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Liuliusg

Liuliusg

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2021-12-04

OK

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2021-08-03

Good information, will have my bullets ready.

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2021-06-29

$IFAST CORPORATION LTD.(AIY.SI)$will hold this stock and hope more good news.

2021-05-18

Looking for the right time to invest more

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2021-04-02

Tesla is a good company, I would like to build up this stock in my portfolio.

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2021-11-14

Good info

If inflation is more than transitory, consumer prices and stocks could both keep climbing<blockquote>如果通胀不仅仅是暂时的，消费者价格和股市都可能继续攀升</blockquote>

2021-04-11

I wonder when could it hit the bottom line? I dun want to miss the opportunity from its bottom line!!

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2021-12-08

Good

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2021-05-05

May be a good for Dividend stocks.

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2021-05-04

Good reference.

Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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InnovAge Holding shares fell 5.3% to $5.03 in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱下调<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INNV\">创新控股公司。</a>（纳斯达克：INNV）目标价从22美元升至6.5美元。InnovAge Holding股价在盘前交易中下跌5.3%至5.03美元。</blockquote></p><p> Truist Securities lowered the price target for Everbridge, Inc. (NASDAQ:EVBG) from $185 to $85. Everbridge shares rose 1.3% to $70.00 in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>Truist Securities将Everbridge，Inc.（纳斯达克股票代码：EVBG）的目标价从185美元下调至85美元。Everbridge股价在盘前交易中上涨1.3%至70.00美元。</blockquote></p><p> Rosenblatt raised the price target on SMART Global Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:SGH) from $75 to $100. SMART Global shares rose 4.7% to $69.87 in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>Rosenblatt将SMART Global Holdings，Inc.（纳斯达克股票代码：SGH）的目标价从75美元上调至100美元。SMART Global股价在盘前交易中上涨4.7%至69.87美元。</blockquote></p><p> B of A Securities lowered the price target on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEBR\">Weber Inc.</a> (NYSE:WEBR) from $20 to $17. Weber shares gained 0.8% to $12.09 in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>B of A Securities下调目标价<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEBR\">韦伯公司。</a>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：WEBR）从20美元涨到17美元。韦伯股价在盘前交易中上涨0.8%，至12.09美元。</blockquote></p><p> Barclays cut the price target on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCDX\">Ortho Clinical Diagnostics Holdings plc</a> (NASDAQ:OCDX) from $350 to $300. Ortho Clinical Diagnostics shares rose 6.9% to close at $21.16 on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱下调目标价<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCDX\">Ortho临床诊断控股有限公司</a>（纳斯达克：OCDX）从350美元到300美元。Ortho Clinical Diagnostics股价周四上涨6.9%，收于21.16美元。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley reduced the price target for Victoria's Secret &amp; Co. (NYSE:VSCO) from $69 to $54. Victoria's Secret shares fell 0.2% to $49.00 in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利将维多利亚的秘密公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：VSCO）的目标价从69美元下调至54美元。维多利亚的秘密股价在盘前交易中下跌0.2%，至49.00美元。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley cut Revolve Group, Inc. (NYSE:RVLV) price target from $72 to $57. Revolve Group shares fell 0.6% to $56.03 in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利将Revolve Group，Inc.（纽约证券交易所代码：RVLV）的目标价从72美元下调至57美元。Revolve Group股价在盘前交易中下跌0.6%，至56.03美元。</blockquote></p><p> Ascendiant Capital cut GameStop Corp. (NYSE:GME) price target from $24 to $23. GameStop shares rose 0.6% to $152.98 in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>Ascendiant Capital将游戏驿站公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GME）的目标股价从24美元下调至23美元。游戏驿站股价在盘前交易中上涨0.6%，至152.98美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>10 Biggest Price Target Changes For Monday<blockquote>周一10个最大价格目标变化</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n10 Biggest Price Target Changes For Monday<blockquote>周一10个最大价格目标变化</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-27 21:50</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> cut Foot Locker, Inc. (NYSE:FL) price target from $66 to $47. Foot Locker shares fell 0.1% to $41.90 in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>将Foot Locker，Inc.（纽约证券交易所代码：FL）的目标价从66美元下调至47美元。Foot Locker股价在盘前交易中下跌0.1%，至41.90美元。</blockquote></p><p> Baird lowered <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVNA\">Carvana Co.</a> (NYSE:CVNA) price target from $164 to $248. Carvana shares gained 0.9% to $243.00 in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>贝尔德降低<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVNA\">卡瓦纳公司。</a>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CVNA）目标价为164美元至248美元。Carvana股价在盘前交易中上涨0.9%，至243.00美元。</blockquote></p><p> Barclays lowered <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INNV\">InnovAge Holding Corp.</a> (NASDAQ:INNV) price target from $22 to $6.5. InnovAge Holding shares fell 5.3% to $5.03 in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱下调<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INNV\">创新控股公司。</a>（纳斯达克：INNV）目标价从22美元升至6.5美元。InnovAge Holding股价在盘前交易中下跌5.3%至5.03美元。</blockquote></p><p> Truist Securities lowered the price target for Everbridge, Inc. (NASDAQ:EVBG) from $185 to $85. Everbridge shares rose 1.3% to $70.00 in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>Truist Securities将Everbridge，Inc.（纳斯达克股票代码：EVBG）的目标价从185美元下调至85美元。Everbridge股价在盘前交易中上涨1.3%至70.00美元。</blockquote></p><p> Rosenblatt raised the price target on SMART Global Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:SGH) from $75 to $100. SMART Global shares rose 4.7% to $69.87 in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>Rosenblatt将SMART Global Holdings，Inc.（纳斯达克股票代码：SGH）的目标价从75美元上调至100美元。SMART Global股价在盘前交易中上涨4.7%至69.87美元。</blockquote></p><p> B of A Securities lowered the price target on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEBR\">Weber Inc.</a> (NYSE:WEBR) from $20 to $17. Weber shares gained 0.8% to $12.09 in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>B of A Securities下调目标价<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEBR\">韦伯公司。</a>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：WEBR）从20美元涨到17美元。韦伯股价在盘前交易中上涨0.8%，至12.09美元。</blockquote></p><p> Barclays cut the price target on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCDX\">Ortho Clinical Diagnostics Holdings plc</a> (NASDAQ:OCDX) from $350 to $300. Ortho Clinical Diagnostics shares rose 6.9% to close at $21.16 on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱下调目标价<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCDX\">Ortho临床诊断控股有限公司</a>（纳斯达克：OCDX）从350美元到300美元。Ortho Clinical Diagnostics股价周四上涨6.9%，收于21.16美元。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley reduced the price target for Victoria's Secret &amp; Co. (NYSE:VSCO) from $69 to $54. Victoria's Secret shares fell 0.2% to $49.00 in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利将维多利亚的秘密公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：VSCO）的目标价从69美元下调至54美元。维多利亚的秘密股价在盘前交易中下跌0.2%，至49.00美元。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley cut Revolve Group, Inc. (NYSE:RVLV) price target from $72 to $57. Revolve Group shares fell 0.6% to $56.03 in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利将Revolve Group，Inc.（纽约证券交易所代码：RVLV）的目标价从72美元下调至57美元。Revolve Group股价在盘前交易中下跌0.6%，至56.03美元。</blockquote></p><p> Ascendiant Capital cut GameStop Corp. (NYSE:GME) price target from $24 to $23. GameStop shares rose 0.6% to $152.98 in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>Ascendiant Capital将游戏驿站公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GME）的目标股价从24美元下调至23美元。游戏驿站股价在盘前交易中上涨0.6%，至152.98美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4504":"桥水持仓","RVLV":"Revolve Group, LLC","TGT":"塔吉特","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","VSCO":"维多利亚的秘密","OCDX":"Ortho Clinical Diagnostics Holdings plc","BK4114":"综合货品商店","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","WEBR":"Weber Inc.","CVNA":"Carvana Co.","INNV":"InnovAge Holding Corp.","GME":"游戏驿站","EVBG":"Everbridge Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198457273","content_text":"Morgan Stanley cut Foot Locker, Inc. (NYSE:FL) price target from $66 to $47. Foot Locker shares fell 0.1% to $41.90 in pre-market trading.\nBaird lowered Carvana Co. (NYSE:CVNA) price target from $164 to $248. Carvana shares gained 0.9% to $243.00 in pre-market trading.\nBarclays lowered InnovAge Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:INNV) price target from $22 to $6.5. InnovAge Holding shares fell 5.3% to $5.03 in pre-market trading.\nTruist Securities lowered the price target for Everbridge, Inc. (NASDAQ:EVBG) from $185 to $85. Everbridge shares rose 1.3% to $70.00 in pre-market trading.\nRosenblatt raised the price target on SMART Global Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:SGH) from $75 to $100. SMART Global shares rose 4.7% to $69.87 in pre-market trading.\nB of A Securities lowered the price target on Weber Inc. (NYSE:WEBR) from $20 to $17. Weber shares gained 0.8% to $12.09 in pre-market trading.\nBarclays cut the price target on Ortho Clinical Diagnostics Holdings plc (NASDAQ:OCDX) from $350 to $300. Ortho Clinical Diagnostics shares rose 6.9% to close at $21.16 on Thursday.\nMorgan Stanley reduced the price target for Victoria's Secret & Co. (NYSE:VSCO) from $69 to $54. Victoria's Secret shares fell 0.2% to $49.00 in pre-market trading.\nMorgan Stanley cut Revolve Group, Inc. (NYSE:RVLV) price target from $72 to $57. Revolve Group shares fell 0.6% to $56.03 in pre-market trading.\nAscendiant Capital cut GameStop Corp. (NYSE:GME) price target from $24 to $23. GameStop shares rose 0.6% to $152.98 in pre-market trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"OCDX":0.9,"VSCO":0.9,"INNV":0.9,"RVLV":0.9,"TGT":0.9,"EVBG":0.9,"GME":0.9,"SGH":0.9,"WEBR":0.9,"CVNA":0.9,"FL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2820,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696396532,"gmtCreate":1640615374695,"gmtModify":1640615427568,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Are you sure?","listText":"Are you sure?","text":"Are you sure?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696396532","repostId":"1129230322","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129230322","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640613152,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129230322?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 21:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Skillz Could Be Going to $0 Given its Debts and Struggling Business<blockquote>鉴于Skillz的债务和陷入困境的业务，其股价可能会跌至0美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129230322","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"SKLZ stock will keep sinking... perhaps all the way to $0","content":"<p><div> At one point,Skillz(NYSE:SKLZ) stock was supposed to be the hot new thing in the online gaming industry. By letting players compete for real cash prizes, it would bridge the gap between gambling and e...</p><p><blockquote><div>Skillz（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SKLZ）股票一度被认为是在线游戏行业的热门新事物。通过让玩家争夺真正的现金奖励，它将弥合赌博和电子竞技之间的差距...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/sklz-stock-could-be-going-to-0-given-its-debts-and-struggling-business/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/sklz-stock-could-be-going-to-0-given-its-debts-and-struggling-business/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Skillz Could Be Going to $0 Given its Debts and Struggling Business<blockquote>鉴于Skillz的债务和陷入困境的业务，其股价可能会跌至0美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSkillz Could Be Going to $0 Given its Debts and Struggling Business<blockquote>鉴于Skillz的债务和陷入困境的业务，其股价可能会跌至0美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-27 21:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> At one point,Skillz(NYSE:SKLZ) stock was supposed to be the hot new thing in the online gaming industry. By letting players compete for real cash prizes, it would bridge the gap between gambling and e...</p><p><blockquote><div>Skillz（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SKLZ）股票一度被认为是在线游戏行业的热门新事物。通过让玩家争夺真正的现金奖励，它将弥合赌博和电子竞技之间的差距...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/sklz-stock-could-be-going-to-0-given-its-debts-and-struggling-business/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/sklz-stock-could-be-going-to-0-given-its-debts-and-struggling-business/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/sklz-stock-could-be-going-to-0-given-its-debts-and-struggling-business/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SKLZ":"Skillz Inc"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/sklz-stock-could-be-going-to-0-given-its-debts-and-struggling-business/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129230322","content_text":"At one point,Skillz(NYSE:SKLZ) stock was supposed to be the hot new thing in the online gaming industry. By letting players compete for real cash prizes, it would bridge the gap between gambling and e-sports. Or that was the idea, anyway.\nSkillz stock hit $46 at one point early in 2021. Powered up by heavy momentum trading and rumors of an National Football League (NFL) partnership, Skillz was on top of the world. Since then, however, shares have crashed 80%. And there’s not much good news either. SKLZ stock will continue to sink in 2022. Here’s why.\nSkillz Is Not A Functional Business\nThe first rule of business is that you should sell your goods and services for more than the cost of product. Skillz fails this metric, badly.\nQ3 was supposedly a great quarter for Skillz. It generated significantly more revenues than analysts had expected, after all. If you’re just going by revenues, Skillz had its ducks in a row.\nBut you have to consider the cost of generating those revenues. Here’s the numbers specifically. For Q3, Skillz did $102 million of topline revenue, up from $60 million in the same quarter of 2020. However, the company spent $113 million on sales & marketing expenses to generate that $102 million of revenue.\nA huge chunk of this is in player incentives, such as giving folks more credits or bonuses to keep playing after they lose. In this way, it’s supposed to keep users interested in the ecosystem. However, if a casino has no edge, it won’t make money. This raises the question: If Skillz stopped giving out so much free stuff, would anyone keep playing its games?\nIf Skillz has to incentivize players to stay engaged, it has no long-term business model. Just from sales and marketing alone, Skillz is more than outspending its entire revenue base. That’s before you get to R&D, management salaries and overhead, data and other costs to run the games, and interest. Speaking of interest…\nSkillz Catastrophic Bond Offering\nGiven that Skillz is running colossal operating losses right now, not surprisingly, it wants to raise more funds to keep the show going. And, with the stock price in a deep slump, issuing equity is not an attractive option.\nSo, instead, Skillz turned to the debt market to get its next cash injection. Unfortunately, demand for Skillz’ bonds was underwhelming, to put it mildly. To raise a modest $300 million of debt, Skillz had to shell out a mind-blowing 10.25% annual interest rate. That will add another $30 million in annual interest expenses to a company that is already losing around $200 million annually on an operating income basis.\nIf the company had a viable turnaround plan, maybe this $300 million of new funds would make a difference. But since Skillz’ business so far is simply to increase revenues by subsidizing players with more and more incentives, it’s unclear how more cash will fix its core problem. The games just aren’t of the caliber needed to attract and keep unincentivized players on the platform.\nWe just saw a clear piece of evidence confirming that. Skillz’ Chief Technology Officer, Miriam Aguirre, recently resigned. A CTO is one of the people who knows a firm’s prospects best. Creditors are another. And both are giving off negative signs about Skillz’ viability.\nBeware The EBITDA Narrative\nTech investors are used to buying stocks based on EBITDA. That’s a shorthand for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. People like to use this as a metric because it gives a sense of the amount of cash flow that would be available to a strategic buyer, such as private equity. It gives an “apples to apples” way of comparing firms with much different balance sheets and debt burdens.\nHowever, there are shortfalls to using EBITDA. For one thing, the costs tend to be real expenses. In this case, interest is a very real problem for a small money-losing company like Skillz. Skillz may be able to use its newly-borrowed funds to generate some EBITDA. But it will have to pay very real interest — nearly 20% of its current annual gross profit — simply to address this new high-interest debt. That paper EBITDA will never turn into real profits or cash flow for shareholders.\nFor Skillz to become a viable business, it needs to make games that users want to play of their own volition. As long as Skillz has to pay users huge incentives to stay on the platform, this business will lose money. Don’t let misleading EBITDA analysis distract you from the fact that the core business model has failed to demonstrate success yet.\nSKLZ Stock Verdict\nThe credit market has made it very clear; Skillz is a high-risk gamble at this point. In a world with a seemingly unlimited amount of money to fund speculative ventures and start-ups, Skillz had to accept a loan on terrible terms to get funding. That makes SKLZ stock a clear avoid.\nIn fact, I’ll go one step further. I’d argue this bond is being priced as though creditors believe there’s a good chance that Skillz will not be a viable going concern in future years. You simply don’t slap this sort of punitive interest rate on a company unless you think there’s a solid chance that the equity ends up being worthless. People are desperate for yield right now, and yet they wouldn’t lend to Skillz for less than 10.25% per year. Given Skillz’ terrible profitability metrics, it’s understandable why creditors have taken this posture.\nGaming stocks have had a rough time to end 2021. But they’re not all created equal. Something like Penn National Gaming(NASDAQ:PENN) or DraftKings(NASDAQ:DKNG) has a far better shot of turning things around in 2022 than Skillz.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SKLZ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696396816,"gmtCreate":1640615326878,"gmtModify":1640615327013,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696396816","repostId":"1146160890","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146160890","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1640614641,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146160890?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 22:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"FuelCell Energy stock surged 8% in premarket trading<blockquote>FuelCell Energy股价在盘前交易中飙升8%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146160890","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"FuelCell Energy stock surged 8% in premarket trading after FuelCell Energy reached favorable settlem","content":"<p>FuelCell Energy stock surged 8% in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;FuelCell Energy reached favorable settlement agreement with POSCO Energy.</p><p><blockquote>在FuelCell Energy与POSCO Energy达成有利的和解协议后，FuelCell Energy股价在盘前交易中飙升8%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6dc248a0831090bf5b8496ed683633a\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"620\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>FuelCell Energy, Inc. (Nasdaq: FCEL)</b>-- a global leader in fuel cell technology with a purpose of utilizing its proprietary, state-of-the-art fuel cell platforms to enable a world empowered by clean energy — today announced that POSCO Energy Co., Ltd. and its subsidiary, Korea Fuel Cell Co., Ltd., (collectively “POSCO”) have entered into a settlement agreement (the “Agreement”) with FuelCell Energy.</p><p><blockquote><b>燃料电池能源公司（纳斯达克：FCEL）</b>——燃料电池技术的全球领导者，旨在利用其专有的、最先进的燃料电池平台来实现清洁能源赋能的世界——今天宣布浦项制铁能源株式会社及其子公司韩国燃料电池株式会社（统称“浦项制铁”）已与FuelCell Energy签订和解协议（“协议”）。</blockquote></p><p> Pursuant to the Agreement:</p><p><blockquote>根据该协议：</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>FuelCell Energy confirms its exclusivity to sell its differentiated platform technology throughout Asia;</p><p><blockquote><ol><li>FuelCell Energy确认其在整个亚洲销售其差异化平台技术的排他性；</li></ol></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>All licenses previously granted to POSCO Energy are amended such that POSCO has the right to service the existing installed POSCO customer base, but enjoys no other rights to FuelCell Energy technology in South Korea or broader Asian markets; and</p><p><blockquote><li>之前授予POSCO Energy的所有许可证都进行了修订，使得POSCO有权为现有已安装的POSCO客户群提供服务，但在韩国或更广泛的亚洲市场不享有FuelCell Energy技术的其他权利；和</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>All claims between the parties are fully and finally settled with the exception of two small claims being negotiated by the parties that have no impact on market access.</p><p><blockquote><li>双方之间的所有索赔都得到充分和最终解决，但双方正在谈判的两项对市场准入没有影响的小额索赔除外。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ol> “We are extremely pleased to have reached a favorable agreement with POSCO which confirms our access to the Asian market for FuelCell Energy,” said Jason Few, President, Chief Executive Officer and Chief Commercial Officer of FuelCell Energy. “This resolution unlocks a path forward and gives customers in South Korea and across Asia the ability to evaluate FuelCell Energy’s differentiated platforms against alternative offerings without concern and uncertainty surrounding the legal dispute between FuelCell Energy and POSCO. It also provides current customers of FuelCell Energy’s technology in the Korean market the ability to receive the quality of service and module stack replacements they deserve. In addition, it provides a clear path for FuelCell Energy to once again serve a growing market for fuels cells and support the growing energy transition within South Korea as well as the broader Asian marketplace. In South Korea, our fuel cell platform is a preferred choice for utility scale projects given its high-quality thermal attributes that support the district heating needs of the country. We also look forward to bringing our unique distributed hydrogen platforms to the Asian market as Asia looks to lead in the hydrogen transition. We are excited to engage the marketplace with the legal uncertainties removed and look forward to expanding our geographic reach throughout Asia.”</p><p><blockquote>FuelCell Energy总裁、首席执行官兼首席商务官Jason Few表示：“我们非常高兴与浦项制铁达成了有利的协议，这确认了我们进入FuelCell Energy亚洲市场的机会。”“该决议开辟了一条前进的道路，使韩国和整个亚洲的客户能够根据替代产品评估FuelCell Energy的差异化平台，而无需担心FuelCell Energy与POSCO之间的法律纠纷和不确定性。它还为FuelCell Energy技术在韩国市场的现有客户提供了获得他们应得的服务质量和模块堆更换的能力。此外，它还为FuelCell Energy再次服务于不断增长的燃料电池市场并支持韩国以及更广泛的亚洲市场不断增长的能源转型提供了一条清晰的道路。在韩国，我们的燃料电池平台是公用事业规模项目的首选，因为其高质量的热属性支持该国的区域供热需求。我们还期待将我们独特的分布式氢平台引入亚洲市场，因为亚洲希望在氢转型中处于领先地位。我们很高兴能够在消除法律不确定性的情况下参与市场，并期待将我们的地理覆盖范围扩大到整个亚洲。”</blockquote></p><p> Having reached an agreement, the parties are cooperating to ensure that existing customers are fully aware of the settlement and that a framework exists for POSCO to deliver module replacements per the service and support design specifications in the agreement. The parties are also communicating to the broader market that FuelCell Energy has the exclusive right to pursue new fuel cell projects in Asia.</p><p><blockquote>达成协议后，双方正在合作确保现有客户充分了解和解协议，并确保浦项制铁有一个框架，可以根据协议中的服务和支持设计规范提供模块更换。双方还向更广泛的市场传达，FuelCell Energy拥有在亚洲开展新燃料电池项目的独家权利。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>FuelCell Energy stock surged 8% in premarket trading<blockquote>FuelCell Energy股价在盘前交易中飙升8%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFuelCell Energy stock surged 8% in premarket trading<blockquote>FuelCell Energy股价在盘前交易中飙升8%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-27 22:17</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>FuelCell Energy stock surged 8% in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;FuelCell Energy reached favorable settlement agreement with POSCO Energy.</p><p><blockquote>在FuelCell Energy与POSCO Energy达成有利的和解协议后，FuelCell Energy股价在盘前交易中飙升8%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6dc248a0831090bf5b8496ed683633a\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"620\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>FuelCell Energy, Inc. (Nasdaq: FCEL)</b>-- a global leader in fuel cell technology with a purpose of utilizing its proprietary, state-of-the-art fuel cell platforms to enable a world empowered by clean energy — today announced that POSCO Energy Co., Ltd. and its subsidiary, Korea Fuel Cell Co., Ltd., (collectively “POSCO”) have entered into a settlement agreement (the “Agreement”) with FuelCell Energy.</p><p><blockquote><b>燃料电池能源公司（纳斯达克：FCEL）</b>——燃料电池技术的全球领导者，旨在利用其专有的、最先进的燃料电池平台来实现清洁能源赋能的世界——今天宣布浦项制铁能源株式会社及其子公司韩国燃料电池株式会社（统称“浦项制铁”）已与FuelCell Energy签订和解协议（“协议”）。</blockquote></p><p> Pursuant to the Agreement:</p><p><blockquote>根据该协议：</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>FuelCell Energy confirms its exclusivity to sell its differentiated platform technology throughout Asia;</p><p><blockquote><ol><li>FuelCell Energy确认其在整个亚洲销售其差异化平台技术的排他性；</li></ol></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>All licenses previously granted to POSCO Energy are amended such that POSCO has the right to service the existing installed POSCO customer base, but enjoys no other rights to FuelCell Energy technology in South Korea or broader Asian markets; and</p><p><blockquote><li>之前授予POSCO Energy的所有许可证都进行了修订，使得POSCO有权为现有已安装的POSCO客户群提供服务，但在韩国或更广泛的亚洲市场不享有FuelCell Energy技术的其他权利；和</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>All claims between the parties are fully and finally settled with the exception of two small claims being negotiated by the parties that have no impact on market access.</p><p><blockquote><li>双方之间的所有索赔都得到充分和最终解决，但双方正在谈判的两项对市场准入没有影响的小额索赔除外。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ol> “We are extremely pleased to have reached a favorable agreement with POSCO which confirms our access to the Asian market for FuelCell Energy,” said Jason Few, President, Chief Executive Officer and Chief Commercial Officer of FuelCell Energy. “This resolution unlocks a path forward and gives customers in South Korea and across Asia the ability to evaluate FuelCell Energy’s differentiated platforms against alternative offerings without concern and uncertainty surrounding the legal dispute between FuelCell Energy and POSCO. It also provides current customers of FuelCell Energy’s technology in the Korean market the ability to receive the quality of service and module stack replacements they deserve. In addition, it provides a clear path for FuelCell Energy to once again serve a growing market for fuels cells and support the growing energy transition within South Korea as well as the broader Asian marketplace. In South Korea, our fuel cell platform is a preferred choice for utility scale projects given its high-quality thermal attributes that support the district heating needs of the country. We also look forward to bringing our unique distributed hydrogen platforms to the Asian market as Asia looks to lead in the hydrogen transition. We are excited to engage the marketplace with the legal uncertainties removed and look forward to expanding our geographic reach throughout Asia.”</p><p><blockquote>FuelCell Energy总裁、首席执行官兼首席商务官Jason Few表示：“我们非常高兴与浦项制铁达成了有利的协议，这确认了我们进入FuelCell Energy亚洲市场的机会。”“该决议开辟了一条前进的道路，使韩国和整个亚洲的客户能够根据替代产品评估FuelCell Energy的差异化平台，而无需担心FuelCell Energy与POSCO之间的法律纠纷和不确定性。它还为FuelCell Energy技术在韩国市场的现有客户提供了获得他们应得的服务质量和模块堆更换的能力。此外，它还为FuelCell Energy再次服务于不断增长的燃料电池市场并支持韩国以及更广泛的亚洲市场不断增长的能源转型提供了一条清晰的道路。在韩国，我们的燃料电池平台是公用事业规模项目的首选，因为其高质量的热属性支持该国的区域供热需求。我们还期待将我们独特的分布式氢平台引入亚洲市场，因为亚洲希望在氢转型中处于领先地位。我们很高兴能够在消除法律不确定性的情况下参与市场，并期待将我们的地理覆盖范围扩大到整个亚洲。”</blockquote></p><p> Having reached an agreement, the parties are cooperating to ensure that existing customers are fully aware of the settlement and that a framework exists for POSCO to deliver module replacements per the service and support design specifications in the agreement. The parties are also communicating to the broader market that FuelCell Energy has the exclusive right to pursue new fuel cell projects in Asia.</p><p><blockquote>达成协议后，双方正在合作确保现有客户充分了解和解协议，并确保浦项制铁有一个框架，可以根据协议中的服务和支持设计规范提供模块更换。双方还向更广泛的市场传达，FuelCell Energy拥有在亚洲开展新燃料电池项目的独家权利。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FCEL":"燃料电池能源"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146160890","content_text":"FuelCell Energy stock surged 8% in premarket trading after FuelCell Energy reached favorable settlement agreement with POSCO Energy.\n\nFuelCell Energy, Inc. (Nasdaq: FCEL)-- a global leader in fuel cell technology with a purpose of utilizing its proprietary, state-of-the-art fuel cell platforms to enable a world empowered by clean energy — today announced that POSCO Energy Co., Ltd. and its subsidiary, Korea Fuel Cell Co., Ltd., (collectively “POSCO”) have entered into a settlement agreement (the “Agreement”) with FuelCell Energy.\nPursuant to the Agreement:\n\nFuelCell Energy confirms its exclusivity to sell its differentiated platform technology throughout Asia;\nAll licenses previously granted to POSCO Energy are amended such that POSCO has the right to service the existing installed POSCO customer base, but enjoys no other rights to FuelCell Energy technology in South Korea or broader Asian markets; and\nAll claims between the parties are fully and finally settled with the exception of two small claims being negotiated by the parties that have no impact on market access.\n\n“We are extremely pleased to have reached a favorable agreement with POSCO which confirms our access to the Asian market for FuelCell Energy,” said Jason Few, President, Chief Executive Officer and Chief Commercial Officer of FuelCell Energy. “This resolution unlocks a path forward and gives customers in South Korea and across Asia the ability to evaluate FuelCell Energy’s differentiated platforms against alternative offerings without concern and uncertainty surrounding the legal dispute between FuelCell Energy and POSCO. It also provides current customers of FuelCell Energy’s technology in the Korean market the ability to receive the quality of service and module stack replacements they deserve. In addition, it provides a clear path for FuelCell Energy to once again serve a growing market for fuels cells and support the growing energy transition within South Korea as well as the broader Asian marketplace. In South Korea, our fuel cell platform is a preferred choice for utility scale projects given its high-quality thermal attributes that support the district heating needs of the country. We also look forward to bringing our unique distributed hydrogen platforms to the Asian market as Asia looks to lead in the hydrogen transition. We are excited to engage the marketplace with the legal uncertainties removed and look forward to expanding our geographic reach throughout Asia.”\nHaving reached an agreement, the parties are cooperating to ensure that existing customers are fully aware of the settlement and that a framework exists for POSCO to deliver module replacements per the service and support design specifications in the agreement. The parties are also communicating to the broader market that FuelCell Energy has the exclusive right to pursue new fuel cell projects in Asia.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FCEL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696396343,"gmtCreate":1640615305726,"gmtModify":1640615305904,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696396343","repostId":"1159836216","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159836216","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640615243,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159836216?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 22:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop Is ‘Very Early in Its Transformation.’ Its Stock Could Tumble.<blockquote>游戏驿站“正处于转型的早期阶段”。其股价可能会暴跌。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159836216","media":"Barrons","summary":"As this year comes to an end, arguments about whether to buy or sell highflying meme stock GameStop ","content":"<p>As this year comes to an end, arguments about whether to buy or sell highflying meme stock&nbsp;GameStop&nbsp;haven’t changed. It’s still a question of belief in what the videogame retailer could become versus what it currently is. But trying to quantify the former results in a stock that is worth a fraction of what it is now, according to one analyst.</p><p><blockquote>随着今年接近尾声，关于是否买入或卖出飙升的模因股票游戏驿站的争论并没有改变。这仍然是一个对视频游戏零售商可能成为什么样的信念问题，而不是现在的样子。但一位分析师表示，试图量化一只价值只是现在一小部分的股票的结果。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop (ticker: GME), the original meme stock, has been one of the best performers this year. Its shares have gained 707% to $152.14 in 2021, easily outpacing the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500’s&nbsp;26% rise and the&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average’s&nbsp;17% gain.</p><p><blockquote>最初的meme股票游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）是今年表现最好的股票之一。2021年，其股价上涨707%，至152.14美元，轻松超过标准普尔500指数26%的涨幅和道琼斯工业平均指数17%的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> But the rise hasn’t been driven by how its business is doing. Instead, it became a favorite on social-media platform Reddit, to the point that it “no longer trades on traditional fundamental valuations or metrics, but on retail investors’ sentiment, hope, momentum, and the powers of crowds,” writes Ascendiant analyst Edward Woo.</p><p><blockquote>但这一增长并不是由其业务表现推动的。相反，它成为社交媒体平台Reddit上的最爱，以至于它“不再根据传统的基本面估值或指标进行交易，而是根据散户投资者的情绪、希望、势头和人群的力量进行交易”，Ascendiant分析师爱德华·吴。</blockquote></p><p> That adds to the risks for anyone who might think about shorting the company—remember, shares were trading over $300 as recently as June—but the fundamentals clearly point to weaker returns going ahead, Woo writes. Losses are still large, while sales of software declined 2% year over year during the most recent quarter as purchases continued to transition away from physical disks to downloads. The company hasn’t provided guidance.</p><p><blockquote>Woo写道，这增加了任何可能考虑做空该公司的人的风险——请记住，该公司的股价最近在6月份还超过300美元——但基本面显然表明未来的回报将会疲软。损失仍然很大，而由于购买继续从物理磁盘转向下载，最近一个季度软件销售额同比下降2%。该公司尚未提供指导。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop does, however, have a couple of things going for it. The first is its chairman, Ryan Cohen, who had success with&nbsp;Chewy&nbsp;(CHWY) and has brought in new management to help point the retailer in a new direction. It also has a lot of cash, about $1.4 billion, according to Woo, after selling a bunch of stock. That makes GameStop more like a venture capital investment, one that could branch out into non-fungible tokens, cryptocurrencies, or other businesses. But it’s also a very risky investment. As a result, Woo lowered his target on the stock to $23 from $24 on Monday, down 85% from this past Thursday’s close. The analyst has a Sell rating on the shares.</p><p><blockquote>然而，游戏驿站确实有一些优势。第一个是其董事长瑞安·科恩(Ryan Cohen)，他在Chewy(CHWY)取得了成功，并引入了新的管理层来帮助这家零售商指明新的方向。Woo表示，在出售大量股票后，该公司还拥有大量现金，约为14亿美元。这使得游戏驿站更像是一项风险投资，可以扩展到不可替代的代币、加密货币或其他业务。但这也是一项风险很大的投资。因此，Woo将该股目标从周一的24美元下调至23美元，较上周四收盘价下跌85%。分析师对该股给予卖出评级。</blockquote></p><p> “We acknowledge Mr. Cohen’s success and talents and the large cash GameStop now has greatly [increased] the odds that it can pivot to be a successful e-commerce company,” Woo writes. “However, we are still very early in its transformation and investors are likely facing a very high risk/rewards scenario.”</p><p><blockquote>吴写道：“我们承认科恩先生的成功和才华，以及游戏驿站现在拥有的大量现金极大地增加了其成为一家成功电子商务公司的可能性。”“然而，我们仍处于转型的早期阶段，投资者可能面临非常高的风险/回报情况。”</blockquote></p><p> Not like that has ever stopped anyone.</p><p><blockquote>这从来没有阻止过任何人。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop Is ‘Very Early in Its Transformation.’ Its Stock Could Tumble.<blockquote>游戏驿站“正处于转型的早期阶段”。其股价可能会暴跌。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop Is ‘Very Early in Its Transformation.’ Its Stock Could Tumble.<blockquote>游戏驿站“正处于转型的早期阶段”。其股价可能会暴跌。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-27 22:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As this year comes to an end, arguments about whether to buy or sell highflying meme stock&nbsp;GameStop&nbsp;haven’t changed. It’s still a question of belief in what the videogame retailer could become versus what it currently is. But trying to quantify the former results in a stock that is worth a fraction of what it is now, according to one analyst.</p><p><blockquote>随着今年接近尾声，关于是否买入或卖出飙升的模因股票游戏驿站的争论并没有改变。这仍然是一个对视频游戏零售商可能成为什么样的信念问题，而不是现在的样子。但一位分析师表示，试图量化一只价值只是现在一小部分的股票的结果。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop (ticker: GME), the original meme stock, has been one of the best performers this year. Its shares have gained 707% to $152.14 in 2021, easily outpacing the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500’s&nbsp;26% rise and the&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average’s&nbsp;17% gain.</p><p><blockquote>最初的meme股票游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）是今年表现最好的股票之一。2021年，其股价上涨707%，至152.14美元，轻松超过标准普尔500指数26%的涨幅和道琼斯工业平均指数17%的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> But the rise hasn’t been driven by how its business is doing. Instead, it became a favorite on social-media platform Reddit, to the point that it “no longer trades on traditional fundamental valuations or metrics, but on retail investors’ sentiment, hope, momentum, and the powers of crowds,” writes Ascendiant analyst Edward Woo.</p><p><blockquote>但这一增长并不是由其业务表现推动的。相反，它成为社交媒体平台Reddit上的最爱，以至于它“不再根据传统的基本面估值或指标进行交易，而是根据散户投资者的情绪、希望、势头和人群的力量进行交易”，Ascendiant分析师爱德华·吴。</blockquote></p><p> That adds to the risks for anyone who might think about shorting the company—remember, shares were trading over $300 as recently as June—but the fundamentals clearly point to weaker returns going ahead, Woo writes. Losses are still large, while sales of software declined 2% year over year during the most recent quarter as purchases continued to transition away from physical disks to downloads. The company hasn’t provided guidance.</p><p><blockquote>Woo写道，这增加了任何可能考虑做空该公司的人的风险——请记住，该公司的股价最近在6月份还超过300美元——但基本面显然表明未来的回报将会疲软。损失仍然很大，而由于购买继续从物理磁盘转向下载，最近一个季度软件销售额同比下降2%。该公司尚未提供指导。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop does, however, have a couple of things going for it. The first is its chairman, Ryan Cohen, who had success with&nbsp;Chewy&nbsp;(CHWY) and has brought in new management to help point the retailer in a new direction. It also has a lot of cash, about $1.4 billion, according to Woo, after selling a bunch of stock. That makes GameStop more like a venture capital investment, one that could branch out into non-fungible tokens, cryptocurrencies, or other businesses. But it’s also a very risky investment. As a result, Woo lowered his target on the stock to $23 from $24 on Monday, down 85% from this past Thursday’s close. The analyst has a Sell rating on the shares.</p><p><blockquote>然而，游戏驿站确实有一些优势。第一个是其董事长瑞安·科恩(Ryan Cohen)，他在Chewy(CHWY)取得了成功，并引入了新的管理层来帮助这家零售商指明新的方向。Woo表示，在出售大量股票后，该公司还拥有大量现金，约为14亿美元。这使得游戏驿站更像是一项风险投资，可以扩展到不可替代的代币、加密货币或其他业务。但这也是一项风险很大的投资。因此，Woo将该股目标从周一的24美元下调至23美元，较上周四收盘价下跌85%。分析师对该股给予卖出评级。</blockquote></p><p> “We acknowledge Mr. Cohen’s success and talents and the large cash GameStop now has greatly [increased] the odds that it can pivot to be a successful e-commerce company,” Woo writes. “However, we are still very early in its transformation and investors are likely facing a very high risk/rewards scenario.”</p><p><blockquote>吴写道：“我们承认科恩先生的成功和才华，以及游戏驿站现在拥有的大量现金极大地增加了其成为一家成功电子商务公司的可能性。”“然而，我们仍处于转型的早期阶段，投资者可能面临非常高的风险/回报情况。”</blockquote></p><p> Not like that has ever stopped anyone.</p><p><blockquote>这从来没有阻止过任何人。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-new-stock-price-target-analyst-51640613653?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-new-stock-price-target-analyst-51640613653?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159836216","content_text":"As this year comes to an end, arguments about whether to buy or sell highflying meme stock GameStop haven’t changed. It’s still a question of belief in what the videogame retailer could become versus what it currently is. But trying to quantify the former results in a stock that is worth a fraction of what it is now, according to one analyst.\nGameStop (ticker: GME), the original meme stock, has been one of the best performers this year. Its shares have gained 707% to $152.14 in 2021, easily outpacing the S&P 500’s 26% rise and the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s 17% gain.\nBut the rise hasn’t been driven by how its business is doing. Instead, it became a favorite on social-media platform Reddit, to the point that it “no longer trades on traditional fundamental valuations or metrics, but on retail investors’ sentiment, hope, momentum, and the powers of crowds,” writes Ascendiant analyst Edward Woo.\nThat adds to the risks for anyone who might think about shorting the company—remember, shares were trading over $300 as recently as June—but the fundamentals clearly point to weaker returns going ahead, Woo writes. Losses are still large, while sales of software declined 2% year over year during the most recent quarter as purchases continued to transition away from physical disks to downloads. The company hasn’t provided guidance.\nGameStop does, however, have a couple of things going for it. The first is its chairman, Ryan Cohen, who had success with Chewy (CHWY) and has brought in new management to help point the retailer in a new direction. It also has a lot of cash, about $1.4 billion, according to Woo, after selling a bunch of stock. That makes GameStop more like a venture capital investment, one that could branch out into non-fungible tokens, cryptocurrencies, or other businesses. But it’s also a very risky investment. As a result, Woo lowered his target on the stock to $23 from $24 on Monday, down 85% from this past Thursday’s close. The analyst has a Sell rating on the shares.\n“We acknowledge Mr. Cohen’s success and talents and the large cash GameStop now has greatly [increased] the odds that it can pivot to be a successful e-commerce company,” Woo writes. “However, we are still very early in its transformation and investors are likely facing a very high risk/rewards scenario.”\nNot like that has ever stopped anyone.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2642,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696398709,"gmtCreate":1640615281511,"gmtModify":1640615284727,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696398709","repostId":"2194177239","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2194177239","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640559609,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2194177239?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2194177239","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.The S&P 500  is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.According to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any ","content":"<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周中回归，进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSanta Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-27 07:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周中回归，进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FCEL":"燃料电池能源","SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust","BK4541":"氢能源","BK4096":"电气部件与设备"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2194177239","content_text":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.\nThe S&P 500 (^GSPC) is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.\nThe term, coined by Stock Trader's Almanac in the 1970s, encompasses the final five trading days of the year and first two sessions of the new year. This year, that Santa Claus Rally window is set to start on Monday, Dec. 27 — or the latest a Santa Claus rally has started in 11 years, due to the timing of the holidays this year.\nAccording to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any given year. Since 1950, the Santa Claus Rally period has produced a positive return for the S&P 500 78.9% of the time, with an average return of 1.33%.\n“Why are these seven days so strong?” wrote Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial chief market strategist, in a note. “Whether optimism over a coming new year, holiday spending, traders on vacation, institutions squaring up their books — or the holiday spirit — the bottom line is that bulls tend to believe in Santa.”\nAnd if history is any indication, the absence of a Santa Claus Rally has also typically served as a harbinger of lower near-term returns.\n\"Going back to the mid-1990s, there have been only six times Santa failed to show in December. January was lower five of those six times, and the full year had a solid gain only once (in 2016, but a mini-bear market early in the year),\" Detrick added.\n“Considering the bear markets of 2000 and 2008 both took place after one of the rare instances that Santa failed to show makes believers out of us,\" he said. A bear market typically refers to when stocks drop at least 20% from recent record highs. \"Should this seasonally strong period miss the mark, it could be a warning sign.\"\nAnd this year, investors do have considerable additional concerns to mull heading into the new year. Though stocks closed out Thursday's session at fresh record highs before the long holiday weekend, December still marked a volatile month to start, with renewed concerns over the Omicron variant and the potential for tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve weighing on risk assets. Plus, prospects for more near-term fiscal support via the Biden administration's Build Back Better bill have dwindled, and inflation concerns spiked further. Last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge — rose at a 4.7% year-over-year clip, or the fastest since 1983.\n\"If the U.S. was not battling the Omicron variant, U.S. stocks would be dancing higher as the Santa Claus Rally would have kept the climb going into uncharted territory,\" Edward Moya, chief market strategist at OANDA, wrote in a note last week. \"It is too early to say for sure if we will get a Santa Claus Rally, but given all the short-term risks of Fed tightening, Chinese weakness, fiscal support uncertainty and COVID, Wall Street is not complaining.\"\nA man in a Santa Claus costume gestures on the floor at the closing bell of the Dow Industrial Average at the New York Stock Exchange on December 5, 2019 in New York. (Photo by Bryan R. Smith / AFP) (Photo by BRYAN R. SMITH/AFP via Getty Images)BRYAN R. SMITH via Getty Images\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, Dec. (13.0 expected, 11.8 in November)\nTuesday: FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% expected, 0.96% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, year-over-year, October (18.6%. expected, 19.05% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index, year-over-year, November (19.51% in October); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, December (11 expected,11 in November)\nWednesday: Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, November preliminary (1.7% expected, 2.3% in October); Advance Goods Trade Balance, November (-$89.0 billion expected, -$82.9 billion in October); Retail Inventories, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 0.1% in October); Pending Home Sales, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 7.5% in October)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended Dec. 25. (205,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Dec. 18 (1.859 million during prior week); MNI Chicago PMI, December (62.2 expected, 61.8 in November)\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nWednesday: FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) before market open\nThursday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FCEL":0.9,"SPY.AU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3678,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696398410,"gmtCreate":1640615257566,"gmtModify":1640615284563,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696398410","repostId":"1185167492","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185167492","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1640609888,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185167492?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 20:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185167492","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures inched higher on Monday, boosted by megacap companies, while hundreds of Om","content":"<p>U.S. stock index futures inched higher on Monday, boosted by megacap companies, while hundreds of Omicron-driven flight cancellations kept investors on edge at the start of this year's final trading week.</p><p><blockquote>在大型企业的提振下，美国股指期货周一小幅走高，而数百起奥密克戎导致的航班取消事件让投资者在今年最后一个交易周开始时感到紧张。</blockquote></p><p> Travel-related stocks, typically sensitive to news around the coronavirus, slid after U.S. airlines called off many flights for a third day on Sunday as surging COVID-19 cases forced Christmas weekend travelers to change plans.</p><p><blockquote>由于COVID-19病例激增迫使圣诞节周末旅行者改变计划，美国航空公司周日连续第三天取消了许多航班，通常对冠状病毒新闻敏感的旅游相关股票下跌。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 closed at a record high on Thursday, as upbeat news related to the Omicron coronavirus variant calmed investor nerves over the highly infection strain's economic impact after it upended markets earlier this month.</p><p><blockquote>标普500周四收于历史新高，与Omicron冠状病毒变种相关的乐观消息安抚了投资者对这种高传染性菌株在本月早些时候颠覆市场后对经济影响的紧张情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street's three main indexes are eyeing a third straight yearly gain, with the benchmark S&amp;P 500 (.SPX) on track to close out the year 25.8% higher. The Dow is set to rise 17.5%, while the Nasdaq is looking at a 21.4% climb.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街三大主要股指有望连续第三年上涨，基准标普500(.SPX)今年收盘有望上涨25.8%。道琼斯指数预计上涨17.5%，而纳斯达克预计上涨21.4%。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 72 points, or 0.20% and S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 15.50 points, or 0.33%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00，道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨72点，涨幅0.20%，标普500电子迷你指数上涨15.50点，涨幅0.33%。</blockquote></p><p> Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 70.00 points, or 0.43% as megacap companies Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) and Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) and Meta Platform (FB.O) firmed between 0.5% and 1%.Airline stocks – The major carriers saw their shares fall in the premarket after a surge in weekend cancellations due to staffing issues. United Airlines (UAL) slid 1.8%, American Airlines (AAL) fell 1.4%, Delta Air Lines (DAL) was down 1% and Southwest (LUV) declined 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克100 e-mini上涨70.00点，即0.43%，大型企业特斯拉公司(TSLA.O)和微软公司(MSFT.O)和Meta Platform(FB.O)坚挺0.5%至1%。航空股——由于人员配备问题，周末取消航班激增，主要航空公司的股价在盘前下跌。联合航空(UAL)下跌1.8%，美国航空(AAL)下跌1.4%，达美航空(DAL)下跌1%，西南航空(LUV)下跌1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09541de8c4bcd965c62dbe3f6b7f6bc5\" tg-width=\"649\" tg-height=\"205\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:00</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade，美国东部时间08:00</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Cruise line stocks – Stocks of major cruise lines declined in premarket trading following three Covid-19 outbreaks in the past week on ships operated by Carnival (CCL) and Royal Caribbean (RCL). Carnival slid 2.2% in the premarket, while Royal Caribbean lost 1.9% and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) slid 1.6%.</p><p><blockquote>邮轮公司股票——嘉年华(CCL)和皇家加勒比(RCL)运营的船舶上周爆发三次Covid-19疫情后，主要邮轮公司的股票在盘前交易中下跌。嘉年华盘前下跌2.2%，皇家加勒比下跌1.9%，挪威邮轮控股(NCLH)下跌1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Grab（GRAB）–&nbsp;Grab stock climbed more than 7% in premarket trading&nbsp;as&nbsp;Wall Street saw massive upside for Asian tech giant Grab, after disappointing debut.</p><p><blockquote>Grab(GRAB)-Grab股价在盘前交易中上涨超过7%，华尔街认为亚洲科技巨头Grab在首次亮相令人失望后有巨大上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> GoDaddy (GDDY) – GoDaddy jumped 3.9% in premarket action after the Wall Street Journal reported that activist investor Starboard Value had taken a 6.5% stake in the internet domain name registration company.</p><p><blockquote>GoDaddy(GDDY)——《华尔街日报》报道激进投资者Starboard Value持有互联网域名注册公司6.5%的股份后，GoDaddy在盘前股价上涨3.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) – Apple was cited by the top competition regulator in the Netherlands, which said the company broke competition laws, and ordered changes to Apple’s App Store payment policies. Apple said it would appeal the ruling.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）——荷兰最高竞争监管机构援引苹果的话说，该公司违反了竞争法，并下令改变苹果的应用商店支付政策。苹果表示将对裁决提出上诉。</blockquote></p><p> Cigna (CI) – The insurer will reaffirm its 2021 and 2022 earnings guidance at its upcoming investor meetings, according to an SEC filing. Cigna expected 2021 adjusted earnings of at least $20.35 per share and sees projected growth of at least 10% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>Cigna(CI)——根据SEC提交的文件，该保险公司将在即将举行的投资者会议上重申其2021年和2022年的盈利指引。Cigna预计2021年调整后每股收益至少为20.35美元，预计2022年增长至少10%。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna (MRNA) – The drugmaker is fighting a shareholder proposal that the company open up its vaccine technology to poorer countries, according to a report in the Financial Times. The proposal calls on Moderna to explain why its prices are so high in light of the amount of government financial support it has received. Moderna fell 2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna(MRNA)——据英国《金融时报》报道，该制药商正在反对股东向较贫穷国家开放其疫苗技术的提议。该提案要求评级Moderna解释为什么鉴于其获得的政府财政支持金额，其价格如此之高。Moderna盘前下跌2%。</blockquote></p><p> Avis Budget (CAR) – The car rental firm’s shares jumped 2.6% in premarket trading, following a 3.2% gain Thursday. Average daily rental rates are at $81 per day, according to travel firm Kayak. That’s up 31% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>Avis Budget(CAR)——这家汽车租赁公司的股价继周四上涨3.2%后，在盘前交易中上涨2.6%。根据旅游公司Kayak的数据，平均日租金为每天81美元。这比一年前增长了31%。</blockquote></p><p> Didi Global (DIDI) – Didi fell 1.3% in the premarket after the Financial Times reported that the China-based ride-hailing company is blocking employees from selling the shares for an indefinite period. That follows the company’s move to delist in the United States.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴出行(DIDI)——英国《金融时报》报道称，这家总部位于中国的网约车公司正在无限期阻止员工出售股票，滴滴出行盘前下跌1.3%。此前，该公司已在美国退市。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-27 20:58</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock index futures inched higher on Monday, boosted by megacap companies, while hundreds of Omicron-driven flight cancellations kept investors on edge at the start of this year's final trading week.</p><p><blockquote>在大型企业的提振下，美国股指期货周一小幅走高，而数百起奥密克戎导致的航班取消事件让投资者在今年最后一个交易周开始时感到紧张。</blockquote></p><p> Travel-related stocks, typically sensitive to news around the coronavirus, slid after U.S. airlines called off many flights for a third day on Sunday as surging COVID-19 cases forced Christmas weekend travelers to change plans.</p><p><blockquote>由于COVID-19病例激增迫使圣诞节周末旅行者改变计划，美国航空公司周日连续第三天取消了许多航班，通常对冠状病毒新闻敏感的旅游相关股票下跌。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 closed at a record high on Thursday, as upbeat news related to the Omicron coronavirus variant calmed investor nerves over the highly infection strain's economic impact after it upended markets earlier this month.</p><p><blockquote>标普500周四收于历史新高，与Omicron冠状病毒变种相关的乐观消息安抚了投资者对这种高传染性菌株在本月早些时候颠覆市场后对经济影响的紧张情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street's three main indexes are eyeing a third straight yearly gain, with the benchmark S&amp;P 500 (.SPX) on track to close out the year 25.8% higher. The Dow is set to rise 17.5%, while the Nasdaq is looking at a 21.4% climb.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街三大主要股指有望连续第三年上涨，基准标普500(.SPX)今年收盘有望上涨25.8%。道琼斯指数预计上涨17.5%，而纳斯达克预计上涨21.4%。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 72 points, or 0.20% and S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 15.50 points, or 0.33%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00，道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨72点，涨幅0.20%，标普500电子迷你指数上涨15.50点，涨幅0.33%。</blockquote></p><p> Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 70.00 points, or 0.43% as megacap companies Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) and Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) and Meta Platform (FB.O) firmed between 0.5% and 1%.Airline stocks – The major carriers saw their shares fall in the premarket after a surge in weekend cancellations due to staffing issues. United Airlines (UAL) slid 1.8%, American Airlines (AAL) fell 1.4%, Delta Air Lines (DAL) was down 1% and Southwest (LUV) declined 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克100 e-mini上涨70.00点，即0.43%，大型企业特斯拉公司(TSLA.O)和微软公司(MSFT.O)和Meta Platform(FB.O)坚挺0.5%至1%。航空股——由于人员配备问题，周末取消航班激增，主要航空公司的股价在盘前下跌。联合航空(UAL)下跌1.8%，美国航空(AAL)下跌1.4%，达美航空(DAL)下跌1%，西南航空(LUV)下跌1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09541de8c4bcd965c62dbe3f6b7f6bc5\" tg-width=\"649\" tg-height=\"205\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:00</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade，美国东部时间08:00</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Cruise line stocks – Stocks of major cruise lines declined in premarket trading following three Covid-19 outbreaks in the past week on ships operated by Carnival (CCL) and Royal Caribbean (RCL). Carnival slid 2.2% in the premarket, while Royal Caribbean lost 1.9% and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) slid 1.6%.</p><p><blockquote>邮轮公司股票——嘉年华(CCL)和皇家加勒比(RCL)运营的船舶上周爆发三次Covid-19疫情后，主要邮轮公司的股票在盘前交易中下跌。嘉年华盘前下跌2.2%，皇家加勒比下跌1.9%，挪威邮轮控股(NCLH)下跌1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Grab（GRAB）–&nbsp;Grab stock climbed more than 7% in premarket trading&nbsp;as&nbsp;Wall Street saw massive upside for Asian tech giant Grab, after disappointing debut.</p><p><blockquote>Grab(GRAB)-Grab股价在盘前交易中上涨超过7%，华尔街认为亚洲科技巨头Grab在首次亮相令人失望后有巨大上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> GoDaddy (GDDY) – GoDaddy jumped 3.9% in premarket action after the Wall Street Journal reported that activist investor Starboard Value had taken a 6.5% stake in the internet domain name registration company.</p><p><blockquote>GoDaddy(GDDY)——《华尔街日报》报道激进投资者Starboard Value持有互联网域名注册公司6.5%的股份后，GoDaddy在盘前股价上涨3.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) – Apple was cited by the top competition regulator in the Netherlands, which said the company broke competition laws, and ordered changes to Apple’s App Store payment policies. Apple said it would appeal the ruling.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）——荷兰最高竞争监管机构援引苹果的话说，该公司违反了竞争法，并下令改变苹果的应用商店支付政策。苹果表示将对裁决提出上诉。</blockquote></p><p> Cigna (CI) – The insurer will reaffirm its 2021 and 2022 earnings guidance at its upcoming investor meetings, according to an SEC filing. Cigna expected 2021 adjusted earnings of at least $20.35 per share and sees projected growth of at least 10% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>Cigna(CI)——根据SEC提交的文件，该保险公司将在即将举行的投资者会议上重申其2021年和2022年的盈利指引。Cigna预计2021年调整后每股收益至少为20.35美元，预计2022年增长至少10%。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna (MRNA) – The drugmaker is fighting a shareholder proposal that the company open up its vaccine technology to poorer countries, according to a report in the Financial Times. The proposal calls on Moderna to explain why its prices are so high in light of the amount of government financial support it has received. Moderna fell 2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna(MRNA)——据英国《金融时报》报道，该制药商正在反对股东向较贫穷国家开放其疫苗技术的提议。该提案要求评级Moderna解释为什么鉴于其获得的政府财政支持金额，其价格如此之高。Moderna盘前下跌2%。</blockquote></p><p> Avis Budget (CAR) – The car rental firm’s shares jumped 2.6% in premarket trading, following a 3.2% gain Thursday. Average daily rental rates are at $81 per day, according to travel firm Kayak. That’s up 31% from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>Avis Budget(CAR)——这家汽车租赁公司的股价继周四上涨3.2%后，在盘前交易中上涨2.6%。根据旅游公司Kayak的数据，平均日租金为每天81美元。这比一年前增长了31%。</blockquote></p><p> Didi Global (DIDI) – Didi fell 1.3% in the premarket after the Financial Times reported that the China-based ride-hailing company is blocking employees from selling the shares for an indefinite period. That follows the company’s move to delist in the United States.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴出行(DIDI)——英国《金融时报》报道称，这家总部位于中国的网约车公司正在无限期阻止员工出售股票，滴滴出行盘前下跌1.3%。此前，该公司已在美国退市。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185167492","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures inched higher on Monday, boosted by megacap companies, while hundreds of Omicron-driven flight cancellations kept investors on edge at the start of this year's final trading week.\nTravel-related stocks, typically sensitive to news around the coronavirus, slid after U.S. airlines called off many flights for a third day on Sunday as surging COVID-19 cases forced Christmas weekend travelers to change plans.\nThe S&P 500 closed at a record high on Thursday, as upbeat news related to the Omicron coronavirus variant calmed investor nerves over the highly infection strain's economic impact after it upended markets earlier this month.\nWall Street's three main indexes are eyeing a third straight yearly gain, with the benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) on track to close out the year 25.8% higher. The Dow is set to rise 17.5%, while the Nasdaq is looking at a 21.4% climb.\nAt 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 72 points, or 0.20% and S&P 500 e-minis were up 15.50 points, or 0.33%.\nNasdaq 100 e-minis were up 70.00 points, or 0.43% as megacap companies Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) and Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) and Meta Platform (FB.O) firmed between 0.5% and 1%.Airline stocks – The major carriers saw their shares fall in the premarket after a surge in weekend cancellations due to staffing issues. United Airlines (UAL) slid 1.8%, American Airlines (AAL) fell 1.4%, Delta Air Lines (DAL) was down 1% and Southwest (LUV) declined 1.5%.\n*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:00\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket\nCruise line stocks – Stocks of major cruise lines declined in premarket trading following three Covid-19 outbreaks in the past week on ships operated by Carnival (CCL) and Royal Caribbean (RCL). Carnival slid 2.2% in the premarket, while Royal Caribbean lost 1.9% and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) slid 1.6%.\nGrab（GRAB）– Grab stock climbed more than 7% in premarket trading as Wall Street saw massive upside for Asian tech giant Grab, after disappointing debut.\nGoDaddy (GDDY) – GoDaddy jumped 3.9% in premarket action after the Wall Street Journal reported that activist investor Starboard Value had taken a 6.5% stake in the internet domain name registration company.\n\nApple (AAPL) – Apple was cited by the top competition regulator in the Netherlands, which said the company broke competition laws, and ordered changes to Apple’s App Store payment policies. Apple said it would appeal the ruling.\n\nCigna (CI) – The insurer will reaffirm its 2021 and 2022 earnings guidance at its upcoming investor meetings, according to an SEC filing. Cigna expected 2021 adjusted earnings of at least $20.35 per share and sees projected growth of at least 10% for 2022.\n\nModerna (MRNA) – The drugmaker is fighting a shareholder proposal that the company open up its vaccine technology to poorer countries, according to a report in the Financial Times. The proposal calls on Moderna to explain why its prices are so high in light of the amount of government financial support it has received. Moderna fell 2% in the premarket.\n\nAvis Budget (CAR) – The car rental firm’s shares jumped 2.6% in premarket trading, following a 3.2% gain Thursday. Average daily rental rates are at $81 per day, according to travel firm Kayak. That’s up 31% from a year ago.\n\nDidi Global (DIDI) – Didi fell 1.3% in the premarket after the Financial Times reported that the China-based ride-hailing company is blocking employees from selling the shares for an indefinite period. That follows the company’s move to delist in the United States.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4942,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698801661,"gmtCreate":1640329520621,"gmtModify":1640329520755,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698801661","repostId":"1104638494","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2384,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698803586,"gmtCreate":1640329331762,"gmtModify":1640329421528,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698803586","repostId":"1117383431","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117383431","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640317475,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117383431?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 11:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here are Warren Buffett's 8 highlights of 2021<blockquote>以下是沃伦·巴菲特2021年的8大亮点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117383431","media":"Markets insider","summary":"Warren Buffett revealed 2 big bets, defended his tax habits, and admitted several mistakes this year","content":"<p>Warren Buffett revealed 2 big bets, defended his tax habits, and admitted several mistakes this year. Here are his 8 highlights of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特透露了两个大赌注，为自己的纳税习惯辩护，并承认了今年的几个错误。以下是他2021年的8大亮点。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Warren Buffett revealed two big bets, admitted mistakes, and complained about speculators this year.</li>  <li>The Berkshire Hathaway chief defended his tax practices<b>&nbsp;and made a fortune on Apple.</b></li>  <li><b>Here are billionaire investor Buffett's eight highlights of 2021.</b></li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45e08085f6ee8a3866f2c0f78fdc0f63\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Warren Buffett.</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>沃伦·巴菲特今年透露了两次大赌注，承认了错误，并抱怨投机者。</li><li>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司首席执行官为他的税务行为辩护<b>在苹果上发了大财。</b></li><li><b>以下是亿万富翁投资者巴菲特2021年的八大亮点。</b></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>沃伦·巴菲特。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Warren Buffett revealed a couple of billion-dollar investments, owned up to making several mistakes, and bemoaned the rampant speculation in markets this year.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特透露了数十亿美元的投资，承认犯了几个错误，并对今年市场上猖獗的投机行为表示遗憾。</blockquote></p><p> The renowned investor and Berkshire Hathaway CEO also weathered a tax exposé, resigned as a trustee of The Bill &amp; Melinda Gates Foundation, reflected on his decades-long friendship with Charlie Munger, and saw his Apple investment soared in value.</p><p><blockquote>这位著名投资者兼Berkshire Hathaway首席执行官还经受住了税务曝光，辞去了Bill&amp;Melinda Gates基金会受托人的职务，反思了他与查理·芒格数十年的友谊，并看到他在苹果的投资价值飙升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Here are the 8 highlights of Buffett's year:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是巴菲特这一年的8大亮点：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Chevron and Verizon</b></p><p><blockquote><b>雪佛龙和威瑞森</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a6a660c35780e87560d9d7518a755bf\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>CNBC</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>CNBC</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Buffett started the year in style with his&nbsp;fourth-quarter portfolio update&nbsp;in February. He revealed a $4.1 billion stake in&nbsp;Chevron&nbsp;and a $8.6 billion position in&nbsp;Verizon, answering the question of which&nbsp;mystery stocks&nbsp;he had been buying in recent months.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在二月份更新了第四季度投资组合，以时尚的方式开启了新的一年。他透露了41亿美元的雪佛龙股份和86亿美元的威瑞森头寸，回答了他最近几个月一直在购买哪些神秘股票的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire also trimmed the largest position in its portfolio,Apple, by 6%. Moreover, it halved its&nbsp;Wells Fargo&nbsp;holdings and exited&nbsp;JPMorgan,PNC, and&nbsp;M&amp;T&nbsp;after slashing its positions in those banks in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>Berkshire还将其投资组合中最大的持仓苹果削减了6%。此外，该公司在2020年削减了在摩根大通、PNC和M&amp;T银行的头寸后，将其持有的富国银行股份减半，并退出了这些银行。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The shareholder letter</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股东信</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce8d9ea154fd9ca33192159634e60af4\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Warren Buffett</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>沃伦·巴菲特</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Buffett&nbsp;published&nbsp;his annual letter to shareholders in February. The investor admitted to overpaying when he acquired Precision Castparts in 2016, trumpeted a bunch of Berkshire's subsidiaries, and contrasted his long-term shareholders with the speculators flocking to trendy assets such as meme stocks and cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在二月份发表了致股东的年度信。这位投资者承认，他在2016年收购Precision Castparts时支付了过高的价格，大肆宣传了伯克希尔的一系列子公司，并将他的长期股东与涌向模因股票和加密货币等时尚资产的投机者进行了对比。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The annual meeting</b></p><p><blockquote><b>年会</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f9312fb972e2aa68627183025b2f91e\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett talks to reporters while holding an ice cream at a trade show during the company's annual meeting in Omaha, Nebraska May 3, 2014.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2014年5月3日，在内布拉斯加州奥马哈举行的公司年会上，伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司首席执行官沃伦·巴菲特在贸易展上拿着冰淇淋与记者交谈。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Buffett warned rookie traders not to get cocky, bemoaned the lack of bargains in the market, rang the inflation alarm, and admitted to buying \"so-so\" stocks during Berkshire's&nbsp;annual shareholder meeting&nbsp;in May.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特警告菜鸟交易员不要自大，哀叹市场缺乏便宜货，敲响通胀警报，并承认在伯克希尔5月份的年度股东大会期间买入了“马马虎虎”的股票。</blockquote></p><p> The investor also complained about the surge in people treating the stock market like a casino. Moreover, he acknowledged that trimming his Apple stake and selling&nbsp;Costco&nbsp;were likely mistakes, and suggested he avoided bailing out the \"big four\" US airlines by exiting his positions in them in April 2020.</p><p><blockquote>这位投资者还抱怨说，越来越多的人将股市视为赌场。此外，他承认削减苹果股份和出售Costco可能是错误，并建议他通过在2020年4月退出美国“四大”航空公司的头寸来避免救助这些公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The tax fracas</b></p><p><blockquote><b>税收失败</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61a44f30c0a7e35f28da432b35a28cf3\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Warren Buffett</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>沃伦·巴菲特</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Buffett came under fire in June after ProPublica secured the tax returns of some of the wealthiest Americans, and reported the investor paid only $25 million in federal income tax between 2014 and 2018.</p><p><blockquote>6月份，ProPublica获得了一些最富有的美国人的纳税申报表，并报告称该投资者在2014年至2018年间仅缴纳了2500万美元的联邦所得税，巴菲特受到了批评。</blockquote></p><p> The Berkshire boss&nbsp;defended himself&nbsp;by noting that he's pledged to give over 99% of his net worth to philanthropic causes, and has already donated about half of his Berkshire \"A\" shares since 2006.</p><p><blockquote>这位伯克希尔老板为自己辩护说，他承诺将超过99%的净资产捐给慈善事业，并且自2006年以来已经捐赠了大约一半的伯克希尔“A”股。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Gates Foundation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盖茨基金会</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f51d18855fcf5c00bab6b290a5814dd9\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Paul Sakuma/AP Photo</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>保罗·佐久间/美联社照片</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Buffett&nbsp;resigned&nbsp;as a trustee of the Bill &amp; Melinda Gates Foundation in June. The investor explained that he was barely involved in the foundation's work, and had already stepped down from all corporate boards except his own.</p><p><blockquote>今年6月，巴菲特辞去了比尔及梅琳达·盖茨基金会受托人的职务。这位投资者解释说，他几乎没有参与基金会的工作，并且已经辞去了除自己以外的所有公司董事会的职务。</blockquote></p><p> He also highlighted his annual donation of $4.1 billion in total to five charities, including the Gates Foundation.</p><p><blockquote>他还强调了他每年向包括盖茨基金会在内的五家慈善机构捐赠总计41亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friendship with Charlie Munger</b></p><p><blockquote><b>与查理·芒格的友谊</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad9020f65431108ca2a38c0e654349a2\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>SCOTT MORGAN/REUTERS</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>斯科特·摩根/路透社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Buffett and his business partner, Charlie Munger, discussed their decades-long friendship in a&nbsp;CNBC interview&nbsp;that aired in June.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特和他的商业伙伴查理·芒格在6月份播出的CNBC采访中讨论了他们数十年的友谊。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The pair sharply criticized&nbsp;Robinhood, and Munger called for tighter regulations on derivatives trading after&nbsp;Archegos Capital's meltdown. Buffett underlined the immense contribution that Munger has made to his life.</p><p><blockquote>两人尖锐地批评了Robinhood，芒格在Archegos Capital崩溃后呼吁对衍生品交易进行更严格的监管。巴菲特强调了芒格对他一生做出的巨大贡献。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buybacks, cash, and stock sales</b></p><p><blockquote><b>回购、现金和股票销售</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bfba0cfd98eca4c346f1fc53e1dd9bf\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Warren Buffett</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>沃伦·巴菲特</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Berkshire's&nbsp;third-quarter earnings&nbsp;underlined how hard it has been for Buffett to find bargain stocks and businesses this year. That has prompted him to stockpile cash and ramp up share buybacks.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔第三季度财报突显了巴菲特今年寻找廉价股票和企业的难度。这促使他储备现金并加大股票回购力度。</blockquote></p><p> The conglomerate sold a net $7 billion of stock in the year to September 30, revealed it was on track to repurchase a record $25 billion of stock this year, and grew its cash pile to an unprecedented $149 billion.</p><p><blockquote>截至9月30日的一年里，该集团净出售了70亿美元的股票，并透露今年有望回购创纪录的250亿美元股票，并将现金储备增至前所未有的1490亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Apple bet</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果赌注</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a735713e1ca5629e3e229ed80ea7fbb\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Warren Buffett</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>沃伦·巴菲特</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Buffett's biggest success this year might well be his Apple investment.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特今年最大的成功很可能是他在苹果的投资。</blockquote></p><p> The investor plowed $36 billion into the iPhone maker between 2016 and 2018. The stock has&nbsp;surged&nbsp;by about a third this year, boosting the value of Berkshire's stake to more than $150 billion as of mid-December.</p><p><blockquote>该投资者在2016年至2018年间向这家iPhone制造商投入了360亿美元。该股今年已飙升约三分之一，截至12月中旬，伯克希尔的持股价值已超过1500亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here are Warren Buffett's 8 highlights of 2021<blockquote>以下是沃伦·巴菲特2021年的8大亮点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere are Warren Buffett's 8 highlights of 2021<blockquote>以下是沃伦·巴菲特2021年的8大亮点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Markets insider</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-24 11:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Warren Buffett revealed 2 big bets, defended his tax habits, and admitted several mistakes this year. Here are his 8 highlights of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特透露了两个大赌注，为自己的纳税习惯辩护，并承认了今年的几个错误。以下是他2021年的8大亮点。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Warren Buffett revealed two big bets, admitted mistakes, and complained about speculators this year.</li>  <li>The Berkshire Hathaway chief defended his tax practices<b>&nbsp;and made a fortune on Apple.</b></li>  <li><b>Here are billionaire investor Buffett's eight highlights of 2021.</b></li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45e08085f6ee8a3866f2c0f78fdc0f63\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Warren Buffett.</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>沃伦·巴菲特今年透露了两次大赌注，承认了错误，并抱怨投机者。</li><li>伯克希尔哈撒韦公司首席执行官为他的税务行为辩护<b>在苹果上发了大财。</b></li><li><b>以下是亿万富翁投资者巴菲特2021年的八大亮点。</b></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>沃伦·巴菲特。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Warren Buffett revealed a couple of billion-dollar investments, owned up to making several mistakes, and bemoaned the rampant speculation in markets this year.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特透露了数十亿美元的投资，承认犯了几个错误，并对今年市场上猖獗的投机行为表示遗憾。</blockquote></p><p> The renowned investor and Berkshire Hathaway CEO also weathered a tax exposé, resigned as a trustee of The Bill &amp; Melinda Gates Foundation, reflected on his decades-long friendship with Charlie Munger, and saw his Apple investment soared in value.</p><p><blockquote>这位著名投资者兼Berkshire Hathaway首席执行官还经受住了税务曝光，辞去了Bill&amp;Melinda Gates基金会受托人的职务，反思了他与查理·芒格数十年的友谊，并看到他在苹果的投资价值飙升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Here are the 8 highlights of Buffett's year:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是巴菲特这一年的8大亮点：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Chevron and Verizon</b></p><p><blockquote><b>雪佛龙和威瑞森</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a6a660c35780e87560d9d7518a755bf\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>CNBC</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>CNBC</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Buffett started the year in style with his&nbsp;fourth-quarter portfolio update&nbsp;in February. He revealed a $4.1 billion stake in&nbsp;Chevron&nbsp;and a $8.6 billion position in&nbsp;Verizon, answering the question of which&nbsp;mystery stocks&nbsp;he had been buying in recent months.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在二月份更新了第四季度投资组合，以时尚的方式开启了新的一年。他透露了41亿美元的雪佛龙股份和86亿美元的威瑞森头寸，回答了他最近几个月一直在购买哪些神秘股票的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire also trimmed the largest position in its portfolio,Apple, by 6%. Moreover, it halved its&nbsp;Wells Fargo&nbsp;holdings and exited&nbsp;JPMorgan,PNC, and&nbsp;M&amp;T&nbsp;after slashing its positions in those banks in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>Berkshire还将其投资组合中最大的持仓苹果削减了6%。此外，该公司在2020年削减了在摩根大通、PNC和M&amp;T银行的头寸后，将其持有的富国银行股份减半，并退出了这些银行。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The shareholder letter</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股东信</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce8d9ea154fd9ca33192159634e60af4\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Warren Buffett</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>沃伦·巴菲特</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Buffett&nbsp;published&nbsp;his annual letter to shareholders in February. The investor admitted to overpaying when he acquired Precision Castparts in 2016, trumpeted a bunch of Berkshire's subsidiaries, and contrasted his long-term shareholders with the speculators flocking to trendy assets such as meme stocks and cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在二月份发表了致股东的年度信。这位投资者承认，他在2016年收购Precision Castparts时支付了过高的价格，大肆宣传了伯克希尔的一系列子公司，并将他的长期股东与涌向模因股票和加密货币等时尚资产的投机者进行了对比。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The annual meeting</b></p><p><blockquote><b>年会</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f9312fb972e2aa68627183025b2f91e\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett talks to reporters while holding an ice cream at a trade show during the company's annual meeting in Omaha, Nebraska May 3, 2014.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2014年5月3日，在内布拉斯加州奥马哈举行的公司年会上，伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司首席执行官沃伦·巴菲特在贸易展上拿着冰淇淋与记者交谈。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Buffett warned rookie traders not to get cocky, bemoaned the lack of bargains in the market, rang the inflation alarm, and admitted to buying \"so-so\" stocks during Berkshire's&nbsp;annual shareholder meeting&nbsp;in May.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特警告菜鸟交易员不要自大，哀叹市场缺乏便宜货，敲响通胀警报，并承认在伯克希尔5月份的年度股东大会期间买入了“马马虎虎”的股票。</blockquote></p><p> The investor also complained about the surge in people treating the stock market like a casino. Moreover, he acknowledged that trimming his Apple stake and selling&nbsp;Costco&nbsp;were likely mistakes, and suggested he avoided bailing out the \"big four\" US airlines by exiting his positions in them in April 2020.</p><p><blockquote>这位投资者还抱怨说，越来越多的人将股市视为赌场。此外，他承认削减苹果股份和出售Costco可能是错误，并建议他通过在2020年4月退出美国“四大”航空公司的头寸来避免救助这些公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The tax fracas</b></p><p><blockquote><b>税收失败</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61a44f30c0a7e35f28da432b35a28cf3\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Warren Buffett</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>沃伦·巴菲特</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Buffett came under fire in June after ProPublica secured the tax returns of some of the wealthiest Americans, and reported the investor paid only $25 million in federal income tax between 2014 and 2018.</p><p><blockquote>6月份，ProPublica获得了一些最富有的美国人的纳税申报表，并报告称该投资者在2014年至2018年间仅缴纳了2500万美元的联邦所得税，巴菲特受到了批评。</blockquote></p><p> The Berkshire boss&nbsp;defended himself&nbsp;by noting that he's pledged to give over 99% of his net worth to philanthropic causes, and has already donated about half of his Berkshire \"A\" shares since 2006.</p><p><blockquote>这位伯克希尔老板为自己辩护说，他承诺将超过99%的净资产捐给慈善事业，并且自2006年以来已经捐赠了大约一半的伯克希尔“A”股。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Gates Foundation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盖茨基金会</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f51d18855fcf5c00bab6b290a5814dd9\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Paul Sakuma/AP Photo</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>保罗·佐久间/美联社照片</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Buffett&nbsp;resigned&nbsp;as a trustee of the Bill &amp; Melinda Gates Foundation in June. The investor explained that he was barely involved in the foundation's work, and had already stepped down from all corporate boards except his own.</p><p><blockquote>今年6月，巴菲特辞去了比尔及梅琳达·盖茨基金会受托人的职务。这位投资者解释说，他几乎没有参与基金会的工作，并且已经辞去了除自己以外的所有公司董事会的职务。</blockquote></p><p> He also highlighted his annual donation of $4.1 billion in total to five charities, including the Gates Foundation.</p><p><blockquote>他还强调了他每年向包括盖茨基金会在内的五家慈善机构捐赠总计41亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friendship with Charlie Munger</b></p><p><blockquote><b>与查理·芒格的友谊</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad9020f65431108ca2a38c0e654349a2\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>SCOTT MORGAN/REUTERS</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>斯科特·摩根/路透社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Buffett and his business partner, Charlie Munger, discussed their decades-long friendship in a&nbsp;CNBC interview&nbsp;that aired in June.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特和他的商业伙伴查理·芒格在6月份播出的CNBC采访中讨论了他们数十年的友谊。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The pair sharply criticized&nbsp;Robinhood, and Munger called for tighter regulations on derivatives trading after&nbsp;Archegos Capital's meltdown. Buffett underlined the immense contribution that Munger has made to his life.</p><p><blockquote>两人尖锐地批评了Robinhood，芒格在Archegos Capital崩溃后呼吁对衍生品交易进行更严格的监管。巴菲特强调了芒格对他一生做出的巨大贡献。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buybacks, cash, and stock sales</b></p><p><blockquote><b>回购、现金和股票销售</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bfba0cfd98eca4c346f1fc53e1dd9bf\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Warren Buffett</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>沃伦·巴菲特</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Berkshire's&nbsp;third-quarter earnings&nbsp;underlined how hard it has been for Buffett to find bargain stocks and businesses this year. That has prompted him to stockpile cash and ramp up share buybacks.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔第三季度财报突显了巴菲特今年寻找廉价股票和企业的难度。这促使他储备现金并加大股票回购力度。</blockquote></p><p> The conglomerate sold a net $7 billion of stock in the year to September 30, revealed it was on track to repurchase a record $25 billion of stock this year, and grew its cash pile to an unprecedented $149 billion.</p><p><blockquote>截至9月30日的一年里，该集团净出售了70亿美元的股票，并透露今年有望回购创纪录的250亿美元股票，并将现金储备增至前所未有的1490亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Apple bet</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果赌注</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a735713e1ca5629e3e229ed80ea7fbb\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Warren Buffett</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>沃伦·巴菲特</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Buffett's biggest success this year might well be his Apple investment.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特今年最大的成功很可能是他在苹果的投资。</blockquote></p><p> The investor plowed $36 billion into the iPhone maker between 2016 and 2018. The stock has&nbsp;surged&nbsp;by about a third this year, boosting the value of Berkshire's stake to more than $150 billion as of mid-December.</p><p><blockquote>该投资者在2016年至2018年间向这家iPhone制造商投入了360亿美元。该股今年已飙升约三分之一，截至12月中旬，伯克希尔的持股价值已超过1500亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/warren-buffett-berkshire-hathaway-stocks-portfolio-taxes-mistakes-review-2021-12\">Markets insider</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","AAPL":"苹果","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/warren-buffett-berkshire-hathaway-stocks-portfolio-taxes-mistakes-review-2021-12","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117383431","content_text":"Warren Buffett revealed 2 big bets, defended his tax habits, and admitted several mistakes this year. Here are his 8 highlights of 2021.\n\nWarren Buffett revealed two big bets, admitted mistakes, and complained about speculators this year.\nThe Berkshire Hathaway chief defended his tax practices and made a fortune on Apple.\nHere are billionaire investor Buffett's eight highlights of 2021.\n\nWarren Buffett.\nWarren Buffett revealed a couple of billion-dollar investments, owned up to making several mistakes, and bemoaned the rampant speculation in markets this year.\nThe renowned investor and Berkshire Hathaway CEO also weathered a tax exposé, resigned as a trustee of The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, reflected on his decades-long friendship with Charlie Munger, and saw his Apple investment soared in value.\nHere are the 8 highlights of Buffett's year:\nChevron and Verizon\nCNBC\nBuffett started the year in style with his fourth-quarter portfolio update in February. He revealed a $4.1 billion stake in Chevron and a $8.6 billion position in Verizon, answering the question of which mystery stocks he had been buying in recent months.\nBerkshire also trimmed the largest position in its portfolio,Apple, by 6%. Moreover, it halved its Wells Fargo holdings and exited JPMorgan,PNC, and M&T after slashing its positions in those banks in 2020.\nThe shareholder letter\nWarren Buffett\nBuffett published his annual letter to shareholders in February. The investor admitted to overpaying when he acquired Precision Castparts in 2016, trumpeted a bunch of Berkshire's subsidiaries, and contrasted his long-term shareholders with the speculators flocking to trendy assets such as meme stocks and cryptocurrencies.\nThe annual meeting\nBerkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett talks to reporters while holding an ice cream at a trade show during the company's annual meeting in Omaha, Nebraska May 3, 2014.\nBuffett warned rookie traders not to get cocky, bemoaned the lack of bargains in the market, rang the inflation alarm, and admitted to buying \"so-so\" stocks during Berkshire's annual shareholder meeting in May.\nThe investor also complained about the surge in people treating the stock market like a casino. Moreover, he acknowledged that trimming his Apple stake and selling Costco were likely mistakes, and suggested he avoided bailing out the \"big four\" US airlines by exiting his positions in them in April 2020.\nThe tax fracas\nWarren Buffett\nBuffett came under fire in June after ProPublica secured the tax returns of some of the wealthiest Americans, and reported the investor paid only $25 million in federal income tax between 2014 and 2018.\nThe Berkshire boss defended himself by noting that he's pledged to give over 99% of his net worth to philanthropic causes, and has already donated about half of his Berkshire \"A\" shares since 2006.\nThe Gates Foundation\nPaul Sakuma/AP Photo\nBuffett resigned as a trustee of the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation in June. The investor explained that he was barely involved in the foundation's work, and had already stepped down from all corporate boards except his own.\nHe also highlighted his annual donation of $4.1 billion in total to five charities, including the Gates Foundation.\nFriendship with Charlie Munger\nSCOTT MORGAN/REUTERS\nBuffett and his business partner, Charlie Munger, discussed their decades-long friendship in a CNBC interview that aired in June.\nThe pair sharply criticized Robinhood, and Munger called for tighter regulations on derivatives trading after Archegos Capital's meltdown. Buffett underlined the immense contribution that Munger has made to his life.\nBuybacks, cash, and stock sales\nWarren Buffett\nBerkshire's third-quarter earnings underlined how hard it has been for Buffett to find bargain stocks and businesses this year. That has prompted him to stockpile cash and ramp up share buybacks.\nThe conglomerate sold a net $7 billion of stock in the year to September 30, revealed it was on track to repurchase a record $25 billion of stock this year, and grew its cash pile to an unprecedented $149 billion.\nThe Apple bet\nWarren Buffett\nBuffett's biggest success this year might well be his Apple investment.\nThe investor plowed $36 billion into the iPhone maker between 2016 and 2018. The stock has surged by about a third this year, boosting the value of Berkshire's stake to more than $150 billion as of mid-December.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRK.A":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9,"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3514,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698809650,"gmtCreate":1640329210591,"gmtModify":1640329420536,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698809650","repostId":"1105709224","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105709224","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640322562,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105709224?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 13:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Netflix Stock Hit $700 in 2022?<blockquote>Netflix股价会在2022年达到700美元吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105709224","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Up just 17% in 2021, this streaming innovator might be poised for a huge run next year.","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Netflix was one of the biggest winners in 2020 during the depth of the pandemic, but things have been different this year.</li>  <li>The streaming company's production studios are largely up and running worldwide, increasing the likelihood of a normalized content slate in 2022.</li>  <li>If Netflix adds customers next year in line with historical growth, the stock should reach $700.</li> </ul> One of the biggest winners of the coronavirus pandemic was&nbsp;<b>Netflix</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:NFLX). This top media business saw its stock price soar 67%&nbsp;in 2020,&nbsp;supported by a&nbsp;growing&nbsp;user&nbsp;base. With people stuck at home, the company experienced pulled-forward demand last year.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>在疫情最严重的时期，Netflix是2020年最大的赢家之一，但今年情况有所不同。</li><li>这家流媒体公司的制作工作室大部分已在全球范围内建立并运行，这增加了2022年内容正常化的可能性。</li><li>如果Netflix明年增加的客户数量与历史增长一致，该股应该会达到700美元。</li></ul>冠状病毒大流行的最大赢家之一是<b>Netflix</b>（纳斯达克：NFLX）。在不断增长的用户群的支持下，这家顶级媒体企业的股价在2020年飙升了67%。由于人们被困在家里，该公司去年经历了需求的拉动。</blockquote></p><p> During the first nine months of 2021, however, Netflix added just 10 million subscribers, and the stock has significantly trailed the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>&nbsp;this year. The&nbsp;streaming industry&nbsp;is becoming increasingly crowded with new rivals coming to market, and with economies slowly opening back up, consumers want to enjoy other leisure activities.</p><p><blockquote>然而，2021年前9个月，Netflix仅增加了1000万订阅用户，该股大幅落后于<b>标普500</b>今年。随着新的竞争对手进入市场，流媒体行业变得越来越拥挤，随着经济慢慢恢复开放，消费者希望享受其他休闲活动。</blockquote></p><p> What does next year hold? Can Netflix's stock price reach $700 at some point in 2022? Let's find out.</p><p><blockquote>明年会发生什么？Netflix的股价能否在2022年某个时候达到700美元？让我们一探究竟。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f33834bd990b835cdac9f1e5c18110a\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1448\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Productions are up and running</b></p><p><blockquote><b>生产已启动并运行</b></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic caused major production delays in 2020, leading to a lighter content slate for Netflix at the beginning of this year. Therefore, it shouldn't surprise anyone that&nbsp;membership&nbsp;growth in the first half of 2021&nbsp;was weak.</p><p><blockquote>疫情在2020年造成了重大的制作延迟，导致今年年初网飞的内容变得更加轻松。因此，2021年上半年会员增长疲软不应让任何人感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> But management has said that productions are largely back up and running. The company is currently producing local content in&nbsp;45 different countries. As my colleague Adam Levy points out, streaming services need to&nbsp;introduce new hit series&nbsp;to gain new customers.</p><p><blockquote>但管理层表示，生产已基本恢复运行。该公司目前在45个不同的国家制作本地内容。正如我的同事亚当·利维（Adam Levy）指出的那样，流媒体服务需要推出新的热门剧集来获得新客户。</blockquote></p><p> And this costs money. Luckily for Netflix, it has deep pockets and will end 2021&nbsp;having spent $17&nbsp;billion in cash on content. Management expects the current three-month period to be the strongest fourth-quarter content&nbsp;offering&nbsp;ever, something that will help&nbsp;bring&nbsp;new&nbsp;customers to the service.</p><p><blockquote>这是要花钱的。对Netflix来说幸运的是，它财力雄厚，到2021年底将在内容上花费170亿美元现金。管理层预计，当前的三个月将是有史以来最强劲的第四季度内容提供，这将有助于为该服务带来新客户。</blockquote></p><p> \"Assuming no new COVID waves or unforeseen events that result in large-scale production shutdowns, we currently anticipate a more normalized content slate in 2022, with a greater number of originals in 2022 vs. 2021,\" the leadership team highlighted in the Q3 shareholder&nbsp;letter.</p><p><blockquote>领导团队在第三季度股东信中强调：“假设没有新的COVID浪潮或不可预见的事件导致大规模生产停工，我们目前预计2022年的内容列表将更加正常化，2022年的原创数量将比2021年更多。”</blockquote></p><p> When it comes to Netflix, Wall Street unsurprisingly fixates on one data point above all else: subscriber growth. This drives the stock price. Having fresh shows and movies on tap for 2022 will help expand the user base, which supports revenue and profit growth.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到Netflix时，华尔街不出所料地关注一个数据点：用户增长。这推动了股价。2022年推出新节目和电影将有助于扩大用户群，从而支持收入和利润增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Don't count this winner out</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不要把这个赢家排除在外</b></blockquote></p><p> I think it's completely realistic for Netflix to reach $700 a share by the end of 2022. Based on Dec. 21's closing stock price of $605, this would imply a roughly&nbsp;16% appreciation.</p><p><blockquote>我认为Netflix到2022年底达到每股700美元是完全现实的。根据12月21日605美元的收盘价计算，这意味着上涨约16%。</blockquote></p><p> After a couple of lumpy years, I think it's fair to assume that Netflix can add 25 million subscribers in 2022. This is in line with the growth in recent years, in the range of 25 million to 30 million member additions per year. Including estimates for the fourth quarter of 2021 and all of next year, the business should end 2022 with approximately 247 million&nbsp;customers.</p><p><blockquote>经过几年的坎坷，我认为可以公平地假设Netflix可以在2022年增加2500万用户。这与近年来每年增加2500万至3000万会员的增长一致。包括对2021年第四季度和明年全年的估计，该业务到2022年底将拥有约2.47亿客户。</blockquote></p><p> Now, what the stock price does depends on how much Netflix's results can surprise Wall Street to the upside. With&nbsp;<b>Walt&nbsp;Disney</b>'s Disney+ service reporting&nbsp;disappointing subscriber growth&nbsp;of 2.1 million in its latest fiscal quarter, I suspect the sentiment for streaming companies is weak heading into the new year. Moreover, reopening economies add pessimism for streaming services, which tend to benefit from lockdowns and anti-pandemic policies.</p><p><blockquote>现在，股价走势取决于Netflix的业绩能给华尔街带来多大惊喜。与<b>迪斯尼</b>Disney+服务报告称，最近一个财季的订户增长了210万，令人失望，我怀疑流媒体公司在进入新的一年时的情绪疲软。此外，经济重新开放加剧了流媒体服务的悲观情绪，这些服务往往受益于封锁和抗疫政策。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, if Netflix increases its customer base by 25 million next year, which is outstanding growth in any case, I see the stock rising meaningfully. What's more, expanding profitability and positive free cash flow in 2022 will boost optimism surrounding the business.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如果Netflix明年的客户群增加2500万（无论如何这都是出色的增长），我认为该股将大幅上涨。更重要的是，2022年盈利能力的扩大和正的自由现金流将提振人们对该业务的乐观情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts forecast Netflix's earnings to grow 23%&nbsp;in 2022. Even if the current price-to-earnings ratio of&nbsp;55 comes down slightly, the stock will likely hit $700 in 12 months. Factoring in the likelihood of positive surprises when the company reports quarterly results throughout the year, $700 per share might be a conservative price target.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预测Netflix 2022年盈利将增长23%。即使目前55的市盈率略有下降，该股也可能在12个月内触及700美元。考虑到公司全年公布季度业绩时可能出现积极惊喜的可能性，每股700美元可能是一个保守的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Even a more mature Netflix can provide outstanding returns for shareholders in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>即使是更成熟的奈飞，也能在2022年为股东提供出色的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Netflix Stock Hit $700 in 2022?<blockquote>Netflix股价会在2022年达到700美元吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Netflix Stock Hit $700 in 2022?<blockquote>Netflix股价会在2022年达到700美元吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-24 13:09</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Netflix was one of the biggest winners in 2020 during the depth of the pandemic, but things have been different this year.</li>  <li>The streaming company's production studios are largely up and running worldwide, increasing the likelihood of a normalized content slate in 2022.</li>  <li>If Netflix adds customers next year in line with historical growth, the stock should reach $700.</li> </ul> One of the biggest winners of the coronavirus pandemic was&nbsp;<b>Netflix</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:NFLX). This top media business saw its stock price soar 67%&nbsp;in 2020,&nbsp;supported by a&nbsp;growing&nbsp;user&nbsp;base. With people stuck at home, the company experienced pulled-forward demand last year.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>在疫情最严重的时期，Netflix是2020年最大的赢家之一，但今年情况有所不同。</li><li>这家流媒体公司的制作工作室大部分已在全球范围内建立并运行，这增加了2022年内容正常化的可能性。</li><li>如果Netflix明年增加的客户数量与历史增长一致，该股应该会达到700美元。</li></ul>冠状病毒大流行的最大赢家之一是<b>Netflix</b>（纳斯达克：NFLX）。在不断增长的用户群的支持下，这家顶级媒体企业的股价在2020年飙升了67%。由于人们被困在家里，该公司去年经历了需求的拉动。</blockquote></p><p> During the first nine months of 2021, however, Netflix added just 10 million subscribers, and the stock has significantly trailed the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>&nbsp;this year. The&nbsp;streaming industry&nbsp;is becoming increasingly crowded with new rivals coming to market, and with economies slowly opening back up, consumers want to enjoy other leisure activities.</p><p><blockquote>然而，2021年前9个月，Netflix仅增加了1000万订阅用户，该股大幅落后于<b>标普500</b>今年。随着新的竞争对手进入市场，流媒体行业变得越来越拥挤，随着经济慢慢恢复开放，消费者希望享受其他休闲活动。</blockquote></p><p> What does next year hold? Can Netflix's stock price reach $700 at some point in 2022? Let's find out.</p><p><blockquote>明年会发生什么？Netflix的股价能否在2022年某个时候达到700美元？让我们一探究竟。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f33834bd990b835cdac9f1e5c18110a\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1448\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Productions are up and running</b></p><p><blockquote><b>生产已启动并运行</b></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic caused major production delays in 2020, leading to a lighter content slate for Netflix at the beginning of this year. Therefore, it shouldn't surprise anyone that&nbsp;membership&nbsp;growth in the first half of 2021&nbsp;was weak.</p><p><blockquote>疫情在2020年造成了重大的制作延迟，导致今年年初网飞的内容变得更加轻松。因此，2021年上半年会员增长疲软不应让任何人感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> But management has said that productions are largely back up and running. The company is currently producing local content in&nbsp;45 different countries. As my colleague Adam Levy points out, streaming services need to&nbsp;introduce new hit series&nbsp;to gain new customers.</p><p><blockquote>但管理层表示，生产已基本恢复运行。该公司目前在45个不同的国家制作本地内容。正如我的同事亚当·利维（Adam Levy）指出的那样，流媒体服务需要推出新的热门剧集来获得新客户。</blockquote></p><p> And this costs money. Luckily for Netflix, it has deep pockets and will end 2021&nbsp;having spent $17&nbsp;billion in cash on content. Management expects the current three-month period to be the strongest fourth-quarter content&nbsp;offering&nbsp;ever, something that will help&nbsp;bring&nbsp;new&nbsp;customers to the service.</p><p><blockquote>这是要花钱的。对Netflix来说幸运的是，它财力雄厚，到2021年底将在内容上花费170亿美元现金。管理层预计，当前的三个月将是有史以来最强劲的第四季度内容提供，这将有助于为该服务带来新客户。</blockquote></p><p> \"Assuming no new COVID waves or unforeseen events that result in large-scale production shutdowns, we currently anticipate a more normalized content slate in 2022, with a greater number of originals in 2022 vs. 2021,\" the leadership team highlighted in the Q3 shareholder&nbsp;letter.</p><p><blockquote>领导团队在第三季度股东信中强调：“假设没有新的COVID浪潮或不可预见的事件导致大规模生产停工，我们目前预计2022年的内容列表将更加正常化，2022年的原创数量将比2021年更多。”</blockquote></p><p> When it comes to Netflix, Wall Street unsurprisingly fixates on one data point above all else: subscriber growth. This drives the stock price. Having fresh shows and movies on tap for 2022 will help expand the user base, which supports revenue and profit growth.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到Netflix时，华尔街不出所料地关注一个数据点：用户增长。这推动了股价。2022年推出新节目和电影将有助于扩大用户群，从而支持收入和利润增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Don't count this winner out</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不要把这个赢家排除在外</b></blockquote></p><p> I think it's completely realistic for Netflix to reach $700 a share by the end of 2022. Based on Dec. 21's closing stock price of $605, this would imply a roughly&nbsp;16% appreciation.</p><p><blockquote>我认为Netflix到2022年底达到每股700美元是完全现实的。根据12月21日605美元的收盘价计算，这意味着上涨约16%。</blockquote></p><p> After a couple of lumpy years, I think it's fair to assume that Netflix can add 25 million subscribers in 2022. This is in line with the growth in recent years, in the range of 25 million to 30 million member additions per year. Including estimates for the fourth quarter of 2021 and all of next year, the business should end 2022 with approximately 247 million&nbsp;customers.</p><p><blockquote>经过几年的坎坷，我认为可以公平地假设Netflix可以在2022年增加2500万用户。这与近年来每年增加2500万至3000万会员的增长一致。包括对2021年第四季度和明年全年的估计，该业务到2022年底将拥有约2.47亿客户。</blockquote></p><p> Now, what the stock price does depends on how much Netflix's results can surprise Wall Street to the upside. With&nbsp;<b>Walt&nbsp;Disney</b>'s Disney+ service reporting&nbsp;disappointing subscriber growth&nbsp;of 2.1 million in its latest fiscal quarter, I suspect the sentiment for streaming companies is weak heading into the new year. Moreover, reopening economies add pessimism for streaming services, which tend to benefit from lockdowns and anti-pandemic policies.</p><p><blockquote>现在，股价走势取决于Netflix的业绩能给华尔街带来多大惊喜。与<b>迪斯尼</b>Disney+服务报告称，最近一个财季的订户增长了210万，令人失望，我怀疑流媒体公司在进入新的一年时的情绪疲软。此外，经济重新开放加剧了流媒体服务的悲观情绪，这些服务往往受益于封锁和抗疫政策。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, if Netflix increases its customer base by 25 million next year, which is outstanding growth in any case, I see the stock rising meaningfully. What's more, expanding profitability and positive free cash flow in 2022 will boost optimism surrounding the business.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如果Netflix明年的客户群增加2500万（无论如何这都是出色的增长），我认为该股将大幅上涨。更重要的是，2022年盈利能力的扩大和正的自由现金流将提振人们对该业务的乐观情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts forecast Netflix's earnings to grow 23%&nbsp;in 2022. Even if the current price-to-earnings ratio of&nbsp;55 comes down slightly, the stock will likely hit $700 in 12 months. Factoring in the likelihood of positive surprises when the company reports quarterly results throughout the year, $700 per share might be a conservative price target.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预测Netflix 2022年盈利将增长23%。即使目前55的市盈率略有下降，该股也可能在12个月内触及700美元。考虑到公司全年公布季度业绩时可能出现积极惊喜的可能性，每股700美元可能是一个保守的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Even a more mature Netflix can provide outstanding returns for shareholders in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>即使是更成熟的奈飞，也能在2022年为股东提供出色的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/23/will-netflix-stock-hit-700-in-2022/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/23/will-netflix-stock-hit-700-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105709224","content_text":"Key Points\n\nNetflix was one of the biggest winners in 2020 during the depth of the pandemic, but things have been different this year.\nThe streaming company's production studios are largely up and running worldwide, increasing the likelihood of a normalized content slate in 2022.\nIf Netflix adds customers next year in line with historical growth, the stock should reach $700.\n\nOne of the biggest winners of the coronavirus pandemic was Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX). This top media business saw its stock price soar 67% in 2020, supported by a growing user base. With people stuck at home, the company experienced pulled-forward demand last year.\nDuring the first nine months of 2021, however, Netflix added just 10 million subscribers, and the stock has significantly trailed the S&P 500 this year. The streaming industry is becoming increasingly crowded with new rivals coming to market, and with economies slowly opening back up, consumers want to enjoy other leisure activities.\nWhat does next year hold? Can Netflix's stock price reach $700 at some point in 2022? Let's find out.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nProductions are up and running\nThe pandemic caused major production delays in 2020, leading to a lighter content slate for Netflix at the beginning of this year. Therefore, it shouldn't surprise anyone that membership growth in the first half of 2021 was weak.\nBut management has said that productions are largely back up and running. The company is currently producing local content in 45 different countries. As my colleague Adam Levy points out, streaming services need to introduce new hit series to gain new customers.\nAnd this costs money. Luckily for Netflix, it has deep pockets and will end 2021 having spent $17 billion in cash on content. Management expects the current three-month period to be the strongest fourth-quarter content offering ever, something that will help bring new customers to the service.\n\"Assuming no new COVID waves or unforeseen events that result in large-scale production shutdowns, we currently anticipate a more normalized content slate in 2022, with a greater number of originals in 2022 vs. 2021,\" the leadership team highlighted in the Q3 shareholder letter.\nWhen it comes to Netflix, Wall Street unsurprisingly fixates on one data point above all else: subscriber growth. This drives the stock price. Having fresh shows and movies on tap for 2022 will help expand the user base, which supports revenue and profit growth.\nDon't count this winner out\nI think it's completely realistic for Netflix to reach $700 a share by the end of 2022. Based on Dec. 21's closing stock price of $605, this would imply a roughly 16% appreciation.\nAfter a couple of lumpy years, I think it's fair to assume that Netflix can add 25 million subscribers in 2022. This is in line with the growth in recent years, in the range of 25 million to 30 million member additions per year. Including estimates for the fourth quarter of 2021 and all of next year, the business should end 2022 with approximately 247 million customers.\nNow, what the stock price does depends on how much Netflix's results can surprise Wall Street to the upside. With Walt Disney's Disney+ service reporting disappointing subscriber growth of 2.1 million in its latest fiscal quarter, I suspect the sentiment for streaming companies is weak heading into the new year. Moreover, reopening economies add pessimism for streaming services, which tend to benefit from lockdowns and anti-pandemic policies.\nTherefore, if Netflix increases its customer base by 25 million next year, which is outstanding growth in any case, I see the stock rising meaningfully. What's more, expanding profitability and positive free cash flow in 2022 will boost optimism surrounding the business.\nAnalysts forecast Netflix's earnings to grow 23% in 2022. Even if the current price-to-earnings ratio of 55 comes down slightly, the stock will likely hit $700 in 12 months. Factoring in the likelihood of positive surprises when the company reports quarterly results throughout the year, $700 per share might be a conservative price target.\nEven a more mature Netflix can provide outstanding returns for shareholders in 2022.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NFLX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3274,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698800599,"gmtCreate":1640329130622,"gmtModify":1640329418748,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698800599","repostId":"1105843279","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1038,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698800872,"gmtCreate":1640329071516,"gmtModify":1640329418211,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698800872","repostId":"1195213621","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195213621","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640324974,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195213621?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 13:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stock market 2022: Some Wall Street strategists bullish, while others strike a cautious tone<blockquote>2022年股市：一些华尔街策略师看涨，另一些则持谨慎态度</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195213621","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Strategists have begun to deliver their outlooks for the stock market next year — and many are tempe","content":"<p>Strategists have begun to deliver their outlooks for the stock market next year — and many are tempering expectations after this year's double-digit gains.</p><p><blockquote>策略师们已经开始发表对明年股市的展望——在今年两位数的涨幅之后，许多人正在降低预期。</blockquote></p><p> Against a backdrop of vaccinations, easing lockdown measures and a broad-based economic reopening, the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;rose by about 25% in 2021 through market close on Dec. 22. The blue-chip index has also more than doubled from its March 23, 2020 nadir.</p><p><blockquote>在疫苗接种、放松封锁措施和广泛经济重新开放的背景下，截至12月22日收盘，标普500在2021年上涨了约25%。蓝筹股指数也较2020年3月23日的最低点上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fc520db74600e8e9c46338ba7ac718c\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"648\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 is unlikely to repeat these kinds of returns next year, based on the projections of a number of pundits. With market participants pricing in at least one interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve, and an initial boost from the reopening, and monetary and fiscal stimulus fading, the easy gains for this cycle are likely in the past. And more than one strategist thinks stocks are set to decline at least modestly next year from current levels.</p><p><blockquote>根据一些专家的预测，标普500明年不太可能重复这种回报。随着市场参与者预计美联储至少会加息一次，重新开放带来的初步提振，以及货币和财政刺激的消退，本周期的轻松上涨可能已经成为过去。不止一位策略师认为，明年股市将至少从当前水平小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Here's what some strategists from top Wall Street firms are predicting for the stock market next year.</p><p><blockquote>以下是华尔街顶级公司的一些策略师对明年股市的预测。</blockquote></p><p> —</p><p><blockquote>—</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oppenheimer (5,330): 'The noise stemming from negative projections ... should not obscure the signals of progress'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>奥本海默（5330）：“源于负面投射的噪音...不应掩盖进步的信号”</b></blockquote></p><p> Oppenheimer strategist John Stoltzfus&nbsp;has struck an especially upbeat tone on stocks for 2022, projecting another year of double-digit gains as economic growth remains robust and policymakers move to address concerns over rising prices.</p><p><blockquote>奥本海默策略师约翰·斯托尔茨福斯(John Stoltzfus)对2022年股市持特别乐观的态度，预计随着经济增长依然强劲以及政策制定者采取行动解决对物价上涨的担忧，2022年股市将再次出现两位数涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Oppenheimer's outlook sees the S&amp;P 500 climbing to 5,330 by year-end 2022. This would represent an about 13.5% increase from closing prices on Dec. 22.</p><p><blockquote>Oppenheimer的展望预计，到2022年底，标普500将攀升至5,330。这将比12月22日收盘价上涨约13.5%。</blockquote></p><p> \"We suggest that investors not let near-term uncertainty obfuscate progress being made as the central bank adjusts monetary policy to meet higher-than-expected inflation and as the U.S. and global economy navigate current challenges to re-openings posed by COVID-19 variants and supply chain disruptions,\" Stoltzfus wrote in a note published on Dec. 20.</p><p><blockquote>“我们建议投资者不要让近期的不确定性掩盖正在取得的进展，因为央行调整货币政策以满足高于预期的通胀，以及美国和全球经济应对当前COVID-19变种带来的重新开放挑战。供应链中断，”Stoltzfus在12月20日发布的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> \"In our view, the noise stemming from negative projections coming from some traders, skeptics, bears and fear-mongers of late should not obscure the signals of progress that have been made societally and economically since the pandemic struck globally in March 2020 through to the current day,\" he added.</p><p><blockquote>“我们认为，最近一些交易员、怀疑论者、空头和恐慌者的负面预测所产生的噪音不应掩盖自2020年3月疫情在全球爆发以来社会和经济取得进展的信号。今天，”他补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Stoltzfus noted that the firm remains overweight U.S. equities, while also \"maintaining meaningful exposure to both developed and emerging markets on expectations that an economic recovery stateside coming out of the COVID-19 emergency will help boost economic growth around the world and lead to a global economic expansion.\"</p><p><blockquote>Stoltzfus指出，该公司仍然跑赢大盘美国股票，同时“保持对发达市场和新兴市场的有意义的投资，因为预计美国国内经济从COVID-19紧急情况中复苏将有助于促进全球经济增长并导致全球经济增长”。经济扩张。”</blockquote></p><p> In terms of sectors, Oppenheimer favors information technology and cyclical stocks over defensive sectors. And in terms of style, Stoltzfus. And for investing style, Oppenheimer said it prefers a barbell approach that includes both value and growth stocks, given the backdrop of what is likely to be rising, but still historically low interest rates next year.</p><p><blockquote>就板块而言，奥本海默更青睐信息技术和周期性股票，而不是防御性板块。就风格而言，斯托尔茨福斯。至于投资风格，奥本海默表示，考虑到明年利率可能会上升但仍处于历史低位的背景，它更喜欢包括价值股和成长股的杠铃方法。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Price target as of December 2021</i></p><p><blockquote><i>截至2021年12月的价格目标</i></blockquote></p><p> —</p><p><blockquote>—</blockquote></p><p> <b>Credit Suisse (5,200): S&amp;P 500 target raised 'on robust projections for economic growth'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>瑞士信贷(5,200)：“基于对经济增长的强劲预测”，标普500目标上调</b></blockquote></p><p> Credit Suisse chief U.S. equity strategist Jonathan Golub is getting more bullish on stocks for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士信贷首席美国股票策略师Jonathan Golub对2022年股市越来越看好。</blockquote></p><p> The firm raised its 2022 S&amp;P 500 price target to 5,200, from the 5,000 seen previously. The updated forecast also predicts another year of double-digit appreciation for the index, with an estimated rise of nearly 11% from closing prices on Dec. 22.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将2022年标普500目标价从之前的5,000辆上调至5,200辆。更新后的预测还预测，该指数将再一年实现两位数升值，预计较12月22日收盘价上涨近11%。</blockquote></p><p> \"This constructive outlook is based on robust projections for economic growth in both real and nominal terms, further margin upside in cyclical groups, a pickup in buybacks and a favorable discount rate despite Fed tightening,\" Golub wrote in a note.</p><p><blockquote>戈卢布在一份报告中写道：“这种建设性的前景是基于对实际和名义经济增长的强劲预测、周期性群体的利润率进一步上升、回购增加以及尽管美联储收紧政策但仍有利的贴现率。”</blockquote></p><p> The firm also raised its 2022 S&amp;P 500 aggregate earnings per share (EPS) forecast to $235, up from the $230 seen previously. The revision assumes that a corporate tax rate increase will not take effect next year out of Washington.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还将标普500 2022年每股总收益(EPS)预期从之前的230美元上调至235美元。此次修订假设华盛顿以外的公司税率上调明年不会生效。</blockquote></p><p> Credit Suisse is Overweight cyclical sectors including energy, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary (excluding internet retailers), given expectations for \"robust GDP and inflation\" and continued earnings momentum. The firm is market weight \"TECH+,\" or technology, internet services and internet retail firms.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于对“强劲的GDP和通胀”以及持续的盈利势头的预期，瑞信跑赢大盘周期性行业，包括能源、材料、工业和非必需消费品（不包括互联网零售商）。该公司是市场重量级“TECH+”，即技术、互联网服务和互联网零售公司。</blockquote></p><p> \"We would reevaluate this positioning should the yield curve flatten further, nominal growth fade, or earnings trends reverse,\" Golub wrote. \"We are downgrading Financials and Health Care to Underweight, on weaker growth prospects in 2022.\"</p><p><blockquote>戈卢布写道：“如果收益率曲线进一步变平、名义增长减弱或盈利趋势逆转，我们将重新评估这一定位。”“由于2022年增长前景疲软，我们将金融和医疗保健行业的评级下调至跑输大盘。”</blockquote></p><p> <i>Price target as of December 2021</i></p><p><blockquote><i>截至2021年12月的价格目标</i></blockquote></p><p> —</p><p><blockquote>—</blockquote></p><p> <b>JPMorgan (Target 5,050): '2022 will be a strong year for economic recovery and performance of cyclical assets'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>摩根大通（目标5,050）：“2022年将是经济复苏和周期性资产表现强劲的一年”</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> JPMorgan sees stocks building on gains next year, albeit at a slower clip than in the last few years. And with interest rates poised to rise, cyclical areas of the market — both in the U.S. and internationally — are set to be some of the strongest performers, suggested Marko Kolanovic, chief global markets strategist at JPMorgan.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通预计明年股市将继续上涨，尽管涨幅比过去几年要慢。摩根大通首席全球市场策略师马尔科·科拉诺维奇表示，随着利率即将上升，美国和国际市场的周期性领域将成为表现最强劲的领域之一。</blockquote></p><p> The firm forecasted that the S&amp;P 500 would reach 5,050 by year-end 2022, representing a rise of about 7.5% from closing levels on Dec. 22.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预测，到2022年底，标普500将达到5,050点，较12月22日收盘水平上涨约7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> \"This represents a smaller percentage appreciation compared to our 2021 forecast; however, we do think international equities, emerging markets and cyclical market segments will significantly outperform and deliver 2-3 times higher returns,\" Kolanovic wrote. \"The reason for this is our expectation for increasing interest rates and marginally tighter monetary policy that should be a headwind for high-multiple markets such as the Nasdaq.\"</p><p><blockquote>Kolanovic写道：“与我们2021年的预测相比，这意味着升值百分比较小；然而，我们确实认为国际股票、新兴市场和周期性市场领域将显着跑赢大盘，并带来2-3倍的高回报。”“造成这种情况的原因是我们对加息和小幅收紧货币政策的预期，这对纳斯达克等高市盈率市场来说应该是一个阻力。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Within the U.S., we like reopening and reflationary themes and beneficiaries of higher bond yields,\" he added. JPMorgan expects the yield on the benchmark 10-year note to climb to 2.25% by the end of next year.</p><p><blockquote>“在美国，我们喜欢重新开放和通货再膨胀主题以及债券收益率上升的受益者，”他补充道。摩根大通预计，到明年年底，基准10年期国债收益率将攀升至2.25%。</blockquote></p><p> \"What are the risks to our view? As the recovery runs its course, markets will begin adjusting to tighter monetary conditions, a process that will likely inject volatility,\" Kolanovic added. \"There are other risks that investors will need to monitor and manage in 2022. They include increased geopolitical tensions in Europe and Asia (in particular related to Ukraine and Iran), a looming energy crisis, uncertainties around high inflation, and the path of monetary policy normalization.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我们的观点面临哪些风险？随着复苏的进行，市场将开始适应收紧的货币条件，这一过程可能会注入波动性，”科拉诺维奇补充道。“2022年投资者还需要监控和管理其他风险。其中包括欧洲和亚洲地缘政治紧张局势加剧（特别是与乌克兰和伊朗有关）、迫在眉睫的能源危机、围绕高通胀的不确定性以及货币政策正常化的路径。”</blockquote></p><p> <i>Price target as of December 2021</i></p><p><blockquote><i>截至2021年12月的价格目标</i></blockquote></p><p> —</p><p><blockquote>—</blockquote></p><p> <b>DWS Group (Target: 5,000): 'When it comes to PE multiples, they stand on the shoulders of the bond market'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>DWS Group（目标：5,000）：“就市盈率而言，他们站在债券市场的肩膀上”</b></blockquote></p><p> DWS Group expects the S&amp;P 500 will rise further into next year, supported by a combination of sustained — if slowing, earnings and economic growth — and a contained rise in rates.</p><p><blockquote>DWS集团预计，在持续（如果放缓）的盈利和经济增长以及利率上升幅度有限的共同支撑下，明年标普500将进一步上升。</blockquote></p><p> \"Our view for risk assets is simply, it should be another good year in 2022,\" David Bianco, DWS Group chief investment officer, Americas, said during a media call on Dec. 1. \"With lower inflation, slowing inflation, we should be comfortable with the idea that interest rates, both nominal and real, only climb modestly.\"</p><p><blockquote>DWS集团美洲首席投资官David Bianco在12月1日的媒体看涨期权上表示：“我们对风险资产的看法很简单，2022年应该是又一个好年景。”“随着通胀下降、通胀放缓，我们应该对名义利率和实际利率仅小幅攀升的想法感到满意。”</blockquote></p><p> The firm expects to see the S&amp;P 500 end 2022 at 5,000, growing by nearly 6.5% from closing levels on Dec. 22.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计2022年底标普500将达到5,000点，较12月22日收盘水平增长近6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> \"So far, long-term interest rates have only climbed slightly, and long-term real interest rates which are key for the PE [price-earnings ratio] of U.S. equities and equities worldwide, they're still near all-time lows,\" he added. \"When it comes to PE multiples, they stand on the shoulders of the bond market.\"</p><p><blockquote>“到目前为止，长期利率仅小幅攀升，而对美国股市和全球股市PE（市盈率）至关重要的长期实际利率仍接近历史低点，”他补充道。“说到PE倍数，他们是站在债市的肩膀上的。”</blockquote></p><p> Bianco expects the S&amp;P 500's PE multiple, which has been trading at about 22 times current earnings, will be sustained through next year. The firm also anticipates S&amp;P 500 companies' aggregate earnings per share (EPS) will come in at about $228 for 2022, growing by 7% from an estimated $213 level this year. This earnings view assumes no corporate tax hikes in the U.S. in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>Bianco预计，该标普500的市盈率（目前市盈率约为22倍）将持续到明年。该公司还预计标普500公司2022年每股收益(EPS)总额将约为228美元，比今年预计的213美元增长7%。这一盈利观点假设2022年美国不会提高企业税。</blockquote></p><p> \"Our view is that the equity market, the S&amp;P, is largely fairly valued, but our preferences for a long time have remained the digital businesses — technology, communications, growth stocks in general, a preference for intangible businesses — we've argued that these types of businesses actually do provide terrific inflation protection,\" Bianco said. \"This is not the 1970s, and often, we think the best way to protect against inflation is simply to own the best quality businesses. And look for businesses that are raising productivity, rather than raising price.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我们的观点是，股市、标准普尔指数的估值基本合理，但长期以来我们的偏好仍然是数字业务——技术、通信、一般成长型股票，以及对无形业务的偏好——我们认为这些类型的企业实际上确实提供了极好的通胀保护，”比安科说。“现在不是20世纪70年代，我们通常认为抵御通货膨胀的最佳方式就是拥有最优质的企业。并寻找提高生产率而不是提高价格的企业。”</blockquote></p><p> Bianco also said the firm was Overweight the health care and financials sectors, with the latter constituting a beneficiary of higher rates given the likelihood of at least one Federal Reserve interest rate hike next year.</p><p><blockquote>Bianco还表示，该公司是医疗保健和金融行业的跑赢大盘，鉴于美联储明年可能至少加息一次，后者是利率上升的受益者。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Price target as of December 2021</i></p><p><blockquote><i>截至2021年12月的价格目标</i></blockquote></p><p> —</p><p><blockquote>—</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bank of America (Target: 4,600): Look for 'inflation-protected yield'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国银行（目标：4,600）：寻找“通胀保值收益率”</b></blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 is poised to end 2022 slightly lower compared to present levels, according to Bank of America's Savita Subramanian.</p><p><blockquote>美银的Savita Subramanian表示，到2022年底，标普500将略低于目前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> The firm's 2022 outlook sees the index ending next year at 4,600, or down by 2% compared to closing prices on Dec. 22. That would come alongside slowing earnings growth, with S&amp;P 500 earnings per share set to rise just 6.5% next year, based on Subramanian's projections.</p><p><blockquote>该公司2022年展望预计该指数明年收于4,600点，较12月22日收盘价下跌2%。与此同时，盈利增长也将放缓，根据Subramanian的预测，标普500明年每股收益将仅增长6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Expectations for a higher discount rate serve as one of the main drivers for this outlook, with next year's predicted higher-rate environment weighing on stock valuations. Plus, as rates rise, other assets will compete for investor attention next year, Subramanian added.</p><p><blockquote>对更高贴现率的预期是这一前景的主要驱动因素之一，预计明年的更高利率环境将打压股票估值。此外，Subramanian补充说，随着利率上升，明年其他资产将争夺投资者的注意力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"What happens to the TINA ('There is no alternative' to stocks) argument if cash yields rival the S&amp;P 500's 1.3% dividend yield, and the 10-year yield hits 2% by YE [year-end] 2022? Dividend growth needs to keep up, thus, our theme: inflation-protected yield,\" Subramanian said. \"Inflation-protected yield favors Energy, Financials and Real Estate.\"</p><p><blockquote>“如果现金收益率与标普500 1.3%的股息收益率相媲美，并且10年期收益率到2022年底达到2%，那么TINA（股票别无选择）论点会发生什么变化？股息增长需要因此，我们的主题是：通胀保值收益率，”萨勃拉曼尼亚说。“通胀保值收益率有利于能源、金融和房地产。”</blockquote></p><p> \"What will we say when we look back at today? Probably similar comments to 2000 hindsight: lofty expectations, Wall St. stock allocations up ~20 [percentage points], retail/democratized markets, frenzied IPO activity; first Fed hike into an overvalued market. And acceptance of the unthinkable: a negative cost of equity in '00, negative real rates today.\" she said. \"But the last sign of a bubble — excessive corporate/ consumer leverage — has been transferred to the government.\"</p><p><blockquote>“当我们回顾今天时，我们会说什么？可能与2000年后见类似的评论：高期望、华尔街股票配置增加约20[百分点]、零售/民主化市场、疯狂的IPO活动；美联储首次加息进入高估市场。并接受不可思议的事情：00年的股权成本为负，今天的实际利率为负。”她说。“但泡沫的最后一个迹象——企业/消费者杠杆率过高——已经转移到了政府身上。”</blockquote></p><p> In terms of asset classes to favor, Subramanian said prioritize commodities, then cash, then stocks and then bonds in 2022. She also said she prefers small caps versus large caps and value stocks versus growth.</p><p><blockquote>就青睐的资产类别而言，Subramanian表示，2022年优先考虑大宗商品，然后是现金，然后是股票，然后是债券。她还表示，她更喜欢小盘股而不是大盘股，价值股而不是成长股。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Price target as of November 2021</i></p><p><blockquote><i>截至2021年11月的价格目标</i></blockquote></p><p> —</p><p><blockquote>—</blockquote></p><p> <b>Goldman Sachs (Target: 5,100): 'The equity bull market will continue'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高盛（目标：5,100）：“股市牛市将持续”</b></blockquote></p><p> Corporate profits are set to be the&nbsp;driving force for a further rise in the stock market next year,according to David Kostin, Goldman Sachs' chief U.S. equity strategist. The firm expects the S&amp;P 500 to climb to 5,100 by the end of 2022, marking a nearly 9% rise from Dec. 22's closing prices.</p><p><blockquote>高盛首席美国股票策略师David Kostin表示，企业利润将成为明年股市进一步上涨的驱动力。该公司预计，到2022年底，标普500将攀升至5,100点，较12月22日收盘价上涨近9%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24d62556aecb6ba8e396c1bda82f9d5c\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"640\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>A trader looks up at a chart on his computer screen while working on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson (UNITED STATES - Tags: BUSINESS TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>一名交易员在纽约证券交易所工作时抬头看着电脑屏幕上的图表。路透社/卢卡斯·杰克逊（美国-标签：每日商业TPX图片）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> \"Profit growth has accounted for the entire S&amp;P 500 return in 2021 and will continue to drive gains in 2022,\" wrote Kostin in a note. \"S&amp;P 500 EPS will grow by 8% to $226 in 2022 and by 4% to $236 in 2023.\"</p><p><blockquote>Kostin在一份报告中写道：“利润增长占了标普500 2021年的全部回报，并将继续推动2022年的收益。”“2022年标普500每股收益将增长8%至226美元，2023年将增长4%至236美元。”</blockquote></p><p> Companies will likely continue to expand profit margins even as input cost pressures and supply chain challenges linger, Kostin predicted, adding that he expects aggregate S&amp;P 500 company profit margins to expand by another 40 basis points to reach 12.6% next year. Still, he suggested avoiding investing in firms with high labor costs, and favoring growth stocks with high margins over low-margin or unprofitable growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>科斯汀预测，尽管投入成本压力和供应链挑战依然存在，但公司可能会继续扩大利润率，并补充说，他预计明年标普500公司的总利润率将再扩大40个基点，达到12.6%。尽管如此，他建议避免投资劳动力成本高的公司，并青睐高利润率的成长型股票，而不是低利润率或无利可图的成长型股票。</blockquote></p><p> While the economic recovery and commensurate strength in corporate profits will likely extend into next year, one key factor will shift in next year's investing environment and apply pressure to valuations, Kostin said.</p><p><blockquote>科斯汀表示，虽然经济复苏和企业利润的相应强劲可能会延续到明年，但明年的投资环境将发生变化，并给估值带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> \"The Fed will begin to hike rates in July,\" Kostin said. \"Real interest rates will rise, solidifying the ceiling on valuation multiples and driving rotations within the equity market.\"</p><p><blockquote>“美联储将在7月开始加息，”科斯汀说。“实际利率将上升，巩固估值倍数的上限，并推动股市内的轮动。”</blockquote></p><p> \"However, other aspects of the current equity market will persist. Real rates, while rising, will remain negative, and investor equity allocations will continue to establish record highs,\" he added. \"In contrast with our expectation during the past year, corporate tax rates will likely remain unchanged in 2022 and rise in 2023. Corporate earnings will grow and lift share prices. The equity bull market will continue.\"</p><p><blockquote>“然而，当前股市的其他方面将持续存在。实际利率虽然上升，但仍将为负，投资者的股票配置将继续创下历史新高，”他补充道。“与我们过去一年的预期相反，企业税率可能在2022年保持不变，并在2023年上升。企业盈利将增长并提振股价。股市牛市将持续。”</blockquote></p><p> <i>Price target as of November 2021</i></p><p><blockquote><i>截至2021年11月的价格目标</i></blockquote></p><p> —</p><p><blockquote>—</blockquote></p><p> <b>Morgan Stanley (Target: 4,400): 'O</b><b>ur key message centers around multiple contraction'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>摩根士丹利（目标：4,400）：'O</b><b>你的关键信息围绕多重收缩”</b></blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley thinks stocks are going down next year.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利认为明年股市将下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley chief U.S. equity strategist, sees the S&amp;P 500 dipping to 4,400 next year, representing a drop of 6.3%, compared to Dec. 7's closing prices.The biggest driver of the dip will be multiple compression, with a higher-rate environment next year pressuring stock valuations as earnings growth continues at a slower rate.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利首席美国股票策略师Mike Wilson预计，明年标普500将跌至4,400点，较12月7日收盘价下跌6.3%。下跌的最大驱动因素将是多重压缩，随着盈利增长继续放缓，明年利率上升的环境将给股票估值带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> \"As we think about our forecasts for the year ahead, our key message centers around multiple contraction amid a continued mid-cycle de-rating, higher bond yields, and greater economic and earnings<i>uncertainty,\"</i>Wilson said in a note. \"While earnings for the overall index remain durable, there will be greater dispersion of winners and losers and growth rates will slow materially.\"</p><p><blockquote>“当我们思考未来一年的预测时，我们的关键信息集中在中期评级持续下调、债券收益率上升以及经济和盈利增长的多重收缩上。”<i>不确定性，”</i>威尔逊在一份说明中说。“虽然整体指数的盈利仍然持久，但赢家和输家将更加分散，增长率将大幅放缓。”</blockquote></p><p> \"While our overall earnings forecast for 2023 is about in-line with consensus ($245; 8% growth), we believe there is scope for significant dispersion — suggesting stock selection will provide plenty of opportunity in 2022 even if the index doesn't do much point to point,\" he added. \"Bottom line, 2022 will be more about stocks than sectors or styles, in our view.\"</p><p><blockquote>“虽然我们对2023年的整体盈利预测与共识大致一致（245美元；增长8%），但我们认为存在显着分散的空间——这表明即使该指数没有表现，股票选择也将在2022年提供大量机会。点对点做太多，”他补充道。“我们认为，最重要的是，2022年将更多地关注股票，而不是行业或风格。”</blockquote></p><p> As interest rates set to move higher next year, bank stocks may benefit and outperform relative to long-duration growth stocks that would see valuations most pressured by rising rates, Wilson noted. However, \"reasonably priced growth and defensive quality should hold up\" as well, he added.</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊指出，随着明年利率将走高，相对于长期成长型股票，银行股可能会受益并跑赢大盘，因为长期成长型股票的估值受利率上升的压力最大。然而，他补充说，“合理定价的增长和防御质量也应该保持下去”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"We think the obsession with Value vs. Growth will start to die down as idiosyncratic risk becomes the key,\" Wilson said. \"Much like 2021, we could see periods of Value and Growth outperformance that is dependent on the market's current posture regarding macro growth and rates. For the moment, we have a slight bias toward Value given its higher leverage to rising interest rates and inflation, which should be with us through year-end.\"</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊表示：“我们认为，随着特殊风险成为关键，对价值与增长的痴迷将开始消退。”“就像2021年一样，我们可能会看到价值和增长表现优异的时期，这取决于市场当前在宏观增长和利率方面的状况。目前，我们对价值有轻微的偏见，因为它对利率上升和通胀的杠杆作用较高，这应该会伴随我们到年底。”</blockquote></p><p> <i>Price target as of November 2021</i></p><p><blockquote><i>截至2021年11月的价格目标</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stock market 2022: Some Wall Street strategists bullish, while others strike a cautious tone<blockquote>2022年股市：一些华尔街策略师看涨，另一些则持谨慎态度</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStock market 2022: Some Wall Street strategists bullish, while others strike a cautious tone<blockquote>2022年股市：一些华尔街策略师看涨，另一些则持谨慎态度</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-24 13:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Strategists have begun to deliver their outlooks for the stock market next year — and many are tempering expectations after this year's double-digit gains.</p><p><blockquote>策略师们已经开始发表对明年股市的展望——在今年两位数的涨幅之后，许多人正在降低预期。</blockquote></p><p> Against a backdrop of vaccinations, easing lockdown measures and a broad-based economic reopening, the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;rose by about 25% in 2021 through market close on Dec. 22. The blue-chip index has also more than doubled from its March 23, 2020 nadir.</p><p><blockquote>在疫苗接种、放松封锁措施和广泛经济重新开放的背景下，截至12月22日收盘，标普500在2021年上涨了约25%。蓝筹股指数也较2020年3月23日的最低点上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fc520db74600e8e9c46338ba7ac718c\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"648\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 is unlikely to repeat these kinds of returns next year, based on the projections of a number of pundits. With market participants pricing in at least one interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve, and an initial boost from the reopening, and monetary and fiscal stimulus fading, the easy gains for this cycle are likely in the past. And more than one strategist thinks stocks are set to decline at least modestly next year from current levels.</p><p><blockquote>根据一些专家的预测，标普500明年不太可能重复这种回报。随着市场参与者预计美联储至少会加息一次，重新开放带来的初步提振，以及货币和财政刺激的消退，本周期的轻松上涨可能已经成为过去。不止一位策略师认为，明年股市将至少从当前水平小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Here's what some strategists from top Wall Street firms are predicting for the stock market next year.</p><p><blockquote>以下是华尔街顶级公司的一些策略师对明年股市的预测。</blockquote></p><p> —</p><p><blockquote>—</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oppenheimer (5,330): 'The noise stemming from negative projections ... should not obscure the signals of progress'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>奥本海默（5330）：“源于负面投射的噪音...不应掩盖进步的信号”</b></blockquote></p><p> Oppenheimer strategist John Stoltzfus&nbsp;has struck an especially upbeat tone on stocks for 2022, projecting another year of double-digit gains as economic growth remains robust and policymakers move to address concerns over rising prices.</p><p><blockquote>奥本海默策略师约翰·斯托尔茨福斯(John Stoltzfus)对2022年股市持特别乐观的态度，预计随着经济增长依然强劲以及政策制定者采取行动解决对物价上涨的担忧，2022年股市将再次出现两位数涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Oppenheimer's outlook sees the S&amp;P 500 climbing to 5,330 by year-end 2022. This would represent an about 13.5% increase from closing prices on Dec. 22.</p><p><blockquote>Oppenheimer的展望预计，到2022年底，标普500将攀升至5,330。这将比12月22日收盘价上涨约13.5%。</blockquote></p><p> \"We suggest that investors not let near-term uncertainty obfuscate progress being made as the central bank adjusts monetary policy to meet higher-than-expected inflation and as the U.S. and global economy navigate current challenges to re-openings posed by COVID-19 variants and supply chain disruptions,\" Stoltzfus wrote in a note published on Dec. 20.</p><p><blockquote>“我们建议投资者不要让近期的不确定性掩盖正在取得的进展，因为央行调整货币政策以满足高于预期的通胀，以及美国和全球经济应对当前COVID-19变种带来的重新开放挑战。供应链中断，”Stoltzfus在12月20日发布的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> \"In our view, the noise stemming from negative projections coming from some traders, skeptics, bears and fear-mongers of late should not obscure the signals of progress that have been made societally and economically since the pandemic struck globally in March 2020 through to the current day,\" he added.</p><p><blockquote>“我们认为，最近一些交易员、怀疑论者、空头和恐慌者的负面预测所产生的噪音不应掩盖自2020年3月疫情在全球爆发以来社会和经济取得进展的信号。今天，”他补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Stoltzfus noted that the firm remains overweight U.S. equities, while also \"maintaining meaningful exposure to both developed and emerging markets on expectations that an economic recovery stateside coming out of the COVID-19 emergency will help boost economic growth around the world and lead to a global economic expansion.\"</p><p><blockquote>Stoltzfus指出，该公司仍然跑赢大盘美国股票，同时“保持对发达市场和新兴市场的有意义的投资，因为预计美国国内经济从COVID-19紧急情况中复苏将有助于促进全球经济增长并导致全球经济增长”。经济扩张。”</blockquote></p><p> In terms of sectors, Oppenheimer favors information technology and cyclical stocks over defensive sectors. And in terms of style, Stoltzfus. And for investing style, Oppenheimer said it prefers a barbell approach that includes both value and growth stocks, given the backdrop of what is likely to be rising, but still historically low interest rates next year.</p><p><blockquote>就板块而言，奥本海默更青睐信息技术和周期性股票，而不是防御性板块。就风格而言，斯托尔茨福斯。至于投资风格，奥本海默表示，考虑到明年利率可能会上升但仍处于历史低位的背景，它更喜欢包括价值股和成长股的杠铃方法。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Price target as of December 2021</i></p><p><blockquote><i>截至2021年12月的价格目标</i></blockquote></p><p> —</p><p><blockquote>—</blockquote></p><p> <b>Credit Suisse (5,200): S&amp;P 500 target raised 'on robust projections for economic growth'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>瑞士信贷(5,200)：“基于对经济增长的强劲预测”，标普500目标上调</b></blockquote></p><p> Credit Suisse chief U.S. equity strategist Jonathan Golub is getting more bullish on stocks for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士信贷首席美国股票策略师Jonathan Golub对2022年股市越来越看好。</blockquote></p><p> The firm raised its 2022 S&amp;P 500 price target to 5,200, from the 5,000 seen previously. The updated forecast also predicts another year of double-digit appreciation for the index, with an estimated rise of nearly 11% from closing prices on Dec. 22.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将2022年标普500目标价从之前的5,000辆上调至5,200辆。更新后的预测还预测，该指数将再一年实现两位数升值，预计较12月22日收盘价上涨近11%。</blockquote></p><p> \"This constructive outlook is based on robust projections for economic growth in both real and nominal terms, further margin upside in cyclical groups, a pickup in buybacks and a favorable discount rate despite Fed tightening,\" Golub wrote in a note.</p><p><blockquote>戈卢布在一份报告中写道：“这种建设性的前景是基于对实际和名义经济增长的强劲预测、周期性群体的利润率进一步上升、回购增加以及尽管美联储收紧政策但仍有利的贴现率。”</blockquote></p><p> The firm also raised its 2022 S&amp;P 500 aggregate earnings per share (EPS) forecast to $235, up from the $230 seen previously. The revision assumes that a corporate tax rate increase will not take effect next year out of Washington.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还将标普500 2022年每股总收益(EPS)预期从之前的230美元上调至235美元。此次修订假设华盛顿以外的公司税率上调明年不会生效。</blockquote></p><p> Credit Suisse is Overweight cyclical sectors including energy, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary (excluding internet retailers), given expectations for \"robust GDP and inflation\" and continued earnings momentum. The firm is market weight \"TECH+,\" or technology, internet services and internet retail firms.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于对“强劲的GDP和通胀”以及持续的盈利势头的预期，瑞信跑赢大盘周期性行业，包括能源、材料、工业和非必需消费品（不包括互联网零售商）。该公司是市场重量级“TECH+”，即技术、互联网服务和互联网零售公司。</blockquote></p><p> \"We would reevaluate this positioning should the yield curve flatten further, nominal growth fade, or earnings trends reverse,\" Golub wrote. \"We are downgrading Financials and Health Care to Underweight, on weaker growth prospects in 2022.\"</p><p><blockquote>戈卢布写道：“如果收益率曲线进一步变平、名义增长减弱或盈利趋势逆转，我们将重新评估这一定位。”“由于2022年增长前景疲软，我们将金融和医疗保健行业的评级下调至跑输大盘。”</blockquote></p><p> <i>Price target as of December 2021</i></p><p><blockquote><i>截至2021年12月的价格目标</i></blockquote></p><p> —</p><p><blockquote>—</blockquote></p><p> <b>JPMorgan (Target 5,050): '2022 will be a strong year for economic recovery and performance of cyclical assets'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>摩根大通（目标5,050）：“2022年将是经济复苏和周期性资产表现强劲的一年”</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> JPMorgan sees stocks building on gains next year, albeit at a slower clip than in the last few years. And with interest rates poised to rise, cyclical areas of the market — both in the U.S. and internationally — are set to be some of the strongest performers, suggested Marko Kolanovic, chief global markets strategist at JPMorgan.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通预计明年股市将继续上涨，尽管涨幅比过去几年要慢。摩根大通首席全球市场策略师马尔科·科拉诺维奇表示，随着利率即将上升，美国和国际市场的周期性领域将成为表现最强劲的领域之一。</blockquote></p><p> The firm forecasted that the S&amp;P 500 would reach 5,050 by year-end 2022, representing a rise of about 7.5% from closing levels on Dec. 22.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预测，到2022年底，标普500将达到5,050点，较12月22日收盘水平上涨约7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> \"This represents a smaller percentage appreciation compared to our 2021 forecast; however, we do think international equities, emerging markets and cyclical market segments will significantly outperform and deliver 2-3 times higher returns,\" Kolanovic wrote. \"The reason for this is our expectation for increasing interest rates and marginally tighter monetary policy that should be a headwind for high-multiple markets such as the Nasdaq.\"</p><p><blockquote>Kolanovic写道：“与我们2021年的预测相比，这意味着升值百分比较小；然而，我们确实认为国际股票、新兴市场和周期性市场领域将显着跑赢大盘，并带来2-3倍的高回报。”“造成这种情况的原因是我们对加息和小幅收紧货币政策的预期，这对纳斯达克等高市盈率市场来说应该是一个阻力。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Within the U.S., we like reopening and reflationary themes and beneficiaries of higher bond yields,\" he added. JPMorgan expects the yield on the benchmark 10-year note to climb to 2.25% by the end of next year.</p><p><blockquote>“在美国，我们喜欢重新开放和通货再膨胀主题以及债券收益率上升的受益者，”他补充道。摩根大通预计，到明年年底，基准10年期国债收益率将攀升至2.25%。</blockquote></p><p> \"What are the risks to our view? As the recovery runs its course, markets will begin adjusting to tighter monetary conditions, a process that will likely inject volatility,\" Kolanovic added. \"There are other risks that investors will need to monitor and manage in 2022. They include increased geopolitical tensions in Europe and Asia (in particular related to Ukraine and Iran), a looming energy crisis, uncertainties around high inflation, and the path of monetary policy normalization.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我们的观点面临哪些风险？随着复苏的进行，市场将开始适应收紧的货币条件，这一过程可能会注入波动性，”科拉诺维奇补充道。“2022年投资者还需要监控和管理其他风险。其中包括欧洲和亚洲地缘政治紧张局势加剧（特别是与乌克兰和伊朗有关）、迫在眉睫的能源危机、围绕高通胀的不确定性以及货币政策正常化的路径。”</blockquote></p><p> <i>Price target as of December 2021</i></p><p><blockquote><i>截至2021年12月的价格目标</i></blockquote></p><p> —</p><p><blockquote>—</blockquote></p><p> <b>DWS Group (Target: 5,000): 'When it comes to PE multiples, they stand on the shoulders of the bond market'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>DWS Group（目标：5,000）：“就市盈率而言，他们站在债券市场的肩膀上”</b></blockquote></p><p> DWS Group expects the S&amp;P 500 will rise further into next year, supported by a combination of sustained — if slowing, earnings and economic growth — and a contained rise in rates.</p><p><blockquote>DWS集团预计，在持续（如果放缓）的盈利和经济增长以及利率上升幅度有限的共同支撑下，明年标普500将进一步上升。</blockquote></p><p> \"Our view for risk assets is simply, it should be another good year in 2022,\" David Bianco, DWS Group chief investment officer, Americas, said during a media call on Dec. 1. \"With lower inflation, slowing inflation, we should be comfortable with the idea that interest rates, both nominal and real, only climb modestly.\"</p><p><blockquote>DWS集团美洲首席投资官David Bianco在12月1日的媒体看涨期权上表示：“我们对风险资产的看法很简单，2022年应该是又一个好年景。”“随着通胀下降、通胀放缓，我们应该对名义利率和实际利率仅小幅攀升的想法感到满意。”</blockquote></p><p> The firm expects to see the S&amp;P 500 end 2022 at 5,000, growing by nearly 6.5% from closing levels on Dec. 22.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计2022年底标普500将达到5,000点，较12月22日收盘水平增长近6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> \"So far, long-term interest rates have only climbed slightly, and long-term real interest rates which are key for the PE [price-earnings ratio] of U.S. equities and equities worldwide, they're still near all-time lows,\" he added. \"When it comes to PE multiples, they stand on the shoulders of the bond market.\"</p><p><blockquote>“到目前为止，长期利率仅小幅攀升，而对美国股市和全球股市PE（市盈率）至关重要的长期实际利率仍接近历史低点，”他补充道。“说到PE倍数，他们是站在债市的肩膀上的。”</blockquote></p><p> Bianco expects the S&amp;P 500's PE multiple, which has been trading at about 22 times current earnings, will be sustained through next year. The firm also anticipates S&amp;P 500 companies' aggregate earnings per share (EPS) will come in at about $228 for 2022, growing by 7% from an estimated $213 level this year. This earnings view assumes no corporate tax hikes in the U.S. in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>Bianco预计，该标普500的市盈率（目前市盈率约为22倍）将持续到明年。该公司还预计标普500公司2022年每股收益(EPS)总额将约为228美元，比今年预计的213美元增长7%。这一盈利观点假设2022年美国不会提高企业税。</blockquote></p><p> \"Our view is that the equity market, the S&amp;P, is largely fairly valued, but our preferences for a long time have remained the digital businesses — technology, communications, growth stocks in general, a preference for intangible businesses — we've argued that these types of businesses actually do provide terrific inflation protection,\" Bianco said. \"This is not the 1970s, and often, we think the best way to protect against inflation is simply to own the best quality businesses. And look for businesses that are raising productivity, rather than raising price.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我们的观点是，股市、标准普尔指数的估值基本合理，但长期以来我们的偏好仍然是数字业务——技术、通信、一般成长型股票，以及对无形业务的偏好——我们认为这些类型的企业实际上确实提供了极好的通胀保护，”比安科说。“现在不是20世纪70年代，我们通常认为抵御通货膨胀的最佳方式就是拥有最优质的企业。并寻找提高生产率而不是提高价格的企业。”</blockquote></p><p> Bianco also said the firm was Overweight the health care and financials sectors, with the latter constituting a beneficiary of higher rates given the likelihood of at least one Federal Reserve interest rate hike next year.</p><p><blockquote>Bianco还表示，该公司是医疗保健和金融行业的跑赢大盘，鉴于美联储明年可能至少加息一次，后者是利率上升的受益者。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Price target as of December 2021</i></p><p><blockquote><i>截至2021年12月的价格目标</i></blockquote></p><p> —</p><p><blockquote>—</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bank of America (Target: 4,600): Look for 'inflation-protected yield'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国银行（目标：4,600）：寻找“通胀保值收益率”</b></blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 is poised to end 2022 slightly lower compared to present levels, according to Bank of America's Savita Subramanian.</p><p><blockquote>美银的Savita Subramanian表示，到2022年底，标普500将略低于目前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> The firm's 2022 outlook sees the index ending next year at 4,600, or down by 2% compared to closing prices on Dec. 22. That would come alongside slowing earnings growth, with S&amp;P 500 earnings per share set to rise just 6.5% next year, based on Subramanian's projections.</p><p><blockquote>该公司2022年展望预计该指数明年收于4,600点，较12月22日收盘价下跌2%。与此同时，盈利增长也将放缓，根据Subramanian的预测，标普500明年每股收益将仅增长6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Expectations for a higher discount rate serve as one of the main drivers for this outlook, with next year's predicted higher-rate environment weighing on stock valuations. Plus, as rates rise, other assets will compete for investor attention next year, Subramanian added.</p><p><blockquote>对更高贴现率的预期是这一前景的主要驱动因素之一，预计明年的更高利率环境将打压股票估值。此外，Subramanian补充说，随着利率上升，明年其他资产将争夺投资者的注意力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"What happens to the TINA ('There is no alternative' to stocks) argument if cash yields rival the S&amp;P 500's 1.3% dividend yield, and the 10-year yield hits 2% by YE [year-end] 2022? Dividend growth needs to keep up, thus, our theme: inflation-protected yield,\" Subramanian said. \"Inflation-protected yield favors Energy, Financials and Real Estate.\"</p><p><blockquote>“如果现金收益率与标普500 1.3%的股息收益率相媲美，并且10年期收益率到2022年底达到2%，那么TINA（股票别无选择）论点会发生什么变化？股息增长需要因此，我们的主题是：通胀保值收益率，”萨勃拉曼尼亚说。“通胀保值收益率有利于能源、金融和房地产。”</blockquote></p><p> \"What will we say when we look back at today? Probably similar comments to 2000 hindsight: lofty expectations, Wall St. stock allocations up ~20 [percentage points], retail/democratized markets, frenzied IPO activity; first Fed hike into an overvalued market. And acceptance of the unthinkable: a negative cost of equity in '00, negative real rates today.\" she said. \"But the last sign of a bubble — excessive corporate/ consumer leverage — has been transferred to the government.\"</p><p><blockquote>“当我们回顾今天时，我们会说什么？可能与2000年后见类似的评论：高期望、华尔街股票配置增加约20[百分点]、零售/民主化市场、疯狂的IPO活动；美联储首次加息进入高估市场。并接受不可思议的事情：00年的股权成本为负，今天的实际利率为负。”她说。“但泡沫的最后一个迹象——企业/消费者杠杆率过高——已经转移到了政府身上。”</blockquote></p><p> In terms of asset classes to favor, Subramanian said prioritize commodities, then cash, then stocks and then bonds in 2022. She also said she prefers small caps versus large caps and value stocks versus growth.</p><p><blockquote>就青睐的资产类别而言，Subramanian表示，2022年优先考虑大宗商品，然后是现金，然后是股票，然后是债券。她还表示，她更喜欢小盘股而不是大盘股，价值股而不是成长股。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Price target as of November 2021</i></p><p><blockquote><i>截至2021年11月的价格目标</i></blockquote></p><p> —</p><p><blockquote>—</blockquote></p><p> <b>Goldman Sachs (Target: 5,100): 'The equity bull market will continue'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高盛（目标：5,100）：“股市牛市将持续”</b></blockquote></p><p> Corporate profits are set to be the&nbsp;driving force for a further rise in the stock market next year,according to David Kostin, Goldman Sachs' chief U.S. equity strategist. The firm expects the S&amp;P 500 to climb to 5,100 by the end of 2022, marking a nearly 9% rise from Dec. 22's closing prices.</p><p><blockquote>高盛首席美国股票策略师David Kostin表示，企业利润将成为明年股市进一步上涨的驱动力。该公司预计，到2022年底，标普500将攀升至5,100点，较12月22日收盘价上涨近9%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24d62556aecb6ba8e396c1bda82f9d5c\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"640\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>A trader looks up at a chart on his computer screen while working on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson (UNITED STATES - Tags: BUSINESS TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>一名交易员在纽约证券交易所工作时抬头看着电脑屏幕上的图表。路透社/卢卡斯·杰克逊（美国-标签：每日商业TPX图片）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> \"Profit growth has accounted for the entire S&amp;P 500 return in 2021 and will continue to drive gains in 2022,\" wrote Kostin in a note. \"S&amp;P 500 EPS will grow by 8% to $226 in 2022 and by 4% to $236 in 2023.\"</p><p><blockquote>Kostin在一份报告中写道：“利润增长占了标普500 2021年的全部回报，并将继续推动2022年的收益。”“2022年标普500每股收益将增长8%至226美元，2023年将增长4%至236美元。”</blockquote></p><p> Companies will likely continue to expand profit margins even as input cost pressures and supply chain challenges linger, Kostin predicted, adding that he expects aggregate S&amp;P 500 company profit margins to expand by another 40 basis points to reach 12.6% next year. Still, he suggested avoiding investing in firms with high labor costs, and favoring growth stocks with high margins over low-margin or unprofitable growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>科斯汀预测，尽管投入成本压力和供应链挑战依然存在，但公司可能会继续扩大利润率，并补充说，他预计明年标普500公司的总利润率将再扩大40个基点，达到12.6%。尽管如此，他建议避免投资劳动力成本高的公司，并青睐高利润率的成长型股票，而不是低利润率或无利可图的成长型股票。</blockquote></p><p> While the economic recovery and commensurate strength in corporate profits will likely extend into next year, one key factor will shift in next year's investing environment and apply pressure to valuations, Kostin said.</p><p><blockquote>科斯汀表示，虽然经济复苏和企业利润的相应强劲可能会延续到明年，但明年的投资环境将发生变化，并给估值带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> \"The Fed will begin to hike rates in July,\" Kostin said. \"Real interest rates will rise, solidifying the ceiling on valuation multiples and driving rotations within the equity market.\"</p><p><blockquote>“美联储将在7月开始加息，”科斯汀说。“实际利率将上升，巩固估值倍数的上限，并推动股市内的轮动。”</blockquote></p><p> \"However, other aspects of the current equity market will persist. Real rates, while rising, will remain negative, and investor equity allocations will continue to establish record highs,\" he added. \"In contrast with our expectation during the past year, corporate tax rates will likely remain unchanged in 2022 and rise in 2023. Corporate earnings will grow and lift share prices. The equity bull market will continue.\"</p><p><blockquote>“然而，当前股市的其他方面将持续存在。实际利率虽然上升，但仍将为负，投资者的股票配置将继续创下历史新高，”他补充道。“与我们过去一年的预期相反，企业税率可能在2022年保持不变，并在2023年上升。企业盈利将增长并提振股价。股市牛市将持续。”</blockquote></p><p> <i>Price target as of November 2021</i></p><p><blockquote><i>截至2021年11月的价格目标</i></blockquote></p><p> —</p><p><blockquote>—</blockquote></p><p> <b>Morgan Stanley (Target: 4,400): 'O</b><b>ur key message centers around multiple contraction'</b></p><p><blockquote><b>摩根士丹利（目标：4,400）：'O</b><b>你的关键信息围绕多重收缩”</b></blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley thinks stocks are going down next year.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利认为明年股市将下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley chief U.S. equity strategist, sees the S&amp;P 500 dipping to 4,400 next year, representing a drop of 6.3%, compared to Dec. 7's closing prices.The biggest driver of the dip will be multiple compression, with a higher-rate environment next year pressuring stock valuations as earnings growth continues at a slower rate.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利首席美国股票策略师Mike Wilson预计，明年标普500将跌至4,400点，较12月7日收盘价下跌6.3%。下跌的最大驱动因素将是多重压缩，随着盈利增长继续放缓，明年利率上升的环境将给股票估值带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> \"As we think about our forecasts for the year ahead, our key message centers around multiple contraction amid a continued mid-cycle de-rating, higher bond yields, and greater economic and earnings<i>uncertainty,\"</i>Wilson said in a note. \"While earnings for the overall index remain durable, there will be greater dispersion of winners and losers and growth rates will slow materially.\"</p><p><blockquote>“当我们思考未来一年的预测时，我们的关键信息集中在中期评级持续下调、债券收益率上升以及经济和盈利增长的多重收缩上。”<i>不确定性，”</i>威尔逊在一份说明中说。“虽然整体指数的盈利仍然持久，但赢家和输家将更加分散，增长率将大幅放缓。”</blockquote></p><p> \"While our overall earnings forecast for 2023 is about in-line with consensus ($245; 8% growth), we believe there is scope for significant dispersion — suggesting stock selection will provide plenty of opportunity in 2022 even if the index doesn't do much point to point,\" he added. \"Bottom line, 2022 will be more about stocks than sectors or styles, in our view.\"</p><p><blockquote>“虽然我们对2023年的整体盈利预测与共识大致一致（245美元；增长8%），但我们认为存在显着分散的空间——这表明即使该指数没有表现，股票选择也将在2022年提供大量机会。点对点做太多，”他补充道。“我们认为，最重要的是，2022年将更多地关注股票，而不是行业或风格。”</blockquote></p><p> As interest rates set to move higher next year, bank stocks may benefit and outperform relative to long-duration growth stocks that would see valuations most pressured by rising rates, Wilson noted. However, \"reasonably priced growth and defensive quality should hold up\" as well, he added.</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊指出，随着明年利率将走高，相对于长期成长型股票，银行股可能会受益并跑赢大盘，因为长期成长型股票的估值受利率上升的压力最大。然而，他补充说，“合理定价的增长和防御质量也应该保持下去”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"We think the obsession with Value vs. Growth will start to die down as idiosyncratic risk becomes the key,\" Wilson said. \"Much like 2021, we could see periods of Value and Growth outperformance that is dependent on the market's current posture regarding macro growth and rates. For the moment, we have a slight bias toward Value given its higher leverage to rising interest rates and inflation, which should be with us through year-end.\"</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊表示：“我们认为，随着特殊风险成为关键，对价值与增长的痴迷将开始消退。”“就像2021年一样，我们可能会看到价值和增长表现优异的时期，这取决于市场当前在宏观增长和利率方面的状况。目前，我们对价值有轻微的偏见，因为它对利率上升和通胀的杠杆作用较高，这应该会伴随我们到年底。”</blockquote></p><p> <i>Price target as of November 2021</i></p><p><blockquote><i>截至2021年11月的价格目标</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-equity-outlook-2022-193659328.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-equity-outlook-2022-193659328.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195213621","content_text":"Strategists have begun to deliver their outlooks for the stock market next year — and many are tempering expectations after this year's double-digit gains.\nAgainst a backdrop of vaccinations, easing lockdown measures and a broad-based economic reopening, the S&P 500 rose by about 25% in 2021 through market close on Dec. 22. The blue-chip index has also more than doubled from its March 23, 2020 nadir.\n\nThe S&P 500 is unlikely to repeat these kinds of returns next year, based on the projections of a number of pundits. With market participants pricing in at least one interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve, and an initial boost from the reopening, and monetary and fiscal stimulus fading, the easy gains for this cycle are likely in the past. And more than one strategist thinks stocks are set to decline at least modestly next year from current levels.\nHere's what some strategists from top Wall Street firms are predicting for the stock market next year.\n—\nOppenheimer (5,330): 'The noise stemming from negative projections ... should not obscure the signals of progress'\nOppenheimer strategist John Stoltzfus has struck an especially upbeat tone on stocks for 2022, projecting another year of double-digit gains as economic growth remains robust and policymakers move to address concerns over rising prices.\nOppenheimer's outlook sees the S&P 500 climbing to 5,330 by year-end 2022. This would represent an about 13.5% increase from closing prices on Dec. 22.\n\"We suggest that investors not let near-term uncertainty obfuscate progress being made as the central bank adjusts monetary policy to meet higher-than-expected inflation and as the U.S. and global economy navigate current challenges to re-openings posed by COVID-19 variants and supply chain disruptions,\" Stoltzfus wrote in a note published on Dec. 20.\n\"In our view, the noise stemming from negative projections coming from some traders, skeptics, bears and fear-mongers of late should not obscure the signals of progress that have been made societally and economically since the pandemic struck globally in March 2020 through to the current day,\" he added.\nStoltzfus noted that the firm remains overweight U.S. equities, while also \"maintaining meaningful exposure to both developed and emerging markets on expectations that an economic recovery stateside coming out of the COVID-19 emergency will help boost economic growth around the world and lead to a global economic expansion.\"\nIn terms of sectors, Oppenheimer favors information technology and cyclical stocks over defensive sectors. And in terms of style, Stoltzfus. And for investing style, Oppenheimer said it prefers a barbell approach that includes both value and growth stocks, given the backdrop of what is likely to be rising, but still historically low interest rates next year.\nPrice target as of December 2021\n—\nCredit Suisse (5,200): S&P 500 target raised 'on robust projections for economic growth'\nCredit Suisse chief U.S. equity strategist Jonathan Golub is getting more bullish on stocks for 2022.\nThe firm raised its 2022 S&P 500 price target to 5,200, from the 5,000 seen previously. The updated forecast also predicts another year of double-digit appreciation for the index, with an estimated rise of nearly 11% from closing prices on Dec. 22.\n\"This constructive outlook is based on robust projections for economic growth in both real and nominal terms, further margin upside in cyclical groups, a pickup in buybacks and a favorable discount rate despite Fed tightening,\" Golub wrote in a note.\nThe firm also raised its 2022 S&P 500 aggregate earnings per share (EPS) forecast to $235, up from the $230 seen previously. The revision assumes that a corporate tax rate increase will not take effect next year out of Washington.\nCredit Suisse is Overweight cyclical sectors including energy, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary (excluding internet retailers), given expectations for \"robust GDP and inflation\" and continued earnings momentum. The firm is market weight \"TECH+,\" or technology, internet services and internet retail firms.\n\"We would reevaluate this positioning should the yield curve flatten further, nominal growth fade, or earnings trends reverse,\" Golub wrote. \"We are downgrading Financials and Health Care to Underweight, on weaker growth prospects in 2022.\"\nPrice target as of December 2021\n—\nJPMorgan (Target 5,050): '2022 will be a strong year for economic recovery and performance of cyclical assets'\nJPMorgan sees stocks building on gains next year, albeit at a slower clip than in the last few years. And with interest rates poised to rise, cyclical areas of the market — both in the U.S. and internationally — are set to be some of the strongest performers, suggested Marko Kolanovic, chief global markets strategist at JPMorgan.\nThe firm forecasted that the S&P 500 would reach 5,050 by year-end 2022, representing a rise of about 7.5% from closing levels on Dec. 22.\n\"This represents a smaller percentage appreciation compared to our 2021 forecast; however, we do think international equities, emerging markets and cyclical market segments will significantly outperform and deliver 2-3 times higher returns,\" Kolanovic wrote. \"The reason for this is our expectation for increasing interest rates and marginally tighter monetary policy that should be a headwind for high-multiple markets such as the Nasdaq.\"\n\"Within the U.S., we like reopening and reflationary themes and beneficiaries of higher bond yields,\" he added. JPMorgan expects the yield on the benchmark 10-year note to climb to 2.25% by the end of next year.\n\"What are the risks to our view? As the recovery runs its course, markets will begin adjusting to tighter monetary conditions, a process that will likely inject volatility,\" Kolanovic added. \"There are other risks that investors will need to monitor and manage in 2022. They include increased geopolitical tensions in Europe and Asia (in particular related to Ukraine and Iran), a looming energy crisis, uncertainties around high inflation, and the path of monetary policy normalization.\"\nPrice target as of December 2021\n—\nDWS Group (Target: 5,000): 'When it comes to PE multiples, they stand on the shoulders of the bond market'\nDWS Group expects the S&P 500 will rise further into next year, supported by a combination of sustained — if slowing, earnings and economic growth — and a contained rise in rates.\n\"Our view for risk assets is simply, it should be another good year in 2022,\" David Bianco, DWS Group chief investment officer, Americas, said during a media call on Dec. 1. \"With lower inflation, slowing inflation, we should be comfortable with the idea that interest rates, both nominal and real, only climb modestly.\"\nThe firm expects to see the S&P 500 end 2022 at 5,000, growing by nearly 6.5% from closing levels on Dec. 22.\n\"So far, long-term interest rates have only climbed slightly, and long-term real interest rates which are key for the PE [price-earnings ratio] of U.S. equities and equities worldwide, they're still near all-time lows,\" he added. \"When it comes to PE multiples, they stand on the shoulders of the bond market.\"\nBianco expects the S&P 500's PE multiple, which has been trading at about 22 times current earnings, will be sustained through next year. The firm also anticipates S&P 500 companies' aggregate earnings per share (EPS) will come in at about $228 for 2022, growing by 7% from an estimated $213 level this year. This earnings view assumes no corporate tax hikes in the U.S. in 2022.\n\"Our view is that the equity market, the S&P, is largely fairly valued, but our preferences for a long time have remained the digital businesses — technology, communications, growth stocks in general, a preference for intangible businesses — we've argued that these types of businesses actually do provide terrific inflation protection,\" Bianco said. \"This is not the 1970s, and often, we think the best way to protect against inflation is simply to own the best quality businesses. And look for businesses that are raising productivity, rather than raising price.\"\nBianco also said the firm was Overweight the health care and financials sectors, with the latter constituting a beneficiary of higher rates given the likelihood of at least one Federal Reserve interest rate hike next year.\nPrice target as of December 2021\n—\nBank of America (Target: 4,600): Look for 'inflation-protected yield'\nThe S&P 500 is poised to end 2022 slightly lower compared to present levels, according to Bank of America's Savita Subramanian.\nThe firm's 2022 outlook sees the index ending next year at 4,600, or down by 2% compared to closing prices on Dec. 22. That would come alongside slowing earnings growth, with S&P 500 earnings per share set to rise just 6.5% next year, based on Subramanian's projections.\nExpectations for a higher discount rate serve as one of the main drivers for this outlook, with next year's predicted higher-rate environment weighing on stock valuations. Plus, as rates rise, other assets will compete for investor attention next year, Subramanian added.\n\"What happens to the TINA ('There is no alternative' to stocks) argument if cash yields rival the S&P 500's 1.3% dividend yield, and the 10-year yield hits 2% by YE [year-end] 2022? Dividend growth needs to keep up, thus, our theme: inflation-protected yield,\" Subramanian said. \"Inflation-protected yield favors Energy, Financials and Real Estate.\"\n\"What will we say when we look back at today? Probably similar comments to 2000 hindsight: lofty expectations, Wall St. stock allocations up ~20 [percentage points], retail/democratized markets, frenzied IPO activity; first Fed hike into an overvalued market. And acceptance of the unthinkable: a negative cost of equity in '00, negative real rates today.\" she said. \"But the last sign of a bubble — excessive corporate/ consumer leverage — has been transferred to the government.\"\nIn terms of asset classes to favor, Subramanian said prioritize commodities, then cash, then stocks and then bonds in 2022. She also said she prefers small caps versus large caps and value stocks versus growth.\nPrice target as of November 2021\n—\nGoldman Sachs (Target: 5,100): 'The equity bull market will continue'\nCorporate profits are set to be the driving force for a further rise in the stock market next year,according to David Kostin, Goldman Sachs' chief U.S. equity strategist. The firm expects the S&P 500 to climb to 5,100 by the end of 2022, marking a nearly 9% rise from Dec. 22's closing prices.\nA trader looks up at a chart on his computer screen while working on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson (UNITED STATES - Tags: BUSINESS TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY)\n\"Profit growth has accounted for the entire S&P 500 return in 2021 and will continue to drive gains in 2022,\" wrote Kostin in a note. \"S&P 500 EPS will grow by 8% to $226 in 2022 and by 4% to $236 in 2023.\"\nCompanies will likely continue to expand profit margins even as input cost pressures and supply chain challenges linger, Kostin predicted, adding that he expects aggregate S&P 500 company profit margins to expand by another 40 basis points to reach 12.6% next year. Still, he suggested avoiding investing in firms with high labor costs, and favoring growth stocks with high margins over low-margin or unprofitable growth stocks.\nWhile the economic recovery and commensurate strength in corporate profits will likely extend into next year, one key factor will shift in next year's investing environment and apply pressure to valuations, Kostin said.\n\"The Fed will begin to hike rates in July,\" Kostin said. \"Real interest rates will rise, solidifying the ceiling on valuation multiples and driving rotations within the equity market.\"\n\"However, other aspects of the current equity market will persist. Real rates, while rising, will remain negative, and investor equity allocations will continue to establish record highs,\" he added. \"In contrast with our expectation during the past year, corporate tax rates will likely remain unchanged in 2022 and rise in 2023. Corporate earnings will grow and lift share prices. The equity bull market will continue.\"\nPrice target as of November 2021\n—\nMorgan Stanley (Target: 4,400): 'Our key message centers around multiple contraction'\nMorgan Stanley thinks stocks are going down next year.\nMike Wilson, Morgan Stanley chief U.S. equity strategist, sees the S&P 500 dipping to 4,400 next year, representing a drop of 6.3%, compared to Dec. 7's closing prices.The biggest driver of the dip will be multiple compression, with a higher-rate environment next year pressuring stock valuations as earnings growth continues at a slower rate.\n\"As we think about our forecasts for the year ahead, our key message centers around multiple contraction amid a continued mid-cycle de-rating, higher bond yields, and greater economic and earningsuncertainty,\"Wilson said in a note. \"While earnings for the overall index remain durable, there will be greater dispersion of winners and losers and growth rates will slow materially.\"\n\"While our overall earnings forecast for 2023 is about in-line with consensus ($245; 8% growth), we believe there is scope for significant dispersion — suggesting stock selection will provide plenty of opportunity in 2022 even if the index doesn't do much point to point,\" he added. \"Bottom line, 2022 will be more about stocks than sectors or styles, in our view.\"\nAs interest rates set to move higher next year, bank stocks may benefit and outperform relative to long-duration growth stocks that would see valuations most pressured by rising rates, Wilson noted. However, \"reasonably priced growth and defensive quality should hold up\" as well, he added.\n\"We think the obsession with Value vs. Growth will start to die down as idiosyncratic risk becomes the key,\" Wilson said. \"Much like 2021, we could see periods of Value and Growth outperformance that is dependent on the market's current posture regarding macro growth and rates. For the moment, we have a slight bias toward Value given its higher leverage to rising interest rates and inflation, which should be with us through year-end.\"\nPrice target as of November 2021","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":814,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698177564,"gmtCreate":1640328969963,"gmtModify":1640329417001,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698177564","repostId":"1133128856","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133128856","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640325579,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133128856?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 13:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Oracle, Cerner and the Liar’s Cloud<blockquote>甲骨文、Cerner和骗子的云</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133128856","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"ORCL stock is dirt cheap for a cloud company","content":"<p><div> This was the year Oracle(NASDAQ:ORCL) was finally recognized as a cloud player. When ORCL stock hit its all-time high on Dec. 6, investors were looking at a 67% year-to-date gain. Today, shares are up...</p><p><blockquote><div>这一年，甲骨文（纳斯达克：ORCL）最终被公认为云参与者。当ORCL股价于12月6日创下历史新高时，投资者预计今年迄今已上涨67%。今天，股价上涨了...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/orcl-stock-oracle-cerner-and-the-liars-cloud/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/orcl-stock-oracle-cerner-and-the-liars-cloud/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Oracle, Cerner and the Liar’s Cloud<blockquote>甲骨文、Cerner和骗子的云</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOracle, Cerner and the Liar’s Cloud<blockquote>甲骨文、Cerner和骗子的云</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-24 13:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> This was the year Oracle(NASDAQ:ORCL) was finally recognized as a cloud player. When ORCL stock hit its all-time high on Dec. 6, investors were looking at a 67% year-to-date gain. Today, shares are up...</p><p><blockquote><div>这一年，甲骨文（纳斯达克：ORCL）最终被公认为云参与者。当ORCL股价于12月6日创下历史新高时，投资者预计今年迄今已上涨67%。今天，股价上涨了...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/orcl-stock-oracle-cerner-and-the-liars-cloud/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/orcl-stock-oracle-cerner-and-the-liars-cloud/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/orcl-stock-oracle-cerner-and-the-liars-cloud/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CERN":"美国塞纳","ORCL":"甲骨文"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/orcl-stock-oracle-cerner-and-the-liars-cloud/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133128856","content_text":"This was the year Oracle(NASDAQ:ORCL) was finally recognized as a cloud player. When ORCL stock hit its all-time high on Dec. 6, investors were looking at a 67% year-to-date gain. Today, shares are up a little more than 40%, thanks in part to the omicron downdraft but also thanks to Oracle’s purchase of Cerner(NASDAQ:CERN) for $28.3 billion.\nIt’s an all-cash deal that will require Oracle to do some borrowing. At the end of November, Oracle listed about $23 billion in cash and marketable securities against $74.4 billion of non-current borrowings.\nThe acquisition of Cerner gives Oracle a hefty piece of the health IT market, behind only privately held Epic Systems. Oracle’s spin is that the move makes it a major player in the health cloud.\nThe Liar’s Cloud\nOracle was late to the cloud, which is built on open-source software and cheap, standardized chips.\nCo-founder Larry Ellison, who at 77 still directs the company and is its largest shareholder, openly opposed open source. Most notoriously,Oracle bought Sun Microsystems, a major open-source sponsor in 2009. After the deal closed, Oracle sought to make Sun’s open-source tools proprietary. It even fought a decade-long battle in court with Google for Java revenues,which it lost this year before the Supreme Court.\nSince embracing the cloud, however, Oracle’s fortunes have risen, as have Ellison’s. He’s now a centibillionaire,worth $122.5 billion.\nCritics call Oracle’s products a “fake cloud.” Oracle’s proprietary tools are still embedded in it. Ellison calls it an “autonomous cloud.” This has created a form of “liar’s poker” in the cloud.\nAs long-time analyst Matt Asay wrote recently, nearly one-third of information technology (IT) professionals say they’re “cloud native” and another 37% say they plan to be in two to three years. But only around 6% of IT spending today is on cloud services. Saying you like the savings of open-source cloud and taking full advantage of those savings are two different things.\nHealth Care Control\nThis split between what is done and what is said is especially prevalent in health care.\nIn theory, your health care data is yours. In practice, it belongs to the hospital group collecting it. Federal law is very strict on sharing it. This slowed cloud adoption, along with the initial cost of installing non-cloud solutions early in the 2010s.\nCerner CEO David Feinberg has been fighting this battle for years. He only joined Cerner in October. Previously, he worked at Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG, GOOGL), where he led Google Health.\nThis deal clips the company to a semi-proprietary cloud operator. Cerner has been a large customer for Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) Web services. Eventually, most of that revenue will move to Oracle.\nStill, the deal could be huge for both Oracle and Cerner customers. Oracle will be offering those customers the protection of a proprietary operation, along with the cloud halo. Cerner’s current software is closely integrated with that of Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT). Oracle will now benefit from that integration.\nThe Bottom Line on ORCL Stock\nFor a cloud company, ORCL stock is still dirt cheap. Its market cap is less than 6 times fiscal 2021 revenue of $40 billion. That’s because revenue hasn’t advanced much since 2018, when it was $39.4 billion.\nCloud has yet to show itself in Oracle’s revenue because much of Oracle remains tied to old-fashioned data centers. Cerner offers instant growth, with $5.8 billion in revenue estimated for this year.  It also offers huge opportunities in the cloud-hesitant world of health care, where Amazon, Microsoft and Alphabet have seen only limited success for a decade.\nHealth care companies are less interested in the savings of the cloud than its flexibility. Control over data remains paramount. That’s what kept the large IT players out of health care for so long. The Oracle-Cerner deal is the first break in that dam. While it’s not as big as Oracle advertises, it’s a sign of things to come.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ORCL":0.9,"CERN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":872,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698174387,"gmtCreate":1640328779723,"gmtModify":1640329328593,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698174387","repostId":"1107827800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107827800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640326128,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107827800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107827800","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li>  <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li>  <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>在这个阶段，应该根据公司的成长性来判断公司，而不是盈利。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>FreshSplash/E+来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Thesis Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>论文摘要</b></blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited(SE)是划分房间的公司之一。该股是2020/2021年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，目前已从历史高点下跌了30%以上，这在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote></p><p> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Sea的基本增长故事仍然强劲，目前它亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，并且可以提出比今天高得多的价格的论点。最后，Sea还应该受益于中国央行PBOC最近的政策变化以及整体宏观经济趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Quick Recap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>快速回顾</b></blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited有三个主要部门：数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.</p><p><blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来营业收入的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee的GMV同比增长81%，通过SeaMoney处理的TPV同比增长111%。</blockquote></p><p> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.</p><p><blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但Sea Limited在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了购买具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票的绝佳机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Growth And Profitability Prospects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>增长和盈利前景</b></blockquote></p><p> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，还正在经历数字化，这对SE来说是个好兆头。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: SEA Economy Report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：海洋经济报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.</p><p><blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV将超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体之一，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。除此之外，Sea还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了MercadoLibre(MELI)。</blockquote></p><p> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.</p><p><blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手发展。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚，电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote></p><p> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.</p><p><blockquote>负责制造自由火力的Garena走的是另一条路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了步伐，发布了游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。在Seeking Alpha最近的一篇文章中，JR Research指出，Garena继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，活跃用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Comparative Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比较估值</b></blockquote></p><p> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得Sea Limited有时会受到不公平的评判，正是因为它凭借Free Fire拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看Sea的盈利并抱怨它们增长不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果Shopee或SeaMoney作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的苛刻程度就会小得多。</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited是增长型经济体中的一家成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.</p><p><blockquote>上面我们可以看到Sea的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款崭露头角的游戏/平台，可与Free Fire相媲美。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与Sea相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay可与SeaMoney相媲美。此外，所有这些公司都是高增长公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote></p><p> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.</p><p><blockquote>不过，就P/S和EV/销售额而言，Sea比除Meli之外的其他公司便宜。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/书与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.</p><p><blockquote>最终，Sea的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它没有“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会“盈利”的商业模式。考虑到所有这些因素，14的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近20左右的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Other Considerations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他考虑</b></blockquote></p><p> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者可能会认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。第一个问题是：美联储还能收紧多久？我们之前在2018年看到过这种情况，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧货币政策的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote></p><p> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.</p><p><blockquote>这对海洋意味着什么？其影响尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于该公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote></p><p> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.</p><p><blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，其影响尚不清楚。在许多方面，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.</p><p><blockquote>近几个月来，除了股价之外，Sea Limited没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在各个领域扩张，甚至提高了盈利能力，尽管这不太重要。我很高兴看到这只股票在2022年的表现。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-24 14:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li>  <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li>  <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>在这个阶段，应该根据公司的成长性来判断公司，而不是盈利。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>FreshSplash/E+来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Thesis Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>论文摘要</b></blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited(SE)是划分房间的公司之一。该股是2020/2021年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，目前已从历史高点下跌了30%以上，这在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote></p><p> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Sea的基本增长故事仍然强劲，目前它亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，并且可以提出比今天高得多的价格的论点。最后，Sea还应该受益于中国央行PBOC最近的政策变化以及整体宏观经济趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Quick Recap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>快速回顾</b></blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited有三个主要部门：数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.</p><p><blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来营业收入的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee的GMV同比增长81%，通过SeaMoney处理的TPV同比增长111%。</blockquote></p><p> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.</p><p><blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但Sea Limited在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了购买具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票的绝佳机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Growth And Profitability Prospects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>增长和盈利前景</b></blockquote></p><p> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，还正在经历数字化，这对SE来说是个好兆头。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: SEA Economy Report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：海洋经济报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.</p><p><blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV将超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体之一，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。除此之外，Sea还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了MercadoLibre(MELI)。</blockquote></p><p> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.</p><p><blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手发展。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚，电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote></p><p> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.</p><p><blockquote>负责制造自由火力的Garena走的是另一条路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了步伐，发布了游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。在Seeking Alpha最近的一篇文章中，JR Research指出，Garena继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，活跃用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Comparative Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比较估值</b></blockquote></p><p> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得Sea Limited有时会受到不公平的评判，正是因为它凭借Free Fire拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看Sea的盈利并抱怨它们增长不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果Shopee或SeaMoney作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的苛刻程度就会小得多。</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited是增长型经济体中的一家成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.</p><p><blockquote>上面我们可以看到Sea的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款崭露头角的游戏/平台，可与Free Fire相媲美。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与Sea相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay可与SeaMoney相媲美。此外，所有这些公司都是高增长公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote></p><p> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.</p><p><blockquote>不过，就P/S和EV/销售额而言，Sea比除Meli之外的其他公司便宜。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/书与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.</p><p><blockquote>最终，Sea的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它没有“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会“盈利”的商业模式。考虑到所有这些因素，14的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近20左右的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Other Considerations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他考虑</b></blockquote></p><p> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者可能会认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。第一个问题是：美联储还能收紧多久？我们之前在2018年看到过这种情况，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧货币政策的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote></p><p> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.</p><p><blockquote>这对海洋意味着什么？其影响尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于该公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote></p><p> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.</p><p><blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，其影响尚不清楚。在许多方面，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.</p><p><blockquote>近几个月来，除了股价之外，Sea Limited没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在各个领域扩张，甚至提高了盈利能力，尽管这不太重要。我很高兴看到这只股票在2022年的表现。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107827800","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.\nThe recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.\n\nFreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nSea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1065,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698175819,"gmtCreate":1640328720441,"gmtModify":1640329016718,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698175819","repostId":"2193121906","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":905,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698175927,"gmtCreate":1640328692361,"gmtModify":1640329016529,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698175927","repostId":"1126351388","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126351388","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640327311,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126351388?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"XPeng: Forecasting Its Expansion Into Robotaxi<blockquote>小鹏汽车：预测其向机器人出租车领域的扩张</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126351388","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nXPeng is poised to disrupt the incumbent robotaxi and ride-hailing firms.\nUsing an AI-centr","content":"<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>XPeng is poised to disrupt the incumbent robotaxi and ride-hailing firms.</li>  <li>Using an AI-centric approach with small sensors, XPeng will be able to operate at a substantially lower cost.</li>  <li>Winning a market share of the ride-hailing industry implies significant upside valuation potential for XPEV.</li> </ul> XPeng Motors (XPEV) recently announced the company will launch a pilot program for autonomous driving ride-hailing service in the second half of 2022. This announcement generated multiple positive news articles, and the company's valuation rose in response. However, most if not all articles failed to appreciate a significant implication. XPeng will be the first vehicle manufacturer to enter the autonomous ride-hailing market with its mass-market production vehicles. With this announcement, XPeng implies their privately-owned vehicles will be able to match the autonomous capabilities of robotaxi firms like Waymo, Cruise, or Baidu (BIDU), and that XPeng can generate similar revenues without the added cost of robotaxi retrofit and potentially the cost of the vehicles themselves. With its substantial cost advantages, the company is poised to capture a large portion of the ride-hailing market and realize a significant valuation upside.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>小鹏汽车准备颠覆现有的机器人出租车和网约车公司。</li><li>使用以人工智能为中心的方法和小型传感器，小鹏汽车将能够以低得多的成本运营。</li><li>赢得网约车行业的市场份额意味着XPEV的估值有巨大的上行潜力。</li></ul>小鹏汽车（XPEV）最近宣布，该公司将于2022年下半年启动自动驾驶网约车服务试点计划。这一公告催生了多篇利好消息，公司估值应声上涨。然而，大多数（如果不是全部的话）文章未能理解一个重要的含义。小鹏汽车将成为第一家凭借其量产车辆进入自动驾驶网约车市场的汽车制造商。通过这一公告，小鹏汽车暗示他们的私人车辆将能够与Waymo、Cruise或百度（BIDU）等机器人出租车公司的自动驾驶能力相匹配，并且小鹏汽车可以产生类似的收入，而无需增加机器人出租车改造和潜在成本。车辆本身的成本。凭借其巨大的成本优势，该公司有望占领网约车市场的很大一部分，并实现大幅的估值上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设</b></blockquote></p><p> Here, I make a large assumption that the pilot program will take two years to complete, and full-scale commercial operations and revenue generations will begin at the start of 2025. There exists a large degree of uncertainty with this timeline. It is largely dependent on the pace of ADAS technology development and regulatory approvals.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，我做了一个很大的假设，试点项目需要两年时间才能完成，全面的商业运营和创收将在2025年初开始。这个时间表存在很大程度的不确定性。这在很大程度上取决于ADAS技术开发和监管批准的步伐。</blockquote></p><p> XPeng has recently released the Xpilot 3.5 system with the model P5. There are multiple YouTube videos where professional reviewers ride the city NGP (Navigation Guided Pilot) 3.5 system. Here's a&nbsp;video&nbsp;clip during the XPeng Tech Day. The demonstrations consistently navigated challenging routes with few disengagements. The reviewers unanimously found the system impressive. XPeng also announced the release of the Xpilot 4.0 system with its new SUV model G9. The company expects that the 4.0 system will be live in 2023 and will be able to autonomously pilot almost all roads in China with zero disengagements. Such performance will be technologically sufficient to operate a robotaxi business.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车最近发布了Xpilot 3.5系统，车型为P5。YouTube上有多个视频，其中专业评论者乘坐城市NGP（导航引导飞行员）3.5系统。这是小鹏科技日期间的视频剪辑。示威活动始终沿着具有挑战性的路线行驶，很少脱离接触。评论者一致认为该系统令人印象深刻。小鹏汽车还宣布在旗下全新SUV车型G9上发布Xpilot 4.0系统。该公司预计4.0系统将于2023年上线，并能够在中国几乎所有道路上实现零脱离的自动驾驶。这样的性能在技术上足以运营机器人出租车业务。</blockquote></p><p> We have seen past timelines with Baidu Apollo and Pony.ai services. In November, the city of Beijing granted full commercial operation licenses to robotaxi services. It had taken a little over two years from pilot debut to limited commercialization. Baidu expects other major cities to follow Beijing's lead early next year. If XPeng is to follow the timeline, it can expect to receive commercial licenses for revenue generation in early 2025. However, Baidu and regulators have been exploring a nascent industry and building a regulatory framework. I believe it is likely that the approval of XPeng robotaxis will be considerably faster, as the approval process can take advantage of existing guidelines.</p><p><blockquote>我们已经看到了百度Apollo和Pony.ai服务过去的时间表。11月，北京市授予机器人出租车服务全面商业运营许可。从试点首次亮相到有限商业化，用了两年多一点的时间。百度预计明年初其他主要城市也将效仿北京的做法。如果小鹏汽车按照时间表进行，预计将在2025年初获得商业许可以产生收入。然而，百度和监管机构一直在探索一个新兴行业并建立监管框架。我相信小鹏机器人出租车的审批速度可能会快得多，因为审批流程可以利用现有的指导方针。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the trends of XPeng's ADAS technology and China's regulatory framework both support the assumption of 2025 revenue realization, and this assumption may be conservative.</p><p><blockquote>因此，小鹏ADAS技术和中国监管框架的趋势都支持2025年收入实现的假设，而这一假设可能偏保守。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue and CostRobotaxi Economics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入和成本出租车经济学</b></blockquote></p><p> After receiving commercial licenses, Baidu has announced that it is charging above-market fees. Baidu has a limited number of commercial licenses, and the demand is excessive due to the novelty factor. As it scales into larger operations, the fee structure is likely to come down and undercut the main competitor DiDi (DIDI), which charges $.7 - $2/mile depending on a variety of factors and level of service. For comparable service to Baidu Apollo cars in operation, DiDi charges about $1/mile, according to Lux Research Inc's articleThe Economics of Robotaxis.</p><p><blockquote>在获得商业许可后，百度宣布收取高于市场的费用。百度商用牌照数量有限，新奇因素导致需求过度。随着其规模扩大到更大的业务，费用结构可能会下降，并削弱主要竞争对手滴滴（DIDI），后者根据各种因素和服务水平收取0.7-2美元/英里的费用。根据Lux Research Inc.的文章《机器人出租车的经济学》，对于与运营中的百度Apollo汽车相当的服务，滴滴的收费约为1美元/英里。</blockquote></p><p> The article also estimates a robotaxi costs $0.28/mile to operate in China. On paper, Baidu should be able to maintain a healthy profit margin, charge lower than DiDi, and gain significant market share. If we examine the cost trends, the advantages of robotaxi widen even further. The largest cost driver of DiDi is labor, which is rising in China and around the world. Out of the operation costs of robotaxis, maintenance cost is expected to trend down as EV quality improves. Insurance cost is expected to trend down as large robotaxi firms can insure their own operations. Added value cost is expected to trend down as the autonomous driving sensors are falling sharply in prices. Vehicle cost may rise moderately but the economy of scale should keep the rate of materials inflation under that of wage inflation. Therefore, Lux Research Inc concludes, and I agree, that robotaxi operations will be disruptive to incumbent ride-hailing companies. However, how does XPeng fit into this picture?</p><p><blockquote>文章还估计，robotaxi在中国的运营成本为0.28美元/英里。理论上，百度应该能够保持健康的利润率，收费低于滴滴，并获得显著的市场份额。如果我们考察成本趋势，robotaxi的优势会进一步扩大。滴滴最大的成本驱动因素是劳动力，劳动力在中国和全球都在上升。在机器人出租车的运营成本中，随着电动汽车质量的提高，维护成本预计将呈下降趋势。随着大型机器人出租车公司可以为自己的运营投保，保险费用预计将呈下降趋势。随着自动驾驶传感器价格大幅下降，附加值成本预计将呈下降趋势。车辆成本可能会适度上升，但规模经济应使材料通胀率低于工资通胀率。因此，Lux Research Inc的结论是，我也同意，机器人出租车运营将对现有的网约车公司造成颠覆性影响。然而，小鹏汽车如何融入这幅图景？</blockquote></p><p> <b>XPeng Disruptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>小鹏汽车的颠覆</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The cost analysis shows XPeng's robotaxis will further disrupt the nascent robotaxi companies. XPeng vehicles with Xpilot 4.0 do not require retrofit to operate as a robotaxi. Lux Research estimates the robotaxis like the Baidu Apollo cost about $0.15/mile to operate in terms of vehicle and added value retrofit costs. In June 2021, Baidu announced its Apollo Moon robotaxi will cost 480,000 yuan ($75,000) to produce, according to thisNikkei articleand other publications. On the other hand, the XPeng G9 with XPilot 4.0 is expected to cost between 350,000 to 400,000 yuan to the consumers. If we roughly estimate 15% profit margin and 15% selling and marketing costs, the G9 costs XPeng approximately between 245,000 to 280,000 yuan to produce. Therefore, XPeng will be able to operate with 42-49% less vehicle cost compared to Baidu Apollo.</p><p><blockquote>成本分析显示，小鹏汽车的机器人出租车将进一步颠覆新兴的机器人出租车公司。配备Xpilot 4.0的小鹏汽车无需改装即可作为机器人出租车运行。Lux Research估计，就车辆和增值改造成本而言，像百度Apollo这样的机器人出租车的运营成本约为0.15美元/英里。据《日经新闻》的这篇文章和其他出版物报道，2021年6月，百度宣布其Apollo Moon机器人出租车的生产成本为48万元人民币（75,000美元）。另一方面，搭载XPilot 4.0的小鹏G9预计消费者的售价在35-40万元之间。如果我们粗略估计15%的利润率和15%的销售和营销成本，G9的生产成本约为24.5万至28万元。因此，与百度Apollo相比，小鹏汽车的运营成本将降低42-49%。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, XPeng robotaxi can potentially operate without a vehicle cost at all. By 2025, there are expected to be hundreds of thousands of XPeng EVs on the road that can operate as robotaxi with an OTA update. Just as Uber and DiDi hire gig drivers, XPeng can theoretically hire private autonomous cars and pay the owners a share of the revenue.</p><p><blockquote>此外，小鹏机器人出租车有可能在没有任何车辆成本的情况下运营。到2025年，预计将有数十万辆小鹏电动汽车上路，通过OTA更新可以作为robotaxi运行。就像Uber和滴滴雇佣零工司机一样，小鹏汽车理论上可以雇佣私人自动驾驶汽车，并向车主支付一部分收入。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, robotaxi companies like Baidu must maintain high margins to bear its significant overhead costs in R&amp;D and SGA. XPeng Motors vehicle sales bear the majority of the R&amp;D and SGA costs. Additional indirect costs from robotaxi business should be a small fraction of the cost structure of incumbent ride-hailing companies. If XPeng is to launch robotaxi today, it can theoretically charge $0.50/mile at a cost of $0.205/mile. (Its vehicle cost is $0.075/mile cheaper than Baidu, which cost about $0.28/mile to operate.) Such a price point cannot be matched by Baidu or DiDi and will substantially displace their market share. In fact, DiDi's breakeven price point is most likely higher than $0.90/mile. Therefore, I conclude it is likely that XPeng will be charge half of the fees of Baidu and DiDi and still maintain healthy profit margins.</p><p><blockquote>最后，像百度这样的机器人出租车公司必须保持高利润率，以承担其在研发和SGA方面的巨额管理费用。小鹏汽车汽车销售承担了大部分研发和SGA成本。robotaxi业务的额外间接成本应该只占现有网约车公司成本结构的一小部分。如果小鹏今天要推出robotaxi，理论上可以以0.205美元/英里的成本收费0.50美元/英里。（其车辆成本比百度便宜0.075美元/英里，后者的运营成本约为0.28美元/英里。）这样的价位是百度或滴滴无法比拟的，将大大取代他们的市场份额。事实上，滴滴的盈亏平衡价位大概率高于0.90美元/英里。因此，我的结论是，小鹏汽车很可能会收取百度和滴滴一半的费用，但仍保持健康的利润率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Trends and Projections</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场趋势和预测</b></blockquote></p><p> Robotaxis are expected to disrupt the ride-hailing industry. Major players like DiDi and Uber (UBER) are aware of this future trend and have spent billions developing autonomy technology themselves. As technologies mature, autonomous vehicles will also be able to encroach into the food delivery business. As a side note, XPeng holds a unique advantage with its advanced robotics division. It is in the process of bringing to market a robotic pony with autonomous terrain navigation capabilities.&nbsp;An online video&nbsp;shows it is currently able to deliver objects around XPeng's office by voice command. Robotics can enable a robotaxi to bridge the gap between the road and the delivery destination.</p><p><blockquote>机器人出租车有望颠覆网约车行业。滴滴和优步（Uber）等主要参与者意识到了这一未来趋势，并花费数十亿美元自行开发自动驾驶技术。随着技术的成熟，自动驾驶汽车也将能够蚕食外卖业务。顺便说一句，小鹏汽车凭借其先进机器人部门拥有独特的优势。它正在向市场推出一款具有自主地形导航功能的机器人小马。一段在线视频显示，它目前能够通过语音命令在小鹏办公室周围运送物品。机器人技术可以让机器人出租车弥合道路和送货目的地之间的差距。</blockquote></p><p> Following is a graph of the estimated Total Addressable Market of&nbsp;ride-hailing&nbsp;and&nbsp;food delivery&nbsp;in China, according to statista.com.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4bc4ab7e29a5f0b49cfd35d781f4597\" tg-width=\"606\" tg-height=\"382\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">With the assumption that XPeng gains regulatory licenses in 2025, I estimate XPeng Robotaxi business will grow rapidly and hold significant market share in the ride-hailing market and substantial market share in the food delivery market by 2028. Thereafter, XPeng may experience slower growth once other vehicle systems reach sufficient autonomy. I expect XPeng Robotaxi's profit margins will be lower than DiDi's as XPeng pushes a low-cost strategy to displace incumbents. I expect as much as 90% of earnings after taxes will be pure free cash flow, as R&amp;D and SGA costs attributed to the robotaxi division will be low.</p><p><blockquote>根据statista.com的数据，下图是中国网约车和食品配送的预计总目标市场。假设小鹏汽车在2025年获得监管许可，我估计到2028年，小鹏机器人出租车业务将快速增长，并在网约车市场占据重要市场份额，在外卖市场占据重要市场份额。此后，一旦其他车辆系统达到足够的自主性，小鹏汽车的增长可能会放缓。我预计小鹏机器人出租车的利润率将低于滴滴，因为小鹏汽车推行低成本战略来取代现有企业。我预计多达90%的税后收益将是纯自由现金流，因为robotaxi部门的研发和SGA成本将很低。</blockquote></p><p> I use the following assumptions for a valuation projection. There are high degrees of uncertainty and conjecture, as I forecast the first business of its kind in 2025, in an industry that is still nascent today. I expect XPeng to gain a 5% market share in robotaxi and a 2.5% market share in food delivery in 2025. It will grow at a 30% CAGR through 2028. Thereafter, the growth slows gradually to 10% by 2031 and continues at the terminal growth rate of 5%. I assume XPeng will capture 50% of sales as FCF. I use a 13% discount rate to arrive at the discounted present value of future cash flow.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d26c909caf45b9ea96b0960fd37dcd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"276\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The critical assumptions in market shares and a 30% CAGR, I believe, are conservative. I arrive at a $133.5B USD valuation for the XPeng Robotaxi business, a 350% upside to its current valuations and in addition to its vehicle sales business. I would argue that only $9B is priced in when the stock appreciated after the robotaxi announcement. Long-term investors can consider attractive points to enter. As we approach the pilot launch in 2022, more and more of the upside may be priced in with additional announcements.</p><p><blockquote>我使用以下假设进行估值预测。存在高度的不确定性和猜测，因为我预测2025年将出现第一个此类业务，而这个行业至今仍处于萌芽阶段。我预计小鹏汽车在2025年将在robotaxi领域获得5%的市场份额，在食品配送领域获得2.5%的市场份额。到2028年，它将以30%的复合年增长率增长。此后，到2031年，增长逐渐放缓至10%，并继续保持5%的最终增长率。我假设小鹏汽车将获得50%的销售额作为自由现金流。我使用13%的贴现率来得出未来现金流的贴现现值。我认为，市场份额和30%复合年增长率的关键假设是保守的。我对小鹏汽车出租车业务的估值为133.5 B美元，比其当前估值上涨350%，此外还有汽车销售业务。我认为，当robotaxi发布后该股升值时，定价中只有90亿美元。长线投资者可以考虑有吸引力的点位入场。随着2022年试点发布的临近，越来越多的上行空间可能会随着更多公告而被定价。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Additional Bull Notes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他牛市票据</b></blockquote></p><p> XPeng's core business is currently undervalued relative to its peers. As of 12/9/2021, Tesla is valued at 25 times XPeng and is on track to delivery approximately 7 times more car than XPeng in Q4. Tesla in Q3 grew at a pace of 73% YoY, which XPeng in Q3 grew 199% YoY. Considering XPeng's exceptional growth rate, it is clear XPeng is trading at a substantial discount.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车的核心业务目前相对于同行被低估。截至2021年12月9日，特斯拉的估值是小鹏汽车的25倍，并有望在第四季度交付比小鹏汽车多约7倍的汽车。特斯拉第三季度同比增长73%，其中小鹏汽车第三季度同比增长199%。考虑到小鹏汽车非凡的增长率，很明显小鹏汽车的交易价格大幅折扣。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, the robotaxi business and vehicle manufacturing are complementary businesses. Ride-hailing revenue share can incentivize more sales. If forced to own the vehicles, XPeng Motors can sell to XPeng Robotaxi at cost, giving it a substantial cost advantage over competitors.</p><p><blockquote>此外，机器人出租车业务和车辆制造是互补的业务。网约车收入份额可以激励更多销售。如果被迫拥有这些车辆，小鹏汽车可以以成本价出售给小鹏机器人出租车，使其相对于竞争对手具有巨大的成本优势。</blockquote></p><p> In addition to valuations from vehicle sales and robotaxi revenue, other potential valuation upsides exist. XPeng users currently pay monthly subscription fees to use its NGP system. We can expect the subscription uptake rate to improve as more autonomous functions are introduced. With a growing user base and its highly profitable margins, NGP subscription cash flows may grow to rival vehicle sales. We can also expect revenues from eVOTL and robotic pony sales by 2024. These revenues can be significant and are not currently priced in.</p><p><blockquote>除了汽车销量和robotaxi收入的估值外，还存在其他潜在的估值上行空间。小鹏用户目前每月支付订阅费才能使用其NGP系统。随着更多自主功能的引入，我们可以预期订阅率将会提高。随着用户群的不断增长及其高利润率，NGP订阅现金流可能会增长到与汽车销量相媲美的水平。我们还可以预计到2024年，eVOTL和机器人小马的销售收入。这些收入可能很大，但目前尚未计入价格。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks and Challenges</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险与挑战</b></blockquote></p><p> While I believe the technology and cost structure support my bull thesis, uncertainties exist. The revenue is largely dependent on the number of vehicle licenses Chinese regulators will be willing to authorize. Regulatory approvals may be slowed to reduce disruptions to the labor market.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我相信技术和成本结构支持我的看涨论点，但不确定性是存在的。收入在很大程度上取决于中国监管机构愿意授权的车辆牌照数量。监管审批可能会放缓，以减少对劳动力市场的干扰。</blockquote></p><p> In the most bearish case, regulators may decline to grant ride-hailing licenses to private autonomous vehicles. This case is highly unlikely. China would be stifling one of its leading-edge industries. There is little rationale for denying XPeng, as both private ride-hailing vehicles and autonomous ride-hailing vehicles are already authorized. However, some cities may require XPeng to own its robotaxi fleet, which will reduce its competitive advantage.</p><p><blockquote>在最悲观的情况下，监管机构可能会拒绝向私人自动驾驶汽车发放网约车牌照。这种情况极不可能发生。中国将扼杀其领先行业之一。拒绝小鹏汽车的理由很少，因为私人网约车和自动驾驶网约车都已经获得授权。然而，一些城市可能会要求小鹏汽车拥有其robotaxi车队，这将降低其竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> Tiger Securities gave a&nbsp;bearish review&nbsp;of XPeng, citing that the current laws prohibit autonomous operations, and other players \"might have time to catch up.\" It is important to study the autonomy capabilities of other players and estimate that likelihood. Judging from FSD beta tester videos, Tesla (TSLA) autonomy is somewhat behind that of XPeng's. Though with its wealth of data, Tesla may be able to quickly catch up. Regardless, Tesla FSD and XPeng NGP are coded for different driving environments. They most likely will not directly compete in robotaxi until later in the decade and in other markets than US or China. In China, Huawei Harmony intelligent driving system has also demonstrated a high level of autonomy. Huawei however is not a vehicle manufacturer. Its EV partner BAIC Arcfox is lagging quite far behind in sales compared to other EV peers. Current robotaxi firms like Baidu and Pony.ai may be able to substantially reduce the retrofit cost and may even adapt their system to a mass-market vehicle. It is unclear if it is possible for a hardware-centric robotaxi system based on powerful roof sensors to adapt to an array of weaker sensors that require greater AI logic.</p><p><blockquote>老虎证券对小鹏汽车给出了看跌评级，理由是现行法律禁止自动驾驶，其他玩家“可能有时间赶上”。研究其他参与者的自主能力并估计这种可能性是很重要的。从FSD beta测试人员视频来看，特斯拉（TSLA）的自主性有些落后于小鹏汽车。尽管凭借丰富的数据，特斯拉或许能够迅速赶上。无论如何，特斯拉FSD和小鹏NGP都是针对不同的驾驶环境进行编码的。他们很可能要到本世纪晚些时候才会在机器人出租车领域以及美国或中国以外的其他市场直接竞争。在中国，华为Harmony智能驾驶系统也展现了高度的自动驾驶水平。然而，华为不是一家汽车制造商。与其他电动汽车同行相比，其电动汽车合作伙伴北汽Arcfox的销量远远落后。百度和小马智行等当前的机器人出租车公司可能能够大幅降低改造成本，甚至可能使其系统适应大众市场车辆。目前尚不清楚基于强大车顶传感器的以硬件为中心的robotaxi系统是否有可能适应一系列需要更强人工智能逻辑的较弱传感器。</blockquote></p><p> Capturing a share of the ride-hailing and delivery market in China is highly dependent upon XPeng maintaining technology and cost advantage. It would be fair to attribute a large risk discount to the valuation. Though any shortfall in market share can be supplemented by international markets.</p><p><blockquote>在中国网约车和送货市场占据份额高度依赖于小鹏汽车保持技术和成本优势。将较大的风险折扣归因于估值是公平的。尽管市场份额的任何不足都可以通过国际市场来补充。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, there are geopolitical and specific delisting risks to investing in Chinese stocks in the form of ADRs. XPeng and some other US-listed ADRs have also listed in Hong Kong to hedge against the possibilities of delisting. In the event of delisting, US shareholders will be able to trade their shares for Hong Kong-listed shares. Those who cannot or are not willing to bank in Hong Kong will exist long positions. Share prices may be moderately depressed in the short and medium-term. It is fair to attribute some risk premium to Chinese ADRs. Though I would argue that such discounts are already priced, and in fact, the market has overreacted to recent news.</p><p><blockquote>最后，以ADR形式投资中国股票存在地缘政治和特定的退市风险。小鹏汽车和其他一些在美国上市的美国存托凭证也在香港上市，以对冲退市的可能性。如果退市，美国股东将能够将其股票交易为香港上市股票。那些不能或不愿意在香港办理银行业务的人将持有多头头寸。中短期内股价可能会适度低迷。将部分风险溢价归因于中国ADR是公平的。尽管我认为这种折扣已经定价，事实上，市场对最近的消息反应过度了。</blockquote></p><p> To Conclude</p><p><blockquote>得出结论</blockquote></p><p> XPEV has earned an average consensus of \"Buy\" recommendations from analysts. XPeng is also one of the fastest-growing pure-play EV companies in the world, growing at the rate of 188% YoY for Q3 2021 and 270% YoY for the month of November 2021. Considering its tremendous growth rate, its share price is undervalued and attractive to own. Furthermore, I argue in this article that XPeng is poised to realize an additional 350% upside to its valuation, as the company enters the ride-hailing market through its autonomous driving technology. While it may take several years for XPeng to fully realize its robotaxi ambitions, time may be running out to buy XPEV at a cheap price. Therefore, I advise investors to buy and hold for the long term.</p><p><blockquote>XPEV获得了分析师平均一致的“买入”建议。小鹏汽车也是全球增长最快的纯电动汽车公司之一，2021年第三季度同比增长188%，2021年11月同比增长270%。考虑到其巨大的增长率，其股价被低估且具有吸引力。此外，我在本文中认为，随着小鹏汽车通过自动驾驶技术进入网约车市场，其估值有望实现350%的额外上涨。虽然小鹏汽车可能需要几年时间才能完全实现其robotaxi雄心，但以低廉的价格购买XPEV的时间可能已经不多了。因此，我建议投资者买入并长期持有。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>XPeng: Forecasting Its Expansion Into Robotaxi<blockquote>小鹏汽车：预测其向机器人出租车领域的扩张</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nXPeng: Forecasting Its Expansion Into Robotaxi<blockquote>小鹏汽车：预测其向机器人出租车领域的扩张</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-24 14:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>XPeng is poised to disrupt the incumbent robotaxi and ride-hailing firms.</li>  <li>Using an AI-centric approach with small sensors, XPeng will be able to operate at a substantially lower cost.</li>  <li>Winning a market share of the ride-hailing industry implies significant upside valuation potential for XPEV.</li> </ul> XPeng Motors (XPEV) recently announced the company will launch a pilot program for autonomous driving ride-hailing service in the second half of 2022. This announcement generated multiple positive news articles, and the company's valuation rose in response. However, most if not all articles failed to appreciate a significant implication. XPeng will be the first vehicle manufacturer to enter the autonomous ride-hailing market with its mass-market production vehicles. With this announcement, XPeng implies their privately-owned vehicles will be able to match the autonomous capabilities of robotaxi firms like Waymo, Cruise, or Baidu (BIDU), and that XPeng can generate similar revenues without the added cost of robotaxi retrofit and potentially the cost of the vehicles themselves. With its substantial cost advantages, the company is poised to capture a large portion of the ride-hailing market and realize a significant valuation upside.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>小鹏汽车准备颠覆现有的机器人出租车和网约车公司。</li><li>使用以人工智能为中心的方法和小型传感器，小鹏汽车将能够以低得多的成本运营。</li><li>赢得网约车行业的市场份额意味着XPEV的估值有巨大的上行潜力。</li></ul>小鹏汽车（XPEV）最近宣布，该公司将于2022年下半年启动自动驾驶网约车服务试点计划。这一公告催生了多篇利好消息，公司估值应声上涨。然而，大多数（如果不是全部的话）文章未能理解一个重要的含义。小鹏汽车将成为第一家凭借其量产车辆进入自动驾驶网约车市场的汽车制造商。通过这一公告，小鹏汽车暗示他们的私人车辆将能够与Waymo、Cruise或百度（BIDU）等机器人出租车公司的自动驾驶能力相匹配，并且小鹏汽车可以产生类似的收入，而无需增加机器人出租车改造和潜在成本。车辆本身的成本。凭借其巨大的成本优势，该公司有望占领网约车市场的很大一部分，并实现大幅的估值上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设</b></blockquote></p><p> Here, I make a large assumption that the pilot program will take two years to complete, and full-scale commercial operations and revenue generations will begin at the start of 2025. There exists a large degree of uncertainty with this timeline. It is largely dependent on the pace of ADAS technology development and regulatory approvals.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，我做了一个很大的假设，试点项目需要两年时间才能完成，全面的商业运营和创收将在2025年初开始。这个时间表存在很大程度的不确定性。这在很大程度上取决于ADAS技术开发和监管批准的步伐。</blockquote></p><p> XPeng has recently released the Xpilot 3.5 system with the model P5. There are multiple YouTube videos where professional reviewers ride the city NGP (Navigation Guided Pilot) 3.5 system. Here's a&nbsp;video&nbsp;clip during the XPeng Tech Day. The demonstrations consistently navigated challenging routes with few disengagements. The reviewers unanimously found the system impressive. XPeng also announced the release of the Xpilot 4.0 system with its new SUV model G9. The company expects that the 4.0 system will be live in 2023 and will be able to autonomously pilot almost all roads in China with zero disengagements. Such performance will be technologically sufficient to operate a robotaxi business.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车最近发布了Xpilot 3.5系统，车型为P5。YouTube上有多个视频，其中专业评论者乘坐城市NGP（导航引导飞行员）3.5系统。这是小鹏科技日期间的视频剪辑。示威活动始终沿着具有挑战性的路线行驶，很少脱离接触。评论者一致认为该系统令人印象深刻。小鹏汽车还宣布在旗下全新SUV车型G9上发布Xpilot 4.0系统。该公司预计4.0系统将于2023年上线，并能够在中国几乎所有道路上实现零脱离的自动驾驶。这样的性能在技术上足以运营机器人出租车业务。</blockquote></p><p> We have seen past timelines with Baidu Apollo and Pony.ai services. In November, the city of Beijing granted full commercial operation licenses to robotaxi services. It had taken a little over two years from pilot debut to limited commercialization. Baidu expects other major cities to follow Beijing's lead early next year. If XPeng is to follow the timeline, it can expect to receive commercial licenses for revenue generation in early 2025. However, Baidu and regulators have been exploring a nascent industry and building a regulatory framework. I believe it is likely that the approval of XPeng robotaxis will be considerably faster, as the approval process can take advantage of existing guidelines.</p><p><blockquote>我们已经看到了百度Apollo和Pony.ai服务过去的时间表。11月，北京市授予机器人出租车服务全面商业运营许可。从试点首次亮相到有限商业化，用了两年多一点的时间。百度预计明年初其他主要城市也将效仿北京的做法。如果小鹏汽车按照时间表进行，预计将在2025年初获得商业许可以产生收入。然而，百度和监管机构一直在探索一个新兴行业并建立监管框架。我相信小鹏机器人出租车的审批速度可能会快得多，因为审批流程可以利用现有的指导方针。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the trends of XPeng's ADAS technology and China's regulatory framework both support the assumption of 2025 revenue realization, and this assumption may be conservative.</p><p><blockquote>因此，小鹏ADAS技术和中国监管框架的趋势都支持2025年收入实现的假设，而这一假设可能偏保守。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue and CostRobotaxi Economics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入和成本出租车经济学</b></blockquote></p><p> After receiving commercial licenses, Baidu has announced that it is charging above-market fees. Baidu has a limited number of commercial licenses, and the demand is excessive due to the novelty factor. As it scales into larger operations, the fee structure is likely to come down and undercut the main competitor DiDi (DIDI), which charges $.7 - $2/mile depending on a variety of factors and level of service. For comparable service to Baidu Apollo cars in operation, DiDi charges about $1/mile, according to Lux Research Inc's articleThe Economics of Robotaxis.</p><p><blockquote>在获得商业许可后，百度宣布收取高于市场的费用。百度商用牌照数量有限，新奇因素导致需求过度。随着其规模扩大到更大的业务，费用结构可能会下降，并削弱主要竞争对手滴滴（DIDI），后者根据各种因素和服务水平收取0.7-2美元/英里的费用。根据Lux Research Inc.的文章《机器人出租车的经济学》，对于与运营中的百度Apollo汽车相当的服务，滴滴的收费约为1美元/英里。</blockquote></p><p> The article also estimates a robotaxi costs $0.28/mile to operate in China. On paper, Baidu should be able to maintain a healthy profit margin, charge lower than DiDi, and gain significant market share. If we examine the cost trends, the advantages of robotaxi widen even further. The largest cost driver of DiDi is labor, which is rising in China and around the world. Out of the operation costs of robotaxis, maintenance cost is expected to trend down as EV quality improves. Insurance cost is expected to trend down as large robotaxi firms can insure their own operations. Added value cost is expected to trend down as the autonomous driving sensors are falling sharply in prices. Vehicle cost may rise moderately but the economy of scale should keep the rate of materials inflation under that of wage inflation. Therefore, Lux Research Inc concludes, and I agree, that robotaxi operations will be disruptive to incumbent ride-hailing companies. However, how does XPeng fit into this picture?</p><p><blockquote>文章还估计，robotaxi在中国的运营成本为0.28美元/英里。理论上，百度应该能够保持健康的利润率，收费低于滴滴，并获得显著的市场份额。如果我们考察成本趋势，robotaxi的优势会进一步扩大。滴滴最大的成本驱动因素是劳动力，劳动力在中国和全球都在上升。在机器人出租车的运营成本中，随着电动汽车质量的提高，维护成本预计将呈下降趋势。随着大型机器人出租车公司可以为自己的运营投保，保险费用预计将呈下降趋势。随着自动驾驶传感器价格大幅下降，附加值成本预计将呈下降趋势。车辆成本可能会适度上升，但规模经济应使材料通胀率低于工资通胀率。因此，Lux Research Inc的结论是，我也同意，机器人出租车运营将对现有的网约车公司造成颠覆性影响。然而，小鹏汽车如何融入这幅图景？</blockquote></p><p> <b>XPeng Disruptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>小鹏汽车的颠覆</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The cost analysis shows XPeng's robotaxis will further disrupt the nascent robotaxi companies. XPeng vehicles with Xpilot 4.0 do not require retrofit to operate as a robotaxi. Lux Research estimates the robotaxis like the Baidu Apollo cost about $0.15/mile to operate in terms of vehicle and added value retrofit costs. In June 2021, Baidu announced its Apollo Moon robotaxi will cost 480,000 yuan ($75,000) to produce, according to thisNikkei articleand other publications. On the other hand, the XPeng G9 with XPilot 4.0 is expected to cost between 350,000 to 400,000 yuan to the consumers. If we roughly estimate 15% profit margin and 15% selling and marketing costs, the G9 costs XPeng approximately between 245,000 to 280,000 yuan to produce. Therefore, XPeng will be able to operate with 42-49% less vehicle cost compared to Baidu Apollo.</p><p><blockquote>成本分析显示，小鹏汽车的机器人出租车将进一步颠覆新兴的机器人出租车公司。配备Xpilot 4.0的小鹏汽车无需改装即可作为机器人出租车运行。Lux Research估计，就车辆和增值改造成本而言，像百度Apollo这样的机器人出租车的运营成本约为0.15美元/英里。据《日经新闻》的这篇文章和其他出版物报道，2021年6月，百度宣布其Apollo Moon机器人出租车的生产成本为48万元人民币（75,000美元）。另一方面，搭载XPilot 4.0的小鹏G9预计消费者的售价在35-40万元之间。如果我们粗略估计15%的利润率和15%的销售和营销成本，G9的生产成本约为24.5万至28万元。因此，与百度Apollo相比，小鹏汽车的运营成本将降低42-49%。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, XPeng robotaxi can potentially operate without a vehicle cost at all. By 2025, there are expected to be hundreds of thousands of XPeng EVs on the road that can operate as robotaxi with an OTA update. Just as Uber and DiDi hire gig drivers, XPeng can theoretically hire private autonomous cars and pay the owners a share of the revenue.</p><p><blockquote>此外，小鹏机器人出租车有可能在没有任何车辆成本的情况下运营。到2025年，预计将有数十万辆小鹏电动汽车上路，通过OTA更新可以作为robotaxi运行。就像Uber和滴滴雇佣零工司机一样，小鹏汽车理论上可以雇佣私人自动驾驶汽车，并向车主支付一部分收入。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, robotaxi companies like Baidu must maintain high margins to bear its significant overhead costs in R&amp;D and SGA. XPeng Motors vehicle sales bear the majority of the R&amp;D and SGA costs. Additional indirect costs from robotaxi business should be a small fraction of the cost structure of incumbent ride-hailing companies. If XPeng is to launch robotaxi today, it can theoretically charge $0.50/mile at a cost of $0.205/mile. (Its vehicle cost is $0.075/mile cheaper than Baidu, which cost about $0.28/mile to operate.) Such a price point cannot be matched by Baidu or DiDi and will substantially displace their market share. In fact, DiDi's breakeven price point is most likely higher than $0.90/mile. Therefore, I conclude it is likely that XPeng will be charge half of the fees of Baidu and DiDi and still maintain healthy profit margins.</p><p><blockquote>最后，像百度这样的机器人出租车公司必须保持高利润率，以承担其在研发和SGA方面的巨额管理费用。小鹏汽车汽车销售承担了大部分研发和SGA成本。robotaxi业务的额外间接成本应该只占现有网约车公司成本结构的一小部分。如果小鹏今天要推出robotaxi，理论上可以以0.205美元/英里的成本收费0.50美元/英里。（其车辆成本比百度便宜0.075美元/英里，后者的运营成本约为0.28美元/英里。）这样的价位是百度或滴滴无法比拟的，将大大取代他们的市场份额。事实上，滴滴的盈亏平衡价位大概率高于0.90美元/英里。因此，我的结论是，小鹏汽车很可能会收取百度和滴滴一半的费用，但仍保持健康的利润率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Trends and Projections</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场趋势和预测</b></blockquote></p><p> Robotaxis are expected to disrupt the ride-hailing industry. Major players like DiDi and Uber (UBER) are aware of this future trend and have spent billions developing autonomy technology themselves. As technologies mature, autonomous vehicles will also be able to encroach into the food delivery business. As a side note, XPeng holds a unique advantage with its advanced robotics division. It is in the process of bringing to market a robotic pony with autonomous terrain navigation capabilities.&nbsp;An online video&nbsp;shows it is currently able to deliver objects around XPeng's office by voice command. Robotics can enable a robotaxi to bridge the gap between the road and the delivery destination.</p><p><blockquote>机器人出租车有望颠覆网约车行业。滴滴和优步（Uber）等主要参与者意识到了这一未来趋势，并花费数十亿美元自行开发自动驾驶技术。随着技术的成熟，自动驾驶汽车也将能够蚕食外卖业务。顺便说一句，小鹏汽车凭借其先进机器人部门拥有独特的优势。它正在向市场推出一款具有自主地形导航功能的机器人小马。一段在线视频显示，它目前能够通过语音命令在小鹏办公室周围运送物品。机器人技术可以让机器人出租车弥合道路和送货目的地之间的差距。</blockquote></p><p> Following is a graph of the estimated Total Addressable Market of&nbsp;ride-hailing&nbsp;and&nbsp;food delivery&nbsp;in China, according to statista.com.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4bc4ab7e29a5f0b49cfd35d781f4597\" tg-width=\"606\" tg-height=\"382\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">With the assumption that XPeng gains regulatory licenses in 2025, I estimate XPeng Robotaxi business will grow rapidly and hold significant market share in the ride-hailing market and substantial market share in the food delivery market by 2028. Thereafter, XPeng may experience slower growth once other vehicle systems reach sufficient autonomy. I expect XPeng Robotaxi's profit margins will be lower than DiDi's as XPeng pushes a low-cost strategy to displace incumbents. I expect as much as 90% of earnings after taxes will be pure free cash flow, as R&amp;D and SGA costs attributed to the robotaxi division will be low.</p><p><blockquote>根据statista.com的数据，下图是中国网约车和食品配送的预计总目标市场。假设小鹏汽车在2025年获得监管许可，我估计到2028年，小鹏机器人出租车业务将快速增长，并在网约车市场占据重要市场份额，在外卖市场占据重要市场份额。此后，一旦其他车辆系统达到足够的自主性，小鹏汽车的增长可能会放缓。我预计小鹏机器人出租车的利润率将低于滴滴，因为小鹏汽车推行低成本战略来取代现有企业。我预计多达90%的税后收益将是纯自由现金流，因为robotaxi部门的研发和SGA成本将很低。</blockquote></p><p> I use the following assumptions for a valuation projection. There are high degrees of uncertainty and conjecture, as I forecast the first business of its kind in 2025, in an industry that is still nascent today. I expect XPeng to gain a 5% market share in robotaxi and a 2.5% market share in food delivery in 2025. It will grow at a 30% CAGR through 2028. Thereafter, the growth slows gradually to 10% by 2031 and continues at the terminal growth rate of 5%. I assume XPeng will capture 50% of sales as FCF. I use a 13% discount rate to arrive at the discounted present value of future cash flow.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89d26c909caf45b9ea96b0960fd37dcd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"276\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The critical assumptions in market shares and a 30% CAGR, I believe, are conservative. I arrive at a $133.5B USD valuation for the XPeng Robotaxi business, a 350% upside to its current valuations and in addition to its vehicle sales business. I would argue that only $9B is priced in when the stock appreciated after the robotaxi announcement. Long-term investors can consider attractive points to enter. As we approach the pilot launch in 2022, more and more of the upside may be priced in with additional announcements.</p><p><blockquote>我使用以下假设进行估值预测。存在高度的不确定性和猜测，因为我预测2025年将出现第一个此类业务，而这个行业至今仍处于萌芽阶段。我预计小鹏汽车在2025年将在robotaxi领域获得5%的市场份额，在食品配送领域获得2.5%的市场份额。到2028年，它将以30%的复合年增长率增长。此后，到2031年，增长逐渐放缓至10%，并继续保持5%的最终增长率。我假设小鹏汽车将获得50%的销售额作为自由现金流。我使用13%的贴现率来得出未来现金流的贴现现值。我认为，市场份额和30%复合年增长率的关键假设是保守的。我对小鹏汽车出租车业务的估值为133.5 B美元，比其当前估值上涨350%，此外还有汽车销售业务。我认为，当robotaxi发布后该股升值时，定价中只有90亿美元。长线投资者可以考虑有吸引力的点位入场。随着2022年试点发布的临近，越来越多的上行空间可能会随着更多公告而被定价。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Additional Bull Notes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他牛市票据</b></blockquote></p><p> XPeng's core business is currently undervalued relative to its peers. As of 12/9/2021, Tesla is valued at 25 times XPeng and is on track to delivery approximately 7 times more car than XPeng in Q4. Tesla in Q3 grew at a pace of 73% YoY, which XPeng in Q3 grew 199% YoY. Considering XPeng's exceptional growth rate, it is clear XPeng is trading at a substantial discount.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车的核心业务目前相对于同行被低估。截至2021年12月9日，特斯拉的估值是小鹏汽车的25倍，并有望在第四季度交付比小鹏汽车多约7倍的汽车。特斯拉第三季度同比增长73%，其中小鹏汽车第三季度同比增长199%。考虑到小鹏汽车非凡的增长率，很明显小鹏汽车的交易价格大幅折扣。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, the robotaxi business and vehicle manufacturing are complementary businesses. Ride-hailing revenue share can incentivize more sales. If forced to own the vehicles, XPeng Motors can sell to XPeng Robotaxi at cost, giving it a substantial cost advantage over competitors.</p><p><blockquote>此外，机器人出租车业务和车辆制造是互补的业务。网约车收入份额可以激励更多销售。如果被迫拥有这些车辆，小鹏汽车可以以成本价出售给小鹏机器人出租车，使其相对于竞争对手具有巨大的成本优势。</blockquote></p><p> In addition to valuations from vehicle sales and robotaxi revenue, other potential valuation upsides exist. XPeng users currently pay monthly subscription fees to use its NGP system. We can expect the subscription uptake rate to improve as more autonomous functions are introduced. With a growing user base and its highly profitable margins, NGP subscription cash flows may grow to rival vehicle sales. We can also expect revenues from eVOTL and robotic pony sales by 2024. These revenues can be significant and are not currently priced in.</p><p><blockquote>除了汽车销量和robotaxi收入的估值外，还存在其他潜在的估值上行空间。小鹏用户目前每月支付订阅费才能使用其NGP系统。随着更多自主功能的引入，我们可以预期订阅率将会提高。随着用户群的不断增长及其高利润率，NGP订阅现金流可能会增长到与汽车销量相媲美的水平。我们还可以预计到2024年，eVOTL和机器人小马的销售收入。这些收入可能很大，但目前尚未计入价格。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks and Challenges</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险与挑战</b></blockquote></p><p> While I believe the technology and cost structure support my bull thesis, uncertainties exist. The revenue is largely dependent on the number of vehicle licenses Chinese regulators will be willing to authorize. Regulatory approvals may be slowed to reduce disruptions to the labor market.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我相信技术和成本结构支持我的看涨论点，但不确定性是存在的。收入在很大程度上取决于中国监管机构愿意授权的车辆牌照数量。监管审批可能会放缓，以减少对劳动力市场的干扰。</blockquote></p><p> In the most bearish case, regulators may decline to grant ride-hailing licenses to private autonomous vehicles. This case is highly unlikely. China would be stifling one of its leading-edge industries. There is little rationale for denying XPeng, as both private ride-hailing vehicles and autonomous ride-hailing vehicles are already authorized. However, some cities may require XPeng to own its robotaxi fleet, which will reduce its competitive advantage.</p><p><blockquote>在最悲观的情况下，监管机构可能会拒绝向私人自动驾驶汽车发放网约车牌照。这种情况极不可能发生。中国将扼杀其领先行业之一。拒绝小鹏汽车的理由很少，因为私人网约车和自动驾驶网约车都已经获得授权。然而，一些城市可能会要求小鹏汽车拥有其robotaxi车队，这将降低其竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> Tiger Securities gave a&nbsp;bearish review&nbsp;of XPeng, citing that the current laws prohibit autonomous operations, and other players \"might have time to catch up.\" It is important to study the autonomy capabilities of other players and estimate that likelihood. Judging from FSD beta tester videos, Tesla (TSLA) autonomy is somewhat behind that of XPeng's. Though with its wealth of data, Tesla may be able to quickly catch up. Regardless, Tesla FSD and XPeng NGP are coded for different driving environments. They most likely will not directly compete in robotaxi until later in the decade and in other markets than US or China. In China, Huawei Harmony intelligent driving system has also demonstrated a high level of autonomy. Huawei however is not a vehicle manufacturer. Its EV partner BAIC Arcfox is lagging quite far behind in sales compared to other EV peers. Current robotaxi firms like Baidu and Pony.ai may be able to substantially reduce the retrofit cost and may even adapt their system to a mass-market vehicle. It is unclear if it is possible for a hardware-centric robotaxi system based on powerful roof sensors to adapt to an array of weaker sensors that require greater AI logic.</p><p><blockquote>老虎证券对小鹏汽车给出了看跌评级，理由是现行法律禁止自动驾驶，其他玩家“可能有时间赶上”。研究其他参与者的自主能力并估计这种可能性是很重要的。从FSD beta测试人员视频来看，特斯拉（TSLA）的自主性有些落后于小鹏汽车。尽管凭借丰富的数据，特斯拉或许能够迅速赶上。无论如何，特斯拉FSD和小鹏NGP都是针对不同的驾驶环境进行编码的。他们很可能要到本世纪晚些时候才会在机器人出租车领域以及美国或中国以外的其他市场直接竞争。在中国，华为Harmony智能驾驶系统也展现了高度的自动驾驶水平。然而，华为不是一家汽车制造商。与其他电动汽车同行相比，其电动汽车合作伙伴北汽Arcfox的销量远远落后。百度和小马智行等当前的机器人出租车公司可能能够大幅降低改造成本，甚至可能使其系统适应大众市场车辆。目前尚不清楚基于强大车顶传感器的以硬件为中心的robotaxi系统是否有可能适应一系列需要更强人工智能逻辑的较弱传感器。</blockquote></p><p> Capturing a share of the ride-hailing and delivery market in China is highly dependent upon XPeng maintaining technology and cost advantage. It would be fair to attribute a large risk discount to the valuation. Though any shortfall in market share can be supplemented by international markets.</p><p><blockquote>在中国网约车和送货市场占据份额高度依赖于小鹏汽车保持技术和成本优势。将较大的风险折扣归因于估值是公平的。尽管市场份额的任何不足都可以通过国际市场来补充。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, there are geopolitical and specific delisting risks to investing in Chinese stocks in the form of ADRs. XPeng and some other US-listed ADRs have also listed in Hong Kong to hedge against the possibilities of delisting. In the event of delisting, US shareholders will be able to trade their shares for Hong Kong-listed shares. Those who cannot or are not willing to bank in Hong Kong will exist long positions. Share prices may be moderately depressed in the short and medium-term. It is fair to attribute some risk premium to Chinese ADRs. Though I would argue that such discounts are already priced, and in fact, the market has overreacted to recent news.</p><p><blockquote>最后，以ADR形式投资中国股票存在地缘政治和特定的退市风险。小鹏汽车和其他一些在美国上市的美国存托凭证也在香港上市，以对冲退市的可能性。如果退市，美国股东将能够将其股票交易为香港上市股票。那些不能或不愿意在香港办理银行业务的人将持有多头头寸。中短期内股价可能会适度低迷。将部分风险溢价归因于中国ADR是公平的。尽管我认为这种折扣已经定价，事实上，市场对最近的消息反应过度了。</blockquote></p><p> To Conclude</p><p><blockquote>得出结论</blockquote></p><p> XPEV has earned an average consensus of \"Buy\" recommendations from analysts. XPeng is also one of the fastest-growing pure-play EV companies in the world, growing at the rate of 188% YoY for Q3 2021 and 270% YoY for the month of November 2021. Considering its tremendous growth rate, its share price is undervalued and attractive to own. Furthermore, I argue in this article that XPeng is poised to realize an additional 350% upside to its valuation, as the company enters the ride-hailing market through its autonomous driving technology. While it may take several years for XPeng to fully realize its robotaxi ambitions, time may be running out to buy XPEV at a cheap price. Therefore, I advise investors to buy and hold for the long term.</p><p><blockquote>XPEV获得了分析师平均一致的“买入”建议。小鹏汽车也是全球增长最快的纯电动汽车公司之一，2021年第三季度同比增长188%，2021年11月同比增长270%。考虑到其巨大的增长率，其股价被低估且具有吸引力。此外，我在本文中认为，随着小鹏汽车通过自动驾驶技术进入网约车市场，其估值有望实现350%的额外上涨。虽然小鹏汽车可能需要几年时间才能完全实现其robotaxi雄心，但以低廉的价格购买XPEV的时间可能已经不多了。因此，我建议投资者买入并长期持有。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476638-xpeng-forecasting-its-expansion-into-robotaxi\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476638-xpeng-forecasting-its-expansion-into-robotaxi","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126351388","content_text":"Summary\n\nXPeng is poised to disrupt the incumbent robotaxi and ride-hailing firms.\nUsing an AI-centric approach with small sensors, XPeng will be able to operate at a substantially lower cost.\nWinning a market share of the ride-hailing industry implies significant upside valuation potential for XPEV.\n\nXPeng Motors (XPEV) recently announced the company will launch a pilot program for autonomous driving ride-hailing service in the second half of 2022. This announcement generated multiple positive news articles, and the company's valuation rose in response. However, most if not all articles failed to appreciate a significant implication. XPeng will be the first vehicle manufacturer to enter the autonomous ride-hailing market with its mass-market production vehicles. With this announcement, XPeng implies their privately-owned vehicles will be able to match the autonomous capabilities of robotaxi firms like Waymo, Cruise, or Baidu (BIDU), and that XPeng can generate similar revenues without the added cost of robotaxi retrofit and potentially the cost of the vehicles themselves. With its substantial cost advantages, the company is poised to capture a large portion of the ride-hailing market and realize a significant valuation upside.\nAssumptions\nHere, I make a large assumption that the pilot program will take two years to complete, and full-scale commercial operations and revenue generations will begin at the start of 2025. There exists a large degree of uncertainty with this timeline. It is largely dependent on the pace of ADAS technology development and regulatory approvals.\nXPeng has recently released the Xpilot 3.5 system with the model P5. There are multiple YouTube videos where professional reviewers ride the city NGP (Navigation Guided Pilot) 3.5 system. Here's a video clip during the XPeng Tech Day. The demonstrations consistently navigated challenging routes with few disengagements. The reviewers unanimously found the system impressive. XPeng also announced the release of the Xpilot 4.0 system with its new SUV model G9. The company expects that the 4.0 system will be live in 2023 and will be able to autonomously pilot almost all roads in China with zero disengagements. Such performance will be technologically sufficient to operate a robotaxi business.\nWe have seen past timelines with Baidu Apollo and Pony.ai services. In November, the city of Beijing granted full commercial operation licenses to robotaxi services. It had taken a little over two years from pilot debut to limited commercialization. Baidu expects other major cities to follow Beijing's lead early next year. If XPeng is to follow the timeline, it can expect to receive commercial licenses for revenue generation in early 2025. However, Baidu and regulators have been exploring a nascent industry and building a regulatory framework. I believe it is likely that the approval of XPeng robotaxis will be considerably faster, as the approval process can take advantage of existing guidelines.\nTherefore, the trends of XPeng's ADAS technology and China's regulatory framework both support the assumption of 2025 revenue realization, and this assumption may be conservative.\nRevenue and CostRobotaxi Economics\nAfter receiving commercial licenses, Baidu has announced that it is charging above-market fees. Baidu has a limited number of commercial licenses, and the demand is excessive due to the novelty factor. As it scales into larger operations, the fee structure is likely to come down and undercut the main competitor DiDi (DIDI), which charges $.7 - $2/mile depending on a variety of factors and level of service. For comparable service to Baidu Apollo cars in operation, DiDi charges about $1/mile, according to Lux Research Inc's articleThe Economics of Robotaxis.\nThe article also estimates a robotaxi costs $0.28/mile to operate in China. On paper, Baidu should be able to maintain a healthy profit margin, charge lower than DiDi, and gain significant market share. If we examine the cost trends, the advantages of robotaxi widen even further. The largest cost driver of DiDi is labor, which is rising in China and around the world. Out of the operation costs of robotaxis, maintenance cost is expected to trend down as EV quality improves. Insurance cost is expected to trend down as large robotaxi firms can insure their own operations. Added value cost is expected to trend down as the autonomous driving sensors are falling sharply in prices. Vehicle cost may rise moderately but the economy of scale should keep the rate of materials inflation under that of wage inflation. Therefore, Lux Research Inc concludes, and I agree, that robotaxi operations will be disruptive to incumbent ride-hailing companies. However, how does XPeng fit into this picture?\nXPeng Disruptions\nThe cost analysis shows XPeng's robotaxis will further disrupt the nascent robotaxi companies. XPeng vehicles with Xpilot 4.0 do not require retrofit to operate as a robotaxi. Lux Research estimates the robotaxis like the Baidu Apollo cost about $0.15/mile to operate in terms of vehicle and added value retrofit costs. In June 2021, Baidu announced its Apollo Moon robotaxi will cost 480,000 yuan ($75,000) to produce, according to thisNikkei articleand other publications. On the other hand, the XPeng G9 with XPilot 4.0 is expected to cost between 350,000 to 400,000 yuan to the consumers. If we roughly estimate 15% profit margin and 15% selling and marketing costs, the G9 costs XPeng approximately between 245,000 to 280,000 yuan to produce. Therefore, XPeng will be able to operate with 42-49% less vehicle cost compared to Baidu Apollo.\nFurthermore, XPeng robotaxi can potentially operate without a vehicle cost at all. By 2025, there are expected to be hundreds of thousands of XPeng EVs on the road that can operate as robotaxi with an OTA update. Just as Uber and DiDi hire gig drivers, XPeng can theoretically hire private autonomous cars and pay the owners a share of the revenue.\nFinally, robotaxi companies like Baidu must maintain high margins to bear its significant overhead costs in R&D and SGA. XPeng Motors vehicle sales bear the majority of the R&D and SGA costs. Additional indirect costs from robotaxi business should be a small fraction of the cost structure of incumbent ride-hailing companies. If XPeng is to launch robotaxi today, it can theoretically charge $0.50/mile at a cost of $0.205/mile. (Its vehicle cost is $0.075/mile cheaper than Baidu, which cost about $0.28/mile to operate.) Such a price point cannot be matched by Baidu or DiDi and will substantially displace their market share. In fact, DiDi's breakeven price point is most likely higher than $0.90/mile. Therefore, I conclude it is likely that XPeng will be charge half of the fees of Baidu and DiDi and still maintain healthy profit margins.\nMarket Trends and Projections\nRobotaxis are expected to disrupt the ride-hailing industry. Major players like DiDi and Uber (UBER) are aware of this future trend and have spent billions developing autonomy technology themselves. As technologies mature, autonomous vehicles will also be able to encroach into the food delivery business. As a side note, XPeng holds a unique advantage with its advanced robotics division. It is in the process of bringing to market a robotic pony with autonomous terrain navigation capabilities. An online video shows it is currently able to deliver objects around XPeng's office by voice command. Robotics can enable a robotaxi to bridge the gap between the road and the delivery destination.\nFollowing is a graph of the estimated Total Addressable Market of ride-hailing and food delivery in China, according to statista.com.With the assumption that XPeng gains regulatory licenses in 2025, I estimate XPeng Robotaxi business will grow rapidly and hold significant market share in the ride-hailing market and substantial market share in the food delivery market by 2028. Thereafter, XPeng may experience slower growth once other vehicle systems reach sufficient autonomy. I expect XPeng Robotaxi's profit margins will be lower than DiDi's as XPeng pushes a low-cost strategy to displace incumbents. I expect as much as 90% of earnings after taxes will be pure free cash flow, as R&D and SGA costs attributed to the robotaxi division will be low.\nI use the following assumptions for a valuation projection. There are high degrees of uncertainty and conjecture, as I forecast the first business of its kind in 2025, in an industry that is still nascent today. I expect XPeng to gain a 5% market share in robotaxi and a 2.5% market share in food delivery in 2025. It will grow at a 30% CAGR through 2028. Thereafter, the growth slows gradually to 10% by 2031 and continues at the terminal growth rate of 5%. I assume XPeng will capture 50% of sales as FCF. I use a 13% discount rate to arrive at the discounted present value of future cash flow.The critical assumptions in market shares and a 30% CAGR, I believe, are conservative. I arrive at a $133.5B USD valuation for the XPeng Robotaxi business, a 350% upside to its current valuations and in addition to its vehicle sales business. I would argue that only $9B is priced in when the stock appreciated after the robotaxi announcement. Long-term investors can consider attractive points to enter. As we approach the pilot launch in 2022, more and more of the upside may be priced in with additional announcements.\nAdditional Bull Notes\nXPeng's core business is currently undervalued relative to its peers. As of 12/9/2021, Tesla is valued at 25 times XPeng and is on track to delivery approximately 7 times more car than XPeng in Q4. Tesla in Q3 grew at a pace of 73% YoY, which XPeng in Q3 grew 199% YoY. Considering XPeng's exceptional growth rate, it is clear XPeng is trading at a substantial discount.\nFurthermore, the robotaxi business and vehicle manufacturing are complementary businesses. Ride-hailing revenue share can incentivize more sales. If forced to own the vehicles, XPeng Motors can sell to XPeng Robotaxi at cost, giving it a substantial cost advantage over competitors.\nIn addition to valuations from vehicle sales and robotaxi revenue, other potential valuation upsides exist. XPeng users currently pay monthly subscription fees to use its NGP system. We can expect the subscription uptake rate to improve as more autonomous functions are introduced. With a growing user base and its highly profitable margins, NGP subscription cash flows may grow to rival vehicle sales. We can also expect revenues from eVOTL and robotic pony sales by 2024. These revenues can be significant and are not currently priced in.\nRisks and Challenges\nWhile I believe the technology and cost structure support my bull thesis, uncertainties exist. The revenue is largely dependent on the number of vehicle licenses Chinese regulators will be willing to authorize. Regulatory approvals may be slowed to reduce disruptions to the labor market.\nIn the most bearish case, regulators may decline to grant ride-hailing licenses to private autonomous vehicles. This case is highly unlikely. China would be stifling one of its leading-edge industries. There is little rationale for denying XPeng, as both private ride-hailing vehicles and autonomous ride-hailing vehicles are already authorized. However, some cities may require XPeng to own its robotaxi fleet, which will reduce its competitive advantage.\nTiger Securities gave a bearish review of XPeng, citing that the current laws prohibit autonomous operations, and other players \"might have time to catch up.\" It is important to study the autonomy capabilities of other players and estimate that likelihood. Judging from FSD beta tester videos, Tesla (TSLA) autonomy is somewhat behind that of XPeng's. Though with its wealth of data, Tesla may be able to quickly catch up. Regardless, Tesla FSD and XPeng NGP are coded for different driving environments. They most likely will not directly compete in robotaxi until later in the decade and in other markets than US or China. In China, Huawei Harmony intelligent driving system has also demonstrated a high level of autonomy. Huawei however is not a vehicle manufacturer. Its EV partner BAIC Arcfox is lagging quite far behind in sales compared to other EV peers. Current robotaxi firms like Baidu and Pony.ai may be able to substantially reduce the retrofit cost and may even adapt their system to a mass-market vehicle. It is unclear if it is possible for a hardware-centric robotaxi system based on powerful roof sensors to adapt to an array of weaker sensors that require greater AI logic.\nCapturing a share of the ride-hailing and delivery market in China is highly dependent upon XPeng maintaining technology and cost advantage. It would be fair to attribute a large risk discount to the valuation. Though any shortfall in market share can be supplemented by international markets.\nFinally, there are geopolitical and specific delisting risks to investing in Chinese stocks in the form of ADRs. XPeng and some other US-listed ADRs have also listed in Hong Kong to hedge against the possibilities of delisting. In the event of delisting, US shareholders will be able to trade their shares for Hong Kong-listed shares. Those who cannot or are not willing to bank in Hong Kong will exist long positions. Share prices may be moderately depressed in the short and medium-term. It is fair to attribute some risk premium to Chinese ADRs. Though I would argue that such discounts are already priced, and in fact, the market has overreacted to recent news.\nTo Conclude\nXPEV has earned an average consensus of \"Buy\" recommendations from analysts. XPeng is also one of the fastest-growing pure-play EV companies in the world, growing at the rate of 188% YoY for Q3 2021 and 270% YoY for the month of November 2021. Considering its tremendous growth rate, its share price is undervalued and attractive to own. Furthermore, I argue in this article that XPeng is poised to realize an additional 350% upside to its valuation, as the company enters the ride-hailing market through its autonomous driving technology. While it may take several years for XPeng to fully realize its robotaxi ambitions, time may be running out to buy XPEV at a cheap price. Therefore, I advise investors to buy and hold for the long term.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XPEV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":842,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698172675,"gmtCreate":1640328637000,"gmtModify":1640329015657,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698172675","repostId":"1109764882","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109764882","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1640273505,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109764882?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-23 23:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla shares rose nearly 2% in early trading<blockquote>特斯拉股价早盘上涨近2%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109764882","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla shares rose nearly 2% in early trading.A day after saying he had “sold enough” to meet his goa","content":"<p>Tesla&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rose&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;2%&nbsp;in&nbsp;early&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2503c828d8b377eafa4087febd8581d6\" tg-width=\"709\" tg-height=\"601\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">A day after saying he had “sold enough” to meet his goal of selling 10% of his Tesla Inc. stake, Chief Executive Elon Musk on Wednesday tweeted that he’s “almost done,” and disclosed in filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission that he has exercised more stock options and sold another 934,000 shares, worth about $928.6 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价早盘上涨近2%。在表示他已经“出售了足够的股份”以实现出售特斯拉公司10%股份的目标后一天，首席执行官Elon Musk周三在推特上表示，他“几乎完成了”，并在提交给美国证券交易委员会的文件中披露，他已经行使了更多股票期权，并另外出售了934,000股股票，价值约9.286亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla shares rose nearly 2% in early trading<blockquote>特斯拉股价早盘上涨近2%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla shares rose nearly 2% in early trading<blockquote>特斯拉股价早盘上涨近2%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-23 23:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rose&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;2%&nbsp;in&nbsp;early&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2503c828d8b377eafa4087febd8581d6\" tg-width=\"709\" tg-height=\"601\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">A day after saying he had “sold enough” to meet his goal of selling 10% of his Tesla Inc. stake, Chief Executive Elon Musk on Wednesday tweeted that he’s “almost done,” and disclosed in filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission that he has exercised more stock options and sold another 934,000 shares, worth about $928.6 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价早盘上涨近2%。在表示他已经“出售了足够的股份”以实现出售特斯拉公司10%股份的目标后一天，首席执行官Elon Musk周三在推特上表示，他“几乎完成了”，并在提交给美国证券交易委员会的文件中披露，他已经行使了更多股票期权，并另外出售了934,000股股票，价值约9.286亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109764882","content_text":"Tesla shares rose nearly 2% in early trading.A day after saying he had “sold enough” to meet his goal of selling 10% of his Tesla Inc. stake, Chief Executive Elon Musk on Wednesday tweeted that he’s “almost done,” and disclosed in filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission that he has exercised more stock options and sold another 934,000 shares, worth about $928.6 million.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1104,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698176305,"gmtCreate":1640328449806,"gmtModify":1640328717236,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698176305","repostId":"1126440728","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126440728","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640327378,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126440728?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"10 Best Value Stocks to Buy for 2022<blockquote>2022年最值得买入的10只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126440728","media":"U.S. News & World Report","summary":"These cheaply priced value stocks should deliver solid results next year.","content":"<p>These cheaply priced value stocks should deliver solid results next year.</p><p><blockquote>这些价格低廉的价值股明年应该会取得稳健的业绩。</blockquote></p><p> In an expensive stock market trading near record highs, it's not easy to pay up for growth stocks. And, as the past few months have shown, there's a lot of risk in chasing the high-fliers. There have been huge sell-offs in&nbsp;special-purpose acquisition companies, software stocks and electric vehicle firms, among others. As such, many investors are looking to more defensive value companies for 2022. There are numerous definitions of a value stock. Many investors use book value, relative valuations compared to the sector, free cash flow or valuations compared to a historical mean, among other metrics. However, for the sake of this list, the criteria of 15 times forward earnings will be the barometer. Any stock trading for less than that threshold is eligible, and anything over that number is excluded. With that definition set, here are 10 of the best value stocks to buy for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>在接近历史高点的昂贵股市中，为成长型股票买单并不容易。而且，正如过去几个月所表明的那样，追逐雄心勃勃的人存在很大风险。特殊目的收购公司、软件股和电动汽车公司等遭到大规模抛售。因此，许多投资者正在寻找2022年更具防御性的价值公司。价值股票有多种定义。许多投资者使用账面价值、与行业相比的相对估值、自由现金流或与历史平均值相比的估值等指标。然而，为了这份名单，15倍预期市盈率的标准将是晴雨表。任何低于该阈值的股票交易都是合格的，任何超过该数字的股票都被排除在外。根据这一定义，以下是2022年最值得购买的10只股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Verizon Communications Inc. (ticker:VZ)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>威瑞森通信公司（股票代码：VZ）</b></blockquote></p><p> It's not glamorous, but for investors seeking a safe and cheap high-yield stock, the telecom industry isn't a bad place to look. Specifically, Verizon offers a lot of appeal after an underwhelming 2021. The company has spent most of the past five years trading between $50 and $60 per share. The stock doesn't move quickly. And an inability to capitalize on the 5G upgrade cycle until now has squashed what little momentum Verizon may have had. At some point, however, the&nbsp;5G investments&nbsp;should start to pay dividends. In the meantime, Verizon continues to enjoy incredible cash flows from its core business. The stock won't deliver big overnight returns, but it's got a steady 4.9% dividend yield with some upside potential given its bona fide value-stock status at 10 times earnings.</p><p><blockquote>它并不迷人，但对于寻求安全且廉价的高收益股票的投资者来说，电信行业是一个不错的选择。具体来说，在经历了平淡无奇的2021年之后，威瑞森提供了很多吸引力。该公司过去五年的大部分时间都在每股50至60美元之间。股票变动不快。到目前为止，由于无法利用5G升级周期，威瑞森可能拥有的微弱势头被压垮了。然而，在某个时候，5G投资应该会开始带来回报。与此同时，威瑞森继续从其核心业务中获得令人难以置信的现金流。该股不会带来巨大的隔夜回报，但鉴于其市盈率为10倍的真正价值股地位，其股息收益率稳定为4.9%，具有一定的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高盛集团(GS)</b></blockquote></p><p> On the surface, Goldman Sachs looks like one of the absolute cheapest stocks on this list. GS stock is trading for just 6.3 times trailing earnings. That's in large part due to just how phenomenal 2021 was for the bank. Goldman Sachs saw improving loan market conditions, a boom in investment banking fees and improving results from its wealth management services division. Building on that momentum, Goldman Sachs recently lifted its outlook and profit margin targets through 2025. There is some risk of things cooling off a bit in 2022; analysts forecast a normalization in earnings after 2021's euphoria. Even so, based on a more conservative outlook for next year, analysts have the stock trading for under 10 times forward earnings. That's a bargain. The bank pays a fine 2.1% dividend too, and with the Federal Reserve looking to hike interest rates, earnings may surprise once again to the upside.</p><p><blockquote>从表面上看，高盛似乎是这份名单上绝对最便宜的股票之一。GS股票的市盈率仅为6.3倍。这在很大程度上是因为2021年对该银行来说是多么非凡。高盛看到了贷款市场状况的改善、投资银行费用的激增以及财富管理服务部门业绩的改善。在这一势头的基础上，高盛最近上调了2025年的前景和利润率目标。2022年情况可能会有所降温；分析师预测，在2021年的兴奋之后，盈利将正常化。即便如此，基于对明年更为保守的前景，分析师认为该股的预期市盈率低于10倍。真划算。该银行还支付2.1%的罚款股息，随着美联储寻求加息，盈利可能会再次意外上升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wells Fargo &amp; Co. (WFC)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>富国银行(WFC)</b></blockquote></p><p> Goldman isn't the only bank stock to grace the list of the best value stocks to buy for 2022. Wells Fargo is another top option. Deep value investors might scoff. After all, Wells Fargo stock jumped more than 50% in 2021. So how is it still cheap now? The answer is that Wells Fargo faced a one-two punch in recent years. It had to deal with the legacy of its fraudulent-accounts scandal and a potential economic disaster induced by COVID-19. Bank stocks, as a sector, have regained their early pandemic losses as the anticipated credit losses failed to materialize. However, Wells Fargo still has additional upside as it resolves its reputational issues. The company's CEO has a roadmap to cutting at least $8 billion per year in overhead over the next few years. This will give Wells Fargo a huge earnings boost. The stock is trading at 12 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>高盛并不是唯一一只跻身2022年最佳价值股票名单的银行股。富国银行是另一个首选。深度价值投资者可能会嗤之以鼻。毕竟，富国银行股价在2021年上涨了50%以上。那么现在怎么还便宜呢？答案是富国银行近年来面临着双重打击。它必须应对欺诈账户丑闻的遗留问题以及COVID-19引发的潜在经济灾难。由于预期的信贷损失未能实现，银行股作为一个板块已经收复了疫情初期的损失。然而，富国银行在解决声誉问题时仍有额外的上升空间。该公司首席执行官制定了未来几年每年至少削减80亿美元管理费用的路线图。这将给富国银行带来巨大的盈利增长。该股的预期市盈率为12倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford Motor Co. (F)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>福特汽车公司(F)</b></blockquote></p><p> Could Ford become a momentum stock? It's certainly looking more and more possible with every passing month. The venerable automaker has suddenly become a hot property: Ford's shares doubled in 2021. Even after doing so, however, Ford remains an inexpensive value stock, selling for less than 11 times forward earnings. Investors finally seem to be waking up to the fact that the traditional automakers are actually rather competitive on electric vehicles. As the herd of new&nbsp;electric vehicle companies&nbsp;lost their luster in 2021, stocks like Ford suddenly took flight. A company like Ford is a much safer bet than a firm with a huge valuation but minimal revenues as of yet, such as Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN). And since Ford already has tremendous profitability, it can reward shareholders with a 2% dividend and a sense of stability while waiting to see how the firm's electric vehicle evolution proceeds.</p><p><blockquote>福特能成为动量股吗？随着时间的推移，这看起来越来越有可能。这家历史悠久的汽车制造商突然成为热门资产：福特的股价在2021年翻了一番。然而，即使这样做了，福特仍然是一只廉价的价值股票，其预期市盈率不到11倍。投资者似乎终于意识到这样一个事实：传统汽车制造商在电动汽车方面实际上相当有竞争力。随着新电动汽车公司在2021年失去光彩，福特等股票突然起飞。像福特这样的公司比Rivian汽车公司（RIVN）等估值巨大但迄今为止收入微薄的公司更安全。由于福特已经拥有巨大的盈利能力，它可以在等待公司电动汽车发展进展的同时，以2%的股息和稳定感来回报股东。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fidelity National Information Services Inc. (FIS)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>富达国家信息服务公司(FIS)</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Fidelity Information Services is a diversified financials, payments and information technology company. It's one of the fastest-growing companies on this list, as analysts see the company growing earnings at 13% per year in 2022 and 2023. Despite that, amid the sell-off in the payments stock sector, Fidelity Information Services fell about 25% in 2021 and thus has fallen squarely into the bucket of top value stocks to invest in, as shares trade at just 14 times estimated 2022 earnings. This appears to be around general worries of fintech disrupting legacy payments firms. However, Fidelity Information Services should dodge that risk, as it's a diversified business spanning countless lines of payments businesses. It has high-profile new-economy clients such as PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL), Klarna, Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) and Crypto.com, and deals tend to be multiyear recurring revenue streams. Long story short, rumors of this company's demise have been greatly exaggerated, leading to an opportune entry point for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>富达信息服务公司是一家多元化的金融、支付和信息技术公司。它是该榜单上增长最快的公司之一，分析师预计该公司2022年和2023年的盈利将以每年13%的速度增长。尽管如此，在支付股票行业的抛售中，富达信息服务公司(Fidelity Information Services)在2021年下跌了约25%，因此直接落入了最值得投资的股票之列，因为其股价仅为2022年预期市盈率的14倍。这似乎是围绕着对金融科技颠覆传统支付公司的普遍担忧。然而，富达信息服务应该避免这种风险，因为它是一项跨越无数支付业务的多元化业务。它拥有PayPal控股公司(PYPL)、Klarna、亚马逊公司(AMZN)和Crypto.com等知名新经济客户，而且交易往往是多年经常性收入来源。长话短说，这家公司倒闭的传言被大大夸大了，导致2022年进入了一个合适的切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>International Business Machines Corp. (IBM)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>国际商业机器公司(IBM)</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM certainly missed much of the last decade's big innovations in the technology sector. The tech giant was once the largest company in the world by market capitalization. It's not on the same scale today. However, many investors have written the firm off prematurely. The company remains an absolute cash flow machine with its core consulting and services business. It's not glamorous, but it is highly profitable. The company is active in growth sectors, as well. It has one of the most advanced&nbsp;artificial intelligence&nbsp;programs in the world. Commercialization has been slow, but if IBM solves that issue, it would be a game-changer. In the meantime, the company's Red Hat purchase gave it a big boost in on-trend categories such as cloud computing and virtualization. IBM still faces structural headwinds, to be sure. But at a 12 times forward P-E ratio and 5.1% dividend yield, the price is certainly right to give IBM's turnaround story a chance.</p><p><blockquote>IBM当然错过了过去十年技术领域的许多重大创新。这家科技巨头曾经是全球市值最大的公司。今天的规模不一样了。然而，许多投资者过早地将该公司一笔勾销。该公司的核心咨询和服务业务仍然是绝对的现金流机器。它并不光鲜，但利润很高。该公司在增长领域也很活跃。它拥有世界上最先进的人工智能程序之一。商业化进展缓慢，但如果IBM解决了这个问题，这将是一个游戏规则的改变者。与此同时，该公司对红帽的收购极大地推动了其在云计算和虚拟化等热门类别的发展。可以肯定的是，IBM仍然面临结构性阻力。但以12倍的预期市盈率和5.1%的股息收益率来看，这个价格无疑是合适的，可以给IBM的扭亏为盈的故事一个机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>吉利德科学公司(GILD)</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors have labeled Gilead Sciences a value trap. That's because the stock has gone nowhere for the past five years despite appearing to be cheap. This is understandable. Gilead rose to prominence from a highly successful set of drugs to treat hepatitis C. Gilead was unable to immediately follow up that product line with a second act, causing the company's revenues, earnings and stock price to stall out. Seemingly under the radar, however, Gilead has snapped out of its slump. Analysts are modeling double-digit growth in 2022 as Gilead's clinical pipeline and acquisitions are kicking into gear.Biotech investing&nbsp;is always subject to a certain degree of luck depending on clinical trial outcomes. However, with earnings set to jump, Gilead looks attractive at 10 times forward earnings and with a 4% dividend yield.</p><p><blockquote>投资者给吉利德科学贴上了价值陷阱的标签。这是因为尽管该股看起来很便宜，但在过去五年里却毫无进展。这是可以理解的。吉利德从一系列非常成功的治疗丙型肝炎的药物中脱颖而出。吉利德无法立即跟进该产品线采取第二项行动，导致该公司的收入、盈利和股价停滞不前。然而，看似不为人知的是，吉利德已经从低迷中恢复过来。随着吉利德临床管线和收购的启动，分析师预计2022年将实现两位数增长。生物技术投资总是受到一定程度的运气的影响，具体取决于临床试验结果。然而，随着盈利将大幅增长，吉利德的预期市盈率为10倍，股息收益率为4%，看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FedEx Corp. (FDX)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>联邦快递公司(FDX)</b></blockquote></p><p> FedEx fell victim to a post-pandemic slump. Shares had surged in 2020 as soaring e-commerce demand led to unprecedented need for FedEx's delivery and logistics services. Previously, investors had worried that Amazon would steal market share from FedEx. With the rise of quarantine shopping in 2020, however, there were more than enough packages to keep everyone busy. 2021 was more difficult, though. Labor shortages and surging wages made it difficult to keep the workforce ready at a reasonable cost. Soaring fuel prices crimped profit margins. And port closures, vaccine mandates and other outside factors added further layers of complexity to FedEx's business. Despite all that, FedEx is still going for just 12 times forward earnings. While the headwinds are real, the company's earnings more than offset them. To that end, FedEx just announced a $1.5 billion accelerated share repurchase program to sop up company stock while it's cheap. As if that weren't enough, JPMorgan Chase analysts labeled FedEx stock one of their top transportation picks for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递成为大流行后经济衰退的受害者。由于电子商务需求飙升导致对联邦快递配送和物流服务的需求空前高涨，2020年股价飙升。此前，投资者曾担心亚马逊会抢走联邦快递的市场份额。然而，随着2020年隔离购物的兴起，有足够多的包裹让每个人都忙个不停。然而，2021年更加困难。劳动力短缺和工资飙升使得以合理的成本让劳动力做好准备变得困难。燃料价格飙升挤压了利润率。港口关闭、疫苗强制令和其他外部因素进一步增加了联邦快递业务的复杂性。尽管如此，联邦快递的预期市盈率仍仅为12倍。虽然不利因素是真实的，但该公司的盈利足以抵消这些不利因素。为此，联邦快递刚刚宣布了一项15亿美元的加速股票回购计划，以趁公司股票便宜的时候买入。似乎这还不够，摩根大通分析师将联邦快递股票列为2022年首选运输股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Kroger Co. (KR)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>克罗格公司(KR)</b></blockquote></p><p> Like FedEx, Kroger found itself in a complicated situation thanks to the pandemic. Initially, Kroger delivered strong growth as consumers stocked up their pantries at the start of the lockdowns. In addition, Kroger has invested heavily in&nbsp;e-commerce, warehouses and logistics over the past few years. It's not just a sleepy grocery store chain anymore. In a crisis, Kroger was able to demonstrate its capabilities with delivery orders and gain the trust of a new generation of consumers. 2021 was more complicated, though. Labor shortages and supply chain problems caused Kroger significant profitability headwinds. In addition, the general inflationary wave forced Kroger and its suppliers to raise prices dramatically, potentially damaging the consumer relationship. For the longer term, Kroger's investments in logistics should keep it on the right road, and at 13 times forward earnings, the stock is hardly priced for perfection.</p><p><blockquote>与联邦快递一样，克罗格发现自己因疫情而陷入了复杂的境地。最初，随着消费者在封锁开始时储备了食品储藏室，克罗格实现了强劲增长。此外，克罗格过去几年在电子商务、仓库和物流方面进行了大量投资。它不再只是一家昏昏欲睡的杂货店连锁店。在危机中，克罗格能够通过交付订单展示其能力，并获得新一代消费者的信任。然而，2021年更加复杂。劳动力短缺和供应链问题给克罗格的盈利能力带来了重大阻力。此外，普遍的通胀浪潮迫使克罗格及其供应商大幅提价，可能会损害消费者关系。从长远来看，克罗格对物流的投资应该会使其走在正确的道路上，而且该股的预期市盈率为13倍，其定价很难达到完美。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>ExxonMobil Corp. (XOM)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>埃克森美孚公司(XOM)</b></blockquote></p><p> ExxonMobil is enjoying a long-overdue comeback. Exxon stock suffered a six-year downturn between 2014 and 2020, with the stock plummeting from $100 to its ultimate low around $30 during the pandemic. The price of natural gas slumped, while oil did it one better: Crude briefly tumbled below $0 per barrel during the height of the COVID-19 crisis. However, as the adage goes, the cure for low prices is low prices. With oil down for so long, producers stopped putting much capital into new projects. As a result, the supply of oil has become less certain, while demand for oil has come surging back as the world economy reopens. Government regulation and socially conscious investors have further made it difficult to drill for new oil. This puts existing producers with low-cost fields, like ExxonMobil, in the driver's seat. The stock is selling at just 11 times earnings heading into 2022, while paying out a nearly 6% dividend yield.</p><p><blockquote>埃克森美孚正在享受期待已久的卷土重来。埃克森美孚股价在2014年至2020年间遭受了长达六年的低迷，在疫情期间，该股从100美元暴跌至30美元左右的最终低点。天然气价格暴跌，而石油价格表现更好：在COVID-19危机最严重的时候，原油价格曾一度跌破每桶0美元。然而，俗话说，治疗低价的方法是低价。由于油价下跌了这么长时间，生产商停止向新项目投入大量资金。因此，石油供应变得不那么确定，而随着世界经济重新开放，对石油的需求激增。政府监管和具有社会意识的投资者进一步加大了开采新石油的难度。这使得埃克森美孚等拥有低成本油田的现有生产商占据了主导地位。到2022年，该股的市盈率仅为11倍，同时支付近6%的股息收益率。</blockquote></p><p> 10 best value stocks to buy for 2022:</p><p><blockquote>2022年最值得购买的10只股票：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ)</li>  <li>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS)</li>  <li>Wells Fargo &amp; Co. (WFC)</li>  <li>Ford Motor Co. (F)</li>  <li>Fidelity National Information Services Inc. (FIS)</li>  <li>International Business Machines Corp. (IBM)</li>  <li>Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD)</li>  <li>FedEx Corp. (FDX)</li>  <li>Kroger Co. (KR)</li>  <li>ExxonMobil Corp. (XOM)</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>威瑞森通信公司(VZ)</li><li>高盛集团(GS)</li><li>富国银行(WFC)</li><li>福特汽车公司(F)</li><li>富达国家信息服务公司(FIS)</li><li>国际商业机器公司(IBM)</li><li>吉利德科学公司(GILD)</li><li>联邦快递公司(FDX)</li><li>克罗格公司(KR)</li><li>埃克森美孚公司(XOM)</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1640327374585","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>10 Best Value Stocks to Buy for 2022<blockquote>2022年最值得买入的10只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n10 Best Value Stocks to Buy for 2022<blockquote>2022年最值得买入的10只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">U.S. News & World Report</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-24 14:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>These cheaply priced value stocks should deliver solid results next year.</p><p><blockquote>这些价格低廉的价值股明年应该会取得稳健的业绩。</blockquote></p><p> In an expensive stock market trading near record highs, it's not easy to pay up for growth stocks. And, as the past few months have shown, there's a lot of risk in chasing the high-fliers. There have been huge sell-offs in&nbsp;special-purpose acquisition companies, software stocks and electric vehicle firms, among others. As such, many investors are looking to more defensive value companies for 2022. There are numerous definitions of a value stock. Many investors use book value, relative valuations compared to the sector, free cash flow or valuations compared to a historical mean, among other metrics. However, for the sake of this list, the criteria of 15 times forward earnings will be the barometer. Any stock trading for less than that threshold is eligible, and anything over that number is excluded. With that definition set, here are 10 of the best value stocks to buy for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>在接近历史高点的昂贵股市中，为成长型股票买单并不容易。而且，正如过去几个月所表明的那样，追逐雄心勃勃的人存在很大风险。特殊目的收购公司、软件股和电动汽车公司等遭到大规模抛售。因此，许多投资者正在寻找2022年更具防御性的价值公司。价值股票有多种定义。许多投资者使用账面价值、与行业相比的相对估值、自由现金流或与历史平均值相比的估值等指标。然而，为了这份名单，15倍预期市盈率的标准将是晴雨表。任何低于该阈值的股票交易都是合格的，任何超过该数字的股票都被排除在外。根据这一定义，以下是2022年最值得购买的10只股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Verizon Communications Inc. (ticker:VZ)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>威瑞森通信公司（股票代码：VZ）</b></blockquote></p><p> It's not glamorous, but for investors seeking a safe and cheap high-yield stock, the telecom industry isn't a bad place to look. Specifically, Verizon offers a lot of appeal after an underwhelming 2021. The company has spent most of the past five years trading between $50 and $60 per share. The stock doesn't move quickly. And an inability to capitalize on the 5G upgrade cycle until now has squashed what little momentum Verizon may have had. At some point, however, the&nbsp;5G investments&nbsp;should start to pay dividends. In the meantime, Verizon continues to enjoy incredible cash flows from its core business. The stock won't deliver big overnight returns, but it's got a steady 4.9% dividend yield with some upside potential given its bona fide value-stock status at 10 times earnings.</p><p><blockquote>它并不迷人，但对于寻求安全且廉价的高收益股票的投资者来说，电信行业是一个不错的选择。具体来说，在经历了平淡无奇的2021年之后，威瑞森提供了很多吸引力。该公司过去五年的大部分时间都在每股50至60美元之间。股票变动不快。到目前为止，由于无法利用5G升级周期，威瑞森可能拥有的微弱势头被压垮了。然而，在某个时候，5G投资应该会开始带来回报。与此同时，威瑞森继续从其核心业务中获得令人难以置信的现金流。该股不会带来巨大的隔夜回报，但鉴于其市盈率为10倍的真正价值股地位，其股息收益率稳定为4.9%，具有一定的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高盛集团(GS)</b></blockquote></p><p> On the surface, Goldman Sachs looks like one of the absolute cheapest stocks on this list. GS stock is trading for just 6.3 times trailing earnings. That's in large part due to just how phenomenal 2021 was for the bank. Goldman Sachs saw improving loan market conditions, a boom in investment banking fees and improving results from its wealth management services division. Building on that momentum, Goldman Sachs recently lifted its outlook and profit margin targets through 2025. There is some risk of things cooling off a bit in 2022; analysts forecast a normalization in earnings after 2021's euphoria. Even so, based on a more conservative outlook for next year, analysts have the stock trading for under 10 times forward earnings. That's a bargain. The bank pays a fine 2.1% dividend too, and with the Federal Reserve looking to hike interest rates, earnings may surprise once again to the upside.</p><p><blockquote>从表面上看，高盛似乎是这份名单上绝对最便宜的股票之一。GS股票的市盈率仅为6.3倍。这在很大程度上是因为2021年对该银行来说是多么非凡。高盛看到了贷款市场状况的改善、投资银行费用的激增以及财富管理服务部门业绩的改善。在这一势头的基础上，高盛最近上调了2025年的前景和利润率目标。2022年情况可能会有所降温；分析师预测，在2021年的兴奋之后，盈利将正常化。即便如此，基于对明年更为保守的前景，分析师认为该股的预期市盈率低于10倍。真划算。该银行还支付2.1%的罚款股息，随着美联储寻求加息，盈利可能会再次意外上升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wells Fargo &amp; Co. (WFC)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>富国银行(WFC)</b></blockquote></p><p> Goldman isn't the only bank stock to grace the list of the best value stocks to buy for 2022. Wells Fargo is another top option. Deep value investors might scoff. After all, Wells Fargo stock jumped more than 50% in 2021. So how is it still cheap now? The answer is that Wells Fargo faced a one-two punch in recent years. It had to deal with the legacy of its fraudulent-accounts scandal and a potential economic disaster induced by COVID-19. Bank stocks, as a sector, have regained their early pandemic losses as the anticipated credit losses failed to materialize. However, Wells Fargo still has additional upside as it resolves its reputational issues. The company's CEO has a roadmap to cutting at least $8 billion per year in overhead over the next few years. This will give Wells Fargo a huge earnings boost. The stock is trading at 12 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>高盛并不是唯一一只跻身2022年最佳价值股票名单的银行股。富国银行是另一个首选。深度价值投资者可能会嗤之以鼻。毕竟，富国银行股价在2021年上涨了50%以上。那么现在怎么还便宜呢？答案是富国银行近年来面临着双重打击。它必须应对欺诈账户丑闻的遗留问题以及COVID-19引发的潜在经济灾难。由于预期的信贷损失未能实现，银行股作为一个板块已经收复了疫情初期的损失。然而，富国银行在解决声誉问题时仍有额外的上升空间。该公司首席执行官制定了未来几年每年至少削减80亿美元管理费用的路线图。这将给富国银行带来巨大的盈利增长。该股的预期市盈率为12倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford Motor Co. (F)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>福特汽车公司(F)</b></blockquote></p><p> Could Ford become a momentum stock? It's certainly looking more and more possible with every passing month. The venerable automaker has suddenly become a hot property: Ford's shares doubled in 2021. Even after doing so, however, Ford remains an inexpensive value stock, selling for less than 11 times forward earnings. Investors finally seem to be waking up to the fact that the traditional automakers are actually rather competitive on electric vehicles. As the herd of new&nbsp;electric vehicle companies&nbsp;lost their luster in 2021, stocks like Ford suddenly took flight. A company like Ford is a much safer bet than a firm with a huge valuation but minimal revenues as of yet, such as Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN). And since Ford already has tremendous profitability, it can reward shareholders with a 2% dividend and a sense of stability while waiting to see how the firm's electric vehicle evolution proceeds.</p><p><blockquote>福特能成为动量股吗？随着时间的推移，这看起来越来越有可能。这家历史悠久的汽车制造商突然成为热门资产：福特的股价在2021年翻了一番。然而，即使这样做了，福特仍然是一只廉价的价值股票，其预期市盈率不到11倍。投资者似乎终于意识到这样一个事实：传统汽车制造商在电动汽车方面实际上相当有竞争力。随着新电动汽车公司在2021年失去光彩，福特等股票突然起飞。像福特这样的公司比Rivian汽车公司（RIVN）等估值巨大但迄今为止收入微薄的公司更安全。由于福特已经拥有巨大的盈利能力，它可以在等待公司电动汽车发展进展的同时，以2%的股息和稳定感来回报股东。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fidelity National Information Services Inc. (FIS)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>富达国家信息服务公司(FIS)</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Fidelity Information Services is a diversified financials, payments and information technology company. It's one of the fastest-growing companies on this list, as analysts see the company growing earnings at 13% per year in 2022 and 2023. Despite that, amid the sell-off in the payments stock sector, Fidelity Information Services fell about 25% in 2021 and thus has fallen squarely into the bucket of top value stocks to invest in, as shares trade at just 14 times estimated 2022 earnings. This appears to be around general worries of fintech disrupting legacy payments firms. However, Fidelity Information Services should dodge that risk, as it's a diversified business spanning countless lines of payments businesses. It has high-profile new-economy clients such as PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL), Klarna, Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) and Crypto.com, and deals tend to be multiyear recurring revenue streams. Long story short, rumors of this company's demise have been greatly exaggerated, leading to an opportune entry point for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>富达信息服务公司是一家多元化的金融、支付和信息技术公司。它是该榜单上增长最快的公司之一，分析师预计该公司2022年和2023年的盈利将以每年13%的速度增长。尽管如此，在支付股票行业的抛售中，富达信息服务公司(Fidelity Information Services)在2021年下跌了约25%，因此直接落入了最值得投资的股票之列，因为其股价仅为2022年预期市盈率的14倍。这似乎是围绕着对金融科技颠覆传统支付公司的普遍担忧。然而，富达信息服务应该避免这种风险，因为它是一项跨越无数支付业务的多元化业务。它拥有PayPal控股公司(PYPL)、Klarna、亚马逊公司(AMZN)和Crypto.com等知名新经济客户，而且交易往往是多年经常性收入来源。长话短说，这家公司倒闭的传言被大大夸大了，导致2022年进入了一个合适的切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>International Business Machines Corp. (IBM)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>国际商业机器公司(IBM)</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM certainly missed much of the last decade's big innovations in the technology sector. The tech giant was once the largest company in the world by market capitalization. It's not on the same scale today. However, many investors have written the firm off prematurely. The company remains an absolute cash flow machine with its core consulting and services business. It's not glamorous, but it is highly profitable. The company is active in growth sectors, as well. It has one of the most advanced&nbsp;artificial intelligence&nbsp;programs in the world. Commercialization has been slow, but if IBM solves that issue, it would be a game-changer. In the meantime, the company's Red Hat purchase gave it a big boost in on-trend categories such as cloud computing and virtualization. IBM still faces structural headwinds, to be sure. But at a 12 times forward P-E ratio and 5.1% dividend yield, the price is certainly right to give IBM's turnaround story a chance.</p><p><blockquote>IBM当然错过了过去十年技术领域的许多重大创新。这家科技巨头曾经是全球市值最大的公司。今天的规模不一样了。然而，许多投资者过早地将该公司一笔勾销。该公司的核心咨询和服务业务仍然是绝对的现金流机器。它并不光鲜，但利润很高。该公司在增长领域也很活跃。它拥有世界上最先进的人工智能程序之一。商业化进展缓慢，但如果IBM解决了这个问题，这将是一个游戏规则的改变者。与此同时，该公司对红帽的收购极大地推动了其在云计算和虚拟化等热门类别的发展。可以肯定的是，IBM仍然面临结构性阻力。但以12倍的预期市盈率和5.1%的股息收益率来看，这个价格无疑是合适的，可以给IBM的扭亏为盈的故事一个机会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>吉利德科学公司(GILD)</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors have labeled Gilead Sciences a value trap. That's because the stock has gone nowhere for the past five years despite appearing to be cheap. This is understandable. Gilead rose to prominence from a highly successful set of drugs to treat hepatitis C. Gilead was unable to immediately follow up that product line with a second act, causing the company's revenues, earnings and stock price to stall out. Seemingly under the radar, however, Gilead has snapped out of its slump. Analysts are modeling double-digit growth in 2022 as Gilead's clinical pipeline and acquisitions are kicking into gear.Biotech investing&nbsp;is always subject to a certain degree of luck depending on clinical trial outcomes. However, with earnings set to jump, Gilead looks attractive at 10 times forward earnings and with a 4% dividend yield.</p><p><blockquote>投资者给吉利德科学贴上了价值陷阱的标签。这是因为尽管该股看起来很便宜，但在过去五年里却毫无进展。这是可以理解的。吉利德从一系列非常成功的治疗丙型肝炎的药物中脱颖而出。吉利德无法立即跟进该产品线采取第二项行动，导致该公司的收入、盈利和股价停滞不前。然而，看似不为人知的是，吉利德已经从低迷中恢复过来。随着吉利德临床管线和收购的启动，分析师预计2022年将实现两位数增长。生物技术投资总是受到一定程度的运气的影响，具体取决于临床试验结果。然而，随着盈利将大幅增长，吉利德的预期市盈率为10倍，股息收益率为4%，看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FedEx Corp. (FDX)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>联邦快递公司(FDX)</b></blockquote></p><p> FedEx fell victim to a post-pandemic slump. Shares had surged in 2020 as soaring e-commerce demand led to unprecedented need for FedEx's delivery and logistics services. Previously, investors had worried that Amazon would steal market share from FedEx. With the rise of quarantine shopping in 2020, however, there were more than enough packages to keep everyone busy. 2021 was more difficult, though. Labor shortages and surging wages made it difficult to keep the workforce ready at a reasonable cost. Soaring fuel prices crimped profit margins. And port closures, vaccine mandates and other outside factors added further layers of complexity to FedEx's business. Despite all that, FedEx is still going for just 12 times forward earnings. While the headwinds are real, the company's earnings more than offset them. To that end, FedEx just announced a $1.5 billion accelerated share repurchase program to sop up company stock while it's cheap. As if that weren't enough, JPMorgan Chase analysts labeled FedEx stock one of their top transportation picks for 2022.</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递成为大流行后经济衰退的受害者。由于电子商务需求飙升导致对联邦快递配送和物流服务的需求空前高涨，2020年股价飙升。此前，投资者曾担心亚马逊会抢走联邦快递的市场份额。然而，随着2020年隔离购物的兴起，有足够多的包裹让每个人都忙个不停。然而，2021年更加困难。劳动力短缺和工资飙升使得以合理的成本让劳动力做好准备变得困难。燃料价格飙升挤压了利润率。港口关闭、疫苗强制令和其他外部因素进一步增加了联邦快递业务的复杂性。尽管如此，联邦快递的预期市盈率仍仅为12倍。虽然不利因素是真实的，但该公司的盈利足以抵消这些不利因素。为此，联邦快递刚刚宣布了一项15亿美元的加速股票回购计划，以趁公司股票便宜的时候买入。似乎这还不够，摩根大通分析师将联邦快递股票列为2022年首选运输股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Kroger Co. (KR)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>克罗格公司(KR)</b></blockquote></p><p> Like FedEx, Kroger found itself in a complicated situation thanks to the pandemic. Initially, Kroger delivered strong growth as consumers stocked up their pantries at the start of the lockdowns. In addition, Kroger has invested heavily in&nbsp;e-commerce, warehouses and logistics over the past few years. It's not just a sleepy grocery store chain anymore. In a crisis, Kroger was able to demonstrate its capabilities with delivery orders and gain the trust of a new generation of consumers. 2021 was more complicated, though. Labor shortages and supply chain problems caused Kroger significant profitability headwinds. In addition, the general inflationary wave forced Kroger and its suppliers to raise prices dramatically, potentially damaging the consumer relationship. For the longer term, Kroger's investments in logistics should keep it on the right road, and at 13 times forward earnings, the stock is hardly priced for perfection.</p><p><blockquote>与联邦快递一样，克罗格发现自己因疫情而陷入了复杂的境地。最初，随着消费者在封锁开始时储备了食品储藏室，克罗格实现了强劲增长。此外，克罗格过去几年在电子商务、仓库和物流方面进行了大量投资。它不再只是一家昏昏欲睡的杂货店连锁店。在危机中，克罗格能够通过交付订单展示其能力，并获得新一代消费者的信任。然而，2021年更加复杂。劳动力短缺和供应链问题给克罗格的盈利能力带来了重大阻力。此外，普遍的通胀浪潮迫使克罗格及其供应商大幅提价，可能会损害消费者关系。从长远来看，克罗格对物流的投资应该会使其走在正确的道路上，而且该股的预期市盈率为13倍，其定价很难达到完美。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>ExxonMobil Corp. (XOM)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>埃克森美孚公司(XOM)</b></blockquote></p><p> ExxonMobil is enjoying a long-overdue comeback. Exxon stock suffered a six-year downturn between 2014 and 2020, with the stock plummeting from $100 to its ultimate low around $30 during the pandemic. The price of natural gas slumped, while oil did it one better: Crude briefly tumbled below $0 per barrel during the height of the COVID-19 crisis. However, as the adage goes, the cure for low prices is low prices. With oil down for so long, producers stopped putting much capital into new projects. As a result, the supply of oil has become less certain, while demand for oil has come surging back as the world economy reopens. Government regulation and socially conscious investors have further made it difficult to drill for new oil. This puts existing producers with low-cost fields, like ExxonMobil, in the driver's seat. The stock is selling at just 11 times earnings heading into 2022, while paying out a nearly 6% dividend yield.</p><p><blockquote>埃克森美孚正在享受期待已久的卷土重来。埃克森美孚股价在2014年至2020年间遭受了长达六年的低迷，在疫情期间，该股从100美元暴跌至30美元左右的最终低点。天然气价格暴跌，而石油价格表现更好：在COVID-19危机最严重的时候，原油价格曾一度跌破每桶0美元。然而，俗话说，治疗低价的方法是低价。由于油价下跌了这么长时间，生产商停止向新项目投入大量资金。因此，石油供应变得不那么确定，而随着世界经济重新开放，对石油的需求激增。政府监管和具有社会意识的投资者进一步加大了开采新石油的难度。这使得埃克森美孚等拥有低成本油田的现有生产商占据了主导地位。到2022年，该股的市盈率仅为11倍，同时支付近6%的股息收益率。</blockquote></p><p> 10 best value stocks to buy for 2022:</p><p><blockquote>2022年最值得购买的10只股票：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ)</li>  <li>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS)</li>  <li>Wells Fargo &amp; Co. (WFC)</li>  <li>Ford Motor Co. (F)</li>  <li>Fidelity National Information Services Inc. (FIS)</li>  <li>International Business Machines Corp. (IBM)</li>  <li>Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD)</li>  <li>FedEx Corp. (FDX)</li>  <li>Kroger Co. (KR)</li>  <li>ExxonMobil Corp. (XOM)</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>威瑞森通信公司(VZ)</li><li>高盛集团(GS)</li><li>富国银行(WFC)</li><li>福特汽车公司(F)</li><li>富达国家信息服务公司(FIS)</li><li>国际商业机器公司(IBM)</li><li>吉利德科学公司(GILD)</li><li>联邦快递公司(FDX)</li><li>克罗格公司(KR)</li><li>埃克森美孚公司(XOM)</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://money.usnews.com/investing/stock-market-news/slideshows/best-value-stocks-to-buy-now\">U.S. News & World Report</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VZ":"Verizon Comms","KR":"克罗格","GILD":"吉利德科学","F":"福特汽车","GS":"高盛","FDX":"联邦快递","FIS":"繁德信息技术","IBM":"IBM","WFC":"富国银行","XOM":"埃克森美孚"},"source_url":"https://money.usnews.com/investing/stock-market-news/slideshows/best-value-stocks-to-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126440728","content_text":"These cheaply priced value stocks should deliver solid results next year.\nIn an expensive stock market trading near record highs, it's not easy to pay up for growth stocks. And, as the past few months have shown, there's a lot of risk in chasing the high-fliers. There have been huge sell-offs in special-purpose acquisition companies, software stocks and electric vehicle firms, among others. As such, many investors are looking to more defensive value companies for 2022. There are numerous definitions of a value stock. Many investors use book value, relative valuations compared to the sector, free cash flow or valuations compared to a historical mean, among other metrics. However, for the sake of this list, the criteria of 15 times forward earnings will be the barometer. Any stock trading for less than that threshold is eligible, and anything over that number is excluded. With that definition set, here are 10 of the best value stocks to buy for 2022.\nVerizon Communications Inc. (ticker:VZ)\nIt's not glamorous, but for investors seeking a safe and cheap high-yield stock, the telecom industry isn't a bad place to look. Specifically, Verizon offers a lot of appeal after an underwhelming 2021. The company has spent most of the past five years trading between $50 and $60 per share. The stock doesn't move quickly. And an inability to capitalize on the 5G upgrade cycle until now has squashed what little momentum Verizon may have had. At some point, however, the 5G investments should start to pay dividends. In the meantime, Verizon continues to enjoy incredible cash flows from its core business. The stock won't deliver big overnight returns, but it's got a steady 4.9% dividend yield with some upside potential given its bona fide value-stock status at 10 times earnings.\nGoldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS)\nOn the surface, Goldman Sachs looks like one of the absolute cheapest stocks on this list. GS stock is trading for just 6.3 times trailing earnings. That's in large part due to just how phenomenal 2021 was for the bank. Goldman Sachs saw improving loan market conditions, a boom in investment banking fees and improving results from its wealth management services division. Building on that momentum, Goldman Sachs recently lifted its outlook and profit margin targets through 2025. There is some risk of things cooling off a bit in 2022; analysts forecast a normalization in earnings after 2021's euphoria. Even so, based on a more conservative outlook for next year, analysts have the stock trading for under 10 times forward earnings. That's a bargain. The bank pays a fine 2.1% dividend too, and with the Federal Reserve looking to hike interest rates, earnings may surprise once again to the upside.\nWells Fargo & Co. (WFC)\nGoldman isn't the only bank stock to grace the list of the best value stocks to buy for 2022. Wells Fargo is another top option. Deep value investors might scoff. After all, Wells Fargo stock jumped more than 50% in 2021. So how is it still cheap now? The answer is that Wells Fargo faced a one-two punch in recent years. It had to deal with the legacy of its fraudulent-accounts scandal and a potential economic disaster induced by COVID-19. Bank stocks, as a sector, have regained their early pandemic losses as the anticipated credit losses failed to materialize. However, Wells Fargo still has additional upside as it resolves its reputational issues. The company's CEO has a roadmap to cutting at least $8 billion per year in overhead over the next few years. This will give Wells Fargo a huge earnings boost. The stock is trading at 12 times forward earnings.\nFord Motor Co. (F)\nCould Ford become a momentum stock? It's certainly looking more and more possible with every passing month. The venerable automaker has suddenly become a hot property: Ford's shares doubled in 2021. Even after doing so, however, Ford remains an inexpensive value stock, selling for less than 11 times forward earnings. Investors finally seem to be waking up to the fact that the traditional automakers are actually rather competitive on electric vehicles. As the herd of new electric vehicle companies lost their luster in 2021, stocks like Ford suddenly took flight. A company like Ford is a much safer bet than a firm with a huge valuation but minimal revenues as of yet, such as Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN). And since Ford already has tremendous profitability, it can reward shareholders with a 2% dividend and a sense of stability while waiting to see how the firm's electric vehicle evolution proceeds.\nFidelity National Information Services Inc. (FIS)\nFidelity Information Services is a diversified financials, payments and information technology company. It's one of the fastest-growing companies on this list, as analysts see the company growing earnings at 13% per year in 2022 and 2023. Despite that, amid the sell-off in the payments stock sector, Fidelity Information Services fell about 25% in 2021 and thus has fallen squarely into the bucket of top value stocks to invest in, as shares trade at just 14 times estimated 2022 earnings. This appears to be around general worries of fintech disrupting legacy payments firms. However, Fidelity Information Services should dodge that risk, as it's a diversified business spanning countless lines of payments businesses. It has high-profile new-economy clients such as PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL), Klarna, Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) and Crypto.com, and deals tend to be multiyear recurring revenue streams. Long story short, rumors of this company's demise have been greatly exaggerated, leading to an opportune entry point for 2022.\nInternational Business Machines Corp. (IBM)\nIBM certainly missed much of the last decade's big innovations in the technology sector. The tech giant was once the largest company in the world by market capitalization. It's not on the same scale today. However, many investors have written the firm off prematurely. The company remains an absolute cash flow machine with its core consulting and services business. It's not glamorous, but it is highly profitable. The company is active in growth sectors, as well. It has one of the most advanced artificial intelligence programs in the world. Commercialization has been slow, but if IBM solves that issue, it would be a game-changer. In the meantime, the company's Red Hat purchase gave it a big boost in on-trend categories such as cloud computing and virtualization. IBM still faces structural headwinds, to be sure. But at a 12 times forward P-E ratio and 5.1% dividend yield, the price is certainly right to give IBM's turnaround story a chance.\nGilead Sciences Inc. (GILD)\nInvestors have labeled Gilead Sciences a value trap. That's because the stock has gone nowhere for the past five years despite appearing to be cheap. This is understandable. Gilead rose to prominence from a highly successful set of drugs to treat hepatitis C. Gilead was unable to immediately follow up that product line with a second act, causing the company's revenues, earnings and stock price to stall out. Seemingly under the radar, however, Gilead has snapped out of its slump. Analysts are modeling double-digit growth in 2022 as Gilead's clinical pipeline and acquisitions are kicking into gear.Biotech investing is always subject to a certain degree of luck depending on clinical trial outcomes. However, with earnings set to jump, Gilead looks attractive at 10 times forward earnings and with a 4% dividend yield.\nFedEx Corp. (FDX)\nFedEx fell victim to a post-pandemic slump. Shares had surged in 2020 as soaring e-commerce demand led to unprecedented need for FedEx's delivery and logistics services. Previously, investors had worried that Amazon would steal market share from FedEx. With the rise of quarantine shopping in 2020, however, there were more than enough packages to keep everyone busy. 2021 was more difficult, though. Labor shortages and surging wages made it difficult to keep the workforce ready at a reasonable cost. Soaring fuel prices crimped profit margins. And port closures, vaccine mandates and other outside factors added further layers of complexity to FedEx's business. Despite all that, FedEx is still going for just 12 times forward earnings. While the headwinds are real, the company's earnings more than offset them. To that end, FedEx just announced a $1.5 billion accelerated share repurchase program to sop up company stock while it's cheap. As if that weren't enough, JPMorgan Chase analysts labeled FedEx stock one of their top transportation picks for 2022.\nKroger Co. (KR)\nLike FedEx, Kroger found itself in a complicated situation thanks to the pandemic. Initially, Kroger delivered strong growth as consumers stocked up their pantries at the start of the lockdowns. In addition, Kroger has invested heavily in e-commerce, warehouses and logistics over the past few years. It's not just a sleepy grocery store chain anymore. In a crisis, Kroger was able to demonstrate its capabilities with delivery orders and gain the trust of a new generation of consumers. 2021 was more complicated, though. Labor shortages and supply chain problems caused Kroger significant profitability headwinds. In addition, the general inflationary wave forced Kroger and its suppliers to raise prices dramatically, potentially damaging the consumer relationship. For the longer term, Kroger's investments in logistics should keep it on the right road, and at 13 times forward earnings, the stock is hardly priced for perfection.\nExxonMobil Corp. (XOM)\nExxonMobil is enjoying a long-overdue comeback. Exxon stock suffered a six-year downturn between 2014 and 2020, with the stock plummeting from $100 to its ultimate low around $30 during the pandemic. The price of natural gas slumped, while oil did it one better: Crude briefly tumbled below $0 per barrel during the height of the COVID-19 crisis. However, as the adage goes, the cure for low prices is low prices. With oil down for so long, producers stopped putting much capital into new projects. As a result, the supply of oil has become less certain, while demand for oil has come surging back as the world economy reopens. Government regulation and socially conscious investors have further made it difficult to drill for new oil. This puts existing producers with low-cost fields, like ExxonMobil, in the driver's seat. The stock is selling at just 11 times earnings heading into 2022, while paying out a nearly 6% dividend yield.\n10 best value stocks to buy for 2022:\n\nVerizon Communications Inc. (VZ)\nGoldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS)\nWells Fargo & Co. (WFC)\nFord Motor Co. (F)\nFidelity National Information Services Inc. (FIS)\nInternational Business Machines Corp. (IBM)\nGilead Sciences Inc. (GILD)\nFedEx Corp. (FDX)\nKroger Co. (KR)\nExxonMobil Corp. 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information, will have my bullets ready.","listText":"Good information, will have my bullets ready.","text":"Good information, will have my bullets ready.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/807913163","repostId":"2156142083","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":582,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159961682,"gmtCreate":1624936536746,"gmtModify":1631883667240,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AIY.SI\">$IFAST CORPORATION LTD.(AIY.SI)$</a>will hold this stock and hope more good news.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AIY.SI\">$IFAST CORPORATION LTD.(AIY.SI)$</a>will hold this stock and hope more good news.","text":"$IFAST CORPORATION LTD.(AIY.SI)$will hold this stock and hope more good news.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d9fd037f2b0f9c1841c12eec1497d2a","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159961682","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":877,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194381395,"gmtCreate":1621342837317,"gmtModify":1634192308300,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looking for the right time to invest more&nbsp;","listText":"Looking for the right time to invest more&nbsp;","text":"Looking for the right time to invest more","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194381395","repostId":"1193296120","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":316,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":340817259,"gmtCreate":1617371566471,"gmtModify":1634521204464,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tesla is a good company, I would like to build up this&nbsp;stock in my portfolio.","listText":"Tesla is a good company, I would like to build up this&nbsp;stock in my portfolio.","text":"Tesla is a good company, I would like to build up this stock in my portfolio.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/340817259","repostId":"2124875875","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":873320755,"gmtCreate":1636861389379,"gmtModify":1636861389379,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good info","listText":"Good info","text":"Good info","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873320755","repostId":"2183043548","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2183043548","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1636852012,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2183043548?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-14 09:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If inflation is more than transitory, consumer prices and stocks could both keep climbing<blockquote>如果通胀不仅仅是暂时的，消费者价格和股市都可能继续攀升</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2183043548","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The stock market is a good inflation hedge\nAgence France-Presse/Getty Images\n\nConventional wisdom sa","content":"<p>The stock market is a good inflation hedge</p><p><blockquote>股市是一个很好的通胀对冲工具</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd7f220695081ff57f1ed561e56d2713\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Agence France-Presse/Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>法新社/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Conventional wisdom says that inflation is bad for the stock market. Yet the U.S. stock market this year has remained strong in the face of unexpectedly high inflation.</p><p><blockquote>传统观点认为通货膨胀对股市不利。然而，面对出乎意料的高通胀，今年美国股市仍然保持强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Since mid-May, when it was first reported that the CPI’s 12-month rate of change had spiked, the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;has gained more than 15% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index&nbsp;is up almost 23%.</p><p><blockquote>自5月中旬首次报道CPI 12个月变化率飙升以来，标普500已上涨超过15%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数上涨近23%。</blockquote></p><p> Does that mean the stock market is living on borrowed time, and will soon succumb to the gravitational pull exerted by higher inflation? Or is the conventional wisdom on this subject just wrong?</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着股市正在靠借来的时间生存，并且很快就会屈服于通胀上升所施加的引力？或者在这个问题上的传统观点是错误的？</blockquote></p><p> Now is a good time to investigate these questions, since the U.S. government reported this week that the CPI over the latest 12 months has risen at its fastest rate in over 30 years.</p><p><blockquote>现在是调查这些问题的好时机，因为美国政府本周报告称，过去12个月的CPI以30多年来最快的速度上涨。</blockquote></p><p> My analysis of the historical record reveals that the relationship between equities and inflation is far more complex than it initially appears. That’s because there are both plusses and minuses to inflation’s impact, and it’s difficult to predict the net impact of inflation’s various consequences.</p><p><blockquote>我对历史记录的分析表明，股票和通胀之间的关系比最初看起来要复杂得多。这是因为通货膨胀的影响既有优点也有缺点，而且很难预测通货膨胀各种后果的净影响。</blockquote></p><p> Consider first inflation’s impact on earnings: Because companies often are able to charge higher prices when inflation heats up — they have “pricing power,” in other words — their earnings do not suffer as much as you might think. In fact, according to data back to 1871 provided by Yale University’s Robert Shiller, the S&amp;P 500’s nominal earnings per share have grown faster, on average, when inflation has been higher.</p><p><blockquote>首先考虑通货膨胀对盈利的影响：因为当通货膨胀升温时，公司通常能够收取更高的价格——换句话说，他们拥有“定价权”——他们的盈利不会像你想象的那么严重。事实上，根据耶鲁大学Robert Shiller提供的1871年以来的数据，平均而言，当通货膨胀率较高时，标普500的名义每股收益增长更快。</blockquote></p><p> This tendency is why the stock market is a good inflation hedge. Yet investors all too often overlook this valuable tendency, since they focus on nominal earnings growth rates rather than real growth rates. They extrapolate the slower nominal earnings growth rate of a low-inflation period even when inflation heats up. Economists often refer to this mistake as “money illusion” or “inflation illusion.”</p><p><blockquote>这种倾向就是为什么股票市场是一个很好的通胀对冲工具。然而，投资者常常忽视这一有价值的趋势，因为他们关注的是名义盈利增长率而不是实际增长率。他们推断，即使通胀升温，低通胀时期的名义盈利增长率也会较慢。经济学家常将这种错误称为“货币错觉”或“通胀错觉”。</blockquote></p><p> Corporate earnings’ ability to hedge inflation is the good news. The bad news is that inflation causes P/E ratios to decline, since inflation reduces the discounted value of future years’ earnings.</p><p><blockquote>企业盈利对冲通胀的能力是个好消息。坏消息是通货膨胀会导致市盈率下降，因为通货膨胀会降低未来几年收益的贴现值。</blockquote></p><p> These two distinct impacts are summarized in the chart below. To construct the chart, I segregated the period since 1871 into two subsets according to the CPI’s trailing 2-year rate of change. Notice that the EPS growth rate has tended to be higher when inflation is higher, but the P/E ratio has tended to be lower.</p><p><blockquote>下图总结了这两种不同的影响。为了构建图表，我根据CPI过去两年的变化率将1871年以来的时期分为两个子集。请注意，当通胀较高时，每股收益增长率往往较高，但市盈率往往较低。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/370baeb3b581e82486aa533711b4363e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"482\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>What to watch for — and watch out for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要注意什么——以及要注意什么</b></blockquote></p><p> How do these countervailing factors interact in practice? The answer depends on whether you focus on the near-term or the long-term. Over the near-term — up to a year, or so — inflation historically has been a net negative for stocks. That’s because inflation’s negative impact on the P/E ratio is immediate, while its positive impact on earnings doesn’t kick in for a couple of years. Once your time horizon extends two or three years, these effects on average cancel each other out.</p><p><blockquote>这些抵消因素在实践中是如何相互作用的？答案取决于你关注的是近期还是长期。从历史上看，在短期内（长达一年左右），通胀对股市来说一直是净负面影响。这是因为通货膨胀对市盈率的负面影响是立竿见影的，而对盈利的积极影响在几年内不会显现。一旦你的时间范围延长了两三年，这些影响平均会相互抵消。</blockquote></p><p> The investment implication: If inflation proves to be more than transitory and the stock market declines significantly, you might want to treat the selloff as a buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>投资含义：如果通货膨胀被证明不仅仅是暂时的，并且股市大幅下跌，您可能需要将抛售视为买入机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If inflation is more than transitory, consumer prices and stocks could both keep climbing<blockquote>如果通胀不仅仅是暂时的，消费者价格和股市都可能继续攀升</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf inflation is more than transitory, consumer prices and stocks could both keep climbing<blockquote>如果通胀不仅仅是暂时的，消费者价格和股市都可能继续攀升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-14 09:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The stock market is a good inflation hedge</p><p><blockquote>股市是一个很好的通胀对冲工具</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd7f220695081ff57f1ed561e56d2713\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Agence France-Presse/Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>法新社/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Conventional wisdom says that inflation is bad for the stock market. Yet the U.S. stock market this year has remained strong in the face of unexpectedly high inflation.</p><p><blockquote>传统观点认为通货膨胀对股市不利。然而，面对出乎意料的高通胀，今年美国股市仍然保持强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Since mid-May, when it was first reported that the CPI’s 12-month rate of change had spiked, the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;has gained more than 15% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index&nbsp;is up almost 23%.</p><p><blockquote>自5月中旬首次报道CPI 12个月变化率飙升以来，标普500已上涨超过15%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数上涨近23%。</blockquote></p><p> Does that mean the stock market is living on borrowed time, and will soon succumb to the gravitational pull exerted by higher inflation? Or is the conventional wisdom on this subject just wrong?</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着股市正在靠借来的时间生存，并且很快就会屈服于通胀上升所施加的引力？或者在这个问题上的传统观点是错误的？</blockquote></p><p> Now is a good time to investigate these questions, since the U.S. government reported this week that the CPI over the latest 12 months has risen at its fastest rate in over 30 years.</p><p><blockquote>现在是调查这些问题的好时机，因为美国政府本周报告称，过去12个月的CPI以30多年来最快的速度上涨。</blockquote></p><p> My analysis of the historical record reveals that the relationship between equities and inflation is far more complex than it initially appears. That’s because there are both plusses and minuses to inflation’s impact, and it’s difficult to predict the net impact of inflation’s various consequences.</p><p><blockquote>我对历史记录的分析表明，股票和通胀之间的关系比最初看起来要复杂得多。这是因为通货膨胀的影响既有优点也有缺点，而且很难预测通货膨胀各种后果的净影响。</blockquote></p><p> Consider first inflation’s impact on earnings: Because companies often are able to charge higher prices when inflation heats up — they have “pricing power,” in other words — their earnings do not suffer as much as you might think. In fact, according to data back to 1871 provided by Yale University’s Robert Shiller, the S&amp;P 500’s nominal earnings per share have grown faster, on average, when inflation has been higher.</p><p><blockquote>首先考虑通货膨胀对盈利的影响：因为当通货膨胀升温时，公司通常能够收取更高的价格——换句话说，他们拥有“定价权”——他们的盈利不会像你想象的那么严重。事实上，根据耶鲁大学Robert Shiller提供的1871年以来的数据，平均而言，当通货膨胀率较高时，标普500的名义每股收益增长更快。</blockquote></p><p> This tendency is why the stock market is a good inflation hedge. Yet investors all too often overlook this valuable tendency, since they focus on nominal earnings growth rates rather than real growth rates. They extrapolate the slower nominal earnings growth rate of a low-inflation period even when inflation heats up. Economists often refer to this mistake as “money illusion” or “inflation illusion.”</p><p><blockquote>这种倾向就是为什么股票市场是一个很好的通胀对冲工具。然而，投资者常常忽视这一有价值的趋势，因为他们关注的是名义盈利增长率而不是实际增长率。他们推断，即使通胀升温，低通胀时期的名义盈利增长率也会较慢。经济学家常将这种错误称为“货币错觉”或“通胀错觉”。</blockquote></p><p> Corporate earnings’ ability to hedge inflation is the good news. The bad news is that inflation causes P/E ratios to decline, since inflation reduces the discounted value of future years’ earnings.</p><p><blockquote>企业盈利对冲通胀的能力是个好消息。坏消息是通货膨胀会导致市盈率下降，因为通货膨胀会降低未来几年收益的贴现值。</blockquote></p><p> These two distinct impacts are summarized in the chart below. To construct the chart, I segregated the period since 1871 into two subsets according to the CPI’s trailing 2-year rate of change. Notice that the EPS growth rate has tended to be higher when inflation is higher, but the P/E ratio has tended to be lower.</p><p><blockquote>下图总结了这两种不同的影响。为了构建图表，我根据CPI过去两年的变化率将1871年以来的时期分为两个子集。请注意，当通胀较高时，每股收益增长率往往较高，但市盈率往往较低。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/370baeb3b581e82486aa533711b4363e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"482\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>What to watch for — and watch out for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要注意什么——以及要注意什么</b></blockquote></p><p> How do these countervailing factors interact in practice? The answer depends on whether you focus on the near-term or the long-term. Over the near-term — up to a year, or so — inflation historically has been a net negative for stocks. That’s because inflation’s negative impact on the P/E ratio is immediate, while its positive impact on earnings doesn’t kick in for a couple of years. Once your time horizon extends two or three years, these effects on average cancel each other out.</p><p><blockquote>这些抵消因素在实践中是如何相互作用的？答案取决于你关注的是近期还是长期。从历史上看，在短期内（长达一年左右），通胀对股市来说一直是净负面影响。这是因为通货膨胀对市盈率的负面影响是立竿见影的，而对盈利的积极影响在几年内不会显现。一旦你的时间范围延长了两三年，这些影响平均会相互抵消。</blockquote></p><p> The investment implication: If inflation proves to be more than transitory and the stock market declines significantly, you might want to treat the selloff as a buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>投资含义：如果通货膨胀被证明不仅仅是暂时的，并且股市大幅下跌，您可能需要将抛售视为买入机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/inflation-is-boosting-prices-and-stocks-heres-why-that-isnt-a-surprise-11636672378?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","NDX":"纳斯达克100指数",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/inflation-is-boosting-prices-and-stocks-heres-why-that-isnt-a-surprise-11636672378?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2183043548","content_text":"The stock market is a good inflation hedge\nAgence France-Presse/Getty Images\n\nConventional wisdom says that inflation is bad for the stock market. Yet the U.S. stock market this year has remained strong in the face of unexpectedly high inflation.\nSince mid-May, when it was first reported that the CPI’s 12-month rate of change had spiked, the S&P 500 has gained more than 15% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index is up almost 23%.\nDoes that mean the stock market is living on borrowed time, and will soon succumb to the gravitational pull exerted by higher inflation? Or is the conventional wisdom on this subject just wrong?\nNow is a good time to investigate these questions, since the U.S. government reported this week that the CPI over the latest 12 months has risen at its fastest rate in over 30 years.\nMy analysis of the historical record reveals that the relationship between equities and inflation is far more complex than it initially appears. That’s because there are both plusses and minuses to inflation’s impact, and it’s difficult to predict the net impact of inflation’s various consequences.\nConsider first inflation’s impact on earnings: Because companies often are able to charge higher prices when inflation heats up — they have “pricing power,” in other words — their earnings do not suffer as much as you might think. In fact, according to data back to 1871 provided by Yale University’s Robert Shiller, the S&P 500’s nominal earnings per share have grown faster, on average, when inflation has been higher.\nThis tendency is why the stock market is a good inflation hedge. Yet investors all too often overlook this valuable tendency, since they focus on nominal earnings growth rates rather than real growth rates. They extrapolate the slower nominal earnings growth rate of a low-inflation period even when inflation heats up. Economists often refer to this mistake as “money illusion” or “inflation illusion.”\nCorporate earnings’ ability to hedge inflation is the good news. The bad news is that inflation causes P/E ratios to decline, since inflation reduces the discounted value of future years’ earnings.\nThese two distinct impacts are summarized in the chart below. To construct the chart, I segregated the period since 1871 into two subsets according to the CPI’s trailing 2-year rate of change. Notice that the EPS growth rate has tended to be higher when inflation is higher, but the P/E ratio has tended to be lower.\n\nWhat to watch for — and watch out for\n\nHow do these countervailing factors interact in practice? The answer depends on whether you focus on the near-term or the long-term. Over the near-term — up to a year, or so — inflation historically has been a net negative for stocks. That’s because inflation’s negative impact on the P/E ratio is immediate, while its positive impact on earnings doesn’t kick in for a couple of years. Once your time horizon extends two or three years, these effects on average cancel each other out.\nThe investment implication: If inflation proves to be more than transitory and the stock market declines significantly, you might want to treat the selloff as a buying opportunity.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"NDX":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":831,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":342086198,"gmtCreate":1618128304014,"gmtModify":1634294763953,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I wonder when could it hit the bottom line? I dun want to miss the opportunity from its bottom line!!","listText":"I wonder when could it hit the bottom line? I dun want to miss the opportunity from its bottom line!!","text":"I wonder when could it hit the bottom line? I dun want to miss the opportunity from its bottom line!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/342086198","repostId":"1142324412","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":516,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":602335514,"gmtCreate":1638970687125,"gmtModify":1638970687276,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602335514","repostId":"2189661415","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":420,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":102252926,"gmtCreate":1620220734365,"gmtModify":1634206899372,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"May be a good for Dividend stocks.","listText":"May be a good for Dividend stocks.","text":"May be a good for Dividend stocks.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/102252926","repostId":"2132510807","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":611,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":106514861,"gmtCreate":1620133685553,"gmtModify":1634207582351,"author":{"id":"3571112889855060","authorId":"3571112889855060","name":"Liuliusg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86e7691637ffe866f31f181dbe2ede72","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571112889855060","idStr":"3571112889855060"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good reference.","listText":"Good reference.","text":"Good reference.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106514861","repostId":"1153680708","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153680708","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1620130776,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1153680708?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-04 20:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153680708","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Nasdaq futures lead stock drop.Pfizer, CVS boost outlooks.Oil continues its upward climb touching the $65 per barrel level.Gold was modestly lower trading at $1,782 an ounce. U.S. stock futuresslipped in early trading as investors digested a fresh batch ofcorporate earnings.For tech, Tuesday may mark the second day of selling, even as the Dow and S&P posted gains, as investors piled into cyclical stocks and out of higher growth names.Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: CVS Health, ","content":"<p><ul><li>Nasdaq futures lead stock drop.</li><li>Pfizer, CVS boost outlooks.</li><li>Oil continues its upward climb touching the $65 per barrel level.</li><li>Gold was modestly lower trading at $1,782 an ounce.</li></ul>(May 4)&nbsp;U.S. stock futuresslipped in early trading as investors digested a fresh batch ofcorporate earnings.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>纳斯达克期货铅库存下降。</li><li>辉瑞、CVS提振前景。</li><li>油价继续攀升，触及每桶65美元的水平。</li><li>金价小幅走低，至每盎司1782美元。</li></ul>（5月4日）美国。由于投资者消化了新一批企业财报，股指期货早盘下跌。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:14 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were fell 62 points, or 0.18%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were down 16.75 points, or 0.40% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 98.25 points, or 0.71%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:14，道指E-minis下跌62点，跌幅0.18%，标普500 E-minis下跌16.75点，跌幅0.40%，纳斯达克100 E-minis下跌98.25点，跌幅0.71%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f8612487eb7d9e478b56b8207930107\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"509\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>For tech, Tuesday may mark the second day of selling, even as the Dow and S&amp;P posted gains, as investors piled into cyclical stocks and out of higher growth names.</p><p><blockquote>对于科技股来说，周二可能是抛售的第二天，尽管道琼斯指数和标准普尔指数上涨，因为投资者纷纷买入周期性股票并退出增长较高的股票。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24fbed60932ea8b019823f3fe29bead3\" tg-width=\"670\" tg-height=\"186\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>FAANMG stocks fell; EV stocks retreated.</p><p><blockquote>FAANMG股价下跌；电动汽车股回落。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5155f64b614f9e0ed08e812feb693cf\" tg-width=\"274\" tg-height=\"321\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cc9463ff9ea655918927cdd1d0e47e5\" tg-width=\"268\" tg-height=\"242\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: CVS Health, iRobot, Vaxart &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：CVS Health、iRobot、Vaxart等</b></blockquote></p><p>1)&nbsp;CVS Health(CVS) – The drug store and pharmacy benefits management companyearned $2.04 per share in the first quarter, above the consensus estimate of $1.72 a share. Revenue also came in above Wall Street forecasts. CVS saw higher sales at its stores, with customer traffic spurred by Covid-19 vaccination visits. CVS also raised its full-year forecast, and its shares rose 3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote>1)CVS Health(CVS)——这家药店和药房福利管理公司第一季度每股盈利2.04美元，高于每股1.72美元的普遍预期。收入也高于华尔街的预期。由于Covid-19疫苗接种访问刺激了顾客流量，CVS商店的销售额有所增加。CVS也上调了全年预期，其股价盘前上涨3%。</blockquote></p><p>2)&nbsp;iRobot(IRBT) – iRobot earned 41 cents per share during the first quarter, compared to a consensus estimate of 9 cents a share. The maker of the Roomba robotic vacuum’s revenue exceeded estimates as well, however the stock tumbled 8.6% in the premarket on concerns about shipping and component costs.</p><p><blockquote>2)iRobot(IRBT)-iRobot第一季度每股收益41美分，而市场普遍预期为每股9美分。Roomba机器人吸尘器制造商的收入也超出了预期，但由于对运输和零部件成本的担忧，该股在盘前下跌了8.6%。</blockquote></p><p>3)&nbsp;Pfizer(PFE) – The drugmakerbeat estimates by 16 cents a share, with quarterly profit of 93 cents per share. Revenue also came in above forecasts and the company raised its full-year guidance as sales of its Covid-19 vaccine continue to be stronger than expected. Additionally, the Food and Drug Administration is set to authorize the vaccine for use in adolescents aged 12-15, according to federal officials familiar with the plan who spoke to The New York Times. Pfizer shares added 1.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>3)辉瑞(PFE)——该制药商每股收益超出预期16美分，季度利润为每股93美分。收入也高于预期，由于Covid-19疫苗的销售继续强于预期，该公司上调了全年指引。此外，据熟悉该计划的联邦官员告诉《纽约时报》，美国食品药品监督管理局将授权该疫苗用于12-15岁的青少年。辉瑞股价在盘前交易中上涨1.3%。</blockquote></p><p>4)&nbsp;Vaxart(VXRT) – Vaxart surged 18.6% in premarket trading after it reported positive results in a phase 1 trial of its oral Covid-19 vaccine. Vaxart said the vaccine could be just as effective as the injected vaccines developed by Pfizer andModerna(MRNA).</p><p><blockquote>4)Vaxart(VXRT)-Vaxart报告其口服Covid-19疫苗1期试验取得积极结果后，盘前交易中股价飙升18.6%。Vaxart表示，该疫苗可能与辉瑞和Moderna(MRNA)开发的注射疫苗一样有效。</blockquote></p><p>5)&nbsp;Under Armour(UAA) – The athletic apparel maker’s stock climbed 2.8% in premarket action after itreported first-quarter profit of 16 cents per share, well above the 3 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also topped analysts’ forecasts and Under Armour raised its full-year outlook as reopening markets spur demand for shoes and apparel. Separately, the companyagreed to pay $9 millionto settle a Securities and Exchange Commission probe into its accounting.</p><p><blockquote>5)Under Armour(UAA)——这家运动服装制造商公布第一季度每股利润16美分，远高于每股3美分的普遍预期，股价在盘前上涨2.8%。收入也超出了分析师的预期，由于市场重新开放刺激了对鞋子和服装的需求，Under Armour上调了全年预期。另外，该公司同意支付900万美元来解决美国证券交易委员会对其会计的调查。</blockquote></p><p>6)&nbsp;DuPont(DD) – The industrial materials maker reported quarterly profit of 91 cents per share, 15 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also topped analysts’ forecasts. DuPont is seeing strong demand for its products from semiconductor makers as well as automobile markets, and the company raised its full-year profit and revenue forecast.</p><p><blockquote>6)杜邦(DD)——这家工业材料制造商公布季度利润为每股91美分，比预期高出15美分。收入也超出了分析师的预期。杜邦看到半导体制造商和汽车市场对其产品的强劲需求，该公司上调了全年利润和收入预期。</blockquote></p><p>7)&nbsp;XPO Logistics(XPO) – XPO reported quarterly earnings of $1.46 per share, well above the consensus estimate of 97 cents a share. The transportation company’s revenue was also above Wall Street forecasts, reaching record levels in sharp contrast to usual seasonal trends. XPO also raised its full-year forecast, but its shares lost 1.2% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote>7)XPO Logistics(XPO)-XPO报告季度收益为每股1.46美元，远高于每股97美分的普遍预期。这家运输公司的收入也高于华尔街的预测，达到创纪录水平，与通常的季节性趋势形成鲜明对比。XPO还上调了全年预期，但其股价在盘前下跌1.2%。</blockquote></p><p>8)&nbsp;Avis Budget(CAR) – Avis Budget lost 46 cents per share for the first quarter, smaller than the loss of $2.16 a share predicted by analysts. The car rental company’s revenue beat Wall Street forecasts as well amid a jump in demand and more solid pricing for car rentals. The stock fell 1.4% in premarket action despite the upbeat results.</p><p><blockquote>8)Avis Budget(CAR)——Avis Budget第一季度每股亏损46美分，小于分析师预测的每股亏损2.16美元。由于需求激增和汽车租赁定价更加稳定，该汽车租赁公司的收入也超出了华尔街的预期。尽管业绩乐观，但该股在盘前下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p>9)&nbsp;Qiagen(QGEN) – Qiagen reported better-than-expected earnings and sales for its latest quarter, as the genetic testing company saw increasing demand for non-coronavirus products as well as strength in its Covid-19 testing business.</p><p><blockquote>9)Qiagen(QGEN)-Qiagen报告了其最新季度的盈利和销售额好于预期，因为这家基因检测公司看到了对非冠状病毒产品的需求不断增加以及其Covid-19检测业务的实力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>10)&nbsp;SmileDirectClub(SDC) – SmileDirectClub said its current-quarter sales will be hurt by an April cyberattack, costing it between $10 million and $15 million. The maker of teeth-straightening systems said it successfully blocked the attack and restored its systems to normal. The stock lost 9.2% in the premarket. (Disclosure: NBC Nightly News investigated SmileDirectClub’s customer complaints in February. The company accused NBCUniversal of publishing false information about the company and is seeking $2.85 billion for defamation.)</p><p><blockquote>10)SmileDirectClub(SDC)–SmileDirectClub表示，其本季度的销售额将受到4月份网络攻击的影响，损失在1000万至1500万美元之间。这家牙齿矫正系统制造商表示，它成功阻止了攻击，并使其系统恢复正常。该股盘前下跌9.2%。（披露：NBC晚间新闻在2月份调查了SmileDirectClub的客户投诉。该公司指控NBCUniversal发布了有关该公司的虚假信息，正在寻求28.5亿美元的诽谤赔偿。）</blockquote></p><p>11)&nbsp;Domtar(UFS) – Domtar shares soared 16.1% in premarket action following a Bloomberg report that said Canada’s Paper Excellence is exploring a deal to buy its U.S.-based paper and packaging rival. A deal could value Domtar in the mid-$50 per share range, compared to Monday’s close of $40.52 a share.</p><p><blockquote>11)Domtar(UFS)——彭博社报道称加拿大造纸卓越公司正在探索收购其美国造纸和包装竞争对手的交易后，Domtar股价在盘前飙升16.1%。交易的估值可能在每股50美元左右，而周一收盘价为每股40.52美元。</blockquote></p><p>In commodities, oil continues its upward climb touching the $65 per barrel level, while gold was modestly lower trading at $1,782 an ounce.</p><p><blockquote>大宗商品方面，石油继续攀升，触及每桶65美元的水平，而黄金则小幅走低，至每盎司1,782美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-04 20:19</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul><li>Nasdaq futures lead stock drop.</li><li>Pfizer, CVS boost outlooks.</li><li>Oil continues its upward climb touching the $65 per barrel level.</li><li>Gold was modestly lower trading at $1,782 an ounce.</li></ul>(May 4)&nbsp;U.S. stock futuresslipped in early trading as investors digested a fresh batch ofcorporate earnings.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>纳斯达克期货铅库存下降。</li><li>辉瑞、CVS提振前景。</li><li>油价继续攀升，触及每桶65美元的水平。</li><li>金价小幅走低，至每盎司1782美元。</li></ul>（5月4日）美国。由于投资者消化了新一批企业财报，股指期货早盘下跌。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:14 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were fell 62 points, or 0.18%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were down 16.75 points, or 0.40% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 98.25 points, or 0.71%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:14，道指E-minis下跌62点，跌幅0.18%，标普500 E-minis下跌16.75点，跌幅0.40%，纳斯达克100 E-minis下跌98.25点，跌幅0.71%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f8612487eb7d9e478b56b8207930107\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"509\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>For tech, Tuesday may mark the second day of selling, even as the Dow and S&amp;P posted gains, as investors piled into cyclical stocks and out of higher growth names.</p><p><blockquote>对于科技股来说，周二可能是抛售的第二天，尽管道琼斯指数和标准普尔指数上涨，因为投资者纷纷买入周期性股票并退出增长较高的股票。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24fbed60932ea8b019823f3fe29bead3\" tg-width=\"670\" tg-height=\"186\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>FAANMG stocks fell; EV stocks retreated.</p><p><blockquote>FAANMG股价下跌；电动汽车股回落。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5155f64b614f9e0ed08e812feb693cf\" tg-width=\"274\" tg-height=\"321\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cc9463ff9ea655918927cdd1d0e47e5\" tg-width=\"268\" tg-height=\"242\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: CVS Health, iRobot, Vaxart &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：CVS Health、iRobot、Vaxart等</b></blockquote></p><p>1)&nbsp;CVS Health(CVS) – The drug store and pharmacy benefits management companyearned $2.04 per share in the first quarter, above the consensus estimate of $1.72 a share. Revenue also came in above Wall Street forecasts. CVS saw higher sales at its stores, with customer traffic spurred by Covid-19 vaccination visits. CVS also raised its full-year forecast, and its shares rose 3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote>1)CVS Health(CVS)——这家药店和药房福利管理公司第一季度每股盈利2.04美元，高于每股1.72美元的普遍预期。收入也高于华尔街的预期。由于Covid-19疫苗接种访问刺激了顾客流量，CVS商店的销售额有所增加。CVS也上调了全年预期，其股价盘前上涨3%。</blockquote></p><p>2)&nbsp;iRobot(IRBT) – iRobot earned 41 cents per share during the first quarter, compared to a consensus estimate of 9 cents a share. The maker of the Roomba robotic vacuum’s revenue exceeded estimates as well, however the stock tumbled 8.6% in the premarket on concerns about shipping and component costs.</p><p><blockquote>2)iRobot(IRBT)-iRobot第一季度每股收益41美分，而市场普遍预期为每股9美分。Roomba机器人吸尘器制造商的收入也超出了预期，但由于对运输和零部件成本的担忧，该股在盘前下跌了8.6%。</blockquote></p><p>3)&nbsp;Pfizer(PFE) – The drugmakerbeat estimates by 16 cents a share, with quarterly profit of 93 cents per share. Revenue also came in above forecasts and the company raised its full-year guidance as sales of its Covid-19 vaccine continue to be stronger than expected. Additionally, the Food and Drug Administration is set to authorize the vaccine for use in adolescents aged 12-15, according to federal officials familiar with the plan who spoke to The New York Times. Pfizer shares added 1.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>3)辉瑞(PFE)——该制药商每股收益超出预期16美分，季度利润为每股93美分。收入也高于预期，由于Covid-19疫苗的销售继续强于预期，该公司上调了全年指引。此外，据熟悉该计划的联邦官员告诉《纽约时报》，美国食品药品监督管理局将授权该疫苗用于12-15岁的青少年。辉瑞股价在盘前交易中上涨1.3%。</blockquote></p><p>4)&nbsp;Vaxart(VXRT) – Vaxart surged 18.6% in premarket trading after it reported positive results in a phase 1 trial of its oral Covid-19 vaccine. Vaxart said the vaccine could be just as effective as the injected vaccines developed by Pfizer andModerna(MRNA).</p><p><blockquote>4)Vaxart(VXRT)-Vaxart报告其口服Covid-19疫苗1期试验取得积极结果后，盘前交易中股价飙升18.6%。Vaxart表示，该疫苗可能与辉瑞和Moderna(MRNA)开发的注射疫苗一样有效。</blockquote></p><p>5)&nbsp;Under Armour(UAA) – The athletic apparel maker’s stock climbed 2.8% in premarket action after itreported first-quarter profit of 16 cents per share, well above the 3 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also topped analysts’ forecasts and Under Armour raised its full-year outlook as reopening markets spur demand for shoes and apparel. Separately, the companyagreed to pay $9 millionto settle a Securities and Exchange Commission probe into its accounting.</p><p><blockquote>5)Under Armour(UAA)——这家运动服装制造商公布第一季度每股利润16美分，远高于每股3美分的普遍预期，股价在盘前上涨2.8%。收入也超出了分析师的预期，由于市场重新开放刺激了对鞋子和服装的需求，Under Armour上调了全年预期。另外，该公司同意支付900万美元来解决美国证券交易委员会对其会计的调查。</blockquote></p><p>6)&nbsp;DuPont(DD) – The industrial materials maker reported quarterly profit of 91 cents per share, 15 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also topped analysts’ forecasts. DuPont is seeing strong demand for its products from semiconductor makers as well as automobile markets, and the company raised its full-year profit and revenue forecast.</p><p><blockquote>6)杜邦(DD)——这家工业材料制造商公布季度利润为每股91美分，比预期高出15美分。收入也超出了分析师的预期。杜邦看到半导体制造商和汽车市场对其产品的强劲需求，该公司上调了全年利润和收入预期。</blockquote></p><p>7)&nbsp;XPO Logistics(XPO) – XPO reported quarterly earnings of $1.46 per share, well above the consensus estimate of 97 cents a share. The transportation company’s revenue was also above Wall Street forecasts, reaching record levels in sharp contrast to usual seasonal trends. XPO also raised its full-year forecast, but its shares lost 1.2% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote>7)XPO Logistics(XPO)-XPO报告季度收益为每股1.46美元，远高于每股97美分的普遍预期。这家运输公司的收入也高于华尔街的预测，达到创纪录水平，与通常的季节性趋势形成鲜明对比。XPO还上调了全年预期，但其股价在盘前下跌1.2%。</blockquote></p><p>8)&nbsp;Avis Budget(CAR) – Avis Budget lost 46 cents per share for the first quarter, smaller than the loss of $2.16 a share predicted by analysts. The car rental company’s revenue beat Wall Street forecasts as well amid a jump in demand and more solid pricing for car rentals. The stock fell 1.4% in premarket action despite the upbeat results.</p><p><blockquote>8)Avis Budget(CAR)——Avis Budget第一季度每股亏损46美分，小于分析师预测的每股亏损2.16美元。由于需求激增和汽车租赁定价更加稳定，该汽车租赁公司的收入也超出了华尔街的预期。尽管业绩乐观，但该股在盘前下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p>9)&nbsp;Qiagen(QGEN) – Qiagen reported better-than-expected earnings and sales for its latest quarter, as the genetic testing company saw increasing demand for non-coronavirus products as well as strength in its Covid-19 testing business.</p><p><blockquote>9)Qiagen(QGEN)-Qiagen报告了其最新季度的盈利和销售额好于预期，因为这家基因检测公司看到了对非冠状病毒产品的需求不断增加以及其Covid-19检测业务的实力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>10)&nbsp;SmileDirectClub(SDC) – SmileDirectClub said its current-quarter sales will be hurt by an April cyberattack, costing it between $10 million and $15 million. The maker of teeth-straightening systems said it successfully blocked the attack and restored its systems to normal. The stock lost 9.2% in the premarket. (Disclosure: NBC Nightly News investigated SmileDirectClub’s customer complaints in February. The company accused NBCUniversal of publishing false information about the company and is seeking $2.85 billion for defamation.)</p><p><blockquote>10)SmileDirectClub(SDC)–SmileDirectClub表示，其本季度的销售额将受到4月份网络攻击的影响，损失在1000万至1500万美元之间。这家牙齿矫正系统制造商表示，它成功阻止了攻击，并使其系统恢复正常。该股盘前下跌9.2%。（披露：NBC晚间新闻在2月份调查了SmileDirectClub的客户投诉。该公司指控NBCUniversal发布了有关该公司的虚假信息，正在寻求28.5亿美元的诽谤赔偿。）</blockquote></p><p>11)&nbsp;Domtar(UFS) – Domtar shares soared 16.1% in premarket action following a Bloomberg report that said Canada’s Paper Excellence is exploring a deal to buy its U.S.-based paper and packaging rival. A deal could value Domtar in the mid-$50 per share range, compared to Monday’s close of $40.52 a share.</p><p><blockquote>11)Domtar(UFS)——彭博社报道称加拿大造纸卓越公司正在探索收购其美国造纸和包装竞争对手的交易后，Domtar股价在盘前飙升16.1%。交易的估值可能在每股50美元左右，而周一收盘价为每股40.52美元。</blockquote></p><p>In commodities, oil continues its upward climb touching the $65 per barrel level, while gold was modestly lower trading at $1,782 an ounce.</p><p><blockquote>大宗商品方面，石油继续攀升，触及每桶65美元的水平，而黄金则小幅走低，至每盎司1,782美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153680708","content_text":"Nasdaq futures lead stock drop.Pfizer, CVS boost outlooks.Oil continues its upward climb touching the $65 per barrel level.Gold was modestly lower trading at $1,782 an ounce.(May 4) U.S. stock futuresslipped in early trading as investors digested a fresh batch ofcorporate earnings.At 8:14 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were fell 62 points, or 0.18%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 16.75 points, or 0.40% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 98.25 points, or 0.71%.For tech, Tuesday may mark the second day of selling, even as the Dow and S&P posted gains, as investors piled into cyclical stocks and out of higher growth names.FAANMG stocks fell; EV stocks retreated.Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: CVS Health, iRobot, Vaxart & more1) CVS Health(CVS) – The drug store and pharmacy benefits management companyearned $2.04 per share in the first quarter, above the consensus estimate of $1.72 a share. Revenue also came in above Wall Street forecasts. CVS saw higher sales at its stores, with customer traffic spurred by Covid-19 vaccination visits. CVS also raised its full-year forecast, and its shares rose 3% in the premarket.2) iRobot(IRBT) – iRobot earned 41 cents per share during the first quarter, compared to a consensus estimate of 9 cents a share. The maker of the Roomba robotic vacuum’s revenue exceeded estimates as well, however the stock tumbled 8.6% in the premarket on concerns about shipping and component costs.3) Pfizer(PFE) – The drugmakerbeat estimates by 16 cents a share, with quarterly profit of 93 cents per share. Revenue also came in above forecasts and the company raised its full-year guidance as sales of its Covid-19 vaccine continue to be stronger than expected. Additionally, the Food and Drug Administration is set to authorize the vaccine for use in adolescents aged 12-15, according to federal officials familiar with the plan who spoke to The New York Times. Pfizer shares added 1.3% in premarket trading.4) Vaxart(VXRT) – Vaxart surged 18.6% in premarket trading after it reported positive results in a phase 1 trial of its oral Covid-19 vaccine. Vaxart said the vaccine could be just as effective as the injected vaccines developed by Pfizer andModerna(MRNA).5) Under Armour(UAA) – The athletic apparel maker’s stock climbed 2.8% in premarket action after itreported first-quarter profit of 16 cents per share, well above the 3 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also topped analysts’ forecasts and Under Armour raised its full-year outlook as reopening markets spur demand for shoes and apparel. Separately, the companyagreed to pay $9 millionto settle a Securities and Exchange Commission probe into its accounting.6) DuPont(DD) – The industrial materials maker reported quarterly profit of 91 cents per share, 15 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also topped analysts’ forecasts. DuPont is seeing strong demand for its products from semiconductor makers as well as automobile markets, and the company raised its full-year profit and revenue forecast.7) XPO Logistics(XPO) – XPO reported quarterly earnings of $1.46 per share, well above the consensus estimate of 97 cents a share. The transportation company’s revenue was also above Wall Street forecasts, reaching record levels in sharp contrast to usual seasonal trends. XPO also raised its full-year forecast, but its shares lost 1.2% in premarket action.8) Avis Budget(CAR) – Avis Budget lost 46 cents per share for the first quarter, smaller than the loss of $2.16 a share predicted by analysts. The car rental company’s revenue beat Wall Street forecasts as well amid a jump in demand and more solid pricing for car rentals. The stock fell 1.4% in premarket action despite the upbeat results.9) Qiagen(QGEN) – Qiagen reported better-than-expected earnings and sales for its latest quarter, as the genetic testing company saw increasing demand for non-coronavirus products as well as strength in its Covid-19 testing business.10) SmileDirectClub(SDC) – SmileDirectClub said its current-quarter sales will be hurt by an April cyberattack, costing it between $10 million and $15 million. The maker of teeth-straightening systems said it successfully blocked the attack and restored its systems to normal. The stock lost 9.2% in the premarket. (Disclosure: NBC Nightly News investigated SmileDirectClub’s customer complaints in February. The company accused NBCUniversal of publishing false information about the company and is seeking $2.85 billion for defamation.)11) Domtar(UFS) – Domtar shares soared 16.1% in premarket action following a Bloomberg report that said Canada’s Paper Excellence is exploring a deal to buy its U.S.-based paper and packaging rival. A deal could value Domtar in the mid-$50 per share range, compared to Monday’s close of $40.52 a share.In commodities, oil continues its upward climb touching the $65 per barrel level, while gold was modestly lower trading at $1,782 an ounce.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ESmain":0.9,"MYMmain":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":558,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}