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Ken9319
2022-01-04
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
你是病虎吗?
Ken9319
2021-12-23
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
直播:投资大复盘,炒股12年从韭菜小白到年入百万
Ken9319
2021-12-21
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@格隆汇:美股掘金 | 从Taper和加息看明年主线
Ken9319
2021-12-17
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
any bad news? why drop so much ?
Ken9319
2021-12-17
Hoot 9e
抱歉,原内容已删除
Ken9319
2021-12-02
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@老虎国际:老虎国际Q3新增入金超80%来自海外,中国香港牌照正式落地
Ken9319
2021-12-01
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
慌过头了?鲍威尔发言的实际意图,你真的看懂了吗?
Ken9319
2021-11-27
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
昨夜今晨:新毒株引爆美股70年来最惨“黑五”,道指狂泄逾千点
Ken9319
2021-11-27
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
抱歉,原内容已删除
Ken9319
2021-11-27
Follow
世界卫生组织:最新出现的新冠变种病毒是怎么回事
Ken9319
2021-11-25
this stock can short?
抱歉,原内容已删除
Ken9319
2021-10-30
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
基金发行降温?公募手里仍有7000多亿元“子弹”
Ken9319
2021-10-30
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@大哥千万别站山上:投资三年小总结:我是如何亏掉98%的。写在特斯拉破市值破万亿之际(一)
Ken9319
2021-10-30
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
直播:美联储11月会议来袭,美股会作何反应?
Ken9319
2021-10-28
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
发生什么事,为什么盘前跌那么多
Ken9319
2021-10-28
$富途控股(FUTU)$
发生什么事,盘前跌
Ken9319
2021-10-23
好消息= 坏消息
抱歉,原内容已删除
Ken9319
2021-10-23
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@OptionPlus:卖put是一种优雅的买入方式,跟股神巴菲特学如何用期权抄底
Ken9319
2021-10-21
这样的话,是不是代表要推上 1美金? [开心] [开心]
股价未达合规标准 纽交所向微贷网发出“退市”警示函
Ken9319
2021-10-18
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
高盛:市场现金太多,将推动投资者股票配置比例续创新高
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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| 从Taper和加息看明年主线","htmlText":"01 近期走势解读上周三,FOMC会议上美联储宣布维持利率不变,加速taper(与QE相对,缩减购债规模,可理解为减少流动性),并且预计明年可能加息3次。本来这种纯鹰派的发言非常可能让市场出现恐慌性抛售,但是由于此前早有预期,并且盘面走势已经先跌为敬反映了预期,因此在FOMC会议时指数开始暴力反弹,以大涨收盘。但是这些年来坊间一直流传着一句话:Never fight the feds.(不要和美联储对着干)这句话相信过去10年空头都深有体会,在宽松周期下,空头面对的对手其实就是美联储这个超级印钞机。那么道理放在今天也是一样,美联储已经明确表示紧缩,这么放肆拉涨是看不起谁呢?所以周四很快就上演一波跳水大跌。QQQ近一周走势另外,近几个交易日的大幅波动也与四巫日有关。四巫日(Quadruple witching day)指美国市场每季月(三月、六月、九月、十二月)的第三个星期五,是金融衍生品到期结算日,由于大量的期货期权合约到期交割,所以历来波动都非常大。说个题外话,四巫日走势并非无迹可寻,相似的背景下容易出现相似的走势。比如这一次四巫日的背景与3月类似,走势也非常相似。具体来说,3月面临的环境是通胀和taper预期(虽然鲍威尔这个预期管理大师一直说通胀是暂时的),成长股杀估值,3.19四巫日前一天大跌,当天先跌后升,盘中震荡;12月面临的是通胀和加息兑现,上周五四巫日也是前一天大跌释放一部分风险,当天同样是下探后直线拉升,盘中大幅震荡,基本先杀多再杀空。明年的逻辑主线其实已经比较明朗:变异株omicron传播性强、致死率低的特征基本验证,这大概率意味着疫情结束,未来流感化。那么资本市场的主线将围绕通胀和加息。按照美联储最新公布的说法,taper大概率在明年3-4月就结束,然后接着将开启加息,之前市场普遍预计是2次左右,现在来看有2-3次的可能。那么在这种环境下资本市场将怎么走","listText":"01 近期走势解读上周三,FOMC会议上美联储宣布维持利率不变,加速taper(与QE相对,缩减购债规模,可理解为减少流动性),并且预计明年可能加息3次。本来这种纯鹰派的发言非常可能让市场出现恐慌性抛售,但是由于此前早有预期,并且盘面走势已经先跌为敬反映了预期,因此在FOMC会议时指数开始暴力反弹,以大涨收盘。但是这些年来坊间一直流传着一句话:Never fight the feds.(不要和美联储对着干)这句话相信过去10年空头都深有体会,在宽松周期下,空头面对的对手其实就是美联储这个超级印钞机。那么道理放在今天也是一样,美联储已经明确表示紧缩,这么放肆拉涨是看不起谁呢?所以周四很快就上演一波跳水大跌。QQQ近一周走势另外,近几个交易日的大幅波动也与四巫日有关。四巫日(Quadruple witching day)指美国市场每季月(三月、六月、九月、十二月)的第三个星期五,是金融衍生品到期结算日,由于大量的期货期权合约到期交割,所以历来波动都非常大。说个题外话,四巫日走势并非无迹可寻,相似的背景下容易出现相似的走势。比如这一次四巫日的背景与3月类似,走势也非常相似。具体来说,3月面临的环境是通胀和taper预期(虽然鲍威尔这个预期管理大师一直说通胀是暂时的),成长股杀估值,3.19四巫日前一天大跌,当天先跌后升,盘中震荡;12月面临的是通胀和加息兑现,上周五四巫日也是前一天大跌释放一部分风险,当天同样是下探后直线拉升,盘中大幅震荡,基本先杀多再杀空。明年的逻辑主线其实已经比较明朗:变异株omicron传播性强、致死率低的特征基本验证,这大概率意味着疫情结束,未来流感化。那么资本市场的主线将围绕通胀和加息。按照美联储最新公布的说法,taper大概率在明年3-4月就结束,然后接着将开启加息,之前市场普遍预计是2次左右,现在来看有2-3次的可能。那么在这种环境下资本市场将怎么走","text":"01 近期走势解读上周三,FOMC会议上美联储宣布维持利率不变,加速taper(与QE相对,缩减购债规模,可理解为减少流动性),并且预计明年可能加息3次。本来这种纯鹰派的发言非常可能让市场出现恐慌性抛售,但是由于此前早有预期,并且盘面走势已经先跌为敬反映了预期,因此在FOMC会议时指数开始暴力反弹,以大涨收盘。但是这些年来坊间一直流传着一句话:Never fight the feds.(不要和美联储对着干)这句话相信过去10年空头都深有体会,在宽松周期下,空头面对的对手其实就是美联储这个超级印钞机。那么道理放在今天也是一样,美联储已经明确表示紧缩,这么放肆拉涨是看不起谁呢?所以周四很快就上演一波跳水大跌。QQQ近一周走势另外,近几个交易日的大幅波动也与四巫日有关。四巫日(Quadruple witching day)指美国市场每季月(三月、六月、九月、十二月)的第三个星期五,是金融衍生品到期结算日,由于大量的期货期权合约到期交割,所以历来波动都非常大。说个题外话,四巫日走势并非无迹可寻,相似的背景下容易出现相似的走势。比如这一次四巫日的背景与3月类似,走势也非常相似。具体来说,3月面临的环境是通胀和taper预期(虽然鲍威尔这个预期管理大师一直说通胀是暂时的),成长股杀估值,3.19四巫日前一天大跌,当天先跌后升,盘中震荡;12月面临的是通胀和加息兑现,上周五四巫日也是前一天大跌释放一部分风险,当天同样是下探后直线拉升,盘中大幅震荡,基本先杀多再杀空。明年的逻辑主线其实已经比较明朗:变异株omicron传播性强、致死率低的特征基本验证,这大概率意味着疫情结束,未来流感化。那么资本市场的主线将围绕通胀和加息。按照美联储最新公布的说法,taper大概率在明年3-4月就结束,然后接着将开启加息,之前市场普遍预计是2次左右,现在来看有2-3次的可能。那么在这种环境下资本市场将怎么走","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d95ddd70d7fa716db3beaa96057d258","width":"688","height":"261"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5d9f3b053ae44a05efd82f897fb8f33","width":"688","height":"225"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84c26d53050d5749dd75db00a9ff8d39","width":"688","height":"415"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693146775","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699329655,"gmtCreate":1639751190594,"gmtModify":1639751429359,"author":{"id":"3570927652705264","authorId":"3570927652705264","name":"Ken9319","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45a0daa5f0b5428f6b0d81e58826ce0d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570927652705264","idStr":"3570927652705264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>any bad news? why drop so much ?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>any bad news? why drop so much ?","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$any bad news? why drop so much ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699329655","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":522,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699988905,"gmtCreate":1639735558847,"gmtModify":1639735558847,"author":{"id":"3570927652705264","authorId":"3570927652705264","name":"Ken9319","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45a0daa5f0b5428f6b0d81e58826ce0d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570927652705264","idStr":"3570927652705264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":" Hoot 9e","listText":" Hoot 9e","text":"Hoot 9e","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699988905","repostId":"690601159","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":816,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603686013,"gmtCreate":1638405556962,"gmtModify":1638405557070,"author":{"id":"3570927652705264","authorId":"3570927652705264","name":"Ken9319","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45a0daa5f0b5428f6b0d81e58826ce0d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570927652705264","idStr":"3570927652705264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603686013","repostId":"609178885","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":609178885,"gmtCreate":1638259569144,"gmtModify":1638260736322,"author":{"id":"36992157811200","authorId":"36992157811200","name":"老虎国际","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/801219a1b6ce93d3dd574afc3dcc9be9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36992157811200","idStr":"36992157811200"},"themes":[],"title":"老虎国际Q3新增入金超80%来自海外,中国香港牌照正式落地","htmlText":"美国东部时间11月30日盘前,全球知名科技券商老虎国际<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 公布截至2021年9月30日的第三季度未经审计财报。财报显示,公司三季度实现总营收6078万美元,同比增长59.6%;Non-GAAP净利润526万美元。 季度内,老虎国际持续积极推进国际化战略,截至三季度末,老虎国际全球开户客户新增11.8万至176.7万,是去年同期末的近2倍;全球入金客户增至61.2万,为去年同期末的近3倍,其中单季新增入金客户中超80%来自海外。值得一提的是,老虎国际前三季度累计新增入金客户数已达35.3万,超前完成全年35万入金指引。 老虎国际创始人及CEO巫天华表示:“三季度,老虎国际稳步向‘全球一流科技券商’目标迈进。近期,公司成功获得香港第1、2类牌照,可进入香港市场为当地客户提供证券经纪、期货经纪等服务。与此同时,我们不断巩固公司在新加坡的领先优势,率先拿下新交所清算会员、证券交易会员等四项资格认证,加速融入本地金融基础设施。展望未来,我们将继续坚定投入技术创新,在合规自律的基础上用科技为全球投资者提供安全、普惠、便捷的产品和服务,展现中国科技创新实力。”","listText":"美国东部时间11月30日盘前,全球知名科技券商老虎国际<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> 公布截至2021年9月30日的第三季度未经审计财报。财报显示,公司三季度实现总营收6078万美元,同比增长59.6%;Non-GAAP净利润526万美元。 季度内,老虎国际持续积极推进国际化战略,截至三季度末,老虎国际全球开户客户新增11.8万至176.7万,是去年同期末的近2倍;全球入金客户增至61.2万,为去年同期末的近3倍,其中单季新增入金客户中超80%来自海外。值得一提的是,老虎国际前三季度累计新增入金客户数已达35.3万,超前完成全年35万入金指引。 老虎国际创始人及CEO巫天华表示:“三季度,老虎国际稳步向‘全球一流科技券商’目标迈进。近期,公司成功获得香港第1、2类牌照,可进入香港市场为当地客户提供证券经纪、期货经纪等服务。与此同时,我们不断巩固公司在新加坡的领先优势,率先拿下新交所清算会员、证券交易会员等四项资格认证,加速融入本地金融基础设施。展望未来,我们将继续坚定投入技术创新,在合规自律的基础上用科技为全球投资者提供安全、普惠、便捷的产品和服务,展现中国科技创新实力。”","text":"美国东部时间11月30日盘前,全球知名科技券商老虎国际$老虎证券(TIGR)$ 公布截至2021年9月30日的第三季度未经审计财报。财报显示,公司三季度实现总营收6078万美元,同比增长59.6%;Non-GAAP净利润526万美元。 季度内,老虎国际持续积极推进国际化战略,截至三季度末,老虎国际全球开户客户新增11.8万至176.7万,是去年同期末的近2倍;全球入金客户增至61.2万,为去年同期末的近3倍,其中单季新增入金客户中超80%来自海外。值得一提的是,老虎国际前三季度累计新增入金客户数已达35.3万,超前完成全年35万入金指引。 老虎国际创始人及CEO巫天华表示:“三季度,老虎国际稳步向‘全球一流科技券商’目标迈进。近期,公司成功获得香港第1、2类牌照,可进入香港市场为当地客户提供证券经纪、期货经纪等服务。与此同时,我们不断巩固公司在新加坡的领先优势,率先拿下新交所清算会员、证券交易会员等四项资格认证,加速融入本地金融基础设施。展望未来,我们将继续坚定投入技术创新,在合规自律的基础上用科技为全球投资者提供安全、普惠、便捷的产品和服务,展现中国科技创新实力。”","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/990146ff66b3962ce9dc2c0377b333be","width":"1080","height":"2682"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca84e532a0cb7c38fce882ce35f54c0","width":"1080","height":"3384"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d77451ad40cc9ac0812df2c59b47c4b8","width":"1080","height":"2520"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609178885","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":245,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603998733,"gmtCreate":1638349122488,"gmtModify":1638349122553,"author":{"id":"3570927652705264","authorId":"3570927652705264","name":"Ken9319","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45a0daa5f0b5428f6b0d81e58826ce0d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570927652705264","idStr":"3570927652705264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603998733","repostId":"1124010460","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124010460","pubTimestamp":1638340278,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124010460?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-01 14:31","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"慌过头了?鲍威尔发言的实际意图,你真的看懂了吗?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124010460","media":"金十数据","summary":"即将发生的两件大事才将真正影响美联储缩债进程。\n\n距离被提名连任美联储主席仅一周后,鲍威尔就不再是我们熟悉的鲍威尔了。市场对鲍威尔的变脸反应剧烈,但巴伦周刊刊文称,市场可能恐慌过头了。\n在参议院银行委","content":"<blockquote>\n 即将发生的两件大事才将真正影响美联储缩债进程。\n</blockquote>\n<p>距离被提名连任美联储主席仅一周后,鲍威尔就不再是我们熟悉的鲍威尔了。市场对鲍威尔的变脸反应剧烈,但巴伦周刊刊文称,<b>市场可能恐慌过头了。</b></p>\n<p>在参议院银行委员会(Senate Banking Committee)作证时,鲍威尔表示,美联储官员长期以来一直用“暂时”这个词来描述不断加剧的通胀,现在是时候放弃这个形容词了。他还暗示,美联储可能会加快缩减其紧急债券购买计划,这表明加息可能会比计划的更早。</p>\n<p>华尔街因此大惊失色。随着30年期美国国债收益率跌至今年以来的最低水平,美股主要股指受挫,标准普尔500指数周二大跌近2%,纳斯达克指数下跌1.5%。</p>\n<p>Evercore ISI的全球政策和央行策略团队主管Krishna Guha说:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “美联储的转向非常突然。为期八个月的缩减计划四个星期前才宣布,纽约联储两个星期前才开始实施。这让人们愈发觉得,美联储进一步调整利率的可能性升高。”\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>此前对美联储加息预期影响重大的两个因素已经浮出水面,致使市场变得敏感不已,犹如惊弓之鸟,一触即发。</b></p>\n<p>首先,鲍威尔保住了美联储主席的职位。此前民主党进步派人士力荐较为鸽派的美联储理事莱尔·布雷纳德当任美联储主席,加上拜登推迟宣布提名,一度引发了外界对鲍威尔落选的预期。几个月来,一些策略师一直在猜测,如果鲍威尔能成功开启下一个四年任期,他将会感到更少的拘束,并迅速对通胀采取更强硬的措施。与美联储官员的预期相比,通胀的幅度和持续性都更高。</p>\n<p>其次,Omicron变异毒株的出现正在提醒政策制定者和投资者,疫情还没有结束。这对于经济预测来说,又是另一个难题。然而这一次,鲍威尔颠覆了他对风险平衡的定义。到目前为止,Omicron变种让官员们更有理由担心经济增长,而不是通货膨胀。这是因为消费者或因担心疫情而减少正常活动,并削减支出。同时感染风险让许多工人对重返工作岗位更加犹豫。自疫情爆发以来,鲍威尔就表示,美联储更关心的是其双重使命中的充分就业问题,而不是价格稳定。</p>\n<p>然而,当地时间周二,鲍威尔的发言画风突变。鲍威尔表示,通货膨胀已成为更大的担忧。他在听证会上称,更高通胀的风险已经增加,并讨论了疫情对供应链、商品短缺和物价水平的影响。此外,鲍威尔承认,物价稳定对于恢复疫情前的劳动力市场状况至关重要,当前的失业率处于半个世纪以来的低点。</p>\n<blockquote>\n “从某种意义上说,通胀持续高企的风险也是就业市场复苏面临的主要风险。”\n</blockquote>\n<p>虽然鲍威尔的转变值得注意,但其调整态度的时机确实恰到好处。鲍威尔周二的语气比美联储开始积极应对疫情和政府停摆以遏制疫情以来的任何时候都要强硬。<b>但他仍然是鸽派,只是稍微不那么强硬了,况且他仍然领导着一个倾向于宽松货币政策的委员会。</b></p>\n<p>Cornerstone Macro全球政策主管罗伯托•佩利(Roberto Perli)表示:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “市场有点措手不及。但我不会将鲍威尔的发言解读为货币政策的重大转变。”\n</blockquote>\n<p>佩利指出,<b>联邦基金利率期货的信号或许也能说明问题。</b>在上周五对Omicron毒株的担忧冲击市场之前,交易员实际上已经消化了2022年6月首次加息的预期。上周五,新变异毒株来袭,交易员押注新一轮疫情将阻碍经济复苏,并给予美联储更多时间保持耐心,市场预期降低,加息预期推迟至9月。周二,在鲍威尔讲话后,联邦基金利率期货显示加息预期重回明年6月,也不过是Omicron毒株来袭之前的水平。</p>\n<p>佩利在谈及鲍威尔的证词时表示:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “即使在今天之后,预计股市在明年6月之前也不会大涨,但我还是认为市场对鲍威尔的发言有点解读过度。”\n</blockquote>\n<p>佩利认为,周二并不一定象征着美联储货币政策迎来了戏剧性转折。他表示,<b>将通胀重新定义为“非暂时性”的做法不仅是合情合理的,而且是一项明智的、无成本的政治举措。</b>毕竟,通货膨胀已经成为美国普通民众和华尔街共同的心头之患,而鲍威尔昨晚面对的听众是一群政客。</p>\n<p>与此同时,佩利指出,<b>鲍威尔关于加快缩减计划的声明避免了正面答复。</b>鲍威尔称,美联储官员们将在12月14日至15日的会议上讨论加快缩债的问题,这本身可能是争取更多时间。鲍威尔说,美联储从专家们处获悉,大约一个月后将有更多关于Omicron的信息。对该说辞的一种解读是:12月中旬的会议还为时过早,不能加速缩减债券购买。</p>\n<p><b>值得注意的是,即将出炉的两大数据将影响有关缩债进程的辩论和结果。</b>首先是本周五的就业报告,预计该报告将显示就业状况良好。不过,关键在于劳动力参与率是否上升,以及工资通胀是否放缓。</p>\n<p>11月消费者价格指数也将在美联储下次会议前几天公布。周二上午公布的调查数据显示,消费者通胀指数预计将再次大幅上升,再出现一个月的高通胀只会增强美联储内部关于尽早结束紧急债券购买计划的呼声。</p>\n<p>总而言之,<b>鲍威尔语气的改变意义重大,但这并不是一个转折点。美联储仍在等待能够使其实质性地改变货币政策的信号。</b></p>\n<p>景顺资管驻东京全球市场策略师Tomo Kinoshita也表示,现在就把美联储主席鲍威尔的最新言论解读为过于强硬还为时过早。</p>\n<p>在这个时候,鲍威尔肯定不太可能说一些会对市场产生巨大影响的话,也不太可能积极发表可能导致股价大幅下跌的评论。鲍威尔称经济方面存在相当多的负面压力,这是鸽派的言论。另一方面,他认为对通胀的影响还不清楚,这听起来又有点强硬。根据投资者关注的层面,鲍威尔的言论可能会有不同的解读。从市场角度看,一刀切的解读为时尚早。</p>\n<p>机构分析指出的是,<b>在对奥密克戎毒株的担忧、关键的美国数据及鲍威尔的第二轮证词尘埃落定之前,交易员们仍保持谨慎。</b>展望未来,新冠疫情的发展和美联储的讲话将更加重要,而美国经济数据可以为明确的方向提供更多细节。</p>","source":"lsy1638340289213","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>慌过头了?鲍威尔发言的实际意图,你真的看懂了吗?</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n慌过头了?鲍威尔发言的实际意图,你真的看懂了吗?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-01 14:31 北京时间 <a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/details/86666><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>即将发生的两件大事才将真正影响美联储缩债进程。\n\n距离被提名连任美联储主席仅一周后,鲍威尔就不再是我们熟悉的鲍威尔了。市场对鲍威尔的变脸反应剧烈,但巴伦周刊刊文称,市场可能恐慌过头了。\n在参议院银行委员会(Senate Banking Committee)作证时,鲍威尔表示,美联储官员长期以来一直用“暂时”这个词来描述不断加剧的通胀,现在是时候放弃这个形容词了。他还暗示,美联储可能会加快缩减其紧急...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/86666\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b37cbfdbd9fac06fc4ae2f84ad058a92","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/86666","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124010460","content_text":"即将发生的两件大事才将真正影响美联储缩债进程。\n\n距离被提名连任美联储主席仅一周后,鲍威尔就不再是我们熟悉的鲍威尔了。市场对鲍威尔的变脸反应剧烈,但巴伦周刊刊文称,市场可能恐慌过头了。\n在参议院银行委员会(Senate Banking Committee)作证时,鲍威尔表示,美联储官员长期以来一直用“暂时”这个词来描述不断加剧的通胀,现在是时候放弃这个形容词了。他还暗示,美联储可能会加快缩减其紧急债券购买计划,这表明加息可能会比计划的更早。\n华尔街因此大惊失色。随着30年期美国国债收益率跌至今年以来的最低水平,美股主要股指受挫,标准普尔500指数周二大跌近2%,纳斯达克指数下跌1.5%。\nEvercore ISI的全球政策和央行策略团队主管Krishna Guha说:\n\n “美联储的转向非常突然。为期八个月的缩减计划四个星期前才宣布,纽约联储两个星期前才开始实施。这让人们愈发觉得,美联储进一步调整利率的可能性升高。”\n\n此前对美联储加息预期影响重大的两个因素已经浮出水面,致使市场变得敏感不已,犹如惊弓之鸟,一触即发。\n首先,鲍威尔保住了美联储主席的职位。此前民主党进步派人士力荐较为鸽派的美联储理事莱尔·布雷纳德当任美联储主席,加上拜登推迟宣布提名,一度引发了外界对鲍威尔落选的预期。几个月来,一些策略师一直在猜测,如果鲍威尔能成功开启下一个四年任期,他将会感到更少的拘束,并迅速对通胀采取更强硬的措施。与美联储官员的预期相比,通胀的幅度和持续性都更高。\n其次,Omicron变异毒株的出现正在提醒政策制定者和投资者,疫情还没有结束。这对于经济预测来说,又是另一个难题。然而这一次,鲍威尔颠覆了他对风险平衡的定义。到目前为止,Omicron变种让官员们更有理由担心经济增长,而不是通货膨胀。这是因为消费者或因担心疫情而减少正常活动,并削减支出。同时感染风险让许多工人对重返工作岗位更加犹豫。自疫情爆发以来,鲍威尔就表示,美联储更关心的是其双重使命中的充分就业问题,而不是价格稳定。\n然而,当地时间周二,鲍威尔的发言画风突变。鲍威尔表示,通货膨胀已成为更大的担忧。他在听证会上称,更高通胀的风险已经增加,并讨论了疫情对供应链、商品短缺和物价水平的影响。此外,鲍威尔承认,物价稳定对于恢复疫情前的劳动力市场状况至关重要,当前的失业率处于半个世纪以来的低点。\n\n “从某种意义上说,通胀持续高企的风险也是就业市场复苏面临的主要风险。”\n\n虽然鲍威尔的转变值得注意,但其调整态度的时机确实恰到好处。鲍威尔周二的语气比美联储开始积极应对疫情和政府停摆以遏制疫情以来的任何时候都要强硬。但他仍然是鸽派,只是稍微不那么强硬了,况且他仍然领导着一个倾向于宽松货币政策的委员会。\nCornerstone Macro全球政策主管罗伯托•佩利(Roberto Perli)表示:\n\n “市场有点措手不及。但我不会将鲍威尔的发言解读为货币政策的重大转变。”\n\n佩利指出,联邦基金利率期货的信号或许也能说明问题。在上周五对Omicron毒株的担忧冲击市场之前,交易员实际上已经消化了2022年6月首次加息的预期。上周五,新变异毒株来袭,交易员押注新一轮疫情将阻碍经济复苏,并给予美联储更多时间保持耐心,市场预期降低,加息预期推迟至9月。周二,在鲍威尔讲话后,联邦基金利率期货显示加息预期重回明年6月,也不过是Omicron毒株来袭之前的水平。\n佩利在谈及鲍威尔的证词时表示:\n\n “即使在今天之后,预计股市在明年6月之前也不会大涨,但我还是认为市场对鲍威尔的发言有点解读过度。”\n\n佩利认为,周二并不一定象征着美联储货币政策迎来了戏剧性转折。他表示,将通胀重新定义为“非暂时性”的做法不仅是合情合理的,而且是一项明智的、无成本的政治举措。毕竟,通货膨胀已经成为美国普通民众和华尔街共同的心头之患,而鲍威尔昨晚面对的听众是一群政客。\n与此同时,佩利指出,鲍威尔关于加快缩减计划的声明避免了正面答复。鲍威尔称,美联储官员们将在12月14日至15日的会议上讨论加快缩债的问题,这本身可能是争取更多时间。鲍威尔说,美联储从专家们处获悉,大约一个月后将有更多关于Omicron的信息。对该说辞的一种解读是:12月中旬的会议还为时过早,不能加速缩减债券购买。\n值得注意的是,即将出炉的两大数据将影响有关缩债进程的辩论和结果。首先是本周五的就业报告,预计该报告将显示就业状况良好。不过,关键在于劳动力参与率是否上升,以及工资通胀是否放缓。\n11月消费者价格指数也将在美联储下次会议前几天公布。周二上午公布的调查数据显示,消费者通胀指数预计将再次大幅上升,再出现一个月的高通胀只会增强美联储内部关于尽早结束紧急债券购买计划的呼声。\n总而言之,鲍威尔语气的改变意义重大,但这并不是一个转折点。美联储仍在等待能够使其实质性地改变货币政策的信号。\n景顺资管驻东京全球市场策略师Tomo Kinoshita也表示,现在就把美联储主席鲍威尔的最新言论解读为过于强硬还为时过早。\n在这个时候,鲍威尔肯定不太可能说一些会对市场产生巨大影响的话,也不太可能积极发表可能导致股价大幅下跌的评论。鲍威尔称经济方面存在相当多的负面压力,这是鸽派的言论。另一方面,他认为对通胀的影响还不清楚,这听起来又有点强硬。根据投资者关注的层面,鲍威尔的言论可能会有不同的解读。从市场角度看,一刀切的解读为时尚早。\n机构分析指出的是,在对奥密克戎毒株的担忧、关键的美国数据及鲍威尔的第二轮证词尘埃落定之前,交易员们仍保持谨慎。展望未来,新冠疫情的发展和美联储的讲话将更加重要,而美国经济数据可以为明确的方向提供更多细节。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":649,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":877705498,"gmtCreate":1637979469734,"gmtModify":1637979469734,"author":{"id":"3570927652705264","authorId":"3570927652705264","name":"Ken9319","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45a0daa5f0b5428f6b0d81e58826ce0d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570927652705264","idStr":"3570927652705264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877705498","repostId":"1104667930","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104667930","pubTimestamp":1637972469,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104667930?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-27 08:21","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"昨夜今晨:新毒株引爆美股70年来最惨“黑五”,道指狂泄逾千点","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104667930","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"周五全球股市、原油等风险资产普跌,债券、黄金、日元等避险资产大涨。","content":"<p>周四世界卫生组织宣布南非又有新的变异株出现,传染性比德尔塔毒株更强,而且可能令疫苗失效,WHO周五召开紧急会议讨论新毒株对疫苗和防疫工作的影响。恐慌蔓延至市场,周五全球股市、原油等风险资产普跌,债券、黄金、日元等避险资产大涨。</p>\n<p>欧盟、英国、以色列、新加坡、沙特、俄罗斯率先行动限制来自南部非洲等多国的空中旅行,航司股、飞机制造商及其供应商类股、石油股普跌,邮轮和酒店等旅行与休闲类股周五领跌欧美股市,新冠疫苗股普涨,与远程办公、娱乐和点送餐相关的居家经济类股也逆市上扬。</p>\n<p><b>最新消息称,</b>美国白宫考虑对非洲南部多个国家实施旅行限制,拜登政府官员们将于当地时间周五下午开会讨论具体措施。世卫组织将B.1.1.529归类为“需关注的变异毒株”,命名为“Omicron”,WHO称需要几周时间来了解新变异毒株影响,但初步证据表明,再次感染的风险加重。</p>\n<p>新病毒恐慌之下,市场开始为复苏放缓定价,交易员们对美联储首次加息预期从明年6月推迟至9月,对英国央行加息预期从下个月推迟至明年2月,对欧央行未来加息幅度的预期砍半。</p>\n<p><b>道指盘中狂泄逾千点创今年最大跌幅,标普跌超百点为2月来最深,疫苗和居家概念股猛涨</b></p>\n<p>11月26日周五是美国感恩节假期次日,美股将提前3小时于美东下1点休市。</p>\n<p>源自南非的新冠最新变异毒株吓坏全球市场,追随欧股和日股的狂泄走势,道指期货盘前便跌超750点或逾2%,标普500指数和纳指100的期货均跌超1%,美股开盘显著跳空且跌幅迅速扩大。</p>\n<p>标普500指数低开69.89点,跌幅1.49%,报4631.57点。道琼斯工业平均指数低开803.61点,跌幅2.24%,报35000.77点。纳斯达克综合指数低开179.70点,跌幅1.13%,报15665.53点。衡量标普近期波动性的“恐慌指数”VIX飙涨53%至突破28,创9月中旬以来的两个月新高。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfe35ed19f5235eb806eb3466d5c3fb4\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"290\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>道指盘中最深跌近1055点或跌3%,失守3.5万点整数关口。标普500指数最深跌超116点或跌2.5%,跌破4600点整数位,能源板块跌超5%表现最差。纳指最深跌近390点或跌2.5%。盘初,科技股居多的纳指跌幅相对较小,因受到<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>、奈飞、DoorDash等居家经济股的反弹提振。</p>\n<p><b>截至收盘,</b>道指收跌905点,跌幅2.53%,报收34899.34点,创今年以来最大单日跌幅。标普500指数跌超百点,收跌2.27%,报收4594.62点,创今年2月以来最大跌幅。纳综指收跌近354点,跌幅2.23%,报收15491.66点。罗素2000小盘股指数盘中跌超4%,收跌3.72%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38506abd8755c787c2b49667caaedf07\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>金融博客Zerohedge称,<b>道指和标普500指数均创70年来最差的“黑色星期五”抛售纪录。</b></p>\n<p><b>全周,</b>道指累跌逾700点或跌近2%,标普500指数大盘累跌逾100点或跌2.2%,纳指累跌560点或跌3.5%,罗素2000指数累跌4.1%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6000f979878e20d792b5b768329ba6ba\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"321\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>FAAMNG龙头科技股多数下跌。原名Facebook的Meta、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>母公司Alphabet、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>均跌超2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>终结九连涨并跌超3%,截至周三曾连续六日创新高,奈飞则涨超1%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>跌超3%。芯片股普跌,费城半导体指数跌近3%,至11月10日以来最低,全周累跌3.9%。</p>\n<p>新病毒变种引发旅行限制和对经济冲击的担忧,全球与旅游相关的股票受到冲击最大:</p>\n<blockquote>\n 嘉年华和皇家加勒比等邮轮股至少跌11%,万豪国际和希尔顿等酒店股均跌超6%。\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 航空公司股价下跌,下个月计划提供往返南非直航服务的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">达美航空</a>和美联航均跌超8%,英国航空公司的母公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAG.UK\">国际航空集团</a>(IAG)英股跌超15%,汉莎航空的德股跌超12%,法荷航集团的法股跌超9%。美国<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">波音</a>、欧洲空客等飞机制造商盘中分别跌近8%和近11%。\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 同时,与全球经济密切相关的工业类股下跌,龙头股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">卡特彼勒</a>跌超4%。由于担心经济活动放缓和利率下降,银行股普跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>和花旗集团均跌超2%。能源股追随油价深跌一同下滑,美孚石油和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">雪佛龙</a>石油均跌超2%。\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 而疫苗股和居家概念股逆市上涨,莫德纳涨超20%,接近抹去11月初以来跌幅,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>涨超6%并刷新历史最高,其德国合作伙伴BioNTech美股涨超14%,诺瓦瓦克斯涨近9%。远程办公视频会议供应商Zoom盘中涨超7%,外卖送餐公司DoorDash最高涨超2%,Peloton智能健身涨超5%。\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a998144c936e78c3b4a424c34f124cf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"311\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">\n</blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRK\">默沙东</a>一度跌超6%,至一个月新低,其新冠口服药片Molnupiravir的最新研究数据显示,住院和死亡人数减少30%,效果明显低于去年10月报道的约50%,该数据也远低于竞争对手辉瑞。</p>\n<p>热门中概股涨跌不一:</p>\n<blockquote>\n 中概ETF KWEB和CQQQ分别跌超4%和跌2.7%。“造车三傻”齐跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>跌3.5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌超6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>跌超2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>尾盘跌幅均大幅收窄。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZME\">掌门教育</a>收涨5.3%,森淼科技涨超4.2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">叮咚</a>买菜涨超2.9%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>有道涨超1%。\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>三季度营收和月活用户均不及预期,收跌近16%至去年5月末以来最低。电子烟等新型烟草制品参照卷烟的有关规定执行,雾芯科技盘前跌10%,开盘后在涨跌间波动,最终收涨近2%。\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>欧股市值蒸发5600亿美元,创去年6月最大跌幅,欧元区最大经济体股指领跌</b></p>\n<p>比利时已经发现南非最新变异毒株的感染病例,新毒株阴云和抗疫封锁威胁令欧洲大陆经济前景受损,欧股深跌,大盘、各行业和各国家指数均下跌,扭转了周四多数收涨的趋势,西班牙、法国、意大利和德国的基准股指跌幅居前,旅游和休闲板块以近9%的跌幅领跌。</p>\n<p>泛欧Stoxx 600指数止步两连涨,周五收跌3.67%,创2020年6月2日以来最大单日跌幅,全周累跌4.5%,从本月初的历史新高回调超5%。今日市值蒸发5600亿美元,相当于比利时一年的经济产出。欧元区前三大经济体德国、法国和意大利的国家股指均跌超4%,西班牙IBEX指数跌5%。</p>\n<p>此外,南非主要股指跌超2%,创两个月最大跌幅,南非兰特兑美元跌至一年最低。MSCI明晟亚太股票指数跌至10月初以来最低,MSCI ACWI明晟全球指数跌近2%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24a31fa6c935b96db9dcbc6e9a0342af\" tg-width=\"534\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>有分析师指出,周五股市波动被美国感恩节后的清淡交易量放大,但在最新高传染变种毒株带来的不确定性之下,交易员们正为更大的震荡做好准备,今年美股估值过高令人选择抓紧获利了结。</p>\n<p>尽管不乏投资专业人士乐观地认为,抛售可能是一个买入机会,在流动性非常低的交易日追涨杀跌是大忌,更何况对最新变异毒株的情况知之甚少,mRNA疫苗可能快速更新来对抗病毒,但人们更担心发达国家央行在通胀屡创新高和利率大幅波动的环境里,已经没有货币政策操作空间。</p>\n<p>瑞讯银行(Swissquote)的高级分析师Ipek Ozkardeskaya指出,新的Covid变体可能影响经济复苏,但这一次发达国家央行将没有足够的余地来采取行动,他们不能同时对抗通胀和促进增长,必须做出“保经济VS抗通胀”的艰难选择。Rathbone Investment Management 的联席首席投资官 Edward Smith警告称,与抗疫封锁相关的供应链中断可能会进一步加剧通胀。</p>\n<p><b>欧美国债价格狂飙,10年期美债收益率创去年疫情爆发之初以来最大跌幅</b></p>\n<p>在市场避险情绪高涨的推动下,欧美主要国家的国债价格飙升、收益率狂泄。各期限美债收益率均下行逾10个基点。</p>\n<p>10年期基准美债收益率最深大幅下行16个基点,不仅失守1.50%关口,还跌破1.49%,至11月10日以来的两周多最低,创去年3月疫情爆发初期以来的最大单日跌幅,感恩节假期前曾收于1.644%,且周初曾升破1.68%。</p>\n<p>30年期美债收益率最深下行14.4个基点,一度跌破1.83%,同创11月10日来最低,感恩节假期前曾站上1.97%。对货币政策更敏感的两年期美债收益率最深下行15.6个基点,日低失守0.49%,基本抹去上周五以来全部涨幅,感恩节假期前曾交投0.64%至一年半新高。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e80e3cffad11a656b58cffacd60bd024\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"295\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>欧洲国债价格连续两日全线上涨,英国收益率连降三日,周五更是跌超14个基点至0.825%,降幅在欧洲主权债中居首;德国和法国10年期国债收益率均下行超8个基点。</p>\n<p>富国证券利率策略师Zachary Griffiths表示,流动性低迷的市况只会加剧风险资产抛售和避险资产上涨,新的新冠变异毒株在全球产生多大影响还有待观察,若再次爆发疫情导致各国政府采取更多限制性措施,短期利率市场对央行转向鹰派立场的预期时间可能要推后,即加息预期再次降温。</p>\n<p><b>油价大跌12%,美油失守70美元创去年4月来最大跌幅,布油下逼72美元,欧盟碳期货跌落最高</b></p>\n<p>WTI 1月原油期货收跌10.24美元,跌幅13.06%,报68.15美元/桶。 布伦特1月原油期货收跌9.53美元,跌幅11.58%,报72.72美元/桶。</p>\n<p>美油WTI明年1月交割的主力期货合约周五盘中最深跌近11美元或跌14%,创去年4月以来的最大单日跌幅,并自今年9月末以来首次跌穿70美元整数位心理关口。日低下逼67美元,跌破200日均线关键技术位,并创9月初以来的两个半月最低。</p>\n<p>国际布伦特1月期货最深跌超10美元或跌12%,连跌三日,不仅跌破80美元整数位心理关口,日低还下逼72美元,同创两个半月最低。<b>两种油价均将连续第五周累跌,为去年3月以来首次。美油WTI已较今年10月触及的七年新高85.41美元跌超15美元,布油也从三年高位大幅回落。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f3a261b9ff6522747506766916447c0\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"290\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>分析指出,在OPEC+下周开会讨论增产计划、美国联合全球多个石油消费国释放战略石油储备等供应即将增加之际,最新变异毒株导致的出行减少和潜在的抗疫封锁都可能打击石油需求。同时,作为风险资产的油价也与高涨的市场避险情绪反向而驰。</p>\n<p>欧洲天然气在结束两日连张后连跌两日,周五均跌超4%。ICE英国天然气期货收跌近5%,报222.08便士/千卡,但本周累涨1.82%;TTF基准荷兰天然气期货欧市尾盘跌4.8%,报88.250欧元/兆瓦时,本周累涨1.79%。 ICE欧盟碳排放交易许可期货价格跌2.3%,报72.75欧元/吨,从周四连续第二日所创的历史新高回落,但本周累涨4.89%。</p>\n<p><b>美元指数一个月最大跌幅,远离近17个月高位,比特币跌破5.4万美元进入熊市</b></p>\n<p>追踪美元兑6种主要货币一篮子汇价的ICE美元指数(DXY)日内最深跌0.8%,日低下逼96整数位,回吐周一以来全部涨幅,进一步远离周三盘中涨破96.90所创的去年7月以来新高。</p>\n<p>受避险需求推动,美元兑日元最深跌近2%,日低下逼113关口,创11月10日以来最低,或创去年3月以来最大跌幅。美元兑瑞士法郎跌超1%,欧元兑瑞法跌至六年半最低,欧元兑日元也创九个月最低。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/512eac5f8073a6fdc80576b106e54942\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"295\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>南非兰特兑美元下跌 1.7%,至去年11月初以来的一年多最低。与风险情绪紧密相关的澳元和挪威克朗也加速下跌,土耳其里拉兑美元跌超3%,MSCI明晟新兴市场货币指数跌至六周低点。</p>\n<p>加密货币周五集体暴跌,全周转跌。市值最大的比特币最深跌超5700美元,一度跌破5.4万美元并跌8%,至10月初以来的七周最低,从月初触及的近6.9万美元历史新高下跌20%,进入技术位熊市。第二大加密货币以太坊也跌近10%,并短暂跌破4000美元整数位。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/638a5acbc3a1bba7d37b5d6588f7172e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"296\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>现货黄金尾盘回吐涨幅失守1800美元、全周累跌,伦敦基础金属全线下挫</b></p>\n<p>COMEX 12月黄金期货收跌不足0.1%,报1785.80美元/盎司,全周累跌3.6%,白银期货全周跌约7%。</p>\n<p>受避险需求推动,现货黄金在午盘前最高涨逾26美元或涨1.5%,冲破1800美元整数位且站上1815美元,美股收盘前基本回吐全部涨幅,重新交投不足1790美元。</p>\n<p>不过,本周金价累跌近3%,是今年8月6日以来的最差单周表现,这与市场对美联储缩减购债(taper)以及加息进程可能加快的预期有关,加息会提高无息黄金的持有机会成本。</p>\n<p>铂金和钯金则均跌超2%,分析称,市场担心新病毒变种可能会损害汽车消费,以及对汽车尾气排放清洁系统中使用的贵金属需求。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/358bc79da08bd4b95207066c2c97e2d6\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"290\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>发改委密集开会,强调煤炭超出合理价格将及时调控,日盘跌停的动力煤夜盘再跌近4%,日盘跌超5%的焦炭夜盘跌超2%,日间跌逾7%的焦煤夜盘跌近0.5%,日间跌超6%的铁矿夜盘涨逾0.3%。此外,内盘期货夜盘多数收跌,燃油和沥青跌超5%领跌。</p>\n<p>市场担心经济复苏和制造业生产再度受损,伦敦基础金属周五齐跌,伦铜连跌两日,进一步远离一个月高位,收跌逾340美元至9460美元/吨,伦锌再跌逾100美元至本周新低。伦镍大跌770美元,收盘不足2万美元/吨关口,伦锡收跌逾千美元,不足3.9万美元/吨整数位。</p>","source":"highlight_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>昨夜今晨:新毒株引爆美股70年来最惨“黑五”,道指狂泄逾千点</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ 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{color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n昨夜今晨:新毒株引爆美股70年来最惨“黑五”,道指狂泄逾千点\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-27 08:21 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3645942><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>周四世界卫生组织宣布南非又有新的变异株出现,传染性比德尔塔毒株更强,而且可能令疫苗失效,WHO周五召开紧急会议讨论新毒株对疫苗和防疫工作的影响。恐慌蔓延至市场,周五全球股市、原油等风险资产普跌,债券、黄金、日元等避险资产大涨。\n欧盟、英国、以色列、新加坡、沙特、俄罗斯率先行动限制来自南部非洲等多国的空中旅行,航司股、飞机制造商及其供应商类股、石油股普跌,邮轮和酒店等旅行与休闲类股周五领跌欧美股市,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3645942\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3645942","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1104667930","content_text":"周四世界卫生组织宣布南非又有新的变异株出现,传染性比德尔塔毒株更强,而且可能令疫苗失效,WHO周五召开紧急会议讨论新毒株对疫苗和防疫工作的影响。恐慌蔓延至市场,周五全球股市、原油等风险资产普跌,债券、黄金、日元等避险资产大涨。\n欧盟、英国、以色列、新加坡、沙特、俄罗斯率先行动限制来自南部非洲等多国的空中旅行,航司股、飞机制造商及其供应商类股、石油股普跌,邮轮和酒店等旅行与休闲类股周五领跌欧美股市,新冠疫苗股普涨,与远程办公、娱乐和点送餐相关的居家经济类股也逆市上扬。\n最新消息称,美国白宫考虑对非洲南部多个国家实施旅行限制,拜登政府官员们将于当地时间周五下午开会讨论具体措施。世卫组织将B.1.1.529归类为“需关注的变异毒株”,命名为“Omicron”,WHO称需要几周时间来了解新变异毒株影响,但初步证据表明,再次感染的风险加重。\n新病毒恐慌之下,市场开始为复苏放缓定价,交易员们对美联储首次加息预期从明年6月推迟至9月,对英国央行加息预期从下个月推迟至明年2月,对欧央行未来加息幅度的预期砍半。\n道指盘中狂泄逾千点创今年最大跌幅,标普跌超百点为2月来最深,疫苗和居家概念股猛涨\n11月26日周五是美国感恩节假期次日,美股将提前3小时于美东下1点休市。\n源自南非的新冠最新变异毒株吓坏全球市场,追随欧股和日股的狂泄走势,道指期货盘前便跌超750点或逾2%,标普500指数和纳指100的期货均跌超1%,美股开盘显著跳空且跌幅迅速扩大。\n标普500指数低开69.89点,跌幅1.49%,报4631.57点。道琼斯工业平均指数低开803.61点,跌幅2.24%,报35000.77点。纳斯达克综合指数低开179.70点,跌幅1.13%,报15665.53点。衡量标普近期波动性的“恐慌指数”VIX飙涨53%至突破28,创9月中旬以来的两个月新高。\n\n道指盘中最深跌近1055点或跌3%,失守3.5万点整数关口。标普500指数最深跌超116点或跌2.5%,跌破4600点整数位,能源板块跌超5%表现最差。纳指最深跌近390点或跌2.5%。盘初,科技股居多的纳指跌幅相对较小,因受到Zoom、奈飞、DoorDash等居家经济股的反弹提振。\n截至收盘,道指收跌905点,跌幅2.53%,报收34899.34点,创今年以来最大单日跌幅。标普500指数跌超百点,收跌2.27%,报收4594.62点,创今年2月以来最大跌幅。纳综指收跌近354点,跌幅2.23%,报收15491.66点。罗素2000小盘股指数盘中跌超4%,收跌3.72%。\n\n金融博客Zerohedge称,道指和标普500指数均创70年来最差的“黑色星期五”抛售纪录。\n全周,道指累跌逾700点或跌近2%,标普500指数大盘累跌逾100点或跌2.2%,纳指累跌560点或跌3.5%,罗素2000指数累跌4.1%。\n\nFAAMNG龙头科技股多数下跌。原名Facebook的Meta、谷歌母公司Alphabet、亚马逊和微软均跌超2%,苹果终结九连涨并跌超3%,截至周三曾连续六日创新高,奈飞则涨超1%。特斯拉跌超3%。芯片股普跌,费城半导体指数跌近3%,至11月10日以来最低,全周累跌3.9%。\n新病毒变种引发旅行限制和对经济冲击的担忧,全球与旅游相关的股票受到冲击最大:\n\n 嘉年华和皇家加勒比等邮轮股至少跌11%,万豪国际和希尔顿等酒店股均跌超6%。\n\n\n 航空公司股价下跌,下个月计划提供往返南非直航服务的达美航空和美联航均跌超8%,英国航空公司的母公司国际航空集团(IAG)英股跌超15%,汉莎航空的德股跌超12%,法荷航集团的法股跌超9%。美国波音、欧洲空客等飞机制造商盘中分别跌近8%和近11%。\n\n\n 同时,与全球经济密切相关的工业类股下跌,龙头股卡特彼勒跌超4%。由于担心经济活动放缓和利率下降,银行股普跌,美国银行、高盛和花旗集团均跌超2%。能源股追随油价深跌一同下滑,美孚石油和雪佛龙石油均跌超2%。\n\n\n 而疫苗股和居家概念股逆市上涨,莫德纳涨超20%,接近抹去11月初以来跌幅,辉瑞涨超6%并刷新历史最高,其德国合作伙伴BioNTech美股涨超14%,诺瓦瓦克斯涨近9%。远程办公视频会议供应商Zoom盘中涨超7%,外卖送餐公司DoorDash最高涨超2%,Peloton智能健身涨超5%。\n\n\n\n\n默沙东一度跌超6%,至一个月新低,其新冠口服药片Molnupiravir的最新研究数据显示,住院和死亡人数减少30%,效果明显低于去年10月报道的约50%,该数据也远低于竞争对手辉瑞。\n热门中概股涨跌不一:\n\n 中概ETF KWEB和CQQQ分别跌超4%和跌2.7%。“造车三傻”齐跌,蔚来跌3.5%,小鹏汽车跌超6%,阿里巴巴跌超2%,京东和理想汽车尾盘跌幅均大幅收窄。掌门教育收涨5.3%,森淼科技涨超4.2%,叮咚买菜涨超2.9%,百度和网易有道涨超1%。\n\n\n拼多多三季度营收和月活用户均不及预期,收跌近16%至去年5月末以来最低。电子烟等新型烟草制品参照卷烟的有关规定执行,雾芯科技盘前跌10%,开盘后在涨跌间波动,最终收涨近2%。\n\n欧股市值蒸发5600亿美元,创去年6月最大跌幅,欧元区最大经济体股指领跌\n比利时已经发现南非最新变异毒株的感染病例,新毒株阴云和抗疫封锁威胁令欧洲大陆经济前景受损,欧股深跌,大盘、各行业和各国家指数均下跌,扭转了周四多数收涨的趋势,西班牙、法国、意大利和德国的基准股指跌幅居前,旅游和休闲板块以近9%的跌幅领跌。\n泛欧Stoxx 600指数止步两连涨,周五收跌3.67%,创2020年6月2日以来最大单日跌幅,全周累跌4.5%,从本月初的历史新高回调超5%。今日市值蒸发5600亿美元,相当于比利时一年的经济产出。欧元区前三大经济体德国、法国和意大利的国家股指均跌超4%,西班牙IBEX指数跌5%。\n此外,南非主要股指跌超2%,创两个月最大跌幅,南非兰特兑美元跌至一年最低。MSCI明晟亚太股票指数跌至10月初以来最低,MSCI ACWI明晟全球指数跌近2%。\n\n有分析师指出,周五股市波动被美国感恩节后的清淡交易量放大,但在最新高传染变种毒株带来的不确定性之下,交易员们正为更大的震荡做好准备,今年美股估值过高令人选择抓紧获利了结。\n尽管不乏投资专业人士乐观地认为,抛售可能是一个买入机会,在流动性非常低的交易日追涨杀跌是大忌,更何况对最新变异毒株的情况知之甚少,mRNA疫苗可能快速更新来对抗病毒,但人们更担心发达国家央行在通胀屡创新高和利率大幅波动的环境里,已经没有货币政策操作空间。\n瑞讯银行(Swissquote)的高级分析师Ipek Ozkardeskaya指出,新的Covid变体可能影响经济复苏,但这一次发达国家央行将没有足够的余地来采取行动,他们不能同时对抗通胀和促进增长,必须做出“保经济VS抗通胀”的艰难选择。Rathbone Investment Management 的联席首席投资官 Edward Smith警告称,与抗疫封锁相关的供应链中断可能会进一步加剧通胀。\n欧美国债价格狂飙,10年期美债收益率创去年疫情爆发之初以来最大跌幅\n在市场避险情绪高涨的推动下,欧美主要国家的国债价格飙升、收益率狂泄。各期限美债收益率均下行逾10个基点。\n10年期基准美债收益率最深大幅下行16个基点,不仅失守1.50%关口,还跌破1.49%,至11月10日以来的两周多最低,创去年3月疫情爆发初期以来的最大单日跌幅,感恩节假期前曾收于1.644%,且周初曾升破1.68%。\n30年期美债收益率最深下行14.4个基点,一度跌破1.83%,同创11月10日来最低,感恩节假期前曾站上1.97%。对货币政策更敏感的两年期美债收益率最深下行15.6个基点,日低失守0.49%,基本抹去上周五以来全部涨幅,感恩节假期前曾交投0.64%至一年半新高。\n\n欧洲国债价格连续两日全线上涨,英国收益率连降三日,周五更是跌超14个基点至0.825%,降幅在欧洲主权债中居首;德国和法国10年期国债收益率均下行超8个基点。\n富国证券利率策略师Zachary Griffiths表示,流动性低迷的市况只会加剧风险资产抛售和避险资产上涨,新的新冠变异毒株在全球产生多大影响还有待观察,若再次爆发疫情导致各国政府采取更多限制性措施,短期利率市场对央行转向鹰派立场的预期时间可能要推后,即加息预期再次降温。\n油价大跌12%,美油失守70美元创去年4月来最大跌幅,布油下逼72美元,欧盟碳期货跌落最高\nWTI 1月原油期货收跌10.24美元,跌幅13.06%,报68.15美元/桶。 布伦特1月原油期货收跌9.53美元,跌幅11.58%,报72.72美元/桶。\n美油WTI明年1月交割的主力期货合约周五盘中最深跌近11美元或跌14%,创去年4月以来的最大单日跌幅,并自今年9月末以来首次跌穿70美元整数位心理关口。日低下逼67美元,跌破200日均线关键技术位,并创9月初以来的两个半月最低。\n国际布伦特1月期货最深跌超10美元或跌12%,连跌三日,不仅跌破80美元整数位心理关口,日低还下逼72美元,同创两个半月最低。两种油价均将连续第五周累跌,为去年3月以来首次。美油WTI已较今年10月触及的七年新高85.41美元跌超15美元,布油也从三年高位大幅回落。\n\n分析指出,在OPEC+下周开会讨论增产计划、美国联合全球多个石油消费国释放战略石油储备等供应即将增加之际,最新变异毒株导致的出行减少和潜在的抗疫封锁都可能打击石油需求。同时,作为风险资产的油价也与高涨的市场避险情绪反向而驰。\n欧洲天然气在结束两日连张后连跌两日,周五均跌超4%。ICE英国天然气期货收跌近5%,报222.08便士/千卡,但本周累涨1.82%;TTF基准荷兰天然气期货欧市尾盘跌4.8%,报88.250欧元/兆瓦时,本周累涨1.79%。 ICE欧盟碳排放交易许可期货价格跌2.3%,报72.75欧元/吨,从周四连续第二日所创的历史新高回落,但本周累涨4.89%。\n美元指数一个月最大跌幅,远离近17个月高位,比特币跌破5.4万美元进入熊市\n追踪美元兑6种主要货币一篮子汇价的ICE美元指数(DXY)日内最深跌0.8%,日低下逼96整数位,回吐周一以来全部涨幅,进一步远离周三盘中涨破96.90所创的去年7月以来新高。\n受避险需求推动,美元兑日元最深跌近2%,日低下逼113关口,创11月10日以来最低,或创去年3月以来最大跌幅。美元兑瑞士法郎跌超1%,欧元兑瑞法跌至六年半最低,欧元兑日元也创九个月最低。\n\n南非兰特兑美元下跌 1.7%,至去年11月初以来的一年多最低。与风险情绪紧密相关的澳元和挪威克朗也加速下跌,土耳其里拉兑美元跌超3%,MSCI明晟新兴市场货币指数跌至六周低点。\n加密货币周五集体暴跌,全周转跌。市值最大的比特币最深跌超5700美元,一度跌破5.4万美元并跌8%,至10月初以来的七周最低,从月初触及的近6.9万美元历史新高下跌20%,进入技术位熊市。第二大加密货币以太坊也跌近10%,并短暂跌破4000美元整数位。\n\n现货黄金尾盘回吐涨幅失守1800美元、全周累跌,伦敦基础金属全线下挫\nCOMEX 12月黄金期货收跌不足0.1%,报1785.80美元/盎司,全周累跌3.6%,白银期货全周跌约7%。\n受避险需求推动,现货黄金在午盘前最高涨逾26美元或涨1.5%,冲破1800美元整数位且站上1815美元,美股收盘前基本回吐全部涨幅,重新交投不足1790美元。\n不过,本周金价累跌近3%,是今年8月6日以来的最差单周表现,这与市场对美联储缩减购债(taper)以及加息进程可能加快的预期有关,加息会提高无息黄金的持有机会成本。\n铂金和钯金则均跌超2%,分析称,市场担心新病毒变种可能会损害汽车消费,以及对汽车尾气排放清洁系统中使用的贵金属需求。\n\n发改委密集开会,强调煤炭超出合理价格将及时调控,日盘跌停的动力煤夜盘再跌近4%,日盘跌超5%的焦炭夜盘跌超2%,日间跌逾7%的焦煤夜盘跌近0.5%,日间跌超6%的铁矿夜盘涨逾0.3%。此外,内盘期货夜盘多数收跌,燃油和沥青跌超5%领跌。\n市场担心经济复苏和制造业生产再度受损,伦敦基础金属周五齐跌,伦铜连跌两日,进一步远离一个月高位,收跌逾340美元至9460美元/吨,伦锌再跌逾100美元至本周新低。伦镍大跌770美元,收盘不足2万美元/吨关口,伦锡收跌逾千美元,不足3.9万美元/吨整数位。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":361,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":877701506,"gmtCreate":1637978879342,"gmtModify":1637978879428,"author":{"id":"3570927652705264","authorId":"3570927652705264","name":"Ken9319","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45a0daa5f0b5428f6b0d81e58826ce0d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570927652705264","idStr":"3570927652705264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877701506","repostId":"1138502054","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":877701800,"gmtCreate":1637978865675,"gmtModify":1637978865675,"author":{"id":"3570927652705264","authorId":"3570927652705264","name":"Ken9319","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45a0daa5f0b5428f6b0d81e58826ce0d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570927652705264","idStr":"3570927652705264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Follow","listText":"Follow","text":"Follow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877701800","repostId":"1138502054","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138502054","pubTimestamp":1637974920,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138502054?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-27 09:02","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"世界卫生组织:最新出现的新冠变种病毒是怎么回事","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138502054","media":"药明康德","summary":"世界卫生组织建议采取多种手段降低病毒暴露的风险。","content":"<p>近日,一种新发现的新冠病毒变种正在受到全球科学家的广泛关注。这一名为B.1.1.529的新冠变种已经在南非等国家和地区被发现。<b>世界卫生组织(WHO)今日发布声明,将其列为值得关注的新冠变种(VOC),名为Omicron(希腊字母ο)。</b>这意味着,世界卫生组织认为<b>它可能具有更高的传播力,或者提高重症风险,或者降低目前诊断、疫苗和疗法的有效性。</b></p>\n<p>世界卫生组织的声明指出,这一变种最初在今年11月9日收集的样本中被发现。它的出现的时间与南非近日的新冠病例迅速增加的时间重合。<b>初步证据显示,与其它VOC相比,Omicron可能让人群被新冠病毒再次感染的风险升高。</b></p>\n<p>Omicron受到关注的原因是它携带着大量的基因突变。根据英国卫生安全局发布的报告,<b>这一变种在新冠病毒刺突蛋白上携带32种不同变异。</b>刺突蛋白是新冠病毒与人类细胞表面的受体结合,介导病毒进入细胞的关键性蛋白,也是多种新冠疫苗和中和抗体疗法靶向的区域。在刺突蛋白上出现的突变可能改变病毒入侵细胞的特征,并且可能让它们逃避已有新冠疫苗和中和抗体疗法提供的免疫保护。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6fde7f97e907c7e4ac27dad0e89dda2\" tg-width=\"1054\" tg-height=\"667\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>▲Omicron携带的基因突变</b></p>\n<p><b>具体来看,Omicron携带的基因突变包含在Alpha和Beta变种中出现的N501Y突变</b>,这一突变可以增强刺突蛋白与受体ACE2的结合能力。它在刺突蛋白受体结合域(RBD)的<b>E484位置也出现了突变。这一位置的突变是导致RBD不被中和抗体识别的重要热点之一。</b></p>\n<p>此外,<b>Omicron在刺突蛋白的furin切割位点附近携带两个突变(P681H和N679K)。</b>目前的研究显示furin切割位点可能帮助病毒进入呼吸道的上皮细胞,而在furin切割位点附近出现的突变可能让刺突蛋白更容易被切割,从而增强病毒的感染能力。在全球流行的Delta变种在furin切割位点附近携带着P681R突变,这一突变被认为是导致Delta变种传播力增强的重要原因之一。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87d49a2ff05c3479569623df82eafcf\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"566\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>▲Omicron在新冠病毒刺突蛋白上携带的变异</b></p>\n<p>由于Omicron还携带着多个此前VOC中不存在的基因变异,它们的综合影响仍然有待澄清。目前,世界各地的科学家们正在快马加鞭对Omicron进行进一步研究,包括它是否增强新冠病毒传染性,以及对现有诊断、疫苗和疗法的影响,预计在未来几周将会获得更为确切的结果。同时,世界卫生组织建议加强对Omicron的测序、监控、以及流行病学追踪。</p>\n<p><b>对个人来说,世界卫生组织建议采取多种手段降低病毒暴露的风险。</b>WHO的流行病学家Maria Van Kerkhove博士表示,我们已经拥有了降低病毒暴露的多种公共卫生手段,包括维持社交距离,戴口罩,洗手,避免人多的地方,注意通风,以及适时接种疫苗。这些久经验证的手段在这一时刻尤为重要。</p>","source":"lsy1604035543434","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>世界卫生组织:最新出现的新冠变种病毒是怎么回事</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n世界卫生组织:最新出现的新冠变种病毒是怎么回事\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-27 09:02 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAwMDA5NTIxNQ==&mid=2650014223&idx=1&sn=94b71873ae1be9b17d38f3dfb2700371&chksm=82ee848fb5990d993e85284eec973b4a3e0fdbaaed4edc49551bb8e38b91632df668386b473f&mpshare=1&scene=1&srcid=1127orarN68ckUf89HiFr4Lm&sharer_sharetime=1637967705153&sharer_shareid=fbf3e6a28882bb91c07a361d6d431142&exportkey=AYcBA0yTMCbUaj%2F9ydEiWC4%3D&pass_ticket=6%2FTpoG8gaCEDUGCQmwweuPo%2Fo9n1rkkVqOsxA%2B1IjPFY34djpxYqXtGBzqSr7REh&wx_header=0#rd><strong>药明康德</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>近日,一种新发现的新冠病毒变种正在受到全球科学家的广泛关注。这一名为B.1.1.529的新冠变种已经在南非等国家和地区被发现。世界卫生组织(WHO)今日发布声明,将其列为值得关注的新冠变种(VOC),名为Omicron(希腊字母ο)。这意味着,世界卫生组织认为它可能具有更高的传播力,或者提高重症风险,或者降低目前诊断、疫苗和疗法的有效性。\n世界卫生组织的声明指出,这一变种最初在今年11月9日收集的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAwMDA5NTIxNQ==&mid=2650014223&idx=1&sn=94b71873ae1be9b17d38f3dfb2700371&chksm=82ee848fb5990d993e85284eec973b4a3e0fdbaaed4edc49551bb8e38b91632df668386b473f&mpshare=1&scene=1&srcid=1127orarN68ckUf89HiFr4Lm&sharer_sharetime=1637967705153&sharer_shareid=fbf3e6a28882bb91c07a361d6d431142&exportkey=AYcBA0yTMCbUaj%2F9ydEiWC4%3D&pass_ticket=6%2FTpoG8gaCEDUGCQmwweuPo%2Fo9n1rkkVqOsxA%2B1IjPFY34djpxYqXtGBzqSr7REh&wx_header=0#rd\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e9c02eefd75f2f2ea1cc57e23434c04","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzAwMDA5NTIxNQ==&mid=2650014223&idx=1&sn=94b71873ae1be9b17d38f3dfb2700371&chksm=82ee848fb5990d993e85284eec973b4a3e0fdbaaed4edc49551bb8e38b91632df668386b473f&mpshare=1&scene=1&srcid=1127orarN68ckUf89HiFr4Lm&sharer_sharetime=1637967705153&sharer_shareid=fbf3e6a28882bb91c07a361d6d431142&exportkey=AYcBA0yTMCbUaj%2F9ydEiWC4%3D&pass_ticket=6%2FTpoG8gaCEDUGCQmwweuPo%2Fo9n1rkkVqOsxA%2B1IjPFY34djpxYqXtGBzqSr7REh&wx_header=0#rd","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138502054","content_text":"近日,一种新发现的新冠病毒变种正在受到全球科学家的广泛关注。这一名为B.1.1.529的新冠变种已经在南非等国家和地区被发现。世界卫生组织(WHO)今日发布声明,将其列为值得关注的新冠变种(VOC),名为Omicron(希腊字母ο)。这意味着,世界卫生组织认为它可能具有更高的传播力,或者提高重症风险,或者降低目前诊断、疫苗和疗法的有效性。\n世界卫生组织的声明指出,这一变种最初在今年11月9日收集的样本中被发现。它的出现的时间与南非近日的新冠病例迅速增加的时间重合。初步证据显示,与其它VOC相比,Omicron可能让人群被新冠病毒再次感染的风险升高。\nOmicron受到关注的原因是它携带着大量的基因突变。根据英国卫生安全局发布的报告,这一变种在新冠病毒刺突蛋白上携带32种不同变异。刺突蛋白是新冠病毒与人类细胞表面的受体结合,介导病毒进入细胞的关键性蛋白,也是多种新冠疫苗和中和抗体疗法靶向的区域。在刺突蛋白上出现的突变可能改变病毒入侵细胞的特征,并且可能让它们逃避已有新冠疫苗和中和抗体疗法提供的免疫保护。\n▲Omicron携带的基因突变\n具体来看,Omicron携带的基因突变包含在Alpha和Beta变种中出现的N501Y突变,这一突变可以增强刺突蛋白与受体ACE2的结合能力。它在刺突蛋白受体结合域(RBD)的E484位置也出现了突变。这一位置的突变是导致RBD不被中和抗体识别的重要热点之一。\n此外,Omicron在刺突蛋白的furin切割位点附近携带两个突变(P681H和N679K)。目前的研究显示furin切割位点可能帮助病毒进入呼吸道的上皮细胞,而在furin切割位点附近出现的突变可能让刺突蛋白更容易被切割,从而增强病毒的感染能力。在全球流行的Delta变种在furin切割位点附近携带着P681R突变,这一突变被认为是导致Delta变种传播力增强的重要原因之一。\n\n▲Omicron在新冠病毒刺突蛋白上携带的变异\n由于Omicron还携带着多个此前VOC中不存在的基因变异,它们的综合影响仍然有待澄清。目前,世界各地的科学家们正在快马加鞭对Omicron进行进一步研究,包括它是否增强新冠病毒传染性,以及对现有诊断、疫苗和疗法的影响,预计在未来几周将会获得更为确切的结果。同时,世界卫生组织建议加强对Omicron的测序、监控、以及流行病学追踪。\n对个人来说,世界卫生组织建议采取多种手段降低病毒暴露的风险。WHO的流行病学家Maria Van Kerkhove博士表示,我们已经拥有了降低病毒暴露的多种公共卫生手段,包括维持社交距离,戴口罩,洗手,避免人多的地方,注意通风,以及适时接种疫苗。这些久经验证的手段在这一时刻尤为重要。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":874741586,"gmtCreate":1637830181067,"gmtModify":1637830181067,"author":{"id":"3570927652705264","authorId":"3570927652705264","name":"Ken9319","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45a0daa5f0b5428f6b0d81e58826ce0d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570927652705264","idStr":"3570927652705264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"this stock can short?","listText":"this stock can short?","text":"this stock can short?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/874741586","repostId":"2186139862","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":664,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857486454,"gmtCreate":1635555429031,"gmtModify":1635555429031,"author":{"id":"3570927652705264","authorId":"3570927652705264","name":"Ken9319","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45a0daa5f0b5428f6b0d81e58826ce0d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570927652705264","idStr":"3570927652705264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857486454","repostId":"1197941440","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197941440","pubTimestamp":1635520824,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1197941440?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-29 23:20","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"基金发行降温?公募手里仍有7000多亿元“子弹”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197941440","media":"中国证券网","summary":"10月,基金发行有所降温,但是公募基金手里仍有大量子弹可用。\n据银河证券基金研究中心统计,公募基金最大可动用买入A股资金超7000亿元。多位基金经理也透露,正在等待逢低吸纳的机会……\n公募余粮充裕\n以","content":"<div>\n<p>10月,基金发行有所降温,但是公募基金手里仍有大量子弹可用。\n据银河证券基金研究中心统计,公募基金最大可动用买入A股资金超7000亿元。多位基金经理也透露,正在等待逢低吸纳的机会……\n公募余粮充裕\n以公募为代表的机构力量越来越强。\n数据显示,截至9月底,已经披露三季报的公募基金持有A股市值为5.72万亿元,占A股流通市值比例为8.31%,该比例创下了近八年新高。银河证券基金研究中心表示,这表明最近...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/ZRVy1A_AxkgHsr-LQ1yN-Q\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"zgzxw","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>基金发行降温?公募手里仍有7000多亿元“子弹”</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n基金发行降温?公募手里仍有7000多亿元“子弹”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-29 23:20 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/ZRVy1A_AxkgHsr-LQ1yN-Q><strong>中国证券网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>10月,基金发行有所降温,但是公募基金手里仍有大量子弹可用。\n据银河证券基金研究中心统计,公募基金最大可动用买入A股资金超7000亿元。多位基金经理也透露,正在等待逢低吸纳的机会……\n公募余粮充裕\n以公募为代表的机构力量越来越强。\n数据显示,截至9月底,已经披露三季报的公募基金持有A股市值为5.72万亿元,占A股流通市值比例为8.31%,该比例创下了近八年新高。银河证券基金研究中心表示,这表明最近...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/ZRVy1A_AxkgHsr-LQ1yN-Q\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8fb95e65f042f352c6313989391357","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/ZRVy1A_AxkgHsr-LQ1yN-Q","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197941440","content_text":"10月,基金发行有所降温,但是公募基金手里仍有大量子弹可用。\n据银河证券基金研究中心统计,公募基金最大可动用买入A股资金超7000亿元。多位基金经理也透露,正在等待逢低吸纳的机会……\n公募余粮充裕\n以公募为代表的机构力量越来越强。\n数据显示,截至9月底,已经披露三季报的公募基金持有A股市值为5.72万亿元,占A股流通市值比例为8.31%,该比例创下了近八年新高。银河证券基金研究中心表示,这表明最近几年大力发展权益基金取得了可喜的效果,也是公募基金作为市场主要机构投资者实力恢复的体现。\n\n10月以来,基金发行虽然有所降温,但公募基金手里仍攒有大量子弹可以投向市场。\n银河证券基金研究中心统计发现,首先,计算披露三季报的每只股票方向基金现有持仓比例与基金合同中规定的股票比例持有上限的差额,股票基金的剩余资金是688.2亿元,混合基金的剩余资金是5391.19亿元,二者合计为6079.39亿元。\n其次,8月、9月募集成立的股票方向基金规模约为2593.19亿元,假设截至三季度末已经建仓40%,可建仓资金大约还有1037.27亿元。\n此外,10月股票方向基金共募集214.37亿元。这些基金大概率还未来得及大规模建仓,按照50%比例计算,约有107.18亿元资金可以建仓。\n从整体来看,公募基金约有7000多亿资金可以动用。在业内人士看来,如果近期股市出现震荡调整的话,这些基金可以逢低布局,提高仓位。\n建仓意愿几何?\n从已披露三季报的次新(今年三季度成立)主动权益基金建仓速度来看,截至三季度末,平均股票仓位约在4成左右,有人已快速完成建仓,也有人在等待机会。\n例如,截至三季度末,7月29日成立的广发睿明优质企业权益投资占基金总资产的比例只有6.51%,根据基金合同规定,股票资产占基金资产的比例为60%-95%,建仓时间为6个月。\n\n广发睿明优质企业基金经理李琛表示,目前市场分化比较极端,并且波动率特别大。在前景不太明朗的情况下,为了保证净值稳定,选择放缓建仓节奏。在行业配置方向上,坚持在三个优质赛道内进行投资——高端制造、消费、医药,未来将不断进行组合内个股的配置优化和动态调整。\n快速建仓者如中庚价值先锋。该基金成立于8月20日,截至三季度末,权益投资占基金总资产的比例已高达93.23%。基金经理陈涛表示,选股方向上倾向于基本面风险较低、相对低估值、潜在高增长、较高反转可能性的个股,对于市场交易拥挤、估值高位且与经济基本面关联度较大的行业及个股保持谨慎。较为看好计算机行业、风电设备行业、电子行业的投资机会。\n从老基金的情况来看,部分基金经理等待逢低布局的机会。\n中信建投策略精选基金经理栾江伟表示,四季度持仓将进一步聚焦于中大市值股票为主,更加重视个股流动性,在兼顾短中长期逻辑的情况下,注重逢低布局,谨慎追涨。\n具体方向而言,四季度周期品价格预计仍然高位震荡,下跌空间有限,但创新高可能性很低,整体周期板块个股机会不大。医药、食品饮料、家电、地产等行业景气度也是看淡,有防御价值,但增长确实也难以期待。低估值、低涨幅的个股可能有相对收益,对明年景气度大概持续向上的锂电、光伏、风电可以逢低加仓。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":256,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857418744,"gmtCreate":1635554934822,"gmtModify":1635554934822,"author":{"id":"3570927652705264","authorId":"3570927652705264","name":"Ken9319","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45a0daa5f0b5428f6b0d81e58826ce0d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570927652705264","idStr":"3570927652705264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857418744","repostId":"852290599","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":852290599,"gmtCreate":1635267882763,"gmtModify":1635932944994,"author":{"id":"3480924163824733","authorId":"3480924163824733","name":"大哥千万别站山上","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bf6bd6c2ee4205cb570437b369734b6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3480924163824733","idStr":"3480924163824733"},"themes":[],"title":"投资三年小总结:我是如何亏掉98%的。写在特斯拉破市值破万亿之际(一)","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">$高途(GOTU)$</a> 此为系列文章之开篇,唠家常。首先解释了下断更的原因,其次给大家演示下我是如何在跟谁学上亏没了的,同时总结巨亏的经验教训,总结出4个启示,个人认为最后一个最最最重要。最后,可能是您最关心的,我到底亏了多少,赚了多少。本文主体部分约6132个字,补充部分约1664个字,为方便阅读,提纲如下。(特斯拉万亿系列,可能2篇可能4篇可能更多,不敢保证)一、前言好久没出现了,期间偶尔打开老虎APP,粉丝一直在涨,承蒙厚爱,感激不尽。上次出现应该是半年前了,为什么消失了这么久?两个原因:1.开始是因为跟谁学,亏很惨,情绪很差,这也是今天主要讲的。2.6月份毕业后开启了一个人的创业生涯,很忙,没好看股票,不敢瞎说。今天为何突然出现?特斯拉破万亿了,值得纪念。18年6月进入股市,10月第二次入金,到现在也刚刚好三年多,该做个总结了。特斯拉破万亿,这个系列可能会出两篇文章,也可能是四篇,不确定。本文算是开场,先讲讲今年亏的有多惨。正文开始前,有很多新来的粉丝,大概介绍下,之前比较活跃,主要活跃在某虎和某球上,长期拿了几个公司。18年开始就是特斯拉吹,蔚来吹,小米吹,确实也赚到钱了,但当时确实也被骂的很惨。20年开始,我吹的队列中新增了高途,依然被骂,这次亏了。不过,不知道那些成天骂我的人还在不在,反正我一直在。(以前写的东西都在,欢迎","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">$高途(GOTU)$</a> 此为系列文章之开篇,唠家常。首先解释了下断更的原因,其次给大家演示下我是如何在跟谁学上亏没了的,同时总结巨亏的经验教训,总结出4个启示,个人认为最后一个最最最重要。最后,可能是您最关心的,我到底亏了多少,赚了多少。本文主体部分约6132个字,补充部分约1664个字,为方便阅读,提纲如下。(特斯拉万亿系列,可能2篇可能4篇可能更多,不敢保证)一、前言好久没出现了,期间偶尔打开老虎APP,粉丝一直在涨,承蒙厚爱,感激不尽。上次出现应该是半年前了,为什么消失了这么久?两个原因:1.开始是因为跟谁学,亏很惨,情绪很差,这也是今天主要讲的。2.6月份毕业后开启了一个人的创业生涯,很忙,没好看股票,不敢瞎说。今天为何突然出现?特斯拉破万亿了,值得纪念。18年6月进入股市,10月第二次入金,到现在也刚刚好三年多,该做个总结了。特斯拉破万亿,这个系列可能会出两篇文章,也可能是四篇,不确定。本文算是开场,先讲讲今年亏的有多惨。正文开始前,有很多新来的粉丝,大概介绍下,之前比较活跃,主要活跃在某虎和某球上,长期拿了几个公司。18年开始就是特斯拉吹,蔚来吹,小米吹,确实也赚到钱了,但当时确实也被骂的很惨。20年开始,我吹的队列中新增了高途,依然被骂,这次亏了。不过,不知道那些成天骂我的人还在不在,反正我一直在。(以前写的东西都在,欢迎","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ $小米集团-W(01810)$$高途(GOTU)$ 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">$富途控股(FUTU)$</a>发生什么事,盘前跌","text":"$富途控股(FUTU)$发生什么事,盘前跌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854349298","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1762,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858034103,"gmtCreate":1634951938665,"gmtModify":1634952454854,"author":{"id":"3570927652705264","authorId":"3570927652705264","name":"Ken9319","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45a0daa5f0b5428f6b0d81e58826ce0d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570927652705264","idStr":"3570927652705264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好消息= 坏消息","listText":"好消息= 坏消息","text":"好消息= 坏消息","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858034103","repostId":"1108646338","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":443,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858098560,"gmtCreate":1634950988677,"gmtModify":1634951261143,"author":{"id":"3570927652705264","authorId":"3570927652705264","name":"Ken9319","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45a0daa5f0b5428f6b0d81e58826ce0d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570927652705264","idStr":"3570927652705264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858098560","repostId":"853233247","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":853233247,"gmtCreate":1634811845986,"gmtModify":1635229439152,"author":{"id":"3527667591235607","authorId":"3527667591235607","name":"OptionPlus","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8009c23927adcf8b5e1e1d101178392","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667591235607","idStr":"3527667591235607"},"themes":[],"title":"卖put是一种优雅的买入方式,跟股神巴菲特学如何用期权抄底","htmlText":"本周三大关键 财报<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">$Netflix, Inc.(NFLX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">$阿斯麦(ASML)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 都已经消息落地了,财报出来后都下跌,tsla目前盘前下跌。 简单总结一下: nflx 财报理所当然的超预期,一部鱿鱼游戏让nflxQ的全球新增付费用户人数较去年同期翻倍,且预计Q4付费用户将出现爆炸性的850万增长。非常炸裂,可以说是现在好后面会更好。但nflx的8月16日到现在涨了20%。 asml Q3营收同比增长33%,略低于预期,由于供应链上材料短缺问题,且这个问题仍然将会影响Q4的营收,公司给的Q4收入指引也略低于市场预期,公司称全年将实现35%增长,意味着Q4较Q3环比无增长。但公司曾在9月表示,未来10年将出现销售热潮。虽然短期受制于供应链问题业绩不及预期,部分销售收入会被递延至明年,但是由于阿斯麦在光刻机行业的唯一地位,长期确定性非常强。asml 本月回调很多,猜测大概也是因为早知鸟先获利走了,但是拉回全年,今年至今仍涨57%,非常耀眼。 tsla 就是众所周的好,收入利润都创纪录,交付量对收入可预测性太强了。tsla表示争取Q4产量增加,但也表示由于供应链的不确定性、和港口拥堵带来各种挑战。tsla股价今年以来涨22%,就10月到现在已经才14个交易日就涨了11.6%,可以说再好的财报也提前price in了,在这种股价涨幅下,市场会对tsla各方面更加挑剔苛刻,我之前说持有的朋友可以做了特斯拉900的sell cov","listText":"本周三大关键 财报<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">$Netflix, Inc.(NFLX)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">$阿斯麦(ASML)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 都已经消息落地了,财报出来后都下跌,tsla目前盘前下跌。 简单总结一下: nflx 财报理所当然的超预期,一部鱿鱼游戏让nflxQ的全球新增付费用户人数较去年同期翻倍,且预计Q4付费用户将出现爆炸性的850万增长。非常炸裂,可以说是现在好后面会更好。但nflx的8月16日到现在涨了20%。 asml Q3营收同比增长33%,略低于预期,由于供应链上材料短缺问题,且这个问题仍然将会影响Q4的营收,公司给的Q4收入指引也略低于市场预期,公司称全年将实现35%增长,意味着Q4较Q3环比无增长。但公司曾在9月表示,未来10年将出现销售热潮。虽然短期受制于供应链问题业绩不及预期,部分销售收入会被递延至明年,但是由于阿斯麦在光刻机行业的唯一地位,长期确定性非常强。asml 本月回调很多,猜测大概也是因为早知鸟先获利走了,但是拉回全年,今年至今仍涨57%,非常耀眼。 tsla 就是众所周的好,收入利润都创纪录,交付量对收入可预测性太强了。tsla表示争取Q4产量增加,但也表示由于供应链的不确定性、和港口拥堵带来各种挑战。tsla股价今年以来涨22%,就10月到现在已经才14个交易日就涨了11.6%,可以说再好的财报也提前price in了,在这种股价涨幅下,市场会对tsla各方面更加挑剔苛刻,我之前说持有的朋友可以做了特斯拉900的sell cov","text":"本周三大关键 财报$Netflix, Inc.(NFLX)$ $阿斯麦(ASML)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 都已经消息落地了,财报出来后都下跌,tsla目前盘前下跌。 简单总结一下: nflx 财报理所当然的超预期,一部鱿鱼游戏让nflxQ的全球新增付费用户人数较去年同期翻倍,且预计Q4付费用户将出现爆炸性的850万增长。非常炸裂,可以说是现在好后面会更好。但nflx的8月16日到现在涨了20%。 asml Q3营收同比增长33%,略低于预期,由于供应链上材料短缺问题,且这个问题仍然将会影响Q4的营收,公司给的Q4收入指引也略低于市场预期,公司称全年将实现35%增长,意味着Q4较Q3环比无增长。但公司曾在9月表示,未来10年将出现销售热潮。虽然短期受制于供应链问题业绩不及预期,部分销售收入会被递延至明年,但是由于阿斯麦在光刻机行业的唯一地位,长期确定性非常强。asml 本月回调很多,猜测大概也是因为早知鸟先获利走了,但是拉回全年,今年至今仍涨57%,非常耀眼。 tsla 就是众所周的好,收入利润都创纪录,交付量对收入可预测性太强了。tsla表示争取Q4产量增加,但也表示由于供应链的不确定性、和港口拥堵带来各种挑战。tsla股价今年以来涨22%,就10月到现在已经才14个交易日就涨了11.6%,可以说再好的财报也提前price in了,在这种股价涨幅下,市场会对tsla各方面更加挑剔苛刻,我之前说持有的朋友可以做了特斯拉900的sell cov","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b7119b221c4ba941b6a0293dbb1b0e7","width":"1244","height":"1226"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853233247","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":64,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853672601,"gmtCreate":1634807816848,"gmtModify":1634807816995,"author":{"id":"3570927652705264","authorId":"3570927652705264","name":"Ken9319","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45a0daa5f0b5428f6b0d81e58826ce0d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570927652705264","idStr":"3570927652705264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这样的话,是不是代表要推上 1美金? [开心] [开心]","listText":"这样的话,是不是代表要推上 1美金? [开心] [开心]","text":"这样的话,是不是代表要推上 1美金? [开心] [开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853672601","repostId":"2171995599","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2171995599","pubTimestamp":1633009880,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2171995599?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-30 21:51","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"股价未达合规标准 纽交所向微贷网发出“退市”警示函","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2171995599","media":"国际金融报","summary":"净本金已经兑付的微贷网仍面临退市危机。根据纽约证券交易所规则802.01C,如果一家公司在连续30个交易日内收盘价低于1美元,则该公司将被视为低于合规标准。2020年5月31日,微贷网宣布“基于国家政策及行业趋势原因”,将于2020年6月30日前退出网贷行业,不再经营网贷信息中介业务。一个月后,微贷网在财报中披露,净本金全部偿还。","content":"<div>\n<p>净本金已经兑付的微贷网仍面临退市危机。微贷网(NYSE: WEI)近日宣布,已收到纽约证券交易所近期发出的信函,通知其美国存托股票(ADS)的交易价格未达到合规标准。根据纽约证券交易所规则802.01C,如果一家公司在连续30个交易日内收盘价低于1美元,则该公司将被视为低于合规标准。一旦收到通知,公司必须在收到通知后六个月内将其股价和平均股价恢复到1美元以上。如果在六个月的合规期内任意一个月的最后...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202109302152187c43224c&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>股价未达合规标准 纽交所向微贷网发出“退市”警示函</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n股价未达合规标准 纽交所向微贷网发出“退市”警示函\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-30 21:51 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202109302152187c43224c&s=b><strong>国际金融报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>净本金已经兑付的微贷网仍面临退市危机。微贷网(NYSE: WEI)近日宣布,已收到纽约证券交易所近期发出的信函,通知其美国存托股票(ADS)的交易价格未达到合规标准。根据纽约证券交易所规则802.01C,如果一家公司在连续30个交易日内收盘价低于1美元,则该公司将被视为低于合规标准。一旦收到通知,公司必须在收到通知后六个月内将其股价和平均股价恢复到1美元以上。如果在六个月的合规期内任意一个月的最后...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202109302152187c43224c&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ab00f49d2515ea77cf502014070887d","relate_stocks":{"WEI":"微贷网"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202109302152187c43224c&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2171995599","content_text":"净本金已经兑付的微贷网仍面临退市危机。微贷网(NYSE: WEI)近日宣布,已收到纽约证券交易所近期发出的信函,通知其美国存托股票(ADS)的交易价格未达到合规标准。根据纽约证券交易所规则802.01C,如果一家公司在连续30个交易日内收盘价低于1美元,则该公司将被视为低于合规标准。一旦收到通知,公司必须在收到通知后六个月内将其股价和平均股价恢复到1美元以上。如果在六个月的合规期内任意一个月的最后一个交易日收盘价不低于1美元,且此月的平均收盘价不低于1美元,则公司可以在6个月合规期内重新获得合规性。如果在六个月的补救期到期时,未达到补救期最后一个交易日1美元的收盘价和补救期最后一个交易日结束的30个交易日内1美元的平均收盘价,纽约证券交易所将开始暂停和退市程序。据悉,微贷网于2011年7月18日上线运营,是一家专注于汽车抵押借贷服务的网贷平台。2018年11月15日,微贷网在美国纽约证券交易所上市。天眼查信息显示,微贷网运营主体是微贷(杭州)金融信息服务有限公司,股权穿透后,微贷网实际控制人是其法定代表人、创始人兼CEO姚宏。Choice数据显示,微贷网从今年8月16日收盘价格跌破1美元(0.94美元)起,其后收盘价格就未突破1美元,且股价呈现下跌趋势,目前徘徊在每股0.7美元至0.8美元之间。较2019年2月的13.63美元/每股,已跌去90%以上。2020年5月31日,微贷网宣布“基于国家政策及行业趋势原因”,将于2020年6月30日前退出网贷行业,不再经营网贷信息中介业务。同年7月4日,杭州市公安局上城区分局依法对微贷(杭州)金融信息服务有限公司(“微贷网”平台)涉嫌非法吸收公众存款立案侦查。今年7月20日晚间,杭州市公安局上城区分局发布《微贷网处置情况通报(十四)》指出:7月21日起,通过新网银行对“微贷网”平台涉及未兑付本金的出借人进行资金返还工作。一个月后,微贷网在财报中披露,净本金全部偿还。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":850199070,"gmtCreate":1634563432702,"gmtModify":1634563465211,"author":{"id":"3570927652705264","authorId":"3570927652705264","name":"Ken9319","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45a0daa5f0b5428f6b0d81e58826ce0d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570927652705264","idStr":"3570927652705264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850199070","repostId":"2176121655","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2176121655","pubTimestamp":1634561859,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2176121655?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-18 20:57","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"高盛:市场现金太多,将推动投资者股票配置比例续创新高","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2176121655","media":"新浪财经","summary":"高盛近期表示,由于缺乏其他投资替代品,以及市场拥有大量现金储备,高估值不会在明年成为投资者们增加股票配置比例的阻碍。\n由David Kostin领导的高盛策略分析师们上周五在一份报告中称,家庭资产、外","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>近期表示,由于缺乏其他投资替代品,以及市场拥有大量现金储备,高估值不会在明年成为投资者们增加股票配置比例的阻碍。</p>\n<p>由David Kostin领导的高盛策略分析师们上周五在一份报告中称,家庭资产、外国投资者、共同基金和养老基金的股票配置比例将在2022年进一步攀升,达到创纪录水平。</p>\n<p>高盛这一观点与近期部分华尔街大行提出的股票市场已经达到“不可持续高点”的说法相悖,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>最近表示,美股估值已经加速到达“极端”水平,而标普500指数估值面临剧烈调整。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99f9a6494b82446521d01a0a1502719e\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>高盛对股市的积极观点正值市场普遍预期美联储将从明年年底开始以更快、更积极的步伐进行加息之际。该行预计,美国10年期国债收益率将在12个月内升至1.8%,投资级和高收益债券的利差也将扩大,该行预计,相比于股市回报率,这些因素将使债市对投资者的吸引力骤减。</p>\n<p>该行策略分析师们写道,目前股票配置比例已经达到近52%的历史高点,但仍在上升,因为现金收益率趋近于零,加之美国28万亿美元现金资产中有一半是家庭持有的。</p>\n<p>高盛强调:“从绝对收益和历史收益角度来看,股票之外的固定收益替代品似乎没有吸引力。”</p>\n<p>高盛预计,由于创纪录的股票回购授权和强劲的并购活动,明年市场对股票的净需求将达到约3,500亿美元。报告称,预计家庭和外国投资者将净买入约3,000亿美元,而共同基金和养老基金将净卖出4,000亿美元。</p>","source":"sina_us","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>高盛:市场现金太多,将推动投资者股票配置比例续创新高</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n高盛:市场现金太多,将推动投资者股票配置比例续创新高\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-18 20:57 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/world/2021-10-18/doc-iktzqtyu2169095.shtml><strong>新浪财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>高盛近期表示,由于缺乏其他投资替代品,以及市场拥有大量现金储备,高估值不会在明年成为投资者们增加股票配置比例的阻碍。\n由David Kostin领导的高盛策略分析师们上周五在一份报告中称,家庭资产、外国投资者、共同基金和养老基金的股票配置比例将在2022年进一步攀升,达到创纪录水平。\n高盛这一观点与近期部分华尔街大行提出的股票市场已经达到“不可持续高点”的说法相悖,美国银行最近表示,美股估值已经...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/world/2021-10-18/doc-iktzqtyu2169095.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b6684517506a0b0f4c4c5a1c4889261","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/world/2021-10-18/doc-iktzqtyu2169095.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2176121655","content_text":"高盛近期表示,由于缺乏其他投资替代品,以及市场拥有大量现金储备,高估值不会在明年成为投资者们增加股票配置比例的阻碍。\n由David Kostin领导的高盛策略分析师们上周五在一份报告中称,家庭资产、外国投资者、共同基金和养老基金的股票配置比例将在2022年进一步攀升,达到创纪录水平。\n高盛这一观点与近期部分华尔街大行提出的股票市场已经达到“不可持续高点”的说法相悖,美国银行最近表示,美股估值已经加速到达“极端”水平,而标普500指数估值面临剧烈调整。\n\n高盛对股市的积极观点正值市场普遍预期美联储将从明年年底开始以更快、更积极的步伐进行加息之际。该行预计,美国10年期国债收益率将在12个月内升至1.8%,投资级和高收益债券的利差也将扩大,该行预计,相比于股市回报率,这些因素将使债市对投资者的吸引力骤减。\n该行策略分析师们写道,目前股票配置比例已经达到近52%的历史高点,但仍在上升,因为现金收益率趋近于零,加之美国28万亿美元现金资产中有一半是家庭持有的。\n高盛强调:“从绝对收益和历史收益角度来看,股票之外的固定收益替代品似乎没有吸引力。”\n高盛预计,由于创纪录的股票回购授权和强劲的并购活动,明年市场对股票的净需求将达到约3,500亿美元。报告称,预计家庭和外国投资者将净买入约3,000亿美元,而共同基金和养老基金将净卖出4,000亿美元。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":316704714,"gmtCreate":1611952026038,"gmtModify":1703757035496,"author":{"id":"3570927652705264","authorId":"3570927652705264","name":"Ken9319","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45a0daa5f0b5428f6b0d81e58826ce0d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570927652705264","idStr":"3570927652705264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$</a>想问下, 空头们是需要今天买入吗? 还是盘后?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$</a>想问下, 空头们是需要今天买入吗? 还是盘后?","text":"$AMC院线(AMC)$想问下, 空头们是需要今天买入吗? 还是盘后?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/316704714","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2182,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3511453361282451","authorId":"3511453361282451","name":"FGJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9603ef75e8896fe81bd8710ee736a721","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3511453361282451","idStr":"3511453361282451"},"content":"还得看市面上流通有多少股,如果不够就只能高价买入咱们的股票了","text":"还得看市面上流通有多少股,如果不够就只能高价买入咱们的股票了","html":"还得看市面上流通有多少股,如果不够就只能高价买入咱们的股票了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":316425370,"gmtCreate":1611946684190,"gmtModify":1703756986462,"author":{"id":"3570927652705264","authorId":"3570927652705264","name":"Ken9319","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45a0daa5f0b5428f6b0d81e58826ce0d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570927652705264","idStr":"3570927652705264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$</a>干, 怎么下单一直都买不到。 老虎你是不是需要检讨。 想average down 也不可以 **","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$</a>干, 怎么下单一直都买不到。 老虎你是不是需要检讨。 想average down 也不可以 **","text":"$AMC院线(AMC)$干, 怎么下单一直都买不到。 老虎你是不是需要检讨。 想average down 也不可以 **","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/316425370","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1149,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":373211660,"gmtCreate":1618848040150,"gmtModify":1631886916497,"author":{"id":"3570927652705264","authorId":"3570927652705264","name":"Ken9319","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45a0daa5f0b5428f6b0d81e58826ce0d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570927652705264","idStr":"3570927652705264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OPEN\">$Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$</a> 为什么有量, 可是股价跌?","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OPEN\">$Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$</a> 为什么有量, 可是股价跌?","text":"$Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$ 为什么有量, 可是股价跌?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373211660","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2250,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":315152409,"gmtCreate":1612225066401,"gmtModify":1703758979807,"author":{"id":"3570927652705264","authorId":"3570927652705264","name":"Ken9319","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45a0daa5f0b5428f6b0d81e58826ce0d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570927652705264","idStr":"3570927652705264"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$</a>换手率 173.92% 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