等下午1号的个人主页 - 老虎社区

等下午1号

等下午1号

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2022-10-27

不是突然，已经苹果ar不是已经在日程上了吗

老虎点评：看了Meta的季报，感觉苹果稳了

2021-05-07

原本是1w的。。。。

2021-03-03

老虎就是个垃圾软件，下了止损单，结果还给我系统撤单????? 我真的是。。。。

2021-03-02

$BA 20210305 210.0 CALL(BA)$今天出了一半的ba call 大概赚了1200多刀吧剩下的看明天情况出

2021-01-11

$拼多多(PDD)$pdd怎么一副药丸的样子，看政府出不出手

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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tg-height=\"213\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>现在回到这篇分析开始的标题“看了Meta Platforms季报，感觉<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>稳了”，Meta Platforms和苹果并非直接的竞争对手，为什么这么说呢？在回答这个问题之前，先请大家思考一个问题：<b>美国的头部科技公司，只要敢涉足硬件业务的，有哪家成功？答案是：只有苹果。</b></p><p>美国头部科技公司，除了苹果，其它几家的发力点都是在软件/服务上。但是，其它公司从来没有放弃过进入硬件产品的梦想：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>的平板Kindle，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>的手机Pixel，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>的笔记本Surface…这些产品虽然有点小名气，但就是做不大。但是苹果无论是做平板，还是手机还是笔记本，都可以肆无忌惮卖贵得多的价格。</p><p>所以Facebook想在虚拟头戴设备上发力，我持非常大的怀疑态度，因为这家公司的硬件基因，比前面几家还要差。前面几家在硬件上吃过的亏那可是数不胜数：亚马逊做过非常丑的手机最后被迫放弃，谷歌的头戴眼睛还没面世就难产，微软做过手机还做过手机操作系统但最后双双败北。Facebook的硬件能力会比这3家强？我大胆估计，Facebook的Reality Labs会关门，至少硬件部门最后要被放弃。</p><p>我们反观苹果，就会发现苹果的硬件设备，即使start low也会end high，比方说Apple 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n老虎点评：看了Meta的季报，感觉苹果稳了\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1005414032\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎锐评 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-27 21:23</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>先说股价，关于Netflix和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a>季报后的股价表现，还是符合上次说的那个观点：季报前股价是什么趋势季报后就是什么股价趋势。季报更像是市场情绪的放大器，不像是股价的拐点。下图是今年Meta Platforms的股价。就算是4月季报之后股价大涨，Facebook今年持续下跌的趋势也没有改变过。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82e1f2d09c89a6b5a5408485a869dc25\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Meta Platforms的季报肯定是不好，不过经济下行，广告变弱，消费变弱这些都是全世界的共识了。Meta Platforms还面临一个强大的对手TikTok，所以它的压力就更大。客观困难存在，关键是要看未来如何转型以及转型的成功几率。有时候，越大的企业反而越是在刀尖上行走，一个商业决定错误，整个公司就没了。</p><p>Meta Platforms除了在短视频领域和TikTok斗争外，公司未来的希望是元宇宙。从一些关键数据来看，元宇宙的发展并不如意，公司的Reality Labs的收入只有$2.85亿，同比下降49%。下降的主要原因是公司的虚拟设备Quest 2销量不好。下图是Quest 2，售价$399。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/393d8b967ec709388f95db28dae486f2\" tg-width=\"490\" tg-height=\"213\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>现在回到这篇分析开始的标题“看了Meta Platforms季报，感觉<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>稳了”，Meta Platforms和苹果并非直接的竞争对手，为什么这么说呢？在回答这个问题之前，先请大家思考一个问题：<b>美国的头部科技公司，只要敢涉足硬件业务的，有哪家成功？答案是：只有苹果。</b></p><p>美国头部科技公司，除了苹果，其它几家的发力点都是在软件/服务上。但是，其它公司从来没有放弃过进入硬件产品的梦想：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>的平板Kindle，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>的手机Pixel，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>的笔记本Surface…这些产品虽然有点小名气，但就是做不大。但是苹果无论是做平板，还是手机还是笔记本，都可以肆无忌惮卖贵得多的价格。</p><p>所以Facebook想在虚拟头戴设备上发力，我持非常大的怀疑态度，因为这家公司的硬件基因，比前面几家还要差。前面几家在硬件上吃过的亏那可是数不胜数：亚马逊做过非常丑的手机最后被迫放弃，谷歌的头戴眼睛还没面世就难产，微软做过手机还做过手机操作系统但最后双双败北。Facebook的硬件能力会比这3家强？我大胆估计，Facebook的Reality Labs会关门，至少硬件部门最后要被放弃。</p><p>我们反观苹果，就会发现苹果的硬件设备，即使start low也会end high，比方说Apple Watch。当然苹果的发展历史上，也曾经有过很多失败的硬件产品，但是失败的概率越来越小，2000年以后失败的硬件产品几乎没有。由于苹果产品的失败概率越来越小，所以护城河就越来越高，这不是Facebook能靠一个头戴设备能够改变的局面。亚马逊现在还能卖平板电脑，全靠自己电子书后面支持；谷歌能卖点手机，全靠自己的安卓系统；微软的笔记本电脑，号称和自家操作系统结合最好。Meta能靠什么？靠头戴设备后面的安卓系统吗？</p><p>如果苹果突然推出“虚拟设备”，Meta怎么办？</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e51dca4aea5a4f4975d48e2264c0446","relate_stocks":{"META":"Meta Platforms"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114118155","content_text":"先说股价，关于Netflix和Meta Platforms季报后的股价表现，还是符合上次说的那个观点：季报前股价是什么趋势季报后就是什么股价趋势。季报更像是市场情绪的放大器，不像是股价的拐点。下图是今年Meta Platforms的股价。就算是4月季报之后股价大涨，Facebook今年持续下跌的趋势也没有改变过。Meta Platforms的季报肯定是不好，不过经济下行，广告变弱，消费变弱这些都是全世界的共识了。Meta Platforms还面临一个强大的对手TikTok，所以它的压力就更大。客观困难存在，关键是要看未来如何转型以及转型的成功几率。有时候，越大的企业反而越是在刀尖上行走，一个商业决定错误，整个公司就没了。Meta 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