FlRE的个人主页 - 老虎社区

FlRE

FlRE

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

9关注

5粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-12-29

HODL! LONG TERM GOALS! $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$

2021-12-26

Buy

2 Top Tech Stocks to Buy During a Recession

2021-12-16

Like like like

Cathie Wood Sells Another $88M In Tesla Day After Piling Up Stake In Chinese EV Rival

2021-12-10

Droo more please so that we can buy more!

U.S. stock indexes pull back modestly at Thursday's open, poised to snap 3-day string of gains

2021-12-09

Drop more as santa gifts for us

Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday

2021-12-08

Like like like drop more so that we can buy more!

EV stocks dropped in morning trading

2021-12-06

Like like like buy buy buy

Insider buying says a Santa Claus rally is on the way -- here are 10 stocks they favor

2021-11-29

Lol anyhow put 200k meh

Want To Become a Millionaire? Put $200,000 Into These 2 Stocks and Hold Until 2030

2021-11-28

Like like like

Got $5,000? These 2 Stocks Could Be Bargain Buys in 2022

2021-11-25

Hodl

Will Palantir Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2040?

2021-11-25

Like like like

3 Unstoppable Stocks You Can Buy Right Now for Less Than $100

2021-11-16

Win liao lo

Musk exercised 2.1 million Tesla options on November 15 at a price of $6.24, according to the SEC files.

2021-11-15

Come on drop back to where it suppose to be so that we can buy millions shares

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-15

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$drop like a G6

2021-11-13

Yes, nowadays stocks are driven blindly by followers without seeing the fundamental behind it, this 1 trillion market does not justify right now in the market, probably yes in the future, but definitely not now, so drop back to where it is so that we can have our million shares 😆

Tesla: $1 Trillion Of Speculation

2021-11-13

Sweet

Palantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity

2021-11-13

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

Palantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity

2021-11-13

Wa millions share

Musk sold 1.2 million Tesla shares on November 12

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3572953408050779","uuid":"3572953408050779","gmtCreate":1609930761501,"gmtModify":1636771499224,"name":"FlRE","pinyin":"flre","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":5,"headSize":9,"tweetSize":18,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-2","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"资深虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0063fb68ea29c9ae6858c58630e182d5","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c699a93be4214d4b49aea6a5a5d1a4","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b0e542a9ff77046ed69ef602bc105d","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.10.05","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001}],"userBadgeCount":1,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":692035048,"gmtCreate":1640789925026,"gmtModify":1640789925188,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"HODL!&nbsp;LONG TERM GOALS!&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>","listText":"HODL!&nbsp;LONG TERM GOALS!&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>","text":"HODL! LONG TERM GOALS! $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692035048","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1072,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698483869,"gmtCreate":1640492303230,"gmtModify":1640492303412,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698483869","repostId":"2193781141","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2193781141","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1640485676,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2193781141?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-26 10:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Top Tech Stocks to Buy During a Recession","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2193781141","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Market crashes are inevitable, but they're the perfect time to buy great businesses at a discount.","content":"<p>We're days away from the end of 2021, and the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> has put on a master class in outperforming expectations. Even with its pullback in recent days, the broad market index has gained nearly 30% this year, more than double its long-term historical average.</p>\n<p>Yet that just means we're another day closer to the inevitable market correction. Just as night follows day, a stock market crash is inevitable because market declines are a natural part of the normal business and investment cycle. No <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> can forecast exactly when it will strike, but smart investors realize it's best to prepare for the eventuality.</p>\n<p>For as long as people have been investing, stretching even as far back to the Dutch tulip mania in the 1600s, busts have followed booms. And what a boom we've enjoyed! Since the bottom of the Great Recession, the S&amp;P 500 has quadrupled in value.</p>\n<p>2020's pandemic-driven 34% drop in the stock indexes within the span of just a few weeks was the worst on record. But savvy investors don't have to worry. These events are not a problem when you're invested in the right companies. Being prepared for the worst and hoping for the best means when the next stock market crash or correction occurs, you'll want to have your money invested in stocks that will help lead the way forward. Here are two tech stocks you'll want to buy.</p>\n<h2>1. Apple</h2>\n<p>The burden that inflation is imposing on consumers also poses a threat to some of the biggest, best-run businesses, like <b>Apple</b> (NASDAQ:AAPL), which is currently benefiting from the smartphone upgrade cycle and the rollout of 5G network infrastructure. Any attempt by the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates to contain runaway inflation could cause an economic slowdown by making money more expensive to borrow. Stock valuations would also turn lower.</p>\n<p>That's not necessarily bad news for investors who might find Apple's $2.8 trillion valuation a bit rich to buy into at the moment. The stock trades at 30 times trailing earnings, or about double its typical multiple. A correction would bring Apple back into the realm of the attainable, even as its business continues jogging forward.</p>\n<p>Sales of the iPhone 13 are outpacing those of the iPhone 12 at the same time, but Apple reportedly warned suppliers that demand is waning as the calendar year progresses. It's not necessarily for a lack of consumer desire, but rather the global supply chain constraints that have made it difficult to find the product. Apple previously cut its iPhone production target by 10 million units from its original goal of 90 million.</p>\n<p>Analysts think many consumers may choose to forgo the iPhone 13 and wait for the next upgrade. Coupled with a market crash, that could put Apple stock at a very attractive entry point with pent-up demand for the next iteration of the iPhone.</p>\n<h2>2. Amazon</h2>\n<p>Few companies are as essential to the working of the U.S. economy as <b>Amazon</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:AMZN). It will account for 41.4% of all online spending in the U.S. this year, according to eMarketer estimates. At the same time, Amazon Web Services (AWS), its cloud infrastructure business, is on track to generate over $60 billion in annual revenue in 2021 based on its year-to-date performance. The company is responsible for thousands of web-based businesses and the federal government's ability to remain online, making Amazon crucial to a well-functioning economy.</p>\n<p>That won't change if the stock market collapses. Its share of U.S. retail e-commerce sales will be more than 50% larger than the shares of the next nine e-commerce companies combined. Amazon's piece of the online market is nearly six times more than <b>Walmart</b>'s second-place share at just 7.2%, and 10 times greater than third-place <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a></b>. E-commerce data tracker Edge by Ascential expects Amazon will see $26.7 billion just in online grocery sales five from now years, or nearly double its current amount.</p>\n<p>Amid rising prices and supply chain woes, Amazon has become a lifeline for many, and that will continue long after any financial restructuring. The stock gained 76% during the first year of the pandemic and took a breather during the reopening of the economy. Amazon shares have been relatively flat all year long. A correction would allow investors to buy a tech stock at a more reasonable valuation even as its crucial role only gets reinforced.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Top Tech Stocks to Buy During a Recession</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Top Tech Stocks to Buy During a Recession\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-26 10:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/24/2-top-tech-stocks-to-buy-during-a-recession/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>We're days away from the end of 2021, and the S&P 500 has put on a master class in outperforming expectations. Even with its pullback in recent days, the broad market index has gained nearly 30% ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/24/2-top-tech-stocks-to-buy-during-a-recession/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4538":"云计算","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","AMZN":"亚马逊","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","AAPL":"苹果","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/24/2-top-tech-stocks-to-buy-during-a-recession/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2193781141","content_text":"We're days away from the end of 2021, and the S&P 500 has put on a master class in outperforming expectations. Even with its pullback in recent days, the broad market index has gained nearly 30% this year, more than double its long-term historical average.\nYet that just means we're another day closer to the inevitable market correction. Just as night follows day, a stock market crash is inevitable because market declines are a natural part of the normal business and investment cycle. No one can forecast exactly when it will strike, but smart investors realize it's best to prepare for the eventuality.\nFor as long as people have been investing, stretching even as far back to the Dutch tulip mania in the 1600s, busts have followed booms. And what a boom we've enjoyed! Since the bottom of the Great Recession, the S&P 500 has quadrupled in value.\n2020's pandemic-driven 34% drop in the stock indexes within the span of just a few weeks was the worst on record. But savvy investors don't have to worry. These events are not a problem when you're invested in the right companies. Being prepared for the worst and hoping for the best means when the next stock market crash or correction occurs, you'll want to have your money invested in stocks that will help lead the way forward. Here are two tech stocks you'll want to buy.\n1. Apple\nThe burden that inflation is imposing on consumers also poses a threat to some of the biggest, best-run businesses, like Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), which is currently benefiting from the smartphone upgrade cycle and the rollout of 5G network infrastructure. Any attempt by the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates to contain runaway inflation could cause an economic slowdown by making money more expensive to borrow. Stock valuations would also turn lower.\nThat's not necessarily bad news for investors who might find Apple's $2.8 trillion valuation a bit rich to buy into at the moment. The stock trades at 30 times trailing earnings, or about double its typical multiple. A correction would bring Apple back into the realm of the attainable, even as its business continues jogging forward.\nSales of the iPhone 13 are outpacing those of the iPhone 12 at the same time, but Apple reportedly warned suppliers that demand is waning as the calendar year progresses. It's not necessarily for a lack of consumer desire, but rather the global supply chain constraints that have made it difficult to find the product. Apple previously cut its iPhone production target by 10 million units from its original goal of 90 million.\nAnalysts think many consumers may choose to forgo the iPhone 13 and wait for the next upgrade. Coupled with a market crash, that could put Apple stock at a very attractive entry point with pent-up demand for the next iteration of the iPhone.\n2. Amazon\nFew companies are as essential to the working of the U.S. economy as Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN). It will account for 41.4% of all online spending in the U.S. this year, according to eMarketer estimates. At the same time, Amazon Web Services (AWS), its cloud infrastructure business, is on track to generate over $60 billion in annual revenue in 2021 based on its year-to-date performance. The company is responsible for thousands of web-based businesses and the federal government's ability to remain online, making Amazon crucial to a well-functioning economy.\nThat won't change if the stock market collapses. Its share of U.S. retail e-commerce sales will be more than 50% larger than the shares of the next nine e-commerce companies combined. Amazon's piece of the online market is nearly six times more than Walmart's second-place share at just 7.2%, and 10 times greater than third-place eBay. E-commerce data tracker Edge by Ascential expects Amazon will see $26.7 billion just in online grocery sales five from now years, or nearly double its current amount.\nAmid rising prices and supply chain woes, Amazon has become a lifeline for many, and that will continue long after any financial restructuring. The stock gained 76% during the first year of the pandemic and took a breather during the reopening of the economy. Amazon shares have been relatively flat all year long. A correction would allow investors to buy a tech stock at a more reasonable valuation even as its crucial role only gets reinforced.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":953,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690826071,"gmtCreate":1639656715433,"gmtModify":1639656724983,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like like like","listText":"Like like like","text":"Like like like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690826071","repostId":"1191022113","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191022113","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1639626011,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191022113?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 11:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood Sells Another $88M In Tesla Day After Piling Up Stake In Chinese EV Rival","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191022113","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest on Wednesday sold 90,455 shares — estimated to be worth $88.3 million — i","content":"<p><b>Cathie Wood</b>-led&nbsp;<b>Ark Invest</b>&nbsp;on Wednesday sold 90,455 shares — estimated to be worth $88.3 million — in&nbsp;<b>Tesla Inc</b>, booking profit in the stock as it rose after days of losses.</p>\n<p>The stock pared earlier losses to close&nbsp;1.82% higher at $975.99 a share on Wednesday. The Elon Musk-led company’s shares are up about 34% so far this year and down about 7.5% over the past month.</p>\n<p>Ark Invest sold the shares via the&nbsp;<b>Ark Innovation ETF</b>(BATS:ARKK), the&nbsp;<b>Ark Autonomous Technology &amp; Robotics ETF</b>(BATS:ARKQ) and the&nbsp;<b>Ark Next Generation Internet ETF</b>(BATS:ARKW)&nbsp;on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Tesla’s weight in ARKK and ARKW had already slipped below the 10% threshold at 8.14% and 9.35%, respectively, ahead of Wednesday’s trade. In ARKQ, it constituted 10.59% of the portfolio.</p>\n<p>The three ETFs held 1.99 million shares — worth $1.91 billion — in Tesla, ahead of Wednesday’s trade.</p>\n<p>Ark Invest has been booking profit in Tesla since September — selling over $3 billion worth of shares — after years of piling up shares in the electric vehicle company at far lower levels.</p>\n<p>Tesla continues to be the firm's biggest bet across ETFs — a stock it predicts would hit the&nbsp;$3,000 mark by the end of 2025.</p>\n<p>Wood favors the automotive industry’s switch to electric vehicles and earlier thismonth started buying sharesin the U.S. listed Chinese electric automaker&nbsp;<b>Xpeng Inc</b>.</p>\n<p>Here are the other key trades on Wednesday:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Bought 104,489 shares — estimated to be worth $21.3 million — in&nbsp;<b>Roku Inc</b>&nbsp;on the dip. The stock closed 7.95% lower at $203.94 a share on Wednesday.</li>\n <li>Bought 705,660 shares — estimated to be worth $13.7 million — in&nbsp;<b>Robinhood Markets Inc</b>. The stock closed 1.93% higher at $19.50 a share.</li>\n</ul>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood Sells Another $88M In Tesla Day After Piling Up Stake In Chinese EV Rival</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood Sells Another $88M In Tesla Day After Piling Up Stake In Chinese EV Rival\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-16 11:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Cathie Wood</b>-led&nbsp;<b>Ark Invest</b>&nbsp;on Wednesday sold 90,455 shares — estimated to be worth $88.3 million — in&nbsp;<b>Tesla Inc</b>, booking profit in the stock as it rose after days of losses.</p>\n<p>The stock pared earlier losses to close&nbsp;1.82% higher at $975.99 a share on Wednesday. The Elon Musk-led company’s shares are up about 34% so far this year and down about 7.5% over the past month.</p>\n<p>Ark Invest sold the shares via the&nbsp;<b>Ark Innovation ETF</b>(BATS:ARKK), the&nbsp;<b>Ark Autonomous Technology &amp; Robotics ETF</b>(BATS:ARKQ) and the&nbsp;<b>Ark Next Generation Internet ETF</b>(BATS:ARKW)&nbsp;on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Tesla’s weight in ARKK and ARKW had already slipped below the 10% threshold at 8.14% and 9.35%, respectively, ahead of Wednesday’s trade. In ARKQ, it constituted 10.59% of the portfolio.</p>\n<p>The three ETFs held 1.99 million shares — worth $1.91 billion — in Tesla, ahead of Wednesday’s trade.</p>\n<p>Ark Invest has been booking profit in Tesla since September — selling over $3 billion worth of shares — after years of piling up shares in the electric vehicle company at far lower levels.</p>\n<p>Tesla continues to be the firm's biggest bet across ETFs — a stock it predicts would hit the&nbsp;$3,000 mark by the end of 2025.</p>\n<p>Wood favors the automotive industry’s switch to electric vehicles and earlier thismonth started buying sharesin the U.S. listed Chinese electric automaker&nbsp;<b>Xpeng Inc</b>.</p>\n<p>Here are the other key trades on Wednesday:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Bought 104,489 shares — estimated to be worth $21.3 million — in&nbsp;<b>Roku Inc</b>&nbsp;on the dip. The stock closed 7.95% lower at $203.94 a share on Wednesday.</li>\n <li>Bought 705,660 shares — estimated to be worth $13.7 million — in&nbsp;<b>Robinhood Markets Inc</b>. The stock closed 1.93% higher at $19.50 a share.</li>\n</ul>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ROKU":"Roku Inc","ARKQ":"ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF","TSLA":"特斯拉","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","HOOD":"Robinhood","ARKW":"ARK Next Generation Internation ETF","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191022113","content_text":"Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest on Wednesday sold 90,455 shares — estimated to be worth $88.3 million — in Tesla Inc, booking profit in the stock as it rose after days of losses.\nThe stock pared earlier losses to close 1.82% higher at $975.99 a share on Wednesday. The Elon Musk-led company’s shares are up about 34% so far this year and down about 7.5% over the past month.\nArk Invest sold the shares via the Ark Innovation ETF(BATS:ARKK), the Ark Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF(BATS:ARKQ) and the Ark Next Generation Internet ETF(BATS:ARKW) on Wednesday.\nTesla’s weight in ARKK and ARKW had already slipped below the 10% threshold at 8.14% and 9.35%, respectively, ahead of Wednesday’s trade. In ARKQ, it constituted 10.59% of the portfolio.\nThe three ETFs held 1.99 million shares — worth $1.91 billion — in Tesla, ahead of Wednesday’s trade.\nArk Invest has been booking profit in Tesla since September — selling over $3 billion worth of shares — after years of piling up shares in the electric vehicle company at far lower levels.\nTesla continues to be the firm's biggest bet across ETFs — a stock it predicts would hit the $3,000 mark by the end of 2025.\nWood favors the automotive industry’s switch to electric vehicles and earlier thismonth started buying sharesin the U.S. listed Chinese electric automaker Xpeng Inc.\nHere are the other key trades on Wednesday:\n\nBought 104,489 shares — estimated to be worth $21.3 million — in Roku Inc on the dip. The stock closed 7.95% lower at $203.94 a share on Wednesday.\nBought 705,660 shares — estimated to be worth $13.7 million — in Robinhood Markets Inc. The stock closed 1.93% higher at $19.50 a share.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":935,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602711577,"gmtCreate":1639065823814,"gmtModify":1639066025145,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Droo more please so that we can buy more!","listText":"Droo more please so that we can buy more!","text":"Droo more please so that we can buy more!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602711577","repostId":"1106538194","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1106538194","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639060286,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106538194?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-09 22:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stock indexes pull back modestly at Thursday's open, poised to snap 3-day string of gains","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106538194","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks dipped on Thursday, after the major averages posted a third straight day of gains as tra","content":"<p>U.S. stocks dipped on Thursday, after the major averages posted a&nbsp;third straight day of gains&nbsp;as traders bet that the omicron variant’s economic impacts won’t be as severe as initially thought.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 148 points, or 0.4%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite each fell 0.3%.</p>\n<p>Several travel-related stocks, which led the market higher throughout the week, were lower Thursday morning. Shares of Carnival fell 2%. Casino stocks Wynn Resorts and Las Vegas Sands fell 1%. United and Delta Air Lines were 1% lower too.</p>\n<p>Separately, shares of Rent The Runway tumbled by 12% after reporting swelling losses and lower than pre-pandemic subscriber growth for its most recent quarter. Electric vehicle maker Lucid saw shares fall 4% after announcing a $1.75 billion offering of convertible senior notes.</p>\n<p>Still, there were some positive morning moves as well. CVS gained 2% after it&nbsp;issued upbeat guidance&nbsp;ahead of its Investor Day. Home retailer RH soared about 10% after it reported blowout earnings and lifted the low end of its revenue outlook.</p>\n<p>There are some notable earnings reports on Thursday, including from Oracle, Broadcom and Lululemon, all of which report after the market closes.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stock indexes pull back modestly at Thursday's open, poised to snap 3-day string of gains</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stock indexes pull back modestly at Thursday's open, poised to snap 3-day string of gains\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-09 22:31</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stocks dipped on Thursday, after the major averages posted a&nbsp;third straight day of gains&nbsp;as traders bet that the omicron variant’s economic impacts won’t be as severe as initially thought.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 148 points, or 0.4%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite each fell 0.3%.</p>\n<p>Several travel-related stocks, which led the market higher throughout the week, were lower Thursday morning. Shares of Carnival fell 2%. Casino stocks Wynn Resorts and Las Vegas Sands fell 1%. United and Delta Air Lines were 1% lower too.</p>\n<p>Separately, shares of Rent The Runway tumbled by 12% after reporting swelling losses and lower than pre-pandemic subscriber growth for its most recent quarter. Electric vehicle maker Lucid saw shares fall 4% after announcing a $1.75 billion offering of convertible senior notes.</p>\n<p>Still, there were some positive morning moves as well. CVS gained 2% after it&nbsp;issued upbeat guidance&nbsp;ahead of its Investor Day. Home retailer RH soared about 10% after it reported blowout earnings and lifted the low end of its revenue outlook.</p>\n<p>There are some notable earnings reports on Thursday, including from Oracle, Broadcom and Lululemon, all of which report after the market closes.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106538194","content_text":"U.S. stocks dipped on Thursday, after the major averages posted a third straight day of gains as traders bet that the omicron variant’s economic impacts won’t be as severe as initially thought.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 148 points, or 0.4%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite each fell 0.3%.\nSeveral travel-related stocks, which led the market higher throughout the week, were lower Thursday morning. Shares of Carnival fell 2%. Casino stocks Wynn Resorts and Las Vegas Sands fell 1%. United and Delta Air Lines were 1% lower too.\nSeparately, shares of Rent The Runway tumbled by 12% after reporting swelling losses and lower than pre-pandemic subscriber growth for its most recent quarter. Electric vehicle maker Lucid saw shares fall 4% after announcing a $1.75 billion offering of convertible senior notes.\nStill, there were some positive morning moves as well. CVS gained 2% after it issued upbeat guidance ahead of its Investor Day. Home retailer RH soared about 10% after it reported blowout earnings and lifted the low end of its revenue outlook.\nThere are some notable earnings reports on Thursday, including from Oracle, Broadcom and Lululemon, all of which report after the market closes.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":983,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602437848,"gmtCreate":1639055515496,"gmtModify":1639055515593,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Drop more as santa gifts for us","listText":"Drop more as santa gifts for us","text":"Drop more as santa gifts for us","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602437848","repostId":"1163175495","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163175495","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639056901,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163175495?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-09 21:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163175495","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock-index futures hold solid losses after initial jobless claims come in at 184,000.\nAt 8:34 ","content":"<p>U.S.&nbsp;stock-index futures hold solid losses after initial jobless claims come in at 184,000.</p>\n<p>At 8:34 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 168 points, or 0.47%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 21 points, or 0.45%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 80.5 points, or 0.49%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e48b5d3abdc91abde117585acac09b40\" tg-width=\"401\" tg-height=\"184\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Weekly jobless claims reached tumbled last week, reaching a fresh 52-year low as the U.S. jobs market climbs out of its pandemic-era hole, the Labor Department reported Thursday.</p>\n<p>Initial filings for unemployment insurance totaled 184,000 for the week ended Dec. 4, the lowest going back to Sept. 6, 1969, which saw 182,000.</p>\n<p>Initial claims for unemployment insurance were expected to total 211,000 for the week ended Dec. 4, according to a Dow Jones economist survey.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, a deal to avert U.S. debt default and raise the federal government's $28.9 trillion debt limit will be tested on Thursday in the Senate when the full chamber votes on whether to approve the measure.</p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: </b></p>\n<p><b>GameStop(GME)</b> – GameStop shares slid 5.6% in premarket trading after the videogame retailer posted a wider loss compared with a year earlier and also disclosed an August subpoena from the SEC involving the trading of its shares.</p>\n<p><b>Lucid Group(LCID)</b> – Lucid shares tumbled 6.5% in the premarket after the electric vehicle maker announced a $1.75 billion offering of convertible senior notes.</p>\n<p><b>FuboTV(FUBO) </b>– The video streaming company was rated “overweight” in new coverage at J.P. Morgan Securities, based on Fubo’s sports-centered offerings as a differentiating factor. The stock jumped 2.8% in premarket action.</p>\n<p><b>CVS Health(CVS)</b> – The drug store operator issued new guidance ahead of its investor day, saying it expects a 2022 adjusted profit of $8.10 to $8.30 per share compared with an $8.24 consensus estimate and better-than-expected revenue. CVS also raised its 2021 outlook, and the shares rallied 2.6% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>Hormel(HRL)</b> – The food producer beat estimates by a penny with quarterly earnings of 51 cents per share, and revenue that also topped Wall Street forecasts. Hormel saw double-digit growth across all of its business segments, and shares rose 1% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>RH(RH)</b> – The company formerly known as Restoration Hardware reported adjusted quarterly earnings of $7.03 per share, 40 cents above estimates, while the luxury home furnishings retailer’s revenue beat forecasts. RH also lifted the low end of its revenue outlook. RH surged 11% in premarket action.</p>\n<p><b>Rent The Runway(RENT)</b> – Rent The Runway tumbled 8.2% in the premarket after the fashion rental company posted a loss that was wider than a year ago and reported subscriber numbers that have not yet returned to pre-pandemic levels. Sales did surge 66% over the same quarter a year ago.</p>\n<p><b>Apple(AAPL)</b> – Apple won an appeals court decision that delays changes to its App Store. An earlier ruling had ordered Apple to allow developers to offer payment alternatives outside of the App Store, stemming from its legal dispute with “Fortnite” developer Epic Games. Separately, Apple is closing in on a $3 trillion valuation, which will be achieved when the share price hits $182.86.</p>\n<p><b>Amazon(AMZN)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;Italy's antitrust said on Thursday it had fined e-commerce giant Amazon 1.13 billion euros ($1.28 billion) for alleged abuse of market dominance.</p>\n<p><b>AstraZeneca(AZN)</b> – The drug maker’s Covid-19 antibody treatment won FDA approval for patients who cannot achieve adequate protection from vaccination.</p>\n<p><b>LabCorp(LH)</b> – The medical lab operator announced a number of steps to enhance shareholder value, including the initiation of a dividend in the second quarter of 2022 and the authorization of a $2.5 billion share repurchase program.</p>\n<p><b>UiPath(PATH)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;UiPath stock dropped 1.5% in premarket trading&nbsp;even as the “software robots” provider’s quarterly results topped Wall Street expectations.</p>\n<p><b>Yum Brands(YUM)</b> – The parent of KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell was upgraded to “overweight” from “neutral” at Atlantic Equities, which sees the possibility of rising returns from the restaurant chain and calls Yum its favored name in the quick-service restaurant category. Yum rose 1% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>Pear Therapeutics(PEAR)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;Pear Therapeutics shares soared 30% in premarket trading.Prescription digital therapeutics company&nbsp;Pear Therapeutics&nbsp;began trading on Nasdaq Monday after wrapping up its merger with special-purpose acquisition company&nbsp;Thimble Point Acquisition Corp.&nbsp;last week.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Thursday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-09 21:35</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S.&nbsp;stock-index futures hold solid losses after initial jobless claims come in at 184,000.</p>\n<p>At 8:34 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 168 points, or 0.47%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 21 points, or 0.45%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 80.5 points, or 0.49%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e48b5d3abdc91abde117585acac09b40\" tg-width=\"401\" tg-height=\"184\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Weekly jobless claims reached tumbled last week, reaching a fresh 52-year low as the U.S. jobs market climbs out of its pandemic-era hole, the Labor Department reported Thursday.</p>\n<p>Initial filings for unemployment insurance totaled 184,000 for the week ended Dec. 4, the lowest going back to Sept. 6, 1969, which saw 182,000.</p>\n<p>Initial claims for unemployment insurance were expected to total 211,000 for the week ended Dec. 4, according to a Dow Jones economist survey.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, a deal to avert U.S. debt default and raise the federal government's $28.9 trillion debt limit will be tested on Thursday in the Senate when the full chamber votes on whether to approve the measure.</p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: </b></p>\n<p><b>GameStop(GME)</b> – GameStop shares slid 5.6% in premarket trading after the videogame retailer posted a wider loss compared with a year earlier and also disclosed an August subpoena from the SEC involving the trading of its shares.</p>\n<p><b>Lucid Group(LCID)</b> – Lucid shares tumbled 6.5% in the premarket after the electric vehicle maker announced a $1.75 billion offering of convertible senior notes.</p>\n<p><b>FuboTV(FUBO) </b>– The video streaming company was rated “overweight” in new coverage at J.P. Morgan Securities, based on Fubo’s sports-centered offerings as a differentiating factor. The stock jumped 2.8% in premarket action.</p>\n<p><b>CVS Health(CVS)</b> – The drug store operator issued new guidance ahead of its investor day, saying it expects a 2022 adjusted profit of $8.10 to $8.30 per share compared with an $8.24 consensus estimate and better-than-expected revenue. CVS also raised its 2021 outlook, and the shares rallied 2.6% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>Hormel(HRL)</b> – The food producer beat estimates by a penny with quarterly earnings of 51 cents per share, and revenue that also topped Wall Street forecasts. Hormel saw double-digit growth across all of its business segments, and shares rose 1% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>RH(RH)</b> – The company formerly known as Restoration Hardware reported adjusted quarterly earnings of $7.03 per share, 40 cents above estimates, while the luxury home furnishings retailer’s revenue beat forecasts. RH also lifted the low end of its revenue outlook. RH surged 11% in premarket action.</p>\n<p><b>Rent The Runway(RENT)</b> – Rent The Runway tumbled 8.2% in the premarket after the fashion rental company posted a loss that was wider than a year ago and reported subscriber numbers that have not yet returned to pre-pandemic levels. Sales did surge 66% over the same quarter a year ago.</p>\n<p><b>Apple(AAPL)</b> – Apple won an appeals court decision that delays changes to its App Store. An earlier ruling had ordered Apple to allow developers to offer payment alternatives outside of the App Store, stemming from its legal dispute with “Fortnite” developer Epic Games. Separately, Apple is closing in on a $3 trillion valuation, which will be achieved when the share price hits $182.86.</p>\n<p><b>Amazon(AMZN)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;Italy's antitrust said on Thursday it had fined e-commerce giant Amazon 1.13 billion euros ($1.28 billion) for alleged abuse of market dominance.</p>\n<p><b>AstraZeneca(AZN)</b> – The drug maker’s Covid-19 antibody treatment won FDA approval for patients who cannot achieve adequate protection from vaccination.</p>\n<p><b>LabCorp(LH)</b> – The medical lab operator announced a number of steps to enhance shareholder value, including the initiation of a dividend in the second quarter of 2022 and the authorization of a $2.5 billion share repurchase program.</p>\n<p><b>UiPath(PATH)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;UiPath stock dropped 1.5% in premarket trading&nbsp;even as the “software robots” provider’s quarterly results topped Wall Street expectations.</p>\n<p><b>Yum Brands(YUM)</b> – The parent of KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell was upgraded to “overweight” from “neutral” at Atlantic Equities, which sees the possibility of rising returns from the restaurant chain and calls Yum its favored name in the quick-service restaurant category. Yum rose 1% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>Pear Therapeutics(PEAR)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;Pear Therapeutics shares soared 30% in premarket trading.Prescription digital therapeutics company&nbsp;Pear Therapeutics&nbsp;began trading on Nasdaq Monday after wrapping up its merger with special-purpose acquisition company&nbsp;Thimble Point Acquisition Corp.&nbsp;last week.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FUBO":"fuboTV Inc.","RENT":"Rent the Runway, Inc.","LH":"徕博科","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","GME":"游戏驿站","AZN":"阿斯利康","YUM":"百胜餐饮集团","AMZN":"亚马逊","PATH":"UiPath","AAPL":"苹果",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","HRL":"荷美尔","RH":"Restoration Hardware Holdings","PEAR":"Pear Therapeutics",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","CVS":"西维斯健康"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163175495","content_text":"U.S. stock-index futures hold solid losses after initial jobless claims come in at 184,000.\nAt 8:34 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 168 points, or 0.47%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 21 points, or 0.45%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 80.5 points, or 0.49%.\n\nWeekly jobless claims reached tumbled last week, reaching a fresh 52-year low as the U.S. jobs market climbs out of its pandemic-era hole, the Labor Department reported Thursday.\nInitial filings for unemployment insurance totaled 184,000 for the week ended Dec. 4, the lowest going back to Sept. 6, 1969, which saw 182,000.\nInitial claims for unemployment insurance were expected to total 211,000 for the week ended Dec. 4, according to a Dow Jones economist survey.\nMeanwhile, a deal to avert U.S. debt default and raise the federal government's $28.9 trillion debt limit will be tested on Thursday in the Senate when the full chamber votes on whether to approve the measure.\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket: \nGameStop(GME) – GameStop shares slid 5.6% in premarket trading after the videogame retailer posted a wider loss compared with a year earlier and also disclosed an August subpoena from the SEC involving the trading of its shares.\nLucid Group(LCID) – Lucid shares tumbled 6.5% in the premarket after the electric vehicle maker announced a $1.75 billion offering of convertible senior notes.\nFuboTV(FUBO) – The video streaming company was rated “overweight” in new coverage at J.P. Morgan Securities, based on Fubo’s sports-centered offerings as a differentiating factor. The stock jumped 2.8% in premarket action.\nCVS Health(CVS) – The drug store operator issued new guidance ahead of its investor day, saying it expects a 2022 adjusted profit of $8.10 to $8.30 per share compared with an $8.24 consensus estimate and better-than-expected revenue. CVS also raised its 2021 outlook, and the shares rallied 2.6% in the premarket.\nHormel(HRL) – The food producer beat estimates by a penny with quarterly earnings of 51 cents per share, and revenue that also topped Wall Street forecasts. Hormel saw double-digit growth across all of its business segments, and shares rose 1% in premarket trading.\nRH(RH) – The company formerly known as Restoration Hardware reported adjusted quarterly earnings of $7.03 per share, 40 cents above estimates, while the luxury home furnishings retailer’s revenue beat forecasts. RH also lifted the low end of its revenue outlook. RH surged 11% in premarket action.\nRent The Runway(RENT) – Rent The Runway tumbled 8.2% in the premarket after the fashion rental company posted a loss that was wider than a year ago and reported subscriber numbers that have not yet returned to pre-pandemic levels. Sales did surge 66% over the same quarter a year ago.\nApple(AAPL) – Apple won an appeals court decision that delays changes to its App Store. An earlier ruling had ordered Apple to allow developers to offer payment alternatives outside of the App Store, stemming from its legal dispute with “Fortnite” developer Epic Games. Separately, Apple is closing in on a $3 trillion valuation, which will be achieved when the share price hits $182.86.\nAmazon(AMZN) – Italy's antitrust said on Thursday it had fined e-commerce giant Amazon 1.13 billion euros ($1.28 billion) for alleged abuse of market dominance.\nAstraZeneca(AZN) – The drug maker’s Covid-19 antibody treatment won FDA approval for patients who cannot achieve adequate protection from vaccination.\nLabCorp(LH) – The medical lab operator announced a number of steps to enhance shareholder value, including the initiation of a dividend in the second quarter of 2022 and the authorization of a $2.5 billion share repurchase program.\nUiPath(PATH) – UiPath stock dropped 1.5% in premarket trading even as the “software robots” provider’s quarterly results topped Wall Street expectations.\nYum Brands(YUM) – The parent of KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell was upgraded to “overweight” from “neutral” at Atlantic Equities, which sees the possibility of rising returns from the restaurant chain and calls Yum its favored name in the quick-service restaurant category. Yum rose 1% in the premarket.\nPear Therapeutics(PEAR) – Pear Therapeutics shares soared 30% in premarket trading.Prescription digital therapeutics company Pear Therapeutics began trading on Nasdaq Monday after wrapping up its merger with special-purpose acquisition company Thimble Point Acquisition Corp. last week.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1138,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602343587,"gmtCreate":1638975977602,"gmtModify":1638975977709,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like like like drop more so that we can buy more!","listText":"Like like like drop more so that we can buy more!","text":"Like like like drop more so that we can buy more!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602343587","repostId":"1199688505","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199688505","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638974553,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199688505?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-08 22:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV stocks dropped in morning trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199688505","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV stocks dropped in morning trading.Tesla,Rivian,Xpeng Motors,Li Auto,Lucid,Fisker,Nikola and Farad","content":"<p>EV stocks dropped in morning trading.Tesla,Rivian,Xpeng Motors,Li Auto,Lucid,Fisker,Nikola and Faraday Future fell between 1% and 5%.NIO shares rose slightly.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7f8f57ef57d2c11cb4d8fd5faec09fa\" tg-width=\"404\" tg-height=\"719\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV stocks dropped in morning trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV stocks dropped in morning trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-08 22:42</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV stocks dropped in morning trading.Tesla,Rivian,Xpeng Motors,Li Auto,Lucid,Fisker,Nikola and Faraday Future fell between 1% and 5%.NIO shares rose slightly.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7f8f57ef57d2c11cb4d8fd5faec09fa\" tg-width=\"404\" tg-height=\"719\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FFIE":"Faraday Future","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","FSR":"菲斯克","NIO":"蔚来","NKLA":"Nikola Corporation","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.","LI":"理想汽车","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199688505","content_text":"EV stocks dropped in morning trading.Tesla,Rivian,Xpeng Motors,Li Auto,Lucid,Fisker,Nikola and Faraday Future fell between 1% and 5%.NIO shares rose slightly.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":917,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608732503,"gmtCreate":1638788502004,"gmtModify":1638788502215,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like like like buy buy buy","listText":"Like like like buy buy buy","text":"Like like like buy buy buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608732503","repostId":"2188576930","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2188576930","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1638774986,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2188576930?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-06 15:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Insider buying says a Santa Claus rally is on the way -- here are 10 stocks they favor","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2188576930","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Corporate insiders stepped up buying considerably when the stock market weakened. Hang on to your stock-market exposure and add more if you can.The twin fears spooking investors – the omicron COVID strain and inflation – are overdone. Stocks should proceed higher as more people figure this out, leading to a Santa Claus rally later this month.There are lots of stock bargains because there’s been so much damage, even if narrower indexes like the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average have hu","content":"<p>Corporate insiders stepped up buying considerably when the stock market weakened</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cb7144fa943d84b96ae88faa9be5533\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>MarketWatch composite/Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Hang on to your stock-market exposure and add more if you can.</p>\n<p>The twin fears spooking investors – the omicron COVID strain and inflation – are overdone. Stocks should proceed higher as more people figure this out, leading to a Santa Claus rally later this month.</p>\n<p>Corporate insiders confirm this view. They’ve stepped up buying considerably in the market weakness. What’s more they’re buying all the right groups – travel, retail, energy and materials, among others. These are the cyclical areas that’ll do the best as worries about growth recede, and insiders know it. I don’t see any hunkering down in defensive names like consumer staples.</p>\n<p>There are lots of stock bargains because there’s been so much damage, even if narrower indexes like the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;and the Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;have hung tough, propped up by a few large names. The Russell 2000 small-cap index&nbsp;is down more than 10%, and most stocks in the more widely followed indexes like the S&amp;P 500 have also fallen more than 10% at some point recently.</p>\n<p>I’ll single out 10 names favored by insiders, including several I’ve recently suggested in my stock advisory letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in my bio, below). But first, a quick look at why insiders, like me, don’t seem to be too worried about the twin fears.</p>\n<p><b>Omicron</b></p>\n<p>The concern here is that this new variant is far more contagious and deadly than the delta variant.</p>\n<p>The first fear may be true. Case counts are rising sharply in South Africa, which suggests it is more contagious. As for lethality, though, omicron seems to be mild so far. There is still a lot to learn, but this is the message we consistently get from doctors and health authorities with lots of experience with COVID.</p>\n<p>“What we are seeing clinically in South Africa, and remember I’m at the epicenter of this where I’m practicing, is extremely mild for us,” says Angelique Coetzee, a doctor in South Africa who has three decades of experience. “These are mild cases. We haven’t admitted anyone. I’ve spoken to other colleagues of mine and they give the same picture.”</p>\n<p>Hospitalizations in South Africa “are ticking up but not incredibly fast,” agrees William Hanage, an associate professor of epidemiology at Harvard and co-director of its Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics. U.S. health authorities confirm omicron may not be especially lethal. Both the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the Minnesota Department of Health describe the first cases found in the U.S. so far as mild.</p>\n<p>if the omicron variant is mild, this wouldn’t be a surprise. Respiratory viruses naturally evolve to be <i>more contagious and less lethal</i>, notes Professor Karl Lauterbach, an epidemiologist in Germany. This makes sense from the point of view of a virus. A virus has a better chance if it spreads quickly and does not kill its host.</p>\n<p>On vaccine “escape” or evasion, former Food and Drug Administration chief Scott Gottlieb thinks the current vaccines will work against omicron by suppressing symptoms enough to lower hospitalizations. “There’s a high degree of confidence that efficacy is going to be preserved,” he says. “Will it be the same 95%? Perhaps not, but you will still have a meaningful amount of efficacy.”</p>\n<p>He notes the mRNA vaccine companies can tweak their vaccines to make them even better, in a matter of months. Vaccine companies like Pfizer&nbsp;confirm boosters will work, and that they’ll be able to customize them for the omicron variant. “In our view and reiterated by Pfizer, the current booster will likely be effective,” says Jefferies biotech analyst Michael Yee. “A new version for 2022 can be even better.”</p>\n<p><b>Inflation</b></p>\n<p>There’s are lots of reasons to think inflation fears are overblown. The worry here is that the Federal Reserve is “behind the curve” so it will have to hike rates aggressively, which might kill growth and the bull market. This isn’t going to happen. One sign is that commodity prices and shipping costs have been falling sharply. These are often the leading edge of inflation.</p>\n<p>Next, take a moment to drill down on the current inflation spike. To do so, consider the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s breakdown of the parts of the Core CPI Index into “flexible” categories (quick to change) and “sticky” categories (slow to change). Right now, the flexible components account for most of the headline inflation.</p>\n<p>These prices are up around 15% in the past year, compared to 3% gains for the “sticky” prices, points out economist Jim Paulsen, the market strategist at Leuthold Group. “While troublesome, the Core CPI Index’s overall rise is due almost entirely to prices that traditionally move around a lot, both up and down,” he says. This suggests the headline inflation rate can reverse and move down quickly from here.</p>\n<p>That’s what a lot of analysts and bond market investors think. Analysts expect inflation of less than 2% over the next two to 10 years, according to projections tracked by the Atlanta Fed. Meanwhile, the 10-year inflation rate projected by investors in the bond market stands at around 2.6%, notes Paulsen. Not terribly alarming.</p>\n<p>These projections make sense to me, because companies say their supply chain issues will be fixed by around the middle of next year. Shortages linked to supply chain issues have been a main contributor to price spikes.</p>\n<p>Finally, mobility tracking data from Alphabet,Apple,OpenTable and the Transportation Security Administration show that people in the U.S. have significantly curtailed how much they go out in public. On Nov. 30 and Dec. 1, TSA check-ins were 79%-81% of 2019 levels, compared to 85% to 90% in the prior 10 days, by my calculations. If this reduced mobility slows the economy a little, it will ease fears about inflation and the need for the Fed taking away the punch bowl too quickly.</p>\n<p><b>Insiders</b></p>\n<p>In a mini-replay of March-October of 2020 when the COVID crisis first raged, insiders have once again stepped up to buy market weakness caused by fresh COVID fears. True, insiders are not epidemiologists. But they are not dummies either. They have good networks of contacts and they see the tone of their businesses every day. Their buying is focused on all the right areas like cyclicals, retail, energy and industrials, not defensive names.</p>\n<p>Companies where insiders have been buying meaningful amounts over the past several days include outdoor and retail names Six Flags Entertainment,American Eagle Outfitters,Nordstrom&nbsp;and American Woodmark; travel names like Delta Air Lines&nbsp;and Playa Hotels &amp; Resorts ; energy names like Exxon Mobil&nbsp;and EOG Resources; and materials names like Cleveland-Cliffs&nbsp;and Orion Engineered Carbons.</p>\n<p><b>Ho, ho, ho!</b></p>\n<p>Their buying confirms work by seasonality and trading expert Larry Williams who tells me his work concludes we can expect a “Santa Claus” rally once again, later this month. We’ll see, but since the two main fears are false fears that will till take a little time to more fully recede, this makes sense to me.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Insider buying says a Santa Claus rally is on the way -- here are 10 stocks they favor</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInsider buying says a Santa Claus rally is on the way -- here are 10 stocks they favor\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-06 15:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/insider-buying-says-a-santa-claus-rally-is-on-the-way-here-are-10-stocks-they-favor-11638541634?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Corporate insiders stepped up buying considerably when the stock market weakened\nMarketWatch composite/Getty Images\nHang on to your stock-market exposure and add more if you can.\nThe twin fears ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/insider-buying-says-a-santa-claus-rally-is-on-the-way-here-are-10-stocks-they-favor-11638541634?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JWN":"诺德斯特龙","PLYA":"Playa Hotels & Resorts NV","AMWD":"美国伍德马克","AEO":"美鹰服饰","SIX":"Six Flags Entertainment Corp","DAL":"达美航空","CLF":"克利夫兰克里夫","OEC":"Orion Engineered Carbons","XOM":"埃克森美孚","EOG":"依欧格资源"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/insider-buying-says-a-santa-claus-rally-is-on-the-way-here-are-10-stocks-they-favor-11638541634?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2188576930","content_text":"Corporate insiders stepped up buying considerably when the stock market weakened\nMarketWatch composite/Getty Images\nHang on to your stock-market exposure and add more if you can.\nThe twin fears spooking investors – the omicron COVID strain and inflation – are overdone. Stocks should proceed higher as more people figure this out, leading to a Santa Claus rally later this month.\nCorporate insiders confirm this view. They’ve stepped up buying considerably in the market weakness. What’s more they’re buying all the right groups – travel, retail, energy and materials, among others. These are the cyclical areas that’ll do the best as worries about growth recede, and insiders know it. I don’t see any hunkering down in defensive names like consumer staples.\nThere are lots of stock bargains because there’s been so much damage, even if narrower indexes like the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average have hung tough, propped up by a few large names. The Russell 2000 small-cap index is down more than 10%, and most stocks in the more widely followed indexes like the S&P 500 have also fallen more than 10% at some point recently.\nI’ll single out 10 names favored by insiders, including several I’ve recently suggested in my stock advisory letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in my bio, below). But first, a quick look at why insiders, like me, don’t seem to be too worried about the twin fears.\nOmicron\nThe concern here is that this new variant is far more contagious and deadly than the delta variant.\nThe first fear may be true. Case counts are rising sharply in South Africa, which suggests it is more contagious. As for lethality, though, omicron seems to be mild so far. There is still a lot to learn, but this is the message we consistently get from doctors and health authorities with lots of experience with COVID.\n“What we are seeing clinically in South Africa, and remember I’m at the epicenter of this where I’m practicing, is extremely mild for us,” says Angelique Coetzee, a doctor in South Africa who has three decades of experience. “These are mild cases. We haven’t admitted anyone. I’ve spoken to other colleagues of mine and they give the same picture.”\nHospitalizations in South Africa “are ticking up but not incredibly fast,” agrees William Hanage, an associate professor of epidemiology at Harvard and co-director of its Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics. U.S. health authorities confirm omicron may not be especially lethal. Both the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the Minnesota Department of Health describe the first cases found in the U.S. so far as mild.\nif the omicron variant is mild, this wouldn’t be a surprise. Respiratory viruses naturally evolve to be more contagious and less lethal, notes Professor Karl Lauterbach, an epidemiologist in Germany. This makes sense from the point of view of a virus. A virus has a better chance if it spreads quickly and does not kill its host.\nOn vaccine “escape” or evasion, former Food and Drug Administration chief Scott Gottlieb thinks the current vaccines will work against omicron by suppressing symptoms enough to lower hospitalizations. “There’s a high degree of confidence that efficacy is going to be preserved,” he says. “Will it be the same 95%? Perhaps not, but you will still have a meaningful amount of efficacy.”\nHe notes the mRNA vaccine companies can tweak their vaccines to make them even better, in a matter of months. Vaccine companies like Pfizer confirm boosters will work, and that they’ll be able to customize them for the omicron variant. “In our view and reiterated by Pfizer, the current booster will likely be effective,” says Jefferies biotech analyst Michael Yee. “A new version for 2022 can be even better.”\nInflation\nThere’s are lots of reasons to think inflation fears are overblown. The worry here is that the Federal Reserve is “behind the curve” so it will have to hike rates aggressively, which might kill growth and the bull market. This isn’t going to happen. One sign is that commodity prices and shipping costs have been falling sharply. These are often the leading edge of inflation.\nNext, take a moment to drill down on the current inflation spike. To do so, consider the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s breakdown of the parts of the Core CPI Index into “flexible” categories (quick to change) and “sticky” categories (slow to change). Right now, the flexible components account for most of the headline inflation.\nThese prices are up around 15% in the past year, compared to 3% gains for the “sticky” prices, points out economist Jim Paulsen, the market strategist at Leuthold Group. “While troublesome, the Core CPI Index’s overall rise is due almost entirely to prices that traditionally move around a lot, both up and down,” he says. This suggests the headline inflation rate can reverse and move down quickly from here.\nThat’s what a lot of analysts and bond market investors think. Analysts expect inflation of less than 2% over the next two to 10 years, according to projections tracked by the Atlanta Fed. Meanwhile, the 10-year inflation rate projected by investors in the bond market stands at around 2.6%, notes Paulsen. Not terribly alarming.\nThese projections make sense to me, because companies say their supply chain issues will be fixed by around the middle of next year. Shortages linked to supply chain issues have been a main contributor to price spikes.\nFinally, mobility tracking data from Alphabet,Apple,OpenTable and the Transportation Security Administration show that people in the U.S. have significantly curtailed how much they go out in public. On Nov. 30 and Dec. 1, TSA check-ins were 79%-81% of 2019 levels, compared to 85% to 90% in the prior 10 days, by my calculations. If this reduced mobility slows the economy a little, it will ease fears about inflation and the need for the Fed taking away the punch bowl too quickly.\nInsiders\nIn a mini-replay of March-October of 2020 when the COVID crisis first raged, insiders have once again stepped up to buy market weakness caused by fresh COVID fears. True, insiders are not epidemiologists. But they are not dummies either. They have good networks of contacts and they see the tone of their businesses every day. Their buying is focused on all the right areas like cyclicals, retail, energy and industrials, not defensive names.\nCompanies where insiders have been buying meaningful amounts over the past several days include outdoor and retail names Six Flags Entertainment,American Eagle Outfitters,Nordstrom and American Woodmark; travel names like Delta Air Lines and Playa Hotels & Resorts ; energy names like Exxon Mobil and EOG Resources; and materials names like Cleveland-Cliffs and Orion Engineered Carbons.\nHo, ho, ho!\nTheir buying confirms work by seasonality and trading expert Larry Williams who tells me his work concludes we can expect a “Santa Claus” rally once again, later this month. We’ll see, but since the two main fears are false fears that will till take a little time to more fully recede, this makes sense to me.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1079,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600265953,"gmtCreate":1638160064375,"gmtModify":1638160064431,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lol anyhow put 200k meh","listText":"Lol anyhow put 200k meh","text":"Lol anyhow put 200k meh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600265953","repostId":"2186432637","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2186432637","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1638146479,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2186432637?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-29 08:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Want To Become a Millionaire? Put $200,000 Into These 2 Stocks and Hold Until 2030","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2186432637","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These stocks could still provide amazing returns for the next decade, despite their already-impressive growth.","content":"<p>Over the past decade, shares of the <b>SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</b> (NYSEMKT:SPY) have jumped over 300%. This has been one of the best runs for the history of the S&amp;P, but these two stocks could outperform this stellar performance.</p>\n<p>Both <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">MercadoLibre</a></b> (NASDAQ:MELI) and <b>Upstart</b> (NASDAQ:UPST) have been amazing companies to own since they came public, but the growth runway for both companies is still huge. Each company could produce 5-fold returns if you put $100,000 in each company today and wait a decade. Here's why.</p>\n<h2>MercadoLibre: The Latin American \"everything\" company</h2>\n<p>MercadoLibre grew to become $65 billion in size because of its successful e-commerce operations, but the company has massively expanded its optionality and its revenue streams. Now the company makes money in its dominance in logistics and payment markets across 16 countries in Latin America.</p>\n<p>The company is seeing broad adoption from its newer services, and some of its new services are even growing faster than its primary segment -- its e-commerce business. Its logistics arm -- Mercado Envios -- shipped over 247 million items in Q3, and 86% of the company's e-commerce shipments were shipped with Envios. 37% of all fulfillment in MercadoLibre's areas of operation go through Envios, which flexes its broad adoption across the region.</p>\n<p>Mercado Pago -- its payments platform -- has 31.6 million unique active users and nearly $21 billion in total payment volume. This grew 44% from Q3 2020, and its payment transactions almost reached 700 million, growing 67% year over year.</p>\n<p>All of this is in addition to the company's core business: MercadoLibre. Its e-commerce segment brought in over $1.2 billion in revenue after the company grew its gross merchandise volume 24% year over year to $7.3 billion. The company also sold 260 million items during the quarter, which grew 26% from Q3 2020.</p>\n<p>MercadoLibre's market opportunity is large, and that is only amplified with its new business segments. The company has over 79 million users on its platform, but there are over 646 million citizens in its reach. Latin America is growing at one of the fastest rates in the world, so MercadoLibre's penetration is in its early days. Even this 79 million count doesn't factor in the fact that consumers might use its e-commerce platform but not Mercado Pago, meaning MercadoLibre has room to grow its relationships with its existing customers and its customer base.</p>\n<p>The company does face competition in some parts of its business, like its e-commerce segment where it faces <b>Sea Limited</b> in several markets. However, MercadoLibre is not fully reliant on its e-commerce brand and Sea Limited is only getting started in Latin American markets outside of Brazil, so it is not a huge threat to the whole business. The company's fast-growing business segments show that the company has the capabilities to succeed but has yet to fully grow. This allows for investors like you and me to get in today and reap the mass benefits of the company's potential success over the next decade.</p>\n<h2>Upstart: Rapid adoption and success</h2>\n<p>While Upstart is not the established business that MercadoLibre is, the company still has amazing potential to 5 times from today's prices. For decades, we have used the FICO score -- a metric created by <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FICO\">Fair Isaac Corp</a>.</b>&nbsp;-- to determine creditworthiness despite its flaws. For example, consumers who do not use credit or have made one minor error in their past could have their credit score wrecked and would be denied good credit. Upstart realizes that the FICO score is not a fully accurate representation of creditworthiness, so the company is using artificial intelligence (AI) to create a new way to do this.</p>\n<p>The company's determination does come from factors like employment, income-to-debt ratio, and other traditional metrics, but these are in addition to thousands of other non-traditional factors like education or loan application interaction. This innovative way of rethinking credit has resulted in rapid adoption from many banks and credit unions. The company has tripled its customer count from 10 one year ago to 31 in Q3.</p>\n<p>Despite being a $16 billion company, it is growing revenue at staggering rates of 250% year over year, reaching $228 million in Q3. What is even better is that the company is profitable. Upstart earned a net income of $29 million, which grew 200% year over year.</p>\n<p>Upstart is seeing success in disrupting a major financial cornerstone, so it is understandable that the company will be valued highly. Upstart currently trades at 28 times sales and 238 times earnings. While these are high, Upstart shares have fallen nearly 50% off their all-time high, so this is a nice discount to the 60 times sales and 600 times earnings shares were trading at in late September.</p>\n<p>The FICO score is inaccurate and inefficient for many Americans, and Upstart is trying to make getting a loan easier for those people. The company has begun to see widespread success, but with an addressable market of over $5 trillion, the company is very early on its journey. If Upstart can continue refining its AI system to maintain its accuracy while obtaining more customers across the country, the company could continue to explode over the next decade, providing stock returns of 400% or more.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Want To Become a Millionaire? Put $200,000 Into These 2 Stocks and Hold Until 2030</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWant To Become a Millionaire? Put $200,000 Into These 2 Stocks and Hold Until 2030\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-29 08:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/28/put-200000-into-these-2-stocks-and-hold-until-2030/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Over the past decade, shares of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT:SPY) have jumped over 300%. This has been one of the best runs for the history of the S&P, but these two stocks could outperform this ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/28/put-200000-into-these-2-stocks-and-hold-until-2030/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4166":"消费信贷","AI":"C3.ai, Inc.","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4543":"AI","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","UPST":"Upstart Holdings, Inc.","MELI":"MercadoLibre","BK4023":"应用软件","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/28/put-200000-into-these-2-stocks-and-hold-until-2030/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2186432637","content_text":"Over the past decade, shares of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT:SPY) have jumped over 300%. This has been one of the best runs for the history of the S&P, but these two stocks could outperform this stellar performance.\nBoth MercadoLibre (NASDAQ:MELI) and Upstart (NASDAQ:UPST) have been amazing companies to own since they came public, but the growth runway for both companies is still huge. Each company could produce 5-fold returns if you put $100,000 in each company today and wait a decade. Here's why.\nMercadoLibre: The Latin American \"everything\" company\nMercadoLibre grew to become $65 billion in size because of its successful e-commerce operations, but the company has massively expanded its optionality and its revenue streams. Now the company makes money in its dominance in logistics and payment markets across 16 countries in Latin America.\nThe company is seeing broad adoption from its newer services, and some of its new services are even growing faster than its primary segment -- its e-commerce business. Its logistics arm -- Mercado Envios -- shipped over 247 million items in Q3, and 86% of the company's e-commerce shipments were shipped with Envios. 37% of all fulfillment in MercadoLibre's areas of operation go through Envios, which flexes its broad adoption across the region.\nMercado Pago -- its payments platform -- has 31.6 million unique active users and nearly $21 billion in total payment volume. This grew 44% from Q3 2020, and its payment transactions almost reached 700 million, growing 67% year over year.\nAll of this is in addition to the company's core business: MercadoLibre. Its e-commerce segment brought in over $1.2 billion in revenue after the company grew its gross merchandise volume 24% year over year to $7.3 billion. The company also sold 260 million items during the quarter, which grew 26% from Q3 2020.\nMercadoLibre's market opportunity is large, and that is only amplified with its new business segments. The company has over 79 million users on its platform, but there are over 646 million citizens in its reach. Latin America is growing at one of the fastest rates in the world, so MercadoLibre's penetration is in its early days. Even this 79 million count doesn't factor in the fact that consumers might use its e-commerce platform but not Mercado Pago, meaning MercadoLibre has room to grow its relationships with its existing customers and its customer base.\nThe company does face competition in some parts of its business, like its e-commerce segment where it faces Sea Limited in several markets. However, MercadoLibre is not fully reliant on its e-commerce brand and Sea Limited is only getting started in Latin American markets outside of Brazil, so it is not a huge threat to the whole business. The company's fast-growing business segments show that the company has the capabilities to succeed but has yet to fully grow. This allows for investors like you and me to get in today and reap the mass benefits of the company's potential success over the next decade.\nUpstart: Rapid adoption and success\nWhile Upstart is not the established business that MercadoLibre is, the company still has amazing potential to 5 times from today's prices. For decades, we have used the FICO score -- a metric created by Fair Isaac Corp. -- to determine creditworthiness despite its flaws. For example, consumers who do not use credit or have made one minor error in their past could have their credit score wrecked and would be denied good credit. Upstart realizes that the FICO score is not a fully accurate representation of creditworthiness, so the company is using artificial intelligence (AI) to create a new way to do this.\nThe company's determination does come from factors like employment, income-to-debt ratio, and other traditional metrics, but these are in addition to thousands of other non-traditional factors like education or loan application interaction. This innovative way of rethinking credit has resulted in rapid adoption from many banks and credit unions. The company has tripled its customer count from 10 one year ago to 31 in Q3.\nDespite being a $16 billion company, it is growing revenue at staggering rates of 250% year over year, reaching $228 million in Q3. What is even better is that the company is profitable. Upstart earned a net income of $29 million, which grew 200% year over year.\nUpstart is seeing success in disrupting a major financial cornerstone, so it is understandable that the company will be valued highly. Upstart currently trades at 28 times sales and 238 times earnings. While these are high, Upstart shares have fallen nearly 50% off their all-time high, so this is a nice discount to the 60 times sales and 600 times earnings shares were trading at in late September.\nThe FICO score is inaccurate and inefficient for many Americans, and Upstart is trying to make getting a loan easier for those people. The company has begun to see widespread success, but with an addressable market of over $5 trillion, the company is very early on its journey. If Upstart can continue refining its AI system to maintain its accuracy while obtaining more customers across the country, the company could continue to explode over the next decade, providing stock returns of 400% or more.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":791,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600330161,"gmtCreate":1638064801574,"gmtModify":1638064801574,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like like like","listText":"Like like like","text":"Like like like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600330161","repostId":"2186340224","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2186340224","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1638059445,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2186340224?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-28 08:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Got $5,000? These 2 Stocks Could Be Bargain Buys in 2022","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2186340224","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Both of these businesses could be in much better shape a year from now.","content":"<p>Investing in stocks that are falling can be tough to do; nobody wants to look at their portfolio and see red. But if you're investing for the long haul, you know that short-term trends could subside, and this year's sell-off stock could be next year's top performer.</p>\n<p>That's exactly what I think of with&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZN\"><b>AstraZeneca&nbsp;</b></a> and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYND\"><b>Beyond Meat&nbsp;</b></a>. Both of these stocks have been falling recently, but heading into next year, things could look a lot better. If you can afford to invest $5,000 into these stocks, here's why you should consider doing so.</p>\n<h4><b>1. AstraZeneca</b></h4>\n<p>Shares of COVID-19 vaccine-maker AstraZeneca are down 5% over the past three months, while the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> has soared by more than 5%. The company released its third-quarter results on Nov. 12, which disappointed investors as it fell short of earnings expectations. The stock sank more than 6% on the day.</p>\n<p>But next year, things could look much different. Up until now, AstraZeneca hasn't been trying to make a profit from its COVID-19 vaccine. But now that the pandemic is turning into more of an endemic, the company is going to focus on turning a profit on the vaccine on any new orders.</p>\n<p>That means an increase in price. The company has been selling its vaccine for just a few dollars per dose, well below what other COVID-19 vaccine makers are charging countries.</p>\n<p>For the period ending Sept. 30, the company's COVID-19 vaccine generated over $1 billion in revenue. Meanwhile, rival vaccine-maker <b>Moderna</b> reported $4.8 billion in product sales for the same period, and <b>Pfizer</b>'s COVID-19 vaccine generated $13 billion in revenue, also during the same interval.</p>\n<p>While it's unclear just how much higher AstraZeneca's COVID-19-related revenue may climb on an increase in the vaccine's price, its top line is likely to get a boost next year nonetheless. Plus, it completed the acquisition of healthcare-company Alexion Pharmaceuticals in July, which has already started contributing to AstraZeneca's financials this past quarter to the tune of $1.3 billion in new revenue. Alexion's focus on rare diseases expands AstraZeneca's product mix and can set it up for some great gains over the long term.</p>\n<p>Although AstraZeneca incurred a net loss of $1.7 billion this past quarter, that's largely due to the acquisition of Alexion, as its operations are typically profitable. (In each of the previous four quarters, AstraZeneca has reported a profit margin of at least 6%.)</p>\n<p>As it integrates Alexion into its business and eliminates inefficiencies and redundancies, the company's financials will improve. That, combined with the additional revenue from the new business plus an increase in COVID-19 sales, could set the stock up for a terrific performance in 2022.</p>\n<h4><b>2. Beyond Meat</b></h4>\n<p>Beyond Meat's stock has been falling fast as it's down 36% in just three months. What was looking like it might be a promising year for the company amid reopenings has stalled due to the delta variant causing a spike in COVID-19 cases.</p>\n<p>The company had a bad earnings report and the stock has become a better buy in November. Although sales of $106.4 million for the period ending Oct. 2 rose 13% year over year, the company disappointed investors with a net loss of $54.8 million that was more than double the $19.3 million loss it reported in the same period in 2020. Beyond Meat doesn't project a picture of getting much better in the final quarter of the year, as it expects net revenue to fall within a range of just $85 million to $110 million.</p>\n<p>There's no shortage of bearishness surrounding Beyond Meat right now. But heading into next year, a lot can change. What's important is that the company has some great growth opportunities in place.</p>\n<p>Beyond's sales were up 13% this past quarter, but that was driven primarily by growth in the international markets, where revenue more than doubled to $38.9 million. In the U.S. market, sales of $67.5 million declined by 14%.</p>\n<p>However, if supply-chain issues resolve next year and COVID-19 case numbers come down as people receive booster shots, there's reason to believe that the U.S. numbers could strengthen with a return to normalcy in the economy. And fast-food restaurant <b>McDonald's</b> recently launched its McPlant burger (which features a Beyond Meat patty) in multiple U.S. cities. If successful, that could also lead to some improved financials for Beyond in 2022.</p>\n<p>Although the growth stock is beaten up today, a year from now, today's price could look like a bargain.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Got $5,000? These 2 Stocks Could Be Bargain Buys in 2022</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGot $5,000? These 2 Stocks Could Be Bargain Buys in 2022\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-28 08:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/27/these-2-stocks-could-be-bargain-buys-in-2022/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investing in stocks that are falling can be tough to do; nobody wants to look at their portfolio and see red. But if you're investing for the long haul, you know that short-term trends could subside, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/27/these-2-stocks-could-be-bargain-buys-in-2022/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BYND":"Beyond Meat, Inc.","AZN":"阿斯利康"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/27/these-2-stocks-could-be-bargain-buys-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2186340224","content_text":"Investing in stocks that are falling can be tough to do; nobody wants to look at their portfolio and see red. But if you're investing for the long haul, you know that short-term trends could subside, and this year's sell-off stock could be next year's top performer.\nThat's exactly what I think of with AstraZeneca  and Beyond Meat . Both of these stocks have been falling recently, but heading into next year, things could look a lot better. If you can afford to invest $5,000 into these stocks, here's why you should consider doing so.\n1. AstraZeneca\nShares of COVID-19 vaccine-maker AstraZeneca are down 5% over the past three months, while the S&P 500 has soared by more than 5%. The company released its third-quarter results on Nov. 12, which disappointed investors as it fell short of earnings expectations. The stock sank more than 6% on the day.\nBut next year, things could look much different. Up until now, AstraZeneca hasn't been trying to make a profit from its COVID-19 vaccine. But now that the pandemic is turning into more of an endemic, the company is going to focus on turning a profit on the vaccine on any new orders.\nThat means an increase in price. The company has been selling its vaccine for just a few dollars per dose, well below what other COVID-19 vaccine makers are charging countries.\nFor the period ending Sept. 30, the company's COVID-19 vaccine generated over $1 billion in revenue. Meanwhile, rival vaccine-maker Moderna reported $4.8 billion in product sales for the same period, and Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine generated $13 billion in revenue, also during the same interval.\nWhile it's unclear just how much higher AstraZeneca's COVID-19-related revenue may climb on an increase in the vaccine's price, its top line is likely to get a boost next year nonetheless. Plus, it completed the acquisition of healthcare-company Alexion Pharmaceuticals in July, which has already started contributing to AstraZeneca's financials this past quarter to the tune of $1.3 billion in new revenue. Alexion's focus on rare diseases expands AstraZeneca's product mix and can set it up for some great gains over the long term.\nAlthough AstraZeneca incurred a net loss of $1.7 billion this past quarter, that's largely due to the acquisition of Alexion, as its operations are typically profitable. (In each of the previous four quarters, AstraZeneca has reported a profit margin of at least 6%.)\nAs it integrates Alexion into its business and eliminates inefficiencies and redundancies, the company's financials will improve. That, combined with the additional revenue from the new business plus an increase in COVID-19 sales, could set the stock up for a terrific performance in 2022.\n2. Beyond Meat\nBeyond Meat's stock has been falling fast as it's down 36% in just three months. What was looking like it might be a promising year for the company amid reopenings has stalled due to the delta variant causing a spike in COVID-19 cases.\nThe company had a bad earnings report and the stock has become a better buy in November. Although sales of $106.4 million for the period ending Oct. 2 rose 13% year over year, the company disappointed investors with a net loss of $54.8 million that was more than double the $19.3 million loss it reported in the same period in 2020. Beyond Meat doesn't project a picture of getting much better in the final quarter of the year, as it expects net revenue to fall within a range of just $85 million to $110 million.\nThere's no shortage of bearishness surrounding Beyond Meat right now. But heading into next year, a lot can change. What's important is that the company has some great growth opportunities in place.\nBeyond's sales were up 13% this past quarter, but that was driven primarily by growth in the international markets, where revenue more than doubled to $38.9 million. In the U.S. market, sales of $67.5 million declined by 14%.\nHowever, if supply-chain issues resolve next year and COVID-19 case numbers come down as people receive booster shots, there's reason to believe that the U.S. numbers could strengthen with a return to normalcy in the economy. And fast-food restaurant McDonald's recently launched its McPlant burger (which features a Beyond Meat patty) in multiple U.S. cities. If successful, that could also lead to some improved financials for Beyond in 2022.\nAlthough the growth stock is beaten up today, a year from now, today's price could look like a bargain.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":911,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":877909216,"gmtCreate":1637852629774,"gmtModify":1637852629774,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hodl","listText":"Hodl","text":"Hodl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877909216","repostId":"2186916023","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2186916023","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1637848500,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2186916023?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-25 21:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Palantir Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2040?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2186916023","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The data-mining firm has a slim chance of eventually joining the 12-zero club.","content":"<p><b>Palantir Technologies</b> (NYSE:PLTR) has been a volatile and polarizing investment since its direct listing last September. The bulls claimed its data-mining platforms would continue to grow as it signed more government and enterprise contracts.</p>\n<p>The bears pointed out that Palantir was too heavily dependent on government clients, its enterprise business faced too many competitors, it was deeply unprofitable, and its stock was too expensive.</p>\n<p>Palantir's stock price has experienced some wild swings over the past year, but it has still more than doubled since its first trade at $10 per share.</p>\n<p>Today, Palantir is valued at $41.3 billion, or 27 times this year's sales. The bears will argue that the high price-to-sales (P/S) ratio will limit its upside, especially as rising interest rates and inflation make many high-growth tech stocks less attractive.</p>\n<p>But let's look beyond the near-term noise and see if Palantir can still generate big multibagger gains, or even become a trillion-dollar stock, over the next two decades.</p>\n<h2>How fast is Palantir growing?</h2>\n<p>Palantir expects to grow its revenue by at least 30% annually between fiscal 2021 and 2025. That forecast implies its revenue will rise from its target of $1.5 billion this year to at least $4.3 billion in 2025.</p>\n<p>The company expects that growth to be driven by its new and expanded contracts with government agencies, as well as the growth of its Foundry platform for large commercial customers. The accelerating growth of its commercial business over the past year, which notably outpaced the growth of its government business last quarter, supports that thesis.</p>\n<h2>Palantir's path toward a trillion-dollar market cap</h2>\n<p>Palantir hasn't provided any longer-term targets beyond 2025. But based on the growth trajectory of other big data companies like <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a> </b>(NYSE:CRM), its annual revenue increase could potentially decelerate and stabilize at about 20% over the following 10 years.</p>\n<p>If it hits its target for 2025, then continues to grow its revenue at an average rate of 20% over the following 10 years, it could generate nearly $27 billion in revenue in 2035.</p>\n<p>If Palantir's revenue growth then slows down to 15% per year, which would be more comparable to <b>Microsoft</b>'s (NASDAQ:MSFT) current rate, it could generate over $53 billion in revenue in 2040.</p>\n<p>Assuming the company is still valued at over 20 times sales, its market cap could surpass $1 trillion. But most tech giants that grow their revenue 15% to 25% annually aren't valued at more than 20 times sales.</p>\n<p>Microsoft, which is expected to generate 17% sales growth this year, trades at 13 times that estimate. Salesforce, which is expected to generate 24% sales growth this year, trades at just 11 times this year's sales.</p>\n<p>Therefore, Palantir's market cap could potentially hit $1 trillion by 2040, but it seems highly unlikely. Instead, it will likely be closer to $500 billion (which would still be a 12-bagger gain from its current valuation) if its stock is trading at a more reasonable P/S ratio of 10.</p>\n<h2>Look beyond the market caps</h2>\n<p>Instead of focusing on Palantir's path toward joining the 12-zero club, investors should focus on its ability to generate sustainable growth.</p>\n<p>The company has gained a firm foothold with the U.S. government, but it still faces competition from internally developed systems. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), for example, has been developing its own platform to replace Palantir's Falcon. If other agencies follow ICE's lead, the company's dream of becoming the \"default operating system for data across the U.S. government\" could abruptly end.</p>\n<p>Palantir is making solid progress in the commercial market, but its Foundry platform still faces plenty of indirect competitors like <b>C3.ai</b>, <b>Salesforce</b>'s Tableau, and Glue from <b>Amazon</b> Web Services.</p>\n<p>The company likely believes its reputation as a battle-hardened platform for the U.S. military and government agencies will attract more enterprise customers. But there's no guarantee that this appeal will last for decades or fend off newer, hungrier, and more disruptive players in the data-mining market.</p>\n<h2>Is Palantir's stock still worth buying?</h2>\n<p>I still believe Palantir's stock is a promising long-term investment on the secular growth of the data-mining and analytics market. However, there's a lot of growth already baked into the stock, and its high valuations could limit its near-term and long-term potential. Palantir probably won't hit a trillion-dollar valuation within the next two decades, but it could still outperform the market and generate impressive multibagger gains.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Palantir Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2040?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Palantir Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2040?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-25 21:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/25/will-palantir-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2040/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) has been a volatile and polarizing investment since its direct listing last September. The bulls claimed its data-mining platforms would continue to grow as it signed...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/25/will-palantir-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2040/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/25/will-palantir-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2040/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2186916023","content_text":"Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) has been a volatile and polarizing investment since its direct listing last September. The bulls claimed its data-mining platforms would continue to grow as it signed more government and enterprise contracts.\nThe bears pointed out that Palantir was too heavily dependent on government clients, its enterprise business faced too many competitors, it was deeply unprofitable, and its stock was too expensive.\nPalantir's stock price has experienced some wild swings over the past year, but it has still more than doubled since its first trade at $10 per share.\nToday, Palantir is valued at $41.3 billion, or 27 times this year's sales. The bears will argue that the high price-to-sales (P/S) ratio will limit its upside, especially as rising interest rates and inflation make many high-growth tech stocks less attractive.\nBut let's look beyond the near-term noise and see if Palantir can still generate big multibagger gains, or even become a trillion-dollar stock, over the next two decades.\nHow fast is Palantir growing?\nPalantir expects to grow its revenue by at least 30% annually between fiscal 2021 and 2025. That forecast implies its revenue will rise from its target of $1.5 billion this year to at least $4.3 billion in 2025.\nThe company expects that growth to be driven by its new and expanded contracts with government agencies, as well as the growth of its Foundry platform for large commercial customers. The accelerating growth of its commercial business over the past year, which notably outpaced the growth of its government business last quarter, supports that thesis.\nPalantir's path toward a trillion-dollar market cap\nPalantir hasn't provided any longer-term targets beyond 2025. But based on the growth trajectory of other big data companies like Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), its annual revenue increase could potentially decelerate and stabilize at about 20% over the following 10 years.\nIf it hits its target for 2025, then continues to grow its revenue at an average rate of 20% over the following 10 years, it could generate nearly $27 billion in revenue in 2035.\nIf Palantir's revenue growth then slows down to 15% per year, which would be more comparable to Microsoft's (NASDAQ:MSFT) current rate, it could generate over $53 billion in revenue in 2040.\nAssuming the company is still valued at over 20 times sales, its market cap could surpass $1 trillion. But most tech giants that grow their revenue 15% to 25% annually aren't valued at more than 20 times sales.\nMicrosoft, which is expected to generate 17% sales growth this year, trades at 13 times that estimate. Salesforce, which is expected to generate 24% sales growth this year, trades at just 11 times this year's sales.\nTherefore, Palantir's market cap could potentially hit $1 trillion by 2040, but it seems highly unlikely. Instead, it will likely be closer to $500 billion (which would still be a 12-bagger gain from its current valuation) if its stock is trading at a more reasonable P/S ratio of 10.\nLook beyond the market caps\nInstead of focusing on Palantir's path toward joining the 12-zero club, investors should focus on its ability to generate sustainable growth.\nThe company has gained a firm foothold with the U.S. government, but it still faces competition from internally developed systems. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), for example, has been developing its own platform to replace Palantir's Falcon. If other agencies follow ICE's lead, the company's dream of becoming the \"default operating system for data across the U.S. government\" could abruptly end.\nPalantir is making solid progress in the commercial market, but its Foundry platform still faces plenty of indirect competitors like C3.ai, Salesforce's Tableau, and Glue from Amazon Web Services.\nThe company likely believes its reputation as a battle-hardened platform for the U.S. military and government agencies will attract more enterprise customers. But there's no guarantee that this appeal will last for decades or fend off newer, hungrier, and more disruptive players in the data-mining market.\nIs Palantir's stock still worth buying?\nI still believe Palantir's stock is a promising long-term investment on the secular growth of the data-mining and analytics market. However, there's a lot of growth already baked into the stock, and its high valuations could limit its near-term and long-term potential. Palantir probably won't hit a trillion-dollar valuation within the next two decades, but it could still outperform the market and generate impressive multibagger gains.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":877082146,"gmtCreate":1637842553660,"gmtModify":1637842553660,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like like like","listText":"Like like like","text":"Like like like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877082146","repostId":"2185354679","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2185354679","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1637831760,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2185354679?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-25 17:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Unstoppable Stocks You Can Buy Right Now for Less Than $100","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2185354679","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Do you like high growth at an introductory rate? Check out these three stocks.","content":"<p>Many investors get into trading stocks with the desire to find top stocks to buy into early in their growth cycle. That's not so easy to do these days when many stocks get hyped before they even reach the open markets and end up trading at high prices by the time you feel comfortable adding them to your portfolio.</p>\n<p>Still, there are occasional hidden gems in the market that are quietly gaining in growth and recognition, with shares still trading at relatively low prices. <b>Global-e Online</b> (NASDAQ:GLBE),&nbsp;<b>Revolve Group</b> (NYSE:RVLV), and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OPAD\">Offerpad Solutions</a></b>&nbsp;(NYSE:OPAD) are three stocks trading below $100 a share that are demonstrating show-stopping growth. Let's find out a bit more about them.</p>\n<h2>1. Global-e Online: It's a small world after all</h2>\n<p>Global-e Online offers cross-border payment solutions for online retailers. As more and more e-commerce companies expand into new markets and begin to offer international shipping, they begin to discover that there are challenges to making the process cost-effective and worth the investment.</p>\n<p>Global-e comes in to make the process easy, offering features that efficiently manage shipping options, local currencies, calculating customs, and international returns. It has two programs, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> for small businesses and one for larger-volume clients, as well as a program with <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a></b> (formerly Facebook) to assist the thousands of sellers using Facebook Marketplace.</p>\n<p>It works with some of the biggest online retailers in the world, including the biggest, French luxury conglomerate <b>LVMH</b>, as well as brands like cosmetic-giant Sephora Asia and French fashion house Givenchy. It also has strong exposure from its partnership with e-commerce master <b>Shopify</b>, through which it powers international commerce with many small and medium-sized brands operating through Shopify services.</p>\n<p>The company is ramping up its operations exponentially. In the third quarter, gross merchandise volume (GMV) grew 86% year over year to a record $352 million, and revenue increased 77% to a record $59 million. That was particularly impressive as e-commerce has begun to modulate after COVID-19 restrictions eased. Gross profit grew 127% year over year to $2 million, although Globel-e posted a $28.5 million loss after a $1.2 million profit last year. Much of the loss was related to increased expenses of scaling up operations specifically related to its Shopify integration.</p>\n<p>Global-e stock went public in May at $25 a share and is up 111% since then. It's not exactly cheap, trading at 43 times trailing-12-month sales, but shares cost $53 as of this writing. It's still a tiny company, with just over $200 million in trailing-12-month earnings. Investors can expect a lot from this high-growth company in the future.</p>\n<h2>2. Revolve Group: Not your typical fashion company</h2>\n<p>At first glance, Revolve Group's website doesn't look different than most other fashion-forward websites. But there's a reason this online fashion retailer that focuses on selling dresses and other apparel for social events is growing by leaps and bounds. That reason involves the underlying infrastructure that's supporting the company's operations. That infrastructure includes 18 years' worth of data supplying its technology-backed artificial intelligence, a modern approach to e-commerce that includes partnerships with influencers and thousands of brands that appeal to its Gen X target consumer.</p>\n<p>Third-quarter sales increased 62% year over year to $244 million, an acceleration from the second quarter. Net income decreased 14% year over year as the company scales, but posting a profit is a great sign from a growth company.</p>\n<p>International sales made up 19% of the total, which is an unusually high number. Its technology supports international sales, and that opens up its addressable market.</p>\n<p>Revolve Group stock is up 160% year to date and shares trade at 66 times trailing-12-month earnings at a current price of $81 a share. But that price won't last long as investors scoop up shares of this high-growth stock.</p>\n<h2>3. Offerpad: Chasing a $1.9 trillion market opportunity</h2>\n<p>Offerpad wants to buy your house for cash before you list it with a Realtor. Then it wants to renovate and flip it, making money in the process. It's a model called ibuying and it's becoming more popular and may soon become the standard in the U.S. real estate market.</p>\n<p>The company's management sees a massive $1.9 trillion opportunity in the housing market, of which only 1% is now online. It has a $1 trillion market in what it calls the \"buy box today\" market, which are U.S. homes for sale that cost up to $750,000.</p>\n<p>Many readers know that <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/Z\">Zillow</a> Group</b>&nbsp;just bowed out of this market, but it's not clear that there's something wrong with the market or just something wrong with Zillow's ibuying operations. Competitors like Offerpad and <b>Opendoor Technologies</b>&nbsp;are posting high growth, and while investors should do their own research, they shouldn't be scared off from the industry.</p>\n<p>In the third quarter, Offerpad revenue increased 190% year over year to $540 million, and gross profit increased 160% to $53 million. The company sold 1,673 homes, or more than double year over year, and raised its outlook to a midpoint of $1.88 billion in total 2021 sales. Net loss for the quarter expanded from $3 million in 2020 to $15 million in 2021.</p>\n<p>Offerpad stock went public almost a year ago, and shares are down 34.5% year to date, trading around $7.20 a share as of this writing. There's risk involved in investing in this company since it deals with a capital-intensive model, losses are widening, and ibuying hasn't been proven to be a secure business yet. But at this price and with its current growth rates, Offerpad might be a stock to consider for your portfolio.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Unstoppable Stocks You Can Buy Right Now for Less Than $100</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Unstoppable Stocks You Can Buy Right Now for Less Than $100\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-25 17:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/24/3-unstoppable-stocks-can-buy-for-less-that-100/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Many investors get into trading stocks with the desire to find top stocks to buy into early in their growth cycle. That's not so easy to do these days when many stocks get hyped before they even reach...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/24/3-unstoppable-stocks-can-buy-for-less-that-100/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RVLV":"Revolve Group, LLC","OPAD":"Offerpad Solutions","BK4539":"次新股","GLBE":"Global-E Online Ltd.","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/24/3-unstoppable-stocks-can-buy-for-less-that-100/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2185354679","content_text":"Many investors get into trading stocks with the desire to find top stocks to buy into early in their growth cycle. That's not so easy to do these days when many stocks get hyped before they even reach the open markets and end up trading at high prices by the time you feel comfortable adding them to your portfolio.\nStill, there are occasional hidden gems in the market that are quietly gaining in growth and recognition, with shares still trading at relatively low prices. Global-e Online (NASDAQ:GLBE), Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV), and Offerpad Solutions (NYSE:OPAD) are three stocks trading below $100 a share that are demonstrating show-stopping growth. Let's find out a bit more about them.\n1. Global-e Online: It's a small world after all\nGlobal-e Online offers cross-border payment solutions for online retailers. As more and more e-commerce companies expand into new markets and begin to offer international shipping, they begin to discover that there are challenges to making the process cost-effective and worth the investment.\nGlobal-e comes in to make the process easy, offering features that efficiently manage shipping options, local currencies, calculating customs, and international returns. It has two programs, one for small businesses and one for larger-volume clients, as well as a program with Meta Platforms (formerly Facebook) to assist the thousands of sellers using Facebook Marketplace.\nIt works with some of the biggest online retailers in the world, including the biggest, French luxury conglomerate LVMH, as well as brands like cosmetic-giant Sephora Asia and French fashion house Givenchy. It also has strong exposure from its partnership with e-commerce master Shopify, through which it powers international commerce with many small and medium-sized brands operating through Shopify services.\nThe company is ramping up its operations exponentially. In the third quarter, gross merchandise volume (GMV) grew 86% year over year to a record $352 million, and revenue increased 77% to a record $59 million. That was particularly impressive as e-commerce has begun to modulate after COVID-19 restrictions eased. Gross profit grew 127% year over year to $2 million, although Globel-e posted a $28.5 million loss after a $1.2 million profit last year. Much of the loss was related to increased expenses of scaling up operations specifically related to its Shopify integration.\nGlobal-e stock went public in May at $25 a share and is up 111% since then. It's not exactly cheap, trading at 43 times trailing-12-month sales, but shares cost $53 as of this writing. It's still a tiny company, with just over $200 million in trailing-12-month earnings. Investors can expect a lot from this high-growth company in the future.\n2. Revolve Group: Not your typical fashion company\nAt first glance, Revolve Group's website doesn't look different than most other fashion-forward websites. But there's a reason this online fashion retailer that focuses on selling dresses and other apparel for social events is growing by leaps and bounds. That reason involves the underlying infrastructure that's supporting the company's operations. That infrastructure includes 18 years' worth of data supplying its technology-backed artificial intelligence, a modern approach to e-commerce that includes partnerships with influencers and thousands of brands that appeal to its Gen X target consumer.\nThird-quarter sales increased 62% year over year to $244 million, an acceleration from the second quarter. Net income decreased 14% year over year as the company scales, but posting a profit is a great sign from a growth company.\nInternational sales made up 19% of the total, which is an unusually high number. Its technology supports international sales, and that opens up its addressable market.\nRevolve Group stock is up 160% year to date and shares trade at 66 times trailing-12-month earnings at a current price of $81 a share. But that price won't last long as investors scoop up shares of this high-growth stock.\n3. Offerpad: Chasing a $1.9 trillion market opportunity\nOfferpad wants to buy your house for cash before you list it with a Realtor. Then it wants to renovate and flip it, making money in the process. It's a model called ibuying and it's becoming more popular and may soon become the standard in the U.S. real estate market.\nThe company's management sees a massive $1.9 trillion opportunity in the housing market, of which only 1% is now online. It has a $1 trillion market in what it calls the \"buy box today\" market, which are U.S. homes for sale that cost up to $750,000.\nMany readers know that Zillow Group just bowed out of this market, but it's not clear that there's something wrong with the market or just something wrong with Zillow's ibuying operations. Competitors like Offerpad and Opendoor Technologies are posting high growth, and while investors should do their own research, they shouldn't be scared off from the industry.\nIn the third quarter, Offerpad revenue increased 190% year over year to $540 million, and gross profit increased 160% to $53 million. The company sold 1,673 homes, or more than double year over year, and raised its outlook to a midpoint of $1.88 billion in total 2021 sales. Net loss for the quarter expanded from $3 million in 2020 to $15 million in 2021.\nOfferpad stock went public almost a year ago, and shares are down 34.5% year to date, trading around $7.20 a share as of this writing. There's risk involved in investing in this company since it deals with a capital-intensive model, losses are widening, and ibuying hasn't been proven to be a secure business yet. But at this price and with its current growth rates, Offerpad might be a stock to consider for your portfolio.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":336,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":871387037,"gmtCreate":1637026901344,"gmtModify":1637026901344,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Win liao lo","listText":"Win liao lo","text":"Win liao lo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871387037","repostId":"1118366658","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1118366658","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1637026607,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1118366658?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-16 09:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Musk exercised 2.1 million Tesla options on November 15 at a price of $6.24, according to the SEC files.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118366658","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla(TSLA.O)CEO Elon Musk has sold $930 million in shares to meet tax withholding obligations relat","content":"<p>Tesla(TSLA.O)CEO Elon Musk has sold $930 million in shares to meet tax withholding obligations related to the exercise of stock options, U.S. securities filings showed on Monday.</p>\n<p>Musk sold 934,091 shares after exercising options to buy 2.1 million stocks at $6.24 each on Monday. Tesla shares closed at $1,013.39. He is required to pay income taxes on the difference between the exercise price and fair market value of the shares.</p>\n<p>This is the second time in a week that the billionaire has exercised his stock option. Last Monday, he&nbsp;sold another 934,000 shares&nbsp;for $1.1 billion after exercising options to acquire nearly 2.2 million shares.</p>\n<p>The two options-related sales were set up in September via a trading plan that allows corporate insiders to establish preplanned transactions on a schedule, the filings said.</p>\n<p>As of the end of 2020, he had an option to buy 22.86 million shares, which expire in August next year, a Tesla filing shows.</p>\n<p>On Nov. 6, Musk polled Twitter users about selling 10% of his stake, pushing down Tesla's share price after a majority on Twitter said they agreed with the sale. It was not clear how or whether the trading plan related to Musk's Twitter poll.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Musk exercised 2.1 million Tesla options on November 15 at a price of $6.24, according to the SEC files.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMusk exercised 2.1 million Tesla options on November 15 at a price of $6.24, according to the SEC files.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-11-16 09:36</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla(TSLA.O)CEO Elon Musk has sold $930 million in shares to meet tax withholding obligations related to the exercise of stock options, U.S. securities filings showed on Monday.</p>\n<p>Musk sold 934,091 shares after exercising options to buy 2.1 million stocks at $6.24 each on Monday. Tesla shares closed at $1,013.39. He is required to pay income taxes on the difference between the exercise price and fair market value of the shares.</p>\n<p>This is the second time in a week that the billionaire has exercised his stock option. Last Monday, he&nbsp;sold another 934,000 shares&nbsp;for $1.1 billion after exercising options to acquire nearly 2.2 million shares.</p>\n<p>The two options-related sales were set up in September via a trading plan that allows corporate insiders to establish preplanned transactions on a schedule, the filings said.</p>\n<p>As of the end of 2020, he had an option to buy 22.86 million shares, which expire in August next year, a Tesla filing shows.</p>\n<p>On Nov. 6, Musk polled Twitter users about selling 10% of his stake, pushing down Tesla's share price after a majority on Twitter said they agreed with the sale. It was not clear how or whether the trading plan related to Musk's Twitter poll.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118366658","content_text":"Tesla(TSLA.O)CEO Elon Musk has sold $930 million in shares to meet tax withholding obligations related to the exercise of stock options, U.S. securities filings showed on Monday.\nMusk sold 934,091 shares after exercising options to buy 2.1 million stocks at $6.24 each on Monday. Tesla shares closed at $1,013.39. He is required to pay income taxes on the difference between the exercise price and fair market value of the shares.\nThis is the second time in a week that the billionaire has exercised his stock option. Last Monday, he sold another 934,000 shares for $1.1 billion after exercising options to acquire nearly 2.2 million shares.\nThe two options-related sales were set up in September via a trading plan that allows corporate insiders to establish preplanned transactions on a schedule, the filings said.\nAs of the end of 2020, he had an option to buy 22.86 million shares, which expire in August next year, a Tesla filing shows.\nOn Nov. 6, Musk polled Twitter users about selling 10% of his stake, pushing down Tesla's share price after a majority on Twitter said they agreed with the sale. It was not clear how or whether the trading plan related to Musk's Twitter poll.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":450,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873753434,"gmtCreate":1636988633348,"gmtModify":1636988633460,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Come on drop back to where it suppose to be so that we can buy millions shares","listText":"Come on drop back to where it suppose to be so that we can buy millions shares","text":"Come on drop back to where it suppose to be so that we can buy millions shares","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873753434","repostId":"1132196295","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873722656,"gmtCreate":1636988382184,"gmtModify":1636988382184,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>drop like a G6","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>drop like a G6","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$drop like a G6","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873722656","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":371,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879715812,"gmtCreate":1636772247540,"gmtModify":1636776939583,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes, nowadays stocks are driven blindly by followers without seeing the fundamental behind it, this 1 trillion market does&nbsp;not justify right now in the market, probably yes in the future, but definitely not now, so drop back to where it is so that we can have our million shares 😆","listText":"Yes, nowadays stocks are driven blindly by followers without seeing the fundamental behind it, this 1 trillion market does&nbsp;not justify right now in the market, probably yes in the future, but definitely not now, so drop back to where it is so that we can have our million shares 😆","text":"Yes, nowadays stocks are driven blindly by followers without seeing the fundamental behind it, this 1 trillion market does not justify right now in the market, probably yes in the future, but definitely not now, so drop back to where it is so that we can have our million shares 😆","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879715812","repostId":"1163118124","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1163118124","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636726239,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163118124?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-12 22:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: $1 Trillion Of Speculation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163118124","media":"Forbes","summary":"Tesla’s  market cap surpassed the trillion-dollar mark, driven by a post-earnings rally that got a boost from the announcement of a 100,000-vehicle order from Hertz , which might not even happen.Even if it does come to pass, the Hertz order is a drop in the bucket of growth expectations baked into Tesla’s valuation. Tesla needs 155 Hertz-sized orders to justify the revenue expectations in its stock price. Put another way, the $1.2 trillion valuation implies Tesla owns 60%+ of the entire global p","content":"<p>Tesla’s (TSLA) market cap surpassed the trillion-dollar mark, driven by a post-earnings rally that got a boost from the announcement of a 100,000-vehicle order from Hertz (HTZ), which might&nbsp;not even happen.</p>\n<p>Even if it does come to pass, the Hertz order is a drop in the bucket of growth expectations baked into Tesla’s valuation. Tesla needs 155 Hertz-sized orders to justify the revenue expectations in its stock price. Put another way, the $1.2 trillion valuation implies Tesla owns 60%+ of the entire global passenger EV market and becomes more profitable than Apple (AAPL) by 2030.</p>\n<p>This report provides objective perspective on how outrageously high the valuation of Tesla stock is and the clear impracticality of the company meeting the expectations baked into its valuation.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla’s Valuation vs. Competitors Makes No Sense</b></p>\n<p>Tesla’s market cap is now greater than the next 10 largest (ranked by market cap) auto manufacturers combined.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 1:&nbsp;Tesla’s Market Cap Vs. Competitors</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb58977e39c2d0ce868e80de26d098d9\" tg-width=\"925\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This valuation comes despite Tesla selling less than 1/50th&nbsp;of the vehicles than the combined total sold by the next 10 largest automakers over the trailing twelve months ended the first half of 2021. See Figure 2.</p>\n<p>I cannot conceive of a straight-faced argument for the disconnect between Tesla’s valuation and its vehicle sales compared to its competitors.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 2:&nbsp;Tesla’s Car Sales Vs. Competitors</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7fe8de12677dc13fe01f38fbafdcab27\" tg-width=\"946\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">* Stellantis sales estimated as Fiat Chrysler and PSA Group’s 2H20 sales and Stellantis’ 1H21 sales. Stellantis was formed as a merger between the two in January 2021.</p>\n<p><b>Is the Hertz Deal Really Worth $100 Billion+ in Market Cap?</b></p>\n<p>Even if Hertz eventually agrees to buy 100,000 Tesla Model 3s, I do not think it is worth the $100 billion in market cap, or $1 million per vehicle, that we saw investors give Tesla’s market cap after the Hertz deal made headlines. Even Elon Musk questioned the surge in share price, noting that the price movement was “strange” given that Tesla is “very much a production ramp problem, not a demand problem.”</p>\n<p>This $100 billion market cap jump makes even less sense in the context of Tesla’s&nbsp;sky-high valuation&nbsp;before the announcement. Clearly, the feasibility of Tesla meeting the sales expectations embedded in its market cap plays no role in its valuation. For those that do care about&nbsp;expectations investing, I did the math and Tesla needs to successfully deliver on 155 Hertz-sized deals to meet the sales implied by a $1.2 trillion market cap.</p>\n<p><b>Will the Hertz Deal Result in Any Profits – If It Goes Through?</b></p>\n<p>After Elon Musk&nbsp;tweeted&nbsp;on November 1, 2021 that “no contract has been signed yet”, the Hertz deal reminds me of another&nbsp;famous tweet: \"am considering taking Tesla private at $420. Funding secured.”</p>\n<p>Even if the deal does go through, the pricing terms are very unclear. Elon insists that no cars will be sold at a discount. Meanwhile, Hertz CEO Mark Fields has made it clear that he is playing the field and working on getting cars from all EV manufacturers on his lot.</p>\n<p>Either Tesla is selling cars at a (large or small) discount, the deal terms are wrong, or the deal does not get done. If the deal gets done, I do not expect it to be profitable. Rental car companies are accustomed to getting discounts for bulk orders, and I see no reason for Hertz to expect to pay list prices on a deal for so many cars.</p>\n<p>At the end of the day, I’m not sure pricing matters because I don't think the Hertz deal gets done. This affair is more about headlines and fueling speculation than doing any real business.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla’s Global Market Share Getting Smaller</b></p>\n<p>Tesla’s first-mover is already eroding, and its market share continues to decline. In the first half of 2021, Tesla sold 14.6% of the EVs&nbsp;sold worldwide&nbsp;compared to 18.8% over the same period in 2020.</p>\n<p>Rising volumes, and falling market share are to be expected in a nascent industry. The problem is that Tesla’s isn’t priced for declining market share. It is priced for massive market share gains, unheard of gains in nearly any industry across the globe, especially in an industry as large and competitive as passenger vehicles.</p>\n<p><b>Reverse DCF Math: Valuation Implies Tesla Will Own 60%+ of the Global Passenger EV Market</b></p>\n<p>At its current average selling price (ASP) of ~$51k, Tesla’s stock price of ~1,200/share implies the firm will sell 16 million vehicles in 2030 (versus ~800k TTM), or 60% of the&nbsp;projected base case global EV passenger vehicle market&nbsp;in 2030. For reference, Adam Jonas, a Morgan Stanley analyst with a price target of $1,600/share, projects Tesla will sell&nbsp;8.1 million vehicles&nbsp;in 2030.</p>\n<p>I think it is unlikely that Tesla will sell such a high volume of vehicles at a $51k ASP, yet the implied vehicle sales based on lower ASPs look even more impractical.</p>\n<p>As detailed in the next section, this analysis assumes Tesla achieves profit margins twice as high as Toyota (TM) and quadruples its current auto manufacturing efficiency. In other words, I aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations reflected in Tesla’s stock price.</p>\n<p>Per Figure 3, Tesla’s current valuation implies that, in 2030, it will sell the following number of vehicles based on these ASP benchmarks:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>16 million vehicles – current ASP of $51k</li>\n <li>21 million vehicles – ASP of $38k (average new car price in the U.S. in 2020)</li>\n <li>46 million vehicles – ASP of $17k (equal to General Motors over the TTM)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>If Tesla achieves those EV sales, the implied market share for the company would be the following (assuming global passenger EV sales reach 25.8 million in 2030, the&nbsp;base case projection from the IEA):</p>\n<ul>\n <li>60% for 16 million vehicles</li>\n <li>80% for 21 million vehicles</li>\n <li>179% for 46 million vehicles</li>\n</ul>\n<p>If I assume the&nbsp;IEA’s best case&nbsp;for global passenger EV sales in 2030, 46.8 million vehicles, the above vehicle sales represent:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>33% for 16 million vehicles</li>\n <li>44% for 21 million vehicles</li>\n <li>98% for 46 million vehicles</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Figure 3:&nbsp;Tesla’s Implied Vehicle Sales in 2030 to Justify Current Valuation</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6d6230910209d16f55e6e527130d43\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>The Math Shows that Tesla Must be More Profitable Than Apple</b></p>\n<p>Here are the assumptions I use in my&nbsp;reverse discounted cash flow (DCF) model&nbsp;to calculate the implied production levels above.</p>\n<p>To justify its current price of ~$1,200/share, Tesla must:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>immediately achieve a 17.2% NOPAT margin (double Toyota’s margin, which is the highest of the large-scale automakers I cover), compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 7.7%) and</li>\n <li>grow revenue by 38% compounded annually for the next decade.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>In this&nbsp;scenario, Tesla generates&nbsp;<b>$783 billion</b>&nbsp;in revenue in 2030, which is 102% of the combined revenues of Toyota, General Motors, Ford (F), Honda Motor Corp (HMC), and Stellantis (STLA) over the TTM.</p>\n<p>This scenario also implies Tesla generates $135 billion in net operating profit after-tax (NOPAT) in 2030, or 45% higher than Apple’s (AAPL) TTM NOPAT, which, at $93 billion, is the highest of all&nbsp;companies my firm covers.</p>\n<p><b>TSLA Has 60%+ Downside If Morgan Stanley Is Right About Sales</b></p>\n<p>If I assume Tesla reaches Morgan Stanley’s estimate of selling 8.1 million cars in 2030 (which implies a 31% share of the global passenger EV market in 2030), at an ASP of $38k, the stock is worth just $483/share. Details:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>NOPAT margin improves to 17.2% and</li>\n <li>revenue grows 27% compounded annually over the next decade, then</li>\n</ul>\n<p>the stock is worth just $483/share today – 60% downside to the current price.&nbsp;See the math behind this reverse DCF scenario. In this scenario, Tesla grows NOPAT to $60 billion, or nearly 17x its TTM NOPAT, and just 3% below Alphabet’s (GOOGL) TTM NOPAT.</p>\n<p><b>TSLA Has 88%+ Downside Even with 28% Market Share and Realistic Margins</b></p>\n<p>If I estimate more reasonable (but still very optimistic) margins and market share achievements for Tesla, the stock is worth just $148/share. Here’s the math:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>NOPAT margin improves to 8.5% (equal to General Motors’ TTM margin, compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 7.7%) and</li>\n <li>revenue grows by consensus estimates from 2021-2023 and</li>\n <li>revenue grows 18% a year from 2024-2030, then</li>\n</ul>\n<p>the stock is worth just $148/share today – an 88% downside to the current price.</p>\n<p>In this&nbsp;scenario, Tesla sells 7.2 million cars (at an ASP of 38k) and owns 28% of the global passenger EV market in 2030. If Tesla fails to meet these expectations, then the stock is worth less than $148/share.</p>\n<p>Also, for this scenario, I assume a much more realistic NOPAT margin, 8.5%, for Tesla. Given the expansion required of the business, struggles to be profitable to date, and formidable competition, I think Tesla will be lucky to achieve and sustain a margin as high as 8.5% from 2021-2030.</p>\n<p>Figure 4 compares the firm’s historical NOPAT to the NOPAT implied by its current stock price, the 8.1 million vehicle sales scenario, and the 7.2 million vehicle sales scenario to illustrate just how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price remain. For additional context, I show Toyota’s, General Motors’, and Apple’s TTM NOPAT.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 4: Tesla’s Historical and Implied NOPAT: DCF Valuation Scenarios</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25d334530f3477d58879490d628fa8ef\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"463\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Each of the above scenarios assumes Tesla’s&nbsp;invested capital&nbsp;grows 14% compounded annually through 2030. For reference, Tesla’s invested capital grew 53% compounded annually from 2010-2020 and 29% compounded annually from 2015-2020. Invested capital at the end of 3Q21 grew 21% YoY. Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment has grown even faster, at 58% compounded annually, since 2010.</p>\n<p>A 14% CAGR represents 1/4th&nbsp;the CAGR of Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment since 2010 and assumes the company can build future plants and produce cars 4x more efficiently than it has so far.</p>\n<p>In other words, I aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations for future market share and profits reflected in Tesla’s stock market valuation.</p>\n<p><b>Why Tesla’s $1 Trillion Valuation Is Ridiculous</b></p>\n<p>Now that I’ve shown how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s valuation are, I’ll present some of the many challenges Tesla faces to meet those expectations.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla Remains “Just” a Car Company, Despite Bulls’ Arguments Otherwise.</b>One of the most common arguments bulls make to justify Tesla’s valuation is that the company is more than just a car company. Instead, the argument goes: Tesla is a software, tech, insurance, energy, transportation, “insert any other blank” company. However, the financials bear out a different picture and show the other businesses are more hype than substance. At this point, Tesla is a only car company and generates the entirety of its profits from vehicles.</p>\n<p>Per Figure 5, Tesla generated 88% of revenue from Automotive Sales in 3Q21, which is up from 87% in 3Q20, and above the quarterly average of 86% since 3Q19. For reference, automotive sales made up 87% and 93% of General Motors’ and Ford’s 3Q21 revenue respectively.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 5:&nbsp;Tesla’s Revenue Breakdown: 3Q19 – 3Q21</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b77f52dfd7a9cb05f19a91ac8811919\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Tesla’s two other segments, Energy generation and storage and Services and other, which make up 12% of revenue in 3Q21, are unprofitable. Over the TTM, Tesla generated $10.8 billion in gross profit. $11.2 billion came from its Automotive segment while Energy generation and storage and Services and other racked up gross losses of $113 million and $263 million. Despite many claims and promises to the contrary over the years, Tesla doesn’t generate gross profit doing anything but selling cars.</p>\n<p><b>Insurance Business Is Not Material.</b>&nbsp;Tesla bulls will also point to Tesla’s insurance business as another way to drive profit growth. I’ve&nbsp;previously covered&nbsp;how Tesla insurance does not have the competitive advantages that bulls ascribe to it and has a long way to go before it can get meaningfully off the ground.</p>\n<p>Even if Tesla’s insurance business gets off the ground, I would not expect it to make much money. For example, from 2004-2006, General Motors generated about $70 per car sold in GAAP net income from its insurance business. If I assume Tesla can generate the same level of business, Tesla insurance would result in just $57 million in GAAP net income based on TTM vehicles sold.</p>\n<p>Bulls will counter that Tesla will be so much better at insurance than GM and that GM is not a good comp. There is no way to know for sure. Nevertheless, I concede that anything is possible, but the likelihood of Tesla’s insurance business being material profit producer is extremely low.</p>\n<p>Regardless of how successful Tesla insurance is, the potential profits from it are nowhere near enough to help to justify the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price.</p>\n<p><b>Production Capacity Growth Will Require Billions of $.</b>Current and expected production capacities of all known Tesla factories equals ~2.7 million vehicles, or 12.9 million short of the 2030 production implied by its stock price. See Figure 6.</p>\n<p>In other words, despite the new factories coming online, Tesla must spend billions and build many new manufacturing plants before it can approach the capacity needed to sell the number of cars implied by its valuation.</p>\n<p>Given the&nbsp;many issues&nbsp;in ramping production in the past, investors should not assume Tesla can increase its production by 5x without any problems.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 6:&nbsp;Tesla’s Pending Production Shortfall</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d0c946fecb2fd037adac367c7c5b7c2\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">*Projection based on&nbsp;InsideEVs estimate&nbsp;of 600,000 vehicles per year</p>\n<p>**Optimistic assumption based on Texas being Tesla’s biggest factory and&nbsp;possibly the largest factory&nbsp;in the United States</p>\n<p><b>Incumbents Must Fail for Tesla to Meet Growth Expectations.</b>For many years now, incumbent automakers have spent billions of dollars building out their EV offerings. Automakers other than Tesla already account for 85% of&nbsp;global EV sales&nbsp;through the first half of 2021.</p>\n<p>The global EV market is simply not big enough for Tesla to achieve the sales expectations in its valuation unless nearly all of the incumbents reverse course and completely fail to sell EVs.</p>\n<p>Here are the projections from the large incumbent automakers that have provided specific goals for future EV production.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Volkswagen Group projects that&nbsp;50% of its global sales&nbsp;will be fully electric by 2030</li>\n <li>Stellantis projects&nbsp;70%&nbsp;and&nbsp;40%&nbsp;of its European and North American sales, respectively, will be fully electric by 2030</li>\n <li>Ford&nbsp;projects&nbsp;that 40% of its sales will be fully electric by 2030.</li>\n <li>Toyota&nbsp;projects&nbsp;that it will sell 2 million EVs by 2030</li>\n <li>Honda&nbsp;plans&nbsp;to sell only EVs in China by 2030</li>\n <li>BMW&nbsp;expects&nbsp;at least half its sales to be zero-emission vehicles by 2030</li>\n <li>Daimler, manufacturer of Mercedes Benz,&nbsp;expects&nbsp;half its sales to be “EV and hybrid by 2025”</li>\n <li>General Motors is&nbsp;targeting&nbsp;EV sales of “more than 1 million” by 2025</li>\n <li>Volvo&nbsp;plans&nbsp;to sell only fully electric vehicles by 2030</li>\n <li>Nissan&nbsp;projects&nbsp;40% of U.S. sales to be EVs by 2030</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Based on these projections, I estimate how many EVs each company aims to produce[1]&nbsp;by 2030 and the market share implied by that production as a percentage of&nbsp;base-case global passenger EV sales in 2030.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Volkswagen Group: 5.5 million, 21% market share</li>\n <li>Stellantis: 3.6 million[2], 14% market share</li>\n <li>Ford: 2.2 million, 9% market share</li>\n <li>Toyota: 2 million, 8% market share</li>\n <li>Honda (in China): 1.5 million, 6% market share</li>\n <li>BMW: 1.3 million, 5% market share</li>\n <li>Mercedes Benz: 1.2+ million, 5% market share</li>\n <li>General Motors: 1+ million, 4% market share</li>\n <li>Volvo: 700,000, 3% market share</li>\n <li>Nissan (in U.S.): 500,000, 2% market share</li>\n <li><b>Total = 19+ million vehicles and 75% market share</b></li>\n</ul>\n<p>These estimates do not include other incumbents and new entrants (e.g. Jaguar Land Rover, NIO Inc. [NIO], Rivian [RIVN], Ludic [LCID] and more) or other Chinese EV makers because I could not find specific projections for EV production. Nevertheless, I am confident that their combined market share will be more than zero.</p>\n<p>The point is that the rest of the world is not planning to stand by, give up existing market share, and let Tesla own majority of the EV market. Many very experienced and successful automakers are spending many multiples of what Tesla is spending to compete in the EV market.</p>\n<p>The bottom line is that it is hard to make a straight-faced argument that Tesla can achieve the sales implied by its valuation in a competitive market.</p>\n<p><b>Incumbents Can Afford to Spend More than Tesla.</b>Incumbents already have infrastructure to produce and sell vehicles at scale, and they are spending billions of dollars to compete in the EV market. Ford, Volkswagen, General Motors, and Stellantis alone are planning to spend at least $280 billion through 2025 and produce over 12 million EVs by 2030.</p>\n<p>Given the huge investments from multiple competitors, I expect the EV market will be extremely competitive, as manufacturers fight for profits and market share. The “winner take all” outcome implied by Tesla’s valuation is extremely unlikely. Perhaps, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi&nbsp;said it best, “the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and I believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time, as has been the case historically.\" In such a market, Tesla cannot achieve the market share implied by its valuation.</p>\n<p>Unlike Tesla, the incumbents generate plenty of free cash flow (FCF) to fund their EV investments and don’t have to dilute existing shareholders to expand EV capacity as Tesla does. For instance, over the last five years, General Motors, Stellantis, and Ford generated a cumulative $12.4 billion, $7.1, and $6.1 billion in free cash flow while Tesla burned -$19.5 billion.</p>\n<p><b>FSD Continues to Overpromise And Underdeliver.</b>Full-self driving (FSD) has been consistently plagued by issues that, unfortunately, have deadly consequences. Industry research provider Guidehouse Insights ranks Tesla last in its&nbsp;2021 ranking&nbsp;of Automated Driver Systems (ADS), and states flatly, “Tesla needs a thorough rethink of its approach to developing ADS. It has overpromised with its marketing for nearly 5 years and severely underdelivered.”</p>\n<p>Per Figure 7, Tesla lags the competition by quite a large margin, as it’s the only company that falls into the \"Followers\" category.</p>\n<p>The most recent problems with Tesla’s FSD version 10.3 forced the company to&nbsp;roll back the update&nbsp;as users reported false crash warnings and other problems with autosteer and cruise control. These issues resulted in Tesla recalling nearly 12,000 vehicles because “a communication error may cause a false forward-collision warning or unexpected activation of the emergency brakes,”&nbsp;according&nbsp;to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA).</p>\n<p>While the roll out of an updated 10.3.1 has restarted, Tesla’s haphazard approach to deploying FSD remains unsettling and led Guidehouse Insights to&nbsp;note, “Tesla’s approach to testing its system is fundamentally at odds with virtually every other company in this industry.”</p>\n<p><b>Figure 7:&nbsp;Tesla Ranks Last Amongst Automated Driver Systems</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ddd92d3ed67347fa0741599f91ce31d\" tg-width=\"919\" tg-height=\"739\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Alphabet’s Waymo&nbsp;routinely&nbsp;ranks as the best automated driving system. Importantly, many of the firms ranked ahead of Tesla are focused solely on building automated driving systems and are not distracted by scaling up automobile production, delivery logistics, and the general day-to-day operations of producing cars. Even so, other direct competitors such as GM Super Cruise also get&nbsp;better scores&nbsp;from&nbsp;third-party organizations.</p>\n<p><b>Increased Regulatory Risk.</b>While Tesla has mysteriously avoided regulatory crackdown on its sales of FSD and practice of beta testing software on live drivers and roads, renewed requests from the NHTSA/National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) signal that Tesla might be held accountable for practices that many find highly misleading and dangerous to citizens.</p>\n<p>Missy Cummings, recently&nbsp;appointed&nbsp;as senior advisor for safety at the NHTSA, has expressed concerns about Tesla’s FSD in the past, tweeting as far back as 2019 that Tesla’s “autopilot easily cause mode confusion, is unreliable and unsafe” and that “NHTSA should require Tesla turn it off.”</p>\n<p>More recently, Tesla requested “confidential business information treatment” on its responses to a litany of information requests the NHTSA made as part of its investigation into FSD. If approved, the public would likely never see Tesla’s responses to key questions pertaining to Tesla not issuing a recall for Autopilot after multiple accidents involving parked emergency vehicles, the selection criteria for Tesla’s FSD beta testing program, and the non-disclosure agreements Tesla was making drivers sign before they could use the beta system.</p>\n<p>The NHTSA is not alone in criticizing Tesla and its FSD rollout. On October 26, 2021, the head of the U.S. NTSB, Jennifer Homendy, said that Tesla has not yet officially responded to the NTSB regarding its safety recommendations while calling the use of full self-driving ”misleading.” She stated, “my biggest concern is that Tesla is rolling out full self-driving technology in beta on city streets with untrained drivers and they have not addressed our recommendations that we’ve issued as a result of numerous investigations of Tesla crashes.”</p>\n<p><b>Battery Technologies Are Nothing Special.</b>Tesla announced it will be switching to a lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery in all standard range cars. These batteries are already being used in vehicles built in the Shanghai factory, and this switch is expected to bring down costs. The timing of this change comes as other battery producers, in partnership with incumbent auto manufacturers, are ramping up production, which should drive down battery costs for all EV makers. In other words, the competitive advantages of a cheaper battery may be short-lived, as incumbents build economies of scale in their own supply chain in the coming years.</p>\n<p>Additionally, while the much heralded 4680 cylindrical battery, produced by Panasonic for Tesla, and&nbsp;nearly ready for production, should bring a higher energy density in a more efficient package, competitors’ offerings all aim to provide the same.</p>\n<p>General Motor’s Ultium platform will enable up to 400-450 miles of range, and the firm is building a new battery research facility aimed at building batteries capable of 600 miles on a single charge. General Motors recently announced a joint venture with LG Chem to build a second U.S. battery cell plant, which is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to have an annual capacity of 35 gigawatt hours, or slightly above the 30 gigawatt hour capacity of its first Lordstown battery plant. Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas&nbsp;noted&nbsp;that the “formation of Ultium/Ultium Cells LLC will prove to be a critical point of strategic differentiation that will ultimately drive value creation for [GM] shareholders.”</p>\n<p>Ford’s Mustang Mach-E became the&nbsp;first electric SUV&nbsp;not made by Tesla to reach an EPA-rated range of up to 300 miles, and the company recently entered a partnership with SK Innovation to build three U.S.-based battery plants to power 1 million EVs annually.</p>\n<p>On its own, LG Chem plans to expand its existing U.S. facilities and build two more plants that will produce both pouch cells used by General Motors, Ford, Jaguar, Audi, Porsche, and more, as well as the cylindrical cells used by Tesla.</p>\n<p>Ultimately, the race for the “perfect” battery is less important than the race to procure battery supplies to build the number of EVs each manufacturer aims to produce in the coming years. The incumbents have proven they can maintain and win a race to procure supplies, and they’ve only been doing it for multiple decades now.</p>\n<p><b>Not All Supply Issues Can Be Coded Away.</b>To its credit, Tesla managed the global chip shortage relatively well by re-writing software to allow the use of alternative chips. However, not all supply issues can be solved via software, as evidenced by the growing wait times for Tesla’s vehicles. As Electrek&nbsp;notes, Tesla recently updated its delivery timelines for new orders, and depending upon specs, some vehicles won’t be delivered until September 2022 if ordered today. New orders for the Model 3 Standard Range Plus, which is Tesla’s cheapest vehicle, are currently on pace to be delivered in May 2022, or seven months from now.</p>\n<p>While certainly not unique to Tesla, extended delivery/wait times give consumers ample time to comparison shop and possibly switch orders to a competitor’s EV that would be available sooner.</p>\n<p>Delivery delays aren’t exclusive to in-production vehicles, but Tesla’s future vehicles as well. The much-hyped Cybertruck has recently been delayed again, this time until at least 2023 (compared to an original late 2021 release), which ultimately gives competitors more time to establish a presence in the EV truck market. I recently outlined the many competitors in the EV truck market in my&nbsp;report on Rivian.</p>\n<p><b>Putting It All Together: Tesla Provides Poor Risk/Reward</b></p>\n<p>Given the challenges ahead for Tesla, coupled with a valuation that implies it will take 60%+ of the global EV market share, I think it is clear: Tesla’s stock offers poor risk/reward.</p>\n<p>Tesla has proven risky to short, but investors need not buy shares today at such an elevated price.</p>\n<p>If you’re buying Tesla at its current valuation, you’re not only betting that it will be the only winner of the electrification of the global automotive fleet, but that it will somehow be twice as profitable as Toyota and achieve at least 60% market share. With anything less than total market domination, TSLA presents large downside risk.</p>","source":"fors","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: $1 Trillion Of Speculation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: $1 Trillion Of Speculation\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-12 22:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2021/11/09/tesla-1-trillion-of-speculation/?sh=34ca1f2f77eb><strong>Forbes</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla’s (TSLA) market cap surpassed the trillion-dollar mark, driven by a post-earnings rally that got a boost from the announcement of a 100,000-vehicle order from Hertz (HTZ), which might not even ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2021/11/09/tesla-1-trillion-of-speculation/?sh=34ca1f2f77eb\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2021/11/09/tesla-1-trillion-of-speculation/?sh=34ca1f2f77eb","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163118124","content_text":"Tesla’s (TSLA) market cap surpassed the trillion-dollar mark, driven by a post-earnings rally that got a boost from the announcement of a 100,000-vehicle order from Hertz (HTZ), which might not even happen.\nEven if it does come to pass, the Hertz order is a drop in the bucket of growth expectations baked into Tesla’s valuation. Tesla needs 155 Hertz-sized orders to justify the revenue expectations in its stock price. Put another way, the $1.2 trillion valuation implies Tesla owns 60%+ of the entire global passenger EV market and becomes more profitable than Apple (AAPL) by 2030.\nThis report provides objective perspective on how outrageously high the valuation of Tesla stock is and the clear impracticality of the company meeting the expectations baked into its valuation.\nTesla’s Valuation vs. Competitors Makes No Sense\nTesla’s market cap is now greater than the next 10 largest (ranked by market cap) auto manufacturers combined.\nFigure 1: Tesla’s Market Cap Vs. Competitors\n\nThis valuation comes despite Tesla selling less than 1/50th of the vehicles than the combined total sold by the next 10 largest automakers over the trailing twelve months ended the first half of 2021. See Figure 2.\nI cannot conceive of a straight-faced argument for the disconnect between Tesla’s valuation and its vehicle sales compared to its competitors.\nFigure 2: Tesla’s Car Sales Vs. Competitors\n* Stellantis sales estimated as Fiat Chrysler and PSA Group’s 2H20 sales and Stellantis’ 1H21 sales. Stellantis was formed as a merger between the two in January 2021.\nIs the Hertz Deal Really Worth $100 Billion+ in Market Cap?\nEven if Hertz eventually agrees to buy 100,000 Tesla Model 3s, I do not think it is worth the $100 billion in market cap, or $1 million per vehicle, that we saw investors give Tesla’s market cap after the Hertz deal made headlines. Even Elon Musk questioned the surge in share price, noting that the price movement was “strange” given that Tesla is “very much a production ramp problem, not a demand problem.”\nThis $100 billion market cap jump makes even less sense in the context of Tesla’s sky-high valuation before the announcement. Clearly, the feasibility of Tesla meeting the sales expectations embedded in its market cap plays no role in its valuation. For those that do care about expectations investing, I did the math and Tesla needs to successfully deliver on 155 Hertz-sized deals to meet the sales implied by a $1.2 trillion market cap.\nWill the Hertz Deal Result in Any Profits – If It Goes Through?\nAfter Elon Musk tweeted on November 1, 2021 that “no contract has been signed yet”, the Hertz deal reminds me of another famous tweet: \"am considering taking Tesla private at $420. Funding secured.”\nEven if the deal does go through, the pricing terms are very unclear. Elon insists that no cars will be sold at a discount. Meanwhile, Hertz CEO Mark Fields has made it clear that he is playing the field and working on getting cars from all EV manufacturers on his lot.\nEither Tesla is selling cars at a (large or small) discount, the deal terms are wrong, or the deal does not get done. If the deal gets done, I do not expect it to be profitable. Rental car companies are accustomed to getting discounts for bulk orders, and I see no reason for Hertz to expect to pay list prices on a deal for so many cars.\nAt the end of the day, I’m not sure pricing matters because I don't think the Hertz deal gets done. This affair is more about headlines and fueling speculation than doing any real business.\nTesla’s Global Market Share Getting Smaller\nTesla’s first-mover is already eroding, and its market share continues to decline. In the first half of 2021, Tesla sold 14.6% of the EVs sold worldwide compared to 18.8% over the same period in 2020.\nRising volumes, and falling market share are to be expected in a nascent industry. The problem is that Tesla’s isn’t priced for declining market share. It is priced for massive market share gains, unheard of gains in nearly any industry across the globe, especially in an industry as large and competitive as passenger vehicles.\nReverse DCF Math: Valuation Implies Tesla Will Own 60%+ of the Global Passenger EV Market\nAt its current average selling price (ASP) of ~$51k, Tesla’s stock price of ~1,200/share implies the firm will sell 16 million vehicles in 2030 (versus ~800k TTM), or 60% of the projected base case global EV passenger vehicle market in 2030. For reference, Adam Jonas, a Morgan Stanley analyst with a price target of $1,600/share, projects Tesla will sell 8.1 million vehicles in 2030.\nI think it is unlikely that Tesla will sell such a high volume of vehicles at a $51k ASP, yet the implied vehicle sales based on lower ASPs look even more impractical.\nAs detailed in the next section, this analysis assumes Tesla achieves profit margins twice as high as Toyota (TM) and quadruples its current auto manufacturing efficiency. In other words, I aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations reflected in Tesla’s stock price.\nPer Figure 3, Tesla’s current valuation implies that, in 2030, it will sell the following number of vehicles based on these ASP benchmarks:\n\n16 million vehicles – current ASP of $51k\n21 million vehicles – ASP of $38k (average new car price in the U.S. in 2020)\n46 million vehicles – ASP of $17k (equal to General Motors over the TTM)\n\nIf Tesla achieves those EV sales, the implied market share for the company would be the following (assuming global passenger EV sales reach 25.8 million in 2030, the base case projection from the IEA):\n\n60% for 16 million vehicles\n80% for 21 million vehicles\n179% for 46 million vehicles\n\nIf I assume the IEA’s best case for global passenger EV sales in 2030, 46.8 million vehicles, the above vehicle sales represent:\n\n33% for 16 million vehicles\n44% for 21 million vehicles\n98% for 46 million vehicles\n\nFigure 3: Tesla’s Implied Vehicle Sales in 2030 to Justify Current Valuation\nThe Math Shows that Tesla Must be More Profitable Than Apple\nHere are the assumptions I use in my reverse discounted cash flow (DCF) model to calculate the implied production levels above.\nTo justify its current price of ~$1,200/share, Tesla must:\n\nimmediately achieve a 17.2% NOPAT margin (double Toyota’s margin, which is the highest of the large-scale automakers I cover), compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 7.7%) and\ngrow revenue by 38% compounded annually for the next decade.\n\nIn this scenario, Tesla generates $783 billion in revenue in 2030, which is 102% of the combined revenues of Toyota, General Motors, Ford (F), Honda Motor Corp (HMC), and Stellantis (STLA) over the TTM.\nThis scenario also implies Tesla generates $135 billion in net operating profit after-tax (NOPAT) in 2030, or 45% higher than Apple’s (AAPL) TTM NOPAT, which, at $93 billion, is the highest of all companies my firm covers.\nTSLA Has 60%+ Downside If Morgan Stanley Is Right About Sales\nIf I assume Tesla reaches Morgan Stanley’s estimate of selling 8.1 million cars in 2030 (which implies a 31% share of the global passenger EV market in 2030), at an ASP of $38k, the stock is worth just $483/share. Details:\n\nNOPAT margin improves to 17.2% and\nrevenue grows 27% compounded annually over the next decade, then\n\nthe stock is worth just $483/share today – 60% downside to the current price. See the math behind this reverse DCF scenario. In this scenario, Tesla grows NOPAT to $60 billion, or nearly 17x its TTM NOPAT, and just 3% below Alphabet’s (GOOGL) TTM NOPAT.\nTSLA Has 88%+ Downside Even with 28% Market Share and Realistic Margins\nIf I estimate more reasonable (but still very optimistic) margins and market share achievements for Tesla, the stock is worth just $148/share. Here’s the math:\n\nNOPAT margin improves to 8.5% (equal to General Motors’ TTM margin, compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 7.7%) and\nrevenue grows by consensus estimates from 2021-2023 and\nrevenue grows 18% a year from 2024-2030, then\n\nthe stock is worth just $148/share today – an 88% downside to the current price.\nIn this scenario, Tesla sells 7.2 million cars (at an ASP of 38k) and owns 28% of the global passenger EV market in 2030. If Tesla fails to meet these expectations, then the stock is worth less than $148/share.\nAlso, for this scenario, I assume a much more realistic NOPAT margin, 8.5%, for Tesla. Given the expansion required of the business, struggles to be profitable to date, and formidable competition, I think Tesla will be lucky to achieve and sustain a margin as high as 8.5% from 2021-2030.\nFigure 4 compares the firm’s historical NOPAT to the NOPAT implied by its current stock price, the 8.1 million vehicle sales scenario, and the 7.2 million vehicle sales scenario to illustrate just how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price remain. For additional context, I show Toyota’s, General Motors’, and Apple’s TTM NOPAT.\nFigure 4: Tesla’s Historical and Implied NOPAT: DCF Valuation Scenarios\n\nEach of the above scenarios assumes Tesla’s invested capital grows 14% compounded annually through 2030. For reference, Tesla’s invested capital grew 53% compounded annually from 2010-2020 and 29% compounded annually from 2015-2020. Invested capital at the end of 3Q21 grew 21% YoY. Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment has grown even faster, at 58% compounded annually, since 2010.\nA 14% CAGR represents 1/4th the CAGR of Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment since 2010 and assumes the company can build future plants and produce cars 4x more efficiently than it has so far.\nIn other words, I aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations for future market share and profits reflected in Tesla’s stock market valuation.\nWhy Tesla’s $1 Trillion Valuation Is Ridiculous\nNow that I’ve shown how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s valuation are, I’ll present some of the many challenges Tesla faces to meet those expectations.\nTesla Remains “Just” a Car Company, Despite Bulls’ Arguments Otherwise.One of the most common arguments bulls make to justify Tesla’s valuation is that the company is more than just a car company. Instead, the argument goes: Tesla is a software, tech, insurance, energy, transportation, “insert any other blank” company. However, the financials bear out a different picture and show the other businesses are more hype than substance. At this point, Tesla is a only car company and generates the entirety of its profits from vehicles.\nPer Figure 5, Tesla generated 88% of revenue from Automotive Sales in 3Q21, which is up from 87% in 3Q20, and above the quarterly average of 86% since 3Q19. For reference, automotive sales made up 87% and 93% of General Motors’ and Ford’s 3Q21 revenue respectively.\nFigure 5: Tesla’s Revenue Breakdown: 3Q19 – 3Q21\nTesla’s two other segments, Energy generation and storage and Services and other, which make up 12% of revenue in 3Q21, are unprofitable. Over the TTM, Tesla generated $10.8 billion in gross profit. $11.2 billion came from its Automotive segment while Energy generation and storage and Services and other racked up gross losses of $113 million and $263 million. Despite many claims and promises to the contrary over the years, Tesla doesn’t generate gross profit doing anything but selling cars.\nInsurance Business Is Not Material. Tesla bulls will also point to Tesla’s insurance business as another way to drive profit growth. I’ve previously covered how Tesla insurance does not have the competitive advantages that bulls ascribe to it and has a long way to go before it can get meaningfully off the ground.\nEven if Tesla’s insurance business gets off the ground, I would not expect it to make much money. For example, from 2004-2006, General Motors generated about $70 per car sold in GAAP net income from its insurance business. If I assume Tesla can generate the same level of business, Tesla insurance would result in just $57 million in GAAP net income based on TTM vehicles sold.\nBulls will counter that Tesla will be so much better at insurance than GM and that GM is not a good comp. There is no way to know for sure. Nevertheless, I concede that anything is possible, but the likelihood of Tesla’s insurance business being material profit producer is extremely low.\nRegardless of how successful Tesla insurance is, the potential profits from it are nowhere near enough to help to justify the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price.\nProduction Capacity Growth Will Require Billions of $.Current and expected production capacities of all known Tesla factories equals ~2.7 million vehicles, or 12.9 million short of the 2030 production implied by its stock price. See Figure 6.\nIn other words, despite the new factories coming online, Tesla must spend billions and build many new manufacturing plants before it can approach the capacity needed to sell the number of cars implied by its valuation.\nGiven the many issues in ramping production in the past, investors should not assume Tesla can increase its production by 5x without any problems.\nFigure 6: Tesla’s Pending Production Shortfall\n*Projection based on InsideEVs estimate of 600,000 vehicles per year\n**Optimistic assumption based on Texas being Tesla’s biggest factory and possibly the largest factory in the United States\nIncumbents Must Fail for Tesla to Meet Growth Expectations.For many years now, incumbent automakers have spent billions of dollars building out their EV offerings. Automakers other than Tesla already account for 85% of global EV sales through the first half of 2021.\nThe global EV market is simply not big enough for Tesla to achieve the sales expectations in its valuation unless nearly all of the incumbents reverse course and completely fail to sell EVs.\nHere are the projections from the large incumbent automakers that have provided specific goals for future EV production.\n\nVolkswagen Group projects that 50% of its global sales will be fully electric by 2030\nStellantis projects 70% and 40% of its European and North American sales, respectively, will be fully electric by 2030\nFord projects that 40% of its sales will be fully electric by 2030.\nToyota projects that it will sell 2 million EVs by 2030\nHonda plans to sell only EVs in China by 2030\nBMW expects at least half its sales to be zero-emission vehicles by 2030\nDaimler, manufacturer of Mercedes Benz, expects half its sales to be “EV and hybrid by 2025”\nGeneral Motors is targeting EV sales of “more than 1 million” by 2025\nVolvo plans to sell only fully electric vehicles by 2030\nNissan projects 40% of U.S. sales to be EVs by 2030\n\nBased on these projections, I estimate how many EVs each company aims to produce[1] by 2030 and the market share implied by that production as a percentage of base-case global passenger EV sales in 2030.\n\nVolkswagen Group: 5.5 million, 21% market share\nStellantis: 3.6 million[2], 14% market share\nFord: 2.2 million, 9% market share\nToyota: 2 million, 8% market share\nHonda (in China): 1.5 million, 6% market share\nBMW: 1.3 million, 5% market share\nMercedes Benz: 1.2+ million, 5% market share\nGeneral Motors: 1+ million, 4% market share\nVolvo: 700,000, 3% market share\nNissan (in U.S.): 500,000, 2% market share\nTotal = 19+ million vehicles and 75% market share\n\nThese estimates do not include other incumbents and new entrants (e.g. Jaguar Land Rover, NIO Inc. [NIO], Rivian [RIVN], Ludic [LCID] and more) or other Chinese EV makers because I could not find specific projections for EV production. Nevertheless, I am confident that their combined market share will be more than zero.\nThe point is that the rest of the world is not planning to stand by, give up existing market share, and let Tesla own majority of the EV market. Many very experienced and successful automakers are spending many multiples of what Tesla is spending to compete in the EV market.\nThe bottom line is that it is hard to make a straight-faced argument that Tesla can achieve the sales implied by its valuation in a competitive market.\nIncumbents Can Afford to Spend More than Tesla.Incumbents already have infrastructure to produce and sell vehicles at scale, and they are spending billions of dollars to compete in the EV market. Ford, Volkswagen, General Motors, and Stellantis alone are planning to spend at least $280 billion through 2025 and produce over 12 million EVs by 2030.\nGiven the huge investments from multiple competitors, I expect the EV market will be extremely competitive, as manufacturers fight for profits and market share. The “winner take all” outcome implied by Tesla’s valuation is extremely unlikely. Perhaps, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi said it best, “the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and I believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time, as has been the case historically.\" In such a market, Tesla cannot achieve the market share implied by its valuation.\nUnlike Tesla, the incumbents generate plenty of free cash flow (FCF) to fund their EV investments and don’t have to dilute existing shareholders to expand EV capacity as Tesla does. For instance, over the last five years, General Motors, Stellantis, and Ford generated a cumulative $12.4 billion, $7.1, and $6.1 billion in free cash flow while Tesla burned -$19.5 billion.\nFSD Continues to Overpromise And Underdeliver.Full-self driving (FSD) has been consistently plagued by issues that, unfortunately, have deadly consequences. Industry research provider Guidehouse Insights ranks Tesla last in its 2021 ranking of Automated Driver Systems (ADS), and states flatly, “Tesla needs a thorough rethink of its approach to developing ADS. It has overpromised with its marketing for nearly 5 years and severely underdelivered.”\nPer Figure 7, Tesla lags the competition by quite a large margin, as it’s the only company that falls into the \"Followers\" category.\nThe most recent problems with Tesla’s FSD version 10.3 forced the company to roll back the update as users reported false crash warnings and other problems with autosteer and cruise control. These issues resulted in Tesla recalling nearly 12,000 vehicles because “a communication error may cause a false forward-collision warning or unexpected activation of the emergency brakes,” according to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA).\nWhile the roll out of an updated 10.3.1 has restarted, Tesla’s haphazard approach to deploying FSD remains unsettling and led Guidehouse Insights to note, “Tesla’s approach to testing its system is fundamentally at odds with virtually every other company in this industry.”\nFigure 7: Tesla Ranks Last Amongst Automated Driver Systems\n\nAlphabet’s Waymo routinely ranks as the best automated driving system. Importantly, many of the firms ranked ahead of Tesla are focused solely on building automated driving systems and are not distracted by scaling up automobile production, delivery logistics, and the general day-to-day operations of producing cars. Even so, other direct competitors such as GM Super Cruise also get better scores from third-party organizations.\nIncreased Regulatory Risk.While Tesla has mysteriously avoided regulatory crackdown on its sales of FSD and practice of beta testing software on live drivers and roads, renewed requests from the NHTSA/National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) signal that Tesla might be held accountable for practices that many find highly misleading and dangerous to citizens.\nMissy Cummings, recently appointed as senior advisor for safety at the NHTSA, has expressed concerns about Tesla’s FSD in the past, tweeting as far back as 2019 that Tesla’s “autopilot easily cause mode confusion, is unreliable and unsafe” and that “NHTSA should require Tesla turn it off.”\nMore recently, Tesla requested “confidential business information treatment” on its responses to a litany of information requests the NHTSA made as part of its investigation into FSD. If approved, the public would likely never see Tesla’s responses to key questions pertaining to Tesla not issuing a recall for Autopilot after multiple accidents involving parked emergency vehicles, the selection criteria for Tesla’s FSD beta testing program, and the non-disclosure agreements Tesla was making drivers sign before they could use the beta system.\nThe NHTSA is not alone in criticizing Tesla and its FSD rollout. On October 26, 2021, the head of the U.S. NTSB, Jennifer Homendy, said that Tesla has not yet officially responded to the NTSB regarding its safety recommendations while calling the use of full self-driving ”misleading.” She stated, “my biggest concern is that Tesla is rolling out full self-driving technology in beta on city streets with untrained drivers and they have not addressed our recommendations that we’ve issued as a result of numerous investigations of Tesla crashes.”\nBattery Technologies Are Nothing Special.Tesla announced it will be switching to a lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery in all standard range cars. These batteries are already being used in vehicles built in the Shanghai factory, and this switch is expected to bring down costs. The timing of this change comes as other battery producers, in partnership with incumbent auto manufacturers, are ramping up production, which should drive down battery costs for all EV makers. In other words, the competitive advantages of a cheaper battery may be short-lived, as incumbents build economies of scale in their own supply chain in the coming years.\nAdditionally, while the much heralded 4680 cylindrical battery, produced by Panasonic for Tesla, and nearly ready for production, should bring a higher energy density in a more efficient package, competitors’ offerings all aim to provide the same.\nGeneral Motor’s Ultium platform will enable up to 400-450 miles of range, and the firm is building a new battery research facility aimed at building batteries capable of 600 miles on a single charge. General Motors recently announced a joint venture with LG Chem to build a second U.S. battery cell plant, which is expected to have an annual capacity of 35 gigawatt hours, or slightly above the 30 gigawatt hour capacity of its first Lordstown battery plant. Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas noted that the “formation of Ultium/Ultium Cells LLC will prove to be a critical point of strategic differentiation that will ultimately drive value creation for [GM] shareholders.”\nFord’s Mustang Mach-E became the first electric SUV not made by Tesla to reach an EPA-rated range of up to 300 miles, and the company recently entered a partnership with SK Innovation to build three U.S.-based battery plants to power 1 million EVs annually.\nOn its own, LG Chem plans to expand its existing U.S. facilities and build two more plants that will produce both pouch cells used by General Motors, Ford, Jaguar, Audi, Porsche, and more, as well as the cylindrical cells used by Tesla.\nUltimately, the race for the “perfect” battery is less important than the race to procure battery supplies to build the number of EVs each manufacturer aims to produce in the coming years. The incumbents have proven they can maintain and win a race to procure supplies, and they’ve only been doing it for multiple decades now.\nNot All Supply Issues Can Be Coded Away.To its credit, Tesla managed the global chip shortage relatively well by re-writing software to allow the use of alternative chips. However, not all supply issues can be solved via software, as evidenced by the growing wait times for Tesla’s vehicles. As Electrek notes, Tesla recently updated its delivery timelines for new orders, and depending upon specs, some vehicles won’t be delivered until September 2022 if ordered today. New orders for the Model 3 Standard Range Plus, which is Tesla’s cheapest vehicle, are currently on pace to be delivered in May 2022, or seven months from now.\nWhile certainly not unique to Tesla, extended delivery/wait times give consumers ample time to comparison shop and possibly switch orders to a competitor’s EV that would be available sooner.\nDelivery delays aren’t exclusive to in-production vehicles, but Tesla’s future vehicles as well. The much-hyped Cybertruck has recently been delayed again, this time until at least 2023 (compared to an original late 2021 release), which ultimately gives competitors more time to establish a presence in the EV truck market. I recently outlined the many competitors in the EV truck market in my report on Rivian.\nPutting It All Together: Tesla Provides Poor Risk/Reward\nGiven the challenges ahead for Tesla, coupled with a valuation that implies it will take 60%+ of the global EV market share, I think it is clear: Tesla’s stock offers poor risk/reward.\nTesla has proven risky to short, but investors need not buy shares today at such an elevated price.\nIf you’re buying Tesla at its current valuation, you’re not only betting that it will be the only winner of the electrification of the global automotive fleet, but that it will somehow be twice as profitable as Toyota and achieve at least 60% market share. With anything less than total market domination, TSLA presents large downside risk.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":501,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000542","authorId":"9000000000000542","name":"JeromeErnest","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000542","authorIdStr":"9000000000000542"},"content":"90% of the investors do not understand the principles behind the stock markets, they just follow the trend and what their friends saying. do you agree?😁","text":"90% of the investors do not understand the principles behind the stock markets, they just follow the trend and what their friends saying. do you agree?😁","html":"90% of the investors do not understand the principles behind the stock markets, they just follow the trend and what their friends saying. do you agree?😁"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879737653,"gmtCreate":1636771434463,"gmtModify":1636771434463,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sweet","listText":"Sweet","text":"Sweet","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879737653","repostId":"1129543601","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129543601","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636770982,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129543601?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-13 10:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129543601","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPalantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Palantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating a 30% margin.</li>\n <li>Palantir's commercial revenue increased 37%, and government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3 showing strong forward growth trends.</li>\n <li>Palantir closed 54 deals in Q3 2021 with at least $1 million in contract value with 33 valued at $5+ million and 18 at $10+ million.</li>\n <li>Palantir increases guidance again and expects 40% revenue growth YoY at $1.527 billion and $400 million in FCF up from the previous guidance increase of $300 million.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fd5d395baf412802ef5e554f0efa64b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Andreas Rentz/Getty Images Entertainment</span></p>\n<p>Some investors love to hate Palantir (PLTR), which was nicknamed a black box company in the past, while others absolutely love it because they believe PLTR's software is the future. In my previous article on PLTR, I stated that based on PLTR's current revenue trend, they were setting up to deliver $399.41 million in revenue for Q3 and $423.22 million of revenue in Q4. The consensus number was $386.56 million of revenue in Q3, and PLTR delivered $392.1 million and forecasted $418 million in Q4 2021. The reaction in premarket as the earnings call was being conducted was nothing but a sea of red as PLTR sharply declined, and each time a gap tried to fill, the next leg on the downward spiral started. The news wasn't even digested, yet people decided to either take profits, exit their position or lost faith in PLTR.</p>\n<p>What wasn't there to like in the earnings release to cause the sell-off that has been hovering in the -9.03% range? PLTR delivered 36% YoY revenue growth, added 34 new customers in Q3, and closed 54 deals worth $1 million or more. PLTR increased their remaining deal value by 50% YoY to $3.6 billion and delivered $101 million in cash from operations (26% margin), and $199 million in free cash flow (30% margin). PLTR also increased guidance for 2021 as they now expect revenue growth of 40% YoY compared to their previous projection of 30% and increased their projection in FCF to $400 million from $300 million. In addition to the numbers, PLTR announced new product platforms and use cases that have tremendous potential to drive revenue and FCF in the future. I believe this sell-off will be short-lived and I am looking at it as a buying opportunity.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cfe1dd0e9b2c6a24ce3cb94bcfda56c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p><b>Palantir's revenue continues to expand on both the commercial and government side</b></p>\n<p>Quarter after Quarter since PLTR went public, their commercial business has expanded. After five quarters of going public, PLTR's quarterly commercial revenue has increased by $62 million or 55.36%. In Q3 2021, PLTR delivered $174 million in revenue from its commercial operations, which accounted for 44.38% of its $392.1 million quarterly revenue. Over the previous two years, PLTR's Q3 revenue has increased by 85.11% as it grew by 35.11% in Q3 2020 YoY and by another 37.01% YoY in Q3 of 2021. PLTR's commercial remaining deal value increased by 101% YoY from $1.1 billion in Q3 2020 to $2.2 billion in Q3 2021. Commercial customers are inviting PLTR to present their software solutions, and PLTR is winning their business. In Q3 2021, PLTR added 34 net new customers increasing their commercial customer base by 20% QoQ to 203. Over the past year, PLTR has seen its commercial customer base expand by 46.04% as it has grown by 64 clients from 139 to 203. Anyone who still classifies PLTR as a black box is not being accurate as the commercial market is learning about PLTR's software platforms and implementing their solutions to improve their operations.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa4084630f4e4be30a41c925c5a3fd0a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"374\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)</span></p>\n<p>Since Q1 of 2020, PLTR has increased its quarterly revenue by $163.1 million (71.23%) at an average quarterly growth rate of 9.43% QoQ. In Q3 of 2021, this trend stayed intact as revenue increased by $16.1 million QoQ or 4.28%. While the quarterly revenue growth slowed a bit QoQ compared to 10.26% in Q2 2021, PLTR is projecting its Q4 2021 revenue will be $418 million. PLTR is expecting to deliver another company record and generate $25.9 million (6.61%) in QoQ growth to close out the year.</p>\n<p>The same growth story applies to their total revenue in the trailing twelve months (TTM) as well. Over the last six quarters, PLTR's TTM revenue has increased by $620.6 million (76.55%) from $810.6 million to $1.43 billion. On average, PLTR's TTM revenue growth has increased by $103.42 million (9.94%) QoQ. In Q1 2020 - Q3 2020, their average QoQ revenue growth was $94.03 million, and this has increased substantially as the past three quarters have all increased by at least $105 million QoQ. In Q3 2021, PLTR increased its TTM revenue to $1.43 billion as it added $106.8 million (8.06%) in QoQ revenue growth. Just like the quarterly metric, PLTR's TTM is expected to grow QoQ by an additional $95.9 million to $1.527 billion compared to $1.51 billion in the consensus estimate. This would place PLTR's annual revenue growth YoY well ahead of their 30% projection as they would finish 2021 having increased its revenue by $434.30 million (39.75%)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0ec6211d7ecb04785f406c7661c9124\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)</span></p>\n<p>I am shocked PLTR is still in the red. PLTR is a high-growth company that is now FCF positive and expanding its metrics. In the first nine months of 2020, PLTR generated -$285 million in FCF, and at the end of the first nine months of 2021, PLTR has delivered a $605 million swing as it has produced $320 million in FCF YTD. PLTR previously increased their 2021 FCF guidance to $300, and they just increased it again to $400+ million. In the span of three months, PLTR increased its FCF projection by an additional 33.33%. In Q3, PLTR's FCF margin was 30%, and they are projecting $400+ million in FCF for 2021. At the very minimum, this would mean they will tack on an additional $80 million in FCF for 2021. If PLTR delivers $1.527 billion in revenue and $400 million in FCF, its 2021 FCF margin would be 26.2%. PLTR is still projecting 30% annual revenue growth YoY thru 2025, which would place their 2025 revenue at $4.36 billion based on their projection of $1.527 for 2021. At PLTR's current FCF margin, they would generate $1.14 billion in FCF in 2025. Considering PLTR's current trends, if they exceeded their projections and grew at 35% YoY, it would place their 2025 revenue at $5.07 billion. At their current FCF margin, they would then generate $1.33 billion in FCF in 2025.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87cff0d5c5ef70ea6926a1323c77bfe4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"306\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: PLTR)</span></p>\n<p>PLTR is firing on all cylinders. YoY, their Q3 revenue grew by 36%, they raised guidance on their FCF for a 2nd time from $300 million to $400+ million and have increased their annual revenue growth guidance from 30% to roughly 40%. PLTR is still maintaining its future revenue outlook of 30% annually YoY and is creating some impressive margins. PLTR's commercial revenue grew YoY by 37%, and their government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3. PLTR closed at least 54 deals worth at least $1 million during Q3, and 33 of those were at least $5 million in revenue, and 18 were at least $10 million in revenue. PLTR's growth metrics are impressive, and I am expecting them to under promise and over deliver going forward.</p>\n<p><b>Palantir is entering two new sectors that are going to be huge, carbon emissions, and crypto</b></p>\n<p>In the past, I have written about future opportunities with the government, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), and International Business Machines(NYSE:IBM). On today's earnings call, PLTR introduced significant information surrounding two new products they will be offering for carbon emissions and crypto.</p>\n<p>There has been a fundamental shift in the USA over climate, and President Biden rejoined the Paris Agreement to reengage in tackling climate change. Part ofthe planis to reach a net-zero emission economy-wide by 2050. Recently President Biden at the United Nations climate summit in Glasgow, Scotland, pledged to work with the European Union and dozens of other nations to reduce overall methane emissions worldwide by 30% by 2030. No matter what your stance on climate is, there are many who believe we need to lower emissions, and many nations are working on a goal. To comply, companies such as&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(NYSE:XOM)&nbsp;are conducting longer-term research on several promising innovations with outside organizations, including direct air capture technology to&nbsp;scrub emissions out of the air&nbsp;and carbonate fuel cells&nbsp;to capture industrial emissions&nbsp;from flue gas streams of power plants or manufacturing facilities. Carbon emissions management is already a booming business, and PLTR is creating a module on Foundry to present a single pane to view revenue, margin, production, and all emissions so companies can manage outcomes more efficiently. Personally, I believe this has enormous potential to drive revenue for PLTR in the future.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2386d938e7f452a340dbb130de508f6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p>\n<p>The second huge prospect that PLTR discussed was Foundry for crypto. It looks like PLTR is leveraging their anti-money laundering and know-your-customer expertise. PLTR has worked with several governments over the years to find compliance issues with the world's largest banks and help those banks respond and strengthen their compliance programs. This makes complete sense, and when you go back to the contracts, PLTR has been awarded from the IRS and SEC (discussed in previous articles). In Q3 alone, PLTR inked 6 contracts with the IRS. If I had to guess, PLTR's software would be utilized by the IRS and the SEC on the government side and adopted on the commercial side by banks and crypto exchanges. Currently, in the past 24 hours,Coinbase(NASDAQ:COIN)&nbsp;is showing that Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has incurred a trading volume of $43.8 billion. I think PLTR will end up driving future revenue from both government and commercial contracts from its Foundry for Crypto.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53c762e27799c80dbaa9914bb98a6a10\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"234\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Federal Procurement Database)</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/005d57c6c5c926b35eac100fa35c7415\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>PLTR has become another statistic of the market misunderstanding its earnings and selling the news when the news was great. What more does anyone want PLTR to do? This was an excellent quarter with revenue increasing 36% YoY in Q3, FCF came in at $119 million with a 30% margin, and PLTR closed 54 deals worth more than $1 million each. PLTR beats revenue estimates, increases guidance for its full-year revenue than for the 2nd time, increases its FCF guidance. This was a sell the news on all positive factors, which is creating a buying opportunity. I am staying long on PLTR and plan to add to my position if the sell-off continues.</p>\n<p><b>Seeking Alpha Marketplace</b></p>\n<p>I will be launching a subscription service called Barbell Capital on the Seeking Alpha Marketplace. Barbell Capital will provide exclusive research, model portfolios, investment tools, Q&amp;A sessions, watchlists, and additional features for its members. I will also have a live portfolio dedicated to generating capital from trading, selling puts and selling covered calls. The profits will be allocated to future capital appreciating investments and investing in dividend investments to generate income while we sleep.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-13 10:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4468059-palantir-q3-beat-creating-an-opportunity><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nPalantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating a 30% margin.\nPalantir's commercial revenue increased 37%, and government revenue grew by 34% YoY in...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4468059-palantir-q3-beat-creating-an-opportunity\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4468059-palantir-q3-beat-creating-an-opportunity","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129543601","content_text":"Summary\n\nPalantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating a 30% margin.\nPalantir's commercial revenue increased 37%, and government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3 showing strong forward growth trends.\nPalantir closed 54 deals in Q3 2021 with at least $1 million in contract value with 33 valued at $5+ million and 18 at $10+ million.\nPalantir increases guidance again and expects 40% revenue growth YoY at $1.527 billion and $400 million in FCF up from the previous guidance increase of $300 million.\n\nAndreas Rentz/Getty Images Entertainment\nSome investors love to hate Palantir (PLTR), which was nicknamed a black box company in the past, while others absolutely love it because they believe PLTR's software is the future. In my previous article on PLTR, I stated that based on PLTR's current revenue trend, they were setting up to deliver $399.41 million in revenue for Q3 and $423.22 million of revenue in Q4. The consensus number was $386.56 million of revenue in Q3, and PLTR delivered $392.1 million and forecasted $418 million in Q4 2021. The reaction in premarket as the earnings call was being conducted was nothing but a sea of red as PLTR sharply declined, and each time a gap tried to fill, the next leg on the downward spiral started. The news wasn't even digested, yet people decided to either take profits, exit their position or lost faith in PLTR.\nWhat wasn't there to like in the earnings release to cause the sell-off that has been hovering in the -9.03% range? PLTR delivered 36% YoY revenue growth, added 34 new customers in Q3, and closed 54 deals worth $1 million or more. PLTR increased their remaining deal value by 50% YoY to $3.6 billion and delivered $101 million in cash from operations (26% margin), and $199 million in free cash flow (30% margin). PLTR also increased guidance for 2021 as they now expect revenue growth of 40% YoY compared to their previous projection of 30% and increased their projection in FCF to $400 million from $300 million. In addition to the numbers, PLTR announced new product platforms and use cases that have tremendous potential to drive revenue and FCF in the future. I believe this sell-off will be short-lived and I am looking at it as a buying opportunity.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha)\nPalantir's revenue continues to expand on both the commercial and government side\nQuarter after Quarter since PLTR went public, their commercial business has expanded. After five quarters of going public, PLTR's quarterly commercial revenue has increased by $62 million or 55.36%. In Q3 2021, PLTR delivered $174 million in revenue from its commercial operations, which accounted for 44.38% of its $392.1 million quarterly revenue. Over the previous two years, PLTR's Q3 revenue has increased by 85.11% as it grew by 35.11% in Q3 2020 YoY and by another 37.01% YoY in Q3 of 2021. PLTR's commercial remaining deal value increased by 101% YoY from $1.1 billion in Q3 2020 to $2.2 billion in Q3 2021. Commercial customers are inviting PLTR to present their software solutions, and PLTR is winning their business. In Q3 2021, PLTR added 34 net new customers increasing their commercial customer base by 20% QoQ to 203. Over the past year, PLTR has seen its commercial customer base expand by 46.04% as it has grown by 64 clients from 139 to 203. Anyone who still classifies PLTR as a black box is not being accurate as the commercial market is learning about PLTR's software platforms and implementing their solutions to improve their operations.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)\nSince Q1 of 2020, PLTR has increased its quarterly revenue by $163.1 million (71.23%) at an average quarterly growth rate of 9.43% QoQ. In Q3 of 2021, this trend stayed intact as revenue increased by $16.1 million QoQ or 4.28%. While the quarterly revenue growth slowed a bit QoQ compared to 10.26% in Q2 2021, PLTR is projecting its Q4 2021 revenue will be $418 million. PLTR is expecting to deliver another company record and generate $25.9 million (6.61%) in QoQ growth to close out the year.\nThe same growth story applies to their total revenue in the trailing twelve months (TTM) as well. Over the last six quarters, PLTR's TTM revenue has increased by $620.6 million (76.55%) from $810.6 million to $1.43 billion. On average, PLTR's TTM revenue growth has increased by $103.42 million (9.94%) QoQ. In Q1 2020 - Q3 2020, their average QoQ revenue growth was $94.03 million, and this has increased substantially as the past three quarters have all increased by at least $105 million QoQ. In Q3 2021, PLTR increased its TTM revenue to $1.43 billion as it added $106.8 million (8.06%) in QoQ revenue growth. Just like the quarterly metric, PLTR's TTM is expected to grow QoQ by an additional $95.9 million to $1.527 billion compared to $1.51 billion in the consensus estimate. This would place PLTR's annual revenue growth YoY well ahead of their 30% projection as they would finish 2021 having increased its revenue by $434.30 million (39.75%)\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)\nI am shocked PLTR is still in the red. PLTR is a high-growth company that is now FCF positive and expanding its metrics. In the first nine months of 2020, PLTR generated -$285 million in FCF, and at the end of the first nine months of 2021, PLTR has delivered a $605 million swing as it has produced $320 million in FCF YTD. PLTR previously increased their 2021 FCF guidance to $300, and they just increased it again to $400+ million. In the span of three months, PLTR increased its FCF projection by an additional 33.33%. In Q3, PLTR's FCF margin was 30%, and they are projecting $400+ million in FCF for 2021. At the very minimum, this would mean they will tack on an additional $80 million in FCF for 2021. If PLTR delivers $1.527 billion in revenue and $400 million in FCF, its 2021 FCF margin would be 26.2%. PLTR is still projecting 30% annual revenue growth YoY thru 2025, which would place their 2025 revenue at $4.36 billion based on their projection of $1.527 for 2021. At PLTR's current FCF margin, they would generate $1.14 billion in FCF in 2025. Considering PLTR's current trends, if they exceeded their projections and grew at 35% YoY, it would place their 2025 revenue at $5.07 billion. At their current FCF margin, they would then generate $1.33 billion in FCF in 2025.\n(Source: PLTR)\nPLTR is firing on all cylinders. YoY, their Q3 revenue grew by 36%, they raised guidance on their FCF for a 2nd time from $300 million to $400+ million and have increased their annual revenue growth guidance from 30% to roughly 40%. PLTR is still maintaining its future revenue outlook of 30% annually YoY and is creating some impressive margins. PLTR's commercial revenue grew YoY by 37%, and their government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3. PLTR closed at least 54 deals worth at least $1 million during Q3, and 33 of those were at least $5 million in revenue, and 18 were at least $10 million in revenue. PLTR's growth metrics are impressive, and I am expecting them to under promise and over deliver going forward.\nPalantir is entering two new sectors that are going to be huge, carbon emissions, and crypto\nIn the past, I have written about future opportunities with the government, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), and International Business Machines(NYSE:IBM). On today's earnings call, PLTR introduced significant information surrounding two new products they will be offering for carbon emissions and crypto.\nThere has been a fundamental shift in the USA over climate, and President Biden rejoined the Paris Agreement to reengage in tackling climate change. Part ofthe planis to reach a net-zero emission economy-wide by 2050. Recently President Biden at the United Nations climate summit in Glasgow, Scotland, pledged to work with the European Union and dozens of other nations to reduce overall methane emissions worldwide by 30% by 2030. No matter what your stance on climate is, there are many who believe we need to lower emissions, and many nations are working on a goal. To comply, companies such as Exxon Mobil(NYSE:XOM) are conducting longer-term research on several promising innovations with outside organizations, including direct air capture technology to scrub emissions out of the air and carbonate fuel cells to capture industrial emissions from flue gas streams of power plants or manufacturing facilities. Carbon emissions management is already a booming business, and PLTR is creating a module on Foundry to present a single pane to view revenue, margin, production, and all emissions so companies can manage outcomes more efficiently. Personally, I believe this has enormous potential to drive revenue for PLTR in the future.\n(Source: Palantir)\nThe second huge prospect that PLTR discussed was Foundry for crypto. It looks like PLTR is leveraging their anti-money laundering and know-your-customer expertise. PLTR has worked with several governments over the years to find compliance issues with the world's largest banks and help those banks respond and strengthen their compliance programs. This makes complete sense, and when you go back to the contracts, PLTR has been awarded from the IRS and SEC (discussed in previous articles). In Q3 alone, PLTR inked 6 contracts with the IRS. If I had to guess, PLTR's software would be utilized by the IRS and the SEC on the government side and adopted on the commercial side by banks and crypto exchanges. Currently, in the past 24 hours,Coinbase(NASDAQ:COIN) is showing that Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has incurred a trading volume of $43.8 billion. I think PLTR will end up driving future revenue from both government and commercial contracts from its Foundry for Crypto.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Federal Procurement Database)\n(Source: Palantir)\nConclusion\nPLTR has become another statistic of the market misunderstanding its earnings and selling the news when the news was great. What more does anyone want PLTR to do? This was an excellent quarter with revenue increasing 36% YoY in Q3, FCF came in at $119 million with a 30% margin, and PLTR closed 54 deals worth more than $1 million each. PLTR beats revenue estimates, increases guidance for its full-year revenue than for the 2nd time, increases its FCF guidance. This was a sell the news on all positive factors, which is creating a buying opportunity. I am staying long on PLTR and plan to add to my position if the sell-off continues.\nSeeking Alpha Marketplace\nI will be launching a subscription service called Barbell Capital on the Seeking Alpha Marketplace. Barbell Capital will provide exclusive research, model portfolios, investment tools, Q&A sessions, watchlists, and additional features for its members. I will also have a live portfolio dedicated to generating capital from trading, selling puts and selling covered calls. The profits will be allocated to future capital appreciating investments and investing in dividend investments to generate income while we sleep.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":256,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879737355,"gmtCreate":1636771412242,"gmtModify":1636771412242,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879737355","repostId":"1129543601","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129543601","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636770982,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129543601?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-13 10:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129543601","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPalantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Palantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating a 30% margin.</li>\n <li>Palantir's commercial revenue increased 37%, and government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3 showing strong forward growth trends.</li>\n <li>Palantir closed 54 deals in Q3 2021 with at least $1 million in contract value with 33 valued at $5+ million and 18 at $10+ million.</li>\n <li>Palantir increases guidance again and expects 40% revenue growth YoY at $1.527 billion and $400 million in FCF up from the previous guidance increase of $300 million.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fd5d395baf412802ef5e554f0efa64b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Andreas Rentz/Getty Images Entertainment</span></p>\n<p>Some investors love to hate Palantir (PLTR), which was nicknamed a black box company in the past, while others absolutely love it because they believe PLTR's software is the future. In my previous article on PLTR, I stated that based on PLTR's current revenue trend, they were setting up to deliver $399.41 million in revenue for Q3 and $423.22 million of revenue in Q4. The consensus number was $386.56 million of revenue in Q3, and PLTR delivered $392.1 million and forecasted $418 million in Q4 2021. The reaction in premarket as the earnings call was being conducted was nothing but a sea of red as PLTR sharply declined, and each time a gap tried to fill, the next leg on the downward spiral started. The news wasn't even digested, yet people decided to either take profits, exit their position or lost faith in PLTR.</p>\n<p>What wasn't there to like in the earnings release to cause the sell-off that has been hovering in the -9.03% range? PLTR delivered 36% YoY revenue growth, added 34 new customers in Q3, and closed 54 deals worth $1 million or more. PLTR increased their remaining deal value by 50% YoY to $3.6 billion and delivered $101 million in cash from operations (26% margin), and $199 million in free cash flow (30% margin). PLTR also increased guidance for 2021 as they now expect revenue growth of 40% YoY compared to their previous projection of 30% and increased their projection in FCF to $400 million from $300 million. In addition to the numbers, PLTR announced new product platforms and use cases that have tremendous potential to drive revenue and FCF in the future. I believe this sell-off will be short-lived and I am looking at it as a buying opportunity.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cfe1dd0e9b2c6a24ce3cb94bcfda56c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p><b>Palantir's revenue continues to expand on both the commercial and government side</b></p>\n<p>Quarter after Quarter since PLTR went public, their commercial business has expanded. After five quarters of going public, PLTR's quarterly commercial revenue has increased by $62 million or 55.36%. In Q3 2021, PLTR delivered $174 million in revenue from its commercial operations, which accounted for 44.38% of its $392.1 million quarterly revenue. Over the previous two years, PLTR's Q3 revenue has increased by 85.11% as it grew by 35.11% in Q3 2020 YoY and by another 37.01% YoY in Q3 of 2021. PLTR's commercial remaining deal value increased by 101% YoY from $1.1 billion in Q3 2020 to $2.2 billion in Q3 2021. Commercial customers are inviting PLTR to present their software solutions, and PLTR is winning their business. In Q3 2021, PLTR added 34 net new customers increasing their commercial customer base by 20% QoQ to 203. Over the past year, PLTR has seen its commercial customer base expand by 46.04% as it has grown by 64 clients from 139 to 203. Anyone who still classifies PLTR as a black box is not being accurate as the commercial market is learning about PLTR's software platforms and implementing their solutions to improve their operations.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa4084630f4e4be30a41c925c5a3fd0a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"374\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)</span></p>\n<p>Since Q1 of 2020, PLTR has increased its quarterly revenue by $163.1 million (71.23%) at an average quarterly growth rate of 9.43% QoQ. In Q3 of 2021, this trend stayed intact as revenue increased by $16.1 million QoQ or 4.28%. While the quarterly revenue growth slowed a bit QoQ compared to 10.26% in Q2 2021, PLTR is projecting its Q4 2021 revenue will be $418 million. PLTR is expecting to deliver another company record and generate $25.9 million (6.61%) in QoQ growth to close out the year.</p>\n<p>The same growth story applies to their total revenue in the trailing twelve months (TTM) as well. Over the last six quarters, PLTR's TTM revenue has increased by $620.6 million (76.55%) from $810.6 million to $1.43 billion. On average, PLTR's TTM revenue growth has increased by $103.42 million (9.94%) QoQ. In Q1 2020 - Q3 2020, their average QoQ revenue growth was $94.03 million, and this has increased substantially as the past three quarters have all increased by at least $105 million QoQ. In Q3 2021, PLTR increased its TTM revenue to $1.43 billion as it added $106.8 million (8.06%) in QoQ revenue growth. Just like the quarterly metric, PLTR's TTM is expected to grow QoQ by an additional $95.9 million to $1.527 billion compared to $1.51 billion in the consensus estimate. This would place PLTR's annual revenue growth YoY well ahead of their 30% projection as they would finish 2021 having increased its revenue by $434.30 million (39.75%)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0ec6211d7ecb04785f406c7661c9124\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)</span></p>\n<p>I am shocked PLTR is still in the red. PLTR is a high-growth company that is now FCF positive and expanding its metrics. In the first nine months of 2020, PLTR generated -$285 million in FCF, and at the end of the first nine months of 2021, PLTR has delivered a $605 million swing as it has produced $320 million in FCF YTD. PLTR previously increased their 2021 FCF guidance to $300, and they just increased it again to $400+ million. In the span of three months, PLTR increased its FCF projection by an additional 33.33%. In Q3, PLTR's FCF margin was 30%, and they are projecting $400+ million in FCF for 2021. At the very minimum, this would mean they will tack on an additional $80 million in FCF for 2021. If PLTR delivers $1.527 billion in revenue and $400 million in FCF, its 2021 FCF margin would be 26.2%. PLTR is still projecting 30% annual revenue growth YoY thru 2025, which would place their 2025 revenue at $4.36 billion based on their projection of $1.527 for 2021. At PLTR's current FCF margin, they would generate $1.14 billion in FCF in 2025. Considering PLTR's current trends, if they exceeded their projections and grew at 35% YoY, it would place their 2025 revenue at $5.07 billion. At their current FCF margin, they would then generate $1.33 billion in FCF in 2025.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87cff0d5c5ef70ea6926a1323c77bfe4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"306\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: PLTR)</span></p>\n<p>PLTR is firing on all cylinders. YoY, their Q3 revenue grew by 36%, they raised guidance on their FCF for a 2nd time from $300 million to $400+ million and have increased their annual revenue growth guidance from 30% to roughly 40%. PLTR is still maintaining its future revenue outlook of 30% annually YoY and is creating some impressive margins. PLTR's commercial revenue grew YoY by 37%, and their government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3. PLTR closed at least 54 deals worth at least $1 million during Q3, and 33 of those were at least $5 million in revenue, and 18 were at least $10 million in revenue. PLTR's growth metrics are impressive, and I am expecting them to under promise and over deliver going forward.</p>\n<p><b>Palantir is entering two new sectors that are going to be huge, carbon emissions, and crypto</b></p>\n<p>In the past, I have written about future opportunities with the government, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), and International Business Machines(NYSE:IBM). On today's earnings call, PLTR introduced significant information surrounding two new products they will be offering for carbon emissions and crypto.</p>\n<p>There has been a fundamental shift in the USA over climate, and President Biden rejoined the Paris Agreement to reengage in tackling climate change. Part ofthe planis to reach a net-zero emission economy-wide by 2050. Recently President Biden at the United Nations climate summit in Glasgow, Scotland, pledged to work with the European Union and dozens of other nations to reduce overall methane emissions worldwide by 30% by 2030. No matter what your stance on climate is, there are many who believe we need to lower emissions, and many nations are working on a goal. To comply, companies such as&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(NYSE:XOM)&nbsp;are conducting longer-term research on several promising innovations with outside organizations, including direct air capture technology to&nbsp;scrub emissions out of the air&nbsp;and carbonate fuel cells&nbsp;to capture industrial emissions&nbsp;from flue gas streams of power plants or manufacturing facilities. Carbon emissions management is already a booming business, and PLTR is creating a module on Foundry to present a single pane to view revenue, margin, production, and all emissions so companies can manage outcomes more efficiently. Personally, I believe this has enormous potential to drive revenue for PLTR in the future.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2386d938e7f452a340dbb130de508f6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p>\n<p>The second huge prospect that PLTR discussed was Foundry for crypto. It looks like PLTR is leveraging their anti-money laundering and know-your-customer expertise. PLTR has worked with several governments over the years to find compliance issues with the world's largest banks and help those banks respond and strengthen their compliance programs. This makes complete sense, and when you go back to the contracts, PLTR has been awarded from the IRS and SEC (discussed in previous articles). In Q3 alone, PLTR inked 6 contracts with the IRS. If I had to guess, PLTR's software would be utilized by the IRS and the SEC on the government side and adopted on the commercial side by banks and crypto exchanges. Currently, in the past 24 hours,Coinbase(NASDAQ:COIN)&nbsp;is showing that Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has incurred a trading volume of $43.8 billion. I think PLTR will end up driving future revenue from both government and commercial contracts from its Foundry for Crypto.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53c762e27799c80dbaa9914bb98a6a10\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"234\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Federal Procurement Database)</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/005d57c6c5c926b35eac100fa35c7415\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>PLTR has become another statistic of the market misunderstanding its earnings and selling the news when the news was great. What more does anyone want PLTR to do? This was an excellent quarter with revenue increasing 36% YoY in Q3, FCF came in at $119 million with a 30% margin, and PLTR closed 54 deals worth more than $1 million each. PLTR beats revenue estimates, increases guidance for its full-year revenue than for the 2nd time, increases its FCF guidance. This was a sell the news on all positive factors, which is creating a buying opportunity. I am staying long on PLTR and plan to add to my position if the sell-off continues.</p>\n<p><b>Seeking Alpha Marketplace</b></p>\n<p>I will be launching a subscription service called Barbell Capital on the Seeking Alpha Marketplace. Barbell Capital will provide exclusive research, model portfolios, investment tools, Q&amp;A sessions, watchlists, and additional features for its members. I will also have a live portfolio dedicated to generating capital from trading, selling puts and selling covered calls. The profits will be allocated to future capital appreciating investments and investing in dividend investments to generate income while we sleep.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-13 10:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4468059-palantir-q3-beat-creating-an-opportunity><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nPalantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating a 30% margin.\nPalantir's commercial revenue increased 37%, and government revenue grew by 34% YoY in...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4468059-palantir-q3-beat-creating-an-opportunity\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4468059-palantir-q3-beat-creating-an-opportunity","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129543601","content_text":"Summary\n\nPalantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating a 30% margin.\nPalantir's commercial revenue increased 37%, and government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3 showing strong forward growth trends.\nPalantir closed 54 deals in Q3 2021 with at least $1 million in contract value with 33 valued at $5+ million and 18 at $10+ million.\nPalantir increases guidance again and expects 40% revenue growth YoY at $1.527 billion and $400 million in FCF up from the previous guidance increase of $300 million.\n\nAndreas Rentz/Getty Images Entertainment\nSome investors love to hate Palantir (PLTR), which was nicknamed a black box company in the past, while others absolutely love it because they believe PLTR's software is the future. In my previous article on PLTR, I stated that based on PLTR's current revenue trend, they were setting up to deliver $399.41 million in revenue for Q3 and $423.22 million of revenue in Q4. The consensus number was $386.56 million of revenue in Q3, and PLTR delivered $392.1 million and forecasted $418 million in Q4 2021. The reaction in premarket as the earnings call was being conducted was nothing but a sea of red as PLTR sharply declined, and each time a gap tried to fill, the next leg on the downward spiral started. The news wasn't even digested, yet people decided to either take profits, exit their position or lost faith in PLTR.\nWhat wasn't there to like in the earnings release to cause the sell-off that has been hovering in the -9.03% range? PLTR delivered 36% YoY revenue growth, added 34 new customers in Q3, and closed 54 deals worth $1 million or more. PLTR increased their remaining deal value by 50% YoY to $3.6 billion and delivered $101 million in cash from operations (26% margin), and $199 million in free cash flow (30% margin). PLTR also increased guidance for 2021 as they now expect revenue growth of 40% YoY compared to their previous projection of 30% and increased their projection in FCF to $400 million from $300 million. In addition to the numbers, PLTR announced new product platforms and use cases that have tremendous potential to drive revenue and FCF in the future. I believe this sell-off will be short-lived and I am looking at it as a buying opportunity.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha)\nPalantir's revenue continues to expand on both the commercial and government side\nQuarter after Quarter since PLTR went public, their commercial business has expanded. After five quarters of going public, PLTR's quarterly commercial revenue has increased by $62 million or 55.36%. In Q3 2021, PLTR delivered $174 million in revenue from its commercial operations, which accounted for 44.38% of its $392.1 million quarterly revenue. Over the previous two years, PLTR's Q3 revenue has increased by 85.11% as it grew by 35.11% in Q3 2020 YoY and by another 37.01% YoY in Q3 of 2021. PLTR's commercial remaining deal value increased by 101% YoY from $1.1 billion in Q3 2020 to $2.2 billion in Q3 2021. Commercial customers are inviting PLTR to present their software solutions, and PLTR is winning their business. In Q3 2021, PLTR added 34 net new customers increasing their commercial customer base by 20% QoQ to 203. Over the past year, PLTR has seen its commercial customer base expand by 46.04% as it has grown by 64 clients from 139 to 203. Anyone who still classifies PLTR as a black box is not being accurate as the commercial market is learning about PLTR's software platforms and implementing their solutions to improve their operations.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)\nSince Q1 of 2020, PLTR has increased its quarterly revenue by $163.1 million (71.23%) at an average quarterly growth rate of 9.43% QoQ. In Q3 of 2021, this trend stayed intact as revenue increased by $16.1 million QoQ or 4.28%. While the quarterly revenue growth slowed a bit QoQ compared to 10.26% in Q2 2021, PLTR is projecting its Q4 2021 revenue will be $418 million. PLTR is expecting to deliver another company record and generate $25.9 million (6.61%) in QoQ growth to close out the year.\nThe same growth story applies to their total revenue in the trailing twelve months (TTM) as well. Over the last six quarters, PLTR's TTM revenue has increased by $620.6 million (76.55%) from $810.6 million to $1.43 billion. On average, PLTR's TTM revenue growth has increased by $103.42 million (9.94%) QoQ. In Q1 2020 - Q3 2020, their average QoQ revenue growth was $94.03 million, and this has increased substantially as the past three quarters have all increased by at least $105 million QoQ. In Q3 2021, PLTR increased its TTM revenue to $1.43 billion as it added $106.8 million (8.06%) in QoQ revenue growth. Just like the quarterly metric, PLTR's TTM is expected to grow QoQ by an additional $95.9 million to $1.527 billion compared to $1.51 billion in the consensus estimate. This would place PLTR's annual revenue growth YoY well ahead of their 30% projection as they would finish 2021 having increased its revenue by $434.30 million (39.75%)\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)\nI am shocked PLTR is still in the red. PLTR is a high-growth company that is now FCF positive and expanding its metrics. In the first nine months of 2020, PLTR generated -$285 million in FCF, and at the end of the first nine months of 2021, PLTR has delivered a $605 million swing as it has produced $320 million in FCF YTD. PLTR previously increased their 2021 FCF guidance to $300, and they just increased it again to $400+ million. In the span of three months, PLTR increased its FCF projection by an additional 33.33%. In Q3, PLTR's FCF margin was 30%, and they are projecting $400+ million in FCF for 2021. At the very minimum, this would mean they will tack on an additional $80 million in FCF for 2021. If PLTR delivers $1.527 billion in revenue and $400 million in FCF, its 2021 FCF margin would be 26.2%. PLTR is still projecting 30% annual revenue growth YoY thru 2025, which would place their 2025 revenue at $4.36 billion based on their projection of $1.527 for 2021. At PLTR's current FCF margin, they would generate $1.14 billion in FCF in 2025. Considering PLTR's current trends, if they exceeded their projections and grew at 35% YoY, it would place their 2025 revenue at $5.07 billion. At their current FCF margin, they would then generate $1.33 billion in FCF in 2025.\n(Source: PLTR)\nPLTR is firing on all cylinders. YoY, their Q3 revenue grew by 36%, they raised guidance on their FCF for a 2nd time from $300 million to $400+ million and have increased their annual revenue growth guidance from 30% to roughly 40%. PLTR is still maintaining its future revenue outlook of 30% annually YoY and is creating some impressive margins. PLTR's commercial revenue grew YoY by 37%, and their government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3. PLTR closed at least 54 deals worth at least $1 million during Q3, and 33 of those were at least $5 million in revenue, and 18 were at least $10 million in revenue. PLTR's growth metrics are impressive, and I am expecting them to under promise and over deliver going forward.\nPalantir is entering two new sectors that are going to be huge, carbon emissions, and crypto\nIn the past, I have written about future opportunities with the government, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), and International Business Machines(NYSE:IBM). On today's earnings call, PLTR introduced significant information surrounding two new products they will be offering for carbon emissions and crypto.\nThere has been a fundamental shift in the USA over climate, and President Biden rejoined the Paris Agreement to reengage in tackling climate change. Part ofthe planis to reach a net-zero emission economy-wide by 2050. Recently President Biden at the United Nations climate summit in Glasgow, Scotland, pledged to work with the European Union and dozens of other nations to reduce overall methane emissions worldwide by 30% by 2030. No matter what your stance on climate is, there are many who believe we need to lower emissions, and many nations are working on a goal. To comply, companies such as Exxon Mobil(NYSE:XOM) are conducting longer-term research on several promising innovations with outside organizations, including direct air capture technology to scrub emissions out of the air and carbonate fuel cells to capture industrial emissions from flue gas streams of power plants or manufacturing facilities. Carbon emissions management is already a booming business, and PLTR is creating a module on Foundry to present a single pane to view revenue, margin, production, and all emissions so companies can manage outcomes more efficiently. Personally, I believe this has enormous potential to drive revenue for PLTR in the future.\n(Source: Palantir)\nThe second huge prospect that PLTR discussed was Foundry for crypto. It looks like PLTR is leveraging their anti-money laundering and know-your-customer expertise. PLTR has worked with several governments over the years to find compliance issues with the world's largest banks and help those banks respond and strengthen their compliance programs. This makes complete sense, and when you go back to the contracts, PLTR has been awarded from the IRS and SEC (discussed in previous articles). In Q3 alone, PLTR inked 6 contracts with the IRS. If I had to guess, PLTR's software would be utilized by the IRS and the SEC on the government side and adopted on the commercial side by banks and crypto exchanges. Currently, in the past 24 hours,Coinbase(NASDAQ:COIN) is showing that Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has incurred a trading volume of $43.8 billion. I think PLTR will end up driving future revenue from both government and commercial contracts from its Foundry for Crypto.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Federal Procurement Database)\n(Source: Palantir)\nConclusion\nPLTR has become another statistic of the market misunderstanding its earnings and selling the news when the news was great. What more does anyone want PLTR to do? This was an excellent quarter with revenue increasing 36% YoY in Q3, FCF came in at $119 million with a 30% margin, and PLTR closed 54 deals worth more than $1 million each. PLTR beats revenue estimates, increases guidance for its full-year revenue than for the 2nd time, increases its FCF guidance. This was a sell the news on all positive factors, which is creating a buying opportunity. I am staying long on PLTR and plan to add to my position if the sell-off continues.\nSeeking Alpha Marketplace\nI will be launching a subscription service called Barbell Capital on the Seeking Alpha Marketplace. Barbell Capital will provide exclusive research, model portfolios, investment tools, Q&A sessions, watchlists, and additional features for its members. I will also have a live portfolio dedicated to generating capital from trading, selling puts and selling covered calls. The profits will be allocated to future capital appreciating investments and investing in dividend investments to generate income while we sleep.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879705516,"gmtCreate":1636769905613,"gmtModify":1636769905613,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wa&nbsp; millions share&nbsp;","listText":"Wa&nbsp; millions share&nbsp;","text":"Wa millions share","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879705516","repostId":"1151602326","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1151602326","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636767621,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151602326?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-13 09:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Musk sold 1.2 million Tesla shares on November 12","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151602326","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Musk sold 1.2 million Tesla shares at an average price of $1032.5 on November 12,according to SEC documents.At present, Musk still holds 166.3 million Tesla shares.So far, Musk has sold about 6.34 million Tesla shares since November 8. Previously, musk promised on Twitter to sell 10% of its Tesla shares, namely 17.05 million shares. At present, musk has sold only 37.1% of its promised shares, and needs to sell at least 10.7 million Tesla shares.","content":"<p>Musk sold 1.2 million Tesla shares at an average price of $1032.5 on November 12,according to SEC documents.At present, Musk still holds 166.3 million Tesla shares.</p>\n<p>So far, Musk has sold about 6.34 million Tesla shares since November 8. Previously, musk promised on Twitter to sell 10% of its Tesla shares, namely 17.05 million shares. At present, musk has sold only 37.1% of its promised shares, and needs to sell at least 10.7 million Tesla shares.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Musk sold 1.2 million Tesla shares on November 12</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMusk sold 1.2 million Tesla shares on November 12\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-11-13 09:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Musk sold 1.2 million Tesla shares at an average price of $1032.5 on November 12,according to SEC documents.At present, Musk still holds 166.3 million Tesla shares.</p>\n<p>So far, Musk has sold about 6.34 million Tesla shares since November 8. Previously, musk promised on Twitter to sell 10% of its Tesla shares, namely 17.05 million shares. At present, musk has sold only 37.1% of its promised shares, and needs to sell at least 10.7 million Tesla shares.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151602326","content_text":"Musk sold 1.2 million Tesla shares at an average price of $1032.5 on November 12,according to SEC documents.At present, Musk still holds 166.3 million Tesla shares.\nSo far, Musk has sold about 6.34 million Tesla shares since November 8. Previously, musk promised on Twitter to sell 10% of its Tesla shares, namely 17.05 million shares. At present, musk has sold only 37.1% of its promised shares, and needs to sell at least 10.7 million Tesla shares.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":600330161,"gmtCreate":1638064801574,"gmtModify":1638064801574,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like like like","listText":"Like like like","text":"Like like like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600330161","repostId":"2186340224","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":911,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873753434,"gmtCreate":1636988633348,"gmtModify":1636988633460,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Come on drop back to where it suppose to be so that we can buy millions shares","listText":"Come on drop back to where it suppose to be so that we can buy millions shares","text":"Come on drop back to where it suppose to be so that we can buy millions shares","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873753434","repostId":"1132196295","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1132196295","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636987213,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132196295?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-15 22:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla once fell below 1000 dollars in morning trading as Musk sold about 6.34 million Tesla shares this month","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132196295","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Update: Nov 15, 2021 at 9:46 a.m. ET)\nTesla‘s price once fell below 1000 dollars in morning trading","content":"<p>(Update: Nov 15, 2021 at 9:46 a.m. ET)</p>\n<p>Tesla‘s&nbsp;price&nbsp;once&nbsp;fell&nbsp;below&nbsp;1000&nbsp;dollars&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb06e5c0e3aac2fa18d4689e517035df\" tg-width=\"776\" tg-height=\"562\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Musk sold about 6.34 million Tesla shares this month. According to reports, Tesla CEO Musk hinted that he would sell more Tesla shares.Moreover,Michael Bury, a \"big bear\", tweeted that Musk only wanted to cash out at a high position.</p>\n<p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla once fell below 1000 dollars in morning trading as Musk sold about 6.34 million Tesla shares this month</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla once fell below 1000 dollars in morning trading as Musk sold about 6.34 million Tesla shares this month\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-11-15 22:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Update: Nov 15, 2021 at 9:46 a.m. ET)</p>\n<p>Tesla‘s&nbsp;price&nbsp;once&nbsp;fell&nbsp;below&nbsp;1000&nbsp;dollars&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb06e5c0e3aac2fa18d4689e517035df\" tg-width=\"776\" tg-height=\"562\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Musk sold about 6.34 million Tesla shares this month. According to reports, Tesla CEO Musk hinted that he would sell more Tesla shares.Moreover,Michael Bury, a \"big bear\", tweeted that Musk only wanted to cash out at a high position.</p>\n<p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132196295","content_text":"(Update: Nov 15, 2021 at 9:46 a.m. ET)\nTesla‘s price once fell below 1000 dollars in morning trading.\nMusk sold about 6.34 million Tesla shares this month. According to reports, Tesla CEO Musk hinted that he would sell more Tesla shares.Moreover,Michael Bury, a \"big bear\", tweeted that Musk only wanted to cash out at a high position.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698483869,"gmtCreate":1640492303230,"gmtModify":1640492303412,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698483869","repostId":"2193781141","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2193781141","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1640485676,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2193781141?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-26 10:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Top Tech Stocks to Buy During a Recession","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2193781141","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Market crashes are inevitable, but they're the perfect time to buy great businesses at a discount.","content":"<p>We're days away from the end of 2021, and the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> has put on a master class in outperforming expectations. Even with its pullback in recent days, the broad market index has gained nearly 30% this year, more than double its long-term historical average.</p>\n<p>Yet that just means we're another day closer to the inevitable market correction. Just as night follows day, a stock market crash is inevitable because market declines are a natural part of the normal business and investment cycle. No <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> can forecast exactly when it will strike, but smart investors realize it's best to prepare for the eventuality.</p>\n<p>For as long as people have been investing, stretching even as far back to the Dutch tulip mania in the 1600s, busts have followed booms. And what a boom we've enjoyed! Since the bottom of the Great Recession, the S&amp;P 500 has quadrupled in value.</p>\n<p>2020's pandemic-driven 34% drop in the stock indexes within the span of just a few weeks was the worst on record. But savvy investors don't have to worry. These events are not a problem when you're invested in the right companies. Being prepared for the worst and hoping for the best means when the next stock market crash or correction occurs, you'll want to have your money invested in stocks that will help lead the way forward. Here are two tech stocks you'll want to buy.</p>\n<h2>1. Apple</h2>\n<p>The burden that inflation is imposing on consumers also poses a threat to some of the biggest, best-run businesses, like <b>Apple</b> (NASDAQ:AAPL), which is currently benefiting from the smartphone upgrade cycle and the rollout of 5G network infrastructure. Any attempt by the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates to contain runaway inflation could cause an economic slowdown by making money more expensive to borrow. Stock valuations would also turn lower.</p>\n<p>That's not necessarily bad news for investors who might find Apple's $2.8 trillion valuation a bit rich to buy into at the moment. The stock trades at 30 times trailing earnings, or about double its typical multiple. A correction would bring Apple back into the realm of the attainable, even as its business continues jogging forward.</p>\n<p>Sales of the iPhone 13 are outpacing those of the iPhone 12 at the same time, but Apple reportedly warned suppliers that demand is waning as the calendar year progresses. It's not necessarily for a lack of consumer desire, but rather the global supply chain constraints that have made it difficult to find the product. Apple previously cut its iPhone production target by 10 million units from its original goal of 90 million.</p>\n<p>Analysts think many consumers may choose to forgo the iPhone 13 and wait for the next upgrade. Coupled with a market crash, that could put Apple stock at a very attractive entry point with pent-up demand for the next iteration of the iPhone.</p>\n<h2>2. Amazon</h2>\n<p>Few companies are as essential to the working of the U.S. economy as <b>Amazon</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:AMZN). It will account for 41.4% of all online spending in the U.S. this year, according to eMarketer estimates. At the same time, Amazon Web Services (AWS), its cloud infrastructure business, is on track to generate over $60 billion in annual revenue in 2021 based on its year-to-date performance. The company is responsible for thousands of web-based businesses and the federal government's ability to remain online, making Amazon crucial to a well-functioning economy.</p>\n<p>That won't change if the stock market collapses. Its share of U.S. retail e-commerce sales will be more than 50% larger than the shares of the next nine e-commerce companies combined. Amazon's piece of the online market is nearly six times more than <b>Walmart</b>'s second-place share at just 7.2%, and 10 times greater than third-place <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a></b>. E-commerce data tracker Edge by Ascential expects Amazon will see $26.7 billion just in online grocery sales five from now years, or nearly double its current amount.</p>\n<p>Amid rising prices and supply chain woes, Amazon has become a lifeline for many, and that will continue long after any financial restructuring. The stock gained 76% during the first year of the pandemic and took a breather during the reopening of the economy. Amazon shares have been relatively flat all year long. A correction would allow investors to buy a tech stock at a more reasonable valuation even as its crucial role only gets reinforced.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Top Tech Stocks to Buy During a Recession</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Top Tech Stocks to Buy During a Recession\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-26 10:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/24/2-top-tech-stocks-to-buy-during-a-recession/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>We're days away from the end of 2021, and the S&P 500 has put on a master class in outperforming expectations. Even with its pullback in recent days, the broad market index has gained nearly 30% ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/24/2-top-tech-stocks-to-buy-during-a-recession/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4538":"云计算","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","AMZN":"亚马逊","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","AAPL":"苹果","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/24/2-top-tech-stocks-to-buy-during-a-recession/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2193781141","content_text":"We're days away from the end of 2021, and the S&P 500 has put on a master class in outperforming expectations. Even with its pullback in recent days, the broad market index has gained nearly 30% this year, more than double its long-term historical average.\nYet that just means we're another day closer to the inevitable market correction. Just as night follows day, a stock market crash is inevitable because market declines are a natural part of the normal business and investment cycle. No one can forecast exactly when it will strike, but smart investors realize it's best to prepare for the eventuality.\nFor as long as people have been investing, stretching even as far back to the Dutch tulip mania in the 1600s, busts have followed booms. And what a boom we've enjoyed! Since the bottom of the Great Recession, the S&P 500 has quadrupled in value.\n2020's pandemic-driven 34% drop in the stock indexes within the span of just a few weeks was the worst on record. But savvy investors don't have to worry. These events are not a problem when you're invested in the right companies. Being prepared for the worst and hoping for the best means when the next stock market crash or correction occurs, you'll want to have your money invested in stocks that will help lead the way forward. Here are two tech stocks you'll want to buy.\n1. Apple\nThe burden that inflation is imposing on consumers also poses a threat to some of the biggest, best-run businesses, like Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), which is currently benefiting from the smartphone upgrade cycle and the rollout of 5G network infrastructure. Any attempt by the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates to contain runaway inflation could cause an economic slowdown by making money more expensive to borrow. Stock valuations would also turn lower.\nThat's not necessarily bad news for investors who might find Apple's $2.8 trillion valuation a bit rich to buy into at the moment. The stock trades at 30 times trailing earnings, or about double its typical multiple. A correction would bring Apple back into the realm of the attainable, even as its business continues jogging forward.\nSales of the iPhone 13 are outpacing those of the iPhone 12 at the same time, but Apple reportedly warned suppliers that demand is waning as the calendar year progresses. It's not necessarily for a lack of consumer desire, but rather the global supply chain constraints that have made it difficult to find the product. Apple previously cut its iPhone production target by 10 million units from its original goal of 90 million.\nAnalysts think many consumers may choose to forgo the iPhone 13 and wait for the next upgrade. Coupled with a market crash, that could put Apple stock at a very attractive entry point with pent-up demand for the next iteration of the iPhone.\n2. Amazon\nFew companies are as essential to the working of the U.S. economy as Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN). It will account for 41.4% of all online spending in the U.S. this year, according to eMarketer estimates. At the same time, Amazon Web Services (AWS), its cloud infrastructure business, is on track to generate over $60 billion in annual revenue in 2021 based on its year-to-date performance. The company is responsible for thousands of web-based businesses and the federal government's ability to remain online, making Amazon crucial to a well-functioning economy.\nThat won't change if the stock market collapses. Its share of U.S. retail e-commerce sales will be more than 50% larger than the shares of the next nine e-commerce companies combined. Amazon's piece of the online market is nearly six times more than Walmart's second-place share at just 7.2%, and 10 times greater than third-place eBay. E-commerce data tracker Edge by Ascential expects Amazon will see $26.7 billion just in online grocery sales five from now years, or nearly double its current amount.\nAmid rising prices and supply chain woes, Amazon has become a lifeline for many, and that will continue long after any financial restructuring. The stock gained 76% during the first year of the pandemic and took a breather during the reopening of the economy. Amazon shares have been relatively flat all year long. A correction would allow investors to buy a tech stock at a more reasonable valuation even as its crucial role only gets reinforced.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":953,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602437848,"gmtCreate":1639055515496,"gmtModify":1639055515593,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Drop more as santa gifts for us","listText":"Drop more as santa gifts for us","text":"Drop more as santa gifts for us","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602437848","repostId":"1163175495","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163175495","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639056901,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163175495?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-09 21:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163175495","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock-index futures hold solid losses after initial jobless claims come in at 184,000.\nAt 8:34 ","content":"<p>U.S.&nbsp;stock-index futures hold solid losses after initial jobless claims come in at 184,000.</p>\n<p>At 8:34 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 168 points, or 0.47%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 21 points, or 0.45%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 80.5 points, or 0.49%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e48b5d3abdc91abde117585acac09b40\" tg-width=\"401\" tg-height=\"184\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Weekly jobless claims reached tumbled last week, reaching a fresh 52-year low as the U.S. jobs market climbs out of its pandemic-era hole, the Labor Department reported Thursday.</p>\n<p>Initial filings for unemployment insurance totaled 184,000 for the week ended Dec. 4, the lowest going back to Sept. 6, 1969, which saw 182,000.</p>\n<p>Initial claims for unemployment insurance were expected to total 211,000 for the week ended Dec. 4, according to a Dow Jones economist survey.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, a deal to avert U.S. debt default and raise the federal government's $28.9 trillion debt limit will be tested on Thursday in the Senate when the full chamber votes on whether to approve the measure.</p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: </b></p>\n<p><b>GameStop(GME)</b> – GameStop shares slid 5.6% in premarket trading after the videogame retailer posted a wider loss compared with a year earlier and also disclosed an August subpoena from the SEC involving the trading of its shares.</p>\n<p><b>Lucid Group(LCID)</b> – Lucid shares tumbled 6.5% in the premarket after the electric vehicle maker announced a $1.75 billion offering of convertible senior notes.</p>\n<p><b>FuboTV(FUBO) </b>– The video streaming company was rated “overweight” in new coverage at J.P. Morgan Securities, based on Fubo’s sports-centered offerings as a differentiating factor. The stock jumped 2.8% in premarket action.</p>\n<p><b>CVS Health(CVS)</b> – The drug store operator issued new guidance ahead of its investor day, saying it expects a 2022 adjusted profit of $8.10 to $8.30 per share compared with an $8.24 consensus estimate and better-than-expected revenue. CVS also raised its 2021 outlook, and the shares rallied 2.6% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>Hormel(HRL)</b> – The food producer beat estimates by a penny with quarterly earnings of 51 cents per share, and revenue that also topped Wall Street forecasts. Hormel saw double-digit growth across all of its business segments, and shares rose 1% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>RH(RH)</b> – The company formerly known as Restoration Hardware reported adjusted quarterly earnings of $7.03 per share, 40 cents above estimates, while the luxury home furnishings retailer’s revenue beat forecasts. RH also lifted the low end of its revenue outlook. RH surged 11% in premarket action.</p>\n<p><b>Rent The Runway(RENT)</b> – Rent The Runway tumbled 8.2% in the premarket after the fashion rental company posted a loss that was wider than a year ago and reported subscriber numbers that have not yet returned to pre-pandemic levels. Sales did surge 66% over the same quarter a year ago.</p>\n<p><b>Apple(AAPL)</b> – Apple won an appeals court decision that delays changes to its App Store. An earlier ruling had ordered Apple to allow developers to offer payment alternatives outside of the App Store, stemming from its legal dispute with “Fortnite” developer Epic Games. Separately, Apple is closing in on a $3 trillion valuation, which will be achieved when the share price hits $182.86.</p>\n<p><b>Amazon(AMZN)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;Italy's antitrust said on Thursday it had fined e-commerce giant Amazon 1.13 billion euros ($1.28 billion) for alleged abuse of market dominance.</p>\n<p><b>AstraZeneca(AZN)</b> – The drug maker’s Covid-19 antibody treatment won FDA approval for patients who cannot achieve adequate protection from vaccination.</p>\n<p><b>LabCorp(LH)</b> – The medical lab operator announced a number of steps to enhance shareholder value, including the initiation of a dividend in the second quarter of 2022 and the authorization of a $2.5 billion share repurchase program.</p>\n<p><b>UiPath(PATH)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;UiPath stock dropped 1.5% in premarket trading&nbsp;even as the “software robots” provider’s quarterly results topped Wall Street expectations.</p>\n<p><b>Yum Brands(YUM)</b> – The parent of KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell was upgraded to “overweight” from “neutral” at Atlantic Equities, which sees the possibility of rising returns from the restaurant chain and calls Yum its favored name in the quick-service restaurant category. Yum rose 1% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>Pear Therapeutics(PEAR)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;Pear Therapeutics shares soared 30% in premarket trading.Prescription digital therapeutics company&nbsp;Pear Therapeutics&nbsp;began trading on Nasdaq Monday after wrapping up its merger with special-purpose acquisition company&nbsp;Thimble Point Acquisition Corp.&nbsp;last week.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Thursday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-09 21:35</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S.&nbsp;stock-index futures hold solid losses after initial jobless claims come in at 184,000.</p>\n<p>At 8:34 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 168 points, or 0.47%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 21 points, or 0.45%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 80.5 points, or 0.49%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e48b5d3abdc91abde117585acac09b40\" tg-width=\"401\" tg-height=\"184\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Weekly jobless claims reached tumbled last week, reaching a fresh 52-year low as the U.S. jobs market climbs out of its pandemic-era hole, the Labor Department reported Thursday.</p>\n<p>Initial filings for unemployment insurance totaled 184,000 for the week ended Dec. 4, the lowest going back to Sept. 6, 1969, which saw 182,000.</p>\n<p>Initial claims for unemployment insurance were expected to total 211,000 for the week ended Dec. 4, according to a Dow Jones economist survey.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, a deal to avert U.S. debt default and raise the federal government's $28.9 trillion debt limit will be tested on Thursday in the Senate when the full chamber votes on whether to approve the measure.</p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: </b></p>\n<p><b>GameStop(GME)</b> – GameStop shares slid 5.6% in premarket trading after the videogame retailer posted a wider loss compared with a year earlier and also disclosed an August subpoena from the SEC involving the trading of its shares.</p>\n<p><b>Lucid Group(LCID)</b> – Lucid shares tumbled 6.5% in the premarket after the electric vehicle maker announced a $1.75 billion offering of convertible senior notes.</p>\n<p><b>FuboTV(FUBO) </b>– The video streaming company was rated “overweight” in new coverage at J.P. Morgan Securities, based on Fubo’s sports-centered offerings as a differentiating factor. The stock jumped 2.8% in premarket action.</p>\n<p><b>CVS Health(CVS)</b> – The drug store operator issued new guidance ahead of its investor day, saying it expects a 2022 adjusted profit of $8.10 to $8.30 per share compared with an $8.24 consensus estimate and better-than-expected revenue. CVS also raised its 2021 outlook, and the shares rallied 2.6% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>Hormel(HRL)</b> – The food producer beat estimates by a penny with quarterly earnings of 51 cents per share, and revenue that also topped Wall Street forecasts. Hormel saw double-digit growth across all of its business segments, and shares rose 1% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>RH(RH)</b> – The company formerly known as Restoration Hardware reported adjusted quarterly earnings of $7.03 per share, 40 cents above estimates, while the luxury home furnishings retailer’s revenue beat forecasts. RH also lifted the low end of its revenue outlook. RH surged 11% in premarket action.</p>\n<p><b>Rent The Runway(RENT)</b> – Rent The Runway tumbled 8.2% in the premarket after the fashion rental company posted a loss that was wider than a year ago and reported subscriber numbers that have not yet returned to pre-pandemic levels. Sales did surge 66% over the same quarter a year ago.</p>\n<p><b>Apple(AAPL)</b> – Apple won an appeals court decision that delays changes to its App Store. An earlier ruling had ordered Apple to allow developers to offer payment alternatives outside of the App Store, stemming from its legal dispute with “Fortnite” developer Epic Games. Separately, Apple is closing in on a $3 trillion valuation, which will be achieved when the share price hits $182.86.</p>\n<p><b>Amazon(AMZN)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;Italy's antitrust said on Thursday it had fined e-commerce giant Amazon 1.13 billion euros ($1.28 billion) for alleged abuse of market dominance.</p>\n<p><b>AstraZeneca(AZN)</b> – The drug maker’s Covid-19 antibody treatment won FDA approval for patients who cannot achieve adequate protection from vaccination.</p>\n<p><b>LabCorp(LH)</b> – The medical lab operator announced a number of steps to enhance shareholder value, including the initiation of a dividend in the second quarter of 2022 and the authorization of a $2.5 billion share repurchase program.</p>\n<p><b>UiPath(PATH)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;UiPath stock dropped 1.5% in premarket trading&nbsp;even as the “software robots” provider’s quarterly results topped Wall Street expectations.</p>\n<p><b>Yum Brands(YUM)</b> – The parent of KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell was upgraded to “overweight” from “neutral” at Atlantic Equities, which sees the possibility of rising returns from the restaurant chain and calls Yum its favored name in the quick-service restaurant category. Yum rose 1% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>Pear Therapeutics(PEAR)</b>&nbsp;–&nbsp;Pear Therapeutics shares soared 30% in premarket trading.Prescription digital therapeutics company&nbsp;Pear Therapeutics&nbsp;began trading on Nasdaq Monday after wrapping up its merger with special-purpose acquisition company&nbsp;Thimble Point Acquisition Corp.&nbsp;last week.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FUBO":"fuboTV Inc.","RENT":"Rent the Runway, Inc.","LH":"徕博科","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","GME":"游戏驿站","AZN":"阿斯利康","YUM":"百胜餐饮集团","AMZN":"亚马逊","PATH":"UiPath","AAPL":"苹果",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","HRL":"荷美尔","RH":"Restoration Hardware Holdings","PEAR":"Pear Therapeutics",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","CVS":"西维斯健康"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163175495","content_text":"U.S. stock-index futures hold solid losses after initial jobless claims come in at 184,000.\nAt 8:34 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 168 points, or 0.47%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 21 points, or 0.45%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 80.5 points, or 0.49%.\n\nWeekly jobless claims reached tumbled last week, reaching a fresh 52-year low as the U.S. jobs market climbs out of its pandemic-era hole, the Labor Department reported Thursday.\nInitial filings for unemployment insurance totaled 184,000 for the week ended Dec. 4, the lowest going back to Sept. 6, 1969, which saw 182,000.\nInitial claims for unemployment insurance were expected to total 211,000 for the week ended Dec. 4, according to a Dow Jones economist survey.\nMeanwhile, a deal to avert U.S. debt default and raise the federal government's $28.9 trillion debt limit will be tested on Thursday in the Senate when the full chamber votes on whether to approve the measure.\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket: \nGameStop(GME) – GameStop shares slid 5.6% in premarket trading after the videogame retailer posted a wider loss compared with a year earlier and also disclosed an August subpoena from the SEC involving the trading of its shares.\nLucid Group(LCID) – Lucid shares tumbled 6.5% in the premarket after the electric vehicle maker announced a $1.75 billion offering of convertible senior notes.\nFuboTV(FUBO) – The video streaming company was rated “overweight” in new coverage at J.P. Morgan Securities, based on Fubo’s sports-centered offerings as a differentiating factor. The stock jumped 2.8% in premarket action.\nCVS Health(CVS) – The drug store operator issued new guidance ahead of its investor day, saying it expects a 2022 adjusted profit of $8.10 to $8.30 per share compared with an $8.24 consensus estimate and better-than-expected revenue. CVS also raised its 2021 outlook, and the shares rallied 2.6% in the premarket.\nHormel(HRL) – The food producer beat estimates by a penny with quarterly earnings of 51 cents per share, and revenue that also topped Wall Street forecasts. Hormel saw double-digit growth across all of its business segments, and shares rose 1% in premarket trading.\nRH(RH) – The company formerly known as Restoration Hardware reported adjusted quarterly earnings of $7.03 per share, 40 cents above estimates, while the luxury home furnishings retailer’s revenue beat forecasts. RH also lifted the low end of its revenue outlook. RH surged 11% in premarket action.\nRent The Runway(RENT) – Rent The Runway tumbled 8.2% in the premarket after the fashion rental company posted a loss that was wider than a year ago and reported subscriber numbers that have not yet returned to pre-pandemic levels. Sales did surge 66% over the same quarter a year ago.\nApple(AAPL) – Apple won an appeals court decision that delays changes to its App Store. An earlier ruling had ordered Apple to allow developers to offer payment alternatives outside of the App Store, stemming from its legal dispute with “Fortnite” developer Epic Games. Separately, Apple is closing in on a $3 trillion valuation, which will be achieved when the share price hits $182.86.\nAmazon(AMZN) – Italy's antitrust said on Thursday it had fined e-commerce giant Amazon 1.13 billion euros ($1.28 billion) for alleged abuse of market dominance.\nAstraZeneca(AZN) – The drug maker’s Covid-19 antibody treatment won FDA approval for patients who cannot achieve adequate protection from vaccination.\nLabCorp(LH) – The medical lab operator announced a number of steps to enhance shareholder value, including the initiation of a dividend in the second quarter of 2022 and the authorization of a $2.5 billion share repurchase program.\nUiPath(PATH) – UiPath stock dropped 1.5% in premarket trading even as the “software robots” provider’s quarterly results topped Wall Street expectations.\nYum Brands(YUM) – The parent of KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell was upgraded to “overweight” from “neutral” at Atlantic Equities, which sees the possibility of rising returns from the restaurant chain and calls Yum its favored name in the quick-service restaurant category. Yum rose 1% in the premarket.\nPear Therapeutics(PEAR) – Pear Therapeutics shares soared 30% in premarket trading.Prescription digital therapeutics company Pear Therapeutics began trading on Nasdaq Monday after wrapping up its merger with special-purpose acquisition company Thimble Point Acquisition Corp. last week.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1138,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":871387037,"gmtCreate":1637026901344,"gmtModify":1637026901344,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Win liao lo","listText":"Win liao lo","text":"Win liao lo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871387037","repostId":"1118366658","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1118366658","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1637026607,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1118366658?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-16 09:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Musk exercised 2.1 million Tesla options on November 15 at a price of $6.24, according to the SEC files.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118366658","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla(TSLA.O)CEO Elon Musk has sold $930 million in shares to meet tax withholding obligations relat","content":"<p>Tesla(TSLA.O)CEO Elon Musk has sold $930 million in shares to meet tax withholding obligations related to the exercise of stock options, U.S. securities filings showed on Monday.</p>\n<p>Musk sold 934,091 shares after exercising options to buy 2.1 million stocks at $6.24 each on Monday. Tesla shares closed at $1,013.39. He is required to pay income taxes on the difference between the exercise price and fair market value of the shares.</p>\n<p>This is the second time in a week that the billionaire has exercised his stock option. Last Monday, he&nbsp;sold another 934,000 shares&nbsp;for $1.1 billion after exercising options to acquire nearly 2.2 million shares.</p>\n<p>The two options-related sales were set up in September via a trading plan that allows corporate insiders to establish preplanned transactions on a schedule, the filings said.</p>\n<p>As of the end of 2020, he had an option to buy 22.86 million shares, which expire in August next year, a Tesla filing shows.</p>\n<p>On Nov. 6, Musk polled Twitter users about selling 10% of his stake, pushing down Tesla's share price after a majority on Twitter said they agreed with the sale. It was not clear how or whether the trading plan related to Musk's Twitter poll.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Musk exercised 2.1 million Tesla options on November 15 at a price of $6.24, according to the SEC files.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMusk exercised 2.1 million Tesla options on November 15 at a price of $6.24, according to the SEC files.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-11-16 09:36</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla(TSLA.O)CEO Elon Musk has sold $930 million in shares to meet tax withholding obligations related to the exercise of stock options, U.S. securities filings showed on Monday.</p>\n<p>Musk sold 934,091 shares after exercising options to buy 2.1 million stocks at $6.24 each on Monday. Tesla shares closed at $1,013.39. He is required to pay income taxes on the difference between the exercise price and fair market value of the shares.</p>\n<p>This is the second time in a week that the billionaire has exercised his stock option. Last Monday, he&nbsp;sold another 934,000 shares&nbsp;for $1.1 billion after exercising options to acquire nearly 2.2 million shares.</p>\n<p>The two options-related sales were set up in September via a trading plan that allows corporate insiders to establish preplanned transactions on a schedule, the filings said.</p>\n<p>As of the end of 2020, he had an option to buy 22.86 million shares, which expire in August next year, a Tesla filing shows.</p>\n<p>On Nov. 6, Musk polled Twitter users about selling 10% of his stake, pushing down Tesla's share price after a majority on Twitter said they agreed with the sale. It was not clear how or whether the trading plan related to Musk's Twitter poll.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118366658","content_text":"Tesla(TSLA.O)CEO Elon Musk has sold $930 million in shares to meet tax withholding obligations related to the exercise of stock options, U.S. securities filings showed on Monday.\nMusk sold 934,091 shares after exercising options to buy 2.1 million stocks at $6.24 each on Monday. Tesla shares closed at $1,013.39. He is required to pay income taxes on the difference between the exercise price and fair market value of the shares.\nThis is the second time in a week that the billionaire has exercised his stock option. Last Monday, he sold another 934,000 shares for $1.1 billion after exercising options to acquire nearly 2.2 million shares.\nThe two options-related sales were set up in September via a trading plan that allows corporate insiders to establish preplanned transactions on a schedule, the filings said.\nAs of the end of 2020, he had an option to buy 22.86 million shares, which expire in August next year, a Tesla filing shows.\nOn Nov. 6, Musk polled Twitter users about selling 10% of his stake, pushing down Tesla's share price after a majority on Twitter said they agreed with the sale. It was not clear how or whether the trading plan related to Musk's Twitter poll.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":450,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873722656,"gmtCreate":1636988382184,"gmtModify":1636988382184,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>drop like a G6","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>drop like a G6","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$drop like a G6","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873722656","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":371,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":877082146,"gmtCreate":1637842553660,"gmtModify":1637842553660,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like like like","listText":"Like like like","text":"Like like like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877082146","repostId":"2185354679","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":336,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879715812,"gmtCreate":1636772247540,"gmtModify":1636776939583,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes, nowadays stocks are driven blindly by followers without seeing the fundamental behind it, this 1 trillion market does&nbsp;not justify right now in the market, probably yes in the future, but definitely not now, so drop back to where it is so that we can have our million shares 😆","listText":"Yes, nowadays stocks are driven blindly by followers without seeing the fundamental behind it, this 1 trillion market does&nbsp;not justify right now in the market, probably yes in the future, but definitely not now, so drop back to where it is so that we can have our million shares 😆","text":"Yes, nowadays stocks are driven blindly by followers without seeing the fundamental behind it, this 1 trillion market does not justify right now in the market, probably yes in the future, but definitely not now, so drop back to where it is so that we can have our million shares 😆","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879715812","repostId":"1163118124","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1163118124","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636726239,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163118124?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-12 22:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: $1 Trillion Of Speculation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163118124","media":"Forbes","summary":"Tesla’s  market cap surpassed the trillion-dollar mark, driven by a post-earnings rally that got a boost from the announcement of a 100,000-vehicle order from Hertz , which might not even happen.Even if it does come to pass, the Hertz order is a drop in the bucket of growth expectations baked into Tesla’s valuation. Tesla needs 155 Hertz-sized orders to justify the revenue expectations in its stock price. Put another way, the $1.2 trillion valuation implies Tesla owns 60%+ of the entire global p","content":"<p>Tesla’s (TSLA) market cap surpassed the trillion-dollar mark, driven by a post-earnings rally that got a boost from the announcement of a 100,000-vehicle order from Hertz (HTZ), which might&nbsp;not even happen.</p>\n<p>Even if it does come to pass, the Hertz order is a drop in the bucket of growth expectations baked into Tesla’s valuation. Tesla needs 155 Hertz-sized orders to justify the revenue expectations in its stock price. Put another way, the $1.2 trillion valuation implies Tesla owns 60%+ of the entire global passenger EV market and becomes more profitable than Apple (AAPL) by 2030.</p>\n<p>This report provides objective perspective on how outrageously high the valuation of Tesla stock is and the clear impracticality of the company meeting the expectations baked into its valuation.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla’s Valuation vs. Competitors Makes No Sense</b></p>\n<p>Tesla’s market cap is now greater than the next 10 largest (ranked by market cap) auto manufacturers combined.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 1:&nbsp;Tesla’s Market Cap Vs. Competitors</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb58977e39c2d0ce868e80de26d098d9\" tg-width=\"925\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This valuation comes despite Tesla selling less than 1/50th&nbsp;of the vehicles than the combined total sold by the next 10 largest automakers over the trailing twelve months ended the first half of 2021. See Figure 2.</p>\n<p>I cannot conceive of a straight-faced argument for the disconnect between Tesla’s valuation and its vehicle sales compared to its competitors.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 2:&nbsp;Tesla’s Car Sales Vs. Competitors</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7fe8de12677dc13fe01f38fbafdcab27\" tg-width=\"946\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">* Stellantis sales estimated as Fiat Chrysler and PSA Group’s 2H20 sales and Stellantis’ 1H21 sales. Stellantis was formed as a merger between the two in January 2021.</p>\n<p><b>Is the Hertz Deal Really Worth $100 Billion+ in Market Cap?</b></p>\n<p>Even if Hertz eventually agrees to buy 100,000 Tesla Model 3s, I do not think it is worth the $100 billion in market cap, or $1 million per vehicle, that we saw investors give Tesla’s market cap after the Hertz deal made headlines. Even Elon Musk questioned the surge in share price, noting that the price movement was “strange” given that Tesla is “very much a production ramp problem, not a demand problem.”</p>\n<p>This $100 billion market cap jump makes even less sense in the context of Tesla’s&nbsp;sky-high valuation&nbsp;before the announcement. Clearly, the feasibility of Tesla meeting the sales expectations embedded in its market cap plays no role in its valuation. For those that do care about&nbsp;expectations investing, I did the math and Tesla needs to successfully deliver on 155 Hertz-sized deals to meet the sales implied by a $1.2 trillion market cap.</p>\n<p><b>Will the Hertz Deal Result in Any Profits – If It Goes Through?</b></p>\n<p>After Elon Musk&nbsp;tweeted&nbsp;on November 1, 2021 that “no contract has been signed yet”, the Hertz deal reminds me of another&nbsp;famous tweet: \"am considering taking Tesla private at $420. Funding secured.”</p>\n<p>Even if the deal does go through, the pricing terms are very unclear. Elon insists that no cars will be sold at a discount. Meanwhile, Hertz CEO Mark Fields has made it clear that he is playing the field and working on getting cars from all EV manufacturers on his lot.</p>\n<p>Either Tesla is selling cars at a (large or small) discount, the deal terms are wrong, or the deal does not get done. If the deal gets done, I do not expect it to be profitable. Rental car companies are accustomed to getting discounts for bulk orders, and I see no reason for Hertz to expect to pay list prices on a deal for so many cars.</p>\n<p>At the end of the day, I’m not sure pricing matters because I don't think the Hertz deal gets done. This affair is more about headlines and fueling speculation than doing any real business.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla’s Global Market Share Getting Smaller</b></p>\n<p>Tesla’s first-mover is already eroding, and its market share continues to decline. In the first half of 2021, Tesla sold 14.6% of the EVs&nbsp;sold worldwide&nbsp;compared to 18.8% over the same period in 2020.</p>\n<p>Rising volumes, and falling market share are to be expected in a nascent industry. The problem is that Tesla’s isn’t priced for declining market share. It is priced for massive market share gains, unheard of gains in nearly any industry across the globe, especially in an industry as large and competitive as passenger vehicles.</p>\n<p><b>Reverse DCF Math: Valuation Implies Tesla Will Own 60%+ of the Global Passenger EV Market</b></p>\n<p>At its current average selling price (ASP) of ~$51k, Tesla’s stock price of ~1,200/share implies the firm will sell 16 million vehicles in 2030 (versus ~800k TTM), or 60% of the&nbsp;projected base case global EV passenger vehicle market&nbsp;in 2030. For reference, Adam Jonas, a Morgan Stanley analyst with a price target of $1,600/share, projects Tesla will sell&nbsp;8.1 million vehicles&nbsp;in 2030.</p>\n<p>I think it is unlikely that Tesla will sell such a high volume of vehicles at a $51k ASP, yet the implied vehicle sales based on lower ASPs look even more impractical.</p>\n<p>As detailed in the next section, this analysis assumes Tesla achieves profit margins twice as high as Toyota (TM) and quadruples its current auto manufacturing efficiency. In other words, I aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations reflected in Tesla’s stock price.</p>\n<p>Per Figure 3, Tesla’s current valuation implies that, in 2030, it will sell the following number of vehicles based on these ASP benchmarks:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>16 million vehicles – current ASP of $51k</li>\n <li>21 million vehicles – ASP of $38k (average new car price in the U.S. in 2020)</li>\n <li>46 million vehicles – ASP of $17k (equal to General Motors over the TTM)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>If Tesla achieves those EV sales, the implied market share for the company would be the following (assuming global passenger EV sales reach 25.8 million in 2030, the&nbsp;base case projection from the IEA):</p>\n<ul>\n <li>60% for 16 million vehicles</li>\n <li>80% for 21 million vehicles</li>\n <li>179% for 46 million vehicles</li>\n</ul>\n<p>If I assume the&nbsp;IEA’s best case&nbsp;for global passenger EV sales in 2030, 46.8 million vehicles, the above vehicle sales represent:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>33% for 16 million vehicles</li>\n <li>44% for 21 million vehicles</li>\n <li>98% for 46 million vehicles</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Figure 3:&nbsp;Tesla’s Implied Vehicle Sales in 2030 to Justify Current Valuation</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6d6230910209d16f55e6e527130d43\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>The Math Shows that Tesla Must be More Profitable Than Apple</b></p>\n<p>Here are the assumptions I use in my&nbsp;reverse discounted cash flow (DCF) model&nbsp;to calculate the implied production levels above.</p>\n<p>To justify its current price of ~$1,200/share, Tesla must:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>immediately achieve a 17.2% NOPAT margin (double Toyota’s margin, which is the highest of the large-scale automakers I cover), compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 7.7%) and</li>\n <li>grow revenue by 38% compounded annually for the next decade.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>In this&nbsp;scenario, Tesla generates&nbsp;<b>$783 billion</b>&nbsp;in revenue in 2030, which is 102% of the combined revenues of Toyota, General Motors, Ford (F), Honda Motor Corp (HMC), and Stellantis (STLA) over the TTM.</p>\n<p>This scenario also implies Tesla generates $135 billion in net operating profit after-tax (NOPAT) in 2030, or 45% higher than Apple’s (AAPL) TTM NOPAT, which, at $93 billion, is the highest of all&nbsp;companies my firm covers.</p>\n<p><b>TSLA Has 60%+ Downside If Morgan Stanley Is Right About Sales</b></p>\n<p>If I assume Tesla reaches Morgan Stanley’s estimate of selling 8.1 million cars in 2030 (which implies a 31% share of the global passenger EV market in 2030), at an ASP of $38k, the stock is worth just $483/share. Details:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>NOPAT margin improves to 17.2% and</li>\n <li>revenue grows 27% compounded annually over the next decade, then</li>\n</ul>\n<p>the stock is worth just $483/share today – 60% downside to the current price.&nbsp;See the math behind this reverse DCF scenario. In this scenario, Tesla grows NOPAT to $60 billion, or nearly 17x its TTM NOPAT, and just 3% below Alphabet’s (GOOGL) TTM NOPAT.</p>\n<p><b>TSLA Has 88%+ Downside Even with 28% Market Share and Realistic Margins</b></p>\n<p>If I estimate more reasonable (but still very optimistic) margins and market share achievements for Tesla, the stock is worth just $148/share. Here’s the math:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>NOPAT margin improves to 8.5% (equal to General Motors’ TTM margin, compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 7.7%) and</li>\n <li>revenue grows by consensus estimates from 2021-2023 and</li>\n <li>revenue grows 18% a year from 2024-2030, then</li>\n</ul>\n<p>the stock is worth just $148/share today – an 88% downside to the current price.</p>\n<p>In this&nbsp;scenario, Tesla sells 7.2 million cars (at an ASP of 38k) and owns 28% of the global passenger EV market in 2030. If Tesla fails to meet these expectations, then the stock is worth less than $148/share.</p>\n<p>Also, for this scenario, I assume a much more realistic NOPAT margin, 8.5%, for Tesla. Given the expansion required of the business, struggles to be profitable to date, and formidable competition, I think Tesla will be lucky to achieve and sustain a margin as high as 8.5% from 2021-2030.</p>\n<p>Figure 4 compares the firm’s historical NOPAT to the NOPAT implied by its current stock price, the 8.1 million vehicle sales scenario, and the 7.2 million vehicle sales scenario to illustrate just how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price remain. For additional context, I show Toyota’s, General Motors’, and Apple’s TTM NOPAT.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 4: Tesla’s Historical and Implied NOPAT: DCF Valuation Scenarios</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25d334530f3477d58879490d628fa8ef\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"463\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Each of the above scenarios assumes Tesla’s&nbsp;invested capital&nbsp;grows 14% compounded annually through 2030. For reference, Tesla’s invested capital grew 53% compounded annually from 2010-2020 and 29% compounded annually from 2015-2020. Invested capital at the end of 3Q21 grew 21% YoY. Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment has grown even faster, at 58% compounded annually, since 2010.</p>\n<p>A 14% CAGR represents 1/4th&nbsp;the CAGR of Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment since 2010 and assumes the company can build future plants and produce cars 4x more efficiently than it has so far.</p>\n<p>In other words, I aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations for future market share and profits reflected in Tesla’s stock market valuation.</p>\n<p><b>Why Tesla’s $1 Trillion Valuation Is Ridiculous</b></p>\n<p>Now that I’ve shown how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s valuation are, I’ll present some of the many challenges Tesla faces to meet those expectations.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla Remains “Just” a Car Company, Despite Bulls’ Arguments Otherwise.</b>One of the most common arguments bulls make to justify Tesla’s valuation is that the company is more than just a car company. Instead, the argument goes: Tesla is a software, tech, insurance, energy, transportation, “insert any other blank” company. However, the financials bear out a different picture and show the other businesses are more hype than substance. At this point, Tesla is a only car company and generates the entirety of its profits from vehicles.</p>\n<p>Per Figure 5, Tesla generated 88% of revenue from Automotive Sales in 3Q21, which is up from 87% in 3Q20, and above the quarterly average of 86% since 3Q19. For reference, automotive sales made up 87% and 93% of General Motors’ and Ford’s 3Q21 revenue respectively.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 5:&nbsp;Tesla’s Revenue Breakdown: 3Q19 – 3Q21</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b77f52dfd7a9cb05f19a91ac8811919\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Tesla’s two other segments, Energy generation and storage and Services and other, which make up 12% of revenue in 3Q21, are unprofitable. Over the TTM, Tesla generated $10.8 billion in gross profit. $11.2 billion came from its Automotive segment while Energy generation and storage and Services and other racked up gross losses of $113 million and $263 million. Despite many claims and promises to the contrary over the years, Tesla doesn’t generate gross profit doing anything but selling cars.</p>\n<p><b>Insurance Business Is Not Material.</b>&nbsp;Tesla bulls will also point to Tesla’s insurance business as another way to drive profit growth. I’ve&nbsp;previously covered&nbsp;how Tesla insurance does not have the competitive advantages that bulls ascribe to it and has a long way to go before it can get meaningfully off the ground.</p>\n<p>Even if Tesla’s insurance business gets off the ground, I would not expect it to make much money. For example, from 2004-2006, General Motors generated about $70 per car sold in GAAP net income from its insurance business. If I assume Tesla can generate the same level of business, Tesla insurance would result in just $57 million in GAAP net income based on TTM vehicles sold.</p>\n<p>Bulls will counter that Tesla will be so much better at insurance than GM and that GM is not a good comp. There is no way to know for sure. Nevertheless, I concede that anything is possible, but the likelihood of Tesla’s insurance business being material profit producer is extremely low.</p>\n<p>Regardless of how successful Tesla insurance is, the potential profits from it are nowhere near enough to help to justify the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price.</p>\n<p><b>Production Capacity Growth Will Require Billions of $.</b>Current and expected production capacities of all known Tesla factories equals ~2.7 million vehicles, or 12.9 million short of the 2030 production implied by its stock price. See Figure 6.</p>\n<p>In other words, despite the new factories coming online, Tesla must spend billions and build many new manufacturing plants before it can approach the capacity needed to sell the number of cars implied by its valuation.</p>\n<p>Given the&nbsp;many issues&nbsp;in ramping production in the past, investors should not assume Tesla can increase its production by 5x without any problems.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 6:&nbsp;Tesla’s Pending Production Shortfall</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d0c946fecb2fd037adac367c7c5b7c2\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">*Projection based on&nbsp;InsideEVs estimate&nbsp;of 600,000 vehicles per year</p>\n<p>**Optimistic assumption based on Texas being Tesla’s biggest factory and&nbsp;possibly the largest factory&nbsp;in the United States</p>\n<p><b>Incumbents Must Fail for Tesla to Meet Growth Expectations.</b>For many years now, incumbent automakers have spent billions of dollars building out their EV offerings. Automakers other than Tesla already account for 85% of&nbsp;global EV sales&nbsp;through the first half of 2021.</p>\n<p>The global EV market is simply not big enough for Tesla to achieve the sales expectations in its valuation unless nearly all of the incumbents reverse course and completely fail to sell EVs.</p>\n<p>Here are the projections from the large incumbent automakers that have provided specific goals for future EV production.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Volkswagen Group projects that&nbsp;50% of its global sales&nbsp;will be fully electric by 2030</li>\n <li>Stellantis projects&nbsp;70%&nbsp;and&nbsp;40%&nbsp;of its European and North American sales, respectively, will be fully electric by 2030</li>\n <li>Ford&nbsp;projects&nbsp;that 40% of its sales will be fully electric by 2030.</li>\n <li>Toyota&nbsp;projects&nbsp;that it will sell 2 million EVs by 2030</li>\n <li>Honda&nbsp;plans&nbsp;to sell only EVs in China by 2030</li>\n <li>BMW&nbsp;expects&nbsp;at least half its sales to be zero-emission vehicles by 2030</li>\n <li>Daimler, manufacturer of Mercedes Benz,&nbsp;expects&nbsp;half its sales to be “EV and hybrid by 2025”</li>\n <li>General Motors is&nbsp;targeting&nbsp;EV sales of “more than 1 million” by 2025</li>\n <li>Volvo&nbsp;plans&nbsp;to sell only fully electric vehicles by 2030</li>\n <li>Nissan&nbsp;projects&nbsp;40% of U.S. sales to be EVs by 2030</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Based on these projections, I estimate how many EVs each company aims to produce[1]&nbsp;by 2030 and the market share implied by that production as a percentage of&nbsp;base-case global passenger EV sales in 2030.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Volkswagen Group: 5.5 million, 21% market share</li>\n <li>Stellantis: 3.6 million[2], 14% market share</li>\n <li>Ford: 2.2 million, 9% market share</li>\n <li>Toyota: 2 million, 8% market share</li>\n <li>Honda (in China): 1.5 million, 6% market share</li>\n <li>BMW: 1.3 million, 5% market share</li>\n <li>Mercedes Benz: 1.2+ million, 5% market share</li>\n <li>General Motors: 1+ million, 4% market share</li>\n <li>Volvo: 700,000, 3% market share</li>\n <li>Nissan (in U.S.): 500,000, 2% market share</li>\n <li><b>Total = 19+ million vehicles and 75% market share</b></li>\n</ul>\n<p>These estimates do not include other incumbents and new entrants (e.g. Jaguar Land Rover, NIO Inc. [NIO], Rivian [RIVN], Ludic [LCID] and more) or other Chinese EV makers because I could not find specific projections for EV production. Nevertheless, I am confident that their combined market share will be more than zero.</p>\n<p>The point is that the rest of the world is not planning to stand by, give up existing market share, and let Tesla own majority of the EV market. Many very experienced and successful automakers are spending many multiples of what Tesla is spending to compete in the EV market.</p>\n<p>The bottom line is that it is hard to make a straight-faced argument that Tesla can achieve the sales implied by its valuation in a competitive market.</p>\n<p><b>Incumbents Can Afford to Spend More than Tesla.</b>Incumbents already have infrastructure to produce and sell vehicles at scale, and they are spending billions of dollars to compete in the EV market. Ford, Volkswagen, General Motors, and Stellantis alone are planning to spend at least $280 billion through 2025 and produce over 12 million EVs by 2030.</p>\n<p>Given the huge investments from multiple competitors, I expect the EV market will be extremely competitive, as manufacturers fight for profits and market share. The “winner take all” outcome implied by Tesla’s valuation is extremely unlikely. Perhaps, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi&nbsp;said it best, “the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and I believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time, as has been the case historically.\" In such a market, Tesla cannot achieve the market share implied by its valuation.</p>\n<p>Unlike Tesla, the incumbents generate plenty of free cash flow (FCF) to fund their EV investments and don’t have to dilute existing shareholders to expand EV capacity as Tesla does. For instance, over the last five years, General Motors, Stellantis, and Ford generated a cumulative $12.4 billion, $7.1, and $6.1 billion in free cash flow while Tesla burned -$19.5 billion.</p>\n<p><b>FSD Continues to Overpromise And Underdeliver.</b>Full-self driving (FSD) has been consistently plagued by issues that, unfortunately, have deadly consequences. Industry research provider Guidehouse Insights ranks Tesla last in its&nbsp;2021 ranking&nbsp;of Automated Driver Systems (ADS), and states flatly, “Tesla needs a thorough rethink of its approach to developing ADS. It has overpromised with its marketing for nearly 5 years and severely underdelivered.”</p>\n<p>Per Figure 7, Tesla lags the competition by quite a large margin, as it’s the only company that falls into the \"Followers\" category.</p>\n<p>The most recent problems with Tesla’s FSD version 10.3 forced the company to&nbsp;roll back the update&nbsp;as users reported false crash warnings and other problems with autosteer and cruise control. These issues resulted in Tesla recalling nearly 12,000 vehicles because “a communication error may cause a false forward-collision warning or unexpected activation of the emergency brakes,”&nbsp;according&nbsp;to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA).</p>\n<p>While the roll out of an updated 10.3.1 has restarted, Tesla’s haphazard approach to deploying FSD remains unsettling and led Guidehouse Insights to&nbsp;note, “Tesla’s approach to testing its system is fundamentally at odds with virtually every other company in this industry.”</p>\n<p><b>Figure 7:&nbsp;Tesla Ranks Last Amongst Automated Driver Systems</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ddd92d3ed67347fa0741599f91ce31d\" tg-width=\"919\" tg-height=\"739\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Alphabet’s Waymo&nbsp;routinely&nbsp;ranks as the best automated driving system. Importantly, many of the firms ranked ahead of Tesla are focused solely on building automated driving systems and are not distracted by scaling up automobile production, delivery logistics, and the general day-to-day operations of producing cars. Even so, other direct competitors such as GM Super Cruise also get&nbsp;better scores&nbsp;from&nbsp;third-party organizations.</p>\n<p><b>Increased Regulatory Risk.</b>While Tesla has mysteriously avoided regulatory crackdown on its sales of FSD and practice of beta testing software on live drivers and roads, renewed requests from the NHTSA/National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) signal that Tesla might be held accountable for practices that many find highly misleading and dangerous to citizens.</p>\n<p>Missy Cummings, recently&nbsp;appointed&nbsp;as senior advisor for safety at the NHTSA, has expressed concerns about Tesla’s FSD in the past, tweeting as far back as 2019 that Tesla’s “autopilot easily cause mode confusion, is unreliable and unsafe” and that “NHTSA should require Tesla turn it off.”</p>\n<p>More recently, Tesla requested “confidential business information treatment” on its responses to a litany of information requests the NHTSA made as part of its investigation into FSD. If approved, the public would likely never see Tesla’s responses to key questions pertaining to Tesla not issuing a recall for Autopilot after multiple accidents involving parked emergency vehicles, the selection criteria for Tesla’s FSD beta testing program, and the non-disclosure agreements Tesla was making drivers sign before they could use the beta system.</p>\n<p>The NHTSA is not alone in criticizing Tesla and its FSD rollout. On October 26, 2021, the head of the U.S. NTSB, Jennifer Homendy, said that Tesla has not yet officially responded to the NTSB regarding its safety recommendations while calling the use of full self-driving ”misleading.” She stated, “my biggest concern is that Tesla is rolling out full self-driving technology in beta on city streets with untrained drivers and they have not addressed our recommendations that we’ve issued as a result of numerous investigations of Tesla crashes.”</p>\n<p><b>Battery Technologies Are Nothing Special.</b>Tesla announced it will be switching to a lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery in all standard range cars. These batteries are already being used in vehicles built in the Shanghai factory, and this switch is expected to bring down costs. The timing of this change comes as other battery producers, in partnership with incumbent auto manufacturers, are ramping up production, which should drive down battery costs for all EV makers. In other words, the competitive advantages of a cheaper battery may be short-lived, as incumbents build economies of scale in their own supply chain in the coming years.</p>\n<p>Additionally, while the much heralded 4680 cylindrical battery, produced by Panasonic for Tesla, and&nbsp;nearly ready for production, should bring a higher energy density in a more efficient package, competitors’ offerings all aim to provide the same.</p>\n<p>General Motor’s Ultium platform will enable up to 400-450 miles of range, and the firm is building a new battery research facility aimed at building batteries capable of 600 miles on a single charge. General Motors recently announced a joint venture with LG Chem to build a second U.S. battery cell plant, which is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to have an annual capacity of 35 gigawatt hours, or slightly above the 30 gigawatt hour capacity of its first Lordstown battery plant. Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas&nbsp;noted&nbsp;that the “formation of Ultium/Ultium Cells LLC will prove to be a critical point of strategic differentiation that will ultimately drive value creation for [GM] shareholders.”</p>\n<p>Ford’s Mustang Mach-E became the&nbsp;first electric SUV&nbsp;not made by Tesla to reach an EPA-rated range of up to 300 miles, and the company recently entered a partnership with SK Innovation to build three U.S.-based battery plants to power 1 million EVs annually.</p>\n<p>On its own, LG Chem plans to expand its existing U.S. facilities and build two more plants that will produce both pouch cells used by General Motors, Ford, Jaguar, Audi, Porsche, and more, as well as the cylindrical cells used by Tesla.</p>\n<p>Ultimately, the race for the “perfect” battery is less important than the race to procure battery supplies to build the number of EVs each manufacturer aims to produce in the coming years. The incumbents have proven they can maintain and win a race to procure supplies, and they’ve only been doing it for multiple decades now.</p>\n<p><b>Not All Supply Issues Can Be Coded Away.</b>To its credit, Tesla managed the global chip shortage relatively well by re-writing software to allow the use of alternative chips. However, not all supply issues can be solved via software, as evidenced by the growing wait times for Tesla’s vehicles. As Electrek&nbsp;notes, Tesla recently updated its delivery timelines for new orders, and depending upon specs, some vehicles won’t be delivered until September 2022 if ordered today. New orders for the Model 3 Standard Range Plus, which is Tesla’s cheapest vehicle, are currently on pace to be delivered in May 2022, or seven months from now.</p>\n<p>While certainly not unique to Tesla, extended delivery/wait times give consumers ample time to comparison shop and possibly switch orders to a competitor’s EV that would be available sooner.</p>\n<p>Delivery delays aren’t exclusive to in-production vehicles, but Tesla’s future vehicles as well. The much-hyped Cybertruck has recently been delayed again, this time until at least 2023 (compared to an original late 2021 release), which ultimately gives competitors more time to establish a presence in the EV truck market. I recently outlined the many competitors in the EV truck market in my&nbsp;report on Rivian.</p>\n<p><b>Putting It All Together: Tesla Provides Poor Risk/Reward</b></p>\n<p>Given the challenges ahead for Tesla, coupled with a valuation that implies it will take 60%+ of the global EV market share, I think it is clear: Tesla’s stock offers poor risk/reward.</p>\n<p>Tesla has proven risky to short, but investors need not buy shares today at such an elevated price.</p>\n<p>If you’re buying Tesla at its current valuation, you’re not only betting that it will be the only winner of the electrification of the global automotive fleet, but that it will somehow be twice as profitable as Toyota and achieve at least 60% market share. With anything less than total market domination, TSLA presents large downside risk.</p>","source":"fors","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: $1 Trillion Of Speculation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: $1 Trillion Of Speculation\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-12 22:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2021/11/09/tesla-1-trillion-of-speculation/?sh=34ca1f2f77eb><strong>Forbes</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla’s (TSLA) market cap surpassed the trillion-dollar mark, driven by a post-earnings rally that got a boost from the announcement of a 100,000-vehicle order from Hertz (HTZ), which might not even ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2021/11/09/tesla-1-trillion-of-speculation/?sh=34ca1f2f77eb\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2021/11/09/tesla-1-trillion-of-speculation/?sh=34ca1f2f77eb","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163118124","content_text":"Tesla’s (TSLA) market cap surpassed the trillion-dollar mark, driven by a post-earnings rally that got a boost from the announcement of a 100,000-vehicle order from Hertz (HTZ), which might not even happen.\nEven if it does come to pass, the Hertz order is a drop in the bucket of growth expectations baked into Tesla’s valuation. Tesla needs 155 Hertz-sized orders to justify the revenue expectations in its stock price. Put another way, the $1.2 trillion valuation implies Tesla owns 60%+ of the entire global passenger EV market and becomes more profitable than Apple (AAPL) by 2030.\nThis report provides objective perspective on how outrageously high the valuation of Tesla stock is and the clear impracticality of the company meeting the expectations baked into its valuation.\nTesla’s Valuation vs. Competitors Makes No Sense\nTesla’s market cap is now greater than the next 10 largest (ranked by market cap) auto manufacturers combined.\nFigure 1: Tesla’s Market Cap Vs. Competitors\n\nThis valuation comes despite Tesla selling less than 1/50th of the vehicles than the combined total sold by the next 10 largest automakers over the trailing twelve months ended the first half of 2021. See Figure 2.\nI cannot conceive of a straight-faced argument for the disconnect between Tesla’s valuation and its vehicle sales compared to its competitors.\nFigure 2: Tesla’s Car Sales Vs. Competitors\n* Stellantis sales estimated as Fiat Chrysler and PSA Group’s 2H20 sales and Stellantis’ 1H21 sales. Stellantis was formed as a merger between the two in January 2021.\nIs the Hertz Deal Really Worth $100 Billion+ in Market Cap?\nEven if Hertz eventually agrees to buy 100,000 Tesla Model 3s, I do not think it is worth the $100 billion in market cap, or $1 million per vehicle, that we saw investors give Tesla’s market cap after the Hertz deal made headlines. Even Elon Musk questioned the surge in share price, noting that the price movement was “strange” given that Tesla is “very much a production ramp problem, not a demand problem.”\nThis $100 billion market cap jump makes even less sense in the context of Tesla’s sky-high valuation before the announcement. Clearly, the feasibility of Tesla meeting the sales expectations embedded in its market cap plays no role in its valuation. For those that do care about expectations investing, I did the math and Tesla needs to successfully deliver on 155 Hertz-sized deals to meet the sales implied by a $1.2 trillion market cap.\nWill the Hertz Deal Result in Any Profits – If It Goes Through?\nAfter Elon Musk tweeted on November 1, 2021 that “no contract has been signed yet”, the Hertz deal reminds me of another famous tweet: \"am considering taking Tesla private at $420. Funding secured.”\nEven if the deal does go through, the pricing terms are very unclear. Elon insists that no cars will be sold at a discount. Meanwhile, Hertz CEO Mark Fields has made it clear that he is playing the field and working on getting cars from all EV manufacturers on his lot.\nEither Tesla is selling cars at a (large or small) discount, the deal terms are wrong, or the deal does not get done. If the deal gets done, I do not expect it to be profitable. Rental car companies are accustomed to getting discounts for bulk orders, and I see no reason for Hertz to expect to pay list prices on a deal for so many cars.\nAt the end of the day, I’m not sure pricing matters because I don't think the Hertz deal gets done. This affair is more about headlines and fueling speculation than doing any real business.\nTesla’s Global Market Share Getting Smaller\nTesla’s first-mover is already eroding, and its market share continues to decline. In the first half of 2021, Tesla sold 14.6% of the EVs sold worldwide compared to 18.8% over the same period in 2020.\nRising volumes, and falling market share are to be expected in a nascent industry. The problem is that Tesla’s isn’t priced for declining market share. It is priced for massive market share gains, unheard of gains in nearly any industry across the globe, especially in an industry as large and competitive as passenger vehicles.\nReverse DCF Math: Valuation Implies Tesla Will Own 60%+ of the Global Passenger EV Market\nAt its current average selling price (ASP) of ~$51k, Tesla’s stock price of ~1,200/share implies the firm will sell 16 million vehicles in 2030 (versus ~800k TTM), or 60% of the projected base case global EV passenger vehicle market in 2030. For reference, Adam Jonas, a Morgan Stanley analyst with a price target of $1,600/share, projects Tesla will sell 8.1 million vehicles in 2030.\nI think it is unlikely that Tesla will sell such a high volume of vehicles at a $51k ASP, yet the implied vehicle sales based on lower ASPs look even more impractical.\nAs detailed in the next section, this analysis assumes Tesla achieves profit margins twice as high as Toyota (TM) and quadruples its current auto manufacturing efficiency. In other words, I aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations reflected in Tesla’s stock price.\nPer Figure 3, Tesla’s current valuation implies that, in 2030, it will sell the following number of vehicles based on these ASP benchmarks:\n\n16 million vehicles – current ASP of $51k\n21 million vehicles – ASP of $38k (average new car price in the U.S. in 2020)\n46 million vehicles – ASP of $17k (equal to General Motors over the TTM)\n\nIf Tesla achieves those EV sales, the implied market share for the company would be the following (assuming global passenger EV sales reach 25.8 million in 2030, the base case projection from the IEA):\n\n60% for 16 million vehicles\n80% for 21 million vehicles\n179% for 46 million vehicles\n\nIf I assume the IEA’s best case for global passenger EV sales in 2030, 46.8 million vehicles, the above vehicle sales represent:\n\n33% for 16 million vehicles\n44% for 21 million vehicles\n98% for 46 million vehicles\n\nFigure 3: Tesla’s Implied Vehicle Sales in 2030 to Justify Current Valuation\nThe Math Shows that Tesla Must be More Profitable Than Apple\nHere are the assumptions I use in my reverse discounted cash flow (DCF) model to calculate the implied production levels above.\nTo justify its current price of ~$1,200/share, Tesla must:\n\nimmediately achieve a 17.2% NOPAT margin (double Toyota’s margin, which is the highest of the large-scale automakers I cover), compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 7.7%) and\ngrow revenue by 38% compounded annually for the next decade.\n\nIn this scenario, Tesla generates $783 billion in revenue in 2030, which is 102% of the combined revenues of Toyota, General Motors, Ford (F), Honda Motor Corp (HMC), and Stellantis (STLA) over the TTM.\nThis scenario also implies Tesla generates $135 billion in net operating profit after-tax (NOPAT) in 2030, or 45% higher than Apple’s (AAPL) TTM NOPAT, which, at $93 billion, is the highest of all companies my firm covers.\nTSLA Has 60%+ Downside If Morgan Stanley Is Right About Sales\nIf I assume Tesla reaches Morgan Stanley’s estimate of selling 8.1 million cars in 2030 (which implies a 31% share of the global passenger EV market in 2030), at an ASP of $38k, the stock is worth just $483/share. Details:\n\nNOPAT margin improves to 17.2% and\nrevenue grows 27% compounded annually over the next decade, then\n\nthe stock is worth just $483/share today – 60% downside to the current price. See the math behind this reverse DCF scenario. In this scenario, Tesla grows NOPAT to $60 billion, or nearly 17x its TTM NOPAT, and just 3% below Alphabet’s (GOOGL) TTM NOPAT.\nTSLA Has 88%+ Downside Even with 28% Market Share and Realistic Margins\nIf I estimate more reasonable (but still very optimistic) margins and market share achievements for Tesla, the stock is worth just $148/share. Here’s the math:\n\nNOPAT margin improves to 8.5% (equal to General Motors’ TTM margin, compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 7.7%) and\nrevenue grows by consensus estimates from 2021-2023 and\nrevenue grows 18% a year from 2024-2030, then\n\nthe stock is worth just $148/share today – an 88% downside to the current price.\nIn this scenario, Tesla sells 7.2 million cars (at an ASP of 38k) and owns 28% of the global passenger EV market in 2030. If Tesla fails to meet these expectations, then the stock is worth less than $148/share.\nAlso, for this scenario, I assume a much more realistic NOPAT margin, 8.5%, for Tesla. Given the expansion required of the business, struggles to be profitable to date, and formidable competition, I think Tesla will be lucky to achieve and sustain a margin as high as 8.5% from 2021-2030.\nFigure 4 compares the firm’s historical NOPAT to the NOPAT implied by its current stock price, the 8.1 million vehicle sales scenario, and the 7.2 million vehicle sales scenario to illustrate just how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price remain. For additional context, I show Toyota’s, General Motors’, and Apple’s TTM NOPAT.\nFigure 4: Tesla’s Historical and Implied NOPAT: DCF Valuation Scenarios\n\nEach of the above scenarios assumes Tesla’s invested capital grows 14% compounded annually through 2030. For reference, Tesla’s invested capital grew 53% compounded annually from 2010-2020 and 29% compounded annually from 2015-2020. Invested capital at the end of 3Q21 grew 21% YoY. Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment has grown even faster, at 58% compounded annually, since 2010.\nA 14% CAGR represents 1/4th the CAGR of Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment since 2010 and assumes the company can build future plants and produce cars 4x more efficiently than it has so far.\nIn other words, I aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations for future market share and profits reflected in Tesla’s stock market valuation.\nWhy Tesla’s $1 Trillion Valuation Is Ridiculous\nNow that I’ve shown how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s valuation are, I’ll present some of the many challenges Tesla faces to meet those expectations.\nTesla Remains “Just” a Car Company, Despite Bulls’ Arguments Otherwise.One of the most common arguments bulls make to justify Tesla’s valuation is that the company is more than just a car company. Instead, the argument goes: Tesla is a software, tech, insurance, energy, transportation, “insert any other blank” company. However, the financials bear out a different picture and show the other businesses are more hype than substance. At this point, Tesla is a only car company and generates the entirety of its profits from vehicles.\nPer Figure 5, Tesla generated 88% of revenue from Automotive Sales in 3Q21, which is up from 87% in 3Q20, and above the quarterly average of 86% since 3Q19. For reference, automotive sales made up 87% and 93% of General Motors’ and Ford’s 3Q21 revenue respectively.\nFigure 5: Tesla’s Revenue Breakdown: 3Q19 – 3Q21\nTesla’s two other segments, Energy generation and storage and Services and other, which make up 12% of revenue in 3Q21, are unprofitable. Over the TTM, Tesla generated $10.8 billion in gross profit. $11.2 billion came from its Automotive segment while Energy generation and storage and Services and other racked up gross losses of $113 million and $263 million. Despite many claims and promises to the contrary over the years, Tesla doesn’t generate gross profit doing anything but selling cars.\nInsurance Business Is Not Material. Tesla bulls will also point to Tesla’s insurance business as another way to drive profit growth. I’ve previously covered how Tesla insurance does not have the competitive advantages that bulls ascribe to it and has a long way to go before it can get meaningfully off the ground.\nEven if Tesla’s insurance business gets off the ground, I would not expect it to make much money. For example, from 2004-2006, General Motors generated about $70 per car sold in GAAP net income from its insurance business. If I assume Tesla can generate the same level of business, Tesla insurance would result in just $57 million in GAAP net income based on TTM vehicles sold.\nBulls will counter that Tesla will be so much better at insurance than GM and that GM is not a good comp. There is no way to know for sure. Nevertheless, I concede that anything is possible, but the likelihood of Tesla’s insurance business being material profit producer is extremely low.\nRegardless of how successful Tesla insurance is, the potential profits from it are nowhere near enough to help to justify the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price.\nProduction Capacity Growth Will Require Billions of $.Current and expected production capacities of all known Tesla factories equals ~2.7 million vehicles, or 12.9 million short of the 2030 production implied by its stock price. See Figure 6.\nIn other words, despite the new factories coming online, Tesla must spend billions and build many new manufacturing plants before it can approach the capacity needed to sell the number of cars implied by its valuation.\nGiven the many issues in ramping production in the past, investors should not assume Tesla can increase its production by 5x without any problems.\nFigure 6: Tesla’s Pending Production Shortfall\n*Projection based on InsideEVs estimate of 600,000 vehicles per year\n**Optimistic assumption based on Texas being Tesla’s biggest factory and possibly the largest factory in the United States\nIncumbents Must Fail for Tesla to Meet Growth Expectations.For many years now, incumbent automakers have spent billions of dollars building out their EV offerings. Automakers other than Tesla already account for 85% of global EV sales through the first half of 2021.\nThe global EV market is simply not big enough for Tesla to achieve the sales expectations in its valuation unless nearly all of the incumbents reverse course and completely fail to sell EVs.\nHere are the projections from the large incumbent automakers that have provided specific goals for future EV production.\n\nVolkswagen Group projects that 50% of its global sales will be fully electric by 2030\nStellantis projects 70% and 40% of its European and North American sales, respectively, will be fully electric by 2030\nFord projects that 40% of its sales will be fully electric by 2030.\nToyota projects that it will sell 2 million EVs by 2030\nHonda plans to sell only EVs in China by 2030\nBMW expects at least half its sales to be zero-emission vehicles by 2030\nDaimler, manufacturer of Mercedes Benz, expects half its sales to be “EV and hybrid by 2025”\nGeneral Motors is targeting EV sales of “more than 1 million” by 2025\nVolvo plans to sell only fully electric vehicles by 2030\nNissan projects 40% of U.S. sales to be EVs by 2030\n\nBased on these projections, I estimate how many EVs each company aims to produce[1] by 2030 and the market share implied by that production as a percentage of base-case global passenger EV sales in 2030.\n\nVolkswagen Group: 5.5 million, 21% market share\nStellantis: 3.6 million[2], 14% market share\nFord: 2.2 million, 9% market share\nToyota: 2 million, 8% market share\nHonda (in China): 1.5 million, 6% market share\nBMW: 1.3 million, 5% market share\nMercedes Benz: 1.2+ million, 5% market share\nGeneral Motors: 1+ million, 4% market share\nVolvo: 700,000, 3% market share\nNissan (in U.S.): 500,000, 2% market share\nTotal = 19+ million vehicles and 75% market share\n\nThese estimates do not include other incumbents and new entrants (e.g. Jaguar Land Rover, NIO Inc. [NIO], Rivian [RIVN], Ludic [LCID] and more) or other Chinese EV makers because I could not find specific projections for EV production. Nevertheless, I am confident that their combined market share will be more than zero.\nThe point is that the rest of the world is not planning to stand by, give up existing market share, and let Tesla own majority of the EV market. Many very experienced and successful automakers are spending many multiples of what Tesla is spending to compete in the EV market.\nThe bottom line is that it is hard to make a straight-faced argument that Tesla can achieve the sales implied by its valuation in a competitive market.\nIncumbents Can Afford to Spend More than Tesla.Incumbents already have infrastructure to produce and sell vehicles at scale, and they are spending billions of dollars to compete in the EV market. Ford, Volkswagen, General Motors, and Stellantis alone are planning to spend at least $280 billion through 2025 and produce over 12 million EVs by 2030.\nGiven the huge investments from multiple competitors, I expect the EV market will be extremely competitive, as manufacturers fight for profits and market share. The “winner take all” outcome implied by Tesla’s valuation is extremely unlikely. Perhaps, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi said it best, “the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and I believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time, as has been the case historically.\" In such a market, Tesla cannot achieve the market share implied by its valuation.\nUnlike Tesla, the incumbents generate plenty of free cash flow (FCF) to fund their EV investments and don’t have to dilute existing shareholders to expand EV capacity as Tesla does. For instance, over the last five years, General Motors, Stellantis, and Ford generated a cumulative $12.4 billion, $7.1, and $6.1 billion in free cash flow while Tesla burned -$19.5 billion.\nFSD Continues to Overpromise And Underdeliver.Full-self driving (FSD) has been consistently plagued by issues that, unfortunately, have deadly consequences. Industry research provider Guidehouse Insights ranks Tesla last in its 2021 ranking of Automated Driver Systems (ADS), and states flatly, “Tesla needs a thorough rethink of its approach to developing ADS. It has overpromised with its marketing for nearly 5 years and severely underdelivered.”\nPer Figure 7, Tesla lags the competition by quite a large margin, as it’s the only company that falls into the \"Followers\" category.\nThe most recent problems with Tesla’s FSD version 10.3 forced the company to roll back the update as users reported false crash warnings and other problems with autosteer and cruise control. These issues resulted in Tesla recalling nearly 12,000 vehicles because “a communication error may cause a false forward-collision warning or unexpected activation of the emergency brakes,” according to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA).\nWhile the roll out of an updated 10.3.1 has restarted, Tesla’s haphazard approach to deploying FSD remains unsettling and led Guidehouse Insights to note, “Tesla’s approach to testing its system is fundamentally at odds with virtually every other company in this industry.”\nFigure 7: Tesla Ranks Last Amongst Automated Driver Systems\n\nAlphabet’s Waymo routinely ranks as the best automated driving system. Importantly, many of the firms ranked ahead of Tesla are focused solely on building automated driving systems and are not distracted by scaling up automobile production, delivery logistics, and the general day-to-day operations of producing cars. Even so, other direct competitors such as GM Super Cruise also get better scores from third-party organizations.\nIncreased Regulatory Risk.While Tesla has mysteriously avoided regulatory crackdown on its sales of FSD and practice of beta testing software on live drivers and roads, renewed requests from the NHTSA/National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) signal that Tesla might be held accountable for practices that many find highly misleading and dangerous to citizens.\nMissy Cummings, recently appointed as senior advisor for safety at the NHTSA, has expressed concerns about Tesla’s FSD in the past, tweeting as far back as 2019 that Tesla’s “autopilot easily cause mode confusion, is unreliable and unsafe” and that “NHTSA should require Tesla turn it off.”\nMore recently, Tesla requested “confidential business information treatment” on its responses to a litany of information requests the NHTSA made as part of its investigation into FSD. If approved, the public would likely never see Tesla’s responses to key questions pertaining to Tesla not issuing a recall for Autopilot after multiple accidents involving parked emergency vehicles, the selection criteria for Tesla’s FSD beta testing program, and the non-disclosure agreements Tesla was making drivers sign before they could use the beta system.\nThe NHTSA is not alone in criticizing Tesla and its FSD rollout. On October 26, 2021, the head of the U.S. NTSB, Jennifer Homendy, said that Tesla has not yet officially responded to the NTSB regarding its safety recommendations while calling the use of full self-driving ”misleading.” She stated, “my biggest concern is that Tesla is rolling out full self-driving technology in beta on city streets with untrained drivers and they have not addressed our recommendations that we’ve issued as a result of numerous investigations of Tesla crashes.”\nBattery Technologies Are Nothing Special.Tesla announced it will be switching to a lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery in all standard range cars. These batteries are already being used in vehicles built in the Shanghai factory, and this switch is expected to bring down costs. The timing of this change comes as other battery producers, in partnership with incumbent auto manufacturers, are ramping up production, which should drive down battery costs for all EV makers. In other words, the competitive advantages of a cheaper battery may be short-lived, as incumbents build economies of scale in their own supply chain in the coming years.\nAdditionally, while the much heralded 4680 cylindrical battery, produced by Panasonic for Tesla, and nearly ready for production, should bring a higher energy density in a more efficient package, competitors’ offerings all aim to provide the same.\nGeneral Motor’s Ultium platform will enable up to 400-450 miles of range, and the firm is building a new battery research facility aimed at building batteries capable of 600 miles on a single charge. General Motors recently announced a joint venture with LG Chem to build a second U.S. battery cell plant, which is expected to have an annual capacity of 35 gigawatt hours, or slightly above the 30 gigawatt hour capacity of its first Lordstown battery plant. Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas noted that the “formation of Ultium/Ultium Cells LLC will prove to be a critical point of strategic differentiation that will ultimately drive value creation for [GM] shareholders.”\nFord’s Mustang Mach-E became the first electric SUV not made by Tesla to reach an EPA-rated range of up to 300 miles, and the company recently entered a partnership with SK Innovation to build three U.S.-based battery plants to power 1 million EVs annually.\nOn its own, LG Chem plans to expand its existing U.S. facilities and build two more plants that will produce both pouch cells used by General Motors, Ford, Jaguar, Audi, Porsche, and more, as well as the cylindrical cells used by Tesla.\nUltimately, the race for the “perfect” battery is less important than the race to procure battery supplies to build the number of EVs each manufacturer aims to produce in the coming years. The incumbents have proven they can maintain and win a race to procure supplies, and they’ve only been doing it for multiple decades now.\nNot All Supply Issues Can Be Coded Away.To its credit, Tesla managed the global chip shortage relatively well by re-writing software to allow the use of alternative chips. However, not all supply issues can be solved via software, as evidenced by the growing wait times for Tesla’s vehicles. As Electrek notes, Tesla recently updated its delivery timelines for new orders, and depending upon specs, some vehicles won’t be delivered until September 2022 if ordered today. New orders for the Model 3 Standard Range Plus, which is Tesla’s cheapest vehicle, are currently on pace to be delivered in May 2022, or seven months from now.\nWhile certainly not unique to Tesla, extended delivery/wait times give consumers ample time to comparison shop and possibly switch orders to a competitor’s EV that would be available sooner.\nDelivery delays aren’t exclusive to in-production vehicles, but Tesla’s future vehicles as well. The much-hyped Cybertruck has recently been delayed again, this time until at least 2023 (compared to an original late 2021 release), which ultimately gives competitors more time to establish a presence in the EV truck market. I recently outlined the many competitors in the EV truck market in my report on Rivian.\nPutting It All Together: Tesla Provides Poor Risk/Reward\nGiven the challenges ahead for Tesla, coupled with a valuation that implies it will take 60%+ of the global EV market share, I think it is clear: Tesla’s stock offers poor risk/reward.\nTesla has proven risky to short, but investors need not buy shares today at such an elevated price.\nIf you’re buying Tesla at its current valuation, you’re not only betting that it will be the only winner of the electrification of the global automotive fleet, but that it will somehow be twice as profitable as Toyota and achieve at least 60% market share. With anything less than total market domination, TSLA presents large downside risk.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":501,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000542","authorId":"9000000000000542","name":"JeromeErnest","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000542","authorIdStr":"9000000000000542"},"content":"90% of the investors do not understand the principles behind the stock markets, they just follow the trend and what their friends saying. do you agree?😁","text":"90% of the investors do not understand the principles behind the stock markets, they just follow the trend and what their friends saying. do you agree?😁","html":"90% of the investors do not understand the principles behind the stock markets, they just follow the trend and what their friends saying. do you agree?😁"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879737653,"gmtCreate":1636771434463,"gmtModify":1636771434463,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sweet","listText":"Sweet","text":"Sweet","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879737653","repostId":"1129543601","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129543601","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636770982,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129543601?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-13 10:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129543601","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPalantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Palantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating a 30% margin.</li>\n <li>Palantir's commercial revenue increased 37%, and government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3 showing strong forward growth trends.</li>\n <li>Palantir closed 54 deals in Q3 2021 with at least $1 million in contract value with 33 valued at $5+ million and 18 at $10+ million.</li>\n <li>Palantir increases guidance again and expects 40% revenue growth YoY at $1.527 billion and $400 million in FCF up from the previous guidance increase of $300 million.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fd5d395baf412802ef5e554f0efa64b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Andreas Rentz/Getty Images Entertainment</span></p>\n<p>Some investors love to hate Palantir (PLTR), which was nicknamed a black box company in the past, while others absolutely love it because they believe PLTR's software is the future. In my previous article on PLTR, I stated that based on PLTR's current revenue trend, they were setting up to deliver $399.41 million in revenue for Q3 and $423.22 million of revenue in Q4. The consensus number was $386.56 million of revenue in Q3, and PLTR delivered $392.1 million and forecasted $418 million in Q4 2021. The reaction in premarket as the earnings call was being conducted was nothing but a sea of red as PLTR sharply declined, and each time a gap tried to fill, the next leg on the downward spiral started. The news wasn't even digested, yet people decided to either take profits, exit their position or lost faith in PLTR.</p>\n<p>What wasn't there to like in the earnings release to cause the sell-off that has been hovering in the -9.03% range? PLTR delivered 36% YoY revenue growth, added 34 new customers in Q3, and closed 54 deals worth $1 million or more. PLTR increased their remaining deal value by 50% YoY to $3.6 billion and delivered $101 million in cash from operations (26% margin), and $199 million in free cash flow (30% margin). PLTR also increased guidance for 2021 as they now expect revenue growth of 40% YoY compared to their previous projection of 30% and increased their projection in FCF to $400 million from $300 million. In addition to the numbers, PLTR announced new product platforms and use cases that have tremendous potential to drive revenue and FCF in the future. I believe this sell-off will be short-lived and I am looking at it as a buying opportunity.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cfe1dd0e9b2c6a24ce3cb94bcfda56c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p><b>Palantir's revenue continues to expand on both the commercial and government side</b></p>\n<p>Quarter after Quarter since PLTR went public, their commercial business has expanded. After five quarters of going public, PLTR's quarterly commercial revenue has increased by $62 million or 55.36%. In Q3 2021, PLTR delivered $174 million in revenue from its commercial operations, which accounted for 44.38% of its $392.1 million quarterly revenue. Over the previous two years, PLTR's Q3 revenue has increased by 85.11% as it grew by 35.11% in Q3 2020 YoY and by another 37.01% YoY in Q3 of 2021. PLTR's commercial remaining deal value increased by 101% YoY from $1.1 billion in Q3 2020 to $2.2 billion in Q3 2021. Commercial customers are inviting PLTR to present their software solutions, and PLTR is winning their business. In Q3 2021, PLTR added 34 net new customers increasing their commercial customer base by 20% QoQ to 203. Over the past year, PLTR has seen its commercial customer base expand by 46.04% as it has grown by 64 clients from 139 to 203. Anyone who still classifies PLTR as a black box is not being accurate as the commercial market is learning about PLTR's software platforms and implementing their solutions to improve their operations.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa4084630f4e4be30a41c925c5a3fd0a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"374\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)</span></p>\n<p>Since Q1 of 2020, PLTR has increased its quarterly revenue by $163.1 million (71.23%) at an average quarterly growth rate of 9.43% QoQ. In Q3 of 2021, this trend stayed intact as revenue increased by $16.1 million QoQ or 4.28%. While the quarterly revenue growth slowed a bit QoQ compared to 10.26% in Q2 2021, PLTR is projecting its Q4 2021 revenue will be $418 million. PLTR is expecting to deliver another company record and generate $25.9 million (6.61%) in QoQ growth to close out the year.</p>\n<p>The same growth story applies to their total revenue in the trailing twelve months (TTM) as well. Over the last six quarters, PLTR's TTM revenue has increased by $620.6 million (76.55%) from $810.6 million to $1.43 billion. On average, PLTR's TTM revenue growth has increased by $103.42 million (9.94%) QoQ. In Q1 2020 - Q3 2020, their average QoQ revenue growth was $94.03 million, and this has increased substantially as the past three quarters have all increased by at least $105 million QoQ. In Q3 2021, PLTR increased its TTM revenue to $1.43 billion as it added $106.8 million (8.06%) in QoQ revenue growth. Just like the quarterly metric, PLTR's TTM is expected to grow QoQ by an additional $95.9 million to $1.527 billion compared to $1.51 billion in the consensus estimate. This would place PLTR's annual revenue growth YoY well ahead of their 30% projection as they would finish 2021 having increased its revenue by $434.30 million (39.75%)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0ec6211d7ecb04785f406c7661c9124\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)</span></p>\n<p>I am shocked PLTR is still in the red. PLTR is a high-growth company that is now FCF positive and expanding its metrics. In the first nine months of 2020, PLTR generated -$285 million in FCF, and at the end of the first nine months of 2021, PLTR has delivered a $605 million swing as it has produced $320 million in FCF YTD. PLTR previously increased their 2021 FCF guidance to $300, and they just increased it again to $400+ million. In the span of three months, PLTR increased its FCF projection by an additional 33.33%. In Q3, PLTR's FCF margin was 30%, and they are projecting $400+ million in FCF for 2021. At the very minimum, this would mean they will tack on an additional $80 million in FCF for 2021. If PLTR delivers $1.527 billion in revenue and $400 million in FCF, its 2021 FCF margin would be 26.2%. PLTR is still projecting 30% annual revenue growth YoY thru 2025, which would place their 2025 revenue at $4.36 billion based on their projection of $1.527 for 2021. At PLTR's current FCF margin, they would generate $1.14 billion in FCF in 2025. Considering PLTR's current trends, if they exceeded their projections and grew at 35% YoY, it would place their 2025 revenue at $5.07 billion. At their current FCF margin, they would then generate $1.33 billion in FCF in 2025.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87cff0d5c5ef70ea6926a1323c77bfe4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"306\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: PLTR)</span></p>\n<p>PLTR is firing on all cylinders. YoY, their Q3 revenue grew by 36%, they raised guidance on their FCF for a 2nd time from $300 million to $400+ million and have increased their annual revenue growth guidance from 30% to roughly 40%. PLTR is still maintaining its future revenue outlook of 30% annually YoY and is creating some impressive margins. PLTR's commercial revenue grew YoY by 37%, and their government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3. PLTR closed at least 54 deals worth at least $1 million during Q3, and 33 of those were at least $5 million in revenue, and 18 were at least $10 million in revenue. PLTR's growth metrics are impressive, and I am expecting them to under promise and over deliver going forward.</p>\n<p><b>Palantir is entering two new sectors that are going to be huge, carbon emissions, and crypto</b></p>\n<p>In the past, I have written about future opportunities with the government, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), and International Business Machines(NYSE:IBM). On today's earnings call, PLTR introduced significant information surrounding two new products they will be offering for carbon emissions and crypto.</p>\n<p>There has been a fundamental shift in the USA over climate, and President Biden rejoined the Paris Agreement to reengage in tackling climate change. Part ofthe planis to reach a net-zero emission economy-wide by 2050. Recently President Biden at the United Nations climate summit in Glasgow, Scotland, pledged to work with the European Union and dozens of other nations to reduce overall methane emissions worldwide by 30% by 2030. No matter what your stance on climate is, there are many who believe we need to lower emissions, and many nations are working on a goal. To comply, companies such as&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(NYSE:XOM)&nbsp;are conducting longer-term research on several promising innovations with outside organizations, including direct air capture technology to&nbsp;scrub emissions out of the air&nbsp;and carbonate fuel cells&nbsp;to capture industrial emissions&nbsp;from flue gas streams of power plants or manufacturing facilities. Carbon emissions management is already a booming business, and PLTR is creating a module on Foundry to present a single pane to view revenue, margin, production, and all emissions so companies can manage outcomes more efficiently. Personally, I believe this has enormous potential to drive revenue for PLTR in the future.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2386d938e7f452a340dbb130de508f6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p>\n<p>The second huge prospect that PLTR discussed was Foundry for crypto. It looks like PLTR is leveraging their anti-money laundering and know-your-customer expertise. PLTR has worked with several governments over the years to find compliance issues with the world's largest banks and help those banks respond and strengthen their compliance programs. This makes complete sense, and when you go back to the contracts, PLTR has been awarded from the IRS and SEC (discussed in previous articles). In Q3 alone, PLTR inked 6 contracts with the IRS. If I had to guess, PLTR's software would be utilized by the IRS and the SEC on the government side and adopted on the commercial side by banks and crypto exchanges. Currently, in the past 24 hours,Coinbase(NASDAQ:COIN)&nbsp;is showing that Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has incurred a trading volume of $43.8 billion. I think PLTR will end up driving future revenue from both government and commercial contracts from its Foundry for Crypto.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53c762e27799c80dbaa9914bb98a6a10\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"234\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Federal Procurement Database)</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/005d57c6c5c926b35eac100fa35c7415\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>PLTR has become another statistic of the market misunderstanding its earnings and selling the news when the news was great. What more does anyone want PLTR to do? This was an excellent quarter with revenue increasing 36% YoY in Q3, FCF came in at $119 million with a 30% margin, and PLTR closed 54 deals worth more than $1 million each. PLTR beats revenue estimates, increases guidance for its full-year revenue than for the 2nd time, increases its FCF guidance. This was a sell the news on all positive factors, which is creating a buying opportunity. I am staying long on PLTR and plan to add to my position if the sell-off continues.</p>\n<p><b>Seeking Alpha Marketplace</b></p>\n<p>I will be launching a subscription service called Barbell Capital on the Seeking Alpha Marketplace. Barbell Capital will provide exclusive research, model portfolios, investment tools, Q&amp;A sessions, watchlists, and additional features for its members. I will also have a live portfolio dedicated to generating capital from trading, selling puts and selling covered calls. The profits will be allocated to future capital appreciating investments and investing in dividend investments to generate income while we sleep.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-13 10:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4468059-palantir-q3-beat-creating-an-opportunity><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nPalantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating a 30% margin.\nPalantir's commercial revenue increased 37%, and government revenue grew by 34% YoY in...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4468059-palantir-q3-beat-creating-an-opportunity\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4468059-palantir-q3-beat-creating-an-opportunity","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129543601","content_text":"Summary\n\nPalantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating a 30% margin.\nPalantir's commercial revenue increased 37%, and government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3 showing strong forward growth trends.\nPalantir closed 54 deals in Q3 2021 with at least $1 million in contract value with 33 valued at $5+ million and 18 at $10+ million.\nPalantir increases guidance again and expects 40% revenue growth YoY at $1.527 billion and $400 million in FCF up from the previous guidance increase of $300 million.\n\nAndreas Rentz/Getty Images Entertainment\nSome investors love to hate Palantir (PLTR), which was nicknamed a black box company in the past, while others absolutely love it because they believe PLTR's software is the future. In my previous article on PLTR, I stated that based on PLTR's current revenue trend, they were setting up to deliver $399.41 million in revenue for Q3 and $423.22 million of revenue in Q4. The consensus number was $386.56 million of revenue in Q3, and PLTR delivered $392.1 million and forecasted $418 million in Q4 2021. The reaction in premarket as the earnings call was being conducted was nothing but a sea of red as PLTR sharply declined, and each time a gap tried to fill, the next leg on the downward spiral started. The news wasn't even digested, yet people decided to either take profits, exit their position or lost faith in PLTR.\nWhat wasn't there to like in the earnings release to cause the sell-off that has been hovering in the -9.03% range? PLTR delivered 36% YoY revenue growth, added 34 new customers in Q3, and closed 54 deals worth $1 million or more. PLTR increased their remaining deal value by 50% YoY to $3.6 billion and delivered $101 million in cash from operations (26% margin), and $199 million in free cash flow (30% margin). PLTR also increased guidance for 2021 as they now expect revenue growth of 40% YoY compared to their previous projection of 30% and increased their projection in FCF to $400 million from $300 million. In addition to the numbers, PLTR announced new product platforms and use cases that have tremendous potential to drive revenue and FCF in the future. I believe this sell-off will be short-lived and I am looking at it as a buying opportunity.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha)\nPalantir's revenue continues to expand on both the commercial and government side\nQuarter after Quarter since PLTR went public, their commercial business has expanded. After five quarters of going public, PLTR's quarterly commercial revenue has increased by $62 million or 55.36%. In Q3 2021, PLTR delivered $174 million in revenue from its commercial operations, which accounted for 44.38% of its $392.1 million quarterly revenue. Over the previous two years, PLTR's Q3 revenue has increased by 85.11% as it grew by 35.11% in Q3 2020 YoY and by another 37.01% YoY in Q3 of 2021. PLTR's commercial remaining deal value increased by 101% YoY from $1.1 billion in Q3 2020 to $2.2 billion in Q3 2021. Commercial customers are inviting PLTR to present their software solutions, and PLTR is winning their business. In Q3 2021, PLTR added 34 net new customers increasing their commercial customer base by 20% QoQ to 203. Over the past year, PLTR has seen its commercial customer base expand by 46.04% as it has grown by 64 clients from 139 to 203. Anyone who still classifies PLTR as a black box is not being accurate as the commercial market is learning about PLTR's software platforms and implementing their solutions to improve their operations.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)\nSince Q1 of 2020, PLTR has increased its quarterly revenue by $163.1 million (71.23%) at an average quarterly growth rate of 9.43% QoQ. In Q3 of 2021, this trend stayed intact as revenue increased by $16.1 million QoQ or 4.28%. While the quarterly revenue growth slowed a bit QoQ compared to 10.26% in Q2 2021, PLTR is projecting its Q4 2021 revenue will be $418 million. PLTR is expecting to deliver another company record and generate $25.9 million (6.61%) in QoQ growth to close out the year.\nThe same growth story applies to their total revenue in the trailing twelve months (TTM) as well. Over the last six quarters, PLTR's TTM revenue has increased by $620.6 million (76.55%) from $810.6 million to $1.43 billion. On average, PLTR's TTM revenue growth has increased by $103.42 million (9.94%) QoQ. In Q1 2020 - Q3 2020, their average QoQ revenue growth was $94.03 million, and this has increased substantially as the past three quarters have all increased by at least $105 million QoQ. In Q3 2021, PLTR increased its TTM revenue to $1.43 billion as it added $106.8 million (8.06%) in QoQ revenue growth. Just like the quarterly metric, PLTR's TTM is expected to grow QoQ by an additional $95.9 million to $1.527 billion compared to $1.51 billion in the consensus estimate. This would place PLTR's annual revenue growth YoY well ahead of their 30% projection as they would finish 2021 having increased its revenue by $434.30 million (39.75%)\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)\nI am shocked PLTR is still in the red. PLTR is a high-growth company that is now FCF positive and expanding its metrics. In the first nine months of 2020, PLTR generated -$285 million in FCF, and at the end of the first nine months of 2021, PLTR has delivered a $605 million swing as it has produced $320 million in FCF YTD. PLTR previously increased their 2021 FCF guidance to $300, and they just increased it again to $400+ million. In the span of three months, PLTR increased its FCF projection by an additional 33.33%. In Q3, PLTR's FCF margin was 30%, and they are projecting $400+ million in FCF for 2021. At the very minimum, this would mean they will tack on an additional $80 million in FCF for 2021. If PLTR delivers $1.527 billion in revenue and $400 million in FCF, its 2021 FCF margin would be 26.2%. PLTR is still projecting 30% annual revenue growth YoY thru 2025, which would place their 2025 revenue at $4.36 billion based on their projection of $1.527 for 2021. At PLTR's current FCF margin, they would generate $1.14 billion in FCF in 2025. Considering PLTR's current trends, if they exceeded their projections and grew at 35% YoY, it would place their 2025 revenue at $5.07 billion. At their current FCF margin, they would then generate $1.33 billion in FCF in 2025.\n(Source: PLTR)\nPLTR is firing on all cylinders. YoY, their Q3 revenue grew by 36%, they raised guidance on their FCF for a 2nd time from $300 million to $400+ million and have increased their annual revenue growth guidance from 30% to roughly 40%. PLTR is still maintaining its future revenue outlook of 30% annually YoY and is creating some impressive margins. PLTR's commercial revenue grew YoY by 37%, and their government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3. PLTR closed at least 54 deals worth at least $1 million during Q3, and 33 of those were at least $5 million in revenue, and 18 were at least $10 million in revenue. PLTR's growth metrics are impressive, and I am expecting them to under promise and over deliver going forward.\nPalantir is entering two new sectors that are going to be huge, carbon emissions, and crypto\nIn the past, I have written about future opportunities with the government, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), and International Business Machines(NYSE:IBM). On today's earnings call, PLTR introduced significant information surrounding two new products they will be offering for carbon emissions and crypto.\nThere has been a fundamental shift in the USA over climate, and President Biden rejoined the Paris Agreement to reengage in tackling climate change. Part ofthe planis to reach a net-zero emission economy-wide by 2050. Recently President Biden at the United Nations climate summit in Glasgow, Scotland, pledged to work with the European Union and dozens of other nations to reduce overall methane emissions worldwide by 30% by 2030. No matter what your stance on climate is, there are many who believe we need to lower emissions, and many nations are working on a goal. To comply, companies such as Exxon Mobil(NYSE:XOM) are conducting longer-term research on several promising innovations with outside organizations, including direct air capture technology to scrub emissions out of the air and carbonate fuel cells to capture industrial emissions from flue gas streams of power plants or manufacturing facilities. Carbon emissions management is already a booming business, and PLTR is creating a module on Foundry to present a single pane to view revenue, margin, production, and all emissions so companies can manage outcomes more efficiently. Personally, I believe this has enormous potential to drive revenue for PLTR in the future.\n(Source: Palantir)\nThe second huge prospect that PLTR discussed was Foundry for crypto. It looks like PLTR is leveraging their anti-money laundering and know-your-customer expertise. PLTR has worked with several governments over the years to find compliance issues with the world's largest banks and help those banks respond and strengthen their compliance programs. This makes complete sense, and when you go back to the contracts, PLTR has been awarded from the IRS and SEC (discussed in previous articles). In Q3 alone, PLTR inked 6 contracts with the IRS. If I had to guess, PLTR's software would be utilized by the IRS and the SEC on the government side and adopted on the commercial side by banks and crypto exchanges. Currently, in the past 24 hours,Coinbase(NASDAQ:COIN) is showing that Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has incurred a trading volume of $43.8 billion. I think PLTR will end up driving future revenue from both government and commercial contracts from its Foundry for Crypto.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Federal Procurement Database)\n(Source: Palantir)\nConclusion\nPLTR has become another statistic of the market misunderstanding its earnings and selling the news when the news was great. What more does anyone want PLTR to do? This was an excellent quarter with revenue increasing 36% YoY in Q3, FCF came in at $119 million with a 30% margin, and PLTR closed 54 deals worth more than $1 million each. PLTR beats revenue estimates, increases guidance for its full-year revenue than for the 2nd time, increases its FCF guidance. This was a sell the news on all positive factors, which is creating a buying opportunity. I am staying long on PLTR and plan to add to my position if the sell-off continues.\nSeeking Alpha Marketplace\nI will be launching a subscription service called Barbell Capital on the Seeking Alpha Marketplace. Barbell Capital will provide exclusive research, model portfolios, investment tools, Q&A sessions, watchlists, and additional features for its members. I will also have a live portfolio dedicated to generating capital from trading, selling puts and selling covered calls. The profits will be allocated to future capital appreciating investments and investing in dividend investments to generate income while we sleep.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":256,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602343587,"gmtCreate":1638975977602,"gmtModify":1638975977709,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like like like drop more so that we can buy more!","listText":"Like like like drop more so that we can buy more!","text":"Like like like drop more so that we can buy more!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602343587","repostId":"1199688505","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199688505","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638974553,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199688505?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-08 22:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV stocks dropped in morning trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199688505","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV stocks dropped in morning trading.Tesla,Rivian,Xpeng Motors,Li Auto,Lucid,Fisker,Nikola and Farad","content":"<p>EV stocks dropped in morning trading.Tesla,Rivian,Xpeng Motors,Li Auto,Lucid,Fisker,Nikola and Faraday Future fell between 1% and 5%.NIO shares rose slightly.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7f8f57ef57d2c11cb4d8fd5faec09fa\" tg-width=\"404\" tg-height=\"719\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV stocks dropped in morning trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV stocks dropped in morning trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-08 22:42</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV stocks dropped in morning trading.Tesla,Rivian,Xpeng Motors,Li Auto,Lucid,Fisker,Nikola and Faraday Future fell between 1% and 5%.NIO shares rose slightly.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7f8f57ef57d2c11cb4d8fd5faec09fa\" tg-width=\"404\" tg-height=\"719\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FFIE":"Faraday Future","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","FSR":"菲斯克","NIO":"蔚来","NKLA":"Nikola Corporation","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.","LI":"理想汽车","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199688505","content_text":"EV stocks dropped in morning trading.Tesla,Rivian,Xpeng Motors,Li Auto,Lucid,Fisker,Nikola and Faraday Future fell between 1% and 5%.NIO shares rose slightly.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":917,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608732503,"gmtCreate":1638788502004,"gmtModify":1638788502215,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like like like buy buy buy","listText":"Like like like buy buy buy","text":"Like like like buy buy buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608732503","repostId":"2188576930","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1079,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879705516,"gmtCreate":1636769905613,"gmtModify":1636769905613,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wa&nbsp; millions share&nbsp;","listText":"Wa&nbsp; millions share&nbsp;","text":"Wa millions share","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879705516","repostId":"1151602326","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1151602326","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636767621,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151602326?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-13 09:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Musk sold 1.2 million Tesla shares on November 12","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151602326","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Musk sold 1.2 million Tesla shares at an average price of $1032.5 on November 12,according to SEC documents.At present, Musk still holds 166.3 million Tesla shares.So far, Musk has sold about 6.34 million Tesla shares since November 8. Previously, musk promised on Twitter to sell 10% of its Tesla shares, namely 17.05 million shares. At present, musk has sold only 37.1% of its promised shares, and needs to sell at least 10.7 million Tesla shares.","content":"<p>Musk sold 1.2 million Tesla shares at an average price of $1032.5 on November 12,according to SEC documents.At present, Musk still holds 166.3 million Tesla shares.</p>\n<p>So far, Musk has sold about 6.34 million Tesla shares since November 8. Previously, musk promised on Twitter to sell 10% of its Tesla shares, namely 17.05 million shares. At present, musk has sold only 37.1% of its promised shares, and needs to sell at least 10.7 million Tesla shares.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Musk sold 1.2 million Tesla shares on November 12</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMusk sold 1.2 million Tesla shares on November 12\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-11-13 09:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Musk sold 1.2 million Tesla shares at an average price of $1032.5 on November 12,according to SEC documents.At present, Musk still holds 166.3 million Tesla shares.</p>\n<p>So far, Musk has sold about 6.34 million Tesla shares since November 8. Previously, musk promised on Twitter to sell 10% of its Tesla shares, namely 17.05 million shares. At present, musk has sold only 37.1% of its promised shares, and needs to sell at least 10.7 million Tesla shares.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151602326","content_text":"Musk sold 1.2 million Tesla shares at an average price of $1032.5 on November 12,according to SEC documents.At present, Musk still holds 166.3 million Tesla shares.\nSo far, Musk has sold about 6.34 million Tesla shares since November 8. Previously, musk promised on Twitter to sell 10% of its Tesla shares, namely 17.05 million shares. At present, musk has sold only 37.1% of its promised shares, and needs to sell at least 10.7 million Tesla shares.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690826071,"gmtCreate":1639656715433,"gmtModify":1639656724983,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like like like","listText":"Like like like","text":"Like like like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690826071","repostId":"1191022113","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191022113","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1639626011,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191022113?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 11:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood Sells Another $88M In Tesla Day After Piling Up Stake In Chinese EV Rival","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191022113","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest on Wednesday sold 90,455 shares — estimated to be worth $88.3 million — i","content":"<p><b>Cathie Wood</b>-led&nbsp;<b>Ark Invest</b>&nbsp;on Wednesday sold 90,455 shares — estimated to be worth $88.3 million — in&nbsp;<b>Tesla Inc</b>, booking profit in the stock as it rose after days of losses.</p>\n<p>The stock pared earlier losses to close&nbsp;1.82% higher at $975.99 a share on Wednesday. The Elon Musk-led company’s shares are up about 34% so far this year and down about 7.5% over the past month.</p>\n<p>Ark Invest sold the shares via the&nbsp;<b>Ark Innovation ETF</b>(BATS:ARKK), the&nbsp;<b>Ark Autonomous Technology &amp; Robotics ETF</b>(BATS:ARKQ) and the&nbsp;<b>Ark Next Generation Internet ETF</b>(BATS:ARKW)&nbsp;on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Tesla’s weight in ARKK and ARKW had already slipped below the 10% threshold at 8.14% and 9.35%, respectively, ahead of Wednesday’s trade. In ARKQ, it constituted 10.59% of the portfolio.</p>\n<p>The three ETFs held 1.99 million shares — worth $1.91 billion — in Tesla, ahead of Wednesday’s trade.</p>\n<p>Ark Invest has been booking profit in Tesla since September — selling over $3 billion worth of shares — after years of piling up shares in the electric vehicle company at far lower levels.</p>\n<p>Tesla continues to be the firm's biggest bet across ETFs — a stock it predicts would hit the&nbsp;$3,000 mark by the end of 2025.</p>\n<p>Wood favors the automotive industry’s switch to electric vehicles and earlier thismonth started buying sharesin the U.S. listed Chinese electric automaker&nbsp;<b>Xpeng Inc</b>.</p>\n<p>Here are the other key trades on Wednesday:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Bought 104,489 shares — estimated to be worth $21.3 million — in&nbsp;<b>Roku Inc</b>&nbsp;on the dip. The stock closed 7.95% lower at $203.94 a share on Wednesday.</li>\n <li>Bought 705,660 shares — estimated to be worth $13.7 million — in&nbsp;<b>Robinhood Markets Inc</b>. The stock closed 1.93% higher at $19.50 a share.</li>\n</ul>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood Sells Another $88M In Tesla Day After Piling Up Stake In Chinese EV Rival</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood Sells Another $88M In Tesla Day After Piling Up Stake In Chinese EV Rival\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-16 11:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Cathie Wood</b>-led&nbsp;<b>Ark Invest</b>&nbsp;on Wednesday sold 90,455 shares — estimated to be worth $88.3 million — in&nbsp;<b>Tesla Inc</b>, booking profit in the stock as it rose after days of losses.</p>\n<p>The stock pared earlier losses to close&nbsp;1.82% higher at $975.99 a share on Wednesday. The Elon Musk-led company’s shares are up about 34% so far this year and down about 7.5% over the past month.</p>\n<p>Ark Invest sold the shares via the&nbsp;<b>Ark Innovation ETF</b>(BATS:ARKK), the&nbsp;<b>Ark Autonomous Technology &amp; Robotics ETF</b>(BATS:ARKQ) and the&nbsp;<b>Ark Next Generation Internet ETF</b>(BATS:ARKW)&nbsp;on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Tesla’s weight in ARKK and ARKW had already slipped below the 10% threshold at 8.14% and 9.35%, respectively, ahead of Wednesday’s trade. In ARKQ, it constituted 10.59% of the portfolio.</p>\n<p>The three ETFs held 1.99 million shares — worth $1.91 billion — in Tesla, ahead of Wednesday’s trade.</p>\n<p>Ark Invest has been booking profit in Tesla since September — selling over $3 billion worth of shares — after years of piling up shares in the electric vehicle company at far lower levels.</p>\n<p>Tesla continues to be the firm's biggest bet across ETFs — a stock it predicts would hit the&nbsp;$3,000 mark by the end of 2025.</p>\n<p>Wood favors the automotive industry’s switch to electric vehicles and earlier thismonth started buying sharesin the U.S. listed Chinese electric automaker&nbsp;<b>Xpeng Inc</b>.</p>\n<p>Here are the other key trades on Wednesday:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Bought 104,489 shares — estimated to be worth $21.3 million — in&nbsp;<b>Roku Inc</b>&nbsp;on the dip. The stock closed 7.95% lower at $203.94 a share on Wednesday.</li>\n <li>Bought 705,660 shares — estimated to be worth $13.7 million — in&nbsp;<b>Robinhood Markets Inc</b>. The stock closed 1.93% higher at $19.50 a share.</li>\n</ul>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ROKU":"Roku Inc","ARKQ":"ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF","TSLA":"特斯拉","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","HOOD":"Robinhood","ARKW":"ARK Next Generation Internation ETF","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191022113","content_text":"Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest on Wednesday sold 90,455 shares — estimated to be worth $88.3 million — in Tesla Inc, booking profit in the stock as it rose after days of losses.\nThe stock pared earlier losses to close 1.82% higher at $975.99 a share on Wednesday. The Elon Musk-led company’s shares are up about 34% so far this year and down about 7.5% over the past month.\nArk Invest sold the shares via the Ark Innovation ETF(BATS:ARKK), the Ark Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF(BATS:ARKQ) and the Ark Next Generation Internet ETF(BATS:ARKW) on Wednesday.\nTesla’s weight in ARKK and ARKW had already slipped below the 10% threshold at 8.14% and 9.35%, respectively, ahead of Wednesday’s trade. In ARKQ, it constituted 10.59% of the portfolio.\nThe three ETFs held 1.99 million shares — worth $1.91 billion — in Tesla, ahead of Wednesday’s trade.\nArk Invest has been booking profit in Tesla since September — selling over $3 billion worth of shares — after years of piling up shares in the electric vehicle company at far lower levels.\nTesla continues to be the firm's biggest bet across ETFs — a stock it predicts would hit the $3,000 mark by the end of 2025.\nWood favors the automotive industry’s switch to electric vehicles and earlier thismonth started buying sharesin the U.S. listed Chinese electric automaker Xpeng Inc.\nHere are the other key trades on Wednesday:\n\nBought 104,489 shares — estimated to be worth $21.3 million — in Roku Inc on the dip. The stock closed 7.95% lower at $203.94 a share on Wednesday.\nBought 705,660 shares — estimated to be worth $13.7 million — in Robinhood Markets Inc. The stock closed 1.93% higher at $19.50 a share.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":935,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602711577,"gmtCreate":1639065823814,"gmtModify":1639066025145,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Droo more please so that we can buy more!","listText":"Droo more please so that we can buy more!","text":"Droo more please so that we can buy more!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602711577","repostId":"1106538194","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1106538194","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639060286,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106538194?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-09 22:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stock indexes pull back modestly at Thursday's open, poised to snap 3-day string of gains","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106538194","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks dipped on Thursday, after the major averages posted a third straight day of gains as tra","content":"<p>U.S. stocks dipped on Thursday, after the major averages posted a&nbsp;third straight day of gains&nbsp;as traders bet that the omicron variant’s economic impacts won’t be as severe as initially thought.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 148 points, or 0.4%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite each fell 0.3%.</p>\n<p>Several travel-related stocks, which led the market higher throughout the week, were lower Thursday morning. Shares of Carnival fell 2%. Casino stocks Wynn Resorts and Las Vegas Sands fell 1%. United and Delta Air Lines were 1% lower too.</p>\n<p>Separately, shares of Rent The Runway tumbled by 12% after reporting swelling losses and lower than pre-pandemic subscriber growth for its most recent quarter. Electric vehicle maker Lucid saw shares fall 4% after announcing a $1.75 billion offering of convertible senior notes.</p>\n<p>Still, there were some positive morning moves as well. CVS gained 2% after it&nbsp;issued upbeat guidance&nbsp;ahead of its Investor Day. Home retailer RH soared about 10% after it reported blowout earnings and lifted the low end of its revenue outlook.</p>\n<p>There are some notable earnings reports on Thursday, including from Oracle, Broadcom and Lululemon, all of which report after the market closes.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stock indexes pull back modestly at Thursday's open, poised to snap 3-day string of gains</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stock indexes pull back modestly at Thursday's open, poised to snap 3-day string of gains\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-09 22:31</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stocks dipped on Thursday, after the major averages posted a&nbsp;third straight day of gains&nbsp;as traders bet that the omicron variant’s economic impacts won’t be as severe as initially thought.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 148 points, or 0.4%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite each fell 0.3%.</p>\n<p>Several travel-related stocks, which led the market higher throughout the week, were lower Thursday morning. Shares of Carnival fell 2%. Casino stocks Wynn Resorts and Las Vegas Sands fell 1%. United and Delta Air Lines were 1% lower too.</p>\n<p>Separately, shares of Rent The Runway tumbled by 12% after reporting swelling losses and lower than pre-pandemic subscriber growth for its most recent quarter. Electric vehicle maker Lucid saw shares fall 4% after announcing a $1.75 billion offering of convertible senior notes.</p>\n<p>Still, there were some positive morning moves as well. CVS gained 2% after it&nbsp;issued upbeat guidance&nbsp;ahead of its Investor Day. Home retailer RH soared about 10% after it reported blowout earnings and lifted the low end of its revenue outlook.</p>\n<p>There are some notable earnings reports on Thursday, including from Oracle, Broadcom and Lululemon, all of which report after the market closes.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106538194","content_text":"U.S. stocks dipped on Thursday, after the major averages posted a third straight day of gains as traders bet that the omicron variant’s economic impacts won’t be as severe as initially thought.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 148 points, or 0.4%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite each fell 0.3%.\nSeveral travel-related stocks, which led the market higher throughout the week, were lower Thursday morning. Shares of Carnival fell 2%. Casino stocks Wynn Resorts and Las Vegas Sands fell 1%. United and Delta Air Lines were 1% lower too.\nSeparately, shares of Rent The Runway tumbled by 12% after reporting swelling losses and lower than pre-pandemic subscriber growth for its most recent quarter. Electric vehicle maker Lucid saw shares fall 4% after announcing a $1.75 billion offering of convertible senior notes.\nStill, there were some positive morning moves as well. CVS gained 2% after it issued upbeat guidance ahead of its Investor Day. Home retailer RH soared about 10% after it reported blowout earnings and lifted the low end of its revenue outlook.\nThere are some notable earnings reports on Thursday, including from Oracle, Broadcom and Lululemon, all of which report after the market closes.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":983,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692035048,"gmtCreate":1640789925026,"gmtModify":1640789925188,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"HODL!&nbsp;LONG TERM GOALS!&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>","listText":"HODL!&nbsp;LONG TERM GOALS!&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>","text":"HODL! LONG TERM GOALS! $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692035048","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1072,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":877909216,"gmtCreate":1637852629774,"gmtModify":1637852629774,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hodl","listText":"Hodl","text":"Hodl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877909216","repostId":"2186916023","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2186916023","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1637848500,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2186916023?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-25 21:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Palantir Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2040?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2186916023","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The data-mining firm has a slim chance of eventually joining the 12-zero club.","content":"<p><b>Palantir Technologies</b> (NYSE:PLTR) has been a volatile and polarizing investment since its direct listing last September. The bulls claimed its data-mining platforms would continue to grow as it signed more government and enterprise contracts.</p>\n<p>The bears pointed out that Palantir was too heavily dependent on government clients, its enterprise business faced too many competitors, it was deeply unprofitable, and its stock was too expensive.</p>\n<p>Palantir's stock price has experienced some wild swings over the past year, but it has still more than doubled since its first trade at $10 per share.</p>\n<p>Today, Palantir is valued at $41.3 billion, or 27 times this year's sales. The bears will argue that the high price-to-sales (P/S) ratio will limit its upside, especially as rising interest rates and inflation make many high-growth tech stocks less attractive.</p>\n<p>But let's look beyond the near-term noise and see if Palantir can still generate big multibagger gains, or even become a trillion-dollar stock, over the next two decades.</p>\n<h2>How fast is Palantir growing?</h2>\n<p>Palantir expects to grow its revenue by at least 30% annually between fiscal 2021 and 2025. That forecast implies its revenue will rise from its target of $1.5 billion this year to at least $4.3 billion in 2025.</p>\n<p>The company expects that growth to be driven by its new and expanded contracts with government agencies, as well as the growth of its Foundry platform for large commercial customers. The accelerating growth of its commercial business over the past year, which notably outpaced the growth of its government business last quarter, supports that thesis.</p>\n<h2>Palantir's path toward a trillion-dollar market cap</h2>\n<p>Palantir hasn't provided any longer-term targets beyond 2025. But based on the growth trajectory of other big data companies like <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a> </b>(NYSE:CRM), its annual revenue increase could potentially decelerate and stabilize at about 20% over the following 10 years.</p>\n<p>If it hits its target for 2025, then continues to grow its revenue at an average rate of 20% over the following 10 years, it could generate nearly $27 billion in revenue in 2035.</p>\n<p>If Palantir's revenue growth then slows down to 15% per year, which would be more comparable to <b>Microsoft</b>'s (NASDAQ:MSFT) current rate, it could generate over $53 billion in revenue in 2040.</p>\n<p>Assuming the company is still valued at over 20 times sales, its market cap could surpass $1 trillion. But most tech giants that grow their revenue 15% to 25% annually aren't valued at more than 20 times sales.</p>\n<p>Microsoft, which is expected to generate 17% sales growth this year, trades at 13 times that estimate. Salesforce, which is expected to generate 24% sales growth this year, trades at just 11 times this year's sales.</p>\n<p>Therefore, Palantir's market cap could potentially hit $1 trillion by 2040, but it seems highly unlikely. Instead, it will likely be closer to $500 billion (which would still be a 12-bagger gain from its current valuation) if its stock is trading at a more reasonable P/S ratio of 10.</p>\n<h2>Look beyond the market caps</h2>\n<p>Instead of focusing on Palantir's path toward joining the 12-zero club, investors should focus on its ability to generate sustainable growth.</p>\n<p>The company has gained a firm foothold with the U.S. government, but it still faces competition from internally developed systems. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), for example, has been developing its own platform to replace Palantir's Falcon. If other agencies follow ICE's lead, the company's dream of becoming the \"default operating system for data across the U.S. government\" could abruptly end.</p>\n<p>Palantir is making solid progress in the commercial market, but its Foundry platform still faces plenty of indirect competitors like <b>C3.ai</b>, <b>Salesforce</b>'s Tableau, and Glue from <b>Amazon</b> Web Services.</p>\n<p>The company likely believes its reputation as a battle-hardened platform for the U.S. military and government agencies will attract more enterprise customers. But there's no guarantee that this appeal will last for decades or fend off newer, hungrier, and more disruptive players in the data-mining market.</p>\n<h2>Is Palantir's stock still worth buying?</h2>\n<p>I still believe Palantir's stock is a promising long-term investment on the secular growth of the data-mining and analytics market. However, there's a lot of growth already baked into the stock, and its high valuations could limit its near-term and long-term potential. Palantir probably won't hit a trillion-dollar valuation within the next two decades, but it could still outperform the market and generate impressive multibagger gains.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Palantir Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2040?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Palantir Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2040?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-25 21:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/25/will-palantir-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2040/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) has been a volatile and polarizing investment since its direct listing last September. The bulls claimed its data-mining platforms would continue to grow as it signed...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/25/will-palantir-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2040/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/25/will-palantir-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-by-2040/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2186916023","content_text":"Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) has been a volatile and polarizing investment since its direct listing last September. The bulls claimed its data-mining platforms would continue to grow as it signed more government and enterprise contracts.\nThe bears pointed out that Palantir was too heavily dependent on government clients, its enterprise business faced too many competitors, it was deeply unprofitable, and its stock was too expensive.\nPalantir's stock price has experienced some wild swings over the past year, but it has still more than doubled since its first trade at $10 per share.\nToday, Palantir is valued at $41.3 billion, or 27 times this year's sales. The bears will argue that the high price-to-sales (P/S) ratio will limit its upside, especially as rising interest rates and inflation make many high-growth tech stocks less attractive.\nBut let's look beyond the near-term noise and see if Palantir can still generate big multibagger gains, or even become a trillion-dollar stock, over the next two decades.\nHow fast is Palantir growing?\nPalantir expects to grow its revenue by at least 30% annually between fiscal 2021 and 2025. That forecast implies its revenue will rise from its target of $1.5 billion this year to at least $4.3 billion in 2025.\nThe company expects that growth to be driven by its new and expanded contracts with government agencies, as well as the growth of its Foundry platform for large commercial customers. The accelerating growth of its commercial business over the past year, which notably outpaced the growth of its government business last quarter, supports that thesis.\nPalantir's path toward a trillion-dollar market cap\nPalantir hasn't provided any longer-term targets beyond 2025. But based on the growth trajectory of other big data companies like Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), its annual revenue increase could potentially decelerate and stabilize at about 20% over the following 10 years.\nIf it hits its target for 2025, then continues to grow its revenue at an average rate of 20% over the following 10 years, it could generate nearly $27 billion in revenue in 2035.\nIf Palantir's revenue growth then slows down to 15% per year, which would be more comparable to Microsoft's (NASDAQ:MSFT) current rate, it could generate over $53 billion in revenue in 2040.\nAssuming the company is still valued at over 20 times sales, its market cap could surpass $1 trillion. But most tech giants that grow their revenue 15% to 25% annually aren't valued at more than 20 times sales.\nMicrosoft, which is expected to generate 17% sales growth this year, trades at 13 times that estimate. Salesforce, which is expected to generate 24% sales growth this year, trades at just 11 times this year's sales.\nTherefore, Palantir's market cap could potentially hit $1 trillion by 2040, but it seems highly unlikely. Instead, it will likely be closer to $500 billion (which would still be a 12-bagger gain from its current valuation) if its stock is trading at a more reasonable P/S ratio of 10.\nLook beyond the market caps\nInstead of focusing on Palantir's path toward joining the 12-zero club, investors should focus on its ability to generate sustainable growth.\nThe company has gained a firm foothold with the U.S. government, but it still faces competition from internally developed systems. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), for example, has been developing its own platform to replace Palantir's Falcon. If other agencies follow ICE's lead, the company's dream of becoming the \"default operating system for data across the U.S. government\" could abruptly end.\nPalantir is making solid progress in the commercial market, but its Foundry platform still faces plenty of indirect competitors like C3.ai, Salesforce's Tableau, and Glue from Amazon Web Services.\nThe company likely believes its reputation as a battle-hardened platform for the U.S. military and government agencies will attract more enterprise customers. But there's no guarantee that this appeal will last for decades or fend off newer, hungrier, and more disruptive players in the data-mining market.\nIs Palantir's stock still worth buying?\nI still believe Palantir's stock is a promising long-term investment on the secular growth of the data-mining and analytics market. However, there's a lot of growth already baked into the stock, and its high valuations could limit its near-term and long-term potential. Palantir probably won't hit a trillion-dollar valuation within the next two decades, but it could still outperform the market and generate impressive multibagger gains.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600265953,"gmtCreate":1638160064375,"gmtModify":1638160064431,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lol anyhow put 200k meh","listText":"Lol anyhow put 200k meh","text":"Lol anyhow put 200k meh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600265953","repostId":"2186432637","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":791,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879737355,"gmtCreate":1636771412242,"gmtModify":1636771412242,"author":{"id":"3572953408050779","authorId":"3572953408050779","name":"FlRE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf0d2a348c6ea8d463dd7d35bfa021b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572953408050779","authorIdStr":"3572953408050779"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879737355","repostId":"1129543601","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129543601","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636770982,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129543601?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-13 10:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129543601","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPalantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Palantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating a 30% margin.</li>\n <li>Palantir's commercial revenue increased 37%, and government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3 showing strong forward growth trends.</li>\n <li>Palantir closed 54 deals in Q3 2021 with at least $1 million in contract value with 33 valued at $5+ million and 18 at $10+ million.</li>\n <li>Palantir increases guidance again and expects 40% revenue growth YoY at $1.527 billion and $400 million in FCF up from the previous guidance increase of $300 million.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fd5d395baf412802ef5e554f0efa64b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Andreas Rentz/Getty Images Entertainment</span></p>\n<p>Some investors love to hate Palantir (PLTR), which was nicknamed a black box company in the past, while others absolutely love it because they believe PLTR's software is the future. In my previous article on PLTR, I stated that based on PLTR's current revenue trend, they were setting up to deliver $399.41 million in revenue for Q3 and $423.22 million of revenue in Q4. The consensus number was $386.56 million of revenue in Q3, and PLTR delivered $392.1 million and forecasted $418 million in Q4 2021. The reaction in premarket as the earnings call was being conducted was nothing but a sea of red as PLTR sharply declined, and each time a gap tried to fill, the next leg on the downward spiral started. The news wasn't even digested, yet people decided to either take profits, exit their position or lost faith in PLTR.</p>\n<p>What wasn't there to like in the earnings release to cause the sell-off that has been hovering in the -9.03% range? PLTR delivered 36% YoY revenue growth, added 34 new customers in Q3, and closed 54 deals worth $1 million or more. PLTR increased their remaining deal value by 50% YoY to $3.6 billion and delivered $101 million in cash from operations (26% margin), and $199 million in free cash flow (30% margin). PLTR also increased guidance for 2021 as they now expect revenue growth of 40% YoY compared to their previous projection of 30% and increased their projection in FCF to $400 million from $300 million. In addition to the numbers, PLTR announced new product platforms and use cases that have tremendous potential to drive revenue and FCF in the future. I believe this sell-off will be short-lived and I am looking at it as a buying opportunity.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cfe1dd0e9b2c6a24ce3cb94bcfda56c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p>\n<p><b>Palantir's revenue continues to expand on both the commercial and government side</b></p>\n<p>Quarter after Quarter since PLTR went public, their commercial business has expanded. After five quarters of going public, PLTR's quarterly commercial revenue has increased by $62 million or 55.36%. In Q3 2021, PLTR delivered $174 million in revenue from its commercial operations, which accounted for 44.38% of its $392.1 million quarterly revenue. Over the previous two years, PLTR's Q3 revenue has increased by 85.11% as it grew by 35.11% in Q3 2020 YoY and by another 37.01% YoY in Q3 of 2021. PLTR's commercial remaining deal value increased by 101% YoY from $1.1 billion in Q3 2020 to $2.2 billion in Q3 2021. Commercial customers are inviting PLTR to present their software solutions, and PLTR is winning their business. In Q3 2021, PLTR added 34 net new customers increasing their commercial customer base by 20% QoQ to 203. Over the past year, PLTR has seen its commercial customer base expand by 46.04% as it has grown by 64 clients from 139 to 203. Anyone who still classifies PLTR as a black box is not being accurate as the commercial market is learning about PLTR's software platforms and implementing their solutions to improve their operations.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa4084630f4e4be30a41c925c5a3fd0a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"374\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)</span></p>\n<p>Since Q1 of 2020, PLTR has increased its quarterly revenue by $163.1 million (71.23%) at an average quarterly growth rate of 9.43% QoQ. In Q3 of 2021, this trend stayed intact as revenue increased by $16.1 million QoQ or 4.28%. While the quarterly revenue growth slowed a bit QoQ compared to 10.26% in Q2 2021, PLTR is projecting its Q4 2021 revenue will be $418 million. PLTR is expecting to deliver another company record and generate $25.9 million (6.61%) in QoQ growth to close out the year.</p>\n<p>The same growth story applies to their total revenue in the trailing twelve months (TTM) as well. Over the last six quarters, PLTR's TTM revenue has increased by $620.6 million (76.55%) from $810.6 million to $1.43 billion. On average, PLTR's TTM revenue growth has increased by $103.42 million (9.94%) QoQ. In Q1 2020 - Q3 2020, their average QoQ revenue growth was $94.03 million, and this has increased substantially as the past three quarters have all increased by at least $105 million QoQ. In Q3 2021, PLTR increased its TTM revenue to $1.43 billion as it added $106.8 million (8.06%) in QoQ revenue growth. Just like the quarterly metric, PLTR's TTM is expected to grow QoQ by an additional $95.9 million to $1.527 billion compared to $1.51 billion in the consensus estimate. This would place PLTR's annual revenue growth YoY well ahead of their 30% projection as they would finish 2021 having increased its revenue by $434.30 million (39.75%)</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0ec6211d7ecb04785f406c7661c9124\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)</span></p>\n<p>I am shocked PLTR is still in the red. PLTR is a high-growth company that is now FCF positive and expanding its metrics. In the first nine months of 2020, PLTR generated -$285 million in FCF, and at the end of the first nine months of 2021, PLTR has delivered a $605 million swing as it has produced $320 million in FCF YTD. PLTR previously increased their 2021 FCF guidance to $300, and they just increased it again to $400+ million. In the span of three months, PLTR increased its FCF projection by an additional 33.33%. In Q3, PLTR's FCF margin was 30%, and they are projecting $400+ million in FCF for 2021. At the very minimum, this would mean they will tack on an additional $80 million in FCF for 2021. If PLTR delivers $1.527 billion in revenue and $400 million in FCF, its 2021 FCF margin would be 26.2%. PLTR is still projecting 30% annual revenue growth YoY thru 2025, which would place their 2025 revenue at $4.36 billion based on their projection of $1.527 for 2021. At PLTR's current FCF margin, they would generate $1.14 billion in FCF in 2025. Considering PLTR's current trends, if they exceeded their projections and grew at 35% YoY, it would place their 2025 revenue at $5.07 billion. At their current FCF margin, they would then generate $1.33 billion in FCF in 2025.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87cff0d5c5ef70ea6926a1323c77bfe4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"306\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: PLTR)</span></p>\n<p>PLTR is firing on all cylinders. YoY, their Q3 revenue grew by 36%, they raised guidance on their FCF for a 2nd time from $300 million to $400+ million and have increased their annual revenue growth guidance from 30% to roughly 40%. PLTR is still maintaining its future revenue outlook of 30% annually YoY and is creating some impressive margins. PLTR's commercial revenue grew YoY by 37%, and their government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3. PLTR closed at least 54 deals worth at least $1 million during Q3, and 33 of those were at least $5 million in revenue, and 18 were at least $10 million in revenue. PLTR's growth metrics are impressive, and I am expecting them to under promise and over deliver going forward.</p>\n<p><b>Palantir is entering two new sectors that are going to be huge, carbon emissions, and crypto</b></p>\n<p>In the past, I have written about future opportunities with the government, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), and International Business Machines(NYSE:IBM). On today's earnings call, PLTR introduced significant information surrounding two new products they will be offering for carbon emissions and crypto.</p>\n<p>There has been a fundamental shift in the USA over climate, and President Biden rejoined the Paris Agreement to reengage in tackling climate change. Part ofthe planis to reach a net-zero emission economy-wide by 2050. Recently President Biden at the United Nations climate summit in Glasgow, Scotland, pledged to work with the European Union and dozens of other nations to reduce overall methane emissions worldwide by 30% by 2030. No matter what your stance on climate is, there are many who believe we need to lower emissions, and many nations are working on a goal. To comply, companies such as&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(NYSE:XOM)&nbsp;are conducting longer-term research on several promising innovations with outside organizations, including direct air capture technology to&nbsp;scrub emissions out of the air&nbsp;and carbonate fuel cells&nbsp;to capture industrial emissions&nbsp;from flue gas streams of power plants or manufacturing facilities. Carbon emissions management is already a booming business, and PLTR is creating a module on Foundry to present a single pane to view revenue, margin, production, and all emissions so companies can manage outcomes more efficiently. Personally, I believe this has enormous potential to drive revenue for PLTR in the future.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2386d938e7f452a340dbb130de508f6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p>\n<p>The second huge prospect that PLTR discussed was Foundry for crypto. It looks like PLTR is leveraging their anti-money laundering and know-your-customer expertise. PLTR has worked with several governments over the years to find compliance issues with the world's largest banks and help those banks respond and strengthen their compliance programs. This makes complete sense, and when you go back to the contracts, PLTR has been awarded from the IRS and SEC (discussed in previous articles). In Q3 alone, PLTR inked 6 contracts with the IRS. If I had to guess, PLTR's software would be utilized by the IRS and the SEC on the government side and adopted on the commercial side by banks and crypto exchanges. Currently, in the past 24 hours,Coinbase(NASDAQ:COIN)&nbsp;is showing that Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has incurred a trading volume of $43.8 billion. I think PLTR will end up driving future revenue from both government and commercial contracts from its Foundry for Crypto.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53c762e27799c80dbaa9914bb98a6a10\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"234\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Federal Procurement Database)</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/005d57c6c5c926b35eac100fa35c7415\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>PLTR has become another statistic of the market misunderstanding its earnings and selling the news when the news was great. What more does anyone want PLTR to do? This was an excellent quarter with revenue increasing 36% YoY in Q3, FCF came in at $119 million with a 30% margin, and PLTR closed 54 deals worth more than $1 million each. PLTR beats revenue estimates, increases guidance for its full-year revenue than for the 2nd time, increases its FCF guidance. This was a sell the news on all positive factors, which is creating a buying opportunity. I am staying long on PLTR and plan to add to my position if the sell-off continues.</p>\n<p><b>Seeking Alpha Marketplace</b></p>\n<p>I will be launching a subscription service called Barbell Capital on the Seeking Alpha Marketplace. Barbell Capital will provide exclusive research, model portfolios, investment tools, Q&amp;A sessions, watchlists, and additional features for its members. I will also have a live portfolio dedicated to generating capital from trading, selling puts and selling covered calls. The profits will be allocated to future capital appreciating investments and investing in dividend investments to generate income while we sleep.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-13 10:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4468059-palantir-q3-beat-creating-an-opportunity><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nPalantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating a 30% margin.\nPalantir's commercial revenue increased 37%, and government revenue grew by 34% YoY in...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4468059-palantir-q3-beat-creating-an-opportunity\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4468059-palantir-q3-beat-creating-an-opportunity","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129543601","content_text":"Summary\n\nPalantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating a 30% margin.\nPalantir's commercial revenue increased 37%, and government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3 showing strong forward growth trends.\nPalantir closed 54 deals in Q3 2021 with at least $1 million in contract value with 33 valued at $5+ million and 18 at $10+ million.\nPalantir increases guidance again and expects 40% revenue growth YoY at $1.527 billion and $400 million in FCF up from the previous guidance increase of $300 million.\n\nAndreas Rentz/Getty Images Entertainment\nSome investors love to hate Palantir (PLTR), which was nicknamed a black box company in the past, while others absolutely love it because they believe PLTR's software is the future. In my previous article on PLTR, I stated that based on PLTR's current revenue trend, they were setting up to deliver $399.41 million in revenue for Q3 and $423.22 million of revenue in Q4. The consensus number was $386.56 million of revenue in Q3, and PLTR delivered $392.1 million and forecasted $418 million in Q4 2021. The reaction in premarket as the earnings call was being conducted was nothing but a sea of red as PLTR sharply declined, and each time a gap tried to fill, the next leg on the downward spiral started. The news wasn't even digested, yet people decided to either take profits, exit their position or lost faith in PLTR.\nWhat wasn't there to like in the earnings release to cause the sell-off that has been hovering in the -9.03% range? PLTR delivered 36% YoY revenue growth, added 34 new customers in Q3, and closed 54 deals worth $1 million or more. PLTR increased their remaining deal value by 50% YoY to $3.6 billion and delivered $101 million in cash from operations (26% margin), and $199 million in free cash flow (30% margin). PLTR also increased guidance for 2021 as they now expect revenue growth of 40% YoY compared to their previous projection of 30% and increased their projection in FCF to $400 million from $300 million. In addition to the numbers, PLTR announced new product platforms and use cases that have tremendous potential to drive revenue and FCF in the future. I believe this sell-off will be short-lived and I am looking at it as a buying opportunity.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha)\nPalantir's revenue continues to expand on both the commercial and government side\nQuarter after Quarter since PLTR went public, their commercial business has expanded. After five quarters of going public, PLTR's quarterly commercial revenue has increased by $62 million or 55.36%. In Q3 2021, PLTR delivered $174 million in revenue from its commercial operations, which accounted for 44.38% of its $392.1 million quarterly revenue. Over the previous two years, PLTR's Q3 revenue has increased by 85.11% as it grew by 35.11% in Q3 2020 YoY and by another 37.01% YoY in Q3 of 2021. PLTR's commercial remaining deal value increased by 101% YoY from $1.1 billion in Q3 2020 to $2.2 billion in Q3 2021. Commercial customers are inviting PLTR to present their software solutions, and PLTR is winning their business. In Q3 2021, PLTR added 34 net new customers increasing their commercial customer base by 20% QoQ to 203. Over the past year, PLTR has seen its commercial customer base expand by 46.04% as it has grown by 64 clients from 139 to 203. Anyone who still classifies PLTR as a black box is not being accurate as the commercial market is learning about PLTR's software platforms and implementing their solutions to improve their operations.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)\nSince Q1 of 2020, PLTR has increased its quarterly revenue by $163.1 million (71.23%) at an average quarterly growth rate of 9.43% QoQ. In Q3 of 2021, this trend stayed intact as revenue increased by $16.1 million QoQ or 4.28%. While the quarterly revenue growth slowed a bit QoQ compared to 10.26% in Q2 2021, PLTR is projecting its Q4 2021 revenue will be $418 million. PLTR is expecting to deliver another company record and generate $25.9 million (6.61%) in QoQ growth to close out the year.\nThe same growth story applies to their total revenue in the trailing twelve months (TTM) as well. Over the last six quarters, PLTR's TTM revenue has increased by $620.6 million (76.55%) from $810.6 million to $1.43 billion. On average, PLTR's TTM revenue growth has increased by $103.42 million (9.94%) QoQ. In Q1 2020 - Q3 2020, their average QoQ revenue growth was $94.03 million, and this has increased substantially as the past three quarters have all increased by at least $105 million QoQ. In Q3 2021, PLTR increased its TTM revenue to $1.43 billion as it added $106.8 million (8.06%) in QoQ revenue growth. Just like the quarterly metric, PLTR's TTM is expected to grow QoQ by an additional $95.9 million to $1.527 billion compared to $1.51 billion in the consensus estimate. This would place PLTR's annual revenue growth YoY well ahead of their 30% projection as they would finish 2021 having increased its revenue by $434.30 million (39.75%)\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)\nI am shocked PLTR is still in the red. PLTR is a high-growth company that is now FCF positive and expanding its metrics. In the first nine months of 2020, PLTR generated -$285 million in FCF, and at the end of the first nine months of 2021, PLTR has delivered a $605 million swing as it has produced $320 million in FCF YTD. PLTR previously increased their 2021 FCF guidance to $300, and they just increased it again to $400+ million. In the span of three months, PLTR increased its FCF projection by an additional 33.33%. In Q3, PLTR's FCF margin was 30%, and they are projecting $400+ million in FCF for 2021. At the very minimum, this would mean they will tack on an additional $80 million in FCF for 2021. If PLTR delivers $1.527 billion in revenue and $400 million in FCF, its 2021 FCF margin would be 26.2%. PLTR is still projecting 30% annual revenue growth YoY thru 2025, which would place their 2025 revenue at $4.36 billion based on their projection of $1.527 for 2021. At PLTR's current FCF margin, they would generate $1.14 billion in FCF in 2025. Considering PLTR's current trends, if they exceeded their projections and grew at 35% YoY, it would place their 2025 revenue at $5.07 billion. At their current FCF margin, they would then generate $1.33 billion in FCF in 2025.\n(Source: PLTR)\nPLTR is firing on all cylinders. YoY, their Q3 revenue grew by 36%, they raised guidance on their FCF for a 2nd time from $300 million to $400+ million and have increased their annual revenue growth guidance from 30% to roughly 40%. PLTR is still maintaining its future revenue outlook of 30% annually YoY and is creating some impressive margins. PLTR's commercial revenue grew YoY by 37%, and their government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3. PLTR closed at least 54 deals worth at least $1 million during Q3, and 33 of those were at least $5 million in revenue, and 18 were at least $10 million in revenue. PLTR's growth metrics are impressive, and I am expecting them to under promise and over deliver going forward.\nPalantir is entering two new sectors that are going to be huge, carbon emissions, and crypto\nIn the past, I have written about future opportunities with the government, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), and International Business Machines(NYSE:IBM). On today's earnings call, PLTR introduced significant information surrounding two new products they will be offering for carbon emissions and crypto.\nThere has been a fundamental shift in the USA over climate, and President Biden rejoined the Paris Agreement to reengage in tackling climate change. Part ofthe planis to reach a net-zero emission economy-wide by 2050. Recently President Biden at the United Nations climate summit in Glasgow, Scotland, pledged to work with the European Union and dozens of other nations to reduce overall methane emissions worldwide by 30% by 2030. No matter what your stance on climate is, there are many who believe we need to lower emissions, and many nations are working on a goal. To comply, companies such as Exxon Mobil(NYSE:XOM) are conducting longer-term research on several promising innovations with outside organizations, including direct air capture technology to scrub emissions out of the air and carbonate fuel cells to capture industrial emissions from flue gas streams of power plants or manufacturing facilities. Carbon emissions management is already a booming business, and PLTR is creating a module on Foundry to present a single pane to view revenue, margin, production, and all emissions so companies can manage outcomes more efficiently. Personally, I believe this has enormous potential to drive revenue for PLTR in the future.\n(Source: Palantir)\nThe second huge prospect that PLTR discussed was Foundry for crypto. It looks like PLTR is leveraging their anti-money laundering and know-your-customer expertise. PLTR has worked with several governments over the years to find compliance issues with the world's largest banks and help those banks respond and strengthen their compliance programs. This makes complete sense, and when you go back to the contracts, PLTR has been awarded from the IRS and SEC (discussed in previous articles). In Q3 alone, PLTR inked 6 contracts with the IRS. If I had to guess, PLTR's software would be utilized by the IRS and the SEC on the government side and adopted on the commercial side by banks and crypto exchanges. Currently, in the past 24 hours,Coinbase(NASDAQ:COIN) is showing that Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has incurred a trading volume of $43.8 billion. I think PLTR will end up driving future revenue from both government and commercial contracts from its Foundry for Crypto.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Federal Procurement Database)\n(Source: Palantir)\nConclusion\nPLTR has become another statistic of the market misunderstanding its earnings and selling the news when the news was great. What more does anyone want PLTR to do? This was an excellent quarter with revenue increasing 36% YoY in Q3, FCF came in at $119 million with a 30% margin, and PLTR closed 54 deals worth more than $1 million each. PLTR beats revenue estimates, increases guidance for its full-year revenue than for the 2nd time, increases its FCF guidance. This was a sell the news on all positive factors, which is creating a buying opportunity. I am staying long on PLTR and plan to add to my position if the sell-off continues.\nSeeking Alpha Marketplace\nI will be launching a subscription service called Barbell Capital on the Seeking Alpha Marketplace. Barbell Capital will provide exclusive research, model portfolios, investment tools, Q&A sessions, watchlists, and additional features for its members. I will also have a live portfolio dedicated to generating capital from trading, selling puts and selling covered calls. The profits will be allocated to future capital appreciating investments and investing in dividend investments to generate income while we sleep.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}