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sehchong

sehchong

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2021-12-08

哈哈。。。你真犀利。

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-27

你有买台积电吗？

@小猪熊发财:$台积电(TSM)$这是半导体里最烂的一只股，没有之一。

2021-11-23

I own shares of Nvidia and AMD.

AMD Stock Just Gave Us the Best Trade of the Year. Now What?

2021-11-18

恭喜恭喜。。漂亮盈利

@七星瓢喵:$AMD(AMD)$一直持有

2021-11-02

$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$keep it up

2021-11-01

$Idex ASA(IDEX)$keep it up

2021-10-29

$Idex ASA(IDEX)$trading volume is increasing, let's fly high..

2021-10-26

$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$skillz up, profit up.

2021-10-26

$Idex ASA(IDEX)$can double up ?

2021-09-24

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$等下一个财报。

2021-09-24

$Apple(AAPL)$一天一苹果，财富接近我。

2021-09-23

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$痴痴的等你慢慢爬。

2021-09-22

$II-VI Inc(IIVI)$有点累。。加油吧。。

2021-09-21

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$重伤了。。

2021-09-21

$ChargePoint Holdings Inc.(CHPT)$短线操作试看。

2021-09-20

$II-VI Inc(IIVI)$低迷状态，等待。

2021-09-19

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$留意一下。

2021-09-18

$II-VI Inc(IIVI)$累也不说累

2021-09-17

去年买30,今年三月卖40,现在20,现在是不是应该买一点呢？

2021-09-16

$Apple(AAPL)$小起小落

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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tmlText":"哈哈。。。你真犀利。","listText":"哈哈。。。你真犀利。","text":"哈哈。。。你真犀利。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602956835","repostId":"606558792","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1213,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600000194,"gmtCreate":1637995077538,"gmtModify":1637995077913,"author":{"id":"3567674467070106","authorId":"3567674467070106","name":"sehchong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/690f1cb829a1d7c63dd0a0ac190b0f8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567674467070106","authorIdStr":"3567674467070106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"你有买台积电吗？","listText":"你有买台积电吗？","text":"你有买台积电吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600000194","repostId":"877508710","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":877508710,"gmtCreate":1637939789737,"gmtModify":1637939789737,"author":{"id":"3584017296125380","authorId":"3584017296125380","name":"小猪熊发财","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2085609b68b3b2add8ebe5b9ec128a96","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584017296125380","authorIdStr":"3584017296125380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a>这是半导体里最烂的一只股，没有之一。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a>这是半导体里最烂的一只股，没有之一。","text":"$台积电(TSM)$这是半导体里最烂的一只股，没有之一。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0ddd54ad20d39c4cf6885d5e5eb1710","width":"1242","height":"2688"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877508710","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":847,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":875619422,"gmtCreate":1637641620517,"gmtModify":1637641620873,"author":{"id":"3567674467070106","authorId":"3567674467070106","name":"sehchong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/690f1cb829a1d7c63dd0a0ac190b0f8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567674467070106","authorIdStr":"3567674467070106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I own shares of Nvidia and AMD.","listText":"I own shares of Nvidia and AMD.","text":"I own shares of Nvidia and AMD.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875619422","repostId":"1109021597","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109021597","pubTimestamp":1637638327,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109021597?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-23 11:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD Stock Just Gave Us the Best Trade of the Year. Now What?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109021597","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"AMD stock remains a potent performer, both as a trade and as an investment","content":"<p><b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>AMD</u></b>) has been an absolute beast on the long side. Despite that truth, AMD stock can actually be pretty tough to trade at times.</p>\n<p>The stock tends to go on sharp, robust runs and then consolidate for quite a while. However, patient bulls in this stock continue to be rewarded. That’s exactly what I’ve been pounding the table on — patience.</p>\n<p>If there’s one industry — or one duo — that I have a good pulse on, it’s AMD and&nbsp;<b>Nvidia</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>NVDA</u></b>). Both of these companies are incredibly well run and while the stocks don’t always reflect their great businesses, the share prices eventually reward shareholders.</p>\n<p>With AMD, the writing was all over the wall — almost literally.</p>\n<p><b>Trading AMD Stock</b></p>\n<p>Going into earnings in July,I made the case to own&nbsp;AMD stock regardless of the earnings outcome. A few days later, Advanced Micro Devices reported strong earnings and the stock exploded to new all-time highs as a result.</p>\n<p>This triggered a massive breakout over the $99 to $100 level, but that was followed by a somewhat disappointing 18% correction back to this breakout area.</p>\n<p>Like I said though, the bullish clues that new highs were coming were written all over the charts.We never forgot the massive volume&nbsp;that accompanied the stock’s post-earnings rally.</p>\n<p>Save this chart. Bookmark this article. Whatever you need to do to imprint this image in your mind, because this is what “accumulation” volume looks like.</p>\n<p>That’s when institutions pile into a stock, leaving their “footprints” all over the chart in the form of volume. This had the hallmarks of institutional accumulation. While that doesn’t guarantee new highs necessarily, it’s a decent bet that it means, “there’s more where that came from.”</p>\n<p>AMD found support at the prior $99 to $100 breakout zone before&nbsp;giving a powerful weekly-up rotation. That may very well have led to one of the best trades of the year. Further, it helped kick-start an absolutely massive secondary trade in Nvidia, which paid off quite well too.</p>\n<p>Finally, AMD stock&nbsp;gave bulls a nice reset&nbsp;to start off November and the stock responded with a 19.5% burst.Rarely do we get to double dip in a trade like this, catching a bulk of the upside and&nbsp;<i>then</i>&nbsp;catching the downside reversal.</p>\n<p><b>So, What’s the Trade?</b></p>\n<p>From here, we need to give the stock a rest. For traders, that means trimming into strength and/or raising their stop-losses. For investors, it means appreciating the move, but expecting potentially sideways-to-lower price action in the short to immediate term.</p>\n<p>Am I bearish? Absolutely not. But am I cognizant that Nvidia and AMD are up 50% to 60% over the past six weeks and that action can only last so long? Yes.</p>\n<p>Bulls have been quite fortunate in this name. I’m hoping the above chart can serve as an educational tool to readers. It highlights the following:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>A massive upside rally with accumulation volume. Learn to spot these!</li>\n <li>A pullback to the prior breakout zone.</li>\n <li>The weekly-up trigger that launched AMD higher, then the ensuing “reset” trade that sent AMD to new all-time highs.</li>\n <li>Lastly, the reversal trade that let bulls exit the trade with monstrous gains and gave aggressive traders a short-selling opportunity.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Betting on AMD’s Long-Term Future</b></p>\n<p>AMD stock just gave bulls one of the best trades of the year. The best part about all of this is that the company continues to deliver on the fundamentals too.</p>\n<p>It’s a very mixed and mostly downbeat situation for growth stocks. Many of the best growth stocks are well off the highs right now, but not AMD and Nvidia.Both stocks&nbsp;remain superior to picks&nbsp;like&nbsp;<b>Intel</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>INTC</u></b>) too. They are real outliers, outshining growth&nbsp;<i>and</i>value stocks.</p>\n<p>That’s because consensus estimates continue to underestimate what AMD and Nvidia are doing right now. Nvidia just delivered a&nbsp;top- and bottom-line beat&nbsp;and better-than-expected guidance. AMD&nbsp;did the same thing, while delivering 54% revenue growth.</p>\n<p>The more that technology grows, the more that companies need better components. Increased data means increasing data center performance. That equates to more orders for AMD and Nvidia.This new push for the “metaverse” has AMD in demand too. So do computer graphics, gaming, AI and machine learning applications, autonomous driving — you name it. There are countless end markets for GPUs.</p>\n<p>If there’s one fly in the ointment, it’s future growth concerns.</p>\n<p>With one quarter left to go for this fiscal year,analysts expect AMD to grow sales&nbsp;19.5% next year, then 14% in the following year. Some might say the stock has rallied too far given these estimates.Maybe so. And in that case, we may see a multi-quarter consolidation phase, which most long-term investors are fine with.</p>\n<p>But it’s also possible that these estimates are too conservative.</p>\n<p>In late July, 2022 revenue estimates sat at about $17 billion. After earnings in July, they shot up to $18 billion. After the last report in October, these expectations moved above $19 billion. You can see how this theme has been playing out.</p>\n<p>For now, I still have no reason to bet against AMD (or Nvidia) even though it’s clear that the stocks need a break.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD Stock Just Gave Us the Best Trade of the Year. Now What? </title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD Stock Just Gave Us the Best Trade of the Year. Now What? \n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-23 11:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/11/amd-stock-just-gave-us-the-best-trade-of-the-year-now-what/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Advanced Micro Devices(NASDAQ:AMD) has been an absolute beast on the long side. Despite that truth, AMD stock can actually be pretty tough to trade at times.\nThe stock tends to go on sharp, robust ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/amd-stock-just-gave-us-the-best-trade-of-the-year-now-what/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/amd-stock-just-gave-us-the-best-trade-of-the-year-now-what/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109021597","content_text":"Advanced Micro Devices(NASDAQ:AMD) has been an absolute beast on the long side. Despite that truth, AMD stock can actually be pretty tough to trade at times.\nThe stock tends to go on sharp, robust runs and then consolidate for quite a while. However, patient bulls in this stock continue to be rewarded. That’s exactly what I’ve been pounding the table on — patience.\nIf there’s one industry — or one duo — that I have a good pulse on, it’s AMD and Nvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA). Both of these companies are incredibly well run and while the stocks don’t always reflect their great businesses, the share prices eventually reward shareholders.\nWith AMD, the writing was all over the wall — almost literally.\nTrading AMD Stock\nGoing into earnings in July,I made the case to own AMD stock regardless of the earnings outcome. A few days later, Advanced Micro Devices reported strong earnings and the stock exploded to new all-time highs as a result.\nThis triggered a massive breakout over the $99 to $100 level, but that was followed by a somewhat disappointing 18% correction back to this breakout area.\nLike I said though, the bullish clues that new highs were coming were written all over the charts.We never forgot the massive volume that accompanied the stock’s post-earnings rally.\nSave this chart. Bookmark this article. Whatever you need to do to imprint this image in your mind, because this is what “accumulation” volume looks like.\nThat’s when institutions pile into a stock, leaving their “footprints” all over the chart in the form of volume. This had the hallmarks of institutional accumulation. While that doesn’t guarantee new highs necessarily, it’s a decent bet that it means, “there’s more where that came from.”\nAMD found support at the prior $99 to $100 breakout zone before giving a powerful weekly-up rotation. That may very well have led to one of the best trades of the year. Further, it helped kick-start an absolutely massive secondary trade in Nvidia, which paid off quite well too.\nFinally, AMD stock gave bulls a nice reset to start off November and the stock responded with a 19.5% burst.Rarely do we get to double dip in a trade like this, catching a bulk of the upside and then catching the downside reversal.\nSo, What’s the Trade?\nFrom here, we need to give the stock a rest. For traders, that means trimming into strength and/or raising their stop-losses. For investors, it means appreciating the move, but expecting potentially sideways-to-lower price action in the short to immediate term.\nAm I bearish? Absolutely not. But am I cognizant that Nvidia and AMD are up 50% to 60% over the past six weeks and that action can only last so long? Yes.\nBulls have been quite fortunate in this name. I’m hoping the above chart can serve as an educational tool to readers. It highlights the following:\n\nA massive upside rally with accumulation volume. Learn to spot these!\nA pullback to the prior breakout zone.\nThe weekly-up trigger that launched AMD higher, then the ensuing “reset” trade that sent AMD to new all-time highs.\nLastly, the reversal trade that let bulls exit the trade with monstrous gains and gave aggressive traders a short-selling opportunity.\n\nBetting on AMD’s Long-Term Future\nAMD stock just gave bulls one of the best trades of the year. The best part about all of this is that the company continues to deliver on the fundamentals too.\nIt’s a very mixed and mostly downbeat situation for growth stocks. Many of the best growth stocks are well off the highs right now, but not AMD and Nvidia.Both stocks remain superior to picks like Intel(NASDAQ:INTC) too. They are real outliers, outshining growth andvalue stocks.\nThat’s because consensus estimates continue to underestimate what AMD and Nvidia are doing right now. Nvidia just delivered a top- and bottom-line beat and better-than-expected guidance. AMD did the same thing, while delivering 54% revenue growth.\nThe more that technology grows, the more that companies need better components. Increased data means increasing data center performance. That equates to more orders for AMD and Nvidia.This new push for the “metaverse” has AMD in demand too. So do computer graphics, gaming, AI and machine learning applications, autonomous driving — you name it. There are countless end markets for GPUs.\nIf there’s one fly in the ointment, it’s future growth concerns.\nWith one quarter left to go for this fiscal year,analysts expect AMD to grow sales 19.5% next year, then 14% in the following year. Some might say the stock has rallied too far given these estimates.Maybe so. And in that case, we may see a multi-quarter consolidation phase, which most long-term investors are fine with.\nBut it’s also possible that these estimates are too conservative.\nIn late July, 2022 revenue estimates sat at about $17 billion. 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You can see how this theme has been playing out.\nFor now, I still have no reason to bet against AMD (or Nvidia) even though it’s clear that the stocks need a 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Inc.(NIO)$买蔚来，有未来。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45d255dacd2b8b697585243148c7be2","width":"1080","height":"2325"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815545203","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":115,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":893362914,"gmtCreate":1628239020438,"gmtModify":1631886726847,"author":{"id":"3567674467070106","authorId":"3567674467070106","name":"sehchong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/690f1cb829a1d7c63dd0a0ac190b0f8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567674467070106","authorIdStr":"3567674467070106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OPEN\">$Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$</a>爱得比你深","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OPEN\">$Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$</a>爱得比你深","text":"$Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$爱得比你深","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9124d9cdf92e4f8196dca8bd3e163f5","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893362914","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":480,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":111144527,"gmtCreate":1622671383669,"gmtModify":1634099430555,"author":{"id":"3567674467070106","authorId":"3567674467070106","name":"sehchong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/690f1cb829a1d7c63dd0a0ac190b0f8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567674467070106","authorIdStr":"3567674467070106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Unbelievable!","listText":"Unbelievable!","text":"Unbelievable!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111144527","repostId":"1188552613","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188552613","pubTimestamp":1622627641,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188552613?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-02 17:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Stock Is Surging Again. How to Make Sense of the Move.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188552613","media":"Barrons","summary":"AMC Entertainment‘s skyrocketing stock price would be easy to dismiss as just meme-trade madness, th","content":"<p>AMC Entertainment‘s skyrocketing stock price would be easy to dismiss as just meme-trade madness, that social media-fueled investor frenzy that has launched the likes of&nbsp;GameStop&nbsp;and&nbsp;BlackBerry&nbsp;into speculative territory.</p>\n<p>But it’s possible that traditional investors have missed a fundamental change in the movie theater business—and it wouldn’t be the first time.</p>\n<p>Shares of AMC (ticker: AMC) surged 23% on Tuesday, closing at $32.04—just off an all-time high of $36.72 set in late May. That puts the movie-theater chain’s market capitalization at roughly $16 billion, more than 15 times what it was in 2018, a record-breaking year at the box office.&nbsp;Shares were up another 34%, to $42.92, in premarket trading Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Even if investors missed an inflection point, though, the math doesn’t add up. The reason might be that market cap isn’t the right measure. Maybe it’s enterprise value, which is essentially market cap and debt. AMC’s enterprise value is about $26 billion, compared with $6.2 billion or so at the end of 2018.</p>\n<p>AMC added debt during the pandemic as theaters in the country’s biggest cities were dark for months. And the numbers make it easy to understand why: The U.S. box office in 2020 generated about $2.1 billion in ticket sales, down 81% from the 2018 record of $11.9 billion.</p>\n<p>So, it seems investors have been vexed by movie theater economics. But it wouldn’t be the first time. The industry essentially went belly up at the turn of the millennium. Regal Cinemas, for instance, declared bankruptcy in 2001.</p>\n<p>Back then, the industry had plenty of capacity because of a new theater design—stadium seating that gave a better view of the screen. That shift meant movie theater chains had to renovate or risk losing all their patrons to movie theaters that offered the better view. In the end, too many seats and not enough patrons meant the return on the stadium-seating investments never materialized.</p>\n<p>The upshot was consolidation. With fewer operators, the number of screens stabilized. Between 2002 and 2007, Regal Cinemas became a cash-generating machine because the stock was mispriced. The stock returned 21% a year on average. The S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both returned less than 9% a year on average over the same period.</p>\n<p>In those days, Regal Cinema’s enterprise value about $5 billion, or about 50% of total U.S. box office sales. That’s far short of AMC today. Something new has to be different for AMC to be worth it.</p>\n<p>Maybe the movie theater business is going to go through another period of consolidation, which can usher in another golden age of returns. AMC’s Tuesday gains, in fact, were catalyzed by new capital raised so the company could go on the offensive, acquiring defunct chains. Monopolies, after all, can be good for stock returns.</p>\n<p>If AMC can increase market share and the U.S. box office sales can return to 2018 levels in a few years, total sales at might be $9 billion—$6 billion from tickets and $3 billion from concessions. Sales in 2018 amounted to $5.5 billion.</p>\n<p>Then, with better gross profit margins derived from larger scale, AMC might be able to generate $600 million in free cash flow annually, which puts the stock at about a 4% free cash flow yield. The S&amp;P 500 trades for about a 3% free cash flow yield. The numbers can work—if they’re stretched.</p>\n<p>There are problems with this scenario, though. There are lots of ifs and mights—and AMC has never generated cash flow like that in the past. Arriving at $600 million in free cash flow is more about justifying current valuations than predicting what is likely.</p>\n<p>Also, with mergers and acquisitions, AMC market shares might rise, but there are still competitors. Regal Cinemas is still out there, owned by Cineworld Holdings (CINE. London). So is Cinemark (CNK). There’s not a true monopoly.</p>\n<p>AMC and its peers have to deal with streaming, too. Windows for exclusive theater showings are shrinking. The pandemic has accelerated that. And if AMC gets too large and demanding for movie makers, the talent can always go to streaming faster, hurting box office sales.</p>\n<p>There is also the problem of the peer stocks. They aren’t trading like this is a brave new world for theaters. Cineworld stock is up 484% from its 52-week low, but shares are still off 72% from all-time highs. Cinemark shares are up 222% from their 52-week low. They are down 47% from their all-time high.</p>\n<p>AMC stock, again, is up almost 1,600% from its 52-week low and is down just 13% from its May all-time high.</p>\n<p>Wall Street just doesn’t see the potential either. Nine analysts cover the stock. The average analyst price target is about $5. Before the pandemic, the average analyst price target was $15. But there were fewer shares back then. The old target enterprise value was roughly $7 billion. It’s tough to get from $7 billion to $26 billion predicting better margins.</p>\n<p>Analysts do have positive free cash flow modeled, though–$13 million in 2022 and $90 million in 2023. That’s a long way from $600 million.</p>\n<p>And that’s just another way of saying that AMC bulls are a long way from making the math work.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Stock Is Surging Again. How to Make Sense of the Move.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Stock Is Surging Again. How to Make Sense of the Move.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-02 17:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/amc-rockets-higher-is-it-worth-it-maybe-51622594691?mod=hp_LEAD_1><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>AMC Entertainment‘s skyrocketing stock price would be easy to dismiss as just meme-trade madness, that social media-fueled investor frenzy that has launched the likes of GameStop and BlackBerry into ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/amc-rockets-higher-is-it-worth-it-maybe-51622594691?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/amc-rockets-higher-is-it-worth-it-maybe-51622594691?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188552613","content_text":"AMC Entertainment‘s skyrocketing stock price would be easy to dismiss as just meme-trade madness, that social media-fueled investor frenzy that has launched the likes of GameStop and BlackBerry into speculative territory.\nBut it’s possible that traditional investors have missed a fundamental change in the movie theater business—and it wouldn’t be the first time.\nShares of AMC (ticker: AMC) surged 23% on Tuesday, closing at $32.04—just off an all-time high of $36.72 set in late May. That puts the movie-theater chain’s market capitalization at roughly $16 billion, more than 15 times what it was in 2018, a record-breaking year at the box office. Shares were up another 34%, to $42.92, in premarket trading Wednesday.\nEven if investors missed an inflection point, though, the math doesn’t add up. The reason might be that market cap isn’t the right measure. Maybe it’s enterprise value, which is essentially market cap and debt. AMC’s enterprise value is about $26 billion, compared with $6.2 billion or so at the end of 2018.\nAMC added debt during the pandemic as theaters in the country’s biggest cities were dark for months. And the numbers make it easy to understand why: The U.S. box office in 2020 generated about $2.1 billion in ticket sales, down 81% from the 2018 record of $11.9 billion.\nSo, it seems investors have been vexed by movie theater economics. But it wouldn’t be the first time. The industry essentially went belly up at the turn of the millennium. Regal Cinemas, for instance, declared bankruptcy in 2001.\nBack then, the industry had plenty of capacity because of a new theater design—stadium seating that gave a better view of the screen. That shift meant movie theater chains had to renovate or risk losing all their patrons to movie theaters that offered the better view. In the end, too many seats and not enough patrons meant the return on the stadium-seating investments never materialized.\nThe upshot was consolidation. With fewer operators, the number of screens stabilized. Between 2002 and 2007, Regal Cinemas became a cash-generating machine because the stock was mispriced. The stock returned 21% a year on average. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both returned less than 9% a year on average over the same period.\nIn those days, Regal Cinema’s enterprise value about $5 billion, or about 50% of total U.S. box office sales. That’s far short of AMC today. Something new has to be different for AMC to be worth it.\nMaybe the movie theater business is going to go through another period of consolidation, which can usher in another golden age of returns. AMC’s Tuesday gains, in fact, were catalyzed by new capital raised so the company could go on the offensive, acquiring defunct chains. Monopolies, after all, can be good for stock returns.\nIf AMC can increase market share and the U.S. box office sales can return to 2018 levels in a few years, total sales at might be $9 billion—$6 billion from tickets and $3 billion from concessions. Sales in 2018 amounted to $5.5 billion.\nThen, with better gross profit margins derived from larger scale, AMC might be able to generate $600 million in free cash flow annually, which puts the stock at about a 4% free cash flow yield. The S&P 500 trades for about a 3% free cash flow yield. The numbers can work—if they’re stretched.\nThere are problems with this scenario, though. There are lots of ifs and mights—and AMC has never generated cash flow like that in the past. Arriving at $600 million in free cash flow is more about justifying current valuations than predicting what is likely.\nAlso, with mergers and acquisitions, AMC market shares might rise, but there are still competitors. Regal Cinemas is still out there, owned by Cineworld Holdings (CINE. London). So is Cinemark (CNK). There’s not a true monopoly.\nAMC and its peers have to deal with streaming, too. Windows for exclusive theater showings are shrinking. The pandemic has accelerated that. And if AMC gets too large and demanding for movie makers, the talent can always go to streaming faster, hurting box office sales.\nThere is also the problem of the peer stocks. They aren’t trading like this is a brave new world for theaters. Cineworld stock is up 484% from its 52-week low, but shares are still off 72% from all-time highs. Cinemark shares are up 222% from their 52-week low. They are down 47% from their all-time high.\nAMC stock, again, is up almost 1,600% from its 52-week low and is down just 13% from its May all-time high.\nWall Street just doesn’t see the potential either. Nine analysts cover the stock. The average analyst price target is about $5. Before the pandemic, the average analyst price target was $15. But there were fewer shares back then. The old target enterprise value was roughly $7 billion. It’s tough to get from $7 billion to $26 billion predicting better margins.\nAnalysts do have positive free cash flow modeled, though–$13 million in 2022 and $90 million in 2023. That’s a long way from $600 million.\nAnd that’s just another way of saying that AMC bulls are a long way from making the math work.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":55,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":320835571,"gmtCreate":1615077078493,"gmtModify":1703484516659,"author":{"id":"3567674467070106","authorId":"3567674467070106","name":"sehchong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/690f1cb829a1d7c63dd0a0ac190b0f8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567674467070106","authorIdStr":"3567674467070106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>[开心]&nbsp;buck up pls[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>[开心]&nbsp;buck up pls[开心]&nbsp;","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$[开心] buck up pls[开心]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cf0674e203361f01ae71a2acb52825","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320835571","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":224,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":816795478,"gmtCreate":1630534092194,"gmtModify":1631885982586,"author":{"id":"3567674467070106","authorId":"3567674467070106","name":"sehchong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/690f1cb829a1d7c63dd0a0ac190b0f8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567674467070106","authorIdStr":"3567674467070106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TUYA\">$Tuya Inc.(TUYA)$</a>不错不错。今晚再来呀。。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TUYA\">$Tuya Inc.(TUYA)$</a>不错不错。今晚再来呀。。","text":"$Tuya Inc.(TUYA)$不错不错。今晚再来呀。。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e77745372d269a19ed041818c4bb0353","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816795478","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":216,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":894187254,"gmtCreate":1628812030678,"gmtModify":1631892077508,"author":{"id":"3567674467070106","authorId":"3567674467070106","name":"sehchong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/690f1cb829a1d7c63dd0a0ac190b0f8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567674467070106","authorIdStr":"3567674467070106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">$Baidu(BIDU)$</a>现在进场百度，观望。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">$Baidu(BIDU)$</a>现在进场百度，观望。","text":"$Baidu(BIDU)$现在进场百度，观望。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60b6697fa3f70c6cb1eb6e780f6ec8e0","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894187254","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":226,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":176538545,"gmtCreate":1626906245187,"gmtModify":1631886726986,"author":{"id":"3567674467070106","authorId":"3567674467070106","name":"sehchong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/690f1cb829a1d7c63dd0a0ac190b0f8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567674467070106","authorIdStr":"3567674467070106"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OPEN\">$Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$</a>still a long journey to turn it green.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OPEN\">$Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$</a>still a long journey to turn it green.","text":"$Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$still a long journey to turn it green.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b49484f19c88c4c1a105f80be0702e3","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176538545","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":94,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}