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刚哥眼里有光
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IP属地:四川
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刚哥眼里有光
11-01
特朗普特不靠谱
刚哥眼里有光
10-31
$ROOT 20241115 60.0 CALL$
今年唯一正确的一笔交易,运气吧
刚哥眼里有光
10-17
有用
@期权交易_古典工业策略:美股几个核电公司推荐
刚哥眼里有光
08-27
楼主分析的很有道理
@空军大队长:OPEN为什么大涨?
刚哥眼里有光
08-05
感谢分享
@投阅笔记:如果纳斯达克指数见顶,怎么投资?
刚哥眼里有光
2021-04-21
🤠
抱歉,原内容已删除
刚哥眼里有光
2021-03-10
$Battalion Oil Corp(BATL)$
在前期平台高点维持盘整一段时间了,应该有突破
刚哥眼里有光
2021-02-18
$Diffusion Pharmaceuticals Inc(DFFN)$
涨的时候有量跌的时候説量,继续加仓
刚哥眼里有光
2021-01-22
对于信用有污点的公司还能够再投资吗?
抱歉,原内容已删除
刚哥眼里有光
2021-01-21
牛牛的朋友一起出去
大和:蔚来商业模式具创新,予目标价100美元
刚哥眼里有光
2021-01-19
腾讯,背靠大树好乘凉
刚哥眼里有光
2021-01-19
$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$
上周五买的,自动驾驶汽车,新能源汽车都是好股票
刚哥眼里有光
2021-01-19
这几天认真的研究一下港股和美股发现港股。但几个头部公司都是长期慢牛的走势,没有太大的波动。
刚哥眼里有光
2021-01-15
$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$
老虎证券真的要送股呢
刚哥眼里有光
2021-01-15
$百度(BIDU)$
相信百度可以做的更好
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ROOT 20241115 60.0 CALL\">$ROOT 20241115 60.0 CALL$ </a> 今年唯一正确的一笔交易,运气吧","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ROOT 20241115 60.0 CALL\">$ROOT 20241115 60.0 CALL$ </a> 今年唯一正确的一笔交易,运气吧","text":"$ROOT 20241115 60.0 CALL$ 今年唯一正确的一笔交易,运气吧","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd893ae5ce55149a39eeb20dcf549733","width":"898","height":"1530"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/365923445739584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":943,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":360979349037216,"gmtCreate":1729155016351,"gmtModify":1729155018000,"author":{"id":"3573355904555920","authorId":"3573355904555920","name":"刚哥眼里有光","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a9098b763e98a1cc0d52cd00dbf9a9a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573355904555920","authorIdStr":"3573355904555920"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"有用","listText":"有用","text":"有用","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360979349037216","repostId":"360710895685720","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":360710895685720,"gmtCreate":1729089487163,"gmtModify":1729132022080,"author":{"id":"3491993381820933","authorId":"3491993381820933","name":"期权交易_古典工业策略","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7950188c6046779392a74622fa74209","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491993381820933","authorIdStr":"3491993381820933"},"themes":[],"title":"美股几个核电公司推荐","htmlText":"以下是一些美股中技术实力较强的核电初创公司: 1. Oklo<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKLO\">$Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ </a> • 技术特点:该公司致力于开发微型模块化核反应堆技术。其开发的“Aurora”反应堆通过更小、更简单的设计,推动核电的广泛、模块化应用。这种反应堆功率范围从 15 兆瓦起步,可以达到 100 兆瓦或更高,相比传统的大型核反应堆更加灵活,更适合作为“专供数据中心”的模块化发电站。 • 优势:公司的技术在提高核能利用效率、降低成本方面具有潜力,并且其设计在安全性上也有一定的创新,例如使用液态金属作为冷却剂,提高了安全性。此外,Oklo 得到了 OpenAI 首席执行官山姆·奥尔特曼的支持,具有一定的资金和资源优势。不过,该公司的技术仍处于发展阶段,需要通过美国核能管理委员会的审批才能进一步商业化。 2. NuScale Power<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMR\">$NuScale Power(SMR)$ </a> • 技术特点:专注于开发和部署小型模块化反应堆(SMR)技术。其旗舰产品“NuScale Power Module™(NPM)”是一种安全可靠的小型模块化轻水反应堆,属于核裂变反应堆的一种。该设计采用了被动安全系统,在极端情况下,如失去外部电源,可在无需人工干预、无需交流或直流电源或额外冷却水的情况下安全地关闭并保持冷却。 • 优势:NPM 可以在工厂中预制,然后运输到现场进行组装,有助于减少现场施工时间,提高质量控制,并降低成本。其技术已经获得了美国核能管理委员会的标准设计批准,是首个也是目前唯一一个获得该批准的 SMR 设计,在商业化方面取得了重要的进展。该公司还与多个国际合作伙伴建立了合作关系,拥有强大的潜在","listText":"以下是一些美股中技术实力较强的核电初创公司: 1. Oklo<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKLO\">$Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ </a> • 技术特点:该公司致力于开发微型模块化核反应堆技术。其开发的“Aurora”反应堆通过更小、更简单的设计,推动核电的广泛、模块化应用。这种反应堆功率范围从 15 兆瓦起步,可以达到 100 兆瓦或更高,相比传统的大型核反应堆更加灵活,更适合作为“专供数据中心”的模块化发电站。 • 优势:公司的技术在提高核能利用效率、降低成本方面具有潜力,并且其设计在安全性上也有一定的创新,例如使用液态金属作为冷却剂,提高了安全性。此外,Oklo 得到了 OpenAI 首席执行官山姆·奥尔特曼的支持,具有一定的资金和资源优势。不过,该公司的技术仍处于发展阶段,需要通过美国核能管理委员会的审批才能进一步商业化。 2. NuScale Power<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMR\">$NuScale Power(SMR)$ </a> • 技术特点:专注于开发和部署小型模块化反应堆(SMR)技术。其旗舰产品“NuScale Power Module™(NPM)”是一种安全可靠的小型模块化轻水反应堆,属于核裂变反应堆的一种。该设计采用了被动安全系统,在极端情况下,如失去外部电源,可在无需人工干预、无需交流或直流电源或额外冷却水的情况下安全地关闭并保持冷却。 • 优势:NPM 可以在工厂中预制,然后运输到现场进行组装,有助于减少现场施工时间,提高质量控制,并降低成本。其技术已经获得了美国核能管理委员会的标准设计批准,是首个也是目前唯一一个获得该批准的 SMR 设计,在商业化方面取得了重要的进展。该公司还与多个国际合作伙伴建立了合作关系,拥有强大的潜在","text":"以下是一些美股中技术实力较强的核电初创公司: 1. Oklo$Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ • 技术特点:该公司致力于开发微型模块化核反应堆技术。其开发的“Aurora”反应堆通过更小、更简单的设计,推动核电的广泛、模块化应用。这种反应堆功率范围从 15 兆瓦起步,可以达到 100 兆瓦或更高,相比传统的大型核反应堆更加灵活,更适合作为“专供数据中心”的模块化发电站。 • 优势:公司的技术在提高核能利用效率、降低成本方面具有潜力,并且其设计在安全性上也有一定的创新,例如使用液态金属作为冷却剂,提高了安全性。此外,Oklo 得到了 OpenAI 首席执行官山姆·奥尔特曼的支持,具有一定的资金和资源优势。不过,该公司的技术仍处于发展阶段,需要通过美国核能管理委员会的审批才能进一步商业化。 2. NuScale Power$NuScale Power(SMR)$ • 技术特点:专注于开发和部署小型模块化反应堆(SMR)技术。其旗舰产品“NuScale Power Module™(NPM)”是一种安全可靠的小型模块化轻水反应堆,属于核裂变反应堆的一种。该设计采用了被动安全系统,在极端情况下,如失去外部电源,可在无需人工干预、无需交流或直流电源或额外冷却水的情况下安全地关闭并保持冷却。 • 优势:NPM 可以在工厂中预制,然后运输到现场进行组装,有助于减少现场施工时间,提高质量控制,并降低成本。其技术已经获得了美国核能管理委员会的标准设计批准,是首个也是目前唯一一个获得该批准的 SMR 设计,在商业化方面取得了重要的进展。该公司还与多个国际合作伙伴建立了合作关系,拥有强大的潜在","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360710895685720","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":94,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":343041817329888,"gmtCreate":1724768891679,"gmtModify":1724768893488,"author":{"id":"3573355904555920","authorId":"3573355904555920","name":"刚哥眼里有光","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a9098b763e98a1cc0d52cd00dbf9a9a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573355904555920","authorIdStr":"3573355904555920"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"楼主分析的很有道理","listText":"楼主分析的很有道理","text":"楼主分析的很有道理","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343041817329888","repostId":"343030928793888","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":343030928793888,"gmtCreate":1724766139762,"gmtModify":1724815697039,"author":{"id":"74125836878304","authorId":"74125836878304","name":"空军大队长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/491ac6b2de4e6f00b0c07853ca1c186b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"74125836878304","authorIdStr":"74125836878304"},"themes":[],"title":"OPEN为什么大涨?","htmlText":"昨天纳斯达克大跌,但是open大涨了,upst也涨了,就是说大盘涨跌完全不影响open upst的上涨,原因是这两年大盘大涨的时候,这两个票并没有涨,那么纳斯达克下跌,这两个票自然也不会跌,就是涨跌跟纳斯达克没有多大关系,因为这两个票是降息最受益的公司,前两年虽然大盘一直大涨,但是并没有降息,open upst是每次降息才会大涨,加息就会大涨,很多人老说经济衰退会让大盘下跌,这个说法有一定的道理,但是open upst并没有受影响,所以这两个票涨跌就是看降息,而不是看大盘。 OPEN是卖二手房的,存量的房产有6000多套,所以降息以后这些资产就会升值,还有二季度的时候因为房价低迷,加上下半年要降息,所以房主都不愿意现在卖房子,而是想等价格涨起来以后卖,所以影响了公司的收入增长,有人愿意买房,因为现在房价不高,但是没有人愿意卖房子,所以没有收入,虽然存量的房子很多,但是这些房子是2021年高价买的,现在卖的话就是是亏本卖,所以也不能卖,谁也知道降息以后房价就会上涨,第二个就是OPEN是标准的人工智能大模型企业,就是利用人工智能来判断房子值多少钱,还要用人工智能来判断房价未来的涨跌,相当于是一个炒房软件,未来人工智能发展的方向就是从芯片向软件转变。 拼多多昨天大跌了,收入增长86%,利润增长了144%,虽然环比增长速度是下降了,但是电商不是周期性行业,所以这样大跌就是没有道理的,一般来说收入增长60%以上的股票财报出来就会上涨的,没有大跌的,拼多多难道是因为中概的原因,不然我真的找不到其他原因,虽然说没在达到预期,三季度指引也不好,但是其他公司碰到这样的情况并没有下跌,比如CELH一季度收入增长只有36%,二季度指引也不好,但是一季度财报出来还大涨了一下,离历史新高就差一点点,然后再大跌的,而拼多多收入增长还在86%呢,怎么就会这样大跌,完全没有道理,如果真的是中概原因,那么以","listText":"昨天纳斯达克大跌,但是open大涨了,upst也涨了,就是说大盘涨跌完全不影响open upst的上涨,原因是这两年大盘大涨的时候,这两个票并没有涨,那么纳斯达克下跌,这两个票自然也不会跌,就是涨跌跟纳斯达克没有多大关系,因为这两个票是降息最受益的公司,前两年虽然大盘一直大涨,但是并没有降息,open upst是每次降息才会大涨,加息就会大涨,很多人老说经济衰退会让大盘下跌,这个说法有一定的道理,但是open upst并没有受影响,所以这两个票涨跌就是看降息,而不是看大盘。 OPEN是卖二手房的,存量的房产有6000多套,所以降息以后这些资产就会升值,还有二季度的时候因为房价低迷,加上下半年要降息,所以房主都不愿意现在卖房子,而是想等价格涨起来以后卖,所以影响了公司的收入增长,有人愿意买房,因为现在房价不高,但是没有人愿意卖房子,所以没有收入,虽然存量的房子很多,但是这些房子是2021年高价买的,现在卖的话就是是亏本卖,所以也不能卖,谁也知道降息以后房价就会上涨,第二个就是OPEN是标准的人工智能大模型企业,就是利用人工智能来判断房子值多少钱,还要用人工智能来判断房价未来的涨跌,相当于是一个炒房软件,未来人工智能发展的方向就是从芯片向软件转变。 拼多多昨天大跌了,收入增长86%,利润增长了144%,虽然环比增长速度是下降了,但是电商不是周期性行业,所以这样大跌就是没有道理的,一般来说收入增长60%以上的股票财报出来就会上涨的,没有大跌的,拼多多难道是因为中概的原因,不然我真的找不到其他原因,虽然说没在达到预期,三季度指引也不好,但是其他公司碰到这样的情况并没有下跌,比如CELH一季度收入增长只有36%,二季度指引也不好,但是一季度财报出来还大涨了一下,离历史新高就差一点点,然后再大跌的,而拼多多收入增长还在86%呢,怎么就会这样大跌,完全没有道理,如果真的是中概原因,那么以","text":"昨天纳斯达克大跌,但是open大涨了,upst也涨了,就是说大盘涨跌完全不影响open upst的上涨,原因是这两年大盘大涨的时候,这两个票并没有涨,那么纳斯达克下跌,这两个票自然也不会跌,就是涨跌跟纳斯达克没有多大关系,因为这两个票是降息最受益的公司,前两年虽然大盘一直大涨,但是并没有降息,open upst是每次降息才会大涨,加息就会大涨,很多人老说经济衰退会让大盘下跌,这个说法有一定的道理,但是open upst并没有受影响,所以这两个票涨跌就是看降息,而不是看大盘。 OPEN是卖二手房的,存量的房产有6000多套,所以降息以后这些资产就会升值,还有二季度的时候因为房价低迷,加上下半年要降息,所以房主都不愿意现在卖房子,而是想等价格涨起来以后卖,所以影响了公司的收入增长,有人愿意买房,因为现在房价不高,但是没有人愿意卖房子,所以没有收入,虽然存量的房子很多,但是这些房子是2021年高价买的,现在卖的话就是是亏本卖,所以也不能卖,谁也知道降息以后房价就会上涨,第二个就是OPEN是标准的人工智能大模型企业,就是利用人工智能来判断房子值多少钱,还要用人工智能来判断房价未来的涨跌,相当于是一个炒房软件,未来人工智能发展的方向就是从芯片向软件转变。 拼多多昨天大跌了,收入增长86%,利润增长了144%,虽然环比增长速度是下降了,但是电商不是周期性行业,所以这样大跌就是没有道理的,一般来说收入增长60%以上的股票财报出来就会上涨的,没有大跌的,拼多多难道是因为中概的原因,不然我真的找不到其他原因,虽然说没在达到预期,三季度指引也不好,但是其他公司碰到这样的情况并没有下跌,比如CELH一季度收入增长只有36%,二季度指引也不好,但是一季度财报出来还大涨了一下,离历史新高就差一点点,然后再大跌的,而拼多多收入增长还在86%呢,怎么就会这样大跌,完全没有道理,如果真的是中概原因,那么以","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343030928793888","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":334980485611792,"gmtCreate":1722815336708,"gmtModify":1722815338345,"author":{"id":"3573355904555920","authorId":"3573355904555920","name":"刚哥眼里有光","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a9098b763e98a1cc0d52cd00dbf9a9a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573355904555920","authorIdStr":"3573355904555920"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"感谢分享","listText":"感谢分享","text":"感谢分享","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/334980485611792","repostId":"334662820077792","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":334662820077792,"gmtCreate":1722737734923,"gmtModify":1722745096407,"author":{"id":"3551233200528073","authorId":"3551233200528073","name":"投阅笔记","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/880e7458e2b86083ea5fcaee8dd335ea","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551233200528073","authorIdStr":"3551233200528073"},"themes":[],"title":"如果纳斯达克指数见顶,怎么投资?","htmlText":"纳斯达克指数连续三周下跌,期间跌幅为8.82%,之前有连续三周下跌的情况,如下图所示,是在2024年4月初,不过之后反转开启了上涨趋势,所以我认为下周就很关键了,如果下周还是收跌,说明了纳斯达克指数上涨趋势已经结束,那么如何应对呢? 纳斯达克指数2023年涨幅为43.66%,今年截止7月10日涨幅为24.22%,所以可以看到纳斯达克指数最近涨幅巨大,这期间的背景就是openAI发布了chatgpt引起了人工智能投资热潮。人工智能投资顺序是:硬件-基础设施-软件,详细内容可以看下这篇文章: 我感觉这一波人工智能热潮可以于1999年互联网热潮比肩,所以我们可以看下2000年3月互联网泡沫破灭做个参考。 我最近看了一本书《金融怪杰》里面的内容写了关于2000年3月互联网泡沫破灭的一位投资专家的思考。 ———————————————————— 《金融怪杰》最后部分《22年后的观点》 原文内容如下: 例如,当纳斯达克指数在2000年3月见顶并向下突破后,这位金融怪杰完全确信市场泡沫已经破裂。然而他并未考虑在纳斯达克市场上建立空头头寸,即便他认为市场已构筑重要的顶部,市场泡沫在这个顶部也开始破裂。 他不做空的原因是,他准确认识到,在当时市场上做空是不可靠的,是充满危险的,而事实确实如他所料。虽然纳斯达克市场最终继续大幅下跌,但在2000年的夏天,纳斯达克指数的反弹幅度接近40%。 这一反弹幅度足以让市场上的做空者止损平仓,认输离场。 这位交易者又做出如下推断:纳斯达克指数见顶,市场泡沫破裂意味着大多数资产的价格相较过去泡沫膨胀时期的价格水平会出现缩水,从而引发经济的下行,经济下行会促发降息,利率下降则债券价格上涨。 因此,同样是看空纳斯达克市场的观点,做多债券要比直接在纳斯达克市场做空更为合适、更为安全。 其后债券市场果然相当平稳、顺畅地上涨,很适合做多。而与此相对的是,纳斯达克市场的","listText":"纳斯达克指数连续三周下跌,期间跌幅为8.82%,之前有连续三周下跌的情况,如下图所示,是在2024年4月初,不过之后反转开启了上涨趋势,所以我认为下周就很关键了,如果下周还是收跌,说明了纳斯达克指数上涨趋势已经结束,那么如何应对呢? 纳斯达克指数2023年涨幅为43.66%,今年截止7月10日涨幅为24.22%,所以可以看到纳斯达克指数最近涨幅巨大,这期间的背景就是openAI发布了chatgpt引起了人工智能投资热潮。人工智能投资顺序是:硬件-基础设施-软件,详细内容可以看下这篇文章: 我感觉这一波人工智能热潮可以于1999年互联网热潮比肩,所以我们可以看下2000年3月互联网泡沫破灭做个参考。 我最近看了一本书《金融怪杰》里面的内容写了关于2000年3月互联网泡沫破灭的一位投资专家的思考。 ———————————————————— 《金融怪杰》最后部分《22年后的观点》 原文内容如下: 例如,当纳斯达克指数在2000年3月见顶并向下突破后,这位金融怪杰完全确信市场泡沫已经破裂。然而他并未考虑在纳斯达克市场上建立空头头寸,即便他认为市场已构筑重要的顶部,市场泡沫在这个顶部也开始破裂。 他不做空的原因是,他准确认识到,在当时市场上做空是不可靠的,是充满危险的,而事实确实如他所料。虽然纳斯达克市场最终继续大幅下跌,但在2000年的夏天,纳斯达克指数的反弹幅度接近40%。 这一反弹幅度足以让市场上的做空者止损平仓,认输离场。 这位交易者又做出如下推断:纳斯达克指数见顶,市场泡沫破裂意味着大多数资产的价格相较过去泡沫膨胀时期的价格水平会出现缩水,从而引发经济的下行,经济下行会促发降息,利率下降则债券价格上涨。 因此,同样是看空纳斯达克市场的观点,做多债券要比直接在纳斯达克市场做空更为合适、更为安全。 其后债券市场果然相当平稳、顺畅地上涨,很适合做多。而与此相对的是,纳斯达克市场的","text":"纳斯达克指数连续三周下跌,期间跌幅为8.82%,之前有连续三周下跌的情况,如下图所示,是在2024年4月初,不过之后反转开启了上涨趋势,所以我认为下周就很关键了,如果下周还是收跌,说明了纳斯达克指数上涨趋势已经结束,那么如何应对呢? 纳斯达克指数2023年涨幅为43.66%,今年截止7月10日涨幅为24.22%,所以可以看到纳斯达克指数最近涨幅巨大,这期间的背景就是openAI发布了chatgpt引起了人工智能投资热潮。人工智能投资顺序是:硬件-基础设施-软件,详细内容可以看下这篇文章: 我感觉这一波人工智能热潮可以于1999年互联网热潮比肩,所以我们可以看下2000年3月互联网泡沫破灭做个参考。 我最近看了一本书《金融怪杰》里面的内容写了关于2000年3月互联网泡沫破灭的一位投资专家的思考。 ———————————————————— 《金融怪杰》最后部分《22年后的观点》 原文内容如下: 例如,当纳斯达克指数在2000年3月见顶并向下突破后,这位金融怪杰完全确信市场泡沫已经破裂。然而他并未考虑在纳斯达克市场上建立空头头寸,即便他认为市场已构筑重要的顶部,市场泡沫在这个顶部也开始破裂。 他不做空的原因是,他准确认识到,在当时市场上做空是不可靠的,是充满危险的,而事实确实如他所料。虽然纳斯达克市场最终继续大幅下跌,但在2000年的夏天,纳斯达克指数的反弹幅度接近40%。 这一反弹幅度足以让市场上的做空者止损平仓,认输离场。 这位交易者又做出如下推断:纳斯达克指数见顶,市场泡沫破裂意味着大多数资产的价格相较过去泡沫膨胀时期的价格水平会出现缩水,从而引发经济的下行,经济下行会促发降息,利率下降则债券价格上涨。 因此,同样是看空纳斯达克市场的观点,做多债券要比直接在纳斯达克市场做空更为合适、更为安全。 其后债券市场果然相当平稳、顺畅地上涨,很适合做多。而与此相对的是,纳斯达克市场的","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03853d0ba067aeaa5937acaadea76093","width":"1280","height":"720"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/334662820077792","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":319,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":378325937,"gmtCreate":1619003894429,"gmtModify":1619003894429,"author":{"id":"3573355904555920","authorId":"3573355904555920","name":"刚哥眼里有光","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a9098b763e98a1cc0d52cd00dbf9a9a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573355904555920","authorIdStr":"3573355904555920"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🤠","listText":"🤠","text":"🤠","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/378325937","repostId":"371071278","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1519,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":323756357,"gmtCreate":1615380105279,"gmtModify":1703488135282,"author":{"id":"3573355904555920","authorId":"3573355904555920","name":"刚哥眼里有光","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a9098b763e98a1cc0d52cd00dbf9a9a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573355904555920","authorIdStr":"3573355904555920"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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Inc(DFFN)$</a>涨的时候有量跌的时候説量,继续加仓","text":"$Diffusion Pharmaceuticals Inc(DFFN)$涨的时候有量跌的时候説量,继续加仓","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/384340045","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1906,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":310845609,"gmtCreate":1611313063601,"gmtModify":1703749625013,"author":{"id":"3573355904555920","authorId":"3573355904555920","name":"刚哥眼里有光","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a9098b763e98a1cc0d52cd00dbf9a9a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573355904555920","authorIdStr":"3573355904555920"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"对于信用有污点的公司还能够再投资吗?","listText":"对于信用有污点的公司还能够再投资吗?","text":"对于信用有污点的公司还能够再投资吗?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/310845609","repostId":"2104147461","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":310078276,"gmtCreate":1611236298995,"gmtModify":1703749072583,"author":{"id":"3573355904555920","authorId":"3573355904555920","name":"刚哥眼里有光","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a9098b763e98a1cc0d52cd00dbf9a9a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573355904555920","authorIdStr":"3573355904555920"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"牛牛的朋友一起出去","listText":"牛牛的朋友一起出去","text":"牛牛的朋友一起出去","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/310078276","repostId":"1152343939","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1152343939","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1611214661,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152343939?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-01-21 15:37","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"大和:蔚来商业模式具创新,予目标价100美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152343939","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"1月21日讯,大和发表报告,看好蔚来汽车,重申买入评级,目标价上望100美元。\n\n\n该行相信蔚来未来能够凭藉其领先的NAD技术、搭建用户社区、创新的商业理念及模式(BaaS、ADaaS),进一步打入豪华汽车领域;且对蔚来未来销售及毛利看法乐观。大和认为BaaS模式降低购买门槛,得到用户青睐,且管理层对其未来的自动驾驶服务(ADaaS)实收率保持乐观,相信蔚来将与2022年首季会推出该项服务。大和强调蔚来以构建用户社区为导向,这有别于其他传统的整车厂,有助于提高用户的忠诚度,进一步树立品牌口碑,达到刺激新车销售的作用。","content":"<p>1月21日讯,大和发表报告,看好蔚来汽车,重申买入评级,目标价上望100美元。</p>\n<p>该行相信蔚来未来能够凭藉其领先的NAD技术、搭建用户社区、创新的商业理念及模式(BaaS、ADaaS),进一步打入豪华汽车领域;且对蔚来未来销售及毛利看法乐观。大和认为BaaS模式降低购买门槛,得到用户青睐,且管理层对其未来的自动驾驶服务(ADaaS)实收率保持乐观,相信蔚来将与2022年首季会推出该项服务。大和强调蔚来以构建用户社区为导向,这有别于其他传统的整车厂,有助于提高用户的忠诚度,进一步树立品牌口碑,达到刺激新车销售的作用。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfe674f2cbd5642d7e2f86c0702cfb03\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-01-21 15:37</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>1月21日讯,大和发表报告,看好蔚来汽车,重申买入评级,目标价上望100美元。</p>\n<p>该行相信蔚来未来能够凭藉其领先的NAD技术、搭建用户社区、创新的商业理念及模式(BaaS、ADaaS),进一步打入豪华汽车领域;且对蔚来未来销售及毛利看法乐观。大和认为BaaS模式降低购买门槛,得到用户青睐,且管理层对其未来的自动驾驶服务(ADaaS)实收率保持乐观,相信蔚来将与2022年首季会推出该项服务。大和强调蔚来以构建用户社区为导向,这有别于其他传统的整车厂,有助于提高用户的忠诚度,进一步树立品牌口碑,达到刺激新车销售的作用。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfe674f2cbd5642d7e2f86c0702cfb03\" tg-width=\"840\" 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1. Oklo<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKLO\">$Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ </a> • 技术特点:该公司致力于开发微型模块化核反应堆技术。其开发的“Aurora”反应堆通过更小、更简单的设计,推动核电的广泛、模块化应用。这种反应堆功率范围从 15 兆瓦起步,可以达到 100 兆瓦或更高,相比传统的大型核反应堆更加灵活,更适合作为“专供数据中心”的模块化发电站。 • 优势:公司的技术在提高核能利用效率、降低成本方面具有潜力,并且其设计在安全性上也有一定的创新,例如使用液态金属作为冷却剂,提高了安全性。此外,Oklo 得到了 OpenAI 首席执行官山姆·奥尔特曼的支持,具有一定的资金和资源优势。不过,该公司的技术仍处于发展阶段,需要通过美国核能管理委员会的审批才能进一步商业化。 2. NuScale Power<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMR\">$NuScale Power(SMR)$ </a> • 技术特点:专注于开发和部署小型模块化反应堆(SMR)技术。其旗舰产品“NuScale Power Module™(NPM)”是一种安全可靠的小型模块化轻水反应堆,属于核裂变反应堆的一种。该设计采用了被动安全系统,在极端情况下,如失去外部电源,可在无需人工干预、无需交流或直流电源或额外冷却水的情况下安全地关闭并保持冷却。 • 优势:NPM 可以在工厂中预制,然后运输到现场进行组装,有助于减少现场施工时间,提高质量控制,并降低成本。其技术已经获得了美国核能管理委员会的标准设计批准,是首个也是目前唯一一个获得该批准的 SMR 设计,在商业化方面取得了重要的进展。该公司还与多个国际合作伙伴建立了合作关系,拥有强大的潜在","listText":"以下是一些美股中技术实力较强的核电初创公司: 1. Oklo<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKLO\">$Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ </a> • 技术特点:该公司致力于开发微型模块化核反应堆技术。其开发的“Aurora”反应堆通过更小、更简单的设计,推动核电的广泛、模块化应用。这种反应堆功率范围从 15 兆瓦起步,可以达到 100 兆瓦或更高,相比传统的大型核反应堆更加灵活,更适合作为“专供数据中心”的模块化发电站。 • 优势:公司的技术在提高核能利用效率、降低成本方面具有潜力,并且其设计在安全性上也有一定的创新,例如使用液态金属作为冷却剂,提高了安全性。此外,Oklo 得到了 OpenAI 首席执行官山姆·奥尔特曼的支持,具有一定的资金和资源优势。不过,该公司的技术仍处于发展阶段,需要通过美国核能管理委员会的审批才能进一步商业化。 2. NuScale Power<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMR\">$NuScale Power(SMR)$ </a> • 技术特点:专注于开发和部署小型模块化反应堆(SMR)技术。其旗舰产品“NuScale Power Module™(NPM)”是一种安全可靠的小型模块化轻水反应堆,属于核裂变反应堆的一种。该设计采用了被动安全系统,在极端情况下,如失去外部电源,可在无需人工干预、无需交流或直流电源或额外冷却水的情况下安全地关闭并保持冷却。 • 优势:NPM 可以在工厂中预制,然后运输到现场进行组装,有助于减少现场施工时间,提高质量控制,并降低成本。其技术已经获得了美国核能管理委员会的标准设计批准,是首个也是目前唯一一个获得该批准的 SMR 设计,在商业化方面取得了重要的进展。该公司还与多个国际合作伙伴建立了合作关系,拥有强大的潜在","text":"以下是一些美股中技术实力较强的核电初创公司: 1. Oklo$Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ • 技术特点:该公司致力于开发微型模块化核反应堆技术。其开发的“Aurora”反应堆通过更小、更简单的设计,推动核电的广泛、模块化应用。这种反应堆功率范围从 15 兆瓦起步,可以达到 100 兆瓦或更高,相比传统的大型核反应堆更加灵活,更适合作为“专供数据中心”的模块化发电站。 • 优势:公司的技术在提高核能利用效率、降低成本方面具有潜力,并且其设计在安全性上也有一定的创新,例如使用液态金属作为冷却剂,提高了安全性。此外,Oklo 得到了 OpenAI 首席执行官山姆·奥尔特曼的支持,具有一定的资金和资源优势。不过,该公司的技术仍处于发展阶段,需要通过美国核能管理委员会的审批才能进一步商业化。 2. NuScale Power$NuScale Power(SMR)$ • 技术特点:专注于开发和部署小型模块化反应堆(SMR)技术。其旗舰产品“NuScale Power Module™(NPM)”是一种安全可靠的小型模块化轻水反应堆,属于核裂变反应堆的一种。该设计采用了被动安全系统,在极端情况下,如失去外部电源,可在无需人工干预、无需交流或直流电源或额外冷却水的情况下安全地关闭并保持冷却。 • 优势:NPM 可以在工厂中预制,然后运输到现场进行组装,有助于减少现场施工时间,提高质量控制,并降低成本。其技术已经获得了美国核能管理委员会的标准设计批准,是首个也是目前唯一一个获得该批准的 SMR 设计,在商业化方面取得了重要的进展。该公司还与多个国际合作伙伴建立了合作关系,拥有强大的潜在","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360710895685720","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":94,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":343041817329888,"gmtCreate":1724768891679,"gmtModify":1724768893488,"author":{"id":"3573355904555920","authorId":"3573355904555920","name":"刚哥眼里有光","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a9098b763e98a1cc0d52cd00dbf9a9a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573355904555920","authorIdStr":"3573355904555920"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"楼主分析的很有道理","listText":"楼主分析的很有道理","text":"楼主分析的很有道理","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343041817329888","repostId":"343030928793888","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":343030928793888,"gmtCreate":1724766139762,"gmtModify":1724815697039,"author":{"id":"74125836878304","authorId":"74125836878304","name":"空军大队长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/491ac6b2de4e6f00b0c07853ca1c186b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"74125836878304","authorIdStr":"74125836878304"},"themes":[],"title":"OPEN为什么大涨?","htmlText":"昨天纳斯达克大跌,但是open大涨了,upst也涨了,就是说大盘涨跌完全不影响open upst的上涨,原因是这两年大盘大涨的时候,这两个票并没有涨,那么纳斯达克下跌,这两个票自然也不会跌,就是涨跌跟纳斯达克没有多大关系,因为这两个票是降息最受益的公司,前两年虽然大盘一直大涨,但是并没有降息,open upst是每次降息才会大涨,加息就会大涨,很多人老说经济衰退会让大盘下跌,这个说法有一定的道理,但是open upst并没有受影响,所以这两个票涨跌就是看降息,而不是看大盘。 OPEN是卖二手房的,存量的房产有6000多套,所以降息以后这些资产就会升值,还有二季度的时候因为房价低迷,加上下半年要降息,所以房主都不愿意现在卖房子,而是想等价格涨起来以后卖,所以影响了公司的收入增长,有人愿意买房,因为现在房价不高,但是没有人愿意卖房子,所以没有收入,虽然存量的房子很多,但是这些房子是2021年高价买的,现在卖的话就是是亏本卖,所以也不能卖,谁也知道降息以后房价就会上涨,第二个就是OPEN是标准的人工智能大模型企业,就是利用人工智能来判断房子值多少钱,还要用人工智能来判断房价未来的涨跌,相当于是一个炒房软件,未来人工智能发展的方向就是从芯片向软件转变。 拼多多昨天大跌了,收入增长86%,利润增长了144%,虽然环比增长速度是下降了,但是电商不是周期性行业,所以这样大跌就是没有道理的,一般来说收入增长60%以上的股票财报出来就会上涨的,没有大跌的,拼多多难道是因为中概的原因,不然我真的找不到其他原因,虽然说没在达到预期,三季度指引也不好,但是其他公司碰到这样的情况并没有下跌,比如CELH一季度收入增长只有36%,二季度指引也不好,但是一季度财报出来还大涨了一下,离历史新高就差一点点,然后再大跌的,而拼多多收入增长还在86%呢,怎么就会这样大跌,完全没有道理,如果真的是中概原因,那么以","listText":"昨天纳斯达克大跌,但是open大涨了,upst也涨了,就是说大盘涨跌完全不影响open upst的上涨,原因是这两年大盘大涨的时候,这两个票并没有涨,那么纳斯达克下跌,这两个票自然也不会跌,就是涨跌跟纳斯达克没有多大关系,因为这两个票是降息最受益的公司,前两年虽然大盘一直大涨,但是并没有降息,open upst是每次降息才会大涨,加息就会大涨,很多人老说经济衰退会让大盘下跌,这个说法有一定的道理,但是open upst并没有受影响,所以这两个票涨跌就是看降息,而不是看大盘。 OPEN是卖二手房的,存量的房产有6000多套,所以降息以后这些资产就会升值,还有二季度的时候因为房价低迷,加上下半年要降息,所以房主都不愿意现在卖房子,而是想等价格涨起来以后卖,所以影响了公司的收入增长,有人愿意买房,因为现在房价不高,但是没有人愿意卖房子,所以没有收入,虽然存量的房子很多,但是这些房子是2021年高价买的,现在卖的话就是是亏本卖,所以也不能卖,谁也知道降息以后房价就会上涨,第二个就是OPEN是标准的人工智能大模型企业,就是利用人工智能来判断房子值多少钱,还要用人工智能来判断房价未来的涨跌,相当于是一个炒房软件,未来人工智能发展的方向就是从芯片向软件转变。 拼多多昨天大跌了,收入增长86%,利润增长了144%,虽然环比增长速度是下降了,但是电商不是周期性行业,所以这样大跌就是没有道理的,一般来说收入增长60%以上的股票财报出来就会上涨的,没有大跌的,拼多多难道是因为中概的原因,不然我真的找不到其他原因,虽然说没在达到预期,三季度指引也不好,但是其他公司碰到这样的情况并没有下跌,比如CELH一季度收入增长只有36%,二季度指引也不好,但是一季度财报出来还大涨了一下,离历史新高就差一点点,然后再大跌的,而拼多多收入增长还在86%呢,怎么就会这样大跌,完全没有道理,如果真的是中概原因,那么以","text":"昨天纳斯达克大跌,但是open大涨了,upst也涨了,就是说大盘涨跌完全不影响open upst的上涨,原因是这两年大盘大涨的时候,这两个票并没有涨,那么纳斯达克下跌,这两个票自然也不会跌,就是涨跌跟纳斯达克没有多大关系,因为这两个票是降息最受益的公司,前两年虽然大盘一直大涨,但是并没有降息,open upst是每次降息才会大涨,加息就会大涨,很多人老说经济衰退会让大盘下跌,这个说法有一定的道理,但是open upst并没有受影响,所以这两个票涨跌就是看降息,而不是看大盘。 OPEN是卖二手房的,存量的房产有6000多套,所以降息以后这些资产就会升值,还有二季度的时候因为房价低迷,加上下半年要降息,所以房主都不愿意现在卖房子,而是想等价格涨起来以后卖,所以影响了公司的收入增长,有人愿意买房,因为现在房价不高,但是没有人愿意卖房子,所以没有收入,虽然存量的房子很多,但是这些房子是2021年高价买的,现在卖的话就是是亏本卖,所以也不能卖,谁也知道降息以后房价就会上涨,第二个就是OPEN是标准的人工智能大模型企业,就是利用人工智能来判断房子值多少钱,还要用人工智能来判断房价未来的涨跌,相当于是一个炒房软件,未来人工智能发展的方向就是从芯片向软件转变。 拼多多昨天大跌了,收入增长86%,利润增长了144%,虽然环比增长速度是下降了,但是电商不是周期性行业,所以这样大跌就是没有道理的,一般来说收入增长60%以上的股票财报出来就会上涨的,没有大跌的,拼多多难道是因为中概的原因,不然我真的找不到其他原因,虽然说没在达到预期,三季度指引也不好,但是其他公司碰到这样的情况并没有下跌,比如CELH一季度收入增长只有36%,二季度指引也不好,但是一季度财报出来还大涨了一下,离历史新高就差一点点,然后再大跌的,而拼多多收入增长还在86%呢,怎么就会这样大跌,完全没有道理,如果真的是中概原因,那么以","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343030928793888","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":334980485611792,"gmtCreate":1722815336708,"gmtModify":1722815338345,"author":{"id":"3573355904555920","authorId":"3573355904555920","name":"刚哥眼里有光","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a9098b763e98a1cc0d52cd00dbf9a9a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573355904555920","authorIdStr":"3573355904555920"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"感谢分享","listText":"感谢分享","text":"感谢分享","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/334980485611792","repostId":"334662820077792","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":334662820077792,"gmtCreate":1722737734923,"gmtModify":1722745096407,"author":{"id":"3551233200528073","authorId":"3551233200528073","name":"投阅笔记","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/880e7458e2b86083ea5fcaee8dd335ea","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3551233200528073","authorIdStr":"3551233200528073"},"themes":[],"title":"如果纳斯达克指数见顶,怎么投资?","htmlText":"纳斯达克指数连续三周下跌,期间跌幅为8.82%,之前有连续三周下跌的情况,如下图所示,是在2024年4月初,不过之后反转开启了上涨趋势,所以我认为下周就很关键了,如果下周还是收跌,说明了纳斯达克指数上涨趋势已经结束,那么如何应对呢? 纳斯达克指数2023年涨幅为43.66%,今年截止7月10日涨幅为24.22%,所以可以看到纳斯达克指数最近涨幅巨大,这期间的背景就是openAI发布了chatgpt引起了人工智能投资热潮。人工智能投资顺序是:硬件-基础设施-软件,详细内容可以看下这篇文章: 我感觉这一波人工智能热潮可以于1999年互联网热潮比肩,所以我们可以看下2000年3月互联网泡沫破灭做个参考。 我最近看了一本书《金融怪杰》里面的内容写了关于2000年3月互联网泡沫破灭的一位投资专家的思考。 ———————————————————— 《金融怪杰》最后部分《22年后的观点》 原文内容如下: 例如,当纳斯达克指数在2000年3月见顶并向下突破后,这位金融怪杰完全确信市场泡沫已经破裂。然而他并未考虑在纳斯达克市场上建立空头头寸,即便他认为市场已构筑重要的顶部,市场泡沫在这个顶部也开始破裂。 他不做空的原因是,他准确认识到,在当时市场上做空是不可靠的,是充满危险的,而事实确实如他所料。虽然纳斯达克市场最终继续大幅下跌,但在2000年的夏天,纳斯达克指数的反弹幅度接近40%。 这一反弹幅度足以让市场上的做空者止损平仓,认输离场。 这位交易者又做出如下推断:纳斯达克指数见顶,市场泡沫破裂意味着大多数资产的价格相较过去泡沫膨胀时期的价格水平会出现缩水,从而引发经济的下行,经济下行会促发降息,利率下降则债券价格上涨。 因此,同样是看空纳斯达克市场的观点,做多债券要比直接在纳斯达克市场做空更为合适、更为安全。 其后债券市场果然相当平稳、顺畅地上涨,很适合做多。而与此相对的是,纳斯达克市场的","listText":"纳斯达克指数连续三周下跌,期间跌幅为8.82%,之前有连续三周下跌的情况,如下图所示,是在2024年4月初,不过之后反转开启了上涨趋势,所以我认为下周就很关键了,如果下周还是收跌,说明了纳斯达克指数上涨趋势已经结束,那么如何应对呢? 纳斯达克指数2023年涨幅为43.66%,今年截止7月10日涨幅为24.22%,所以可以看到纳斯达克指数最近涨幅巨大,这期间的背景就是openAI发布了chatgpt引起了人工智能投资热潮。人工智能投资顺序是:硬件-基础设施-软件,详细内容可以看下这篇文章: 我感觉这一波人工智能热潮可以于1999年互联网热潮比肩,所以我们可以看下2000年3月互联网泡沫破灭做个参考。 我最近看了一本书《金融怪杰》里面的内容写了关于2000年3月互联网泡沫破灭的一位投资专家的思考。 ———————————————————— 《金融怪杰》最后部分《22年后的观点》 原文内容如下: 例如,当纳斯达克指数在2000年3月见顶并向下突破后,这位金融怪杰完全确信市场泡沫已经破裂。然而他并未考虑在纳斯达克市场上建立空头头寸,即便他认为市场已构筑重要的顶部,市场泡沫在这个顶部也开始破裂。 他不做空的原因是,他准确认识到,在当时市场上做空是不可靠的,是充满危险的,而事实确实如他所料。虽然纳斯达克市场最终继续大幅下跌,但在2000年的夏天,纳斯达克指数的反弹幅度接近40%。 这一反弹幅度足以让市场上的做空者止损平仓,认输离场。 这位交易者又做出如下推断:纳斯达克指数见顶,市场泡沫破裂意味着大多数资产的价格相较过去泡沫膨胀时期的价格水平会出现缩水,从而引发经济的下行,经济下行会促发降息,利率下降则债券价格上涨。 因此,同样是看空纳斯达克市场的观点,做多债券要比直接在纳斯达克市场做空更为合适、更为安全。 其后债券市场果然相当平稳、顺畅地上涨,很适合做多。而与此相对的是,纳斯达克市场的","text":"纳斯达克指数连续三周下跌,期间跌幅为8.82%,之前有连续三周下跌的情况,如下图所示,是在2024年4月初,不过之后反转开启了上涨趋势,所以我认为下周就很关键了,如果下周还是收跌,说明了纳斯达克指数上涨趋势已经结束,那么如何应对呢? 纳斯达克指数2023年涨幅为43.66%,今年截止7月10日涨幅为24.22%,所以可以看到纳斯达克指数最近涨幅巨大,这期间的背景就是openAI发布了chatgpt引起了人工智能投资热潮。人工智能投资顺序是:硬件-基础设施-软件,详细内容可以看下这篇文章: 我感觉这一波人工智能热潮可以于1999年互联网热潮比肩,所以我们可以看下2000年3月互联网泡沫破灭做个参考。 我最近看了一本书《金融怪杰》里面的内容写了关于2000年3月互联网泡沫破灭的一位投资专家的思考。 ———————————————————— 《金融怪杰》最后部分《22年后的观点》 原文内容如下: 例如,当纳斯达克指数在2000年3月见顶并向下突破后,这位金融怪杰完全确信市场泡沫已经破裂。然而他并未考虑在纳斯达克市场上建立空头头寸,即便他认为市场已构筑重要的顶部,市场泡沫在这个顶部也开始破裂。 他不做空的原因是,他准确认识到,在当时市场上做空是不可靠的,是充满危险的,而事实确实如他所料。虽然纳斯达克市场最终继续大幅下跌,但在2000年的夏天,纳斯达克指数的反弹幅度接近40%。 这一反弹幅度足以让市场上的做空者止损平仓,认输离场。 这位交易者又做出如下推断:纳斯达克指数见顶,市场泡沫破裂意味着大多数资产的价格相较过去泡沫膨胀时期的价格水平会出现缩水,从而引发经济的下行,经济下行会促发降息,利率下降则债券价格上涨。 因此,同样是看空纳斯达克市场的观点,做多债券要比直接在纳斯达克市场做空更为合适、更为安全。 其后债券市场果然相当平稳、顺畅地上涨,很适合做多。而与此相对的是,纳斯达克市场的","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03853d0ba067aeaa5937acaadea76093","width":"1280","height":"720"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/334662820077792","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":319,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":378325937,"gmtCreate":1619003894429,"gmtModify":1619003894429,"author":{"id":"3573355904555920","authorId":"3573355904555920","name":"刚哥眼里有光","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a9098b763e98a1cc0d52cd00dbf9a9a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573355904555920","authorIdStr":"3573355904555920"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🤠","listText":"🤠","text":"🤠","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/378325937","repostId":"371071278","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1519,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":310845609,"gmtCreate":1611313063601,"gmtModify":1703749625013,"author":{"id":"3573355904555920","authorId":"3573355904555920","name":"刚哥眼里有光","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a9098b763e98a1cc0d52cd00dbf9a9a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573355904555920","authorIdStr":"3573355904555920"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"对于信用有污点的公司还能够再投资吗?","listText":"对于信用有污点的公司还能够再投资吗?","text":"对于信用有污点的公司还能够再投资吗?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/310845609","repostId":"2104147461","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":310078276,"gmtCreate":1611236298995,"gmtModify":1703749072583,"author":{"id":"3573355904555920","authorId":"3573355904555920","name":"刚哥眼里有光","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a9098b763e98a1cc0d52cd00dbf9a9a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573355904555920","authorIdStr":"3573355904555920"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"牛牛的朋友一起出去","listText":"牛牛的朋友一起出去","text":"牛牛的朋友一起出去","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/310078276","repostId":"1152343939","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1152343939","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1611214661,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152343939?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-01-21 15:37","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"大和:蔚来商业模式具创新,予目标价100美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152343939","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"1月21日讯,大和发表报告,看好蔚来汽车,重申买入评级,目标价上望100美元。\n\n\n该行相信蔚来未来能够凭藉其领先的NAD技术、搭建用户社区、创新的商业理念及模式(BaaS、ADaaS),进一步打入豪华汽车领域;且对蔚来未来销售及毛利看法乐观。大和认为BaaS模式降低购买门槛,得到用户青睐,且管理层对其未来的自动驾驶服务(ADaaS)实收率保持乐观,相信蔚来将与2022年首季会推出该项服务。大和强调蔚来以构建用户社区为导向,这有别于其他传统的整车厂,有助于提高用户的忠诚度,进一步树立品牌口碑,达到刺激新车销售的作用。","content":"<p>1月21日讯,大和发表报告,看好蔚来汽车,重申买入评级,目标价上望100美元。</p>\n<p>该行相信蔚来未来能够凭藉其领先的NAD技术、搭建用户社区、创新的商业理念及模式(BaaS、ADaaS),进一步打入豪华汽车领域;且对蔚来未来销售及毛利看法乐观。大和认为BaaS模式降低购买门槛,得到用户青睐,且管理层对其未来的自动驾驶服务(ADaaS)实收率保持乐观,相信蔚来将与2022年首季会推出该项服务。大和强调蔚来以构建用户社区为导向,这有别于其他传统的整车厂,有助于提高用户的忠诚度,进一步树立品牌口碑,达到刺激新车销售的作用。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfe674f2cbd5642d7e2f86c0702cfb03\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n大和:蔚来商业模式具创新,予目标价100美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-01-21 15:37</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>1月21日讯,大和发表报告,看好蔚来汽车,重申买入评级,目标价上望100美元。</p>\n<p>该行相信蔚来未来能够凭藉其领先的NAD技术、搭建用户社区、创新的商业理念及模式(BaaS、ADaaS),进一步打入豪华汽车领域;且对蔚来未来销售及毛利看法乐观。大和认为BaaS模式降低购买门槛,得到用户青睐,且管理层对其未来的自动驾驶服务(ADaaS)实收率保持乐观,相信蔚来将与2022年首季会推出该项服务。大和强调蔚来以构建用户社区为导向,这有别于其他传统的整车厂,有助于提高用户的忠诚度,进一步树立品牌口碑,达到刺激新车销售的作用。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfe674f2cbd5642d7e2f86c0702cfb03\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3380231cb191ca9bea37a0c70765537d","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152343939","content_text":"1月21日讯,大和发表报告,看好蔚来汽车,重申买入评级,目标价上望100美元。\n该行相信蔚来未来能够凭藉其领先的NAD技术、搭建用户社区、创新的商业理念及模式(BaaS、ADaaS),进一步打入豪华汽车领域;且对蔚来未来销售及毛利看法乐观。大和认为BaaS模式降低购买门槛,得到用户青睐,且管理层对其未来的自动驾驶服务(ADaaS)实收率保持乐观,相信蔚来将与2022年首季会推出该项服务。大和强调蔚来以构建用户社区为导向,这有别于其他传统的整车厂,有助于提高用户的忠诚度,进一步树立品牌口碑,达到刺激新车销售的作用。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1403,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":337376753,"gmtCreate":1611071505072,"gmtModify":1703747878744,"author":{"id":"3573355904555920","authorId":"3573355904555920","name":"刚哥眼里有光","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a9098b763e98a1cc0d52cd00dbf9a9a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573355904555920","authorIdStr":"3573355904555920"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"腾讯,背靠大树好乘凉","listText":"腾讯,背靠大树好乘凉","text":"腾讯,背靠大树好乘凉","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea280ab11d0925241e36a6360ca43bba","width":"1080","height":"1980"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/337376753","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1483,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":337344284,"gmtCreate":1611070731848,"gmtModify":1703747868616,"author":{"id":"3573355904555920","authorId":"3573355904555920","name":"刚哥眼里有光","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a9098b763e98a1cc0d52cd00dbf9a9a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573355904555920","authorIdStr":"3573355904555920"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这几天认真的研究一下港股和美股发现港股。但几个头部公司都是长期慢牛的走势,没有太大的波动。","listText":"这几天认真的研究一下港股和美股发现港股。但几个头部公司都是长期慢牛的走势,没有太大的波动。","text":"这几天认真的研究一下港股和美股发现港股。但几个头部公司都是长期慢牛的走势,没有太大的波动。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/337344284","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1407,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":334366131,"gmtCreate":1610706638223,"gmtModify":1703746415932,"author":{"id":"3573355904555920","authorId":"3573355904555920","name":"刚哥眼里有光","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a9098b763e98a1cc0d52cd00dbf9a9a","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573355904555920","authorIdStr":"3573355904555920"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a>老虎证券真的要送股呢","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a>老虎证券真的要送股呢","text":"$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$老虎证券真的要送股呢","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74e94023231f96e816d0b1809affe61","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/334366131","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3124,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}