Superfred的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Superfred

Superfred

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

30关注

4粉丝

1主题

0勋章

2021-06-14

下一支暴涨翻倍股

2021-05-20

今天依然会低开高走吗？

2021-05-10

有机会吗？大家说说

2021-05-09

大宗商品

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-07

还得涨，ai的龙头股

2021-05-06

dbs涨涨涨！

2021-05-05

弱者恒弱，今年股价必不怎么好

2021-05-03

接下来的财报会表现如何呢

2021-05-02

微软太低调

2021-05-01

烂泥扶不上墙

2021-04-30

有点无法理解

@Superfred:为啥降这么多呢。

2021-04-30

为啥降这么多呢。

2021-04-29

冲冲冲！再创新高

2021-04-28

上升浪的王者

2021-04-27

千倍pe，吓死宝宝了

2021-04-26

这周看好qqq上天

2021-04-25

我是穷人，不可怕

以史为鉴：拜登的富人税真这么“可怕”么？

2021-04-25

玩儿完了，spac

2021-04-24

非常棒的决定

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-24

版权利益不容侵犯

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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08:15","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"以史为鉴：拜登的富人税真这么“可怕”么？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138176748","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"历史数据显示，资本利得税的变化对股市表现并没有太大影响。\n\n过去一周，美股可谓是跌宕起伏。\n自周二开始，主要股指过山车一样的来回翻转。道琼斯指数周二一度下跌320点，创下3月以来最大跌幅，在经历了随后","content":"<blockquote>\n 历史数据显示，资本利得税的变化对股市表现并没有太大影响。\n</blockquote>\n<p>过去一周，美股可谓是跌宕起伏。</p>\n<p>自周二开始，主要股指过山车一样的来回翻转。道琼斯指数周二一度下跌320点，创下3月以来最大跌幅，在经历了随后三天震荡之后，最终收复大部分失地。标普500指数也在震荡之后回到4月16日历史新高附近。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d211413f34cda77614a7ef5d0b46f59\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>本周四，彭博突然报道拜登将对美国收入超过100万美元的富人阶层征收39.6%的资本利得税，这比现有的20%接近翻倍。消息一出，周三刚刚稳住的股市随即跳水。</p>\n<p>很多分析于是认为是拜登的富人税”砸崩”了市场。但真的如此么？那怎么解释股市周五又大幅反弹，收复失地呢？</p>\n<p><b>历史数据显示，资本利得税的变化对股市表现并没有太大影响。</b></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">瑞银</a>全球财富管理CIO Mark Haefele研究发现，2013年资本利得税大幅增加了月9%，但那年股市却上涨了30%。</p>\n<p>Haefele还称，没有发现资本利得税和股市估值存在相关关系。资本利得税在20%的时候，PE一度曾低至10倍，而资本利得税在35%时，PE一度高达18倍。</p>\n<p>资管公司LPL Financial分析师Ryan Detrick梳理了1969年以来，美国4次调整资本利得税之后标普500指数的表现（下图）：</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2746bedb47379a7b8a1a2293efe88e54\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"526\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>他表示，表面上大家会觉得高税率对股市不是好事，但事实并非如此。1987和2013年上调资本利得税后半年，股市表现都非常好。</p>\n<p>拜登目前只是有加税的计划，但最后过会是否能够通过，还并不能确定。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>就认为，国会最多通过28%的税率，39.6%根本没有可能。</p>","source":"highlight_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>以史为鉴：拜登的富人税真这么“可怕”么？</title>\n<style 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“人们在一定程度上害怕错过机会，”Vantagepoint Investment Advisers的首席投资官Wayne Wicker表示。“成长股和价值股之间的来回交替实际上是好事，为投资者提供了更广泛的机会。这使人们更加专注于股票市场。”\n</blockquote>\n<p>2021年在经济正常化希望中表现落后的科技股，在这个因假期而缩短的交易周跃居前列，因为法国再度实施防疫封锁，帮助振兴了居家防疫交易。科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数本周上涨近3%，创两个月来最大周涨幅，超过道琼斯工业平均指数和罗素2000指数（本周分别上涨0.2%和1.5%）。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e99078dd5c0d4e3e49cd31e264274bda\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\"></p>\n<p><b>纳斯达克100指数</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8843c99ff1b5d253717da5e4712ec723\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\"></p>\n<p><b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b></p>\n<p>纳斯达克的领跑还得益于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>宣布高额投资计划，以及总统拜登周三发布的基础设施提案——其中包括力推电动汽车。</p>\n<p>您可以将股市上涨归功于庞大的货币和财政支持。但怀疑者们心中不安的是，所有这些刺激措施可能导致一场痛苦的回撤。</p>\n<p>股市在疫情之初汹涌下跌，之后猛烈反弹，标普500指数已经从一年前的谷底上涨了80%。这种回报已经超过之前13次牛市行情中3次牛市的整体涨幅。在有些人看来，这种复苏速度意味着过去12个月的上涨只是2009年开始的牛市行情的延续。</p>\n<p>但其他人则认为疫情衰退是一个新周期的开始。他们认为，虽然估值高昂、债券收益率上扬、短线股民准备享受生活，但一个合理的反驳是：<b>牛市基本上不会很快死掉。</b></p>\n<p>回顾过去大约一个世纪的时间，<b>在前13个牛市周期中，没有一次结束于周期的这个时点</b>——如果您认为2020年3月是新周期起点的话。即使是最短的一个，也持续了两年。<b>牛市平均持续五年，</b>标普500指数在第二年平均上涨10%。</p>","source":"lsy1606393433888","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>标普突破4000点：牛市轮盘不停转，总有赢家领风骚</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n标普突破4000点：牛市轮盘不停转，总有赢家领风骚\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-02 08:53 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://news.ushknews.com/mobile/details.html?id=1002638&type=news><strong>美港电讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>不管估值水平让人多么心慌、散户放肆让人多么忌惮、连涨年头让人多么警觉，美股牛市还在继续为自己的信徒带去福音。\n\n大型科技股跌了？没问题，能源股和银行股会加快步伐。对Meme股乏味了？可以尝尝那些还没盈利的软件制造商。Discovery Inc.的A类股让你伤心？没关系，它的B类股刚刚莫名其妙创16年来最大涨幅。\n对于2021年的每一个价格下跌，似乎总存在一个大小相等、方向相反的倒影，从而保持了市场...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://news.ushknews.com/mobile/details.html?id=1002638&type=news\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7ed81b1e72df2f2f0f21497fe08eaed","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://news.ushknews.com/mobile/details.html?id=1002638&type=news","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168469505","content_text":"不管估值水平让人多么心慌、散户放肆让人多么忌惮、连涨年头让人多么警觉，美股牛市还在继续为自己的信徒带去福音。\n\n大型科技股跌了？没问题，能源股和银行股会加快步伐。对Meme股乏味了？可以尝尝那些还没盈利的软件制造商。Discovery Inc.的A类股让你伤心？没关系，它的B类股刚刚莫名其妙创16年来最大涨幅。\n对于2021年的每一个价格下跌，似乎总存在一个大小相等、方向相反的倒影，从而保持了市场的高涨。本周，过犹不及的再通胀交易偃旗息鼓，而应用材料等芯片股和特斯拉等电动汽车股上涨了。标普500指数五周来取得第四个周涨幅，史上首次突破4,000点大关。\n\n并不是说每只个股的崩盘都很容易消化——看看ViacomCBS Inc.，一周前因Archegos Capital的爆仓而股价腰斩。而且，想要预见股市大顶位置仍然代价不菲。但投资者不屈不挠。彭博行业研究汇总的数据显示，他们在3月份向股票ETF投入了860亿美元的新资金，连续第二个月打破纪录。\n\n “人们在一定程度上害怕错过机会，”Vantagepoint 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Wicker表示。“成长股和价值股之间的来回交替实际上是好事，为投资者提供了更广泛的机会。这使人们更加专注于股票市场。”\n\n2021年在经济正常化希望中表现落后的科技股，在这个因假期而缩短的交易周跃居前列，因为法国再度实施防疫封锁，帮助振兴了居家防疫交易。科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数本周上涨近3%，创两个月来最大周涨幅，超过道琼斯工业平均指数和罗素2000指数（本周分别上涨0.2%和1.5%）。\n\n纳斯达克100指数\n\n道琼斯工业平均指数\n纳斯达克的领跑还得益于台积电和英特尔宣布高额投资计划，以及总统拜登周三发布的基础设施提案——其中包括力推电动汽车。\n您可以将股市上涨归功于庞大的货币和财政支持。但怀疑者们心中不安的是，所有这些刺激措施可能导致一场痛苦的回撤。\n股市在疫情之初汹涌下跌，之后猛烈反弹，标普500指数已经从一年前的谷底上涨了80%。这种回报已经超过之前13次牛市行情中3次牛市的整体涨幅。在有些人看来，这种复苏速度意味着过去12个月的上涨只是2009年开始的牛市行情的延续。\n但其他人则认为疫情衰退是一个新周期的开始。他们认为，虽然估值高昂、债券收益率上扬、短线股民准备享受生活，但一个合理的反驳是：牛市基本上不会很快死掉。\n回顾过去大约一个世纪的时间，在前13个牛市周期中，没有一次结束于周期的这个时点——如果您认为2020年3月是新周期起点的话。即使是最短的一个，也持续了两年。牛市平均持续五年，标普500指数在第二年平均上涨10%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":79,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":101049381,"gmtCreate":1619832915243,"gmtModify":1634209634155,"author":{"id":"3569406663516918","authorId":"3569406663516918","name":"Superfred","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/742b6a855610b099bbc2d7c00e1151e8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569406663516918","idStr":"3569406663516918"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"烂泥扶不上墙","listText":"烂泥扶不上墙","text":"烂泥扶不上墙","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/718b9112363f619b1874387caf61bb50","width":"1125","height":"3828"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101049381","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":109926788,"gmtCreate":1619660144244,"gmtModify":1634210936755,"author":{"id":"3569406663516918","authorId":"3569406663516918","name":"Superfred","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/742b6a855610b099bbc2d7c00e1151e8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569406663516918","idStr":"3569406663516918"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"冲冲冲！再创新高","listText":"冲冲冲！再创新高","text":"冲冲冲！再创新高","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d137943ab93c784534c50ce66dfa7ec","width":"1125","height":"2089"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/109926788","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":100042572,"gmtCreate":1619571229296,"gmtModify":1634211690332,"author":{"id":"3569406663516918","authorId":"3569406663516918","name":"Superfred","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/742b6a855610b099bbc2d7c00e1151e8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569406663516918","idStr":"3569406663516918"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"上升浪的王者","listText":"上升浪的王者","text":"上升浪的王者","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc3633b05f92de0e42584419fcbe0291","width":"1125","height":"3569"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100042572","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":327,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":374074068,"gmtCreate":1619405241054,"gmtModify":1634273732204,"author":{"id":"3569406663516918","authorId":"3569406663516918","name":"Superfred","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/742b6a855610b099bbc2d7c00e1151e8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569406663516918","idStr":"3569406663516918"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这周看好qqq上天","listText":"这周看好qqq上天","text":"这周看好qqq上天","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d81c76b22767b67fbe039805fa882373","width":"1125","height":"2089"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374074068","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":317,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":375133848,"gmtCreate":1619314367884,"gmtModify":1634274330424,"author":{"id":"3569406663516918","authorId":"3569406663516918","name":"Superfred","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/742b6a855610b099bbc2d7c00e1151e8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569406663516918","idStr":"3569406663516918"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我是穷人，不可怕","listText":"我是穷人，不可怕","text":"我是穷人，不可怕","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375133848","repostId":"1138176748","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":172,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":371520179,"gmtCreate":1618961899791,"gmtModify":1634289647361,"author":{"id":"3569406663516918","authorId":"3569406663516918","name":"Superfred","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/742b6a855610b099bbc2d7c00e1151e8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"foll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