also, assessing risks and exposures and being able to efficiently report and share the information with stakeholders will drive demand for more capable solutions.</p>\n<p>Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>SS&amp;C</p></li>\n <li><p>State Street</p></li>\n <li><p>SAP</p></li>\n <li><p>BNY Mellon (Eagle)</p></li>\n <li><p>Simcorp</p></li>\n <li><p>BlackRock</p></li>\n <li><p>FIS</p></li>\n <li><p>Northern Trust</p></li>\n <li><p>Others</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Financial Performance</b></p>\n<p>Clearwater’s recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>Strong topline revenue growth</p></li>\n <li><p>Increasing gross profit and gross margin</p></li>\n <li><p>A swing to operating profit and net profit</p></li>\n <li><p>Uneven cash used in operations</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm’s registration statement:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Total Revenue</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Total Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>% Variance vs. Prior</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 117,770,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>23.8%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 203,222,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>21.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 168,001,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Gross Profit (Loss)</p></td>\n   <td><p>% Variance vs. Prior</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 87,872,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>28.8%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 149,959,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>24.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 120,856,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Gross Margin</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Gross Margin</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>74.61%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>73.79%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>71.94%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Operating Profit (Loss)</p></td>\n   <td><p>Operating Margin</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 20,544,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>17.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (20,418,000)</p></td>\n   <td><p>-10.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 25,697,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.3%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Net Income (Loss)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 3,200,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (44,230,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 7,732,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Cash Flow From Operations</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (16,352,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (6,486,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (230,029,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>As of June 30, 2021, Clearwater had $41 million in cash and $450 million in total liabilities.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was negative ($38 million).</p>\n<p>Valuation Metrics</p>\n<p>Below is a table of the firm’s relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Amount</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Market Capitalization at IPO</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3,472,178,130</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Enterprise Value</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3,470,109,130</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Price / Sales</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.37</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.36</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / EBITDA</p></td>\n   <td><p>-141.93</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Earnings Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>-$0.23</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p></td>\n   <td><p>12.96%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>$15.00</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Net Free Cash Flow</p></td>\n   <td><p>-$38,024,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>-1.10%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Revenue Growth Rate</p></td>\n   <td><p>23.83%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><b>Commentary</b></p>\n<p>CWAN intends to go public to pay down debt and will have a net of $55 million in debt post-IPO.</p>\n<p>The firm’s financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth and a rebound to operating profit and net income after negative results in 2020.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a decidedly unimpressive negative ($38 million).</p>\n<p>Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenue has increased; its Sales and Marketing efficiency rate dropped slightly to 1.4x in the most recent six-month period.</p>\n<p>CWAN's dollar-based net retention rate was 109% for June 30, 2021, a positive result and its Rule of 40 performance was good as well.</p>\n<p>The market opportunity for selling investment management software is large and expected to grow substantially in the years ahead, but the firm has extensive competition.</p>\n<p>Goldman Sachs is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 40.5% since their IPO. This is a middle-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p>\n<p>The primary risk to the company’s outlook is the degree of competition and specialization present in various submarkets in which it competes, as well as the ability for some larger prospects to develop solutions in-house.</p>\n<p>As for valuation, compared to competitor Simcorp, the CWAN IPO is much more highly priced on a revenue multiple basis. In my view, this is justified as the firm is growing revenue at a significantly higher rate of growth.</p>\n<p>After a difficult period during 2020 where the firm produced operating losses, 2021 has seen a return to operating and net profits with impressive growth as well.</p>\n<p>Given CWAN’s growth trajectory and the investment management software industry’s strong growth potential in the years ahead, the IPO is worth a close look.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CWAN":"Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114004721","content_text":"(Sept 24) Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc. opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price.\n\nCompany & Technology\nBoise, Idaho-based Clearwater was founded to develop a SaaS platform to simplify investment accounting and analysis for asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations.\nManagement is headed by Chief Executive Officer Sandeep Sahai, who has been with the firm since September 2016 and was previously CEO of Solmark, an investment partnership.\nThe company’s primary offerings include:\n\nInvestment accounting and reporting\nPerformance measurement\nCompliance monitoring\nRisk analysis\n\nClearwater has received at least $421 million in notes payable in equity investment from investors including Welsh Carson, Permira, Warburg Pincus and Dragoneer.\nCustomer Acquisition\nThe firm pursues client relationships with asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations via a direct sales and marketing force that is focused on the United States.\nCWAN also has international clients and will seek to expand its international presence post-IPO.\nClearwater handles data on over $5.6 trillion in assets between more than 1,000 clients.\nSales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:\n\n\n\n\nSales and Marketing\nExpenses vs. Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nPercentage\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n13.6%\n\n\n2020\n10.9%\n\n\n2019\n11.4%\n\n\n\nThe Sales and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Sales and Marketing spend, dropped to 1.4x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:\n\n\n\n\nSales and Marketing\nEfficiency Rate\n\n\nPeriod\nMultiple\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n1.4\n\n\n2020\n1.6\n\n\n\nThe Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.\nCWAN’s most recent calculation was 41% during the six months ended June 30, 2021, so the firm has performed well in this regard, per the table below:\n\n\n\n\nRule of 40\nCalculation\n\n\nRecent Rev. Growth %\n24%\n\n\nEBITDA %\n17%\n\n\nTotal\n41%\n\n\n\nThe firm’s dollar-based net revenue retention rate for June 30, 2021 was 109%, a reasonably good result.\nThe dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.\nMarket & Competition\nAccording to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Market Primes, the global investment management software market was an estimated $3 billion in 2019 and is forecast to reach nearly $4.5 billion by 2025.\nThis represents a forecast CAGR of 10.2% from 2019 to 2025.\nThe main drivers for this expected growth are a desire by users to automate repetitive tasks so they can focus on maximizing portfolio performance and creating more sophisticated approaches.\nAlso, assessing risks and exposures and being able to efficiently report and share the information with stakeholders will drive demand for more capable solutions.\nMajor competitive or other industry participants include:\n\nSS&C\nState Street\nSAP\nBNY Mellon (Eagle)\nSimcorp\nBlackRock\nFIS\nNorthern Trust\nOthers\n\nFinancial Performance\nClearwater’s recent financial results can be summarized as follows:\n\nStrong topline revenue growth\nIncreasing gross profit and gross margin\nA swing to operating profit and net profit\nUneven cash used in operations\n\nBelow are relevant financial results derived from the firm’s registration statement:\n\n\n\n\nTotal Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nTotal Revenue\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 117,770,000\n23.8%\n\n\n2020\n$ 203,222,000\n21.0%\n\n\n2019\n$ 168,001,000\n\n\n\nGross Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Profit (Loss)\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 87,872,000\n28.8%\n\n\n2020\n$ 149,959,000\n24.1%\n\n\n2019\n$ 120,856,000\n\n\n\nGross Margin\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n74.61%\n\n\n2020\n73.79%\n\n\n2019\n71.94%\n\n\n\nOperating Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nOperating Profit (Loss)\nOperating Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 20,544,000\n17.4%\n\n\n2020\n$ (20,418,000)\n-10.0%\n\n\n2019\n$ 25,697,000\n15.3%\n\n\n\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 3,200,000\n\n\n2020\n$ (44,230,000)\n\n\n2019\n$ 7,732,000\n\n\n\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nPeriod\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ (16,352,000)\n\n\n2020\n$ (6,486,000)\n\n\n2019\n$ (230,029,000)\n\n\n\nAs of June 30, 2021, Clearwater had $41 million in cash and $450 million in total liabilities.\nFree cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was negative ($38 million).\nValuation Metrics\nBelow is a table of the firm’s relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:\n\n\n\n\nMeasure [TTM]\nAmount\n\n\nMarket Capitalization at IPO\n$3,472,178,130\n\n\nEnterprise Value\n$3,470,109,130\n\n\nPrice / Sales\n15.37\n\n\nEV / Revenue\n15.36\n\n\nEV / EBITDA\n-141.93\n\n\nEarnings Per Share\n-$0.23\n\n\nFloat To Outstanding Shares Ratio\n12.96%\n\n\nProposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share\n$15.00\n\n\nNet Free Cash Flow\n-$38,024,000\n\n\nFree Cash Flow Yield Per Share\n-1.10%\n\n\nRevenue Growth Rate\n23.83%\n\n\n\nCommentary\nCWAN intends to go public to pay down debt and will have a net of $55 million in debt post-IPO.\nThe firm’s financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth and a rebound to operating profit and net income after negative results in 2020.\nFree cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a decidedly unimpressive negative ($38 million).\nSales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenue has increased; its Sales and Marketing efficiency rate dropped slightly to 1.4x in the most recent six-month period.\nCWAN's dollar-based net retention rate was 109% for June 30, 2021, a positive result and its Rule of 40 performance was good as well.\nThe market opportunity for selling investment management software is large and expected to grow substantially in the years ahead, but the firm has extensive competition.\nGoldman Sachs is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 40.5% since their IPO. This is a middle-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.\nThe primary risk to the company’s outlook is the degree of competition and specialization present in various submarkets in which it competes, as well as the ability for some larger prospects to develop solutions in-house.\nAs for valuation, compared to competitor Simcorp, the CWAN IPO is much more highly priced on a revenue multiple basis. In my view, this is justified as the firm is growing revenue at a significantly higher rate of growth.\nAfter a difficult period during 2020 where the firm produced operating losses, 2021 has seen a return to operating and net profits with impressive growth as well.\nGiven CWAN’s growth trajectory and the investment management software industry’s strong growth potential in the years ahead, the IPO is worth a close look.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":100985302,"gmtCreate":1619574600806,"gmtModify":1631888957180,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STAF\">$Staffing 360 Solutions(STAF)$</a>输了好多 怎么办","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STAF\">$Staffing 360 Solutions(STAF)$</a>输了好多 怎么办","text":"$Staffing 360 Solutions(STAF)$输了好多 怎么办","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1229be423e2dbfe6ad32aab8846734a5","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100985302","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1121,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":369809962,"gmtCreate":1614012112256,"gmtModify":1634551521834,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3575340033578737\">@Xinyin</a>hi who is this&nbsp;[爱你]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3575340033578737\">@Xinyin</a>hi who is this&nbsp;[爱你]&nbsp;","text":"@Xinyinhi who is this [爱你]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369809962","repostId":"1100241886","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100241886","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1613990937,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100241886?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-22 18:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin slips sharply from record highs","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100241886","media":"Reuters","summary":"Bitcoin fell sharply on Monday after surging to a record $58,354 a day earlier, as a selloff in glob","content":"<p>Bitcoin fell sharply on Monday after surging to a record $58,354 a day earlier, as a selloff in global equities curbed risk appetite.</p>\n<p>The most popular cryptocurrency rallied over the weekend to record levels, almost doubling year-to-date. It hit a market capitalisation of $1 trillion on Friday.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin’s gains have been fueled by signs it is gaining acceptance among mainstream investors and companies, from Tesla Inc and Mastercard Inc to BNY Mellon.</p>\n<p>It fell as much as 6% on Monday, and was last trading down 4.4% at $54,941. Rival cryptocurrency ether fell 7% to $1,798 after also hitting a record high on Saturday.</p>\n<p>Traders said the move was largely technical, and not tied to any particular news catalyst.</p>\n<p>“We did finally see some momentum gathering over the weekend, but weekend rallies haven’t been sustainable lately,” said Joseph Edwards of Enigma Securities, a cryptocurrency broker in London.</p>\n<p>“We do tend to think that there’s a good chance of a down week and small correction coming in off of this, although it does little to dull medium-term prospects.”</p>\n<p>Tesla boss Elon Musk, whose tweets on bitcoin have added fuel to the cryptocurrency’s rally, said on Saturday the price of bitcoin and ethereum seemed high.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin slips sharply from record highs</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin slips sharply from record highs\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-02-22 18:48</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bitcoin fell sharply on Monday after surging to a record $58,354 a day earlier, as a selloff in global equities curbed risk appetite.</p>\n<p>The most popular cryptocurrency rallied over the weekend to record levels, almost doubling year-to-date. It hit a market capitalisation of $1 trillion on Friday.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin’s gains have been fueled by signs it is gaining acceptance among mainstream investors and companies, from Tesla Inc and Mastercard Inc to BNY Mellon.</p>\n<p>It fell as much as 6% on Monday, and was last trading down 4.4% at $54,941. Rival cryptocurrency ether fell 7% to $1,798 after also hitting a record high on Saturday.</p>\n<p>Traders said the move was largely technical, and not tied to any particular news catalyst.</p>\n<p>“We did finally see some momentum gathering over the weekend, but weekend rallies haven’t been sustainable lately,” said Joseph Edwards of Enigma Securities, a cryptocurrency broker in London.</p>\n<p>“We do tend to think that there’s a good chance of a down week and small correction coming in off of this, although it does little to dull medium-term prospects.”</p>\n<p>Tesla boss Elon Musk, whose tweets on bitcoin have added fuel to the cryptocurrency’s rally, said on Saturday the price of bitcoin and ethereum seemed high.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100241886","content_text":"Bitcoin fell sharply on Monday after surging to a record $58,354 a day earlier, as a selloff in global equities curbed risk appetite.\nThe most popular cryptocurrency rallied over the weekend to record levels, almost doubling year-to-date. It hit a market capitalisation of $1 trillion on Friday.\nBitcoin’s gains have been fueled by signs it is gaining acceptance among mainstream investors and companies, from Tesla Inc and Mastercard Inc to BNY Mellon.\nIt fell as much as 6% on Monday, and was last trading down 4.4% at $54,941. Rival cryptocurrency ether fell 7% to $1,798 after also hitting a record high on Saturday.\nTraders said the move was largely technical, and not tied to any particular news catalyst.\n“We did finally see some momentum gathering over the weekend, but weekend rallies haven’t been sustainable lately,” said Joseph Edwards of Enigma Securities, a cryptocurrency broker in London.\n“We do tend to think that there’s a good chance of a down week and small correction coming in off of this, although it does little to dull medium-term prospects.”\nTesla boss Elon Musk, whose tweets on bitcoin have added fuel to the cryptocurrency’s rally, said on Saturday the price of bitcoin and ethereum seemed high.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":360868179,"gmtCreate":1613885584791,"gmtModify":1634551954253,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3576135836751997\">@我要发财啦</a>笨蛋","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3576135836751997\">@我要发财啦</a>笨蛋","text":"@我要发财啦笨蛋","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360868179","repostId":"1103921295","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103921295","pubTimestamp":1613706165,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103921295?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-19 11:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop hearing challenges assumptions about rookie investors","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103921295","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev discussed average account sizes and user demographics during a congressiona","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev discussed average account sizes and user demographics during a congressional hearing on GameStop’s rise and fall.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>YOLO? Maybe not quite so.</p>\n<p>During the GameStop trading frenzy, some observers worried many rookie retail investors banding together on sites like Reddit’s WallStreetBets would bet big — a so-called “YOLO trade” in the forum’sslang— andend up losing badly.</p>\n<p>No doubt, this wasa serious event that rocked the stock market, bringing it “dangerously close” to collapse, according to Thomas Peterffy, founder and chairman of Interactive Brokers Group.</p>\n<p>But at a closely-watched congressional hearing Thursday on the rise and fall of GameStop shares and other so-called “meme stocks,” statements by one of the key players in the trading firestorm revealed that young investors generally aren’t betting big to reap quick gains.</p>\n<p>“Contrary to some very misleading and highly uninformed reports, we see evidence that most of our customers are investing for the long term,” said Vlad Tenev, CEO of Robinhood, the popular trading platform that caughtmassive irefor temporarily restricting trades on GameStopGME,-11.43%,AMC EntertainmentAMC,-0.72%and several other companies. As the hearing continued, he repeated that point under lawmaker questions.</p>\n<p>“What we see is generally not consistent with popular memes suggesting that most of our brokerage customers are unsophisticated day traders taking inordinate risks with large sums of money on complex financial products,”Tenev wrote in prepared testimony submitted ahead of the hearing,pushing back on the idea that his companyencouraged reckless tradingon a platform with 13 million users.</p>\n<p>Just 2% of Robinhood users qualified as “pattern day traders” who made four or more trades within five business days, he said. Thirteen percent traded basic options contracts, which can be higher risk, higher reward than straight-ahead buying or selling.</p>\n<p>In the face of some pointed questions, he also insisted Robinhood isn’t trying to turn the user experience into a game. “We know investing is serious and that’s why most of our customers are buy and hold,” he said.</p>\n<p>(Before the GameStop saga, Massachusetts state regulators filed a complaint against Robinhood for allegedly making trading seem too fun until loses occur. The company previously said itdisputes the allegation.)</p>\n<p>Tenev and lawmakershave sparredon what Robinhood should and shouldn’t have done during the GameStop saga. GameStop shares once traded at a high point of $483. By Thursday’s market close, GameStop shares were $40.69.</p>\n<p>But either way, Tenev’s testimony gave an interesting peek at who the newest retail investors are and how much money they are pouring into the market. After all, retail investors were already increasingly entering the stock market before the GameStop drama started.</p>\n<p>Fifty-five percent of Americans directly own stock, according to aGallup surveylast year, while 32% of 18- to 29-year-olds said they owned stock.</p>\n<p>The median age of Robinhood investors is 31 and half of users say they are first-time investors. The median account size is about $240, according to Tenev’s statement, and the average account size is about $5,000.</p>\n<p>The fact that 13% of Robinhood users are trading options gives some advocates pause. Barbara Roper, director of investor protection at the Consumer Federation of America,saidthat “strikes us as a pretty high percentage when you consider the characteristics of Robinhood’s customer base (disproportionately young, first-time investors with small accounts).”</p>\n<p>Robinhood investors also tend to be a slightly more racially diverse crowd, according to Tenev’s testimony. Nine percent of users are Black, compared to 3% at other firms and 16% are Hispanic, versus 7% at other firms, according to Tenev’s statement.</p>\n<p>“Retail investors making up this new surge are different,” testified Jennifer Schulp, the Cato Institute’s director of financial regulation studies.</p>\n<p>Retail investors are nicknamed as“dumb money”on Wall Street, Schulp said. “I think it’s insulting. I think the term needs to go out the window. I think the GameStop situation is proof the retail investors are revolutionizing the market …. I think the retail investors here are learning by doing, which is one of the best ways to learn.”</p>\n<p>She pointed to research from theFINRA Investor Education Foundationreleased earlier this month digging into the demographics and account balances of new retail investors.</p>\n<p>One-third of new investors who opened a taxable investment account for the first time in 2020 said they had account balances of less than $500, versus 16% of experienced investors. Twenty-three percent of new investors had account balances up to $2,000. Twenty percent of experienced investors had account balances up to $2,000.</p>\n<p>The survey found a more racially diverse set of new investors, with 17% of new investors being Black. Seven percent of experienced investors are Black, the poll said.</p>\n<p>As the hearing continued, some lawmakers questioned whether more guardrails need to be in place, while others said lawmakers shouldn’t condescend to retail investors and assume they know best.</p>\n<p>“Many Americans feel that the system is stacked against them and no matter what, Wall Street always wins,” said Rep. Maxine Waters, who chairs the House Financial Services Committee. “In this instance, many retail investors appeared motivated by a desire to beat Wall Street at its own game and given the losses that many retail investors have sustained as a result of volatility in the system, there are many whose beliefs that the system is rigged against them has been reinforced.”</p>\n<p>The GameStop saga was a “fundamental change,” said Rep. Patrick McHenry, the ranking Republican on the committee. The swell in trading was propelled by social media and a wealth of new information at investors’ fingertips.</p>\n<p>“I think if we’ve learned anything from these past few weeks, it’s that these average everyday investors are pretty darn sophisticated,” McHenry said. “There is wisdom to the crowd.”</p>\n<p>The government needs to make it easier for everyday investors to buy into the market, he said. “Instead of shutting the American public out through new regulations, new forms of taxation or so-called protections, let’s use this opprotunity to side with them.”</p>\n<p>One of the witnesses was Keith Gill, a 34-year-old independent investor with online handles like “Roaring Kitty” who turned his GameStop investment into millions. He made all his investment decisions based on publicly-availabile information, he told Congress.</p>\n<p>“I would be the first to acknowledge that investing in stocks and options is incredibly risky, and it’s so important for people to do their own thorough research before investing,” Gill said. “Folks should be able to freely express their views on a stock, and they should be able to buy or not buy a stock based on those views.”</p>\n<p>GameStop shares are up nearly 116% year-to-date. The Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;is up nearly 3% and the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;is up more than 4% in 2021.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop hearing challenges assumptions about rookie investors</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop hearing challenges assumptions about rookie investors\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-19 11:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gamestop-hearing-challenges-assumptions-about-rookie-investors-retail-investors-making-up-this-new-surge-are-different-11613680041?mod=home-page><strong>Marketwatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev discussed average account sizes and user demographics during a congressional hearing on GameStop’s rise and fall.\n\nYOLO? Maybe not quite so.\nDuring the GameStop trading frenzy...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gamestop-hearing-challenges-assumptions-about-rookie-investors-retail-investors-making-up-this-new-surge-are-different-11613680041?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gamestop-hearing-challenges-assumptions-about-rookie-investors-retail-investors-making-up-this-new-surge-are-different-11613680041?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1103921295","content_text":"Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev discussed average account sizes and user demographics during a congressional hearing on GameStop’s rise and fall.\n\nYOLO? Maybe not quite so.\nDuring the GameStop trading frenzy, some observers worried many rookie retail investors banding together on sites like Reddit’s WallStreetBets would bet big — a so-called “YOLO trade” in the forum’sslang— andend up losing badly.\nNo doubt, this wasa serious event that rocked the stock market, bringing it “dangerously close” to collapse, according to Thomas Peterffy, founder and chairman of Interactive Brokers Group.\nBut at a closely-watched congressional hearing Thursday on the rise and fall of GameStop shares and other so-called “meme stocks,” statements by one of the key players in the trading firestorm revealed that young investors generally aren’t betting big to reap quick gains.\n“Contrary to some very misleading and highly uninformed reports, we see evidence that most of our customers are investing for the long term,” said Vlad Tenev, CEO of Robinhood, the popular trading platform that caughtmassive irefor temporarily restricting trades on GameStopGME,-11.43%,AMC EntertainmentAMC,-0.72%and several other companies. As the hearing continued, he repeated that point under lawmaker questions.\n“What we see is generally not consistent with popular memes suggesting that most of our brokerage customers are unsophisticated day traders taking inordinate risks with large sums of money on complex financial products,”Tenev wrote in prepared testimony submitted ahead of the hearing,pushing back on the idea that his companyencouraged reckless tradingon a platform with 13 million users.\nJust 2% of Robinhood users qualified as “pattern day traders” who made four or more trades within five business days, he said. Thirteen percent traded basic options contracts, which can be higher risk, higher reward than straight-ahead buying or selling.\nIn the face of some pointed questions, he also insisted Robinhood isn’t trying to turn the user experience into a game. “We know investing is serious and that’s why most of our customers are buy and hold,” he said.\n(Before the GameStop saga, Massachusetts state regulators filed a complaint against Robinhood for allegedly making trading seem too fun until loses occur. The company previously said itdisputes the allegation.)\nTenev and lawmakershave sparredon what Robinhood should and shouldn’t have done during the GameStop saga. GameStop shares once traded at a high point of $483. By Thursday’s market close, GameStop shares were $40.69.\nBut either way, Tenev’s testimony gave an interesting peek at who the newest retail investors are and how much money they are pouring into the market. After all, retail investors were already increasingly entering the stock market before the GameStop drama started.\nFifty-five percent of Americans directly own stock, according to aGallup surveylast year, while 32% of 18- to 29-year-olds said they owned stock.\nThe median age of Robinhood investors is 31 and half of users say they are first-time investors. The median account size is about $240, according to Tenev’s statement, and the average account size is about $5,000.\nThe fact that 13% of Robinhood users are trading options gives some advocates pause. Barbara Roper, director of investor protection at the Consumer Federation of America,saidthat “strikes us as a pretty high percentage when you consider the characteristics of Robinhood’s customer base (disproportionately young, first-time investors with small accounts).”\nRobinhood investors also tend to be a slightly more racially diverse crowd, according to Tenev’s testimony. Nine percent of users are Black, compared to 3% at other firms and 16% are Hispanic, versus 7% at other firms, according to Tenev’s statement.\n“Retail investors making up this new surge are different,” testified Jennifer Schulp, the Cato Institute’s director of financial regulation studies.\nRetail investors are nicknamed as“dumb money”on Wall Street, Schulp said. “I think it’s insulting. I think the term needs to go out the window. I think the GameStop situation is proof the retail investors are revolutionizing the market …. I think the retail investors here are learning by doing, which is one of the best ways to learn.”\nShe pointed to research from theFINRA Investor Education Foundationreleased earlier this month digging into the demographics and account balances of new retail investors.\nOne-third of new investors who opened a taxable investment account for the first time in 2020 said they had account balances of less than $500, versus 16% of experienced investors. Twenty-three percent of new investors had account balances up to $2,000. Twenty percent of experienced investors had account balances up to $2,000.\nThe survey found a more racially diverse set of new investors, with 17% of new investors being Black. Seven percent of experienced investors are Black, the poll said.\nAs the hearing continued, some lawmakers questioned whether more guardrails need to be in place, while others said lawmakers shouldn’t condescend to retail investors and assume they know best.\n“Many Americans feel that the system is stacked against them and no matter what, Wall Street always wins,” said Rep. Maxine Waters, who chairs the House Financial Services Committee. “In this instance, many retail investors appeared motivated by a desire to beat Wall Street at its own game and given the losses that many retail investors have sustained as a result of volatility in the system, there are many whose beliefs that the system is rigged against them has been reinforced.”\nThe GameStop saga was a “fundamental change,” said Rep. Patrick McHenry, the ranking Republican on the committee. The swell in trading was propelled by social media and a wealth of new information at investors’ fingertips.\n“I think if we’ve learned anything from these past few weeks, it’s that these average everyday investors are pretty darn sophisticated,” McHenry said. “There is wisdom to the crowd.”\nThe government needs to make it easier for everyday investors to buy into the market, he said. “Instead of shutting the American public out through new regulations, new forms of taxation or so-called protections, let’s use this opprotunity to side with them.”\nOne of the witnesses was Keith Gill, a 34-year-old independent investor with online handles like “Roaring Kitty” who turned his GameStop investment into millions. He made all his investment decisions based on publicly-availabile information, he told Congress.\n“I would be the first to acknowledge that investing in stocks and options is incredibly risky, and it’s so important for people to do their own thorough research before investing,” Gill said. “Folks should be able to freely express their views on a stock, and they should be able to buy or not buy a stock based on those views.”\nGameStop shares are up nearly 116% year-to-date. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up nearly 3% and the S&P 500 is up more than 4% in 2021.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":451,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":360861135,"gmtCreate":1613885472027,"gmtModify":1634551954969,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"@我要发财了 hurt ah","listText":"@我要发财了 hurt ah","text":"@我要发财了 hurt ah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360861135","repostId":"2112816164","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":188,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":100985302,"gmtCreate":1619574600806,"gmtModify":1631888957180,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STAF\">$Staffing 360 Solutions(STAF)$</a>输了好多 怎么办","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STAF\">$Staffing 360 Solutions(STAF)$</a>输了好多 怎么办","text":"$Staffing 360 Solutions(STAF)$输了好多 怎么办","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1229be423e2dbfe6ad32aab8846734a5","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100985302","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1121,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":360861135,"gmtCreate":1613885472027,"gmtModify":1634551954969,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"@我要发财了 hurt ah","listText":"@我要发财了 hurt ah","text":"@我要发财了 hurt ah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360861135","repostId":"2112816164","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":188,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861211666,"gmtCreate":1632497290855,"gmtModify":1632715827986,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"9","listText":"9","text":"9","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861211666","repostId":"1114004721","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114004721","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632496493,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114004721?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-24 23:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"IPO opening reminder: Clearwater Analytics opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114004721","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 24) Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc. opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO pric","content":"<p>(Sept 24)&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CWAN\">Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc.</a></b> opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/076505c7b70dbe2ad6cfcae8c44f52cb\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Company &amp; Technology</b></p>\n<p>Boise, Idaho-based Clearwater was founded to develop a SaaS platform to simplify investment accounting and analysis for asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations.</p>\n<p>Management is headed by Chief Executive Officer Sandeep Sahai, who has been with the firm since September 2016 and was previously CEO of Solmark, an investment partnership.</p>\n<p>The company’s primary offerings include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>Investment accounting and reporting</p></li>\n <li><p>Performance measurement</p></li>\n <li><p>Compliance monitoring</p></li>\n <li><p>Risk analysis</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Clearwater has received at least $421 million in notes payable in equity investment from investors including Welsh Carson, Permira, Warburg Pincus and Dragoneer.</p>\n<p><b>Customer Acquisition</b></p>\n<p>The firm pursues client relationships with asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations via a direct sales and marketing force that is focused on the United States.</p>\n<p>CWAN also has international clients and will seek to expand its international presence post-IPO.</p>\n<p>Clearwater handles data on over $5.6 trillion in assets between more than 1,000 clients.</p>\n<p>Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Percentage</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>13.6%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>10.9%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>11.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>The Sales and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Sales and Marketing spend, dropped to 1.4x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Multiple</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.4</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.6</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>The Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.</p>\n<p>CWAN’s most recent calculation was 41% during the six months ended June 30, 2021, so the firm has performed well in this regard, per the table below:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Rule of 40</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Calculation</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Recent Rev. Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>24%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EBITDA %</p></td>\n   <td><p>17%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Total</p></td>\n   <td><p>41%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>The firm’s dollar-based net revenue retention rate for June 30, 2021 was 109%, a reasonably good result.</p>\n<p>The dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.</p>\n<p><b>Market &amp; Competition</b></p>\n<p>According to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Market Primes, the global investment management software market was an estimated $3 billion in 2019 and is forecast to reach nearly $4.5 billion by 2025.</p>\n<p>This represents a forecast CAGR of 10.2% from 2019 to 2025.</p>\n<p>The main drivers for this expected growth are a desire by users to automate repetitive tasks so they can focus on maximizing portfolio performance and creating more sophisticated approaches.</p>\n<p>Also, assessing risks and exposures and being able to efficiently report and share the information with stakeholders will drive demand for more capable solutions.</p>\n<p>Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>SS&amp;C</p></li>\n <li><p>State Street</p></li>\n <li><p>SAP</p></li>\n <li><p>BNY Mellon (Eagle)</p></li>\n <li><p>Simcorp</p></li>\n <li><p>BlackRock</p></li>\n <li><p>FIS</p></li>\n <li><p>Northern Trust</p></li>\n <li><p>Others</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Financial Performance</b></p>\n<p>Clearwater’s recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>Strong topline revenue growth</p></li>\n <li><p>Increasing gross profit and gross margin</p></li>\n <li><p>A swing to operating profit and net profit</p></li>\n <li><p>Uneven cash used in operations</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm’s registration statement:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Total Revenue</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Total Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>% Variance vs. Prior</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 117,770,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>23.8%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 203,222,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>21.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 168,001,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Gross Profit (Loss)</p></td>\n   <td><p>% Variance vs. Prior</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 87,872,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>28.8%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 149,959,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>24.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 120,856,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Gross Margin</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Gross Margin</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>74.61%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>73.79%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>71.94%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Operating Profit (Loss)</p></td>\n   <td><p>Operating Margin</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 20,544,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>17.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (20,418,000)</p></td>\n   <td><p>-10.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 25,697,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.3%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Net Income (Loss)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 3,200,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (44,230,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 7,732,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Cash Flow From Operations</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (16,352,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (6,486,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (230,029,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>As of June 30, 2021, Clearwater had $41 million in cash and $450 million in total liabilities.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was negative ($38 million).</p>\n<p>Valuation Metrics</p>\n<p>Below is a table of the firm’s relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Amount</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Market Capitalization at IPO</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3,472,178,130</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Enterprise Value</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3,470,109,130</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Price / Sales</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.37</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.36</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / EBITDA</p></td>\n   <td><p>-141.93</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Earnings Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>-$0.23</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p></td>\n   <td><p>12.96%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>$15.00</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Net Free Cash Flow</p></td>\n   <td><p>-$38,024,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>-1.10%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Revenue Growth Rate</p></td>\n   <td><p>23.83%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><b>Commentary</b></p>\n<p>CWAN intends to go public to pay down debt and will have a net of $55 million in debt post-IPO.</p>\n<p>The firm’s financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth and a rebound to operating profit and net income after negative results in 2020.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a decidedly unimpressive negative ($38 million).</p>\n<p>Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenue has increased; its Sales and Marketing efficiency rate dropped slightly to 1.4x in the most recent six-month period.</p>\n<p>CWAN's dollar-based net retention rate was 109% for June 30, 2021, a positive result and its Rule of 40 performance was good as well.</p>\n<p>The market opportunity for selling investment management software is large and expected to grow substantially in the years ahead, but the firm has extensive competition.</p>\n<p>Goldman Sachs is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 40.5% since their IPO. This is a middle-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p>\n<p>The primary risk to the company’s outlook is the degree of competition and specialization present in various submarkets in which it competes, as well as the ability for some larger prospects to develop solutions in-house.</p>\n<p>As for valuation, compared to competitor Simcorp, the CWAN IPO is much more highly priced on a revenue multiple basis. In my view, this is justified as the firm is growing revenue at a significantly higher rate of growth.</p>\n<p>After a difficult period during 2020 where the firm produced operating losses, 2021 has seen a return to operating and net profits with impressive growth as well.</p>\n<p>Given CWAN’s growth trajectory and the investment management software industry’s strong growth potential in the years ahead, the IPO is worth a close look.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>IPO opening reminder: Clearwater Analytics opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIPO opening reminder: Clearwater Analytics opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-24 23:14</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Sept 24)&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CWAN\">Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc.</a></b> opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/076505c7b70dbe2ad6cfcae8c44f52cb\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Company &amp; Technology</b></p>\n<p>Boise, Idaho-based Clearwater was founded to develop a SaaS platform to simplify investment accounting and analysis for asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations.</p>\n<p>Management is headed by Chief Executive Officer Sandeep Sahai, who has been with the firm since September 2016 and was previously CEO of Solmark, an investment partnership.</p>\n<p>The company’s primary offerings include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>Investment accounting and reporting</p></li>\n <li><p>Performance measurement</p></li>\n <li><p>Compliance monitoring</p></li>\n <li><p>Risk analysis</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Clearwater has received at least $421 million in notes payable in equity investment from investors including Welsh Carson, Permira, Warburg Pincus and Dragoneer.</p>\n<p><b>Customer Acquisition</b></p>\n<p>The firm pursues client relationships with asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations via a direct sales and marketing force that is focused on the United States.</p>\n<p>CWAN also has international clients and will seek to expand its international presence post-IPO.</p>\n<p>Clearwater handles data on over $5.6 trillion in assets between more than 1,000 clients.</p>\n<p>Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Percentage</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>13.6%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>10.9%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>11.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>The Sales and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Sales and Marketing spend, dropped to 1.4x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Multiple</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.4</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.6</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>The Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.</p>\n<p>CWAN’s most recent calculation was 41% during the six months ended June 30, 2021, so the firm has performed well in this regard, per the table below:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Rule of 40</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Calculation</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Recent Rev. Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>24%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EBITDA %</p></td>\n   <td><p>17%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Total</p></td>\n   <td><p>41%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>The firm’s dollar-based net revenue retention rate for June 30, 2021 was 109%, a reasonably good result.</p>\n<p>The dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.</p>\n<p><b>Market &amp; Competition</b></p>\n<p>According to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Market Primes, the global investment management software market was an estimated $3 billion in 2019 and is forecast to reach nearly $4.5 billion by 2025.</p>\n<p>This represents a forecast CAGR of 10.2% from 2019 to 2025.</p>\n<p>The main drivers for this expected growth are a desire by users to automate repetitive tasks so they can focus on maximizing portfolio performance and creating more sophisticated approaches.</p>\n<p>Also, assessing risks and exposures and being able to efficiently report and share the information with stakeholders will drive demand for more capable solutions.</p>\n<p>Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>SS&amp;C</p></li>\n <li><p>State Street</p></li>\n <li><p>SAP</p></li>\n <li><p>BNY Mellon (Eagle)</p></li>\n <li><p>Simcorp</p></li>\n <li><p>BlackRock</p></li>\n <li><p>FIS</p></li>\n <li><p>Northern Trust</p></li>\n <li><p>Others</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Financial Performance</b></p>\n<p>Clearwater’s recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>Strong topline revenue growth</p></li>\n <li><p>Increasing gross profit and gross margin</p></li>\n <li><p>A swing to operating profit and net profit</p></li>\n <li><p>Uneven cash used in operations</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm’s registration statement:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Total Revenue</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Total Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>% Variance vs. Prior</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 117,770,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>23.8%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 203,222,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>21.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 168,001,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Gross Profit (Loss)</p></td>\n   <td><p>% Variance vs. Prior</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 87,872,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>28.8%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 149,959,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>24.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 120,856,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Gross Margin</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Gross Margin</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>74.61%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>73.79%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>71.94%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Operating Profit (Loss)</p></td>\n   <td><p>Operating Margin</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 20,544,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>17.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (20,418,000)</p></td>\n   <td><p>-10.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 25,697,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.3%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Net Income (Loss)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 3,200,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (44,230,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 7,732,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Cash Flow From Operations</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (16,352,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (6,486,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (230,029,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>As of June 30, 2021, Clearwater had $41 million in cash and $450 million in total liabilities.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was negative ($38 million).</p>\n<p>Valuation Metrics</p>\n<p>Below is a table of the firm’s relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Amount</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Market Capitalization at IPO</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3,472,178,130</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Enterprise Value</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3,470,109,130</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Price / Sales</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.37</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>15.36</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / EBITDA</p></td>\n   <td><p>-141.93</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Earnings Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>-$0.23</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p></td>\n   <td><p>12.96%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>$15.00</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Net Free Cash Flow</p></td>\n   <td><p>-$38,024,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>-1.10%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Revenue Growth Rate</p></td>\n   <td><p>23.83%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><b>Commentary</b></p>\n<p>CWAN intends to go public to pay down debt and will have a net of $55 million in debt post-IPO.</p>\n<p>The firm’s financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth and a rebound to operating profit and net income after negative results in 2020.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a decidedly unimpressive negative ($38 million).</p>\n<p>Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenue has increased; its Sales and Marketing efficiency rate dropped slightly to 1.4x in the most recent six-month period.</p>\n<p>CWAN's dollar-based net retention rate was 109% for June 30, 2021, a positive result and its Rule of 40 performance was good as well.</p>\n<p>The market opportunity for selling investment management software is large and expected to grow substantially in the years ahead, but the firm has extensive competition.</p>\n<p>Goldman Sachs is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 40.5% since their IPO. This is a middle-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p>\n<p>The primary risk to the company’s outlook is the degree of competition and specialization present in various submarkets in which it competes, as well as the ability for some larger prospects to develop solutions in-house.</p>\n<p>As for valuation, compared to competitor Simcorp, the CWAN IPO is much more highly priced on a revenue multiple basis. In my view, this is justified as the firm is growing revenue at a significantly higher rate of growth.</p>\n<p>After a difficult period during 2020 where the firm produced operating losses, 2021 has seen a return to operating and net profits with impressive growth as well.</p>\n<p>Given CWAN’s growth trajectory and the investment management software industry’s strong growth potential in the years ahead, the IPO is worth a close look.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CWAN":"Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114004721","content_text":"(Sept 24) Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc. opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price.\n\nCompany & Technology\nBoise, Idaho-based Clearwater was founded to develop a SaaS platform to simplify investment accounting and analysis for asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations.\nManagement is headed by Chief Executive Officer Sandeep Sahai, who has been with the firm since September 2016 and was previously CEO of Solmark, an investment partnership.\nThe company’s primary offerings include:\n\nInvestment accounting and reporting\nPerformance measurement\nCompliance monitoring\nRisk analysis\n\nClearwater has received at least $421 million in notes payable in equity investment from investors including Welsh Carson, Permira, Warburg Pincus and Dragoneer.\nCustomer Acquisition\nThe firm pursues client relationships with asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations via a direct sales and marketing force that is focused on the United States.\nCWAN also has international clients and will seek to expand its international presence post-IPO.\nClearwater handles data on over $5.6 trillion in assets between more than 1,000 clients.\nSales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:\n\n\n\n\nSales and Marketing\nExpenses vs. Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nPercentage\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n13.6%\n\n\n2020\n10.9%\n\n\n2019\n11.4%\n\n\n\nThe Sales and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Sales and Marketing spend, dropped to 1.4x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:\n\n\n\n\nSales and Marketing\nEfficiency Rate\n\n\nPeriod\nMultiple\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n1.4\n\n\n2020\n1.6\n\n\n\nThe Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.\nCWAN’s most recent calculation was 41% during the six months ended June 30, 2021, so the firm has performed well in this regard, per the table below:\n\n\n\n\nRule of 40\nCalculation\n\n\nRecent Rev. Growth %\n24%\n\n\nEBITDA %\n17%\n\n\nTotal\n41%\n\n\n\nThe firm’s dollar-based net revenue retention rate for June 30, 2021 was 109%, a reasonably good result.\nThe dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.\nMarket & Competition\nAccording to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Market Primes, the global investment management software market was an estimated $3 billion in 2019 and is forecast to reach nearly $4.5 billion by 2025.\nThis represents a forecast CAGR of 10.2% from 2019 to 2025.\nThe main drivers for this expected growth are a desire by users to automate repetitive tasks so they can focus on maximizing portfolio performance and creating more sophisticated approaches.\nAlso, assessing risks and exposures and being able to efficiently report and share the information with stakeholders will drive demand for more capable solutions.\nMajor competitive or other industry participants include:\n\nSS&C\nState Street\nSAP\nBNY Mellon (Eagle)\nSimcorp\nBlackRock\nFIS\nNorthern Trust\nOthers\n\nFinancial Performance\nClearwater’s recent financial results can be summarized as follows:\n\nStrong topline revenue growth\nIncreasing gross profit and gross margin\nA swing to operating profit and net profit\nUneven cash used in operations\n\nBelow are relevant financial results derived from the firm’s registration statement:\n\n\n\n\nTotal Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nTotal Revenue\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 117,770,000\n23.8%\n\n\n2020\n$ 203,222,000\n21.0%\n\n\n2019\n$ 168,001,000\n\n\n\nGross Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Profit (Loss)\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 87,872,000\n28.8%\n\n\n2020\n$ 149,959,000\n24.1%\n\n\n2019\n$ 120,856,000\n\n\n\nGross Margin\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n74.61%\n\n\n2020\n73.79%\n\n\n2019\n71.94%\n\n\n\nOperating Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nOperating Profit (Loss)\nOperating Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 20,544,000\n17.4%\n\n\n2020\n$ (20,418,000)\n-10.0%\n\n\n2019\n$ 25,697,000\n15.3%\n\n\n\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 3,200,000\n\n\n2020\n$ (44,230,000)\n\n\n2019\n$ 7,732,000\n\n\n\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nPeriod\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ (16,352,000)\n\n\n2020\n$ (6,486,000)\n\n\n2019\n$ (230,029,000)\n\n\n\nAs of June 30, 2021, Clearwater had $41 million in cash and $450 million in total liabilities.\nFree cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was negative ($38 million).\nValuation Metrics\nBelow is a table of the firm’s relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:\n\n\n\n\nMeasure [TTM]\nAmount\n\n\nMarket Capitalization at IPO\n$3,472,178,130\n\n\nEnterprise Value\n$3,470,109,130\n\n\nPrice / Sales\n15.37\n\n\nEV / Revenue\n15.36\n\n\nEV / EBITDA\n-141.93\n\n\nEarnings Per Share\n-$0.23\n\n\nFloat To Outstanding Shares Ratio\n12.96%\n\n\nProposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share\n$15.00\n\n\nNet Free Cash Flow\n-$38,024,000\n\n\nFree Cash Flow Yield Per Share\n-1.10%\n\n\nRevenue Growth Rate\n23.83%\n\n\n\nCommentary\nCWAN intends to go public to pay down debt and will have a net of $55 million in debt post-IPO.\nThe firm’s financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth and a rebound to operating profit and net income after negative results in 2020.\nFree cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a decidedly unimpressive negative ($38 million).\nSales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenue has increased; its Sales and Marketing efficiency rate dropped slightly to 1.4x in the most recent six-month period.\nCWAN's dollar-based net retention rate was 109% for June 30, 2021, a positive result and its Rule of 40 performance was good as well.\nThe market opportunity for selling investment management software is large and expected to grow substantially in the years ahead, but the firm has extensive competition.\nGoldman Sachs is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 40.5% since their IPO. This is a middle-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.\nThe primary risk to the company’s outlook is the degree of competition and specialization present in various submarkets in which it competes, as well as the ability for some larger prospects to develop solutions in-house.\nAs for valuation, compared to competitor Simcorp, the CWAN IPO is much more highly priced on a revenue multiple basis. In my view, this is justified as the firm is growing revenue at a significantly higher rate of growth.\nAfter a difficult period during 2020 where the firm produced operating losses, 2021 has seen a return to operating and net profits with impressive growth as well.\nGiven CWAN’s growth trajectory and the investment management software industry’s strong growth potential in the years ahead, the IPO is worth a close look.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866873604,"gmtCreate":1632756579608,"gmtModify":1632798040182,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"O","listText":"O","text":"O","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866873604","repostId":"2170462612","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2170462612","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1632755638,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2170462612?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-27 23:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Shanghai to make 300,000 cars Jan-Sept despite chip shortage -sources","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2170462612","media":"Reuters","summary":"BEIJING, Sept 26 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc's Shanghai factory is expected to produce 300,000 cars in the","content":"<p>BEIJING, Sept 26 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc's Shanghai factory is expected to produce 300,000 cars in the first nine months of the year, capped by a delivery rush in the end of the July-September quarter, despite a global semiconductor shortage, two sources said.</p>\n<p>The factory makes the electric Model 3 sedans and Model Y sport-utility vehicles for domestic and international markets, including Germany and Japan.</p>\n<p>Around 240,000 vehicles were shipped from the factory in the first eight months, including many for export, according to data from the China Passenger Car Association. Tesla has not announced details on the factory's production.</p>\n<p>The sources requested anonymity, as they were not allowed to speak to media. Tesla did not immediately respond to a request for comment.</p>\n<p>In August, an official in the area where Tesla's factory is located said it is expected to product 450,000 vehicles this year, including 66,100 for export.</p>\n<p>Tesla is hiring managers for legal and external relations teams in China as it faces public scrutiny in the country over data security and customer service complaints. </p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Shanghai to make 300,000 cars Jan-Sept despite chip shortage -sources</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Shanghai to make 300,000 cars Jan-Sept despite chip shortage -sources\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-27 23:13</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>BEIJING, Sept 26 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc's Shanghai factory is expected to produce 300,000 cars in the first nine months of the year, capped by a delivery rush in the end of the July-September quarter, despite a global semiconductor shortage, two sources said.</p>\n<p>The factory makes the electric Model 3 sedans and Model Y sport-utility vehicles for domestic and international markets, including Germany and Japan.</p>\n<p>Around 240,000 vehicles were shipped from the factory in the first eight months, including many for export, according to data from the China Passenger Car Association. Tesla has not announced details on the factory's production.</p>\n<p>The sources requested anonymity, as they were not allowed to speak to media. Tesla did not immediately respond to a request for comment.</p>\n<p>In August, an official in the area where Tesla's factory is located said it is expected to product 450,000 vehicles this year, including 66,100 for export.</p>\n<p>Tesla is hiring managers for legal and external relations teams in China as it faces public scrutiny in the country over data security and customer service complaints. </p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2170462612","content_text":"BEIJING, Sept 26 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc's Shanghai factory is expected to produce 300,000 cars in the first nine months of the year, capped by a delivery rush in the end of the July-September quarter, despite a global semiconductor shortage, two sources said.\nThe factory makes the electric Model 3 sedans and Model Y sport-utility vehicles for domestic and international markets, including Germany and Japan.\nAround 240,000 vehicles were shipped from the factory in the first eight months, including many for export, according to data from the China Passenger Car Association. Tesla has not announced details on the factory's production.\nThe sources requested anonymity, as they were not allowed to speak to media. Tesla did not immediately respond to a request for comment.\nIn August, an official in the area where Tesla's factory is located said it is expected to product 450,000 vehicles this year, including 66,100 for export.\nTesla is hiring managers for legal and external relations teams in China as it faces public scrutiny in the country over data security and customer service complaints.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":121,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693476554,"gmtCreate":1640071865184,"gmtModify":1640073172541,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"posting g","htmlText":"How to I post article on tiger. I have some issues completing the mission. Trying to make it to 50 words. I dun understand y tiger need us to publish a post in order to clear the mission.its fun har testing our writing skills. Let's go","listText":"How to I post article on tiger. I have some issues completing the mission. Trying to make it to 50 words. I dun understand y tiger need us to publish a post in order to clear the mission.its fun har testing our writing skills. Let's go","text":"How to I post article on tiger. I have some issues completing the mission. Trying to make it to 50 words. I dun understand y tiger need us to publish a post in order to clear the mission.its fun har testing our writing skills. Let's go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693476554","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":719,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829417563,"gmtCreate":1633533245460,"gmtModify":1633533245902,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"9","listText":"9","text":"9","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829417563","repostId":"2173791088","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821398471,"gmtCreate":1633696038361,"gmtModify":1633696038847,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"9","listText":"9","text":"9","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821398471","repostId":"1135993400","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135993400","pubTimestamp":1633675137,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1135993400?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 14:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135993400","media":"zerohedge","summary":"After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the mo","content":"<p>After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.</p>\n<p>Here is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Total Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K</li>\n <li>Private Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K</li>\n <li>Unemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%</li>\n <li>Labor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%</li>\n <li>Average Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%</li>\n <li>Average Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7</li>\n</ul>\n<p>As&nbsp;Newsquawk&nbsp;writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.</p>\n<p>Goldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong,&nbsp;<b>and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"</b>As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.</p>\n<p>Labor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.</p>\n<p><b>POLICY</b>: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.</p>\n<p><b>PAYROLLS:</b>The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).<b>Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</b></p>\n<p><b>MEASURES OF SLACK:</b>The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.</p>\n<p><b>EARNINGS:</b>Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</p>\n<p><b>ADP:</b>The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure &amp; Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"</p>\n<p><b>INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:</b>Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.</p>\n<p><b>BUSINESS SURVEYS</b>: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.</p>\n<p><b>ARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT</b>:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>End of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts</b>. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.<b>Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.</b>Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa8e5900cf66c76d4b64055f84e58048\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>School reopening</b>. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff3e69723b40e0d372ec2bebecb38b1f\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Job availability</b>. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.</li>\n <li><b>ADP.</b>Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>ARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Delta variant.</b>Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.</li>\n <li><b>Employer surveys</b>. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>NEUTRAL FACTORS:</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Big Data.</b>High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.</li>\n <li><b>Seasonality.</b>The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).</li>\n <li><b>Jobless claims.</b>Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.</li>\n <li><b>Job cuts.</b>Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).</li>\n</ul>","source":"lsy1583725640930","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSeptember Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-08 14:38 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135993400","content_text":"After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.\nHere is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:\n\nTotal Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K\nPrivate Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K\nUnemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%\nLabor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%\nAverage Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%\nAverage Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7\n\nAs Newsquawk writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.\nGoldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong, and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.\nLabor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.\nPOLICY: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.\nPAYROLLS:The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.\nMEASURES OF SLACK:The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.\nEARNINGS:Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.\nADP:The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure & Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"\nINITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.\nBUSINESS SURVEYS: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.\nARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:\n\nEnd of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).\n\n\n\nSchool reopening. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.\n\n\n\nJob availability. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.\nADP.Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.\n\nARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:\n\nDelta variant.Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.\nEmployer surveys. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.\n\nNEUTRAL FACTORS:\n\nBig Data.High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.\nSeasonality.The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).\nJobless claims.Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.\nJob cuts.Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray & Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":481,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823642903,"gmtCreate":1633620602928,"gmtModify":1633620603317,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823642903","repostId":"2169613095","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":360868179,"gmtCreate":1613885584791,"gmtModify":1634551954253,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3576135836751997\">@我要发财啦</a>笨蛋","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3576135836751997\">@我要发财啦</a>笨蛋","text":"@我要发财啦笨蛋","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360868179","repostId":"1103921295","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":451,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693478166,"gmtCreate":1640071717262,"gmtModify":1640071982205,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y all stocks keeps fallingg","listText":"Y all stocks keeps fallingg","text":"Y all stocks keeps fallingg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693478166","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":848213124,"gmtCreate":1636000691749,"gmtModify":1636000692192,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oo","listText":"Oo","text":"Oo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/848213124","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f487d6799e86204e80dfde72e6040c0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840417269,"gmtCreate":1635671265671,"gmtModify":1635671265826,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lousy. No tickets","listText":"Lousy. No tickets","text":"Lousy. No tickets","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840417269","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f487d6799e86204e80dfde72e6040c0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":704,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840037412,"gmtCreate":1635567152800,"gmtModify":1635567152963,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"O","listText":"O","text":"O","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840037412","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f487d6799e86204e80dfde72e6040c0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":376,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857102595,"gmtCreate":1635512177933,"gmtModify":1635513198951,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How to share..","listText":"How to share..","text":"How to share..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857102595","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f487d6799e86204e80dfde72e6040c0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":439,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857106089,"gmtCreate":1635512121345,"gmtModify":1635513180793,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ooo","listText":"Ooo","text":"Ooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857106089","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f487d6799e86204e80dfde72e6040c0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":529,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":369809962,"gmtCreate":1614012112256,"gmtModify":1634551521834,"author":{"id":"3573391141144189","authorId":"3573391141144189","name":"需要一点点运气","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95946f1c3b8e466ffbf503d8793b3a56","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3575340033578737\">@Xinyin</a>hi who is this&nbsp;[爱你]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3575340033578737\">@Xinyin</a>hi who is this&nbsp;[爱你]&nbsp;","text":"@Xinyinhi who is this [爱你]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369809962","repostId":"1100241886","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}