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Chrisboon

Chrisboon

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2021-11-22

$Alibaba(BABA)$Up or down?

2021-11-19

$Alibaba(BABA)$11月18日晚，阿里巴巴集团发布2022财年第二季度财报。财报宣布，于9月份季度，根据股份回购计划，以约51.475亿美元，回购了约2690万股美国存托股（相当于约214.9百万股普通股

2021-12-15

$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$buy? Hold?

2021-11-20

$Alibaba(BABA)$Ali Alibaba ggggg

2021-11-24

$SKLZ 20211217 10.0 PUT(SKLZ)$Lesson learn

2021-09-12

$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$Gogogo

2021-11-06

$Alibaba(BABA)$Ali Alibaba

2021-12-04

$SKLZ 20211217 10.0 PUT$ GG no eye see

2021-11-26

$SKLZ 20211217 10.0 PUT$ sad sad sad

2021-11-23

$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$Ok ok

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movement.</p><p><blockquote>在该股出现一些波动后，该股全天都在社交媒体网站上流行。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna was down 6.26% at $251.36 at market close Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna周三收盘下跌6.26%，至251.36美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Moderna Daily Chart Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Moderna日线图分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shares dipped toward support in what traders call an ascending triangle pattern. Shares could see another bounce off the higher low support at some point in the future. Resistance is shown to be near the $460 level.</li>  <li>The stock trades below the 50-day moving average (green) but above the 200-day moving average (blue). This indicates the stock is likely in a consolidation period, and the 50-day moving average may act as resistance while the 200-day moving average may hold as support.</li>  <li>The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been creeping lower the past few days and sits at 41. This shows that sellers are prevailing in the stock and are slightly overpowering buyers.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62170d670dca987c7cbc558dd6666d0c\" tg-width=\"2400\" tg-height=\"1233\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股价下跌至支撑位，交易员看涨期权为上升三角形形态。未来某个时候，股价可能会再次从较高的低点支撑位反弹。阻力位在460美元附近。</li><li>该股交易价格低于50日移动平均线（绿色），但高于200日移动平均线（蓝色）。这表明该股可能处于盘整期，50日均线可能作为阻力，而200日均线可能作为支撑。</li><li>过去几天，相对强弱指数(RSI)一直在小幅走低，目前为41。这表明卖方在该股中占主导地位，并且略微压倒了买方。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <b>What’s Next For Moderna?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Moderna的下一步是什么？</b></blockquote></p><p> Moderna has seen a dip the past few days and is falling back toward the higher low trendline. If this area can see a bounce again the price may start to head toward resistance once again. Bulls are looking for higher lows to continue to form for the stock to keep the bullish trend. Bears are looking to see the stock fall below this trendline and for the price to start moving with lower highs.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna在过去几天出现了下跌，并正在回落到更高的低点趋势线。如果该区域能够再次反弹，价格可能会再次开始走向阻力。多头正在寻找更高的低点继续形成，以使该股保持看涨趋势。空头希望看到该股跌破这一趋势线，并希望价格开始向更低的高点移动。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Moderna Is Dipping: What's Next?<blockquote>Moderna正在下跌：下一步是什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nModerna Is Dipping: What's Next?<blockquote>Moderna正在下跌：下一步是什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-23 10:18</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Moderna Inc</b>&nbsp;shares are trading lower Wednesday and are falling toward a support level.</p><p><blockquote><b>现代公司</b>周三股价走低，并跌向支撑位。</blockquote></p><p> The stock was trending on social media sites throughout the day after the stock saw some movement.</p><p><blockquote>在该股出现一些波动后，该股全天都在社交媒体网站上流行。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna was down 6.26% at $251.36 at market close Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna周三收盘下跌6.26%，至251.36美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Moderna Daily Chart Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Moderna日线图分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shares dipped toward support in what traders call an ascending triangle pattern. Shares could see another bounce off the higher low support at some point in the future. Resistance is shown to be near the $460 level.</li>  <li>The stock trades below the 50-day moving average (green) but above the 200-day moving average (blue). This indicates the stock is likely in a consolidation period, and the 50-day moving average may act as resistance while the 200-day moving average may hold as support.</li>  <li>The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been creeping lower the past few days and sits at 41. This shows that sellers are prevailing in the stock and are slightly overpowering buyers.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62170d670dca987c7cbc558dd6666d0c\" tg-width=\"2400\" tg-height=\"1233\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股价下跌至支撑位，交易员看涨期权为上升三角形形态。未来某个时候，股价可能会再次从较高的低点支撑位反弹。阻力位在460美元附近。</li><li>该股交易价格低于50日移动平均线（绿色），但高于200日移动平均线（蓝色）。这表明该股可能处于盘整期，50日均线可能作为阻力，而200日均线可能作为支撑。</li><li>过去几天，相对强弱指数(RSI)一直在小幅走低，目前为41。这表明卖方在该股中占主导地位，并且略微压倒了买方。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <b>What’s Next For Moderna?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Moderna的下一步是什么？</b></blockquote></p><p> Moderna has seen a dip the past few days and is falling back toward the higher low trendline. If this area can see a bounce again the price may start to head toward resistance once again. Bulls are looking for higher lows to continue to form for the stock to keep the bullish trend. Bears are looking to see the stock fall below this trendline and for the price to start moving with lower highs.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna在过去几天出现了下跌，并正在回落到更高的低点趋势线。如果该区域能够再次反弹，价格可能会再次开始走向阻力。多头正在寻找更高的低点继续形成，以使该股保持看涨趋势。空头希望看到该股跌破这一趋势线，并希望价格开始向更低的高点移动。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181809495","content_text":"Moderna Inc shares are trading lower Wednesday and are falling toward a support level.\nThe stock was trending on social media sites throughout the day after the stock saw some movement.\nModerna was down 6.26% at $251.36 at market close Wednesday.\nModerna Daily Chart Analysis\n\nShares dipped toward support in what traders call an ascending triangle pattern. Shares could see another bounce off the higher low support at some point in the future. Resistance is shown to be near the $460 level.\nThe stock trades below the 50-day moving average (green) but above the 200-day moving average (blue). This indicates the stock is likely in a consolidation period, and the 50-day moving average may act as resistance while the 200-day moving average may hold as support.\nThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been creeping lower the past few days and sits at 41. This shows that sellers are prevailing in the stock and are slightly overpowering buyers.\n\n\nWhat’s Next For Moderna?\nModerna has seen a dip the past few days and is falling back toward the higher low trendline. If this area can see a bounce again the price may start to head toward resistance once again. Bulls are looking for higher lows to continue to form for the stock to keep the bullish trend. Bears are looking to see the stock fall below this trendline and for the price to start moving with lower highs.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRNA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3081,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693182906,"gmtCreate":1639985957980,"gmtModify":1639985958418,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572328638468429","idStr":"3572328638468429"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmmmmmmm","listText":"Hmmmmmmm","text":"Hmmmmmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693182906","repostId":"693182014","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":693182014,"gmtCreate":1639985924137,"gmtModify":1639985924577,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572328638468429","idStr":"3572328638468429"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HST.SI\">$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$</a>Whywhy why ah…….","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HST.SI\">$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$</a>Whywhy why ah…….","text":"$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$Whywhy why ah…….","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0165f61af6f245fc7c03e9e14740a2c4","width":"750","height":"1464"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693182014","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2647,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693182014,"gmtCreate":1639985924137,"gmtModify":1639985924577,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572328638468429","idStr":"3572328638468429"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HST.SI\">$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$</a>Whywhy why ah…….","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HST.SI\">$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$</a>Whywhy why ah…….","text":"$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$Whywhy why ah…….","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0165f61af6f245fc7c03e9e14740a2c4","width":"750","height":"1464"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693182014","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3075,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699239137,"gmtCreate":1639804248598,"gmtModify":1639804391046,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572328638468429","idStr":"3572328638468429"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HST.SI\">$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$</a>Hmmmmmmmmmmm","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HST.SI\">$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$</a>Hmmmmmmmmmmm","text":"$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$Hmmmmmmmmmmm","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcd762af1c1ff2a124f9ac24a5358f51","width":"750","height":"1464"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":14,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699239137","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607413840,"gmtCreate":1639577774751,"gmtModify":1639578005846,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572328638468429","idStr":"3572328638468429"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HST.SI\">$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$</a>buy? Hold?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HST.SI\">$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$</a>buy? Hold?","text":"$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$buy? Hold?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2465aaa4300446baedeccb277308170","width":"750","height":"1464"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":28,"commentSize":26,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607413840","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3907,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602545480,"gmtCreate":1639048086511,"gmtModify":1639048086891,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572328638468429","idStr":"3572328638468429"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602545480","repostId":"2190503698","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2190503698","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1639038865,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2190503698?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-09 16:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"'Proceed with caution': here's what Wall Street analysts see for the U.S. stock market in 2022<blockquote>“谨慎行事”：华尔街分析师对2022年美国股市的看法</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2190503698","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"'2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve an","content":"<p>'2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes,' says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>'s Lisa Shalett</p><p><blockquote>“2022年将是关键的一年，全球大流行造成的失衡开始解决，商业周期从极端情况正常化，”他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>丽莎·沙莱特</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71e96005daaaf18cef4eb11fc31ef1c7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>‘Marginally tighter monetary policy’ should be a headwind for markets in 2022, JPMorgan strategists say</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摩根大通策略师表示，“略微收紧的货币政策”应该会成为2022年市场的阻力</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The recent spike in market volatility may herald a bumpier U.S. stock market in 2022, as investors come to grips with an inflection point in monetary policy in the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者开始应对疫情下货币政策的拐点，近期市场波动性飙升可能预示着2022年美国股市将更加坎坷。</blockquote></p><p> \"There probably will be some elevated volatility around the potential tightening of Fed policy,\" said Shawn Snyder, head of investment strategy at Citigroup's U.S. consumer wealth management division, in a phone interview. \"Omicron throws in a bit of a wrench\" to the 2022 outlook, he said of the new variant of the coronavirus, though investors have appeared encouraged by some early signs that it may be less dangerous than initially feared.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团美国消费者财富管理部门投资策略主管肖恩·斯奈德(Shawn Snyder)在接受电话采访时表示：“美联储可能收紧政策，波动性可能会加剧。”他在谈到冠状病毒的新变种时表示，“奥密克戎给2022年的前景带来了一些麻烦”，尽管投资者似乎对一些早期迹象感到鼓舞，这些迹象表明它可能没有最初担心的那么危险。</blockquote></p><p> The CBOE Volatility Index , or VIX, jumped in late November and remains above its 200-day moving average even after subsiding since last week, according to FactSet data. The VIX broke above 30 last week for the first time since the first quarter of 2021, the data show, amid market jitters over the emergence of omicron and the potential move by the Federal Reserve to remove some accommodation from the market faster than investors had anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet数据显示，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在11月底跃升，即使自上周以来有所回落，仍高于200日移动均线。数据显示，VIX上周自2021年第一季度以来首次突破30，原因是市场对奥密克戎的出现以及美联储可能以比投资者更快的速度从市场上取消部分宽松政策感到不安。预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"That's a big transition that creates tension for investors,\" said Lauren Goodwin, economist and director of portfolio strategy at New York Life Investment, in a phone interview. The Fed looks to be positioning for more flexibility for potential interest rate hikes next year, with increased inflationary pressure likely to mean more rate rises in 2022 than currently expected, creating more market risk, she said.</p><p><blockquote>纽约人寿投资公司经济学家兼投资组合策略总监劳伦·古德温在接受电话采访时表示：“这是一个重大转变，给投资者带来了紧张局势。”她表示，美联储看起来将为明年的潜在加息提供更大的灵活性，通胀压力的增加可能意味着2022年的加息幅度将超过目前的预期，从而产生更多的市场风险。</blockquote></p><p> Some investors worry that interest rate-sensitive growth and technology stocks would be particularly vulnerable should the Fed aggressively tighten its monetary policy through rate hikes. The S&amp;P 500 index, which has a large exposure to tech, is on track for a third straight year of strong gains after rising almost 25% in 2021 through Tuesday, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者担心，如果美联储通过加息大幅收紧货币政策，对利率敏感的成长股和科技股将特别脆弱。FactSet的数据显示，在2021年截至周二上涨近25%后，标普500指数有望连续第三年强劲上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. stock market will probably deliver more modest gains \"accompanied by higher volatility\" next year, Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab, told MarketWatch by phone.</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财(Charles Schwab)首席全球投资策略师杰弗里·克莱因托普(Jeffrey Kleintop)在电话中对MarketWatch表示，明年美国股市可能会出现更温和的涨幅，“伴随着更高的波动性”。</blockquote></p><p> Goodwin said she also expects increased volatility, amid transitions that include the fading of the fiscal stimulus that provided direct support to consumers during the COVID-19 crisis and the Fed taking its \"foot off the gas\" in the economic recovery. She expects \"much lower\" stock-market returns next year compared to gains so far in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>古德温表示，她还预计波动性会增加，包括在COVID-19危机期间为消费者提供直接支持的财政刺激措施的消退以及美联储在经济复苏中“放松油门”。她预计明年股市回报率将比2021年迄今为止的涨幅“低得多”。</blockquote></p><p> \"Most of the equity upside should be realized between now\" and the first half of 2022, \"when monetary and fiscal policy tailwinds will be strongest,\" JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. strategists said in a 2022 outlook report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通策略师周三在2022年展望报告中表示，“从现在到2022年上半年，股市的大部分上涨应该会实现，届时货币和财政政策的推动力将最强劲”。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street banks have been rolling out their 2022 forecasts for the S&amp;P 500, with Goldman Sachs Group and JPMorgan being among the most bullish on U.S. stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街银行纷纷推出2022年标普500预测，高盛集团和摩根大通是最看好美股的银行之一。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman expects the S&amp;P 500 will end 2022 at 5,100, according to a portfolio strategy research report from the bank dated Dec. 3. Meanwhile, JPMorgan analysts predicted in a research report at the end of November that the U.S. stock benchmark will rise next year to 5,050, partly on \"robust earnings growth\" and easing supply chain woes. RBC Capital Markets has forecast the same price target as JPMorgan, while Deutsche Bank predicts the S&amp;P 500 will end next year at 5,000, according to a slide presentation from its chief investment office.</p><p><blockquote>根据高盛12月3日的投资组合策略研究报告，高盛预计2022年底标普500将达到5,100点。与此同时，摩根大通分析师在11月底的一份研究报告中预测，美股基准指数明年将升至5050点，部分原因是“强劲的盈利增长”和缓解供应链困境。根据德意志银行首席投资办公室的幻灯片演示，加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)预测的目标价与摩根大通(JPMorgan)相同，而德意志银行(Deutsche Bank)预测明年标普500将收于5,000点。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Citigroup set an S&amp;P 500 target of 4,900 for the end of 2022, a research report from the bank in late October shows. Coming in below that level, Barclays predicted in a U.S. equity strategy report this month that the index will finish next year at 4,800.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，花旗集团10月底的一份研究报告显示，该银行将2022年底的标普500目标定为4,900人。巴克莱在本月的一份美国股票策略报告中预测，该指数明年将收于4,800点，低于该水平。</blockquote></p><p> \"Proceed with caution,\" the Barclays analysts wrote in their 2022 outlook report dated Dec. 2. \"We see limited upside for equities next year,\" they said. In their view, \"household and corporate cash hoards should support modest earnings growth but persistent supply chain woes, reversal of goods consumption to trend&nbsp;are key tail risks.\"</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱分析师在12月2日的2022年展望报告中写道：“谨慎行事。”“我们认为明年股市的上涨空间有限，”他们表示。他们认为，“家庭和企业的现金储备应该支持温和的盈利增长，但持续的供应链困境、商品消费趋势逆转是关键的尾部风险。”</blockquote></p><p> Bank of America's analysts have a lower price target than Barclays for the S&amp;P 500 next year, with a BofA Global Research report last month showing the benchmark will end 2022 at 4,600.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行分析师对标普500明年的目标价低于巴克莱，美国银行上个月的全球研究报告显示，该基准将于2022年底为4,600点。</blockquote></p><p> \"Unfortunately we see a lot of similarities between today and 2000 -- the tech bubble peak,\" said Savita Subramanian, head of equity and quant strategy at BofA, during a late November media briefing on their U.S. stock market outlook.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行股票和量化策略主管萨维塔·萨勃拉曼尼亚(Savita Subramanian)在11月底关于美国股市前景的媒体吹风会上表示：“不幸的是，我们看到今天与2000年（科技泡沫顶峰）有很多相似之处。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Morgan Stanley has a more bearish outlook for next year that puts the S&amp;P 500 below the index's close Tuesday at 4,686.75. A report Monday from the bank's wealth management division shows a base-case forecast of 4,400 for the S&amp;P 500 at the end of 2022 even with an expected gain in earnings.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利对明年的前景更加悲观，导致标普500低于该指数周二收盘价4,686.75点。该银行财富管理部门周一发布的一份报告显示，即使盈利预期增长，2022年底标普500的基本预测仍为4,400。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the S&amp;P 500 to be range-bound and volatile, and bond returns to be negative net of inflation,\" said Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, in the note. \"Fixed income should be reduced to fund greater exposure to real assets and to absolute return funds.\"</p><p><blockquote>Morgan Stanley Wealth Management首席投资官Lisa Shalett在报告中表示：“我们预计标普500将区间震荡，扣除通胀因素后，债券回报率将为负。”“应该减少固定收益，为更多地投资实物资产和绝对回报基金提供资金。”</blockquote></p><p> The core of Morgan Stanley's \"cautious\" view on the S&amp;P 500 is based on price-to-earnings ratios typically compressing during \"a midcycle transition,\" Shalett said. She pointed to a chart in her note showing that \"median stock has traversed the midcycle transition.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示，大摩对标普500“谨慎”观点的核心是基于市盈率通常在“周期中期过渡”期间压缩。她在报告中指出了一张图表，显示“股票中位数已经经历了周期中期的转变。”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/641e64a82babbbd377cb43247c437118\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>MORGAN STANLEY WEALTH MANAGEMENT REPORT DATED DEC. 6, 2021</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摩根士丹利财富管理报告日期为12月。6, 2021</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The chart shows \"the median S&amp;P 500 stock has corrected 15% from its 52-week high,\" but the index has been kept aloft by the 15 largest companies now accounting for 40% of its market capitalization, according to her note.</p><p><blockquote>她的报告显示，“标普500股价中位数已从52周高点修正了15%”，但根据她的报告，该指数一直被目前占其市值40%的15家最大公司所保持高位。</blockquote></p><p> \"While they may be great companies, we are less convinced they will all be great stocks in 2022 as financial conditions tighten, interest rates rise, employment costs increase and inflation remains challenging,\" Shalett said. \"We think profit margins for the top 15 have peaked.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示：“虽然它们可能是伟大的公司，但随着金融状况收紧、利率上升、就业成本增加以及通胀仍然具有挑战性，我们不太相信它们在2022年都会成为伟大的股票。”“我们认为前15名的利润率已经见顶。”</blockquote></p><p> In Morgan Stanley's view, \"this suggests investors should move toward stock picking and away from passive index funds,\" her note shows.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利认为，“这表明投资者应该转向选股，远离被动指数基金，”她的报告显示。</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan expects that \"international equities, emerging markets and cyclical market segments will significantly outperform,\" according to its report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通周三的报告称，预计“国际股市、新兴市场和周期性市场领域将大幅跑赢大盘”。</blockquote></p><p> \"The reason for this is our expectation for increasing interest rates and marginally tighter monetary policy that should be a headwind for high-multiple markets such as the Nasdaq,\" the JPMorgan strategists wrote, citing the tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index .</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通策略师援引科技股丰富的纳斯达克综合指数写道：“造成这种情况的原因是我们对加息和小幅收紧货币政策的预期，这对纳斯达克等高市盈率市场来说应该是一个阻力。”</blockquote></p><p> Citi's Snyder told MarketWatch that during \"midcycle\" he likes high-quality stocks, \"dividend-growers\" and global healthcare equities. Consistent earnings growth and \"reasonable valuations\" make healthcare attractive, he said, and stock bets in the area can serve as \"a volatility dampener\" in portfolios.</p><p><blockquote>花旗的斯奈德告诉MarketWatch，在“中期”，他喜欢优质股票、“股息增长股”和全球医疗保健股票。他表示，持续的盈利增长和“合理的估值”使医疗保健具有吸引力，该领域的股票押注可以作为投资组合中的“波动抑制器”。</blockquote></p><p> Immunology is one of three megatrends poised to accelerate next year as \"a range of next-gen oncological therapeutics come up for approval and enable more targeted cancer treatment,\" according to Jeff Spiegel, head of U.S. iShares megatrend and international ETFs. Shares of the iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF&nbsp;were up about 0.2% this year based on midday trading Wednesday, FactSet data show, at last check.</p><p><blockquote>美国iShares megatrend和国际ETF主管杰夫·斯皮格尔(Jeff Spiegel)表示，随着“一系列下一代肿瘤疗法即将获得批准，并实现更有针对性的癌症治疗”，免疫学是明年有望加速的三大趋势之一。FactSet数据显示，根据周三午盘交易，iShares Genomics免疫学和医疗保健ETF的股价今年上涨了约0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Two other megatrends to watch in 2022 are \"digital transformation\" intensifying through the cloud, 5G and cybersecurity, and \"automation technologies\" such as robotics and artificial intelligence, Spiegel wrote in a report this month. Automation technologies should grow \"in response to ongoing supply chain bottlenecks and wage inflation\" in the pandemic, he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>明镜周刊在本月的一份报告中写道，2022年另外两个值得关注的大趋势是通过云、5G和网络安全加剧的“数字化转型”，以及机器人和人工智能等“自动化技术”。他写道，自动化技术应该在大流行期间“应对持续的供应链瓶颈和工资上涨”。</blockquote></p><p> \"I think we'll actually be dealing with gluts next year rather than shortages,\" said Charles Schwab's Kleintop. \"That will help drive down inflation, particularly in the second half of next year, making an aggressive path of rate hikes unlikely.\"</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财(Charles Schwab)的克莱因托普(Kleintop)表示：“我认为明年我们实际上将面临供过于求的问题，而不是短缺。”“这将有助于压低通胀，特别是在明年下半年，不太可能采取激进的加息路径。”</blockquote></p><p> The market is expecting three rate hikes by the U.S. central bank in 2022 after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled last week that it may speed up the tapering of its monthly asset purchases, said Deepak Puri, Deutsche Bank's CIO for the America, during a media briefing Monday on his outlook for next year.</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行美洲首席信息官迪帕克·普里(Deepak Puri)在一次媒体吹风会上表示，在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)上周暗示可能会加快缩减每月资产购买规模后，市场预计美联储将在2022年加息三次。周一介绍了他对明年的展望。</blockquote></p><p> While the Fed may become more aggressive in tapering its bond purchases, potentially completing the process in March instead of June, said Puri, he expects the Fed will still be \"dovish\" on rates next year. Puri forecasts that the Fed will raise rates just once next year, which is below consensus, he said.</p><p><blockquote>普里表示，尽管美联储可能会更加积极地缩减购债规模，可能会在3月份而不是6月份完成这一过程，但他预计美联储明年在利率问题上仍将“鸽派”。他表示，普里预测美联储明年只会加息一次，低于共识。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect two rate hikes next year,\" said New York Life Investment's Goodwin.</p><p><blockquote>纽约人寿投资公司的古德温表示：“我们预计明年将加息两次。”</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley's Shalett wrote in her 2022 outlook note that \"we see a classic reflationary rebalancing in which higher nominal and real rates reflect higher average growth and inflation rates.\" She also expects yield curves will steepen, profit margins to be squeezed by rising costs, and price-to-earnings ratios to compress in \"rate-sensitive sectors.\"</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利的Shalett在2022年展望报告中写道，“我们看到了经典的通货再平衡，名义利率和实际利率上升反映了平均增长率和通胀率上升。”她还预计，收益率曲线将变陡，利润率将因成本上升而受到挤压，“利率敏感行业”的市盈率将压缩。</blockquote></p><p> \"Within the U.S., we like reopening and reflationary themes and beneficiaries of higher bond yields,\" JPMorgan said in its report Wednesday. The bank's strategists expect the yield on the 10-year Treasury note will rise to 2.25% by the end of next year, the report shows.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通在周三的报告中表示：“在美国，我们喜欢重新开放和通货再膨胀主题以及债券收益率上升的受益者。”报告显示，该行策略师预计，到明年年底，10年期国债收益率将升至2.25%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Our view is that 2022 will be the year of a full global recovery, an end of the global pandemic, and a return to normal conditions we had prior to the COVID-19 outbreak,\" Marko Kolanovic, chief global markets strategist at JPMorgan, and the bank's global co-head of research Hussein Malik wrote in the report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通首席全球市场策略师Marko Kolanovic表示：“我们的观点是，2022年将是全球全面复苏、全球大流行结束、恢复到COVID-19爆发前正常状况的一年。”该行全球研究联席主管侯赛因·马利克周三在报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> According to Shalett, \"on most counts, 2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示，“从大多数方面来看，2022年将是关键的一年，全球大流行造成的失衡开始解决，商业周期从极端情况正常化。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n'Proceed with caution': here's what Wall Street analysts see for the U.S. stock market in 2022<blockquote>“谨慎行事”：华尔街分析师对2022年美国股市的看法</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-09 16:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>'2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes,' says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>'s Lisa Shalett</p><p><blockquote>“2022年将是关键的一年，全球大流行造成的失衡开始解决，商业周期从极端情况正常化，”他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>丽莎·沙莱特</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71e96005daaaf18cef4eb11fc31ef1c7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>‘Marginally tighter monetary policy’ should be a headwind for markets in 2022, JPMorgan strategists say</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摩根大通策略师表示，“略微收紧的货币政策”应该会成为2022年市场的阻力</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The recent spike in market volatility may herald a bumpier U.S. stock market in 2022, as investors come to grips with an inflection point in monetary policy in the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者开始应对疫情下货币政策的拐点，近期市场波动性飙升可能预示着2022年美国股市将更加坎坷。</blockquote></p><p> \"There probably will be some elevated volatility around the potential tightening of Fed policy,\" said Shawn Snyder, head of investment strategy at Citigroup's U.S. consumer wealth management division, in a phone interview. \"Omicron throws in a bit of a wrench\" to the 2022 outlook, he said of the new variant of the coronavirus, though investors have appeared encouraged by some early signs that it may be less dangerous than initially feared.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团美国消费者财富管理部门投资策略主管肖恩·斯奈德(Shawn Snyder)在接受电话采访时表示：“美联储可能收紧政策，波动性可能会加剧。”他在谈到冠状病毒的新变种时表示，“奥密克戎给2022年的前景带来了一些麻烦”，尽管投资者似乎对一些早期迹象感到鼓舞，这些迹象表明它可能没有最初担心的那么危险。</blockquote></p><p> The CBOE Volatility Index , or VIX, jumped in late November and remains above its 200-day moving average even after subsiding since last week, according to FactSet data. The VIX broke above 30 last week for the first time since the first quarter of 2021, the data show, amid market jitters over the emergence of omicron and the potential move by the Federal Reserve to remove some accommodation from the market faster than investors had anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet数据显示，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在11月底跃升，即使自上周以来有所回落，仍高于200日移动均线。数据显示，VIX上周自2021年第一季度以来首次突破30，原因是市场对奥密克戎的出现以及美联储可能以比投资者更快的速度从市场上取消部分宽松政策感到不安。预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"That's a big transition that creates tension for investors,\" said Lauren Goodwin, economist and director of portfolio strategy at New York Life Investment, in a phone interview. The Fed looks to be positioning for more flexibility for potential interest rate hikes next year, with increased inflationary pressure likely to mean more rate rises in 2022 than currently expected, creating more market risk, she said.</p><p><blockquote>纽约人寿投资公司经济学家兼投资组合策略总监劳伦·古德温在接受电话采访时表示：“这是一个重大转变，给投资者带来了紧张局势。”她表示，美联储看起来将为明年的潜在加息提供更大的灵活性，通胀压力的增加可能意味着2022年的加息幅度将超过目前的预期，从而产生更多的市场风险。</blockquote></p><p> Some investors worry that interest rate-sensitive growth and technology stocks would be particularly vulnerable should the Fed aggressively tighten its monetary policy through rate hikes. The S&amp;P 500 index, which has a large exposure to tech, is on track for a third straight year of strong gains after rising almost 25% in 2021 through Tuesday, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者担心，如果美联储通过加息大幅收紧货币政策，对利率敏感的成长股和科技股将特别脆弱。FactSet的数据显示，在2021年截至周二上涨近25%后，标普500指数有望连续第三年强劲上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. stock market will probably deliver more modest gains \"accompanied by higher volatility\" next year, Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab, told MarketWatch by phone.</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财(Charles Schwab)首席全球投资策略师杰弗里·克莱因托普(Jeffrey Kleintop)在电话中对MarketWatch表示，明年美国股市可能会出现更温和的涨幅，“伴随着更高的波动性”。</blockquote></p><p> Goodwin said she also expects increased volatility, amid transitions that include the fading of the fiscal stimulus that provided direct support to consumers during the COVID-19 crisis and the Fed taking its \"foot off the gas\" in the economic recovery. She expects \"much lower\" stock-market returns next year compared to gains so far in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>古德温表示，她还预计波动性会增加，包括在COVID-19危机期间为消费者提供直接支持的财政刺激措施的消退以及美联储在经济复苏中“放松油门”。她预计明年股市回报率将比2021年迄今为止的涨幅“低得多”。</blockquote></p><p> \"Most of the equity upside should be realized between now\" and the first half of 2022, \"when monetary and fiscal policy tailwinds will be strongest,\" JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. strategists said in a 2022 outlook report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通策略师周三在2022年展望报告中表示，“从现在到2022年上半年，股市的大部分上涨应该会实现，届时货币和财政政策的推动力将最强劲”。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street banks have been rolling out their 2022 forecasts for the S&amp;P 500, with Goldman Sachs Group and JPMorgan being among the most bullish on U.S. stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街银行纷纷推出2022年标普500预测，高盛集团和摩根大通是最看好美股的银行之一。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman expects the S&amp;P 500 will end 2022 at 5,100, according to a portfolio strategy research report from the bank dated Dec. 3. Meanwhile, JPMorgan analysts predicted in a research report at the end of November that the U.S. stock benchmark will rise next year to 5,050, partly on \"robust earnings growth\" and easing supply chain woes. RBC Capital Markets has forecast the same price target as JPMorgan, while Deutsche Bank predicts the S&amp;P 500 will end next year at 5,000, according to a slide presentation from its chief investment office.</p><p><blockquote>根据高盛12月3日的投资组合策略研究报告，高盛预计2022年底标普500将达到5,100点。与此同时，摩根大通分析师在11月底的一份研究报告中预测，美股基准指数明年将升至5050点，部分原因是“强劲的盈利增长”和缓解供应链困境。根据德意志银行首席投资办公室的幻灯片演示，加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)预测的目标价与摩根大通(JPMorgan)相同，而德意志银行(Deutsche Bank)预测明年标普500将收于5,000点。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Citigroup set an S&amp;P 500 target of 4,900 for the end of 2022, a research report from the bank in late October shows. Coming in below that level, Barclays predicted in a U.S. equity strategy report this month that the index will finish next year at 4,800.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，花旗集团10月底的一份研究报告显示，该银行将2022年底的标普500目标定为4,900人。巴克莱在本月的一份美国股票策略报告中预测，该指数明年将收于4,800点，低于该水平。</blockquote></p><p> \"Proceed with caution,\" the Barclays analysts wrote in their 2022 outlook report dated Dec. 2. \"We see limited upside for equities next year,\" they said. In their view, \"household and corporate cash hoards should support modest earnings growth but persistent supply chain woes, reversal of goods consumption to trend&nbsp;are key tail risks.\"</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱分析师在12月2日的2022年展望报告中写道：“谨慎行事。”“我们认为明年股市的上涨空间有限，”他们表示。他们认为，“家庭和企业的现金储备应该支持温和的盈利增长，但持续的供应链困境、商品消费趋势逆转是关键的尾部风险。”</blockquote></p><p> Bank of America's analysts have a lower price target than Barclays for the S&amp;P 500 next year, with a BofA Global Research report last month showing the benchmark will end 2022 at 4,600.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行分析师对标普500明年的目标价低于巴克莱，美国银行上个月的全球研究报告显示，该基准将于2022年底为4,600点。</blockquote></p><p> \"Unfortunately we see a lot of similarities between today and 2000 -- the tech bubble peak,\" said Savita Subramanian, head of equity and quant strategy at BofA, during a late November media briefing on their U.S. stock market outlook.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行股票和量化策略主管萨维塔·萨勃拉曼尼亚(Savita Subramanian)在11月底关于美国股市前景的媒体吹风会上表示：“不幸的是，我们看到今天与2000年（科技泡沫顶峰）有很多相似之处。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Morgan Stanley has a more bearish outlook for next year that puts the S&amp;P 500 below the index's close Tuesday at 4,686.75. A report Monday from the bank's wealth management division shows a base-case forecast of 4,400 for the S&amp;P 500 at the end of 2022 even with an expected gain in earnings.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利对明年的前景更加悲观，导致标普500低于该指数周二收盘价4,686.75点。该银行财富管理部门周一发布的一份报告显示，即使盈利预期增长，2022年底标普500的基本预测仍为4,400。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the S&amp;P 500 to be range-bound and volatile, and bond returns to be negative net of inflation,\" said Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, in the note. \"Fixed income should be reduced to fund greater exposure to real assets and to absolute return funds.\"</p><p><blockquote>Morgan Stanley Wealth Management首席投资官Lisa Shalett在报告中表示：“我们预计标普500将区间震荡，扣除通胀因素后，债券回报率将为负。”“应该减少固定收益，为更多地投资实物资产和绝对回报基金提供资金。”</blockquote></p><p> The core of Morgan Stanley's \"cautious\" view on the S&amp;P 500 is based on price-to-earnings ratios typically compressing during \"a midcycle transition,\" Shalett said. She pointed to a chart in her note showing that \"median stock has traversed the midcycle transition.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示，大摩对标普500“谨慎”观点的核心是基于市盈率通常在“周期中期过渡”期间压缩。她在报告中指出了一张图表，显示“股票中位数已经经历了周期中期的转变。”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/641e64a82babbbd377cb43247c437118\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>MORGAN STANLEY WEALTH MANAGEMENT REPORT DATED DEC. 6, 2021</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摩根士丹利财富管理报告日期为12月。6, 2021</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The chart shows \"the median S&amp;P 500 stock has corrected 15% from its 52-week high,\" but the index has been kept aloft by the 15 largest companies now accounting for 40% of its market capitalization, according to her note.</p><p><blockquote>她的报告显示，“标普500股价中位数已从52周高点修正了15%”，但根据她的报告，该指数一直被目前占其市值40%的15家最大公司所保持高位。</blockquote></p><p> \"While they may be great companies, we are less convinced they will all be great stocks in 2022 as financial conditions tighten, interest rates rise, employment costs increase and inflation remains challenging,\" Shalett said. \"We think profit margins for the top 15 have peaked.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示：“虽然它们可能是伟大的公司，但随着金融状况收紧、利率上升、就业成本增加以及通胀仍然具有挑战性，我们不太相信它们在2022年都会成为伟大的股票。”“我们认为前15名的利润率已经见顶。”</blockquote></p><p> In Morgan Stanley's view, \"this suggests investors should move toward stock picking and away from passive index funds,\" her note shows.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利认为，“这表明投资者应该转向选股，远离被动指数基金，”她的报告显示。</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan expects that \"international equities, emerging markets and cyclical market segments will significantly outperform,\" according to its report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通周三的报告称，预计“国际股市、新兴市场和周期性市场领域将大幅跑赢大盘”。</blockquote></p><p> \"The reason for this is our expectation for increasing interest rates and marginally tighter monetary policy that should be a headwind for high-multiple markets such as the Nasdaq,\" the JPMorgan strategists wrote, citing the tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index .</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通策略师援引科技股丰富的纳斯达克综合指数写道：“造成这种情况的原因是我们对加息和小幅收紧货币政策的预期，这对纳斯达克等高市盈率市场来说应该是一个阻力。”</blockquote></p><p> Citi's Snyder told MarketWatch that during \"midcycle\" he likes high-quality stocks, \"dividend-growers\" and global healthcare equities. Consistent earnings growth and \"reasonable valuations\" make healthcare attractive, he said, and stock bets in the area can serve as \"a volatility dampener\" in portfolios.</p><p><blockquote>花旗的斯奈德告诉MarketWatch，在“中期”，他喜欢优质股票、“股息增长股”和全球医疗保健股票。他表示，持续的盈利增长和“合理的估值”使医疗保健具有吸引力，该领域的股票押注可以作为投资组合中的“波动抑制器”。</blockquote></p><p> Immunology is one of three megatrends poised to accelerate next year as \"a range of next-gen oncological therapeutics come up for approval and enable more targeted cancer treatment,\" according to Jeff Spiegel, head of U.S. iShares megatrend and international ETFs. Shares of the iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF&nbsp;were up about 0.2% this year based on midday trading Wednesday, FactSet data show, at last check.</p><p><blockquote>美国iShares megatrend和国际ETF主管杰夫·斯皮格尔(Jeff Spiegel)表示，随着“一系列下一代肿瘤疗法即将获得批准，并实现更有针对性的癌症治疗”，免疫学是明年有望加速的三大趋势之一。FactSet数据显示，根据周三午盘交易，iShares Genomics免疫学和医疗保健ETF的股价今年上涨了约0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Two other megatrends to watch in 2022 are \"digital transformation\" intensifying through the cloud, 5G and cybersecurity, and \"automation technologies\" such as robotics and artificial intelligence, Spiegel wrote in a report this month. Automation technologies should grow \"in response to ongoing supply chain bottlenecks and wage inflation\" in the pandemic, he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>明镜周刊在本月的一份报告中写道，2022年另外两个值得关注的大趋势是通过云、5G和网络安全加剧的“数字化转型”，以及机器人和人工智能等“自动化技术”。他写道，自动化技术应该在大流行期间“应对持续的供应链瓶颈和工资上涨”。</blockquote></p><p> \"I think we'll actually be dealing with gluts next year rather than shortages,\" said Charles Schwab's Kleintop. \"That will help drive down inflation, particularly in the second half of next year, making an aggressive path of rate hikes unlikely.\"</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财(Charles Schwab)的克莱因托普(Kleintop)表示：“我认为明年我们实际上将面临供过于求的问题，而不是短缺。”“这将有助于压低通胀，特别是在明年下半年，不太可能采取激进的加息路径。”</blockquote></p><p> The market is expecting three rate hikes by the U.S. central bank in 2022 after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled last week that it may speed up the tapering of its monthly asset purchases, said Deepak Puri, Deutsche Bank's CIO for the America, during a media briefing Monday on his outlook for next year.</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行美洲首席信息官迪帕克·普里(Deepak Puri)在一次媒体吹风会上表示，在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)上周暗示可能会加快缩减每月资产购买规模后，市场预计美联储将在2022年加息三次。周一介绍了他对明年的展望。</blockquote></p><p> While the Fed may become more aggressive in tapering its bond purchases, potentially completing the process in March instead of June, said Puri, he expects the Fed will still be \"dovish\" on rates next year. Puri forecasts that the Fed will raise rates just once next year, which is below consensus, he said.</p><p><blockquote>普里表示，尽管美联储可能会更加积极地缩减购债规模，可能会在3月份而不是6月份完成这一过程，但他预计美联储明年在利率问题上仍将“鸽派”。他表示，普里预测美联储明年只会加息一次，低于共识。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect two rate hikes next year,\" said New York Life Investment's Goodwin.</p><p><blockquote>纽约人寿投资公司的古德温表示：“我们预计明年将加息两次。”</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley's Shalett wrote in her 2022 outlook note that \"we see a classic reflationary rebalancing in which higher nominal and real rates reflect higher average growth and inflation rates.\" She also expects yield curves will steepen, profit margins to be squeezed by rising costs, and price-to-earnings ratios to compress in \"rate-sensitive sectors.\"</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利的Shalett在2022年展望报告中写道，“我们看到了经典的通货再平衡，名义利率和实际利率上升反映了平均增长率和通胀率上升。”她还预计，收益率曲线将变陡，利润率将因成本上升而受到挤压，“利率敏感行业”的市盈率将压缩。</blockquote></p><p> \"Within the U.S., we like reopening and reflationary themes and beneficiaries of higher bond yields,\" JPMorgan said in its report Wednesday. The bank's strategists expect the yield on the 10-year Treasury note will rise to 2.25% by the end of next year, the report shows.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通在周三的报告中表示：“在美国，我们喜欢重新开放和通货再膨胀主题以及债券收益率上升的受益者。”报告显示，该行策略师预计，到明年年底，10年期国债收益率将升至2.25%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Our view is that 2022 will be the year of a full global recovery, an end of the global pandemic, and a return to normal conditions we had prior to the COVID-19 outbreak,\" Marko Kolanovic, chief global markets strategist at JPMorgan, and the bank's global co-head of research Hussein Malik wrote in the report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通首席全球市场策略师Marko Kolanovic表示：“我们的观点是，2022年将是全球全面复苏、全球大流行结束、恢复到COVID-19爆发前正常状况的一年。”该行全球研究联席主管侯赛因·马利克周三在报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> According to Shalett, \"on most counts, 2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示，“从大多数方面来看，2022年将是关键的一年，全球大流行造成的失衡开始解决，商业周期从极端情况正常化。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/proceed-with-caution-heres-what-wall-street-analysts-see-for-the-u-s-stock-market-in-2022-11638986154?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","IDNA":"iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","OEX":"标普100","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","MS":"摩根士丹利",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/proceed-with-caution-heres-what-wall-street-analysts-see-for-the-u-s-stock-market-in-2022-11638986154?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2190503698","content_text":"'2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes,' says Morgan Stanley's Lisa Shalett\n‘Marginally tighter monetary policy’ should be a headwind for markets in 2022, JPMorgan strategists say\nThe recent spike in market volatility may herald a bumpier U.S. stock market in 2022, as investors come to grips with an inflection point in monetary policy in the pandemic.\n\"There probably will be some elevated volatility around the potential tightening of Fed policy,\" said Shawn Snyder, head of investment strategy at Citigroup's U.S. consumer wealth management division, in a phone interview. \"Omicron throws in a bit of a wrench\" to the 2022 outlook, he said of the new variant of the coronavirus, though investors have appeared encouraged by some early signs that it may be less dangerous than initially feared.\nThe CBOE Volatility Index , or VIX, jumped in late November and remains above its 200-day moving average even after subsiding since last week, according to FactSet data. The VIX broke above 30 last week for the first time since the first quarter of 2021, the data show, amid market jitters over the emergence of omicron and the potential move by the Federal Reserve to remove some accommodation from the market faster than investors had anticipated.\n\"That's a big transition that creates tension for investors,\" said Lauren Goodwin, economist and director of portfolio strategy at New York Life Investment, in a phone interview. The Fed looks to be positioning for more flexibility for potential interest rate hikes next year, with increased inflationary pressure likely to mean more rate rises in 2022 than currently expected, creating more market risk, she said.\nSome investors worry that interest rate-sensitive growth and technology stocks would be particularly vulnerable should the Fed aggressively tighten its monetary policy through rate hikes. The S&P 500 index, which has a large exposure to tech, is on track for a third straight year of strong gains after rising almost 25% in 2021 through Tuesday, according to FactSet.\nThe U.S. stock market will probably deliver more modest gains \"accompanied by higher volatility\" next year, Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab, told MarketWatch by phone.\nGoodwin said she also expects increased volatility, amid transitions that include the fading of the fiscal stimulus that provided direct support to consumers during the COVID-19 crisis and the Fed taking its \"foot off the gas\" in the economic recovery. She expects \"much lower\" stock-market returns next year compared to gains so far in 2021.\n\"Most of the equity upside should be realized between now\" and the first half of 2022, \"when monetary and fiscal policy tailwinds will be strongest,\" JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists said in a 2022 outlook report Wednesday.\nWall Street banks have been rolling out their 2022 forecasts for the S&P 500, with Goldman Sachs Group and JPMorgan being among the most bullish on U.S. stocks.\nGoldman expects the S&P 500 will end 2022 at 5,100, according to a portfolio strategy research report from the bank dated Dec. 3. Meanwhile, JPMorgan analysts predicted in a research report at the end of November that the U.S. stock benchmark will rise next year to 5,050, partly on \"robust earnings growth\" and easing supply chain woes. RBC Capital Markets has forecast the same price target as JPMorgan, while Deutsche Bank predicts the S&P 500 will end next year at 5,000, according to a slide presentation from its chief investment office.\nMeanwhile, Citigroup set an S&P 500 target of 4,900 for the end of 2022, a research report from the bank in late October shows. Coming in below that level, Barclays predicted in a U.S. equity strategy report this month that the index will finish next year at 4,800.\n\"Proceed with caution,\" the Barclays analysts wrote in their 2022 outlook report dated Dec. 2. \"We see limited upside for equities next year,\" they said. In their view, \"household and corporate cash hoards should support modest earnings growth but persistent supply chain woes, reversal of goods consumption to trend are key tail risks.\"\nBank of America's analysts have a lower price target than Barclays for the S&P 500 next year, with a BofA Global Research report last month showing the benchmark will end 2022 at 4,600.\n\"Unfortunately we see a lot of similarities between today and 2000 -- the tech bubble peak,\" said Savita Subramanian, head of equity and quant strategy at BofA, during a late November media briefing on their U.S. stock market outlook.\nMorgan Stanley has a more bearish outlook for next year that puts the S&P 500 below the index's close Tuesday at 4,686.75. A report Monday from the bank's wealth management division shows a base-case forecast of 4,400 for the S&P 500 at the end of 2022 even with an expected gain in earnings.\n\"We expect the S&P 500 to be range-bound and volatile, and bond returns to be negative net of inflation,\" said Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, in the note. \"Fixed income should be reduced to fund greater exposure to real assets and to absolute return funds.\"\nThe core of Morgan Stanley's \"cautious\" view on the S&P 500 is based on price-to-earnings ratios typically compressing during \"a midcycle transition,\" Shalett said. She pointed to a chart in her note showing that \"median stock has traversed the midcycle transition.\"\nMORGAN STANLEY WEALTH MANAGEMENT REPORT DATED DEC. 6, 2021\nThe chart shows \"the median S&P 500 stock has corrected 15% from its 52-week high,\" but the index has been kept aloft by the 15 largest companies now accounting for 40% of its market capitalization, according to her note.\n\"While they may be great companies, we are less convinced they will all be great stocks in 2022 as financial conditions tighten, interest rates rise, employment costs increase and inflation remains challenging,\" Shalett said. \"We think profit margins for the top 15 have peaked.\"\nIn Morgan Stanley's view, \"this suggests investors should move toward stock picking and away from passive index funds,\" her note shows.\nJPMorgan expects that \"international equities, emerging markets and cyclical market segments will significantly outperform,\" according to its report Wednesday.\n\"The reason for this is our expectation for increasing interest rates and marginally tighter monetary policy that should be a headwind for high-multiple markets such as the Nasdaq,\" the JPMorgan strategists wrote, citing the tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index .\nCiti's Snyder told MarketWatch that during \"midcycle\" he likes high-quality stocks, \"dividend-growers\" and global healthcare equities. Consistent earnings growth and \"reasonable valuations\" make healthcare attractive, he said, and stock bets in the area can serve as \"a volatility dampener\" in portfolios.\nImmunology is one of three megatrends poised to accelerate next year as \"a range of next-gen oncological therapeutics come up for approval and enable more targeted cancer treatment,\" according to Jeff Spiegel, head of U.S. iShares megatrend and international ETFs. Shares of the iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF were up about 0.2% this year based on midday trading Wednesday, FactSet data show, at last check.\nTwo other megatrends to watch in 2022 are \"digital transformation\" intensifying through the cloud, 5G and cybersecurity, and \"automation technologies\" such as robotics and artificial intelligence, Spiegel wrote in a report this month. Automation technologies should grow \"in response to ongoing supply chain bottlenecks and wage inflation\" in the pandemic, he wrote.\n\"I think we'll actually be dealing with gluts next year rather than shortages,\" said Charles Schwab's Kleintop. \"That will help drive down inflation, particularly in the second half of next year, making an aggressive path of rate hikes unlikely.\"\nThe market is expecting three rate hikes by the U.S. central bank in 2022 after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled last week that it may speed up the tapering of its monthly asset purchases, said Deepak Puri, Deutsche Bank's CIO for the America, during a media briefing Monday on his outlook for next year.\nWhile the Fed may become more aggressive in tapering its bond purchases, potentially completing the process in March instead of June, said Puri, he expects the Fed will still be \"dovish\" on rates next year. Puri forecasts that the Fed will raise rates just once next year, which is below consensus, he said.\n\"We expect two rate hikes next year,\" said New York Life Investment's Goodwin.\nMorgan Stanley's Shalett wrote in her 2022 outlook note that \"we see a classic reflationary rebalancing in which higher nominal and real rates reflect higher average growth and inflation rates.\" She also expects yield curves will steepen, profit margins to be squeezed by rising costs, and price-to-earnings ratios to compress in \"rate-sensitive sectors.\"\n\"Within the U.S., we like reopening and reflationary themes and beneficiaries of higher bond yields,\" JPMorgan said in its report Wednesday. The bank's strategists expect the yield on the 10-year Treasury note will rise to 2.25% by the end of next year, the report shows.\n\"Our view is that 2022 will be the year of a full global recovery, an end of the global pandemic, and a return to normal conditions we had prior to the COVID-19 outbreak,\" Marko Kolanovic, chief global markets strategist at JPMorgan, and the bank's global co-head of research Hussein Malik wrote in the report Wednesday.\nAccording to Shalett, \"on most counts, 2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from 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15:38","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"What We Know About the New Coronavirus Variant in South Africa<blockquote>我们对南非新型冠状病毒变种的了解</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124028350","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- A new variant of the coronavirus that causes Covid-19 -- called B.1.1.529 -- has been","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- A new variant of the coronavirus that causes Covid-19 -- called B.1.1.529 -- has been identified in South Africa, with officials there saying it’s of concern. Fears a new strain could fuel outbreaks in many countries, straining health systems, potentially evading vaccines and complicating efforts to reopen economies and borders, sent a wave of risk aversion across global markets Friday.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博）-一种导致新冠肺炎的冠状病毒的新变种——称为B.1.1.529——在南非被发现，南非官员表示这令人担忧。由于担心新毒株可能会加剧许多国家的疫情爆发，给卫生系统带来压力，可能会逃避疫苗，并使重新开放经济和边境的努力复杂化，周五全球市场掀起了一波避险浪潮。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s what we know so far:</p><p><blockquote>以下是我们目前所知道的：</blockquote></p><p> 1. What’s different about this variant?</p><p><blockquote>1.这个变种有什么不同？</blockquote></p><p> Scientists say B.1.1.529 carries a high number of mutations in its spike protein, which plays a key role in the virus’ entry into cells in the body. It’s also what is targeted by vaccines. Researchers are still trying to determine whether it is more transmissible or more lethal than previous ones.</p><p><blockquote>科学家表示，B.1.1.529的刺突蛋白携带大量突变，刺突蛋白在病毒进入体内细胞中起着关键作用。这也是疫苗的目标。研究人员仍在试图确定它是否比以前的传播性更强或更致命。</blockquote></p><p> 2. Where did it come from?</p><p><blockquote>2.从何而来？</blockquote></p><p> There’s only speculation so far. One scientist at the UCL Genetics Institute in London said it likely evolved during a chronic infection of an immuno-compromised person, possibly in an untreated HIV/AIDS patient. South Africa has 8.2 million people infected with HIV, the most in the world. The beta variant, a mutation identified last year in South Africa, also may have come from an HIV-infected person.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止只有猜测。伦敦UCL遗传学研究所的一位科学家表示，它可能是在免疫功能低下的人慢性感染期间进化而来的，可能是在未经治疗的艾滋病毒/艾滋病患者中。南非有820万人感染艾滋病毒，是世界上最多的。去年在南非发现的β变异也可能来自艾滋病毒感染者。</blockquote></p><p> 3. How widespread is it?</p><p><blockquote>3.传播范围有多广？</blockquote></p><p> As of Thursday there were almost 100 cases detected in South Africa, where it’s become the dominant strain among new infections. Early PCR test results showed that 90% of 1,100 new cases reported Wednesday in the South African province that includes Johannesburg were caused by the new variant, according to Tulio de Oliveira, a bio-informatics professor who runs gene-sequencing institutions at two South African universities. In neighboring Botswana, officials recorded four cases on Monday in people who were fully vaccinated. In Hong Kong, a traveler from South Africa was found to have the variant, and another case was identified in a person quarantined in a hotel room across the hall.</p><p><blockquote>截至周四，南非已发现近100例病例，已成为新增感染病例中的主要菌株。在南非两所大学经营基因测序机构的生物信息学教授图利奥·德·奥利维拉(Tulio de Oliveira)表示，早期PCR检测结果显示，包括约翰内斯堡在内的南非省份周三报告的1,100例新病例中，90%是由新变种引起的。在邻国博茨瓦纳，官员周一在完全接种疫苗的人群中记录了四例病例。在香港，一名来自南非的旅客被发现感染了该变种，另一例病例是在大厅对面一家酒店房间的隔离人员中发现的。</blockquote></p><p> 4. What’s the reaction been?</p><p><blockquote>4.反应如何？</blockquote></p><p> News of the new variant roiled markets Friday, with travel-related stocks in Asia among the biggest decliners as investors anticipated the negative impact it will have on travel. The yen, typically seen as a safe haven asset, rose 0.6% against the dollar, while the South African rand slid to a one-year low. The U.K. issued a temporary ban on flights from six African countries, and other countries followed suit, with Singapore restricting entry for people who have been in South Africa and nearby nations within the last 14 days. Australia said it wouldn’t rule out tightening border rules for travelers from southern Africa if the situation escalates, while India stepped up screening of incoming travelers from South Africa, Botswana and Hong Kong.</p><p><blockquote>新变种的消息周五扰乱了市场，亚洲旅游相关股票跌幅最大，因为投资者预计它将对旅游业产生负面影响。通常被视为避险资产的日元兑美元上涨0.6%，而南非兰特跌至一年低点。英国对来自六个非洲国家的航班发布了临时禁令，其他国家也纷纷效仿，新加坡限制过去14天内去过南非和附近国家的人入境。澳大利亚表示，如果局势升级，不排除收紧对来自南部非洲旅客的边境规定，而印度则加强了对来自南非、博茨瓦纳和香港的入境旅客的筛查。</blockquote></p><p> 5. How worrisome is this?</p><p><blockquote>5.这有多令人担忧？</blockquote></p><p> It’s too early to say. The World Health Organization said there are fewer than 100 whole genomic sequences of the new variant available, which could add to the time it takes to study it as well as how well current vaccines work against it. Viruses mutate all the time, with the changes sometimes making the virus weaker or sometimes making it more adept at evading antibodies and infecting humans.</p><p><blockquote>现在说还为时过早。世界卫生组织表示，这种新变种的全基因组序列不到100个，这可能会增加研究它以及当前疫苗对抗它的效果所需的时间。病毒一直在变异，这些变化有时会使病毒变得更弱，有时会使它更擅长逃避抗体并感染人类。</blockquote></p><p> 6. What should we look out for next?</p><p><blockquote>6.接下来我们应该注意什么？</blockquote></p><p> The WHO called a meeting on Friday to discuss B.1.1.529 and decide if it will be officially designated a variant of interest or concern. If it does, it will receive a Greek letter name under the WHO naming scheme, likely the letter “nu.” Governments will likely also be taking action on border and travel controls in response to news of the variant.</p><p><blockquote>世卫组织周五召开会议讨论B.1.1.529，并决定是否将其正式指定为感兴趣或关注的变体。如果这样做，它将根据世界卫生组织的命名方案获得一个希腊字母名称，很可能是字母“nu”。各国政府也可能会在边境和旅行管制方面采取行动，以应对该变种的消息。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What We Know About the New Coronavirus Variant in South Africa<blockquote>我们对南非新型冠状病毒变种的了解</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat We Know About the New Coronavirus Variant in South Africa<blockquote>我们对南非新型冠状病毒变种的了解</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-26 15:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- A new variant of the coronavirus that causes Covid-19 -- called B.1.1.529 -- has been identified in South Africa, with officials there saying it’s of concern. Fears a new strain could fuel outbreaks in many countries, straining health systems, potentially evading vaccines and complicating efforts to reopen economies and borders, sent a wave of risk aversion across global markets Friday.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博）-一种导致新冠肺炎的冠状病毒的新变种——称为B.1.1.529——在南非被发现，南非官员表示这令人担忧。由于担心新毒株可能会加剧许多国家的疫情爆发，给卫生系统带来压力，可能会逃避疫苗，并使重新开放经济和边境的努力复杂化，周五全球市场掀起了一波避险浪潮。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s what we know so far:</p><p><blockquote>以下是我们目前所知道的：</blockquote></p><p> 1. What’s different about this variant?</p><p><blockquote>1.这个变种有什么不同？</blockquote></p><p> Scientists say B.1.1.529 carries a high number of mutations in its spike protein, which plays a key role in the virus’ entry into cells in the body. It’s also what is targeted by vaccines. Researchers are still trying to determine whether it is more transmissible or more lethal than previous ones.</p><p><blockquote>科学家表示，B.1.1.529的刺突蛋白携带大量突变，刺突蛋白在病毒进入体内细胞中起着关键作用。这也是疫苗的目标。研究人员仍在试图确定它是否比以前的传播性更强或更致命。</blockquote></p><p> 2. Where did it come from?</p><p><blockquote>2.从何而来？</blockquote></p><p> There’s only speculation so far. One scientist at the UCL Genetics Institute in London said it likely evolved during a chronic infection of an immuno-compromised person, possibly in an untreated HIV/AIDS patient. South Africa has 8.2 million people infected with HIV, the most in the world. The beta variant, a mutation identified last year in South Africa, also may have come from an HIV-infected person.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止只有猜测。伦敦UCL遗传学研究所的一位科学家表示，它可能是在免疫功能低下的人慢性感染期间进化而来的，可能是在未经治疗的艾滋病毒/艾滋病患者中。南非有820万人感染艾滋病毒，是世界上最多的。去年在南非发现的β变异也可能来自艾滋病毒感染者。</blockquote></p><p> 3. How widespread is it?</p><p><blockquote>3.传播范围有多广？</blockquote></p><p> As of Thursday there were almost 100 cases detected in South Africa, where it’s become the dominant strain among new infections. Early PCR test results showed that 90% of 1,100 new cases reported Wednesday in the South African province that includes Johannesburg were caused by the new variant, according to Tulio de Oliveira, a bio-informatics professor who runs gene-sequencing institutions at two South African universities. In neighboring Botswana, officials recorded four cases on Monday in people who were fully vaccinated. In Hong Kong, a traveler from South Africa was found to have the variant, and another case was identified in a person quarantined in a hotel room across the hall.</p><p><blockquote>截至周四，南非已发现近100例病例，已成为新增感染病例中的主要菌株。在南非两所大学经营基因测序机构的生物信息学教授图利奥·德·奥利维拉(Tulio de Oliveira)表示，早期PCR检测结果显示，包括约翰内斯堡在内的南非省份周三报告的1,100例新病例中，90%是由新变种引起的。在邻国博茨瓦纳，官员周一在完全接种疫苗的人群中记录了四例病例。在香港，一名来自南非的旅客被发现感染了该变种，另一例病例是在大厅对面一家酒店房间的隔离人员中发现的。</blockquote></p><p> 4. What’s the reaction been?</p><p><blockquote>4.反应如何？</blockquote></p><p> News of the new variant roiled markets Friday, with travel-related stocks in Asia among the biggest decliners as investors anticipated the negative impact it will have on travel. The yen, typically seen as a safe haven asset, rose 0.6% against the dollar, while the South African rand slid to a one-year low. The U.K. issued a temporary ban on flights from six African countries, and other countries followed suit, with Singapore restricting entry for people who have been in South Africa and nearby nations within the last 14 days. Australia said it wouldn’t rule out tightening border rules for travelers from southern Africa if the situation escalates, while India stepped up screening of incoming travelers from South Africa, Botswana and Hong Kong.</p><p><blockquote>新变种的消息周五扰乱了市场，亚洲旅游相关股票跌幅最大，因为投资者预计它将对旅游业产生负面影响。通常被视为避险资产的日元兑美元上涨0.6%，而南非兰特跌至一年低点。英国对来自六个非洲国家的航班发布了临时禁令，其他国家也纷纷效仿，新加坡限制过去14天内去过南非和附近国家的人入境。澳大利亚表示，如果局势升级，不排除收紧对来自南部非洲旅客的边境规定，而印度则加强了对来自南非、博茨瓦纳和香港的入境旅客的筛查。</blockquote></p><p> 5. How worrisome is this?</p><p><blockquote>5.这有多令人担忧？</blockquote></p><p> It’s too early to say. The World Health Organization said there are fewer than 100 whole genomic sequences of the new variant available, which could add to the time it takes to study it as well as how well current vaccines work against it. Viruses mutate all the time, with the changes sometimes making the virus weaker or sometimes making it more adept at evading antibodies and infecting humans.</p><p><blockquote>现在说还为时过早。世界卫生组织表示，这种新变种的全基因组序列不到100个，这可能会增加研究它以及当前疫苗对抗它的效果所需的时间。病毒一直在变异，这些变化有时会使病毒变得更弱，有时会使它更擅长逃避抗体并感染人类。</blockquote></p><p> 6. What should we look out for next?</p><p><blockquote>6.接下来我们应该注意什么？</blockquote></p><p> The WHO called a meeting on Friday to discuss B.1.1.529 and decide if it will be officially designated a variant of interest or concern. If it does, it will receive a Greek letter name under the WHO naming scheme, likely the letter “nu.” Governments will likely also be taking action on border and travel controls in response to news of the variant.</p><p><blockquote>世卫组织周五召开会议讨论B.1.1.529，并决定是否将其正式指定为感兴趣或关注的变体。如果这样做，它将根据世界卫生组织的命名方案获得一个希腊字母名称，很可能是字母“nu”。各国政府也可能会在边境和旅行管制方面采取行动，以应对该变种的消息。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/know-virus-variant-rocking-markets-035129187.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/know-virus-variant-rocking-markets-035129187.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124028350","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- A new variant of the coronavirus that causes Covid-19 -- called B.1.1.529 -- has been identified in South Africa, with officials there saying it’s of concern. Fears a new strain could fuel outbreaks in many countries, straining health systems, potentially evading vaccines and complicating efforts to reopen economies and borders, sent a wave of risk aversion across global markets Friday.\nHere’s what we know so far:\n1. What’s different about this variant?\nScientists say B.1.1.529 carries a high number of mutations in its spike protein, which plays a key role in the virus’ entry into cells in the body. It’s also what is targeted by vaccines. Researchers are still trying to determine whether it is more transmissible or more lethal than previous ones.\n2. Where did it come from?\nThere’s only speculation so far. One scientist at the UCL Genetics Institute in London said it likely evolved during a chronic infection of an immuno-compromised person, possibly in an untreated HIV/AIDS patient. South Africa has 8.2 million people infected with HIV, the most in the world. The beta variant, a mutation identified last year in South Africa, also may have come from an HIV-infected person.\n3. How widespread is it?\nAs of Thursday there were almost 100 cases detected in South Africa, where it’s become the dominant strain among new infections. Early PCR test results showed that 90% of 1,100 new cases reported Wednesday in the South African province that includes Johannesburg were caused by the new variant, according to Tulio de Oliveira, a bio-informatics professor who runs gene-sequencing institutions at two South African universities. In neighboring Botswana, officials recorded four cases on Monday in people who were fully vaccinated. In Hong Kong, a traveler from South Africa was found to have the variant, and another case was identified in a person quarantined in a hotel room across the hall.\n4. What’s the reaction been?\nNews of the new variant roiled markets Friday, with travel-related stocks in Asia among the biggest decliners as investors anticipated the negative impact it will have on travel. The yen, typically seen as a safe haven asset, rose 0.6% against the dollar, while the South African rand slid to a one-year low. The U.K. issued a temporary ban on flights from six African countries, and other countries followed suit, with Singapore restricting entry for people who have been in South Africa and nearby nations within the last 14 days. Australia said it wouldn’t rule out tightening border rules for travelers from southern Africa if the situation escalates, while India stepped up screening of incoming travelers from South Africa, Botswana and Hong Kong.\n5. How worrisome is this?\nIt’s too early to say. The World Health Organization said there are fewer than 100 whole genomic sequences of the new variant available, which could add to the time it takes to study it as well as how well current vaccines work against it. Viruses mutate all the time, with the changes sometimes making the virus weaker or sometimes making it more adept at evading antibodies and infecting humans.\n6. What should we look out for next?\nThe WHO called a meeting on Friday to discuss B.1.1.529 and decide if it will be officially designated a variant of interest or concern. If it does, it will receive a Greek letter name under the WHO naming scheme, likely the letter “nu.” Governments will likely also be taking action on border and travel controls in response to news of the variant.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"CLmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":869,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":874472346,"gmtCreate":1637817934070,"gmtModify":1637818196366,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572328638468429","idStr":"3572328638468429"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA 20211217 120.0 PUT\">$BABA 20211217 120.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>Baba alibaba","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA 20211217 120.0 PUT\">$BABA 20211217 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